Problem Set 2 - Answers (due Tuesday, September 27) Part I: Record the following transactions into the U.S. balance of payments: 1. The Federal Reserve sells $10 worth of Euros and buys $10 worth of dollars from a bank in Frankfurt. 2. An American investors buys $20 worth of shares in a Chinese company. The investor pays with a check drawn on his dollar account at Citibank. 3. Microsoft pays $30 worth of dividends to its investor in Germany. Microsoft sends a check drawn on its dollar account at Citibank. 4. A U.S. importer buys $40 worth of BMW cars. The importer pays with a check drawn on his Euro account in Frankfurt. 5. Japanese publisher pays $50 worth of royalties to an American author. The publisher sends a check drawn on his Yen account in Japan. Composition of BoP Credit Debit Current Account Goods (lines 2+20) 40 Services (lines 4+21) 50 Income (lines 12+29) 30 Unilateral transfers (line 35) Capital Account (line 39) Financial Account U.S.–owned assets abroad (line 40) (changes in U.S. holdings of foreign assets) Foreign Securities (line 52) 20 U.S. Claims abroad (lines 53+54) 40 50 20+30 10 Foreign–owned assets in the U.S. (line 55) (changes in foreign holdings of U.S. assets) U.S. Securities (line 65+66) U.S. Liabilities abroad (lines 68+69) Official Reserves U.S. official reserve assets (line 41) 10 Foreign official assets in the U.S. (line 56) Useful Balances Balance Current Account (CA) -20 Trade Balance (goods) -40 Trade Balance (goods and services) 10 Non-reserve Capital Account (KA) 10 Overall Balance = CA + KA -10 Official Settlements Balance (OR) 10 Change in Official Reserve Assets (∆R) -10 Net Private Capital Inflow = KA 10 Net Official Capital Inflow = OR 10 Net Change in Foreign Wealth/Investment Position = CA -20 Part II: Consider the U.S. balance of payments from the second quarter of 2005 (released last Friday, 9/16) and answer the following questions: 1. Did the U.S. import more goods than it exported? Exports of goods: 253 Imports of goods: 463 Yes. 2. Did the U.S. sell more services than it bought? Exports of services: 103 Imports of services: 86 Yes. 3. Did the U.S. receive more income from its assets abroad (dividends, interest, repatriated profits) than foreigners received on their investment in the U.S.? Income from assets abroad: 53 Payments on foreign-owned assets: 56 NO. 4. Did U.S. residents receive more private remittances than they sent? Net private remittances: -14 No. U.S. residents paid more than they received. 5. Did the U.S. experience net capital inflows or outflows? Balance of Current Account: -218 U.S. experienced capital inflow. 6. Did the U.S. private sector increase its holding of foreign assets? (line 50) U.S. private assets : -213 Yes. U.S. increased (imported) foreign assets. 7. Did the U.S. private sectors increase its foreign liabilities? (line 63) Other foreign assets in the U.S: +292 Yes. U.S. exported U.S. assets and hence increased its foreign liabilities. 8. Did the U.S. experience net private capital inflows or outflows? Increase in foreign assets (outflow): 213 Increase in foreign liabilities (inflow): 292 Net private capital inflow of 79. 9. Did the U.S. do more foreign direct investment abroad than the rest of the world did in the U.S.? U.S. outward FDI: 47 U.S. inward FDI: 48 NO. 10. Did the U.S. buy more foreign securities than it sold foreign securities? The balance on foreign securities: -52 Yes. U.S. bought (imported) foreign securities. 11. Did the U.S. buy on net more foreign securities than it sold U.S. securities? Purchases of foreign securities: 36 Sales of U.S. securities: 122(other than treasury) + 10 (treasury) = 132 No. U.S. sold far more U.S. securities than it bought of foreign securities. 12. Did the Federal Reserve increase its official reserves? Balance on Official Reserve assets: -0.56 Yes. The Fed bought (imported) foreign reserves. 13. Did the foreign central banks increase their dollar denominated official reserves? Foreign official assets in the U.S. 74 Yes. U.S. exported 82 worth of U.S. assets to foreign central banks. Part III: Consider Japanese balance of payments for 2004 and answer the following questions: 1. Did Japan import more goods than it exported? Goods exports: 568 Goods imports: 474 No. 2. Did Japan sell more services than it bought? Services exports: 110 Services imports: 134 No. 3. Did Japan receive more income than it had to pay? Income receipts: 141 Income payments: 38 Yes. 4. Did Japan experience net capital inflows or outflows? Current account balance: +166 Capital outflows. 7. Did Japan experience net private capital inflows or outflows? Financial Account n.i.e. -123 Japan imported more of its assets than it imported, i.e. private capital outflow. 8. Did Japan do more foreign direct investment abroad than the rest of the world did in Japan? Outward FDI: 45 Inward FDI: 3 Yes. 9. Did Japan buy more foreign securities than it sold? Balance on portfolio investment assets: -196 Yes. On net, Japan purchased (imported) foreign securities. 10. Did Japan sell more of Japanese securities than it bought Japanese securities? Purchases of foreign securities:196 Sales of Japanese securities: 183 No. 11. Did the Japanese Central Bank increase its official reserves? Reserve Assets: -22 Yes. Japanese Central bank bought (imported) official reserves.