PART 4 INDEX-BASED INVESTING . (IN-DEKS BEYST IN-VEST-ING) N AN INVESTMENT BASED ON PRODUCTS LINKED TO INDICES, SUCH AS INDEX MUTUAL FUNDS, ETFs AND OPTIONS CONTRACTS. 1 INDEX-BASED INVESTING Index-based investing has revolutionized the way investors access financial markets and participate in market performance. It was an idea that was radical when John Bogle launched the first index mutual fund in 1976. There are good reasons for index-based investing’s unique appeal. It can provide portfolio diversification and transparency, so investors may know what is owned. Thanks to the variety of index-linked products, investors can participate in multiple financial markets in the world, broad or Thanks to the variety of narrow. It’s index-linked products, possible to build a investors can participate portfolio in virtually every financial of indexmarket in the world, linked broad or narrow. products with widely varying objectives, investment style, and/or risk tolerance. The risks taken, as well as the returns realized, will correspond to the risks and return of the markets in which one invests. However, it should be noted that index returns do not reflect expenses investors would pay to purchase or hold index-based products. Not only does index-based investing offer a simpler approach to investing, it’s less costly than actively managed investing as well. But what, exactly, is index-based investing (sometimes called “passive investing”)? It’s not, as the term may imply, investing directly in an index. That’s because an index isn’t an investment. It is a measure of securities or other assets in a specific market. Indices can and do, though, serve as the basis for investment products, such as index mutual funds, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and options contracts. The index to which an index product is linked determines that product’s portfolio. For example, an ETF linked to the Dow Jones Industrial Average® holds the 30 stocks in that index and seeks to match its performance. That’s a key difference between index-based investing—which is described as passive management—and active management. Using an active approach, managers subjectively select securities in an attempt to beat their benchmark indices. ACTIVE MANAGEMENT has two chief limitations that don’t apply to passive investing. COST: It’s typically expensive to compensate active managers and to pay for the frequent trading costs of their buy and sell decisions.1 RESULTS: Most active managers fail to outperform the market over the long term.2 William F Sharpe, “The Arithmetic of Active Management,” in the Financial Analysts’ Journal, 1991 (cited in Craig Lazarra Indexology blog March 10, 2014). 2 SPIVA US Scorecard, 2013, bullet # 2 (reaffirmed in more recent SPIVA results and frequently cited). 1 2 Index-based investing is considered to have the following characteristics: 3 DIVERSIFICATION TRANSPARENCY MARKET RETURN COST EFFICIENCY PART 4: BENEFITS OF INDEX-BASED INVESTING Diversification A diversified portfolio holds a large number of securities that react differently to changes in the economy or market environments. For example, some stocks typically outperform the broader market when the economy is booming, but underperform when it slows down. The value of other securities may not be seriously hurt by a downturn or boosted by an upturn. A diversified equity portfolio holds some of each. As a result, diversification typically provides greater protection against market risk than owning a limited number of stocks or other securities. When a portfolio is sufficiently diversified, assets that are strong at any given time can help offset losses in those that may be losing value. The more diversification there is, the greater the potential mitigation of risk in the event of market loss. The impact of diversification, which is the foundation of modern portfolio theory, was explained by the Nobel Prize-winning economist Harry Markowitz. He concluded that the “perfect portfolio” was the whole stock market because it provided the greatest diversification.3 But until Vanguard opened the first index fund4 more than 20 years after Markowitz’s groundbreaking work, it just wasn’t feasible for individual investors to attain such market diversification. Today, a portfolio of index-linked products can provide exposure to broad markets either locally or globally. This means investors can come very close to owning the portfolio that Markowitz described. Even within a more narrowly defined market, such as an industry or sector, some investors use diversified index products to lower risks relative to investing in individual securities. Transparency An ETF or index-linked mutual fund seeks to replicate the performance of the market its underlying index tracks, either by owning all the securities in that index or a representative sample. Risk that the ETF or fund will stray far from its stated objective is limited. That can happen, however, with an actively managed fund if the fund buys stocks that aren’t consistent with its investment approach, but are selected to bolster its return. The result of this approach, described as style drift, may expose an investor to more risk than they’re comfortable taking or to less risk than they’re willing to assume to meet investment goals. Transparency means knowing not only what the ETF or index fund owns but also in what proportion. With index investments, this information is typically publicly available every day. Actively managed funds, on the other hand, are required to report their holdings just four times a year. Between quarterly filings, these funds can hold any securities Some investors use and in any proportion, diversified index products so it’s entirely to lower risks relative possible for to investing in funds with individual securities. very different objectives to own a number of the same securities without making that information public. For an investor, this can potentially result in duplicative holdings and a loss of diversification, which may increase investment risk. Markowitz: Harry Markowitz, “Portfolio Selection,” in Journal of Finance, 1952. Vanguard fund: The fund opened in 1976. The point that individual investors had not access to a broadly diversified portfolio before the Vanguard fund is made in Burton Malkiel, A Random Walk Down Wall Street, now in 11th edition, originally published 1973. 3 4 PART 4: BENEFITS OF INDEX-BASED INVESTING 4 Market Return Indices are designed to mirror the risk and return characteristics of the markets they measure through a representative sample of the underlying assets. Index-linked investment products, therefore, can be a convenient means of capturing specific market performance. What’s more, it’s widely recognized that securities markets, especially those in developed economies, are highly efficient. Efficiency, in this context, means that: EXISTING MARKET INFORMATION is readily and inexpensively available and incorporated in security prices. NEW INFORMATION about a security occurs randomly and is thus unpredictable. The EFFECT of any new information on a security’s price is equally unpredictable. Ultimately, market efficiency means that there are few opportunities to exploit information that may impact the behavior of individual securities or the broader markets. This information is already priced into the markets and is reflected in the performance of A well-diversified portfolio indices and the has historically risen index-linked over the long term. products that track them. Of course, no investment strategy, including a passive approach, guarantees a positive return. But a well-diversified portfolio has historically risen over the long term. U.S. equity prices, for example, have maintained an upward trend as demonstrated by the historical performance of the S&P 500® and The Dow®. Index-based investing is an approach designed to help investors capture this market return.5 Cost Efficiency The price paid to buy and own an investment reduces its potential return. The higher the investment cost, the greater the drag on performance. fees for administration and investment management. Trading costs are the fees that a fund pays to buy and sell securities for its portfolio. Two key measures of investment cost are expense ratios and trading costs. An expense ratio is the amount, expressed as a percentage of the account’s value, that is regularly subtracted from its return to cover An expense ratio is public information. It can be found in an investment’s prospectus, in a variety of online sources, and in the financial press. Given the passive nature of indexbased investments. Index funds and ETFs tend 5 5 Interviews with members of the Index Committee, including David Blitzer, Craig Lazarra, and others in January 2014. PART 4: BENEFITS OF INDEX-BASED INVESTING to have lower expense ratios than actively managed funds. In 2012, for example, actively managed equity funds had, on average, an expense ratio of 0.92% while the comparable expense ratio for equity index funds was only 0.13% (Source ICI, 2013). Expense ratios do vary by investment objective, however, and are often higher for small-cap funds, international funds, and those with more specialized objectives. It’s often more costly to own an actively managed investment with a particular objective than a passive investment with the same objective. One reason for this difference in cost may be that passive manager compensation tends to be less costly than active managers. In addition, there’s more money in the average equity index fund (USD 1.7 billion) than in the average actively managed fund (USD 393 million), and economies of scale help to reduce costs (Source ICI, 2013). Trading fees, another contributor to investment cost, are not included in a fund’s expense ratio or reported separately. To estimate what a fund spends on trading, its turnover rate must be known. That’s the percentage of the fund’s portfolio that’s replaced during a year. The greater the turnover, the higher the trading costs. On average, the turnover rate for an actively managed equity mutual fund in 2012 was 62%, or more than half of all fund holdings (Source: ICI 2013). A fund that turns over half or more of its portfolio in the course of a year is likely to generate substantial short-term gains, with resulting tax consequences. Index funds and ETFs tend to turn over their portfolios only when there is a change in the underlying index—sometimes just a few times a year or even less frequently. In fact, many indices are constructed specifically to limit turnover. Eugene Fama—the Nobel Prize winner often described as the father of index investing— pointed out that this combination of factors makes it extremely difficult, if not impossible, for active managers to outperform an efficient market or the indices that track it. According to Fama, to gain any advantage in securities selection, managers would have It’s often more costly to to predict own an actively managed correctly, over and investment with a over again, particular objective than what new a passive investment with information might the same objective. emerge about a security and how the security’s price might be affected as a result.6 Years of statistics generated by S&P Dow Jones Indices Versus Active Funds (SPIVA®) studies, confirm the challenge active managers face. Few active managers outperform their relevant benchmark index in any given year, and virtually none do it consistently. Eugene Fama: Eugene Fama, “The Behavior of Stock Prices,” rewritten as “Random Walks in Stock Market Prices,” in Financial Analysts’ Journal, 1965, and in “Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work, in Journal of Finance, 1970. 6 PART 4: BENEFITS OF INDEX-BASED INVESTING 6 INDEX-LINKED PRODUCTS In his groundbreaking guide to investing, A Random Walk Down Wall Street, first published in 1973, Burton Malkiel argued for the creation of a no-load, low-fee mutual fund. This type of fund would give investors access to market return, or beta, by buying the component stocks of a market index and making no effort to outperform the index. Just three years later, in 1976, Bogle’s index fund was launched, providing what he described as broad diversification at relatively low cost. ETFs followed in 1993, adding more trading flexibility, greater tax efficiency and a larger opportunity set, or the range of ways index products can be used to fulfill different investment strategies. As evidence of the increased popularity of index products, as of 2013, U.S investors had about USD 1.7 trillion invested in index mutual funds, one-third of it in funds linked to the S&P 500, and more than USD 1.3 trillion in ETFs (Source: ICI, 2013). The universe of index products was also enlarged by the introduction of index-linked futures contracts in 1982 and options contracts in 1983. These products, while different from each other in some important ways, both are used: HEDGE an equity or bond portfolio against the risk of a falling market GENERATE income GAIN broad market exposure with less cost and difficulty than buying all the securities in an underlying index Unlike ETFs and index mutual funds, these index futures and options do not tend to be buy-and-hold investments. Understanding how to best leverage these approaches requires an understanding of an investor’s goals, timeframe, and an analysis of the myriad of strategies designed to potentially achieve the stated investment objective, combined with timely action. Using Index Products 7 ETFS & INDEX FUNDS Some investors can use ETFs and index funds that track broad market segments as the building blocks of a core portfolio. They pick and choose from among these index-based products to create specific allocations. Selections may also be altered to shift the balance between risk and return in response to life events or changing goals. Index-based products are used to add short-term exposure to a specific sector, country, region, or strategy—a process typically described as attaching satellites to the core. DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO Financial advisors may use an index-based approach as well, constructing a diversified portfolio of index funds and ETFs. These investments are likely to be institutional products, not directly available to individual investors. But this “index inside active” approach is used to provide market return without only attempting to outperform. PART 4: BENEFITS OF INDEX-BASED INVESTING For more information on passive investing, please see: www.investopedia.com/university/quality-mutual-fund/chp6fund-mgmt/ and money.cnn.com/2014/12/07/investing/stocks-active-versus-passive-investing/index.html. www.spdji.com | www.djindexes.com Contact Us © 2015 by S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, a part of McGraw Hill Financial, Inc. All rights reserved. Standard & Poor’s® and S&P® are registered trademarks of Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC (“S&P”), a subsidiary of McGraw Hill Financial. Dow Jones® is a registered trademark of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC (“Dow Jones”). Redistribution, reproduction and/or photocopying in whole or in part are prohibited without written permission. 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