Future Malaysia Forum Academy of Sciences Malaysia Society & Culture: Are we at the crossroad? Prof Dr Mansor Mohd Noor Principal Research Fellow Institute of Ethnic Studies (KITA) Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 02 June 2015 02 June 2015 Futures Malaysian Forum KITA-ASM PUBLIC SPACE, NSTP, KUALA LUMPUR 1 Research Data 02 June 2015 Futures Malaysian Forum KITA-ASM 2 Appendix Research Data 02 June 2015 Futures Malaysian Forum KITA-ASM 3 A1. Self Interest of the Material Kind Relative To Ethnic Preference 1990-2013 (Percent) Melayu Cina 120 120 100 100 80 Sewa Rumah Jaga Anak 60 Rakan Kongsi Kedai Runcit 40 Peratus (%) Peratus (%) 80 Sewa Rumah Jaga Anak 60 Rakan Kongsi Kedai Runcit 40 Pinjaman Bank 20 Sewa Rumah Kedai 0 Pinjaman Bank 20 0 Tahun 02 June 2015 Sewa Rumah Kedai Tahun Futures Malaysian Forum KITA-ASM 4 A2. Self Interest of the Status Kind Relative To Ethnic Preference 1990-2013 (Percent) Melayu 100 100 90 90 80 80 Lawatan ke Zoo 60 50 Anak Angkat 40 30 Jemputan Perkahwinan 20 Jemputan Hari Jadi Peratus (%) 70 70 Peratus (%) Cina 50 Anak Angkat 40 Jemputan Perkahwinan 30 20 10 10 0 0 Jemputan Hari Jadi Tahun Tahun 02 June 2015 Lawatan ke Zoo 60 Futures Malaysian Forum KITA-ASM 5 A3. Self Interest of the Personal Obligation Relative To Ethnic Preference 1990-2013 (Percent) Melayu Cina 120 120 100 Sokong Ketua 80 Ucapan Hari Ibu 60 Kunci Rumah 40 20 0 Ucapan Hari Ibu 60 Kunci Rumah Kawan Bermain 40 Kawan Bermain Membantu Rakan Sekerja 20 Membantu Rakan Sekerja Ucap Takziah 0 Tahun 02 June 2015 Sokong Ketua 80 Peratus (%) Peratus (%) 100 Ucap Takziah Tahun Futures Malaysian Forum KITA-ASM 6 Social Relations Index 1990-2013 3.00 Nisbah Ganjil 2.00 2.13 1.77 1.54 1.61 1.40 1.40 1.37 1.29 1.26 1.21 1.15 1.16 1.04 1.01 1.13 1.08 1.06 1.05 1.04 1.00 1.01 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.96 0.93 0.91 0.87 0.87 0.91 0.96 0.74 0.84 0.99 0.85 0.90 0.89 0.83 0.78 0.78 0.74 0.71 0.70 0.70 0.68 0.64 0.49 0.55 0.60 0.58 0.51 0.45 0.43 0.00 0.00 19901992199319951996199819992000200120052006200720092010201120122013 -0.81-0.72-0.73-0.70-0.81 -0.94 -1.00 -0.99 -1.00 -1.10-0.93 -1.17 -1.37 -2.00 -3.00 -3.31 -4.00 Tahun Material 02 June 2015 Status Tuntutan Sosial Futures Malaysian Forum KITA-ASM Indeks 7 Index of Social Tension Category 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Violence/Rioting Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Demonstration/Protest 398 456 482 804 869 750 Attack/Fighting 1522 1104 1046 878 949 844 Issues (Media) 493 234 371 345 375 627 Total 2413 1794 2027 2027 2193 2221 IST 27.9 21.6 22.5 18.2 02 June 2015 Futures Malaysian Forum KITA-ASM 19.9 18.9 8 Global Peace Index 2007 2008 2011 2010 2009 World Ranking 37. Malaysia World Ranking 37. Malaysia Asia Ranking 9. Malaysia Asia Ranking Asia Ranking Asia Ranking Asia Ranking 4. Malaysia 8. Malaysia 4. Malaysia 6. Malaysia World Ranking 22. Malaysia 2013 2012 02 June 2015 World Ranking 26. Malaysia World Ranking 19. Malaysia 2014 World Ranking 20. Malaysia World Ranking 29. Malaysia World Ranking 33. Malaysia Asia Ranking 4. Malaysia Asia Ranking 6. Malaysia Asia Ranking 6. Malaysia Futures Malaysian Forum KITA-ASM 9 Social Conflict or Social Cohesion? Comparative Analysis of Malaysia & Sri Lanka, 1940-2015 Malaysia 2001 2012 1969 1948 - 1960 1940 1940-1950 1951-1960 1961-1970 1971-1980 1981-1990 1991-2010 Sri Lanka Violence conflicts do take place in Malaysia & Sri Lanka since the 1940s. However, historical data indicate that social cohesion is more dominant in Malaysia relative to Sri Lanka. 02 June 2015 Futures Malaysian Forum KITA-ASM 10 Portraits of the Nation 02 June 2015 Futures Malaysian Forum KITA-ASM 11 Portrait of the Nation -VE • The social fabric and multi-ethnic society of Malaysia is fragile. • Social problems and ethnic tensions colour the nation • Social and political instabilities could hamper progress +VE • Obama & Clinton; Malaysia is a moderate and progressive Islam nation • M Vatikiotis (WSJ): Malaysia is a moderate peacemaker • Malaysia models for development and harmonious ethnic relations among developing and post colonial societies 02 June 2015 Futures Malaysian Forum KITA-ASM 12 Diversity Traits of Malaysia 1. Positive Trait – Diversity and differences are celebrated – Government invests in cultural diversity – A global tourism product- a source of national income 2. Negative Traits – Diversity and differences create social misunderstanding – Political conflicts instil a sense of ‘stable tension’ – Government gives a small badget to overcome the problems faced 3. Faces of Hope – Various unity projects are implemented – Bangsa Melayu, Bangsa Malaysia to 1Malaysia 02 June 2015 Futures Malaysian Forum KITA-ASM 13 Managing Solidarity & Scarcity the Thrust of National Development & Nation-Building 02 June 2015 Futures Malaysian Forum KITA-ASM 14 Ultimate Objective of National Unity • Since the ethnic riots of May 13, 1969, national unity is deliberately seeked among the various interests group in the society. • Implementation of 1. Political sharing-BN, 2. Economic growth with redistribution-NEP • After 45 years…. • Outcome-Poverty reduced from 50% to 2%; Quality of life increased; • Malaysia recognised by developed and underdeveloped nation as a SHOW CASE STATE of Development success story 02 June 2015 Futures Malaysian Forum KITA-ASM 15 Searching for National Unity…. • A long timeline of peace rather than violence • It is observed that after 45 years of NEP, the process toward national unity attained is social cohesion. • Social cohesion is a dynamic process which could be at its low ebb of social alignment (penyatupaduan), social alliances (pautan sosial) dan a higher attainment of a united in diversity (bersatu dalam kepelbagaian) 02 June 2015 Futures Malaysian Forum KITA-ASM 16 Detailing Social Cohesion • social alignment (penyatupaduan); +ve plus prevalence of ‘moments of disunity’ • social alliances (pautan sosial); + ve plus prevalence of ‘moments of unity’ • united in diversity (bersatu dalam kepelbagaian); convergence and sharing of norms 02 June 2015 Futures Malaysian Forum KITA-ASM 17 Development, Technology and Migration Change the Malaysian Society 02 June 2015 Futures Malaysian Forum KITA-ASM 18 Development, Change & Social Transformation 1970s Poverty & social disparity 1980-90s Development, industry & Migration - 2000sCosmopolitan & Middle Classes 2010s Toward A Developed 02 June 2015 Futures Malaysian Forum KITA-ASM From a plural & multiethnic society to a civilisation indigenous canopy in a diverse society 19 Social Transformation 2000 i. ii. iii. An agricultural society to an industrial nation Poverty replaced by a middle class society Traditional life into a cosmopolitant society Impact 1 Malaysia evolved out of a plural society into a diverse society Impact 2 From a compartmentalisationbased on ethnic to social differentiationDevelopment, social change, societal transformation, social differentiation along ethnic, rural-urban, generation and classes Impact 3 Ethnic influences prevail but it is secondary and not primordial (world capitalist system-profit-system-globalisation-ICT-global village) 02 June 2015 Futures Malaysian Forum KITA-ASM 20 Social Changes in the Nation • • • • • • Every ten years, a decade, Malaysia undergoes change: 1. Ethnicity 2. Cultural 3. Identity 4. Class 5. Social differentiation • Creating new life styles, political cultures & a new wave of ethnic relations 02 June 2015 Futures Malaysian Forum KITA-ASM 21 Variants of Malaysian Ethnic Identity • • • • • Commercial ethos Value-based culture Ethno-based culture Ethno-religious Socio-liberal 02 June 2015 Futures Malaysian Forum KITA-ASM 22 Fragmentation of a Socially Differentiated Malaysian Society i. ii. iii. iv. v. Ethno-groupies (70%) Universalistic norms (60%) The ethnic manipulators (30%) The nation of intent (20%) The ethno-religious extrimists (5%) 02 June 2015 Futures Malaysian Forum KITA-ASM 23 Political Issue, Value and Culture • Political Culture (Liberty, Freedom, Free Speech, Right to Assembly, Access to Information, Democracy, Human Rights, Right to Participation) • Political Value Accountability, Transparency, Integrity, Good Governance, Social Justice, • Political Issue Corruption, Power Abuse, Institutional Discrimination, Inclusive govertmentn machinery and Development, Federalism 02 June 2015 Futures Malaysian Forum KITA-ASM 24 The Dynamism of Malaysian Social History • • • • Malay Kingdom-The Malay archipelago Malay Sultanate-Pre colonial Malay Nation-The rejection of Malayan Union The Malay Hegemony in a plural society-The Federal Constitution of 1948 & 1957 • -The Indigenous Hegemony-The Federal Constitution of Malaysia 1963 • The Indigenous Civilisational Canopy in a Diverse Society-Post 2000 02 June 2015 Futures Malaysian Forum KITA-ASM 25 The Nation: The Keys National building to manage solidarity: National ethos The Indigenous Civilisational Canopy in a Diverse Society Progress by managing scarcity in a post colonial society by focussing on political and economic relations Good governance as well as a just and inclusive development 02 June 2015 Futures Malaysian Forum KITA-ASM 26 Formula in Managing Diversity • The dynamism of the process of national unity and social cohesion is a social fact as Malaysians accept and tolerate their differences and practice a culture of bargaining and negotiation in redistributing societal resources and defining the nation • Bargaining and negotiation reduce differences through accommodation and compromises producing a collective consensus 02 June 2015 Futures Malaysian Forum KITA-ASM 27 Way Forward • Malaysia is an ethno-nation that embedded a civic nation as it develops from an agricultural into an industrial nation • Plural society of past has becomes history • Malaysia enter a new phase of an indigenous civilisational canopy in a diverse society • National building on the basis of integration has transformed Malaysia into a global village 02 June 2015 Futures Malaysian Forum KITA-ASM 28 Thank You. 02 June 2015 Futures Malaysian Forum KITA-ASM 29