FN1 Module 8 Handout #1 Cash Flow Time Line Operating and Cash Conversion Cycles Cash received Inventory sold Inventory purchased Inventory period Accounts receivable period Time Accounts payable period Cash paid for inventory Operating cycle (OC) Cash Conversion Cycle (CCC) Class Example 1: A company presently receives an average of $10,000 in cheques per day from its customers. It presently takes the company an average of five days to receive and deposit these cheques. It is considering a lockbox arrangement that would reduce its collection float time by 3 days, at a cost of $50 per month. If the opportunity cost of funds tied up in float is 8%, should it adopt the new system? Solution: Receivables decrease by 3 days * $10,000 = $30,000 Savings = annual cost of financing $30,000 in receivables = $30,000 * .08 = $2,400 Annual Cost of lockbox = $50 * 12 =$600 Therefore, they should adopt it since it will save them $2,400 – $600 = $1,800 per year. 1 FN1 Module 8 Handout #1 Example 2: (past exam question) WindJammer Inc. expects sales of $200,000, $250,000 and $400,000 in the months of October, November, and December, respectively. All sales are on credit. Based upon historical patterns, WindJammer expects to collect 50% in the month of sale, 30% one month after the sale, and the final 20% two months after the sale. WindJammer’s costs equal 90% of sales and are paid in the month after the sales are made. Based upon these projections, what is WindJammer’s expected cash flow for the month of December? 1) 2) 3) 4) A cash shortfall of $90,000 A cash shortfall of $45,000 A cash surplus of $90,000 A cash surplus of $135,000 Step 1: Forecast the sources of cash. This includes sales revenue and other sources of revenue. Step 2: Determine the timing and amount of cash inflows from the above. REMEMBER: SALES and CASH INFLOW may differ Step 3: Forecast the uses of cash. This includes purchases for inventory, required payments of salaries, wages, rent, etc. Step 4: Determine the timing and amount of cash outflows from the above. PURCHASES + EXPENSES DOES NOT EQUAL CASH OUTFLOW. Step 5: Determine the net cash balance; compare to required cash levels, to determine cash surpluses or shortfalls. Sales Collections: Current month (50%) Last month (30%) 2 Months ago (20%) Oct. 200,000 Nov 250,000 Dec. 400,000 100,000 125,000 60,000 200,000 75,000 40,000 Total Purchases Payments 315,000 180,000 225,000 180,000 Net cash flow 360,000 225,000 90,000 2 FN1 Module 8 Handout #1 Class Example 3: ABC Inc. currently grants credit terms net 25. It is considering a new policy that involves a more stringent credit policy: net 20. As a result, the price of its product will stay the same at $45. The expected sales will decrease by 2,000 per year to 10,000 units. Variable costs will remain at $37 per unit and bad debt losses can be reduced by $1,000 per year to $2,000. ABC Inc. will finance the additional investment in receivables using its line of credit, which charges 6.5 percent interest after tax, and its tax rate is 40 percent. Should ABC Inc. switch to the new policy? Solution: Identify incremental cash flows: Sales will decrease by: 2,000 * 45 Variable costs will decrease by: 2,000 * 37 Bad debts will decrease by: 1,000 Taxes will decrease by: Operating income will decrease by: $ (90,000) 74,000 1,000 (15,000) 6,000 $( 9,000) Old A/R = CP X CSPD = 25 * 45*12,000/365 = 36,986.30 New A/R = CP X CSPD = 20 * 45 * 10,000/365 = 24,657.53 Difference = 12,328.77 – this difference in A/R is NOT THE BENEFIT!!! Opportunity cost/benefit = 0.065 * 12,328.77 = 801.37 Conclusion: Do not switch to the new policy. Class Example 4 There are two suppliers of one input for a factory. Supplier A credit terms are 3/10, net 75 days. Supplier B credit terms are 2/15, net 50 days. Both suppliers offer the same good at the same price, and the current borrowing rates are 12%. Which supplier should the firm buy from, and when should the payment be made? Solution: Assume for these types of questions that if the payment is made early, the firm will use the line of credit or bank loan at 12%. Analysis: What are the choices available to the firm? 1. Pay Supplier A 97% in 10 days 2. Pay Supplier A 100% in 75 days 3. Pay Supplier B 98% in 15 days 4. Pay Supplier B 100% in 50 days. 3 FN1 Module 8 Handout #1 Step 1: Determine the cost of the missed discount for each supplier, and compare this cost to the current borrowing rate of 12% Cost of missed discount = [1/(1-d)]n – 1 Supplier A: n = 365/(75-10) = 5.6154 d = 3% Cost of missed discount = [1/0.97]5.6154 - 1= 18.65% Conclusion: It would be cheaper to borrow from the bank at 12% and pay early. Supplier B: n = 365/(50-15) = 10.4286 d = 2% Cost of missed discount = [1/0.98]10.4286 – 1 = 23.45% Conclusion: It would be cheaper to borrow from the bank at 12% and pay early. Step 2: Now that we have determined the cheapest option from each supplier, we must now decide which supplier to purchase from. Remember, the firm is better off the less they have to pay, but $1 paid in 10 days is better than $1 paid today. What are the options? 1. Pay Supplier A 97% in 10 days 2. Pay Supplier B 98% in 15 days For every $100, Supplier A costs $1 less BUT payment has to be made 5 days sooner. How can we compare these two payments that occur at different times? By converting them to economically equivalent values using discounting/compounding. As long as we state the $ values at the same point in time, we can directly compare them. Let’s discount both of the payments to time 0. What is the appropriate discount rate? The bank rate is the opportunity cost, as it represents the best alternative cost. We need to determine the daily effective period rate that is economically equivalent to 12% EAR. Using the equation: r = [1 + i/m]m/f – 1 i = 12% m=1 f = 365 r = [1.12]1/365 – 1 = 0.03105% 4 FN1 Module 8 Handout #1 PV of 97 in 10 days: = 97/(1.0003105)10 = 96.70 PV of 98 in 15 days = 98/(1.0003105)15 = 97.54 Conclusion: As Supplier A is cheaper, purchase from Supplier A, taking advantage of the discount. 5