(11AiJF~) r~ij7~7~~ft~Am:~~~N7-~1~~~~~GJ Pigou, National Minimum and Unemployment: A premise to be compared with Beveridge KOMINE Atsushi Abstract 1 Introduction 2 Industrial Peace, 1905 3 Poor Law Relief, 1907 4 Economic Fruits and Unemployment, 1908 5 National Minimum in Welfare Economics, 1912 6 Unemployment and National Minimum, 1913 7 Economic Consequence of Minimum Wage, 1913 8 Concluding Remarks Bibliography Abstract This paper deals with Pigou on unemployment and a National Minimum before 1914. Unlike in 1905 and 1907, Pigou began to consider the two topics around 1908. Although his arguments on unemployment, including a National Minimum, were multifarious, we can sum them up into the following points: First, Pigou highly valued redistribution to the poor. This was a demand stemming from his practical intention. Second, when formulating relations between unemployment and a rate of wages, a minimum wage could be a barrier against the free working of economic forces. His theoretical criterion was a normal wage to the last. Pigou was well aware of the above two sides. The next step is to clarify these sides which Beveridge and Keynes would later point out as contradictory. Key words: Pigou, Beveridge, National Minimum, Unemployment, Welfare JEL classifications: B1, B3, 13, J6 1 Introduction A C. Pigou (1877-1959) and W. H. Beveridge (1879-1963) had been close friends 1). Pigou published Unemployment in 1913, whereas Beveridge had issued Unemployment, the same title, in 1909. Thus, it is rather natural to attempt to investigate the personal and analytical relationship between the two economists. In addition, we will consider a certain coincidence beyond 'Economics of Unemployment'; that is to say, we will investigate the shared recognition between the two economists that a 'National Minimum' should be integrated with, or at least included in, a normal economic analysis. Presently, few researchers regard Pigou as a straw-man figure, a classical economist who strove to deny all of what J. M. Keynes (1883-1946) advocated, particularly with regard to public works2l. One studt) reconsiders Pigou as Keynes' authentic counterpart. Another study41 re-examines Pigou' s contribution in the tradition of the Cambridge School, and still others5> reconsider the relation between his conceptualisation of economics and ethics, and the relation between his economic thought and a welfare state idea. Nevertheless, a common limitation of these studies has been the tendency not only to minimise his ideas on unemployment before 19146), but also to exaggerate the wage (mal-) adjustment function in the labour markee). In addition, there have been no trials that have combined the problem of unemployment with a concept of a National Minimum. It is possible to properly understand Pigou's duality (or dichotomy) only after we investigate those early arguments. This paper is merely provisional. We examine Pigou's arguments in chronological order, from 1905 to 1913, by restricting the theme in question to unemployment and the National Minimum. Despite having a broader viewpoint, we will concentrate on Pigou's thoughts prior to 1914. This is a premise to compare his theories and ideas with those of Beveridge. The paper is organised as follows. Sections 2 to 7 examine Pigou from 1905 to 1913 with regard to unemployment and a National Minimum. Section 8 presents a brief conclusion. 2 Industrial Peace, 1905 The Principles and Metlwds of Industrial Peace (1905) was Pigou's third book The 'labour move- ment' at that time did not only influence the book, it also revealed hints of the typical arguments he was to develop a few years later. New bills were passed one after another in the 1900s to calm labour disputes such as the London Dock Strike of 1889 and the protest against the Taff Vale case of 1901, the Unemployed Workmen Act (1905), the Trade Disputes Act (1906), the Workmen's Compensation Act (1906), and the Trade Boards Act (1909) s>. Thereby, Liberal Reform came. Pigou's main theme of study was affected greatly by those contemporary events. Industrial Peace means, for Pigou, an amicable settlement between employers and employees. Pigou admitted that this theme was fundamentally ethical (Pigou, 1905, p. 3), "what ought arbitration and conciliation to do?" was the thematic inquiry that interested him the most. However, in most cases, he approached the problem from an economic perspective. In other words, he would not examine the basic ethical question of 'What is good?', as G. E. Moore ruminated and eventually abandoned any hope of answering. Instead, Pigou declared that "we need to discover the sequence of effects to which it is likely to lead" (p. 5). He argued that what was needed was knowledge of how given motives would operate under given conditions by investigating actual experience. Pigou preferred 'Science' to 'Art'-a typical dichotomy. Pigou's approach with regard to wages was to compare two hypothetical situations-wage formation by a competitive market and wage-organised settlement by two monopolistic agents (employers and 2006 No. 37 Pigou, National Minimum and Unemployment (KOMINE) 59 employees). As Marshall did, Pigou identified 'the normal wage' with the general level of efficient wages (p. 60) and defmed it as the wage determined by the free working of the demand and supply of labour (pp. 41-42) and as 'the centre about which oscillations caused by temporary causes ought to be regulated' (pp. 59-60). With the assumption that actual settlement of wages and the normal wage separated out, Pigou investigated the level of wages that ought to be appropriate for each agent and the community on the whole. Let us examine an argument on artificially elevated wages, because it explains Pigou's general approach to economics, i.e. the partial equilibrium approach; Pigou maintained the merits of this system under a condition, but at the same time pointed out the demerits under another one. The question is which condition is ultimately more important. In a world of inequality and heterogeneity, the general welfare would be increased if money were transferred from the rich to the poor (p. 42). This transfer, the direct effect, would engender a decrease in satisfaction of the rich and an increase in that of the poor. Pigou, without specifying any reasons, asserted that the decrease would exceed the gain (p. 42). Nevertheless, he justified the transfer for two reasons; first, a pound to the rich meant less than the same sum to the poor. Second, the benefit of improved distribution would often outweigh the evil of diminished production. Pigou concluded that a raised wage above the normal level might directly benefit the community as a whole (p. 43). Contrary to the above argument, Pigou also considered indirect (i. e. long-run, or hypothetical) effects. On the one hand, increased labour costs would engender a substitution of capital for it. This consequence implied that the amount of affected employment was diminished (p. 44). On the other, increased wages could, along with external forces surely influence the quality and efficiency of labour by improving nutrition, leisure, and so on (p. 47). However, the effect was too slow to give full play. No arbitrator could bear the unduly high implied wage. Thus, he maintained that in guarded industries an "artificial wage may frequently benefit the workpeople directly concerned, though it is very unlikely to increase welfare on the whole" (p. 52). Which effect is more significant? As far as we have investigated, Pigou made no clear statements on this point. He merely placed the two, or more, situations equally, by changing a number of basic conditions (the partial equilibrium approach). Nevertheless, judging by his use of the term 'normal', which strongly implied the norm, Pigou appears to have employed an orthodox concept of several dichotomies, i.e. normal and artificial, competitive and legal, and long-run (indirect) and short-run (direct). In any case, it is important to point out that in 1905 Pigou had neither a concept of a National Minimum nor a direct approach to unemployment. He only had a strong concern towards actual redistribution to the poor. This fact implies that, despite having a strong motive for poverty, Pigou had not encountered the concept of a National Minimum and an economic analysis of unemployment. 3 Poor Law Relief, 1907 McBriar (1987), probably for the first time, devoted attention to Pigou's memorandum of 1907 submitted to the Royal Commission on the Poor Laws and Relief of Distress (1905-1909). McBriar (1987, p. 258) concluded that neither "Pigou nor Marshall had any specific help to give the Commission on the problem of unemployment". Even so, this memo is crucially important for at least two reasons. First, this memo is a prototype for the welfare economics to be developed five years later. Pigou's 60 f±~f-t~liJf~i¥¥a diagnosis included three important elements. (1) 'Well-being' was clearly defmed as dependent upon (a) "the people themselves as ethical personalities, (b) the direct social and other relations of people with one another, and the satisfactions that result therefrom, and (c) the satisfactions obtained by the people from their economic circumstances" (Pigou, 1907, p. 981, para.2). It is notable that Pigou's 'welfare' includes both ethical and economic goodness. (2) However, as usual, Pigou ignored (a) and (b) above - or perhaps more precisely, he concentrated his attention on the third element, (c) economic satisfaction. For, "the economic effects in short, can be roughly compared", and "if one policy is certainly superior to another in economic effect, it is probably superior to it on the whole" (p. 982, para.4, emphasis in original). (3) Finally, economic well-being depended upon two things, (a) the size of the national dividend, and (b) its distribution (p. 987, para.l4). The structure comprising these three factors was almost the sarne9 ) as his arguments in Wealth and Welfare (1912). Second, even more important, this memo has a hint as to how Pigou dealt with a National Minimum 10). He regarded the Poor Law system as policies "under which each person in any of the categories is guaranteed by the State a certain minimum condition of life, irrespective of his income, or of any contribution not represented in income" (p. 991, para.25, emphasis added). Contrary to our expectations, Pigou was very bitter at the minimum guarantee system because it harmed free economic interaction. This system had three negative incentives to the economy as a whole, (1) Relieved people tended to falsify nominal conditions such as their age, income and so on (p. 991, para.26). (2) People, expecting a guaranteed minimum, would do less work. (3) The "temptation not to save will be very strong" (p.992, para.27). Consequently, the national dividend would be diminished. Beyond that, Pigou supported the 'less (reduced) -eligibility' of the 1834 system. 'Less-eligibility' means that any treatment of able-bodied paupers should be under the situation of the independent workers of the lowest class. He agreed "that the principle [of 1834] with respect to the able-bodiednl is still of considerable importance and ought not to be violated" (p. 992, para.29). Furthermore, severe deterrent conditions such as disfranchisement and the stigma of pauperism were necessary (p. 996, para.33). Harris (1996, p. 59) evaluated Pigou's memo highly, saying "he embarked upon the immensely ambitious task of trying to construct a theoretical foundation for the policy of the 'National Minimum'." In fact, that valuation is an overestimate. It is true that Pigou considered some type of a National Minimum. However, confming his arguments to pauperism, he concentrated on negative incentives of the guaranteed minimum system. What was lacking was an examination of conditions of ordinary citizens, beyond pauperism, and unemployment in industries where fluctuations prevailed. 4 Economic Fruits and Unemployment, 1908 Pigou addressed "Economic Science in relation to Practice" in 1908 when he succeeded Marshall as Professor of Political Economy at Cambridge. This speech represents his stance not only on economics, but also on unemployment. Pigou distinguished between normative and positive sciences and assigned the former for ethics and the latter for economics. Division of labour between the two existed, but when thinking of practical policies, ethics and economics should be mutually dependent (Pigou, 1908, p. 13). Social enthusiasm was the beginning of economics. Economics was not "knowledge for the sake of knowledge, but rather ... knowledge for the healing that knowledge in some measure may help to bring" (p. 11). Given such a mission to 2006 No. 37 Pigou, National Minimum and Unemployment (KOMINE) 61 improve society, economists have an obligation to investigate what effects tended to happen, not what ought to happen (p. 13). After comparing numerous cases, final judgement should be done with the help of ethics. Thus, for Pigou, economics was a handmaiden to ethics (p. 14). It follows that he managed to cope with being both a social reformer and a detached scientist, as was Marshall's mission12 J. Pigou devoted special attention to unemployment as an example of a qualitative analysis between causes and effects (p. 22). Although his analysis was rather concise, the contents were abundant. Regarding unemployment, a set of definitions, causes, and remedies existed. Pigou stated, What we mean by the problem of Unemployment ... is the fact that a number of artisans and labourers, able to and willing to work, find themselves - and sometimes for long periods together withoutajob,and,consequently,withoutwages.(p.23) Note that he excluded paupers, disabled persons, and lazy or voluntary workers. In that regard, he indicated three causes, associated closely with one another, the change of industrial structure, the legal enforcement of a minimum wage, and fluctuations. In Britain, the structure of wages had been changed, from piece-wages to time-wages, from skilled artisans to unskilled labourers. On the other hand, changing demand for labour was inevitable because of seasonal and cyclical fluctuations (p. 25). The method of coping with varying demand for labour in industries of piece-wages was to vary working hours ('short time'). Dealing with that of time-wages was to dismiss some workers; furthermore, "dismissals can be concentrated upon workmen who are abnormally expensive relative to their worth" (p. 24). Pigou pointed out that trade unions had insisted upon a unified level of wages and did not allow departures from this standard to correspond with the varied efficiencies of individual workers. Nowadays, the unions' action was justified under the legal settlement of a minimum wage. However, he said, Any action on the part of Trade Union in discouragement of reasonable piece-work arrangements, and ... any undue insistence upon rigid and inelastic standards ... are stumbling-blocks" (p. 25) These three factors comprised the causes of prevailing unemployment. Therefore, mitigating industrial fluctuations was the first choice to adopt as a remedy for unemployment. In addition, public works were efficacious for several reasons. Above all, "a transference of money between two groups [the rich and the poor], even if there is some incidental loss upon the way, always increases satisfaction, and is, therefore economically advantageous" (p. 27). Next, raising money for public works would not become futile. It saved other monies into private charity and Poor Law relief. Finally, economists directed attention to slowly working effects. To abolish unemployment meant to "save men from permanent demoralisation and loss of efficiency" (p. 29). More importantly, Pigou claimed that "questions concerning the supply of capital are less obvious, but not less important" (p. 29). This means that an indirect (long-run) effect of unemployment on capital was more significant than unemployment itself. Pigou's address of 1908 was a half-way point towards deliberations regarding the problem of unemployment. He definitely took notice of unemployment as a practically urgent conundrum. Unlike his 1905 analysis, he posited that the gains accrued by the poor from redistribution directly outweighed the loss incurred by the rich. However, it included a number of negative arguments. He did not consider a National Minimum here; instead, he regarded the settlement of a minimum wage as being quite harmful on occasion because even inefficient workers could unduly receive the minimum standard. In addition, Pigou attached great importance to an indirect effect on capital (i.e. whether or not the national dividend increases). 5 National Minimum in Welfare Economics, 1912 Wealth and Welfare was published in 1912. This profound book marked the beginning of expansion of a new area in economics, welfare economics. In the preface, Pigou declared, Several years ago I began to study the causes of unemployment. It soon became apparent, however, that these causes are so closely interwoven with the general body of economic activity that an isolated treatment of them is scarcely practicable. (Pigou, 1912, preface 7, emphasis added) According to the phrase 'several years ago', we presume that he began to consider the problem of unemployment roughly after 1905 and before 1910. This period coincides with the year(s) of the Poor Law Commission (1905-1909) and Beveridge's Book, Unemployment (1909). Here, Pigou, as in his writings of 1905 and 1908, maintained a dual perspective on the subject, noneconomic and economic welfare. Welfare, as well as 'good', cannot be defmed exactly, but "includes states of consciousness only, not material things or conditions" (p. 3). On the other hand, economic welfare raised "in connection with the earning and spending of the national dividend, or, in other words, of those parts of the community's net income" (p. 3). With regard to a connection with total and economic welfare, he stated, When we have ascertained the effect of any cause on economic welfare, we may ... regard this effect as probably equivalent in direction, though not in magnitude, to the effect on total welfare. (p. 11, emphasis in original) This optimistic judgement encouraged him to confme economic phenomena, in particular, the national dividend. The duality is most obvious in the discussion of a National Minimum. Pigou, for the first time, grappled squarely with the concept when he argued for the distribution of the national dividend. On the one hand, a National Minimum was the right to live (or work) from a social or legal viewpoint. He defined it as "conditions 13 ), below which it refuses to allow the fortunes of any citizen in any circumstances to fall" (p. 394). It was "not as a subjective minimum of satisfaction, but an objective minimum of conditions" (p. 394). The minimum was absolute and objective. It was the clear target to be combated. Although redistribution from the rich to the poor engendered a loss and a gain, this action by the state would be justified. For, "the good of abolishing extreme want is not commensurable with any evils that may follow from the diminution of the dividend" (p. 395, emphasis added). In other words, Pigou admitted that establishing a National Minimum was a priority and incomparable to any other conditions14). Yet Pigou continued by saying "our discussion cannot stop at this point" (p. 395). He answered what the level of the National Minimum should be, 2006 No. 37 Pigou, National Minimum and Unemployment (KOMINE) 63 ... economic welfare is best promoted by the establishment of a national minimum, at such a level that the direct good resulting from the marginal pound transferred to the poor just balances the indirect evil brought about by the consequent reduction of the dividend. (pp. 395-396, emphasis added) This stance is purely that of economists-of adapting marginal analysis to the problem of redistribution. Indeed, in this passage Pigou referred to the old problem of a trade-off between equity and efficiency: increasing equality (more redistributive situations) needs decreasing GDP, whereas increasing GDP requires decreasing equality (less redistributive situations). Thus, it is natural for those who had received their of the Marginal Revolution to pursue the balancing point. Nonetheless, did Pigou secretly change the subject from a National Minimum into an Optimal Minimum? The former requires the absolute (given) level of human needs (such as food and cloth). The latter implies arriving at the best redistributive point, which maximised the national dividend, among movable income levels of the poor. The former belongs to a legal or social field (right to live), whereas the latter belongs to an economic one (efficiency). What impelled Pigou to identify the two concepts? Here, we merely state that he combined the two into one simple term: the National Minimum. 6 Unemployment and National Minimum, 1913 In Unemployment (1913), Pigou tackled unemployment straight on. Though there are numerous points at issue 15), we confme to a defmition and a National Minimum only. Pigou's definition of unemployment is more epoch-making16) than has been thought. He said, For unemployment clearly does not include all the idleness of wage-earners, but only that part of it which is, from their point of view and in their existing condition at the time, involuntary. (Pigou, 1999[1913AJ, p. 14, emphasis in original) Several studiesm have pointed out that Pigou's meaning of 'involuntary' and that of Keynes' were definitely different. It is true that Keynes' concept was related to insufficient effective demand from a macroeconomic point of view, whereas Pigou's was associated with personal enforcement of being unemployed. Consequently, Pigou's conceptualisation included frictional unemployment. However, as Aslanbeigui (1998, p. 87) points out, it was novel that unemployment was defined from a subsistence level. Unemployment connected with social evils, such as loss of wages (Pigou, 1999[1913A], p. 30), variable expenditure (p. 31), losing regular work habits, and self-respect (p. 32). By rendering workers' standard of living variable, the men, "once merely unemployed, may be found to have become unemployable" (p. 33). Pigou associated unemployment with a subsistence level18J when he said, .... as regards grades so badly situated that the spreading of unemployment forces the earnings of all below a reasonable subsistence minimum, concentration is better than spreading. (p. 203) Nevertheless, again Pigou pursued an economic argument to its logical conclusion. He seemed to identify a minimum wage (not a national minimum as a whole) with an obstacle to an efficient equilibrium. He stated, If ... wealth - and, therefore the demand for labour - were to increase, while the accepted humanitarian minimum of wages remained the same, unemployment would necessarily diminish; and if the humanitarian minimum rose while the community's wealth remained the same, unemployment would necessarily increase. (p. 66) The former case is easily understood, to increase the demand for labour directly engenders decreased unemployment. However, the latter is rather complicated, Pigou seemed to assume that inefficient workers almost always received unduly high wages. Whereas the demand for labour was not to increase, the supply was to increase because of an increased subsistence level. This is the Malthusian logic. The imbalance would bring about idle workers and then unemployment. Or, if the minimum increased, money raised from the rich (taxes) should increase more and the national dividend would decrease. Anyway, in a stationary state, unemployment is likely to be present when all workers "have to be paid a rate of wage artificially raised above that which the free play of economic forces tends to bring about" (p. 242). Finally Pigou declared pessimistically, ... the existence of a large body of persons not worth this minimum wage is a cause of unemployment. (p.243) Pigou also stated that "unemployment is wholly caused by maladjustment between wage-rates and demand" (p. 51, emphasis in original). Therefore, 'maladjustment' logically included a minimum wage. At this point, a minimum wage is not the right to live19>, but an obstacle to a competitive equilibrium. Pigou assumed that wages in a free market were always under a humanitarian minimum wage. 7 Economic Consequence of Minimum Wage, 1913 We take up Pigou's article, "A Minimum Wage for Agriculture" in 1913 to clarify the last point. This paper, confronted with the establishment of a legal minimum wage by the Trade Boards Act (1909), reveals his basic way of thinking, which is clearly in the tradition of Marshall. Pigou differentiated between a fair wage and a living wage (Pigou, 1999[1913B], p. 42). The former, as Marshall defmed, was the same as the normal wage, which would prevail if economic forces had perfectly free play, perfect knowledge and complete labour mobility (p. 43). The latter meant "a wage sufficient to enable the recipient of it to attain ... to a certain defmite standard of life, below which public opinion holds it unreasonable that the estate of any citizen should be allowed to fall" (p. 46). Based on the distinction above, Pigou considered the following three cases. First, when only some workers were paid below a fair rate, it was 'unfair' for them; therefore, the legal minimum raised to the fair rate was beneficial. Second, even in the first case, if the supply of labour was excessive relatively to the demand, it was natural for a worker, whose wage was under a fair one, to move into some district where his work was more productive. At that time, "minimum wage legislation might well tum to be the reverse of desirable" (p. 53). Third, even if a worker were paid less than a living wage, that wage might be equiva2006 No. 37 Pigou, National Minimum and Unemployment (KOMINE) 65 lent to a fair (efficient) one. In such a case, the legal enforcement of a minimum wage leads a worker to substitute for other more productive workers. Although improved wages would engender improved efficiency, the final result would be that the "legal enforcement of a living wage in agriculture, in excess of what ... would be the fair wage, is ... more likely to injure than to benefit agricultural labour as a whole" (p. 57). In conclusion, Pigou regarded a fair and normal wage as a primary necessity, whereas a living wage has only secondary importance. In spite of admitting high wage effects, he identified a living minimum wage with an obstacle to normal play of economic forces. 8 Concluding Remarks Thus far we have outlined the manner in which Pigou's ideas on unemployment and the National Minimum were formulated in his early writings between 1905 and 1913. His manner of thinking was meticulous and extended from a myriad of viewpoints. Occasionally he made the witty remark that economies were too complex to plainly summarise. Despite his claim, we can extract his basic or typical ways of thinking into the following two points. First, Pigou highly valued redistribution to the poor. He emphasised the importance of vertical equality, i.e. the improvement of the labour class as a whole 20). This was a demand that stemmed from his practical intention and his ethical background. As far as this aspect was concerned, Pigou employed the concept of a National Minimum-the right to live for each citizen, which must be guaranteed at least up to the subsistence level. Second, Pigou also attempted to formulate relations between unemployment and a rate of wages in the labour market. In this case, a minimum wage, one element of a National Minimum, could mostly prove to be a barrier against the free working of economic forces. He adopted the dichotomies of long-run and short-run and normal and artificial. His theoretical criterion was a normal wage to the last. Markets could be incomplete because of maladjustment of prices, wages, and interests. In Pigou's consciousness, a deep split exists between an actual recommended policfu -or, an ethical request-and an ultimate proposition in economics. He appears to have often selected his existence as an orthodox classical economist. Or, at least, he had pessimistically suffered from the split between the two positions. For Pigou, the National Minimum was an uncomfortable necessity of actual economic life, mixed in with theoretical models and non-economic welfare. On the one hand, he maintained the Marshall tradition (normal wages and economic chivalry) in the long run. On the other hand, guided by an enthusiastic mission, he pursued feasible benefits in the short run. Pigou grappled with the difficult problem, between economic dealings with poverty (and unemployment) and the National Minimum, and settled for its co-existence in his economics. Keynes would later point out this situation as a contradiction. The next step to consider is to compare this conclusion with Beveridge's arguments in the 1900s and 1910s. This project will ascertain reciprocal intellectual influences, which will also point towards a long history of unemployment economics in Britain. Bibliography (A) Pigou's Writings Pigou, A. C. 1999[1905]. Principles and Methods of Industrial Peace, in D. Collard (ed.) A. C. 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The Structure of Pigou's Ideal Utilitarianism and Welfare Economics, (in Japanese with an English summary), Annals of the Society for the History of Economic Thought, no. 43, 38-51 Notes * An earlier draft was presented at the conference of 'Cambridge School of Economics: Welfare Economics and the Welfare State' (Feb 2005, Hitotsubashi Univ., Japan). We are grateful to Roger Backhouse, Mauro Boianovsky, Peter Groenewegen, Omar Hamouda, Christina Marcuzzo and Roger Middleton for their valuable comments. This research was supported by grants from both Ryukoku University Research Institute for Social Sciences (2006) and JSPS. KAKENHI (17530158). 1 ) The Beveridge Papers include at least 11 pieces of correspondence from 1925 to 1941, including letters regarding personnel affairs, inquiry about Pigou's heart disease and congratulations offered upon becoming a member of a committee. The Beveridge Papers are stored in the Archive Section, British Library of Political Science, London School of Economics and Political Science (hereafter, BP), BP II b. See also Komine (2002, p. 40). 2) Hutchison (1953, p. 416) is the earliest to try to resolve those misunderstandings. In Japan, Hayasaka (1983, pp. 44-52) is eager to correct it. 3 ) See Ambrosi (2003) and Aslanbeigui (1998). 4 ) Aslanbeigui (1989) distinguishes Marshall from Pigou. 5 ) For example, see Shionoya (1993), Hongo (2001), and Yamazaki (2003). 6) Aslanbeigui (1989, p. 142) claims that Pigou's ideas were natural consequence of the turbulent inter-war period. Our claim is to extend the trace to before 1914. Maloney (1985, ch.11) exceptionally handles Pigou's early writings. Backhouse (1985, pp. 246-249) takes up unemployment policy before 1914. 7) See Winch (1969, p. 57), Garraty (1978, p. 142) and Laidler (1999, p. 156). 8 ) The Act was to establish representative Boards for the settlement of minimum wages in some trade (such as tailoring). 9) Industrial fluctuations were not considered in 1907. 10) This term was coined precisely by Webbs (1898). The National Minimum means "the requirement not merely of daily subsistence and pocket-money, but also of such conditions of nature as will ensure the continuous provision, generation after generation, of healthy and efficient adults" (Webbs, 1898, p. 771). It included wages, housing, education and leisure. 11) As to those who were not able-bodied, Pigou compared two situations, the stipulated minimum and Poor Law (smaller) relief, by drawing income distribution curves (pp. 997-998, Fig. 1 and 2). 68 :t±~f4~1iJflE1F¥ll 12) See Groenewegen (1995). 13) The definition was almost the same as in Economics of Welfare (1920), but Pigou substituted 'real income' for 'conditions' (Pigou, 1999[1920], p. 759). 14) This point was emphasised by Yamazaki (2003, p. 43). 15) For further details related to this subject, see Ko:mine (2002, pp. 40-41). In short, Pigou echoed Beveridge's main diagnosis (labour mobility) and remedies (labour exchanges). Pigou regarded public works as more important. 16) This is so merely from the Marshallian view. J. A Hobson, a heretic, went further in this point. 17) See Casson (1983, p. 38) and Laidler (1999, p. 155) for instance. 18) See also Pigou (1913, p. 65). 19) See this sentence, "a problem of poverty rather than of unemployment ... [is] outside the scope of this volume" (p. 247). 20) In tum, Pigou had little regard for inter-temporal consideration. Collard (1996, p. 587) named it 'a defective telescope faculty'. 21) Pigou (1930) advocates public works and did not assume full employment. 2006 No. 37