Euro Challenge November 2016 Slovenia An overview of Slovenia’s economy Did you know…? History Some scholars believe that a description of how Slovene farmers contractually consented to be governed influenced Thomas Jefferson's drafting of the Declaration of Independence. Geography Four major European geographic regions meet in Slovenia: the Alps, the Dinaric area, the Pannonian plain and the Mediterranean. Sports Mountaineering and climbing have a long tradition in Slovenia and Slovenian mountaineers were among the first to ascend some of the most difficult routes in the Himalayas. Food The Potica is a traditional Slovenian cake made by rolling up a layer of dough covered with walnuts. Fun Fact Slovenia's previous Prime Minister, Borut Pahor, promised to clean the cleats of the national soccer team if they managed to secure a place at the 2010 World Cup in South Africa. After they qualified, he followed through on his promise! In part due to its dependence on trade, this role model for successful economic liberalization and European integration was impacted in the recent crisis. Slovenia exited recession in 2013. Before its independence in 1991, Slovenia realized strong Slovenia was already the most economic growth in the years productive of the Yugoslav running up to the global financial Republics. It was the trading hub of crisis, boosting job creation and former Yugoslavia and enjoyed capacity utilization. Prudent relatively broad cultural, civic and income policies had helped economic liberties. Licensing contain wage pressures and agreements with Western keep inflation relatively low. The companies enabled technology high dependency on trade transfers to Slovenian factories. rendered Slovenia sensitive to Slovenia's economy was therefore the economic conditions of its well prepared for the economic main trading partners. liberalization that followed after independence. Since then, the When the economic crisis hit and authorities have vigorously pursued global demand slumped, the diversification of trade, privatization Slovenian economy contracted of domestic industries, and sharply. The Slovenian integration into international government reacted with a institutions. number of stimulus measures, including subsidies to companies Slovenia joined the European Union for shorter working hours. It in 2004 with broad popular support. dipped back into recession in It was the first of the so-called 2012 but is now experiencing “New” member states to adopt the slight growth in GDP again. euro on January 1, 2007. It became Long-term policy challenges the 13th member of the euro area. include the need to enact reforms Over the last decade, those to raise the economy’s growth Slovene industries that are highly potential and ensure that public export-oriented have performed finances are sustainable given strongly. Many manufacturing and the population aging. engineering companies managed to integrate very well into the supplychains of European car companies. Slovenia benefits from its geographical location in the heart of Europe and well-maintained infrastructure, which enables it to serve as a transit hub for the economies of the Western Balkans. Euro Challenge Slovenia’s Economy – Key Facts • The Republic of Slovenia has a population of about 2 million people in an area slightly smaller than the US state of New Jersey, making it the fourth-smallest country in the euro area. • Slovenia ranks in the lower spectrum among the EU countries in terms of GDP per capita. Slovenia's economy is dominated by the services sector (60% of GDP) and is well-integrated in Europe’s common market. • The World Economic Forum (WEF) Global Competitiveness Report for 2015/2016 ranked Slovenia 59th out of 140 countries in terms of competitiveness. The innovation-driven economy ranked favorable in education, health, and infrastructure. Access to financing, inefficient government bureaucracy and restrictive labor regulations are seen as the most problematic factors for doing business. • The World Bank’s Doing Business Report ranked Slovenia 51st out of 189 countries in 2015. The country made it easier to resolve insolvent firms. • According to the European Commission’s Autumn 2015 forecast, Slovenia is expected to grow by 2.6% in 2015. The recovery is forecast to continue at a slightly slower pace as EU funded infrastructure projects reach completion. Slovenia's budget deficit and total debt levels have been increasing rapidly, thanks in part to measures that recapitalized the banking sector, though consolidation measures will help in the years ahead. The deficit should fall to 2.9% of GDP in 2015, and total debt should stabilize at about 84.2% of GDP. References • https://www.gfmag.com/global-data/country-data/slovenia-gdp-countryreport • http://ec.europa.eu/economy_finance/eu/countries/slovenia_en.htm • http://europa.eu/abc/european_countries/eu_members/slovenia • http://www.oecd.org/slovenia • http://www.imf.org/external/country/svn • http://www.doingbusiness.org/ExploreEconomies/?economyid=169 • https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/si.html • http://reports.weforum.org/global-competitiveness-report-20152016/economies/#indexId=GCI&economy=SVN 2016 Exports Export performance was hurt by the economic crisis as Slovenia's main trading partners weakened, but exports have performed much better recently – rising over 5% in 2014. Main export goods are transport vehicles, electrical machinery, furniture, clothing, and chemicals. Employment Real wages have been dropping as a result of the weak growth and labor market outlook as well as the budgeted cuts in public sector wages. Falling unit labor costs are helping to boost competitiveness. Unemployment peaked at around 10% in 2013/2014 but is set to decline. Inflation Prices will decrease by 0.6% in 2015 but are set to rise, reaching +0.8% in 2016. Education Slovenia has a highly educated workforce, with skills concentrated in technical and engineering areas. Higher education was expanded at an impressive pace over the last decade. Corporate Sector Many companies, particularly banks, suffer from high debt levels and could benefit from governance reforms.