JCR-VIS Credit Rating Company Limited Rating Report Affiliate of Japan Credit Rating Agency, Ltd. Engro Foods Limited Chairman: Mr. Aliuddin Ansari; Chief Executive: Mr. Sarfraz A. Rehman February 11, 2015 Rating Rationale Analyst: Faryal Ahmad Moiz Badshah Category Sukuk Latest A+ Dec 31, 2014 Outlook Previous A+ Jan 21, 2013 Stable Dec 31, 2014 Stable Jan 21, 2013 Key Financial Trends 28 24 20 16 12 8 4 0 9M14 Gross Margin (%) ROAA (%) (annualized) 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 2013 2012 Net Margin (%) _________________________________________ 9M14 Gearing (x) (Rs. billion) 2013 2012 Debt Servicing (x) (annualized) 9M14 2013 2012 Net Sales 30.7 37.9 40.2 Net Profit 0.3 0.2 2.6 Net Equity 10.9 10.7 10.0 Debt Leverage (x) 1.4 1.2 1.2 Total Debt 10.1 8.2 7.8 (inc. current maturity) 7.2 8.2 7.7 FFO (annualized) 1.5 2.4 4.5 0.15 0.3 0.6 3.1 2.0 29.2 Long Term Debt FFO (annualized) /Total Debt (x) ROAE(%) (annualized) Engro Foods Limited is operating in the consumer goods segment, and is engaged in the manufacturing, processing and sale of dairy products, beverages, ice cream and frozen desserts. Over the years, the business has been able to establish several brands which have become household names in Pakistan. These include Olper’s (Milk), Omore (Ice cream), Dairy Omung (UHT dairy liquid) and Tarang (tea whitener), to name a few. Engro Foods had displayed a positive growth trajectory with the top-line having shown a cumulative annual growth rate (CAGR) of 50%, increasing from Rs. 1.5b in 2006 to Rs. 38b in 2013. The financial results of the company have however come under stress over the last two years, with sales declining in 2013, though expected to have recuperated in 2014. With narrowed gross margins (2012: 25.7%; 2013: 21.6%; 9M14: 18.5%), the company’s earnings from core operations and cash flows have witnessed a declining trend. The company’s profit before provisions and taxes declined from Rs. 3.9b in 2012 to Rs. 1.4b in 2013 and Rs. 394.2m in 9M14. Over this period, funds from operations also declined considerably (2012: Rs. 4.5b; 2013: Rs. 2.4b; 9M14: Rs. 1.1b), resulting in reduced debt service coverage. Moreover, bottom line was further impacted by the provisioning charge that was taken primarily against the company’s investment in Engro Foods Netherlands B.V., a wholly owned subsidiary and the company registered a loss before tax of Rs. 164.6m in 9M14. Total debt increased from Rs. 7.8b in 2012 to Rs. 8.2b in 2013 and further to Rs. 10.1b by end 9M14. Over the years, the company had primarily utilized long term financing and working capital requirements were met through internal cash generation. However, in 9M14, short term debt was mobilized for working capital purposes. In addition to this, short term investments previously carried on balance sheet were also liquidated to meet the company’s working capital requirements, in the backdrop of reduced internal cash generation (2012: Rs. 2.7b; 2013: Rs. 170m; 9M14: nil). Despite the stress on earnings and cash flows, Engro Foods continued to develop its existing product segments by re-vamping its distribution network. As a result, capital expenditure amounted to Rs. 5.2b in 2013 as opposed to Rs. 2.5b in 2012. A further capex of Rs. 2.2b was incurred in 9M14.The management is projecting improvement in financial results, going forward. While profitability is expected to improve given that major portion of provisioning expense has already been absorbed, improvement in cash flows depends on the realization of management’s projections regarding margins. Moreover, the company has no major capex planned for the foreseeable horizon. The financial results of the company will continue to be closely monitored; in the absence of turnaround in financial indicators, ratings could come under stress. The company had issued Sukuk certificates of Rs. 950m in 2009. Repayment of the Sukuk commences from July 2015. Principal will be redeemed in four unequal installments in the seventh and eighth year. Sukuk payment due in CY2015 amounts to Rs. 71.25m. Overview of the Institution Engro Foods Limited was incorporated in April 2005 and was listed on Karachi and Lahore Stock Exchanges in 2011. Engro Corporation Limited continues to be the main sponsor, with a holding of 87% in the company. External auditors of the company for 2013 were A. F. Fergusons & Company, who have been re-appointed for 2014 JCR-VIS Information herein was obtained from sources believed to be accurate and reliable; however, JCR-VIS Credit Rating Company Limited (JCR-VIS) does not guarantee the accuracy, adequacy or completeness of any information and is not responsible for any errors or omissions or for the results obtained from the use of such information. JCR-VIS, the analysts involved in the rating process and members of its rating committee do not have any conflict of interest relating to the credit rating(s) mentioned in this report. JCR-VIS is not an NRSRO and its ratings are not NRSRO credit ratings. JCR-VIS is paid a fee for most rating assignments. This rating is an opinion on credit quality only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Copyright 2015 JCR-VIS Credit Rating Company Limited. All rights reserved. Contents may be used by news media with credit to JCR-VIS. JCR-VIS Credit Rating Company Limited Affiliate of Japan Credit Rating Agency, Ltd. Engro Foods Limited Rating History Rating Date Medium to Outlook Short Term Long Term Rating Type – TFC-1 Rating Action 12/31/2014 A+ Stable Reaffirmed 1/21/2013 A+ Stable Upgrade 4/26/2011 A Stable Upgrade 1/7/2010 A- Positive Maintained 1/6/2009 A- Stable Final 8/13/2008 A- Stable Preliminary