For Immediate Release
Canadian Public Opinion Poll
Page 1 of 6
[OTTAWA – Dec. 19, 2011] – Brad Wall and
Kathy Dunderdale continue to dominate the ranking of provincial premiers in Canada, a new
Angus Reid Public Opinion poll has found.
The online survey of a representative national sample of 7,282 Canadian adults asked respondents in nine provinces about the performance of their respective premiers.
Saskatchewan ’s Wall, who was recently elected to a second term in office, has the highest approval rating in the country at 71 per cent.
Newfoundland and Labrador Premier Kathy
Dunderdale is second on the list with an approval rating of 60 per cent, followed by Alberta Premier
Alison Redford with 53 per cent, and Manitoba
Premier Greg Selinger with 50 per cent.
Along with Wall, Dunderdale and Selinger also
Full topline results are at the end of this release.
From November 25 to December 5, 2011, Angus Reid Public
Opinion conducted an online survey among 7,282 randomly selected Canadian adults who are Angus Reid Forum panelists.
The margin of error
—which measures sampling variability—is
+/- 1.2%, 19 times out of 20. The results have been statistically weighted according to the most current education, age, gender and region Census data to ensure a sample representative of the entire adult population of Canada. Discrepancies in or between totals are due to rounding.
secured majority governments in elections held earlier this year.
Four incumbent premiers can count on the support of roughly two-in-five respondents in their province:
New Brunswick ’s David Alward (40%), British Columbia’s Christy Clark (also 40%, but with a disapproval rating of 51%), Nova Scotia ’s Darrell Dexter (39%) and Ontario’s Dalton McGuinty (38%).
The lowest ranked head of government in Canada continues to be Quebec ’s Jean Charest, with 26 per cent.
CONTACT:
Jaideep Mukerji, Vice President, Angus Reid Public Opinion, 613-691-0948, jaideep.mukerji@angus-reid.com
Mario Canseco, Vice President, Angus Reid Public Opinion, 877-730-3570, mario.canseco@angus-reid.com
For Immediate Release
Canadian Public Opinion Poll
Page 2 of 6
The Opposition
The survey also asked respondents to provide an approval rating for all of the opposition party leaders in their respective province. New Democratic Party (NDP) leaders Lorraine Michael in Newfoundland and
Labrador (57%) and Andrea Horwath in Ontario (53%) are particularly popular, followed by Nova Scotia ’s
Liberal leader Stephen McNeil (49%), British Columbia NDP leader Adrian Dix (47%), Coalition for the future of Quebec leader François Legault (45%), and Wildrose Party leader Danielle Smith in Alberta
(41%).
The lowest ranked leaders across the country are retiring Progressive Conservative leader Hugh
McFadyen in Manitoba (34%), interim NDP leader John Nilson in Saskatchewan (33%), and interim
Liberal leader Victor Boudreau in New Brunswick (29%).
Analysis
The fall election in Saskatchewan solidified the standing of Brad Wall as the most popular head of government in Canada, with seven-in-ten residents approving of his performance. Newfoundland ’s Kathy
Dunderdale also receives a vote of confidence from most voters, although the numbers for NDP leader
Lorraine Michael are impressive.
Alberta ’s Alison Redford improves on the last showing of her predecessor Ed Stelmach by 20 points, and now holds a higher approval rating than Danielle Smith, her main rival in the next provincial ballot.
Manitoba ’s Greg Selinger is backed by half of respondents, showing consistency over the past three quarters.
The four middle-of-the-road premiers face different challenges. New Brunswick ’s David Alward benefits from facing the lowest ranked opponent in the country. While Dalton McGuinty is not as liked as Andrea
Horwath in Ontario, an election in Canada ’s most populous province is still years away. The situation is more intricate for British Columbia ’s Christy Clark and Nova Scotia’s Darrell Dexter, who hold majorities in their legislatures, but are outranked in approval rating by their main rivals —Adrian Dix and Stephen
McNeil —by seven and ten points respectively.
In Quebec, Jean Charest lost points again and faces a decidedly dangerous foe in Legault, who is backed by two-in-five respondents just a few days after the official birth of his party. This survey was conducted before the Coalition for the future of Quebec announced its merger with the Action démocratique du
Québec.
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CONTACT:
Jaideep Mukerji, Vice President, Angus Reid Public Opinion, 613-691-0948, jaideep.mukerji@angus-reid.com
Mario Canseco, Vice President, Angus Reid Public Opinion, 877-730-3570, mario.canseco@angus-reid.com
For Immediate Release
Canadian Public Opinion Poll
Page 3 of 6
About Angus Reid Public Opinion
Angus Reid Public Opinion is a public affairs practice headed by Dr. Angus Reid: an industry visionary who has spent more than four decades asking questions to figure out what people feel, how they think and who they will vote for. A team of talented and experienced practitioners with a unique and profound understanding of global issues conduct high quality research throughout the world on a daily basis for corporations, governments, academic researchers, and non-profit organizations.
About Vision Critical®
Vision Critical is a global research and technology firm that creates software and services solutions for over 600 clients, including one third of the world ’s top 100 brands. The company has offices across North
America, Europe and Australia as well as a Global Partner Program that provides other research companies and consultants with access to top-of-theline technology. Its Sparq™ product is the most widely adopted community panel platform on the planet.
CONTACT:
Jaideep Mukerji, Vice President, Angus Reid Public Opinion, 613-691-0948, jaideep.mukerji@angus-reid.com
Mario Canseco, Vice President, Angus Reid Public Opinion, 877-730-3570, mario.canseco@angus-reid.com
For Immediate Release
Canadian Public Opinion Poll
Page 4 of 6
Do you approve or disapprove of the performance of each of the following people?
Approve Disapprove Not sure
Saskatchewan :
Premier and Saskatchewan Party leader Brad Wall
71% 22% 7%
Newfoundland and Labrador :
Premier and Progressive Conservative Party leader Kathy Dunderdale
60% 29% 11%
Alberta:
Premier and Progressive Conservative leader Alison Redford
Manitoba :
Premier and New Democratic Party (NDP) leader Greg Selinger
New Brunswick:
Premier and Progressive Conservative
leader David Alward
British Columbia:
Premier and BC Liberals leader Christy Clark
Nova Scotia :
Premier and New Democratic Party (NDP) leader Darrell Dexter
Ontario:
Premier and Liberal Party
leader Dalton McGuinty
53%
50%
40%
40%
39%
38%
26%
39%
43%
51%
52%
55%
21%
11%
18%
9%
8%
7%
Quebec:
Premier and Liberal Party of Quebec
leader Jean Charest
26% 63% 11%
CONTACT:
Jaideep Mukerji, Vice President, Angus Reid Public Opinion, 613-691-0948, jaideep.mukerji@angus-reid.com
Mario Canseco, Vice President, Angus Reid Public Opinion, 877-730-3570, mario.canseco@angus-reid.com
For Immediate Release
Canadian Public Opinion Poll
Page 5 of 6
Do you approve or disapprove of the performance of each of the following people?
December August
2011 2011
May
2011
Saskatchewan :
Premier and Saskatchewan Party leader Brad Wall
71% 63% 59%
Newfoundland and Labrador :
Premier and Progressive Conservative Party leader Kathy
Dunderdale
Alberta:
Premier and Progressive Conservative leader Alison Redford
60%
53%
58%
33% (*)
43%
27% (*)
Manitoba :
Premier and New Democratic Party (NDP) leader Greg Selinger
New Brunswick:
Premier and Progressive Conservative leader David Alward
50%
40%
52%
44%
48%
40%
British Columbia:
Premier and BC Liberals leader Christy Clark
40% 42% 36%
Nova Scotia :
Premier and New Democratic Party (NDP) leader Darrell Dexter
39% 33% 26%
Ontario:
Premier and Liberal Party leader Dalton McGuinty
Quebec:
Premier and Liberal Party of Quebec leader Jean Charest
(*) Rating with Ed Stelmach as Premier.
38%
26%
31%
30%
19%
17%
CONTACT:
Jaideep Mukerji, Vice President, Angus Reid Public Opinion, 613-691-0948, jaideep.mukerji@angus-reid.com
Mario Canseco, Vice President, Angus Reid Public Opinion, 877-730-3570, mario.canseco@angus-reid.com
For Immediate Release
Canadian Public Opinion Poll
Page 6 of 6
Do you approve or disapprove of the performance of each of the following people?
Approve Disapprove Not sure
Newfoundland and Labrador :
New Democratic Party (NDP) leader Lorraine Michael
Ontario:
New Democratic Party (NDP) leader Andrea Horwath
Nova Scotia :
Liberal Party leader Stephen McNeil
British Columbia:
New Democratic Party (NDP) leader Adrian Dix
57%
53%
49%
47%
30%
25%
29%
35%
12%
21%
22%
18%
Quebec:
Coalition for the future of Quebec leader François Legault
Alberta:
Wildrose Party leader Danielle Smith
Manitoba :
Progressive Conservative Party leader Hugh McFadyen
45%
41%
34%
30%
29%
53%
26%
29%
14%
Saskatchewan :
New Democratic Party (NDP) interim leader John Nilson
33% 26% 41%
New Brunswick:
Liberal Party interim leader Victor Boudreau
29% 34% 37%
Note: The leader featured on this page is the one with the highest approval rating of all opposition parties registered in the province.
CONTACT:
Jaideep Mukerji, Vice President, Angus Reid Public Opinion, 613-691-0948, jaideep.mukerji@angus-reid.com
Mario Canseco, Vice President, Angus Reid Public Opinion, 877-730-3570, mario.canseco@angus-reid.com