Branding and The Development of Product Niches: Product Life Cycle and Product Characteristics Cecilia Diaz Branding And The Development Of Product Niches: Product Life Cycle And Product Characteristics ABSTRACT This research will examine the key factors affecting consumer demand for mobile phones. The topic is complicated because this is a combination good comprising services and hardware features. There is an important gap in the literature regarding services/manufacturing combination goods. To what extent are consumer decisions affected by brand, by new technological features, new services, and by the purchasing decisions of other consumers? This research critically applies and empirically tests existing theories of the product life cycle of innovation, network externalities, and branding strategies. These include the work of Abernathy and Utterback (1978), Utterback and Suárez (1991), Farrell, and Saloner (1985), Klepper (1996), Keller (1993) and Aaker (1997) and Windrum (2005). Keywords: Innovation life cycle, Combination goods (mobile phones), Network externalities, consumer demand patterns, branding. AIMS AND OBJECTIVES a. Investigate the dynamics of the product life cycle in the mobile phone market and test this against existing models of innovation and marketing theories. b. Using hedonic price regressions on a dataset of handsets and services, empirically estimate the shadow prices paid by consumers for key product characteristics and estimate brand equity. This uses the established Saviotti-Metcalfe method for hedonic price regression. 1 Branding and The Development of Product Niches: Product Life Cycle and Product Characteristics Cecilia Diaz c. To develop a theoretical model that considers the specific factors affecting the mobile phone market. This will address important aspects of consumer behaviour not covered by existing theories. The theoretical model will provide insights for future policy and practice. LITERATURE REVIEW The core research question of the PhD is an understanding of the key factors that affect consumer purchases of mobile phones. To what extent are consumer decisions affected by brand, by new technological features, new services, and by the purchasing decisions of other consumers? The issue is complicated by the fact that the mobile phone is a combination good (or a ‘modular system’, Langlois and Robertson 1992) that comprises two interdependent components - a manufactured ‘product’ (the handset) and a set of ‘services’ (provided by telecom operators). Services and handsets are provided by different sets of firms. This prompts the first important questions: should the mobile phone industry be treated as a service industry, a manufacturing industry, or a combination of the two? Researchers in services and services innovation have argued that very different dynamics exist in services compared to manufacturing sectors. For example, Barras (1986, 1990) has suggested that the innovation life cycle in services is the reverse of that found in manufacturing and described by the conventional product life cycle (PLC). The suggestion that services and manufacturing dynamics are fundamentally different has been contested, however (see Drejer 2004). Given its mix of manufacturing and services, the mobile phone industry is therefore a good case study in order to test rival theories and explanations of the PLC. 2 Branding and The Development of Product Niches: Product Life Cycle and Product Characteristics Cecilia Diaz A related literature that must be addressed is that of network externalities and individual consumer choice. Papers by Katz and Shapiro (1985), Farrell and Saloner (1985), and Lee and O’Connor (2005) highlight the importance of previous purchasing decisions on current choice. The classic example that is often used is that of telecoms. It is therefore important to investigate the extent to which mobile phone buyers are influenced by the previous choices and/or expected future choices of other consumers. Of particular importance will be the issue compatibility between rival products and how rival suppliers tie users into their own networks (Katz and Shapiro 1985, Farrell and Saloner 1985). Linking this discussion with that on the PLC, this has important implications for a potential market shake-out of firms (Klepper 1996). It may be the case that a number of radical innovations have occurred and that more than one industry shakeout is possible (Windrum 2005). On the other hand, innovations currently occurring may be incremental in nature – i.e. they have a significant impact on the range and quality of services being made available but the underlying technological architecture remains is not changing (Dosi 1982, Henderson and Clark 1990). Using empirical data, the research will test the existence of network externalities, past market shake-outs in the industry, and the likelihood of future shakeouts occurring. Within this context, the PhD will address the impact of branding on consumer choice. Leading suppliers with significant brand trust (and equity) can play an essential role in integrating complex technologies (such mobile phones) by controlling technical standards and establishing strategic innovation alliances. In terms of consumer demand, the presence of trusted brands can allay fears regarding uncertainty about radically new technologies (Farrell and Saloner 1985). Consumers may opt for a branded product in order to reduce perceived risk in buying new technology. In turn, the ownership of brand equity is a key source of competitive advantage for 3 Branding and The Development of Product Niches: Product Life Cycle and Product Characteristics Cecilia Diaz firms. Unlike products and services, brand equity cannot be copied and transferred by rivals (Keller 1993, Aaker 1997). Investing in brand equity can therefore be a very important strategy when the speed of technological development and market uncertainty is high. METHODOLOGY This study will empirically test the research issues by apply the Saviotti-Metcalfe (1984) method for estimating product characteristics and services using hedonic price regressions on product data As Windrum (2005) has shown, this can also be extended to test for brand equity. The data set on the handset characteristics and services will be collected from the 3 main specialist magazines in the UK: Total Mobile, What Mobile and Mobile Choice. Year 1: Basic training and exploratory research. Expand understanding of the subject area and write review of secondary data relevant to the PhD study. Year 2: Empirical data collection and conduct more detailed literature review. Year 3: Data testing. Year 4: write up and complete PhD by addressing the research objectives. CONTRIBUTION TO KNOWLEDGE The research directly addresses the hotly debated issue of services versus manufacturing innovation dynamics and at the same time examines the existing gap in the literature on service/manufacturing combination goods. This requires a re-evaluation and development of existing theories of consumer demand in relation to new technologies and innovation. Understanding these dynamics provides important insights into business and market strategy. 4 Branding and The Development of Product Niches: Product Life Cycle and Product Characteristics Cecilia Diaz REFERENCES Abernathy, W.J. and Utterback, J.M., 1978, Patterns of industrial innovation, Technology review, 50, 41-47 Aarker, D., 1997, Strategic market management, 5th edition, John Wiley and sons, New York. Barras, R., 1986, Towards a theory of innovation in services, Research policy, 15, pp. 161-173. Barras, R., 1990, Interactive innovation in financial and business services: the vanguard of the service revolution, Research policy, 19, pp. 215-237. Birke, D. and Swann, P., 2006, Network effect and the choice of mobile phone operators, Journal of Evolutionary Economics, 16, pp. 65-84. Dosi, G., 1982, Technological paradigms and technological trajectories, Research Policy, 11, pp. 147-162. Drejer, I., 2004, ‘Identifying innovation in surveys of services: a Schumpeterian perspective’, Research Policy, 33 (3), pp.551-562. Farrell, J and Saloner, G., 1985, Standardization, compatibility, and innovation, Rand journal or economics, Vol. 16, No 1, pp. 70-83. Henderson, R. and Clark, K., 1990, Architectural innovation: the reconfiguration of existing product technologies and the failure of established firms, Administrative science Quarterly, 35, pp. 9-30. Keller, K., 1993, Conceptualizing, measuring and managing customer-based brand equity, Journal of Marketing, Vol. 57, issue 1, pp. 1-22. Klepper, S., 1996, Entry, Exit, Growth and innovation over product life cycle, The American economic review, Jun 1996, 86, 3, pp. 562-583. Lee, Y. and O’Connor, G., 2005, New product Launch Strategy for network effect products, Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science, Vol. 31, No 3, pp. 241-255. Langlois R., and Robertson P., 1991, Network and innovation in a modular system: Lessons form the microcomputer and stereo component industries, Research policy, 21, pp. 297-313. Katz, M. and Shapiro, C., 1985, Network externalities, competition and compatibility, The American economic review, Vol. 75, No. 3, pp. 424-440. Saviotti, P. and Metcalfe, J.S., 1984, a theoretical approach to the construction of technological output indicators, Research Policy, 13, pp.141-151. Windrum, P., 2005, Heterogeneous preferences and new innovation cycles in mature industries: the amateur camera industry 1955-1975, Industrial and corporate change, Vol. 14, No 6, pp. 1043-1074. 5