Moving from Logical to Network Frameworks: A modular matrix approach to representing and evaluating complex programs Rick Davies, Tuesday, 19 July 2005 Current status: DRAFT: NOT FOR GENERALCIRCULATION This work is licenced under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike License. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.0/uk/ or send a letter to Creative Commons, 559 Nathan Abbott Way, Stanford, California 94305, USA. 1. Network Perspectives: Moving From Theory To Practice Origins Ambitions Approach 2 2 2 3 2. Recognising the social network structure of the Logical Framework The Social Structure Of The Logical Framework The Network Structure Of The Logical Framework 3 3 4 3. Network perspectives on three different scales Defining network boundaries Implications for monitoring and evaluation tasks The limitations of a three networks perspective 5 6 7 9 4. Describing networks Matrices and network diagrams Different types of matrices Representing actor’s attributes as well as their relationships Representing the temporal dimension Matrices as building blocks 9 9 11 15 16 17 5. Developing a library of matrix modules Matrices within Internal Networks Matrices within Boundary Networks Matrices and the Outer Network 19 19 28 33 6. Comparisons with related developments Circles of stakeholders Metamatrix Concept Mapping The 2 x 2 Frameworks Inventory 38 38 38 40 41 7. Resume: Implications for Planning, Monitoring and Evaluation What about indicators? 42 43 8. Future Developments Developing rules about developing modules Developing participatory data collection and analysis methods Introducing modular matrices for the first time References 45 45 46 46 48 1 1. Network Perspectives: Moving From Theory To Practice Origins In two papers produced in 2002 and 2003 I have outlined some of the major problems involved in trying to represent, and thus plan and evaluate, complex development interventions. The first paper, called “Scale, Complexity and the Representation of Theories of Change (Davies, 2004, 2005), was presented in the 2002 European Evaluation Society conference in Seville. The second paper, called “Network Perspectives In The Evaluation Of Development Interventions: More Than A Metaphor”, was presented at the 2003 EDIAIS Conference: New Directions In Impact Assessment For Development: Methods And Practice (Davies 2003). Both papers have argued for a move away from linear representations of development interventions, to more network based perspectives. Both papers examine problems with existing methods and the opportunities and implications of a different approach. Ambitions This paper attempts to move forward with the development of some practical means of operationalising a network perspective. It is based on two sources of experience. One is the body of methods for representing and analysing networks, developed in the field of Social Network Analysis (Scott, 2000; Freeman, 2004). The other is my own consulting experience with international aid organisations over the last few years; especially since the Seville paper was presented. In this paper I have drawn on applications developed in the course of program monitoring and evaluation work carried out in Ghana, Vietnam, Australia and the United Kingdom. The proposals made in this paper take the Logical Framework1 as their starting point. This is because within the field of development aid the Logical Framework is a common and familiar reference point for how project designs can be represented, and as such can provide readers with a recognisable starting point2. However, please note that the use of the network frameworks described here do not require the use of the Logical Framework. Another early warning may be appropriate. This paper presents a number of related frameworks, which can be used to represent different kinds of network perspectives. What is not being provided is one new Network Framework, taking the place of the one old Logical Framework. As will be shown, the use of a range of frameworks can provide flexibility in the focus of attention, from the very micro to the very macro, in different settings. At the same time, overlap in the contents of these frameworks enables them to be linked together into one larger network of frameworks. In effect, what has been developed is a modular approach to the representation of theories of 1 The Logical Framework is a four by four planning matrix, forming sixteen cells, each containing text information. The four columns are the Narrative – a description of expected changes, Objectively Verifiable Indicators – of those changes, Means of Verification – of those indicators, and Assumptions about external influences on the expected changes, both positive and negative. The four rows are the Activities, which lead via Assumptions on that row, to the Output, which lead via Assumptions on that row, to the Purpose, which leads via Assumptions on that row to the Goal. See http://www.mande.co.uk/logframe.htm for further information 2 Within the field of evaluation, extending beyond development aid, the Logical Framework can be seen as a type of program Logic model. The use of Logic Models in evaluation has been reviewed by Kellogg (2004). 2 change, which provides both scalability and sensitivity to specific circumstances. How to reconcile these two challenges was the focal concern of the Seville paper. Approach This paper has eight sections. In section two the implicit social and network structure of the Logical Framework is drawn out, as a means of locating the approach in familiar territory, and thus providing a bridge to a network perspective. In section three this analysis generates three generic types of network perspectives that have different implications for evaluation activities. This section in turn provides an introduction into a more complex set of representations. Section four details the variety of ways in which networks can be represented by the use of different types of matrices, and how they can then be used as modules, to build larger-scale representations. Section five introduces the idea of a public library of modular matrices, and provides a range of examples representing different types of networks: within organisations, in their relationships with others, and beyond. Section six compares the modular matrix approach with four other developments that have some similarities in terms of the type of analysis made, and tools used. Section seven provides a resume, summarising the types of evaluation issues associated with the different uses of modular matrices. Section eight looks into the future, at the further development of this approach, and how it can be promoted. 2. Recognising the social network structure of the Logical Framework The Social Structure Of The Logical Framework As I have argued in the 2003 paper, it is useful to think of events described in the Logical Framework in an actor-centred way, not simply as events involving disembodied and abstract processes of change. When this is done most “theories of change” documented within a Logical Framework becomes clearer, along with their plausibility (or lack thereof). At a more theoretical level, the use of actor-oriented descriptions helps avoid what have been described as “under-socialised interpretations of causality” (Uusikyla & Valorvirta, 2004). At least five types of actors Within many uses of the Logical Framework there are at least five different types of actors involved, each represented at different locations within the Logical Framework3. I have given each of these a label, for the purpose of discussion in this paper. They are not part of the normal use of the Logical Framework. 3 This is a minimalist classification, more types could be developed. 3 1. The Intervening Organisation, responsible for implementing the project described by the Logical Framework. The default assumption here is that this is a single organisation. However, in some projects it may be a partnership of organisations, or a looser network of organisations. The Intervening Organisation is normally referred to in both the Activities and Outputs levels of the Logical Framework. 2. The Intervening Organisation’s Immediate Partners. These are the people or organisations that make use of the Outputs of the Intervening Organisation. These are the same group that IDRC’s Outcome Mapping method calls the Boundary Partners (Earl, et al, 2002). The changes that are expected to take place within the Immediate Partners are normally described at the Purpose level of the Logical Framework. 3. The Final Clients, or ultimate intended beneficiaries, of the Intervening Organisation’s activities. They can be linked directly or indirectly to the Immediate Partners, but in most large projects they are more likely to be linked indirectly, through Intermediaries (other organisations and / or people). The Final Clients are normally referred to at the Goal level of the Logical Framework. 4. Intermediaries, as already introduced. The Intermediaries are not given a separate row of their own in the Logical Framework. They are however likely to be referred to in the Assumptions column that links the Purpose to the Goal. 5. Other Actors who may interact with and influence the Intervening Organisation, Immediate Partners, and Final Clients. Like the Intermediaries, these are referred to in the Assumptions column at the Output and Purpose level of the Logical Framework. Usually as abstract processes and influences, but their identities can often be established. The Network Structure Of The Logical Framework It is important to recognise that the connections between each of the adjacent levels of the Logical Framework (and the associated types of actors) can be quite complex. In practice, often there is no simple linear relationship between events at one level and the next. Typically many of the various linkages overlap, creating networks of relationships. I will explain this in more detail. Firstly, within the Intervening Organisation one Output may require a number of different Activities. For example, a workshop may require hiring of a trainer, production of handouts, etc. And one Activity may contribute to a number of Outputs. For example, the same handouts may also be used within a Documentation Centre and in a report to donors. In turn, one Output produced by the Intervening Organisation may be used by a number of different types of Immediate Partners. For example, a range of Immediate Partners may attend a workshop organised by the Intervening Organisation. And one type of Immediate Partner may make use of more than one project Output. For example, the publications and videos that have also been produced. In turn, the connection between those Intermediate Partners and the project’s Final Clients may be direct or via one or more Intermediaries. The Intervening Organisation’s connections may converge on the same clients through a range of routes. For example, through different kinds of health services, in both the private 4 and public sector. Or they may be mediated through multiple service providers of the same kind. For example, the Final Clients may belong to one or more micro-finance schemes operated by different intermediaries. The range of potential and complex pathways of influence between Immediate Partners and Final Clients is not easy captured within the normal use of the Logical Framework structure. One reason being, as noted above, is that there are no additional rows in the Logical Framework to represent the roles of intermediaries. Figure 1: A (sparse) network of interconnections as incidentally recognised in the CIDA (2000) manual on Results Based Management. Networks of indicators as well as actors The focus so far has been on the actors as documented in the narrative column of the Logical Framework. Associated with the narrative statement at each level there are typically multiple indicators (in the Means of Verification column). The linkage between indicators at each level of a Logical Framework is rarely given as much attention as the linkages between narratives at each level (aka “vertical logic”). Nevertheless it would be logical to also expect some form of causal linkage between indicators at each adjacent level. Because there are typically multiple indicators at each level it is highly likely that these will be connected in some form of network, rather than as series of parallel one-to-one linkages. The number of new MCH clinics opened and operating (an Output indicator) may link into indicators relating to maternal health, child nutrition, child mortality, etc. Likewise, a child nutrition status indicator may well link back to a number of health service outputs, such as health education, immunisation, diarrhoea control, etc. 3. Network perspectives on three different scales Recognising the social (and) network structure of the Logical Framework provides us with an alternative. In place of one Logical Framework, we can have at least three related network perspectives on what is happening. Each of these focuses on a different set of relationships, taking place at a different scale. The different scales are as follows: 1. Within the intervening organisation. The network perspective here can focus on relationships between members within the organisation. It can also focus on the relationships between on budget inputs, activities, outputs and objectives within that organisation, as identified by these actors. This can be called the Internal Network. 5 2. Between the intervening organisation and its immediate partners that it interacts with. The network perspective here can focus on the nature of the relationships between an organisation and the external actors it is interacting with. It can also include the relationships that exist between those immediate partners. This can be called the Boundary Network (acknowledging IDRC’s thinking in this area). 3. Beyond the intervening organisation and its immediate partners. Including any intermediaries, final clients and other actors the intervening organisation is not in contact with. This can be called the Outer Network4 In Social Network Analysis terms boundary partners are within one “degree” of the intervening organisation and those in the outer network are two or more degrees from the intervening organisation. A degree is a measure of social distance, a single degree being a direct link between one person and another. These different network perspectives and the five kinds of actors involved are shown in simple network diagram form, in Figure 2 below. In Social Network Analysis these perspective are often described as Ego Networks, because they are see from one perspective and normally represent a partial picture of a larger and more complex network of actors. Figure 2: Three network perspectives 1 2-5 6-8 9-12 13-16 Intervening Organisation Immediate Partners 14 Intermediaries 13 9 Final Clients Other Actors 6 2 10 3 1 7 4 11 5 8 15 12 16 Defining network boundaries In reality many networks of relationships between actors involved in development projects will be more complex than shown in this Ego Network - with more actors, more categories of actors and more complex connections between them all. It is also possible that the status of different actors will change over time. For example, actors may change from being Intermediaries to being Immediate Partners, or the other way around. 4 This choice of label has its origin in the DFID funded CATIA project, where we referred to those beyond the Boundary stakeholders as Outer Stakeholders. 6 This possibility raises the related questions of: (a) how can the differences between these three type of networks to be defined, and (b) how important is that the differences be defined. Two criteria have been provisionally proposed, because they have consequences for planning and evaluation: o Actors involved in the internal network will have contractual relationships which formalise their objectives and the terms of conditions under which they work together. These may be in the form of employment contracts, consultancy contracts or funding agreements. o Actors involved in the outer network may be known to those in the internal network, but they will not be in direct contact. They will be known about through others who are within the boundary network. o Actors involved in the boundary network will be in direct contact with those in the internal network, but not in a contractual relationship. They will also be in contact with those in the outer network, via various forms of relationships. Implications for monitoring and evaluation tasks If these differences between the three types of networks are significant then they will have some consequences, such as the type of monitoring and evaluation activities that need to be undertaken within each network. Three different tasks can be identified as especially relevant to each of the different networks o Discovery, within the Outer Network o Alignment, within the Boundary Network o Implementation, within the Internal Network Within the Outer Network the challenge for the Intervening Organisation is one of discovery: to find out who is involved, who has a relationship with whom, and the nature of their relationships. And how they all link up with any actors who might be the Final Clients of concern. Discovery tasks including identification of power relationships as well as the extent of any shared interested and objectives. Here the basic evaluation questions focus on the accuracy and adequacy of that understanding. These can be explored though (a) comparisons of the views of different actors (within the internal and boundary networks), and (b) comparisons with information obtained from direct contact with some of the actors in the Outer Network, made in the context of subsequent evaluation events, for example. This sort of discovery can also be undertaken at a larger scale. A common interest in social network analysis is the analysis of clusters. These are larger groups of actors, which are highly interconnected, but sparsely connected to other groups of actors5. Within the Boundary Network the actors involved are known and direct contact has been made with them (by definition). Here the challenge is one of alignment: to identify where objectives are conflicting, irrelevant or complementary. And then how to improve alignment, where needed and possible. Alignment may be at different levels, ranging from broad agreement about overall objectives, to detailed agreement, about specific objectives, activities needed to achieve them, the success of those activities to date, and what corrections are now needed. Authority 5 A clique in network analysis is a group of actors all of whom are connected to each other, but less densely connected to others. A cluster is a group of actors who are more connected to each other, than others, but not necessarily fully connected with each other as in a clique 7 relationships within the boundary network are likely to be complex and not always explicit, in comparison to the situation within internal networks governed by contractual relationships. Within the Inner Network all the actors are known, there is direct contact, and some stability of relationships. The latter is likely to be reflected in contracts, either individual employment contracts, or partnerships contracts between organisations, which may be supported by funding transfers. In this context objectives and priorities can more often be taken as givens because there is some form of authority structure or agreed decision making process. In this context the challenge is one of implementation: how to articulate plans into operational details, and successfully implement them. Here the basic evaluation question is then how do achievements relate to objectives. It could be argued that as the scale of the social systems which are of concern to program planners increases, the proportions of actors in these three types of networks tends to change, with increasing proportions being in the Outer and Boundary networks. Thus the focus of evaluation concerns probably needs to move more towards discovery and alignment, relative to implementation. Generic implications There are also some more generic implications of this actor-centred approach that apply across the three network perspectives. The published version of the Seville paper (Davies, 2005) concluded with the following points about the practical implications of a network perspective. "First, different types of planning choices are highlighted. These are not just about what we do, but who do we work with. In development aid projects one of the most crucial decisions made, usually at the project planning and appraisal stage, is who will implement the project in cooperation with whom…" "Second, objectives cannot be taken as predefined givens. In a network where power is not manifestly centralized it is more appropriate to see agreement over objectives as an achievement, and something to be tracked over time and evaluated. Even in explicit hierarchies there is often a substantial amount of persuasion and negotiation over objectives and priorities…" "Third, information about distant changes cannot be made available by command. When it does become available this is because there is some degree of fit between the objectives of adjacent actors. This sounds like the real world: where aid agencies are dependent on their field officers who are dependent on their local partners who are dependent on their field offices who are dependent on local community leaders . . . for their information about impacts on the ground. If information is not available, then attention needs to be paid to where there are differences of view, and their effects. This is a more symptomatic view of information. It contrasts with the engineering approach prevalent in much of the M&E literature and certainly emphasized by the Logical Framework, where the Means of Verification column typically refers to the material source of data, but not to who will provide it." "Fourth, because all information is embodied, information is needed not just about distant changes, but also about who holds and provides that information. A networked view implies more attention to meta-monitoring: asking what people know (and don’t know) and what that means. A greater emphasis on meta-monitoring should itself help aid agencies cope with the problems of scale, the initial problem posed by the first paper. For example, both the ILO and DFID (among others) have global targets relating to the number of people who will benefit from their interventions. Both organizations work directly with national governments, and these bodies can be expected to know what is happening to the policies and practices of 8 those governments. But neither organization works directly with poor people. Their knowledge of poor people’s lives is much more highly mediated. In both cases it would be more appropriate for the two agencies to be measuring the numbers of governments who are able to report specific types of changes in the number of people in poverty, or children in child labour: for example, achievements above or below their national targets, and the scale of those targets compared to a global ideal target. Apart from being easier to obtain, it is those governments’ knowledge (or the lack of knowledge) of desired changes that is as significant as the simple facts of these changes. It is this knowledge that is very likely to affect the sustainability and replicability of change." The limitations of a three networks perspective The distinctions made between the three network perspectives are not categorical differences, rather they involve matters of degree. People who attend a workshop organised by a project would normally be considered as members of the boundary network. But if they have to pay an attendance fee to attend the workshop they have become involved in a contract, transient as it is. So, at that period of time they are within the internal network. People who one has met only once are notionally within one’s boundary network, transient as that contact may have been. But thereafter, most of one’s knowledge about them is likely to come from other members in one’s boundary network. In that period they are effectively within the outer network. These examples suggest that in place of a clear categorical difference we can see a continuum of permanency to transience in an actor’s status as a member of any one of the three types of networks. There is also a second and less tangible dimension involved. This involves the degree of depth or detail in the relationships. Contracts may be exhaustive or superficial in their contents, so can the once-off contacts with individuals who would otherwise be seen as part of the outer network. The same type of caveat applies to the implications for monitoring and evaluation. The differences in the M&E tasks that need to be addressed in each of the three networks are not categorical. Even within the Internal network one needs to identify who is working with whom, and whose interests are aligned with whom, and not. But in most cases these issues can be expected to have already been addressed, and normally it can be expected that the focus should be on implementation. In the sections that follow some methods will be outlined whereby a larger set of network perspectives can be documented, providing more locally relevant detail, but still enabling the construction of a comprehensive overview. 4. Describing networks Matrices and network diagrams Network diagrams, such as the one used above, are a good means of giving a quick overview of the structure of a network of actors. Different sizes, shapes and colours can be used to represent different characteristics of the actors, and their connections with each other. However such diagrams don’t provide much room for text or numerical description of the actors and their inter-relationships. In the field of social network analysis both network diagrams and matrices are used as complementary means of representing the structure of social networks (Scott, 9 2001). Diagrams can visually summarise matrices and matrices can detail network diagrams. Excel's Draw function can be used to construct small and simple networks. Free software such as Ucinet enables the construction of larger and more complex networks, from data represented in matrix form, and other easy-to-enter formats (Borgatti, et al, 2002). Alternately, Visone enables the conversion of hand-drawn network diagrams into matrix form (Visone, 2004). More recently, new software such as Visualyzer (2005) has become available which is both user friendly and comprehensive in its capacities, but it is not free of charge. The network diagram shown in Figure 1 above is represented in matrix form below, following the conventions used in social network analysis. That is: the contents of a cell refer to something that comes from the row actor and goes to the column actor. Cells with the value of 1 indicate that a linkage exists from the actor in that cell’s row to the actor in that cell’s column. In this example matrix I have provided some additional colour coding: (a) of the types of actors (in the row and column headings), according to the main categories as shown in the network diagram, and (b) of the three types of networks these actors are involved in (within the cells of the matrix). In many circumstances relationships will be bi-directional, not one way. So, the link from the Intervening Organisation in row 1.6 to the Immediate Partner shown in column 3 will also be reciprocated by link between the Immediate Partner shown in row 3 and the Intervening Organisation in column 1.6. Even when the two directional nature of relationships are acknowledged, this matrix will still be an oversimplification. It will simply say that particular relationships exist, it says nothing about its details, its frequency, quality, or significance. Figure 3: The three network perspectives represented in one matrix Link to 1.1. Link from 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.1. 1.2 1.3 1 1 1 1.2 1 1 1 1.3 1 1 1 1.4 1.5 2 1 INNER NETWORK 1.6 3 4 1 1 1 1 1 5 6 7 8 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 1 1 2 1 3 4 9 1 BOUNDARY NETWORK 1 1 5 1 6 1 1 7 1 1 8 1 1 9 10 OUTER NETWORK 11 1 12 13 1 14 15 16 1 1 1 1 1 10 More useful detail can be included in matrices by using numbers in cells to: Code different categories of relationships: e.g. funding relationships, advisory relationships, or both Represent numbers: e.g. the age of relationships or the frequencies of interactions in a given period Represent percentages: e.g. of time or financial resources allocated to each relationship, by each actor shown in each row. Represent differences in the rank order: e.g. of the importance of the relationship, with each actor as shown in each row, or the ability of one actor to influence another. An example matrix is shown in Figure 4 below. This is taken from a study of the workings of the Port of Chittagong in Bangladesh, by Ahmed, Hassan, and Ladbury (2004). In this example, cell contents are coded to describe the existence, quality and potential of relationships between the actors. Still this may not do justice to the complexity of the relationships involved. Another solution, that is only feasible with matrices that do not involve large numbers of actors, is to insert text into each cell describing the nature of the relationship. This device was used by Temul (2001) in his network analysis of agricultural innovation systems in Azerbaijan. Matrices versus tables: As shown above, a matrix has two axes, or dimensions. The cells in the matrix describe the relationships between the two dimensions. Where the cell contents simply provide different forms of information about items listed in the rows these are better described as tables, rather than matrices. Social network analysis matrices are also different from matrices as often used by management consultants (e.g. Lowy and Hood, 2004), to describe different possible combinations of strategies. These are usually much smaller in size (e.g. 2 x 2) and might be better described as a type of truth table. Different types of matrices Within the Social Network Analysis literature a basic distinction is made between two types of matrices (Scott, 2002): o Adjacency matrices, which show actors x actors. This is the most common form of matrix used, and examples have been given above in Figures 4 and 5. These are always symmetric, because the same actors are shown across the top row and down the left column (as in the examples above) o Affiliation matrices6, which show actors x specific events. For example, development agencies may be linked by their participation in the same donor coordination meetings. These are often asymmetric because the number of events may be more or less than the number of actors involved. In this paper I will make use of a further distinction between different types of adjacency matrices that can provide different scale magnifications of what is going on within each of the three main network perspectives I have already mentioned above. They are: 6 Also called Incident matrices 11 12 Figure 4: Matrix representation of relationships between actors in the port of Chittagong xx xxx xx xxx xxx x xxx xxx xx xxx xx x x xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xx xxx xxx xxx xxx xx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xx xxx xxx x xxx xxx xxx xx x xxx xxx xxx x x N xx xxx xxx xxx xxx x xxx x xxx xx xxx xxx xxx xxx x xxx x xx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx O Contractor/Middlemen M Jetty/Custom Sarker xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xx xxx x xxx N Private Container Depots xxx xx M Truck Owners Assoc xxx xxx x xxx xx xxx L Truck Drivers Assoc. xxx xxx K Merchant Labours xxx x J Trade Unions I xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx H BGMEA G Political Parties F CBA Customs DWMB x xxx xxx E Shipping Agent/Lines xxx xx xx xx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx D C&F Agents Chittagong Port Authority (CPA) Stevedors DWMB Customs CBA Importer/Exporter C&F Agents Shipping Agent/Lines Political Parties BGMEA Trade Unions Merchant Labours Truck Drivers Assoc. Truck Owners Assoc Private Container Depots Jetty/Custom Sarker Contractor/Middlemen C Importer/Exporter 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 B Stevedors Chittagong Port Authority (CPA) A xxx xxx x xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx x xxx xxx xxx No stars - No institutioal relationship x - Know of each other xx - Interact xxx - Regular and effective interaction. Light grey squares show opposition between stakeholders Deep grey squares show support which could be strengthened to enhance Chittagong Port 13 o All-to-All matrices. These might show all the organisational actors in the Inner Network and their relationship with each other. Or they might show all the actors in the Boundary Network, and their relationships with each other, including those they are in contact within the Intervening Organisation. o One-to-All matrices: These can show the details of the relationship between one actor and other actors, with rows representing the different dimensions of the relationship the one actor has with the other actors. For example, as shown in Figure 2 above, within the Boundary Network a number of organisations may use the various outputs provided by one organisation. At a smaller scale, within the Inner Network, one-to-all matrices can show details of the relationship between one staff members, and all others. Or, within the Outer Network, a one-to-one matrix might show how different actors are expected to relate to the Final Client(s), with rows showing different types of relationship with the Final Client(s). One-to-all matrices are useful for detailing what the social network analysis literature calls the multiplex nature of human relationship. People are able to engage in many kinds of relationships with others. o One to One matrices: These can show the details of the different kinds of relationship between two organisations. Such as the relationships between their objectives or outputs (e.g. catalytic, consistent, conflicting or non-existent). Where these matrices list the staff of both organisations they are effectively a small scale and local version of an All-to-All matrix. This sort of matrix may be useful in the case of two large organisations having a range of contacts with each other. For example, a large British NGO and its Programme Partnership Agreement based relationship with the Department for International Development, both within the UK and within the developing countries where they both work. One-to-all matrices are of special interest because they enable a bridge to be constructed between analyses at different levels of scale. The side of the matrix dealing with the one actor is more micro in focus, whereas the side of the matrix dealing with multiple actors interacting with that one actor is more macro in scale. Affiliation matrices As noted above, an affiliation matrix can show how actors are connected to each other through common events. For example, via participation in the same types of planning groups or committees. Because these matrices have two different dimensions: actors and events, it is possible to convert them in to two types of adjacency matrices. One showing how each actor is connected to each actor (by participating in the same event). The other showing how each event is connected to each event (by overlapping members)7. With small sets of data this conversion can be done manually, and with larger sets of data the conversion can be done using Ucinet. 7 These two types of connections have been referred to as co-membership and event overlap See http://ed.stanford.edu/~mcfarland/Lectures/Networks_affiliation.ppt 14 We can take idea of an affiliation matrix a step further by acknowledging that actors can be connected to each other by human objects as well as human events8. For example, plans and policy documents that both actors have helped develop, or which they are now supporting, or using. Following the explanation in the paragraph above, we can create separate matrices showing how these actors are linked to each other (via supporting common policy documents) and how policy documents are linked to each other (by having common supporting actors). A third matrix can also be constructed, which in my experience can sometimes be the most useful. This is a matrix where actors and objects are both listed as “actors” in an adjacency matrix and the resulting network diagrams show how actors are connected via objects, and vice versa. These are sometimes referred to as heterogeneous networks9. Examples will be given below. We can take a network perspective on human objects even further. Policy documents can, and often do, have overlapping contents. An example is the overlap between policy documents in their use of indicators. The 2003-2005 Ghana Poverty Reduction Strategy M&E Plan includes a three-page table showing the relationship between four policy documents x 52 indicators. This is a type of affiliation matrix, with policy documents as the notional "actors". This example is discussed further in section 6 below. There are grounds for arguing that affiliation matrices are more interesting and more useful than adjacency matrices. People often link to each other through events and around objects. Development projects are full of events and objects that various stakeholders think are important. These include policies and projects, objectives, indicators, budgets, vehicles and buildings, locations, sectors, technologies, etc. While this wider view of networks widens up the range of applications of a network perspective, there needs to be an associated caveat. Especially, if their use is in the context of planning, monitoring and evaluation of development programs. In the case of actor networks we can verify their structure relatively easily, through our interaction with the actors concerned. If we widen the conception of networks to include events and objects, including documents and their contents, then it is important that we can verify the structure of these types of networks. Information needs to be available, either from those objects (if they are documents) and/or from people who know about them (if they are events or documents). Representing actor’s attributes as well as their relationships Social network analysis has been differentiated from other social science approaches by its emphasis on relationships between actors, as distinct from an emphasis on the attributes of individual and groups of actors. Like many distinctions, this can be overemphasised. Social network analysis software (e.g. Ucinet, Visualyzer) now enables representation of actor’s individual attributes as well their relationships with others. For example, the age and gender of individuals, or the size or age of organisations. As well as enabling sorting of actors based on these characteristics, network diagrams can be built which include visual coding of these actor attributes (e.g. by colour coding the nodes, and by varying the size and shape of the nodes). 8 There is a school of thinking about networks, known as actor-network-theory (ANT) that explicitly includes objects as participants in networks. Although this sounds practical the way this useful notion has then been taken forward in ANT tends to be the reverse - obscurely academic. 9 Though this terms is also often used to refer to networks with a diverse range of human actors 15 Even with manually constructed matrices we can build in the representation of actors’ attributes, in a way that adds value. We can do this by adding an extra column to the right, and an extra row to the base of the matrix, both of which provide summary values concerning the actors’ relationships with others (as shown in the cells of the matrix). The extra column summarises each set of row values in the matrix, and the extra row summarises each set of column values in the next. These additions can be very useful when, for example, cell entries describe actors’ prioritisations of their relationships with other actors, or their prioritisation of various policy objectives. Extra columns can capture the average priority given to a particular policy, and the range of those judgements. In matrices describing relationships between (Logical Framework) Activities and Outputs described within a project document, the extra row and column can contain budgeted expenditure totals, for both the Activities and Outputs. Some examples of matrices using row and column totals will be shown below. The use of row and column totals as sources of attributes of actors has some relationship with the more mathematical dimensions of social network analysis. A large range of mathematical measures have been developed to describe the ways in which actors are located in networks, and the characteristics of whole networks. These are all derived from the raw matrix data, as are the simple row and column totals described above. Representing the temporal dimension The explicit structure of the Logical Framework gives priority to representing changes over time: Activities lead to Outputs, which lead to Purpose level changes, which lead to Goal level changes. The social structure of the Logical Framework is there in more implicit form, but it has to be drawn out, as shown above. A network perspective gives priority to social structures first of all. However, planned or expected changes in those structures can be represented, within network diagrams and matrices. There are a number of different ways of doing this, which vary in the extent to which they emphasise the temporal dimension. Firstly, within network diagrams the age of existing links, and the presence of expected new links, can be colour coded. Within network matrices, the same information can be represented in the relevant cells either numerically, or in text, or by cell shading. The latter approach was used in the matrix shown in Figure 4 above, where cells were shaded to indicate possible future changes. Secondly, the temporal dimension can be given higher visibility by using it as a basis for the listing of actors, events or objects in matrix. For example, the outputs in an outputs x immediate partners matrix can be listed in their expected chronological order of delivery. This has been done in one part of a DFID-funded development project, where I have had an external monitoring role. Thirdly, the past, current and future status of actors (or objects or events) can be represented on the two separate dimensions of matrices. Existing programs can be shown as row entities, and the cell entries can describe their expected relationships with future objectives, shown as column entities. This option provides an important bridging function between representations of the past and the future; in the same way that one-to-many matrices enables bridging between different scales of representation. 16 Time can be given higher priority still, by using it as the second dimension in matrices. In an actors x time matrix, cells can describe specific events. One event can notionally linked to or from another by its position in a time sequence (before or after). Whether it is or not in practice can then be the subject of planning and monitoring efforts. A slightly hybrid form of representation, mixing the matrix and network diagram forms, can then be developed by using the Draw function in Excel to represent the links that are expected between specific events. Looking further afield, it is worth noting that there has been work done in the field of social network analysis on animated representations of social networks, showing how they change structure over time. This form of technology seems way ahead of the current technological capacities of many aid agencies, let alone their partners. However, simpler technologies, such as the use of consecutive slides in PowerPoint format, may be more practical. Visualyzer also provides this elementary capacity. Reflecting back on the distinctions made between three types of network perspective, it seems likely that the amount of detail that needs to be given to the temporal dimension is likely to vary according to the scale of the current network perspective that is in use. Within Inner Networks, where implementation is the focus, differences between the timing of actor’s activities and outputs are likely to be important. Within Boundary Networks the coordination of larger scale programs of activities may be of more concern, either to ensure best fit, or minimum conflict. Within Outer Networks the most important timing issues may be more to do with the establishment and ending of relationships between the actors. As already noted above, these are likely to be matters of degree, not categorical differences. Matrices as building blocks Building with matrices It is possible to use affiliation and adjacency matrices at all scales of analysis, within the Internal, Boundary and Outer Network perspectives. These matrices can be seen as building blocks, which when combined with each other, can help create a larger construction of what is going on. Two matrices can be considered to be connected to each other if each matrix has one dimension in common: one common set of entities represented in either their rows or columns. For example, within the context of a social-ised Logical Framework, the following matrices could be used: An Activities x Outputs matrix An Outputs x Immediate Partners matrix An Immediate Partners x Other Actors matrix 17 Other supporting matrices could also be used to develop a bigger picture. For example, a Budget lines x Outputs matrix and an Outputs x Time matrix (a revised form of Gantt chart). The modular use of matrices implies a two level planning process. The first level is more macro, and involves the choice of what types of matrices to develop. As indicated above, different types of matrices can be defined by the axes they use. An associated planning task is deciding how these matrices should be linked, by what common axes. The second level of planning is more micro-in focus. Here the focus is on the content of individual matrices: the contents and ordering of each axis, and the contents of the cells within the matrix. When both levels of planning are completed there should be a visible trail of intentions, both at a macro level (between matrices) and at a micro level (within each of these matrices). Building individual matrices In most social network analysis research individual matrices are themselves built up from smaller units. These units are the rows of data, describing how a row actor is linked to each column actor (or column event). This row data is often collected from interviews with survey respondents. For example, they may be presented with a roster of other actors or events and then asked about the nature of their relationship with each actor or event. The responses of all the respondents are then aggregated into a single actor x actor matrix. Within organisations that I have worked with I have promoted the use of a variant on this approach, to enable the construction of what would otherwise be seen as large and complex matrices. Where documents or events are used as entities in a matrix people can often be found within organisations who have a responsibility for these documents or events. They can be interviewed about how these documents or events do or should connect to others. Similarly, its is often possible to identify people who are most expected to know about the relationships between particular actors the intervening organisation may working with. In these situations their views are effectively hypotheses, rather than facts, and they may need testing at some stage. There appears to be some overlap here with a field of social network analysis concerned with cognitive social networks, which may be worth exploring. The fact that matrices can be built up from row data has a wider implication. It means that a modular matrix approach is compatible with participatory approaches to planning, monitoring and evaluation. Individual's plans, and reports on their progress and achievement can all be documented, and then aggregated to create larger pictures. Furthermore the aggregation process is one that respects individual's views, retaining their separate identity, while at the same time producing an overall picture. There is no inbuilt bias towards the construction of a consensus view. This potential stands in contrast to the Logical Framework, where it is by no means obvious as to how its contents could be constructed by a participatory process, or who should be involved. 18 Aphorisms about Networks (Monge and Fulk, 2003) Social Networks: Its not what you know, its who you know Cognitive Social Networks: Its not who you know, its who you think they know. Knowledge Networks: Its not who you know, its what they know. Cognitive Knowledge Networks: Its not who you know, its what you think they know. 5. Developing a library of matrix modules The purpose of this section is to provide a range of examples of the use of different kinds of matrices, and associated network diagrams. They have been presented in three groupings, relating to the three types of network perspective introduced earlier in this paper. Those described below are probably a small part of a potentially much larger public library of matrices that could be useful for planning, monitoring and evaluation of development aid programmes. Readers of this paper are encouraged to develop others, and share information about their use and usefulness. What I am in effect proposing is a kind of “Open Source10” approach to development of the modular matrix approach, in contrast to one that emphasises proprietary ownership of methods. With this in mind I have set up an emailing list (and associated file repository), for sharing experiences and filing documented examples of the use of a modular matrix approach. See http://groups.yahoo.com/group/ModularMatrixApproach/ Matrices within Internal Networks Actors x Actors The network diagram in Figure 5 below is based on an Actors x Actors matrix, which itself was generated from an Actors X Events matrix. The actors are staff in a DFID country program office. The "events" are working groups of staff who were assigned to manage various individual projects. Staff were seen as being connected to each other through their shared responsibilities for those projects. This description is a normative description, of what should be happening, i.e. a plan. It would be useful to follow up this plan, and to identify what was actually happening in practice. This could be done by constructing a matrix of the actual contacts staff had with each other in respect to the projects they were managing. This could be done by interviewing individuals and presenting them with a list of projects. They A Google sourced definition of open source: “In general, open source refers to any program whose source code is made available for use or modification as users or other developers see fit. (Historically, the makers of proprietary software have generally not made source code available.) Open source software is usually developed as a public collaboration and made freely available.” 10 19 could be asked who they contacted the most to discuss each project. Or that relationship could be analysed in more multiplex terms. By asking who do they contact for x type of information about each project, and about y type of information about each project, etc. Figure 5 A substantial amount of research has been done on the relationship between informal communications networks and formal organisation structures and some of this is now available in a form that is accessible to non-specialists. Cross and Parker's (2004) "The Hidden Power Of Social Networks: Understanding How Work Really Gets Done In Organizations" provides many examples of network analyses in forms that would be equally applicable in many development aid organisations. Actors x Objectives In the same country program the country strategy document listed a set of five main objectives that were closely related to that country’s national Poverty Reduction Strategy. These objectives were in turn broken down into a number of sub-objectives. Each of the development projects within the country program were then assigned to one of the sub-objectives. The sub-objectives were not only linked up to the objectives, they were also linked to each other, because of over-laps in the staff who were responsible for projects addressing each sub-objective. However these linkages were more historical, reflecting past decisions made about project responsibilities, as new staff came, and prior staff left. This raised the possibility that the connections created between subobjectives in the country strategy, through overlapping staff responsibilities for different projects, may not match how those groups should be related, in terms of their common strategic objectives. The staffing structure and structure of strategic objectives could easily become out of alignment 20 The network diagram in Figure 6 below was constructed out of an actors x subobjectives matrix. In this diagram the thickness of the links represents the scale of the overlap in staff of both groups. The network nodes (sub-objectives) have been colour coded to represent two of the main objectives: Good Governance and MacroEconomic Growth11. It is clear that in the case of the Trade sub-objective it was more closely aligned with Governance main objective, than the Macro-Economy main objective that it was supposed to belong to. Figure 6 Objectives x Programs In 2005 the Government of Vietnam was in the process of developing its next 5-year plan, for the 2006-2010 period. I was involved in helping ensure that the draft plan (and associated Ministry specific sector plans) addressed monitoring and evaluation issues, from the beginning. My focus was on the internal structure of the draft plans, and then hopefully, then on the structure of linkages between these and other subsequent documents (budgets, annual revisions of plans etc). In both cases I emphasised the need to establish "a visible trail of intentions", within and between the documents. In workshops with individual Ministries I involved staff in the construction of two matrices, one of which was an Objectives x Programs matrix. This matrix listed the high level objectives for the Ministry, as they had been defined in the current fiveyear plan, down the left side12. Across the top row it listed the Programs as owned and managed by different sections of the Ministry during this period. A program was 11 Data was not currently available on project and staff assigned to the sub-objectives for the other three main objectives in the country strategy 12 This was a mistake. The social network analysis convention is that cell entries should signal links from row entities to column entities 21 defined as a bundle of resources with someone in charge, within the Ministry. I then asked the workshop participants to consider one program at a time, and examine to what extent, if at all, it was likely to have an impact on the achievement of each of the listed objectives. Participants responded by choosing a rating from 0-3, indicating none (0), versus some (1), a fair amount (2) and a lot (3) of likely impact. One Ministriy's "first draft" matrix is shown in Figure 7 below. Figure 7 Main Programs of the Ministry - at present Main Objectives: New 5year plan 1. Increasing rate of skilled labourers 2. Increasing ratio of hightech labourers Program Enterprise on Job Program creation Program on HEPR Program on Protection of most difficultChildren Assistance to disadvant- Labour aged Safety People Program Program on Drug Addict Treatment Total Impacts 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 9 3 1 0 0 0 0 1 5 3. Creating more jobs 5. Reducing numbers of poor households 2 3 2 1 1 1 1 11 2 2 3 2 1 1 1 12 6. Decreasing poor-rich gap 4. Minimizing work accidents 7. Reducing numbers of drug-addicts 2 2 3 0 0 1 0 8 1 1 1 0 0 3 0 6 1 1 1 1 1 0 3 8 Total Impacts 14 11 11 5 4 7 7 Some participants questioned the exercise, pointing out that these linkages might not exist. My response was to agree, in part. What we could do is treat them as hypotheses or plans, which would subsequently need to be tested. We could look to see if the programs had monitoring and evaluation plans which addressed the expected areas of impact, then whether they had any data on each expected area of impact, and then whether that data supported the claims of relative expected impact across the chosen objectives. During the workshops it was pointed out that the results of the matrix planning needed to be examined from three perspectives.: The distribution of values within the cells. For example, were there any linkages that should exist, but which did not exist? Or were too many linkages being claimed which were unlikely to be substantiated, even at the level of having monitoring procedures in place? The row totals. How many programs was each Objective being addressed by, and was this acceptable? The total “score” for each Objective could be seen as a crude reflection of the relative priority being given to the different objectives, by the current composition of the Ministry’s programs The column totals: How many Objectives did each Program address, and was this acceptable? Were programs that tried to do everything necessarily a good investment? And were programs that only targeted one objective failing to pay attention to wider possible impacts? The total scores given to each main objective in the above matrix are clearly a crude measure of their relative important, given the current set of programs. Some programs may be much larger than others, so it could be argued that their scores 22 should be given more weight. This argument was addressed by adding an extra row at the base showed the total current annual cost of each program. Cell ratings were then re-cast as points out of 100 (aka percentage values, of each program's budget). An extra column was then added to the far right of the matrix. Each cell in this column then showed the total amount invested in that row objective. This was the sum of the values of each cell in that row (being a % of each program cost below). In both versions of the matrix, calculated with the 0-3 ratings and percentage cell scores, participants were told they had a number of options, if they did not like the set of priorities that came out in the far right column. They could: Change the formulation of the objectives, so that new linkages had to be created with programs Change the design of the programs, so that new linkages had to be created with objectives. Change the amount invested in the different programs, so that their effects on the different objectives changed. There were two interesting features about the Objectives x Programs matrix. They acted as a bridge in two different ways. Firstly, the matrix linked the past with the future, because the Programs were existing programs, whereas the Objectives were those proposed for the upcoming 5-year plan. Secondly, the matrix linked the micro with the macro. The programs were components within a Ministry, but the objectives were those of the whole Ministry. In a plenary workshop attended by all the participating Ministries, the same matrix was created, but on a larger scale again. Here the individual Ministries were listed as the “programs” and the objectives were the objectives of the Government’s 5 year Socio-Economic Development Plan, which covered multiple Ministries. A much simpler example of an Objectives x Programs matrix was found online in the Annual Report of the Australian Government's Fisheries Research and Development Corporation (FRDC) website13. A matrix was provided showing FRDC Programs (3) x "Priorities for rural R&D", for the government as a whole (7). The matrix showed that the three main programs were each addressing between 2 to 4 policy priorities. Ticks in the relevant cells indicated these linkages (9 in all). Elsewhere in the report other data was available to provide a more detailed description of these relationships. Estimations had been made of the amount spent on each policy priority, by aggregating expenditure data on the projects contained with each program. These calculations highlighted some major differences, most notably that one policy priority was receiving 77% of the FRDC's research investment, and another policy priority had received none at all in the last financial year (though one program had a tick showing a relationship to this policy priority). It was not clear if this was a planned outcome or not. Activities x Activities Many activities taking place within organisations are parts of business processes. Business processes are re-iterated sequences of activities that are designed to produce a product or service, for clients within or outside the organisation. Grant making with large international NGOs are a type of business process. One NGO I have been working with was in the process of revising the design of its grant making process, prior to entering a new two year funding cycle. Different 13 Identified because it is another organisation I have been working with as an M&E consultant. 23 sections of the process were being revised, by different people, with one person in charge of the overall process. Like many other funding NGO, their model of the process was a linear sequence, starting with a public invitation for submissions, and ending with grant disbursement (reporting etc, then followed on). I suggested that a network model might be more appropriate. This would be different in two ways. Firstly, a given step would not only effect the next step but it could also effect other steps down the line. For example a strategy document outlining the aims of the current grant making cycle will not only affect the content of a call for Expressions of Interest, but also the design of Terms of Reference for evaluations of projects that are subsequently funded. Secondly, a given step could and should have some feedback effects on earlier steps. For example, the experience of appraising Full Proposals may have some implications for the re-design of the earlier process used to screen the initial Expressions of Interest. Or, an evaluation may have implications for the design of periodic progress reports to be submitted by funded projects. There are a number of ways of representing business processes as networks. In this instance, the way I proposed was to use a document x document matrix. Almost all the important steps in the grant making cycle had documents as inputs and documents as outputs. And documents were the focus of the current design revision process. I developed a draft documents x documents matrix, using a list of the documents I was aware of as being involved in the grant making process. These documents were listed in chronological order of their production and use, during the grant making cycle. This is one of the options for representing time in matrices, which is mentioned earlier in this paper. I then found a person who was responsible for one of the listed documents, and “walked” her along the row that represented her document. In each cell, connecting to each column, I asked if this document should be influencing the document in the column or not. If so, was it doing so adequately. If not, how could the linkage be improved. My intention is to do the same process with each of the “minders” of each of the other documents, as soon as their responsibility for each document is clarified. We should be able to end up with a matrix where cells are (a) colour coded to show connections being present and absent, and (b) text within those cells showing where improvements are needed. That matrix could be converted to a network diagram if these features were then re-coded into numerical form, indicating the relative importance of the connections in each row. But at this stage a matrix is more useful, especially one highlighting what changes are needed where. The proposed completed matrix will also have on the right side a “row summary” that says who is the minder for the document shown on each row. This gives us the potential to create another matrix showing documents x actors. This is potentially very useful because it points out who needs to be in contact with who, to keep the revision process on track. The allocation of minder responsibilities to different people for different documents raises the possibilities of the grant making process being seen as a “complex adaptive process”, rather than as a centrally planned and managed process (Axelrod and Cohen, 1999). That is, various documents could be revised at different times, depending on the initiative of their minder. All they need to do is talk to the people minding the documents their documents are expected to influence. Instead of central planning there would be various local processes of mutual adjustment. There are two possible constraints on the frequency with which such local adaptations could occur. One is the density of the document network. If many documents are linked to many documents, mutual local adjustments will be more 24 time consuming, because of the number of connections that need to be renegotiated. Secondly, some of the documents link to external actors (grantees) Those linkages are less amendable to local mutual adjustment, because contracts are involved, and transaction costs of meetings are higher. The constraints on these external links is likely flow on to other internal linkages between documents, limiting the extent to which they can be revised as well. A third type of constraint may be helpful to steer the process. That is agreement on the desired performance characteristics of the component documents, that all minders should seek to optimise, when improving their documents and their linkages to others. Some of these have been discussed, but are yet to be agreed upon. They include simplicity of use, time required to complete, timeliness of completion, and transparency. This approach to business process mapping starts with observable entities then maps their relationships. As such it seems to have some practical advantages over attempts to break down business processes using a more abstract conception of what processes are (Darton and Darnton, 1997), which are both more complex and less tangible. Figure 8 below shows a similar matrix documents x documents recently developed by another grant making body. In this case the documents list is wider in ambit, not exclusively focus on grant making. Expected linkages between documents have been identified, but not yet prioritised. Column and row totals are given in red, indicating the number of connections to and from each document. 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Contract Package Assessment Package Application Expression of Interest Media & Publications External Audit XXXX Mid-Term Review Rpt Consultancy Reports M&E Report XXXX Yearly ICB Reports XXXX Financial Reports XXXX Progress Reports XXXX Annual Reports Event papers 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 1 20 YYY Convention Report Programme Memo Brief XXXX Logical Framework Programme Memorandum Brochure Bulletin Source Docs a.1 Website a.2 Bulletin a.3 Brochure b.1 Programme Memorandum b.3 XXXX Logical Framework b.4 Programme Memo Brief c.1 YYY Convention Report c.2 Event Papers d.1 XXXX Annual Reports d.2 XXXX Progress Reports d.3 XXXX Financial Reports d.4 XXXX Yearly ICB Reports d.5 M&E Report e.1 Consultancy Reports e.2 XXXX Mid-Term Review Rpt e.3 External Audit e.4 Media & Publications f.1 Call for Expr. of Interest f.2 Expression of Interest f.3 Application f.4 Assessment Package g.1 Contract Package Totals O utput docs Website PRODUCTS Call for Expr. of Interest Figure 8 1 3 6 7 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 14 13 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 7 16 11 17 1 4 1 3 4 1 2 0 19 2 2 6 9 4 8 6 3 4 5 6 7 10 13 5 5 7 5 5 3 8 Budget Inputs x Outputs Budgets are usually constructed around a series of categories that are meaningful to the organisation concerned. Some of those categories are derived from accounting practice, and may be intended to make it easier to account for how money has been 25 spent. Other categories will often reflect what the money is being spent for. These may reflect broad aims of the organisation, or more specific bundles of activities. The choice of category structure is important because it can communicate, and thus reemphasise and orient, the organisation’s strategy, to its staff, donors and others. Often organisations try to do this by using a nested set of categories, with broad organisational objectives at the high level, and specific spending details at the lower levels of the category structure. This is a compromise that often does not work well, because many activities will typically feed into many objectives. For example, the renting of office premises. They don’t necessarily fit within one branch of the nested set of accounting categories, feeding into one set of organisational objectives only. I have tried to address this problem by adopting a more network perspective, in the context of helping a Government agency design and submit a funding proposal sent to a donor. A matrix was designed which listed budget lines on the left side, using relative standard accounting categories like staff, consumerables, equipment etc. These were the proposed inputs into the Department during the funding period. Across the top were listed all the expected outputs, which the Department would be expected to generate, using the funds that the donor provides. The row totals showed the amount allocated to each budget line. The cell contents in that row showed the breakdown of that figure, in terms of how much was expected to be invested in the production of each output (in each column). Different outputs required different types of staff and consultant contributions. But overhead costs were more likely to be constant across outputs. Given the cell contents are known it was then possible to calculate the total cost of each output. This is something that is rarely done systematically in aid programmes, but it has its value. Firstly, it brings us down to earth with a realisation of the scale of the total costs involved in each output. Secondly it provides a form of de facto prioritisation, which can lead to reflection on current plans. Each output has a different cost value. Ideally these costs would be aligned with our view of their relative importance as outputs. Where they are not some reflection is needed to see if the exceptions are justified, or not. Outputs x Time After the above Budget Inputs x Outputs matrix was produced, a related Outputs x Time matrix was developed. This was very similar to a Gantt chart, except the left side of the matrix listed identifiable Outputs, rather than internal activities. The top side of the matrix showed time, in month units, similar to a Gantt chart. The cells contained acronyms, which were spelled out under the matrix. The acronyms described the outputs, and milestones towards their achievement. The linkages described in this matrix were quite modest, simply the co-incidence and sequencing of events. In a similar matrix, for another grant making project, linkages between events shown in the cells were drawn more explicitly (using the Excel draw function), showing what events were expected to feeding to what other events. This is similar to the conventional use of Gantt charts, where critical dependencies are shown though linkages between events. However, in this case all the expected linkages were shown, not just those that could be seen as absolutely essential. In practice it was a hybrid matrix & network diagram. It complemented another matrix which showed the Outputs x Outputs. The Outputs x Time matrix highlights the temporal nature of the 26 links, and where trouble might occur. The Outputs x Outputs matrix highlights the details of each connection in terms of information flow and influence. Figure 9 Board-PMT relations Reporting lines Information flows Ongoing / shifts M & E Reporting Gantt chart M&E Reporting Events 2004 Oct 2005 Nov Dec Jan AB: XXX Advisory Board PMT: Program Management Team Blue: Financial reporting Oranges: Narrative reporting FC: Funders Committee MTR: Mid-Term Review Purples: Grant process Greens: Outward events Feb Aug 2006 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Mar Apr May Jun Jul Sep Oct Nov Dec Fin. Reporting YYY to PMT Fin. Reporting PMT to LTS Fin. Reporting LTS to DFID Annual External Audits PMT YYY PMT Third Party ICB Reporting Narr. Reporting YYY to PMT Narr. Reporting PMT to FC/AB Advisory Board Meetings Annual Reviews plan AB AB AB Mid-Term Review AB MTR Assessment of new YYYs 1 Funders Committee 2 FC Disbursements to YYYs FC plan 3 FC FC call YYY Conventions FC actual call plan 1 call 2 Newsletters Website Learning Events as they arrise Preparatory studies Consultancy reports as they arise gender Other potentially useful matrices The choice of example matrices described above is opportunistic. They have all been developed to address specific problems in specific circumstances. They have not been developed to form part of a coherent overall package that can then be used as a whole. On reflection there are a few “missing” matrices that could be useful. In that they would help create linkages between those already presented above, and because they should be useful in themselves. One would be an Actors x Outputs matrix. Cell entries could code: Who has lead responsibility for each Output and who has a supporting roles. By colour coding the cells, or a number code The amount of time each person would put into each output. Row totals would identify where the burden of responsibility lay, in terms of day spent per person and lead responsibility roles. Column totals would identify the breadth of staff involvement in each output, and the total amount of time invested in each output. Two network diagrams could then be produced from the matrix. One would show which outputs were most closely linked to which other outputs, based on overlapping team involvement. That may or may not fit our view of the similarity of content and purpose of those outputs. The second would highlight who is likely to be interacting with whom most frequently, based on their overlapping responsibility for specific outputs. Again that view would need to be tested against other knowledge, such as the other commitments these actors might also have. Another potentially useful set of matrices would be a problems x problems matrix and an associated problems x actors matrix. This possibility arose in discussions with a colleague who is testing the applicability of Sen's (1998) "Development As Freedom " 27 approach to development in a municipality in Egypt14. In a pilot project a group of women are progressively identifying and trying to resolve a series of problems relating to their felt needs. Those problems are interlinked web (with many causal loops), but also an expanding list, as new ones are discovered as earlier ones are resolved. It has been proposed that the current list of perceived problems could be presented in a matrix format, with their list order expressing a current view of their priority as concerns. Across each row, the causal connections with other problems could be identified, one at a time, and where a given problem influences more than one other, those connections will be prioritised according to their importance. Problems which influence many others will be of particular concern. As new problems emerge, they will be added to the matrix, on the bottom row and right column, and their linkages with the other existing problems, detailed. The second matrix will then show the connection between problems and actors (the women concerned), to clarify the extent to which each problem is owned by the women in the group, and to make it clear who might be best to talk to about that problem. This infant proposal has obvious linkages with the early stage of a normative approach to project design, where problem trees are used to articulate what is problematic, and then their contents are inverted into a hierarchy of objectives, which is then used to construct a Logical Framework (DFID, 2002). There are however, at least three important differences. The problem x problem matrix specifically allows for feedback loops between problems, whereas in most uses of problems trees they are an afterthought, possible, but not central to the process. Secondly, the problem x problem matrix is open to ongoing use, as the project progress. The problem tree is less evidently so. Thirdly, the problem x problem matrix can be clearly linked to the stakeholders involved, through the associated problems x actors matrix. In contrast, ownership of problem trees, and their connections to any stakeholder process are much less clear. Matrices within Boundary Networks Most organisations produce some form of outputs that are usable by others, products or services of some kind. In development aid programmes these outputs are what organisations are most likely to be held fully accountable for, as distinct form wider outcomes where their activities may only be a contributing factor. Nevertheless, I continue to be surprised to see how little systematic record keeping is done of the users of their services. And even more so, how little analysis is done of the data that is collected. As a result, my almost automatic recommendation to programs I am working with is to keep a single database showing who has used what service or product. Outputs X Actors The most basic form of analysis involves the construction of an outputs x actors matrix. Ideally, such a matrix will list intended as well as actual outputs, intended as well as actual users. This was the case in the matrix the independent M&E team recommended to the component managers of the CATIA ICT project15. In the matrices used by one component I was working with, all the planned outputs were listed chronologically down the left column, and all the intended users of those outputs were listed across the top row. In this type of matrix the empty cells will convey information, along with the cells that have values. The G-RAP project is in the 14 15 Jane Samuels, see http://www.removingunfreedoms.org/home.htm See http://www.catia.ws/ 28 process of developing a similar matrix. In this case expected outputs will be listed in order of relative importance, as will be the expected users of those outputs (categorised by organisation type). Giving structure to the lists on the two axes of the matrix will make it easier to interpret the significance of the cell contents where they do have specific values. They may or may not fit with the priorities as planned. More substantial relationships can be captured through the use of a similar matrix. Funding and other contractual relationships between the intervening organisation and their immediate partners can be described. This was the case with the PETRRA rice research project in Bangladesh where grants were provided to multiple groups of organisations, including government research bodies, universities, and NGOs, and private sector firms. The complex web of relationships that was created is shown in Figure 10 below. Some of these relationships had not been created previously, most notably those between agricultural research sections within universities and NGOs. While the establishment of these relationships was not an initial project objective, their continuation did become so. Of particular concern will be the longer-term fate of these relationships, now the project has ended. In retrospect it would have been useful to generate a matrix where the cell values showed the relative likelihood (or desirability) of the continuation of each relationship (between row and column actors). This could then have provided a focus for ex-post investigations by the donor or others. Figure 10 Key: Links = funding relationships. Node: Grey = Funding body, Green = Government Research Institutes, Red = NGOs, Crimson = Private sector firms, Blue = International organisations, Yellow = Universities Outputs x Outputs Different outputs produced by an organisation can be linked to each other by overlapping groups of users. Figure 11 below shows the expected overlap in user 29 groups within the Healthlink Exchange program, in London16. Its design arose out of an evaluation that included analysis of linkages between user of its various services. Figure 11 Expected overlaps in users / participants (actors in rows link to actors in cols) A B C D E F Advisory And Liaison A High B C D E F G H Service Health Information Forum INASP-Health Directory HIF-Net At Who INASP Health Links Health Lib, Partnership DataB Website HIF-Like Groups G High Low Low None High High High Low H Low None Low Low Overlaps can occur by design or accident. A good communications strategy will try to create linkages between different products and services, and encourage their users to follow those links. Workshops can be used to publicise the existence of websites, website can publicise the existence of emailing lists, emailing lists can publicise upcoming events, etc. Those links might be designed to expose users to the whole range of services available, by ensure multiple routes to each service. Or they might have more directed behaviour in mind. The following network diagram shows the intended relationship between the main communications media being used by the Making Markets Work Better for the Poor. The overall intention is to draw people from one-off events to ongoing engagement; from summary discussions of what the project is about, to more in-depth discussions. Figure 12 16 This table is not complete, two rows have no cells with entries in them 30 Monitoring the traffic from one media to another is possible in many cases but not all. New email list members can automatically be asked where they heard about the email list17 The routes used by visitors to websites can be tracked, back to other websites, search engines and emails. Overlaps between workshop participation lists and email lists should be identifiable. Spikes in numbers of visitors to websites can linked by timing to known publicity events (newspaper articles, workshops). Downloads of documents available from websites can be counted and related to timing of email notifications of their availability. Actors x Actors People can be linked through their joint use of a particular type of communications output. Exchange Healthlink have organised more than 40 public meetings over a period of years, on health information issues. Systematic records have been kept of all participants and these were made available during an evaluation of their work. A simple network diagram showed that while the early meetings addressed the needs of a relatively stable constituency more recent meetings were reaching out to a quite different group of people. This information needs to be placed in context of Exchange Healthlink's intentions. Was any continuity of participation expected, or was a break from the past constituency desired? Were some types of participants seen as being of higher priority than others? This information about intentions could be represented within the matrices used to record actual participation, by rank ordering the names and categories of possible participants. The meeting' records also included data on types of organisations represented by the participants. Connections between these types of organisations could have been facilitated where their members jointly attended a number of meetings. As shown in Figure 13 below, a network diagram was constructed to show the notional linkages created between different types of organisations. As above, the significance of this diagram depends on Exchange Healthlink's intentions. What sort of linkages were they trying to encourage if any? This could be shown in an Actors x Actors matrix, with cells in each row prioritising the importance of the connections that were being encouraged. Where improved linkages were identifiable, follow-up work would then need to be done to establish the extent to which contacts were actually made, and of those, which were sustained. 17 As is done with the MandE NEWS emailing list 31 Figure 13 Boundary network actors can be connected in other less tangible ways, which still have significance. In the 2005 revision of the Ghana Poverty Reduction Strategy (GPRS) a number of cross-sectoral planning groups were organised to discuss the revision of the GPRS, each around a main theme, e.g. governance, the economy, etc. In the process the planning groups developed a number of policy objectives for their specific area. In one group the participants were asked to priority rank each of the group's listed policy objectives. Each participant represented a different section of the government. Those rankings were then aggregated into an Actors x Policy Objectives matrix. Ranking values for each policy objective were summarised in the form of average and range values. The averages were then used as measures of over priority and the range values were left as a pointer to where more discussion was needed, to establish a stronger agreement. The network diagram in Figure 14 below shows the between the participating organisations (red nodes) and the policy objectives under discussion (blue nodes). The larger the size of the blue node the higher the overall priority, and the thicker the line the higher priority given to the node that it connects to. 32 Figure 14 These linkages will have a continuing significance. Indicators of progress and achievement will need to be identified for each of the policy objectives. If they have been agreed to by those stakeholders who have prioritised the objectives concerned then they are more likely to be used. Matrices and the Outer Network Identifying the actors The outer network includes all those actors the intervening organisation is not in direct contact with. This is likely to include people and organisations that are already known and many that are not. One expression of organisational strategy will be the way in which these actors are differentiated and prioritised. In the case of the Fisheries Research and Development Corporation (FRDC)18 in Australia, their stakeholders are have been broadly differentiated into three types: "the fishing industry, the federal. State and territory governments, and the people of Australia". The fishing industry has then been further differentiated into three categories: commercial, recreational, and customary. The commercial sector has then been further differentiated into production and post-harvest sectors, and the production sector further divided into commercial wild catch and aquaculture. Even where organisations have not officially differentiated their stakeholders, more informal categorisations can usually be found19. Within these emerging frameworks there are there both formal and informal ways in which unknown actors can become known actors. People can meet accidentally, but 18 Cited here because of my knowledge of the Corporation through a M&E consultancy And documented through the use of card sorting exercises such as Tree Mapping. See www.mande.co.uk/docs/treemap.htm 19 33 also be brought together intentionally. Structures can be set up to represent known interest groups, as is the case with the FRDC above. And people can find out about people through informal connections of various kinds. In the section below I have outlined four types of replicable methods that can be used when using modular matrices for planning and evaluation. It would be useful to identify others. The first is through facilitated self-identification. Many development projects have multiple means of contacting people and engaging them with the issues of concern. These can include websites, workshops, mailing lists, pamphlets, newspaper articles, radio and even television slots. Workshop participants can include people specifically invited and others not previously known. Workshop attendance lists can capture the names and contact details of both groups. Newspaper article and other forms of publicity can attract people to workshops. Emailing lists associated with websites can capture details of previously unknown visitors who have an ongoing interest in the issues covered by the website. Communications strategies can be designed to increase the number of known interested people, and to progressively engage those people in longer-term forms of contact. This is the approach being taken by the Making Markets Work Better for the Poor project in Vietnam20. The second is through systematic indirect inquiry. In SNA surveys there are a number of ways of identifying actors' relationships. One is by the use of a roster of names, or events of concern. Respondents are asked to identify people on the roster whom they have a particular type of relationship with (e.g. seek advice from, socialise with, etc). This approach provides strict comparability, but relies on the researchers' having prior knowledge of the set of other actors or events that are relevant. The other method is to ask respondents questions about specific types of relationships, using questions along the lines of "Who do you usually go to, to obtain…?" or "Who was the last person who you contacted for information about…?" The G-RAP project will be using both methods, in the course of a baseline survey of relationships amongst the organisations it is funding. The roster list will be based on data provided to the project at the beginning of their first grant making cycle. Figure 15 below shows an affiliation matrix constructed with data collected by the World Bank, in Ghana. It shows the relationships between different international donors working in Ghana and what have been described as the different "sectors" which are receiving aid support. The matrix differentiates four types of relationships, involving finance, non-finance activities, finance and non-finance activities, and loans. The data for this matrix was collected via a survey form sent to all the donors listed in the matrix. The World Bank works with some but not all of these donors, and in some but not all of the sectors. As such, the matrix includes both boundary and outer network actors. The survey was not carried out as a form of network analysis, so there has been no subsequent analysis of the data that was collected. Instead, the matrix was simply made available to the donors participating in the survey, as a means of facilitating donor cooperation. The survey design could be improved upon. For example, by replacing references to sectors, with references to specific government of Ghanaian ministries and agencies. Sectors are less tangible entities, and open to varying interpretations. A focus on identifiable organisations would make donor coordination efforts easier to self-organise. 20 Which I have provided M&E consultancy services to since late 2004 34 3 2 1 1 1 2 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 2 2 1 3 3 2 3 2 1 3 2 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 2 3 1 2 2 1 1 2 1 M&E Natural_Resources Energy 3 4 Multi-Donor_Budget_Support 2 Private_Sector_Development 3 4 Public_Sector_Reform 3 4 3 1 3 Public_Finance 1 2 3 4 Roads Key to relationships Water 3 4 3 Health 3 4 3 Education Governance European_Commission AfDB Canada Belgium Denmark France_(Cooperation) France_(AFD) Germany_(GTZ) Germany_(KfW) JICA Italy Netherlands Norway Sweden Nordic_Development_Fund Spain Switzerland United_Kingdom(DFID) United_States(USAID) UNESCO UNICEF UNDP WHO FAO IFAD World_Bank ILO Decentralisation Agriculture Figure 15 3 3 2 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 3 2 2 2 3 2 1 3 2 3 3 2 3 3 1 1 2 2 3 2 2 2 3 1 1 1 1 1 3 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 3 2 3 1 3 1 3 3 2 1 1 1 3 3 1 1 2 1 3 1 3 1 3 2 Finance Non-finance activities Finance and non-finance Loan A third method is through secondary sources. The NGO Resource Centre in Hanoi periodically publishes an INGO Directory, a director of information about the operations of international Non-Government organisations in Vietnam. In an annex of the most recent edition two large matrices were included. One listed all INGOs x location (province, and district) and another listed all INGOs x the sector they were involved in (e.g. health, education, water supply, etc). The information content of the cell entries in the matrices was minimal, they were simply blacked out, and thus indicated that the INGO was working in that cell location or sector. As will be discussed below, there are however, a number of analyses that could be carried out with this data. While documents can be seen as secondary sources of information about linkages between people or organisations, they can also describe linkages between significant documents. The Ghana Poverty Reduction Strategy M&E Plan has a three-page matrix, detailing which indicators are referred to in which policy documents, including the Ghana Poverty Reduction Strategy, the Millennium Development Goals, and HIPC21. That policies x indicators matrix was used to produce a network diagram. In that diagram it was easy to see at least seven distinct clusters of indicators, 21 The Heavily Indebted Poor Country Initiative, the current debt relief scheme created in 1996 by the World Bank and IMF to provide limited debt relief for the poorest countries with the goal of brining countries to a “sustainable” level of debt. 35 characterised by different sets of relationships to the three policy documents. On a larger scale, the GPRS was most closely connected to the MDGs, and then HIPC is most closely connected to the GPRS. Overall these three documents were only weakly connected as a whole, having only two indicators in common. Another example deals with more abstract linkages. DFID has funded "Drivers of Change" studies in ten countries in Africa and Asia. These have in turn been analysed by Brocklesby, Crawford and Brow (2005). Part of their analysis includes a matrix showing "Key Local Themes" (17) x "Country of Study" (10). Cell contents differentiate: (a) topics mentioned in passing with little analysis, (b) topics discussed in some details with examples, and (c) topics treated as a major theme of the study. Unfortunately, despite the effort put into producing the matrix, little use was made in the text, even by use of row and column totals, let alone an analysis of clustering of issues. This was also the case with the GPRS indicator linkages tables. This may reflect lack of familiarity with methods for analysing such data. A fourth method is through what might be called "the systematic collection of anecdotes". The Most Significant Changes (MSC)" monitoring method (Davies and Dart, 2005) was developed as a means of monitoring without the use of indicators, in programs with very diverse and/or unpredictable outcomes. The focus is on the participatory collection and analysis of stories of change that are seen as significant by the participants. Such MSC stories always include a set of actors linked together around an incident that is seen as relevant to the programs goals. The Governance Research and Advocacy project in Ghana will be using this method to identify significant changes in government policy, as seen by the project's partners, Ghanaian research and advocacy organisations. It is expected that the use of MSC will also shed light on who some of the important actors are, and how they relate to other actors. Less systemic but similar use has been made of MSC by the MMWB4P project in Vietnam. Incidents where previously unknown actors have made public references to the project have been documented, and then efforts have been made to track the channels through which they heard about the project, and how their comments found their way back to the project. Analysing the network of relationships My experience of mapping wider sets of relationships, as seen from within development programs, is limited. That fact may be suggestive of how much attention they usually receive, relative to the intervening organisation's own processes and its immediate relationships with users of its products and services. There are different possible reasons for analysing a wider set of relationships between actors. The intervening organisation may be seeking information or it may be wishing to disseminate information. At the early stages of project design, during a stakeholder analysis, the focus may be identifying those who could influence the project, as well as those the project wants to influence. Later on, the relationships between the wider set of actors may be an important consideration during the design of a project's communications strategy. Stakeholder analysis that is undertaken as part of the project design process can be seen as a form of social network analysis, but one that has grown up in isolation. A common feature of stakeholder analyses used for project design purpose is: (a) the classification of different categories of stakeholder (e.g. primary and secondary stakeholders, external stakeholders, and sub-categories thereof), and then (b) their cross-tabulation against different possible types of relationship to the proposed 36 project (e.g. their interest in the project, their importance to the project, their ability to influence the project, their likely impact on the project) (DFID, 2002). Where this method differs from social network analysis is its focus on "the project" as the focal point of concern. There is no explicit analysis of relationships between stakeholders. An additional difficulty is the implicit ambiguity about what "the project" is. Is it a project management structure, of the whole network of actors linking that structure to the intended beneficiaries? If the latter, why analyse actors relationships to "it" as an entity, when the constituent actors are in practice likely to have various types of relationships with each other? The alternative is to think more explicitly about stakeholder relationships in terms of a communication strategy. This is a more pro-active perspective and less defensive in orientation. Increasingly, it seems, development aid programs are seeing the necessity of having communications strategies, whereby the purpose and progress of the program is disseminated out to a range of stakeholder who the project wants to inform and in some cases influence. Such strategies are typically developed during implementation, rather than that at the project design stage. They also seem to have a longer shelf life. When the focus is on active communication a more differentiated analysis of which actors can influence which other actors becomes much more important. In the GRAP project one planned component of the communications strategy is an actors x actors matrix, including those in the boundary and outer networks. The proposed matrix will show linkages between actors, in terms of who the G-RAP project management team thinks can influence whom, on matters relate to the projects overall goals. That model may then need some verification by other cooperating stakeholders, such as the Advisory Board and Funders Committee. It will then be used to inform the targeting of the project's communications activities. Of special interest will be those actors, who seem to be able to influence a wide number of other actors. Other structural features that will need to be attended to are the existence of gatekeepers, who are the only means of influencing some other actors, and the existence of multiple influence routes that link to actors who are known to control certain types of decisions. The importance of the intervening organisation's intentions to the design of any analysis of actor relationships can also be seen in the case of the Vietnamese INGO matrix mentioned above. Social network analysis software can convert these matrices into network diagrams. Both visually and via the use of statistical analysis it is then possible to identify clusters of INGOs, linked by their involvement in common or overlapping sets of sectors. An intervening organisation could then make contact with two types of INGOs. Firstly, with those who are most centrally located within clusters of INGOs that were of most interest. For example, clusters which were all focusing on health services. A centrally located INGO might be a particularly good source of information about what was happening in that sector, or a particularly good channel through which important information could be disseminated. On the other hand, the intervening organisation might also be interested in other INGOs with different characteristics. Such as those who were on the margins of these clusters, but who were better linked to other clusters. Where more generic types of information needed to be accessed or disseminated, the INGOs in these positions would be of more interest. In the case of the GPRS Indicators, also mentioned above, the type of analysis made will depend on intentions. The linkages identified could be seen as plans, and what now matters is actual implementation. What policies are really linked, when it comes to actual data collection and usage? Alternately, the linkages could be seen as 37 outcomes of a negotiation process, and the question now is how satisfactory are they to the stakeholders who were involved. 6. Comparisons with related developments In many fields innovations often take place in parallel, rather than being once-off events (Ziman, 2000). So far at least four other methods have been identified that relate to the modular matrix approach proposed in this paper. These are all discussed below. Circles of stakeholders This is the title of a paper by Maessen et al (2003). In this paper they argue the case for a “relational approach” to Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR). Examining the literature on stakeholder analysis they find “a wide variety of lists” but no coherent basis for structuring a typology of stakeholders. I am in agreement with this conclusion. The authors then propose a “concentric circles” approach to categorising stakeholders. In the first circle are the employees and shareholders of a company. In the second are the clients, business partners and suppliers. In the third circle are neighbours, government agencies, NGOs and other parties with an interest in the company’s operations or products. The stakeholders in the third circle are differentiated from those in the first and second circles by the fact that they have no contractual relations with the company, and have more indirect contact. The stakeholders in the second circle are differentiated from those in the first by the fact that their relationships “have to be renewed again and again by each and every contact”. They note that stakeholders may move their position from within one circle to within another as their relationship with the company changes. They also note that similar concentric circles could be centred on a certain stakeholder, placing that particular organisation in the middle. The concentric circles view of stakeholders clearly overlaps a lot with the three networks perspective introduced earlier in this paper. The main point of difference is that Maessen et al differentiate some stakeholders on the basis of the type of contracts they have: short versus long term, and conflate others (those with no contacts and those with indirect contact. The former seems justifiable, especially in a corporate social responsibility context, but the later seems unadvisable. Stakeholders with and without direct contact with firms are in different positions to be informed about and to inform those firms. The distinction is likely to have a range of consequences. Metamatrix The meta-matrix tool is self-described below. 38 Metamatrix "The metamatrix approach (Krackhardt and Carley, 1998; Carley and Krackhardt, 1999; Carley et al., 2000; Carley 1999, 2001a,b; Carley and Hill, 2001; Carley and Ren, 2001) provides a representational framework and family of methods for the analysis of organizational data. Stemming from work by Kathleen Carley, David Krackhardt, Yuquing Ren, and others, this approach builds heavily on recent network-oriented treatments of organizational structure, as well as ideas from the information processing school of organizational theory (March and Simon, 1958; Simon, 1973; Galbraith, 1977) and operations research. Under this model, organizations are conceived of as being composed of a set of elements each of which belongs to one of five classes: Personnel, Knowledge, Resources, Tasks Organizations. The organization is then defined by the set of elements, together with the dyadic relationships among these elements. It is the analysis of these dyadic relationships which lies at the heart of the metamatrix approach." http://www.casos.cs.cmu.edu/projects/MetaMatrix/index.html As I understand the text above, the classes represent the types of things that can be represented on the two axes of a matrix. The elements are the items within those classes. There is some apparent overlap in the types of classes of elements that are used. CASOS’s metamatrix approach uses Personnel and Organisations, and the modular matrix approach outlined in this paper uses people, of varying types and groupings. Knowledge, Tasks and Resources are referred to here in this paper, but they are more likely to be referred via the title or sub-sections of documents that are describing them. Such as Budgets, Terms of Reference, strategy and policy documents, etc. There are some noticeable differences. One is that within the metamatrix approach the five classes of elements are pre-determined. In contrast, in the modular matrix approach the classes of elements are up to the user to define. Observation of this difference then prompts the useful question of what, if any, constraint should be imposed on the choices of what classes can be represented on the axes’ of modular matrices. My suggestion is that the choice of constraint should be derived from this paper’s orientation towards evaluation. That is the classes of elements should be observable and verifiable in their content. They should be either actors, or objects and events known by actors. This type of constraint creates a useful a bias towards real actors and real entities, rather than abstract conceptions and processes. The latter are especially difficult to communicate across cultures, a problem that has already been noted with the use of the Logical Framework. It also makes the processes described in the matrices more evaluable. The second difference is in how the tools are used. The bias here in this paper is towards enabling the construction of modular representations by the actors involved in the organisations concerned. My impression with the metamatrix is that its use requires some specialist expertise, and that it is not readily amenable to use by people within the organisations being analysed. According to Butts (2001), with the metamatrix approach the focus is on the use of custom designed software to analyse quantitative data, using social network analysis measures of network structure. This seems quite restrictive. It should it is possible to take a broader approach to the analyses of the contents of matrices, using methods that are simpler and easier to use by the actors represented in those matrices, or by who have constructed them. 39 Concept Mapping The network analysis dimension of Concept Mapping is less evident than with the Metamatrix approach. However Concept Mapping does have a stronger concern with project planning and evaluation, which links it closer to the ultimate concerns of the modular matrix approach. Concept Mapping is described by its originator (Bill Trochim) as follows: “Concept mapping is a type of structured conceptualization which can be used by groups to develop a conceptual framework which can guide evaluation or planning. In the typical case, six steps are involved: 1) Preparation (including selection of participants and development of focus for the conceptualization); 2) the Generation of statements; 3) the Structuring of statements; 4) the Representation of Statements in the form of a concept map (using multidimensional scaling and cluster analysis); 5) the Interpretation of maps; and, 6) the Utilization of Maps. Concept mapping encourages the group to stay on task; results relatively quickly in an interpretable conceptual framework; expresses this framework entirely in the language of the participants; yields a graphic or pictorial product which simultaneously shows all major ideas and their interrelationships; often improves group or organizational cohesiveness and morale”. An Introduction to Concept Mapping for Planning and Evaluation for Community Development. William M.K. Trochim and Donald Tobias, Dept. of Policy Analysis and Management, Cornell University Concept Mapping is especially relevant to the planning stages of projects involving multiple stakeholders and where there are no clearly pre-defined and overarching objectives. The “elements” in Concept Mapping, to use Krackhardt and Carley’s term above, are cards containing statements about specific issues of concern, each generated by one of the many participants. Once a population of cards (issues) has been generated, each participant is allowed to group the cards into piles, according to commonalities they can see amongst the grouped cards. Participants are not asked to explain the rationale behind their groupings. The results of these sorting exercises are then collated into a matrix of issues x issues, with cell values indicating the frequency with which issue in that cell row was associated with issue in that cell column. If 10 people grouped those two issues together in the same group, the cell value would show 10. The matrix that is used here is equivalent to an adjacency matrix, as used in Social Network Analysis. It is important to note however that the relationships that are shown between the issues on the sorted cards are not causal. For example, in the way that might be represented in a Problem Tree analysis, which is sometimes used as a precursor to the design of a Logical Framework. What are mapped are associations of issues, as co-resident in the minds of the participants. The matrix of relationships data is then analysed by the use of statistical techniques to generate clusters of issues22. “Trochim and Tobias note that “No simple mathematical criterion is available by which a final number of clusters “…hierarchical cluster analysis using using Wards algorithm (Everitt, 1980) as the basis for defining a cluster” 22 40 can be selected.” Their choice of numbers of the number of clusters to use is subjective, though the membership of those clusters is not. They try to minimize the overall number of clusters but also try not make them so large in membership that the people who generated the issues could not give the clusters a meaningful name. In Social Network Analysis there is an array of methods for identifying clusters, involving both: (a) bottom up techniques which start by searching for completely inter-linked items, and (b) top down techniques that look for cut-points within networks, then within clusters identified in those networks. This multi-level analysis is irrelevant to Concept Mapping because the search is simply for a workable set of common concepts. The naming of the concept represented by each cluster of issues is done by a facilitator, working with the group of participants, there is no analytic procedure involved. The concept is essentially a generalization that participants are happy to accept as a description of all the issues within the cluster, and which differentiate those issues from issues in the other clusters. The nearest equivalent naming process in Social Network Analysis is probably Block Modeling, where groups of actors in a matrix are experimentally grouped into larger entities, and given descriptive names, by the researcher. The Concept Mapping process also involves the rating of all of the individual statements on criteria such as importance, and feasibility. Those values are then aggregated to provide a summary description of each cluster concept, in the same terms. Those aggregated values are then represented in a scatter plot to differentiate four possible types of issues: important and feasible, important and not feasible, etc. There is an alternative here that would represent a modular matrix approach. That would be to construct an actors x issue cluster matrix, with cell values representing the importance or the feasibility ratings. However, an analysis of the social structure of the issues clusters is not Trochim’s primary concern. His concern is with generating consensual constructions of issue categories, their priority and feasibility of resolution. In summary, Concept Mapping has a quite explicit and channelled purpose. It has a step-by-step methodology and a semi-proprietary methodology. This stands in contrast to the more general-purpose orientation of the modular matrix approach, and its open source methodology. Concept Mapping is strongly oriented towards construction of a consensus, whereas social network analysis tools used in the modular matrix approach are not The 2 x 2 Frameworks Inventory Alex Lowy and Phil Hood have written a book titled "The Power of the 2 x 2 Matrix: Using 2x2 Thinking to Solve Business Problems and Make Better Decisions" In their book, which I have not yet obtained, they have section titled the "The 2 x 2 Frameworks Inventory" in which they present 52 different 2 x 2 matrices, under three broad categories: Strategic Frameworks, Organizational Frameworks, and Individual Frameworks. The intention is similar to the proposal made in this paper, to develop a library of usable matrices. There are however some notable differences. One is that access to the Lowry and Hood library is at a cost, another is that any updating will be in the hands of the authors only. Perhaps more importantly, the matrices that the authors are concerned with are of a different kind. They are 2 x 2 matrices only, where as this paper is concerned with much larger matrices, whose size is a matter 41 of choice, according to the context. Their 2 x 2 matrices are more oriented towards generating complex classifications out of combinations of simple classification's and thus widening up the way in which people can see and respond. The n x n matrices presented in this paper share some of that intent, but they are more empirically oriented, intended to provide better representations of planned and actual relationships between entities. 7. Resume: Implications for Planning, Monitoring and Evaluation It is not uncommon for people to look at network representations and ask: “So what? It’s interesting, but how do we use this?” Network representations are tools that are relatively theory-neutral, except at a fairly highly level of assumptions about the nature of causality (mutual, rather than one way, multiple rather than single causes, etc. – see Davies, 2004, 2005). They are not useful by themselves. Like a tape measure or a compass, the data that is made available is only meaningful in the light of some purpose. There are three broad purposes that can be pursued, using a network perspective: 1. Description: of what is happening, prior to the planning of a course of action. For example, the donor x sectors matrix constructed by the World Bank. This could then lead to planned interventions to change those relationships, either centrally by the World Bank, or through self-organisation, by many of the donors actors acting locally on their own initiative, once they have access to the matrix data. This usage relates to the task of Discovery, mentioned earlier. A useful evaluation question here is how accurate is the description. Does the map actually describe the territory, in a way that can be used? In the World Bank example, is the focus on "sectors" rather than organisations, a wise one? Would it be more useful to give numerical values (e.g. amounts of funding involved) or priority rankings to the relationships? 2. Prescription: of what should happen. For example, the programs x objectives matrix constructed by the Government ministries in Vietnam, showing how individual programs were expected to effect each of the main objectives being pursued by the ministry concerned. This usage relates to the task of Alignment, mentioned earlier. A useful evaluation question here is how coherent is the prescription. In the Vietnam example, do the individual ministries have the right mix of programs to achieve the objectives as they are now prioritised? 3. Assessment: of what has happened No example matrices have been provided in this paper, but it is possible to imagine what would be needed. In the case of the Government of Vietnam matrices, the same objectives x programs matrix could be re-populated with cells values reflecting the scale of evidence about actual achievements (of programs affecting objectives). This usage relates to the task of Implementation, mentioned earlier. The useful evaluation question here is how accurate is the assessment of what has been achieved. These three purposes can then be linked by two types of comparisons. At the appraisal stage of project design, the prescription not only needs to be examined in terms of its internal coherence, but also in terms of its fit with the prior description of the project context. During mid-term and final review stages the assessment data needs to be compared to the prescription. 42 Matrices (and network diagrams) can be used for both appraisal and review. This is in contrast with the Logical Framework where the initial situation analysis is done with a different set of representational tools (stakeholder analysis, problem trees23, etc) whose analysis cannot be easily compared to the prescribed change in the Logical Framework. Comparisons of plans and progress are less problematic for the Logical Framework. A common practice is to replace the MOV and Assumptions column with details of evidence of achievement on the indicators given in each row. In my experience to date, the first type of questions are the most challenging but more neglected. Initial project plans often make very simplified and not very explicit assumptions about the number of types of actors involved, and their relationships with each other. This limitation however helps us identify some useful progress markers for better quality descriptions. That is, over time they should contain more differentiated descriptions of the numbers and types of actors and their relationships to each other. This possible development was referred to above, in the discussion of actors in the Outer Network. What about indicators? Within the Logical Framework two types of information are provided. One is a description of the vertical program logic: going from narrative statement to assumption, to narrative statement… The other is a description of the indicators and the associated means of verification that can be used at each stage of the narrative24. This paper has focused on alternative way of telling a story in large and complex programs, through the use of linked matrices. If that approach is accepted as a way forward, what happens to indicators? Are they needed, and where do they fit in? If our concern is with verification of the information within matrices, then there are four types of information in modular matrices that need to be verifiable. 1. The actors (and entities) along the two dimension of the matrix. We need to know where these can be found, so they can be interviewed (if actors), or read about (if events or documents). This information can be provided in supporting documentation associated with the matrix. 2. The ordering of the actors (/and entities) along the two dimension of the matrix. The basis for doing so needs to be provided in text associated with the matrix, along with the name of the author. 3. The specific relationships within the matrix need to be identifiable. If we know where to find the people or documents referred to in the axes of the matrices, we should be able to verify the relationships that are described in the cells of the matrix. This point is followed further below. 4. The derivation of the summary values in the summary rows and columns. If there process of calculation is transparent, and the cells values can be verified, then the summary values should be verifiable. 23 Incidentally, linkages within a problem tree could be re-presented as linkages within a problems x problems matrix, and this matrix could in turn linked to a problems x actors matrix 24 But not, for some unknown reason, for each of the linking assumptions. 43 The relationships within the matrix are the "meat" in the sandwich, where verification will probably be of greatest concern. A form of triangulation may be applicable here. In the first instance we have the row actor (or document) that makes a claimed linkage with a column actor or document. They may be able to provide supporting evidence of such claims. If they have responsibility for implementing those linkages, then they might be expected to have that supporting evidence. In social network analysis, a person's claims of linkages with others are often then verified, by interviewing those others about such claimed linkages25. The same can be applied to actor x document linkages of the kind proposed in this paper. People can be interviewed, or the documents read, by an independent third party. Another means of verification may be by comparison of the claimed linkage with other linkages within the same matrix. These can include across-actor comparisons, and within-actor comparisons. Looking across-actors, we may want to be sure that the evidence for a given type of linkage is consistent: either equivalent or better, in strength. Looking within-actors, we may need to focus more on internal coherence of the evidence given. In the case of ranking values in cells, the arguments for a given cell value will need to fit well within the context of the arguments for the other rank values in the adjacent cells in the same row. Concern about verification of claims made may not be the only reason for focusing on indicators. Indicators may function as useful progress markers, along an intended path. These are especially useful when intentions are stated in general terms, as is the case with narrative statements in Logical Frameworks, especially at the Purpose and Goal level. At the Activities level, the descriptions are usually much more specific, and indicators are rarely used, because they are in effect redundant. In the network approach outlined in this paper the actors involved, there is less need for this second level of description, because matrices, by definition, can cope with a larger number of entities, and their linkages. Where there is need for extra information, especially when matrices are used as statements of plans or expectations, is about the relative importance of the different actors, and the linkages to and from them. This information can be easily represented: (a) in the way in which actors are ordered on the two axes, (b) by the cell values within the matrix and, (c) by the use of row and column summaries. This was the case with the Ministries in Vietnam where overall objectives were prioritised using the data within the matrix cells, and then weighted by the scale of investment in each existing program (as shown on the column summaries). Returning to the bigger picture In this section above I have argued that knowledge about the linkages described within matrices should be in the hands of the actors (and/or documents) described on the axes of those documents. By extension, knowledge about those actors should be in the hands of others who are mentioned in any linked matrices. Within a planned program we should be able to find out who should know who and who should know what. Earlier in this paper, I re-stated some generic implications of an actor-centred approach, that can be operationalised through the use of modular matrices, and 25 Where these are supported, this will be evident in the symmetric structure of matrix describing actor x actor relationships, showing A linked to B and B linked to A, etc. 44 which had formed the conclusions of the Seville paper (Davies, 2005). The fourth point made was: "… because all information is embodied, information is needed not just about distant changes, but also about who holds and provides that information. A networked view implies more attention to meta-monitoring: asking what people know (and don’t know) and what that means. A greater emphasis on meta-monitoring should itself help aid agencies cope with the problems of scale, the initial problem posed by the first paper." 8. Future Developments Developing rules about developing modules In this paper I have outlined a range of applications for matrices and network diagrams, in a variety of settings. The intention was to show just how scalable and adaptable network frameworks are. Linking the variety of possible applications is the integrating concept of modularity. Matrices that describe particular sets of relationships can be linked together to describe a larger picture. Links can be made back and forwards in time and up and downwards in physical scale. This ability helps us address the competing demands of scalability and sensitivity to local circumstances and details, which was the challenge of concern in the 2002 Seville paper (Davies, 2004b, 2005). Taking this idea forward, I have argued that there is a place here for an Open Source approach to the development of matrix modules. That is, we should encourage broad participation in the development of a public library of usable matrix modules. The assumption here is that doing so will unleash more creativity than if the modular matrix approach was treated in a proprietary way, as one persons property. This assumption has been encouraged by two recent publications on the social dimensions of the process of innovation: The Wisdom of Crowds (Surowiecki, 2004), and Democratizing Innovation (Von Hippel, 2005). If the aim is to collectively develop a public library of modular matrices then it will be useful to think about the rules that govern the contributions to that library. There are two types of rules that are likely to be useful: Rules about specification of completed matrices Rules about the matrix development process. Rules about matrices need to be in the form of minimal specifications. As such they should not be to demanding, or too many. The aim is to allow maximum innovation, while still ensuring some accumulation of collective benefit. The following rules are proposed: Matrices should have identifiable authors, who can be queried about the contents of the matrix Matrix dimensions should refer either to identifiable actors or observable entities or events. These may include documents and meetings, for example. They may also refer to parts of these, so long as they are identifiable. The intention of this rule is to enable some verification of intended or actual linkages within the matrix. Matrices should preferably have at least one common axis’ with one or more other matrices in the public library. The intention of this rule is to enable the construction of larger scale representations, using the modules available in the library. This rule should not be absolute. If it can be shown that other matrices 45 could be built that would link this matrix with those already in the library, the rule could be seen as being followed. Rules about the matrix development process also need to be in the form of minimal specifications. The aim here is to allow individual freedom but in forms that do not work against securing broad participation. The assumption being that the wider the participation in the development process, the more likely that useful innovations will be developed. The following rules are proposed: A full description of the new modules will be made publicly available, via the MMA mailing list26, in the first instance. The designer of the new matrix does not seek or claim sole copyright. The preferred form of protection is Creative Commons status27. Developing participatory data collection and analysis methods Social network analysis was developed as a research methodology primarily within an academic context (Freeman, 2004). Parallel to the development of matrix modules we need to develop approaches to the collection and analysis of network data that are appropriate to development aid programs. Methods need to be easy to understand, open to people's participation, manageable within a limited time span, and applicable at different stages of the planning cycle. As well as through the traditional use of surveys, data collection should be possible via workshop and other group settings. Participatory data analysis should be possible using simple methods that do not involve complex mathematics. For example the use of summary rows and columns introduced earlier in this paper. Feedback of aggregated data about network structures should be seen as a potential intervention, that may well widen many participants knowledge of the networks they belong to. In a development program, perhaps more than elsewhere, network structures should be expected to be relatively dynamic, and need repeated monitoring. Introducing modular matrices for the first time The above discussion assumes a growing interest and understanding in the MMA. If this is to be the case then there needs to be some ongoing promotion of the MMA. However, it can often be difficult to introduce new methods to people and organisations who already have established ways of doing things, or who might be wary of the costs of exploring and adopting new practices. Especially if the new method involves a significantly different way of thinking. With these concerns in mind, the following advice of offered: Don’t throw the Logical Framework away, or give people the impression that it should no longer be used. Instead use it as a bridge. Introduce the idea of Logical Framework having a social structure, and explain how making the Logical Framework more people centred can make it more useful, and easier to understand. Introduce the idea of the Logical Framework having a network structure, showing examples of how many activities can link to many outputs, many outputs to many purposes, etc. Then show how matrices can make those complex connections more visible and thus more amenable to planning, management, monitoring and evaluation. Start with one small step at a time. Do this by introducing a matrix that has immediate practical use. These are most likely to be ones that describe processes 26 27 See http://groups.yahoo.com/group/ModularMatrixApproach/ See http://creativecommons.org/ 46 inside their organisation, or ones that describe their relationships with users of their products and services. Introduce the idea of other linked matrices. If the initial focus was on a budget inputs x outputs matrix, introduce the idea of staff x outputs matrix. Or an outputs x users matrix. Then get people thinking about design of other matrices that may also be useful. Then introduce the idea of matrices that link different scales, or the past and future . Then get people think about the usefulness of a larger set of linked matrices. For example, those which will enable a whole trail of intentions to be mapped out, starting from events inside their organisation, on to their immediate clients and out to other people and organisation, and on to their clients of final concern. Don’t start by explaining the whole methodology (sections 4 & 5). Introduce this paper when people are interested in a wider perspective, beyond what might have immediate practical applications. 47 References Ahmed, Z., Hassan, M., Ladbury, S. (2004) Identifying Opportunities To Improve Efficiency In The Trade And Transport Sectors: A Study On Chittagong Port. Unpublished. Axelrod, R., Cohen, M. D. (1999) Harnessing Complexity: Organizational Implications of a Scientific Frontier. Free Press. London Batjes and Cummings, S. 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