TOUCH PANEL MARKET: APPLICATIONS & EVOLUTION CALVIN HSIEH Research Director, DisplaySearch C-TOUCH Touch Screen Tech Forum Shenzhen, China, 2014.11.25 Copyright © 2014 DisplaySearch Authorized Users may not provide this report, or any part, to non-Authorized Users (internal or external) as stated in the Terms & Conditions. Touch Industry Trends in 2014-2015 Touch Panel Market Applications and Beyond: fierce smartphone and tablet PC competition but waiting for NB. New Material Adoption: sapphire for cover lens, new materials with new sensor patterning. Makers’ Competition Embedded Type and TDDI: sensor and controller IC’s change to the supply chain. Bonding and Assembly: optical bonding and LCM business for higher integration and revenue. Regional Competition: market saturation for surviving and searching new opportunities. Business Model from Module Maker to Set Maker 1 Finished Cover Glass bezel Bonding Patterned Touch Sensor Bonding FPC TFT LCD Display Cover Glass Finishing Cover Glass Set’s Main Board Chemical Strengthening touch controller IC on: FPC (COF) or main board (COB) Scribing Cut CNC Forming Glass AR/AS Coating ITO Film Set Maker Touch Sensor 2 Sensor Patterning Process ITO Target LCD Panel Touch Module Maker Glass Source consigned for optical bonding in module maker photolithography silk printing laser etching metal plating UV-imprinting other printing methods Patterning air bonding in system assembly by set maker Controller IC Module Lamination or Bonding Controller IC CG ACF Flexible PCB Bonding Sensor Panel Copyright © 2014 DisplaySearch. Authorized Users may not provide this report, or any part, to non-Authorized Users (internal or external) as stated in the Terms & Conditions. Bonding * 1 Major Applications and Beyond Major Applications and Beyond Embedded Type and Panel Makers Business Model and Evolutions Facing Changes and Competition Total Touch Module Shipment Forecast Growth from Mobile Phone and Tablet PC Mobile phone has stable shipment base and growth, tablet PC becomes another 200M-based market. But > 10” is still frustrated at NB and AIO for high ASP, OS issue, form factor and user behavior. 3,000 Android 4.0 in 2011 pushed smartphones and tablet PCs. 2,500 Unit: Million 2012: iPhone couldn’t keep high Y/Y but affordable tablet PCs started. Keys for > 10” growth are budget allocation, form factor and user behavior. 2013-2014: mobile phone and tablet PC account for more shares to support Y/Y but NB demand is still not clear. 80% 2,000 2011: iPhone, iPad and Android smartphones led the growth. 60% 1,500 2010: iPad effect for larger sizes 40% 1,000 20% 500 Unit: Mn 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Shipment 771 1,108 1,293 1,513 1,677 1,903 2,144 2,321 Y/Y Growth 27% 44% 17% 17% 11% 13% 13% 8% SOURCE: DisplaySearch Q3’14 Touch Panel Market Analysis Report Copyright © 2014 DisplaySearch. Authorized Users may not provide this report, or any part, to non-Authorized Users (internal or external) as stated in the Terms & Conditions. * Total Touch Module Revenue Forecast What’s the Next Growth Dynamic? Smartphone’s display size growth will be slower. Tablet PC’s mainstream size has been at 7”-8.x” from 9.x”. Remarkable ASP decline since Q3’13 (especially for NB) will result in very low growth. $50,000 $40,000 Unit: Million $ 2010-2011: 9.7” iPad was just launched to drive larger sized touch market. PCT took 58%. 2012-2013: ≧ 4” mobile phones and tablet PC are helpful to drive ASP. 2014: revenue Y/Y will be smaller than shipment Y/Y for remarkable ASP decline and slower display size growth (smartphone, tablet). 80% ASP decline: NB for demand and tablet PC for low cost 60% $30,000 Revenue Y/Y 40% $20,000 Shipment Y/Y 20% $10,000 Unit: Mn Revenue Y/Y Growth 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 $10,488 $16,571 $23,285 $28,742 $28,464 $28,611 $28,622 $28,078 62% 58% 41% 23% -1% 1% 0% -2% NOTE: PCT includes cover glass and in/on-cell include panel cost. SOURCE: DisplaySearch Q3’14 Touch Panel Market Analysis Report Copyright © 2014 DisplaySearch. Authorized Users may not provide this report, or any part, to non-Authorized Users (internal or external) as stated in the Terms & Conditions. * Mobile Phone Touch Market Forecast Panel Makers’ In-/On-cell with > 30% Shares In-cell: besides Apple’s in-cell sensor on TFT backplane, JDI and LGD try hybrid type which puts X-Y electrodes onto two pieces of glass (color filter and backplane). On-cell LCD: Innolux ships “TOD” (caterpillar pattern) since Q1’13; HSD and CPT also started. Glass-based: OGS as a PCT variation started to grab shares since 2012. But cover glass is an ID appearance part, its freedom for design and procurement is not necessarily better than GFF. Film-based: GFF is still mainstream but GFΔ and GF1 are used for entry and middle ends. 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Touch Module 1,083,602 1,236,710 1,412,336 1,600,474 1,739,436 1,840,233 Shipment Y/Y 14% 14% 14% 13% 9% 6% Set Penetration % 61.7% 66.3% 72.5% 78.7% 82.3% 84.3% Shipments (000s) 2013 2014 2015 2016 2013 2014 2015 2016 In-cell LCD 12.5% 14.0% 13.3% 12.3% G1F 3.0% 2.5% 1.9% 1.6% On-cell OLED 16.2% 14.5% 13.4% 12.3% Metal Mesh 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.9% On-cell LCD 0.4% 3.5% 5.1% 6.1% Nanowires 0.0% 0.1% 0.5% 1.2% P. Capacitive 67.2% 66.7% 67.3% 68.8% GF Triangle 3.5% 1.9% 1.1% 0.7% 2013 2014 2015 2016 GF1 8.0% 12.4% 15.0% 16.6% <2.x" 2.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% GFF 28.4% 29.8% 31.4% 31.6% 3.0-3.x" 25.5% 10.5% 6.2% 4.7% GG or SITO 7.6% 4.5% 3.0% 2.2% 4.0-4.x" 52.7% 53.2% 52.9% 52.4% OGS 10.5% 13.5% 15.0% 15.9% 5.0-6.x" 19.8% 35.4% 40.4% 42.7% PF 1.6% 1.7% 0.7% 0.3% Technology Module Size Major Structures NOTE: digitizer for Galaxy Note series is categorized as touch sensor, not module. SOURCE: DisplaySearch Q3’14 Touch Panel Market Analysis Report Copyright © 2014 DisplaySearch. Authorized Users may not provide this report, or any part, to non-Authorized Users (internal or external) as stated in the Terms & Conditions. * Tablet PC Touch Market Forecast Stronger Demand but Slower Growth Competition: name brands expel white brands in developed markets but white brands are still strong in emerging markets which are quite concerned for affordability. GF2: iPad mini and iPad 2013 adopt GF2 which impacted Taiwan GG DITO value chain. OGS: Nexus 7 and Kindle Fire 7” adopt Concore™ (FIT, sheet type). 8.9” model is by piece type. Size: the market will be still big but its average size and ASP are difficult to increase; 8.x” is expect to be savior keeping ASP but not effective. New 2-in-1 form factor (with detachable keyboard as Asus T100) or > 12” sizes (as Samsung Galaxy Note Pro) needs a better storyteller as Apple. 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Touch Module 250,402 254,494 276,656 298,171 315,841 331,585 Shipment Y/Y 59% 2% 9% 8% 6% 5% Shipments (000s) Technology 2013 2014 2015 2016 2013 2014 2015 2016 On-cell OLED 0.0% 0.7% 0.8% 1.0% G1F 2.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.4% On-cell LCD 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% Metal Mesh 0.0% 0.6% 1.6% 2.5% P. Capacitive 98.9% 98.9% 98.6% 98.2% Nanowires 0.0% 0.0% 0.8% 1.5% Resistive 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% GF1 1.3% 1.6% 1.7% 1.8% 2013 2014 2015 2016 GF2 20.7% 26.9% 28.7% 29.3% 5.0-8.x" 69.9% 68.4% 66.9% 65.2% GFF 46.0% 53.0% 52.8% 51.9% 9.0-9.x" 16.1% 14.7% 13.0% 12.9% GG DITO 12.0% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 10.0-11.x" 13.8% 14.6% 15.0% 15.1% GG or SITO 3.4% 2.9% 2.4% 1.7% 12.0-13.x" 0.2% 2.3% 5.1% 6.7% OGS 13.3% 11.3% 10.0% 9.1% Module Size Major Structures NOTE: digitizer for Galaxy Note series is categorized as touch sensor, not module. SOURCE: DisplaySearch Q3’14 Touch Panel Market Analysis Report Copyright © 2014 DisplaySearch. Authorized Users may not provide this report, or any part, to non-Authorized Users (internal or external) as stated in the Terms & Conditions. * Notebook PC Touch Market Forecast Waiting for Good Storyteller or 2-in-1? OGS: it is the best balanced for weight, thickness, cost trend and capacity. But new materials have been more remarkable for conductivity and transmittance with eventually mature supply chain. SSG: AUO eTP had more than 2M in 2013. However, brands are less aggressive to make entry models with touch due to Windows 8 failing to drive market so that its shipment will be limited. Concerns: {OS, ASP, budget allocation and user behaviors} have been more influential than touch module cost now. Touch-NB clam-shell form factor will be partially shifted to 2-in-1 tablet-like. 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Touch Module 21,027 22,859 26,888 29,793 31,819 33,110 Shipment Y/Y 362% 9% 18% 11% 7% 4% Set Penetration % 11.6% 12.7% 15.1% 16.7% 17.8% 18.4% Shipments (000s) Technology 2013 2014 2015 2016 2013 2014 2015 2016 Combo (sensor) 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% Combo 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% Digitizer (sensor) 1.5% 1.6% 1.5% 1.4% Digitizer 1.5% 1.6% 1.5% 1.4% P. Capacitive 97.7% 97.7% 97.9% 98.1% Metal Mesh 8.9% 19.2% 21.6% 23.4% Resistive 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Nanowires 1.1% 0.0% 9.0% 16.3% 2013 2014 2015 2016 GFF 8.3% 15.7% 14.1% 11.1% 10.0-11.x" 36.1% 18.5% 14.6% 11.8% GG or SITO 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0-13.x" 11.6% 12.0% 10.9% 10.2% OGS (edge-to-edge) 68.7% 53.5% 48.8% 47.3% 14.0-15.x" 51.2% 68.8% 73.6% 77.2% SSG (bezel look) 9.7% 9.4% 4.4% 0.0% 16.0-19.x" 1.2% 0.7% 0.9% 0.8% Resistive 0.3% 0% 0% 0% Module Size Major Structures SOURCE: DisplaySearch Q3’14 Touch Panel Market Analysis Report Copyright © 2014 DisplaySearch. Authorized Users may not provide this report, or any part, to non-Authorized Users (internal or external) as stated in the Terms & Conditions. * All-in-one PC Touch Market Forecast High Cost and Still Nice-to-have GG: it was G1G by etch/printing in 2013 (because OGS photo mask fees are high). OGS combining cover glass and sensor makes material management difficult for fewer shipments. Metal Mesh / Nanowires: adopting GFF (or G1F) structure, these new materials can improve better part sharing and use than OGS. Sensor yield rate and spec. are two key issues for future growth. Others: optical imaging and infrared are less preferred for ambient interference and bezel; SSG has single source issue. Brands’ expectation is to drive edge-to-edge ID design without bezel. 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Touch Module 2,270 3,783 4,094 4,116 4,298 4,310 Shipment Y/Y 9% 67%* 8% 1% 4% 0% Set Penetration % 13.6% 25.2% 28.2% 28.5% 29.8% 30.0% Shipments (000s) 2013 2014 2015 2016 2013 2014 2015 2016 Infrared 3.5% 13.0% 7.3% 0.0% Infrared 3.5% 13.0% 7.3% 0.0% Optical Imaging 29.7% 15.7% 8.7% 0.0% Optical Imaging 29.7% 15.7% 8.7% 0.0% P. Capacitive 64.4% 70.5% 74.8% 85.6% Metal Mesh 0.7% 31.6% 46.0% 60.8% Waveguide 0.0% 0.8% 9.2% 14.4% Nanowires 4.8% 0.0% 16.4% 24.8% 2013 2014 2015 2016 GFF 8.1% 13.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0-19.x" 4.7% 4.4% 0.0% 0.0% GG or SITO 50.8% 21.5% 12.4% 0.0% 20.0-24.x" 93.3% 90.6% 90.5% 88.9% SSG 0.0% 3.7% 0.0% 0.0% 25.0-29.x" 1.9% 4.9% 9.5% 11.1% Resistive 2.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Waveguide 0.0% 0.8% 9.2% 14.4% Technology Module Size Major Structures SOURCE: DisplaySearch Q3’14 Touch Panel Market Analysis Report Copyright © 2014 DisplaySearch. Authorized Users may not provide this report, or any part, to non-Authorized Users (internal or external) as stated in the Terms & Conditions. * Emerging: Smart Watch & Automotive Determining Factors for Future Growth Smart Watch: ASP, sensor (especially bio-based), government regulations (such as FDA) and user behavior (big data processing, smart software agent, expertise advising) are key issues for growth. Automotive: telematics has been a certain trend for cars. In the short term, controlling electronics needs intensive HMI based on the display. In the long term, the car will become smartly connected. Touch Supply Chain: smart watch will fit body shapes for wearing so that flexible display and touch sensors are preferred. Automotive touch is closed supply chain issue, not tech or sensors. 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Smart Watch 1,025 4,340 26,187 45,044 54,657 60,690 Shipment Y/Y 905% 323% 503% 72% 21% 11% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Automotive 27,665 33,017 37,983 47,641 56,793 63,592 Shipment Y/Y 21% 19% 15% 25% 19% 12% Shipments (000s) Shipments (000s) 2013 2014 2015 2016 Resistive FF 20.5% 17.7% 15.7% 10.4% Resistive FG 47.0% 43.4% 39.9% 32.5% Resistive FP 5.8% 5.1% 4.7% 3.8% Automotive 2013 2014 2015 2016 Resistive GG 11.4% 10.5% 9.7% 7.9% On-cell 78.0% 10.3% 7.1% 4.6% P-Cap. GFF 7.0% 11.1% 14.0% 20.0% P-Cap. GFF 6.8% 10.9% 14.2% 10.1% P-Cap. GG 6.2% 8.8% 12.1% 15.1% P-Cap. GG 0.0% 75.7% 76.7% 83.8% OGS/G2 2.2% 3.5% 3.9% 10.3% Smart Watch SOURCE: DisplaySearch Q3’14 Touch Panel Market Analysis Report Copyright © 2014 DisplaySearch. Authorized Users may not provide this report, or any part, to non-Authorized Users (internal or external) as stated in the Terms & Conditions. * Summary for Major Applications Positive and Uncertain Future Smartphone and Tablet PC: both applications will probably keep more than 10% Y/Y in 2014-2016 as major stable growth factor to support the touch panel market. Wearable Computing: if Apple releases iWatch this Q4 with popularity, this application could have dramatic growth since 2015. However, it looks promising but not still solid yet. Notebook and All-in-one PC: both two are lack of convincing scenarios to change user behaviors as well as need to compete with smartphone and tablet PC for consumer’s budget allocation. > 10” sized detachable 2-in-1 form factor could be helpful but product ASP concerns. Mobile Phone Tablet PC Notebook PC All-in-one PC 1,866M 254M 180M 15M 2014 Set Growth Y/Y 7% (smartphone: 14%) 2% -8% 8% 2014 Touch Demand 1,237M 254M 22.8M 3.8M 2014 Touch % 66.3% 100% 12.7% 23% 2014 Product Trend entry and mid- end models <10” affordable or 2-in-1? touch as add-on, not core value touch as add-on, not core value 2014 Growth Crisis average size slowly growing slower growth for saturation OS and slow replacement high cost and no dynamic Product Life Cycle every quarter every two quarters or year every year every year certainly partially none none • OGS / SSG: > 75% • new material based: > 10% • new material based: > 40% • GG / SSG: > 20% Major Applications 2014 Set Demand Carrier Subsidy Sensor Structures Cost-down Trend Optical Bonding w/LCD Module ASP Trend • ITO film-based: > 45% • embedded type: > 30% • ITO film-based: > 80% • OGS: > 10% single-layer and embedded type single-layer and low spec. supply chain integration new materials and process premium to mainstream premium models high end and premium not yet (except iMac) small Y/Y decline since 2014 small Y/Y decline since 2014 ~50% Y/Y decline in Q1’14 ~50% Y/Y decline in Q1’14 SOURCE: DisplaySearch Q3’14 Touch Panel Market Analysis Report Copyright © 2014 DisplaySearch. Authorized Users may not provide this report, or any part, to non-Authorized Users (internal or external) as stated in the Terms & Conditions. * 2 Embedded Type and Panel Makers Major Applications and Beyond Embedded Type and Panel Makers Business Model and Evolutions Facing Changes and Competition Embedded Type from Panel Makers Basics for Embedded Type Technology: almost existing in-cell and on-cell techs adopt projected capacitive. Voltage-sensing and optical-sensing are almost not available (except Microsoft PixelSense SUR40 by SDC). Principle: almost all by mutual sensing, but self-sensing multi-touch will be available soon. Sensor Location: they adopt two glass pieces of the display as the substrates; lower TFT backplane and/or upper color filter glass (or RGB-AMOLED’s encapsulation glass). Patterning: they use existing part in the display such as ITO shielding (IPS) and Vcom. SITO-like, singlelayer and “GG-like” are major pattern types. On-cell: the sensor is located at the upper glass. Usually, it is on the top side. Also, it can be embedded into black matrix (BM); some makers call it “in-cell” by their own definition. In-cell: the sensor is located on the TFT backplane (because of Vcom position). Out-cell: sensor and substrate are not put in the cell such as InnoTouch, eTP and OGS. On-cell on C/F On-cell in BM (some call it “in-cell”) Hybrid In-cell: Pixel Eyes Tx / Rx by SITO or Single-layer In-cell: Apple Rx (to controller IC) IPS, FFS, TN or VA Tx by Vcom (from driver IC) Tx / Rx similar to SITO by Vcom IPS FFS IPS, FFS, TN or VA PVA IPS - - - + + Passivation + color filter + pixel electrode FFS common electrode + - + Passivation - Copyright © 2014 DisplaySearch. Authorized Users may not provide this report, or any part, to non-Authorized Users (internal or external) as stated in the Terms & Conditions. + * On-cell Touch Sensor Patterning SITO vs. Single-layer Principle: projected capacitive X-Y electrodes must need the insulation. For DITO (GG, GF2) and twosubstrate structures (GFF, G1F), X-Y are naturally separate. As for SITO, ITO bridge with O/C is used for insulation. Single-layer adopts unit-fragmented (in the sensor area) but line-connected pattern. SITO: it needs making X-Y electrodes, ITO bridges and O/C on the same side. Single-layer: it needs finer lines to connect those fragmented units. Otherwise, wider traces result in poor sensitivity because of occupying more sensor area. Improvement: makers adopt silver to replace ITO to get narrower traces with good conductivity. Single-layer Pros & Cons Cost: single-layer can be lower because of only one photo mask and simple process. SITO needs better patterning techniques as well as results in lower yield rate. Limitation: single-layer is not suggested to apply to > 5”. Larger sizes have more X-Y channels and the fragmented electrode needs more traces in touch area to connect so that the sensitivity is poor. Panel Maker SITO pattern (CF top side) Single-layer (CF top side) Conventional Name diamond pattern caterpillar pattern Patterning Process photolithography photolithography Photo Mask # 3-4 masks 1 mask X-Y Insulation ITO bridge and over coating no cross section for insulation ≦ 20” ≦ 5”-7” yield rate and bridge sensitivity for > 5” GG SITO GF1, G1 Suggested Sizes Major Issues Similar to Add-on Type SITO bridge and O/C for insulation traces sensing area SOURCE: Elan Copyright © 2014 DisplaySearch. Authorized Users may not provide this report, or any part, to non-Authorized Users (internal or external) as stated in the Terms & Conditions. * Panel Makers’ Strategy & Concerns Product Development Display Sizes: smartphone and tablet PC have remarkable demands; smaller sizes helpful to increase yield rate. Panel makers can start from these two then extend to notebook PC. Controller Partner: panel makers must find controller IC makers to co-work to solve noise issue. TDDI: technical integration is not difficult; preference, freedom, performance and responsibility are more critical. While embedded type grabbing more shares, the trend will naturally result in controller IC and driver IC makers integrate each other. Business Concerns Customization: smartphone customers need customization such as spec, glass thinning, LCM, open cell and optical bonding. These makes the business model more complicated. Cost Optimization: panel makers have different patterning lines (array or C/F end), gen sizes, flow and capacity. It is not easy to meet all customers’ spec. and cost requirements. ASP Competition: add-on type’s ASP falls remarkably, customers may not select embedded type. Revenue or Profit: touch and optical bonding can increase revenue but it’s really worth the efforts? Driver IC Display TDDI embedded type Controller IC Touch Sensor Business Customization & Quantity In-cell + On-cell Touch Displays by Panel Makers Cost Optimization & Yields Air Bonding System Maker Optical Bonding Module Maker ASP Competition with Add-on Type Copyright © 2014 DisplaySearch. Authorized Users may not provide this report, or any part, to non-Authorized Users (internal or external) as stated in the Terms & Conditions. * 3 Business Model and Evolution Major Applications and Beyond Embedded Type and Panel Makers Business Model and Evolutions Facing Changes and Competition New Materials: Changing Supply Chain Re-shaped for New Materials New Process: new ITO replacement materials come along with new coating and sensor patterning methods to save sputtering cost and reduce materials waste. New Supply Chain: it will impact existing ITO film, patterning equipment and business model. now ITO Film Maker Module Maker Sensor Patterning Optical Bonding System Maker new Sensor Maker Patterned Sensors Module Maker Optical Bonding System Maker new Module Maker Material Coating New Patterning Optical Bonding System Maker Comparison Spec. ITO-based Metal Mesh Silver Nanowires transparent material non-transparent but can by density non-transparent but can by density glass or PET film glass, COP or PET film glass or PET film magnetron sputtering wet coating or during additive patterning slot die coating photolithography etching and silk printing UV-imprinting, metal plating, other additive gravure / relief printing photolithography SITO, DITO, GFF, GF1, GF2… as ITO except SITO (not suggested) as ITO except SITO (not suggested) Size Concern 20-30” below can be 30”above easier can be 20” above easier Major Issues expensive, brittle and yellowish Moiré pattern: LCD BM and diffraction coating uniformity, ESD and haze 125μm 150 ohm/sq. at $30-40 /m2 can be lower than ITO film can be lower than ITO film Nitto Denko, Oike, Sekisui Fujifilm, Atmel, UniPixel, LG IT, O-film Cambrios, Carestream, Seashell Substrate Option Deposition/Coating Patterning Equipment Sensor Structure Sensor Cost Trend Major Makers Copyright © 2014 DisplaySearch. Authorized Users may not provide this report, or any part, to non-Authorized Users (internal or external) as stated in the Terms & Conditions. * Optical Bonding: Revenues and Concerns Optical Bonding Definition: it is a must between cover glass and touch sensor. “Optical bonding”, “direct bonding” or “full lamination” to the industry usually means the adhesion to the display. Principle: it reduces total internal reflection (the light from the display). The effect results from the adhesive with n=~1.4-1.5 similar to the display glass (n=~1.5). If it is air gap (n=1 for air), TIR happens. Advantage: optical bonding can increase the display’s optical performance to make colors look more saturated. However, it also results in more difficult repairing (RMA). Business Concern Yield: while display price higher, lower yield rate certainly increases the compensation for the loss. Business: competition will drive brands’ adoption and optical bonding will be the strength to those capable module makers and it also increases the revenues by the display panels consigned. the revenue increased but the profit margin % decreased Panel Maker Adhesive Module Maker Panel Consigned for Optical Bonding OCA OCR (LOCA, liquid OCA) piece (CG shape cut) liquid Processing bubbles heated and removed dam then dispensing Curing Time none 10 sec, others for preparing Bonding Re-work difficult possible, before curving RMA for display difficult or by heating wire cut Size Limitation ≤ 10” better no limitation Format Touch Module light viewed from the display to user’s eyes cover glass optical bonding touch sensor θ2 air gap θ1 TIR display glass light emission from the display Copyright © 2014 DisplaySearch. Authorized Users may not provide this report, or any part, to non-Authorized Users (internal or external) as stated in the Terms & Conditions. * Assembly: Supply Chain and Flow Two Major Sections in Touch Business Touch Sensor Patterning: this is the core BOM of a touch module, can be add-on or embedded type. Sensor cost is directly related to patterning method, equipment, sensor structure and material. Mechanical Parts and Assembly: module makers integrate cover glass finishing (~70% yield rate) to control BOM cost, optical bonding helpful to increase revenues. LCM and optical bonding needs clean room; LCM business is helpful for bonding process and revenues. Sensor Patterning CG Finisher Cover Glass Finishing Optical Bonding LCM and Housing Assembly core business only for OGS business extension from touch module maker usually not involved Sensor Maker Module Maker by set maker BOM control part assembly part assembly Housing Set Maker flow integration Backlight Panel Maker OGS business part assembly consigned for service customer service Open Cell OGS touch sensor Panel Maker customer service Cover Glass in-cell and on-cell Copyright © 2014 DisplaySearch. Authorized Users may not provide this report, or any part, to non-Authorized Users (internal or external) as stated in the Terms & Conditions. * 4 Facing Changes and Competition Major Applications and Beyond Embedded Type and Panel Makers Business Model and Evolutions Facing Changes and Competition Application: From Fixed, Mobile to Wearable Fusion of Smart Devices and User Interfaces UI: touch screen is still the best UI for mobile device; others depends on purpose of use and scenarios. Portability: excellent Necessity: strong Portability: good Necessity: depending Portability: poor Necessity: strong for work Smart Phone: 3” - 6” Tablet PC: 7” - 13” Notebook PC: 10” - 17” cannibalizing if bigger sizes bigger and powerful cannibalizing if attaching KB commodity bigger and powerful 2-in-1 fusion 1kg Ultrabook Casual Productive End Users: devices for scenarios Wearable Mobile Fixed Appropriate Sensors for Scenarios Scenarios Wearable Mobile Fixed Smart Devices smart watch or accessories Smartphone, tablet, notebook TV, AIO, game console Venue transport, in- and outdoors transport, in- and outdoors home, office, indoors excellent, < 100g good, 120g – 2.5kg poor, 5kg - 50kg Major Sensors touch, MEMS KB / mouse, touch, MEMS keyboard, mouse, controller Future Sensors gesture, semantic gesture, semantic touch, gesture, semantic Bluetooth, Wi-Fi Direct, NFC Bluetooth, Wi-Fi Direct, NFC Bluetooth, Wi-Fi Direct Miracast or not necessary Miracast, WiGig Miracast, WiGig LAN Access Wi-Fi Wi-Fi wired, Wi-Fi WAN Access mobile broadband, IoT mobile broadband ADSL, cable, FTTH Portability Peer to Peer Cloud-based Content and Apps Internet Infrastructure Mirroring Copyright © 2014 DisplaySearch. Authorized Users may not provide this report, or any part, to non-Authorized Users (internal or external) as stated in the Terms & Conditions. * Application: Notebook PC Evolution Change: 2-in-1 Form Factor 2-in-1: it has the advantages of tablet and NB but the cost premium (touch, IPS, docking keyboard and x86) will probably make it impact the existing Ultrabook market as just a form factor option. Stylus: clam-shell NB certainly has trackpad, 2-in-1 can has the stylus as the pointer function. It can be bundled for high end or the accessory business. Active PCT stylus is more cost-effective. Change: Future Segments Professional: x86 and desktop-based Windows for professional applications such as engineering. Business: BYOD will bring more iOS- and Android-based to the office. Chromebook will be attractive. Consumer: ARM, Android and Chrome will bring more affordable NB and 2-in-1 form factor. Chromebook Notebook and Ultrabook 2-in-1 Form Factor ≤ 10.x” Tablet PC X86, ARM v8 X86 X86, ARM v8? ARM, x86 Chrome OS, Android? Windows Windows, Android? Android, iOS Single or Dual Window? Multiple Windows Multiple Windows Single Window Enough Just the Beginning Replacement Cycle Cost: Touch, IPS, KB, CPU Not Productive Copyright © 2014 DisplaySearch. Authorized Users may not provide this report, or any part, to non-Authorized Users (internal or external) as stated in the Terms & Conditions. * Surviving then Waiting for Next Dynamic Who Can be the Final Winner? Situation Now: makers are beset by small and medium application market and fierce competition. Touch Market Outlook: the industry and market are mature for now but not declining from the peak. They are just waiting for next growth dynamic but determining factors not in their hands. But before the day coming, makers need preparation and survival in advance. Finished CG (Al-Si) Sensor IC, FPC & Adhesive Assembly & Yields Gross Profits 30% 20% 15% 20% 15% BOM Cost Control BOM Cost Control Outsourced Optical Bonding & LCM for Revenues New Wearable and Larger Sizes ahead of Panel Makers New Material Process Development BOM Cost Control Sensor Pattering Revenues and Profits for Survival Vertical Integration CG Finishing LCM Assembly Brand Engagement Optical Bonding Copyright © 2014 DisplaySearch. Authorized Users may not provide this report, or any part, to non-Authorized Users (internal or external) as stated in the Terms & Conditions. * Calvin Hsieh NPD DisplaySearch web: www.displaysearch.com email: calvin.hsieh@displaysearch.com Copyright © 2014 DisplaySearch. Authorized Users may not provide this report, or any part, to non-Authorized Users (internal or external) as stated in the Terms & Conditions. *