INFERENCE IN PSYCHOLOGY COMPARISON: % CORRECT AND

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Neuropsychological norming
and mixed effects models
Davide Crepaldi
davide.crepaldi1@unimib.it
www.davidecrepaldi.net
[MoMo Lab, Department of Psychology, University of Milano Bicocca, Italy]
Alessandra Casarotti
[Department of Medical Biotechnology and Translational Medicine, University of Milano, Italy]
[Humanitas Research Hospital, Unit of Neurosurgical Oncology, Rozzano, Italy]
Barbara Zarino
[Department of Neuroscience and Sense Organs, Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico, Milan, Italy]
Costanza Papagno
[Department of Psychology, University of Milano Bicocca, Italy]
INFERENCE IN PSYCHOLOGY
MIXED EFFECT MODELING
Psychologists are typically interested in effects that are general,
i.e., hold across multiple items and multiple subjects.
Mixed effect models, random intercepts for subjects and items.
Item variables, because actual data points are data points.
Establishing when this is the case is by no means trivial [Clark,
1973]. Very often, the statistical tests that we typically use
are seriously flawed [Jaeger, 2008].
COMPARISON: % CORRECT AND EQUIVALENT SCORES
We computed expected % correct using the two procedures
for 2.6K combinations of age (20-85), education (3-2) and
gender: correlation is .81.
%correct-mixed [minus] %correct-classic
22
Education (years)
Here we apply these big advances to psychological test
norming.
THE TEST (CASE)
0.10
0.08
17
0.06
12
0.02
7
0.00
-0.02
25
35
40
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
WHERE DO THEY DISAGREE?
disagree
agree
agree
disagree
agree
disagree
agree
% of cases
0.0
0.4
disagree
agree
Age=70, Education=18
0.0 0.5 1.0
0.0 0.5 1.0
Age=70, Education=13
agree
disagree
Age=50, Education=18
0.0 0.5 1.0
0.0 0.5 1.0
agree
% of cases
% of cases
0.0 0.5 1.0
disagree
agree
Age=50, Education=13
% of cases
% of cases
0.0 0.5 1.0
disagree
disagree
0.0 0.5 1.0
agree
% of cases
disagree
Age=30, Education=18
% of cases
Age=30, Education=13
% of cases
0.0 0.5 1.0
Age=30, Education=5
Age=70, Education=5
Education (years)
5
10
15
20
50
We computed Equivalent Scores using to the two procedures
for 80k combinations of age (20-85), education (3-22), gender
and raw score (20-50 correct). ES disagree 28% of the times.
Age=50, Education=5
290 unimpaired Italian speakers (148 F and 142 M), ranging 18
to 98 years in age, and 3 to 23 years in education.
45
% of cases
NORMING SAMPLE
30
40
60
Age (years)
80
100
CLASSIC APPROACH (Capitani et al., 1988)
Simple regression, no random effects.
No item variables, because actual data points are subject means.
Relevant subjects variables: age (<.001), education (<.001),
and gender (.03).
Overall fit: R-squared = .34 [0=randomness, 1=perfect prediction]
AND HOW STRONGLY?
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
ES-mixed (minus) ES-classic
4
We computed Equivalent Scores using to the two procedures
for 69 unselected, aphasic patients. ES disagree 26% of the
times.
Education (years)
5
10
15
20
20
Mixed prediction is
lower than classic
prediction
Age (years)
% of cases
Picture naming of actions, taken from Crepaldi et al. (2006):
50 items
Rated for frequency, age of acquisition, actionality,
picture typicality. Length in letters and syllables was
also considered
Three syntactic classes: transitive verbs (n=20),
inergative verbs (n=17) and inaccusative verbs (n=13)
Pictures either new or taken from Druks (2000)
Mixed prediction is
higher than classic
prediction
0.04
0.0 0.5 1.0
An effective solution is mixed effect modeling [Baayen, 2008;
Jaeger, 2008]. Among other things, it allows to:
run models on individual data points, that is, the performance
of sbj i on item j, with no averaging. Thus, much more data
points. Thus, much more power;
deal appropriately with special distributions (e.g., binomial, as
in accuracy data), which we never do (e.g., ANOVA on %
correct is deeply wrong);
explain away spurious variability related to random variation
in items (some are difficult, some are easy) and subjects
(some are good, some are bad). This may account up to some
45-50% of variance in our data.
Relevant item variables: imageability (p=.02), number of
syllables (p=.12), age of acquisition (p=.15), and picture
typicality (p=.12).
Relevant subject variables: age (p<.001), education (p=.07),
gender (p=.01), and age by education (p<.001).
Overall fit: Somers' Dxy = .73 [0=randomness, 1=perfect prediction]
Pt with same score
Pt with +1 classic
Pt with +1 mixed
20
30
40
50
Age (years)
60
70
80
Clark, H. H. (1973). The language-as-fixed-effect fallacy: A critique of language statistics in
psychological research. Journal of Verbal Learning and Verbal Behavior, 12, 335-359. Baayen, R. H. et al.
(2008). Mixed-effects modeling with crossed random effects for subjects and items. Journal of
Memory and Language, 59, 390-412. Capitani, E. (1987). Statistical methods. In Spinnler, H. and Tognoni, G. (Eds.), Italian Normative Values and standardization of neuropsychological tests. talian Journal of
Neurological Sciences, 6 (suppl. 8). Crepaldi et al. (2006). Noun-verb dissociation in aphasia: the role of imageability and functional locus of the lesion. Neuropsychologia, 44, 73-99. Druks, J. (2000). Object and
Action Naming Battery. Hove: Psychology Press. Jaeger, F. T. (2008). Categorical data analysis: Away from ANOVAs (transformation or not) and towards logit mixed models. Journal of Memory and Language, 59,
434-446.
REFERENCES
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