At a business planning meeting, a colleague tells you entering a new product category is your brand’s manifest destiny. The rest of the team salivates over potential gains in mindshare and in market share. But in the back of your mind, you waver, asking yourself: “Will consumers accept us?” We all want to maximize our brand’s surface area in the contexts that add value to our customers. Beyond managing this multimedia real estate, a major challenge for brand managers, in particular, is prospecting into new, uncharted territories. Every day, we face uncertainty with new opportunities to extend our brand experiences. How do you know if the market will accept your new product— especially in a category in which you are unknown? Will it reinforce your intended brand associations? Will consumers even retain your brand associations? The answers aren’t clear; even worse, we often base our predictions on very small research samples, and gut feeling. With billions of comments posted daily, social media is the largest source of unsolicited consumer opinion—ever. Your customers talk about how they feel and what they want right this minute. It is the world’s largest focus group, and the participants aren’t paid to be there. Hidden within this mass of data is an incredibly untapped source of intelligence for brand managers. The following four steps lay out the process for using social media data to evaluate your existing brand portfolio and new product concepts. I use NyQuil to ZzzQuil and Dr. Pepper soda to Dr. Pepper Marinade, two examples from Adweek’s review of recent consumer brand extensions, to illustrate. How extendible is your brand? 2 Step 1: Establish a Brand Baseline What are the current themes of conversation surrounding your brand? I recommend you begin by performing unstructured text analysis on all social media conversations about your brand over the past year (if you’ve recently rebranded, be sure to look pre and post-campaign, as brand engagement has likely shifted on social media). What is the size and texture of this conversation? How do consumers talk about you, and in what context? Pay particular attention to segmenting product use discussions. To this end, measuring basic consumer sentiment (Positive, Negative, and Neutral) is insufficient; instead, you need to retrieve a topical breakdown from your Consumer Insights team. Depending on the social analytics platform you have in house, you can accomplish this with one robust analysis of online consumer opinion. Just make sure you have access to historical content. After successfully establishing a set of useful benchmarks on your brand, which many of your competitors likely do not even have, you are ready for Step 2. 3 Step 2: Assess Consumer Use Cases This step involves thinking more critically about the affinities and product use cases that are derived from your brand baseline analysis. Based on this mix of customer interactions, can you see a logical fit for your brand in another category or medium? In other words, what is the “extendibility” potential of your brand, as voiced by consumers right now? NyQuil Last year, over 1.8 million posts talked about using NyQuil on social media. Interestingly, the largest portion of this conversation discusses taking NyQuil specifically as a sleep aid, rather than for its marketed purpose as a cold remedy. Here, the majority of consumers reveal an existing mental association between NyQuil and sleep inducement, as they identify strongly with the product’s sleep-aid benefit. Therefore, it appears that it would not be too much of a “stretch” for consumers if P&G considered extending this brand experience. 4 Dr. Pepper With Dr. Pepper, consumers vividly describe where and when they buy Dr. Pepper, and what makes that experience so enjoyable for them. Last year, in over 1.5 million discussions about Dr. Pepper, 3% comment on pairing Dr. Pepper soda with barbeque food, including varieties of BBQ chips. While this is not the single largest conversation driver, barbeque stands out as a unique pairing that draws considerable praise among consumers, warranting additional investigation. Both of these examples serve to illustrate the types of cues consumers can give you on social media regarding potential new real estate for your brands. Armed with these insights, you might also want to consider testing your new hypotheses using traditional market research techniques, including surveys and focus groups. 5 Step 3: Evaluate the Brand Extension Fast-forward several months: You have decided to bring your new concept to market. In this third step in the process, you want to analyze online discussion of your brand extension. How have consumers reacted to this product to date? Is there high purchase intent? Do consumers recommend it to their friends online, or are they confused and skeptical of the product’s utility? New Brand Extension: ZzzQuil With the parent brand’s major appeal as a favored sleep aid, there is, ostensibly, huge potential in the extendibility of the NyQuil brand into this new product category. Looking at the data following ZzzQuil’s launch, the largest driver of conversation (38%) represents excited early adopters using the product for its intended, sleep-aid purpose. 6 In addition, social media discussion signals that consumers retain the intended brand associations: 32% express purchase intent and another 18% recommend the product to others online. There is no expressed confusion about usage and the relationship to the parent brand, NyQuil. As far as the market is concerned, NyQuil to ZzzQuil exemplifies both a very logical and successful brand extension that reinforces the positive images associated with the parent brand. New Brand Extension: Dr. Pepper Marinade Dr. Pepper, on the other hand, is a more interesting case that draws more polarizing consumer commentary. While 14% of consumers express significant interest in trying the product, another 16% hotly criticize the concept and its taste. Furthermore, nearly 30% express skepticism and continue to ask questions about the new product. 7 Adweek pegged Dr. Pepper Marinade as one of the “worst” brand extension concepts this year. It is true that BBQ-related discussion of Dr. Pepper soda represents a significantly smaller proportion of product use cases. However, through social media analysis, we find the product appears to strongly appeal to the niche market of consumers who favor that food and beverage pairing. And they aren’t shy to tell us how great it is! Keep in mind: Every time you analyze social media data, you should track each category of conversation over time to assess the varying degrees of market education and acceptance across geographies. 8 Step 4: Conduct A Full Post-Launch Audit Brand managers simply cannot afford to skip this next step: How has the brand extension impacted your parent brand image? Parent brand dilution is the major strategic risk accompanying any brand extension (recall the classic “New Coke” debacle). Good news: Remember that brand baseline we set up for Step 1? Now we can revisit the same social media analysis to evaluate, quantitatively and qualitatively, how the new product has affected brand-level discussion. Evaluating Brand Extensions That’s it. You just successfully operationalized the unsolicited opinions of millions of consumers in several stages of brand decision-making. How easy was that? As your brand evolves, it becomes even more important to uncover and track the nuances in consumer discussion— discussion that is earned and unfiltered. From one prospector to another, social media may hold the destiny of your next successful brand extension. 9 Crimson Hexagon, founded in 2007, is the leading provider of analysis software that delivers business intelligence from social media data for global corporations. Powered by patented technology developed at Harvard University’s Institute for Quantitative Social Science, the Crimson Hexagon ForSight™ platform delivers the industry’s most comprehensive Big Data analysis capabilities for a variety of large-scale data sources. Clients include leading global organizations such as: Microsoft, Paramount Pictures, Starbucks, Simon & Schuster, Twitter, and many more. For more information go to: http://www.crimsonhexagon.com. 10