Cassidy Turley National Retail Review SPRING 2014 Garrick Brown, Editor Research Director 201 California Street, Ste 800 San Francisco, CA 94111 Garrick.Brown@cassidyturley.com 916.329.1558 Kevin Thorpe Chief Economist 2101 L Street, NW, Ste. 700 Washington, DC 20037 Kevin.Thorpe@cassidyturley.com 202.266.1161 Retail Review Shopping Center Spring Statistical 2014 Review National Shopping Center Overview Cassidy Turley tracks shopping center vacancy, absorption and rental rate trends in 60 major U.S. markets. As of the close of Q4 2013, shopping center vacancy in the markets that we track stood at 8.6%. This is down from a reading of 9.5% recorded exactly one year earlier and reflects a year in which over 37.8 million square feet of occupancy growth was posted. The good news for landlords of community and neighborhood centers is that type of shopping center will post some of the strongest gains heading into 2014 and beyond because their traditional tenant mix (grocery or drug anchors and inline shop space filled mostly by restaurants and retail services) is drawn from the retail categories that have been least impacted by e-commerce. Feeling Better in the Neighborhood In terms of product types, the vacancy rate for Community/ Neighborhood/Strip Centers as of the close of 2013 was 10.0%. This product had a 10.7% vacancy rate one year before, but it had peaked at 11.2% in early 2010. Over the course of 2013, this sector of the shopping center marketplace posted nearly 24 million square feet of occupancy growth. The community/ neighborhood/strip sector is the largest sector of the shopping center market. In the 60 markets that we track, it accounts for over 3.5 billion square feet of space. That equates to 67% of the nearly 5.3 billion square feet of shopping center space that we track. So it shouldn’t come as a big surprise that the 24 million square feet of net absorption posted last year comes out to about 63% of all retail growth last year. The good news for landlords of this product type is that it should post the strongest gains heading forward. That is because the traditional tenant mix—at least of community and neighborhood centers—is grocery or drug anchors, restaurants and retail services. In other words, all of the retail categories that have been least impacted by the onset of e-commerce. The bad news, of course, is that this is the shopping center type in the United States that currently has the highest vacancy level. Unanchored strip product is a big part of this. And, of course, issues of shopping center class are involved—a topic we will be Hawaii Just over 9.7 million square feet of new Community/Neighborhood/ Strip Centers were delivered in 2013. We are tracking 8.7 million square feet of space under development now and expect final delivery totals for 2014 to probably be close to 2013 levels. The return of residential development in 2014 and beyond will mean that there will be new rooftops to follow and stronger construction numbers going forward. The good news is that unanchored strip construction will be virtually non-existent without strong leasing commitments in place. Slow improvement from the mom-andpops will help somewhat for that sector, but declines in vacancy will be measured in basis points, not percentage points. The New Power/Neighborhood Center Power Centers may be the surprise story of the year. They rode to prominence in the Age of the Big Boxes… and we are now in the Twilight of the Boxes. This is not because all big boxes are troubled or because superstores or category killers are going away. It is, however, because of the shift towards smaller boxes. Highest Vacancy Markets Lowest Vacancy Markets San Francisco tackling in greater detail later in this report. While overall vacancy for this product type now stands at 10.0%, we estimate Class A vacancy to be closer to 6.0%. Those levels move up for Class B (improving in most cases) and Class C product (not improving for the most part, in nearly every major trade area). Pittsburgh 2.6% 3.0% 4.6% Reno Memphis Cleveland 14.8% 13.4% 12.7% Cassidy Turley | 2 Retail Review Spring 2014 In terms of retail categories, a number of box users are in contraction mode. Office Supplies would be 2014’s poster child. Staples (the segment leader) is planning on closing 225 stores through the end of 2015 as it shifts both more towards online sales and smaller footprints. The Office Depot/OfficeMax merger has left the new Office Depot with about 300 redundant stores that will also close over roughly that same timeframe. Meanwhile, the movement is away from 20,000 to 30,000 square foot floorplates towards 10,000 to 15,000 square foot stores. Meanwhile, following the collapse of Borders a couple of years ago, we continue to see the bookstore category shrinking. Barnes & Noble will be closing roughly one third of its stores over the next few years as leases expire. Ironically, the healthiest part of this sector remains the strong, local independent bookseller—the retailers that barely survived the onslaught of the boxes in the late 1990s, even as smaller chains and mall bookstores disappeared. Home improvement retailers have essentially been on hold when it comes to growth. Home Depot and Lowe’s both focused much of their efforts in Canada or Mexico in recent years. They should return to the fold as new home construction picks up and the residential marketplace continues to recover, but their growth levels will be conservative, at best. Even some of the superstore players like Walmart and Target have been experimenting with smaller footprints. Meanwhile, some of the players that had been in strong growth mode earlier in the recession have slowed expansion plans. Kohl’s, for example, grew at a rate of between 60 and 80 new, 80,000 square foot stores per year from 2010 through 2012. Kohl’s now has about 10 new stores in the development pipeline, but has shifted its capital expenditure budgets (for now, at least) to focus on e-commerce growth—building their platform and omni-channel capabilities for the long-term. All of this comes as a number of other box players are also looking to shrink. Of course, there are some exceptions Smart power center landlords have adapted. They’ve spent the money to demise larger box space and backfilled it with discounters and other junior box users, especially smaller format grocers. Power centers that have brought in grocery components have hedged their bets—still relying on the regional draw of their traditional hard-goods box retailers but also tapping into the neighborhood draw of grocers and superstores. to the rule—sporting goods is leading the way. Dick’s Sporting Goods is looking at opening at least 40 and as many as 50 new large format stores in 2014. But, in the aggregate, all of this would seem to spell doom for power center landlords. Yet, that hasn’t happened. As of the close of 2013, the vacancy rate for power centers in the 60 markets that we track was just 6.2%. This is down from roughly 6.5% one year prior. In 2013, Power Centers absorbed just under 7.8 million square feet of space. New development added about 3.6 million square feet of new product, most of which was occupied on delivery. Considering the trends at play, one would expect this to be one of the more challenged sectors of the retail landscape. However, this hasn’t happened for a number of reasons—the primary one being that smart landlords have adapted. They’ve spent the money to demise larger box space (40,000 square feet and up)—where there is a shallow pool of potential tenants—to create junior boxes (under 40,000 square feet)—where there is a solid pipeline of expanding retailers. They have also jumped on backfilling empty spaces not just with other hard goods retailers—though off-price apparel has been extremely active—but with smaller format grocery players who are in robust expansion mode. In many centers, we have seen vacant Circuit City locations replaced with new Whole Foods stores and seen sales per square foot Largest Decrease in Vacancy (Q4 2012 vs. Q4 2013) Largest Increase in Vacancy (Q4 2012 vs. Q4 2013) Birmingham Mobile Q412 Q413 New Orleans Q412 Q413 14.2% 12.1% 8.3% 7.2% Pittsburgh Q412 Q413 5.6% 4.6% Q412 8.1% Omaha Q413 Q412 Boston Q413 10.4% 9.4% 10.8% Q412 Q413 5.3% 6.7% Cassidy Turley | 3 Retail Review Spring 2014 climb across all tenants. Meanwhile, a large percentage of new power center development has been based around superstores like Walmart or Target—the industry gold standard currently— transforming the very nature of power centers. The addition of grocery players is essentially landlords hedging their bets. You still count on the regional draw (the typical five mile sales radius) of the box hard goods players, but now also look to the neighborhood draw (the typical three mile or less radius) that the grocers bring. Still, we are only tracking 1.6 million square feet of new power centers under development in our coverage markets. This is likely a good thing for existing landlords of both power and neighborhood centers. What is out there is adapting to a new reality and faring well. But that, in of itself, is not an argument for further development—these projects will only happen going forward with extremely strong commitments in place from tenants. Until we see a shift from retailers back towards larger space and bigger boxes, the power center will be on hold—but doing well— so long as it has adapted to being this new power/neighborhood hybrid product. Malls Moving Towards Class A and C Only With so many department stores and apparel players in either flat or negative growth mode, one would think that after power centers, malls were facing the greatest challenges. They are. And they are not. The vacancy rate for Malls in the markets that we track as of the close of 2013 was just 4.5%. One year earlier this metric stood at 5.5%. Over the course of 2013, the mall marketplace (in our 60 market survey) recorded just under 2.4 million square feet of occupancy growth. New mall development was minimal— just under 627,000 square feet of new space came online. That being said, we are tracking 2.6 million square feet of new product Strongest Annual Occupancy Growth Houston North New Jersey With no other product type is the difference between shopping center class more glaring than with malls. We estimate Class A mall vacancy at close to 2.0%, while Class C vacancy is closer to the 10% threshold. It is imperative that Class B operators find ways to upgrade their centers to compete with trophy assets as the mall marketplace is increasingly becoming divided between the haves and have-nots. under development and expect final 2014 tallies to cross the 3.0 million square foot mark. Those numbers will likely go up slightly next year, but the real challenge for mall developers is in finding anchor tenants. Those challenges aside, successful mall operators are shifting their tenant mixes to accommodate more entertainment and restaurant tenants (both in growth mode) even as many of the traditional apparel players are either in no growth or even slight contraction mode. But with no other product type is the difference between shopping center class more glaring. We estimate Class A mall vacancy to actually stand a lot closer to the 2.0% mark. In other words—it is extremely tight, with quality space hard to find and rents rising aggressively for trophy centers. Class C vacancy is the problem. We don’t see this as a big portion of the marketplace, but we do estimate vacancy for Class C product at the 10% level. Class B is trickier and here is where we see incredible pressure on landlords to upgrade and compete with Class A or risk falling into the dreaded C category. We estimate that vacancy level to be closer to 5%. Weakest Annual Occupancy Growth Dallas +2.5MSF +2.3MSF +2.3MSF Chicago Mobile Little Rock -1.2MSF -262KSF -118KSF Cassidy Turley | 4 Retail Review Spring 2014 Outlets are Special; Other Specialty Centers not so Much Specialty centers are the odd duck in our survey. This category includes lifestyle and outlet centers as well as theme centers. It is the smallest sector of the marketplace that we track—accounting for just 170 million square feet of the nearly 5.3 billion we track. As of the end of 2013, the vacancy rate for specialty centers was 7.4%. This compares to an 8.0% vacancy rate one year earlier. Nearly 3.7 million square feet of space was absorbed in 2013. Three million square feet was delivered and all of that was in the form of outlet centers. And more than 95% of it was occupied by tenants within three months of delivery. We are now tracking almost 4.3 million square feet of specialty centers under development in the markets we track, and we expect final tallies for 2014 will be close to 4.5 million square feet. Not surprisingly, roughly 4 million square feet of that is in the form of outlet centers. We anticipate that occupancy numbers in 2014 will also be driven by outlet center growth. If you want to get a solid read on lifestyle center trends, just reread the section above on malls. It is identical—everything is driven by class and though we estimate national lifestyle center vacancy to be near 8%, we also think Class A lifestyle center is close to 4%. As for outlet centers, we estimate vacancy to stand at 5%, but also see great divides on the basis of class. Return of New Development Developers added just over 17 million square feet of new shopping center space in 2013. This reflects the largest amount of new deliveries recorded since 2008 when 19.3 million square feet of new space was completed. Of course, that was the year that the Great Recession hit. Most of those projects came online earlier in the year and, speculative development was still the norm. But the return of new development will not come without challenges for existing landlords. And that is because of the new retail paradigm that is in place. The market has become increasingly bifurcated on the basis of class, and the onset of the age of e-commerce is only reinforcing this. Development levels fell to as low as just 2.4 million square feet by 2012, but nearly all of the major projects that started construction from 2010 onward went forward with significant pre-leasing commitments in place. That has not changed. As a result, of the 17 million square feet of new product that came online in 2013, almost 15 million of it was occupied upon delivery. In other words, of the product built last year, 88% had tenancy in place before completion. The 15 million square feet of net absorption generated by new shopping center product accounted for almost 40% of all occupancy growth last year. This tells us a couple of things. First, retailers on the whole (there are obviously some vast differences once we start looking at individual retail categories) are back in expansion mode. They have been since 2010, and vacancy levels have been falling since then after reaching into the low 11% range. New product, especially Class A product, is in high demand. In fact, after years of almost no new construction, Class A space is in short demand in nearly every major marketplace. Most new projects are having little difficulty landing new tenants— particularly those located in dense, urban environments (this also includes major new redevelopment projects as well). As a result, new construction totals are only going to increase going forward. As this report went to press, we were tracking 17.1 million square feet of additional shopping center development under construction in the 60 major markets that we track. If 2013 was the year we saw 17 million square feet of new deliveries, 2014 is likely to see those numbers come in somewhere near 20 million U.S. Shopping Center Development Shopping Center Deliveries Shopping Center Deliveries Strongest Levels of New Development 30 25 25.5 24.1 19.5 Millions, SF 20 20.9 20.7 17.7 18.4 19.3 17.1 14.2 15 10 8.6 5.1 5 0 3.2 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Chicago 2.4 2011 2012 2013 Houston Dallas +1.0MSF +1.0KSF +1.0KSF Shopping Center Development . Source: Cassidy Turley Research, Costar Group Cassidy Turley | 5 Retail Review Spring 2014 square feet when all is said and done. And, we also expect strong levels of occupancy upon delivery for these projects as well. That is for two basic reasons: new centers simply aren’t going forward without heavy pre-leasing commitments in place and demand for new product is robust. But the return of new development will not come without challenges for existing landlords. And that is because of the new retail paradigm that is in place. The market has become increasingly bifurcated on the basis of class and the onset of the age of e-commerce is only reinforcing this. We have always had Class A, B and C shopping centers. But the differences between the three have grown in terms of performance. Those differences are greatest with malls and lifestyle centers, but they exist across every shopping center type and the gap is widening between the weakest and the strongest. What is most pivotal moving forward is what happens to Class B product. Class A retail space will always be in demand—age of e-commerce or not. Class C space will always be challenged because it is, by definition, aging centers or neglected centers (both things that could be fixed) or those with weak locations (something that can’t be fixed) or weak tenancy (fixable) or some combination of all of the above (maybe/maybe not fixable). But those two classes of shopping center are pretty clear cut in terms of where they stand in the marketplace. It’s Class B that is the challenge. It’s the swing vote. It’s the center with a great location and weak anchors. It’s the aging, but not neglected, center that doesn’t have the Class A bells and whistles. It’s the second (B+) or third or fourth best location in a good trade area. It’s the center that with a little investment might be able to compete with the Class A crowd… or might not. We saw a surge in occupancy growth in many markets in 2013 that had lagged in recovery. As quality sites have become harder to find (and more expensive) on both coasts, more chains have looked to the heartland to satisfy their growth requirements. Paradigm is Shifting: Class Bifurcation is Here to Stay The dynamics have always essentially been the same. Retailers always have preferred the Class A centers. If they couldn’t afford them, they would move down the food chain. In downturns, we have always seen rents fall as vacancy climbs. Then, flight to quality kicks in as stronger Class B and C tenants suddenly find they can upgrade to a better center at cheaper rents. As economies heal and retail demand increases, Class A always recovers first. As Class A vacancy levels fall, rental rate growth returns—in fact, in the first few years after a down cycle, it usually surges. Then you see retailers priced out of the Class A market, looking to Class B product. The recovery starts for Class B… and onward. Market Vacancy Rate Q4 2013 Vacancy Rate Q3 2013 Vacancy Rate Q4 2012 1 San Francisco (includes Peninsula) 2.6% 2.8% 2.8% 2 Hawaii 3.0% 3.3% 3.6% 3 Pittsburgh 4.6% 5.0% 5.6% 4 New York City Metro 4.8% 4.7% 5.0% 5 San Jose 5.0% 5.0% 5.5% 6 Washington DC 5.3% 5.5% 5.7% 7 San Diego 5.5% 5.4% 5.3% 8 Salt Lake City 5.5% 5.5% 5.7% 9 Oakland/East Bay 5.6% 5.5% 5.7% 10 Los Angeles 5.7% 5.6% 6.0% 11 Orange County 5.9% 5.7% 6.1% 12 Santa Barbara 6.0% 5.7% 6.0% 13 Austin 6.4% 6.4% 6.6% 14 Baltimore 6.7% 6.4% 6.8% 15 Boston 6.7% 5.1% 5.3% 16 Des Moines 6.7% 6.7% 7.0% 17 Minneapolis/St. Paul 6.7% 6.8% 7.3% 18 Northern New Jersey 6.7% 6.5% 7.2% 19 Miami 6.7% 6.8% 6.8% 20 New Orleans 7.2% 7.2% 8.2% 21 Raleigh/Durham 7.2% 7.4% 7.1% 22 Seattle 7.2% 7.1% 7.3% 23 Little Rock 7.2% 7.7% 6.5% 24 Denver 7.5% 7.3% 7.8% 25 Portland 7.7% 7.7% 8.1% 26 Charleston 7.7% 6.8% 7.0% 27 San Antonio 7.7% 7.8% 8.2% 28 Philadelphia 7.9% 7.7% 7.6% 29 Houston 8.2% 8.5% 8.8% 30 Tulsa 8.4% 8.3% 8.8% Cassidy Turley | 6 Retail Review Spring 2014 There is only one problem with these dynamics this time around. Mom-and-pop retail remains largely out of the picture still. We do see this improving—the return of home values is huge for this. The overwhelming majority of mom-and-pop retail startups use home equity loans for their initial line of funding, and this simply wasn’t going to happen three years ago when the average U.S. home had lost 30% of its value and record numbers of Americans were underwater on their mortgages. Last year’s strong rebound in single-family home pricing hasn’t been enough to bring back the mom-and-pops and won’t be. Considering home pricing appreciation is likely to moderate to much lower (but sustainable) Market Vacancy Rate Q4 2013 Vacancy Rate Q3 2013 Vacancy Rate Q4 2012 31 Richmond 8.6% 8.1% 8.8% 32 Hampton Roads 8.8% 8.3% 7.8% 33 Tucson 8.8% 9.1% 9.5% 34 Louisville 9.0% 9.0% 8.7% 35 Orlando 9.0% 9.2% 9.3% 36 Tampa 9.3% 9.3% 9.1% 37 Dallas 9.8% 9.9% 10.2% 38 Indianapolis 9.8% 9.9% 10.0% 39 Charlotte 9.9% 9.3% 9.7% 40 Oklahoma City 10.1% 10.4% 10.6% 41 Jacksonville 10.2% 10.5% 10.6% 42 Kansas City 10.2% 9.8% 10.0% 43 Milwaukee/Madison 10.4% 9.8% 10.3% 44 Mobile 10.4% 9.6% 8.1% 45 Nashville 10.4% 10.4% 11.3% 46 Inland Empire 10.5% 10.3% 10.7% 47 Albuquerque 10.6% 9.8% 9.9% 48 Omaha 10.8% 10.5% 9.4% 49 St. Louis 11.0% 10.9% 10.9% 50 Chicago 11.0% 9.4% 9.8% 51 Sacramento 11.3% 10.6% 11.2% 52 Cincinnati/Dayton 11.5% 11.7% 12.0% 53 Las Vegas 11.8% 11.3% 11.9% 54 Atlanta 11.9% 11.9% 12.3% 55 Detroit 12.0% 11.5% 11.8% 56 Birmingham 12.1% 12.0% 14.2% 57 Phoenix 12.1% 11.8% 12.9% 58 Cleveland 12.7% 12.2% 12.3% 59 Memphis 13.4% 13.1% 13.7% 60 Reno 14.8% 14.1% 14.4% 56 Atlanta, GA 12.2% 12.1% 12.6% 57 Cleveland, OH 12.6% 12.1% 12.2% 58 Birmingham, AL 13.7% 13.4% 13.6% 59 Memphis, TN 13.9% 13.8% 14.4% 60 Reno, NV 14.9% 13.8% 14.5% levels in 2014, it will still be years before we see the same numbers of new mom-and-pop retail startups back in the marketplace. In the meantime, we will see slow improvement, but this is bad news for Class B and C landlords. That’s because mom-and-pops account for a significant portion of tenancy in these centers. But, as we stated earlier, retail (again—we are speaking on the whole) is in expansion mode. So, as available Class A space becomes harder to find and much more expensive, why wouldn’t the usual dynamic kick in? Well, to a certain extent, it has. Class B centers in the strongest marketplaces showed significant improvement—though not a lot of rental rate growth—in 2013. That dynamic is starting to spread to retail markets that have lagged during the recovery period—the Midwest and the Deep South in particular. But it is not a very deep trend. The fact of the matter is that retail growth is being driven by national credit retailers who want Class A space. In the old paradigm, if they couldn’t find that space at the price point they needed, say, in the Los Angeles market, then they would look at the Class B+ centers. And then the Class B centers, if need be. But increasingly, we are seeing those tenants willing to hold out until either new product becomes available, or they are going to other markets where they can find the Class A space they need, rather than staying put in one geographic area. And so, back to the question of new development. Increasing levels of new development will slow improvement in the Class B and C marketplace. Pivotal in this will be the performance of Class B product. Landlords of these shopping centers need to find every way they can to upgrade their product to compete with Class A space. That being said, improvement will continue to come slowly and mom-and-pops will also continue to trickle back to the marketplace—something critical for Class C owners. Also, Class B and C landlords may see a boost from “flight to quality blowback.” This would be tenants that upgraded in 2009 and 2010 to premier shopping centers whose leases are nearing expirations and stiff rental rate increases upon renewal. But don’t expect a ton of movement here. Theoretically, most of the retailers that upgraded space in flight to quality moves also likely boosted 2013 was the year of Class A recovery in the heartland. The coastal markets already saw this and have seen improvement spread to Class B properties. This same trend will replicate itself in the Midwest and Deep South beginning this year for Class B shopping centers. Cassidy Turley | 7 Retail Review Spring 2014 their retail traffic and their sales levels and should be able to afford higher rents. But the fact of the matter is that with more development of quality product on the way, Class B and C centers will see less of that overflow demand. Where You At? 2013 was a year in which we saw steadily increasing shopping center occupancy and continued declines in vacancy in most major U.S. markets. In fact, for many metros in the nation’s heartland, the past year was the strongest year in terms of occupancy growth recorded since the economic downturn. Retail recovery initially started with Class A properties on the coasts and in Texas in 2010. As vacancy levels for Class A product fell, we saw the return of rental rate growth in many of these markets heading into 2011 and beyond. By 2012, Class B assets in coastal markets were seeing a boost—retailers looking to grow had few Class A options left and faced rapidly increasing rental rates for what little quality space remained on the market. But against this backdrop, national credit retailers have increasingly been boosting their growth levels in inland markets— from California’s Central Valley to Western Pennsylvania and all points between. In fact, Class A space is now in scarce supply even in markets that otherwise have elevated vacancy levels, and Class B space is finally starting to see improvement in many Midwest and Deep South markets that have lagged in the current period of recovery. Of course, clearly the rising tide of economic improvement is not lifting all ships. Class C product remains challenged in most markets and accounts for the lion’s share of the nation’s existing shopping center vacancy. This isn’t going to change any time soon—retailer growth continues to be driven by national credit chains and these higher quality tenants are demanding the best sites. This is one of the reasons why we saw a surge in occupancy growth in many markets over the past year that had lagged in recovery. As quality sites have become harder to find (and more expensive) on both coasts, more chains have looked to the heartland to satisfy growth requirements. And so over the course of 2013, we saw markets like California’s Inland Empire, Sacramento, Denver, Las Vegas, Phoenix, Minneapolis/St. Paul, St. Louis, Cincinnati/Dayton, Cleveland, Detroit, Milwaukee/ Madison, New Orleans, Birmingham, Nashville, Atlanta, Charlotte, Jacksonville, Orlando and Raleigh/Durham all put up very solid occupancy growth totals. In many cases, these trade areas far outpaced “stronger” markets in terms of growth in 2013. For example, while the Atlanta marketplace may be struggling with an 11.9% vacancy rate, the nearly 2.2 million square feet of positive net absorption it recorded over the past year more than tripled the roughly 614,000 square feet of occupancy growth posted in the “white-hot” San Jose market. The reason for this shift is quite simple. Retailers are going where quality space remains. Really, 2013 was the year of Class A recovery in the heartland. The coastal markets already saw this and have seen improvement spread to Class B properties. This same trend will replicate itself in the Midwest and Deep South beginning this year for Class B shopping centers. However, we have yet to see much rental rate growth for this product type on the coasts, and what does happen in those markets in 2014 will be focused mostly on B+ or otherwise stronger product. The heartland timeline is approximately one year behind. But increasing levels of new development will pose challenges to landlords everywhere. Until deliveries in those coastal market pick up, expanding national credit tenants will continue to look inland for opportunities for growth. Texas and Florida are their own unique marketplaces. Both remain attractive to retailers in terms of growth, but with many of their markets still dealing with inflated vacancy levels, rental rate growth has been inhibited. In the case of Texas, this is because it was one of the few places you could build in the recession, and construction never really took a significant break. In the case of Florida, markets like Miami and South Florida are following the same trends we have seen in the major markets of the West Coast and Eastern Seaboard from Washington, DC, to Boston. Orlando and Tampa are working their way back from overbuilding and weak housing markets and seem to be on the same track we are now following in Las Vegas, Phoenix and Denver. Meanwhile, panhandle and northern Florida markets are firmly showing the same trends evident elsewhere in the Deep South—delayed improvement, but the trajectory is clearly towards lower vacancy levels and increased occupancy growth. As for Class C product, there will continue to be only minimal relief as far as occupancy growth goes and certainly nothing in the way of overall (statistically) rental rate growth. Increasing levels of new development will slow improvement in the Class B and C marketplace. Pivotal in this will be the performance of Class B product. Landlords of these shopping centers need to find every way they can to upgrade their product to compete with Class A space. Cassidy Turley | 8 National/Regional Summaries National Summary Current Qtr Last 12 Months Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate 3,536,169,688 354,715,495 10.0% 23,996,320 9,702,608 8,663,672 $15.22 Power Centers 904,138,069 55,687,323 6.2% 7,765,678 3,648,566 1,594,226 $19.85 Malls 664,723,918 30,014,197 4.5% 2,369,000 626,720 2,578,076 $22.86 Specialty Centers 170,147,414 12,595,434 7.4% 3,684,879 3,031,276 4,285,416 $24.03 5,275,179,089 453,012,449 8.6% 37,815,877 17,009,170 17,121,390 Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate Community/Neighborhood/Strip 640,928,654 51,485,320 8.0% 4,783,495 1,945,176 2,175,351 $20.11 Power Centers 150,579,612 8,423,332 5.6% 1,377,466 249,888 183,200 $23.30 Malls 113,391,217 2,685,350 2.4% 734,754 224,600 111,558 $24.59 34,722,555 2,450,813 7.1% 875,621 685,118 1,328,249 $28.63 939,622,038 65,044,815 6.9% 7,771,336 3,104,782 3,798,358 Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate 326,034,025 37,950,294 11.6% 2,782,934 327,774 545,844 $13.85 Power Centers 86,989,128 5,873,557 6.8% 874,327 207,408 130,448 $18.52 Malls 56,332,578 2,911,657 5.2% 220,761 8,800 1,714,000 $21.16 Specialty Centers 13,513,603 1,269,205 9.4% 631,297 529,141 385,585 $20.86 482,869,334 48,004,713 9.9% 4,509,319 1,073,123 2,775,877 Shopping Centers Community/Neighborhood/Strip All Shopping Centers Regional Summaries PACIFIC Shopping Centers Specialty Centers All Shopping Centers Current Qtr MOUNTAIN Shopping Centers Community/Neighborhood/Strip All Shopping Centers Last 12 Months Current Qtr MIDWEST GREAT PLAINS Last 12 Months Current Qtr Last 12 Months Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate 190,186,144 18,947,496 10.0% 1,145,376 265,856 281,782 $12.00 Power Centers 53,225,688 4,842,423 9.1% (72,770) 167,209 310,649 $16.10 Malls 40,745,768 2,344,418 5.8% 138,051 - - $16.25 9,924,714 1,165,650 11.7% 507,897 669,800 417,500 $13.91 294,082,314 27,299,987 9.3% 1,718,554 1,102,865 1,009,931 Shopping Centers Community/Neighborhood/Strip Specialty Centers All Shopping Centers Cassidy Turley | 9 National/Regional Summaries Regional Summaries MIDWEST GREAT LAKES Current Qtr Last 12 Months Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate Community/Neighborhood/Strip 476,403,930 63,075,999 13.2% 795,174 1,561,554 318,468 $12.33 Power Centers 133,598,867 10,860,777 8.1% 1,071,382 651,177 19,400 $14.49 Malls 95,637,558 7,721,133 8.1% 73,801 - - $14.00 Specialty Centers 22,515,044 1,109,531 4.9% 190,950 4,500 555,895 $19.31 728,155,399 82,767,440 11.4% 2,131,307 2,217,231 893,763 Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate Community/Neighborhood/Strip 469,168,806 47,011,693 10.0% 5,370,876 2,119,048 1,018,544 $13.34 Power Centers 105,443,252 5,345,154 5.1% 1,728,040 1,104,363 257,088 $18.46 Malls 75,145,367 3,657,370 4.9% 364,748 6,200 5,018 $18.54 Specialty Centers 22,023,164 1,598,130 7.3% 140,757 19,345 - $19.52 671,780,589 57,612,347 8.6% 7,604,421 3,248,956 1,280,650 Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate 134,898,198 15,323,252 11.4% 918,786 120,754 2,400 $10.90 Power Centers 32,993,509 3,068,646 9.3% 540,622 139,200 5,300 $16.71 Malls 19,698,788 2,175,399 11.0% 549,943 - - $16.65 6,635,170 1,164,004 17.5% (133,764) - - $14.61 194,225,665 21,731,301 11.2% 1,875,587 259,954 7,700 Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate Community/Neighborhood/Strip 661,892,706 71,985,640 10.9% 3,869,324 1,647,744 2,058,174 $14.17 Power Centers 132,141,012 8,149,353 6.2% 813,356 495,898 537,511 $27.05 Malls 105,068,840 3,421,744 3.3% 181,482 14,120 - $33.63 32,309,120 2,378,992 7.4% 879,172 729,763 796,779 $29.29 931,411,678 85,935,729 9.2% 5,743,334 2,887,525 3,392,464 Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate Community/Neighborhood/Strip 636,657,225 48,935,801 7.7% 4,330,355 1,714,702 2,263,109 $17.51 Power/Regional Centers 209,167,001 9,124,081 4.4% 1,433,255 633,423 150,630 $18.93 Malls 158,703,802 5,097,126 3.2% 105,460 373,000 747,500 $24.96 28,504,044 1,459,109 5.1% 592,949 393,609 801,408 $26.89 1,033,032,072 64,616,117 6.3% 6,462,019 3,114,734 3,962,647 Shopping Centers All Shopping Centers TEXAS SOUTH CENTRAL Shopping Centers All Shopping Centers Current Qtr SOUTHERN US Shopping Centers Community/Neighborhood/Strip Specialty Centers All Shopping Centers Current Qtr SOUTH ATLANTIC Shopping Centers Specialty Centers All Shopping Centers Specialty Centers All Shopping Centers Last 12 Months Current Qtr NORTHEAST Shopping Centers Last 12 Months Last 12 Months Current Qtr Last 12 Months Cassidy Turley | 10 Statistical Overview Pacific Region HAWAII Current Qtr Historical Vacancy Last 12 Months Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate 15,151,559 495,841 3.3% 3.6% 3.9% 52,513 164,238 27,711 55,839 $32.76 6,704,705 157,783 2.4% 2.7% 2.9% 26,519 36,165 - - $37.23 757,201 66,534 8.8% 14.7% 15.4% 44,586 49,939 - - $38.59 Strip 1,587,954 113,817 7.2% 7.7% 8.5% 7,843 20,465 - - $23.78 Malls 3,750,236 4,548 0.1% 0.0% 0.7% (4,548) 21,740 - 15,558 $48.00 27,951,655 838,523 3.0% 3.3% 3.6% 126,913 292,547 27,711 71,397 Shopping Centers Community/Neighborhood Power/Regional Centers Specialty Centers All Shopping Centers INLAND EMPIRE, CA* Current Qtr Historical Vacancy Last 12 Months Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Community/Neighborhood 74,294,816 8,318,881 11.2% 11.5% 11.5% 242,425 411,548 196,039 374,454 $15.60 Power/Regional Centers 20,388,423 1,841,220 9.0% 9.2% 11.0% 42,246 442,174 50,353 135,000 $18.52 6,179,444 745,019 12.1% 11.8% 12.6% (16,281) 39,931 4,990 - $22.03 Strip 14,237,975 1,687,913 11.9% 12.1% 12.3% 35,034 133,858 76,553 - $15.99 Malls 12,406,836 756,981 6.1% 6.2% 6.9% 7,817 252,414 165,750 - $39.86 127,507,494 13,350,014 10.5% 10.3% 10.7% 311,241 1,279,925 493,685 509,454 Historical Vacancy Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate Shopping Centers Specialty Centers All Shopping Centers Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate *Riverside & San Bernardino Counties, CA LOS ANGELES, CA Current Qtr Last 12 Months Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption 118,785,099 7,830,901 6.6% 6.7% 7.0% 330,989 724,821 306,780 230,249 $21.64 35,393,714 1,560,082 4.4% 4.2% 4.9% (65,728) 193,177 13,472 30,000 $21.51 7,598,417 282,666 3.7% 5.4% 4.1% 128,497 157,929 135,000 382,836 $40.02 Strip 38,665,628 2,933,112 7.6% 7.5% 8.0% (496) 239,226 79,387 181,687 $22.93 Malls 29,587,724 459,176 1.6% 2.0% 2.6% 138,076 297,106 - - $20.73 230,030,582 13,065,937 5.7% 5.6% 6.0% 531,338 1,612,259 534,639 824,772 Shopping Centers Community/Neighborhood Power/Regional Centers Specialty Centers All Shopping Centers OAKLAND/EAST BAY, CA Current Qtr Historical Vacancy Last 12 Months Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate Community/Neighborhood 36,197,316 2,046,554 5.7% 6.0% 6.2% 192,957 386,695 201,428 - $20.75 Power/Regional Centers 10,582,235 564,465 5.3% 5.3% 6.8% 47,185 201,301 53,011 - $17.24 Specialty Centers 2,081,781 59,692 2.9% 2.7% 2.7% 4,500 140,536 147,214 - $30.00 Strip 6,093,231 525,811 8.6% 8.6% 7.9% (1,699) (3,899) 25,640 14,750 $19.62 Malls 7,890,277 335,398 4.3% 5.0% 4.4% 58,151 8,553 - - $25.39 62,844,840 3,531,920 5.6% 5.5% 5.7% 301,094 733,186 427,293 14,750 Shopping Centers All Shopping Centers ORANGE COUNTY, CA Current Qtr Historical Vacancy Last 12 Months Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate Community/Neighborhood 55,264,722 3,565,430 6.5% 6.6% 6.9% 153,091 324,497 84,627 39,710 $22.59 Power/Regional Centers 11,865,807 645,753 5.4% 5.6% 4.8% 20,192 (79,278) - - $31.32 4,866,193 455,958 9.4% 11.5% 11.5% 103,399 103,706 - 460,208 $26.66 Strip 11,887,218 726,014 6.1% 6.4% 7.8% 35,549 214,678 15,724 15,000 $21.95 Malls 14,094,768 373,191 2.6% 2.6% 2.9% 1,117 69,062 30,600 - $37.09 All Shopping Centers 97,978,708 5,766,346 5.9% 5.7% 6.1% 313,348 632,665 130,951 514,918 Shopping Centers Specialty Centers Cassidy Turley | 11 Statistical Overview Pacific Region PORTLAND, OR Current Qtr Historical Vacancy Last 12 Months Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate Community/Neighborhood 43,555,591 3,413,240 7.8% 8.0% 8.7% 80,056 455,362 71,380 - $15.35 Power/Regional Centers 14,083,153 907,110 6.4% 6.7% 6.2% 30,332 29,187 73,279 - $17.46 Specialty Centers 2,101,207 34,870 1.7% 1.6% 2.7% (1,906) 22,907 - 145,205 $23.66 Strip 8,823,587 1,087,071 12.3% 12.7% 13.2% 34,069 93,623 19,039 - $15.94 Malls 6,768,604 335,133 5.0% 4.8% 5.1% (8,162) 7,368 - - $12.27 75,332,142 5,777,424 7.7% 7.7% 8.1% 134,389 608,447 163,698 145,205 Shopping Centers All Shopping Centers SACRAMENTO, CA Current Qtr Historical Vacancy Last 12 Months Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate Community/Neighborhood 44,460,055 5,132,270 11.5% 11.6% 12.4% 194,359 554,718 200,967 244,660 $16.17 Power/Regional Centers 15,168,177 1,396,639 9.2% 7.7% 10.3% (132,060) 273,359 127,052 12,600 $19.34 3,371,348 478,679 14.2% 11.1% 10.9% (103,218) (112,179) - - $21.83 Strip 10,653,288 1,696,211 15.9% 16.1% 15.9% 16,299 2,583 5,000 - $14.52 Malls 4,608,805 130,019 2.8% 2.2% 2.2% (9,718) (9,718) 21,000 - 78,261,673 8,833,818 11.3% 10.6% 11.2% (34,338) 708,763 354,019 257,260 Historical Vacancy Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate Shopping Centers Specialty Centers All Shopping Centers SAN DIEGO, CA Current Qtr Last 12 Months Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Community/Neighborhood 44,806,338 3,195,770 7.1% 7.3% 6.9% 95,042 160,545 264,576 139,162 $21.08 Power/Regional Centers 12,411,058 409,160 3.3% 3.6% 3.8% 34,352 73,783 6,000 5,600 $26.45 2,282,028 144,071 6.3% 4.9% 6.2% 76,338 104,790 115,000 140,000 $20.38 Strip 10,791,089 776,145 7.2% 7.3% 8.0% 13,408 87,860 4,881 7,100 $20.09 Malls 12,513,882 27,685 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% - 4,321 - - All Shopping Centers 82,804,395 4,552,831 5.5% 5.4% 5.3% 219,140 431,299 390,457 291,862 Shopping Centers Specialty Centers SAN FRANCISCO, CA* Current Qtr Historical Vacancy Last 12 Months Shopping Centers Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Community/Neighborhood 7,368,951 295,176 4.0% 4.3% 3.8% 20,605 (14,653) - 270,000 $31.91 Power/Regional Centers 3,670,796 42,805 1.2% 1.5% 2.6% 10,494 50,881 - - $43.89 Specialty Centers 1,484,246 34,526 2.3% 2.4% 3.9% 439 23,643 - - $60.00 Strip 1,891,532 70,291 3.7% 3.4% 4.5% (6,904) 15,617 - - $25.89 Malls 3,871,240 35,172 0.9% 1.8% 1.8% 34,819 36,387 - 96,000 $36.00 18,286,765 477,970 2.6% 2.8% 2.8% 59,453 111,875 - 366,000 All Shopping Centers Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate *Includes San Francisco and San Mateo Counties SAN JOSE, CA Current Qtr Historical Vacancy Last 12 Months Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate 25,333,883 1,570,070 6.2% 6.4% 6.8% 86,856 361,907 215,402 496,822 $27.10 6,581,429 322,466 4.9% 5.6% 6.9% 46,335 131,170 - - $31.91 715,372 1,762 0.2% 0.0% 2.3% (1,762) 14,838 - - Strip 5,717,026 333,490 5.8% 6.2% 6.2% 19,160 62,957 45,796 33,448 $25.32 Malls 7,587,949 68,853 0.9% 1.5% 1.5% 42,612 43,068 - - $33.00 45,935,659 2,296,641 5.0% 5.0% 5.5% 193,201 613,940 261,198 530,270 Shopping Centers Community/Neighborhood Power/Regional Centers Specialty Centers All Shopping Centers Cassidy Turley | 12 Statistical Overview Pacific Region SANTA BARBARA, CA Current Qtr Historical Vacancy Last 12 Months Shopping Centers Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate Community/Neighborhood 6,145,022 506,954 8.2% 7.9% 8.4% (24,289) 69,871 64,555 - $18.65 Power/Regional Centers 2,533,490 34,959 1.4% 1.2% 1.7% (4,396) 9,259 - - $28.00 - - 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% - - - - Strip 952,597 31,948 3.4% 4.8% 4.4% 14,004 10,251 - - Malls - - 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% - - - - 9,631,109 573,861 6.0% 5.7% 6.0% (14,681) 89,381 64,555 - Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate Community/Neighborhood 45,920,243 3,931,988 8.6% 8.7% 9.0% 131,379 292,141 95,846 64,928 $17.60 Power/Regional Centers 11,196,625 540,890 4.8% 4.9% 5.2% 9,079 45,452 - - $22.85 3,285,318 147,036 4.5% 5.2% 6.5% 207,932 329,581 282,914 200,000 $22.38 Strip 12,343,934 1,200,422 9.7% 9.5% 9.8% (24,584) 14,586 8,400 7,542 $18.20 Malls 10,310,896 159,194 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 2,392 4,453 7,250 - $29.50 All Shopping Centers 83,057,016 5,979,530 7.2% 7.1% 7.3% 326,198 686,213 394,410 272,470 Specialty Centers All Shopping Centers SEATTLE, WA Shopping Centers Specialty Centers Current Qtr Historical Vacancy Last 12 Months $23.50 Mountain Summary ALBUQUERQUE, NM Current Qtr Historical Vacancy Last 12 Months Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate 15,184,466 1,691,130 11.1% 10.5% 10.6% (102,207) (86,994) - - $12.54 1,722,711 84,956 4.9% 4.9% 1.6% - (54,322) 3,000 - $15.81 212,283 9,000 4.2% 4.2% 4.2% - - - - Strip 3,537,090 422,466 11.9% 10.8% 12.6% (39,649) 31,821 11,544 - $14.18 Malls 3,182,681 311,299 9.8% 9.7% 9.8% (2,323) (110) - - $9.00 23,839,231 2,518,851 10.6% 9.8% 9.9% (144,179) (109,605) 14,544 - Shopping Centers Community/Neighborhood Power/Regional Centers Specialty Centers All Shopping Centers DENVER, CO Current Qtr Historical Vacancy Last 12 Months Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Community/Neighborhood 63,756,460 5,574,154 8.7% 8.7% 9.3% (5,958) 416,709 36,414 36,539 $14.11 Power/Regional Centers 25,583,059 1,466,404 5.7% 5.8% 6.2% 6,147 189,423 74,799 130,448 $18.99 Specialty Centers 1,728,952 205,865 11.9% 13.3% 12.2% 23,366 31,592 30,960 - $20.96 Strip 9,982,013 858,225 8.6% 8.7% 9.9% 11,180 169,117 45,384 24,299 $14.89 Malls 13,694,641 539,008 3.9% 4.1% 4.2% 21,180 50,942 8,800 14,000 $23.07 114,745,125 8,643,656 7.5% 7.3% 7.8% 55,915 857,783 196,357 205,286 Shopping Centers All Shopping Centers Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate Cassidy Turley | 13 Statistical Overview Mountain Region LAS VEGAS, NV Current Qtr Historical Vacancy Last 12 Months Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate Community/Neighborhood 41,816,430 6,026,515 14.4% 14.6% 15.0% 79,291 256,981 - 228,400 $14.95 Power/Regional Centers 15,706,226 1,006,236 6.4% 6.9% 7.7% 79,711 211,605 12,404 - $18.27 Specialty Centers 3,472,811 195,936 5.6% 5.7% 8.3% 2,869 92,511 - 332,432 $22.43 Strip 9,505,515 1,449,648 15.3% 15.1% 16.0% (11,997) 93,494 22,149 - $14.70 Malls 6,674,864 409,549 6.1% 6.1% 6.3% 481 11,296 - 1,700,000 $23.73 77,175,846 9,087,884 11.8% 11.3% 11.9% 150,355 665,887 34,553 2,260,832 Historical Vacancy Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate Community/Neighborhood 90,618,312 12,973,548 14.3% 14.5% 15.6% 222,022 1,322,838 142,645 16,500 $13.53 Power/Regional Centers 26,274,869 1,790,240 6.8% 7.1% 8.0% 69,536 326,031 9,085 - $19.75 4,138,385 427,846 10.3% 9.3% 9.8% (44,474) 312,183 370,931 - $17.95 Strip 13,385,273 2,326,580 17.4% 17.6% 18.6% 44,754 173,835 15,961 - $13.31 Malls 19,508,536 1,118,026 5.7% 5.8% 6.4% 13,853 121,049 - - $21.37 153,925,375 18,636,240 12.1% 11.8% 12.9% 305,691 2,255,936 538,622 16,500 Historical Vacancy Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Shopping Centers All Shopping Centers PHOENIX, AZ Shopping Centers Specialty Centers All Shopping Centers Current Qtr RENO, NV Current Qtr Last 12 Months Last 12 Months Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption 11,425,929 1,517,892 13.3% 13.6% 13.5% 37,387 22,973 - 2,500 $14.00 3,063,153 703,463 23.0% 23.3% 23.6% 9,006 20,859 - - $12.27 667,074 68,494 10.3% 10.3% 9.6% 128 (4,391) - - $28.03 Strip 2,828,158 500,764 17.7% 17.3% 17.8% (12,506) 12,239 11,968 11,000 $15.61 Malls 1,926,419 151,651 7.9% 7.9% 8.6% - 14,132 - - $18.94 19,910,733 2,942,264 14.8% 14.1% 14.4% 34,015 65,812 11,968 13,500 Shopping Centers Community/Neighborhood Power/Regional Centers Specialty Centers All Shopping Centers SALT LAKE CITY, UT Current Qtr Historical Vacancy Last 12 Months Average Quoted Rate Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate 34,043,941 1,761,334 5.2% 5.1% 5.3% (21,125) 53,413 6,460 110,000 $12.41 Power/Regional Centers 9,811,847 590,458 6.0% 6.1% 5.0% 11,729 (98,183) - - $15.87 Specialty Centers 2,374,197 292,705 12.3% 12.4% 16.4% 1,307 202,028 127,250 53,153 $22.49 Strip 7,054,481 449,544 6.4% 6.6% 7.4% 14,522 70,899 - - $14.00 Malls 8,960,949 350,512 3.9% 4.0% 4.2% 10,660 23,452 - - $19.20 62,245,415 3,444,553 5.5% 5.5% 5.7% 17,093 251,609 133,710 163,153 Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate 19,018,346 1,879,058 9.9% 10.5% 10.9% 133,961 219,084 35,249 116,606 $14.83 4,827,263 231,800 4.8% 5.0% 6.5% 11,303 180,731 108,120 - $20.42 919,901 69,359 7.5% 7.0% 7.3% (4,701) (2,626) - - $23.29 Strip 3,877,611 519,436 13.4% 13.5% 14.1% 4,138 26,525 - - $12.91 Malls 2,384,488 31,612 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% - - - - $26.77 31,027,609 2,731,265 8.8% 9.1% 9.5% 144,701 423,714 143,369 116,606 Shopping Centers Community/Neighborhood All Shopping Centers TUCSON, AZ Shopping Centers Community/Neighborhood Power/Regional Centers Specialty Centers All Shopping Centers Current Qtr Historical Vacancy Last 12 Months Cassidy Turley | 14 Statistical Overview Midwest/Great Plains Region DES MOINES, IA Current Qtr Historical Vacancy Last 12 Months Shopping Centers Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate Community/Neighborhood 8,661,257 531,105 6.1% 5.9% 6.6% (16,709) 37,011 - - $10.13 Power/Regional Centers 1,501,164 166,797 11.1% 10.6% 7.9% (7,928) (47,895) - - $13.78 503,259 6,288 1.2% 2.6% 6.0% 6,600 23,663 - 17,500 $21.51 Strip 2,392,508 281,711 11.8% 12.1% 13.3% 6,677 65,264 34,064 - $11.30 Malls 4,846,567 212,407 4.4% 4.6% 4.7% 10,000 13,461 - - $16.53 17,904,755 1,198,308 6.7% 6.7% 7.0% (1,360) 91,504 34,064 17,500 Specialty Centers All Shopping Centers KANSAS CITY, MO Current Qtr Historical Vacancy Last 12 Months Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate Community/Neighborhood 44,046,768 4,811,056 10.9% 10.8% 11.1% (15,407) 196,149 116,012 213,492 $10.93 Power/Regional Centers 16,335,181 1,580,130 9.7% 10.0% 10.1% 121,322 157,507 99,599 272,000 $17.43 Specialty Centers 2,517,976 360,166 14.3% 14.3% 11.4% - (73,477) - - $9.94 Strip 6,809,946 968,598 14.2% 14.2% 15.2% (3,604) 69,885 - - $11.82 Malls 8,047,849 203,559 2.5% 2.6% 2.8% 2,297 20,434 - - $26.34 77,757,720 7,923,509 10.2% 9.8% 10.0% 104,608 370,498 215,611 485,492 Historical Vacancy Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate Shopping Centers All Shopping Centers MINNEAPOLIS/ST. PAUL, MN Current Qtr Last 12 Months Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Community/Neighborhood 41,467,632 3,104,675 7.5% 7.7% 8.2% 87,730 335,189 26,999 23,690 $13.78 Power/Regional Centers 15,623,276 881,625 5.6% 5.9% 5.9% 58,270 110,507 67,610 18,589 $17.38 2,997,032 105,048 3.5% 3.8% 4.6% 7,529 33,056 - 400,000 $19.09 Strip 11,672,462 1,267,652 10.9% 11.0% 12.0% 19,887 158,649 31,470 - $12.83 Malls 11,758,172 243,489 2.1% 2.2% 2.4% 19,008 38,929 - - $14.00 All Shopping Centers 83,518,574 5,602,489 6.7% 6.8% 7.3% 192,424 676,330 126,079 442,279 Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate 13,556,816 1,501,047 11.1% 12.1% 11.7% 141,881 91,834 - - $11.37 7,303,742 940,752 12.9% 13.2% 8.6% 26,606 (311,306) - - $13.90 256,566 - 0.0% 0.0% 0.6% - 1,471 - - Strip 3,999,920 441,647 11.0% 11.9% 13.1% 34,495 90,772 9,000 - $11.31 Malls 2,326,441 84,557 3.6% 3.6% 5.6% - 46,584 - - $9.75 27,443,485 2,968,003 10.8% 10.5% 9.4% 202,982 (80,645) 9,000 - Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate Community/Neighborhood 48,055,954 4,847,075 10.1% 10.1% 10.1% (13,504) 33,226 25,000 - $11.64 Power/Regional Centers 12,462,325 1,273,119 10.2% 10.4% 10.4% 25,623 18,417 - 20,060 $14.30 Specialty Centers 3,649,881 694,148 19.0% 18.9% 18.4% (4,954) 523,184 669,800 - $12.33 Strip 9,522,881 1,192,930 12.5% 12.7% 13.0% 14,102 67,397 23,311 44,600 $13.13 Malls 13,766,739 1,600,406 11.6% 11.8% 11.8% 23,538 18,643 - - $13.26 All Shopping Centers 87,457,780 9,607,678 11.0% 10.9% 10.9% 44,805 660,867 718,111 64,660 Shopping Centers Specialty Centers OMAHA, NE Shopping Centers Community/Neighborhood Power/Regional Centers Specialty Centers All Shopping Centers Current Qtr ST. LOUIS, MO Shopping Centers Current Qtr Historical Vacancy Historical Vacancy Last 12 Months Last 12 Months Cassidy Turley | 15 Statistical Overview Midwest/Great Lakes Region CHICAGO, IL Shopping Centers Current Qtr Historical Vacancy Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate (1,897,699) 423,166 205,404 $14.45 (180,538) 664,660 538,000 - $16.00 4.8% 49,112 128,657 4,500 555,895 $23.74 13.4% 13.0% 79,015 27,783 83,000 37,000 $16.10 3.5% 3.6% 3.2% 3,045 (112,911) - - $21.96 11.0% 9.4% 9.8% (1,189,510) 1,048,666 798,299 Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr 134,268,913 18,781,211 14.0% 11.5% 12.3% 43,820,992 2,900,825 6.6% 6.2% 7.0% 8,166,515 270,794 3.3% 3.9% Strip 35,095,647 4,611,721 13.1% Malls 29,809,925 1,055,817 251,161,992 27,620,368 Community/Neighborhood Power/Regional Centers Specialty Centers All Shopping Centers CINCINNATI/DAYTON, OH Current Qtr Historical Vacancy Qrtly Net Absorption Last 12 Months Net Absorption Total GLA (3,299,864) (3,349,230) Last 12 Months Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate Community/Neighborhood 49,264,139 6,730,048 13.7% 14.3% 14.6% 333,027 452,366 8,524 - $9.46 Power/Regional Centers 15,390,500 1,316,352 8.6% 8.7% 10.1% 39,202 261,802 18,480 - $15.84 Specialty Centers 5,105,176 218,379 4.3% 4.3% 4.3% (489) 606 - - $11.19 Strip 9,597,404 1,230,670 12.8% 13.5% 13.4% 77,994 100,325 53,669 9,647 $13.16 Malls 10,883,335 920,733 8.5% 8.3% 9.0% (15,212) 61,628 - - $9.35 All Shopping Centers 90,240,554 10,416,182 11.5% 11.7% 12.0% 434,522 876,727 80,673 9,647 Historical Vacancy Qrtly Net Absorption Shopping Centers CLEVELAND, OH Shopping Centers Current Qtr Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Community/Neighborhood 58,553,972 7,591,869 13.0% 13.2% 13.5% Power/Regional Centers 24,354,144 2,598,323 10.7% 9.7% 10.0% 2,113,937 259,944 12.3% 13.3% 13.7% Strip 10,821,018 1,233,392 11.4% 11.2% Malls 16,941,586 2,684,263 15.8% 112,784,657 14,367,791 12.7% Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Community/Neighborhood 72,140,442 10,311,232 14.3% Power/Regional Centers 26,556,815 1,989,456 3,666,938 Strip Malls Specialty Centers All Shopping Centers Specialty Centers All Shopping Centers Under Construction Average Quoted Rate Net Absorption Deliveries 118,243 575,852 303,468 6,177 $9.80 (239,201) (123,031) 49,697 16,900 $12.35 21,342 30,440 - - $19.17 11.5% (18,184) 30,176 22,397 - $11.25 16.2% 16.2% 68,170 65,492 - - $14.17 12.2% 12.3% (49,630) 578,929 375,562 23,077 Historical Vacancy Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate 14.5% 14.7% 131,008 629,347 418,417 - $11.71 7.5% 7.4% 8.3% (14,509) 236,493 10,000 2,500 $13.49 278,444 7.6% 8.4% 8.2% 27,858 23,796 - - $18.21 19,819,263 2,999,281 15.1% 15.3% 15.8% 26,530 179,133 52,274 30,040 $12.95 21,420,603 1,615,020 7.5% 7.6% 7.7% 6,246 33,944 - - $6.86 143,604,061 17,193,433 12.0% 11.5% 11.8% 177,133 1,102,713 480,691 32,540 Historical Vacancy DETROIT, MI Shopping Centers Last 12 Months Current Qtr INDIANAPOLIS, IN Current Qtr Last 12 Months Last 12 Months Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate Community/Neighborhood 33,920,563 3,772,718 11.1% 11.3% 12.0% 98,370 368,228 73,403 30,200 $11.31 Power/Regional Centers 14,489,417 1,392,732 9.6% 9.9% 9.6% 78,876 31,458 35,000 - $16.04 Specialty Centers 1,132,628 27,326 2.4% 2.1% 2.8% (3,124) 4,876 - - $25.70 Strip 7,282,532 826,470 11.3% 11.9% 10.4% 42,222 (72,466) - - $13.50 Malls 8,885,546 452,668 5.1% 5.4% 5.4% 23,187 22,987 - - $14.21 65,710,686 6,471,914 9.8% 9.9% 10.0% 239,531 355,083 108,403 30,200 Shopping Centers All Shopping Centers Cassidy Turley | 16 Statistical Overview Midwest Great Lakes Region MILWAUKEE/MADISON, WI Current Qtr Historical Vacancy Last 12 Months Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate 37,630,780 4,130,940 11.0% 11.0% 11.6% 734 341,900 120,436 - $10.38 Power/Regional Centers 8,986,999 663,089 7.4% 7.3% 8.2% (5,772) 323,114 - - $11.09 Specialty Centers 2,329,850 54,644 2.3% 2.3% 2.5% - 2,575 - - $20.33 Strip 8,009,257 856,447 10.7% 10.8% 11.4% 7,867 60,229 2,800 - $13.43 Malls 7,696,563 992,632 12.9% 12.9% 12.9% - 2,661 - - $9.01 64,653,449 6,697,752 10.4% 9.8% 10.3% 2,829 730,479 123,236 - Shopping Centers Community/Neighborhood All Shopping Centers Texas/Panhandle/Lower Mississippi Delta Region AUSTIN, TX Current Qtr Historical Vacancy Last 12 Months Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate Community/Neighborhood 25,554,323 2,231,024 8.7% 9.2% 9.4% 118,882 287,409 120,320 - $16.17 Power/Regional Centers 16,763,100 638,231 3.8% 4.0% 4.7% 49,756 191,494 48,924 54,750 $18.72 Specialty Centers 2,916,369 57,518 2.0% 0.8% 1.2% (33,900) (10,663) 10,845 - $23.25 Strip 6,800,114 707,015 10.4% 11.4% 11.0% 71,814 99,801 64,396 30,725 $17.79 Malls 5,233,547 4,988 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 5,766 6,200 6,200 - 57,267,453 3,638,776 6.4% 6.4% 6.6% 212,318 574,241 250,685 85,475 Shopping Centers All Shopping Centers DALLAS, TX Current Qtr Historical Vacancy Last 12 Months Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption 120,538,256 14,358,372 11.9% 12.2% 12.5% 425,582 1,066,523 370,824 631,268 $12.72 33,057,559 1,726,587 5.2% 5.7% 5.9% 150,736 618,918 427,477 138,085 $19.79 6,514,828 383,638 5.9% 5.8% 6.6% (8,295) 57,163 8,500 - $17.74 Strip 31,072,513 3,538,230 11.4% 11.9% 12.6% 148,999 533,759 162,417 62,537 $14.47 Malls 26,521,497 1,389,843 5.2% 5.3% 5.2% 14,721 (18,997) - - $21.27 217,704,653 21,396,670 9.8% 9.9% 10.2% 731,743 2,257,366 969,218 831,890 Historical Vacancy Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate Shopping Centers Community/Neighborhood Power/Regional Centers Specialty Centers All Shopping Centers HOUSTON, TX Current Qtr Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate Last 12 Months Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption 119,018,825 10,406,611 8.7% 9.3% 9.7% 802,626 1,704,407 569,583 16,596 $13.71 27,242,965 1,378,366 5.1% 5.4% 5.8% 97,654 476,471 305,694 27,720 $17.55 6,539,878 769,253 11.8% 11.4% 11.2% (22,691) (33,644) - - $20.49 Strip 34,465,885 3,522,435 10.2% 10.7% 10.7% 209,371 300,829 156,283 41,675 $15.86 Malls 23,388,179 1,260,450 5.4% 5.6% 5.6% 56,809 39,479 - 5,018 $15.98 210,655,732 17,337,115 8.2% 8.5% 8.8% 1,143,769 2,487,542 1,031,560 91,009 Shopping Centers Community/Neighborhood Power/Regional Centers Specialty Centers All Shopping Centers Cassidy Turley | 17 Statistical Overview Texas/Panhandle/Lower Mississippi Delta Region LITTLE ROCK, AR Current Qtr Historical Vacancy Last 12 Months Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate 11,231,745 1,021,010 9.1% 10.1% 8.1% 108,089 (109,115) - - $9.88 4,956,647 171,761 3.5% 3.2% 2.8% (11,311) (21,711) 10,000 - $16.08 872,172 46,458 5.3% 5.9% 5.5% 5,272 1,321 - - $19.80 Strip 3,677,578 257,842 7.0% 7.2% 7.1% 5,762 11,182 7,600 - $13.82 Malls - - 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% - - - - 20,738,142 1,497,071 7.2% 7.7% 6.5% 107,812 (118,323) 17,600 - Shopping Centers Community/Neighborhood Power/Regional Centers Specialty Centers All Shopping Centers NEW ORLEANS, LA Current Qtr Historical Vacancy Last 12 Months Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate 17,098,567 1,498,128 8.8% 9.5% 10.6% 130,477 562,786 279,904 - $13.06 Power/Regional Centers 2,712,407 106,506 3.9% 3.9% 4.7% - 20,631 - - $34.00 Specialty Centers 1,564,808 26,321 1.7% 2.5% 3.2% 13,440 23,564 - - $25.00 Strip 3,350,121 382,983 11.4% 11.9% 12.4% 16,245 32,861 - - $14.36 Malls 5,252,001 131,687 2.5% 2.4% 4.1% (6,350) 82,781 - - $22.20 29,977,904 2,145,625 7.2% 7.2% 8.2% 153,812 722,623 279,904 - Shopping Centers Community/Neighborhood All Shopping Centers OKLAHOMA CITY, OK Current Qtr Historical Vacancy Last 12 Months Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption 21,216,151 2,162,807 10.2% 10.8% 10.2% 137,646 19,850 13,200 - $9.79 6,907,903 486,135 7.0% 7.0% 8.4% (3,566) 94,762 - 24,200 $13.90 643,609 39,219 6.1% 7.5% 10.3% 8,884 26,899 - - $15.86 Strip 7,101,287 509,540 7.2% 7.3% 8.9% 10,868 119,805 - - $11.54 Malls 3,002,340 732,234 24.4% 24.4% 31.1% - 202,029 - - $6.00 38,871,290 3,929,935 10.1% 10.4% 10.6% 153,832 463,345 13,200 24,200 Historical Vacancy Shopping Centers Community/Neighborhood Power/Regional Centers Specialty Centers All Shopping Centers SAN ANTONIO, TX Current Qtr Net Absorption Deliveries Last 12 Months Under Construction Average Quoted Rate Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate 34,145,740 3,168,496 9.3% 9.6% 10.0% 92,666 395,553 180,900 150,000 $13.28 Power/Regional Centers 9,863,988 634,087 6.4% 6.5% 7.6% 230,439 398,630 302,768 31,658 $19.49 Specialty Centers 1,908,325 159,773 8.4% 8.0% 14.2% (7,763) 111,427 - - $16.51 Strip 9,425,123 871,139 9.2% 9.8% 9.5% 77,831 86,432 67,279 30,000 $15.07 Malls 8,740,307 95,858 1.1% 1.3% 1.4% 13,656 29,961 - - $26.84 64,083,483 4,929,353 7.7% 7.8% 8.2% 406,829 1,022,003 550,947 211,658 Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate 18,540,237 1,902,483 10.3% 10.7% 11.3% 73,502 279,409 104,792 55,743 $9.55 Power/Regional Centers 3,938,683 203,481 5.2% 5.0% 6.0% (7,800) 43,607 9,500 4,875 $10.32 Specialty Centers 1,063,175 115,950 10.9% 11.9% 7.6% 10,926 (35,310) - - $13.56 Strip 5,932,341 473,578 8.0% 7.8% 7.3% (10,576) (20,615) 21,550 - $11.26 Malls 3,007,496 42,310 1.4% 2.0% 2.2% 18,000 23,295 - - $28.53 32,481,932 2,737,802 8.4% 8.3% 8.8% 84,052 290,386 135,842 60,618 Shopping Centers Community/Neighborhood All Shopping Centers TULSA, OK Shopping Centers Community/Neighborhood All Shopping Centers Current Qtr Historical Vacancy Last 12 Months Cassidy Turley | 18 Statistical Overview Southern US Region BIRMINGHAM, AL Current Qtr Historical Vacancy Last 12 Months Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate 22,173,040 3,084,463 13.9% 14.2% 15.0% 57,260 231,295 - - $7.93 Power/Regional Centers 9,850,445 1,171,595 11.9% 11.7% 15.4% (22,800) 467,021 139,200 - $16.42 Specialty Centers 1,354,124 202,627 15.0% 13.9% 14.7% (14,400) (3,362) - - $13.89 Strip 5,287,607 474,197 9.0% 9.2% 9.2% 12,335 13,087 2,415 - $11.72 Malls 2,818,064 86,909 3.1% 3.2% 16.3% 2,904 371,872 - - $42.00 41,483,280 5,019,791 12.1% 12.0% 14.2% 35,299 1,079,913 141,615 - Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate 24,771,956 2,214,630 8.9% 9.1% 8.9% 46,032 17,968 29,107 - $10.29 4,719,162 122,778 2.6% 2.7% 2.2% 4,492 (20,517) - - $23.68 364,956 83,147 22.8% 24.6% 34.2% 6,560 41,747 - - $18.00 Strip 3,628,346 544,151 15.0% 16.2% 15.5% 43,724 39,336 26,815 - $13.60 Malls 3,948,585 395,899 10.0% 10.0% 9.1% - (36,486) - - $8.63 37,433,005 3,360,605 9.0% 9.0% 8.7% 100,808 42,048 55,922 - Shopping Centers Community/Neighborhood All Shopping Centers LOUISVILLE, KY Shopping Centers Community/Neighborhood Power/Regional Centers Specialty Centers All Shopping Centers Current Qtr MEMPHIS, TN Shopping Centers Community/Neighborhood Current Qtr Historical Vacancy Historical Vacancy Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Last 12 Months Last 12 Months Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate 24,114,441 3,223,474 13.4% 13.3% 14.2% (5,851) 221,054 14,080 - $10.29 Power/Regional Centers 8,348,208 737,952 8.8% 8.9% 8.9% 6,579 4,618 - 5,300 $9.41 Specialty Centers 1,686,894 318,948 18.9% 20.1% 20.2% 20,000 22,335 - - $17.24 Strip 7,436,666 881,781 11.9% 11.9% 12.8% 2,079 70,042 - 2,400 $12.76 Malls 3,307,304 849,040 25.7% 25.7% 25.7% - 2,387 - - $1.19 44,893,513 6,011,195 13.4% 13.1% 13.7% 22,807 320,436 14,080 7,700 Shopping Centers Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate Community/Neighborhood 9,085,145 998,255 11.0% 10.9% 10.0% (11,392) (87,166) - - $10.56 Power/Regional Centers 1,656,655 118,340 7.1% 7.1% 7.1% (1,366) 106 - - $20.56 Specialty Centers 1,777,656 392,001 22.1% 22.1% 10.7% 1,417 (202,556) - - $14.31 Strip 2,567,999 219,589 8.6% 9.1% 9.6% 14,343 26,304 - - $11.01 Malls 2,470,766 96,971 3.9% 4.0% 4.0% 1,733 1,733 - - 17,558,221 1,825,156 10.4% 9.6% 8.1% 4,735 (261,579) - - Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate 29,983,518 3,065,713 10.2% 10.4% 11.3% 67,299 310,087 - - $12.53 Power/Regional Centers 8,419,039 917,981 10.9% 11.4% 12.0% 45,123 89,394 - - $19.63 Specialty Centers 1,451,540 167,281 11.5% 11.5% 12.1% (944) 8,072 - - $11.72 Strip 5,849,480 616,999 10.5% 10.4% 11.0% (9,367) 76,779 48,337 - $14.70 Malls 7,154,069 746,580 10.4% 10.9% 13.4% 33,060 210,437 - - $24.00 52,857,646 5,514,554 10.4% 10.4% 11.3% 135,171 694,769 48,337 - All Shopping Centers MOBILE, AL All Shopping Centers Current Qtr NASHVILLE, TN Shopping Centers Community/Neighborhood All Shopping Centers Current Qtr Historical Vacancy Historical Vacancy Last 12 Months Last 12 Months Cassidy Turley | 19 Statistical Overview Southeast Region ATLANTA, GA Current Qtr Historical Vacancy Last 12 Months Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate 114,780,653 16,196,716 14.1% 14.4% 14.5% 310,542 647,173 237,281 64,977 $12.10 34,848,579 2,711,920 7.8% 7.9% 8.3% 50,169 207,564 13,000 - $13.14 7,568,415 725,631 9.6% 10.1% 11.0% 38,821 463,629 403,786 4,571 $12.79 Strip 34,848,477 4,857,676 13.9% 14.5% 15.3% 202,203 467,264 - - $13.35 Malls 24,380,580 1,173,505 4.8% 4.8% 6.4% 740 396,925 - - $28.17 216,426,704 25,665,448 11.9% 11.9% 12.3% 602,475 2,182,555 654,067 69,548 Historical Vacancy Shopping Centers Community/Neighborhood Power/Regional Centers Specialty Centers All Shopping Centers CHARLESTON, SC Current Qtr Last 12 Months Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate 13,607,175 1,262,700 9.3% 8.6% 8.8% (89,788) (61,618) 7,208 143,246 $14.27 2,235,034 72,733 3.3% 3.9% 4.4% 13,980 26,277 - - $17.67 578,578 - 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% - - - - $24.99 Strip 2,980,578 309,471 10.4% 10.4% 9.7% 975 (19,979) - - $13.29 Malls 2,101,239 5,487 0.3% 0.3% 1.2% 1,073 19,784 - - $20.00 21,502,604 1,650,391 7.7% 6.8% 7.0% (73,760) (35,536) 7,208 143,246 Shopping Centers Community/Neighborhood Power/Regional Centers Specialty Centers All Shopping Centers CHARLOTTE, NC Current Qtr Historical Vacancy Last 12 Months Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Community/Neighborhood 46,568,512 5,693,843 12.2% 12.0% 12.3% (73,136) 453,142 468,814 447,853 $11.78 Power/Regional Centers 17,980,773 1,063,944 5.9% 5.3% 5.9% (102,665) 102,415 104,374 12,500 $16.15 Specialty Centers 3,918,348 429,745 11.0% 11.0% 11.2% 1,944 8,463 - - $9.28 Strip 9,131,363 1,056,124 11.6% 12.1% 12.4% 49,065 86,135 15,000 - $13.22 Malls 7,035,487 127,746 1.8% 1.8% 1.1% - (53,760) - - $30.69 84,634,483 8,371,402 9.9% 9.3% 9.7% (124,792) 596,395 588,188 460,353 Shopping Centers All Shopping Centers HAMPTON ROADS, VA Current Qtr Historical Vacancy Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate Last 12 Months Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate 34,503,833 3,559,828 10.3% 10.4% 9.8% 27,190 97,425 292,447 47,707 $12.09 Power/Regional Centers 9,611,687 350,626 3.6% 3.5% 3.3% (10,711) (26,198) 3,750 - $19.63 Specialty Centers 1,930,298 137,285 7.1% 7.5% 6.6% 8,345 (10,743) - - $22.19 Strip 6,909,324 722,880 10.5% 10.2% 10.1% (9,147) 31,665 66,492 9,930 $14.24 Malls 5,873,965 397,914 6.8% 6.6% 6.1% (9,732) (41,190) - - $16.26 58,829,107 5,168,533 8.8% 8.3% 7.8% 5,945 50,959 362,689 57,637 Shopping Centers Community/Neighborhood All Shopping Centers JACKSONVILLE, FL Current Qtr Historical Vacancy Last 12 Months Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate 32,113,052 3,513,997 10.9% 11.6% 11.8% 225,424 388,686 111,120 - $12.13 Power/Regional Centers 3,715,605 475,250 12.8% 12.7% 13.4% (1,580) 21,220 - - $10.68 Specialty Centers 1,386,784 81,186 5.9% 6.9% 7.3% 14,122 19,655 - - $23.94 Strip 7,462,646 880,395 11.8% 13.1% 12.9% 102,332 90,083 7,240 17,000 $13.95 Malls 5,849,280 182,394 3.1% 3.2% 3.2% 2,905 18,414 14,120 - $20.04 50,527,367 5,133,222 10.2% 10.5% 10.6% 343,203 538,058 132,480 17,000 Shopping Centers Community/Neighborhood All Shopping Centers Cassidy Turley | 20 Statistical Overview Southeast Region MIAMI, FL Current Qtr Historical Vacancy Last 12 Months Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate 105,702,503 8,349,720 7.9% 8.1% 8.1% 231,882 330,345 82,989 226,369 $18.67 17,194,703 1,036,485 6.0% 6.3% 6.5% 44,295 90,662 6,499 505,000 $29.00 6,186,744 382,930 6.2% 7.9% 7.1% 108,442 302,495 264,982 594,000 $20.49 Strip 25,336,965 1,727,130 6.8% 6.9% 6.8% 38,253 32,023 49,684 9,800 $19.95 Malls 23,694,525 500,411 2.1% 1.7% 2.2% (89,727) 10,292 - - $34.65 178,115,440 11,996,676 6.7% 6.8% 6.8% 333,145 765,817 404,154 1,335,169 Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate Community/Neighborhood 54,875,454 5,837,939 10.6% 11.1% 11.7% 268,561 611,294 43,737 6,000 $13.73 Power/Regional Centers 13,275,314 723,646 5.5% 6.1% 6.0% 81,436 70,211 - - $16.20 5,964,117 405,360 6.8% 6.1% 6.5% (21,480) 37,401 60,995 7,400 $18.78 Strip 11,151,202 1,414,978 12.7% 13.4% 12.8% 74,561 38,742 27,320 - $15.17 Malls 13,205,195 462,842 3.5% 3.9% 2.2% 46,857 (177,959) - - $10.22 All Shopping Centers 98,471,282 8,844,765 9.0% 9.2% 9.3% 449,935 579,689 132,052 13,400 Shopping Centers Community/Neighborhood Power/Regional Centers Specialty Centers All Shopping Centers ORLANDO, FL Shopping Centers Specialty Centers Current Qtr RALEIGH/DURHAM, NC Current Qtr Historical Vacancy Historical Vacancy Last 12 Months Last 12 Months Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Community/Neighborhood 34,883,426 3,082,299 8.8% 9.2% 8.6% 126,793 84,722 153,055 - $15.23 Power/Regional Centers 11,454,830 508,644 4.4% 4.7% 5.1% 29,166 414,899 353,975 - $16.05 Specialty Centers 2,802,598 79,136 2.8% 2.7% 4.1% (2,141) 36,285 - 190,808 $14.84 Strip 3,714,506 510,497 13.7% 14.6% 12.8% 30,922 (29,318) 6,000 4,706 $15.17 Malls 7,073,104 113,347 1.6% 1.8% 2.1% 17,502 32,595 - - $30.00 59,928,464 4,293,923 7.2% 7.4% 7.1% 202,242 539,183 513,030 195,514 Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate 26,172,399 2,796,658 10.7% 10.4% 11.0% (55,920) 123,023 59,207 176,354 $13.13 7,697,235 336,788 4.4% 4.3% 4.6% 10,384 30,920 14,300 20,011 $19.73 54,528 - 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% - - - - Strip 4,178,862 418,212 10.0% 9.4% 11.7% (23,344) 70,848 - - $14.53 Malls 4,179,883 67,679 1.6% 2.0% 2.1% 16,883 19,926 - - $17.00 42,282,907 3,619,337 8.6% 8.1% 8.8% (51,997) 244,717 73,507 196,365 Historical Vacancy Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate Community/Neighborhood 74,385,552 7,867,935 10.6% 10.8% 10.8% 181,933 248,326 87,570 904,232 $12.83 Power/Regional Centers 14,127,252 869,317 6.2% 5.9% 5.4% (32,461) (103,394) - - $18.23 1,918,710 137,719 7.2% 7.7% 8.3% 9,255 21,987 - - $24.17 Strip 18,586,224 1,926,642 10.4% 11.5% 11.2% 210,679 179,343 20,150 - $14.08 Malls 11,675,582 390,419 3.3% 3.7% 3.0% 39,828 (43,545) - - $25.72 120,693,320 11,192,032 9.3% 9.3% 9.1% 409,234 302,717 107,720 904,232 Shopping Centers All Shopping Centers RICHMOND, VA Shopping Centers Community/Neighborhood Power/Regional Centers Specialty Centers All Shopping Centers Current Qtr TAMPA, FL Shopping Centers Specialty Centers All Shopping Centers Current Qtr Historical Vacancy Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate Last 12 Months Last 12 Months Cassidy Turley | 21 Statistical Overview Northeast Region BALTIMORE, MD Current Qtr Historical Vacancy Last 12 Months Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate Community/Neighborhood 41,150,368 2,946,108 7.2% 7.2% 7.6% 6,489 214,676 24,863 70,000 $19.40 Power/Regional Centers 15,474,658 691,147 4.5% 4.5% 5.9% 9,587 220,801 - - $27.69 2,030,618 190,975 9.4% 9.1% 10.0% (5,267) 20,528 9,737 - $18.74 Strip 6,216,008 521,659 8.4% 8.0% 7.6% (13,587) 18,881 70,532 - $17.91 Malls 12,420,564 796,635 6.4% 6.4% 6.4% (1,053) 663 - - $26.59 All Shopping Centers 77,292,216 5,146,524 6.7% 6.4% 6.8% (3,831) 475,549 105,132 70,000 Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate Community/Neighborhood 74,468,196 4,325,615 5.8% 6.0% 6.2% 319,782 706,479 309,162 631,338 $17.31 Power/Regional Centers 25,653,753 893,399 3.5% 2.9% 3.5% 222,966 464,864 471,000 147,230 $12.40 3,164,110 164,985 5.2% 5.1% 5.2% (3,200) (611) - - $25.00 Strip 15,002,513 1,140,063 7.6% 7.7% 7.8% 28,296 49,148 17,468 9,000 $15.54 Malls 17,263,811 519,059 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% (8,795) (4,357) - - $- 135,552,383 7,043,121 6.7% 5.1% 5.3% 559,049 1,215,523 797,630 575,900 Shopping Centers Specialty Centers BOSTON, MA Shopping Centers Specialty Centers All Shopping Centers Current Qtr NEW YORK CITY METRO* Current Qtr Historical Vacancy Historical Vacancy Last 12 Months Last 12 Months Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Community/Neighborhood 86,818,750 4,483,705 5.2% 5.5% 5.7% 305,102 854,820 387,741 630,849 $20.57 Power/Regional Centers 22,793,391 980,057 4.3% 4.3% 4.8% 2,609 104,321 - - $22.20 3,721,694 515,655 13.9% 13.8% 13.5% (3,025) (14,785) - - $22.94 Strip 18,050,366 1,492,468 8.3% 8.2% 7.8% (8,671) (57,437) 23,686 - $21.04 Malls 27,610,959 339,801 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 6,080 36,053 - - $30.97 158,995,160 7,811,686 4.9% 4.9% 5.1% 302,095 922,972 411,427 630,849 Shopping Centers Specialty Centers All Shopping Centers NORTHERN NEW JERSEY Current Qtr Historical Vacancy Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate Last 12 Months Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate Community/Neighborhood 81,225,496 7,207,213 8.9% 8.9% 9.8% 73,888 815,243 38,200 234,654 $19.09 Power/Regional Centers 31,238,106 1,404,399 4.5% 5.1% 5.5% 203,639 330,385 5,251 - $25.08 3,167,504 84,367 2.7% 3.0% 4.5% 9,702 134,397 - 153,000 $26.70 Strip 15,623,191 1,571,707 10.1% 10.2% 10.4% 29,247 83,744 41,700 14,000 $19.55 Malls 30,739,417 678,738 2.2% 2.1% 2.2% (18,164) (12,595) - 747,500 $51.37 161,993,714 10,946,424 6.8% 6.7% 7.2% 298,312 1,351,174 85,151 1,149,154 Shopping Centers Specialty Centers All Shopping Centers PHILADELPHIA Current Qtr Historical Vacancy Last 12 Months Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption 140,278,909 13,803,995 9.8% 9.9% 9.9% 292,394 564,556 462,812 124,410 $14.04 59,297,303 3,158,644 5.3% 5.2% 5.3% (57,983) 27,314 15,122 - $13.44 6,660,880 222,529 3.3% 3.8% 4.2% 33,095 60,489 - - $18.23 Strip 20,071,416 1,909,978 9.5% 9.3% 9.4% (51,991) (6,562) 15,687 - $14.23 Malls 29,139,081 1,347,782 4.6% 4.7% 3.8% 8,288 (250,297) - - $18.67 255,447,589 20,442,928 8.0% 7.7% 7.7% 223,803 395,500 493,621 124,410 Shopping Centers Community/Neighborhood Power/Regional Centers Specialty Centers All Shopping Centers * includes New York City, Long Island and Southern CT Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate Cassidy Turley | 22 Statistical Overview Northeast Region PITTSBURGH, PA Current Qtr Historical Vacancy Last 12 Months Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate Community/Neighborhood 29,378,433 1,586,823 5.4% 5.7% 6.2% 80,059 286,669 41,400 60,000 $11.20 Power/Regional Centers 17,523,619 715,468 4.1% 4.4% 4.5% 53,834 75,902 - - $17.34 2,359,492 101,415 4.3% 4.4% 4.7% 2,585 8,912 - - Strip 4,712,936 331,617 7.0% 6.7% 7.5% (15,027) 136,445 89,530 - $15.71 Malls 11,845,773 431,591 3.6% 3.1% 6.1% (65,481) 499,053 225,000 - $12.36 All Shopping Centers 65,820,253 3,166,914 4.8% 4.7% 5.5% 55,970 1,006,981 355,930 60,000 Shopping Centers Specialty Centers WASHINGTON, DC Current Qtr Historical Vacancy Last 12 Months Total GLA Total SF Vac Vac % Vac % Prior Yr Qrtly Net Absorption Community/Neighborhood 90,746,261 6,577,184 7.2% 7.9% 7.7% 567,925 480,713 119,235 483,083 $19.53 Power/Regional Centers 37,186,171 1,280,967 3.4% 3.4% 3.6% 73,703 209,668 142,050 3,400 $22.14 7,399,746 179,183 2.4% 3.0% 2.6% 267,089 384,019 383,872 648,408 $48.38 Strip 12,914,382 1,037,666 8.0% 8.0% 8.9% 41,936 182,980 72,686 5,775 $20.53 Malls 29,684,197 983,520 3.3% 3.3% 2.3% 4,279 (163,060) 148,000 - $17.04 177,930,757 10,058,520 5.7% 5.7% 5.6% 954,932 1,094,320 865,843 1,140,666 Shopping Centers Specialty Centers All Shopping Centers Net Absorption Deliveries Under Construction Average Quoted Rate Cassidy Turley | 23 Statistical Overview Methodology Disclaimer This report and other research materials may be found on our website at www.cassidyturley.com. This is a research document of Cassidy Turley in Washington, DC. Questions related to information herein should be directed to the Research Methodology Cassidy Turley’s quarterly estimates are derived from a variety of data sources, including its own proprietary sample of market activity, historical inventory data from Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment data, CoStar and other third party data sources. The market statistics are calculated from a base building inventory made up of shopping center properties deemed to be competitive in the local retail markets. The inventory is subject to revisions due to resampling. Vacant space is defined as space that is available immediately or three months (90 days) after the end of the quarter. Sublet space still occupied by the tenant is not counted as available space. Department at 202-463-2100. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources deemed reliable and no The figures provided for the current quarter are preliminary, and all information contained in the report is subject to correction of errors and revisions based on additional data received. representation is made as to the accuracy thereof. Cassidy Turley is a leading commercial real estate services provider, with 400 million square feet managed on behalf of institutional, private and corporate clients and $25.8 billion in completed transactions for 2013. Explanation of Terms Total Inventory: The total amount of retail space within a shopping center. Total Space Available: The sums of new, relet and sublet space that is unoccupied and being actively marketed. Vacancy Rate: The amount of unoccupied space (new, relet and sublet) expressed as a percentage of total inventory. Absorption: The net change in occupied space between two points in time. (Total occupied space in the present quarter minus total occupied space from the previous quarter, quoted on a net, not gross, basis.) Asking Rents: Triple net average asking rents. Regional Map Pacific Mountain Great Plains Midwest Great Lakes Texas/Panhandle/Lower Mississippi Delta South Southeast Northeast Cassidy Turley | 24 Statistical Key CassidyOverview Turley Statistics A Leader in Commercial Real Estate Services At Cassidy Turley, we are market leaders, industry leaders and community leaders. Nationwide, clients recognize us for the creative sophistication of our real estate advice as well as for the discipline and accuracy of our service delivery. We are a trusted partner and advocate, supporting our clients’ overall business performance. In markets across the country, we are respected as a leading provider of commercial real estate services as well as for our community engagement. Our thorough understanding of local business practices and market dynamics, combined with our customer focus and service commitment, give our clients a distinct edge in commercial real estate across the globe. Local Market Leaders, Nationwide Key Statistics • More than 60 U.S. offices • 65 international offices* • More than 4,000 professionals • More than 920 brokers • 2013 transactions – Gross transaction volume $25.8 billion – Gross capital markets volume $11.4 billion • 400 million sf managed portfolio on behalf of institutional, corporate and private clients • More than 24,000 client locations served *Through GVA Partnership • Our professionals have deep ties to our communities and our industry, and a thorough understanding of local business leaders and practices, giving Cassidy Turley and our clients an edge. • Our in-depth, local market knowledge provides a comprehensive understanding of market dynamics and enables us to effectively forecast market trends – providing insight to clients and helping them make informed real estate decisions. • Our leadership position is recognized in the communities we serve. 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In order to better serve our clients in Europe and Asia-Pacific, Cassidy Turley is proud to partner with GVA, the founder and majority shareholder of GVA Worldwide, which serves key markets in over 25 countries. Cassidy Turley | 25