ECONOMICS EXAMINATION PREPARATION AND 2014 HSC QUESTIONS TIM RILEY Director Economic Literacy Centre and Tim Riley Publications Pty Ltd HSC ECONOMICS CONFERENCE THE UNIVERSITY OF WOLLONGONG Monday June 15th 2015 Examination Preparation and 2014 HSC Questions 1 1. The Structure of the HSC Economics Examination Paper The HSC Economics Examination tests students’ knowledge, understanding and skills based on the individual outcomes for each topic in the HSC Course. The time allowed for the written examination is three hours plus five minutes of reading time. BOSTES approved calculators may be used in the examination. The HSC Economics Examination specifications and assessment requirements are set out in Table 1. Table 1: Structure of the HSC Economics Examination Section 1 20 x Objective response questions (multiple choice questions) Marks 20 Section II 4 x Short answer questions 40 (questions may be in parts and approximately 12 or 13 items in total) Section III • Two stimulus based extended response questions • Students answer one question with an expected length of response of around six examination writing booklet pages (approximately 800 words) Section IV • Two extended response questions • Students answer one question with an expected length of response of around six examination writing booklet pages (approximately 800 words) Total Marks 20 20 100 Students should use the five minutes of reading time to: • Read the FOUR structured short answer questions in Section II as they are compulsory. • Select ONE essay from Section III (two stimulus based extended response questions, either question 25 or question 26) and ONE essay from Section IV (two extended response questions not based on stimulus, either question 27 or question 28). Students are advised to complete the examination questions in the right order i.e. Section 1 first, then Sections II, III and IV. Guidelines for the allocation of time (these are not prescriptive) in the examination are contained in Table 2. Table 2 : Time Allocation in the HSC Economics Examination Section 1 Section II Section III Section IV 20 multiple choice questions 4 x short answer questions Stimulus based extended response question Extended response question not based on stimulus material 15-20 minutes 40 minutes 20 marks 40 marks 50-60 minutes 20 marks 50-60 minutes 20 marks Examination Preparation and 2014 HSC Questions 2 Table 3: The HSC Course Outcomes (H1 to H12) in the Syllabus H1 H2 H3 H4 H5 H6 H7 H8 H9 H10 H11 H12 Demonstrates an understanding of economic terms, concepts and relationships; Analyses the economic role of individuals, firms, institutions and governments; Explains the role of markets within the global economy; Analyses the impact of global markets on the Australian and global economies; Discusses policy options for dealing with problems and issues in contemporary and hypothetical contexts; Analyses the impact of economic policies in theoretical and contemporary Australian contexts; Evaluates the consequences of contemporary economic problems and issues on individuals, firms and governments; Applies appropriate terminology, concepts and theories in contemporary and hypothetical economic contexts; Selects and organises information from a variety of sources for relevance and reliability; Communicates economic information, ideas and issues in appropriate forms; Applies mathematical concepts in economic contexts; and Works independently and in groups to achieve appropriate goals in set time lines. 2. What the HSC Economics Examination Tests: Knowledge and Skills Outcomes! The HSC Economics Examination Tests the HSC Economics Syllabus and Course Outcomes (see Table 3). It does not directly test your knowledge and understanding of ‘current economics’ although this maybe relevant in answering many questions. The Economics Stage 6 Syllabus (1999) was amended in 2009 and implemented in the HSC course in 2011. The first HSC examination based on the amended HSC course was in 2011, the second in 2012 when online marking was introduced, the third in 2013 when online marking was fully implemented with teachers marking at home, and the fourth in 2014. The HSC Economics Examination in NSW is set by the HSC Economics Examination Committee on behalf of BOSTES. Students should be familiar with the structure of the Economics Syllabus because the Economics Examination Committee examines the content and skills (outcomes) that students are assumed to have learnt in the syllabus in the HSC examination. The syllabus can be read and downloaded from the Board of Studies website: www.boardofstudies.nsw.edu.au. The HSC course topics are listed in Table 4. Within each HSC topic there are designated objectives in two broad categories: Table 4: The HSC Course (120 hours of indicative time) – four compulsory topics: 1. 2. 3. 4. The Global Economy Australia’s Place in the Global Economy Economic Issues Economic Policies and Management 25% of course time 25% of course time 25% of course time 25% of course time 30 indicative hours 30 indicative hours 30 indicative hours 30 indicative hours *STUDENTS LEARN TO: EXAMINE ECONOMIC ISSUES, AND APPLY ECONOMIC SKILLS *STUDENTS LEARN ABOUT: CONTENT TO GAIN KNOWLEDGE AND UNDERSTANDING, AND SKILLS, AND TO ACQUIRE VALUES AND ATTITUDES: The HSC Examination tests both Learn to(s) and Learn About(s) and there are usually ‘crossover’ questions across knowledge and skills in the four HSC topics. Examination Preparation and 2014 HSC Questions 3 A key feature of the Economics Syllabus is the ‘Problems and Issues’ approach to the teaching and learning of economics: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Economic growth and the quality of life; Unemployment; Inflation; External stability; The distribution of income and wealth; and Environmental sustainability. In each HSC topic there are outcomes for the content students are expected to learn, and outcomes for the economic skills that students are expected to be able to demonstrate. The skills outcomes are listed below with those in bold examined in the 2011, 2012, 2013 and 2014 HSC examinations. Topic 1: The Global Economy (i) Students should learn to examine the following economic issues: • • • • • Examine the effects of globalisation on economic growth and the quality of life, levels of unemployment, rates of inflation and external stability; Assess the potential impact on the environment of continuing world economic development; Investigate the global distribution of income and wealth; Assess the consequences of an unequal distribution of global income and wealth; and Discuss the effects of protectionist policies on the global economy. (ii) Students should learn to apply the following economic skills: • Analyse statistics on trade and financial flows to determine the nature and extent of global interdependence; Assess the impact on the global economy of international organisations and contemporary trading bloc agreements; and Evaluate the impact of development strategies used in a range of contemporary and hypothetical situations. • • Topic 2: Australia’s Place in the Global Economy (i) Students should learn to examine the following economic issues: • Assess the impact of recent changes in the global economy on Australia’s trade and financial flows; Examine the effects of changes in trade and financial flows on Australia’s economic performance; Analyse the effects of changes in the value of the Australian dollar on the Australian economy; Discuss the impact of free trade and protection policies on the quality of life in Australia; and Propose likely changes to the structure of industry within Australia as a result of current trends in the global economy. • • • • (ii) Students should learn to apply the following economic skills: • • Calculate the main components of Australia’s balance of payments; Analyse the relationship between the balance of the capital and financial account and the net income balance; Explain the relationship between the current account balance and the balance of the capital and financial account; Use supply and demand diagrams to explain how the value of a currency is determined under different exchange rate systems; and Analyse the impact of changes in the components of the balance of payments on the value of the Australian dollar. • • • Examination Preparation and 2014 HSC Questions 4 Topic 3: Economic Issues (i) Students should learn to examine the following economic issues: • • • • • Examine the arguments for and against increasing economic growth rates; Investigate the economic and social problems created by unemployment; Analyse the effects of inflation on an economy; Discuss the effect of a continued current account deficit on an economy; Investigate recent trends in the distribution of income in Australia and identify the impact of specific economic policies on this distribution; Analyse the economic and social costs of inequality in the distribution of income; and Examine the economic issues associated with the goal of ecologically sustainable development. • • (ii) Students should learn to apply the following economic skills: • • • • • • • • Identify and analyse problems facing contemporary and hypothetical economies; Calculate an equilibrium position for an economy using leakages and injections; Determine the impact of the simple multiplier effect on national income; Explain the implications of the multiplier for fluctuations in the level of economic activity; Calculate the unemployment rate and the participation rate using labourforce statistics; Interpret a Lorenz Curve and a Gini co-efficient for the distribution of income in an economy; Use economic concepts to analyse a contemporary environmental issue; and Assess the key problems and issues facing the Australian economy. Topic 4: Economic Policies and Management (i) Students should learn to examine the following economic issues: • Analyse the opportunity cost of government decisions in addressing specific economic problems or issues; Investigate structural changes in the Australian economy resulting from microeconomic policies; Apply economic theory to explain how a government could address an economic problem or issue in hypothetical situations; and Propose and evaluate alternative policies to address an economic problem in hypothetical and contemporary Australian contexts. • • • (ii) • • • • • • • • Students should learn to apply the following economic skills: Explain how governments are restricted in their ability to simultaneously achieve economic objectives; Use (simple) multiplier analysis to explain how governments can solve economic problems; Analyse alternative ways to finance a budget deficit and their impact on the economy; Identify limitations of the effectiveness of economic policies; Explain the impact of key economic policies on an economy; Propose and evaluate alternative policies to address an economic problem in hypothetical and contemporary Australian contexts; Explain, using economic theory, the general effects of macroeconomic and microeconomic policies on an economy; and Select an appropriate policy mix to address a specific economic problem. Note that often a HSC question will use the operative verb or directive term and text description of the outcome being tested e.g. Question 15, 2014 HSC - Interpret a Lorenz Curve; and Question 27: For an economy other than Australia, discuss the strategies used to promote both economic growth and development. Examination Preparation and 2014 HSC Questions 5 3. Section I: Twenty Multiple Choice Questions (20 marks) Allow a maximum of 35 minutes for this section but most students complete it in about 15 to 20 minutes. Questions 1-20 test multiple choice skills based on the four HSC topics and all questions are compulsory and of equal value. Some questions may be based on stimulus material (such as a diagram or table of data) and all answers are to be recorded on the multiple choice answer sheet. Marks are NOT deducted for incorrect answers but it is important to score highly in Section 1 (i.e. 15+ out of 20) to achieve a high overall examination mark. Multiple choice questions in economics tend to test four major skills: 1. Definitions of basic concepts, e.g. tariff protection, Lorenz curve, free trade agreement, hidden unemployment, fiscal policy, NAIRU, externality, current account, productivity, interest rates, exchange rate, MPC, inflation. 2. Economics calculations, e.g. the rates of economic growth, inflation and unemployment, real GDP, the terms of trade, marginal rates of taxation, the simple multiplier and the components of the balance of payments. 3. The interpretation of diagrams, statistics and economic models e.g. tariffs, quotas, subsidies, exchange rates, aggregate demand and supply, the Lorenz Curve and Gini co-efficient. 4. The application of economic analysis to current economic issues e.g. the impact of changes in the stance of monetary and fiscal policies on economic activity including growth, inflation, unemployment and the current account. * Beware of the matrix style of question which was the basis of eight questions in the 2014 HSC. This means that the answer to the question was in a table form where students had to select a combination of two correct answers (effects of a changing variable) which correctly answered the question. Sample Questions from the 2014 HSC Economics Examination 1. An economy is operating at its natural rate of unemployment. What would be the long term effect on the unemployment rate and the participation rate of an increase in labour market flexibility? (A) (B) (C) (D) 2. Unemployment rate Participation rate Increases Decreases Increases Decreases Increases Increases Decreases Decreases Which of the following is a trade bloc? (A) (B) (C) (D) The European Union (EU) The World Trade Organisation (WTO) The General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) Examination Preparation and 2014 HSC Questions 6 Use the following demand and supply diagram to answer Questions 3 and 4. Price ($) D S 25 20 15 10 D S 20 3. 30 40 50 60 70 80 Quantity (millions) Consider an economy in which there is a tariff of $15 in addition to the world price of $10. If the government reduces the tariff from $15 to $10, what will be the change in tariff revenue? (A) (B) (C) (D) 4. $100 million $200 million $400 million $600 million Consider an economy that operates a free trade policy. The government is proposing to introduce a $5 tariff in addition to the world price of $10. What import quota could the government introduce to have the same effect on domestic output as a $5 tariff? (A) (B) (C) (D) 5. 20 millions units 30 millions units 40 millions units 60 millions units The table shows consumer price index (CPI) data for a hypothetical economy. Year CPI 2011 2012 2013 145 150 156 What is the inflation rate for this economy in 2013? (A) (B) (C) (D) 3% 4% 5% 6% Examination Preparation and 2014 HSC Questions 7 Table 5: Selected Skills Outcomes and Formulae for Calculations Topics 1 and 2: The Global Economy and Australia’s Place in the Global Economy • Analyse statistics on trade and financial flows/interpret exchange rate diagrams • Calculate the main components of Australia’s balance of payments Current Account Balance = Goods Balance + Net Services + Net Primary + Net Secondary Income Income Capital and Financial Account Balance = Capital Account Balance + Financial Account Balance Balance of Payments = Current Account Balance + Capital and Financial Account Balance + NEO Terms of Trade = Export Price Index Import Price Index x 100 1 Topic 3: Economic Issues • Calculate an equilibrium position for an economy using leakages and injections S+T+M=I+G+X AD = C + I + G + (X - M) • Determine the impact of the simple multiplier effect (k) on national income (Y) ∆Y ∆I ∆C (MPC = ∆Y ∆S MPS = ∆Y) = • Explain the implications of the multiplier for fluctuations in the level of economic activity ∆Y = • Calculate the unemployment rate and the participation rate using labourforce statistics x or 1 MPS k k = 1 1 - MPC ∆I Unemployment Rate = Unemployed Labourforce Labourforce = Full Time Employed + Part Time Employed + Unemployed Participation Rate = Labourforce Working Age Population Real GDP Nominal GDP 1 = Inflation Rate = • x x 100 1 x 100 1 100 CPI Current CPI - Previous CPI Previous CPI x 100 1 Interpret a Lorenz Curve and a Gini co-efficient for the distribution of income in an economy Examination Preparation and 2014 HSC Questions 8 4. Section II: Four Short Answer Questions (40 marks) Allow a maximum of 72 minutes, but most students complete this section in 40 to 50 minutes. Questions 21 to 24 test short answer skills such as the interpretation and analysis of statistics relating to key concepts in the four compulsory topics in the HSC course. All questions are of equal value (i.e. four 10 mark questions) and are divided into parts, with marks allocated according to the degree of difficulty of the question. Some of the short answer questions are based on stimulus material (e.g. an economic diagram, extract of text or data from a relevant source such as Budget Statements or the Reserve Bank of Australia Bulletin). The short answer questions may involve a calculation and the use of a student’s knowledge of economics in applying, interpreting, analysing or explaining an economic concept, term, issue, model, policy or principle. Answers have to be recorded in the spaces provided in the examination paper. Students should provide adequate detail in relation to the allocation of marks, which tend to reflect the progression from low order to higher order thinking skills. In the 2014 HSC the combinations were 2,4 & 4: 2, 3 & 5; 2,4 & 4; and 4 & 6. Students should show all working if a calculation is involved. The short answers (Section II) are in a separate booklet attached to the examination paper (Sections 1 and III). The spaces provided for the answers are sufficient to earn full marks. Since the answers are scanned it is important to write in the space provided. Extra writing space is provided on pages 18 and 19. Short Answer Tips • • • • • Use the wording of the question in the answer and write in the space given Learn and apply correct definitions and formulae Pay attention to the instructional or directive verb (e.g. ‘distinguish’, ‘explain’, ‘discuss, ‘analyse’, ‘outline’, ‘calculate’, ‘what’, ‘how’, ‘why’, ‘evaluate’ Read the instructions carefully, especially when asked to draw on a diagram Refer to the stimulus and provide analytical detail for 4-6 mark questions Sample Question from the 2014 HSC Economics Examination Marks Question 22 (10 marks) (a) Briefly explain ONE cause of an exchange rate depreciation ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Examination Preparation and 2014 HSC Questions 9 2 (b) Explain how Australia’s trade weighted index (TWI) can decline even as the Australian dollar appreciates against the euro. 3 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------(c) Analyse the effects of rising interest rates on both the current account and the capital and financial account of the balance of payments. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Examination Preparation and 2014 HSC Questions 10 5 Table 6: Marking Guidelines for Question 22 in the 2014 HSC Examination Criteria Marks Question 22 (a) • Demonstrates how one factor can cause an exchange rate depreciation • States one cause of an exchange rate depreciation 2 1 Sample answer: One cause of an exchange rate depreciation is a fall in demand for a country’s exports. Less demand for exports will lead to a decrease in demand for the country’s currency, thus depreciating the exchange rate. Question 22 (b) • Demonstrates a clear understanding of how Australia’s trade weighted index can decline even as the Australian dollar appreciates against the euro • Sketches in general terms how Australia’s trade weighted index can decline even as the Australian dollar appreciates against the euro • Demonstrates a limited understanding of how Australia’s trade weighted index can decline even as the Australian dollar appreciates against the euro 3 2 1 Sample answer: The TWI is the value of the AUD against a weighted basket of the currencies of its major trading partners. This includes the euro but is dominated by the $US and Asian currencies. While on the one hand the AUD could have appreciated against the euro due to the European crisis, the AUD may be weaker in the TWI due to lower commodity prices, causing its decline against currencies of the US and Asia. Question 22 (c) • Clearly shows how rising interest rates affect both the current account AND the capital and financial account of the balance of payments • Clearly shows how rising interest rates affect EITHER the current account OR the capital and financial account of the balance of payments, and sketches in general terms the other • Clearly shows the effect(s) of rising interest rates on EITHER the current account OR the capital and financial account of the balance of payments OR • Sketches in general terms the effect(s) of rising interest rates on both the current account AND the capital and financial account of the balance of payments • Sketches in general terms at least one effect of rising interest rates on EITHER the current account OR the capital and financial account of the balance of payments • States some aspects of how interest rates affect the current account AND/OR the capital and financial account of the balance of payments Sample answer: Rising interest rates will discourage individuals from spending which will lead to low imports thus improving the trade balance on the current account. On the other hand, rising interest rates will tend to appreciate the exchange rate, making imports cheaper and exports more expensive leading to a worsening in the trade balance. Rising interest rates will increase income payable on existing debt to overseas investors on the income account of the current account. It will also cause an inflow of foreign investment which will credit the financial account. Examination Preparation and 2014 HSC Questions 11 5 4 3 2 1 5. Section III: One Extended Response Question based on stimulus material (maximum of 20 marks) Allow a minimum of 35 minutes; but most students complete this section in 50 to 60 minutes. Questions 25 and 26 test essay writing (extended response) skills where students are asked to apply and communicate their knowledge to a specific question based on stimulus material. Stimulus material is designed to stimulate and support thinking about a particular economic issue, problem or policy. Students must choose from either Question 25 or 26 and write their answer in a Section III Writing Booklet. In the 2014 HSC Examination all questions in Section III and Section IV were in a one sentence format. The questions in Section III can be in a one or two sentence format. This requires careful planning so that the essay is structured into parts in a logical sequence. The other important feature of questions in Section III is the use of operative words such as ‘discuss’, ‘examine’, ‘analyse’, ‘evaluate’, ‘explain’, ‘assess’ and ‘contrast’. Words such as ‘How’, ‘What’ and ‘Why’ can also be used. The same operative word tends to be used for questions 25 and 26 (‘explain’ in 2013 and 2014). Students should also be familiar with the rubric (i.e. the instructions) used at the top of the page to present or introduce the questions in Section III: Possible areas of examination in Section III (and Section IV) include content from the four HSC topics of The Global Economy, Australia’s Place in the Global Economy, Economic Issues and Economic Policies and Management. Some of the main guidelines that students might follow in planning and writing an extended response answer to a question from Section III include the following: • Learn to incorporate the rubric skills in your answer; • Practise planning as many one and two sentence questions as possible; • Refer to the plan as you write the answer to the extended response question; • Refer to the stimulus material in your answer; • Demonstrate an understanding of the integrated nature of questions such as the relationship between an economic problem or issue (such as income and wealth inequality) and possible government economic policy responses such as labour market and fiscal policies (the ‘across topic’ or ‘crossover’ question); • Learn the list of operative terms published by the BOSTES; and • Practise the interpretation of stimulus material, especially quotations of text, economic statistics, graphs or diagrams. Examination Preparation and 2014 HSC Questions 12 Table 7: Glossary of Key Words or Operative Terms In economics all of these key words may be used but ‘distinguish’, ‘outline’, ‘discuss’, ‘analyse’, ‘explain’ and ‘evaluate’ are commonly used in short answer and extended response questions. Analyse: Assess: Calculate: Compare: Contrast: Define: Demonstrate: Describe: Discuss: Distinguish: Evaluate: Examine: Explain: Identify: Interpret: Outline: Propose: Recommend: State: Synthesise: Identify components and the relationship between them; draw out and relate implications Make a judgement of value, quality, outcomes, results or size Ascertain/determine from given facts Show how things are similar or different Show how things are different or opposite State the meaning and identify essential qualities Show by example Provide characteristics and features Identify issues and provide points for and/or against Recognise or note/indicate as being distinct or different from; to note differences between Make a judgement based on criteria; determine the value of Inquire into Relate cause and effect; make the relationships between things evident; provide why and/or how Recognise and name Draw meaning from Sketch in general terms; indicate the main features of Put forward (for example, a point of view, idea, argument or suggestion) for consideration or action Provide reasons in favour of Write down the term or word for Putting together various elements to make a whole Note that in the 2011, 2012, 2013 and 2014 HSC examinations the examiners used the following terms in addition to those above: ‘What’, ‘How’, ‘Why’ Examination Preparation and 2014 HSC Questions 13 Question 25 (20 marks) from the 2014 HSC Economics Examination In your answer you will be assessed on how well you: • • • • Demonstrate knowledge and understanding relevant to the question Use the information provided Apply relevant economic terms, concepts, relationships and theory Present a sustained, logical and cohesive response Question 25 (20 marks) “Explain how both labour market policies and fiscal policies can be used to reduce income inequality and wealth inequality. In your response, you should refer to the economic information provided.” An income safety net for all has been a long-term policy goal. The debate has been about whether minimum wages and welfare payments achieve this objective or whether disincentive effects mean that it has been counterproductive for some groups. Distribution of Income, Taxes and Government Benefits in Australia, 2009-10 (% shares of total income, taxes and benefits paid to/received by different income groups) Share of the poorest 20% of income earners Share of the richest 20% of income earners 3.3% 45.0% Less taxes paid: Income tax paid Indirect taxes paid (eg GST, petrol taxes) 1.2% 12.5% 56.2% 30.1% Plus government benefits received: Transfer payments (eg pension, unemployment) In-kind payments (eg free health, education) 36.5% 22.0% 2.5% 15.3% Final income 11.3% 34.7% Income earned before tax (eg wages and salaries, interest income) Introduction One of the economic and social goals of the Australian government is to reduce inequality in the distribution of income and wealth. Income is a flow concept and refers to the payments of wages and salaries, profits, rent and interest for the contribution of the factors of production to economic activity. Wealth on the otherhand is a stock concept and refers to a person’s or household’s net assets at any particular point in time and may include cash and bank deposits, superannuation, consumer durables, the value of owner occupied and investment properties, shares and other financial and non financial assets. Inequality arises in the distribution of income and wealth in a market economy because productivity and opportunity differ between individuals and households leading to inequality in the distribution of Examination Preparation and 2014 HSC Questions 14 income and wealth in Australian society. For example in the ABS survey of Household Income and Income Distribution 2011-12 it was estimated that the lowest income quintile received 7.5% of total equivalised disposable income (an average of $346 per week), whereas the highest income quintile received 39.5% of the total equivalised disposable income (or $1,814 per week). The distribution of wealth or net assets according to the ABS survey of Household Wealth and Wealth Distribution in 2013 was more unequal than the distribution of income. The lowest quintile accounted for 0.9% of total household net worth whereas the highest quintile accounted for 60.8% of total household net worth. Mean wealth was estimated at $728,100 and median wealth at $434,000 in 2011-12. Body The Lorenz Curve can be used to graph the distribution of income and the distribution of wealth. The distance between the Lorenz Curve for income or wealth from the line of perfect equality can be used to calculate the Gini co-efficient in relation to the area under the line of perfect equality. An increasing Gini co-efficient suggests an increase in inequality whereas a decreasing Gini co-efficient represents a decline in inequality over time. One of the key influences on income and wealth inequality over time is the level of economic activity and the rate of unemployment. A slower level of economic activity and a rise in the rate of unemployment usually leads to increasing inequality whereas a rise in economic activity and a lower unemployment rate may lead to a fall in inequality. However these are not the only factors which influence the level of income and wealth inequality. The Australian government can use both labour market and fiscal policies to reduce income and wealth inequality. Labour market policies are used to create and support a safety net for low income earners. Under the Fair Work Act 2009 the safety for Australian employees is made up of three parts: 1. The National Employment Standards (NES) provide ten minimum standards that cover maximum weekly hours of work, leave arrangements, public holidays and notice of termination and redundancy pay. 2. Annual adjustments are made to the National Minimum Wage so that low paid workers are able to maintain their real wages or purchasing power over time. In 2014 Fair Work Australia increased the National Minimum Wage by $16.87 per week (3%) which took the National Minimum Adult Wage to $640.90 per week. 3. The system of about 120 Modern Awards provides a set of minimum wages and working conditions for employees who have a specific occupation, job classification or type of work. Modern Awards contain about 20 terms including minimum wages, types of employment, penalty rates of pay, leave entitlements and superannuation. Single enterprise, multi-enterprise and greenfields agreements are also encouraged under the Fair Work Act 2009 for employees represented by a trade union or those that engage in collective of enterprise bargaining. This allows workers to improve their training, skills and productivity in return for higher wages and entitlements. Enterprise agreements are subject to both a No Disadvantage Test (NDT) and Better Off Overall Test (BOOT) to ensure workers are better off than under a Modern award or the National Minimum Wage. Examination Preparation and 2014 HSC Questions 15 Other Australian government labour market policies have focused on increasing the education, training and skills formation of the Australian workforce, especially for young people. These policies are seen as essential for reducing youth and long term unemployment. The Jobs and Training Compact was introduced in the 2009-10 budget in response to higher unemployment during the Global Financial Crisis. This policy targeted young people, communities and workers who became unemployed as a result of the GFC. In the 2014-15 budget the Abbott government introduced a ‘Learn or Earn’ policy requiring job seekers up to 30 years of age to participate in job search and employment activities for an additional six months before applying for Newstart or Youth Allowance. This policy was changed to one month in the 2015-16 budget and more money was allocated to assist the long term and young unemployed through work experience and the payment of wage subsidies. Labour market policies such as enterprise bargaining, education and training and apprenticeships have been linked to the reform of welfare payments and incentives for disadvantaged people to find part time and permanent employment. As stated in the stimulus material there has been debate in Australia over whether the system of minimum wages and welfare payments (through the tax-transfer system) have created disincentive effects (such as over reliance on welfare and poverty traps) for people to secure permanent employment and increase their education and training to find higher paid jobs in the workforce. In the 2014-15 budget the Abbott government introduced reforms to the transfer payments system to strengthen incentives for workforce participation and reduce the reliance on welfare payments for certain groups such as youth, married women with children, senior Australians, the disabled and the unemployed. In the stimulus material showing the distribution of income, taxes and government benefits it can be seen that the poorest 20% of income earners received 3.3% of total income compared to 45% for the top or richest 20% of income earners. Although the poorest 20% of income earners paid a lower proportion of income tax (1.2%) and indirect taxes (12.5%) compared to the richest 20% of income earners (56.2% and 30.1% respectively), they relied more heavily on transfer payments (36.5%) for income than the richest 20% of income earners (2.5%). Also the poorest 20% of income earners received a greater share (22%) of the social wage or benefits in kind (such as public health and education) than the richest 20% of income earners (15.3%), and their share of final income of 11.3% was less than one third of the richest 20% of income earners (34.7%). Final income in this table would be defined as: Final Income = Gross Income - Taxation (Direct + Indirect) + Government Benefits The main policy used to reduce inequality in the distribution of income and wealth is known as social policy, which is based on the tax-transfer system. This is part of fiscal policy and the Australian government’s annual budget framework. Social or welfare policy refers to the government’s use of the progressive system of taxation and the system of tax expenditures, which provides income support to low income earners, the aged, families with children on a single income, the unemployed, the sick and the disabled. The system of progressive taxation of personal income in Australia means that the more income a person earns, the more tax they pay as a percentage of their gross income. The progressive tax system provides revenue to the government enabling it to redistribute income from high income earners to low Examination Preparation and 2014 HSC Questions 16 income earners, through transfer payments such as old age and disability pensions, job search allowances, youth allowances and family benefits. Expenditure on social security by the Australian government represents around 35% of total budgetary expenditure. In the 2015-16 budget, $154b was allocated for expenditure on social security and welfare. Targeted and means tested welfare assistance in the form of pensions, family benefits and job search allowances provide income support for the aged, veterans, disabled, low income families with children and the unemployed. Government support helps these disadvantaged groups to raise their of standard of living. This helps to create a more even distribution of income and wealth. Tax policy can also be used to lower marginal taxation rates for low income earners and to raise the tax thresholds for low to lower middle income earners, as occurred in numerous federal budgets in the 2000s. In 2012, the tax free threshold was raised from $6,000 to $18,200 to encourage those on welfare to seek paid work, and in each budget between 2003 and 2012, other tax thresholds were raised to take into account the growth in incomes over time and the effect of ‘bracket creep’ (where taxpayers pay more tax as they move into higher tax thresholds). These tax changes reduced the tax burden on low and middle income earners relative to high income earners. The current tax table for income tax appears below: Tax Threshold (from July 1st 2012) Tax Rate (Marginal Tax Rate %) 0-$18,200 $18,201-$37,000 $37,001-$80,000 $80,001-$180,000 $180,000+ 0% 19% 32.5% 37% 45% The use of fringe benefits tax on fringe benefits such as company cars, and capital gains tax on the real gains from the sale of shares and real estate are taxes on wealth. They assist in redistributing income (like the progressive income tax system), since they tax fringe benefits and capital gains on a progressive scale through rising marginal taxation rates. In Australia there is an absence of death duties, inheritance taxes or a wealth tax so the government relies on progressive taxes to tax wealth. Conclusion Changes in income inequality are measured by changes in the value of the Gini coefficient and for the distribution of equivalised disposable income in Australia it rose from 0.314 in 2005-06 to 0.336 in 2007-08, indicating an increase in income inequality of 7% between 2005-06 and 2007-08 due to strong growth in wages and salaries and unearned sources of income to households in the highest income quintile, relative to those households in the lowest, second, third and fourth income quintiles. However the Gini co-efficient fell from 0.336 in 2007-08 to 0.329 in 2009-10, and to 0.320 in 2011-12, which was a reduction in inequality of 4.8% because of tax cuts and increased welfare payments to low income households. The effective conduct of monetary and fiscal policies are also important in reducing inequality by supporting sustainable economic growth, increasing employment and growth in incomes. Examination Preparation and 2014 HSC Questions 17 6. Section IV: One Extended Response Question not based on stimulus (maximum of 20 marks) Allow a minimum of 35 minutes, but most students complete this section in 50 to 60 minutes. Questions 27 and 28 are two extended response questions that are not based on stimulus material as in Section III. Students must answer one of the two questions in a separate Section IV Writing Booklet and the same rules for interpreting, planning and writing the essay answer apply as in Section III. Extended response questions in Section IV can come from any of the four topic areas of The Global Economy, Australia’s Place in the Global Economy, Economic Issues, and Economic Policies and Management. Students should also be familiar with the rubric (i.e. instructions) used at the top of the page to present or introduce the questions in Section IV: The directive verb used in Section IV questions in the 2014 HSC examination was ‘discuss’ and both questions were in a one sentence format. ‘Discuss’ means to identify issues and provide points for and/or against. In the 2013 HSC the directive verb was ‘analyse’ (identify components and the relationship between them). 7. HSC Economics Marking The short answers and extended responses are marked according to criteria developed by the examination committee for the HSC markers. Whilst these criteria are well defined there is some tolerance shown in accepting a variety of student answers, although these are in well defined limits. Students should be aiming to achieve Band 5 or Band 6 answers in the extended response section of the paper which is worth 40% of total marks. Extended responses in economics are marked out of 20 according to a criteria based marking system known as Marking Guidelines. Marking criteria are developed to describe student performance in each of the six bands of performance, starting from the lowest bands (Bands 1 and 2) and proceeding to the highest bands (Bands 5 and 6). The descriptors of student achievement in Band 6 are as follows: Band 6 - Criteria • • • • • • • 17-20 Marks Integrates economic terms, concepts, relationships and theory in a variety of economic contexts Displays superior analysis of the role of economic participants and markets in a variety of economic contexts Uses extensive economic vocabulary and illustrative examples in exposition of problems and policies in a variety of contexts Demonstrates critical judgement and sound reasoning to select, organise, synthesise and evaluate relevant information from a variety of sources Presents excellent explanation and evaluation of the impact of government economic policies in contemporary and hypothetical economic contexts Presents comprehensive application of appropriate mathematical concepts in a variety of economic contexts Produces comprehensive economic arguments to evaluate the consequences of economic problems and issues on economic participants Examination Preparation and 2014 HSC Questions 18 • The markers are generally very experienced • There is intense briefing of markers prior to marking • Short answers are marked once • Extended responses are marked twice with a variation of more than two marks checked by a Senior Marker • If an extended response is ‘discrepant’ the response is marked a third time • Senior Markers have new technology to monitor consistency and accuracy of the marking process • With the move to online marking it is important for students to write neatly and within the lines provided for the short answers and in writing booklets for extended responses. This is because the scanning process will be more efficient if student responses are legible and captured in their entirety. 8. Student Resources Aside from using textbooks, study guides, teachers’ notes, conference papers and slides, newsletter and newspaper articles and research materials from the Internet, students are encouraged to also use resources developed by the Board of Studies, Teaching and Educational Standards (BOSTES) which are found on its website at www.boardofstudies.nsw.edu.au: • • • • • • • • Assessment and Reporting in Economics The Economics Stage 6 Syllabus and Amendments Copies of past HSC Economics Examination papers Notes from the Marking Centre and Marking Guidelines HSC Economics Examination Rubrics NSW HSC Online for information on each topic in the HSC Economics course Performance Band Descriptions Booklets of Sample Answers such as the 2014 HSC Exam Workbook ($30) Practising past questions is the best way of preparing yourself for the Trial HSC and HSC examinations, in addition to making summaries of key knowledge and skills outcomes for each of the four topics in economics. Other resources may include past papers from the Catholic Trial and NSW Independent Trial Examination series from when the current syllabus was first examined (2011). 9. Examination Preparation • • • • • Go over past papers and ‘group’ questions from the same topic area Read the examiners’ comments from the Notes from the Marking Centre Practise one essay and one short answer per week and use exam time limits and hand the answers in for marking by your teacher Peer review other students’ essays and short answers Learn effective writing techniques in economics - ABCD - Answer the question - Balanced answer in terms of adequate detail for each part of the question - Coherent answer in terms of structure and expression - Diagrams should be used where relevant Examination Preparation and 2014 HSC Questions 19 Multiple Choice Tips Be aware of the new question format used in 2012, with four questions based on this format (8, 9,10 and 20). In 2013 there were eight questions based on this format (6, 9, 13, 14, 15 ,16 ,17 and 20. In 2014 there again eight questions based on this format (7, 9, 10, 11, 13, 14, 15 and 17). • . Go to the Board of Studies website and get the answers to past multiple choice questions in HSC examinations • Make topic lists of key terms/definitions • Learn diagrams by drawing and interpreting them • Memorise formulae for calculations • Apply formulae in solving multiple choice questions based on calculations GOOD LUCK IN THE TRIAL AND HSC IN 2015! Keynes said economics was ‘an apparatus of the mind’ or in other words just another way of thinking about the world. The definition of an economist: too much personality to be an accountant! Vale John Nash Examination Preparation and 2014 HSC Questions 20