Review of the National Affordable Housing Agreement Performance Reporting Framework 1 National Affordable Housing Agreement – Review of the Performance Reporting Framework Review of the National Affordable Housing Agreement Performance Reporting Framework .............. 1 1. Executive Summary ............................................................................................................................. 4 1.1 The Review of the National Affordable Housing Agreement ....................................................... 4 1.2 Findings and Recommendations ................................................................................................... 5 1.2.1 Measurement of Performance Against Outcomes – Performance Indicators ...................... 5 1.2.2 Performance Benchmarks, Outputs and Data Collection .................................................... 12 4.2 Outputs ....................................................................................................................................... 14 1.3 Conclusion ................................................................................................................................... 14 2. Introduction ...................................................................................................................................... 22 2.1 The National Affordable Housing Agreement............................................................................. 22 2.2 The NAHA Performance Reporting Framework .......................................................................... 23 2.3 The COAG Reform Council’s Reports on the NAHA .................................................................... 26 2.4 The Heads of Treasuries Review ................................................................................................. 26 2.5 Review of the NAHA .................................................................................................................... 27 2.6 Review Method ........................................................................................................................... 28 2.7 Structure of the Review Report .................................................................................................. 28 3. Measurement of Performance Against Outcomes – Performance Indicators ................................. 30 3.1 Outcome A: People who are homeless or at risk of homelessness achieve sustainable housing and social inclusion ........................................................................................................................... 30 3.1.1 Issues .................................................................................................................................... 30 3.1.2 Working Group Considerations............................................................................................ 31 3.1.3 Findings and Recommendations .......................................................................................... 33 3.2 Outcome B: People are able to rent housing that meets their needs ....................................... 34 3.2.1 Issues .................................................................................................................................... 34 2 3.2.2 Working Group Considerations............................................................................................ 35 3.2.3 Findings and Recommendations .......................................................................................... 36 3.3 Outcome C: People can purchase affordable housing ................................................................ 37 3.3.1 Issues .................................................................................................................................... 37 3.3.2 Working Group Considerations............................................................................................ 38 3.3.3 Findings and Recommendations .......................................................................................... 40 3.4 Outcome D: People have access to housing through an efficient and responsive housing market ............................................................................................................................................... 41 3.4.1 Issues .................................................................................................................................... 41 3.4.2 Working Group Considerations............................................................................................ 42 3.4.3 Findings and Recommendations .......................................................................................... 43 3.5 Outcome E: Indigenous people have the same housing opportunities (in relation to homelessness services, housing rental, housing purchase and access to housing) through an efficient and responsive housing market.......................................................................................... 45 3.5.1 Issues .................................................................................................................................... 45 3.5.2 Working Group Considerations............................................................................................ 45 3.5.3 Findings and Recommendations .......................................................................................... 47 3.6 Outcome F: Indigenous people have improved housing amenity and reduced overcrowding, particularly in remote areas and discrete communities ................................................................... 47 3.6.1 Issues .................................................................................................................................... 48 3.6.2 Working Group Considerations............................................................................................ 48 3.6.3 Findings and Recommendations .......................................................................................... 49 4. Performance Benchmarks, Outputs and Data Collection ................................................................. 50 4.1 Performance Benchmarks ........................................................................................................... 51 4.2 Outputs ....................................................................................................................................... 53 4.3 Data Collection Issues ................................................................................................................. 57 5. Attachments ...................................................................................................................................... 58 5.1 Attachment A: Working Group Response to CRC Recommendations ........................................ 58 5.2 Attachment B: Possible Performance Benchmarks .................................................................... 65 5.3 Attachment C: Equivalence Scales .............................................................................................. 67 6. Sources .............................................................................................................................................. 70 7. Glossary of Terms.............................................................................................................................. 71 3 1. Executive Summary 1.1 The Review of the National Affordable Housing Agreement The National Affordable Housing Agreement (NAHA) was agreed by the Council of Australian Governments (COAG) on 29 November 2008 and came into force on 1 January 2009. It replaced a number of earlier arrangements in the housing area including the Commonwealth State Housing Agreement and the Supported Accommodation Assistance Program. The overarching objective of the NAHA is to ensure that all Australians have access to affordable, safe and sustainable housing that contributes to social and economic participation. The NAHA is a framework for improving outcomes for all Australians — for renters and home buyers, for those receiving housing assistance and for those who are not, and for those who have access to housing and those who are experiencing or at risk of homelessness. The NAHA is supported by the National Affordable Housing Specific Purpose Payment. This is an indexed on-going payment to the states and territories to be spent in the housing and homelessness sector, amounting to $1.3 billion per annum in 2012-13. The NAHA is also supported by National Partnership Agreements on Homelessness, Remote Indigenous Housing and the Nation Building and Jobs Plan. The review of the NAHA and the conceptual framework In 2010, at the request of COAG, Heads of Treasuries undertook a review of National Agreements, National Partnerships and Implementation Plans (the HoTs Review). In February 2011, COAG agreed to establish a Steering Group, led by Senior Officials from First Ministers’ and Treasury agencies to: take forward the key and related recommendations arising from the HoTs Review; consider improvements to the governance and performance reporting framework; and tackle deficiencies in the design of current agreements identified by the HoTs Review and reports of the COAG Reform Council (CRC) to reinforce COAG’s commitment to performance and public accountability. Based on the HoTs Review, COAG agreed to a series of reviews of agreements to improve performance information and public accountability. It was agreed that the NAHA would be reviewed as part of this process, with a report by June 2012. A Working Group was established in August 2011 to conduct the review. 4 1.2 Findings and Recommendations Analysis of Framework 1.2.1 Measurement of Performance Against Outcomes – Performance Indicators While there are significant flaws in some indicators, the Working Group concluded that the overall performance reporting framework is broadly functional, with most outcomes supported by indicators that are conceptually valid. Outcome A: People who are homeless or at risk of homelessness achieve sustainable housing and social inclusion Performance Indicator 3 (PI 3): proportion of Australians who are homeless; and Performance Indicator 4 (PI 4): proportion of people experiencing repeat periods of homelessness. In its assessment of the performance reporting framework for Outcome A, the CRC raised concerns about: the extent to which indicators are able to measure social inclusion and sustainable housing as required in the outcome; the reliability of the count of homeless people, including the frequency of data (as PI 3: proportion of Australians who are homeless depends on the Census of Population and Housing conducted every five years); and the extent of coverage of the homeless population in measuring repeat homelessness for PI 4: proportion of people experiencing repeat periods of homelessness currently measured only from the Specialist Homelessness Services Collection (SHSC) (previously the Supported Accommodation Assistance Program (SAAP) data collection), which covers a sub-population of homeless people who seek assistance. The Working Group did not support the development of additional indicators to measure whether homeless people achieve social inclusion through employment, education or social participation. It considered that more detailed measurement was not warranted in the NAHA, given its focus on housing. It was considered that the scope of the outcome needed to be read in the light of this focus, and broader issues will be addressed by addressing homelessness. The Working Group considered therefore, that there would be value in reforming or reframing the outcome to remove the reference to social inclusion. The Working Group noted the difficulty of measuring sustainable housing outcomes for homeless people and, in view of this, did not consider that the additional data development required to support performance reporting against this aspect of the outcome was warranted in relation to other priorities. It was noted that reporting on related outputs would provide supplementary information on achievement of housing outcomes. The Working Group noted that the review of the methodology for calculating homelessness using Census data is expected to be completed in 2012 and the count of homelessness should be more 5 robust in the future. The Working Group also noted that the development of an inter-censal count of homelessness would be of significant value and should be a priority. The Working Group considered that existing reporting of repeat homelessness through the former SAAP and the new SHSC is adequate. Recommendations That COAG agree to: retain PI 3: proportion of Australians who are homeless; retain PI 4: proportion of people experiencing repeat periods of homelessness; note the potential of work on inter-censal counts of homelessness to improve the reporting under the NAHA; and note that it may be appropriate to reframe Outcome A to remove the reference to social inclusion. Outcome B: People are able to rent housing that meets their needs Performance Indicator 1 (PI 1): proportion of low-income households in rental stress Supplementary Measure: proportion of low-income households in social housing and in rental stress The CRC has identified a number of issues within the specifications for the indicator and recommended a number of revisions. The key issues for the indicator were: refining the target group to include renters in both the private market and in social housing and to exclude non-renter households; the need for additional indicators to include those who can find affordable accommodation that does not meet their needs, and those who cannot find any rental accommodation at all; measuring non-financial aspects of need; and the lack of distinction between rental stress resulting from accommodation needs and rental stress arising from preferences. The Working Group agreed to the CRC’s recommendation that this indicator should report on low income renters only and supported amending the indicator description to ‘proportion of low income renter households in rental stress’. The Working Group considered that a separate supplementary measure proportion of low income households in social housing and in rental stress introduced by the CRC was not a useful measure of NAHA performance, given the small number of social housing households in rental stress and that the identification of a number of these households is likely to reflect data or reporting issues. The Working Group agreed that reporting on this measure should be discontinued. 6 The Working Group considered that low-income households should be defined as those in the bottom 40 per cent of equivalised disposable household income. For the purpose of measuring rental stress, the Working Group agreed this should be defined as those households spending more than 30 per cent of their gross income in rent. The Working Group considered that Outcome B: People can rent housing that meets their needs could be appropriately measured by examining the financial aspects of need only, given the focus of the NAHA on housing affordability and the complexity of measuring other aspects of need. The Working Group considered that there was value in further conceptual work to be undertaken by (or under the auspice of) the Select Council on Housing and Homelessness on a potential additional indicator rental accommodation is affordable and available to low-income earners, because the existing performance indicator does not provide information on the number of rental properties available to low and moderate income households as some affordable accommodation may be occupied by higher income households. Recommendations That COAG agree: that PI 1: proportion of low income households in rental stress be renamed to refer to low-income renter households in rental stress; the reference in Outcome B to ‘housing meeting people’s needs’ be interpreted as referring to affordability or financial need and assessed through PI 1; the supplementary measure proportion of low-income rental households in social housing and rental stress cease to be reported as a measure of NAHA outcomes; and that the Select Council on Housing and Homelessness report back to COAG on a potential indicator on rental accommodation that is affordable and available to low income households in the first quarter of 2013. Outcome C: People can purchase affordable housing Performance Indicator 2 (PI 2): proportion of homes sold or built that are affordable by low and moderate income households; Performance Indicator 5 (PI 5): proportion of Australian households owning or purchasing a home; and Supplementary Measure: proportion of low income households in mortgage stress. The CRC has expressed concern about the high level of sensitivity to interest rate changes of PI 2: The proportion of homes sold or built that are affordable by low and moderate income households and the consequent difficulty of attributing the outcome to the performance of governments. The CRC also expressed concern in relation to PI 5: The proportion of Australian households owning or purchasing a home, that it is not clear which direction of change in this indicator represents progress towards Outcome C: People can purchase affordable housing as the indicator may change according 7 to factors that have little to do with affordability, such as demographic change and tenure preferences. The Working Group considered that PI 2 will provide a more robust measure of Outcome C if the indicator is changed from the proportion of homes sold or built to the number of homes that are affordable to low and moderate income households per 1,000 low and moderate income households. The Working Group noted that the limitations of estimating annual income thresholds from biennial Survey of Income and Housing data need to be taken into account in reporting on PI 2. In the case of owner-builder households, there is little evidence to suggest that the indicator would be improved significantly by accounting for these households. The Working Group considered that low income households should be defined as those in the bottom 40 per cent of the income distribution based on equivalised disposable household income and that gross household income should be used as the appropriate measure for assessing home purchase affordability in the context of PI 2. The Working Group noted that PI 5: proportion of Australian households owning or purchasing a home only measures whether households actually own or purchase housing, not whether this housing is affordable to them. There is no clear link between the indicator (ownership) and the outcome (current affordability). As a result, the Working Group did not support retention of this indicator as a performance indicator, although it was agreed that it may provide useful contextual information. The CRC has been using mortgage stress as a supplementary indicator and while this is readily understood by the public, there is evidence that only a relatively small number of low and moderate income households are in mortgage stress—once high-wealth households and those ahead in their payments or paying more than the minimum repayment are excluded from the indicator. Accordingly, the Working Group did not support retention of this as a performance indicator. Recommendations That COAG agree that: PI 2 be changed to: The number of homes sold or built per 1,000 low and moderate income households that are affordable by low and moderate income households; PI 5: proportion of Australian households owning or purchasing a home be removed as an indicator; and the supplementary mortgage stress indicator not be included in the NAHA as a performance indicator. 8 Outcome D: People have access to housing through an efficient and responsive housing market Performance Indicator: nil Interim Indicator: The estimated cumulative gap between underlying demand for housing and housing supply, as a proportion of the increase in underlying demand. When the NAHA was agreed, governments committed to developing indicators in relation to supply meeting demand for housing and housing market efficiency to support Outcome D but this has not occurred. The CRC proposed use of an interim indicator developed by the National Housing Supply Council (NHSC): The estimated cumulative gap between underlying demand for housing and housing supply, as a proportion of the increase in underlying demand, and reported using this indicator in its 2010 and 2011 NAHA reports. The Working Group agreed that there are benefits to continued reporting against the interim indicator as long as the limitations of this measure, in particular, the underlying assumptions and the difference between effective and underlying demand, are clearly noted. The Working Group also noted that States and Territories are already reporting against a set of National Performance Measures in the annual National Report on Development Assessment Performance (NRDAP). While there are currently data limitations affecting these measures, these measures may in the future provide useful information on this outcome in the NAHA. The Working Group agreed that, given the current state of the data, the NRDAP measures were not suitable for inclusion as indicators at this time, but that there was merit in the Standing Council on Transport and Infrastructure continuing work to improve the data to support these indicators and advising the Select Council on Housing and Homelessness on progress in early 2013. Recommendations That COAG agree that: the National Housing Supply Council indicator: Estimated cumulative gap between underlying demand for housing and housing supply, as a proportion of the increase in underlying demand be adopted as a Performance Indicator, noting ongoing data development being undertaken by the National Housing Supply Council to improve the indicator; the Select Council on Housing and Homelessness be requested to report on any proposed improvements to the above indicator in the first quarter of 2013; and the Standing Council on Transport and Infrastructure be requested to continue work underway on development of the data supporting the indicators for the National Report on Development Assessment Performance (NRDAP), and advise the Select Council on Housing and Homelessness on progress in early 2013 to inform consideration of indicators to be included in future NAHA performance reports. 9 Outcome E: Indigenous people have the same housing opportunities (in relation to homelessness services, housing rental, housing purchase and access to housing) through an efficient and responsive housing market Performance Indicator 6 (PI 6): proportion of Indigenous households owning or purchasing a home The key issue identified by the CRC in relation to this outcome is whether this outcome should be measured by disaggregation of relevant NAHA indicators for other outcomes or whether Indigenousspecific indicators should be developed for each relevant outcome. In addition, the CRC noted that the most relevant data are only available every three years. The NAHA currently only has one specific performance indicator for an aspect of this outcome - PI 6. To measure the overall progress towards the outcome, the CRC has used indicators from other outcomes and disaggregated them by the Indigenous status of people and households where appropriate. The CRC has recommended that COAG endorse this approach. PI 6 only measures one aspect of the outcome, the proportion of Indigenous households owning or purchasing a home. Although the PI’s value is in assessing housing disadvantage, it has very limited bearing on, for example, access to rental accommodation or housing market efficiency and responsiveness. The Working Group agreed to the disaggregation of relevant NAHA indicators as the preferred approach to measuring this outcome, with retention of PI 6, even if the corresponding indicator PI 5 is removed. However, the Working Group agreed that it was not appropriate to disaggregate market and community level indicators such as those relating to housing supply. The Working Group agreed that, while there are limitations in current data, development of Indigenous specific indicators for each relevant outcome was not necessary. It has been identified that developing Indigenous specific indicators would result in significant additional work and limited additional benefit as in most cases the same data would be reported. Recommendation That COAG agree to: retain PI 6: proportion of Indigenous households owning or purchasing a home; and disaggregate data on relevant NAHA performance indicators. 10 Outcome F: Indigenous people have improved housing amenity and reduced overcrowding, particularly in remote areas. Performance Indicator 7 (PI 7): proportion of Indigenous households living in overcrowded conditions; and Performance Indicator 8 (PI 8): proportion of Indigenous households living in houses of an acceptable standard. The Working Group noted, in relation to reporting on Outcome F, that: PI 7 and PI 8 do not reflect Outcome F’s focus on remote and discrete communities; new data is only available every three years; data sources cannot reliably disaggregate information on remote and discrete communities; and the definition of ‘acceptable standard’ for PI 8 differs from what would be considered an acceptable standard in the general community. The Working Group found that the two existing performance indicators do not reflect the emphasis of Outcome F on remote and discrete communities and recommends revising the existing indicators to include a reference to these communities. The Working Group considered that data required enhancement to improve reporting on progress towards outcomes in remote and discrete communities. Data for these performance indicators are sourced from the rolling three-yearly cycle of Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) Indigenous surveys the National Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Health Survey (NATSHS) and the National Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Social Survey (NATSISS). The Working Group: noted that the financial and non-financial costs of increasing data collection in remote and very remote areas could outweigh any benefits such as improved reliability of the data; and agreed it would be appropriate for the Select Council on Housing and Homelessness to consider alternative and/or new data sources to allow more reliable reporting on remote and discrete communities, and to report back to COAG in the first quarter of 2013 on the costs and benefits of improving data for reporting on this Outcome. The Working Group agreed to adopt the ABS standard definition that dwellings are regarded as being of an acceptable standard if they have four working facilities (for washing people, for washing clothes/bedding, for storing/preparing food, and sewerage) and have no more than two major structural problems (major cracks in walls or floors, major plumbing problems, and wood rot or termite damage)1, as this was considered to be a robust measure. The supplementary indicator: Proportion of Indigenous households living in social housing in overcrowded conditions was considered useful and should be retained. Development of a supplementary indicator relating to the proportion of Indigenous households living in social housing 1 Australian Bureau of Statistics. 11 of an acceptable condition was also supported noting that reporting will depend on data quality in the 2012 National Social Housing Survey. As the CRC has noted, adequate and safe housing for Indigenous people is an important factor contributing to Closing the Gap in Indigenous Disadvantage, in particular, targets relating to closing the gap in life expectancy within a generation, halving the gap in mortality rates for children under five in a decade and halving the gap for Indigenous students in reading, writing and literacy within a decade. The Working Group considers that PIs 7 and 8 should be important contributors to reporting on governments’ achievements in Closing the Gap targets. Recommendations That COAG agree to: revise PI 7: proportion of Indigenous households living in overcrowded conditions, to add including in remote and discrete communities; revise PI 8: proportion of Indigenous households living in houses of an acceptable standard to add including in remote and discrete communities; retain the supplementary indicator relating to overcrowding in social housing and explore whether data from the 2012 National Social Housing Survey is of sufficient quality to report a supplementary indicator on dwelling adequacy; and request the Select Council on Housing and Homelessness to consider alternative data and the development of additional data sources to allow reporting on remote and discrete communities as required under the outcome and to report back to COAG in the first quarter of 2013 on the costs and benefits of improving data and reporting. 1.2.2 Performance Benchmarks, Outputs and Data Collection 1.2.2.1 Benchmarks When COAG considered the outcomes of the HoTs Review of National Agreements, National Partnerships and Implementation Plans at its meeting of 11 February 2011, it agreed that the underlying reform principles of the Intergovernmental Agreement on Federal Financial Arrangements (IGA) continues to provide a strong foundation for progressing COAG’s agreed reform agenda and achieving better policy and service delivery outcomes for all Australians. COAG agreed to establish a working group to take forward the key recommendations arising from the HoTs Review and to tackle deficiencies in the design of current agreements identified by the HoTs Review. In relation to benchmarks for performance indicators, the HoTs Review stated that “benchmarks are used to inform the general community about the effectiveness of government activities”2. The HoTs 2 Heads of Treasuries, Report of the Review of National Agreements, National Partnerships and Implementation Plans under the Intergovernmental Agreement on Federal Financial Relations, December 2010, unpublished, p 137. 12 Review commented that, for National Agreements, performance benchmarks should be “few in number, high-level and reflect the highest order, most challenging goals toward attainment of outcomes”. The CRC has previously considered the absence of performance benchmarks in its report on performance under the NAHA in 2008–09. The NAHA is the only national agreement without performance benchmarks and the CRC recommended consideration of the development of performance benchmarks or targets for inclusion in the NAHA to allow better tracking of governments’ progress towards the outcomes in the agreement. The IGA stated that ‘National Agreements will specify performance indicators to enhance public accountability. Performance indicators, in conjunction with clear roles and responsibilities, inform the community about how each government is progressing towards achieving the mutually agreed objectives, outcomes and outputs.’3 It goes on to say ‘National Agreements may also include a limited number of outcomes focussed performance benchmarks, against some performance indicators. Performance benchmarks can provide the community with an indication of the rate of progress being made against agreed outcomes.’4 (Clause E14) After consideration, the Working Group supported the inclusion of provisional performance benchmarks with targets, as long as they took into account the funding available and were based on indicators that are within the ability of jurisdictions to influence. These provisional benchmarks will be developed by officials from all jurisdictions for consideration by COAG in October 2012 and review following the Standing Council for Federal Financial Relations review of funding adequacy in 2013. The current performance indicators in the NAHA do not fully comply with the HoTs conceptual framework. The framework states that it is necessary to specify the direction of change that represents progress towards an outcome for an indicator to be meaningful. It is noted that the desired direction of change is fairly intuitive for all indicators except PI 5, which the Working Group suggests be removed. For clarity, this report specifies agreed directions of change for all recommended indicators. Recommendation That COAG agree: 3 4 that officials from all jurisdictions will develop provisional performance benchmarks with quantifiable targets for the NAHA, reflecting current funding levels and what is in control of jurisdictions to influence, for consideration by COAG in October 2012, to be reviewed following the Standing Council on Federal Financial Relations’ review of funding adequacy in 2013. Intergovernmental Agreement on Federal Financial Relations, Clause E13 Ibid Clause E14 13 1.2.2.2 Outputs The CRC made a number of recommendations about improving reporting on outputs. The NAHA contains seven outputs and requires that the CRC report annually on these. The Working Group considered that outputs provide important public performance information and supported the continued provision of performance information on outputs by the CRC where appropriate data are available. Recommendation That COAG note: 4.2 Outputs that the Working Group supported the continued provision of performance information on outputs by the CRC where appropriate data are available. 1.2.2.3 Data Collection Issues The Working Group recommended that NAHA data be disaggregated to identify outcomes for young people and those with disability where possible. The Working Group noted that ABS Survey of Income and Housing (SIH) data can be disaggregated to identify households with young people and in 2009–10 for households with a person with disability. Similarly, any indicator using SHSC data can be disaggregated by youth. While some data on disability is available for the SHSC, better information will be available from 1 July 2013 when a more complete disability indicator is added to the collection. In relation to CRC recommendations about the timeliness of data provision and the frequency of reporting, the Working Group considers that administrative data provided for each report should relate to the relevant reporting year (this currently affects homelessness data and Indigenous community housing data—both of which have an 18 month reporting lag). The need for more frequent data was identified in relation to reporting on homelessness, (currently only available from the 5-yearly Census) discussed in detail under Outcome A. Improved data for Indigenous housing need was also identified under Outcome F. 1.3 Conclusion The Terms of Reference for the Working Group provided that the review should focus on: the adequacy of performance indicators and output measures and their link to outcomes; data collection issues such as frequency, adequacy and ability to disaggregate by particular cohorts such as young people, people with disability and Indigenous Australians; and 14 performance reporting issues associated with the NAHA to enhance performance and public accountability. On balance, the Working Group concluded that the performance framework provided a reasonable starting point for measuring achievement of outcomes, but should be improved by refining indicators and developing data. The Working Group agreed that, consistent with the HoTs conceptual framework, the preferred direction of change be specified for all performance indicators. The Working Group considered all performance indicators should be retained with the exception of PI 5: proportion of Australian households owning or purchasing a home, which may provide useful contextual information, but is not a good measure of jurisdictional performance. The Working Group recommended that the following indicators be retained unchanged: PI 3: proportion of Australians who are homeless; PI 4: proportion of Australians experiencing repeat periods of homelessness; and PI 6: proportion of Indigenous households owning or purchasing a home. The Working Group considered that: PI 1: proportion of low income households in rental stress should be reframed as: Proportion of low income renter households in rental stress, PI 2: proportion of homes sold or built that are affordable to low income households, should refer to the number of homes sold or built per 1,000 low and moderate income households that are affordable to low and moderate income households, PIs 7 and 8, referring to the proportion of Indigenous households living in overcrowded conditions (PI 7) and in dwellings of an acceptable standard (PI 8) should be revised to add including in remote and discrete communities. The Working Group recommended the adoption of the National Housing Supply Council indicator Estimated cumulative gap between underlying demand for housing and housing supply, as a proportion of the increase in underlying demand as a performance indicator for Outcome D. The Working Group recommended that COAG request that the Select Council on Housing and Homelessness undertake additional work on: a potential indicator on rental accommodation that is affordable and available to low income households and report back to COAG in the first quarter of 2013; proposed improvements to the interim NHSC indicator the estimated cumulative gap between underlying demand for housing and housing supply, as a proportion of the increase in underlying demand and report back to COAG in the first quarter of 2013; data to allow reporting on remote and discrete communities as required under Outcomes E and F and to report back to COAG in the first quarter of 2013; and improved data on community housing, including Indigenous housing and report back to COAG in the first quarter of 2013. 15 The Working Group also recommended the Standing Council on Transport and Infrastructure be requested to continue work already underway on development of the data supporting the indicators for the NRDAP and advise the Select Council on Housing and Homelessness in the first quarter of 2013 of its progress to enable consideration of indicators to be potentially included in the NAHA. Data issues remain but the Working Group considered developments in data sources underway should improve overall data collection, frequency and adequacy over future reporting cycles. Work under way by ABS on the methodology to count the homeless using census data will improve data integrity and for comparison over time. Current work on inter-censal data will also support improvements in frequency. With regard to performance benchmarks, the Working Group considered that performance benchmarks should be included in the NAHA as long as they took into account the funding available and were based on indicators that are within the ability of jurisdictions to influence. The Working Group also agreed that it was important to indicate the desired direction for performance indicators and this has been included in this report. 16 Recommendations Outcome A: People who are homeless or at risk of homelessness achieve sustainable housing and social inclusion Performance Indicator 3 (PI 3): proportion of Australians who are homeless Performance Indicator 4 (PI 4): proportion of people experiencing repeat periods of homelessness Recommendation 1 That COAG agree to: retain PI 3: proportion of Australians who are homeless; retain PI 4: proportion of people experiencing repeat periods of homelessness; note the potential of work on inter-censal counts of homelessness, to improve the reporting under the NAHA; and note it may be appropriate to reframe Outcome A to remove the reference to social inclusion. Outcome B: People are able to rent housing that meets their needs Performance Indicator 1: proportion of low-income households in rental stress Supplementary Measure: proportion of low-income households in social housing and in rental stress Recommendation 2 That COAG agree: that PI 1: proportion of low income households in rental stress be renamed to refer to lowincome renter households in rental stress; the reference in Outcome B to ‘housing meeting people’s needs’ be interpreted as referring to affordability or financial need and assessed through PI 1; the supplementary measure proportion of low-income rental households in social housing and rental stress cease to be reported as a measure of NAHA outcomes; and to ask that the Select Council on Housing and Homelessness to report back to COAG on a potential indicator on rental accommodation that is affordable and available to low income households in the first quarter of 2013. 17 Outcome C: People can purchase affordable housing Performance Indicator 2 (PI 2): proportion of homes sold or built that are affordable by low and moderate income households Performance Indicator 5 (PI 5): proportion of Australian households owning or purchasing a home Supplementary Measure: Proportion of low income households in mortgage stress Recommendation 3 That COAG agree that: PI 2 be changed to The number of homes sold or built per 1,000 low and moderate income households that are affordable by low and moderate income households; PI 5: Proportion of Australian households owning or purchasing a home be removed as an indicator; and the supplementary mortgage stress indicator not be included in the NAHA as a performance indicator. Outcome D: People have access to housing through an efficient and responsive housing market Performance Indicator: nil Interim Indicator: Estimated cumulative gap between underlying demand for housing and housing supply, as a proportion of the increase in underlying demand Recommendation 4 That COAG agree that: the National Housing Supply Council indicator Estimated cumulative gap between underlying demand for housing and housing supply, as a proportion of the increase in underlying demand be adopted as a performance indicator, noting ongoing data development being undertaken by the National Housing Supply Council to improve the indicator; the Select Council on Housing and Homelessness be requested to report on any proposed improvements to the above indicator in the first quarter of 2013; and the Standing Council on Transport and Infrastructure be requested to continue work underway on development of the data supporting the indicators for the National Report on Development Assessment Performance (NRDAP), and advise the Select Council on Housing and Homelessness on progress in early 2013 to inform consideration of indicators to be included in future NAHA performance reports. 18 Outcome E: Indigenous people have the same housing opportunities (in relation to homelessness services, housing rental, housing purchase and access to housing) through an efficient and responsive housing market Performance Indicator 6 (PI 6): proportion of Indigenous households owning or purchasing a home Recommendation 5 That COAG agree to: retain PI 6: proportion of Indigenous households owning or purchasing a home; and disaggregate data on relevant NAHA performance indicators. Outcome F: Indigenous people have improved housing amenity and reduced overcrowding, particularly in remote areas and discrete communities Performance Indicator 7 (PI 7): proportion of Indigenous households living in overcrowded conditions Performance Indicator 8 (PI 8): proportion of Indigenous households living in houses of an acceptable standard Recommendation 6 That COAG agree to: revise PI 7: proportion of Indigenous households living in overcrowded conditions, to add including in remote and discrete communities; revise PI 8: proportion of Indigenous households living in houses of an acceptable standard to add including in remote and discrete communities; retain the supplementary indicator relating to overcrowding in social housing and explore whether data from the 2012 National Social Housing Survey is of sufficient quality to report a supplementary indicator on dwelling adequacy; and request the Select Council on Housing and Homelessness to consider alternative data and the development of additional data sources to allow reporting on remote and discrete communities as required under the outcome and to report back to COAG in the first quarter of 2013 on the costs and benefits of improving data and reporting. 19 Performance Benchmarks Recommendation 7 That COAG agree: that officials from all jurisdictions will develop provisional performance benchmarks with quantifiable targets for the NAHA, reflecting current funding levels and what is in control of jurisdictions to influence, for consideration by COAG in October 2012, to be reviewed following the Standing Council on Federal Financial Relations’ review of funding adequacy in 2013. Outputs Recommendation 8 That COAG note: that the Working Group supported the continued provision of performance information on outputs by the CRC where appropriate data are available. 20 All Australians have access to affordable, safe and sustainable housing that contributes to social and economic participation Objective Outcomes Performance Indicators A) People who are homeless or at risk of homelessness achieve sustainable housing and social inclusion Proportion of Australians who are homeless B) People are able to rent housing that meets their needs C) People can purchase affordable housing D) People have access to housing through an efficient and responsive housing market Proportion of low income renter households in rental stress Number of houses sold or built per 1,000 low and moderate income households that are affordable by low and moderate income households Estimated cumulative gap between underlying demand for housing and housing supply, as a proportion of the increase in underlying demand Proportion of people experiencing repeat periods of homelessness Output Measures Number of people who are homeless or at risk of homelessness who are assisted to secure and sustain their tenancies Number of people who are assisted to move from crisis accommodation or primary homelessness to sustainable accommodation Number of households assisted in social housing Number of households in private rental receiving subsidies E) Indigenous people have the same housing opportunities (in relation to homelessness services, housing rental, housing purchase and access to housing through an efficient and responsive housing market) as other Australians F) Indigenous people have improved housing amenity and reduced overcrowding, particularly in remote areas and discrete communities Proportion of Indigenous households owning or purchasing a home Proportion of Indigenous households living in overcrowded conditions including in remote and discrete communities Proportion of Indigenous households living in houses of an acceptable standard including in remote and discrete communities Number of Indigenous households provided with safe and appropriate housing Number of people receiving home purchase assistance Diagram of the Recommended Performance Reporting Framework 21 2. Introduction 2.1 The National Affordable Housing Agreement In November 2008, COAG committed to the National Affordable Housing Agreement (NAHA), with the objective of ensuring all ‘Australians have access to affordable, safe and sustainable housing that contributes to social and economic participation’. Governments formalised this commitment in the NAHA which commenced on 1 January 2009. To coordinate and drive their work toward this objective, governments committed to achieving six outcomes: a. people who are homeless or at risk of homelessness achieve sustainable housing and social inclusion b. people are able to rent housing that meets their needs c. people can purchase affordable housing d. people have access to housing through an efficient and responsive housing market e. Indigenous people have the same housing opportunities (in relation to homelessness services, housing rental, housing purchase and access to an efficient and responsive housing market) as other Australians f. Indigenous people have improved housing amenity and reduced overcrowding, particularly in remote areas. As a national agreement, the NAHA is subject to the provisions of the Intergovernmental Agreement on Federal Financial Relations (IGA). The IGA commenced on 1 January 2009. The IGA establishes a framework for the Commonwealth's financial relations with the States and Territories. The overarching objective of the federal financial relations framework is to improve the quality and effectiveness of government services. The framework seeks to do this by providing: clarity about who is responsible for the achievement of outcomes and outputs; flexibility in the delivery of services by the States and Territories; accountability to the public for the delivery of services - the increased flexibility of the framework is balanced with increased accountability and transparency through enhanced performance reporting; and incentives for implementing reforms and the achievement of outcomes. The NAHA is supported by the National Affordable Housing Specific Purpose Payment, which is an indexed on-going payment to the states and territories to be spent in the housing sector, amounting to $1.3 billion per annum in 2012-13. The NAHA is also supported by National Partnership Agreements on Homelessness, Remote Indigenous Housing, the Nation Building and Jobs Plan and the National Partnership Agreement on Social Housing (illustrated below). 22 NAHA National Partnership on the Nation Building and Jobs Plan National Partnership Agreement on Homelessness (NPAH) National Partnership on Remote Indigenous Housing (NPARIH) National Partnership Agreement on Social Housing (NPASH) Social Housing Initiative (SHI) The NAHA provides that objectives and outcomes will be achieved through a range of outputs, including the: a. number of people who are homeless or at risk of homelessness who are assisted to secure and sustain their tenancies; b. number of people who are assisted to move from crisis accommodation or primary homelessness to sustainable accommodation; c.number of households assisted in social housing; d. number of households in private rental receiving subsidies; e. number of people receiving home purchase assistance; f. number of zoned lots available for residential construction; and g. number of Indigenous households provided with safe and appropriate housing. 2.2 The NAHA Performance Reporting Framework To measure progress against these outcomes, the NAHA includes a performance reporting framework consisting of eight performance indicators assessing achievement of outcomes: a. b. proportion of low income households in rental stress; proportion of homes sold or built that are affordable by low and moderate income households; c.proportion of Australians who are homeless; d. proportion of people experiencing repeat periods of homelessness; e. proportion of Australian households owning or purchasing a home; f. proportion of Indigenous households owning or purchasing a home; g. proportion of Indigenous households living in overcrowded conditions; and h. proportion of Indigenous households living in houses of an acceptable standard. 23 The NAHA also provides for further indicators to be developed in relation to: a. b. supply meeting underlying demand for housing; and housing market efficiency. Under the IGA, in addition to their role in providing further information about the courses of action jurisdictions are taking to achieve the outcomes, outputs may be measured as a proxy for outcomes where the relevant outcome cannot readily be measured. The NAHA provides that outputs are to be reported against the baseline output in 2008-09 (see Clause 9 of the agreement). In addition to performance indicators, the performance reporting framework under the IGA also includes performance benchmarks. Performance benchmarks set out a commitment to a particular level of performance against an outcome. The IGA suggests it is most important to include performance benchmarks for high level indicators relating to the most challenging outcomes where they will provide the most useful information to the community and most effectively drive performance. Presently, there are no performance benchmarks under the NAHA. The relationship between the NAHA outcomes, performance indicators and outputs is illustrated below. 24 Current Framework 25 2.3 The COAG Reform Council’s Reports on the NAHA The CRC assesses and publicly reports on the performance of governments against the objectives, outcomes and indicators of National Agreements. The first CRC report on the NAHA5 (National Affordable Housing Agreement: Baseline performance report for 2008–09) made six recommendations on ways to improve the performance reporting framework. The first five recommendations related to changes that could be made relatively quickly to improve the reporting framework: the use of up-to-date administrative data; improving the count of homeless people in Australia; improving the measure of low-income households; and utilising some existing performance indicators for Indigenous Outcome E: Indigenous people have the same housing opportunities as other Australians. The CRC referred the remaining recommendation to COAG for possible consideration by the Heads of Treasuries Committee on Federal Financial Relations (HoTs). They related to consideration of more frequent data collections, the use of benchmarks to track progress, performance indicators to support Outcome B, relating to people renting housing that meets their needs, Outcome D on an efficient and responsive housing market, and Outcome F, relating to Indigenous people in remote and discrete communities and improved reporting of outputs. Additional recommendations were made in the CRC’s 2011 report on the NAHA6, with the CRC identifying the following priorities: development of a performance indicator for the outcome people have access to housing through an efficient and responsive housing market; development of robust and comparable data on mainstream and Indigenous community housing; and consideration of whether and how output measures could be further developed to assist with reporting on the outcomes in the agreement. 2.4 The Heads of Treasuries Review In December 2009, COAG requested the Heads of Treasuries (HoTs) to undertake a review of agreements under the IGA – National Agreements, National Partnerships and Implementation Plans. In considering the effectiveness of the performance frameworks of the existing agreements, the HoTs Review7 identified there were widespread issues, which largely fell into two broad categories – data limitations and conceptual inadequacy. The review noted that the data limitations identified included data being of poor quality, unreliable or infrequent, not comparable over time or between jurisdictions or unable to be sufficiently disaggregated by Indigenous or socio-economic status. It recommended that action be taken to 5 National Affordable Housing Agreement: Baseline performance report for 2008–09 National Affordable Housing Agreement: Performance Report for 2009–10 7 Op cit 6 26 address indicators with data limitations where the limitations means that it is not possible to reliably use the indicator to assess progress against the outcomes of the agreement. In relation to conceptual adequacy, the HoTs Review concluded that to be useful measures of the outcomes of the agreement, performance indicators require clear and logical links to the outcomes, which should be evident to the general public. In addition, a performance indicator must be able to identify whether real changes in the related outcome over time have occurred. It should also be clear which direction of change in an indicator indicates progress. The HoTs Review found that the NAHA aligned with the principles of the IGA, in that it is high-level, focuses on achieving outcomes, avoids financial controls and its objective is clear. The HoTs Review, however, noted that it was difficult to assess governments’ progress in implementing the NAHA, due to issues in the conceptual adequacy, timeliness, reliability and comparability of performance indicators. The HoTs Review added that data deficiencies preclude reporting on the efficient operation of the housing market and the production of lots available for residential construction, which are areas that were not specifically addressed in predecessor agreements. 2.5 Review of the NAHA At its meeting on 13 February 2011, COAG agreed that the underlying reform principles of the IGA continue to provide a strong foundation for progressing COAG’s agreed reform agenda and achieving better policy and service delivery outcomes for all Australians. COAG agreed to establish a working group, led by Senior Officials from First Ministers’ and Treasury agencies, to take forward the key and related recommendations arising from the HoTs Review, consider improvements to the governance and performance reporting framework and to tackle deficiencies in the design of current agreements identified by the HoTs Review and reports of the CRC to reinforce COAG’s commitment to performance and public accountability. COAG agreed that the working group commence a series of reviews of agreements, consistent with CRC and HoTs Review recommendations and utilising the conceptual framework developed by the HoTs Review to improve performance information and public accountability. It was agreed that the NAHA would be reviewed as part of this process, with a report by June 2012. A Working Group was established in August 2011 to conduct the review. The Working Group drew on advice from data and program experts from Commonwealth, State and Territory central and line agencies and data agencies in developing its findings and recommendations. The tasks for the Working Group were to: review the performance framework in the NAHA using the conceptual framework developed by the HoTs Review as per the process outlined below, which will include consideration of: a. the number and appropriateness of performance indicators (indicators should be limited to those necessary to measure performance and inform the public 27 b. c. d. e. about progress) noting the importance of data collection in relation to young people and people with a disability, the links between performance indicators and outcomes, the role of the NAHA performance framework in supporting the achievement of the COAG closing the gap targets, including measuring the achievement of Indigenous outputs and outcomes, what is the minimum data and frequency of collection required to demonstrate performance (including, where relevant, the ability to identify Indigenous Australians within data collections and to further disaggregate data by geolocation) in consultation with relevant data agencies, the cost of developing data to support the indicators against the benefit to public accountability arising from better data; have regard to any recommendations arising from the review of the performance framework of the National Partnership Agreement on Homelessness which draws indicators from the NAHA; respond to the relevant CRC recommendations (see Attachment A); seek advice as required from ministerial council data groups, data agencies, the Secretariat to the Steering Committee for the Review of Government Service Provision and the CRC; and provide a final report to the HoTs Review and CRC Implementation Steering Group on the review including recommendations for action. 2.6 Review Method In accordance with its terms of reference, the Working Group reviewed the NAHA performance framework against the HoTs conceptual framework, taking into consideration any relevant recommendations from the CRC, the HoTs review and the Steering Committee for the Review of Government Service Provision, and considered the rationale for change. The Working Group considered additional and alternative performance indicators and performance benchmarks against a framework for prioritisation, including consideration of the costs and benefits of new or expanded data collections and the overall appropriateness and proportionality of any revised performance framework. In assessing improvements in the performance framework of the NAHA, the Working Group drew upon expert advice and available data from Commonwealth and State and Territory agencies, as well as expertise from the ABS, the Australian Institute of Health and Welfare (AIHW), the CRC and the Productivity Commission (the latter in its role as secretariat for the Steering Committee for the Review of Government Service Provision). 2.7 Structure of the Review Report This report comprises four sections. Following the Executive Summary and Introduction sections, Chapter 3 provides an analysis of the reporting against each outcome, including the adequacy of 28 performance indicators and data issues. Chapter 4 considers other issues raised by the CRC and terms of reference, including the use of benchmarks and reporting on outputs. 29 3. Measurement of Performance Against Outcomes – Performance Indicators The Working Group undertook the following analysis of Outcomes A to F within the performance framework. The framework was found to be broadly functional, with most outcomes supported by indicators that are conceptually valid. 3.1 Outcome A: People who are homeless or at risk of homelessness achieve sustainable housing and social inclusion Performance Indicator (PI 3): proportion of Australians who are homeless; and Performance Indicator (PI 4): proportion of people experiencing repeat periods of homelessness Output: Number of people who are homeless or at risk of homelessness who are assisted to secure and sustain their tenancies Output: Number of people who are assisted to move from crisis accommodation or primary homelessness to sustainable accommodation The CRC made the following recommendations in its 2008-09 baseline NAHA performance report: Noting the review by the ABS of the Counting the Homeless methodology, ask the Housing Ministers Conference to report on options for improving the count of homeless people in Australia; Investigate the development of additional performance indicators that measure whether people who are homeless or at risk of homelessness are achieving sustainable hou sing and social inclusion; Investigate the development of inter-censal proxy measures, based on new or existing administrative data collections, that could be used to indicate changes in the homeless population on a yearly basis; and Expedite the development of a measure of repeat homelessness. 3.1.1 Issues A number of significant data issues has been identified by the CRC and others. The key issues about the effectiveness of the current indicators include the reliability and frequency of the count of homeless people, including the frequency of data (PI 3: proportion of Australians who are homeless), the extent to which indicators are able to measure social inclusion and sustainable housing, and population coverage (PI 4: proportion of people experiencing repeat periods of homelessness). The estimates of the proportion of Australians who are homeless are available once every five years based on the Census of Population and Housing and that methodology has been subject to review. The Census is not able to identify with certainty all people who are homeless, in particular, those without a fixed address, Indigenous young people and people ‘couch surfing’ with family and friends. 30 The CRC noted that measuring repeat periods of homelessness for the whole homeless population is not possible with existing data collections and that the indicator is reported using an interim proxy measure based on Specialist Homelessness Services (SHS) clients who access SHS more than once a year. The CRC identified that the proxy measure for repeat homelessness has several limitations including: it only covers those people who accessed homelessness services and may not be representative of repeat homelessness in the broader homeless population; it does not capture those homeless people who accessed homelessness services initially, but did not return when experiencing further periods of homelessness; it may be less useful in remote and very remote areas, where services are more limited; identifying clients with repeat need relies on correct linkage of data and services identifying a repeat need during the financial year; and the number of repeat clients identified is likely to be influenced by the availability and nature of services provided within a jurisdiction. The CRC also notes that the direction of the indicator is ambiguous – while a decrease would generally be considered to be desirable, it is also possible that an increase could be interpreted as an improvement if it means that services are reaching more clients who need them, through greater resourcing or targeting, or that more clients are returning for assistance when they need it. The Working Group also notes that the performance indicators reflect a narrow interpretation of Outcome A because they focus on solely on the prevalence of homelessness and beyond this do not examine issues of social inclusion or consider if housing, when obtained, is sustainable. As discussed below, the Working Group considered that this focus on homelessness itself was appropriate. 3.1.2 Working Group Considerations Whether people who are homeless or at risk of homelessness are achieving sustainable housing and social inclusion The Working Group noted that the current indicators focus on homelessness but not other aspects of social inclusion such as participation in the wider community through employment, education or other means. It is considered that those who are homeless are among the most excluded and that the achievement of sustainable housing is strongly linked to a reduction of social exclusion. The proportion of people experiencing repeat homelessness is therefore a suitable indicator for both the social inclusion and sustainable housing aspects of this outcome. The Working Group found that it was not possible to measure the extent to which homeless people achieve social inclusion in relation to employment, education and community participation outcomes through a single robust indicator. Longitudinal data are not currently available on a regular basis to demonstrate outcomes for the range of social inclusion priorities. Reporting on particular elements (such as achievement of employment outcomes) could be feasible but would considerably expand the focus of measurement beyond the core housing focus of the NAHA. 31 The Working Group concluded that it was not practical or desirable, given the scope of the NAHA, to report on social inclusion except in relation to achieving housing and noted that there may be value in reconsidering the scope of this outcome to reflect this. The CRC noted that the current indicators do not allow it to fully determine whether people facing homelessness have achieved sustainable housing, as they demonstrate a lack of sustainable housing rather than achievement of sustainable housing, although it was noted that reporting on related outputs would provide supplementary information on achievement of housing outcomes. Data from the SHSC provided information on the housing outcomes of persons using SHS and these are currently reported for particular clients groups (such as those experiencing domestic violence) for the NPAH. The data that may be derived from the General Social Survey (GSS) will also provide information on housing outcomes of individuals who have had previous experiences of homelessness. The potential for these data to be used in NAHA reporting merits further exploration. Improving the count of homeless people through the development of inter-censal proxy measures The ABS is reviewing the methodology for estimating the number of homeless people at the time of the Census, so Census estimates should be more accurate in the future. The issue of data frequency for counts of homelessness was also considered as part of the review of the NPAH, which noted the five yearly gap between Censuses where data were not currently available. The review of the NPAH also noted that gathering information on the proportion of the population who are homeless is costly, complex and labour-intensive. The Working Group considers that trying to collect this information through more frequent Census collections is not practical. However, more regular measures of progress based on inter-censal estimates may be possible in future. The ABS is exploring whether Department of Human Services (DHS) data can be used to provide an indication of changes in the homeless population between Censuses. The ABS is also considering incorporating the homelessness module used in the GSS in other relevant national population surveys, including for people with disabilities and Indigenous people. The GSS does not give an absolute measure of homelessness because it is a survey of people in private dwellings, thus missing out on people who are homeless at the time of the survey, especially those rough sleeping and in improvised dwellings. However, the GSS does provide information on the number of people who have been homeless in the previous twelve months, the period of homelessness, and information on length of time in current dwelling. For example, in 2010 the GSS reported that 251,000 people aged 18 years or over were estimated to have experienced homelessness in the previous 12 months and for the most recent period of homelessness, 22 per cent had spent 6 months or more without a permanent place to live8. 8 ABS, 4159.0 - General Social Survey: Summary Results, Australia, 2010 32 Population coverage for repeat homelessness The quality and constraints on data available to measure repeat homelessness were considered in detail by the review of the NPAH, which concluded that there was no better data source available. Improvements to homelessness data undertaken by the AIHW through its SHSC, which commenced on 1 July 2011, will result in some enhanced data on repeat homelessness, as the collection will be client-based rather than support period-based and will include an additional data item on previous homelessness. The AIHW, in consultation with States and Territories and the Department of Families, Housing, Community Services and Indigenous Affairs (FaHCSIA), is considering further data development for the SHSC now that it is operational. This may include improvements to data on repeat homelessness. 3.1.3 Findings and Recommendations The Working Group did not support the development of additional indicators to measure whether homeless people achieve social inclusion through employment, education or social participation and considered that more detailed measurement was not warranted in the NAHA, given its focus on housing. It was considered that the scope of the outcome needed to be read in light of this housing focus and that the intention of the NAHA is that these broader issues will be addressed through addressing homelessness. The Working Group identified, however, that there could be value in reforming or reframing the outcome to remove the reference to social inclusion. The Working Group noted the difficulty of measuring sustainable housing outcomes for homeless people and, in view of this, did not consider that the additional data development required to support performance reporting against this aspect of the outcome was warranted in relation to other priorities. It was noted that reporting on related outputs would provide supplementary information on achievement of housing outcomes. The Working Group noted that the review of the methodology for calculating homelessness using Census data is expected to be completed in 2012 and the count of homelessness should be more robust in the future. The Working Group also noted that the development of an inter-censal count of homelessness would be of significant value and should be a priority. The Working Group considered that existing reporting of repeat homelessness through the former SAAP and the new SHS data collection is adequate. 33 Recommendations That COAG agree to: retain PI 3: proportion of Australians who are homeless; retain PI 4: proportion of people experiencing repeat periods of homelessness; note the potential of work on inter-censal counts of homelessness to improve the reporting under the NAHA; and note that it may be appropriate to reframe Outcome A to remove the reference to social inclusion. 3.2 Outcome B: People are able to rent housing that meets their needs Performance Indicator (PI 1): proportion of low-income households in rental stress Supplementary Measure: proportion of low-income households in social housing and in rental stress Output 3: Number of households assisted in social housing Output 4: Number of households in private rental receiving subsidies The CRC made the following recommendations in its 2008-09 baseline NAHA performance report: that COAG agree that the measure for the performance indicator ‘proportion of low-income households in rental stress’ be refined to exclude non-renter households in order to better measure performance against the outcome that ‘people are able to rent housing that meets their needs; that low-income households be defined as those in the bottom 40 per cent of equivalised disposable household income; and the development of additional performance indicators for this outcome should be investigated, focusing specifically on the extent to which rental accommodation meets tenants’ needs. 3.2.1 Issues The key issues considered by the Working Group on the effectiveness of the current indicators to measure this outcome were: refining the target group to exclude non-renter households in order to better measure performance against the outcome; a need for additional indicators to include those who can find affordable accommodation that does not meet their needs, and those who cannot find any rental accommodation at all; inclusion of measures of non-financial aspects of need; and 34 that the indicator does not distinguish between rental stress resulting from accommodation needs and rental stress arising from preferences. For example, a low-income family that must spend 40 per cent of their income to obtain basic accommodation within travelling distance of employment is in a different situation to an individual who chooses to spend 40 per cent of their income in order to live in a preferred location. The CRC has over time requested the specifications for the indicator be revised, and it is currently reported as the proportion of low-income renter households in rental stress. 3.2.2 Working Group Considerations The Working Group supported the CRC’s recommendation that this indicator should report on low income renters only and supported amending the indicator description to proportion of low income renter households in rental stress. The Working Group discussed the thresholds for this indicator (the first based on the distribution of equivalised disposable household income and the second based on spending more than 30 per cent of gross income on rent). The Working Group supports the definition of low income households as those in the bottom 40 per cent of equivalised disposable household income. For the purpose of measuring rental stress, the Working Group agreed that this should be defined as those households spending more than 30 per cent of their gross income in rent. Details on equivalence scales are in Attachment C. The Working Group considered the development of additional performance indicators for this outcome around the extent to which rental accommodation meets tenants’ needs beyond financial dimensions of need. There were significant issues identified. Data on overcrowding and acceptable standards discussed in relation to Outcome F (below) is most relevant for Indigenous households and remote areas (with much greater deficits). While data on the numbers of the non-Indigenous population living in overcrowded conditions could be reported every two years from the ABS SIH, the assessment did not support such reporting due to the very low numbers (2.6 per cent at the Australia level). Data and measures for acceptable dwelling standards for the non-Indigenous population are not currently available, with only partial data available every six years in the ABS SIH. The Working Group did not see sufficient benefit to justify the cost of the data development work that would be required to report on acceptable dwelling standards in the non-Indigenous population. The development of more complex measures would involve a number of difficult policy judgments about tenants’ needs that did not necessarily allow a straightforward resolution. The Working Group also noted that the current indicator only captures those who are in rental accommodation, not those who are unable to rent accommodation. There was discussion of the potential to develop an indicator to capture housing that is both affordable and available to low income renter households. A possible indicator is ‘rental accommodation is affordable and available to low-income earners’ which was used by the NHSC in their 2010 report. The Working Group considered that while the data for the ‘availability’ aspect of the indicator had some flaws and required further conceptual work, there might be value in including an indicator of 35 the number of rental properties affordable to low income households. This indicator would address a gap in the existing indicator of rental stress by addressing the area it does not measure – the stock of accommodation on the market that was affordable by low income households. However, further data development work might be needed. PI 1 covers all renters. In the CRC 2009-10 report a new supplementary measure was introduced: proportion of low-income households in social housing and in rental stress. The Working Group noted that the supplementary measure was not a useful measure of NAHA performance and the identification of a number of these households is likely to reflect data or reporting issues. Only a small number of social housing households are likely to be in rental stress as jurisdictions’ rent policies set rents as a relatively low proportion of income. The Working Group agreed that reporting on this measure should be discontinued. 3.2.3 Findings and Recommendations The Working Group agreed to the CRC’s recommendation that this indicator should report on low income renters only and supported amending the indicator description to ‘proportion of low income renter households in rental stress’. The supplementary measure proportion of low income households in social housing and in rental stress, introduced by the CRC, was not seen to be a useful measure of NAHA performance and reporting on this should be discontinued. The Working Group considered that Outcome B: People can rent housing that meets their needs should be captured by financial aspects only, given the focus of the NAHA on housing affordability and the complexity of measuring the varied other aspects of need. The Working Group considered that there was value in further conceptual work to be undertaken on a potential additional indicator rental accommodation is affordable and available to low-income earners because the existing performance indicator does not provide information on the number of rental properties that are accessible to low and moderate income households. 36 Recommendations That COAG agree: that PI 1: proportion of low income households in rental stress be renamed to refer to low-income renter households in rental stress; the reference in Outcome B to ‘housing meeting people’s needs’ be interpreted as referring to affordability or financial need and assessed through PI 1; the supplementary measure proportion of low-income rental households in social housing and rental stress cease to be reported as a measure of NAHA outcomes; and that the Select Council on Housing and Homelessness report back to COAG on a potential indicator on rental accommodation that is affordable and available to low income households in the first quarter of 2013. 3.3 Outcome C: People can purchase affordable housing Performance Indicator (PI 2): proportion of homes sold or built that are affordable by low and moderate income households Performance Indicator (PI5): proportion of Australian households owning or purchasing a home Supplementary Measure: proportion of low income households in mortgage stress Output 5: The number of people receiving home purchase assistance The CRC recommended (CRC 2008-09) in relation to this outcome that: the proportion of low-income home owners in housing stress (mortgage stress) be reported as an indicator under this outcome (the supplementary measure); and low-income households be defined as those in the bottom 40 per cent of the equivalised disposable household income distribution. 3.3.1 Issues The CRC has expressed concern about the high level of sensitivity of PI 2: proportion of homes sold or built that are affordable by low and moderate income households to interest rate changes and the consequent difficulty of attributing progress on the outcome to the performance of governments. The CRC also expressed concern in relation to PI 5: proportion of Australian households owning or purchasing a home, that it is not clear which direction of change in this indicator represents progress towards Outcome C: People can purchase affordable housing. 37 3.3.2 Working Group Considerations Performance Indicator 2: proportion of homes sold or built that are affordable by low and moderate income households The Working Group discussed the definition of income thresholds to be used for this indicator and noted that equivalised disposable household income (EDHI) is the relevant income measure for determining households who are relatively less well off than other households with the same income, since it addresses income taxes paid and the different needs to be met for households of different size and composition. However, gross household income is a more appropriate measure for assessing home purchase affordability with homes assessed to be affordable when the household spends no more than 30 per cent of their gross household income on mortgage payments (including both capital and interest repayments). This was similar to the agreement reached in relation to Outcome B. A discussion on equivalence scales is provided at Attachment C. In relation to the definition of the target group, the Working Group agreed that this outcome is intended to measure affordability for both low and moderate income households (with incomes up to 40 per cent and 60 per cent of incomes respectively, adjusted by state and capital city/other location). The Working Group noted that very few homes would be affordable to the very low income group (less than one per cent) and so there would be limited value in further reporting specifically targeting this group. The Working Group noted an issue around reporting based on the proportion of homes sold for PI 2 as it may not adequately measure housing affordability and the ability of low and moderate income households to purchase housing. The proportion of total housing sold that is affordable to low and middle income households is affected by housing sales in the higher end of the market. That is, an increase in sales of higher end properties would report a relative decline in affordable housing sales, irrespective of the absolute number of affordable properties. Therefore, no conclusion can be drawn simply on the direction of movement of the indicator. The Working Group considered that indicator would be improved by reporting on the rate of affordable homes per 1,000 low and moderate income households. The use of actual survey and projected data to enhance the frequency of reporting was identified as an area for review. The Working Group noted that the income thresholds used for PI 2 are calculated using data from the ABS SIH, which is published biennially. To meet annual reporting requirements for the NAHA, in non-survey years projected data is used, which is derived using the National Centre for Social and Economic Modelling static income model (STINMOD). The Working Group examined the consistency of the two data sources and found major discrepancies between actual and projected data. In light of this problem the Working Group considered that it may be more practical to only report actual data from SIH. The Working Group also noted that PI 2 reports on the affordability of completed homes that are sold and excludes information on properties built by their owner on land already purchased separately by them. While there is some concern over the exclusion of data on the construction 38 value of these owner-built homes, addressing this issue would require significant data developments. Even if data on owner-builders were reported against, it is expected that the number would be very small and would not have a significant impact on affordability. Also PI 2 accounts only for whether housing that is sold or built is affordable to low and moderate income households, not whether these households actually purchase this housing. Performance Indicator 5: proportion of Australian households owning or purchasing a home The Working Group noted that the proportion of Australian households owning or purchasing a home varied very slowly and therefore did not consider it was a good measure for annual monitoring of housing affordability. In addition, the CRC has expressed concern that it is not clear which direction of change in this indicator represents progress towards the outcome (i.e. an increase or decrease in the proportion of Australian households owning or purchasing a home). The indicator may report change due to factors that have little to do with affordability, such as demographic changes and tenure preferences. PI 5 currently accounts only for households that are owner-occupiers and does not account for renter households who own housing which they do not live in, although these data are available. Supplementary mortgage stress measure The CRC has been using a measure of mortgage stress as a supplementary indicator for this outcome. The mortgage stress indicator measures the proportion of low-income households (households with equivalised disposable household income in the bottom two quintiles of the income distribution) that spend more than 30 per cent of their gross household income on mortgage payments (including principal and interest). One of the advantages of reporting against the mortgage stress indicator is that it is readily understandable by the public. However, the mortgage stress measure does not account for the distribution of housing wealth amongst low income households. In 2009-10, only 42 per cent of low income households in mortgage stress had household wealth in the bottom 40 per cent of the household wealth distribution (SIH unpublished data). The ABS has investigated how the target population for this indicator may be refined to better reflect the intent of Outcome C. Conceptually, refining the measure to include only low-income households with low wealth would better reflect the target population of the outcome. Notwithstanding this, using the mortgage stress indicator to measure the affordability of home purchase would still be complicated by several factors. First, the mortgage stress indicator typically is used to measure housing affordability at a point in time. In this way, the measure may not differentiate between households who are experiencing a temporary affordability problem, such as due to income volatility, and households who are in chronic mortgage stress. Secondly, a key issue with the mortgage stress indicator is how to differentiate the level of control that households have to manage mortgage stress. As it is currently measured, the mortgage stress indicator does not account for households who are in mortgage stress but are paying more than the minimum mortgage payments or are ahead on their payments. For the indicator to better reflect 39 the scope of Outcome C, these households who are ahead on their mortgage repayments or who are paying more than the minimum payment, should be excluded from reporting. The ABS estimates that around 45 per cent of low income households in mortgage stress are paying more than their minimum mortgage repayments. When the target group is refined to low income, low wealth households, this proportion declines to 40 per cent. As well, the mortgage stress indicator does not account for households that are purchasing housing outside of the affordable housing price range. In 2009-10, for example, 72 per cent of low income households in mortgage stress and 46 per cent of low income, low wealth households in mortgage stress, purchased dwellings priced in excess of $350,000. Once these factors are taken into account the population identified as being in mortgage stress shrinks drastically. Given the small size of the remaining population, there are considerable practical constraints around measurement and reporting on the small population would require the SIH sample to be quadrupled to allow effective reporting using this indicator. 3.3.3 Findings and Recommendations The Working Group considered that PI 2 will provide a more robust measure of Outcome C if the indicator is changed from the proportion of homes sold or built to the number of homes that are affordable to low and moderate income households per 1,000 low and moderate income households. The Working Group noted that the limitations of estimating annual income thresholds from biennial SIH data need to be taken into account in reporting on PI 2. In the case of owner-builder households, there is little evidence to suggest that the indicator would be improved significantly by accounting for these households. The Working Group considered that low income households should be defined as those in the bottom 40 per cent of the income distribution based on equivalised disposable household income (and moderate income households as those in the bottom 60 per cent) and that gross household income should be used as the appropriate measure for assessing home purchase affordability in the context of PI 2. The Working Group found PI 5: proportion of Australian households owning or purchasing a home only measures whether households actually own or purchase housing, not whether this housing is affordable to them. There is no clear link between the indicator and the outcome. As a result, the Working Group did not support its retention as a performance indicator although it was agreed that it may provide useful contextual information. The Working Group found that although the mortgage stress indicator reported by the CRC as a supplementary indicator is readily understood by the public, there is evidence that only a relatively small number of low and moderate income households are in mortgage stress—once high-wealth households and those ahead in their payments or paying more than the minimum repayment are excluded from the indicator. Accordingly, the Working Group did not support inclusion of this supplementary indicator. 40 Recommendations That COAG agree that: PI 2 be changed to the number of homes sold or built per 1,000 low and moderate income households that are affordable by low and moderate income households; PI 5: proportion of Australian households owning or purchasing a home be removed as an indicator; and the supplementary mortgage stress indicator not be included in the NAHA as a performance indicator. 3.4 Outcome D: People have access to housing through an efficient and responsive housing market Performance Indicator: nil Interim Indicator: The estimated cumulative gap between underlying demand for housing and housing supply, as a proportion of the increase in underlying demand Output 6: Number of zoned lots available for residential construction The CRC made the following recommendations: Develop and agree to performance indicators to measure progress towards the outcome that people have access to housing through an efficient and responsive housing market. This could include endorsing the interim indicator suggested by the National Housing Supply Council (NHSC) for the baseline report on the NAHA (2008-09); and Develop [as a priority] a performance indicator for the outcome people have access to housing through an efficient and responsive market (2009-10). 3.4.1 Issues When the NAHA was agreed, governments committed to developing indicators in relation to supply meeting demand for housing and housing market efficiency to support Outcome D, but this has not occurred. The CRC has proposed use of an interim indicator developed by the NHSC: the estimated cumulative gap between underlying demand for housing and housing supply, as a proportion of the increase in underlying demand. 41 3.4.2 Working Group Considerations The Working Group found that two NAHA outcomes include some measures of access to affordable housing: Outcome B – People are able to rent housing that meets their needs and Outcome C – People can purchase affordable housing. The Working Group agreed that further measuring of performance against Outcome D requires analysis of two interlinked factors: the efficiency of the housing market and the responsiveness of the housing market. The Working Group considered the NHSC definition that the housing market is responsive and operating efficiently when it: responds quickly to changes in effective demand; has no distortions to market prices; provides market participants with full and accurate information; includes environmental and other impacts on third parties in price; and provides housing at the lowest cost possible and provide incentives to innovate and provide more choice to buyers. The Working Group identified that the interim indicator, the estimated cumulative gap between underlying demand for housing and housing supply as a proportion of the increase in underlying demand, is a partial indicator focussing on the responsiveness of the housing market to market signals. While acknowledging the limits of this measure given the lack of other measures, the Working Group agreed that it would be useful to adopt this as an interim indicator of this outcome while other work continues. The Working Group did note that there some limitations to this measure. The measure accounts only for unmet underlying demand for housing. Underlying demand is inferred from changes in population growth and demographic change. Effective demand is actual demand for housing: the type, location and size of housing owner-occupier households are willing and able to pay for. Effective demand is impacted by a range of factors, such as incomes, prices, supply of dwellings, household preferences, as well as the availability and cost of finance. While the NHSC does not report against actual demand due to data limitations, measuring unmet effective demand for housing would be required to fully assess the responsiveness of the housing market. For example, between 2001-02 and 2008-09, effective demand in Western Australia varied considerably with factors such as a strong building cycle, favourable economic conditions, relatively low interest rates and spiralling housing prices playing a part. As a result, there were some indications of oversupply in the market at particular times and in relation to particular types of housing, while the NHSC underlying demand model indicated that there was a shortfall throughout the same period. It is possible that the underlying demand model provides a less reliable estimate of actual demand in jurisdictions undergoing rapid demographic change/experiencing relatively rapid shifts in population. 42 Nonetheless the Working Group noted that it was not feasible to measure effective demand and considered measuring underlying demand was the best available proxy. Jurisdictions have capacity to influence efficiency of housing supply across a range of factors. In relation to the supply of newly constructed housing, these factors include: the time and costs involved in preparing and releasing land for greenfield developments; how easy it is to change land-use; the alignment between local councils’ land-use plans and the relevant city strategic plan; the time and costs involved in obtaining development approvals; and the regulation of land release, planning and construction. The Working Group has evaluated whether data for reporting against some of these indicators may be sourced from the National Report on Development Assistance Performance (NRDAP) and reported under Outcome D broadly (as indicators of housing market efficiency). States and Territories already report against a set of National Performance Measures in the annual NRDAP on the health of their planning systems. These include nine performance measures agreed by the former Local Government and Planning Minsters’ Council in February 2010: 1. Are applications being decided within statutory times? 2. How long do applications typically take to decide? 3. Are business processes for development application processing regularly reviewed, audited and improved? 4. Do referral assessments meet statutory deadlines? 5. Are referral responses timely? 6. Are low-risk proposals being quickly dealt with? 7. Are e-planning systems being implemented and taken up? 8. Are the outcomes that result from development assessment approvals consistent with policy objectives? 9. Are decisions generally accepted and implemented? Performance measures 2 and 6, plus an additional indicator proposed by Western Australia, ‘are individual development assessment decisions consistent with broader planning policies?’ were analysed and several concerns were identified with using these NRDAP measures, including definitional issues and the comparability of data between jurisdictions. 3.4.3 Findings and Recommendations The Working Group agreed that there are benefits to continued reporting against the interim indicator, the estimated cumulative gap between underlying demand for housing and housing supply as a proportion of the increase in underlying demand, as long as the limitations of this measure, in 43 particular, the underlying assumptions and the difference between effective and underlying demand, are clearly noted. The Working Group also noted that States and Territories are already reporting against a set of National Performance Measures in the annual NRDAP. While there are currently data limitations, these measures may in the future provide useful information on this outcome in the NAHA. The Working Group agreed that, given the current state of the data, these measures were not able to be included as indicators at this time, but that there was merit in the Standing Council on Transport and Infrastructure continuing work to improve the data to support these indicators and advising the Select Council on Housing and Homelessness on progress in early 2013. Recommendations That COAG agree that: the National Housing Supply Council indicator: Estimated cumulative gap between underlying demand for housing and housing supply, as a proportion of the increase in underlying demand be adopted as a performance indicator, noting ongoing data development being undertaken by the National Housing Supply Council to improve the indicator; the Select Council on Housing and Homelessness be requested to report on any proposed improvements to the above indicator in the first quarter of 2013; and the Standing Council on Transport and Infrastructure be requested to continue work underway on development of the data supporting the indicators for the National Report on Development Assessment Performance (NRDAP), and advise the Select Council on Housing and Homelessness on progress in early 2013 to inform consideration of indicators to be included in future NAHA performance reports. 44 3.5 Outcome E: Indigenous people have the same housing opportunities (in relation to homelessness services, housing rental, housing purchase and access to housing) through an efficient and responsive housing market Performance Indicator (PI 6): Proportion of Indigenous households owning or purchasing a home The COAG Reform Council (CRC) has recommended that: The performance indicators for the outcome Indigenous people have the same housing opportunities (in relation to homelessness services, housing rental, housing purchase and access to housing through an efficient and responsive housing market) as other Australians are each of the indicators used to report on the outcomes relating to homelessness, rental affordability, home purchase affordability, and market efficiency and responsiveness, disaggregated by Indigenous status. 3.5.1 Issues The key issue is whether this outcome should be measured by disaggregation of relevant NAHA indicators or whether Indigenous specific indicators should be developed for each relevant outcome. The NAHA currently only has one performance indicator that provides disaggregated reporting against an aspect of outcome, PI 6. PI 6 only measures one aspect of the outcome, the proportion of Indigenous households owning or purchasing a home. Although the performance indicator assesses opportunity for participation in the home purchase market, which has the potential to lead to economic independence, it has very limited bearing on, for example, access to housing services, rental accommodation, or housing market efficiency and responsiveness. To measure the overall progress towards the outcome, the CRC has used indicators from other outcomes and disaggregated them by the Indigenous status of people and households where appropriate, and has sought COAG endorsement of this approach. 3.5.2 Working Group Considerations The Working Group considered two alternatives: presenting the outcome by disaggregation of relevant NAHA indicators; or developing Indigenous specific indicators for each component of the outcome. The Working Group noted that all relevant indicators can be disaggregated by Indigenous status: Of the nine reportable performance indicators, five are disaggregated by Indigenous status, and a further three are specific to Indigenous households only (non-Indigenous data are not currently reported for these outputs) (as shown in the table below). 45 Of the five reportable outputs, four are disaggregated by Indigenous status. Performance indicators in the National Affordable Housing Agreement Performance indicator Reporting by Indigenous Status 1. Proportion of low income households in rental stress Y 2. Proportion of homes sold or built that are affordable by low and moderate income households 3. Proportion of Australians who are homeless Y 4. Proportion of people experiencing repeat periods of homelessness Y 5. Proportion of Australian households owning or purchasing a home Y 6. Proportion of Indigenous households owning or purchasing a home Y* 7. Proportion of Indigenous households living in overcrowded conditions 8. Proportion of Indigenous households living in houses of an acceptable standard 9. Supply meeting demand for housing Y* 10. Housing market efficiency .. Y Y* N .. Not applicable. An indicator and/or measure has yet to be developed for this output. * Indicator is specific to Indigenous households. The only indicator which cannot report outcomes for Indigenous people, PI 9, relating to supply meeting demand, is intended to measure overall market operation and the Working Group saw this as inappropriate for disaggregation given it is a community-level indicator. In relation to the indicators that report outcomes for Indigenous people only (PIs 6, 7, and 8), the Working Group noted that comparative data are available for non-Indigenous households for PI 7, but is not currently available for PI 8. With regards to PI 6: proportion of Indigenous households owning or purchasing a home, a review of Outcome C has concluded that PI 5: proportion of Australian households owning or purchasing a home, should be removed as an indicator of performance, but reported on for context alone. The Working Group concluded none-the-less that there is value in reporting on Indigenous home ownership as the opportunity to take up home ownership is an important aspect of having the same housing opportunities as other Australians. The Working Group noted that the key data sources (the National Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Social Survey (NATSISS) and the National Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Health Survey (NATSIHS)) are available on an alternating three yearly cycle. The Working Group assessed whether more regular data collection is necessary and noted that these surveys are synchronized and are designed to be comparable between cycles. 46 The usefulness of producing geographical breakdowns by remoteness was also considered by the Working Group. 3.5.3 Findings and Recommendations The Working Group agreed to the disaggregation of relevant NAHA indicators as the preferred approach to measuring this outcome, with retention of PI 6, even if the corresponding indicator PI 5 is removed. However, the Working Group agreed that it was not appropriate to disaggregate market and community level indicators such as those relating to housing supply. The Working Group agreed that, while there are limitations in current data, development of Indigenous specific indicators for each relevant outcome was not necessary. It has been identified that developing Indigenous specific indicators will result in significant additional work and limited additional benefit as in most cases the same data would be reported. Recommendations That COAG agree to: retain PI 6: proportion of Indigenous households owning or purchasing a home; and disaggregate data on relevant NAHA performance indicators. 3.6 Outcome F: Indigenous people have improved housing amenity and reduced overcrowding, particularly in remote areas and discrete communities Performance Indicator (PI 7): proportion of Indigenous households living in overcrowded conditions Performance Indicator (PI 8): proportion of Indigenous households living in houses of an acceptable standard Supplementary measure: proportion of Indigenous households living in social housing living in overcrowded conditions Output: The number of Indigenous households provided with safe and appropriate housing The CRC (2008-09) has made the following recommendations for performance indicators for this outcome: Investigate possible enhancements to data collections, and/or the development of additional performance measures, which would allow comparative reporting of progress towards achieving improved amenity and reduced overcrowding for Indigenous people in remote areas or discrete communities. 47 Consider whether the standard of ‘acceptable housing’ used in the current report is appropriate, taking into account general expectations of acceptable housing in Australia. Develop a measure of the proportion of Indigenous households living in social housing of an acceptable condition. This measure should be as consistent as possible with the general measure of the proportion of Indigenous households living in housing of an acceptable standard. 3.6.1 Issues The key issues with the current performance indicators, PI 7: proportion of Indigenous households living in overcrowded conditions, and PI 8: proportion of Indigenous households living in houses of an acceptable standard, include: the indicators do not reflect the outcome’s focus on remote and discrete communities; new data are only available every three years; the main data sources, the NATSISS and the NATSIHS, can report level of remoteness nationally but cannot reliably disaggregate information on remote and discrete communities at the substate level for all jurisdictions; and there is concern that the definition of an acceptable standard, the ABS standard, differs from what would be considered acceptable in the general community. 3.6.2 Working Group Considerations A supplementary measure of overcrowding has been developed, which is proportion of Indigenous households living in social housing in overcrowded conditions. The measure aims to show the incidence of overcrowding among Indigenous households across the different forms of social housing. Over time it will provide insight into whether housing services are helping to address the problem of overcrowding in Indigenous households. Similar to the primary measure of overcrowding, the supplementary measure uses the Canadian National Occupancy Standard (Households that require one or more additional bedrooms to meet the standard are considered to be overcrowded), to define overcrowding. However, there are also significant issues with the supplementary measure. While it can be reported more frequently, it also cannot be disaggregated to report on outcomes in remote and discrete communities. The measure draws on administrative data that is not able to be aggregated across program types (such as public housing and State-Owned and Managed Indigenous Housing (SOMIH)) and does not allow reliable comparisons between jurisdictions, or over time. While the CRC has been able to report on the relevant supplementary indicator using data on public housing and SOMIH, the community housing data available to the council is incomplete (not available for all relevant jurisdictions), and has significant quality issues in terms of accuracy and comparability across jurisdictions. It is anticipated that ongoing refinement and data development in this area, while improving data quality, may limit the ability to make comparisons over time in the immediate future. 48 In relation to PI 8: proportion of Indigenous households living in houses of an acceptable standard, the Working Group noted the ABS definition of ‘acceptable standard’ which defines acceptable standard in relation to working facilities and structural faults. However, it is noted that this indicator will not pick up all improvements in housing amenity where they do not result in the dwelling crossing the line of acceptable standard (for example, improvements to a dwelling that is already above an acceptable standard). Also, as with PI 7, the indicator needs to be able to be disaggregated by remoteness and location to address the primary part of the outcome. These disaggregations can only be reported on with sufficient reliability at the national level. The AIHW, in consultation with States and Territories and FaHCSIA, is considering further data development using the ABS standard. The 2012 National Social Housing Survey aims to address gaps in output reporting, however the effectiveness of this reporting will depend on the data quality and response rates from the survey. It is understood that the previous face-to-face component of SOMIH has been replaced with a mail-out survey (as per the Public Housing process) and the survey does not extend to Indigenous community housing tenants. 3.6.3 Findings and Recommendations The Working Group found that the two existing performance indicators do not reflect the main focus of the outcome and recommends revising the existing indicators to include a reference to remote and discrete communities. The Working Group considered that data required enhancement to improve reporting on progress towards outcomes in remote and discrete communities. Data for these performance indicators are sourced from the rolling three-yearly cycle of Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) Indigenous surveys the National Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Health Survey (NATSIHS) and the National Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Social Survey (NATSISS). The Working Group: noted that the financial and non-financial costs of increasing data collection in remote and very remote areas could outweigh any benefits such as improved reliability of the data; and agreed it would be appropriate for the Select Council on Housing and Homelessness to consider alternative and/or new data sources to allow more reliable reporting on remote and discrete communities, and to report back to COAG in the first quarter of 2013 on the costs and benefits of improving data for reporting on this outcome. The Working Group agreed to adopt the ABS survey definition that dwellings are regarded as being of an acceptable standard if they have four working facilities (for washing people, for washing clothes/bedding, for storing/preparing food, and sewerage) and have no more than two major structural problems (major cracks in walls or floors, major plumbing problems, and wood rot or termite damage), which was considered a robust measure. The supplementary indicator: proportion of Indigenous households living in social housing in overcrowded conditions was considered useful and should be retained. Development of a supplementary indicator relating to the proportion of Indigenous households living in social housing 49 of an acceptable condition was also supported noting that reporting will depend on data quality in the 2012 National Social Housing Survey. As the CRC has noted, adequate and safe housing for Indigenous people is an important factor contributing to Closing the Gap in Indigenous Disadvantage, in particular, targets relating to closing the gap in life expectancy within a generation, halving the gap in mortality rates for children under five in a decade and halving the gap for Indigenous students in reading, writing and literacy within a decade. The Working Group considers that PIs 7 and 8 should be important contributors to reporting on governments’ achievements in Closing the Gap targets. Recommendations That COAG agree to: revise PI 7: proportion of Indigenous households living in overcrowded conditions, to add including in remote and discrete communities; revise PI 8: proportion of Indigenous households living in houses of an acceptable standard to add including in remote and discrete communities; retain the supplementary indicator relating to overcrowding in social housing and explore whether data from the 2012 National Social Housing Survey is of sufficient quality to report a supplementary indicator on dwelling adequacy; and request the Select Council on Housing and Homelessness to consider alternative data and the development of additional data sources to allow reporting on remote and discrete communities as required under the outcome and to report back to COAG in the first quarter of 2013 on the costs and benefits of improving data and reporting. 4. Performance Benchmarks, Outputs and Data Collection There is a range of other matters that the Working Group was asked to consider under its terms of reference relating to CRC recommendations: Consider the development of performance benchmarks or targets for inclusion in the National Affordable Housing Agreement, to better allow the tracking of governments’ progress towards the outcomes in the agreement (CRC 2008-09). Consider whether and how output measures could be further developed to assist with reporting on the outcomes in the agreement (CRC 2009-10). Consider whether the outputs in the National Affordable Housing Agreement are sufficiently precise and measurable, and suggest refinements where necessary. Develop and define nationally consistent measures of each output, where this has not yet occurred (CRC 2008-09). Development of robust and comparable data on mainstream and Indigenous community housing (CRC 2009-10). 50 That COAG confirm that administrative data provided for each report should relate to the relevant reporting year (CRC 2008-09). Consider whether more frequent [data] collections would be appropriate, taking into account costs and benefits and the council’s annual reporting requirements (CRC 2008-09). The Working Group was also asked to: note the importance of data collection in relation to young people and people with disability; and consider the role of the NAHA performance framework in supporting the achievement of the COAG Closing the Gap targets, including measuring the achievement of Indigenous outputs and outcomes. This section of the report outlines the Working Group’s considerations and recommendations in relation to these issues. 4.1 Performance Benchmarks The Intergovernmental Agreement on Federal Financial Relations (IGA) states that reporting under the framework for federal financial relations will be in respect of: a) the comparative performance of government achievement against objectives, outcomes, outputs and performance benchmarks in areas covered by National Agreements; and b) the achievement of governments of objectives, outcomes, outputs and performance benchmarks in areas covered by National Agreements.9 When COAG considered the outcomes of the HoTs Review of National Agreements, National Partnerships and Implementation Plans, it agreed that the underlying reform principles of the IGA continue to provide a strong foundation for progressing COAG’s agreed reform agenda and achieving better policy and service delivery outcomes for all Australians. COAG agreed to establish a working group to take forward the key recommendations and to tackle deficiencies in the design of current agreements identified by the HoTs Review. In relation to benchmarks for performance indicators, the HoTs Review stated that “benchmarks are used to inform the general community about the effectiveness of government activities”.10 The HoTs Review commented that, for National Agreements, performance benchmarks should be “few in number, high-level and reflect the highest order, most challenging goals toward attainment of outcomes”. The CRC has previously considered the absence of performance benchmarks in its report on performance under the NAHA in 2008–09. The NAHA is the only national agreement without performance benchmarks. The CRC recommended consideration of the development of performance benchmarks or targets for inclusion in the NAHA to allow better tracking of 9 op. cit. Clause C4 op. cit. 10 51 governments’ progress towards the outcomes in the agreement. The current performance indicators for outcomes in the NAHA do not technically comply with the HoTs conceptual framework, which states it is imperative that the direction of change that represents progress against an outcome is specified. However, the desired direction of change is implicit in the performance indicators of the proposed framework. The IGA stated that ‘National Agreements may also include a limited number of outcomes focussed performance benchmarks, against some performance indicators. Performance benchmarks can provide the community with an indication of the rate of progress being made against agreed outcomes.’11 Benchmarks in Existing Agreements There are existing benchmarks which could form the basis for NAHA performance indicators in two related agreements, the NPAH and the NPARIH: proportion of Australians who are homeless - 7 per cent reduction in homelessness by 2013 from levels identified in the 2006 Census. proportion of Indigenous Australians who are homeless – 33.3 per cent reduction by 2013. Overcrowding and homelessness average occupancy rate o average occupancy per remote dwelling to reduce by 2018 o reduce number of overcrowded dwellings by 4,200 by 2018 o reduce homelessness in remote Australia by 30 per cent by 2013 and 50 per cent by 2018. Existing Performance Benchmarks in Jurisdictions There are also a number of performance benchmarks contained in Strategic Plans of South Australia, Western Australia, Northern Territory and the Australian Capital Territory. These may also be useful examples of long-term benchmarks (from 2001 to 2014 in SA, 2009 to 2020 in WA, 2007 to 2018 in the ACT): halving the number of South Australians experiencing housing stress by 2014 (SA); increasing the number of Government assisted affordable housing options from 48,756 as at June 2009 by 8,000 in June 2015 and by 20,000 in June 2020 for households on low to moderate incomes (WA); 15 per cent of all new land releases to provide new affordable and social housing (NT); and Increase the supply of affordable rental housing by 250 dwellings by 2013 and 500 by 2018 (ACT). After consideration, the Working Group supported the inclusion of provisional performance benchmarks with targets, as long as they took into account the funding available and were based on indicators that are within the ability of jurisdictions to influence. These provisional benchmarks will be developed by officials from all jurisdictions for consideration by COAG in October 2012, to be reviewed following the Standing Council on Federal Financial Relations’ review of funding adequacy in 2013. 11 IGA Clause E14 52 The current performance indicators in the NAHA do not fully comply with the HoTs conceptual framework. The framework states that it is necessary to specify the direction of change that represents progress towards an outcome for an indicator to be meaningful. It is noted that the desired direction of change is fairly intuitive for all indicators except PI 5, which the Working Group suggests be removed. For clarity, this report specifies agreed directions of change for all recommended indicators in Attachment B. Recommendation That COAG agree: that officials from all jurisdictions will develop provisional performance benchmarks with quantifiable targets for the NAHA, reflecting current funding levels and what is in control of jurisdictions to influence, for consideration by COAG in October 2012, to be reviewed following the Standing Council on Federal Financial Relations’ review of funding adequacy in 2013. 4.2 Outputs The CRC made a number of recommendations about improving reporting on outputs. The NAHA contains seven outputs and requires that the CRC report annually on the outputs. This treatment is different to most other National Agreements which do not mandate reporting on all outputs. However, most National Agreements do have individual output indicators in their performance frameworks such as enrolment figures in the National Education Agreement and the National Indigenous Reform Agreement and the number of higher qualification completions target in the National Agreement on Skills and Workforce Development. The aim of the IGA is to focus on the achievement of outcomes. This can best be done by using outcome indicators. But where there are no suitable outcome indicators or where outcome indicators are not available in a timely and regular manner, reporting on outputs may be used instead of, or to supplement, outcome indicators. The Working Group also undertook preliminary analysis of the value of outputs where performance indicators are not adequate. The CRC recommended in 2008–09, in relation to outputs, that COAG note the following suggestions for improvement to the performance reporting framework and refer them to the Head of Treasuries Committee on Federal Financial Relations for further consideration and prioritisation, in consultation with the Housing and Homelessness Information Management Group: Consider whether the outputs in the National Affordable Housing Agreement are sufficiently precise and measurable, and suggest refinements where necessary; Develop and define nationally consistent measures of each output, where this has not yet occurred; and in 2009–10, consideration of whether and how output measures could be further developed to assist with reporting on the outcomes in the agreement. 53 The Working Group reviewed the reporting for all outcomes. Outcome A - People who are homeless or at risk of homelessness achieve sustainable housing and social inclusion Outcome A is supported by two outputs: Output 1: Number of people who are homeless or at risk of homelessness who are assisted to secure and sustain their tenancies Output 2: Number of people who are assisted to move from crisis accommodation or primary homelessness to sustainable accommodation The first output is measured through three proxy measures: Number of Specialist Homelessness Services (SHS) clients who had house/flat tenure after support Number of households newly assisted into social housing that were homeless or at risk of homelessness at the time of allocation Number of households assisted into social housing that were homeless or at risk of homelessness at time of allocation and who sustain their tenancies for 12 months or more. The CRC has not made any comments specifically in relation to the homelessness outputs. The Working Group notes that the outputs draw on the SHS data collection and thus focus on a sub-set of the homeless population that use these services. The Working Group noted the use of numbers rather than a proportion means that the results will change based on a wide variety of economic and social factors, such as population growth and supply of services, which may not have any bearing on outcomes. However, unlike the current indicators, the outputs focus directly on the effects of assistance, which assists in addressing the outcome of ensuring people who are homeless or at risk of achieving sustainable housing. The Working Group concluded it would be appropriate for CRC reporting of these outputs to continue using number and proportion as appropriate. This output reporting would be similar to and consistent with reporting for the NPAH indicators, recently endorsed by COAG when it agreed to the review of the NPAH reporting framework. The desired direction of change would be an increase. Outcome B – People are able to rent housing that meets their needs This outcome is supported by two outputs: Output 3: Number of households assisted in social housing Output 4: Number of households in private rental receiving subsidies The Working Group noted that the review is not recommending any change to the focus of PI 1 on rental stress in the private market and is recommending discontinuation of CRC reporting on rental 54 stress for social housing tenants. In this context, the Working Group concluded that continued reporting on Output 3 and 4 would supplement reporting on PI 1. Reporting on those receiving Commonwealth Rent Assistance (CRA) for Output 4, including the numbers receiving maximum rate, would provide additional information on rental affordability for income recipients. Information on other forms of rental assistance would provide useful information to the public on assistance provided to households in need. The Working Group considered that reporting on the number of households in social housing also supplemented outcome reporting. The social housing market is around one sixth of the private rental market and around 30 per cent the size of the low income private rental market. Around 390,000 households are in social housing in comparison to around 1.1 million income units receiving CRA. The majority of social housing tenants consider that social housing meets their needs12, making reporting on this sector relevant to consideration of achievement of the outcome. ABS data on building construction has also demonstrated some fluctuation in new public housing construction.13 The Working Group notes the CRC recommendation (2009-10) that data on mainstream and Indigenous community housing be improved. Given the growing importance of community housing as part of the social housing sector, and the importance of Indigenous community housing, the Working Group noted the importance of improving community housing data. Outcome C – People can purchase affordable housing Outcome C is supported by Output 5 – The number of people receiving home purchase assistance. The Working Group notes home purchase assistance provides a relatively small contribution to home purchase affordability. However jurisdictions provide a range of assistance which fluctuates over time. It is considered that reporting on this assistance aids public understanding of the assistance being provided by governments. Outcome D – People have access to housing through an efficient and responsive housing market Outcome D is supported by one output measure: Output (6): Number of zoned lots available for residential construction. The Working Group noted that there are no nationally consistent data on this output. 12 13 AIHW, Housing assistance in Australia 2011, June 2011. ABS, 8731.0 - Building Approvals, Australia, April 2012. 55 Outcome E - Indigenous people have the same housing opportunities (in relation to homelessness services, housing rental, housing purchase and access to housing) through an efficient and responsive housing market There are no outputs that contribute specifically to this outcome. The CRC reports other outputs disaggregated by Indigenous status where possible. Outcome F – Indigenous people have improved housing amenity and reduced overcrowding, particularly in remote areas and discrete communities The outcome is currently supported by Output 7, the number of Indigenous households provided with safe and appropriate housing. The Working Group noted concerns regarding the measurement of this output relating to the inconsistency between the terms used for the output and the outcome. The Working Group noted that the concept of ‘safe and appropriate housing’ used in this output reflected Indigenous priorities of previous housing agreements and there is not currently an agreed definition of safe and appropriate. The Working Group noted that some information is available to provide context for this outcome which could be used to report on outputs: The Overcoming Indigenous Disadvantage: Key Indicators 2009 report (SCRGSP 2009b) provides data on overcrowding in housing and also access to clean water, functional sewerage and electricity services. The AIHW (2009c) report Indigenous housing needs 2009: a multi-measure needs model presents the most recent data on the level of Indigenous housing need across the five dimensions of homelessness, overcrowding, affordability, dwelling condition and connection to essential services. The Working Group has been asked to consider the role of the NAHA performance framework in supporting the achievement of the COAG Closing the Gap targets, including measuring the achievement of Indigenous outputs and outcomes. The Working Group considers that it would be useful to have reporting on the number of new social housing dwellings built for Indigenous households in remote areas and discrete communities. The Working Group also noted that there is currently no reporting of connection to essential services, an important element of achieving Closing the Gap health outcomes. Around 14 per cent of discrete Indigenous communities do not have all permanent dwellings connected to an organised supply of water and 11.6 per cent do not have all permanent dwellings connected to electricity (AIHW, above). It is suggested that this issue be referred for consideration in the review of the NPARIH, due in 2012. 56 Recommendation That COAG note: that the Working Group supported the continued provision of performance information on outputs by the CRC where appropriate data are available. 4.3 Data Collection Issues The Working Group noted that ABS SIH data can be disaggregated by age, to identify young people, and in 2009–10 for people with disability. Further work is required to improve data collection in relation for future collection of data on people with disability. In relation to CRC recommendations about the timeliness of data provision and the frequency of reporting, the Working Group considers that administrative data provided for each report should relate to the relevant reporting year. The need for more frequent data was identified in relation to reporting on homelessness, discussed in detail under Outcome A. The need for improved data for Indigenous housing need was also identified. 57 5. Attachments 5.1 Attachment A: Working Group Response to CRC Recommendations COAG Reform Council: Report on the National Affordable Housing Agreement (NAHA) 2009-10 Recommendation COAG Response NAHA Working Group Response Agreed Recommendation 4 addresses this. The Working Group supports the adoption of the National Housing Supply Council’s indicator: Estimated cumulative gap between underlying demand for housing and housing supply, noting ongoing data development being undertaken by the National Housing Supply Council to improve the indicator. Noted and referred for consideration in the review of the NAHA announced by COAG on 13 February 2011 Recommendation 6 addresses this by proposing that the Select Council on Housing and Homelessness consider alternative data and additional data resources. Noted and referred for consideration in the review of the NAHA announced by COAG on The Working Group considered output measures and agreed to support the continued provision of Recommendation 1 (a): The COAG Reform Council recommends that COAG: endorse the following priorities for improving the performance reporting framework of the National Affordable Housing Agreement: development of a performance indicator for the outcome people have access to housing through an efficient and responsive housing market Recommendation 1 (b): The COAG Reform Council recommends that COAG: endorse the following priorities for improving the performance reporting framework of the National Affordable Housing Agreement: development of robust and comparable data on mainstream and Indigenous community housing Recommendation 1 (c): 58 The COAG Reform Council recommends that COAG: endorse the following priorities for improving the performance reporting framework of the National Affordable Housing Agreement: consideration of whether and how output measures could be further developed to assist with reporting on the outcomes in the agreement. 13 February 2011 performance information on outputs by the CRC where appropriate data are available. Agreed The Working Group considered these recommendations in the report of the Review of the NAHA Performance Reporting Framework. Recommendation 2: The COAG Reform Council recommends that COAG: refer these priorities, along with the recommendations made in the council’s 2008-09 baseline report, to the review of the National Affordable Housing Agreement announced by COAG on 13 February 2011. COAG Reform Council: Report on the National Affordable Housing Agreement (NAHA) 2008-09 Recommendation COAG Response NAHA Working Group Response Agreed The Working Group supports the CRC’s view that administrative data provided for each report should relate to the relevant reporting year where possible. Noted and referred to the working group to consider as part of its review of the agreements outlined above. Recommendation 1 addresses the potential of work on the inter-censal counts of homelessness. Census estimates should be more accurate in the future, following the ABS Recommendation 1: The COAG Reform Council recommends that COAG confirm that administrative data provided for each report should relate to the relevant reporting year. Recommendation 2: The COAG Reform Council recommends that COAG note the current review by the Australian Bureau of Statistics of the Counting the Homeless 59 methodology, and ask the Housing Ministers Conference to report on options for improving the count of homeless people in Australia. Recommendation 3: The COAG Reform Council recommends that: a) COAG agree that the measure for the performance indicator ‘the proportion of lowincome households in rental stress’ be refined to exclude non-renter households, in order to better measure performance against the outcome that ‘people are able to rent housing that meets their needs’ review. Noted and referred to the working group to consider as part of its review of the agreements outlined above. b) the proportion of lowincome home owners in housing stress instead be reported as an indicator under the outcome that ‘people are able to purchase affordable housing’. a) Recommendation 2 addresses this. The Working Group supports renaming the indicator to proportion of low income renter households in rental stress. b) Recommendation 3 addresses this. The Working Group did not support the inclusion of the supplementary measure of low income home owners in housing stress in the NAHA as a performance indicator. Recommendation 4: The COAG Reform Council recommends that: a) For all relevant performance indicators in the National Affordable Housing Agreement, low-income households be defined as those in the bottom 40 per cent of equivalised disposable household income. Noted and referred to the working group to consider as part of its review of the agreements outlined above The Working Group supports the definition of low income households as those in the bottom 40 per cent of households with equivalised disposable household income – see discussion on Outcome B and Outcome C. Recommendation 5: The COAG Reform Council recommends that: a) COAG agree that Noted and referred to the working group to consider as part of its review of the agreements outlined above. 60 a)Recommendation 5 addresses this. performance indicators for the outcome The Working Group supports the disaggregation of data on relevant NAHA indicators by Indigenous status for Outcome E. Indigenous people have the same housing opportunities (in relation to homelessness services, housing rental, housing purchase and access to housing through an efficient and responsive housing market) as other Australians are each of the indicators used to report on the outcomes relating to homelessness, rental affordability, home purchase affordability, and market efficiency and responsiveness, disaggregated by Indigenous status Recommendation 6: The COAG Reform Council recommends that: COAG note the issues and suggestions for improvement to the performance reporting framework listed below, and refer them to the Heads of Treasuries Committee on Federal Financial Relations for further consideration and prioritization, in consultation with the Housing and Homelessness Information Management Group. a) Noted and referred to the working group to consider as part of its review of the agreements outlined above. a) Recommendation 1 addresses this in relation to the homelessness indicators. The Working Group noted the potential of work on intercensal counts of homelessness to address frequency issues with homelessness indicators that Measuring performance Consider whether more frequent collections would be appropriate, 61 taking into account costs and benefits and the council’s annual reporting requirements. currently rely on 5 yearly Census data . The Working Group considered the high costs and minimal benefits of more frequent collections for the remaining performance indicators. b) Benchmarks and targets b) Recommendation 7 addresses this. The majority of the Working Group does not support the inclusion of performance benchmarks, as it was considered that the NAHA did not provide sufficient additional resources to make commitments to particular benchmarks appropriate. There was also some concern that attainment on some outcomes was subject to a range of factors and beyond the sole control of jurisdictions. Consider the development of performance benchmarks or targets for inclusion in the National Affordable Housing Agreement, to better allow the tracking of governments’ progress towards the outcomes in the agreement. The Commonwealth dissented from this view and considered that given the resources provided under the NAHA ($1.3 billion per annum from 2012-13) it was reasonable to set some key benchmarks to indicate to the community the progress that jurisdictions were working towards. The Commonwealth developed benchmarks for key indicators for consideration, incorporating benchmarks already agreed in the National Partnership Agreement on Homelessness and the National Partnership Agreement on Remote Indigenous Housing. c) c) Recommendation 1 addresses this. The Working Group considered that the achievement of sustainable housing by the homeless is strongly linked to reduction of social exclusion and that the proportion of people experiencing repeat homelessness is a suitable indicator for both the social inclusion and sustainable housing aspects of this outcome especially if supported by the relevant output measures. Outcome: People who are homeless or at risk of homelessness achieve sustainable housing and social inclusion. Investigate the development of additional performance indicators that measure whether people who are homeless or at risk 62 of homelessness are achieving sustainable housing and social inclusion. The Working Group noted the potential of work on inter-censal counts of homelessness to improve reporting under the NAHA. The Working Group noted that measuring repeat periods of homelessness for the whole homelessness population is not possible within existing data collections and that existing reporting of repeat homelessness through the former SAAP and the new SHS data collection is adequate. Investigate the development of intercensal proxy measures, based on new or existing administrative data collections, that could be used to indicate changes in the homeless population on a yearly basis. Expedite the development of a measure of repeat homelessness. d) Recommendation 2 addresses this. The Working Group supported the interpretation of ‘housing meeting people’s needs’ as referring to affordability or financial need and that this should be assessed through P1. d) Outcome: People are able to rent housing that meets their needs Investigate the development of additional performance indicators for this outcome, focusing specifically on the extent to which rental accommodation meets tenants’ needs. e) e) Recommendation 4 addresses this. The Working Group supports the adoption of the National Housing Supply Council indicator: Estimated cumulative gap between underlying demand for housing and housing supply, noting ongoing data development being undertaken by the National Housing Supply Council to improve the indicator. Outcome: People have access to housing through an efficient and responsive housing market Develop and agree to performance indicators to measure progress towards the outcome that ‘people have access to housing through an efficient and responsive housing market’. This could 63 include endorsing the interim indicator suggested by the National Housing Supply Council for the baseline report on the National Affordable Housing Agreement. f) f) Recommendation 6 addresses this. The Working Group has proposed that the Select Council on Housing and Homelessness consider alternative data and the development of additional data sources to allow reporting on remote and discrete communities and to report back to COAG in the first quarter of 2013 on the costs and benefits of improving data and reporting. Outcome: Indigenous people have improved housing amenity and reduced overcrowding, particularly in remote areas and discrete communities Investigate possible enhancements to data collections, and/or the development of additional performance measures, which would allow comparative reporting of progress towards achieving improved amenity and reduced overcrowding for Indigenous people in remote areas or discrete communities. The Working Group considers that the use of the ABS definition of ‘acceptable standard’ which defines acceptable standard in relation to working facilities and structural faults is appropriate. Consider whether the standard of ‘acceptable housing’ used in the current report is appropriate, taking into account general expectations of acceptable housing in Australia Recommendation 6 addresses this. Develop a measure of the proportion of Indigenous households living in social housing of an acceptable condition. This measure should be as consistent as possible with the general measure of the proportion of Indigenous households 64 living in housing of an acceptable standard. g) g)The Working Group considered that there is further work required ensure that outputs are sufficiently precise and measureable. The Working Group has identified that there is no nationally consistent data for output 6 and that there are no outputs for Outcome E(although relevant outputs are disaggregated by Indigenous status where possible) and that there is not an agreed definition of safe and appropriate housing for Output 7 and that there was an inconsistency in terms between Output 7 and Outcome F. Working Group considers that it would be useful to report on the number of new social housing dwellings build for Indigenous households in remote areas and discrete communities.. Reporting of outputs Consider whether the outputs in the National Affordable Housing Agreement are sufficiently precise and measurable, and suggest refinements where necessary. The Working Group considered output measures and agreed to support the continued provision of performance information on outputs by the CRC where appropriate data are available Develop and define nationally consistent measures of each output, where this has not yet occurred. 5.2 Attachment B: Possible Performance Benchmarks Performance Indicator Possible Performance Benchmark Data source /NAHA Baseline 2008–09 Rationale PI 2: Number of homes sold or built per 1,000 low and moderate households that are affordable by low and moderate income households Increase to 50 homes sold or built per 1,000 low and moderate households that are affordable by low and moderate income households by 2015–16, Valuer Generals’ data; ABS Survey of Income and Housing 2007–08. This benchmark reflects continuation of the improvement that has been experienced in recent years. The number of affordable homes sold or built per 1,000 low and moderate income households that were affordable to low and moderate income households was 27.7 in 2007–08 and 35.5 in 2009–10 which corresponds to an improvement of 65 The preferred direction of a benchmark would be an increase. PI 3: Proportion of 7 per cent Australians who are reduction in homeless homeless Australians by 2013 or 10 per cent reduction in homeless Australians by 2017. The preferred direction of a benchmark would be a decrease. 4 homes per 1,000 per annum. Given the implementation of the NRAS program and HSAR agenda, it is reasonable for the positive rate of improvement to continue into the future. 2006 Census (baseline) 2011 Census 2016 Census Note: No data likely to be available for 2013 but next Census will be 2016 PI 4: Proportion of people experiencing repeat periods of homelessness 25 per cent reduction in three repeat periods of homelessness at a specialist homelessness service in 12 months by 2013. The preferred direction of a benchmark would be a decrease. 2007–08 SAAP data PI 6: Proportion of Indigenous households owning or purchasing a home 10 per cent increase in the proportion of Indigenous households owning or purchasing a home by 2017-18. ABS NATSISS 2008 Future Specialised Homelessness Services Collection (SHSC) data collection could provide a proxy but this may represent better availability of services. Data available from NATSISS/NATISH on alternating 3yearly cycle. The 2013 performance benchmark is from the NPAH. It is reasonable to have a further indicator to reflect the next census to be undertaken in 2016. This 2016 benchmark is greater than the 2013 benchmark, recognising the additional investment, including the $5.6b Social Housing Initiative, since that figure was agreed. This benchmark is identical to the benchmark in the National Partnership Agreement on Homelessness. (SCRGSP recommends that this benchmark should refer to the year 2013–14.) This benchmark maintains the trend of increased Indigenous home ownership from 19 per cent in 1991 to 36 per cent in 2006 (Indigenous Home Ownership Issues Paper - FAHCSIA) (i.e., 1.1 per cent per annum). It is consistent with commitments to a 63 per cent increase in Indigenous employment by 2018 The preferred direction of a 66 benchmark would be an increase. (National Partnership Agreement on Indigenous Economic Participation). PI 7: Proportion of Indigenous households living in overcrowded conditions Reduce the number of Indigenous households living in overcrowded conditions by 4,200 by 2017-18. The preferred direction of a benchmark would be a decrease. ABS NATSISS 2008 PI 8: Proportion of Indigenous households living in houses of an acceptable standard Approximately 4,800 reduction in the number of Indigenous households reporting at least one major structural problem by 201718. The preferred direction of a benchmark would be a decrease. ABS NATSISS 2008 Data available from NATSISS/NATISH on alternating 3yearly cycle. There may be statistical issues around this benchmark Data available from NATSISS/NATISH on alternating 3yearly cycle. This benchmark is consistent with the NPARIH benchmark to reduce the number of overcrowded dwellings in remote Australia by 4,200 by 2018. 26 per cent of Indigenous households (approximately 50,000) reported at least one major structural problem (NATSISS and NATSIHS). The NPARIH benchmark is to repair 4,800 houses by 2014 and build 4,200 new houses by 2018. 5.3 Attachment C: Equivalence Scales Why equivalence scales are needed Population averages are often useful measures for a variety of purposes. However, in much social and economic policy work and performance analysis, there is a focus on those people who are less well off in society. Those who are well off are likely to have options and choices not available to those who are relatively less well off. When income is used as the discriminating variable for determining those who are relatively less 67 well off, and therefore those for whom policy and performance are tracked, the choice of income measure is critical. Gross income is one measure used for a variety of purposes, but it fails to establish clear relativities, particularly at the household level, that should take account of taxes paid. Disposable income addresses the income taxes paid. However, income relativities should also reflect some measure of needs to be met from that income. For example, a single person, on average, will require less income to have the same standard of living as a couple with dependent children. While other aspects of life can impose differential costs on people in different circumstances, household size is the simplest, most transparent and most often used variable in adjusting disposable income for need, based on the size of accommodation expenditure in most people's costs of living, and on the other economies of scale that people enjoy when living together. One way of adjusting (equivalising) for differences in household size might be simply to divide the income of the household by the number of its members so that all income is presented on a per capita basis. However, such a simple adjustment simply averages the incomes of the different household members, assumes that all individuals have the same resource needs and that there are no economies of scale derived from living together. The adjustment (or equivalising) of household incomes to make them more comparable when analysis is focussed on the less well off generally uses both the size and the composition of the household. The equivalence attempts to address the fact that while a second occupant of the same dwelling will generally enjoy the same amenity as the first occupant, both members enjoy the economies of scale in collectively using the building services and associated costs of living such as in providing food etc. So rather than a per capita approach, the needs adjusted income is calculated based on a count of 1 for the first person, and a count of less than one for the second and subsequent persons sharing the dwelling. Because children generally can share accommodation (eg shared bedrooms), and require less income to support their needs, in needs adjusted income calculation they are usually counted as less than an adult. How are equivalised incomes calculated? Equivalised income is devised by calculating an equivalence factor according to the chosen equivalence scale, and then dividing income by that factor. The equivalence factor derived for the commonly used 'modified OECD equivalence scale' is built up by allocating 1 point for the first adult in the household, as having a weight of 1 point, adding 0.5 points for each additional person who is 15 years or older, and 0.3 points for each child under the age of 15. Equivalised household income is derived by dividing total household income by a factor equal to the sum of the equivalence points allocated to the household members. When household income is adjusted according to an equivalence scale, the equivalised income can be viewed as an indicator of the economic resources available to a standardised household. For a 68 lone person household, it is equal to household income. For a household comprising more than one person, the equivalised income lies between the total value and the per capita value of its unequivalised income. An example Household A is a couple household without children, with a disposable household income of $1,500 per week. Household B is a couple family with three dependent children aged under 15, with a disposable household income of $2,000 per week. Comparing household incomes for the two households without any adjustment for need would rank the household A below household B. The comparison does not take account of the different household size and composition between the two households. After adjustments are made for household size and composition, household B has a relatively lower household income than the smaller household A. Calculation of the affordability threshold (numerator) There are two different concepts of household income that are included in the calculations for NAHA PI 2 (Proportion of homes sold or built that are affordable by low/moderate income households). The calculation of the income threshold relies on defining low and moderate income households (ie, the scope of low/moderate income households) using the equivalised disposable household income (EDHI) distribution. EDHI is the relevant income measure for determining households who are relatively less well off since it addresses income taxes paid and the differential needs to be met from households of differing size and composition. For example, household A with a gross household income of $500 may be above the threshold and household B with a gross household income of $600 may be below the threshold if household B has 2 adults (EDHI of $400) and household A has one person (EDHI of $500). However, in assessing home purchase affordability it is the gross household income that is the appropriate measure, with homes assessed to be affordable when the household spends no more than 30% of their gross household income on mortgage payments (including both capital and interest repayments). Therefore, from the above example, household B is included in the low/moderate income population for the numerator, with the gross household income of $600 used in the assessment of affordability for the numerator. So the gross household income thresholds do not reflect the distribution of gross household income from all the households surveyed and therefore will not move like actual income movements at a particular point in the gross household income distribution. Rather the thresholds will reflect the gross household incomes of households at those points in the EDHI distribution, and this will change over time depending on the types of households represented at those points in any given year, which is also significantly affected by the changing shape of the income distribution at different points along the distribution. 69 6. Sources 8731.0 - Building Approvals, Australia, Australian Bureau of Statistics April 2012. Heads of Treasuries, Report of the Review of National Agreements, National Partnerships and Implementation Plans under the Intergovernmental Agreement on Federal Financial Relations, December 2010, unpublished. Housing assistance in Australia 2011, Australian Institute of Health and Welfare, June 2011. Intergovernmental Agreement on Federal Financial Relations, Council of Australian Governments, http://www.coag.gov.au/intergov_agreements/federal_financial_relations/index.cfm Measuring Australia’s Progress, Australian Bureau of Statistics, 2010. National Affordable Housing Agreement: Performance report for 2009–10, COAG Reform Council. National Affordable Housing Agreement: Baseline performance report for 2008–09, COAG Reform Council. National Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Social Survey, Australian Bureau of Statistics, 2008. 70 7. Glossary of Terms ABS AIHW COAG CRA CRC DHS EDHI FaHCSIA GSS HoTs Review IGA NAHA NPAH NPARIH NPASH NATSIHS NATSISS NHSC NRDAP SAAP SHS SCRGSP SHSC SHI SIH SOMIH Australian Bureau of Statistics Australian Institute of Health and Welfare Council of Australian Governments Commonwealth Rent Assistance COAG Reform Council Department of Human Services Equivalised Disposable Household Income Families, Housing, Community Services and Indigenous Affairs General Social Survey Heads of Treasuries Review Intergovernmental Agreement on Federal Financial Relations National Affordable Housing Agreement National Partnership Agreement on Homelessness National Partnership on Remote Indigenous Housing National Partnership Agreement on Social Housing National Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Health Survey National Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Social Survey National Housing Supply Council National Report on Development Assistance Performance Supported Accommodation Assistance Program Specialist Homelessness Services Steering Committee for the Review of Government Service Provision Specialist Homelessness Services Collection Social Housing Initiative Survey on Income and Housing State-Owned and Managed Indigenous Housing 71