Mock Paper Mark Scheme Advanced Subsidiary/Advanced GCE General Certificate of Education Subject STATISTICS Paper No. Mock S2 Question number 1. (a) Scheme Marks x 42 f(x) 1 7 1 7 Labelled axes and < 0, > 10 B1 B1 B1 x 6 (b) 1 7 10 P(X 5) = 1 – P(X < 5) =1– 5 42 =1– 25 84 12 5 = , 6, 10 B1 5 and or area ∆ M1 full method M1 (area of ∆) A1 59 84 (c) Probability it does not break down is 8459 2 = (3) M1 8459 2 probability it does break down is 1 – (4) (awrt) 0.507 A1 (2) B1 (1) (9) f(x) 2. 1 10 5.0 4.2 1.5 (a) (b) Question number P(X < 4.2) = 1.5 5.0 0 .8 = 0.08 10 P(X < 1.5) = 3 = 0.3 10 x M1 A1 (2) Scheme UA009018 – AS/Advanced GCE Mathematics: Mock Papers with Mark Schemes (Part 1) Marks Statistics S2 Mark Scheme (c) Y = no. of lengths with X < 1.5 Y ~ B(10, 0.3) M1 P(Y > 5) = 1 – P(Y 5) = 1 – 0.9527 (d) M1 A1 = 0.0473 R = no. of lengths of piping rejected R ~ B(60, 0.08) R ~Po(4.8) 4.8 or 60 (a) 4.82 P(R 2) = e4.8 1 4.8 2! = 17.32 e4.8 = 0.1425… 3. (a) (b) (c) B1 Po and 2, formula M1, M1 A1 (ft for their if full expression seen) (accept awrt 0.143) A1 cao (5) D is continuous B1 (1) Sampling Frame is the list of competitors or their results, e.g. label the results 1—200 and randomly select 36 of them B1 B1 (2) X = no. of competitors with A = 2 X ~ B(36, 1 3 M1 A1 19.5 12 P(X 20) P Z 8 12 , ‘z’ M1, M1 A1 = P(Z 2.65…) = 1 – 0.9960 (11) ) X ~N(12, 8) (d) (3) A1 = 0.004 Probability is very low, so assumption of P(A = 2) = (Suggests P(A = 2) might be higher.) UA009018 – AS/Advanced GCE Mathematics: Mock Papers with Mark Schemes (Part 1) 1 3 is unlikely. (6) B1, B1 (2) (11) Statistics S2 Mark Scheme Question number 4. (a) Scheme X = no. of vases with defects X ~ B(20, 0.15) P (X 0) = 0.0388 P(X 6) = 0.9781 Marks P(X 7) = 0.0219 B1 Use of tables to M1 find each tail M1 critical region is X 0, or X 7 A1, A1 (5) (b) Significance level = P(X 0) + P(X 7) = 0.0388 + 0.0219 = 0.0607 B1 (c) H0: = 2.5, H1: > 2.5 [or H0: = 10, H1: > 10] B1, B1 Y = no. sold in 4 weeks. Under H0 Y ~ Po(10) M1 P(Y 15) = 1 – P(Y 14) = , 1 – 0.9165 = 0.0835 M1, A1 More than 5% so not significant. Insufficient evidence of an increase in the rate of sales. A1 UA009018 – AS/Advanced GCE Mathematics: Mock Papers with Mark Schemes (Part 1) (1) (6) (12) Statistics S2 Mark Scheme Question number 5. (a) Scheme Marks F(1.5) = 1 k(2 (1.5)3 – (1.5)4) = 1 M1 81 =1 i.e. k 2 278 16 81 =1 i.e. k 108 16 (b) (c) P(T > 1) = 1 – F(1) , f(t) = F(t) = , 16 27 = 1– E(T) = 1.5 0 (2 – 1) = 16 27 16 27 (*) 11 27 t f (t ) dt = 0 t 1.5 (2) M1, A1 (2) Full definition B1 otherwise 32 27 A1 cso M1, A1 (6t 2 – 4t 3) 32 (3t 2 2t 3 ) 27 i.e. f(t) = 0 (d) k= 1.5 0 (3t 3 2t 4 ) dt t f (t ) (3) M1 3 3t 4 2t 5 2 = 32 27 5 0 4 ( = 32 27 = 9 2 243 64 185 A1 (0) 52 243 32 = 0.9 A1 cso (*) (3) (e) F(E(T)) = 16 27 (2 0.93 – 0.94) = 0.4752 (f ) P(T > 1T > 0.9) = evidence seen P(T 1) part (b) , = , = 0.7763… P (T 0.9) 1 part (e) accept awrt 0.776 B1 M1, M1, A1 (3) (14) UA009018 – AS/Advanced GCE Mathematics: Mock Papers with Mark Schemes (Part 1) Statistics S2 Mark Scheme Question number 6. (a) Scheme X = no. of customers arriving in 10 minute period P(X 4) = 1 – P(X 3) = , 1 – 0.6472 = 0.3528 X ~ Po(3) (b) (c) Marks M1 A1 Y = no. of customers in 30 minute period Y ~ Po(9) B1 P(Y 7) = 0.3239 M1 A1 p = probability of no customers in 5 minute period = e1.5 B1 (2) (3) C = number of 5 minute periods with no customers C ~ B(6, p) M1 P(C 1), = (1 – p)6 + 6(1 – p)5p M1, M1 A1 = 0.59866… (d) A1 (accept awrt 0.599) (6) W = no. of customers on Wednesday morning 3 12 hours = 210 minutes W ~ Po(63) ‘63’ M1 A1 Normal approximation W ~N(63, (63)2) P(W > 49) P(W 49.5) 49.5 63 = P Z 63 12 standardising = P(Z 1.7008) = 0.9554 (tables) UA009018 – AS/Advanced GCE Mathematics: Mock Papers with Mark Schemes (Part 1) B1 M1 M1 A1 (accept awrt 0.955 or 0.956) A1 (7) Statistics S2 Mark Scheme 6 Turn Over