A Theoretical Investigation of Sympatric Evolution of Temporal Reproductive Isolation As Illustrated by Marine Broadcast Spawners Author(s): Maurizio Tomaiuolo, Thomas F. Hansen and Don R. Levitan Reviewed work(s): Source: Evolution, Vol. 61, No. 11 (Nov., 2007), pp. 2584-2595 Published by: Society for the Study of Evolution Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/4627070 . Accessed: 25/07/2012 13:14 Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of the Terms & Conditions of Use, available at . http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp . JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact support@jstor.org. . Society for the Study of Evolution is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to Evolution. http://www.jstor.org ORIGINAL ARTICLE doi:10. 1111/j.1558-5646.2007.00218.x A THEORETICALINVESTIGATIONOF SYMPATRIC EVOLUTION OF TEMPORAL REPRODUCTIVE ISOLATION AS ILLUSTRATED BY MARINE BROADCAST SPAWNERS and Don R. Levitan, ThomasF.Hansen,,13 MaurizioTomaiuolo,1,2 Tallahassee,Florida32306-1100 Departmentof BiologicalScience,FloridaState University, 2E-mail:mtomaiuolo@bio.fsu.edu of Oslo, 3CenterforEcologicaland Evolutionary Departmentof Biology,University Synthesis, Boks1066Blindern0316 Oslo,Norway ReceivedFebruary 27, 2007 AcceptedJune22, 2007 Recenttheorysuggeststhatfrequency-dependent disruptiveselectionin combinationwithassortativematingcan lead to the Herewe explorehowtemporalvariationinreproduction isolationinsympatry. ofreproductive establishment mightsimultaneously of the speciation.The conceptualframework generatebothdisruptiveselectionand assortativemating,and resultin sympatric modelmaybe applicableto biologicalsystemswithnegativefrequency-dependent selection,suchas marinebroadcastspawners We presenta modelthat is motivatedby recentfindingsin marinebroadcastspawners or systemswith pollinatorlimitation. and is parameterizedwithdata fromthe Montastraeaannularisspecies complex.Broadcastspawnersreproducevia external of successfulfertilization, but empiricalevidence fertilization and synchronous spawningis requiredto increasethe probability is the fusionof multiplespermwith an egg at shows that as densityincreases,so does the riskof polyspermy. Polyspermy actas a sourceofnegativedensity-dependent also can therefore a processthatmakestheembryounviable.Synchrony fertilization, can lead to temporal and spawningsynchrony betweenpolyspermy selection.Modelanalysisshowsthattheinteraction disruptive of maintenance increased and more in isolation geneticvariation. densitypromotes generally, sympatry that, reproductive isoKEY WORDS: Broadcastspawners,Montastraea,negativedensitydependence,sympatric speciation,temporalreproductive lation. inbreeding time.Twoallopatric, toexplaina difference abletogener- pothesis isolation is onemechanism reproductive Temporal times at different evolve of or but the evolution atespeciation breeding may populations parapatric, geneexchange, bypreventing In salmonides, conditions. environmental tobe unlikely is thought in sympatry isolation (Coyne as a resultofdifferent temporal in or different factors different environmental for modelsofsympatric rivers, andOrr2004,p. 208). Mayrregarded example, speto different breedareasoftheriver as havingseriousto fatalweak- indifferent ciationvia "seasonalisolation" optimal maylead in different areas isolation are ingtimes,andin plants,different oftemporal nesses(Mayr1963,p.477).Yetexamples pollinators see review times for different select could likecicadas(Cooleyetal.2003),flowering ininsects known Hendry flowering (for plants and as salmon fish such al. Ellis et Vokou and 2005). 2002; 2006), Day (Blionis A fewmodelshavebeendevelopedto studythepossibil1974;Quinnetal. 2000)oreel (Maesetal. 2006),and (Aspinwall whenpopuisolation etal. 1997) ityofreinforcement suchas corals(Knowlton marine broadcast temporal maintaining spawners contact into come lations as a null is used 1970; Stam1983; andalgae(Clifton (Crosby secondary hy1997).Generally, allopatry 2584 ofEvolution. fortheStudy C 2007TheSociety Journal works. U.S.government NoClaimtooriginal compilation Evolution61-11: 2584-2595 A MODEL OF SYMPATRIC TEMPORAL ISOLATION a multilocus modelto eratestablelineagesplitting. We willemphasize twoquestions: Spirito1987).Crosby(1970) introduced in the of two that differed flowCan isolation evolve? (1) (2) Underwhich subspecies reproductive investigate dynamics temporal hadreducedviability, andfoundthat conditions willtemporal isolation be stable?Wepaeringtime,wherehybrids reproductive isolation in time was rameterize the model with data of (1987) possible.Spirito temporal flowering experimental on theeffects version ofthesamemodelshowing thatthe polyspermy inMontastraea howatleasttwoof corals,andsuggest analyzeda one-locus was the members of this annularis M. andM.franksi, (middleflowering time) heterozygote equilibrium frequency speciescomplex, a decreasing function ofthedegreeofassortative Inthese could have arisenby sympatric mating. speciationthrough temporal was assumed isolation. models, however, heterozygote inferiority explicitly andwasnota dynamic ofthesystem. To ourknowledge, ourmodelis parameterized withbroadcast property Although spawnnomodelshavebeendeveloped tostudy thepossibility ofevolving ers,theconceptual framework also be to the evolumay applicable isolation in tion of isolation in with temporal sympatry. temporal reproductive biologicalsystems ofthisarticle Thepurpose istoshowthattheevolution oftem- a restricted suchas flowering period, mating plantswithpollinator insympatry isolation ispossiblebasedona sim- limitation. poralreproductive ofmarine kinetics broadplemodelmotivated bythefertilization cast spawners. Sessilebroadcast a suitable spawners represent inwhichtoinvestigate sucha possibility, becausespawnsystem is in ing highly synchronizedmanyspecies(Babcocketal. 1986; Clifton1997).Theprobability offertilization a spawning. TheM.annularis consists ofthree namedspecies during speciescomplex eventis proportional to thedegreeof synchrony differM. M. and M. annularis, franksi, among faveolata (Weil and Knowlton entindividuals ofthesamepopulation via external fertilization (Levitan2004).Spawning 1994).Thesecoralsreproduce by rebe an to increase fertilization success their in the water. Each one synchrony may adaptation leasing gametes polypproduces gaor to swamppredators et al. 1984),butit mayalso metebundlecontaining 100eggsandonemillion (Harrison approximately havecosts.For example,predators withthe sperm(Szmantetal. 1997;Levitan2004).Bundlesarereleased maysynchronize eventor theoffspring withina colony,riseto thewater'ssurface, and spawning maycompetewitheachother. synchronously Another which we will use to our then into individual These cost, potential parameterize dissipate gametes(vanVeghel1994). thefusionofmultiple coralshavea blockto selffertilization; thegamodel,is polyspermy, spermwiththeegg hermaphroditic at fertilization Franke et al. Levitan mete cloud from one coral must mix with the 1998; 2002; 2004). (Styan colony gametes theegg avoidspolyspermy of Normally, byeithera fastelectrical fromanother (Levitan2004).All members geneticindividual blockto excessspermorbya slowerphysicalblockbyraising thespeciescomplexhavemassivespawning eventsduringone of thevitelline thespermfromtheegg or morenights, envelopethatseparates usuallyfiveto six daysafterthelastfullmoon membrane. ofAugustorSeptember ofa particu(Levitan2004).Members Asthedensity ofsperm there is anincreasing butone increases, prob- larspeciesshowa highdegreeofspawning synchrony, that a second enter the within the small M. an of 100 min ability spermmay egg species, franksi, spawns average priorto the windowoftimebeforethesepolyspermy blocksareeffective. In othertwocongeners (Fig. 1). Thisearly-spawning speciesproducesgametes thatarecompletely withM. an(forreviewsee manyspeciesthiswillcausedeathoftheembryo cross-compatible GouldandStephano Some taxa lack blocks to which later in the 2003). nularis, permanent (Levitan2004).These spawns evening andaremoretolerant of low levelsofpolyspermy, twospeciesspawnonthesameevenings andcanhaveoverlapping polyspermy butstillsuffer from failure ofsperm spatialdistributions as thenumber onthesamereefs(although M.franksi is ofdevelopmental fusions increases (GoudeauandGoudeau1993). tenfoundindeeperwater).Spawning timesonanyonenight and therefore actsas a negative atleasta 1 h gapinspawning Polyspermy timesbetween thelast density-dependentreefindicate mechanism. At low gametedensity is favored, M.franksi andthefirst M. annularis individuals synchronization (Levitan2004). butathighdensity, selection shouldfavorindividuals thatspawn Fieldandlaboratory studiesindicatethatthistimegap is suffitoward thetailsofthespawning-time distribution. Thiscancre- cientforsperm toage,dilute, andmovesufficiently offthereefto atethetypeoffrequency-dependent selection thatfa- makehybridization Within corals thatspawnat disruptive unlikely. species, vorslineagebranching andtheevolution ofreproductive isola- thetailsofthespawning-time distribution havedecreased reprotion(Dieckmann andDoebeli1999;Gavrilets etal. ductive causedbysperm limitation 2004;Btirger success,likely (Levitan 2004). 2006),andfollowstheideathatsexualconflict differences mayleadtosym- Geneticandmorphological analysesindicate regional andWaxman (Gavrilets inthedegreetowhichthesespeciesaredistinct, patricspeciation 2002). associperhaps Here we presenta simpleone-locusmodelto showhow atedwithregional inreeftopography differences orwater flowthat eventcan gen- influence ofgametemixingandhybridization negative density dependence duringa spawning patterns (Fukami ofCoralSpawning Biology andPolyspermy EVOLUTION NOVEMBER2007 2 58 5 TOMAIUOLO ET AL. 0.4 0.35 - 0.3- " 0.25 0.2 - 0.150.1- -t T " f I- I T T 4. N timeofdWy Timeofdayisshownon x-axis.Spawningfrequency on y-axis.Montastraeaannularisinblackcolumns, Figure1. Spawningdistributions. M. franksiinstripedcolumns(data fromfieldobservationsof spawningtimes,methodsand sitedescriptions; see Levitan2004). etal.2004).Inspiteofthegenetic thespecies-specific differences, differences in spawning timeandgameticcompatibility remain consistent acrosstheseregions (Levitan2004). factor in zygotesurvival be an may important Polyspermy forMontastraea studiesof naturally corals.Laboratory spawnfirst coral colonies that fertilization success increases indicate ing withspermconcentration, butthendecreasesathighspermconbecauseofpolyspermy centration (Fig.2; seealsoLevitan2004). ofstudieshavemeasured undernatOnlya handful polyspermy in marinebroadcast some on animals uralconditions spawners, (Frankeetal.,2002;Levitan2004),andsomeonalgae(Brawley chloroti1992; Serrdoet al. 1996). In theechinoidEvechinus was shownto occurat fairlyhighrateseven cus,polyspermy in thepresenceof a smalldegreeof spermlimitation (Franke on constraints eggstofaetal.,2002).Thisreflects theopposing butalso to avoid whenspermsarelimiting cilitatefertilization are abundant when (Frankeet al., 2002; sperms polyspermy Levitan2004;Levitanetal. 2007). but innature is notoverwhelming, Evidenceforpolyspermy dataare difficult to collect,and thereare in factseverallines be an important thatpolyspermy ofevidencethatsuggest might taxa.Mostobon broadcast-spawning selective forceoperating ofpolyspermy blocksimpliesthat,at least theubiquity viously, has had a significant selectiveinfluin timespast,polyspermy ofthese intheeffectiveness enceoneggtraits. Second,variation blocksvariesamongcloselyrelatedspeciessuchthatspecies havemoreeffective facinghigherlevelsof spermcompetition blocks(Levitanet al. 2007). Third,thehighlevelsof positive in a diversearrayof selectionon gamete-recognition proteins driven to be taxa are byspermcombroadcast-spawning thought and theriskof polyspermy (Rice and Holland1997), petition haveshownan interacwithsea urchins andfieldexperiments such tionbetweendensityand frequency-dependent selection, 2586 EVOLUTION NOVEMBER2007 thatfemaleswithraregenotypes areselectedat highspawning the risk because avoid ofpolyspermy densities, (Levitanand they Ferrell howpolyspermy canactas a mech2006).Hereweexplore anismof bothdisruptive selectionand assortative and mating, howitcanleadtotemporal andsympatric isolation reproductive speciation. /0 oa S ; : a0 - M- o,4 r~0 0,2 0 0 -1 0 0 1 2 3 Slogsperm/microliter successin Montastraeafranksias a funcFigure 2. Fertilization tion of spermdensityin the laboratory.On the y-axisis the fertilized.On the x-axisis the log fractionof eggs successfully Data from Levitan (2004).Solidlineisthebestfit sperm/microliter. The fittedparametervalues are k of a gammadistribution (eq. 2). = 0.0596, a = 0.509, b = 0.000735. R2 = 72%. A MODEL OF SYMPATRIC TEMPORAL ISOLATION TheModel ofencountering a gametefrom (Levitan2004).Theprobability thisbundlein thewatertherefore firstincreasesas thegamete ofN diploidsessilemarine Consider a largeconstant population bundledisperses to becomeavailablein a largerarea,andthen wherepopulation takesplacedurbroadcast regulation spawners, ormoveoffthereef.Wethus decreases as thegametes getdiluted Thephenotypic trait under totheadultpopulation. ingrecruitment use a Gaussiantorepresent thetemporal distribution ofgametes a night, is thetimeofspawning selection t,whichis conduring inthewaterpergenotype. trolled bya singlelocuswithtwoalleles,1 and2 atfrequencies, Eachindividual willreleasegametes overa p andq, respectively. thespawning event.Assumegij(t)is thetemporal timeinterval, (1) gij(t) = Gj, ofgenotype ij attimet.Weassumethatthis gametedistribution thatarediscussed where8 ando are function hasa Gaussianformwithparameters themeanandthestanparameters controlling ofgametes attimet carrying further below.Thenumber present ofthedistribution, deviation Theparameter respectively. -dard Gij allelesoftypei willbe total the number of released represents gametes byeach genoevent.Forthepurposes ofthisarticlewe typeoverthespawning Ni(t) = Niigii(t)+ Nijgij(t)/2, assumethatthethreegenotypes differ in the meanspawnonly = ofparental ofgeno- ing time,and thusthatG = G11 = Gl2 = G22,and u = individuals where NiiandNijarethenumbers oii = we the Unless otherwise assume that alleles mentioned ofgametes Thetotalnumber present ij ujj. typesii andij,respectively. on themeanspawning effects time(i.e.,6ij= (bii inthewaterattimetwillbeN(t)= N1(t)+ N2(t).Weassumethat haveadditive Different dominance relations can be buttheprobability ofsuccessful + 6jj)/2). thesegametesuniteatrandom, explored byvarythe of the relative tothe the number of in the ing relationship heterozygote formation on waphenotype zygote depends gametes to a function teraccording W(N(t))to be discussedbelow.The number ofthethree attimetwill ofsuccessful zygotes genotypes thusbe NiI(t)' = p(t)2N(t)W(N(t)), N12(t)' = 2p(t)q(t)N(t)W(N(t)), N13(t)' = q(t)2N(t)W(N(t)), wherep(t) = N1(t)/N(t) is thefrequency ofthei allelepresent at = timet,andq(t) 1- p(t).Tocomplete weneedtointegrate allthe event to find the newlyformed zygotesovertheentire spawning totalnumber ofzygotesofeachtypethatenterthenextgenerathenextgeneration tion.Thefrequency ofeachgenotype entering becomesp'1 = Nf Nl(t)dt andso forth forother becomes P11 NN(t)dt+f N(t)dt+f N'2(t)dt' genotypes. Wenowhavea setofrecursive thatdescribes the equations model. Distribution TheTemporal ofGametesPerGenotype homozygote phenotypes. TheFitness Function In ourmodel,fitness is determined ofan egg bytheprobability fertilized a of at time To obtain t. the being given density sperm weneedtoincorporate bothpositive function, shapeofthefitness and negative into a that function increases density dependence withspermavailability, attains a maximum, andthendecreases withincreasing levelsofpolyspermy. Basedondatapresented in torepresent thisfunction. Figure2,weuseda gammadistribution W(N(t)) = kN(t)ae-N(t)b a,b > 0; k = (2) eb a wherea andb describe theshapeofthegammadistribution and k rescalesthefunction so thatthemaximum is 1 (i.e., 100% Morecomplexfertilization thatconsider functions fertilization). exist(Styan1998).Although thesemodelsaremore polyspermy froma mechanistic satisfying perspective, theyare also less tractable inthepresent case anddo notsubstantially increase the fitto empirical data.WiththedatafromFigure2, theR2 value increases from 72% to83% usingStyan'smodel,whichincorporatesconsiderably moreparameters. connected or Polypsofthesamecoralgenet,whether physically 5not,tendto spawnat thesametimeoveran approximately minperiod(D. R. Levitanpers.obs. 2004). Thiswithin-genet variation is approximately Gaussianandmuchsmallerthandifferences (40-60 min;D. R. Levitan amonggeneticindividuals risetothesurface and INVASION CRITERIA pers.obs.2004).Releasedgametebundles Rare mutantinvasion slowlydisperseintoindividual eggsandspermovera periodof 10 R. These We startby investigating the conditionsfor a raremutant approximatelymin(D. Levitan, pers.obs.). gametes thendisperse andmoveoffthereefdependent onflowconditions spawning-time allele to invadea monomorphic in population ModelDynamics EVOLUTION NOVEMBER2007 2587 TOMAIUOLO ET AL. whichthecommonallelefrequency is 99.9%. Without loss of typeswillrarely encounter eachother assortative (strong mating). we assume that the mean time of the resident With there were no generality spawning complete recessivity qualitative changeson is0 (611= 0) andaskwhena mutant withheterozygote theinvasion population dynamics. meanspawningtime6 (812= 8) is able to invade.In AppendixA we showthatthisoccursifandonlyifthefollowing criterion is Negativedensity dependence(costofpolyspermy) fulfilled: Westart theeffects ofdensity (0t)on byinvestigating dependence theinvasion Firstin equation(3) no polyspermy cost dynamics. t2 oo 222 to = = 0 b the second factor e2e correspondsax (i.e., 0), e exponential in dt > 0. (3) (3) thenbecomesa constant equaltoone.Thisexponential decay function is a measure ofhowfasttheprobability offertilization withincreasing Wearethusleftwithfourparameters Ifthere werenocostassociated thatmayaffect theinva- decreases density. = with no siondynamics(a, a, a, 8). The parameter then we is a measure wouldpredict thatno (i.e., polyspermy) density xo bGN, couldinvade.Figure3 showsthevalueof (3) in white ofthestrength ofnegative Theparameter density dependence. ot mutant and the zero is thusa composite measurethatcombines is possibleinportions ofthe size planeinblack.Invasion population (N), number ofgametes combinations ofa and8) abovethewhite released(G),andthespeedofthepolyspermy blacksurface (different Not invasion is not block(b). Smallvaluesofotcorrespond is norisk toweaknegative possibleifthere density plane. surprisingly, thesysThe parameters a and 8 determine theamountof ofpolyspermy (Fig.3a). In theabsenceofpolyspermy dependence. tem and and within selection The is a onlyexperiences positive geneexchange density dependence among genotypes. parameter a measure Withpolyspermy thestrength oftheduration ofthespawning A smalla means favorssynchronous of event. spawning. makes thatthegametes ofa particular invasion are released in the water 3b). negative density dependence possible(Fig. genotype is possibleifthetemporal a short interval oftimeandthusthatgeneexchange case,invasion during gamete among Inthisparticular distribution is rather narrow all are is restricted unless all the in released within close (i.e., gametes genotypes genotypes spawn a short to smallvaluesofo) andthemutimewitheachother. Theparameter 8 represents themeanofthe periodcorresponding tant event for is from theresident. the If 8 is then heterozygote phenotypenottoodifferent spawning heterozygote genotype. negative Different choicesoffitness function themutant theresident, theopposite results, mayholddifferent heterozygote spawnsbefore is undernegative is trueif8 is positive. We willtreatthecase with8 positive, the butiftheresident phenotype density-dependent theninvasion shouldstillbe possibleforsomedensity other casebeingidentical becauseofthesymmetry ofthemodel. selection combinations discussed herenumerIf 8 is smallthenthemutant heterozygote spawnsimmediately levels.Forall theparameter havebeencarriedoutshowing thatthesystem aftertheresident andgeneexchangeamonggenotypes is large. ical simulations anequilibrium If 8 is largecompared wherethefrequency ofthe to a thengametesfromdifferent geno- alwaysevolvestoward :L=1 c= 5 o= 1.( O00 ofo 01 /j ~l~3~~i00 0, 0.02 ~ " o..7 0 o.. -0,03 -0. 02 0.8.-0.6 .0..44 4.7 1 ~ 'I/07 ~ n 0 ~ ' 2,,O" 0, 6 o , -0,25 -0.2 ~/ 1 ' aa . . GS I" 1 0.2 ;t1,2 0. O. and negativedensitydependence.Thex-axisshowsthevalueofthemeanspawningtimeoftheheterozygote, Figure3. Invasioncriteria 8. They-axisshowsthevalueofthedurationofthespawningevent,a. Thez-axisshowsthefitnessofa raremutant(leftsideofequation ofnegativedensitydependenceincreasesmaking a, thestrength 3); invasionoccurswhenthisis above theblackplane.Fromleftto right, r. low of6 and (a) Very of negativedensitydependence(no riskof invasionof a rareallele possiblefora widercombination strength of r and 8. (c) Increasing thevalue ofa makesinvasionpossibleforcertaincombination a invasionbecomes (b) Increasing polyspermy). of parameters. possibleovera largercombination 2588 EVOLUTION NOVEMBER 2007 A MODEL OF SYMPATRIC TEMPORAL ISOLATION C ~ t~ -01.5 +00 ]oo1 0 oC. cigo ad+++"+.0. ++0 3C,0 02 A 00 5, +- A, "Z ,o -00 a A+++ ++++A ++?? + -4A 0002 +++++ .... .........."?o ++ + ? + =1 0=2 002 0 0'000;-.< +Ooo AAA+Aooo>ooo " - A,., / 0O ,, -0 06 A ++ 00 A - + AA -0 06 o A" ++ 0 A+ + 40 + -0,06 A0 -O0 A 06 B0 0 -008-A A 0 + -0 10 2 ( + + +A A -0 1 3 + 0 ++ ,,A -0 - c A A 6 01 2 3 Invasioncriteria difference and mutant-to-resident spawning-time (6). Thex-axisshowsthe value ofthe meanspawningtime of the heterozygote, 8. The y-axisshows the fitnessof a raremutant(leftside of equation 3). Fromleftto rightthe durationof the spawningeventincreases(a). Open triangles(a = 5). Crosses(a = 7.5). Open circles(ao=10). a) Shortdurationof the spawningevent (a small).As expectedstrongernegativedensitydependence(crossesand circles)allowsthe invasionof a widerrangeof mutants.(b-c) a even more,feweror no mutantscan invade.Whena is increased,and 8 and a are leftconstant,invasioncurvesare moved Increasing down. Figure 4. We therefore befocuson howa changein thedifference tweenthespawning timesofmutant andresident the (6) affects invasiondynamics. A successful mutant is one thatspawnsto Geneexchangeamongand withingenotypes avoidpolyspermy. A mutant willinvadeifitspawnsbefore orafIn theprevious theinvasion termostoftheresident sectionwe sawhowdensity affects havespawned, inthiswaythe individuals Nowwe discusstheimpactofgeneexchange from Iftheduration of dynamics. among mutant's eggswillnotsuffer polyspermy. and withingenotypes. The geneexchangeis controlled thata "good"mutant eventis short itfollows needs by the thespawning widthof a genotype's closetothemeanofthepopulation (a) andthe tospawnrelatively temporal gametedistribution (6 small). difference in theirmeanspawning Conversely betweenmutant andresident ifa mutant thepopulation mean spawnstoofarfrom time(8). It is nottheabsolutevaluesof theseparameters that thenmostofitsgameteswouldnotbe fertilized to due theabin- senceoftheir butrather therelation betweenthem.For instance, matter, from theresident Theexact counterpart population. vasionmaybe possibleif a mutant thatspawnsveryclose to detailsofinvasion on of In relyheavily thestrengthpolyspermy. theresident witha veryshortspawning Figures occursin a population 4 and5 themutant-to-resident criteria invasion areshown duration. fordifferent combinations. parameter ofthemodelinwhich twoallelesis0.5.Thisreflects thesymmetry theallelesonlyhaveadditive onthemeanspawning time. effects 0+ 02+ 6 =0.5 002 1 OAAA&Aa A , 0o6=1 A A002 A AAA AAA AAAAO A- -00 -0+02-0 A A A A A 2 A: o AA +ILA*. 0 .0000oDO -A++++++ <++ AAA - 028-002 0 AAAA 0-AA + 06 002 . ..... 0 0000000000000000000o + ++0 ++++++++ 002 .+ 0 o=2 ++++ + + ++++ +0 000o 0 0 00 ++ ++ + AA+ AA+ A 05 1 15 2 B A -01 -010 -010 05 1 15 2 C 06 2 116 Figure S. Invasioncriteriaand spawningevent duration(a). The x-axisshows the value of the durationof the spawningevent,a. The y-axisshows the fitnessof a raremutant(leftside of equation 3). Fromleftto rightthe value of the mean spawningtimeof the 8, increases.Open triangles(a = 5). Crosses(a = 7.5). Open circles(a = 10). We lookforregionsinwhichthe curvesare heterozygote, Mutant-to-resident difference small(8). Invasionis possibleonlyifthespawningeventdurationis short.(b) As 6 increasesa (a) positive. duration of the event allows forinvasionprovidedthatthe strength ofdensitydependenceis nottoo weak. (c) As the longer spawning mutantspawnseven further invasion is for risk of and longerdurationofthe spawningevent. apart possibleonly higher polyspermy EVOLUTION NOVEMBER2007 2589 TOMAIUOLO ET AL. Isolation Temporal doesnottellusifandwhen invaders Information aboutsuccessful couldevolve,forinstance, evolves.Aninvasion isolation temporal where theheterozygote frea toward polymorphic equilibrium We thustakeit as a quencyis higherthanbothhomozygotes. ofthe whenever thefrequency isolation forreproductive criterion threshold fallsbelowan arbitrary heterozygote (pl2 < 0.01).We ofa for a wide combination at the looked dynamics long-term ofnegative and8 fora givenstrength dependence density (ct= when of8 evolved the ratio isolation In all cases 100). temporal between1 and2. To understand toa wasroughly this,consider thanone;thatis,casesin first casesinwhichtheratiois smaller is larger distribution ofthebreeding whichthestandard deviation andthe themutant between thanthemeandifference heterozygote Inthissituation themutant resident. spawnsclosetotherestofthe have and its compared gametes onlya smalladvantage population invasion is stillpossible(beto theresident gametes. Although theequilibrium causeofnegative frequency dependence), density Theequilibrium elevated. remains oftheheterozygote frequency valuesoftheratio8 to a. Whenthis decreaseswithincreasing is possibleandtemthanonetheninvasion ratiobecomeslarger mutant the isolation because evolves, spawnsatthetailof poral itcanstillbe fertilized distribution theresident byresident sperm, Iftheratiobecomesslightly anditseggsavoidpolyspermy. larger shows increases orthesystem than2 theheterozygote frequency toinThegoalofthisarticleis,however, oscillations. periodical isolation ispossible under whichtemporal theconditions vestigate that combinations we do notinvestigate andtherefore parameter resultinoscillations. frequencies Figure6 showstheequilibrium ofnegative denas a function ofthestrength oftheheterozygote is low of If risk polyspermy (middlegraph) sitydependence. the of combination isolationis possiblefora narrow thentemporal eventandsmallmutant toresshort parameters, namely spawning identdifference. Ifwe increase theriskofpolyspermy, however, thentemporal isolation evolvesfora widerparameter range. OfTemporal Maintenance Isolation Reproductive willresist iftwotemporally isolated Wenowinvestigate genotypes at some intermediate from another mutant that invasion yet spawn inthepopulation. thetworesident timebetween genotypes present isolation has alreadybeenestablished We assumethattemporal allelesandwe lookat thefateof a third between twodifferent in between the raremutant timeis somewhere whosespawning invasion of the criteria for an tworesidents. Equation(4) shows inAppendix B. rarealleleas derived intermediate f ee a(t-~ )2 +e x N13e 2 0.4 6 0.6 0.8 1 +e 2a2 dt > 0. 2 t-_2 (1 (4) O0.5 II t/' 0.5 00.4 N U 0.4 0.3 .01 0.2 0.2 0.2 ) 0.6 0.3 0.2 2+e 0.7 0.5 0.3 0 Se c=70 0.6 0.4 2a2 timesare811 and822,whilethetwo Theresidents' spawning at mutant analyspawn times813and823.Graphical heterozygotes allelecaninvade showthatnoother sisandnumerical simulations holds Theresistance toinvasion hasevolved. iftemporal isolation thetworesident becausethespawning homozyperiodbetween which mostof the to corresponds periodduring gotephenotypes ofthe Thisis trueregardless suffer from thegametes polyspermy. for alleles. Conditions the relations dominance temporal among isolationarethusstableas longas thepopulation reproductive 0.7 0 (e N- 0. 0.6 _ N23e 2a 2a2 (N13 + N23) 0.8 0. e -oo a=7 a .5 2 a(t 0 0.2 0.4 6 0.6 08 1 0 0.2 0.4 6 0.6 0.8 1 8. They-axisshowsthevalue Figure 6. Speciationregions.Thex-axisshowsthevalue ofthe meanspawningtimeofthe heterozygote, leftto rightthe strength From cell is the a value of u. The frequency. of the durationof the spawningevent, equilibrium heterozygote to low frequency. of negativedensitydependence,a, increases.Darkregionscorrespond heterozygote 2590 EVOLUTION NOVEMBER2007 A MODEL OF SYMPATRIC TEMPORAL ISOLATION noinvasion 30.5 invasion speciation 2.0.26 ?~~~..~ ~.. .............. .:.. .. 0 ~~~~~~~~~~~~~, -. ...: .....;cSa- -:,:.."...... . .. .... .. . ...... .... ., . @,!S!;-i .. _0 1 10 after selection-........ zygotes after selection Szygotes 1000 100 G heterozygote equilibrium frequency heterozygote equilibrium frequency scale (i.e., of gametedensities.Thex-axisis the numberof gametesG,on the logarithmic Figure7. Invasionand speciationas functions thefitnessof zygotesas a function a from0.07 to 70). The dottedcurve,withscale on the left,represents of density, and was obtained the fitnessfunctionoverthe spawningperiod.Heterozygote (continuousline)refers equilibrium by numerically integrating frequency difference and thespawningeventdurationare keptconstant(8 to theverticalaxison the right.The mutant-to-resident spawning-time = 0.5, a = 0.4). valuesthat doesnotchange.Inother wordstheparameter density invaallowtemporal isolation toevolvealsoprevent reproductive sionfrom in the established residents. mutant between any has to exceeda threshold et al. 2004,p. 342; Btirger (Gavrilets is controlled 2006).Inourmodelthedegreeofassortative mating the with level of by geneexchangeamonggenotypes different selectionis caused and disruptive distributions, spawning-time caused Wehave bynegative density dependence bypolyspermy. We haveshownthattemporal isolationmayevolveundercer- shownthatthecombination of thesemechanisms makestemtainconstant Inreality, there will however, ecologicalconditions. isolation have We not poral theoretically possible. proventhat be largefluctuations in anyof themanyfactors assumedto be has causedspeciation in corals,onlythatthisis a polyspermy inourmodel.Thismayincludechangesinreproductive theoretical constant if the conditions areright. Otherbiological possibility waterturbidity, environmental cues,etc. Such changes mechanisms output, in couldact combination withpolyspermy thatwould theprob- increase ourresults, forexamplebychanging mayundermine thelikelihood ofspeciation. forinstance, could Predators, or byallowing at a givenspermdensity, abilityof polyspermy the middle of the event to the advancongregate during spawning totakeplaceundercertain condienvironmental geneexchange atthetailsofthespawning-time distribution. tageofthegametes ofour Herewe assesstherobustness tions,butnotunderothers. the thatcan ameliorate Eggspossessblockstopolyspermy results ontheinvasion toenvironmental fluctuations in dynamics conflict between maleandfemalefunction (Styan1998;Franke Weusedgraphical density. analysis(Fig.7) toassesstheimpor- etal. 2002;Levitan2004).Anefficient blockwould polyspermy tanceof density is possible changes.Invasionof a raremutant all butone spermatozoan fromfusingwiththeegg and prevent fallsinthenegative onlywhendensity density dependence region eliminate thecostofdevelopmental failure athighsperm concenofthecurverepresenting thetotalnumber of surviving zygotes trations. in of these is However, spite blocks,polyspermynoted after selection (i.e.,theregionofthecurvewithnegative slope). in laboratory andfieldconditions, andthereis variation in the occurswithhigher Theseresults that Speciation density. suggest of these blocks females and At least in efficiency among species. thelikelihood ofestablishing isolation canbe sensi- thewell-studied reproductive thisvariation is correlated withease echinoids, tivetofluctuations inspawning Inparticular densities. knowledge of fertilization. that a low concentration to Eggs require sperm ofbothqualitative offluctuations) andquantitative achievefertilization (distribution arealsomoresusceptible topolyspermy (Levlevels(magnitude offluctuations) ofvariation indensity isneeded itanetal. These are correlated 2007). patterns amongcongeneric toassessthesensitivity ofourresults. sea urchins tospeciesdifferences incrowding. Thespeciesfound at sperm-limiting, low densities haveeggsthatareeasyto fertopolyspermy, whereasthespeciesfound tilize,butsusceptible It has beenproposedthatforsympatric to occurthe at,sperm-competitive, densities have speciation high eggsthatrequire high combined of assortative and selection densities of forfertilization, butareresistant topolyspermy strength mating disruptive sperm Robustness Ecological Discussion EVOLUTION NOVEMBER2007 2591 TOMAIUOLO ET AL. (Levitanetal. 2007).Evenacrossspecieswithdifferent compatiis related to to of ease susceptibility proteins, hybridization bility increasethethreshproteins Divergent recognition polyspermy. forpolyspermy, butdo noteliminate the oldspermconcentration (Levitanetal. 2007). possibility is a densityof polyspermy thattheefficiency Assuming ofpolyspermy sethelikelihood trait, beinga strong dependent ofreproductive isolation theevolution lectiveforcedriving may As population be linkedto historic density spermavailability. increases, maybe anytraitthatreducesthecostto polyspermy block inspawning timeora moreresistant to be itshifts selected, eventhemostresistant However, (caused populations polyspermy. blocks or recognition by polymorphic polyspermy by efficient at whicheggs willhavea threshold density spawning proteins) arethe in spawning behavior andshifts topolyspermy, succumb exareregularly onlyescape.Itis notyetclearifthesethresholds in and both worldwide ceededinnature. especially the Currently, fora havedecreaseddramatically coralpopulations Caribbean, to human influences attributed of reasons (e.g., variety generally Aronsonet al. 2003; Pandolfiet al. 2003). Thusspermlimitaless commonthan tionmaybe morecommonandpolyspermy from ourmodel inthepasthistory ofthespecies.Oneprediction between fertilization is thatwe shouldsee an increasein hybrid ifthere is a decreaseinlocal isolatedmorphs temporally partially Vollmer and In with this accordance scenario, density. population Palumbi(2002) providesomeexamplesofintrogression among coralspecieswithcompatible decimated gametes. is genetically If thetimingof reproduction variable,as it betweendifferoftenis, thengeneexchangeshouldbe limited andDay a singlegeneration entgenotypes evenwithin (Hendry isoto This an intermediate 2005). step temporal mayrepresent A selective force nor the end. the lation,butis neither beginning theprocessoftemporal mustactto initiate lineagesplit,in our anda modelrepresented selection, density-dependent bynegative theevolved ormaintain tocomplete costmustbepresent selective ofreproduction. inthetiming differences shouldalso apply we presented framework The theoretical isolationin flowering of temporal to theevolution plants.Outto thereleaseoftheir gametes crossing plantsneedtosynchronize is ofsuccessful increasetheprobability Polyspermy pollination. toberare tooccurinplants known 1970),butisthought (Vigftsson is widelyreported limitation, however, (Scott2007). Pollinator dependence. frequency (Burd1994),andcouldleadto negative offlowering a population forexample, Consider, plantswithinshouldbe ata giventime.Sucha population thatflower dividuals intheareaduring tothemosteffective present pollinators adapted could number of of a limited time. The that pollinators presence isolation betweengenotypes a processoftemporal theninitiate different topollinators orareattractive thatflower days,or during theday.Thiswouldoccurbecauseinditimesduring atdifferent 2592 EVOLUTION NOVEMBER2007 timehaveonaverage vidualsflowering thepeakflowering during a lowerprobability ofpollinating becauseof (orbeingpollinated) limitation. pollinator isolationis a theoretical reproductive possibility Temporal inall biologicalsystems witha limited duration. mating Systems in whichgametereleaseneedsto occursynchronously, suchas orflowering the marine broadcast are,however, spawners plants, notjustas mostlikelycandidates to evolvetemporal isolation, of ofallopatric butalso as a consequence a byproduct isolation, selection. disruptive ACKNOWLEDGMENTS forthemanyinsightful Weliketothank D. HouleandJ.Alvarez-Castro onthemanuscript. Collection ofempirical andcomments discussions toDRL and ScienceFoundation datasupported grant bytheNational M. Servedio andtwoanonymous N. Konwlton. Wewouldliketothank forhelpful onthemanuscript. reviewers comments LITERATURE CITED Aronson,R. B., J. F. Bruno,W. F. Precht,P. W. Glynn,C. D. Harvell,L. 2003. Causes Kaufman,C. S. Rogers,E. A. Shinn,andJ.F. Valentine. Science302:1502. ofcoralreefdegradation. of the Aspinwall,N. 1974.Geneticanalysisof NorthAmericanpopulations gorbusha, possibleevidencefortheneutral pinksalmon,Onchorhynchus Evolution28:295-305. drift mutation-random hypothesis. Babcock,R. C., G. D. Bull, P. L. Harrison,A. J. Heyward,J. K. Oliver, C. C. Wallace,and B. L. Willis.1986. Synchronous spawningof 105 Reef.Mar.Biol. 90:379coralspeciesontheGreatBarrier scleractinian 394. of and functional Blionis,G. J.,and D. Vokou.2002. Structural divergence Campanulaspatulatasubspecieson Mt Olympos(Greece).PlantSyst. 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InvasionDynamics willbe characthemodelnotation, invasion Following dynamics terized the of a rare mutant (P2) that by change genefrequency = intheheterozygote is present form (i.e.,p2 N 12/2n). primarily some we find that Using algebra J N2(t)W(N(t))dt 00 AP2 N12(Al) 00 2N N(t)W(N(t))dt f -00 Wecanwritethenumerator as follows 00oo J N2(t)W(N(t))dt= -00 (eb 2 N12G 2u2_a7(a) (NG --,/27 00 a (t)2 xf e a(t)2 e 2u2e -bGNee G2 e2 2a (t-8)2 2 dt, --00 whereN(t) is thenumber ofgametes inthewaterattime present t andcanbe wellapproximated byconsidering onlythegametes theresident allele.Thedenominator canthusbewritten as carrying oo 00 ]e f x a (t)2 (2 2 e" e dt. 20-2e _bONe_2a --00 criterion for Cancelingouttermswe obtainthefollowing increase oftheraremutant 00oo a(t)2 ee N12-00 2N 2e e -bGNe u (t)2 2a (t-8)2 e- 22 dt N12 J 00 ( 2 a(t)2 -bGNe2a v12 e- 2e e-2 t2 dt 2N > 0. EVOLUTION NOVEMBER2007 2593 NOVEMBER 2007 2 5 93 EVOLUTION TOMAIUOLO ET AL. thenumerator oftheintegral fraction as follows Wecanwrite all terms intoa single andcollecting Multiplying by2N/N12 we find integral -e2 a(t02 r 2e fe 2e -00 00 -00-82Th22 (t)2 (-8)2 - e2, dt > 0, 2=/2,.eba 00 (A2) 2e2 G f N3(t)W(N(t))dt x whereao= bGN.Equation(A2) is equation (3) inthemaintext. N(t) N/2G a t (t -Bc2 ) + N23e- 202 ][N13e- x +e 2]a 20+ [e x e rea()dt. as fraction canbe written Thedenominator oftheintegral 1 N(t)W(N(t))dt = 000 eb a NG NG ? 2 a/27o 2kal x (N13+ N23) + g22(t)] and N3 = 2 [gll(t) a 2 population inequalfrequency isolated present homozygote genotypes porally thatspawnssomewhere andweinvestigate thefateofa raremutant allelespresent Letus labelthethree inbetween thetworesidents. and3 fortherare as 1 and2 fortheresidents in thepopulation thusconsistsoftworesident mutant. The population genotypes these and Under and two mutant and 23). (13 22) (11 genotypes ofthegametepoolat timet is apthecomposition assumptions proximately N NG x e 2+e B. Stability ofTemporal Appendix Reproductive Isolation consistsoftwotemInthissection weassumethatthe - a eb F00 l)2 _e-(t-2(T2 x e2 2 -b + e- (t-'22)2 20r2 (r +2 (-B cccr2 (2 - 2 a 2?L dt we obtain outterms Canceling 0 823213- N13e0 + N23e- e -IL 2a2 -oo3 e N +e re 1)2 2cr2 +e +e J -bGNe- +e dt 2c(e N3 e > 0; (B2) dt e22c -00 intoa singleintegral, all terms byN, collecting Multiplying Usingsomealgebrawe findthat fN3(t)W(N(t)) and definingot= bGN, we find dt -oo Ap3= 00(B1) f 00 x dt N(t)W(N(t)) dt W(N(t)) [N13g13(t)+ f -N23g23(t) 00 --oo (-gi(t) 2594 \ (e-(222+e- -2 20 N3 2 + -g22(t) W(N(t))dt EVOLUTION NOVEMBER2007 N13(e f/ 22 2 2( _a(t-2)2 a(t-c2)2 2 e- - d2t 20e +e (e2 20) --OO we needAp > 0 As usualforinvasion f B('-2) (2 a(t-811)22 2t)2 f 1e x N23 N3 > 0. N (e 2 2 -2 (e- 2 2 +e- 2 dt > 0. (B3) (B3) we obtainequation(4) inthetext.If(B3) Rearranging is ableto invade.We onlyneedto sample themutant is positive A MODEL OF SYMPATRIC TEMPORAL ISOLATION isolation(blackzone in therightpanelof Fig. 6). theregion oftheparameter reproductive in temporal spaceforwhichtemporal numerical simulations thatthe evolves.Forthissectionwe setoxto70 andnumerically Resultsfrom isolation (notshown)indicate andthusinvasion is notpossible. ifinvasion is possibleforvaluesof8 anda thatresult valueof(B4) is alwaysnegative investigate EVOLUTION NOVEMBER2007 2 59 5