MARKET ACCESS SECRETARIAT Global Analysis Report Market Overview Singapore June 2014 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY CONTENTS Singapore, with a total population of 5.2 million, is one of the most developed economies within the ASEAN region, and has one of the highest per capita incomes in Asia. Singapore is strategically situated on the crossroads of major air and sea routes within the Asia Pacific region, and is a major transshipment center for much of the Southeast Asian region and the Indian subcontinent. Executive Summary ........................ 1 Singapore’s geographic location has contributed to its position as an important hub for regional headquarters for international food and agricultural-related companies, in addition to being the world’s fourth leading financial centre after New York, London and Tokyo according to the BBC economic section. Having very little agricultural land and limited domestic food production, Singapore currently imports more than 90 percent of the food it needs to feed its residents and as well as the ten million tourists who visit every year. Consequently, it is not surprising that the total value of imported consumer-oriented food products alone reached US$6.8 billion in 2013, with US$1.2 billion in fish and seafood products. With one of the highest per capita GDP in the world (US$53,267 per person in 2013 according to Euromonitor), Singapore’s per capita food consumption level is the highest in the Asian region with approximately US$1,445 in 2013 (Euromonitor). With a large, affluent and sophisticated consumer base driven by rising disposable incomes, Singapore’s total consumer expenditure is estimated to grow at an average rate of 3.4% per year between 2013 and 2020, providing good opportunities for food-supplying businesses. Production ....................................... 2 Trade............................................... 3 Consumer Foodservice................... 5 Retail Sales ..................................... 6 Resources ....................................... 7 PRODUCTION With arable land only accounting for a mere 1.47% of total land, and permanent crops comprising this entire amount, the country's agricultural sector is essentially non-existent; agriculture contributes very little to Singapore’s overall GDP and employs only 0.1% of the population. As such, Singapore is obliged to rely heavily on imports to satisfy its agriculture and agri-food needs. The country's limited agricultural output is made up mostly of, vegetables, poultry, and eggs. Crop and Livestock Production in Singapore Rank Commodity 1 Eggs, hen, in shell Production *(US$1000) Production (MT) 20,017 24,135 2 Vegetables, fresh nes 3,919 20,795 3 Eggs, other bird, in shell 3,461 1,200 4 Spinach 515 2,200 5 Lettuce and chicory 235 502 6 Meat, beef 135 50 7 Mushrooms and truffles 103 57 8 Cabbages and other brassicas 91 605 9 Tomatoes 19 51 10 Coconuts 17 150 11 Meat , goat 13 5 12 Meat, chicken 3 2 13 Fruit, fresh nes 3 8 14 Roots and tubers, nes 2 14 15 Meat, pork 0 0 16 Meat, sheep 0 0 Source: FAO STATS. 2014 * Please note: International commodity prices are used to calculate the total value of each commodity produced by each country. FAO apply this method in order to avoid the use of exchange rates for obtaining continental and world aggregates, and also to improve and facilitate international comparative analysis of productivity at the national level. Page | 2 TRADE As Singapore has virtually no crop or livestock production, practically all food ingredients are imported from a wide range of countries worldwide. As a 697 sq km island city-state with 5.2 million residents, the country imports close to 90% of all its food requirements. Singapore’s major agri-food and seafood trade suppliers are Malaysia, France and Indonesia. In 2013, the total value of agri-food and seafood imports from Malaysia was C$2.2 billion, followed by C$1.4 billion from France and close to C$1.2 billion from Indonesia. In terms of trade value, distilled alcoholic beverages ranked as Singapore’s top commodity both for imports and exports. Singapore-Top 10 Agrifood and Seafood Suppliers 2011-2013 Partner Country Canada Dollars 2012 % Change 2013 2011 2012 2013 12,859,853,328 2,398,496,582 13,054,576,120 2,355,872,219 13,982,081,094 2,291,263,140 100.00 18.65 100.00 18.05 100.00 16.39 7.10 - 2.74 France 1,184,390,812 1,283,777,383 1,498,964,249 9.21 9.83 10.72 16.76 Indonesia 1,218,708,957 1,379,961,094 1,195,378,675 9.48 10.57 8.55 - 13.38 China 866,548,719 922,396,871 1,016,786,685 6.74 7.07 7.27 10.23 United States 744,189,413 835,035,737 967,748,216 5.79 6.40 6.92 15.89 United Kingdom 732,272,571 751,947,315 865,383,942 5.69 5.76 6.19 15.09 Australia 1,038,677,820 873,264,306 847,973,867 8.08 6.69 6.06 - 2.90 Thailand 697,439,968 629,483,094 675,647,015 5.42 4.82 4.83 7.33 New Zealand 504,871,891 445,919,774 554,991,838 3.93 3.42 3.97 24.46 Vietnam 289,710,744 341,879,631 453,948,564 2.25 2.62 3.25 32.78 World Malaysia 2011 % Share 2013/2012 Source: Global Trade Atlas, 2014 Although total agricultural trade between Canada and Singapore has fluctuated over the past several years, it increased by 3.5% in 2013, from C$94.3 million in 2012 to over C$97.6 million. Canada currently accounts for 0.70% of Singapore's total agri-food imports and is Singapore's 22th largest import source. Singapore’s top agri-food and seafood imports from Canada in 2013 were dairy products (C$30.8 million), grain and seeds (C$18.0 million), meat (C$14.5 million) fish and seafood (C$5.3 million) and food preparations (C$5.2 million). Singapore’s agrifood and seafood exports to Canada were valued at C$16.9 million in 2013, and the top commodities were, baking-related products (C$7.6 million), fish and seafood (C$2.2 million) and food preparations (C$1.9 million). Page | 3 Singapore - Top Agri-food and Seafood Imports from the World by Sector in 2013 Commodity Import Value C$ Millions Rank Top Suppliers C$ Millions Share % Canada's Share Import from Canada C$ Millions 1 France 1,303 44.3% Beverages 2,942.0 2 3 1 United Kingdom Malaysia New Zealand 767.3 206.7 368.20 26.1% 7.0% 26.2% 0.0% 2.2 Dairy, Eggs, Honey 1,407.0 2 3 1 Australia 233.3 16.6% 2.1% 30.9 Malaysia Brazil 211.3 355.8 15.0% 42.3% 2 3 1 Australia 174.9 20.8% 1.7% 14.5 United States Malaysia 97.2 193.4 11.6% 23.7% 2 3 1 United States 166.1 20.4% 0.6% 5.2 Indonesia Indonesia 84.0 132.5 10.3% 17.2% 2 3 1 Malaysia 109.4 14.2% 0.7% 5.3 Vietnam United States 75.5 120.0 9.8% 18.6% China 83.5 12.9% 0.4% 2.7 Indonesia Malaysia 60.2 170.2 9.3% 31.5% China 156.8 29.0% Australia Indonesia Malaysia Ghana Malaysia Indonesia Vietnam Malaysia 34.6 105.1 90.5 78.7 320.3 182.5 0.1 165.3 6.4% 20.1% 17.3% 15.0% 63.7% 36.3% 0.0% 33.3% United States 42.2 8.5% China Malaysia 37.4 70.6 7.5% 14.4% Meat Miscellaneous Food Fish and Seafood Edible Fruit and Nuts Vegetables 841.7 815.0 772.8 645.8 540.6 Cocoa 524.3 Palm Oil & Its Fractions, Not Chemically Modified 502.8 Baking Related 496.0 2 3 1 2 3 1 2 3 1 2 3 1 2 3 3 0.0% 0.2 0.3% 1.8 0.0% 0.0 0.4% 2.1 Source: Global Trade Atlas, 2014 Page | 4 CONSUMER FOODSERVICE Singapore has earned the distinction of being ‘one of the top 10 food cities in the world’ several years in a row, according to the travel guide publisher “Lonely Planet.” Singapore has a thriving and constantly evolving foodservice sector. A steady stream of international visitors and the tendency for local residents to eat out keep the foodservice sector vibrant. Euromonitor International estimated that Singaporeans spent about US$8.16 billion eating out in 2013. According to a Singapore Health Promotion Board survey, the median number of times people who have their meals outside their home each week is eight, which means half of those surveyed ate out eight or more times a week. Consumer Foodservice Sales in Singapore Historic in US$ Millions, Fixed 2013 Exchange Rate Category Consumer Foodservice by Type Street Stalls/Kiosks Full-Service Restaurants Cafés/Bars Fast Food Pizza Consumer Foodservice* 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway Self-Service Cafeterias 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 6,769.2 3,594.5 1,563.7 860.7 705.7 84.8 36.5 8.1 6,882.8 3,745.6 1,485.6 849.7 751.9 85.2 41.8 8.1 7,294.3 3,901.6 1,625.0 894.3 820.3 91.1 41.8 11.4 7,521.4 3,965.4 1,690.4 934.8 871.2 100.2 47.7 11.9 7,672.2 4,012.1 1,742.7 962.6 893.4 103.1 48.7 12.7 2008-12 CAGR % 3.2 2.8 2.7 2.8 6.1 5.0 7.5 11.9 Consumer Foodservice Sales in Singapore Forecast in US$ Millions, Fixed 2013 Exchange Rate Category Consumer Foodservice by Type Street Stalls/Kiosks Full-Service Restaurants Cafés/Bars Fast Food Pizza Consumer Foodservice* 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway Self-Service Cafeterias 2013* 2014 2015 2016 2017 7857.6 4090.5 1801.1 985.4 917.2 106 50.3 13 8033.2 4162.3 1858.9 1006.6 940.4 108.6 51.8 13.3 8198.9 4227 1915.8 1026.3 963 110.9 53.1 13.6 8353.7 4284.2 1971.8 1044.6 985 112.8 54.3 13.8 8497.1 4333.7 2026.7 1061.2 1006.2 114.3 55.3 14.1 2013-17 CAGR % 2.0 1.5 3.0 1.9 2.3 1.9 2.4 2.0 Source for both: Euromonitor, 2014, *Data for 2013 are estimates Note*: Pizza consumer foodservice is the aggregate of three sub-sectors, Pizza fast food, Pizza full-service restaurants and Pizza 100% home delivery/takeaway. These three pizza sub-sectors are also included within the Fast food, Full-service restaurants and 100% home delivery takeaway sectors. Page | 5 RETAIL SALES Euromonitor has estimated the retail sales value of packaged foods in Singapore at US$2.3 billion in 2013. This represents a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) increase of 3.8% or US$397.2.6 million since 2008. They have also forecast that packaged food retail sales would reach US$2.8 billion by 2018, following a CAGR nearing 4.0%, or an increase of US$496.8 million. High-growth products in the forecast period include baby food, snack bars, confectionery, noodles, ice cream and dried processed food. Packaged Food Retail Sales in Singapore Historic in US$ Millions, Fixed 2013 Exchange Rate Category Packaged Food Bakery Dairy Dried processed food Confectionery Baby food Ice cream Sweet and savoury snacks Canned/preserved food Noodles Frozen processed food Oils and fats Sauces, dressings and condiments Chilled processed food Ready meals Spreads Soup Meal replacement Snack bars Pasta 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 1,926.0 1,992.3 2,070.9 2,151.6 2,238.9 2,323.2 420.1 430.1 443.2 458.9 475.2 492.6 310.7 321.5 336.1 350.5 368.5 384.5 299.6 310.1 322.7 332.0 341.0 350.7 185.7 193.9 202.7 212.5 222.6 231.4 114.2 127.2 139.0 150.3 164.3 177.4 85.1 87.9 91.7 95.5 99.9 104.0 89.7 91.3 93.7 98.3 102.4 106.9 95.3 98.2 101.5 104.6 107.1 109.2 48.8 55.5 63.0 67.5 72.2 77.8 74.2 75.5 77.2 78.9 80.6 82.4 70.4 71.4 72.7 74.2 76.0 77.9 64.3 65.8 67.6 69.6 71.4 73.0 59.0 60.0 61.3 62.2 63.0 63.7 36.8 37.8 38.8 39.9 40.8 41.7 33.3 34.1 35.2 36.5 37.9 39.3 21.4 22.8 23.7 24.9 25.7 26.3 14.3 14.3 14.7 15.4 16.0 16.4 7.6 7.9 8.4 8.9 9.4 10.0 8.3 8.6 8.9 9.2 9.5 9.8 CAGR % 2008-13 3.8% 3.2% 4.4% 3.2% 4.5% 9.2% 4.1% 3.6% 2.8% 9.8% 2.1% 2.0% 2.6% 1.5% 2.5% 3.4% 4.2% 2.8% 5.6% 3.4% Source: Euromonitor, 2014 The Singapore government has introduced the “Healthier Choice” symbol on packaged food products in order to indicate healthier product options to consumers. Since the symbol has penetrated Singapore, Euromonitor notes that about 70% of Singaporeans use this symbol to assist them in making healthier food choices, and that food manufacturers are also taking this opportunity to improve their profits by introducing healthier packaged food variants. This trend for healthy eating is becoming mainstream in Singapore, and as consumers are becoming increasingly health-conscious, they are requesting healthier food products. Singaporeans are more knowledgeable about food and have developed more sophisticated tastes; they are more willing to spend on premium and artisanal products which they perceive to be of higher quality. They also spend more on impulse and indulgence items, such as snacks and confectionery products, which they regard as an affordable luxury according to Euromonitor International. Consumers are also willing to spend more on premium packaged food which they perceive to be healthier than regular items. Page | 6 Packaged Food Retail Sales in Singapore Forecast in US$ Millions, Fixed 2013 Exchange Rate Category Packaged Food Bakery Dairy Dried processed food Confectionery Baby food Ice cream Sweet and savoury snacks Canned/preserved food Noodles Frozen processed food Oils and fats Sauces, dressings and condiments Chilled processed food Ready meals Spreads Soup Meal replacement Snack bars Pasta 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2,432.7 519.0 404.6 359.6 243.8 191.5 109.6 111.8 112.6 83.2 85.2 81.1 75.9 65.4 43.0 41.0 27.4 17.1 10.4 10.2 2,525.0 542.8 421.4 366.7 254.2 202.9 114.7 115.5 115.4 88.2 87.6 83.6 78.2 67.0 44.0 42.4 28.2 17.7 11.0 10.4 2,617.8 566.2 438.9 374.4 264.7 213.4 119.7 118.9 118.3 93.0 90.3 86.1 80.4 68.7 45.0 43.8 29.1 18.2 11.6 10.7 2,715.8 590.9 457.5 383.2 275.5 223.9 125.1 122.4 121.6 98.0 93.3 88.7 82.7 70.5 46.2 45.3 30.0 18.7 12.2 11.0 2,820.0 617.1 477.0 393.5 286.8 234.3 130.9 126.2 125.1 103.4 96.5 91.5 85.2 72.5 47.4 47.0 31.0 19.2 12.9 11.3 CAGR % 2014-18 3.8% 4.4% 4.2% 2.3% 4.1% 5.2% 4.5% 3.1% 2.7% 5.6% 3.2% 3.1% 2.9% 2.6% 2.5% 3.5% 3.1% 2.9% 5.5% 2.6% Source: Euromonitor, 2014 Singaporeans have a busy lifestyle, and convenience will remain the key growth factor. Consumers are likely to seek easy meal preparation and packaging innovations in order to save time. Euromonitor also notes that the packaged food segment is anticipated to see positive steady growth into 2018. Although some categories such as nutrition/staples are reaching maturity, the overall growth of packaged food is likely to result from Singaporeans opting for more expensive and healthier products in categories such as impulse and indulgence products. Finally, according to Planet Retail, Singapore’s modern retailers now control up to 60% of the retail sales of retail packaged food and drinks. Such retailers control most shares of sales for indulgence products such as confectionery, ice cream and soft drinks, which need broader-based distribution channels. The remaining 40% is comprised in large number by small family-owned shops, which range from neighborhood grocery to high-end speciality stores. This category also includes traditional wet and dry markets, but these only carry limited products. RESOURCES British Broadcasting Corporation (BBC) – Country profile- Singapore - Euromonitor International – 2013- Consumer Foodservice in Singapore - Euromonitor International – 2013- Consumer Lifestyles in Singapore - Euromonitor International – 2013- Packaged Food in Singapore - FAOSTAT- 2014- Agricultural Production- Singapore - Global Trade Atlas- Singapore- 2014 Import and export statistics Page | 7 Market Overview: Singapore © Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, represented by the Minister of Agriculture and Agri-Food (2014). Photo Credits All photographs reproduced in this publication are used by permission of the rights holders. All images, unless otherwise noted, are copyright Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada. 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