Course Outline RSM 455 H1F Pricing Fall 2012 Course meets: L0101 Thursdays 9-11 a.m. (WW 121) / L0201 Thursdays 11-1 p.m. (WW 119) Instructor: E-Mail: Webpage: Phone: Office Hours: Markus Christen (RT 5078) markus.christen@insead.edu Through Blackboard 416-946-3124 Tuesday 2:00-3:00 p.m. Course Scope and Mission Price setting is probably the most crucial of all marketing mix decisions. It is the only element that makes a positive contribution to a firm’s bottom line; it is the most potent weapon to steal market share from a competitor; it can be a signal of superior quality; it frequently strains the relations with the best customers; and it is a common source of conflict within a company between those concerned with costs and customer contact people. Profitable pricing involves an understanding of both demand-side factors (e.g., consumer willingness to pay) and supply side factors (e.g., costs). While traditional approaches have revolved around an economic and financial framework, a broader and more pragmatic view entails a comprehensive understanding of customer and competitor behavior—both at the level of individual actors and the aggregate level of price sensitivities of the market. In this course, we will approach the pricing decision as an intersection of economic, strategic, and behavioural considerations using product categories as diverse as financial services, healthcare, industrial products and consumer packaged goods. You will learn how to make proactive, value-based and profit-oriented pricing decisions, which requires learning how to integrate different components to calculate profit-maximizing prices. More specifically, you will understand: 1. the importance of the demand curve and customer value and willingness-to-pay in pricing strategy and become familiar with methods of estimating them; 2. relevant costs in determining prices; 3. the impact of competition on pricing and learn how to anticipate actions and reactions; 4. the effect of non-price factors on price image and perceived value and become sensitive to consumer behavior factors that play a large role in pricing effectiveness; 5. the impact of a distribution channel on pricing decisions; 6. different, innovative pricing strategies to customize prices; and 7. how to apply the concepts in a variety of business contexts. Course Prerequisites Principles of Marketing (RSM250)/MGT252H is the prerequisite course. It is recommended that students be familiar with the material in introductory courses in economics and statistics. Course Exclusions RSM 351H Required Readings A required course packet with cases and readings is available at the bookstore. There might also be some web-based readings, so check the portal (i.e., Blackboard). Evaluation and Grades Grades are a measure of the performance of a student in individual courses. Each student shall be judged on the basis of how well he or she has command of the course materials. Work Class Participation Case Write-up In-class Presentation Final Exam Weight 10% 20% 25% 45% Due Date Ongoing October 25, 2012 Different for each group (November 22 or 29, 2012) During Faculty of Arts & Science final exam period COURSE FORMAT AND EXPECTATIONS 1. Class Participation Participation grades exist to reward those of you who add insights into the class discussion. All students begin the year with an 8/10 in participation. This grade can increase (up to 10) when students consistently make statements that enhance the classroom discussion. It can decrease when students make statements that disrupt the discussion, or that repeat what is already known. Unexplained and/or frequent absences from class will also reduce the grade. My expectation is that the vast majority of the class receives 8/10, with a handful of exceptional students above that and a smaller handful of others below. I need to know who you are to give you credit for your contributions, so be sure to keep a name card in front of you at all times. I encourage you to make yourself known to me by visiting my office briefly for an informal introduction. Your task is to enhance my memory for you as an intellectual and relevant contributor. 2. Case Write-Up The purpose of the group project is to consolidate the ideas from the three cases. Each group should answer the following three questions: 1. For The Medicines Company, we argued that a value-based pricing approach is superior to price Angiomax. When is a cost-based pricing approach appropriate? (7 points) 2. In what ways do each of Virgin Mobile’s three pricing plans relate to cost and valuebased pricing? (6 points) 3. How do Virgin Mobile’s cost and value vary by customer segment? Link this to ideas in the class discussions so far. (7 points) The optimal group size for this assignment is 3 to 5 students. Write-ups are expected to be no more than 7 pages including all tables, graphs, and figures; double-spaced, 12 point font, 1 inch margins. Please hand the project in as BOTH a hard copy and electronically through blackboard. 2 of 10 Please note that clear, concise, and correct writing will be considered in the evaluation of the group case write-up. That is, you may lose points for writing that impedes communication: poor organization, weak paragraph development, excessive wordiness, hard-to-follow sentence structure, spelling mistakes and grammatical errors. Students who require additional support and/or tutoring with respect to their writing skills are encouraged to visit the Academic Success Centre (www.asc.utoronto.ca) or one of the College Writing Centres (www.writing.utoronto.ca/writing-centres). These centres are teaching facilities – not editing services, where trained staff can assist students in developing their academic writing skills. There is no charge for the instruction and support. 3. In-Class Presentation In groups of two or three, students will give a presentation to the class on a pricing topic of their choice. You can choose a topic from the list below or pick your own. I will provide readings and sources where appropriate. The presentation will be timed using a stopwatch and should take no more than six minutes. The presentations will be on November 22 and November 29. You are required to hand in the slide deck in hard copy of the day of your presentation. Possible topics include: Competing with Wal-Mart, the “long tail”, grey markets, counterfeiting, auctions, Google’s AdWords, luxury goods, holiday pricing, pricing open source products, competitive bidding, pricing consulting services, pricing mutual funds, competing with iPhone, pricing CPUs, pricing and network externalities, Farmville, Angry Birds, wikis, and the price of advertising. 4. Final Exam The final exam will test knowledge of all ideas covered in class. It will also involve applying the class concepts to a particular pricing problem. Date and time of the exam will be provided by the Registrar’s Office later in the semester. I will provide several sample questions and past exams to help you study. We will have an optional exam review session (date TBA). Both the case write-up and the in-class presentations require students to work in teams. When working as a team, students are reminded of the following expectations with respect to their behavior and contributions to the project: Each team member is expected to: • • • • • Treat other members with courtesy and respect; Establish a positive and productive team dynamic; Contribute substantially and proportionally to the final project; Ensure enough familiarity with the entire contents of the group project/assignment so as to be able to sign off on it as originalw ork; Meet the project timeline as established by the team. Learning to work together in teams is an important aspect of your education and preparation for your future careers. Project work is often new to students; conflicts can - and do - occur. Teams are collectively expected to resolve disputes or misunderstandings as soon as they arise (and prior to submission of the final project). In cases where teams are unable to reach a mutually agreeable solution, the entire team must meet with the Rotman Commerce Team Coach** as soon as possible. The Coach will listen to the team and help develop options for improving the team process. All members of the project team must commit to, and, utilize their action plans. **The Rotman Commerce Team Coach, Nikoleta Vlamis, may be reached via email 3 of 10 at nikoleta@nikoletaandassociates.com for an appointment. Nikoleta is an expert in team dynamics and facilitation. Note that Nikoleta’s role is to provide guidance, support and advice on team matters – not to formally evaluate or assess teamwork for academic purposes. 4 of 10 Weekly Schedule Session Date Topic Preparation 1 Sep 13 Course Introduction and Pricing Fundamentals R&Z Introduction 2 Sep 20 Demand Curves and Price Elasticity Exercise: Price Promotion Effects D&S Chapter 3 3 Sep 27 Customer Value and WillingnessTo-Pay Exercise: Adios Junk Mail 4 Oct 4 Perceived Value and Pricing Psychology Coca-Cola Vending Machine (NYT) 5 Oct 11 New Product Pricing Case: The Medicines Company 6 Oct 18 Cost-Based Pricing Smith & Nagle (1994) Netessine & Shumsky (2002) 7 Oct 25 Competitive Pricing Case: Virgin Mobile USA 8 Nov 1 Competitive Bidding 9 Nov 8 Product-line Pricing and Bundling Exercise: Cambridge Software Co. 10 Nov 15 Retail Pricing Strategies Case: Tweeter etc. 11 Nov 22 Project Presentations – 12 Nov 29 Project Presentations – TBA Exam Review Session Final Exam TBA by FAS 5 of 10 SESSION DESCRIPTIONS Session 1: Course Introduction and Pricing Fundamentals Economic analysis typically focuses on two extreme competitive conditions: monopoly and perfect competition. Real pricing decisions occur in-between these two conditions, where there is no simple price formula. Profitable pricing is more than finding the amount of money to charge a customer for the exchange of a good, a number that is high enough to cover costs and low enough to induce the buyer into buying. We develop the key steps of a systematic pricing process to transform information about all relevant drivers into profitable pricing decisions. Reading: Raju J and Zhang ZJ (2010), “Introduction: Fingerprints of the Invisible Hand,” Smart Pricing, pp. 1–18, Wharton School Publishing. Session 2: Demand Curve and Price Elasticity A demand function summarizes how at an aggregate level, i.e., over many customers and purchases the quantity demanded of a product changes as a function of different variables, most notably price. A key factor of pricing decisions is the amount of quantity change in response to a price change, which is expressed as price elasticity. We evaluate different challenges in estimating price elasticity—for a category and for a brand. Reading: Dolan RJ and Simon H (1996), “Price Response Estimation,” Chapter 3 in Power Pricing, pp. 42–78, Free Press. Exercise: Measuring Price Promotion Effects (INSEAD 506-054-1) – Data available through Blackboard. Session 3: Customer Value and Willingness-To-Pay Instead of evaluating the overall demand, pricing decisions can also be made by evaluating the value and the willingness-to-pay (WTP) of individual customers. This is particularly important in business markets and for new product, where data are limited to estimate a demand function. Value pricing seems everywhere today. But do customers actually know value and WTP and are the willing to tell? We evaluate different methods to measure them. Exercise: Adios Junk Mail (UV0317) – Data available through Blackboard. Session 4: Perceived Value and Pricing Psychology Value is as much a psychological concept as it is an economic factor, which is why it is the core of thinking strategically about pricing. Value pricing assumes that the price follows from the value that the firm creates for a customer. Often when customers are unable to assess the value or quality of a product or service, they use price as a signal of quality. In other words, value follows from price. To develop a pricing strategy, we need to take into account the way numbers and prices are evaluated, i.e., we need to understand mental accounting. Reading: Hays CL (1999), “Coke Tests Vending Unit That Can Hike Prices in Hot Weather,” New York Times, October 28. 1. List arguments in favor of selling Coke through an interactive vending machine. Also list arguments against it. 2. When, how, and for whom does this technology create value? Destroy value? Think about segments within the soft drink market while answering this question. 3. Are there any non-economic pricing issues that can damage a firm? 6 of 10 Session 5: New Product Pricing Determining the price of a new product or service is particularly challenging. Usually, new product pricing must be done with very little information about the drivers of pricing decisions. The more unique the new product is, the greater the pricing challenge. Cost-plus pricing can look conservative because cost information appears more reliable. A low price may be chosen to ensure more sales because customer persuasion seems easier. We will apply different tools and concepts developed so far in the course. Case: The Medicines Company (HBS 9-502-006) 1. What is the value of Angiomax to a hospital? 2. What price should the Medicines Company charge for a dose of Angiomax? Why? 3. What do you think the adoption profile will look like for Angiomax? Will this be an easy sell or a tough sell? Why? Session 6: Cost-Based Pricing For a ‘cost-plus’ pricing strategy, you still need to use the correct cost figures. There are many different costs associated with developing, producing, marketing and selling a product or service. A typical classification groups theses costs into variable and fixed costs. Some argue that the latter should not affect a pricing decision and advocate the use of marginal costing; others argue for full costing. Who is right? Why? If your costs are all fixed, should costs not be considered for pricing decisions? Readings: Smith GE and Nagle TT (1994), “Financial Analysis for Profit-Driven Pricing,” Sloan Management Review, Spring, pp. 71–84. Netessine S and Shumsky R (2002), “Introduction to the Theory and Practice of Yield Management,” INFORMS Transactions on Education, 3(1). Session 7: Competitive Pricing Competition is another critical driver for pricing decisions. A price should not only be above a firm’s relevant costs and below customer value; it must also be competitive. In other words, at least some customers need to be better off with the firm’s offer than with other alternatives. As a later entrant, Virgin Mobile must find a way to differentiate its offer to attract customers and be profitable. Case: Virgin Mobile USA: Pricing For The First Time (HBS 9-504-028) 1. Given Virgin Mobile’s target market (14-24 year olds), how should it structure its pricing? The case lays out three options. Which option would you choose and why? 2. How confident are you that your plan will be profitable? 3. How do the major carriers make money in this industry? Is there a financial logic underlying their pricing approach? 7 of 10 Session 8: Competitive Bidding Price is a very potent marketing weapon. The problem is that competitors have access to the same weaponry. So, an advantage gained by dropping prices can be rather short-lived because any price decrease can easily be matched. When products are commoditized, customers often use competitive bidding, which aims at obtaining goods and services at the lowest by stimulating such competition. We evaluate how to use game theory to anticipate competitive reactions and read signals. Session 9: Product-Line Pricing and Bundling Most firms sell multiple products with different quality levels and product features and thus different prices. Since these products are related, individual prices cannot be set without considering the effects, cannibalization, on other products in the line. Determining the length of a product line and the different prices is a real challenge but a couple of simple principles help improve these decisions. When products are complementary, a firm can choose to sell such products as a bundle as well as individual components. Again, bundle price and individual prices must be coordinated to yield higher profits. Exercise: Cambridge Software Corporation (HBS 9-191-072) 1. If Cambridge Software Corporation offers only one version of Modeler, which version should it offer? At what price? 2. Should the firm offer more than one version of Modeler? If so, which versions should it offer? At what prices? Session 10: Retail Pricing Strategies The pricing challenges for retailers are much different than for manufacturers. For one, a retailer must set prices of thousands different products or shop keeping units (SKUs). Moreover, switching stores is much easier than switching products or services. In the face of much more direct competition, price, promotions, and price-matching guarantees are often the weapon of choice to increase store traffic. Some retailers use frequent price promotions (HI-LO) to attract and retain customers; others like Walmart have adopted an everyday-low-price (EDLP) strategy. Tweeter wants to reduce promotions. To remain price competitive and assure customers, it offers a very unique price protection plan: automatic price protection (APP). Case: Tweeter etc. (HBS 9-597-028) 1. Is Tweeter price competitive? Why or why not? 2. Who are Tweeter’s core customers and who are Tweeter’s competitors for these customers? Are these the right target customers? 3. Has APP proven effective for Tweeter? How does APP fit with the buying behavior of Tweeter’s customers? 8 of 10 POLICY AND PROCEDURE Missed Tests and Assignments (including midterm examinations) Students who miss a test or assignment for reasons entirely beyond their control (e.g. illness) may submit a request for special consideration. Provided that notification and documentation are provided in a timely manner, and that the request is subsequently approved, no academic penalty will be applied. 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