AP Statistics Syllabus ∑ textbook (with cover) - Stats: Modeling the world by Bock, Velleman, and De Veaux ∑ binder for relevant information ∑ TI – 83 /TI-84 calculator or a calculator that can perform statistical analysis Speaking of technology...your graphing calculator will be the primary technological source you will use to help you....we also will attempt to explore the computer software…however, on all of your assessments in the course and on the AP Statistics exam in May you will only be allowed to use your calculator. The course grade will be based on the following: Performance Assessments (Projects, Portfolio, and other interesting ideas) Summative Assessments (Statistics Concepts) Summative Cumulative 1st Semester Exam Project Practice: Practice problems will be given for, well, practice. The practice problems are another avenue to understand and become comfortable with statistics problems. Summative Assessments: An assessment will be given over concepts. The scores on any assessment may change throughout the year. The assessments contain multiple choice and free response questions similar to those on the AP exam. Performance Assessments: We will be performing projects to apply what we are learning and these will be included in your portfolio. In addition, we will perform projects to help understand the connections between the different statistical processes. The main purpose of these projects is to demonstrate or articulate discovery of statistical knowledge and present this knowledge in a way that demonstrates mastery. The projects will generally involve a written portion and a presentation. Summative Cumulative Exam: 1st semesters you will be taking a final exam that will be similar in design to the real AP Exam you will take in May – there will be a free response section and a multiple choice section. Project: The main purpose of cumulative semester project (2nd semester) is to demonstrate that ability to develop and conduct a statistical study, and then use the data collected to make sound connections and judgments between the design and the results of the experiment. There will be an expectation to analyze the collected data and make inferences. There will be an expectation to complete a written portion to explain your methods and justify decisions. You will present the project. The following will be an plan for the course. The expectation of reading the chapters outside class is crucial in order to devote time to exploring, investigating, and discussion with activities instead of straight lecture. How Long? Chapters? Concepts/Topics? 1 Week 1, 2 Just a little Introduction! What is Statistics and why do we care? What is data? 5-6 weeks 3-6 Time to Explore (and Understand) Data Describing and displaying categorical data Introductory discussion of independence Describing and displaying quantitative data Summary statistics for quantitative data Outliers The normal distribution The effect of linear transformations to data sets on summary statistics To include but not limited to: boxplots, dotplots, stem plots, histograms, frequency plots, and how to use these to compare different data sets. 6 weeks 7-10 May we Regress (in a linear fashion)??? Analyzing bivariate quantitative data Displaying and describing scatterplots Correlation and the coefficient determination Least-squares regression Slope and y-intercept Residuals and residual plots Outliers and influential points Transformations to achieve linearity of 4-5 weeks 11-13 5-6 Weeks 14-17 What is the best way to collect the data??? (sampling and experimentation) Designing surveys via various methods Bias in surveys Randomization and representative samples Experimental design: Control Random assignment of treatment Replication Placebo & blinding Blocking and matched pairs Confounding and lurking variables Statistically significant difference (introduction) Observational studies What are the Chances??? (Probability) Basic probability principles including complement, independence and mutually exclusive Simulating probability scenarios Addition, multiplication and conditional probability rules Random variables: Expected value and standard deviation Rules for transforming and combining random variables Binomial and geometric distributions 3-5 days 18 5-6 weeks 19-20 What If I take a bunch of samples??? (sampling distributions) Sampling distribution for Proportions Sampling distribution for Means CLT What is the TRUE Proportion??? (Inference for Proportions) Conceptual ideas behind confidence intervals Conceptual ideas behind hypothesis tests Confidence intervals for one and two proportions Hypothesis testing for one and two proportions Type I and II errors and power 3 weeks 23-25 What is the TRUE Mean??? (Inference for Means) Confidence intervals for one and two means (with t) Hypothesis testing for one and two means (with t) Confidence intervals and hypothesis testing for matched pairs means (with t) 2-3 weeks 26-27 What else do you want to know about the population??? (Inference for Counts and Slope) Chi-square goodness-of-fit Chi-square for homogeneity and for independence Confidence interval for slope Hypothesis testing for slope 2-3 weeks 2 weeks Project Time Multiple Choice Practice Tests Stats: Modeling the World (BVD) The Practice of Statistics (YMS) 5 Steps to a 5 Released Exam from College Board AP Statistics: (REA) Free Response Review Stats: Modeling the World (BVD) The Practice of Statistics (YMS) 5 Steps to a 5 Released Exams from College Board AP Statistics: (REA) Cumulative Project.