Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations Niall O’Higgins Professor of Political Economy Department of Economics and Statistics Universita’ di Salerno Italy nohiggins@unisa.it February 2002 Prepared for ILO/Japan Tripartite Regional Meeting on Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific Bangkok, 27 February – 1 March 2002 This is a working paper written to serve as a basis for discussion at the ILO/Japan Tripartite Regional Meeting on Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific. The views and opinions expressed in this paper are those of the author and do not constitute an endorsement by the International Labour Organization. The paper has not been edited and should not be cited or distributed without consent from the author and the ILO. Please send comments and suggestions to ILO BAO/EASMAT at E-mail: teerasak@ilo.org. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations ii Table of Contents PART I: ANALYTICAL FRAMEWORK……………………………………………………………….1 WHO ARE THE YOUTH? …………………………………………………………………………………. 1 WHAT IS THE PROBLEM? ……………………………………………………………………………..… 1 POLICIES TO PROMOTE DECENT WORK FOR YOUTH……………………………………..……….. 2 TABLE 1 – BASIC ECONOMIC INDICATORS……………………………………..………………...… 16 TABLE 2 – YOUTH AND ADULT UNEMPLOYMENT RATES……………………………………….. 17 TABLE 3: HYPOTHETICAL EXAMPLE OF POST-PROGRAMME OUTCOMES……………………. 17 ENDNOTES……………………………………..……….……………………………………..………….. 18 PART II: COUNTRY STUDIES……………………………………………………………………..… 19 AUSTRALIA……………………………………..……….………………………………………..……… 21 HONG KONG……………………………………..……….……………………………………….……… 57 INDONESIA……………………………………..……….…………………………………………...…… 64 JAPAN……………………………………..……….…………………………………………………..… 80 PAPUA NEW GUINEA……………………………………..……….………………………………….… 99 SOLOMON ISLANDS……………………………………..……….………………………………….… 121 SRI LANKA……………………………………..……….…………………………………………..…… 149 THAILAND……………………………………..……….……………………………………………...… 171 VIET NAM……………………………………..……….……………………………………………….... 194 PART III: CONCLUSIONS AND POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS…………………………………… 222 REFERENCES……………………………………………………………………………………….… 225 Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations iii Part I: Analytical Framework Youth is a time of transition – first and foremost transition between childhood and adulthood. In this paper and in the studies on which it is based, the concern is with the transition from school to Decent Work or rather with the difficulties which may arise in this transition. The study also looks at what governments the social partners and civil society can and are doing about it. Of course, the countries under study vary much in terms of their levels of economic and social development, their institutional structures, as well as simply in size. Table 1 provides some basic economic and demographic information on the different countries considered here. Obviously such differences have implications for the types of policy which are advisable or indeed feasible; however, many of the recommendations developed are broadly applicable. An attempt is also made to distinguish between which types of policy are appropriate in which context. Who are the Youth? The conventional international definition of youth includes those age between 15 and 24 years old. The sense of this definition is that it runs from the earliest acceptable school leaving age to the age at which most people will have completely third level education. In practice of course, the definition adopted in different countries varies for the purposes of defining youth policy for example. Furthermore, in several countries looked at here, there is no minimum school leaving age, and in others school leaving and consequent early entry of young people to the labour market often occurs before the age of 15. This in itself may be considered a problem, the widespread use of child labour and indeed this has implications for the long-term development of the young people involved. While recognising this, the conventional definition is adopted here as far as possible. What is the problem? “Youth are an asset, not a problem.”1 Indeed, however, young people often face serious difficulties in effecting the transition from school to work. The simplest and most widely used indicator of the extent of the problem is the youth unemployment rate. The ILO currently estimates that there are 66 million young unemployed people in the world today. In industrialised countries, young people typically face unemployment rates which are twice as high as those of adults. In developing and transition countries the ratio is often much higher. Table 2 reports the youth and adult unemployment rates for the nine countries covered by this study. Here, the ratio varies from between 2.3 (Japan) to around 5 (Hong Kong). That is, young people are between two and a half and five times as likely to be unemployed as adults. The effective transition from school to Decent Work, however, involves more than just the avoidance of substantial levels of youth unemployment. Decent work is about obtaining and maintaining productive and satisfying employment; decent working conditions; and, income security. Particularly in countries where there is not an adequate social safety net, youth unemployment greatly underestimates the size of the problem which is compounded by substantial levels of informal sector work as well as by underemployment. In some countries, the problem may also be partially hidden by the existence of substantial numbers of young discouraged workers who, finding it impossible to obtain decent work, effectively withdraw from the labour market and thus Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 1 are not counted in the official statistics. Although difficult to measure, it is important to recognise that informal sector employment as well as underemployment also contribute significantly to the decent work deficit for young people2. Even if one limits one’s attention to the unemployment rate, it should be added that not all unemployment is equal. In particular, the negative consequences of unemployment are largely linked to extended and repeated unemployment spells rather than to unemployment per se. Short spells of unemployment are more or less a natural consequence of the process of job search and young people are, naturally, disproportionately represented amongst new labour market entrants. For this reason alone, one would expect young people to face higher unemployment rates than adults. Indeed, this argument has been used in the past to suggest that youth unemployment, even if high, does not constitute a serious problem. However, with more extended periods of unemployment, the negative consequences of youth (and adult) unemployment make themselves felt. Health problems, drug addiction, and other forms of social anomie and social unrest are strongly linked to extended periods of unemployment. Since young people are more adaptable but also more impressionable than adults, the long-term scarring effects of long unemployment spells are likely to be of even more consequence than for older workers. For the OECD, evidence suggests that the incidence of long-term unemployment is not significantly lower for young people than for adults (O’Higgins, 2001, Ryan, 2001). Although a standard indicator in many European and American countries, in Asia and the Pacific, the long-term unemployment rate is less frequently reported. However, to take one example, in Sri Lanka in 1997, the proportion of the unemployed in long-term unemployment (i.e. unemployed for more than one year), was 57% overall, with 31% for unemployed teenagers, but with 63% for unemployed young adults (20-24). That is, whilst teenagers seem to face on the whole relatively short spells of unemployment, the long-term unemployment rate for young adults was greater than for the unemployed as a whole. Thus, contrary to commonly held beliefs, there is evidence to suggest that unemployment for young people is not typically much shorter (and therefore less serious in its consequences) than for adults. Another aspect of the youth ‘transition’ problem concerns the distribution of the problem amongst different types of young people. Making the transition from education to employment is not a problem for all young people, and difficulties tend to be concentrated amongst specific groups: women, those with low levels of skill and/or education, ethnic minorities and the disabled. Policies to promote decent work for youth UN/WB/ILO recommendations In July 2000, an initiative on youth employment was launched by the UN Secretary-General Kofi Annan. This involved the establishment of an interagency network on Youth Employment under the joint auspices of the UN, the World Bank and the ILO. A high level panel was charged with the task of providing a set of policy recommendations on promoting youth employment. These recommendations were presented to Mr. Annan in September 2001 and comprise 12 specific policy recommendations as well as suggestions as to how the recommendations might be implemented. In general, four major themes or areas were identified to provide the foci for action. The four “E’s”, as one might call them, are: - Employability Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 2 - Equal opportunities Entrepreneurship Employment Creation Employability This element concerns first and foremost the skills with which young people enter the labour market and consequently the accessibility and, above all, quality of the education and training systems through which they pass. Two major levels may be identified here – basic literacy and more specific job related skills. Basic literacy arising from widespread access to basic levels of education is a fundamental prerequisite for facilitating the entry of young people into Decent Work. This is all the more so with the advent of the ICT revolution and the myriad possibilities which this revolution opens up particularly to the young. Possibilities, however, which can only be exploited under certain conditions, the first of which is a basic level of literacy. As the most recent World Employment Report notes, the question of basic literacy “cannot be leapfrogged,” (ILO, 2001, p. 201). More generally, it is regularly observed that all too often young people enter the labour market without the appropriate skills to obtain and retain good, productive jobs. The high level panel suggests the establishment by national governments of clear objectives and targets for improving education, training and other employability strengthening measures so as to promote Decent Work and Social Justice for the young. Equal Opportunities It is very clear that the opportunities open to young women and young men are not the same. As was observed above, in many countries, young women face unemployment rates which are well above those of young men. Furthermore, labour market disadvantage for young women makes itself felt in a much broader way than is indicated by an examination of unemployment rates alone. Levels of literacy and education in general are lower for women in the countries under study here. Also, the likelihood of low quality employment and underemployment is higher. Again the establishment of targets by national governments in terms of the reduction in disparities particularly as regards access to education and training is advocated. Entrepreneurship Education and training for employment is fine so long as there are sufficient jobs to go around. Whilst, in the long run, better education and training systems promote economic, and therefore employment, growth, in the short run education and training do not themselves provide jobs. As the high level panel put it, “there are too few employers and hence too few job opportunities in the world,” (UN/WB/ILO, 2001, p. 4). On the one hand governments need to rethink the legal and institutional framework which all too often prevent or impede the establishment and growth of new businesses. The ILO’s Recommendation on SMEs 3 provides a checklist of the sort of measures which may be introduced by governments in order to facilitate the process. At the same time training in the skills required to run one’s own business and other forms of support to new business start up can to do much to encourage young people to take their destiny into their own hands rather than await the arrival of job opportunities created by others. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 3 Employment Creation It is now firmly established4 that the level of youth unemployment is above all determined by the level of economic activity in a country. Supply side measures are clearly not of themselves sufficient to create employment. Promotion of small business start-ups is one step in the direction of promoting the creation of new jobs, however, more generally, attention needs to be paid to macroeconomic policies designed to promote economic and employment growth. Job creation needs to be a central concern of public policy. Youth employment policy should be integrated into a comprehensive employment strategy and supported by strengthening the linkages between employment and other macroeconomic, social and development policies. Active Labour Market Policies In this section, the specific question of Active Labour Market Policy (ALMP) is treated. The interpretation of ALMP here is quite broad including, for example, issues regarding education and training systems in as far as these influence labour market outcomes. Furthermore, the analysis is broken down into a number of categories which are clearly overlapping. Specifically, three basic categories of policy are identified; policies which operate on the supply side, on the demand side and policies which fulfil a matching function on the labour market respectively. Of course, many programmes include elements of two or all three of these functions promoting the supply and demand for young labour as well as fulfilling a job-matching function. Perhaps the most obvious examples of this are to be found in work based training programmes which typically involve human capital enhancement through training (supply-side), an element of wage subsidy to encourage young people to be hired as well as job-matching through the selection and placement of appropriate candidates by Public Employment Services (PES). Nevertheless, the distinction is useful for expository purposes as well as to identify the elements of programmes which are important in promoting successful outcomes. Supply Side: Enhancing Human Capital Education and Training Education and training can and do play a key role in promoting more and better work for young people. Indeed, the importance of improving education and training systems lies at the heart of the set of recommendations put forward by the High level Panel on Youth Employment. On the one hand, basic literacy is a fundamental condition for the exploitation of many of the gains to be had from new (or indeed many of the more traditional) technologies. On the other, thought needs to be put in to secondary level education in order to make the skills obtained in the education and training systems more responsive to labour market needs. Whilst the overall level of youth unemployment reflects the level of economic activity, much can be done to influence the relative level of youth to adult unemployment and thus to facilitate the entry of young people into productive work. The German system provides the example par excellence. In Germany, the ratio of youth to adult unemployment rates is of the order of one-to-one, in contrast to most of the countries under study here where the youth unemployment rate stands at between around two and a half and five times the adult rate (as already observed. However, in recent years problems have begun to emerge also there particularly as regards the fate of young people once they leave the dual system and also as regards its adaptability in times of rapidly changing occupational and industrial structures. Moreover, there are many questions as to the transferability of the German type system Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 4 to other countries with differing institutional bases. Many countries in the region have indeed introduced some form of dual system without, however, achieving the extraordinary performance of the German youth labour market. Notwithstanding this, the German system remains a useful example of what can be achieved and how to achieve it. In any event, the key issues concerned with education and training systems as preparations for work regard, first the provision of universal basic education to ensure a high level of literacy amongst the population and second, the need to adapt, and make adaptable, education and training systems so that they correspond, and respond, better to the needs of the labour market. The relative importance of the two issues, basic literacy and appropriate preparation for the labour market varies widely across the countries under study. In almost all countries, however, the level of education of the population has been steadily increasing since the 1970s at least. The exception to this is Australia where educational participation reached a peak in the early 1990s and has since declined very slightly. Although given the relatively high level of participation reached, this does not present too much cause for concern. More important is the low level of literacy observable in the pacific islands, specifically Papua New Guinea (PNG) and the Solomon Islands where the literacy rate stands at around 45% and 30% respectively. Although matters are gradually improving, it is clear that the provision of universal basic education must be a priority in these countries. In the Solomon Islands, still only 41% of 5-14 year olds are enrolled in education whilst in PNG, although the enrolment rate is somewhat, higher, 80% of eligible males and 67% of eligible females are enrolled in primary education, very few students continue onto secondary and almost none to tertiary level education. Moreover, as the above figures indicate, there is a substantial gender imbalance in school attendance; an imbalance which becomes extreme at the tertiary level education in which young men are more than three times as likely to participate as young women. The introduction of compulsory education in these countries would obviously mark a step in the right direction, but such could only be effective if adequate provision at the level of basic educational infrastructure. In most countries, major advances have been made in increasing participation in primary education over the last two or three decades although concerns still remain that participation in secondary and above-all tertiary education is relatively low with respect to other countries with comparable per capita income levels. In Indonesia, for example, the percentage of those with less than primary level education has fallen from 60.0% in rural and 29.1% in urban areas in 1971, to 9.3% and 3.5% in rural and urban areas respectively in 2000. Also notable here is the decrease in the gender disparity. In 1971, 59.8% of females had less than primary education compared to 46.2% of males. In 2000, the difference had all but disappeared with the figures standing at 7.2% for females and 6.0% for males. Thailand too has seen a similar reduction in gender disparities in educational participation. Concerns remain, however, regarding the relatively low levels of participation in the higher educational strata. In Sri Lanka for example, overall enrolment in tertiary education increased from 2.7% to 5.1% of the relevant population between 1980 and 1995, however, the average enrolment rate for comparable lower-middle income countries was 22% in 1997. Of more direct concern vis-à-vis the school-to-work transition, is the (in)appropriateness and (in)adequacy of Vocational Education and Training (VET) systems as a preparation for the labour market. In Sri Lanka, thirteen different ministries are involved in the provisions of VET. Here the major problem, apart from the general lack of co-ordination and complementarity between the different programmes is their lack of responsiveness to labour market conditions. All too often, Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 5 courses tend to be driven by supply rather than labour market demands. Furthermore, although participation of young women on such programmes is comparable to that of young men, young women tend to be channelled almost exclusively into traditionally female dominated areas such as secretarial courses. International experience suggests that links between educational systems and the labour market need to be developed and strengthened. The German case provides one very clear example of how this is possible. Recently in Australia, steps have been taken in this direction with the introduction of the Modern Australian Apprenticeship system in 1998. A similar point may be made with regard to labour market based programmes organised for unemployed young people once they have entered the labour market. The overwhelming international experience shows that an important element in these programmes is that they involve both (preferably off-the-job) training and work experience elements. There are several examples of this type of programme in the region amongst these the Job Placement and Employment Training Programme (JPET) in Australia and the Youth Pre-employment Training Programme (YPTP) in Hong Kong are two positive examples which are developed in the relevant country studies. Guidance and Counselling Much of the recent work in the area of policies to promote youth employment has emphasised the importance of guidance and counselling, both before and after young people enter the labour market5. In many countries the information available to young people does not allow them to make realistic choices concerning the options available to them. Indeed, in recent times, ALMPs have increasingly included a preliminary phase of orientation and guidance in which young people are made aware of the effectively available alternatives. In practice this has proven to be a relatively cost effective form of intervention which often obviates the need for more expensive work oriented training. Although guidance and counselling functions are relatively developed in the richer countries in the region such as Australia and Japan, both within the educational system and also on the labour market through Public Employment Services, this is not true in all of the others. One major obstacle in several of the countries under study here is the basic lack of labour market information on which to base guidance and counselling or indeed the more general job matching function fulfilled by Public (and increasingly private) Employment Services. This is particularly true in the pacific islands but has also been identified as a problem in somewhat more prosperous countries such as Indonesia, Sri Lanka and Viet Nam. Demand side: Creating Job Opportunities Public Works and Direct Job Creation Programmes In many countries in the region public works programmes were introduced on a fairly wide scale in the wake of the 1997 economic crisis. In essence, these types of programmes serve the purpose of providing income support to the unemployed in countries where there is not an established unemployment insurance or income support system as is the case in most of the countries considered here. They are also intended to maintain the labour market attachment of participants and to help mitigate some of the detrimental consequences of long-term unemployment. Finally, they can be used to produce goods of benefit to the community at large. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 6 For example, in Indonesia public works programmes have been used to employ principally young people in infrastructure development such as in the renovation of bridges and sewage systems as well as in the construction of religious facilities. What they do not do very effectively is promote the long-term employment prospects of participants. These programmes are generally temporary or short-term in nature, employing labour in relatively low skill work on specific projects. In some cases, the longer term, employment promotion role can be enhanced by the introduction of training elements. However, the overall finding of evaluation research on this subject, including, such as they are, evaluations of policies in Asia6, is that public works are not an effective means to integrate the unemployed into employment Other more prosaic problems have also arisen in the implementation of public works programmes in the region. For example, in PNG, where such programmes could play a very useful role in promoting the development of local infrastructure in rural areas, their use has been impeded by a lack of resources and simply the non-payment of wages of participants which has understandably discouraged subsequent involvement in such programmes. Another aspect worth mentioning and which may enhance the usefulness of public works is the importance of participation on a voluntary or self-selecting basis. In this sense, one may compare two programmes in Sri Lanka, the almost coercive approach of the Samurdhi programme and the self-selecting approach adopted within the Maharashtrian Employment Guarantee Scheme. Apart from taking unwilling workers away from other income-generating activities, the nonvoluntary approach is likely to be less useful in promoting long-term prospects. Participants will be less motivated and productivity will tend to be lower making also the specific task at hand more costly. Subsequently, potential employers will be aware that programme was not necessarily voluntary, which may reflect badly on the employer’s view of their potential productivity. In any event, such programmes are best seen as emergency income generating measures or means to promote work attachment amongst the long-term unemployed rather than as a means to promote the integration into long-term decent work of young people. Wage Subsidies Wage subsidies, or more generally financial incentives to firms 7, have sometimes been used to promote the employment of specific groups such as young people. For example, in Japan, financial incentives were provided to firms to increase employment in 15 growth industries as part of the emergency measures introduced in 1999. They suffer from some difficulties however. Care needs to be taken that the workers employed would not have been taken on by recipients of the subsidy even without the intervention (deadweight loss); that employers do not simply substitute one group of workers (eligible for subsidy) for another whom are not eligible (substitution effect); or, that the jobs created do not displace jobs in other firms which do not receive the subsidy and are therefore less able to compete in the product market with subsidy recipients (displacement effect). In each case, the key question is: does the subsidy create new jobs which would not have existed in its absence? For obvious reasons it is rather difficult to ensure this is so and such programmes have often been criticised on the grounds that they are consequently a relatively costly way of increasing overall employment with a low level of net job creation. However, careful targeting of both direct recipients (firms) and the ultimate beneficiaries (new employees) can mitigate this problem. Of specific concern to youth employment promotion, one might raise the further question of whether high relative wages of young people constitute a serious impediment to their employment. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 7 In Australia, since 1994, the wages of young people relative to adults has fallen by 20%. At the same time, the youth unemployment situation has worsened significantly particularly in comparison to adults. This certainly does not support the view that the problem lies with the high relative wages demanded by, or paid to, the young and that therefore wage subsidies mare likely to have a significant impact.8 On the other hand, there is some evidence to suggest that in Thailand, at least, the relatively high level of the minimum wage with respect to the average wage has damaged the employment prospects of teenagers. Although one might further note that such damage is far outweighed by the influence of aggregate economic and labour market conditions.9 Numerous examples of wage subsidies or policies that include an element of wage subsidy are discussed in the country studies. As regards young people, this very often involves a training component and indeed, as noted above, the combination of training and employment experience appears to be the most productive basic remedial approach to the integration into work of young people who do not manage the transition by themselves. Youth and ICT The ICT ‘revolution is opening up new potential areas for development and employment. At the same time, taking advantage of these possibilities is by no means automatic. The so-called ‘digital divide’ has already been the subject of much discussion. The latest World Employment Report (ILO, 2001), for example, looks at the implications of the new technologies for both the quantity and the quality of employment. Young people are perhaps particularly well placed in terms of temperament and abilities to take advantage of the new possibilities offered. Of course, also they are advantaged in the sense that when their older counterparts were at school, ICT was not so far developed and was much less likely to be available. However, of course the introduction of computers to schools and school curricula has taken place at varying rates in the region. Certain conditions are required in order that the young, and indeed also older, people can take advantage of the new potential offered. Much of course depends on the more general state of development of the country. As noted above, the question of literacy cannot be side-stepped or ‘leapfrogged’ and this indeed is a first basic condition for the development of widespread possibilities through ICT development. A second fundamental requisite is the availability of basic infrastructure necessary for the operation of computers and moreover computer networks. In some countries, and particularly but not only, the Pacific Islands, the lack of availability of electricity in rural areas presents a basic, but also substantial, obstacle. ICT based development also of course requires an adequate telephone network preferably at low cost. Another important factor is the political environment. Governments need to develop an ICT Policy and above-all develop a policy as regards the introduction of ICT educational curricula. For example, Sri Lanka is in the relatively advantageous starting position in that it may benefit to some extent from the good reputation gained by its nearby neighbour India’s thriving ICT industry. However, here too, exploitation of the possibilities offered is in its early stage and progress is hampered above all by limited access to the new technology and by the concomitant scarcity of ICT trained professionals. The government has established CINTEC which is charged with developing guidelines for the promotion of ICT education in the country. CINTEC has established a target for the expansion of the number of ICT professionals tenfold from 2,500 to 25,000 over the next 4-5 years, however, as yet there are no national standards or guidelines for ICT based education. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 8 Although in many countries the importance of ICT development is formally recognised. Translation of this recognition into practical action is often lagging behind. One way forward towards the aim of extending ICT access and literacy may lie in public-private partnerships such as becoming common in OECD countries. This indeed has been emphasised by the UN ICT task force as a key to ICT development in developing countries (UN ICT Taskforce, 2001). Apart from developing ICT in the education system, young people are perhaps also ideally placed to take advantage of the opportunities offered by ICT technology in the search for work. This question, and in particular, the use of the Internet by Public Employment Services in fulfilling their function is discussed further below. Self-employment and small business support Particularly in circumstances where there are relatively few existing job opportunities, attention fairly naturally turns to initiatives designed to promote self-employment. As noted in the High Level Panel’s Recommendations action may be taken at two levels. On the one hand measures may be introduced to facilitate the establishment of new businesses by reforming the institutional and legislative framework which often acts as an impediment to business start-ups. Indeed, this type of action can also have a beneficial impact on the size of the informal sector. By making it simply to operate legally, the incentives to operate in the unregulated sector are reduced. Noteworthy in this respect is the recent law on Enterprises\, effective from 1 January 2000, in Viet Nam. This has simplified the procedures and introduced preferential treatment for the establishment of small businesses. By May 2001, 21,234 new businesses and 220,000 ‘Business Households’ had been established under this law. On average the new businesses employ 20 workers which means that these alone (excluding business households) have, in principle, created 420,000 new jobs. On the other hand, initiatives may be introduced to directly promote self-employment for young people. The main lesson to be learned from experiences with such initiatives is that a range of services are required to make them effective. Perhaps the main areas of help regard access to credit and training in business skills, however, a rather broader set of measures is likely to significantly improve the chances of success. Not to be, but all too often, forgotten here is the question of ongoing business support. As well as providing a general legislative framework in which SME’s may develop and grow, there is a need to ensure that businesses started through programmes providing credit and business training programmes do not fail as soon as the initial support is removed. In the region, programmes to promote self-employment are widespread. Amongst others one might mention the TKPMP in Indonesia or the Employment Fund in Vet Nam which provides credit for business start-ups. Also in Hong Kong, the YTPT also contains an element of entrepreneurship training. In Sri Lanka the emphasis in this sphere is on micro-credit programmes for the more educated and in particular, graduates of tertiary education. Several observations are worth making here. One is the need to examine the areas where businesses are encouraged to develop, particularly when it comes to thinking I terms of business development rather than just business start-ups. In Sri Lanka, for example, one problem emerging is the lack of expansion possibilities offered by the type of product or service offered. Very often, micro-businesses supply a limited niche market with little or no possibility for expansion. The New Enterprise Incentive Scheme in Australia, provides an example of a relatively successful programme aimed at unemployed people over 18 including the three main necessary elements; training, financial support as well as (ongoing) business advice. The programme also includes the provision that businesses Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 9 should not be in direct competition with existing enterprises unless the additional demand for product or service can be shown. Certainly one major element in the success of this programme lies in the wide variety of support services available once businesses are started up. Private Sector development The need to provide the conditions to encourage the development of the private sector lies at the heart of the UN/WB/ILO Recommendations. On the one hand, aggregate economic conditions are by far and away the major cause of youth unemployment and thus governments need to adopt macroeconomic policies which encourage overall economic and employment growth. Necessarily this must largely take place in the private sector. On the other, governments need to adopt policies to make the creation of employment easier. Foremost amongst these are regulatory and institutional impediments to start-ups and growth of small and medium size enterprise. This does not of course mean encouraging private sector to the detriment of the working conditions of the employed. In general, there is little evidence to suggest that employment protection plays a negative role in the creation of new jobs. Rather, there are many areas where regulations and bureaucracy can be simplified such as ‘one-stop shops’ for business start-ups. The ILO Recommendation on job creation in SMEs previously referred to provides many such examples. Matching Demand to Supply – Employment Services Employment Services can and in many countries do play an essential role in promoting the employment of young people. In most countries they are responsible for the administration and implementation of ALMPs. Moreover, they can also play a very important role in providing access to counselling, guidance and labour market information. Public Employment Services In industrialised countries the job matching function fulfilled by public employment services is becoming ever more important. Indeed, more and more, ALMPs include an element of guidance, counselling and job search assistance. Thus, PES, beyond administering financial unemployment assistance, is taking a more active role in the promotion of employment through the implementation of ALMPs themselves but also through the role of matching job seekers to jobs. With the exception of Australia and Japan, in the countries under study, this function is largely underdeveloped. In Viet Nam, there are 143 Employment service Centres which provide occupational guidance for some 200,000 workers per year. However, although there is a law requiring that, for example, foreign enterprises recruit through the centres, research suggests that only 55% of jobs are filled in this manner. In many countries, the PES also organise job fairs which bring together prospective employers and young potential employees. However, although these no doubt play a useful informational role in terms of informing young people about the available opportunities and vice versa with firms, little actual recruitment actually takes place during these events. In the Pacific Islands, such centres essentially do not exist. In any event, in most countries, jobs are mostly filled through informal contacts of relatives and friends or through direct recruitment by firms. In these and other countries, the problems are compounded by the lack of an effective labour market information system which should form the basis of job-matching function of the PES. This in itself is no bad thing so long as the system works efficiently. The large numbers of unsuccessful young job seekers however suggests that this is not the case. Clearly, there is room for an increase in the active role played by the PES. One way in which this may be accomplished, Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 10 particularly suitable to young people, is through the establishment of and access to Internet based job-seeking services. In Australia these are already well established and in Japan they are in the process of being implemented. In the less wealthy countries of the region where access to computers and above all the Internet is problematic, employment centres could, in principle, be a focal point for access to the Internet for job-seeking. Essentially what is required is for the centres to be seen as a useful source of information and access to jobs. The PES needs to make itself more attractive to young people by providing useful services. Private Employment Services ILO Convention 181 (1997) on Private Employment Agencies recognises the growing role of the private sector in providing job placement services and establishes basic rules to govern their operation. For the most part, such agencies play a complementary role to the PES, providing their services to job seekers not normally covered by the public agencies. Thus, these tend to concentrate on placing high-skilled professionals and such like. In Indonesia, private agencies are involved also in the hiring of casual workers. Here problems have arisen because it is not always obvious to the employees who is actually responsible for the contract of employment and when disputes arise, such as on dismissal, employees find that they cannot take action against the company for whom they work. The ILO Convention is specific on this point identifying the recruiting company as the employer. In any event, private sector involvement in the job matching function remains relatively underdeveloped in the region. Evaluating the Effectiveness of Youth Labour Market Policies: LMI, Monitoring and Evaluation A key element in the design and subsequent modification of youth (as indeed for adult) employment policies is the monitoring and evaluation stage. This very much relies on an established labour market information (LMI) collection system. As already noted, this is something that is entirely lacking or largely inadequate in most of the countries considered here. LMI is necessary also at the planning stage. One needs to know with some precision the difficulties that the target group or groups face on the labour market. Which of those amongst, for example, the general category of ‘youth’ are most in need of assistance and so forth. Once programmes are actually implemented, monitoring of the programmes (sometimes referred to as process evaluation 10) can be used to ensure that for example, the programmes reach the designated target group, that programme costs are kept within target limits, that a target proportion of the group complete programmes, that a target proportion of participants find employment after the programme and so on. Where these targets are not met, further consideration can be given to why this is so and corrective action adopted. The central elements here are on the one hand the establishment of targets. Targets which must be realistic and realisable given the resources allocated to the programme. On the other hand, the collection of information is necessary in order to allow such process evaluation to take place. Both of these are very obvious albeit fundamental points, however, experience shows that the importance of their role is clearly underestimated in the implementation of youth labour market policies in the region. Also of crucial importance in the improvement of the design of programmes is the postprogramme evaluation of programme impact. This is even less frequently undertaken involving as it does rather more resources. However, it is at least as important as monitoring. It is with impact evaluation that one may gain an understanding of what the effects of the programme actually are. Essentially, impact evaluation seeks to compare the experiences of participants on programmes Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 11 with what would have happened in the absence of the programme 11. This in itself is not an easy an easy exercise and much ink and effort have been employed to develop and refine the methodology. However, the crucial element is that the experiences of programme participants are compared with a like group of people12 who act as a proxy for the experiences of participants in the absence of the programme. To make this point clear let me present a simple example. Suppose the government of a country is considering whether to introduce a programme for the educated or one for those without qualifications. Suppose also that there are two pilot training programmes. One is aimed at people with at least a minimum level of qualifications and the other is aimed at those with none. Column (1) of table 3 gives the post-programme employment rates of participants on the two programmes. Judged on this basis, Programme 1 is by far the more “effective”, with post-programme employment rates at 80 per cent as opposed to 50 per cent achieved by Programme 2. However, the picture changes if we compare the labour market performance of participants on the two programmes with those of similar individuals who did not participate. Column (2) gives the employment rates of two comparable groups of young people who did not participate on either programme. Those with some qualifications compare with Programme 1 participants and those without qualifications compare with participants on Programme 2. Column (3) reports the “effect” of the programme measured as column (1) minus column (2), i.e. the improvement in the employment prospects of participants brought about as a result of the programme. Using this criterion, it can be seen that Programme 2 is the more successful. Participants’ chances of finding employment rose by 30 percentage points against 10 percentage points for Programme 1 participants. There are a number of problems with selecting the comparison group, but the important point here is that using gross outcomes (i.e. post-programme placement rates) can lead to a highly misleading estimate of programme performance. Amongst other things, employment rates will tend to rise during an economic boom and fall during a recession, inducing variations in performance which have nothing to do with the quality of the programme per se. Furthermore, using gross outcomes as a measure of performance will tempt programme administrators to select participants according to their employment prospects. They will tend to choose the most able rather than those most in need of help. All too often, programmes tend to aid those already in a position to help themselves at the expense of the most disadvantaged groups. It is perhaps more desirable to concentrate on groups which have the most difficulty in finding work. The use of gross outcomes as a measure of performance clearly militates against this. The Social Partners The country case studies included here are notable in the relative lack of information on the involvement of the Social Partners. Workers’ and Employers’ organisations are in a position to play a critical role in the design and implementation of labour market policies for young people. First ion developing the all important school-labour market links Linking School with the Labour Market Perhaps the most obvious way to link education and work is to use a system which divides vocational preparation between school-based general training and firm-based specific training as in the case of the dual system. This type of system has been the most successful in easing the transition of young people between school and work. However, the key to success is not only in the Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 12 division of responsibility but also in the fact that the general education and training provided in schools matches the requirements of the world of work. Sako (1994) notes a number of reasons why the education sector may not meet such requirements. Common problems include an approach that may be too theoretical or academic; another problem is that the curricula for vocational training may be outdated. In Germany, the involvement of employers’ organizations and trade unions in developing curricula for the dual apprenticeship system means that the requirements of the world of work (both in individual terms and at the level of the firm) are borne in mind. The qualifications gained are therefore more relevant to the needs of the labour market. Of course, firms are not perfect judges of skill requirements and the system may be characterized by a rather slow adjustment to unforeseen new requirements. However, firms are likely to be able to assess their needs more accurately than educational policy makers removed from the realities of the labour market. The challenge of adapting education systems to rapid changes in the demand for skills can be partly met by strengthening basic educational qualifications, and giving young people the skills they need for constant adaptation to a changing work environment. Another way of linking the world of education with the world of work is through placing trainees in public or private firms. Job placement may take several forms and operate at different levels. Work experience may be offered to young people as part of the school curriculum for less academically inclined students to prepare them for entry into the world of work. Young people may thus gain a more realistic idea of specific types of employment, and practical experience may provide a welcome break from classroom instruction. Employers, on the other hand, gain access to prospective employees and strengthen their formal and informal links with educational establishments. In addition, young people on work placement produce an output which has a certain value to employers. At a higher level of education, links may be established through firms sponsoring individuals in pursuit of higher qualifications. This is likely to be relevant when there is a shortage of skilled workers. Corporate sponsorships of this type have been offered in the United Kingdom to science and engineering undergraduates by BP, Shell and IBM. Sponsorship may help maintain a supply of young people with the right kind of qualifications and may also give industrial employers some influence over specific subject studies. Employer and trade union involvement may also take place in the schools themselves. For example, representatives of trade unions or employers may give talks about the nature of different jobs or occupations. Union representatives from a particular trade may give students an idea of what an apprenticeship in that occupation involves. Employers might enhance their company image by presenting the work of the firm to students or by offering prizes for school projects. Needless to say, such interventions should be an addition to, not a substitute for, high quality employment and training opportunities. Active labour market policy Employers’ and workers’ organizations are involved in the design and implementation of ALMP in many countries. However, the extent to which formal involvement is actually translated into a real input into the policy-making process varies enormously. Very often the social partners are included on a collaborative or consultative basis with national labour market boards and/or public employment services. Indeed, the collaboration of “representatives of employers and workers Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 13 in the organization and operation of the employment service and the development of employment service policy” (italics added) is provided for in ILO Convention No. 88 (Art. 4) Concerning the Organization of the Employment Service. Furthermore, the ILO’s Report on Youth to the 1986 International Labour Conference stated that: “Trade unions and employers’ organizations have a crucial role to play at all levels where policy is made or action taken to create employment for youth or to facilitate the transition from school through training to employment. Workers’ and employers’ organizations not only contribute with their experience but also take part in the creation of policies in whose implementation those they represent have a major role to play.” (ILO, 1986, p. 137). Involving the social partners in the formulation and implementation of ALMP is likely to increase the effectiveness of such policies. There are several reasons why this may be so. First, the involvement of employers and workers implies a commitment on their part to the success of policies and programmes. This joint commitment, in itself, will tend to enhance the effectiveness of policy. Second, a related point is that the quality of programmes is likely to be higher if the social partners are involved. Numerous studies have demonstrated that programmes which are more closely linked to private employers are likely to be more effective. Employers may use programmes as a recruitment and/or screening device. Also, the relevance of training is probably greater in the context of private employer involvement. The skills acquired are likely to be closer to those required by the labour market than those taught on programmes without such direct labour market links. The involvement of workers’ organizations can help avoid some of the pitfalls of work experience and training programmes. In promoting the training content (and, through careful monitoring, ensuring the effective implementation) of programmes, workers’ organizations can guard against the exploitation of programme participants, at the same time helping to promote their long-term prospects of good quality employment. They can also ensure that programme participants are not substituted for other categories of worker. In programmes to promote self-employment, the involvement of employers is immediately relevant. They can provide advice and support, and might introduce the self-employment option in schools or act as mentors. They can also sponsor business competitions. Guaranteeing training An important role in guaranteeing training can be played by workers’ and employers’ organizations in the context of education and training systems as a whole and in employment and training programmes as part of ALMP. First of all, it has been demonstrated by many authors that the presence of a trade union in the workplace increases the probability that a firm will provide training for its workers.13 Second, workers’ and employers’ organizations have an important role in guaranteeing the quality of training. A country where this takes place effectively is Germany. One of the key aspects of the German system is the high information content of certificates provided under the dual apprenticeship system. This is possible because of the participation of workers’ and employers’ organizations in national committees which regulate the content, quality and Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 14 standardization of certification. As a result, a young person who successfully completes an apprenticeship programme and gains the corresponding qualification is able to demonstrate the possession of tangible skills by virtue of the certificate. Potential employers will be aware of the skills acquired by the individual during occupational training. Third, workers’ and employers’ organizations can play a useful role in resolving the financing problem. Who should, and who does, finance training is one of the major stumbling blocks to an effective training system. As is well known, there is a basic argument going back to Becker (1964) that firms will not be prepared to finance general training, i.e. training which is also useful to other firms, but will only finance training which is useful to the firm itself. This is because firms which provide general training run the risk that their employees may be “poached” by nontraining firms once they have qualified, thereby losing their investment in training. This “financing problem” has been effectively resolved in the German system. Firms provide training for employees which has both firm-specific and general elements. The tripartite form of control contributes significantly to the feasibility of this financing system. First, tripartite maintenance of the system has clarified the distribution of costs between the contributing partners and arrived at an agreed division between the State, apprentices and employers. This contrasts sharply with countries such as the United States where apprentices pay the full cost of their training, which is likely to lead to a sub-optimal level of training from a societal point of view.14 In Germany, the State contributes principally by supporting the vocational training centres providing off-the-job training to apprentices.15 Employers provide on-the-job training while apprentices contribute by accepting a relatively low allowance during training.16 Two key elements of the financing system, the avoidance of “poaching” by non-training firms and the low labour cost of apprentices to firms are made possible or at least strongly encouraged by tripartite control of the system. On the one hand, poaching is made more difficult for non-training firms because trade union influence on plant-level Works Councils has led to the implementation of differential wage agreements for workers trained internally or externally to the firm (Soskice, 1994). The higher wage payable to externally recruited trained personnel provides an effective discouragement to poaching by firms. On the other hand the relatively low apprentice allowance encourages the provision of training by firms because the effective cost of in-plant training is shared with the apprentices themselves.17 The role of trade unions is fundamental in guaranteeing the quality of training and therefore making the low allowance an acceptable solution for all, including the young people themselves. Apprentices know that they will obtain good quality employment with a relatively high level of remuneration once they are qualified. Two alternative ways of dealing with poaching have been suggested. One is to finance training through a payroll levy with exemptions for firms which provide training. This may be administered at national level, although it may be better for such levies to be administered at sectoral level given differing skill requirements in different industries which will affect the cost of training. The second approach is for employers’ organizations, through their control over resources which are of value to firms, to introduce sanctions against firms not providing training. Employers’ and workers’ organizations can also be directly involved in the provision of training. This is particularly helpful in the case of small firms where it may not be viable to make provision for training within the firm. Finally, workers’ and employers’ organizations can play an important promotional role in advocating measures aimed at improving the employment prospects of young people. This includes appeals to the private sector to create or increase the provision of training. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 15 A Word on What follows The text below continues in Part II with summaries of the main findings of country papers prepared in Australia, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Japan, PNG, Solomon Islands, Sri Lanka, Thailand and Viet Nam. Full texts of these studies are available on the ILO-EASMAT website. Part III then brings together the discussion providing some conclusions concerning the lessons learnt and some general policy recommendations. Table 1 – Basic Economic indicators GDP p.c. (USD ppp) 1999 HD ranking (2001) Average FDI 1999 (US$ annual real million) GDP growth rate 1995-2000 Population 2000 (million) Australia 24,574 2 Hong Kong 22,090 24 3.5 23.1 6.80 Indonesia 2,857 102 1.9 -2.7 210.49 Japan 24,898 9 Papua New Guinea 2,367 122 0.7 0.3 4.40 Solomon Islands 900 (est. 2000) 147* -0.4 0.0 0.46 Sri Lanka 3,279 81 5.1 0.2 19.36 Thailand 6,132 66 1.7 6.2 62.41 Viet Nam 1,860 101 7.4 1.6 77.69 18.97 126.69 Sources: GDP, HD ranking – UN (2001), Solomon Islands - CIA factbook. Average annual real GDP growth rate 1995-2000 – Author’s calculations from ADB (2001). FDI – ADB (2001) Population – ADB (2001) except Australia, Japan (1999) from OECD (2001a). Note: Solomon Islands’ HD ranking is an equivalent ranking from UNDP. The Islands are not included in the formal ranking. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 16 Table 2 – Youth and adult unemployment rates Teenager (15-19) Unemployment Rate Australia (1999) Hong Kong (2000) Young Adult (20Adult 24) Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate 15.0 25.5 6.2 - 5.0 Indonesia (2000) 19.9 6.1 Japan 9.2 4.0 Papua New Guinea (1990) 17.5 11.2 n.a. Solomon Islands (1999) 56.9 40.0 n.a Sri Lanka (1997) 33.3 29.1 10.5 Thailand (1998) 7.4 2.4 Viet Nam (1999) 4.5 2.1 (25-34) Source – Hong Kong, Indonesia, PNG, Solomon Islands & Sri Lanka - Country Case studies; Australia & Japan - ADB (2001); Thailand - ILO (2002). Note: For adult unemployment rates, the use of italics implies the use of the aggregate unemployment rate (including young people) rather than the adult unemployment rate per se. Table 3: Hypothetical example of post-programme outcomes (1) Percentage of programme participants in employment following the programme (2) Percentage of the comparison group who are employed (3) “Effect” of the programme on employment rates (in percentage points) Programme 1: More educated participants 80 70 +10 Programme 2: Less educated participants 50 20 +30 Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 17 Endnotes 1 UN/WB/ILO (2001). Although there are internationally accepted definitions of both informal sector employment (ILO, 1993) and (timerelated) underemployment (ILO, 1998) application of these definitions is not always straightforward requiring, as it does, a well-developed labour market information system. 3 ILO Recommendation 189 (1998) on Job Creation in Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises. 4 See, for example, ILO (1999), O’Higgins (1997, 2001), Ryan (2001). 5 See, for example, Fay (1996). 6 See, for example, Betcherman et al. (2000). Often, as the case with the cited study, conclusions are largely based on evaluations carried out in other parts of the world. This in no small part is due to the almost total absence of systematic control-group based evaluations of ALMP in the region. This point will be returned to below in the discussion of the evaluation of the effectiveness of youth employment policy. 7 This may also include, for example, tax incentives for firms to take on specific groups and so on. 8 The lack of relationship between the labour market situation of young people and the wages of the young relative to adults has been noted more generally in the OECD as a whole (e.g. O’Higgins, 2001, Ryan, 2001). 9 Arya (2002). The question of the impact of minimum wages on youth employment in a variety of countries is discussed in O’Higgins (2001, chapter 6). The general finding, based on both theoretical reasoning and empirical investigation, is that raising the minimum wage may decrease youth employment but it may also increase it. There is no a priori expectation as to the sign of the effect. However, other things being equal, the higher the minimum wage is with respect to the overall average wage, the more likely it is that increasing it will have negative employment consequences for the young and particularly teenagers. 10 Auer & Kruppe define monitoring as the “regularly conducted observation of statistical indicators of labour market policy input/output and performance (outcome) for the purpose of improving programme implementation and even programme design,” (Auer & Kruppe, 1996, p. 901). O’Higgins (2001, chapter 5) provides a somewhat more detailed discussion of monitoring and evaluation. For extensive treatment of these questions with regard to VET, see also, Grubb & Ryan (1999). 11 Here I limit myself to a schematic overview. More details can be found in O’Higgins (2001, chapter 5) and/or Grubb & Ryan (1999). For a practical handbook on the implementation of impact evaluation, see also, Baker (2000). 12 Typical examples are the programme participants before participation or other young people who do not participate in the programme. More recently, attention has turned to experimental methods involving the random selection of programme participants from a larger group of eligible persons. Discussion of this goes beyond the scope of this paper. For more details see the above-cited works on evaluation. 13 See, for example, Booth (1991), Tan et al. (1992) and Green et al. (1996). 14 Since capital markets are, in practice, imperfect it is unlikely that trainees will be either willing or able to borrow enough to finance the socially optimum level of training. 15 The State also provides subsidies to support talented, disadvantaged and disabled apprentices (Gasskov, 1994). 16 The training allowance varies widely from sector to sector. The allowance for an apprentice tailor is only about 15 per cent of that of a scaffold builder (Gasskov, 1994). However as noted above, on average the apprentice allowance is around one-third of the skilled worker’s wage. 17 Indeed, the net costs to firms in some cases may actually be negative. That is to say, the value of the output produced by the apprentices may be greater than their cost to the firm. This is likely to occur in occupations with relatively low skill requirements (Soskice, 1994). 2 Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 18 Part II: Country Studies 1) Australia 2) Hong Kong 3) Indonesia 4) Japan 5) Papua new Guinea 6) Solomon Islands 7) Sri Lanka 8) Thailand 9) Viet Nam Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 19 Australia Australia’s economic growth for nine years to mid 2000 has been described by the OECD as ‘remarkable’ (OECD, 2001b, quoted in Curtain, 2001). There has been nine years of continuous growth, representing the longest period of economic expansion since the 1960s. According to a joint publication in January 2001 by the country’s key organisations representing the social partners1, ‘Australia is enjoying a sustained period of prosperity and affluence. Most of the country’s economic fundamentals are positive – low inflation, consistent economic growth, strong export growth, high labour productivity, sustainable fiscal policy and solid returns for investors’. (Boston Consulting Group, 2001). Accompanying this economic growth has been significant job creation with corresponding reductions in the national unemployment level, and rises in labour force participation. In the last five years alone, the total number of jobs grew by over 800,000 or 10%. The unemployment level dropped to a national low of 6.1% in October 2000, the lowest figure since 1990. The last twelve months has seen a slowing of national economic growth, with negative impacts on job creation and employment levels. Unemployment rose to 7.1% in September 2001, only to fall back to 6.7% in December 2001. The long-term prospects are still uncertain given the events of September 11, but most commentators are expecting a further slowing of economic growth and unemployment levels to climb over 7%. Despite the overall economic and job growth of the last decade, the reality of persistently high levels of youth unemployment remains a major national challenge. Job growth in recent years has overwhelmingly benefited adults aged 25 years and over, with only 1% more 15-24 year olds in employment in 2000 than in 1995. (The Prime Minister’s Youth Pathways Action Plan Taskforce, 2001). The unemployment rate for teenagers is three times greater than the national overall figure. For young adults (20-24 years) the unemployment rate is double that of older age groups. According to the Australian Bureau of Statistics the national unemployment rate in October 2001 for persons seeking full time employment was 24.1% and 11.3% for 15-19 years and 20-24 years respectively. This involved a total of 161,400 unemployed young people. An additional 96,100 were seeking part time employment. Young People in Australia Table 1 below reports the number and proportion of 15 to 24 year olds in the Australian population since 1976 and youth population projections through to 2026. In 1999, there were approximately 2.7 million 15 to 24 year olds, representing 14.2% of total population. This figure is well down from the peak proportion of 18% in 1979. As illustrated by Table 1, the proportion of young people is projected to decline to 13.5% in 2006 and 12.3% by 2026. In 1996, there were approximately 72,000 indigenous young people (Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), 1997). This represented 2.7% of all young people, compared to 2.1% in 1996. Of more significance is the fact that the proportion of indigenous population under 25 years old was 60% in 2000, compared to only 21% for total population – this represents an area of major challenge for the future labour market. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 20 More than 420,000 young people – or almost one in six were born overseas (ABS, 1997). In 1996, 43% of Australia’s youth population born overseas were from Asian countries and 25% from European countries. This is a reversal from ten years earlier (1986) where the equivalent proportions were 19% and 52% respectively (Prime Minister’s Youth Pathways Action Plan Taskforce, 2001). Australian young people are strongly urban in terms of location – 66% are living in major urban centres, due largely to the greater availability of work and education opportunities (ABS, 1997). In 1997, 66% of young people were living with their parents (ABS, 4110.0), a proportion that has increased from 61% in 1982. This trend of greater dependency on parents reflects the increased educational participation rates and deferral of partnering, child bearing and home purchasing. Just under 50% of 20 to 24 year olds have established separate households. One fifth of 20-24 year olds are living with a partner. 12% of 20-24 year olds (150,000) have dependant children, of which 45,000 (nearly all female) were sole parents (ABS, 1997). Numbers of homeless young people appear to be increasing in Australia. One study estimates 15,000 – 19,000 homeless youth in 1991, growing to 37,000 homeless young people aged 12 to 24 on a typical night in 1998 (MacKenzie & Chamberlain, 1998). Over the past 20 years, there has been a substantial decline in the proportion of young people who leave school early in Australia2. Now only approximately 10% of young people leave school before age 16. This group is concentrated among those with low levels of achievement in literacy and numeracy, males, indigenous students and young people from rural locations. In 1980, only one third of Australians completed 12 years of education. Now 70% of young Australian complete, providing Australia with one of the highest school participation rates amongst OECD countries (OECD, 2000). However, as table 2 below shows, education participation peaked in 1993 and has slightly declined since that time. Finally, the stressful nature of the transition from school to work and its health implications needs to be noted. The Boston Consulting Group (2001) captured its impact well with this statement, ‘the transition from school to work is a turbulent and uncertain period for most young people, even if many of them start on the right track. It may involve several steps forth and back between education and work. Living through this transition is a stressful time for many young people. Young Australians aged 18-24 years have the highest prevalence of mental health disorder of any age group. Over a quarter of young people (27%) report suffering from some form of mental health disorder such as anxiety (involving feelings of tension, distress or nervousness), affective (mood) or substance abuse disorders’. Overall labour market trends (a) Employment 3 Table 3 below provides a summary of the employment situation in Australia in 1991 and 2001. The year 2000/2001 has seen a slowing in employment growth which characterised the last five years. During this 12 month period, total employment increased by only 57,000 jobs (0.6%), significantly down on the creation of 300,000 jobs (3.4%) experienced in 1999/2000. This period, Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 21 2000/01 has also seen a reversal in the strong growth in full-time employment 4 evident in previous years. In fact, during 2000/2001, full-time employment opportunities actually declined by 67,300 jobs (1.0%). However, part-time employment grew by 124,700 jobs (5.2%), substantially higher than its trend growth of 3.8% per annum over the last decade. The increase in part-time employment reflects re-structuring within Australia’s economy, and in particular the growth of service industries, the deregulation of the workplace and introduction of new technologies. The part time employment growth does reflect a growing and persistent underemployment issue in Australia given that 30% of part time workers are seeking more employment hours (The Boston Consulting Group, 2001). Male employment stabilised around 5.1 million during 2000/2001 with male part-time employment increasing by 67,600, while male full-time employment fell by 66,700. Female employment on the other hand grew by 56,500 to 4.0 million, due entirely to growth in part-time employment. Female workers account for the majority of part-time opportunities (71%). The overall labour force participation rate in October 2001 was 63.8%, with the male and female rates being 72.6% and 55.3% respectively. Lower employment growth in 2000/2001 resulted primarily from a reversal of growth in two key industry sectors, namely the construction and manufacturing sectors. These two sectors account for 20% of the workforce. Both sectors grew strongly in 1999/2000 (9.1% and 7.7% respectively) but recorded significant job falls in 2000/2001 (-7.1% and –2.6% respectively). In addition, significant declines in employment within the wholesale trade and agriculture sectors occurred (-6.7% and -4.9% respectively). Despite the weakening economic and employment environment, two service industry sectors have enjoyed strong job gains in the last year - property and business services (6.3%) and health and community services (5.7%). (b) Unemployment In October 2000, the unemployment rate fell to 6.1%, its lowest level since March 1990. However, as employment growth slowed, unemployment began to rise reaching 7.1% in September 2001. While the figure has drifted down to 6.7% in October 2001, market expectations of unemployment over 7% are being forecast in the near future. Table 4 below summarises unemployed persons by age. Currently there are 696,000 people unemployed with 532,500 seeking full time employment, down considerably from a peak of 940,500 in 1992-93. This still represents approximately 4.7 unemployed people for every registered job vacancy. Although there was an increase in employment position in 2000/2001, this growth was not sufficient to cope with both an increasing number of people of working age (averaging 16,500 per month in 2000/2001) and a rising female participation rate. In the decade 1991-2001, the female proportion of total employment has increased by 42% to 44%. The proportion of long-term unemployment (the proportion of persons unemployed for 12 months or more) has fallen in 2000/2001 from 26.2% to 22.9% of total unemployed. This represents 152,000 persons, down from 336,000. However, these ABS figures conceal much higher levels of long-term joblessness. People whose period of unemployment is interrupted by a short time through casual work, training or illness are no longer officially regarded as long-term unemployed. Unemployment benefit statistics which include such people are perhaps a more reliable guide, and Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 22 reveal a more concerning trend – they show that the number of people receiving unemployment benefits for over one year has hardly fallen in the last five years, and involved 385,000 in September 2000 (Boston Consulting Group, 2001). (c) Indigenous labour market In February 2000, there were an estimated 134,600 Indigenous Australians aged 15 and over the labour force – 110,900 in employment, and 23,700 unemployed. Indigenous Australians experience unemployment at almost three times the rate of other Australians. The indigenous unemployment rate was 17.6% (compared to 7.3% for non-indigenous Australians). This figure would be approximately 40% if participation in a government job creation/training scheme – Community Development Employment Projects (CDEP) was included. The indigenous labour force participation rate was 31.6% (compared to 63.7% for non-indigenous). Australia’s indigenous population is much more dispersed around Australia than other Australians. Approximately 20% live in remote areas where labour markets are practically non existent. Only 1% of other Australians live in such remote areas. Nearly 28% of indigenous jobs are directly in the public sector, compared to less than 18% for the labour force generally. In addition, a significant proportion of indigenous people work in community organisations. Estimates suggest that up to 70% of all indigenous jobs are reliant to some extent on public funding. Labour market growth is not in this sector, but the private sector. Finally, nearly 25% of all indigenous jobs are in the labouring and other unskilled areas, compared to 8.7% for the total workforce. The Youth labour Market Young people are clearly the most disadvantaged group within the Australian labour market. Young people aged 15 to 24 years are experiencing two and a half times the level of unemployment recorded for adults aged 25 to 54 (Dearns, 2001). In addition, part time and casual work opportunities dominate employment options highlighting the major unemployment status of young people. Tables 5 and 6 depict the education and labour force activities for teenagers (15-19 years old) and young adults (20-24 years old) in May 1999 respectively. The recent Prime Minister’s Youth Pathways Action Plan Taskforce (2001) stated clearly the changing nature of the youth labour market – ‘A generation ago, most young people left school by 15 or 16, and were fairly readily absorbed into full-time positions in the labour force, where they learned work related skills on the job. This is no longer the typical pattern. More common now is prolonged participation in formal education combined with part-time work before looking for full-time work over an extended period of time.’ Information from the Australian Bureau of Statistics reveals a number of interesting trends and characteristics about the Australian youth labour market, namely While Australia achieves well in terms of its proportion of tertiary graduates in the adult population (ranking sixth out of 28 OECD countries), Australia ranks low in terms of secondary school completion (17th out of 28 OECD countries with 57% of its adult population aged 25 to 54 with upper secondary school education). In the opinion of the Dusseldorp Skills Forum ‘it is this gap between the education ‘haves’ and ’have nots’ that is not only undermining Australia’s Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 23 ability to compete in a global knowledge economy. It is also likely to further increase income inequality …’ DSF estimates that at least 14% of 19 year olds in 2000 have not attained a minimum level of education necessary to compete in today’s demanding labour market (Curtain, 2001). There is an obvious correlation between level of school completion and further education and employment achievement as illustrated by these examples: - - over two thirds of 1999 Year 12 leavers went onto higher education, TAFE or other forms of further education. In contrast, only 39% and 43% of Year 11 and 10 leavers followed a similar path; a third of early secondary school leavers do not appear to have made a successful transition to further study or full time work compared with nearly a fifth of Year 12 students; the difference in the unemployment rate for men aged 25 to 64 years with less than upper secondary education is double that of those who have completed the highest level of secondary school (Curtain, 2001). The OECD Economic Survey of Australia for 2000 noted that ‘many school leavers remain at considerable risk of being locked into marginal labour market activities that may not lead to better skills and employment prospects. More needs to be done to reduce the incidence of early school leaving’ (OECD, 2000b). One of main reasons for the difficulties experienced by young people in their school to work transition is the lack of full time jobs for this age group. There has been a constant decline over the last 30 years in full time employment opportunities for young people. In August 1970, 575,000 fifteen to nineteen year olds were in full time employment. By May 1989 this number had fallen to 454,000 (32% of age group) and by 1999 dropped to 217,000 (16% of age group). In terms of 20 to 24 year olds, the numbers in full-time employment fell from 868,000 in May 1989 (66% of age group) to 693,000 in May 1999 (52% of age group) (ABS, 6227.0). In fact, between May 1995 and mid 2001, the number of full time jobs held by non-students 20-24 years fell by 94,300 – a 13.3% decrease. At the same time full time jobs for adults aged 25 years and over grew by 9.5%. The rapid job creation of the last five years in Australia has had minimum impact on youth employment opportunities with less than 1% more 15 to 24 year olds in employment in 2000 than in 1995; In 1998, Australia recorded the second highest proportion of 15 to 19 year olds among OECD countries being unemployed. The comparative analysis by OECD of youth unemployment is depicted in Table 7; Unemployment rates for early school leavers are significantly higher than for any other group of young people. Furthermore, the jobs taken by early school leavers (other than those who have an apprenticeship) are typically low skilled and provide relatively few training opportunities; Australia’s labour market is certainly not as ‘youth friendly’ as many other countries. As mentioned, youth unemployment rates are two and a half times higher than adult unemployment rates. Part-time employment is a significant experience for many Australian young people and growing in dominance. In October 2001, young males and young females represented 12% and 17% of part-time workers respectively. Between 1989 and 1999, the number of 15 to 19 year olds working part time increased from 272,000 (19% of the age group) to 406,000 (31% of the age group). Among 20 to 24 year olds, the numbers undertaking part-time employment grew Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 24 from 147,000 (11% of the age group) to 284,000 (21% of the age group). In fact, Australia ranks third behind France and Sweden (in OECD rankings) in terms of the proportion of young adults in part time work (Curtain, 2001). With 30% of part time workers wanting more employment hours, Australia has a significant underemployment issue; Part-time employment is also used as a source of short-term jobs by young people while participating in education, or as a stepping stone to full-time employment. A large number of part-time jobs are held by students. Australia compared to other OECD countries has a relatively high proportion of young people who combine studying with part-time work (OECD, 2000); Compared to teenagers, young adults (20-24 years old) are in a less precarious employment situation – unemployment rates are lower, and for those employed, jobs are not as concentrated in such a limited range of industry sectors, nor in such low skilled occupations. Nevertheless, unemployment rates are still double the rate of other adults, and the duration of employment does average over ten months. Part-time employment is still very common; There are distinct gender differences in the workforce. Young women are more likely to be employed part-time, while young men are more likely to be in the labour force and to be unemployed. The industry sectors in which young women and men work and the occupations they hold also differ significantly; There have also been two significant trends in the late 1990s. First, a shift towards a great concentration of young people in small businesses which tend to provide less training than larger firms. Secondly, young people are more likely than in the past to hold low skilled positions (Vandenlteuvel and Wooden, 1999); Youth employment is heavily concentrated in the retail trade sector (31% of youth employment in February 2000). This concentration is even greater for 15 to 19 year olds, especially young women. Young people are also heavily represented in tourism, accommodation, cafes and restaurant industries. Related to this concentration is the fact that young people work in relatively low skill and low paid occupations, in casual and part time employment and in small businesses. Such forms and locations of employment are often associated with lower levels of on the job training; The only industries in which the number of jobs held by young people are growing faster than for the rest of the workforce are in the areas that employ relatively few young people – agriculture, forestry and fishing, communication services and education. Even in the hospitality and retail industries in which youth employment is concentrated, the rate of job growth is faster among those aged 25 years and older. Overall public sector employment of young people has also declined. Table 8 illustrates the industry sector changes for young people, and provides comparison with workers aged 25 years and older; The proportion of teenagers who are not in full-time employment, full-time education or parttime educations and employment increases dramatically between age 17 (11%) and 18 (21%). This indicates that the period immediately after leaving Year 12 is critically important in determining young people’s transition to full employment. In the words of the Prime Minister’s Youth Pathways Action Plan Taskforce ‘a good early start – in the sense of being in full-time education, training or employment – seemed to be particularly important for female school leavers … (there is) the need for tracking the experiences of school leavers and early intervention to assist those at risk in the transition process. Relative to the Nordic countries in particular, Australia lacks a comprehensive and integrated policy and programmatic approach to the construction of safety nets for young people at risk in the transition to work’. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 25 Average earnings of young adults have fallen by about 20% relative to mature workers since 1984, and yet the numbers in full-time work have continued to fall despite better education and their lower wage attraction. This suggests the impact of other factors, namely: - structured changes reducing the number of entry level jobs for inexperienced workers; - employers’ concern about young people’s relative employability and lack of experience; The tremendous advance in school retention rates has stalled since the mid 1990’s and has begun to decline. Australia is one of the few OECD countries in which school retention declined during the 1990’s and is occurring at a ‘time when education and training is becoming a lifelong, ongoing process and when, in terms of employment, value is being placed on the development of personal and intellectual skills – the so-called “soft skills” like clear thinking, problem solving and relationship building’ (Dusseldorp Skills Forum, 2001); Two groups of young people continue to face disadvantage in the labour market, namely indigenous youth and non-English Speaking Background (NESB) immigrant young people. Their unemployment rates are very high, as are their rates of part-time employment. Table 9, based on the 1996 Census data, clearly shows that the percentage of indigenous young adults (20-24 year olds) who are in the labour force and who are employed is much lower than for non indigenous young adults. In addition, the unemployment rate for young indigenous adults is twice that of non indigenous youth, with an unemployment rate of 31% for indigenous young men and 25% for indigenous young women. Vandenlteuvel and Wooden (1999) explain the differences between indigenous and non indigenous by a range of factors. Compared with non indigenous adults, indigenous young people are less likely to have completed secondary school, hold post secondary qualifications, live in major urban centres and view formal education and employment as culturally relevant. In addition, they are more likely to suffer from poor health and to have been arrested. Table 9 also shows that the labour market disadvantage is also more pronounced for young indigenous women. For example, in August 1996, only 49% of indigenous young women were in the labour market compared to 76% of non indigenous young women and 74% of indigenous males. This difference is partly explained by the higher child bearing experienced by indigenous young women and the consequential withdrawal from the labour market. In addition, there is a much lower participation rate by women in Community Development Employment Project (CDEP) scheme than men. It is worth noting that school retention for indigenous youth is well below that of other Australian youth. In 1998, only 83% of indigenous students remained in schooling to Year 10, compared to just under 100% for non indigenous students. Only 32% of indigenous students remain at school to Year 12 compared to around 73% of non indigenous students (The Prime Ministers Youth Pathways Action Plan Taskforce). Similarly, there is a much lower labour market participation rate and higher unemployment rate for immigrant young from Non English Speaking Backgrounds (NESB) compared to other young adults. Table 10 below shows that the employment to population ratio is lowest for NESB immigrant young adults and highest for Australian born young adults. Labour force participation follows a similar pattern. As with indigenous young adults, the differences are bigger for females – only one in two NESB young female adults were in the labour force, compared with over three in four young women either born in Australia or from an English Speaking Background (ESB). Finally, any insight into the Australian youth labour market would not be complete without reference to the Dusseldorp Skills Forum5, and their concept of ‘at risk’ to identify those young men and women who are more vulnerable than others in finding and sustaining stable employment. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 26 The Dusseldorp Skills Forum has developed a national reputation for its study of the transition process young Australians undertake from full time education to full time work. They have captured well the complexity of this process – ‘moving from education to work for many young people is not a single step of leaving the educational system and entering the world of work. The transition process can extend for some time with neither an obvious starting point nor a clearly defined end. For many, it involves several steps forth and back between education and work. Young people may be engaged in job search and waiting times, involuntary unemployment or in chosen time off for leisure, travel or other activities. The complexity of what is happening, therefore, cannot be captured in a single statistic such as the youth unemployment rate. Indeed, over-reliance on this measure has hampered a deeper understanding of the difficulties experienced by young people’ (Curtain, 2001). The Dusseldorp Skills Forum uses the concept of the ‘at risk’ group to define those young people who are: not studying and in part time work, or who are actively looking for work (the unemployed), or those not in work and not considered as actively seeking work (not in the labour force). According to the analysis of data by Dusseldorp Skills Forum up to a quarter of young people aged 18 to 24 years maybe ‘at risk’ in the labour market. Unfortunately these figures have remained relatively constant over a decade and show little sign of improvement despite the country’s improved economic position. The proportion of 15 to 19 year olds considered ‘at risk’ in May 2001 was 15.1% - the average rate for the last 14 years has been 15.4% (Curtain, 2001). Table 11 below illustrates this. Table 12 shows that a similar consistency is observable in the proportion of young adults (20-24 years) who are ‘at risk’. In terms of other OECD countries, in 1999, Australia ranked 14th out of 19 for ‘at risk’ teenagers (moving from low to high) and 12th out of 19 for ‘at risk’ young adults. The work of the Dusseldorp Skills Forum on the ‘at risk’ youth issue further highlights the key challenges of the Australian youth labour market, namely – persistency of labour market disadvantage compared to other age groups; lack of youth full time job creation; continuance of significant underemployment through the dominance of part time employment; and failure to maintain the momentum with increasing school retention levels. National Youth Policy At the national level, no National Youth Policy exists. However there are a range of national statements and strategies in existence that provide key elements of a national agenda and framework for action for young people, namely: The Commonwealth/State agreed National Goals for Schooling in the Twenty-first century The Vocational Education and Training in Schools Framework The Prime Minister’s Community and Business Partnership The Stronger Families and Communities Strategy. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 27 Of great significance was the release in July 2001 of the statement of the Prime Minister’s Youth Pathways Action Plan Taskforce entitled Footprints to the Future. The then Minister for Education, Training and Youth Affairs, Dr David Kemp, stated that the report set out a policy framework for supporting young Australians through school, and from school to further education, training, work and active citizenship. At the launch of the Report he stated – ‘all young people deserve our support and “Footprints to the Future” is a well researched and an excellent blueprint as to how best to assist young people in making the step to adulthood. The Government is now responding in an effective and positive way to the recommendations contained in this important Report’ (media release, 10 July 2001). Footprints to the Future focuses on five connected principles/directions, namely – a national commitment to all young people; education and training as the foundations for effective transitions; the development of a youth career and transition support system; enhancement of focussed local partnerships; and, bringing about change in the way we support young people and respond to diversity. At the heart of the recommendations of the Prime Minister’s Youth Pathways Action Plan Taskforce report is the concept of a National Commitment to All Young People, to be implemented through partnership with state and territory governments, community and business. In the words of the Report, this commitment would ‘set out the things that we should be providing for our young people. It would aim to support them in transition to independence’. In practical terms, this National Commitment would undertake to provide all young people with the opportunity to – ‘complete 12 years of schooling (or equivalent vocational training); undertake vocational education and training programs and structured workplace learning while at school and beyond; acquire employment and life skills which enable them to be dependant, confident and active members of the community; have access to a professional career and transition support system; if they leave school before completing 12 years of schooling, return to affordable and relevant training programs in a range of community settings; have available in their local community a range of support, which offers them early intervention with problems, crisis assistance and suitable long term help; and take part in local cultural, recreational, sporting and community service activities’. Many of the issues and recommendations identified by the Taskforce build on the vision set out in another significant national youth policy document The Adelaide Declaration on National Goals for Schooling in the Twenty-First Century, which was formulated by the Ministerial Council on Education, Employment, Training and Youth Affairs in 1999 (Kenyon, 2001, Appendix 2). The National Commitment Statement6 notes the need for: ‘cultural and paradigm shifts in community institutions and systems; Commonwealth, State, Territory and local governments to work together; Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 28 integrated supported networks which create opportunities and respond to the diversity of challenges faced by young people; focussed and collaborative partnerships at the local level involving schools, industry, business, government and non-government agencies, communities, young people and their families; the development of learning pathways for each young person, transition follow-up mechanisms and transition indicators; the development of a comprehensive career and transition support system and the development of employability and life skill learning programs; and appropriate income support, health care and housing foundations’. Active Labour Market Policies Supply-Side: Enhancing Human Capital Education and Training Australian national and state Ministers at their Ministerial Council on Education, Employment, Training and Youth Affairs (MCEETYA) in April 1999 made an historic commitment about improving Australian schooling within a framework of national collaboration. Their Adelaide Declaration on National Goals for Schooling in the Twenty-first Century document (see Kenyon, 2001, Appendix 2) sees schooling as a foundation on which the future of the nation needs building. The document expands on three key goals. As part of the Adelaide Declaration, Ministers agreed to the following six areas of schooling for initial outcomes reporting: literacy numeracy student participation, retention and completion vocational education and training in schoolings science information technology and noted the need to develop performance indicators for: civics and citizen education enterprise education Since April 1999, this document has been a foundation starting point for national and state efforts, and provided a basis for the National Guarantee for all Young People (July 2001), (see Kenyon, 2001, Appendix 1.) Besides renewed focus on providing relevant schooling experiences for young people to cope and succeed with a changing world and labour market circumstances, there have also been significant efforts in the post school transition fields to better support young people in the movement to employment. Today a host of programs exist to assist specific target groups (especially those young people most at risk) plus provide a combination of assistance measures to unemployed young people including: individual skills audit and training needs analysis Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 29 literacy and numeracy improvement living skills training vocational training work experience job information job search training job placement post placement support Vocational Education and Training (VET) and Structured Workplace Learning In 2000 Australian Education Ministers agreed on a national definition of VET – ‘Vocational Education in Schools assists all young people to secure their own futures by enhancing their transition to a broad range of post-school options and pathways. It engages students in work related learning built on strategic partnerships between schools, business, industry and the wider community’ (Ministerial Council on Education, Employment, Training and Youth Affairs (MCEETYA), 2000). VET through a variety of school programs enables students to engage in on and off the job learning in order to obtain a nationally recognised qualification within the Australian Qualification Framework, as well as gain credit for a senior secondary education certificate. In most cases, students undertake Structured Workplace Learning within a business. Students learn practical workplace skills that industry and employers have decided are important for a specific job or career. The skills students learn are assessed by Registered Training Organisation. Implementation of VET across Australia shows incredible diversity of opportunity, but is in accordance with a set of nationally agreed principles, namely – adhere to Australian Recognition Framework requirements, based on national industry and/or enterprise competency standards, contribute to qualifications defined by the Australian Qualifications Framework as part of the senior certification of education and provide multiple pathways to training, education or work, ensure dual outcomes, being study towards senior secondary certificate with VET qualifications defined by the Australian Qualification Framework, take into account national and regional/local skill shortages, industry needs and student demand, appropriate accreditation and recognition procedures are developed that enable training packages to be delivered, provide for the needs of the equity target groups, and develop regional and community partnerships. The growth in participation in VET in schools and Structured Workplace Learning has been remarkable. Over 167,000 young people participated in a VET in Schools program in 2000, up from 26,000 in 1995. Approximately 50,000 businesses Australia-wide provided Structured Workplace Learning opportunities. Australian Ministers of Education made a commitment in 1999 to increase the proportion of students undertaking VET in schools, to reach 40% of senior students by 2004. Further, the Ministers expressed commitment to increasing the average numbers of hours enrolled in VET programs from an estimated annual average of 120 hours in 1998 to 150 hours by 2004, and Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 30 increase the amount of time in workplace learning. Such a move will increase the relevance of schooling for many young people, as well as equip them more effectively for the world of work. The Prime Minister’s Youth Pathways Action Plan Taskforce stated its belief that recognised structured vocational education and training in schools was a critical component of learning, and should be accessible by all students regardless of whether they were going on to fulltime job or further study. The Taskforce stated that efforts should be directed towards – ‘clearly establishing during compulsory school years the place of vocational learning; increasing the skill base of more young Australians to improve their capacity to move directly from school to employment or further education and training; improving pathways by establishing arrangements for VET assessments to contribute directly to tertiary entrance scores; raising the status of VET in schools and building linkages between these programmes and further education and training courses; enabling more students to undertake these programmes and increasing the depth of students’ participation in VET studies; and strengthening and supporting employer involvement in the compulsory years and in VET in Schools programs’. Apprenticeships There has been significant take up of apprenticeships and traineeships over the last five years. Table 17 below shows that during the early 1990’s, there was a 23% decline in apprenticeships from 1990 to 1995, while the number of trainees remained static. However, this position has changed dramatically following the introduction of the modern Australian Apprenticeship and Trainee System from 1 January 1998. This new system includes both apprenticeships and traineeships under an agreed national framework for training. By June 2000 there were 275,630 new apprentices and trainees in training. The fastest growth has been in service industries where traditional apprenticeships were not common in the past. Currently there are 500 occupations where New Apprenticeships are possible. The main differences to the former apprenticeship/trainee system are that there is no eligibility restriction by age, wider choice about training provider and more flexible training packages. Three national government programs exist to encourage take up of apprenticeships – New Apprenticeships Incentive Program – offers a range of incentives to both apprentices and employers, including support for employers employing apprentices with disabilities and indigenous job seekers; New Apprenticeships Access Program – assists disadvantaged young people into apprenticeships, particularly those who have left school. Each year a minimum of 2,500 places are available for this target group New Apprenticeships Centres – these centres are responsible for: - providing information about New Apprenticeships to employers, New Apprentices and other interested people; - marketing and promotion of New Apprenticeships; - administering New Apprenticeship Support Services including processing payments for Commonwealth incentives; Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 31 - working with State and Territory Training Authorities; and establishing relationships with Job Network members and other organisations who can assist people obtain New Apprenticeships. Two successful apprenticeship initiatives over the last five years have been the establishment of Group Training Companies and school based apprenticeship opportunities. Group Training Companies are not for profit community companies that provide a system whereby apprentices and trainees are indentured/registered to a Group Training Company and placed with host employers on a rotational basis to provide workplace training experience. This has been a most successful initiative to expand the employment of young people in small to medium enterprises. The national government has a number of programs to assist the expansion of the group training arrangement, namely: Group Training New Apprenticeships Targeted Initiatives Programme Commonwealth Loan Guarantee Programme Group Training Special Incentive Payment The second initiative worth highlighting is school based apprenticeships which provide the opportunity for students to be involved in a two year course that includes one day a week on the job training and 15 weeks per year paid work experience. School based apprenticeships have certainly helped improve relevance and retention within the education system, and particularly providing an enthusiastic option within indigenous communities. There are now over 7,000 school-based apprenticeships in operation. With declining full time work opportunities for young people, the creation of the apprenticeship type arrangements is obviously a very important vehicle for young people to access employment with career prospects. Income Support Measures Over the last 30 years there have been significant developments and changes in government income support for young people in training and education. The Tertiary Education Assistance Scheme was introduced in 1973 to help tertiary students. AusStudy was introduced in 1987 and broadened the eligibility. Prior to July 1998, young people may have been eligible for income support under a variety of schemes depending on their main activity – options included AUSTUDY, Youth Training Allowance, Sickness Allowance and Family Allowance. This system was criticised for its inflexibility and complex nature, requiring recipients to change schemes when changing their main activity. In July 1998, the national government introduced a common allowance, namely the Youth Allowance. Young people under 18 years of age are now required to participate in full time education or training in order to be eligible. Mutual Obligation7 requires recipients of income support over 18 and not studying to commit to activity agreements that increase their chances of gaining employment. Activities permissible under Mutual Obligation are: part time paid work part time study in an approved training or education course Work for the Dole program Community Development Employment Projects Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 32 voluntary work Green Corps approved literacy and numeracy training New Apprenticeships Job Search Training Advanced English for Migrants Program Intensive Assistance Job Pathways Program Job Placement, Employment and Training Program career counselling As illustrated by Table 14, since the introduction of Youth Allowance, there has been a decline in the number of young job seekers receiving income support, while the number of full time students has increased significantly. Guidance and Counselling There has been increasing commitment in Australia to improving the quality of information and counselling support to help young people make appropriate job and training choices. The following are examples of the diversity of initiatives now operating: Enterprise and Career Education Foundation (ECEF) – ECEF was established by the national government in January 2001 to help young people make the right choices about their futures and to achieve a successful transition from school to further education, training and employment. ECEF promotes linkages between school, businesses and the community, to help students get vocational enterprise and career education, knowledge and experience before they leave school. The Youth Employment Link – one central source of information in the State of Victoria through a comprehensive, interactive and fun medium to help young people make career choices (www.yel.vic.gov.au). Getaccess – an interactive website for West Australia youth seeking career, employment and training related information and services. Their site is fun, easy to navigate and contains many ‘side trips’. Rural Youth Information Service (RYIS) – RYIS aims to provide young people aged 15-25 years living in rural and remote areas of Australia with information, advice, referral and followup assistance on employment, education and training opportunities, income support, accommodation and health. Although RYIS assists all young people, priority is given by RYIS workers to young people who are: o unemployed, and/or o facing ongoing difficulties in gaining employment and achieving employment goals. Unfortunately RYIS is located in only 21 rural sites. Career and Transition Advisors – the national government announced in December 2001 a $3.6 million program to pilot 30 career and transition advisors in 2002 to work with schools, local communities, young people and their families. School Leaver Program – an initiative of the Western Australian Departments of Training and Education, which surveys and follows up on school leavers in the state six months after leaving school, and provides advice and support to those who are experiencing difficulty accessing suitable training and/or employment opportunities. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 33 School to Work Transition Support There is increasing concern about the dramatic increase in the proportion of young people between 17 and 18 who are neither in full-time education, full-time employment or part-time employment and part-time education. Improving the transition from school to employment and/or education has become an increasingly important priority, especially for those most at risk. The following best practice examples illustrate this growing focus. Best Practice Example The national government will commit $4.8 million in the 2002-2003 period through the development of a Mentor Marketplace. This Marketplace will increase young people‘s access to mentoring, which is a proven method of assisting young people to stay connected to the education, training and employment systems. Best Practice Example The Links to Learning Community Grants Program of the New South Wales government assists young people aged 12 to 24 years who have left school early or are at risk of leaving school early, and provides them with a range of opportunities to remain in or re-enter mainstream education and training. The programme funds community organisations and local governments to undertake innovative and creative activities in the informal learning settings and to link participants back to education and training. The community based approach for implementation of projects means that organisations develop local strategies to best meet the needs of local young people. www.det.nsw.gov.au/eas/acomm/index Best Practice Example Promoting Self-reliance for Indigenous People is a national government initiative beginning in July 2002. It aims at supporting senior secondary indigenous students complete Year 12 and go on to higher education or vocational education and training. The funding will support 1,600 students through partnerships involving communities, industry and education providers. A further 2,300 students will gain access to vocational learning opportunities through local businesses and committees. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 34 Best Practice Example The Jobs Pathway Program (JPP) is a national government youth transition program which assists up to 70,000 young people annually from over 1,600 secondary schools around Australia. It began as a $2 million pilot program in 1995 and has grown to a $13 million program involving 74 organisations who deliver projects across Australia. JPP began as a program providing linkage to employment for Year 11 and 12 school leavers. Since then it has expanded to include all school leavers, and has evolved into the most established school to work transition initiative in the country. The program combines a preventative approach to school leaving with post school support. Delivery includes a wide range of options including personal support, brokerage and the development of alternative school curricula. Specific services include: an assessment of individual needs assistance with job search preparation career counselling referral to vocational and training programs Unfortunately it has age and eligibility restrictions. www.dest.gov.au Demand-Side: Creating Job Opportunities Job Creation and Public Works Work for the Dole (WfD) – introduced in 1997 for approximately 10,000 young people. WfD aims to develop work habits, generic work skills and work experience to job seekers through projects of benefit to the local community. It is compulsory for 18 to 19 year olds receiving income support three months after completing Year 12, and for other 18 to 24 year olds receiving income support for six months. The initiative is the best example of a program based on the principle of Mutual Obligation – that it is fair and just that people be asked to contribute to the community in return for the community’s support. WfD has dramatically increased since 1997 ($105 million for 2000/01 enabled 50,000 participants) making it one of the largest funded government programs for unemployed youth. There have been a range of reviews of the program with the following three limitations often quoted: o it does not have employment outcomes as its chief objective o projects are not required to provide recognised training, specific skills development, or structured pathways to other forms of assistance, and o projects are not tailored to individual needs or participant career aspirations (Dearns, 2001) Green Corps – provides young people aged between 17 and 20 years with the opportunity to volunteer to work on environmental and heritage conservation projects. Project activities include landcare, habitat protection and restoration, and flora and fauna survey work. Projects are community based, of six months duration and primarily located in regional and remote locations of Australia. The national government has committed $90 million over four years to Green Corps, and this will support 6,800 young people. Green Corps is the only national government funded program Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 35 that incorporates training and work placement. It provides a training wage and accredited training. Green Corps is an excellent example of a government funded initiative delivered through a non government organisation, namely the Australian Trust for Conservation Volunteers. Green Corps has restrictive age and eligibility criteria. Community Development Employment Projects – administered by the Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Commission, this scheme provides opportunities for part-time work paid at the equivalent of unemployment allowances to residents of indigenous communities in remote locations; Wage Subsidies Job Placement, Employment and Training (JPET) Program – this initiative involves $74.4 million over four years, and targets young people at risk of homelessness and other disadvantaged persons8. JPET seeks to overcome major barriers to successful transition outcomes with assistance with: - securing appropriate housing, - addressing drug and alcohol abuse, - addressing sexual abuse or violence and behavioural problems. - developing relevant life skill, - attaining educational qualifications, - gaining work experience and skills, - addressing issues relating to dysfunctional family backgrounds, and - obtaining appropriate structures and reducing barriers associated with refuge background, such as torture and trauma. This is a popular initiative with young people, and a relatively cost effective program, yet there are strict age restrictions (15 to 21 years) and only 138 projects nationally, thus limiting its geographical availability; Intensive Assistance – provides individually tailored assistance for up to two years to eligible job seekers who are more disadvantaged in the labour market, to prepare for, and obtain, suitable employment. It is one of a few mainstream labour market programs that provide subsidised and integrated work placement and training as a stepping stone to permanent employment. National government provides support for approximately 300,000 job seekers to start in Intensive Assistance. Indigenous Employment Program – includes two programs – o Wage Assistance -a wage subsidy paid to employers over 26 weeks providing on going employment, o Structured Training and Employment Projects (STEP), where employers who provide at least 5 jobs, generally with accredited training and a minimum period of 12 months receive assistance. Youth and the Information Economy The Information sector is increasingly being seen as a growth sector for employment creation, especially youth job creation. The findings of Australia’s most comprehensive survey of Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 36 the demand for IT skills in Australia (IT and T skills Taskforce) estimated that employers will be seeking thousands of additional IT staff over the next year. The national government has introduced the Building on IT Strengths (BITS) Programme. BITS aims to build on the strength and competitiveness of the Australian information industries sector. In particular the program seeks to: foster linkages and networking between participants in the information industries sector; and facilitate the availability and use of leading-edge network technologies by the information industries sector. Promoting Self Employment Since the early 1980’s, Australia has had at the national and state levels a number of initiatives which have assisted unemployed people to explore and enter the self employment option. Some current initiatives worth highlighting are: New Enterprise Incentive Scheme (NEIS) - provides support and training for eligible job seekers who wish to pursue the option of self employment. Assistance through NEIS includes: - training in small business management, business skills and business plan development, - an allowance for up to one year, - business advice and mentor support during the first year of business operation. To be eligible for funding, proposed business idea must: - be new and not yet operating on a full time basis; - be independent and be reputable; - be assessed as commercially viable; - not compete directly with existing businesses, unless it can be demonstrated that there is an unsatisfied demand for the product or service, or the goods or services will be provided in a new way. One restriction on youth related to NEIS is a minimum age of 18 is required. In the twelve months up to the end of March 2001, a total of 627 young people (out of 6,717 entrants) participated in this program. Overall, 87.9% had a positive outcome. This is higher than for overall population –85.1%. The NEIS Program has always experienced higher outcomes compared to other types of labour market assistance. This is due in part to the careful selection of viable business ideas by NEIS providers prior to the commencement of assistance, as well as the enterprising characteristics of the job seekers involved. Self Employment Development Scheme - a national program that allows job seekers to undertake approved activities to develop self employment opportunities for three months. People may use it for business ideas that do not meet NEIS eligibility, e.g. for a franchise or taking over an existing business. Indigenous Small Business Fund – aims to foster the development of businesses owned and run by indigenous people and promote indigenous employment opportunities. Aboriginal Enterprise Development Officer Program – a state of New South Wales initiative to: o assist the establishment and retention of viable locally designed Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander businesses, o to encourage an entrepreneurial culture within Aboriginal communities. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 37 Aboriginal Economic and Employment Development Officer Program – a Western Australian state program which aims to promote and assist the involvement of indigenous communities and organisations in developing locally based enterprise, employment and training initiatives. BusinessWorks – a Western Australian program that provides training, support and access to finance for young people wishing to establish their own business. You’re the Boss – an informative tool in Western Australia to assist qualified tradespeople to set up their own sub-contracting business or other forms of self employment. The Youth Desk of the Department of Industries and Business in the Northern Territory provides young people interested in self employment with access to a variety of business services and information. This contact point operates the following comprehensive range of programs: Getting Started seminars – covers topics like business structures, market research, taxation, business planning and finance, Business Consultations – free consultations are provided to any young person exploring self employment or already in business, Workshops – free practical business workshops are available to any young person in business or thinking about going into business, Operation Livewire – a Youth Business competition that offers a young person (18-28 years) interested in business, a mentor and the means to develop a comprehensive business plan, Youth in Business Network Group – a group which meets regularly to discuss a variety of business topics. Getting Started Business Assistance Scheme – a grant program available for 18to 24 year olds wishing to start a new business operation – provides up to $5,000, School/University Visitation Program – provides students information about business and the self employment option, Youth Business Award – cash prizes are provided for Year 11 and 12 students operating a part time business as part of a Small Business Management Unit, and Young Australian of the Year Award – recognises the achievements of young Territorians, and provides the opportunity to compete in the national Award Program. (www.nt/gov.au/dib/business) Supporting Small Business Development It has long been recognised in Australia that maximum job creation occurs within the small and medium business sector, with 60%-80% of new job creation emerging from business expansion (as opposed to business creation). Both national and state governments have consistently attempted to both create a conducive environment for business growth (especially through reform of government red tape and business taxes) and to implement practical support programmes. State governments have agencies devoted to the establishment and growth of small business, and championing their cause. For example, in Western Australia, the Small Business Development Corporation exists with the following goals: pursuit of opportunity; removal of barriers and impediments to business growth; improvement of business skills in the small business sector; Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 38 fostering an enterprise culture; promoting the value and success of small business; and facilitation of regional small business development. The national government administers two programs which have supported the growth of existing small business, namely: Small Business Enterprise Culture Program (SBECP) – over $2 million each year is provided to enhance the business skills of small business owners and managers and demonstrate the contribution that such skills can make to business vitality and growth. Another key element of SBECP is assistance to women in business; Business Incubator Program – Business Incubators are designed to assist new and growing businesses to become established through shared workshop facilities. Incubators provide premises, advice seminars, shared facilities and support. During 2000/01, $5 million was provided for the establishment of new incubator facilities. Two community based business support programs are worth highlighting as best practice examples. Best Practice Example Business Enterprise Centres (BEC) were created in Western Australia in the 1980’s through the Department of Employment and Training. Now numbering 35, these centres operate in city and country communities, providing a range of services to both establish and grow businesses. These services include: free practical business assistance, referral to specialist advisors, assistance through the maze of government departments and regulations, business workshops, business information, and problem solving. A management committee with representatives from business, private sector organisations and local government, support a facilitator/manager to implement the above services. All BECs would support business initiatives involving youth and unemployed people. www.sbdc.com.au Best Practice Example The Business Retention and Expansion program was introduced into Australia in 1996 by the Bank of I.D.E.A.S. Based on the USA model, this strategy supports through a defined process and set of tools, a community organised business visitation program. The purpose of the visitation program is to ascertain from local businesses their perceptions and ideas about what can happen locally to help existing businesses do better, expand and create more local jobs. A host of rural and urban communities have utilised this community and economic development strategy. www.bankofideas.com.au Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 39 Community Initiatives Since the early 1970s when unemployment became a significant issue in Australia, local communities and regions have always been actively involved in mounting local initiatives to increase the net number, quality and variety of job opportunities. A host of community and regional economic and employment development agencies and committees exist. Over the last five years, national government has become increasingly aware of the importance of building communities (including their job creation capacity) from the ‘inside out’ as opposed to the traditional ‘top down – outside in’. Senator Vanstone, Minister responsible for the Department of Family and Community Services expressed this sentiment well – ‘we recognise that governments, alone, can never hope to fix every social problem. The days of governments telling communities what’s good for them are over. After all, the best ideas usually come from the ‘bottom up’ rather than the ‘top down’.’ Today a range of national programs exist to foster such initiatives including Area Consultative Committees (ACC); 56 regionally based organisations responsible for acting as a catalyst for local initiative in terms of job creation and economic development. Funded by the national government, these ACCs administer the Regional Assistance Programme) (RAP) funding. This funding provides support for local based projects that can generate sustainable employment, stimulate local economic development and build the skill base of the region. A total of $30 million is available. In addition to ACCs and RAP grants, the national government has supported community based employment and economic development through a range of other initiatives including: The Regional Solutions Programme- a $90 million program over four years which aims to help regional communities to build their own capacity to identify and implement development opportunities. It assists communities to move beyond planning by providing assistance to implement community initiatives, including community infrastructure. Regional Solutions is a flexible program aimed at finding local solutions to local problems. Grants of between $1,000 and $500,000 are available; The Stronger Families, Stronger Communities - - a $240 million initiative over four years. Includes a ‘Local Solutions to Local Problems’ fund to assist 500 local projects over four years ($15.4 million) and ‘Potential Leadership in Local Community’ to help 400 communities over four years ($37.1 million). This latter initiative has a strong focus on young people; Dairy Regional Assistance Program - $15 million in 2000/01 to assist regional communities to ameliorate the negative impacts of dairy industry deregulation, and explore new community employment initiatives. Matching Demand and Supply: Job Brokerage and Placement Since the mid 1940’s, Australia has had a history of providing a national government run job placement agency, namely the Commonwealth Employment Agency (CES). In May 1998, this one agency approach was modified, with the introduction of a competitive national tendering system for this service, and the creation of the Job Network. The Employment Services Tender (involving up to $1.7 billion over a 19 month period) was the largest single human services tender ever undertaken in Australia. About 200 community, private and government organisations now Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 40 constitute the Job Network and have tendered successfully to provide job placement and intensive counselling services across the country. Collectively they now provide approximately 2000 physical office sites across the country. Church based agencies are the biggest provider. They target particularly the long-term unemployed. The Job Network provides a combination of government funded services including several of the programmes mentioned above as well as the following: Job Matching – delivers labour exchange services to job seekers including canvassing for jobs and matching and placing suitable unemployed people to these jobs, as well as preparing resumes for job seekers. The Australian Job Search database collected 769,000 job notifications for the year ending March 2001. Job Search Training – provides training for three weeks in job search techniques (e.g., resume preparation, interview techniques and presentation skills) to give job seekers the skills and confidence to seek and obtain employment. To be eligible, a job seeker must be registered as unemployed for three months or more. Return to Work – provides assistance to people seeking to re-enter the workforce after an absence of two years or more due to their roles as unpaid care givers of children or people with disabilities. Community Support Program – helps disadvantaged job seekers access counselling, stable accommodation, alcohol or drug rehabilitation and other activities addressing significant needs. Young people not on income support or in full time education or training are eligible. Referral to the program is for up to two years. $45 million has been provided over four years. Nearly all contracts for its operation are held by community based organisations. The Effectiveness of Youth Employment Policy Information from the Department of Employment, Workplace Relations and Small Business shows that in the year to end March 2001, commencement by job seekers in the various types of labour market assistance included: 318,000 in Job Matching 305,700 in Intensive Assistance 71,900 in Job Search Training 6,300 in NEIS 6,400 in the two programs of the Indigenous Employment Program 49,700 in Work for the Dole 3,300 in Return to Work 16,900 in the Community Support Program The Department quotes the level of positive outcomes9 for the program as: 70.7% for Job matching 43% for Intensive Assistance 52% for Job Search Training 85% for NEIS 34% for Work for the Dole 57% for Indigenous Employment Program – STEP 68% for Indigenous Employment Program – Wage Assistance 47% for Return to Work Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 41 Table 15 summarises the positive outcome rates for these programs for teenagers and young adults. The Department for Employment, Workplace Relations and Small Business undertook an evaluation of the Job Network in 2000. Along with indigenous Australians and people with disabilities, this evaluation suggested that young people are not participating proportionally as well as others in the Job Network. Young people are also not participating proportionally in Intensive Assistance. Areas for Improvement The 2001 OECD Economic Survey of Australia makes a simple but powerful comment – ‘despite the encouraging growth in structured education, scope remains to improve school to work transition’ (quoted in Curtain, 2001). During 2001, there were a number of major reports released in Australia that analysed and commented on issues/barriers affecting the participation of young men and women in the labour market, and commented on areas for improvement among current labour market support programs. Areas identified for improvement included: School relevance The 2000 OECD Economic Survey of Australia recommended reform of the curriculum to make senior secondary school more relevant and useful to potential school leavers. The constraining nature of the school curriculum and dissatisfaction with the school environment are commonly cited as causes for school leaving (Dearns 2001, Dwyer et al 1998). Dearns (2001) challenges schools to be more relevant to all students including those disenfranchised by mainstream school – ‘a special need is to reinforce the responsibility of education systems to provide accessible and supportive opportunities for disengaged students to return to formal learning at a later stage in life. Interestingly, the National Goals for Schooling in the Twenty-first Century … makes no reference to this as a formal goal of Australian education systems’. Lack of option visibility Many young people appear unaware of the opportunities available to them. There is a need for better resources in helping young people identify and negotiate the complexity of the labour market system and its options. The loss of Youth Access Centres with the demise of the old Commonwealth Employment Service eliminated that ‘one stop shop’ facility. There is a need to recreate the ‘one stop shop’ concept which integrates information, resources and guidance relating to employment, education, training and welfare services and options. Age and eligibility restrictions Given that young people travel different transition journeys, there is no guarantee that programs will be available at points in a young person’s life when they require them most. For example: - Job Pathways Project (JPP) is restricted to 15 to 19 year olds - Job Placement, Employment and Training (JPET) is restricted to 15 to 21 year olds - Reconnect is restricted to 15 to 18 year olds - Green Corps is restricted to 16 to 20 year olds - Work for the Dole is restricted to those 18 and above - New Employment and Incentive Scheme is restricted to those 18 and above In addition, there are restrictions enabling the linking of participants in different program combinations. Some examples include: - participation in JPET prevents accessing other JPET, JPP, Intensive Assistance and Reconnect - participation in NEIS/SED prevents accessing Job Search Training and Intensive Assistance Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 42 - participation in Green Corps prevents accessing JPET - participating in WfD prevents accessing Intensive Assistance Restrictions on program participation need examination. Gender equality There is certainly a greater understanding of the needs of those most ‘at risk’ in terms of issues related to age, race, ethnicity, location and disability. An awareness of the reality that young women continue to experience high levels of unemployment, and higher participation rates in casual, part-time and low skilled work areas is not reflected in resource allocation and creative programming options. ‘The National Commitment to All Young People’ has no specific gender reference. The Prime Minister’s Youth Pathways Action Plan Taskforce made no specific gender focussed recommendations. Lack of opportunities for subsidised work places Wage and training subsidy programs have always been a significant strategy in Australia’s employment programs. However, the current government has scaled back their importance. Apart from the Intensive Assistance Program there are few mainstream labour market initiatives that now provide subsidised integrated work placement and training. However, one evaluation (ACOSS, 2000) claims that less than 20% of Intensive Assistance clients were receiving job specific skills training or opportunities for paid employment assistance. The Social Partnership in their document ‘Pathways to Work’ were particularly critical of the levels of funding for Intensive Assistance – ‘present funding levels for Intensive Assistance are not sufficient for Job Network providers to offer systematic help (to long-term unemployed). A stronger financial commitment to employment and training assistance appears to be required from the Federal Government. While comparisons are difficult given the different institutional structures, Australia lags behind most comparable OECD countries in its expenditure on employment assistance for job seekers…’ (Boston Consulting Group, 2001). Wage and training subsidy program options perhaps need re-considering in Australia. Referring to the studies of Webster (1998), Martin (1998) and Department of Employment, Workplace Relations and Small Business (2000), the Key Social Partners in their collaborative document also advocate more focus on subsidised paid employment experiences – ‘there is a strong body of evidence suggesting that well designed employment assistance schemes can significantly improve employment prospects … the evaluation literature suggests that paid employment experience in a Mainstream job is a particularly effective form of employment assistance for long term unemployed people, whether on its own or combined with relevant training’ (The Boston Consulting Group, 2001). Lack of coordination and linkage A dominant theme in all the reports on the Australian labour market is the lack of collaboration and integration between education, training and employment program providers. The challenges include: - operation of a highly segmented dual strategy approach to school to work transition with education and employment sectors operating often unconnected programs. The recent focus on combinations of school and work based learning (e.g., school based apprenticeships) are helping in building better linkage; - poor links between schools and TAFE - the 2000 OECD Economic Survey of Australia encouraged TAFE and high schools to cooperate better with each other; - lack of linkage between the wide variety of employment and training programs. Dearns (2001) summarises it well – ‘paths are too often fractured and disjointed with the possibility of programs being inaccessible, inappropriate or unavailable at the key transition points when they might be needed’; Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 43 competitive environment between agencies encouraged by the government’s use of open tendering for program contractors; - poor linkage between government programmes at the local level. The Prime Minister’s Youth Pathways Action Plan Taskforce (2001) encouraged the national government to look at ways to improve the local coordination of a number of its own youth related programs, including the examination of ‘tendering and contractual arrangements to ensure they promote appropriate co-ordination in local communities’; Lack of support and navigation for individuals moving through the system There is strong support for the creation of a system in which all young people up to 24 not in full time work or full time education are provided with an individual pathway brokered or negotiated to ensure integrated support. The Prime Minister’s Youth Pathways Action Plan Taskforce (2001) recommends an even more comprehensive support package beginning with age 13 – - ‘a “flexible learning pathways plan” for every young person from Year 8 which would be developed with parents, teachers, friends and others, and which would map out the student’s preferred pathway through school and beyond …; - access to professional career and transition support which makes available to young people information that is accessible and well presented, backed by guidance and follow-up services which integrate education, labour market and social support; - the development of structured mentoring programs for young people; - a clear allocation of responsibility for following up and supporting young people as them move along the paths they have chosen and into the next stages of their lives; - special additional assistance for young people with special needs who are likely to need extra help to achieve their goals, and brokering services that would support those young people who might need assistance in negotiating training, further education placements or work experience opportunities in order to reach their desired outcome’. An initial step in this process needs to be the implementation of a monitoring and follow-up process of ex-students by secondary schools. OECD (OECD 2000b) has recommended this innovation and sees one immediate benefit being to ‘refocus schools objectives, making it clear that an important objective is to assist the student in making a successful transition to adult working life’. Lack of monitoring of outcomes Jack Dusseldorp of DSF summarises this concern well – ‘the absence of up to date outcomes measures particularly at a regional and service delivery level is a key obstacle hindering better coordination. Implementing a comprehensive and decentralised reporting system is a major test of capability for all stakeholders involved in the school to work transition process. It is a necessary step to showing that governments and service providers can improve service delivery to meet more effectively the needs of the most vulnerable of Australia’s young people’ (Curtain, 2001). The Prime Minister’s Youth Pathways Action Plan Taskforce (2001) recommends that Australia develops a framework of transition goals and indicators. Specifically, the Taskforce recommended that national, state and territory governments and other relevant stakeholder groups – - ‘develop clear and measurable goals and indicators for young person’s transitions to work, further learning and independence that are appropriate for secondary schools, tertiary education and training providers, and other agencies working with young people; - ensure that reporting of transition outcomes for young people is incorporated into regular reporting on performance by secondary schools, tertiary education and training providers, - Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 44 and other agencies working with young people, and that such reporting be made available to local communities, and funding providers, with the receipt of public funding contingent on adequate reporting; and - develop regular public reporting on young people’s transition outcomes at regional, state, territory and national levels. Where feasible, reporting should be developed for a variety of groups of young people, including those classified according to gender, location, social background, educational background, language background other than English, indigenous status, disability and being the subject of child protection or juvenile justice orders’. Commitment to Youth entrepreneurship Despite the growth in programs supporting enterprise education and self employment, resource allocation is a minor component of overall employment strategies. Education is very much about preparing young people to work for someone else, with much of enterprise education about learning how to operate within a small business. Exposure to the self employment option requires greater attention and serious program support. Finally in terms of specific changes to key national labour market programs it is worth noting recommendation 23 of the Prime Minister’s Youth Pathways Action Plan Taskforce: ‘The Taskforce recommends that: the Commonwealth Government promote effective integration of Job Network services and local youth support strategies including: - more opportunities for young people to benefit from Intensive Assistance; and - an increased awareness of the needs of young people by Job Network providers and of the impact of breaching penalties. the Commonwealth Government work with State and Territory governments to develop: - arrangements which allow a greater number of young people to access New Apprenticeship preparation programmes with entry levels appropriate for young people without adequate basic education competencies, as well as structural and industrial arrangements which make part-time and school-based New Apprenticeships attractive to employers; - New Apprenticeship placements in the government, private and community sectors for disadvantaged young people; and - a recognition of the importance of education outcomes for young people in New Apprenticeships Access Programme. to ensure that young people with high support needs can access New Apprenticeships there must be: - adequate pre-placement preparation and post-placement support of young people; - on-going mentoring; - careful selection, training and support for host employers; - a staged induction process developed in consultation with young people; and - recognition and assessment of prior learning and a creative approach to structured workplace learning. the Work for the Dole programme be enhanced so that it incorporates: - adequate preparation of participants in their understanding of occupational health and safety requirements; - local programme development processes which consult with young people and community groups in planning and delivering the programme; and - clear articulation into traineeships, employment or accredited training’. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 45 Social Partnership In Australia, renewed attention is being given to a general notion of partnerships that promises an enhanced engagement of the broader community to help conceive, develop and deliver government programs and services. It is recognised in Australia that the creation of positive employment outcomes for young people does not lie with a single level of government, business, unions or the non government sector. Positive employment outcomes will be maximised if all these sectors, firstly collaborate in partnership, and secondly that this partnership becomes functional at the community and regional levels. The recent collaborative statement by all the key social partners ‘Pathways to Work’ made two relevant recommendations to improve school to work transition, namely – 1. ‘Community partnerships should be developed and strengthened at the regional level between industry, schools, health organisations and Job Network services, and other nongovernment agencies, to identify those who have left school early or are at risk of doing so, and to support them in securing employment or further education and training’ 2. ‘An agreed mechanism should be established to ensure that an identified body is accountable for increasing the participation in work, training or education of school leavers within each region’ (Boston Consulting Group, 2001) In addition, the document reinforced the partnership principle with this recommendation: ‘Employers and unions should work together with community organisations at the industry, enterprise and regional level to open up additional job and employment experience opportunities for long-term unemployed people.’ The recent Prime Minister’s Youth Pathways Action Plan Taskforce has made three specific recommendations about strengthening community partnerships, and focussing on local based response – Recommendation 5 – ‘the Commonwealth Government work with State, Territory and Local Governments to resource a process for developing community partnerships which brings together key local individuals, employers, community agencies, religious groups, government departments and young people to address the following issues: the provision of innovative education, training, leadership and employment opportunities which respond to the particular needs of their local community; the development of local programs that build the confidence and self esteem of young people as they identify and promote their capacity and contribution to their community; the promotion of positive images of young people which celebrate their achievement and counter negative stereotypes; the establishment of policies, practices and protocols that promote prevention, early identification and intervention approaches appropriate to the needs of local communities; the creation of coherent local networks of support for all young people; the sharing of information and the promotion of good practice, innovative responses, quality assurances and standards in the delivery of programs to all young people’. Recommendation 6 – ‘Government promote the development of transition support networks in local communities by bringing together key agencies committed to supporting young people and their families and enabling them to: set up their own locally relevant objectives within agreed frameworks; Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 46 - design their own young advisory and planning structures that would be empowered to initiative local project development and delivery; design and operate their own local action structures, and pool the expertise and resources of local, State and Commonwealth bodies to support local initiatives. initiate demonstration projects to trial a range of models which respond to local youth transition priorities; encourage integrated service provision (at local level)’. Recommendation 19 – ‘Governments ensure community based networks are identified in each local government area to develop localised approaches which identify and support young people not in education or employment; all young people living without adequate support are linked to a social service network with an individual worker or agency assigned a key support responsibility; appropriate, accessible and affordable services for young people with high needs are available in all local communities; local community based networks should assist young people with high support needs to reconnect with peers, family and community; and local support services commit to delivering an integrated response to young people which offers holistic support across community and government jurisdiction’. Recognising the limitations of government acting alone, the Australian national government is basing its social policy within a framework it calls ‘The Social Coalition’. The current Australian Prime Minister has described social coalition as ‘a partnership of individuals, families, business, government, welfare and charitable organisations, each contributing their unique resources and expertise to tackle disadvantage as its source’ (Department of Family and Community Services, 2001). As a consequence, the government is increasingly seeking the involvement of the wider community to conceive, develop and deliver government programs and services. The government believes that this approach achieves ‘a balance between excessive involvement and regulation by government, which may stifle community capacity and people’s ability for self reliance’ (DFACS, 2001). It believes this approach can provide: ‘opportunities for creative and diverse business and community sector input into the policy and implementation process; higher trust in government through an open collaborative approach to policy making. Higher trust can create a more productive economy; opportunities for great social networking and the creation of further partnership opportunities; resource effectiveness by ensuring all the available resources and perspectives are brought to bear on social policy issues; and a broader strategic role for Government as a facilitator, connecting the community sector, the business sector and individuals to worthwhile and often much needed local issues or projects’ (DFACS, 2001). One prominent illustration of this philosophy in action is the creation of the Prime Minister’s Community Business Partnership. This initiative has been initiated to promote a culture of corporate and individual social responsibility in Australia. Chaired by the Prime Minister, with Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 47 the Minister for Family and Community Services as Deputy Chair, the Partnership is made up of eleven prominent business and community leaders. It seeks to foster new partnerships between government, business and community. The level of Trade Union participation is notable by its absence in membership! The government has also committed $10 million over four years for community business partnerships to encourage employment initiatives for disadvantaged groups. The Prime Minister has also instigated an annual Prime Minister’s Awards for Excellence in Community Business Partnerships to showcase best practice. At the regional level, the national government has created and supported the operation of 56 Area Consultative Committees. These committees comprise approximately 20 volunteer business and community leaders, and exist to promote a social coalition between the national government, business and local communities to build stronger communities and generate opportunities for jobs, skills development, business success, regional economic growth and improved delivery of government services. 43 of these committees are in rural and remote Australia. The current Australian government see creating successful partnerships ‘as a major way of developing a more productive, caring and creative society’ (DFACS, 2001). Conclusions Despite a decade of exceptional economic growth in Australia, youth unemployment remains unacceptably high with significant numbers of young men and women failing to make the transition from full time education to full time employment. The Australian youth labour market has seen a decline in full time employment options and a corresponding growth in dependence on part time work. The concept of a simple and linear transition from school to work eludes Australia. Dearns (2001) summarises the reality for many Australian youth – ‘it is not uncommon for young people to combine full time and part time study with periods of full time, part time and casual work and unemployment. Disproportionately high rates of youth unemployment, diminishing opportunities for full time work, and the persistence of casual and part time work as the most ready employment options, mean that transition from school to employment may be fractured, extended and uncertain’. The reality is that young people have more difficulty than any other age group in gaining access to work. Young people are currently experiencing two and a half times the level of unemployment of adults aged 25 to 54. This disproportionate ratio emphasises that economic growth alone will not ensure positive employment for young people. Policy and programme initiatives from all levels of government, and with increasing involvement from social partners and non government organisations have lead to a wide range of responses. However the key challenges remain. Besides the growth in New Apprenticeships over the last three years, there have been little inroads into reducing the proportion of young people suffering unemployment disadvantage. Of particular concern is the realisation that the Australian labour market is not as ‘youth friendly’ as other countries with better coordinated and resourced school to work arrangements. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 48 The Prime Minister’s Youth Pathways Action Plan Taskforce Report – Footprints to the Future - has provided a clear analysis of the challenge, and it’s National Commitment to All Young People, a framework for positive action. The next 12 months is critical for both national and state governments, social partners and local communities. The blue print is available – deliberate action and commitment, improved coordination and linkages and adequate resourcing is now required. The foundation stones for creating positive employment options for young people in Australia are now clearly recognised and articulated: - - - improved school retention mechanisms better combinations of school and work based learning stronger links between education, training and employment sectors improved collaboration between agencies and services greater attention to the needs of those most ‘at risk’, namely school leavers, young women, indigenous youth, rural youth, young people with disabilities and young people from Non English Speaking Backgrounds greater focus on the quality and outcomes of school to work transition initiatives with appropriate measurement, monitoring and reporting mechanisms development of more effective and holistic local responses to the needs of young people through building stronger local community responsibility and capacity and integrated local service provision more promotion of the self employment option more effective tracking of individual young people over time to provide continuous support, personal guidance, mentoring and brokering, especially for those most at risk, and greater program and institutional flexibility. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 49 Table 1 NUMBER AND PROPORTION OF 15 TO 24 YEAR OLDS, AUSTRALIA, 19761999, AND PROJECTED TO 2036 1976 1986 1996 1999 2006 2016 2026 Number (‘000) 2,434 2,684 2,676 2,695 2,748 2,867 2,985 % of all persons 17.3 16.8 14.6 14.2 13.5 13.0 12.3 Source: Prime Minister’s Youth Pathways Action Plan Taskforce (2001) Table 2 EDUCATION PARTICIPATION RATES, 15 – 24 YEAR OLDS (% of population of same age) 1985 1990 1993 1995 1997 1999 Age 15 Age 16 Age 17 Age 18 Age 19 Age 20-24 97 100 99 99 98 97 89 93 97 95 95 91 64 77 85 84 84 81 49 60 68 65 65 64 40 49 57 55 54 53 23 27 31 32 33 33 (Source: Prime Minister’s Youth Pathways Action Plan Taskforce, 2001) Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 50 Table 3 EMPLOYMENT STATUS BY SELECTED CHARACTERISTICS October 1991 October 2001 Total employed (‘000) Full-time (‘000) Part-time (‘000) Males Females All persons 4,432.9 3,212.1 7,645.0 4,037.0 1,926.2 5,963.2 Males 15-24 25-54 55 and over (%) 58.0 10.6 41.3 6.2 Females 15-24 25-54 55 and over Full-time (‘000) Part-time (‘000) 396.0 1,285.8 1,681.8 Total employed (‘000) 5,147.0 4,057.6 9,204.6 4,407.0 2,232.2 6,639.2 740.1 1,825.4 2,565.5 (%) 67.7 10.5 50.5 6.7 (%) 23.5 10.8 8.4 4.3 (%) 55.9 9.4 39.5 7.0 (%) 66.4 8.2 50.5 7.6 (%) 28.8 12.4 10.9 5.5 58.0% 67.7% 23.5% 55.9% 66.4% 28.8% 42.0 9.7 29.6 2.8 32.3 7.8 22.7 1.8 76.5 16.3 54.0 6.1 44.1 8.8 31.1 4.1 33.6 5.8 25.2 2.6 71.2 16.6 46.5 8.1 58.0% 67.7% 23.5% 55.9% 33.6% 71.2% Source: ABS (2001) Table 4 Unemployed Persons – By Age and Whether Looking for Full-time or Part-time Work, October 2001 Age Percentage 15 to 19 20 to 24 25 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 59 60 to 61 17.3% 10.0% 6.3% 4.9% 4.7% 4.6% 4.4% Overall Rate 6.7% Source: ABS Labour Force 6203.0 Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 51 Table 5 Education and Labour Force activities of 15-19 year olds, May 1999 Full-time education Part-time education Not in Education Total Full-time employed 7,000 1 per cent 75,000 6 per cent 135,000 10 per cent 217,000 16 per cent Part-time employed 325,000 25 per cent 10,000 1 per cent 71,000 5 per cent 406,000 31 per cent Unemployed 76,000 6 per cent 4,000 -- 62,000 5 per cent 142,000 11 per cent Not in Labour force 505,000 38 per cent 2,000 -- 49,000 4 per cent 556,000 42 per cent TOTAL 914,000 91,000 317,000 69 percent 7 per cent 24 per cent Source: ABS, Transition from Education to Work, Australia May 1999 (6227.0) Table 6 1,321,000 100 per cent Education and Labour Force activities of 20-24 year olds, May 1999 Full-time education Part-time education Not in Education Total Full-time employed 9,000 1 per cent 113,000 9 per cent 571,000 43 per cent 693,000 52 per cent Part-time employed 130,000 10 per cent 25,000 2 per cent 128,000 10 per cent 284,000 21 per cent Unemployed 17,000 1 per cent 6,000 -- 95,000 7 per cent 118,000 9 per cent Not in Labour force 114,000 9 per cent 8,000 1 per cent 110,000 8 per cent 233,000 18 per cent TOTAL 270,000 152,000 905,000 20 percent 11 per cent 68 per cent Source: ABS, Transition from Education to Work, Australia May 1999 (6227.0) Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 1,327,000 100 per cent 52 Table 7 Youth Unemployment 1998 Australian OECD Average Australia’s ranking 15-19 year olds unemployment to population ratio non-student unemployed as % of all 15-17 year olds % of unemployed out of work for 6 months or more 10% 6% 42% 6% 4% 42% 2/25 4/16 12/21 20-24 year olds unemployment to population ratio % of unemployed out of work for 6 months or more 10% 45% 9% 48% 9/25 13/21 Source: OECD (2001), quoted in Prime Minister’s Youth Pathways Action Plan Taskforce, 2001 Table 8 Employment by industry and age, February 1995 and 2000 Industry 15 – 24 years Agriculture, forestry and fishing Mining Manufacturing Electricity, gas and water supply Construction Wholesale trade Retail trade Accommodation, cafes and restaurants Transport and storage Communication services Finance and insurance Property and business services Government admin and defence Education Health and community services Cultural and recreational services Personal and other services Employment 2000 (‘000s) 66 6 168 5 118 74 522 153 43 24 48 156 28 47 85 54 69 Change since 1995 (%) 18 -45 -23 -58 0 -33 10 15 -2 30 -21 22 -33 11 -11 13 5 Employment 2000 (‘000s) 378 76 952 54 576 405 816 287 355 158 295 826 320 526 751 174 293 Change since 1995 (%) 6 3 5 -25 20 5 13 16 2 17 20 31 1 8 21 20 19 Total 1666 1 7239 12 Aged 25 years and older Source: ABS, Labour Force Australia (February), 6203.0 Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 53 Table 9 Labour Market Characteristics of Indigenous and Non Indigenous Young Adults, August 1996 Males Females Non Indigenous Non Indigenous Indigenous Indigenous % of population employed 51.5 72.2 36.9 67.2 Labour force participation (%) 74.2 85.1 49.0 76.3 Part time employment as % of total employment 34.6 21.2 43.6 34.7 Unemployment rate (%) 30.6 15.2 24.7 12.0 Source: Vandenlteuvel and Wooden, 1999 Table 10 Labour Market Characteristics of Australian born and immigrant young adults (August 1998) % of population employed Labour force participation (%) Part time employment as % of total employment Unemployment rate Males Australian born ESB immigrants NESB immigrants Females Australian born ESB immigrants NESB immigrants 78.4 76.8 54.2 71.7 68.4 40.3 89.4 86.7 66.5 79.6 78.6 50.4 18.9 20.1 33.1 33.0 42.5 45.5 12.3 11.4 18.5 9.9 13.0 20.0 Source: Vandenlteuvel and Wooden, 1999 Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 54 Table 11 Proportion of 15 to 19 year olds not in full time education or full time employment May 1988 – May 2001 Percent 14.5 12.3 13.9 16.5 17.1 16.7 17.0 15.9 16.5 15.4 15.8 14.5 14.4 15.1 May 1988 May 1989 May 1990 May 1991 May 1992 May 1993 May 1994 May 1995 May 1996 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 Source: Curtain, 2001, based on ABS Labour Force Figures for specified years Table 12 Proportion of 20 to 24 year olds not in full time education or full time employment May 1989– May 2001 May 1989 May 1990 May 1991 May 1992 May 1993 May 1994 May 1995 May 1996 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 Males % 14.4 16.5 22.0 24.8 25.1 24.5 21.0 20.5 24.2 23.5 21.7 19.5 21.4 Females % 32.4 31.6 34.8 36.9 38.1 35.9 35.6 34.6 37.6 34.1 35.2 30.8 32.0 Source: Curtain, 2001, based on ABS Labour Force Figures Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 55 Table 13 Apprentices and Trainees in Australia 1985 to 1995 Apprentices Trainees Total 1985 129,000 0 129,000 1990 161,000 12,000 173,000 1995 123,000 12,000 135,000 Source: Prime Minister’s Youth Pathways Action Plan Taskforce, 2001 Table 14 July 1997 July 1998 July 1999 May 2000 Full-time students and job seekers (15 to 24 years) receiving income support Jobseekers % Full-time studies % Total 127,000 106,000 94,000 86,000 68% 71% 71% 78% 397,000 366,000 402,000 391,000 32% 29% 23% 22% 271,000 261,000 308,000 304,000 Source: Prime Minister’s Youth Pathways Action Plan Taskforce, 2001 Table 15 Positive Outcomes for Young People in Labour Market Assistance Program in the year to 31 March 2001 Program Job Matching Intensive Assistance Job Search Training NEIS WfD 15-20 years 74.8% 48.4% 57.9% 87.9% for 24 years or less 40.3% 21 to 24 years 73.0% 47.1% 59.6% 36.8% Source: Department of Employment, Workplace Relations and Small Business, March 2001 Endnotes 1 Group included Australian Council of Trade Unions, Business Council of Australia, Australian Council of Social Service and Committee for Economic Development of Australia. 2 Compulsory school attendance ends at age 15 in all states of Australia, except Tasmania where it ends at age 16. 3 Employment in Australia is defined to include any paid work of one hour or more per week, while the terms ‘unemployment’ is restricted to those without work who are actively seeking and available to start work during the reference period. Together, these groups determine the size of the labour force. 4 Full-time workers are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics as employed persons who work 35 hours or more in a week (in all jobs). 5 The Dusseldorp Skills Forum is a private national think tank that focuses on the learning and work circumstances of young Australians. 6 The statement is reproduced in full in Kenyon (2001, appendix 1). 7 Mutual obligation is based on the principle that people should contribute to the community in return for government assistance. 8 JPET participant group covers disadvantaged young people who are: - students and homeless or at risk of homelessness; - not in regular employment and homeless or at risk of homelessness; - current or former wards of the state; - refugees, who are not necessarily homeless, or - ex-offenders, who are not necessarily homeless. 9 A positive outcome is defined as achievement of employment and/or education training option, three months after leaving assistance. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 56 Hong Kong Young People in Hong Kong Hong Kong is one of the most influential metropoli in Asia. Starting from 1970s, its economy has rapidly increased and has gained great achievements. The living standard of the people and the whole social structure have been dramatically changed. Nowadays, Hong Kong has becomes a newly developed industrial and commercial city. The youth problems in Hong Kong have new trends and characteristics. The reasons behind and the situations of youth problems are becoming more complicated. Certain characteristics of Hong Kong are worth noting. First, the youth population is decreasing, especially in the age groups of the 15 to 19 years’ old. This coincides with the trend of low birth rate in developed areas. Second, the school age of young people in Hong Kong is increasing. Third, as a result of a rising school-leaving age, the employment age of youth has risen. As a result, the percentage of young people amongst the active working population is decreasing. On the other hand, the employment rate of young women (especially after marriage or postnatal) is increasing. Finally, being a special administrative region of China, the connection between young people in Hong Kong and Mainland China is becoming closer. Every year, a large number of Hong Kong students go to the Mainland China to visit, exchange and being trained/educated. On the whole, their knowledge of the Mainland and their sense of belongings have been increased. In Hong Kong, there is no official definition for youth age. Social welfare organizations would refer to those aged between 10 and 24 “youth”. In this study, unless it is specified, we refer “youth” to those who age are in this range. Demographic characteristics 1. 2. 3. In Mid 2000, there were a total of 1,339,600 young people aged between 10 and 24 in Hong Kong, constituting 19.8% of the total population. The relative size of the youth population had shown a continuous trend of decrease since the 1980s. In terms of nationality, most local young people were British with right of abode in Hong Kong only. On the other hand, the proportion of young local residents born outside Hong Kong and the Mainland China had shown signs of increase. The percentage of the youth population which never married had also increased. Family Background And Dynamics 1. 2. Studies have found that most young people considered their family life to be a happy one. In terms of parental control, most young people did not in general feel that their parents were too harsh on them. On the other hand, more young people preferred to talk to their mother than to their father. Mental Health 1. By employing different scoring methods, studies have found that a significant portion of the local youth population could be classified as psychologically at risk. Moreover, when faced with stressful life events, only about half of the young people would seek help from other. For Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 57 2. 3. those who would, parents, friends, and classmates remained to be the more popular choices. Although there was no exact estimation, the number of young drug abusers in Hong Kong should be quite small. However, it is expected to be increasing. Peer influence and curiosity remained to be the main reasons for young people taking drugs. The suicide rates of the youth population had shown a significant increase in the past decade. Education 1. The percentage of the youth population studying full-time in school or educational institution had continued to rise over the last 15 years. Furthermore, more and more young people were receiving tertiary or higher education. Non-attendance and School Dropouts 1. Contrary to what some might think, the number of suspected school dropouts had been on the decline both at Primary and Junior Secondary level over the past decade. Most school dropouts had experienced problems at school before dropping out. Economic Characteristics 1. 2. 3. 4. Because of increasing educational opportunities in both secondary and tertiary levels, the labour force participation rate had in general decreased among the young. Since 1999, the number of young people joining the labour force has increasing, particularly the “Form Five School leavers” – (around age 16). Overall speaking, more working youth were working in the area of wholesale, retail, and import/export trades, restaurants & hotels. In terms of sex difference, there were more working youth males in the construction industry, and more working youth females in the community, social, and personal services. When choosing a job, most young people would consider the salary/benefits, their interests, and the career prospects offered. Besides, studies have also found that more young people would like to go into the commercial/sales sector. In terms of spending and saving, studies have found that apart from the basic, necessary expenditures, most young people spent their money in entertainment and hobbies, as well as clothes. Employment Opportunities and Labour Market 1. 2. Economic growth - Hong Kong economy experienced frustration in recent years. However, in 2000, the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) recorded the highest growth rate since 1987, with a marked rise of 10.5 per cent in real terms. Strong and broad-based upturns were registered on both the external and domestic fronts. The General labour market conditions was improved last-year, both unemployment and underemployment rates showed a slight drop and a mild rise in labour earnings. Starting from early 2001, the situation has a downturn. Economic slump is all over the world. After the “911 incident”, we expect that the economy of Hong Kong in 2001 and 2002 will drop drastically. Exports, overseas trade, tourism and exported services will be poorer than those in last year. Depression will last. Trade, in whatever format, will be at a loss. Employment in Major Occupations: As a result of the economic restructuring, the proportion of production workers in the Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 58 employed population has been decreasing whereas a large proportion of the employed population has taken up skill-intensive or non-manual jobs. In 2000, managers and administrators, professionals and associate professionals accounted for 29.5 per cent of the total number of employed persons. Clerks, service workers and shop sales workers altogether took up 32.2 per cent; while craft and related workers, plant and machine operators and assemblers only accounted for 18.8 per cent. 3. Structural Change - Generally speaking, Hong Kong’s economy is undergoing a structural changes. Occupation becomes professional, technological and intellectual. On the other hand, exports decrease, property market goes down, and all trades face their own problem. Cutting salary and terminating employment will become a common trend. The propensity of people to consume decreases. Depression continues. Thus, unemployment rate is expected to be around 6% in 2002. Research findings identify four high-risk groups: Elderly (aged 65 or more); middle-aged women (aged 40 or more); new immigrants and youth aged between 15 to 191. Youth Unemployment In 2000, the problem of youth unemployment was serious, especially for those aged 15 to 19. The high unemployment rate has been the focus for public concern. The labour market in Hong Kong an excess of labour supply; the number of young workers who are willing and able to work is significantly larger than the number of jobs opportunities available. Furthermore, often the qualifications of job-finders are incompatible with job requirements. Employers are looking for well-educated and skilled personnel. Young school leavers, without skills, professional qualification and working experience, face career future fraught with difficulties. “Unemployed youth”, in this section, refers to those youngsters aged from 15 to 19. In the employment market, the number of these youngsters are over ten thousand. These youngsters are mostly performing poorly in the existing educational system and their academic results make them unable to continue to study. On the other hand, their interpersonal skill is also poor, and they do not have any motivation or interest to develop a technical skill. At the same time, the nine-years’ compulsory education could not provide them with any training for securing an appropriate job. Currently, secondary schools in Hong Kong seldom provided student with a systematic and effective careers advisory service. In sum, when these youngsters enter the labour market, their nightmare begins. In the “Quarterly Report on General Household Survey” for January to March in 2000 issued by the Census and Statistics Department, the youth unemployment rate was 25.5%. It is 4.6 times of the total unemployment rate, which is 5.5%. These unemployed youth face the problem of long period of unemployment, without the chance or motivation to continue education. Many research findings reflect that the blow of long period of unemployment to a youth will be as hard as that to an adult. For the young people, unemployment will have a very negative effect regarding their perception towards life, career path, family, society, government and their own future. There are many reasons that account for youth unemployment. Some are social whilst others are personal. The economic downturn in 1997 speeded up the entire structural economic change in Hong Kong. Jobs become technical and professional. This hit unskilled labour and the “grassroots” hard. As young people are without qualifications and working experience, the problem they face is even more difficult. In this era of “intellectual” economic development, these aged 15 to 19 who are without special skills, available jobs, if they find them are limited to lowYouth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 59 skilled, low pay work without prospects. Under such circumstances, many young people find themselves in the dead end of “uncertainty” and “working without a sense of achievement”. During the period when the economy in Hong Kong was good, it absorbed a lot of youngsters into the working force every year. Firms provided on-the-job training, so that these youngsters could have a chance to work and study at the same time. The Vocational Training Council and Construction Industry Training Authority organized a number of short-term or long-term skillacquiring programmes, and the “apprenticeship scheme” etc. These programmes were tailor-made for school leavers and had trained a lot of secondary school drop-outs for the industrial and commercial sectors. In 1980s and 1990s, youth unemployment was not a problem. “Being an apprentice” was a common and acceptable career path for those did not excel academically in school. However, with the poor economic environment, all industries cut back their employees. This, together with the industry and commerce moving to the north, have turned youth unemployment into a serious social problem in Hong Kong. Youth Policy in Hong Kong Hong Kong has youth services, hundreds of youth work organizations and has thousands of professional social workers working with young people; but it seems that Hong Kong has never had an overall comprehensive youth policy. Since the first development of children and youth centre service in the 1950’s, there has been a lack of a focal point and direction for the evolvement of a policy on social welfare services for youth. At present, social services rendered to young people in Hong Kong are carried out by a number of governmental departments and non-governmental organizations, each with its own philosophy, objectives and priorities. Despite the fact that Hong Kong Government has occasionally, since the late 60’s, published policy papers or programme plans on the development of youth, none of these have been regarded as social welfare policy for youth by the youth work profession, nor has it been the intention of the government to treat these as centralized governmental policies for youth. After almost thirty years of service provision, it is quite clear that there is still an absence of a centralized governmental policy for young people in Hong Kong. Policy for youth, youth services and youth are three sets of interrelated domains. National and societal expectation and demands on youth form the basis upon which the government perceives the needs and problems of its younger generation. In turn, this becomes a platform on which the objectives and contents of certain “youth policies” are formulated. Once these “policies” are formulated, youth service programmes will then be implemented with courses of actions to accomplish the objectives laid down in the “policies”. In Hong Kong, the interplay among these three domains is significant, yet ambiguous. It is ambiguous because of the many confusing “factors” that surround them. It is significant because an explanation on the relationship and interplay among them is indeed the key to unveil the nature of the entire issue in the local context, and that answers the question of why Hong Kong fails to formulate its own youth policy even after its returning to China in 1997 and has become a Special Administrative Region of China for almost five years. The following accounts for the reasons why both the colonial government before 1997 and the current SAR government fail to development a comprehensive centralized Youth Policy: 1. Whether it was the colonial period or present ruling of the HKSAR, the Government does not have a clear and convincing “Youth Development Prospective”. The first priority of the policy Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 60 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. makers is to prevent youth from committing crimes and to help the juvenile delinquents, and thus developing youth becomes secondary. At present, the Hong Kong Government believes that services provided for youth, including education, welfare, medical services and employment are sufficient. Moreover, it is believed that services provided by different departments would be more flexible and more responsive to different needs of the youth. Therefore, a centralized department for youth policy is unnecessary. The Hong Kong Government also worries about the burden of resources. If centralizing youth policy, other community groups and functional groups would also ask for an independent policy for themselves, fighting for more welfare. Probably, there would be “Elderly Policy”, “Women Policy”, “Family Policy”, “Rehabilitation Policy”, “Labour Policy”, etc. If it were, the Government would need a lot of resources to support them and the Government could not afford to do so. The role and the ruling concepts of the Government. Main findings of related research studies revealed that the formulation of any policies or plans for youth development in Hong Kong in the past three decades basically followed an incremental approach, within the Government’s positive non-interventionist paradigm. The Government has never played a distinct and active role in the process of developing youth in Hong Kong. At present, youth services are largely provided by non-government organizations and voluntary institutions. As these organizations and institutions are using government grants, they somehow have to adhere to government policies. The NGOs in Hong Kong seldom act as an active advocate, forcing the Government to formulate youth policies. Comparing with other important agenda, concerning political and economic issues and livelihood, “youth development” could never be the priority under the Government agenda. Although Hong Kong does not have a centralized youth policy, the development of youth welfare services in Hong Kong is superb. In the past 30 years, Hong Kong has enforced numerous youth welfare services. Mostly are organized, provided and evaluated by professional social workers. These services could be categorized into therapeutic, remedial and developmental aspects. At present, Hong Kong has 122 youth centres, 64 integrated youth work teams, 25 outreaching teams, 467 school social workers, several tens uniform groups and other numerous youth service organizations2. Every year, they organize different kinds of activity to enhance the physical and mental health of the youth, to train youth leaders, to prevent them from committing crimes and to counsel the youth in need. Starting from 1970s, the Hong Kong Government has issued a number of “White Paper on Social Welfare Policy” and “Programme Plan on Youth Development”. Although these are scattered and disseminated social welfare policies for youth for different periods, their implementation did speed up the development of youth services directly. Therefore, we can say that “The Youth Policy” in Hong Kong is distinctive. It has the function of youth welfare policies in a country and its development coincides with the historical, political and economical development of Hong Kong. Active Labour Market Policy Facing the problem of youth unemployment, the Government has introduced the Youth Preemployment Training Programme (YPTP). In 1998, the HKSAR was aware of the problem of school leavers aged 15 to 19 in this poor economic environment. The Government thus requested the Vocational Training Council, Construction Industry Training Authority and the government “Night Schools” to increase their intake to allow F. 5 graduates to further their study, and granted funds to the youth work organization to organize activities to allow these youngsters to learn and Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 61 develop their potentials before starting to work. However, the effect was minimal. Since June 1999, youth unemployment has been getting worse. As a result, the YPTP was been launched by the labour Department as a means to tackle this problem. The YPTP consists of three parts: training courses, workplace attachment and on-the-job training. It allows young school leavers aged 15 to 19 to have the chance to be trained and to practice before entering the employment market. Four modules are offered to trained the youngsters and these are: Module A – leadership, self-discipline and team building training; Module B – job search and interpersonal skills training; Module C – computer application training; and Module D – job-specific skill training. Within the training period, professional social workers will support and counsel those in need. The first stage of YPTP was completed in March 2000. It had organized 951 training programmes and had 22,132 entrants. Afterwards, a survey was carried out to investigate the employment situation of the graduates by the Labour Department. Among 7,700 graduates who have the motivation for work, 3,900 successfully secured a job. The successful rate was 50.6%. Given this positive feedback, the Financial Committee of the Legislative Council grants another HK$24,600,000 for two YPTPs for 2000/01 and 2001/02. It is expected that 24,000 students will join these programmes. In order to gain more employment opportunities, an extra three-month on-the-job training arrangement was included in the Second YPTP. Students could then gain practical working experience in order to increase their competitive edge. The 2001/02 YPTP commenced in September 2001. As there was no independent, all-rounded and systematic evaluation on the YPTP, the Office of the YPTP of the Labour Department, in May 2001, commissioned the Social Policy Research Centre of the PolyU to evaluate the operations and costeffectiveness of the YPTP and to suggest ways for improvement. The research found that the general public, including employers, youth, parents and secondary school teachers, accepted and welcomed the function and the role of YPTP in general because it did lower the youth unemployment rate and enhanced the employability of the participants. This programme is mainly beneficial to school drop-outs who, because of various reasons, could not continue with their study. The YPTP has successfully centralized and connected the following: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Traditional counselling for unattached youth brought about by their physical and mental growth (Module 1 and 2): allowing youngsters to have self-understanding, communication skills, interpersonal relationship, job-finding techniques, and thus re-establishing their relationships with friends, family and work place; For those who could not receive tertiary education in local or overseas universities, having gone through the programme, their employability is being strengthened (Module 3 and 4); It provides appropriate training for youngsters aged 15 to 19 enhancing their personal qualifications, working motivation and interests; It provides relatively stable and reliable labour force with potentials for development for the employers; On-the-job training experiences that help to integrate theory and practice in a contextual manner. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 62 Conclusions and Lessons Learnt The following recommendations are based on the findings from the evaluation study on the YPTP and on current situation of youth unemployment in Hong Kong: 1. extend and improve the YPTP both as the effective remedial measure and as an option that increase the opportunity for the school leavers in Hong Kong; 2. Together with SWD, VTC, CITA, ERB, NGOs, the Labour Department should take the lead in forming a committee to coordinate government and non-government efforts and resources so that these can more effectively deal with the youth employment problem; 3. In the long run, there should be a youth policy in Hong Kong. The yet-to-be devised youth policy should address the youth unemployment problem. When the youth policy makes its appearance in Hong Kong, corresponding measures to deal with youth unemployment in the realms of education, family and labour will emerge. In the light of these, youth unemployment can be properly managed. Endnotes 1 Policy Watch, Centre for Social Policy Studies, Vo.2, Department of Applied Social Sciences, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, September, 1999. 2 Information provided by the Hong Kong Council of Social Services, Children and Youth Division, October, 2001. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 63 Indonesia Young People in Indonesia In 2000, teenagers (15-19) constituted 10 percent of Indonesian population, whilst young adults (20-24) comprised 8.8 percent (Table 1). 47.1 percent live in urban areas, their Labour Force Participation Rate is 51.8 percent and their unemployment rate is around 19.9 percent (table 2). The proportion of the young in urban areas has increased rapidly, more than doubling since 1971 when the figure stood at 21.5 per cent. Over the last 30 years Indonesian young people have also been increasing as a proportion of the population. By 2000, around one-fifth of the population were in the youth age-group. In the last three decades there has been a notable decrease in the percentage of young people without any education. The figure fell from 8.3 percent in the year 1971 to 0.5 percent in the year 2000 in urban areas and from 24.2 percent to 1.6 percent in the rural areas. In urban areas the decreasing proportion applies also to those with “Less than Primary” and “Primary School” education, while in rural areas applies only to those with “Less than Primary” education. Also, there has been an increase in the percentage of those who attained higher education, that is junior high school and above in urban areas, and primary school and above in rural areas (Table 3). When broken down by gender, youth educational attainment figures show a tremendous fall in both males and females in the lowest educational level. However, it is notable the gap between them has also narrowed (table 4). Employment Labour Force Participation Rates Figures 1-3 summarize the Indonesian youth labour force participation rates, broken down by area and gender. In general, the labour force participation rate of young people has been increasing over the last 30 years, both in urban and rural areas. Over the entire period, more than 40 percent of rural youth of all age groups participated actively in the economy (figure 1), as did urban young adults (20-24) with urban teenagers having a participation rate of 30 percent (figure 2). The difference between the labour force participation rates of rural and urban teenagers, is attributable to the lower educational participation of rural teenagers. Gender differences are also evident. Figure 3 shows that young men formed around 60-70 percent of the youth labour force during 1971 - 2000, while only around 30 to 40 percent was female. But, the gap has been narrowing over time as a result of increasing female participation. Employment to Population Ratio Figure 4 reports employment-population ratios for young people. It shows that around 50-60 percent of young men were employed during the period, whilst the corresponding figure was of the order of 30% for young women. The gap has fallen slightly over time, and more markedly in the last five years. The youth employment to population ratio by type of area, as observed in Figure 5, shows a relatively stable position for the last twenty years. The ratio for rural young people is 50 percent, remaining above that of urban youth by 10-20 percentage points. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 64 Formal vs. Informal sectors According to the definition of the Indonesian Central Agency of Statistics, employment in the informal sector covers three kinds of workers, namely the own-account workers, the self employed helped by family workers, and the family workers. While its counterpart, that is employment in the formal sector consists of two kinds of workers, the employer and the employee. Using this albeit imperfect definition, the proportion of young people working in the informal sector has been consistently greater than those working in the formal sector over the last 30 years although the gap between the two has tended to fall over time (figure 6). Indeed, compared to adults, the gap has closed faster over time. For older workers there is very little difference between the proportions in 1971 and 2000 (figure 7). Employment by Sector Most young people work in agriculture, although the proportion has fallen over time from 52.5% in 1985 to 41.9% in 2000 reflecting the changing industrial structure of the economy. Similarly, industrial employment has been growing over time and constitutes the second largest employer of the young. Employment in trade has been rapidly increasing almost reaching industrial employment by 2000 (table 5). Broadly speaking these trends are similar to those in adult employment shown in table 6. Unemployment Figure 8 shows youth unemployment rates over time. It is evident that there is an increasing trend over the last twenty years, both for urban and rural areas. There was also around a 10 percentage point difference between the rates for urban and rural areas but the gap has tended to narrow in the last five years with a fall in the urban rate. The situation has been explored by Manning (1998), who detected a high Indonesian young people unemployment rate in urban areas particularly amongst upper secondary graduates in the 1990s. Unemployment by Gender The unemployment rate of young men and women was very similar over the period 1971 – 1985. Starting in 1990, however, the rates began to move apart with young women facing a greater likelihood of unemployment than young men. By 2000, the two rates seem to have converged once more (figure 9). This confirms Manning’s (1998) findings that youth unemployment rates rose in the mid 1990s, especially among females and tertiary graduates. This finding along with increasing labour force participation rates confirms an autonomous trend towards greater labour force participation even in the presence of more limited labour market opportunities for young women. Unemployment by Level of Education Unemployment rates among young people with higher levels of education remain substantial and have tended to increase over time. The youth (15-24 years) unemployment rates among junior high school graduates range from 9.8 percent in 1985 to 18.2 percent in 2000 (table 8). For high school and college/university graduates the rates range from 31.1 to 33.9 percent and 20.5 to 35.8 percent respectively. The figures tend to show high unemployment rate for the educated youth. However, these tend to fall somewhat when one looks at the 25-29 age-group. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 65 Further, as O’Higgins (2001) has pointed out, even if there are high unemployment rates concentrated among the highly educated, some observations could be identified: 1. The Labour Force Participation Rate tends to increase the higher is the level of education. The competition among them is surely tight. 2. Educational levels of the Indonesian population have been rapidly increasing over the past 30 years, for urban and rural areas . 3. Although the unemployment rates seem to be higher among more educated youth, actually, its absolute total number is still smaller than those with lower education. Underemployment It appears that very often youth’s intention to actively participate in the economy has been blocked by constraints such as the availability of jobs matching with their qualifications. Those who do not have much choice and are forced to accept any available jobs might end up with other problems. The Indonesian data used in this study suggest that amongst the employed, more than 30 percent were found to be working less than 35 hours per-week. This study employs the 35 hours cut-off to define underemployment. In 1985, more than 60 percent teenage youth (15-19 years) were found working less than 35 hours per-week and the rate has been decreasing in the last two decades and reached 45.7 percent in the year of 2000. The higher the level of schooling the lower tends to be the proportion of youth underemployment. Those who have never gone to school constitute the highest proportion of underemployment in each year of observation except in 1985. Over the years there has been a decrease in the proportion of young being underemployed with higher and middle level education (table 9). National Youth Policy (NYP) The Directorate of Youth Affairs, a part of the Directorate General of Out-of-School Education, Youth and Sports, of the Ministry of Education and Culture (1999), has elaborated government policy on youth affairs at 3 levels: National Policy; Policy of the Ministry; and, Policy of Related Technical Departments or Institutions. National policies are derived from the State Policy Guidelines which are then expressed as policies of the Ministry. When there was a State Minister taking care of youth and sports, the policies at the Ministry level was hold by this Ministry. Policies at this level include : a. Widening youth opportunity for education and skill development b. Improving youth capability, role and participation in nation’s development of social, economic, politic, culture and national resilience c. Improving youth potential in pioneering and leadership skill d. Improving the quality of youth institutions and organizations e. Improving the general condition to enable young people to develop their lives in their communities and country The government’s policy on youth also includes policies for related ministries and institutions. Those ministries and institutions which are involved in addressing youth matters are : 1. Ministry of National Education, includes : Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 66 a. Always encourage the youth to keep faith in God Almighty b. Improving disciplines and strengthen their personality 2. Ministry of Social Affairs a. Improving the quality of Karang Taruna and empowering it to the extend they could optimally contribute to the national development b. Improving the implementation of inter-sector program coordination 3. Ministry of Agriculture Improving the quality of young fishermen and farmers in the field of horticulture 4. Ministry of Labour a. Dealing with youth unemployment b. Continuing the government policy on link and match program 5. Ministry of Cooperatives and Small Business Development Improving, developing and empowering youth institutions and business cooperation 6. Ministry of Industry and Trade a. Improving youth participation in industrialization and trading process b. Widening youth perspectives on problems and development of trade and industry c. Creating and motivating sense of business among youth 7. Ministry of Religious Affairs a. Encouraging unity, togetherness and national perspectives among followers of religions b. Encouraging the awareness of God Almighty presence in every efforts and activities towards national development 8. Ministry of Health a. Improving youth participation in the field of humanity, especially youth health b. Continuing and developing programs to overcome health problems among young people 9. Ministry of Transmigration and Resettlement a. Developing youth potential, including knowledge, skills and self sufficient behaviour, in transmigration areas in order to empower transmigration community 10. Ministry of Justice a. Improving youth (and children) treatment and service in the correction institutions b. Developing youth (and children) outside the rehabilitation centres 11. The National Centre for Boys and Girls Scout Movement (Kwartir Nasional Gerakan Pramuka) a. Improving and developing the quality and quantity of the tutors, members, structure and infrastructure, and the Pramuka activities b. Encouraging youth and the Pramuka participation in poverty alleviation and natural disaster aid activities. Active Labour Market Policies In Indonesia there has not been any national, integrated and specifically designed policy on combating youth unemployment. Of course there have been many general unemployment-related policies nationally and regionally, but few specifically designed for young people and it seems those policies are scattered and sporadically developed. However, since the young constitute a large proportion of the unemployed one may suppose that they are the object if not the target of many ALMPs. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 67 Supply Side : Enhancing Human Capital Education and Training As mentioned above, young people joining the labour force often suffer from limitations such as low levels of education as well as limited training and work experience. Moreover, population growth is rapid which only adds to the problems faced in absorbing young people into Decent Work. The Ministry of National Education has long been acting as the institution that is responsible for people’s formal and informal education. In line with its mission, the Ministry coordinates all national education and training-related policies but, so far, with only a minor emphasis on countering unemployment. There is some training for young people concerned with the development of entrepreneurship to increase young people’s self-sufficiency. Also, there are apprenticeship programs conducted by this Ministry in collaboration with private companies and student exchange programs that are joint collaborations with overseas educational institutions. The relatively low educational budget is another issue which also contributes to the difficult situation in Indonesia. The other institution with responsibilities in dealing with unemployment is the Ministry of Manpower. This Ministry has some programmes directed at alleviating unemployment in general, but not specifically for the young people. Programmes conducted by the Ministry of Manpower include those providing guidance and counselling for job seekers and job placement. These activities are done through their regional or representatives office in the provinces. TKPMP The most common and continuous type of programme provided by the government in conjunction with unemployment alleviation are those related to training. A variety of training programmes have been developed to help overcome the problem of unemployment. One such programme, specifically designed for young people, is the TKPMP (Tenaga Kerja Pemuda Mandiri dan Profesional = Professional and Self Sufficient Young Manpower), carried out together by the Ministry of Manpower and Universities. The training emphasises the promotion of selfemployment, how people may become self-sufficient, how to establish a productive business and so on. There are also training programmes held by some non-government-organizations that work under supervision of the Ministry of Manpower. University participation in the implementation of the TKPMP programmes shows a promising development. In 1994/1995 fiscal year there were 10 universities in 9 provinces involved in the programmes. The number increased to 23 universities in 22 provinces during the 1995/1996 fiscal year. There were 347 university graduates trained during the 1994/95 fiscal year and 66.9 percent of them (232 persons) successfully started new business which employed 883 workers or 4 workers per new enterprise (Minister of Manpower 1996). Further information on the sector that had absorbed more TKPMP alumni reveals that most of the TKPMP participants (34.5 percent) were involved in trade activities while 23 percent of them stayed with agriculture activities (Minister of Manpower 1996). The name of the TKPMP alumni’s university along with data on the number of persons starting a business and the average capital assigned is presented below (Table 10). Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 68 Demand Side : Creating Job Opportunities How to create job opportunities has long been among the policies carried out by the Ministry of Manpower. During the economic crisis, the government received some aid, especially from international donors, to overcome widespread unemployment. Under the Social Safety Net Programs there were sub-programs targeted to those who were laid off when firms downsized. Those unemployed, mostly young, people were given the possibility of being employed on public works projects such as renovating bridges, sewers and religious facilities in return for a wage. Village and community representatives were appointed as the coordinators of these activities and reported the results to the project management unit. Since this kind of activities were considered as rescue programs they was carried out for a few months in specific villages, in order to give other villages opportunities to have the same programmes, and were not intended to provide permanent work for the people. Another effort in creating job opportunities has been carried out through the TKPMP program as mentioned above. After finishing the structured training organized by the universities, graduates would be encouraged to set up their own business. By that time they were expected to be able to utilize their acquaintance with companies, banks/ financial institutions and other facilities introduced to them when they were trained. Some private firms have programmes, which are not directly related to government policies on alleviating unemployment but have provided useful work experience for young people, especially new graduates and advanced university students. The programmes include on-the-job training, and internship. Some other enterprises have programmes, called Bapak Angkat (Adopted Parent), to support and look after small enterprises and cooperatives, which are jointly carried out by the Ministry of Industry and Trade and the State Ministry of Cooperatives and Small and Medium Enterprise. Having been supported for a time by some big companies these small enterprises and cooperatives were expected to be able to maintain their business and, hence, their employees accordingly. Matching Demand and Supply: Job Brokerage and Placement Public Employment Services A tracer research on General and Vocational High School Graduates was conducted by the Ministry of Manpower in 1999. The results reveal that there are three main difficulties the high school graduates were facing when they were looking for work, those are : competition among job seekers (41.4 percent), unmatched education (16.6 percent), and their limited skills (12.8 percent). Furthermore, the research found that the main source of information on the availability of employment ranges from relatives (47 percent), employee of the company (20 percent), and the company itself (14.9 percent). To get the application letter the applicant goes to the company by him/herself (67.7 percent) or through relatives (16.6 percent). These findings were confirmed by a recent study by Matondang (2001) who conducted some focus group discussions amongst the young and reports that the way young people obtain work was through family networks, the employee of the company and the newspaper. The use of government job brokerage facilities to match job seekers with employment opportunities seems to be very unpopular. Those who registered to the government job brokerage facility, which is the regional office of the Ministry of Manpower, feel that the registering to the government office is only for fulfilling the employer requirement on such procedure when recruiting. It looks as if the officer in charge of job brokerage Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 69 is the one who has to actively approach both the job seekers and the company in order to be able to match their needs. Private Employment Services There are also private employment services to carry recruitment tasks for companies. The recruitment or placement company charges the employing company a fee and on top of that these employment services sometimes have the rights to deduct a certain percentage of the employee’s wages. It turns out that these kinds of practices mostly apply to casual workers and prospective employees sometimes are not aware that they are not directly hired by the employing company. Later on, in some cases, when their contracts were terminated, employees would believe that the company where they used to work had treated them unfairly. Employees were often not clearly informed about the agreement between the employing company and the recruitment company. The desperate job seekers would not even understand and did not inquire into terms of the agreement used to secure their job. Here, the recruitment company saw an opportunity to make use of these disadvantaged people. After several months working at a company, employees might be dismissed without any power to fight for their fate. Sometimes they filed complaints to the employing company but, it is the recruiting firm, not the employing which has responsibility for this problem. Conclusion: Lessons Learnt Concerning youth employment, issues emerging in this study are: the Indonesian youth labour force participation rate is increasing, work in the informal sector predominates, principally in the agricultural sector. Since the supply of the labour exceeds available employment opportunities, unemployment is perhaps unavoidable and has increased over time, especially in urban areas both for male and female young people. The unemployment rate amongst young people with higher levels of education remains high and has tended to increase. The nation has also been exposed to an underemployment problem for a long time. Specific policies on youth employment have not been developed systematically by the government. The principal existing institution that deals with youth matters is the Directorate General of Out-of-School Education and Sport in the Ministry of National Education. With only limited authority and a small budget it is difficult if not impossible for this institution to carry out its programmes effectively. The national policy and program, which has been developed since the earlier State Ministry of Youth Affairs seems to be too ambitious to achieve at present. Also, other related ministries that report having programmes for young people seem to be carrying on independently without any awareness of or co-ordination with the national programme. National coordination is needed to put those youth programs in appropriate place in each institution dealing with young people matters. The small portion of the national education budget and the implementation of the Regional Autonomy law have lead to the delegation of some of the central government’s tasks in conjunction with the youth matters. It is envisaged that regional governments will develop their own training schemes. Learning from national and international experience, the government needs to attach more specific attention to youth employment problems in order to avoid further negative social Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 70 consequences. A national institution, at a higher level than a directorate general, which could coordinate and consolidate all the existing programs on youth, should be one way positive step in the right direction. Indonesian Youth as Percentage of Total Population, 1971 – 2000 Table 1. Total Number of 15-19 Population 11,325,493 13,530,231 15,283,235 16,566,970 18,926,983 20,279,390 20,316,329 Period 1971 1976 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 15-19 years as Percentage of Total Population 9.6 10.7 10.4 10.1 10.6 10.4 10.0 Total Number 20-24 years as of 20-24 Percentage of Total Population Population 8,031,271 6.8 9,882,024 7.8 13,000,959 8.9 14,287,657 8.7 16,128,362 9.0 17,150,776 8.8 17,952,239 8.8 Source: Indonesia Central Agency of Statistics: 1971, 1980, 1990 Population Census; 1976, 1985, 1995 Intercensal Population Survey, and 2000 National workforce Survey. Table 2. Youth (15-24) and Adult ( > 25) Labour Force Participation Rate, and Unemployment Rate, 1971 – 2000 Period of study 1971 1976 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 Youth (15-24 years) Labour Force Unemployment Participation Rate Rate 46.8 11.9 60.6 4.8 46.3 3.5 46.3 6.9 49.9 8.6 53.8 20.0 51.8 19.9 Adult (> 25 years) Labour Force Unemployment Participation Rate Rate 63.7 7.1 73.8 0.7 63.4 1.0 69.2 0.8 69.0 1.2 70.1 2.9 73.7 2.5 Source: Indonesia Central Agency of Statistics: 1971, 1980, 1990 Population Census; 1976, 1985, 1995 Intercensal Population Survey, and 2000 National workforce Survey. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 71 Table 3. Percentage Distribution of Youth Population (15 –24 years) by Educational Attainment and Region, 1971 – 2000 1971 Ru Ur No schooling 24.2 8.2 Less than Primary School 35.7 20.8 Primary School 31.8 35.8 Junior High School 6.4 22.8 Senior High School 1.8 11.4 College and University 0.0 0.9 Educational attainment 1976 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 Ru Ur Ru Ur Ru Ur Ru Ur Ru Ur Ru Ur 18.8 7.7 -* -* 7.7 2.4 4.9 1.4 2.5 0.7 1.6 0.5 52.1 39.2 30.7 15.8 29.2 13.5 19.8 7.9 14.3 5.3 7.7 3.1 23.1 24.2 39.9 30.0 42.3 31.3 46.1 28.1 48.3 26.6 44.5 22.1 3.5 13.2 26.1 36.6 15.0 31.1 19.9 34.1 24.3 35.0 33.1 37.9 2.5 15.2 2.9 16.2 5.6 21.0 9.0 27.3 10.3 30.3 12.6 34.3 0.0 0.6 0.3 1.4 0.2 0.6 0.3 1.3 0.4 2.1 0.5 2.3 * = The Central Body of Statistics publication of the 1980 Population Census does not contain the data for the category. Source: Indonesia Central Agency of Statistics: 1971, 1980, 1990 Population Census; 1976, 1985, 1995 Intercensal Population Survey, and 2000 National workforce Survey. Table 4. Percentage of Youth Population (15 –24 years) by Educational Attainment and Gender, 1971 - 2000 1971 1976 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 M F M F M F M F M F M F M F No schooling 14.1 26.8 12.9 23.5 -* -* 3.9 8.0 2.4 4.7 1.3 2.2 0.9 1.2 Less than Primary School 32.1 32.9 50.5 49.9 22.7 30.7 20.8 27.2 13.7 17.0 10.2 10.9 5.1 5.9 Primary School 35.8 29.7 25.5 19.9 36.7 38.0 39.4 38.2 38.7 40.3 37.9 40.7 32.9 34.9 Junior High School 12.6 7.6 5.9 3.4 32.1 25.6 23.2 17.4 27.3 22.9 30.1 27.4 36.5 34.2 Senior High School 5.1 2.7 5.0 3.1 7.9 5.0 12.4 8.8 17.3 5.0 19.5 17.7 23.4 22.2 College and University 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 1.0 1.2 1.1 1.5 Educational attainment * = The Central Body of Statistics’ publication of the 1980 Population Census does not contain the data for the category. Source: Indonesia Central Agency of Statistics: 1971, 1980, 1990 Population Census; 1976, 1985, 1995 Intercensal Population Survey, and 2000 National workforce Survey. Table 5. Percentage of Youth (15-24 years) Employment by Field of Work, 1985 – 2000 Field of Work Agriculture Industry / handicraft Construction / Building Trading Transportation, Storage and Communication Finance, Insurance, Rentals, Establishment services Community, Social & Individual services Others (Mining , Electricity, gas and water) 1985 52.5 13.4 3.5 12.4 3.2 0.4 13.8 0.8 1990 46.4 18.8 3.9 11.8 3.2 0.9 13.9 1.2 1995 44.7 17.5 4.9 14.4 3.1 0.5 12.9 1.8 2000 41.9 20.3 4.3 19.4 4.4 0.8 8.3 0.7 Source: Indonesia Central Agency of Statistics: 1971, 1980, 1990 Population Census; 1976, 1985, 1995 Intercensal Population Survey, and 2000 National workforce Survey. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 72 Table 6. Percentage Distribution of Adult (>25 years) Employment by Field of Work, 1985 – 2000 Field of Work 1985 1990 1995 2000 Agriculture 54.5 Industry / handicraft 8.1 Construction / Building 3.4 Trading 15.9 Transportation, Storage and Communication 3.2 Finance, Insurance, Rentals, Establishment services 0.4 Community, Social & Individual services 13.6 Others (Mining , Electricity, Gas and Water) 0.8 50.4 10.0 3.6 17.0 3.8 0.6 13.4 1.2 47.9 8.9 4.4 17.2 3.9 0.7 14.9 2.0 45.3 13.0 3.9 20.6 5.1 1.0 10.7 0.6 Source: Indonesia Central Agency of Statistics: 1971, 1980, 1990 Population Census; 1976, 1985, 1995 Intercensal Population Survey, and 2000 National workforce Survey. Table 7. Percentage of Youth (15-24 years) Unemployment Rate by Level of Schooling, 1985 – 2000 Education No Schooling Less than Primary School Primary School Junior High School Senior High School College and University 1985 1990 1995 2000 1.2 1.9 3.3 9.8 31.1 20.5 2.2 2.5 3.1 7.8 27.3 31.4 7.6 9.6 16.6 33.6 40.8 3.9 7.4 12.4 18.2 33.9 35.8 Source: Indonesia Central Agency of Statistics: 1990 Population Census; 1985, 1995 Intercensal Population Survey, and 2000 National workforce Survey. Table 8. Percentage of Youth (25-29 years) Unemployment Rate by Level of Schooling, 1985 – 2000 Categories No Schooling Less than Primary School Primary School Junior High School Senior High School College and University Total per-age group 1985 1990 1995 2000 0.5 0.9 1.1 4.3 7.0 11.3 2.2 0.8 0.8 0.9 3.3 7.8 17.2 3.3 2.3 2.8 5.5 12.3 23.1 7.1 0.4 1.8 2.4 8.6 12.4 20.9 7.6 Source: Indonesia Central Agency of Statistics: 1990 Population Census; 1985, 1995 Intercensal Population Survey, and 2000 National workforce Survey. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 73 Table 9. Time-related Youth (15-24) Underemployment as Percentage of Total Employed by Educational Attainment, 1985 – 2000 Education No Schooling Less than Primary School Primary School Junior High School Senior High School College and University 1985 57.4 44.9 53.3 60.9 43.2 41.1 1990 42.5 38.6 35.6 28.3 27.9 35.8 1995 48.8 46.1 43.7 27.8 30.6 2000 58.6 44.7 43.2 39.0 24.6 19.7 Source: Indonesia Central Agency of Statistics: 1990 Population Census; 1985, 1995 Intercensal Population Survey, and 2000 National workforce Survey. Table 10. TKPMP Alumni With Business by University and Average Capital, 1994/95 Name of University University of Indonesia Andalas University (West Sumatra) Sriwijaya univ. (south Sumatra) Padjadjaran Univ. (West Java) Diponegoro Univ. (Central Java) Gajah Mada Univ. (Yogyakarta) Hasanuddin Univ. (South Sulawesi) Total TKPMP Have Business 33 Average Capital (Rp. 000) N.A. 29 5,657 44 3,969 21 9,237 18 12,965 42 2,391 45 3,760 232 6,330 Source : Minister of Manpower 1996. Notes : N.A. = Not available Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 74 Figure 1: Rural Labour Force Participation Rate by Age group, 1971 - 2000 80.00 70.00 60.00 50.00 40.00 30.00 20.00 10.00 0.00 20-24 15-19 15-24 1971 1976 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 year Source: Indonesia Central Agency of Statistics: 1971, 1980, 1990 Population Census; 1976, 1985, 1995 Intercensal Population Survey, and 2000 National workforce Survey. Figure 2: Urban Labour Force Participation Rate by Age group, 1971 - 2000 70.00 60.00 50.00 40.00 30.00 20.00 10.00 0.00 20-24 15-19 15-24 1971 1976 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 year Source: Indonesia Central Agency of Statistics: 1971, 1980, 1990 Population Census; 1976, 1985, 1995 Intercensal Population Survey, and 2000 National workforce Survey. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 75 Figure 3: Youth (15-24 year) Labour Force Participation Rate by Gender, 1971 - 2000 80.00 70.00 60.00 50.00 40.00 30.00 20.00 10.00 0.00 Male Female 1971 1976 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 year Source: Indonesia Central Agency of Statistics: 1971, 1980, 1990 Population Census; 1976, 1985, 1995 Intercensal Population Survey, and 2000 National workforce Survey. Figure 4: Youth (15-24 years) Employment to Population Ratio by Gender, 1971 – 2000 80.00 70.00 60.00 50.00 40.00 30.00 20.00 10.00 0.00 Male Female 1971 1976 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 years Source: Indonesia Central Agency of Statistics: 1971, 1980, 1990 Population Census; 1976, 1985, 1995 Intercensal Population Survey, and 2000 National workforce Survey. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 76 Figure 5: Youth (15-24 years) Employment to Population Ratio by Region, 1971 - 2000 70.00 60.00 50.00 40.00 30.00 20.00 10.00 0.00 Rural Urban 1971 1976 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 years Source: Indonesia Central Agency of Statistics: 1971, 1980, 1990 Population Census; 1976, 1985, 1995 Intercensal Population Survey, and 2000 National workforce Survey. Figure 6: Youth (15-24 years) Employment by Status, 1971 - 2000 90.00 80.00 70.00 60.00 50.00 40.00 30.00 Informal Formal 20.00 10.00 0.00 1971 1985 1990 year 1995 2000 Source: Indonesia Central Agency of Statistics: 1971, 1980, 1990 Population Census; 1976, 1985, 1995 Intercensal Population Survey, and 2000 National workforce Survey. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 77 Figure 7: Percentage of Adult (over 25 years) Employment by Status, 1971 - 1995 80.00 70.00 60.00 50.00 40.00 Informal 30.00 Formal 20.00 10.00 0.00 1971 1976 1980 1985 year 1990 1995 Source: Indonesia Central Agency of Statistics: 1971, 1980, 1990 Population Census; 1976, 1985, 1995 Intercensal Population Survey, and 2000 National workforce Survey. Figure 8: Youth (15-24 years) Unemployment Rate by Region, 1971 - 2000 30.00 25.00 20.00 Urban 15.00 Rural 10.00 5.00 0.00 1971 1976 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 year Source: Indonesia Central Agency of Statistics: 1971, 1980, 1990 Population Census; 1976, 1985, 1995 Intercensal Population Survey, and 2000 National workforce Survey. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 78 Figure 9: Youth (15-24 years) Unemployment Rates by Gender, 1971 - 2000 30.00 25.00 20.00 Female Male 15.00 10.00 5.00 0.00 1971 1976 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 year Source: Indonesia Central Agency of Statistics: 1971, 1980, 1990 Population Census; 1976, 1985, 1995 Intercensal Population Survey, and 2000 National workforce Survey. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 79 Japan The total population in Japan was 83.2 million in 1950. By 1990, the population had reached 123.6 million, an increase of 149% in four decades. In 2000, the total population was 127.4 million and the proportion of the young aged 15-24 constituted 12.2 % of the population. This represented a significant fall over the period, from 20.6% in 1950, 19.0% in 1970 and 15.2% in 1990. At the same time, the population under the age of one who were born in 1999 numbered just 1.17 million, which was the lowest post-war figure. The total fertility rate (TFR) for 1999 decreased to 1.34. Because of this, it is expected that the population will begin to decline early in this century, and will continue to do so throughout this 21st century. The socio-economic effects caused by a decline in the number of children extend to various areas: a decline in labour force, possible impedance of economic growth, an increasing financial burden on the working generation, and a decrease in their net income. Also, other social effects caused by this trend to fewer children include a predicted diversification of family structure, and with it concerns about the provision of basic services to the public. Nominal GDP per capita in Japan was drastically improved during the fifty years following World War II. In 1955, it was only about 10 % of that of the U.S.. Now, GDP per capita, adjusted for purchasing power parity, is 24,900 US dollars, which brings Japan into the group of top income countries. However, Japan is suffering its worst long-term economic downturn in the post-war era. Positive intervention policies, for example, the buying of support of dollars by the government in response to the yen appreciation depression influenced by the Plaza Accord in the late 1980s, caused a large increase in the supply of money. This prompted speculative trading of stocks and lands, which turned into the boom known as 'the bubble economy' in the early 1990s. Since 1993, when the "bubble economy" burst, Japan has been experiencing a long recession. The Japanese economy has experienced a rapid change from the boom to the recession, within a relatively short period from the late 1980s to the early 1990s. Furthermore, reforms of the post-war economic structure in organized and controlled ways under the guidance of the government have been required in various areas. Table 1 illustrates the effects of the recession in terms of unemployment rates by age. Unemployment rates as a whole have been rising continuously since 1993. From the table one may observe that the unemployment rate of teenagers (15-19) has consistently been around three times as high, and that of young adults (20-24) twice as high, as the overall figure. As of 2000, the labour force was about 67.7 million and the labour force participation rate was 62.4%. Within them the number of employees was 53.6 million whilst 3.2 million were unemployed. The trends since 1965 show that the labour force population, the employed and employees have been increasing year by year. The labour force participation rate has been steady at around 60%, while the ratio of employees to the total number of employed persons has been increasing. The number of employees has largely increased while the numbers of those selfemployed or employed in family businesses have decreased. Emerging factors that have presented new difficulties to economic society and education in recent years are globalization and the shift to an information-oriented society. Today, with rapid globalization and increased mutual dependency beyond national borders, competition and friction in Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 80 the world economy continue to intensify. The speed and density of the flow of human resources, materials, and information in this global society are increasing. Concerted efforts to deal with global problems such as protecting the environment are becoming ever more important. In this age of globalization, Japanese must coexist economically and socially with other countries in order to develop and mature further, and it is therefore important to develop globalminded personnel who can share a rich life both materially and spiritually with people of other nations. Recent developments in information technology have been amazing, and the shift to an information-oriented society has advanced in a variety of areas, from business and research to education, culture and entertainment. The spread of personal computers and cellular phones for home use has been explosive, while businesses enjoy improvements in management efficiency through the use of e-mail and the introduction of Electric Commerce. Appropriate measures are required to adjust promptly to this highly sophisticated information society, such as specialist training, the improvement of the environment for study and research through the active use of multimedia, and the development of students' information literacy. Young People in Japan Labour Force Participation Looking at the trends in labour force participation rate by sex and age, especially among the young (15-29 years old), the group of those aged 15 to 19 shows a large decline, from 36.3% for men and 35.8% for women in 1965 to 17.4% and 18.5% respectively in 1980, and 18.4% and 16.6% respectively in 2000. This is because the ratio of students proceeding to upper secondary schools and tertiary education increased during this period. As for young adult females, the ratio has been increasing since the late 1970s and 1980s (for those aged 20-24 from 66.2% in 1975 to 75.1% in 1990, and for those aged 25-29 from 42.6% to 61.4 % respectively), presumably due to several factors such as the rising average age of marriage and childbirth, and longer employment. The proportion of young people aged 15-24 in the overall labour force has declined to 18.1% in 1985 from 21.5% in 1970, with an increasing proportion of students proceeding to higher education. Although with “the second baby boom” generation (those born in 1974 at the peak) growing, the figure had changed to increase slightly or be stable during late 1980s and early 1990s. Then the figure has again decreased with the decline in the youth population, to 14.9% in 2000. Employment The unemployment situation remains serious for young people, and the proportion of high school students graduating this March who have found jobs shows a significant drop, according to surveys by the Ministry of Education and the Ministry of Labour. Of about 297,000 young job seekers graduating in March 1999, about 267,000 had succeeded in their job-hunting by the end of that month, a success rate of 89.9 percent. This is three percent down from the same period in 1998 (92.9%), a record low since the ministry started the survey in 1976, and the first time that the failure rate exceeded 10 percent. In Japan, the process of job-seeking begins around one year before graduation. The ratio of job vacancies to job seekers among high school students due to graduate in March 2000 was 0.62 as of the end of July 1999 (i.e. 9 months prior to graduation)1. The number of student job seekers due to graduate in March 2000 totalled 264,000, 6.1 percent down from the same period in 1998. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 81 However, the number of job vacancies was 166,000, a more drop of 40.4 percent over the same period. At 0.62, the rate was the lowest since the collection of such statistics began in 1984. The situation was particularly serious in local regions such as in Hokkaido and southern Kyushu where the rate was 0.22 and 0.21, respectively. The Ministry of Labour has suggested several reasons for the low job vacancy rate for high school graduates: the deteriorating employment situation, which has made it easier for enterprises to employ university graduates and two-year college graduates instead of high school graduates, and the general reluctance of firms to hire new employees while the future of the economy is uncertain. Another line of reasoning attributes the low rate to changes in the industrial structure, which have limited job opportunities for high school graduates to certain service sectors and manufacturing. According to the School Basic Surveys released by the Ministry of Education, the proportion of those finding employment among high school graduates has been declining over the years, standing at only 20.2 percent in March 1998. Job placements in schools Now that there are only six vacancies for every 10 young job seekers, high schools can no longer play the relevant role of job placement coordinators. In rural areas, the deficiency in the absolute number of job vacancies is a serious problem, while in large cities attractive vacancies are becoming scarcer. As a result, job-seeking high school students tend to choose part-time or nonregular employment and thus may be creating a new social problem. Those responsible for giving students vocational guidance at each school then help students select the most appropriate jobs. Every year, the Ministry of Education conducts a survey to find out how many high-school students have been promised employment upon graduation. About 690,000 high-school students graduated in March 1999. Of the 139,000 who wanted to find work, 62.7 percent had been promised employment by October 1998 (6 months prior to graduation). By course of study, the rate was highest for those in specialist courses, 74.9 percent for those in industrial courses, 64.3 percent for those in the commercial courses and 60.9 percent for those in agricultural courses. The figure was 55.7 percent for those in the general course. University Graduates The Ministry of Education's Basic Survey on Schools found that the rate of university graduates who found employment in 1999 was 65.6 percent, the lowest figure registered since 1951. Of 529,000 graduates from four-year universities, 347,000 found employment. This rate for males was 66.2 percent and 64.5 percent for females. The Ministry attributes this decline in the rate of graduate employment to the growing number of graduates going on to graduate school and to the fact that more companies are cutting back on the number of graduates they are employing straight out of university and college. The unemployment situation remains serious, and the proportion of university students graduating this March who have found jobs shows a significant drop, according to surveys by the Ministry of Education and the Ministry of Labour. The 1999 survey of 5,300 students about to graduate from national, public and private universities, two-year colleges, and colleges of technology, revealed that as of March 31, 92 percent of job-seeking four-year university students had found jobs. New graduates without jobs stood at an estimated 29,000. For junior college female Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 82 graduates, the rate of employed was 88.4 percent. By gender, the figures for four-year university graduates were 93.2 percent for males and 89.2 percent for females. The figures above are for graduates who wanted to find work, but, perhaps as a reflection of the serious employment situation, the proportion of these is declining. Of all four-year university students due to graduate in March 1999, only 68.3 percent took action to find jobs while still at university. For junior college female graduates, the percentage of those wanting to find a job stood at 71.3 percent, five percent down from the previous year. In terms of gender, the figures for fouryear university graduates dropped by 4.6 percent to 66.1 percent for males and dropped by 3.3 percent to 73.4 percent for females. Analyzing the situation, the Ministry of Education conjectures that “an increasing number of students, faced with the harsh reality, might have put off getting jobs by spending another year on campus or going on to graduate schools.” A survey conducted by Nikkeiren (Japan Federation of Employers' Associations) on the starting salaries of new graduates in the spring 1998 found that the starting salary for college graduates in clerical jobs averaged ¥201,300. This was a small increase of 0.5 percent over the previous year. The change from 1997 represented the lowest growth rate since 1966. The average starting salary for college graduates in technical jobs was ¥202,173 (up 0.5 percent over the year before). That for college of technology graduates in technical jobs was ¥177,309(up 0.6 percent), and that for junior college graduates in clerical jobs was ¥169,743 (up 0.5 percent). Thus the survey showed that for the fourth straight year, the growth rate was below one for graduates at all levels of education. The survey also found that 34.6 percent of the companies polled had frozen their starting salaries. The figure was 30.2 percent the year before. Only 61.5 percent of firms raised their starting salaries, down from 57.7 percent the preceding year. Both the placement rate and the starting salary growth rates for new college graduates clearly indicate that the recession has considerably affected the labour market for new school graduates. Job Turnover The Ministry of Labour has estimated from employment insurance data that about 70 percent of the junior high-school graduates in 1995 who found employment in private enterprises upon graduation have since left their first job within three years. The figure is about 50 percent for high-school graduates for the same year; and 30 percent for graduates of two-year colleges and four-year universities. This may be partly because of the differences in youth attitudes and the maturity based on age and experiences, but probably more because of the differences of current employment conditions and future promotion prospects dependent on the educational level. The figures include a considerable number of people who left their jobs voluntarily. Since large companies have kept their recruitment of new graduates to a minimum, increasing numbers of graduates have had to find employment in small or medium-sized companies where turnover rates are traditionally high. Many had failed to get job offers from the companies they wanted to work for, or had failed to get the particular job they wanted. At the same time, the number of young people who do not get jobs and remain unemployed has been increasing. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 83 Unemployment The fact that the employment situation has deteriorated among young people can be seen in the Labour Force Survey which has recorded a soaring unemployment rate among the young in Japan. The seasonally-adjusted unemployment rate in November 2001 was a record high 5.5 percent. In particular, the rate for those 24 years old and younger has increased. Of approximately 3.50 million unemployed people in November 2001, 600,000 were aged 15 to 24. The number of unemployed people aged between 25 and 34 totalled 810,000. Thus, nearly half of those unemployed in July were under the age of 35. While the annual average unemployment rate in 2000 as previously shown in table 1 for the population aged between 15 and 19 stood at 12.1% and for those aged 20-24 stood at 8.6%, it was 6.2% for the 25 to 29 age group, 3.4% for the 35 to 39 age group. The rate for young males is conspicuously high; for males between 15 and 19 the unemployment rate was 14.1%, for aged 2024 9.6% respectively. Underemployment “Freeters” The standard definition of underemployment refers to those working less than a specified number of hours and who are available for additional employment. According to this definition, part-time working house wives have been most mentioned. However now, young part-time workers are of policy concerns. This is because the number of high school and university graduates in the spring of 2000 who neither went on to further education nor became employed on a regular basis was approximately 324,000. The number started to increase in 1993 following the collapse of the bubble economy and 9.2 percent of all graduates joined that category. Nearly half of those who took a job after graduation left their job within three years. Reflecting the increasing number of graduates who are not gainfully engaged, Japan's “freeters” have been drawing attention as a social phenomenon. People who are not employed as regular employees and make their living as non-regular employees have come to be known in Japan as “freeters.” The word “freeter” has been concocted by combining the English word “free” with the German word for worker, “arbeiter.” The term first came up in the late 1980s during the period of the bubble economy. Although the term is not precisely defined, the White Paper on Labour defines “freeter” chiefly as men and unmarried women aged between 15 and 34 who work on a part-time basis or in side jobs (“arubaito”) continuously for less than five years. The Ministry of Labour estimated that the number of “freeters” in 1997 totalled 1.51 million, roughly twice as many as in 1987. Another definition, however, also includes dispatched workers. By that definition, the number is estimated at 3.4 million. Behind the growing number of “freeters” lies the traditional recruitment practice, which efficiently located new graduates in the job market during the period of high economic growth, but which is no longer suited to the current situation. So far, new graduates have been hired en masse each April and this has partially checked the increase in unemployment among youth people. Now this practice seems to be declining, and “freeters” seem to be one by-product accompanying the collapse of the old and stable system of allocating the supply of young labour. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 84 On the demand side, however, the increased number of “freeters” seems likely to be attributable in some measure to the overall reduction in employment due to the recession and to the increased number of middle-aged and elderly workers, as well as a greater tendency for firms to hire workers with experience as needed throughout the year. Consequently, even if young people wish to have a regular job, they are often obliged to work part-time or in side jobs (arubaito). On the supply side, higher levels of education seem to have come with a change in attitude towards work. Many graduates are not attracted by prospects of full-time regular employment immediately after graduation from high school or university. However, an acute problem for the “freeters” is that they fail to acquire proper vocational skills so long as they remain employed on such a basis. Against this backdrop, the Japan Institute of Labour (JIL 2000) conducted an intensive interview study in 1999 with 97 men and women under 35 years old who were neither housewives, students, nor regular employees. Each interview lasted one hour. The results found that the average number of working days per week of “freeters” was 4.9, and that their monthly income averaged ¥139,000. As for their educational level, 47.4 percent were high school graduates, 13.4 percent were university graduates, and 11.3 percent had dropped out of a technical school or a two-year college. Their average age was 22.7, and 63.8 percent of them lived with their parent(s). Together with these survey results, JIL pointed out that there are three types of “freeters:” the “moratorium types” who have no immediate future vision; the “freeters with a dream” are those who are anxious to work in show business or in other professional areas; and the “dead-end freeters” who are obliged to stay in such employment because they have failed to get regular work. According to another survey also conducted by the JIL, the "Work style Survey of Young People", targeting 1,000 respondents, 2001, one in three people between the ages 18 and 29 have worked as part-time freelance workers at some point in their lives. According to the survey, despite the high percentage (38%) of respondents who said that they became freelance workers as a strategy for finding the type of job they really wanted to do, only 12.5% became full-time workers after finding the job they wanted. Of the other reasons for working part-time, 26% of the respondents chose to work to "pay for tuition or basic necessities," and 22% said that they began working for "no single reason." Sixty-three percent of the respondents had considered working full-time. Fiftyfour percent of these respondents said that they had thought about applying to work full-time because "full-time work provides better conditions and benefits," while another 41% said that they have reached an age at which they "would feel more secure" if they had full-time work. Sixty-three percent of the respondents (75% of males, 47% of females) had succeeded in finding full-time employment. The survey found that the more effort the respondents put in from an early stage, the better the chances were of their finding such work. Active Labour Market Policy Supply-Side: Enhancing Human Capital Education and Training The main framework of the Japanese educational system in the post War period is a 6-3-3-4 single system. According to the system all schools are under the control of the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology. Children aged three to five years old can be enrolled in kindergarten; one to three years are required for completion. Children must attend Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 85 elementary school and lower secondary school or special education schools for nine years from ages 6 to 15. Then, upper Secondary Schools consist of three different courses: full-time, part-time, and correspondence. Course duration is three years for full-time, and three or more years for either part-time or correspondence courses. There are two different types of educational content in upper secondary schools: general education and specialized education. General courses mainly provide a general education in response to the needs of students who want to go on to higher education or want to enter the work force, but have yet to select a specific job. Specialized courses concentrate on vocational and other relevant subject areas for students who have a specific occupation in mind as their future career. These are offered in fields such as agriculture, industry, commerce, fishery, homemaking, nursing, information and welfare, and so on among these specialized courses. Higher Education includes universities, junior colleges and colleges of technology. Specialist courses at special training colleges are also recognized as this level. For enrolment, students are required to achieve an academic level equivalent to upper secondary school graduation or above. 4 years are required for graduation, and graduates receive a bachelor's degree. Universities may establish graduate schools (postgraduate course) in which university graduates or equivalent may enrol. Graduate schools consist of a master's degree course (standard course duration is 2 years) and doctoral course (5 years), and confer a master and doctor degree respectively on students who complete each course. Students who want to proceed to junior college require the same qualifications as university applicants, although graduation takes 2 or 3 years. Junior college graduates are qualified for university enrolment. Technical colleges differ from universities and junior colleges in that they require an academic level equivalent to lower secondary school graduation for enrolment. Graduation takes 5 years, and the aim is to educate students to become practical engineers. Graduates of college of technology are qualified for university enrolment. Vocational Training In addition to the schools mentioned above, there are other educational institutions called 'Special Training Schools' and 'Miscellaneous Schools'. These schools provide vocational or technical education in a practical manner and in accordance with students' various needs. Special training schools are divided into three courses: advanced course, specialized course and general course. The advanced course requires an academic level equivalent to lower secondary school graduation and the specialized course requires a certificate of upper secondary school graduation. Schools with the specialized courses are so-called 'special training colleges'. The general course has no academic requirements for enrolment. In addition, there are other systems for vocational training and the development of vocational ability. These are supervised by the Ministry of Health, Labour, and Welfare under the provisions of the Vocational Ability Development Promotion Law. With the aim of developing vocational abilities in young people who have not yet started work, those who have left work or changed jobs, and those who want to adapt to technological innovations in their workplaces, as of 2000 there were 240 human resources development centres (established by prefectures) targeted at lower secondary school graduates, and 33 polytechnic colleges for vocational ability development (most of them established by the government, i.e., the Employment Promotion Corporation). There are also governmental schools under the control of government agencies or national statutory corporations. These schools provide relevant education to future administrative officers and offer opportunities to develop the abilities required for their administrative duties. There are Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 86 approximately 70 institutions which primarily target upper secondary school graduates, including the National Defence Academy, the National Defence Medical College, the College of Fishery, the Meteorological College, the Civil Aviation College, the National Tax College, the Construction College and the Polytechnic University. The development of School-Work partnerships for traditional Japanese-style "employment" did not lie in the direction of strengthening the continuous nature of "education" in school and within the company, but rather presumed an educational cut-off on the part of both sides. This being so, study or hands-on experiential learning arranged in liaison with companies hardly developed at all outside specialized high schools. Within these specialized high schools, practical training and study concerned with work as adopted hitherto was continued, and efforts were made to provide large numbers of opportunities for work preparation and for hands-on experiential study. Within specialist high schools too, including the traditional industrial craft studies, a significant number of projects developed in close collaboration with local communities, all hoping to invigorate local industries in a wide variety of areas. For example, in agricultural courses, about 35% to 45% of overall study time was taken up by specialized study, and about half of this time was allocated to practical training. In industrial courses too, practical skill development courses, including hands-on training and industrial drafting, took up about half of the time allocated to specialist study, and considerable effort was devoted to providing manufacturing experience, including out-of-school activities. That said, looking at specialist courses as a whole, the links between in-school practical lessons and out-of-school practical skill training were not always sufficiently strong, moreover, there is evidence of a widening gap in terms of responses by schools to modern scientific and technological development and multi-disciplinary industrial developments. If we look now at onsite practical training in the context of liaison with schools, the implementation ratio is 42.7% for agricultural courses, 11.4% for technology courses, and 19.2% for commercial courses (Ministry of Education 1996 survey). It is clear therefore that, with variations from school to school, even in the case of specialized courses, links between local society and companies are insufficient, and that the opportunities offered to students to study the attitudes to work of employees are not necessarily adequate. Against this background, in 1996 the Ministry of Education initiated a "Liaison Promotion Project between Specialized High Schools and the World of Industry", and designated practical implementation research districts. In these districts, the aim is to establish and strengthen links between specialist high schools and the world of industry by such means as on-site practical training for students, the introduction of outside lecturers, and practical training for school staff. From the industry side as well, within the context of industry activities aimed at making a contribution to society, there have been various attempts to try and promote school/industry joint education, for example, on-site practical training induction programs, study visits to factories and offices, work experience, "children's visits" and so on. However, many problems are still unsolved, including problems of working conditions and safety, travel and accommodation fees, credit recognition for industry-based practical training, securing agreement from firms for visits and training, and the establishment of a permanent "Collaboration Committee". In 1996, the Ministry of Labour presented its draft Sixth Basic Plan for Vocational Ability Development for the 5-year-period of 1996 to 2000 to the Central Vocational Ability Development Council, which approved the plan. In the Basic Plan draft, the Ministry set forth, in view of changes Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 87 in the labour supply-demand structure, its priorities for vocational ability development. These are support for an individual's ability development, consolidation of an ability evaluation system in order to respond adequately to the conversion of the industrial structure, as well as expanding new fields resulting from sophisticated information telecommunications and ongoing deregulation. Among the areas to be addressed in the Plan, one of the priority issues for vocational ability development is "consolidation and substantiation of the vocational education system." The Lifelong Ability Development Centre is opened in 1997 as a facility to offer vocational education for whitecollar workers. This centre analyses the realities of white-collar jobs and develop, implement and spread "model" vocational training programs. In addition, the Plan strengthens measures to deal with matters involving white-collar workers by expansion and substantiation of the Business Career System (the vocational ability acquisition system) and promotion of career analysis and counselling. Meanwhile, there are four areas of vocational ability development for working individuals. Under the Plan, the Ministry promote “individual-based vocational ability development" as follows. First, help will be provided to individual workers enabling them to make up an "ability development plan" by provision of information and consultative services. Second, help is given to companies to improve their systems for voluntary vocational ability development through vacations, paid time off for education, during working hours and by providing expenses for vocational ability development programs. The Plan also proposes that the government offer support for smaller-sized venture businesses. According to the sixth basic plan for vocational ability development, it is required to make active use of "the Project for Fostering People at Small- and Medium-sized Firms" and support measures stipulated in "the Law for Securing Labour Force in Small- and Medium-sized Enterprises". Guidance and Counselling The Working Party established to consider the job seeking behaviour of high school students was recently released in 2001. The research committee had been established by the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology. The report concludes that job vacancies formerly filled by high school graduates are now being filled by university graduates. This reflects a general downward trend in the demand for high school graduates. Recognizing the seriousness of the situation, the report cites as major problems (1) the immaturity of the students in their thinking about occupations and the working life; (2) the absence of systematic and continuous guidance through internships and other programs which high schools should provide for students during their schooling; and (3) the declining effectiveness of conventional job placement practices in Japan's high schools. Three practices of placement of high school graduate in particular were questioned: the prearranged linking of certain schools with certain employers in the labour market; the way in which internal selections occurred for specified employers within the high school, and the “one-onone system.” The first is a practice whereby a company makes its job vacancies known to specified high schools, and only students of those schools are able to apply. In line with this practice, each high school carries out its own internal selection process to decide which of the students wishing to apply to a certain company should actually be recommended. High schools have also adopted the one-on-one system that restricts each student to applying to a single company. This series of practices used to play a role in the swift and smooth transition of students from school to Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 88 workplace. These employment practices, however, have also been seen as a factor hindering students from forming their own views about particular kinds of jobs and from making their own career decisions. The report makes proposals concerning relaxation of the rigid practices. It recommends that students at any high school should be allowed to apply for any job vacancy. In addition, each student should be allowed to apply to a maximum of three companies simultaneously through his or her school. It also proposes that in order to encourage high school students to develop their own ideas about occupations and working life, new measures should be taken to promote vocational education from primary school; a “career advisor” system should be set up by utilizing teachers with specialized training or former businessmen; and to encourage internship programs that enable students to experience for themselves the realities of various vocations. This idea is based on the revision of “National Curriculum Standard” in 1999. It was mentioned as background to the revision that there was a tendency for school education to emphasize volumes of knowledge. Now, however, the school education looks at itself from the children's standpoint and places a high value on the development of children's intellectual interests and inquiring minds. Thus, the school education positively conducts its activities by emphasizing the importance of motivating children to learn by themselves and helping them develop abilities to learn, reason, judge, express themselves accurately, discover and solve problems, acquire basic creativity and act independently in response to social changes. Additionally, children are encouraged to use their knowledge and skills comprehensively in daily life in order to successfully relate their knowledge acquired at school with the actual life. This requires the promotion of such educational activities as hands-on learning activities, problem-solving activities and activities to teach how to research and how to learn. Particularly, the upper secondary education is asked to aim at helping students appreciate the meaning of their own life, develop mind and ability to choose career and deepen understanding of the society. New standard ask, that depending upon students' interests, the upper secondary education provides them opportunities to learn the basics in the specialties of their choices and that it encourages them to further develop individualities and independence. Demand side: Creating job opportunities Job Creation and Public Works Emergency Employment measures introduced in 1999 have included the immediate creation of jobs by promoting job creation in growth industries. The government selected 15 recently established or growing sectors - the medical and welfare, life and culture, information and telecommunications, new manufacturing technology, transportation, environment, business support, marine, biotechnology, urban environment, civilian aircraft and space, new energy sources and energy-saving, human resources, internationalization and housing . The government is also giving incentive grants to employers who speed up their plans to hire rather middle-aged or elderly people who have involuntarily left their former jobs, and to employers who are offering on-the-job training. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 89 Subsidising Wage Employment In response to the record high joblessness among new graduates, the Ministry of Labour has initiated countermeasures which include (1) the extension of eligibility for short-term, free employment vocational training programs for high school students, as well as allowing private firms (in addition to vocational colleges and private job training institutes) to conduct such training programs, and (2) subsidizing the vocational training provided by firms that have hired recent university graduates without jobs. Where the scheme for allowing private firms to conduct job training is concerned, the government provides subsidies of about ¥60,000 per month per person as training costs, and jobseekers can in principle receive the training free. The training period to be covered by this scheme is three to six months, and the expected number of trainees will be 6,000, six times as many as in the previous year. The program is now available not only for university and two-year college graduates but also to graduates of high school and college of technology. It is aimed at those who have registered at a Public Employment Security Office but have not found a job. The graduates can choose where to receive training from among the firms seeking new employees. The subsidy to defray the training costs of firms which have recently taken on jobless graduates will be financed by expanding the scope of the “Grants for Life Time Development of Vocational Abilities” which used to be granted to firms obliged to transfer their middle-aged or elderly employees to different sections or to conduct training to help their employees keep up with technological innovation. Firms that begin a training program of up to six months by the end of September are eligible for subsidies to cover two-thirds of the training costs (three-quarters for small and medium-sized firms) up to a maximum benefit of ¥300,000. Youth and the Information Society Consistent and systematic ICT education through all stages of school education will require sufficient improvement of related subjects and active use of computers in virtually every subject. Elementary schools will employ computers for children's learning activities in the "Period for Integrated Study" and other classes. Lower secondary school will require students to learn the information basics including basic computer skills in industrial art and homemaking class. Upper secondary school will establish a new required subject area of "Information Study". Promoting Self-Employment and Small Business Development Entrepreneurship in growth sectors such as ICT is encouraged for young women and men, particularly in the field of engineering at university. Many national universities established a centre for bearing this motivation and attitudes to students, called such as “Venture Business Laboratory”, and other centres for liaison with industry since middle of 1990s. The Japan Chamber of Commerce and Industry, the Central Federation of Societies of Commerce and Industry of Japan and the National Federation of Small Business Associations have established 'Inquiry Offices' at their national and local branches to deal with individual labour disputes. This is in response to the introduction by the government in October of a law for solving labour disputes with the aim of dealing with the increase in number of labour disputes between individual workers and firms and mandating the establishment of a free labour grievance mediation setup. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 90 Through these Inquiry Offices, the organizations provide advice on how to prevent or solve problems that arise between Small and medium sized enterprises and their employees, including those associated with wage payment, work hours, work regulations, retirement benefits, and pension benefits. The Help Windows also refer people to lawyers and relevant government ministries or agencies for problems that cannot be solved at the Offices. While courts exist to solve labour problems, most SMEs choose not to take their cases to the courts, because the costs and time associated with the judicial system tend to be prohibitive. Community Development through Local Initiatives It is envisaged under the Emergency Employment Measures that the national government and local public bodies will take a number of measures to create temporary employment and job opportunities. These include a scheme to provide special grants for emergency regional employment which will provide funds for educational and cultural, welfare, environmental, recycling and other public works projects which local bodies entrust to private companies and nonprofit organizations (NPOs). Information on laws and ordinances, budgets and account settlements, government newsletters, and white papers are to be digitalized in the interest of disclosure, with the project to be entrusted to private companies to generate more jobs. To deal with the decline in the number of children, measures will be taken on the local level (city, town and village) that include the establishment or improvement of nurseries, which will simultaneously create more jobs. Finally, the measures call for establishing “NPO Human Resources Job Placement Offices” to register those who wish to participate in the voluntary activities of NPOs and to provide information on these people to NPOs looking for staff members. Matching Demand and Supply: Job Brokerage and Placement Within high schools, in the area of job placement assistance, screening and internal school selection are carried out in the same way as for those wishing to proceed to higher education, with the result that schools substitute for companies in terms of the selection process. Because schools enable the candidates required by companies to apply in a suitable manner, the final selection process by the company can be carried out in a short time with relatively little competition. The point that is worth stressing here is that schools are consciously aware of the selection criteria of companies, and that "academic achievement", representing the internal value criteria of schools, are cleverly intertwined with these at the time of selection and job placement guidance. There have been good circumstances for low achievers until the collapse of bubble economy. The existence of a labour shortage during several decades meant that even graduates with low academic achievement were able to find employment through the partnerships among school, employers and public employment services. It is clear from this that as the basis for interfacing between the positions and sets of value criteria held respectively by schools and companies a "partnership" is formed, moreover that both sides share a negative viewpoint regarding the effectiveness of vocational education in schools. Be that view as it may, it is a fact that between the school and the company, in terms of the "actual results" or the "reality" of the interfacing concerned with the employment of students, a "quasi-contractual" relationship of trust is formed. However, after the collapse of bubble economy, in case of general high school students who wanted to get a job, labour market condition became worse and school’s support became more weakened, thus the prospects of finding employment within and through high school have seriously obscured. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 91 The legal basis for involvement by official government agencies in the transition to work is the Employment Security Law. With regard to adjusting the supply and demand of labour, this law defines the fundamental function of introducing employment opportunities to job seekers through Public Employment Security Offices, and as a supplementary function, also makes provision for such services as a free employment placement service for schools, a partially paid employment service, and the dispatching of workers for specific purposes. The government office in charge of labour matters, in liaison with the government office in charge of education, gets involved in considerable detail in employment matters affecting new high school graduates, including setting up meetings and selection schedules for job-seekers and employers. With regard to the specific division of responsibilities for the administrative work involved in job placement, the nature of the interface between the educational institution and the Public Employment Security Office differs according to the educational level. In the case of pupils who leave to find work after completing lower secondary school, the final stage of compulsory education, the Public Employment Security Office has a central role. In the case of universities, junior colleges and special training colleges, the educational institution undertakes job placement almost completely autonomously. High schools occupy an intermediate position, and with a view to deciding on the distribution of duties, very detailed liaison is carried out as set out above. Historically speaking, during the early period of high economic growth in the 1960s, Public Employment Security Offices all over the country, using their nationwide network, looked to local regions as a source of supply to satisfy labour demand in the towns. Specifically, the government administration developed a large-scale employment introduction program whereby they arranged for new lower secondary school leavers to travel to large cities in groups for job placement. A system was established under which the offices in large cities would receive notification of job vacancies and send details of these through the nationwide network to local offices for them to pass on to lower secondary schools. This was the period when government-subsidized "group employment trains" were formed to take new employees to assignments, e.g. 1,000 kilometres away from their home. Later, high school leavers became the main source of labour supply, but the shape of the large-scale employment introduction service continued. Moreover, from the later part of the 1970s on, along with efforts to raise the level of regional and local economies, the administration's policies changed to ones of encouraging high school graduates to find jobs in local areas, aiming to get those who had come to universities in the large cities to go back to their home towns for work through such devices as "U-turn employment fairs". Employment activities of students in higher education institutions and recruitment behaviours of companies for new graduates have been liberated since 1998 in order for students to be able to have more chances to select jobs more effectively and for employers to be able to have more opportunities to show information in a flexible schedule. In fact, demands have been always higher for university graduates in post-war Japan so that companies have competed fiercely to secure able graduates as early as possible. Until the year 1997, higher education institutions had had “a gentlemen's agreement” with employers to fix a nation-wide uniform schedule for employment activities and recruitment behaviours the government supervised companies' compliance with the so-called employment agreement. This compliance had often been violated and always been a controversial problem. During the economic bubble period, many companies refused to comply with the gentlemen's agreement and gave employment commitments to students even one year or more early before they graduated. The agreement was eventually abolished in 1997. Companies and universities each have agreed more broadly that employment commitments should be made for Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 92 students on or after October 1 as of a half year before their graduation, and that institutions and companies mutually respect each other's agreement. At the same time, they are seeking to establish new employment practices. Internship mentioned in a previous section, has emerged as one of such new practices. Employment security offices' validation of job offers and regulations on offers through classified advertisements, which are seen for upper secondary school graduates, do not exist for graduates of institutes of higher education. Employment activities vary depending on companies and prospective graduates. In the most universal manner, companies provide students with employment information through job magazines issued by the private media. Such magazines are usually mailed to students selected by institutions or their departments. On the other hand, companies supply employment information frequently through universities' employment guidance divisions, professors and other higher education organizations. This practice is a traditional one for natural science and engineering students. In this case, information supply destinations are limited to certain categories of universities or departments meeting specialized job requirements. Companies also use job magazines and newspaper advertisements to supply information to an unlimited range of universities or departments and take advantage of their employees to contact students at universities from which these employees graduated. In a recent change, companies have begun to adopt measures to more widely disseminate employment information. For example, they make employment information available on the Internet so that anyone can get information and job application forms. Some companies require students to file job applications without specifying their universities, in a bid to give priority to personal capabilities and interests in making employment decisions. Companies are increasingly trying to collect able personnel from a wider range of students by preventing universities or departments from selecting students before job application. Employment activities for graduates from special training and junior colleges are similar to those for university graduates. Saitama Prefecture launched its own job search website2 (in June 2000, in advance of a jobsearch website which is to be jointly managed by the government and the private sector (see the March 2001 issue of the Japan Labour Bulletin). The website maintains a permanent display of 2,000 to 4,000 job vacancies which the prefecture collected, together with some 20,000 vacancies released by five personnel-dispatching and job-placement agencies which have contracts with Saitama Prefecture. Private Employment Services In line with the ratification of ILO Convention 181 covering private employment services, including employment agencies and temporary staffing agencies, and the changes in the social and economic situation, employment security laws for staffing service and employment security were revised with consideration given to the protection of workers in order to adequately deal with the structural reform of Japanese economy and strengthen the function of making adjustments of the labour supply and demand relationship. These laws have been in effect since December 1999. In 1999 the Employment Security Law and Worker Dispatching Law were revised as part of a general relaxation of labour market regulations. Revisions to the Employment Security Law opened the way for fee-charging job placement businesses to supply employees to private Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 93 enterprise. They also relaxed restrictions on the types of jobs which could be filled by such firms. Revisions to the Worker Dispatching Law abolished general restrictions on types of work which dispatched employees could undertake with the adoption of a “negative list” system by which only listed activities were prohibited. The revised laws allow private job- placement companies to be involved in all areas except construction and port cargo services. Meanwhile, the rules protecting workers eligible for job placement are strengthened. Agents will be penalized if they violate the confidentiality of workers' personal information. Furthermore, guidelines for collecting and preserving personal information on workers are clearly detailed. Accordingly, an increasing number of private enterprises are entering the job placement and temporary worker dispatching businesses. Incidentally, these types of firms require permits from the Minister of Labour. According to the Ministry of Labour, from December 1, 1999 (when the laws came into effect) to June 1, 2000, 293 enterprises offered fee-charging job placement services (an increase of 34% compared to the same period in the previous year) and 898 enterprises were dispatching employees to other firms (an increase of 23%). As of June 1, 2000, the number of private fee-charging job placement businesses totalled 3,930, an increase of 8.1 percent from the end of November 1999, just before the relevant law was revised. Newcomers included, for instance, a company providing job information which joined the business in order to widen its activities to include the offering of future job placements via the Internet. A major private preparatory school did so with an eye to introducing and dispatching school teachers to private junior high schools and high schools. The number of enterprises engaged in worker dispatching services as of June 1, 2000 totalled 17,277, an increase of 5.5 percent from the end of November 1999. A company managing dormitories for other companies' employees has created a new affiliate engaged in personnel dispatching services, and plans to dispatch more than 200 domestic helpers per year. A department store is setting up a smaller company from which shop assistants will be dispatched to related companies and associated businesses. Some firms have started to engage both in job placement and in the dispatch of workers. According to the Special Survey of the Labour Force Survey conducted in February by the Management and Coordination Agency, only 2.8 percent of unemployed people rely on private job placement agencies when looking for work. That compares with 40.1 percent who rely on Public Employment Security Offices. On the other hand, some 900,000 workers were dispatched in fiscal 1998, 4.7 percent more than the previous year. Thus, although the private sector still plays a minor role in the market, as employment patterns become more varied in the future, rapid expansion of private job placement firms is expected. Moreover, since workers can now be dispatched to any category of job, it is almost certain that their numbers and significance will increase in the near future. At Recruit's site (www.career2.recruitnavi.com), some 5,500 vacancies can be investigated in terms of job category, job experience and knowledge required, location, and other attributes. The same website provides a “job information mailing service” for people who have registered with the website and specified a list of desirable vacancies beforehand. Some 270,000 people were enrolled at the end of March 2001. Since simply publishing information about job vacancies and job seekers on the Internet is not identical to making a job placement as defined by the law, such publishing does not require any legal procedures or permission. However, receiving information about job vacancies and job seekers, and arranging for employment agreements between firms looking for workers and job seekers is defined as making a “job placement” and is subject to legal restrictions. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 94 Until recently, job placement agencies have been required to provide job seekers in writing with information such as working conditions, the scope of duties, etc. Now they are able to provide such information in an e-mail format. The revision of the law also scrapped regulations concerning the minimum floor space of job placement agencies in cases where such agencies use the Internet to allocate jobs. The Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare is hoping that the revision of the law will encourage placement agencies that use the Internet. Quite a few websites now provide information about switching jobs. In March 2001, NEC's “Biglobe” comprehensive website (www.biglobe.ne.jp), expanded its job information pages to include information on vacancies, personnel introductions, dispatching, and opportunities for studying abroad. The site includes more than 60,000 pieces of information obtained from Recruit and 13 other associated companies. It is becoming common to look for jobs on the Internet. Some regulations for implementing the Employment Security Law were revised, and came into effect on April 1, 2001. They were relaxed for firms that used the Internet for job placements. Until the early 1990s, university students generally obtained information about employment and careers from magazines which specialized in such information. By completing and sending a questionnaire included in a magazine, designated firms would send them a company brochure. From the mid-1990s, these magazines began to set up homepages, and then initiated a range of recruitment activities through the Internet. According to a survey conducted in June 2000 by Recruit Co., Ltd. a major distributor of job information, two-thirds of university students used e-mail every day to enhance their own employment prospects, and roughly half of them browsed websites every day. Students also use Internet bulletin boards to exchange information and opinions on how particular companies conduct their interviews, how and when they start to give informal assurances of employment to prospective graduates, and so on. Some keep diaries on their own homepages, describing their job-hunting activities. In such ways, young job seekers find out about the real intentions of the firms they consider for employment. Youth employment and the social partners Employers’ Organizations In 1995, the Japan Federation of Employers' Associations issued a report, "The New Age of Japanese Management", in which they suggested the active adoption of fixed-term employment contracts. Employers’ organizations and related economic circles have suggested in their policy reports, entitled "From School to Combination of Schools" (1995) and "Recommendation for Combination of Learning, Working and Playing" (1996) by the Japan Committee for Economic Development and others that the trammels imposed on the children's education by schools and teachers should be freed through more active cooperation between schools and local communities as well as the industry, and that "study", "work" and "leisure" should be organically combined with each other. Along with this, there has come the recognition that a social dialog between various social walks is necessary, cantering on the methods to realize this. The era has come when dialog and partner Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 95 Trade Unions As the proposal by General Labour concerning education and nurturing of talented personnel, there is the summary "In Order to Sustain Brilliance in Life in the 21st Century: Vision of "Work" and Study" prepared in 1996 by the Rengo Comprehensive Life Development Research, a think-tank in Rengo. It is worth noting is that discussions were carried out by this think tank with the participation of the staff members of the Japan Teachers Union, an affiliated organization in Rengo, and that the proposals concerning education which were not ideologically critical of the government and economic circles were made by labour circles and from those in the educational system. In these discussions, the following objectives were declared: (1) Emphasize the basics and rudiments, and social features: Securing the civil minimum (2) Learning should take place at each student's own pace: Shifting from lateral diversity to vertical flexibility (3) Overcoming stages of education: Shifting from the distinction of stages of education to the division of functions (4) Ensuring the opportunity for lifelong study: Surviving in this knowledge-based society. It was pointed out that it efforts should be made to carry out the reform based on social partnerships between trade unions and economic circles, between schools and local communities, and between teachers and administrative agencies of Ministry of Education and to have a dialog between them (Ichikawa et al., 1996). The Effectiveness of Youth Employment Policy: Lessons Learnt It depends on more or less fundamental economic and social conditions whether youth employment policies have direct effects in terms of improving employment outcomes. Japan’s government are now targeting both the structural adjustment in every policy sphere – mainly in order to respond the challenges of privatization trends – and the recovery of economy from long lasting recession. This means that policy measures could be adopted by public body are seriously limited and that in spite of many policy initiatives as mentioned above, effectiveness may be difficult to grasp by analyzing statistical data analysis of employment condition up to the present. At the time of economic recovery, labour demands for youth graduates would be improved particularly faster than other labour demand. Because of the shrinking youth population, the relatively low wage of young workers, and the common conceptions of investing more on youth in general, new school graduates employment are expected to be recovered soon, except high school graduates who is gradually becoming into minority positions. With the many revisions of employment and related laws and regulations, various channels for placement, such as those using ICT technology and mass-media, public and private employment services focused on youngsters are emerging. Although some concerns on the digital-divide are often discussed, the media-literacy of Japanese youth is becoming richer and richer. For involuntary part-time workers, various policy measures are needed, such as those promoting occupational careers. On the contrary, for voluntary ‘freeters’, medium- or long-term measures are required. Building the internship and other work experiences into school and colleges are one of challenges of cultural innovation. Thus, even though the internship has gained a great popularity in universities and colleges, there are still remaining questions whether the program become a ingredient and integral part of the school curriculum. The depth of experiences, partnership between school and employer, and the integration of work experience programs among Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 96 primary, secondary and higher education institutions. Therefore community based intermediary organizations may play a very crucial role toward next development of this kind of measures. In order to support youngster’s smooth transition to working life in Japan through the medium of a partnership of the parties involved, an accurate grasp of the real situation is indispensable. Many kinds of statistical surveys are undertaken every year and the "transitions" of high school graduates, before and after graduation, are clarified in great deal. However, this process embraces a number of problems. Specifically, the statistical surveys are limited to grasping the diversity of individual movements and linking these to the social background or to individual experiences with a view to analyzing and suggesting policy-level issues. In many developed countries, statistical follow-up surveys on "transition from school to work" have developed on the basis of equality-driven policy initiatives aimed at clarifying and reforming social inequality in the area of educational opportunity. Through the medium of a fresh analysis from this viewpoint, evidence-based research concerning education has been accumulated. Especially in recent years, with European integration as the key, interest has been rising in followup statistical surveys of this kind. In Japan too, structural changes can be seen in the career patterns of young people following the period of high economic growth, and as can be deduced from current surveys, there is a possibility that appropriate guidance concerned with education and employment has not been given to many. Moreover, the size of this stratum is expected to increase. In particular, there is a need for policies, which aim not merely to provide a ‘safety-net’ to ensure that those who follow unusual career paths are not disadvantaged, but to prevent young people from being excluded from society in the first place (‘inclusiveness’). However, the reality is that the government bodies in charge of education and labour respectively are only interested in grasping the situation from their respective viewpoints. On an international level too, there are common concerns about the issues of transition. An international statistical survey, which will focus on and follow individual careers in terms of "the transition of young people from school to work" is currently being prepared. It is a reasonable assumption that this will have very great significance at policy level. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 97 Table 1: Unemployment rate by age and by sex 65 and older (%) age total 1519 20-24 2529 30-34 35-39 40-54 55-59 60-64 1970 1.2 2.7 1.8 1.1 1.0 0.8 0.9 2.2 2.1 0.6 1975 2.0 4.8 3.1 2.1 1.3 1.5 1.5 3.2 3.2 1.8 1980 2.0 5.5 3.6 2.0 1.7 1.3 1.3 3.1 4.6 2.2 1985 2.6 8.9 3.8 2.4 2.0 1.9 1.6 3.9 7.0 2.1 1990 2.0 7.4 3.7 2.0 1.6 1.3 1.2 2.3 5.1 1.4 1995 3.1 8.9 5.5 3.7 2.3 1.8 1.9 2.7 7.5 2.2 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 3.4 3.4 4.2 4.8 4.9 10.3 10.3 12.0 15.1 14.1 6.1 6.2 7.3 9.3 9.6 4.0 3.9 4.9 5.6 5.8 2.5 2.7 3.1 3.8 4.2 2.1 2.1 2.8 3.1 3.0 2.0 2.1 2.5 3.2 3.3 2.7 2.6 3.6 4.4 4.5 8.5 8.3 10.0 10.2 10.4 2.1 2.0 2.6 2.9 3.2 1970 1.0 1.3 2.1 1.4 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1975 1.7 2.4 2.7 2.7 2.0 1.8 1.2 1.6 1.1 0.0 1980 2.0 2.7 3.3 3.6 2.4 1.9 1.3 1.3 1.0 0.0 1985 2.7 5.6 4.5 4.8 3.1 2.2 1.9 2.2 1.7 0.9 1990 2.2 5.7 3.7 3.7 2.5 2.1 1.5 1.4 1.4 0.0 1995 3.2 7.5 5.8 5.2 4.7 3.0 2.1 1.7 2.6 0.6 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 3.3 3.4 4.0 4.5 4.5 9.1 7.6 9.1 9.5 9.8 6.2 6.1 6.9 7.9 7.5 5.5 6.3 6.7 7.1 6.7 4.6 4.4 5.6 5.8 6.0 3.0 2.9 3.7 4.2 4.1 2.0 2.1 2.6 3.1 3.1 2.1 2.0 2.8 3.0 3.1 2.6 2.5 3.1 3.8 4.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 1.1 male Female Source: Management and Co-ordination Agency "Labour force Survey" Note: Before 1973 Data of Okinawa not included. Endnotes 1 2 The job vacancy rate stood at 3.08 for students graduating in March 1992, when the economy was booming. www.shigoto.pref.saitama.jp Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 98 Papua New Guinea Papua New Guinea is a paradox. By world standards it is rich in natural resources while its population of around 5.2 million is still reasonably small relative to its land area and potential wealth. Despite high rates of economic growth and public spending in the early 1990s, it has some of the lowest social indicators in the world while conditions continue to deteriorate. In recent years the economy has actually contracted (Table 1). Even these figures do not reflect the true condition of the majority of the population. In 1996, when average GDP per capita was around $US 1200, it was estimated that 80 per cent of the population earned less than $US 350 per annum (HamidianRad, 1997: 47). It is probable that the disparities are even greater today. Papua New Guinea was largely isolated from the world until World War Two, and even today has a poorly developed road network. It is often said that the first wheels seen by most of its people were on aeroplanes. The nation is characterised by extreme cultural diversity, with more than 800 separate language groups, and high levels of circulation between rural and urban areas. In 1990 some 15 per cent of the Papua New Guinea’s population lived in urban areas 1. This includes the two major areas of Port Moresby and Lae, and the provincial capitals, but large agglomerations of rural villages are excluded. The physical distinction between rural and urban areas is blurred to some extent, in that some urban dwellers, especially squatters may grow much of their food in garden plots within the town boundary and/or live in villages for some of the year (Baxter, 2001: 2). Even so, there are marked differences in social indicators between rural and urban areas. For example, in 1996 GDP per capita income in the National Capital District was 3-20 times higher than in any of the provinces, and the UNDP Human Development Index was from 30-60 per cent higher (Baxter, 2001: 14). Economic progress has been hampered by the mountainous landscape, the isolation of many communities, and the persistence of conservative traditional customs and social orders. The real cause of underdevelopment, however, is the economic model adopted, which is based on a relatively small urban-based modern sector supported by the export of raw materials, while most of the rural population remains peripheral to the modern economy and receives little benefit. The shortage of wage employment opportunities, which affects all age and gender groups not just school leavers and youth, is symptomatic of rapid population growth and a stagnating economy, exacerbated by political and social instability. The situation is much the same in Papua New Guinea’s smaller Melanesian neighbours, Vanuatu and Solomon Islands. In all three countries around 80 per cent of the population depend mainly on subsistence agriculture, there is little manufacturing or commercial development and the major sources of formal employment is the government sector and enterprises providing services to government and government employees. It is against this background that the problem of youth unemployment in Papua New Guinea must be viewed. It is not an isolated problem that affects one specific group in society, but part of a Melanesia-wide socio-economic crisis that has disadvantaged almost everyone in the countries concerned. This has important implications for strategies to combat youth unemployment in Papua New Guinea. Limited economic development and socio-economic infrastructure make it costly and difficult to generate appropriate jobs and opportunities for youth in the modern sector. The institutional structure for delivery of special assistance to youth is poorly developed, while the juxtaposition of the traditional and modern sectors makes it difficult for young people to find and remain in wage employment. In particular, social structures that accord low status to young people, Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 99 the reluctance of young people to remain in villages when modernisation is largely confined to urban areas, and very high crime levels, especially in urban areas, discourage enterprise. There is a general paucity of data on employment in Papua New Guinea, especially data disaggregated by age and gender. As Papua New Guinea does not carry out economic surveys much of the information on employment is derived from censuses, which generally lack detail. Moreover, processing of the 2000 census data was still underway when this paper was written, and data on employment are not expected to be available until late 2002. Many of the statistics quoted in this paper are therefore based on the 1990 census, plus a few statistics collected by other government departments or by independent researchers. It is now recognised that the 1990 census was a substantial, non-systematic, under-count, and the overall average annual population growth rate was actually 2.7 per cent per annum in the period 1980-2000, rather than around 2.3 per cent, as assumed prior 2000. Estimates of youth unemployment based on 1990 data are therefore underestimates. Employment opportunities and labour markets Employment and labour force Overall, close to three million Papua New Guinea citizens are of working age, while only around 270,000 are employed in formal wage labour. Those without formal employment depend on subsistence and the traditional safety net provided by Papua New Guinea social structure. There is therefore strong competition for any wage jobs that do become available. This, plus the extent to which labour market regulatory markets are copied from Australia without regard to local conditions and needs, are the key features of the labour market (Hess and Imbun, forthcoming: 13). In 1996 the government set its major development objectives as improved private sector development, improved delivery of public services, increased employment opportunities, increased rural production and improved access to services and income earning opportunities. At that time most investment was in capital intensive industries, there was undue emphasis on developing natural resources and a failure to recognise the importance of human resource development (Tautea, 1997: 177-8). This remains true in 2001. It is estimated that around 40,000 students leave the education system each year, plus at least 10,000, who did not get into the education system at all, reach working age and begin looking for work. In contrast, the absorptive capacity of the economy is currently only about 5,000 per year, most of the 45,000 young people who are not absorbed immediately do not have any qualifications (Tautea, 1997: 185). Moreover, as absolute population size increases, the number in each age cohort also increases. Papua New Guinea’s population is currently increasing by about 130,000 people each year, virtually all of them infants, since immigration is negligible. This means that in 16 or 17 years time the annual number seeking to enter the labour force will be close to 130,000, even if the population growth rate has declined by then (McMurray, 2001). In contrast to the steady population growth rate, the rate of real growth in GDP has deteriorated since the mid 1990s. Moreover, since most of the growth that occurred in the early 1990s was in mining and petroleum with much of the benefit going to overseas, it did little to increase overall employment opportunities, and contributed almost nothing to expanding youth employment. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 100 Papua New Guinea’s manufacturing sector is small, comprising mainly food processing, beverages, tobacco and timber processing for small local markets and contributing in total less than 10 per cent of GDP. It has stagnated over the past two decades, becoming heavily dependent on tariffs and other protective measures. Agriculture, which provides the livelihoods of around 85 per cent of the population and which must be expected to absorb most of the labour force in the near future, suffers from low productivity and high domestic costs (Hamidian-Rad, 1997: 55). Occupation, status and industry Table 2 shows the distribution of all formal wage-labour by sector, and compares changes between 1982 and 1999. It can be seen that the largest single sector is agriculture, while retail/wholesale, manufacturing and construction are relatively small. The leading national income earner, mining, generates very little employment. Although it remained the largest employer of wage labour, agriculture employed fewer workers in 1999 than in 1982 and 1992, even though, as noted above, this is the sector that must absorb most of the labour force. The sector that showed the greatest relative increase was education (7.2 per cent to 11.5 per cent). Although this reflects an expansion in the number of primary school places, it has been paralleled by an absolute increase in the number of school age children, while there has been comparatively little expansion in other sectors of the economy. Table 3 shows the distribution of the privately employed (i.e. non-Public Service) wagelabour force by sector. In 1995, 37 per cent were employed in agricultural enterprises, with the remainder, only around 100,000 people, in the type of industrial and commercial activities that usually generate most employment opportunities. Table 4 shows the population aged 10-24 years by principal activity in 1990. The table indicates that substantial numbers were entering the labour force before age 15 years, 11 per cent to engage in monetary activities. By far the most common monetary activity for these age groups, and, indeed for all ages, was food related, including growing cash crops. Table 3 also shows that from 510 per cent in each age group left school only to become unemployed. As discussed in Section below, the real rate of unemployment is likely to be a substantially higher. Formal and informal sectors; wage employment and self-employment There are no reliable data on informal sector activity in Papua New Guinea. However, there has been little development of legitimate informal sector activities, and at times they have been actively discouraged. For example, street vendors are aggressively dispersed by authorities in Port Moresby, ‘which destroys legitimate income earning opportunities for unskilled youths who otherwise turn to crime’ (Pitt, 2001: 130). The promotion and development of formal rather than informal employment has its origins in the colonial-founded education system’s perception that the objective of every student should be employment in the formal sector, and anything else is second best. Primary schooling is seen as preparation for secondary school, which, in turn, is seen as preparation for employment in the modern sector, or even preparation for tertiary education. In addition, the conditions that regulate formal employment, inherited from the Australian administration and similar to those operating in Australia, are so favourable that formal sector employment is generally much more attractive than informal sector employment. This plus the huge negative impact of crime, have been major factors inhibiting the development of both in formal activity and self-employment. Other factors are small markets, since Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 101 so few people are involved in wage work, cultural factors and a poorly developed ‘entrepreneurial culture’. Traditional values play a much more significant role in economic life in Pacific countries than in most other regions of the world (Hooper, 2000: 3). The core of Papua New Guinea culture is a system of obligation and reciprocity that often requires decisions and behaviour that appear to be the opposite of economic rationality. For example, profits may be dispersed rather than reinvested, stock may be given away, loans may not be paid and employees and business associates tend to be selected on the basis of kin rather than qualifications. Hess and Imbun (2001: 11) make the interesting comment that in traditional Papua New Guinea society women were largely responsible for economic activities such as food production, while men tended to focus on political activities. Although women may have tended to develop a more ‘economic way of thinking’, modern formal sector activities are overwhelmingly maledominated, and men now hold the economic power, although the inclination of many remains more political than economic. Paradoxically, although it might be assumed that women would take the lead in informal sector activities, their participation has been inhibited by their greater vulnerability to crime. Even so, the most widespread informal sector activities are street and market place selling of food, largely by women. Unemployment As evident from the preceding discussion, unemployment, including hidden unemployment, is a major problem in Papua New Guinea. The 1990 census counted a total working age population of 2,535,000. Of these, only 134,000 reported themselves as unemployed, yielding a gross unemployment rate for people of working age of only 5.3 per cent. Similarly, the gross unemployment rates for each age group derived from Table 3 range from 5-10 per cent. The real unemployment rate is more difficult to determine, however. If the labour force is assumed to be those engaged in subsistence and monetary activity, the unemployment rate for the population as a whole in 1990 can be estimated as 8.3 per cent. However, this relatively low figure also masks the real situation. It is evident from the high levels of circulatory migration from rural to urban areas that substantial numbers of those engaged in subsistence (24 per cent of all people of working age) would prefer to participate in the monetary economy, or at least supplement their subsistence activity with wages. While they are absent from their villages in search of wage work they are effectively numbered among the unemployed. It is also likely that many of those reporting as house workers (11 per cent of all people of working age) would also prefer to participate in the monetary economy if they could. If this is so, the true rate of unemployment could be much higher Although there are clearly large numbers of Papua New Guinea nationals without work, there is still a heavy reliance on expatriates to fill managerial and technical positions. Although numbers fluctuate, during the 1990s there were around 8,000, expatriate workers in Papua New Guinea (McGavin, 1997: 73). Of these 42 per cent were professional and 34.4 per cent were administrators or managers (Tautea, 1997: 183). Reliance on expatriates is necessary because of low education levels in the Papua New Guinea national workforce, with 64 per cent not having completed primary education, and only 5 per cent had completed secondary or higher education, as discussed in more detail in Section 4.1.1. Closer analysis of the data in Table 4 shows that the unemployment rates for young people could also be very high. If the labour force is defined as those engaged in monetary activity, plus Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 102 those engaged in subsistence and the unemployed, the overall unemployment rate for ages 10-24 is 15 per cent (18 per cent for ages 10-14 years, 17.4 per cent for ages 15-19 years and 11.2 per cent for ages 20-24 years). Subsistence accounted for 53 per cent of all employment of those aged 10-14 years, 42 per cent for those aged 15-19 years and 34 per cent for those aged 20-24 years. This suggests that the subsistence sector absorbs surplus youth labour to some extent, but that young people tend to move out of this sector if other employment becomes available. Hence, many young subsistence workers could also be effectively classified as hidden unemployed. Since it is unlikely that many of those aged 10-19 years in 1990 were married, it can be assumed that most of those reporting as house workers were also hidden unemployed. This is also true of many those in the category ‘other’, (15 per cent of those aged 10-14 years, 8 per cent of 1519 years and 6 per cent of 20-24 years). Only about 2,000 in each age group were sick or disabled while the balance were likely to be hidden unemployed. Overall, it seems likely that in 1990 more than 20 per cent of young people were leaving school (or never attending school) only to become unemployed. Tables 6a and 6b show economic activity according to level of education in 1990. Generally the pattern is as expected, with the least educated engaging in activities requiring least skills. The majority of those with only primary education (up to Grade 6) or lower secondary education (Grades 7 to 10) are engaged in food related activities. The majority of those with post secondary education are employed in wage jobs. It is interesting, however, that although it is generally believed that most of the unemployed have no education, 2.3 per cent of those with a degree and 4 per cent of those with a diploma or certificate were classified as unemployed. If those engaged in subsistence and ‘other’ activities are added to this, unemployment amongst the most educated group in the labour force approaches 10 per cent. It is also notable that 12.6 per cent of those who had completed secondary education were unemployed. Given the shortage of skilled labour in Papua New Guinea, there is clearly a need for job brokerage services. Underemployment Underemployment is a concept that needs be considered in the specific context of the Pacific. In traditional Pacific village society the concepts of unemployment and underemployment do not exist (Hooper, 2000: 6). Resources are shared and the family and community provide a safety net for those who cannot provide for themselves. While many Papua New Guinea workers can be considered underemployed in that they work irregularly and/or short hours, it must be recognised that not only is underemployment inevitable in most Pacific contexts, but also it may not always be undesirable. For example, the labour requirements of subsistence agriculture are seasonal, especially the contribution of men, which tends to be confined to clearing and preparing land for planting. This has a positive aspect in that many of those classified as subsistence workers are able to leave their villages for months at a time to go in search of supplementary wage work in urban areas. Underemployment in the public sector as a consequence of overstaffing has been perceived as a major problem by donors, because it contributes to high costs and inefficiency. While this is true from a Western perspective, overstaffing and underemployment is consistent with the Pacific social objective of sharing resources. Restructuring programmes implemented during the 1990s targeting inefficient staff structures have helped to reduce public sector underemployment, but even the relatively small changes made so far have brought hardship. It is not uncommon to find families of 10 or more dependent on a single wage earner, and if this person is made redundant, many Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 103 people are affected. This is a typical example of collision between Western economic objectives and traditional Pacific social mechanisms. While in the long run the Western approach may bring the greatest increase in productivity, and eventual benefit for all, Western economic strategies need to be modified to ensure they are appropriate for the Pacific contest. It is virtually impossible to measure the extent of underemployment in the Papua New Guinea economy as a whole, and it is questionable whether such an exercise would be worthwhile. The elimination of unemployment should not be considered as a priority but rather as a very longterm objective that can be achieved only when there are sufficient employment opportunities for all who need them. At present levels of development there is simply not enough work to go round. If it is considered necessary to implement programmes of restructuring, resource-sharing mechanisms such as job sharing could be introduced so that the remaining employment opportunities are shared as widely as possible. In general, the negative concept of underemployment should be abandoned, while strategies should be couched in terms of multi-tasking, in which formal and informal employment are supplemented with income generation. This would foster a more pro-active approach to seeking income generation opportunities, including developing small businesses. National Youth Policy The most recent National Youth Policy of Papua New Guinea was approved in January, 1997 and, at the time of writing was still in operation. This 29-page document, prepared by the National Youth Service of the Department of Home Affairs, identifies the problem of youth unemployment and formulates objectives and strategies in general terms (Papua New Guinea National Youth Service, 1996). It emphasises the need for special policies for vulnerable groups and the social consequences of youth unemployment. The approach is sound and generally consistent with the recommendations of the UN/World Bank/ILO High Level Panel of the Youth Employment Network (United Nations/World Bank/ILO Youth Employment Network, 2001). The main function of this document, however, is to propose objectives and mechanisms, while the strategies are presented in general terms only. Moreover, the target population of 10 to 34 years is somewhat wider than the usual definition of youth (15-24 years) and could serve to diffuse efforts and reduce their effectiveness. The policy has five primary objectives and proposed strategies to achieve them, as follows: Objective 1: Training: Facilitate and support training, education and rehabilitation to improve the quality of life of young people. Strategy: Support local and provincial trainers in government, NGO, church and community organisations engaged in youth development programmes by providing training materials, assisting with skills training and education courses and encouraging enrolment in distance education, courses at tertiary institutions and courses to develop livelihood skills. Objective 2: Youth Enterprise: Encourage and provide avenues for young men and women to enter the workforce Strategy: ‘The National Youth Commission will enable registered groups of young men and women to have easy access to capital assistance so as to enter the workforce either by working for wages, being self-employed, running a business or maintaining and improving subsistence practices’…’providing technical and managerial support and linkages to appropriate agencies in sustaining funded projects’… ‘provide avenues for motivation and competition’. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 104 Objective Three: Communication and Information Networks To improve and strengthen the communication network to enhance the self-organisation capabilities of young people and link them to local, provincial, national and international organisations of young people. Strategies: Publish quarterly bulletin for wide distribution, circulate information on youth activities overseas, disseminate information on PNG youth to international agencies, acquisition of computers by the National Youth Commission to process this information and maintain a database on youth groups and facilitate annual, biennial or triennial provincial, regional and national youth congresses. Objective Four: Social Services: To promote and encourage young people to have respect for the social, spiritual and cultural heritage of their communities through active participation in community service activities Strategies: Provide funding for Community Service Projects identified by Local Level Governments which promote the involvement of people between the ages of 12 and 35 years in cultural and community development. Objective Five: Development Administration: To improve and strengthen the National Youth Commission to enable it to efficiently and effectively address the changing needs of youth at the local level. Strategies: Ensure representation of young men and women in Local Level Governments and Provincial Authorities and support and serve Provincial Youth Federations and the National Youth; commit to a regular review and evaluation process of the National Youth Commission, and support staff development, professional training and attendance at national and international training courses. Implementation One strength of the National Youth Policy is that it is based on partnerships with a number of government agencies, NGOs and donor agencies. Those represented at the 1994 Consultative Youth Policy Review Workshop to formulate the policy included: - - National Government Departments: Religion, Home Affairs and Youth; Agriculture and Livestock; Education, Police, Attorney-General’s Department, National Capital District Commission; and National Youth Commission. Provincial Departments: Manus; Southern Highlands; Gulf; Central; East Sepik; Western; and East New Britain. NGOs and Churches: National Volunteer Service; Lae Seventh Day Adventist Mission; Lutheran Church; Pacific Youth Council representatives from Morobe, East Sepik, East New Britain, Central, Southern Highlands, Western Province, Western Highlands and National Capital District However, a progress report on activities presented to the Second General Assembly of the Pacific Youth Council in December 2000 repeats the objectives and strategies of the policy, but does not detail any specific achievements in generating employment opportunities for youth (National Youth Commission of Papua New Guinea, 2000). The two major reasons why little has been achieved are non-release of Government funding for youth activities and economic stagnation. The National Youth Policy states that increased employment opportunities for youth will derive Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 105 from the 1994 Government development strategies of developing a vibrant private sector, achieving sound macro-economic performance, moving towards an industrial-based economy and increasing opportunities for rural production (Papua New Guinea National Youth Service (1996: 2-3). Since none of these strategies has been implemented, the essential basis for success of the National Youth Policy has not yet been created. An important concern in the implementation of this and other social strategies in Papua New Guinea, as well as Pacific countries elsewhere, is that policies are made at the government level but non-government organisations (NGOs) are expected to deliver most of the necessary services. Ineffective mechanisms to manage the interaction between government and NGOs is a main cause of failure of social programmes. The National Non-Government Organisations Policy, released in the mid 1990s (Government of Papua New Guinea, n.d.) attempted to address this problem by emphasising the need for more co-operation between government and NGOs and better coordination of NGO activities, but the problem remains. Active labour market policies Supply side: Enhancing Human Capital Human resource development is a long-term strategy. The issue of improving human capital needs to be addressed very carefully in Papua New Guinea. On the one hand, the labour force is poorly educated and there is a reliance on expatriates to provide a substantial part of the skilled labour force. On the other hand, it is important to avoid overemphasising formal education, since the vast majority of young workers will need to be absorbed into unskilled employment. The education system therefore needs to be reshaped so it is better adapted to the varying needs of the labour force, rather than focusing only on the acquisition of formal literacy. In particular the school system needs to ‘cultivate and understanding of how access to market goods and services is achieved and of the possibilities for access to market products through rural productive activities and the possibilities for quality of life improvements in village settings (McGavin, 1998: 92). Education and training A major limitation of the current labour force is that the national literacy rate is only around 45 per cent. Figures for the period 1989-1992 indicated a primary school enrolment rate of 66 per cent and a secondary school enrolment rate of only 12 per cent, while less than 2 per cent progress to vocational, technical or tertiary education (Papua New Guinea National Youth Service, 1996: 10). This was largely due to insufficient capacity in schools. Although enrolment in secondary education has improved, in the mid 1990s still only one in every six 13-16 year olds was enrolled in secondary school. Upper secondary education is especially costly because of a low teacher student ratio of 1:8, employment of expatriates at two or three times the local salary rate and a national scholarship scheme that covers costs for students living away from home (Tautea, 1997: 182). Law and order problems generally restrict participation of women in teaching. A significant feature of education is gender inequality. Whereas 50 per cent of males aged 15 years and over in 1990 were literate, the figure was only 40 per cent for females (Papua New Guinea National Youth Service, 1996: 7). In the mid 1990s, 80 per cent of males eligible for primary school were enrolled, but only 67 per cent of eligible females. In secondary school females achieved only 85 per cent of the male rate, and at tertiary level only about 30 per cent. This is reflected in low levels of labour force participation and earnings. Estimates of female labour force Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 106 participation range from 40-60 per cent, with only around 16 per cent of total earnings going to women. This is largely because almost 50 per cent of economically active women are employed in the subsistence sector, and only two per cent in the formal employment (Hess and Imbun, forthcoming: 17). Table 5 shows an improvement in educational attainment between 1980 and 1990, as measured by the percentages with no schooling in various labour force categories. It is notable, however, that in 1990 there were around 50 per cent or more males with no education in every category, and the figure was around 60 per cent or more for females. (Tautea, 1997: 185). One reason for relatively low participation in education, especially for females, is school fees. In order to increase enrolments, Papua New Guinea abolished school fees across the board in early 1993. Although this led to some increase in enrolments, the net effect was regressive and increased overall costs. The highest fees had been charged at the high quality urban schools whose patrons could afford to pay for them, while many schools in poorer areas simply could not afford not to charge fees, so continued the practice. It is arguable that in Papua New Guinea small fees, or in-kind contributions, would perhaps help people to value education more (Economic Insights, 1994: 68) In 1997 16 per cent of public expenditure was on education, eight per cent on infrastructure and 9 per cent on health. UNDP (2000: 40) points out that the funds expended on services per capita were greater than expended by other countries at similar stages of development, but social indicators for Papua New Guinea were relatively low compared with those countries. For example, in 1989 Papua New Guinea spent 6.2 per cent of GDP on education, compared with around 3 per cent in Thailand and Philippines. Primary and secondary school costs were two to three times the average of neighbouring countries, and tertiary costs nearly seven times as high. (Economic Insights, 1994: 65-67). Gannicott and McGavin estimated private and social rates of return on investment in various levels of education in Papua New Guinea using data from 1979 and 1986. They found that, despite much higher costs, private returns based on fees actually paid rather than the full cost were no better or worse than for other developing countries. The social rate of return on tertiary education, which reflects the full cost, was much worse, from 1-8 per cent compared with 13 per cent for all developing countries at that time (Economic Insights, 1994:65, Table 4.2). There is nothing to indicate that education has become more efficient since these data were collected. Hess and Imbun (forthcoming: 16) comment that successive governments have failed to find funds to keep teachers in front of classes. Absenteeism is widespread and resignations common because of low salaries and delayed or non-payment. While there is a need to progressively increase the percentages attending secondary school, this may not necessarily contribute to more employment opportunities for youth in the short term. During the 1990s there was an expansion in primary education, the level at which the rate of return was estimated to be highest. The priority, however, should be training in practical skills to facilitate labour absorption into the rural and informal sectors. This could be achieved in primary schools or by non-formal education for those who have already left school. Although there is a shortage of highly qualified workers and an on-going reliance on expatriates, it is questionable whether at this point in time it is cost effective for Papua New Guinea to offer tertiary education. No fees are charged at tertiary institutions in Papua New Guinea, and one third of the public education budget is spent on 2 per cent of students who attend them. Among the factors keeping the costs very high are the practice of providing accommodation for students, Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 107 which is mostly funded by national scholarships, high overheads and unit costs, and salaries and conditions based on an Australian rather than a local model. The very low social rate of return for university education suggests that it may be more cost effective to send students to universities abroad, which have the added advantage of higher academic standards. Guidance and counselling Formal guidance and counselling facilities are extremely limited in Papua New Guinea. Most of the available counselling services are provided by NGOs, especially churches, and by schools or tertiary institutions, and reach only the young people affiliated with these organisations. In the absence of a pool of jobs, these services are of only limited value unless coupled with employment generation schemes. Even when NGOs do have funding to support employment generation, their activities are inevitably small scale and make only a small impact on the overall picture. Courses in personal development, such as the leadership training courses offered by the Secretariat of the Pacific Community, help to develop appropriate attitudes and encourage enterprise, but again their impact is necessarily very limited. In the absence of very substantial funding to support the creation of employment, there is little these organisations can do to help young people find work. An important consideration is the impact of family dynamics on youth employment. In Papua New Guinea, as elsewhere in the Pacific, communication between parents and adolescents tends to be constrained. Young people are low on the social hierarchy, with many obligations to relatives and wantoks2, and parental expectations tend to be high. Most parents assume their children will repay the costs of child-rearing as soon as they reach working age. This system of obligation acts as a disincentive to work, for both young and old alike, even though it is an essential social safety net in times of crisis. Many businesses have failed because obligations to family and wantoks have prevented sound business practices. There is need for community education to create a more supportive environment for young workers. Unless there is a change in community attitudes, efforts to create employment opportunities for young people tend to be undermined by social obligations. An essential prerequisite to the expansion of wage employment in communities is a change in family and community values and attitudes to those consistent with Western production practices as opposed to Papua New Guinea’s communal mode of production and communal social structure. Education should emphasise non-cognitive aspects of learning aimed at changing the values of society and developing work ethics (Tautea, 1997: 186). Demand side: Creating job opportunities As discussed above, the development of the small business and informal sectors has been inhibited by a number of factors, including the focussing investment on the mining sector, the fostering of a high cost and inappropriate education system that is not accessible to all, and, in recent years, extremely high levels of crime. In addition, wage regulations derived from Australia has made labour very expensive, while government regulations inherited from Australia discourage informal activities such as street vending Job creation and public works Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 108 The most pressing need for Papua New Guinea is to minimise the capital intensive development policies of the past and promote labour intensive development with substitution of labour for capital. This is particularly relevant to rural areas, where there are opportunities to promote labour intensive activities, both agricultural and non-agricultural. This type of work could present ideal opportunities for the employment of young people at relatively low cost, and could help to stem the flow of rural to urban migration. There are a number of examples of labour intensive public works, road construction and rural house construction using local materials and unskilled labour (Tautea, 1997: 185). Several preconditions are necessary for this type of job creation to succeed, however. First, there needs to be more flexibility in labour regulation (Hamidian-Rad, 1997: 63). Current award conditions prevent such activity on a large scale and are unsuited to the needs of villages, where people may wish to work only a few hours per day. Second, there is a need to ensure that workers are paid and paid regularly. As noted above, the inability of both central and provincial governments to pay public service salaries regularly, especially in remote areas, has led to absenteeism and resignations of public servants, including teachers, and closure of essential services such as schools and health aid posts. For example, during the drought of 1998 it was estimated that one third of health aid posts were closed because staff had not been paid. The other essential precondition is a revised perception of public works. Obviously roads constructed using manual labour are unlikely to compare with those constructed entirely with heavy machinery. However, it is possible to make greater use of manual labour and less use of machinery to build roads and other public works, as is done in China. For example, bulldozers could be used to cut a road, then it could be levelled and drained by village road gangs. Subsidising wage employment McGavin (1998: 75-76) argues that the best strategy for improving skills quickly is on-thejob training. This could include a variety of schemes in which employees accept low wages during a training period. The National Training Council (NTC) and the Minimum Wage Board Determination enables ‘training-wage’ job offers in the urban formal sector which would effectively split training costs between employees and employers. In 1999, however, there were only 1,227 registered apprentices, around half in the mechanical trades and the balance in building, electrical and other trades, which are all overwhelmingly male domains. The total for the period 1958 to 1999 was only 14,128 (unpublished statistics on Apprentices in Training, Apprenticeship Board of Papua New Guinea). Moreover, as Hess and Imbun (forthcoming: 28) point out, there are no data on performance after trainees have completed their apprenticeships, and anecdotal evidence from employers suggest that many leave their trades. As this approach to human resource development obviously has considerable potential in Papua New Guinea, there is a need for further research to examine the scope for on-the-job training and the problems and limitations of the present schemes. It is likely that the failure to retain tradesmen can be attributed to the problems discussed above, viz. social and cultural factors that discourage wage earners and make it difficult to establish enterprises. Again, this points to the need for an enabling environment. Job prospects for youth in the information economy Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 109 A major component of the UN/World Bank/ILO strategy is the creation of youth employment opportunities in the information economy. In Papua New Guinea, as elsewhere in the Pacific, local conditions currently limit opportunities to implement this strategy. The financial implications of developing the information economy to the point where it becomes a major employer of young people are very considerable. At present the IT market is confined to urban areas, with little prospect of expanding in the foreseeable future because of poor telecommunications infrastructure and very high communication costs. Most rural villages are without electricity, while buildings tend to be rudimentary structures made from traditional materials. Since most have earth floors and little or no furniture, they are generally unsuitable for housing computers. There is no prospect of introducing IT to the majority of villages for many years to come. Although electricity is generally available in urban areas, Internet communication in Papua New Guinea, as in most of the Pacific, tends to be slow and unreliable because of constraints on communication bandwidths. An essential pre-requisite for the development of significant employment opportunities in the IT industry is a dramatic expansion of electrification, coupled with an upgrade and expansion of communications infrastructure. Papua New Guinea has abundant potential capacity to generate both hydro and solar electricity but there has been little development. Electrification would not only assist the IT industry but also contribute to richer and healthier lifestyles in rural areas. For example, it would facilitate the development of cottage industry, and also enable the use of electricity for household cooking, refrigeration and water pumping. This would bring substantial positive benefits for health as well as for employment generation. Promoting self-employment The promotion of self-employment depends on two types of strategy. First, strategies to create an enabling environment. In the present economic and social climate in Papua New Guinea there is little that can be done to promote self-employment. Crime is a major factor inhibiting the development of employment opportunities in Papua New Guinea. Fear of crime has become a major barrier to economic growth. It disheartens local entrepreneurs, deters serious foreign investors, increases the cost of doing legitimate business, and diminishes the quality of life, especially in urban areas. It also damages the productive capital and increases the security costs of legitimate businesses, and reduces the competitiveness and productivity of domestic investments (Hamidian-Rad, 1997: 58). Violent crime, including murder, assault and rape as well as larceny are endemic in urban areas, and less but still considerable in rural areas. Crime prevents shift work because of the danger of venturing out at night (Chand and Levantis, 1998: 33) and severely limits the development of tourism, potentially a very substantial source of employment for labour of all types, including youth. Crime and social structure act to discourage enterprise, and little expansion of legitimate self-employment can be expected until their effects have been curtailed. In Papua New Guinea, as elsewhere, people, especially women, are ready to capitalise on earning opportunities when there is an enabling environment. For example, there is a long tradition of market and street selling of produce and handicrafts in urban areas, but this type of enterprise has actually contracted in response to a worsening security situation and regulations to prevent street selling in certain areas. Comparable data on crime for other Pacific countries were not available at the time of writing. However, within the Pacific region, Papua New Guinea is widely acknowledged as having the highest overall crime rate, both by Papua New Guineans and by other Pacific islanders. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 110 Although Fiji and Solomon Islands have experienced high crime rates during recent political disturbances, they lack the well-established organised crime gangs of Papua New Guinea. The second type of strategy involves the implementation of measures to directly assist the private sector to overcome the constraints it faces. These include provision of development finance, small business advisory services, strengthening entrepreneurial programs and enterprise support services, training and development and contracting out some public services to the private sector (McMaster, 1993: 277). Contracting out public works could provide more jobs and self-employment, as well as possibly greater efficiency. Government services that lend themselves to privatisation include government printing, cleaning and building maintenance, maintenance of government vehicles and alterations and extensions to government buildings. Municipal activities that are particularly suitable for providing employment opportunities for young people include waste collection, street cleaning and grass cutting (McMaster, 1993: 283). Donors can play a major role in promoting self-employment by providing national level advice on sector development and appropriate policy, providing development finance, providing small business advisory services and entrepreneurial development programmes, assisting with the development of small industry estates, providing training in business management, and assisting with technology acquisition. Although donors may be eager to support private sector development and increase their assistance for this activity, a continuing area of difficulty in most Pacific countries, not only Papua New Guinea, is the requirement that assistance must be channelled through government. Donors often prefer to deal directly with NGOs and other groups, as they perceive that channelling funds through government may mean that they will be used to meet government rather than donor priorities (McMaster, 1993: 289). On the other hand, the countries argue that donors often do not fully understand the issues, while centralised control of funds is essential to enable governments to monitor the effectiveness of assistance and allocate scarce resources within the country (SPC, 2001: 7). Projects to promote self-employment, which involve the provision of face-to-face training and advisory services and funding for small enterprises are particularly vulnerable to loss of direction and effectiveness because the mechanism for delivery of funds is not the one envisaged in the original project. Careful negotiation is therefore needed to ensure that the mechanisms for delivering assistance are optimised. Supporting small enterprises There is considerable scope for the development of cottage industries in rural Papua New Guinea. Papua New Guinea has craftsman to rival any in the world, especially in wood-carving, furniture making and pottery. Proper organisation of marketing outlets could stimulate cottage industries and encourage young people to learn traditional craft skills. Extending electricity into rural areas would also help to encourage cottage industries. There is also an enormous need for business advisory and support services that include assistance with business planning and management, record keeping and financial management and general advice. Papua New Guinea’s leading donors are currently funding a number of diverse education and employment related projects which directly or indirectly include support for small enterprise among their objectives. These include: Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 111 ADB’s Employment-Oriented Skills Development Project ($US 20 million, $US 19 million from PNG and other donors) Objective: provide short-term technical, job skills and entrepreneurial training to promote employment and enterprise AusAID’s National Trade Testing and Certification Project ($AU 18 million, equivalent to around $USD 9 million) Objective: to improve trade qualifications to promote self-employment and small enterprise. AusAID’s Community Equity in Education Programme ($AU 10 million, equivalent to around $USD 5 million) Objective: increase community awareness of need for equity in formal and non-formal education and gender equity in education NZODA’s Fresh Produce Development Company ($NZ 200,000, equivalent to around $US 90,000) Objective: promote agricultural enterprise by providing a commercial market NZODA’s Gender and Development Projects ($NZ 150,000, equivalent to around $US 60,000) Objective: Capacity building and business skills training for women NZODA’s Small Capital Assistance Fund ($NZ 230,000, equivalent to around $US 105,000) Objective: Cash grants for low cost village income generation projects World Bank’s Education Development Project ($US 47 million, including non-Bank funding) Objective: strengthen secondary education and increase access to business studies Courses. (ADB, 2001; AusAID, 2001; NZODA, 2001; World Bank, 2001) It is important for donors to remember that programs need to reach those most in need. There is a well-established tendency for most donor-funded development projects to focus on the more accessible provinces, including the National Capital District, Eastern, Southern and Western Highlands, Enga, Madang, Morobe, Simbu and East New Britain. Although these provinces have large populations and a need for assistance to develop enterprise, they are also those that are most modernised and therefore easiest to work in, and hence most attractive to donors. Other provinces with lower levels of development should not be neglected. Community development through local initiatives In the 1980s it was observed that when youth return to the villages because of economic recession in towns, the need is not for a youth programme, but a rural development programme to reduce the effects of poverty which endanger the whole community, young and old (O’Collins, 1986: 41). This remains very true today. Programmes that benefit only youth are unlikely to succeed in Papua New Guinea because of the social structure and community expectations. More sustainable employment opportunities will be generated by focusing on the whole community rather than on youth alone, especially true in more traditional rural areas. An added incentive is that it policies that promote rural development generate more jobs per kina that do policies that promote urban jobs (McGavin, 1998: 83). Reasonable, non-exploitive employment opportunities for young workers, including young women, are more likely to develop and encounter fewer obstacles when the objective is community development to increase rural productivity and rural earnings for everyone, not just young people. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 112 Considerable assistance is needed to fund developments and change attitudes. Baxter (2001: 78-83) recommends that strategies to develop communities should focus on reducing poverty, developing and improving access to domestic and international markets, attracting international buyers to Papua New Guinea, removing biases against rural areas in the allocation of resources, and developing roads and ports. Supporting private sector development It is evident from the preceding discussion that specific strategies are needed to support the development of the private sector. Most important are strategies to reduce business costs. A comparison of business costs in 1992 showed that PNG was more than three times as high in labour costs as Indonesia, Philippines or Thailand, and more than twice as high as Dominican Republic, Jamaica and Colombia, with electricity costs at least twice as high as any of these countries, despite its rich natural potential for electricity generation. Rents were also around three times as high as the Asian countries mentioned, and shipping freight costs higher, although the margin was smaller. Papua New Guinea’s only advantage was slightly lower telephone costs than Indonesia or Philippines (Economic Insights, 1994: 44). The development of better transport and communications, as well as increased security, would encourage businesses to locate outside the main urban areas, where living and operating costs are lower. This would also help to stem migration of labour. Strategies are also needed to address the costs of labour, although this is an extremely complex area. As discussed above, the wage structure was originally set at an artificially high level by the use of Australian awards and conditions, while high living costs in urban areas and on-going inflation have led to pressure to increase rather than reduce the wage level, and rural urban disparities encourage migration. On the other hand, private sector development would be greatly assisted if low or variable wages could be paid outside the main urban areas. Although it will not be easy to find solutions which promotes private sector development while maintaining incentives, expansion of employment opportunities for young people depend on solutions of this sort. It also may be possible to assist private sector development with taxation and other incentives. Since such a small proportion of the labour force are wage earners, Papua New Guinea has a narrow tax base, and the burden of taxation falls largely on workers and enterprises in the formal sector. Again, this is a difficult area, as widening of the national tax base is essential to assist development, while the desire to avoid taxation encourages illegal and informal activity. Delayed or progressive imposition of taxation to allow enterprises time to become profitable, however, and perhaps specific taxation incentives to encourage hiring of young workers, could help to promote private sector development. Matching Demand and Supply: Job Brokerage and Placement The main mechanisms for job placement in formal employment in Papua New Guinea are personal contacts or job advertisements. Even recruitment into the Public Service usually depends on having personal contacts within a particular department. Cultural factors also intrude on recruitment, as there tends to be a preference in both the public and private sector for employing wantoks, from whom loyalty can be expected. Although a few private sector recruitment agencies also exist, they are responsible for relatively few placements because few job seekers can afford to pay the required fees. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 113 The Department of Labour and Employment’s Work Permit Scheme and Training and Localisation Programme were established with the objective of limiting the employment of foreign personnel and ensuring that Papua New Guinea nationals were trained to take over jobs held by expatriates. In practice, however, there is still active recruitment of foreign workers, especially for senior management positions (Hess and Imbun, forthcoming: 23). The lack of wage earning opportunities in rural areas has contributed to substantial unregulated movements of labour. In the past this was mostly short-term circulation between rural and urban areas, but in the past two decades there has been increasing settlement in urban areas. Rural to rural movements still tend to be very infrequent except during times of crisis, such as during the 1997-1998 drought. Whereas urban populations have trebled in the last 30 years, from less than 200,000 to more than 650,000, because of this massive influx of labour, the total number of urban jobs has remained virtually static (Chand and Levantis, 1998: 36). The number of regulated jobs in the urban private sector was only 95,000 in 1971, and actually fewer, 90,000, in 1992 (Levantis and Fane, 1998: 48). While there is surplus rural labour in some provinces, such as the Highlands provinces, there is surplus land relative to population size in others (McGavin, 1998: 82) Although there is considerable movement from rural to urban areas, there is not much rural to rural movement. Social factors such as tribalism hamper rural to rural movement to some extent, but there is considerable scope to increase rural productivity and address supply-side labour constraints by movements of rural labour. One approach could be to employ young people in teams of contract agricultural workers, since young people have more flexibility to leave their own tribal lands and might be more acceptable to other tribes than would be their elder relatives. Measuring the effectiveness of policies for youth The most obvious and readily measurable aspect of the effectiveness of youth policies is the percentage of school leavers and workers in each age group who find wage employment. However, truly effective youth policies will also generate a substantial amount of less measurable economic activity, including informal activity and income generation. As discussed in the introduction to this paper, reliable data even on formal employment in Papua New Guinea are scarce and often difficult to obtain. Even public sector employment figures are not collected systematically, and there is a tendency for reports to correspond with policy objectives rather than reality (Hess and Imbun, forthcoming: 16). At present much of the data on employment are derived from censuses, which occur only on a 10 year cycle and provide detailed information only about the ‘main’ economic activity of respondents. Since it is likely that the majority of Papua New Guinea nationals derive their income from several sources, such data are of limited value. If youth employment generation strategies are to be monitored, it is essential that data collection is improved. There is also a need for employment data to be disaggregated by gender, since females tend to be disadvantaged in the labour market and so need special monitoring. A first step could be the introduction of regular Household Income and Expenditure Surveys (HIES). These surveys are most appropriate to the Pacific context because they capture information on income from all sources, not merely formal employment or ‘main’ economic activity. They also Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 114 provide data to enable the measurement of poverty and improvements in living standards over time. In designing such surveys it would be important to remember that Papua New Guinea is very diverse, and substantial sample sizes are necessary to ensure data are representative even at the provincial level. Labour market surveys would also be of value to measure growth in wage employment. There is also a need for surveys of informal employment, especially in urban areas. Also useful would be tracer studies of school leavers, although these tend to be costly and difficult to implement. One simple relatively cost-effective strategy might be to offer samples of school leavers (ideally those who have participated in employment preparation programmes) a small financial incentive, e.g. K5 (about $US 1.50), to report back to their old school at six monthly intervals and describe their experiences on the labour market. Conclusions - Best practices and lessons learned Examples of best practice in labour standards and employment promotion for workers of any age in Papua New Guinea are scarce. Hess and Imbun (2001: 41) cite the maritime industry as one of very few in which there has been successful industrial relations and human resource development. In the 1970s a programme of work reform resulted in a system of registered employment, national awards and worker training as part of the job classification system. They note the irony that this has been achieved in an industry that has a world-wide reputation for tempestuous industrial relations, but observe that there is little prospect of this success being replicated elsewhere, because a similar understanding between employers and employees does not appear to exist in any other industry. Although it is possible for the industrial relations system to create an environment within Papua New Guinea industries that enables decent work and labour standards, social protection and social dialogue, this can occur only where there is willingness to cooperate and provide adequate resources. As regards best practice in promoting self-employment of young people, it is instructive to examine the experiences of several trainee social workers. Although their reports are now around 20 years old, they pay special attention to the impact of social and cultural factors on projects. Raulla (1981) described his experience of helping a Port Moresby gang of youths involved in illicit activities to form a legitimate business group. A previous attempt to establish a youth centre had been short lived, and it was necessary for Raulla to spend time establishing good personal relations before he could work with the group. The leaders of the gang stated in a letter ‘we are thieves and rascals because we are unemployed and school dropouts. Being thieves is a way of survival’ (letter to Post Courier, 26 October 1979, cited in Raulla, 1981: 68). Eventually they obtained a substantial grant (K21,000 – at that time the kina was about the same value as $US) to purchase sporting equipment and build a theatre, and another grant to help them establish self-help projects (K30,000, equivalent to $US30,000). These grants brought considerable relief to the community in that the involvement of the group in criminal activity was substantially diminished, and an enabling environment was created to foster self-help activities. Another example of a youth leader creating an enabling environment for rural enterprise and helping to establish a piggery, chicken house and duck and fish pond is described in Maladina (1981). This project succeeded because it involved the whole community, including the 37 young people who were the target group. Ilip (1981: 38) also mentioned the importance of including adults from the community in a fishing project for young people ‘to bridge the generation gap and create a Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 115 situation where adults could actively pass on useful skills. This would lead to a better understanding of young people’s needs’. Youth projects such as these appear to be those most likely to succeed in Papua New Guinea. The key to their success, however, is the on-going involvement and commitment of a highly motivated youth worker, and sufficient funding. It is almost inevitable that such projects encounter difficulties at some stage, and this is usually the point at which they fail unless there is a competent mentor available to advise on how to overcome them. The single most important consideration for growth in wage employment is productivity growth (McGavin, 1997: 66). In a climate of generally poor or erratic economic performance and poor productivity performance strategies focussing only on human resources development and job creation for young people can achieve very little. Papua New Guinea’s most pressing need at present is the creation of an enabling environment within which specific strategies to promote youth employment can operate. The creation of an enabling environment means working with the whole community to restore law and order, extend electrification throughout both urban and rural areas, promote more supportive community attitudes to young people, and promote community development in rural areas. These developments would foster job opportunities not just for youth, but for the entire community. In the long run they would be of much greater benefit to the country than is the present strategy of focussing on developing export-oriented industries. Although the export-oriented industries generate revenue, it is evident that the benefits have not been spread throughout the community. Much of the profit returns to overseas investors, while the balance tends to polarise among a few Papua New Guinea nationals. Profits accrued within Papua New Guinea tend not to stimulate the local market proportionally because they are often channelled into more secure investments overseas, such as the Australian property market. In addition, many of those landholders in the vicinity of mining and logging operations who have profited from land rents have actually been disadvantaged, because environmental damage has removed their subsistence livelihoods. Despite the poor performance of the formal education sector as demonstrated by low enrolment ratios, especially in secondary schools, it would be a mistake to concentrate too much effort on expanding formal education. Education is relatively expensive in PNG, and not very cost effective. Moreover, formal education produces expectations of formal employment that are likely to remain unsatisfied. This creates a perception that unemployed school leavers are under-achievers, which, in turn, promotes crime. Better returns would be achieved by expanding non-formal education in work skills. This could take the form of classes offered at primary schools outside normal school hours, and ideally would be made available to everyone in the community, not just young people. The main social partners for youth employment must be the community as a whole. Because of the nature of Papua New Guinea society, strategies that target only young people are unlikely to succeed. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 116 Table 1: Recent Economic Indicators 1996 GDP (US$ billion) 5.2 GDP per capita (US$) 1,186 Real GDP Growth (% change in YOY)# 7.8 Current account balance (%GDP) 189 Inflation (%change in YOY) 11.6 1997 4.9 1,167 -3.9 -192 3.9 1998 3.8 824 -3.8 -29 13.6 1999 3.6 776 3.3 97 14.9 2000 * 3.9 823 0.7 278 15.6 2001 * 4.0 814 1.2 -33 9.8 # Although AusAID (2001) uses positive growth estimates for 2000 and 2001 derived from the Papua New Guinea National Budget Papers, other commentators such as Duncan (2001: 11) and Baxter (2001: 39) estimate negative growth of around –1.8 per cent for 2000 and –2.0 per cent for 2001. Source: AusAID, (September 2001). Distribution of the wage labour force by sector, 1982 – 1999 1982 % 1992 % 1999 Retail 6,000 2.7 5,692 2.4 7,978 Wholesale 15,343 6.8 14,328 6.0 14,577 Manufacturing 17,700 7.8 17,795 7.4 23,156 Construction 15,000 6.6 10,732 4.5 10,606 Transport 11,128 4.9 10,755 4.5 10,172 Agriculture 47,500 21.0 52,479 21.9 43,050 Finance 9,800 4.3 11,370 4.8 16,457 Mining 8,742 3.9 5,680 2.4 10,068 Public utilities 2,511 1.1 2,336 1.0 2.209 Communications 4,176 1.8 3,476 1.5 5,031 Community and business service 4,104 1.8 4,293 1.8 6.213 Amusement & hotels 6,958 3.1 7,268 3.0 10,519 Education 16,209 7.2 21,283 8.9 30,000 Health 7,936 3.5 10,019 4.2 10,741 Central Government 23,838 10.5 25,305 10.6 23,602 Public authorities & other 29,020 12.8 36,542 15.3 36,180 Table 2: TOTAL 225,965 100. 0 239,351 100. 0 260,56 1 % 3.1 5.6 8.9 4.1 3.9 16.5 6.3 3.9 0.8 1.9 2.4 4.0 11.5 4.1 9.1 13.9 100. 0 Source: Derived from Curtin (unpublished), cited in Hess and Imbun, (forthcoming: 15, Table 1) Table 3: Privately employed workforce by sector, 1995 Number Per cent Retail 6,777 4.0 Wholesale 13,069 7.7 Manufacturing 21,797 12.8 Building and construction 19,614 11.5 Transport 12,536 7.4 Finance and business 11,912 7.0 Other 21,405 12.5 Agriculture 63,148 37.1 Total 170,258 100.00 Source: McGavin, 1997: 72 Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 117 Table 4a: Economic activity of citizen population aged 10-24, 1990 Monetary Activities Age Wage job Business Self group Employed 10-14 1,774 404 3,602 15-19 17,833 1,658 9,054 20-24 44,763 2,290 9,739 Table 4b: Age group 10-14 15-19 20-24 Non-Monetary Activities Food Subsist- Student Unem- House- Other related ence ployed work 41,108 53,680 232,340 22,080 22,508 57,026 86,450 84,833 95,366 42,240 36,959 21,784 93,099 77,882 13,234 28,749 46,595 10,841 TOTAL 434,522 396,177 327,192 Economic activity of citizen population aged 10-24, 1990 (per cent) Monetary Activities Non-Monetary Activities Wage job Business Self Food Subsist- Student Unem- House- Other TOTAL Employed related ence ployed work 0.4 0.1 0.8 9.5 12.4 53.5 5.1 5.2 13.1 100 4.5 0.4 2.3 21.8 21.4 24.1 10.7 9.3 5.5 100 13.7 0.7 3.0 28.5 23.8 4.0 8.8 14.2 3.3 100 Source: National Statistical Office, 1994: 256. Table 5: Percentages with no schooling in various labour force categories Subsistence agriculture Cash cropping Total labour force Population over 10 years 1980 83.3 76.6 67.0 60.4 Males 1990 69.7 59.7 53.1 46.7 1980 86.6 85.0 81.2 72.8 Females 1990 78.6 68.4 68.3 58.5 Source: National Statistical Office, 1994: 252 Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 118 Table 6a: Economic activity by level of education, 1990 (number) Monetary activity Highest Grade Complete d None Grade 1 Grade 2 Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8 Grade 9 Grade 10 Grade 11 Grade 12 Degree Dip/Cert. Not Stated TOTAL Table 6b: Wage job Non-monetary activity Busine ss Self Emplo yed Food related Subsistence Student Unemployed Housework Other TOTAL 54,162 2,190 4,303 5,426 5,501 4,250 48,218 2,969 11,806 5,128 44,834 740 7,940 6,568 35,288 1,440 5,419 192 391 477 468 410 3,892 176 708 257 1,231 27 183 113 562 74 33,965 781 1,634 2,079 1,993 1,677 14,982 740 2,184 776 3,403 59 473 304 1,648 384 430,777 8,437 16,984 18,775 18,757 14,321 123,655 4,325 12,201 3,287 12,555 168 600 124 4,238 2,750 439,328 7,187 13,546 13,304 13,200 10,059 79,577 2,737 7,243 1,944 6,786 72 330 106 2,346 2,577 9,989 34,858 47,091 50,844 52,812 48,655 34,782 18,675 17,242 13,810 11,255 1,541 4,022 125 1,393 375 46,314 1,689 3,290 4,050 4,067 3,930 42,754 1,899 6,504 2,112 13,070 139 830 191 2,040 733 160,507 3,555 7,210 8,017 7,945 6,689 56,556 2,266 7,190 2,154 8,028 135 792 373 2,426 1,724 144,739 2,469 4,015 3,740 3,325 2,350 14,198 672 1,585 588 2,302 58 373 441 1,282 1,527 1,325,200 61,358 98,464 106,712 108,068 92,341 418,614 34,459 66,663 30,056 103,464 2,939 15,543 8,345 51,223 11,584 240,763 14,580 67,082 671,954 600,342 347,469 133,612 275,567 183,664 2,535,033 Economic activity by level of education, 1990 (per cent) Monetary activity Highest Grade Complete d None Grade 1 Grade 2 Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8 Grade 9 Grade 10 Grade 11 Grade 12 Degree Dip/Cert. Not Stated Wage job 4.1 3.6 4.4 5.1 5.1 4.6 11.5 8.6 17.7 17.1 43.3 25.2 51.1 78.7 68.9 12.4 Non-monetary activity Business Self Employed Food related Subsistence Student Unemployed Housework Other TOTAL 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.9 0.5 1.1 0.9 1.2 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.1 0.6 2.6 1.3 1.7 1.9 1.8 1.8 3.6 2.1 3.3 2.6 3.3 2.0 3.0 3.6 3.2 3.3 32.5 13.8 17.2 17.6 17.4 15.5 29.5 12.6 18.3 10.9 12.1 5.7 3.9 1.5 8.3 23.7 33.2 11.7 13.8 12.5 12.2 10.9 19.0 7.9 10.9 6.5 6.6 2.4 2.1 1.3 4.6 22.2 0.8 56.8 47.8 47.6 48.9 52.7 8.3 54.2 25.9 45.9 10.9 52.4 25.9 1.5 2.7 3.2 3.5 2.8 3.3 3.8 3.8 4.3 10.2 5.5 9.8 7.0 12.6 4.7 5.3 2.3 4.0 6.3 12.1 5.8 7.3 7.5 7.4 7.2 13.5 6.6 10.8 7.2 7.8 4.6 5.1 4.5 4.7 14.9 10.9 4.0 4.1 3.5 3.1 2.5 3.4 2.0 2.4 2.0 2.2 2.0 2.4 5.3 2.5 13.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Note: ‘Degree’ means a university degree from one of Papua New Guinea’s six universities or from overseas; Dip/Cert. means a post-secondary non-degree qualification, such as a diploma of nursing or a trade certificate. Source: National Statistical Office, 1994, Table 18 Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 119 Endnotes 1 2 That is, settlements with urban functions and comprising 2000 or more residents. Kin or close friend to whom a person is mutually obligated. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 120 Solomon Islands The Solomon Islands form an archipelago that is located in the Southwest Pacific and comprises about 922 islands stretching over some 1,667km in a South East direction between Papua New Guinea and the Republic of Vanuatu and North East Australia. The typical terrain range from ruggedly mountainous islands to low lying atolls spreading over 8,000 square kilometres of sea. It is tropically hot and humid and prone to tropical cyclones. The total landmass is 28,369 square kilometres with six large islands making up the majority of the landmass. The islands are Choiseul, New Georgia, Isabel, Guadalcanal, Malaita and Makira. The capital, Honiara is located on the island of Guadalcanal. The geographic layout of the islands in the country is scattered in nature and thus increases the challenges faced in development of infrastructure, transportation, communications network and rural development in general. The population of Solomon Islands is 409,042 with an annual growth rate of 2.8%. 41.5% [170,000] of the population is under 15 years and the majority of the population is under 25 years. Solomon Islands has a total of 131,231 young people from 14-29 years. The total labour force for 14 years and over in Solomon Islands is 249,168 of which 53% are young people aged between 14 and 29. The majority of people, around 80% live in rural areas. The Solomon Islands are historically a Melanesian society with traditional social structure and customs based on strong family ties and kinship system. However, the scattered nature of the islands also reflects the diverse ethnic cultures and traditions that exist. 93% of the population are Melanesians, 4% Polynesians and the remaining 3% comprise other ethnic groups. About 87 languages are spoken throughout the country. Pidgin is the lingua franca and English is the official language. The scatteredness of people in the islands and the diversity of culture, let alone diverse languages, pose greater challenges for youth development. The basis of livelihood for the majority of people, including the young people is mainly on subsistence farming in the rural areas. The inevitably option for job creating opportunities therefore, is in the informal sector through selfemployment and enterprising initiatives. The economy of Solomon Islands is dualistic, comprising a large rural subsistence sector and an urban monetary sector. The subsistence agricultural sector provides the main source of livelihood for about 80% of the population. Prior to 1997, the commercial sector was predominantly based on primary commodity mainly round logs, fish, palm oil and copra. Gold mining started in 1997 and exploration for other minerals is continuing. Nominal Gross Domestic Product grew in Solomon Islands through the mid-1990s, levelling out at close to US 400 million in 1998. Since the second half of 1998 and during the first half of 1999, the Solomon Islands economy was also slowly recovering from the adverse effects of the Asian financial crisis. The introduction of the economic and public sector reforms by the former government resulted in some signs of positive developments. Thus there was growing optimism at the beginning of 1999 for a strong economic performance. However, the onset of the ethnic social crisis not only threatened this optimism but also prolonged further into 2000 leaving the economy deteriorated to an alarmingly low level. Table 1 provides some figures on selected indicators of the economic situation of the country over time. It is noted that the economy contracted further in 2000 after a decline of 0.5% in 1999. The economy had already been badly affected by the effects of the Asian financial crisis Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 121 when the social unrest erupted and worsened the situation. Table 2 presents the wage employment situation over sometimes. Table 3 reports the employment situation of young people in comparison with the overall employment sector in the country. Some features of the present social environment are:1 High national population growth The low literacy rate of 30% Inadequate education opportunities and relevance of such opportunities to young Solomon Islanders which showed that: 2 - “Education is not compulsory, contributing to low enrolments in schools (41% for age group 5-14 years) - Gross enrolment in secondary schools is 24% of those in transition from primary school - The bottlenecked selection process in the education system pushes out more school-aged children without necessary skills to successfully make a living - The inadequate opportunity for Solomon Islanders to re-enter the education system and progress to tertiary education - The inability of the education system to meet the learning and development needs of society - Quality of education needs to be improved with a balance in terms of gender enrolment in the formal education sector - Misallocation of public funds within the education sector - Weak linkages and coordination between technical and vocational training and the formal education system” Standard of health services The bulk of the population is rural based {80%} A lot of displaced people a s a result of the social unrest High rural-urban migration Changing lifestyle of the population In 1999 and 2000 the Solomon Islands experienced unprecedented ethnic tension resulting in an armed conflict between two militia groups from two Provinces, Malaita and Guadalcanal. The two-year ethnic conflict has caused serious economic, social and political disruptions.3 The conflict resulted in loss of lives and properties as well as negating the progress made by the structural reform programme implemented by the government in 1997. The strife has used up resources that would otherwise have gone to improving the delivery of basic services to the rest of the country’s population. Sadly, the event impacted adversely on the weak and vulnerable, mainly children and women. The crisis seriously damaged the Solomon Islands economy. The export of palm oil ceased in June 1999 with the closure of the company. The Gold Ridge Mine and Solomon Taiyo, the major fishing company, suspended operations in June and July 2000, the latter finally pulled out in early 2001. The central economy was shaken and most social institutions, including sports, recreation and cultural outlets were abandoned or severely limited. Around 8000 workers or nearly 15% of the total workforce in the formal sector have either lost their jobs through redundancies or were sent on indefinite unpaid leave by the end of 2000. Since May 2000, inflation has been on an upward movement. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 122 Employment Opportunities and the Labour Market Youth Labour Force The Labour Act of Solomon Islands generally permits employment of persons between 12 and 17 years with certain restrictions in terms of types of industry and work environment without the prior approval of the Minister. Only persons from the age of 18 years are employable without legal restrictions. In practice however, the lower limit to work in Solomon Islands which had been 15 years which, was changed in to 1986 14 years, since most children are out of school by then. According to the 1999 Population and Housing Census, the total labour force for 14 years and over in Solomon Islands is 85,124 representing 21% of the total population of which 49% are young people aged between 14 and 29 years. The total working age population according to the above definition is 56% of the total population and of which 57% are in the youth age group of 14 – 29 years. Table 4 shows the youth labour force in comparison with the total labour force in the country. Although there has been steady growth in formal employment in recent years, it has failed to keep pace with the increase in the available labour. Annual population growth of 3.5%, recently dropping to 2.8%, was the principal cause of the mismatch between growth in employment and the labour supply. Those most affected by this situation are the young people. According to a Central Bank estimate, about 7,500 young people enter the workforce each year. However, the maximum annual increase in employment since 1982 has only been by 3,800 persons. While most of those who cannot find employment in the formal sector can earn a living in the subsistence sector, these figures suggest a high level of hidden unemployment and underemployment.4 Young people predominate amongst the unemployed throughout the Islands. Also notable, more youth males than females. The situation has further deteriorated as effects of the ethnic tension in 1998, 1999 and 2000 take their tolls resulting in more young people becoming unemployed. Occupation With the declining economy, worsened by the adverse impacts of the ethnic tension which, saw both large and small businesses closing down, the future in terms of employment opportunities and the labour market is very bleak for people of all working ages. Table 5 shows employment by occupation, sex and youth age groups. The youth age group 14-24 years is used in the table. Most of the young people (both males and females) in paid work are employed in the skilled agricultural and fisheries sector. The operations of big agricultural and fishery companies such as the Solomon Islands Plantation Limited (SIPL) and the Solomon Taiyo Limited (STL) had largely contributed to this high employment of young people. The STL and SIPL closed down in 2000 closed down as a result of the social unrest, leaving a lot of these workers without jobs. The STL that normally employed around 3,000 workers was replaced by Soltai Company, which now employs only a total of 604 workers. Table 6 shows unpaid work by main activity. The total people in the same youth age group 14-29 years in this unpaid category is alarming compared with the total in paid work, 48,842 and 24,933 young people respectively Table 7 shows the sector of paid work. Location of occupations are mostly centred in the urban areas especially the capital, Honiara. However, occupations generated by primary industries such as forestry, agriculture and mining are mostly located in the Provinces. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 123 Activity Status According to the 1999 Census, a total of 57,472 persons were in paid work, 39,761 males and 17,711 females. From then until now these figures have fallen as a result of the closure the big employing companies such as the SIPL and STL. Table 8 shows the 1999 activity status in paid work, in unpaid work and by five-year youth age group. Out of the total of 127,974 males in both paid and unpaid work, 52% are young males in the age group 14-29 years. The total female in both activity statuses is 121,194 of whom 53% are young females. Employment Status Table 9 indicates the employment status of young people. Although the total waged labour are more than the other categories of employment status, it will have been reduced by more than 10,000 with the closure of a number of logging companies. Industry The total population in all industries was 57,472 in 1999. Waged and contract labour accounted for almost 80% of the total for both males and females. Table 5 shows activity in paid work by employment status by industry. The 1999 Census statistics covered both the formal and informal sector and this records the agriculture, hunting and forestry as the sector providing the most employment. Similarly, by occupation, the skilled agricultural and fishery workers represent 26% of employment. Services, shops and market sales are also a significant employing industry. With the opening of gold ridge mining in 1998 and the rapid upsurge of forestry operations, these primary industries have become an important employing sector, although a lot of less profitable and unsustainable harvesting was done to the forest. Employment prospects from other upcoming industries such as oil palm plantation in Vangunu in the Western Province are good and should positively contribute to overall economy. However, the recent insurgence in the country had greatly reduced those prospects. The large scale of employment previously provided by these companies cannot be replaced in the short to medium term. Informal Sector Employment Informal employment is the residual of the formal employment. It is mainly characterised by the large percentage of the population (about 83% of the working age population and 54% of the total labour force) that are semi-subsistence producers who operate in both traditional exchange and cash sector and are mostly rural-based. Informal employment in the urban setting is mostly seen in small enterprise activities and domestic service providers. They operate mainly in cash economy but with no regular cash payment and do not necessarily contribute to the NPF. The nation’s market economy is almost totally cantered in Honiara, which is one reason why it draws young people. A result of the ethnic unrest saw the labour force further outstripping the formal sector jobs as big employing companies closed down. This situation only reinforces the need to sustain and develop the semi-subsistence and the informal sector as the main source of employment for young people.5 Figure 1 indicates the importance of the informal sector to the majority of the population. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 124 Informal Sector in the Rural Areas The rural informal sector predominantly involves semi-subsistence agriculture and fishing. Table 10 shows the number of households by selected subsistence and marketed agricultural/marine production and their production method. The total number of private households in the country is 63,404. Thus, these two groups of households undertaking subsistence and marketed production are not mutually exclusive. However this still indicates that a large proportion of the population especially in the rural areas is still operating subsistence for a living. The production method refers only to the marketed production. Generally, simple and labour-intensive technology is used, such as bush-knife, digging forks, axe, outboard motor, fibre canoes, and chainsaw. Subsistence and semisubsistence productions contributed 55.5 million to GNP in 1999. However, rural living is changing as the population increases. Higher consumption and demand for commercial expansion are stretching the limits of the semi-subsistence economy to absorb labour. New forms of enterprises are needed to sustain rural livelihoods. More rural people are looking for opportunities to supplement their current means of receiving cash. Such means, however, must fit around other demands in their time for subsistence work and social obligations to kin and village.6 Women play a major role in the informal sector although the social and economic significance of the sector is rarely recognised in conventional economic statistics. The informal economy has grown in the last few years with more women marketing produce and cooked food or raising pigs and chicken. More and more women are involved in the informal sector as a means to get cash income, despite having had very little formal education or very low literacy level. The bulk of these women are engaged in the agriculture sector – growing crops, fruit, market gardening, horticulture and farming of animals for market production. According to the 1999 Census statistics, more women are engaged in agriculture. The bulk of these women engaged in agriculture spend 1724 hours unpaid work compared to the bulk of men who spend 9-16 hours. The bulk of women doing paid work in agriculture spend 9-16 hours while the bulk of men spend 8 or less hours of paid work. More men than women, however, show more engagement in fishing and hunting sector in both paid and unpaid work, the bulk of whom spending only 8-16 hours. Other economic activities in rural areas include small-scale retailing, transport, house building, local produce marketing, handicraft making. These activities are mainly family oriented and engage unpaid family workers. They mostly fit into self-employed category, although mostly on unpaid basis. Tribal and extended family help is traditionally a cultural obligation. Today, however, this practice is fast eroding as the demand for cash income increases. Help and support provided by community members outside the nuclear family is rewarded with small income. In some rural communities, the rate of pay has gone up to as high as SBD 20.00 (US 4.00) per day. This has put more pressure on households to work for more income. Family members who have regular incomes are expected to support families in the rural villages by hiring such labour. Informal Sector in Urban Areas Urban areas are characterised by having diesel powered electricity and a water supply and where central and provincial governments and administrations are located. Informal enterprises in urban areas are largely small scale and mainly comprise farming and fishing, retailing, small-sized manufacturing (mainly cooking, tailoring, carpentry and handicraft marketing), repairs and domestic work. The latter mostly involve women who work as house girls, laundresses and men who work as gardeners.7 The number of informal enterprises (including illegal activities) is growing following the social unrest. As more formal enterprises scaled down their operations and Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 125 some even closed down, a lot of local people are engaging in small informal income generating activities. The informal sector in towns is generally characterized by certain groups of people who are involved in informal income generating activities and micro businesses. These groups include poor and low-income urban households seeking multiple sources of income to sustain their livelihood. A lot of primary and secondary school dropouts are employed in such activities. Another additional group of people is the residents of provinces who frequent Honiara to sell their market goods. It is the general tendency, however, that they stay on in Honiara after selling their goods and get involved in small income generating activities to try and multiply incomes obtained from market goods, before returning home. This is more evident at present than in the past as economic activities in the Provinces experience a more rapid slow-down than in Honiara. Women spend more time in semi-subsistence and small income generating activities in efforts to earn small cash incomes. However, the majority of these women received no assistance from financial institutions in starting their businesses and is largely unaware of services provided by the government to assist them.8 Start up capital for most women are obtained from informal money lending schemes, relatives, and friends or from small savings made. Wage Employment and Self-Employment Wage employment is found both in the formal and informal sector. According to the 1999 census statistics, the various employment status for persons in paid work include: self-employed, waged labour, family help, contract labour, and other not stated. Waged labour accounts for 36% of the total labour force. Total waged labour for the young (14-29) is 14,107, about 46% of the waged labour. The self-employed on the other hand, account for 23% of the total labour force, 37% of which are young (14-29). While waged employment is greater than self-employed at the time of the national population census, as noted above, the sector was hard hit by the social unrest. A preliminary survey conducted by the Central Bank towards the end of 2000 revealed that nearly 8,000 employees lost their jobs in 2000 through redundancies or by being sent home on unpaid leave. While some of these laid off workers may have been re-absorbed into other wage employment, the majority would by now be still out of work and/or absorbed into the informal sector, especially in semi-subsistence production. Unemployment According to 1999 Census Statistics, the total number of unemployed persons is 27,652 representing 32% of the total labour force 14 years and over. Young people (14–29) comprise 60% of the total unemployed. The Situation Analysis carried out in 1998 by UNICEF identified the burden of unemployment borne by young people had been a result of a stagnant economy and an over-extended education system which provides them with few skills for self-employment.9 Young people with class 6 or Form 3 qualifications have very limited opportunities of finding paid employment. Even university graduates today find more difficulties securing jobs. The aftermath of the peak of the social unrest in 2000, left the economy at a standstill and as Dr. John Roughan of the Solomon Islands Development Trust (SIDT) puts it – “No economy, no employment” In the national context, youth unemployment in the country is characterized by certain factors including the following – Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 126 Urbanization - the nation’s market economy is almost totally cantered in Honiara, which draws young people. When getting to Honiara and found no paid work, they become unemployed urban youth (‘master liu’). Over-stretching of 'wantok system' in town. Working people are now feeling the pinch of the effects of over-crowded households due to unemployed persons, especially young people lodging with their relatives in town, whom could no longer sustain them with their small incomes. * Wantok literally means One Talk that refers to people who speak the same language. Nowadays it is a reference to a system of social organization that offers unparalleled opportunities for children to have a sense of belonging. Kinship systems and institutions like customary land tenure do protect Solomon Islanders from absolute poverty or destitution. However rapid destructive changes from unsustainable resource exploitation and increase cash demands have put a lot of pressure on the system. Erosion of cultural values – young people are fast adopting non-indigenous values imitated from foreign cultures as a result of exposure to western media. Inter-island marriages also created children whom are not closely attached to either of the parents’ cultural values. Such young people are in some cases, creating ‘new’ values that are mostly of western cultures. School push-outs – the highly selective system of education in the country in a lot of student drop out in Standard 6, Form 3, Form 5, Form 6 and Form 7 as well as the selection for further education, which are mostly in scholarship funding. Health Issues: Young people without employment are most vulnerable to getting involved in unhealthy activities including: Alcoholism; Tobacco and drug abuse; Mental health; Sexual activity and social change; STDs and the issue of the sex Juvenile offenders – more young people get into mischievous and criminal activities because of boredom and to try and make a living; Armed conflict – The recent ethnic tension had seen an unprecedented situation where young people were easily mobilised to join up in armed militia groups. Such mobilisation of young people should be promoted for good cause and not for wrong reasons. National Youth Policy Established in 2000, the National Youth Policy provides a framework for the coordination & strengthening of current youth programmes & activities. It is an important instrument for the cause of youth empowerment to become an integral part of overall development. Incorporated are guidelines for the purpose of developing programmes in the form of a National Plan of Action for Youth Empowerment. To date a National Youth Plan of Action has still to be formulated. The country also does not have a centralised Youth Employment Policy. Key Issues The key issues summarised under the policy include the following: High Population annual growth rate of 3.2 % during the last decade which has now dropped to 2.8 %. There is the continuing widening gap between the country's population and its declining economy, and thus its ability to economically sustain its people. Employment growth has fallen while the population growth remains stable Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 127 Inadequate education system for young people; a system which is selective and also eliminatory pushing out a lot of young people prematurely at all levels of the education system in a lot of instances, without the basic skills for employment & self-employment Lack of employment opportunities for young people; where about 7,500 young people enter the workforce each year whilst there is a declining number of job opportunities due to the closure of major industries, limited employment opportunities within the Public service and the lesser prospects of private sector growth & expansion to absorb job-seekers. Recent figures have indicated that there are more young people looking for work than those engaged in work. Human sexuality; reproductive, sexual and mental health problems; teenage/unwanted pregnancy, prostitution, suicide, STD/HIV/AIDs. These are some of the social consequences of youth unemployment and idleness, which is on the increase. Crime and juvenile delinquency Drug & substance abuse; alcohol, tobacco, betel nut and homebrew and emerging abuse in marijuana and cocaine Lack of self-esteem and sense of hopelessness Changing lifestyles[social problems] Rural to urban migration: Young people constitute the majority of people who migrate to the urban centres for various reasons, including the search for employment and the bright lights of town life. The urban centre offers more services and facilities that are not available at the rural areas and villages, which attract young people. Recent social unrest: consequential effects Strategies The National Youth Policy has identified the following key strategy areas to be addressed through the National Plan of Action for Youth Empowerment. Culture: Education and skills[ Vocational] training Employment: Religious/spiritual/moral activities Health development Sports & recreation Youth Entrepreneurship scheme Law & order Family issues Environment On employment, the policy speaks of equal opportunities for all young people to train and enter employment of their choice. It also recognises the limited formal sector jobs and therefore seeks to encourage the development of semi-subsistence and the informal sector as the main source of employment for young people. Special Policies for vulnerable groups Whilst the Youth Policy is intended for all young women and men living within Solomon Islands, specific focus is also made on the following priority target groups. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 128 Young people with disabilities Rural youth Young school leavers Students Alcohol and drug users Young offenders Unemployed Young women & men Street children Young Women Implementation The policy document calls for an integrated and collaborative approach by all government agencies, non-governmental organisations and other groups in the implementation of the policy objectives. The identified implementation mechanisms to ensure a collaborative approach to service delivery include the following with roles and tasks: Department of Women, Youth & Sports as the lead Department to coordinate government efforts & initiatives & to maintain regular consultation with all departments, churches, NGOs, youth organisations and all other stakeholders in youth empowerment. National Youth Congress as the lead youth organisation. Currently it is defunct and will be revitalised and strengthened to oversee the implementation of the policy and the programmes of the National Youth Plan of Action once it has been formulated, in relation to those of other organisations. The NYC is also to be a "mouth piece" for young people and represent their views and opinions to government on issues of concern to them. Interdepartmental consultative committee of senior government officers is also recommended to be established, with a primary task of coordinating cross- sector policies and programmes on youth empowerment. The policy has also outlined decentralised mechanisms at the provincial level for consultation and participation by young men and women, which includes Provincial Youth councils to be established by respective Provincial assemblies. The respective Provincial Area councils are also expected to establish Community Youth Forums, which is close to the rural youths within the communities and villages. To serve the needs of the Urban Youth, an Urban Youth Council is recommended to be established under the Honiara City Council. A further recommendation is for the establishment of an Inter-agency Consultative Conference for the effective coordination and collaboration on policies and youth programmes of all stakeholders including the youth organisations/groups. At the government policy levels, the above recommended implementation mechanisms are yet to be fully established, resourced or effected. Churches and other non-governmental organisations however have always played a significant role in youth empowerment through their respective structures. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 129 Action Plans & Youth Organisations At Present, there is missing key medium through which the national youth policy could be realised and that is a National Youth Plan of Action. It is an important accompanying document of the youth policy that is yet to be developed. Plans to establish one were disrupted by the social unrest. As stated above, youth organisations and youth programmes have been in existence for decades mostly through their existing structures. For example, the Churches have for years had very effective youth groups as an integral part of the church structures. On the part of the government and other stakeholders, efforts to effect programmes for young people were hampered by the continuous lack of adequate funds, clear policy directives and an integrated national plan of action. The Youth Policy seeks to address youth issues in partnerships with all stakeholders including: government agencies, social partners- Education & health sectors , civil society, donor agencies, international organisations, relevant NGOs, other Stakeholders. Active Labour Market Policies Supply Side: Enhancing Human Capital Education and Training National educational policy has consistently been a priority area for successive governments. Thus, indicates the importance based on developing human resource for own individual development as well as for nation-building and national development. Solomon Islands subscribes to various international conventions that promote quality education for all. However, while for so long education and training policies aspire to strongly develop human resources, adequate financial provision have never been provided by the national government. Furthermore, there is a lack of coordination between the authorities responsible for human resource development and those responsible for the labour market. The lack of a labour market information system also human resource management more difficult. A recent review of National Human Resource Planning suggests among other things the following in relation to the labour market: “The national, provincial/state governments and employers must make the commitment to develop human resources as a national investment, through the allocation of adequate resources and time for quality learning; Human resource development need to be integrated into other human resource management to facilitate a commitment to quality productivity and output in the national economy; National human resource development planning recognise the role of all stakeholders which include individuals, industries in the private sector, the public sector, representatives of civil Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 130 society, NGOs, training providers, policy makers, employer and employees associations and the governments and development partners in the development of national human resources. On the same note, the Education Strategy 2002-2005, states actions in relation to the labour market including: Conduct national skills survey; conduct latest opportunity list; consult with province on their training needs; award scholarships in line with skill needs; employers to contribute up to 50% of cost of in-service training. The foregoing aims indicate the importance now placed in the national supply side of the labour market that should strongly pursued to meet future challenges for young people. Non-formal Education With the declining trend in the formal employment opportunities, non-formal education, vocational and community education has become essential for the entire economically active population. Three major factors gave rise to this need – population growth pressure, high drop-out rate from primary and secondary schools and the high unemployment rate. 10 Recent reviews of education policies and strategies for both the formal and non-formal education, place more emphasis on non-formal education and skills training. This is in line with economic policy changes that emphasize private sector development, disrupted by the recent social unrest. However, in order to develop this sector, a skilled workforce is required. This in turn requires that the education sector increases its output, but again this needs the commitment of adequate resources. A Non-Formal Education (NFE) policy is currently being finalised including vocational and community education. Present NFE providers provide mainly skills training, on-the-job training, specialised training such as for handicapped children, literacy training for adults. The organisations include: Don Bosco vocational School; In-house training in the government departments, semi-government organisations, private sector; NGOs (SIDT-LASI, Red Cross Handicapped centre, Honey Association, etc); Willies Electrical skills centre; SICHE vocational training; SITAG literacy programme Commodity Export Marketing Authority (CEMA) Rural Training Centres (RTCs) Except for the RTCs and a few community educational programmes. Most NFE providers are self-financed or assisted by sources outside the government. However, even the government grants to the RTCs are very minimal. For example, figures from the 2001 education budget indicate only 2% is allocated for NFE Division and 6% for RTCs. Currently, there is lack of comprehensive data on NFE in the country. The availability of such data is essential for formulation, implementation and evaluation of sound educational policies in relation to the demand of the labour market. NFE providers have kept some basic records of their training programme and outputs. However, consolidating these records so as to establish a wellYouth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 131 coordinated and comprehensive database for purposes of integrated planning in relation to employment opportunities in the labour market, is needed. Because the economic growth rate has not been able to keep pace with population growth (although the latter has declined to 2.8% from 3.5%), it is foreseeable that a very large proportion of the future labour force must continue to seek employment in the subsistence and semi-subsistence sectors.11 This is where NFE is vital. To seek to be competitive in the global market, advanced skills training, especially technological skills need to be developed. However, all involved in this process, the employers, students, DEHRD, labour office, and so on, have limited knowledge of the exact labour market situation especially in the absence of any employment database and clear directions of the labour market. In recent years, job opportunities/vacancies are becoming fewer while school leavers each year continue to increase in number. The absence of information on supply and demand for skills makes young people face tough choices in what studies to undertake and what careers to pursue. Such information should be able to assist them and their counsellors in making decisions regarding transitions from secondary to post-secondary studies, training or the workforce and to take advantage of emerging labour market opportunities.12 According to the government labour office, there has never been any needs analyses carried out in terms of the appropriate training to meet the needs of the labour market. As a result, priority areas for training to meet labour market demands are difficult to identify. 13 The current approach makes no connection between supply and demand sides. For example, the DNP and DEHRD training needs projection for 1999/2011 by sector and industry is only 423. The majority of the training is for social and personnel services and the lowest for construction and mining. This projection, however, is not determined by the labour market or vice versa but rather on the economic growth of each sector. No clear correlation is established between labour market and the national manpower training needs projections.14 There are other training and development modes in the country that are assisting in developing human capital for the labour market. The review of National Human Resources Development Planning acknowledges the importance of those other modes. Thus, it sets out as one of the principles – “training and development to cover a wide range of modes, which include but not restricted to full time on-campus learning, distance education, professional development seminars and workshops, on the job instructional coaching, apprenticeship, research and structured discovery learning in the environment”.15 The review also suggests other needs that ought to be addressed in relation to the labour market. These include: “National human resource development planning needs to equally focus on academic formal training and development to address high and middle level skills, as well as on national professional development and vocational skill development needs of industry and the rural population. The development of school leavers and continuous development of the existing workforce is significant; National Human resource development planning encourage the development of skills that are appropriate to both the formal employment and informal employment sectors, by providing the training and development opportunities to both sectors. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 132 Guidance and Counselling Guidance and counselling in terms of employment opportunities can only be effective and influential if there is comprehensive labour market information. It is essential for guidance and counselling workers to have a wider and in-depth knowledge about job prospects and opportunities in the labour market. While secondary schools have within their establishments guidance and counselling units, and the DEHRD, a Selection and Guidance Division, their tasks have been made difficult in the absence of labour market information. Limited information on employment opportunities is available to the guidance counsellors to adequately counsel school leavers. Invited counsellors from employing organizations also have limited knowledge of the overall labour market and can only provide guidance regarding job vacancies in own organisations or individual sectors. It thus makes it more difficult for young students to grasp an overview of the whole labour market opportunities. Their knowledge of and exposure to the world of work remains limited. Apart from limited LMI, the guidance counsellors are themselves inappropriately placed to provide counselling. They are mostly non-qualified workers/teachers whose guidance is provided only as far as employment vacancies are available and not beyond. The national career’s week usually held at the end of each year provides the opportunity for job matching and placement between employers and school leavers. In terms of business guidance and counselling, it is important that counsellors are aware of their roles and responsibilities in promoting youth enterprise. The commonwealth Youth Programme summarised the role as follows: “Youth workers are faced with the challenge of creating a climate and environment in which young people can learn to be enterprising. Young people must be able to develop skills, in relative safety and take reasonable risks before venturing out on their own into real enterprise”.16 Because young people are not a homogenous group, the counselling task requires skills and sensitivity. In the case of Solomon Islands, cultures vary across the country and even within a province. Barriers to enterprises can therefore, be peculiar to each province. Young people should be assisted to identify these peculiar barriers and overcome them based on their individual skills, experience, needs and capabilities. Currently, assistance is offered in small business advisory scheme under the DCET, and courses in SICHE and a few private and aid-funded Start Your Business courses. However, there is very limited access for young people because of limited intake and fee barriers. Business guidance and counselling for young people should consider a wide range of business possibilities rather than the common or popular business whose markets are often limited. Such venturing into new business possibilities could create new and more job opportunities for more young people. Demand Side: Creating Job Opportunities Job creation and public works Successive government policies including the current one stipulate “creating more employment opportunities to go in line with the increase in the population”.17 On the same note, the National Youth Policy states as one of its key strategy areas, the “equal opportunity for all young people to train and enter employment of their choice”. The policy recognizes the limited opportunities in the formal sector and thus “reinforces the need to sustain and further develop the Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 133 semi-subsistence and the informal sector as the main source of employment for young people. It also promotes the possibility of expanding employment opportunities and practicing sustainable development of resources in rural areas to encourage young people to actively participate in the economy and as a means to curb the great influx of youth to the capital where there are already very limited employment opportunities. However, the policy also re-emphasises that to take this direction, young people must be given easier access to financial assistance to get started in any business venture.18 Economic growth, although not in itself, is necessary for employment opportunities. Such economic growth requires boosting by investments both from foreign sources and through domestic savings. (An environment conducive to investment must be created to retain current investors as well as attracting new ones to increase employment opportunities), [Central Bank Report, 2000, p.10]. The effects of by the social unrest, however, have really worsened the economic situation of the country with the GDP in real terms falling drastically as a result of falls in all sectors except finance. Job prospects for youth in the information economy Being tagged along in the globalisation process, Solomon Islands has not fully realised the positive implications of innovations in information and communication technology (ICT) on employment relations let alone the job prospects in the ICT economy. Apart from the national post and telecommunication organisations which employ close to 400 people, ICT is a relatively new introduction in the country. This reflects the very few people engaged in this profession. 1999 statistics shows a total of 33 computing professionals and 57 computer associate professionals with 10 and 12 females respectively. Recent studies in the Pacific including Solomon Islands emphasise the great potential that export-oriented services including ICT-based industries have in creating more job opportunities in the country. A recent study in April 2001 on human resource development planning in the country highlighted the importance of technological environment and ICT availability and innovation that could have implications for: the use of electronic learning (E-Learning) in distance education as an option along with on-campus studies; improved communication; appropriate technology; on employment relations; in production and implications on the need to train human resources; the speed of changes and rate of obsolescence; and the need to invest human resources into research and development in technology.19 The country needs to heed such findings and take appropriate action to create job opportunities for young people in this industry. Such action could include providing a conducive and market-friendly policy environment as well as sound economic management that would encourage investors in the industry. Some good recommendations are outlined by the Secretary-General’s High-Level Panel on Youth Employment. SICHE is taking a right step in planning to undertake a needs assessment of the labour market to determine what courses to offer in 2002 and onwards as part of its scaled-down operation resulting from overall national financial constraints. The need for ICT is hoped to be gauged from the planned assessment. Promoting Self-Employment The originally church established Rural Training Centres (RTC) are an important avenue for youth in rural areas to access training and skills for self-employment purposes. RTCs offer vocational training geared towards life-skills learning and development and are assisted by the national and provincial governments. However, financial assistance is insufficient to sustain the Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 134 centres. The RTCs were established to provide young people with appropriate skills to work and develop their villages and based in rural areas in the provinces. The SICHE in collaboration with the Labour Division of the MCET and ILO offers courses, under its School of Industrial Development, in plumbing and allied trades, electrical, light automotive, heavy plants and drafting survey. However, the current enrolment for each does not reach the current capacity of the programme. There is need for more promotion of such programme and encouragement to young people to take up such courses. Various NGOs, companies and government departments also carry out on-the-job and inhouse skills training, which some employees utilise when they leave their waged jobs and become self-employed. The National Youth Congress, the umbrella body for all youth organisations, is subsidised by the national government. It too had been conducting skills development training programmes that successfully produced 760 graduates between 1994 and 1996. Since 1994, about 90% of the total graduates each year successfully took up employment in either the formal or informal employment sector. However, there is a need for evaluation exercises to be undertaken to determine if such training programmes have helped young people to gain decent and productive work. Other programmes carried out by the NYC included entrepreneurial training, leadership/discipline training. There was also a plan to establish a National Youth Entrepreneur Scheme. However, financial constraints of the government which, was worsened by the social unrest, had completely halted all NYC programmes. The newly established Don Bosco vocational school also specifically target young people for skill development training with the aim to prepare them mainly for self-employment. Besides, Don Bosco also aims to develop young people for self-confidence building. Currently, Don Bosco is targeting urban youths as plans to expand into provinces are disrupted by the social unrest. While such positive steps have been taken, more vigorous action and sustained political and financial commitment to young people are needed. The 1999 statistics showing self-employed as the second largest group by employment status is reflective of the importance it plays in relation to the labour market, although considerable undercounting may be the case with women whose occasional cash income activities are sometimes classified as household duties and not selfemployed. Entrepreneurial training and micro-credit schemes to facilitate self-employment are also required. The Commonwealth Youth has recently started a pilot credit programme for young people in the urban capital of Honiara through the credit unions. The project also provides training and monitoring for purposes of expansion over the next few years. 20 The Development Bank of Solomon Islands (DBSI) provided a similar loan scheme for young leavers of RTCs few years’ back. However, such programmes are small and started on a pilot basis thus very few young people can access these innovative actions. Lack of finance to sustain such schemes is also a problem as returns from such funded projects are low due to lack of management and basic bookkeeping skills. In turn, loan repayments to sustain the schemes are poor. Problems faced by young people in sustainable development of the rural areas and selfemployment opportunities are common across all provinces and which reflect poor rural infrastructure – lack of shipping and marketing opportunities and credit etc. While all provinces generally experience similar problems, the bigger provinces record more waged employment Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 135 changes/growth than the small ones. This is reflective of the different scale of economic activities in the provinces where, the bigger ones have more activities than the small ones. The limited opportunities to earn cash in many rural areas often encourages people, especially young people, to move to Honiara to find work. Their remittances are an important part of rural cash incomes. The limited formal employment opportunities in rural areas further underlines the importance of self-employment and food security. The concern for food security has been largely evident during and after the social unrest when, displaced people and families, especially of Malaita origin, could no longer find amicable resettlement in Malaita thus posing concern for their livelihood in terms of subsistence food production. Increasing the productivity of the semi-subsistence sector and expanding the range of non-farm activities therefore can increase the demand for rural people’s labour and consequently raise their incomes. It is critical that this process be sustainable and supportive of food production. A study of Form 3 leavers undertaken by the DEHRD in 1988 found that young people prefer to live in their rural communities but with opportunities to generate income. The study also found that they expressed a preference for self-employment and that 35% of those studied have chosen not to seek wage employment. Of those who preferred to live in town, 30% felt the standard of living is higher and 30% felt that their parents expected them to find a job. However, in view of the saturated formal sector and after the experience of the social unrest, there are even more limited opportunities for self-employment especially in Honiara. Focus must therefore be directed on sustainable rural development with the view to create more opportunities for self-employment. The adoption of the Parliament accepted State government system might be a right step towards addressing this issue, but without repeating the mistake of centring economic activities in provincial urban capitals. Supporting Small enterprises The National Youth Policy promotes as one of its key strategy areas, initiative to set up a Youth Entrepreneurship Scheme as well as related advisory services provided through various Departments that should accompany such set up. Private firms currently undertake some short entrepreneurial training courses with some funding from donor countries. SICHE also offers certificate and diploma in business programmes, while other young people study these on tertiary level in overseas educational institutions. The policy also emphasises the need to review various forms of grants, whether from the government or elsewhere, with a view to establish policies that enable young men and women to have equal access to such funds to start small and medium scale enterprises both in rural and urban areas. The policy signals the direction and priority the country intends to give to the development of its young people. However, development of sub-policies, strategies and programmes such as Enterprise-based Youth Employment policy have been found in other countries to have re-focussed attention on specific opportunities and problems experienced by young women and men who enter self-employment and wish to engage in small enterprises. The Solomon Islands has yet to develop such specific policy, strategies and programmes let alone a national employment policy or Youth Employment policy. This absence can also be attributed to the misdirected and uncoordinated approach to addressing youth unemployment problems and the overall labour market issues in the country. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 136 The current economic and institutional situation is far from being conducive to creating better opportunities for self-employment through enterprising undertakings. Factors contributing to difficulties include: The general business environment that is frustrated by bureaucratic procedures; shortages of skilled local people; poor access to credit, savings, or investment capital; and insufficient but expensive infrastructure, especially transport. Successive governments have tried with little success, to improve infrastructure to improve rural and urban economic linkages. The structural reform started in 1997 aimed to strengthen the private sector was disrupted by the social unrest during 1998-2000. More research is needed to better understand the environment in which the informal and small enterprises operate and actions that ensure development programmes meet the needs of the informal sector.21 (PHDR,p86) Access to resources especially land is not easy given the complexity of land tenure system throughout the country. Land is often a source of dispute, which makes it difficult for quick start of enterprises. Many informal enterprises in urban areas have insecure tenure. Commercial/ formal sites are difficult to obtain so that many operate from homes or on roadsides or vacant land against local regulations. Access to finance to start up or for operating capital constrains a lot of small and informal business enterprises. The legal environment is very cumbersome for growth of small businesses and hinders transition from informal to formal enterprises. Such legal elements include – licensing, registration, premise regulations, labour law and taxes. Their administration is often confusing, inconsistent, frustrating and not facilitative enough for business activities. Community development through local initiatives Past and present efforts of successive governments to decentralise development into Provincial rural areas have been impaired by varying factors. Some of these have already been stated and include - poor rural infrastructure mainly transport facilities; inaccessibility of credit schemes; poor information about market demand; high cost of transportation means because of the scatteredness of islands. One such effort has been the Rural Constituency Development Fund (RCDF) given annually by the government to members of Parliament for any needed development in each constituency. While the mechanism to disburse funds through Constituency Committees, a lot of discrepancies do take place as RCDF are entered into Parliament members’ personal bank accounts and in most cases they have the sole discretion to disburse fund. To date it is a contentious issue, often said to be mismanaged and benefiting only a few as well as the members themselves. The fund is associated by many with corruption and buying vote, as members do not often adhere to accountability for the fund. A lot of rural youth groups are in existence in rural communities. Most are religious-based groups, which carry out voluntary work for communities. Some are sports-based, music groups which when need funds would do fundraising drives. However, activities of such groups are not enterprise-oriented, thus, cash income needs for livelihood are not satisfied. In most cases, this situation drives young people out of rural communities into urban communities. Some rural youth have engaged themselves in eco-forestry and tree planting for future harvesting. These efforts need Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 137 to be encouraged and sustained to expand such enterprising undertakings as well as to keep youths back and from migrating to urban towns where limited opportunities are available in sustainable resource development. Urban youth groups, like rural groups are mostly religious, sports and music-based and not undertaking enterprise-oriented activities. The results of the social unrest leave even more limited employment opportunities and young people are getting into law-breaking activities including shop and house break-ins and more young females involving in commercial prostitution to support their living in town. Supporting Private Sector Development Before the events of June 2000, the peak of the social unrest, the government’s reform programme embarked on three years earlier, established strong ground for optimism after years of uncertainty and little prospects.. The programme entailed three main elements: macroeconomic stabilisation, public service restructure, and privatisation and reform of state-owned enterprises and joint venture companies. The macro-economic setting envisaged include “tight monetary policy designed to contain inflation under 10% while allowing for adequate credit expansion to the private sector to boost economic activities in the country…”22. The result was the creation of a basis for renewed domestic investment and more economic activity by the first quarter of 2000. The Solomon Islands economy could have therefore recorded positive developments in 2000 had it not been for the social unrest. The 1997 ADB Economic Report on the Solomon Islands acknowledged that support provided for village economy through self-employment and wage employment, together with common aspiration to wage employment, justified adapting policies that generate wage employment and cash-earning opportunities in general. However, it identified that the missing key ingredient in the situation in Solomon Islands is a stable macro-economic environment. To date, the "economic plight of the country looks gloomy and very precarious both for the immediate and medium term while the peace process remains fragile. Economic revival can only be achieved with a strong private sector led growth". The Government as a facilitator of private sector development has to restore fiscal balance and most importantly, restoration of investor confidence by restoring the security situation and regain public confidence in the rule of law23. Crucial to the rehabilitation and rebuilding process is the return of law and order and a redirection of infrastructure and industry support services to rural areas where prospects of private investment generating wage employment are good. Such investment includes the approved Bina Harbour development in Malaita and the international airport development in the Western Province. The effective use of external grants and loans where donors see evidence of responsible economic management is essential. Other facilitative processes for private sector development as highlighted in the CBSI Report, 2000 include: reliable power and water supply to lessen heavy costs on private business; reasonable telecommunication charges; full cost-recovery tariff charges; a productive and health workforce as a basic input in the growth process; access to quality and appropriate education; technology promotion in especially agriculture research and extension for future productivity growth; conducive institutional infrastructure encompassing legal framework within which the private Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 138 sector and micro-economic policy environment operates; clear trade, taxation and investment policies and procedures and stamping out outrageous volume of tax remissions, simpler access to land for private business such as the recent initiative of the provision of the Ranadi industrial estate private businesses. To offset relatively high labour costs and other utility charges, the government has provided cheap access to natural resources. Also attractive incentive packages are established for foreign investments such as positioning and security of land, import duty concessions on capital goods are some of these incentives. However, approval procedures are vulnerable to corrupt practices. The government needs to address tax compliance problem and its tariff structure to ensure effective protection in some industrial input.24 Credits to the private sector were available through the Development Bank of Solomon Islands and commercial banks, loans from which can be guaranteed under the CBSI Finance Scheme. However, over-borrowing by the Government has halted such credit access. Credit Unions extend credit to the rural population, however, with the current poor economy, such avenues are no longer accessible. Besides credit, support services are inadequate. The Industrial Development Unit in the Ministry of Commerce promoting small to medium-scale industrial development for Solomon Islanders under an aid-funded project is suspended due to shortage of skilled staff and lack of Government funds. The project provided technical assistance, general business training and credit-guarantees for loans of $5,000 or less to help establish mechanical workshops, bakeries, furniture construction and fish processing. The project should be revived as it serves as a model for the kind of support Government should provide in the informal sector. The Government Department of Tourism has also been provided aid-funded funds for eco-tourism activities in the rural areas. This too, is suspended due to shortage of funds. Only a successful tackling of fiscal crisis but first in a secured business environment, can private investment decisions and prospect for sustained economic growth in the immediate future, be achieved. A stable environment in all spheres, political, social and economic can stimulate economic development. Promoting (especially agriculture) technology, public investment in physical and institutional infrastructure and human resources development is essential to creating a productive, complementary relationship between public and private sectors. Matching Demand and Supply: job brokerage and placement Public Employment Services While the Government has Departments responsible for youth and employment related matters, their primary responsibilities seem generally to deal with legislative and policy aspects. There is no institutional set up within these offices or anywhere in the public service for that matter, to facilitate job brokerage for the public let alone young people leaving schools. Job vacancies in the public service are published in the media by the Public Service office and are open for anyone to apply. Recruitment is made through a selection process based on merits. However, like in many other situations, practice of nepotism is difficult to totally escape. To specifically assist young people, there needs to be some form of set up that would facilitate job matching with young applicants for jobs. Again, a strong coordination needs to be established by all relevant government departments and statutory bodies responsible for youth employment. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 139 Private Employment Services Similar to the government situation, there is no coordinating body that deals with employment and employment seekers in the private sector. Each private business publishes its own job vacancies mostly in the media for anyone to apply. However, the private sector, especially the private formal sector requirements for employees at present are slightly more competitive than the public service in that it needs more skilled and experienced workers. The present less skilled youth population is mostly unsuitable for decent and highly paid jobs in the private formal sector. The private informal sector is presently where a lot of opportunities for employment lie although it is yet to be given priority attention by the government to develop. Similar efforts by other countries around the world to institutionalise facilitation of job matching with job seekers should be taken to assist especially young people. Conclusions and lessons Learnt Labour market information There is a total lack of any comprehensive information and statistics or databank on the labour market in the country. Scanty and isolated information that are found in various writings are not sufficient to provide a comprehensive account of labour market issues. Thus it does not provide a basis on which human resources planning and development can be properly made in terms of the labour market requirements for a skilled and educated workforce. Human resource development and manpower planning are currently the responsibilities of the government. There are no coordinated arrangements through which planning can be done with other actors in the labour market, especially the private sector. This is partly due to the fact that the public sector has been dominant in national economies and until recently, the biggest employing sector. In other words, there is no coordinated approach to matching the supply and demand sides. Government responsibilities for employment related matters come under various departments. For example, human resource development presently comes under the Education Department, Manpower planning under the Department of Development planning and employment comes under the Department of Commerce, Employment and Trade. However, there is little coordination between these authorities, let alone with stakeholders outside the government setup. Information on job availability, career materials and any labour market services as well as their rights is vital for use by young people. Making such crucial information available for young people and especially for target groups or ‘at risk’ youth such as the young women, disabled and the unemployed that are often on the fringes of labour force, is a helpful service.25 Education and training Although it is important to have an educated population, with the rigidity of the labour market, it is equally vital that the education system provides training in areas/sector most required by the general economic development to enable creation of more job opportunities. At present, the demand is high for skilled workers and the education system should be more responsive to the demand to produce employable labour supply. This would avoid a having an educated workforce that does not match the labour market demand and reduce the growing number of ‘educated unemployed’. Through effective coordination, up-to-date and relevant labour market and businessrelated information can be produced and made available for planning and development needs. The proposed plan by the Solomon Islands College of Higher Education to collaborate with other key Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 140 players in the labour market including the private sector, to carryout labour market needs assessment is a step towards the right direction. This would then determine crucial training programmes to be offered, as part of its scaled down exercise, to immediately meet the labour demand. The current constraints to addressing issues relating to youth unemployment cannot be fully resolved until a number of wider issues especially in the national environment, are overcome or addressed. Recommendations based on such issues are highlighted below. Although, more actions are needed to promote youth employment, these recommendations are considered immediate priorities for the country to pursue in the light of the its current ability and resource constraints. They should also be translated into realistic action plans for implementation. Non-formal education interventions and skills development training must be strengthened and expanded to accommodate more school levers, including disadvantaged young people. Improve coordination between all relevant authorities for better manpower development planning especially in terms of the labour market. Provide adequate skills training for young people to meet the requirements of the labour market. Develop a pool of qualified guidance and counselling workers to provide relevant advice and monitor for young people regarding employment Decentralise economic social and economic development to the rural areas in the Provinces to create more employment opportunities out there. This should curtail most problems emanating from urbanisation. Create a secured law and order situation and a conducive business environment for foreign investment as well as for local enterprises and eliminate obstacles including rigid government procedures that hinder vibrant economic activities. Support and expand the private and informal sectors where more employment opportunities are in both urban and rural areas. The importance of sustainable development of the resources must however, be promoted. Establish a National Youth Employment Policy under the auspices of the overall National Youth Policy to specifically address youth employment. Encourage involvement of young people in small enterprises by establishing a enterprise-based youth employment policy framework with emphasis on initial assistance to young people particularly in terms of accessing start-up capital. National policies promoting ICT for access by young people to labour market information is important to establish. Thus it is essential that a labour market and employment database be set up. Expand vocational education and training that gears towards encouraging young people for selfemployment. Involve young people in the decision-making process in various levels of the community to encourage them the sense of responsibility. Some public and private institutional set-ups should be done to assist young people in job searching efforts. Such institutions should be adequately equipped in terms of labour market information about employment opportunities. Establish effective implementation of legislation and policies to monitor acceptable labour standards by providing adequate administrative and financial support and through awareness programmes. A wider coverage of social protection through the SINPF should be done to cover informal sector workers. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 141 Effective dialogue between all stakeholders, on both national and international levels is important for a concerted approach to addressing issues of youth employment. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 142 Table 1: Economic Indicator Imports Exports Net External Reserve Direct Investment Real GDP Selected Economic Indicators over five over time ($ millions) 1990 1995 1999 2000 53.2 (Unaudited accounts) 12.6 (Unaudited accounts) 42 73.0 532.4 77.9 724.0 352.6 51.1 255.0 159.8 26.2 4.6 -89.8 7.1 0.9 6.7 (0.5) (14.3) 469.9 Note: Exchange rates US$1.00 = SI$5.00 Source: CBSI Annual Report 2000 & Economic Report on Solomon Islands, 1997 Table 2: Wage Employment, by gender, over time Year Males Females Total % Male % Female 1987 1991 1995 1999 8,980 21,524 24,754 28,382 4,052 4,502 7,413 11,114 23,032 25,933 32,167 39,496 82.4 82.6 77.0 7i.8 17.6 17.4 23.0 28.2 Source: 1999 National Census & Economic report on Solomon Islands, 1997 Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 143 Table3: Population 14-29 years, by employed, unemployed, not active in paid work, by province, sex ________________________________________________________________________________ Province 14-29year Total Employed in paid work M Total Unemployed Total not (seeking paid work) Males Females active in Males paid work F Females ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Solomon Islands 57,472 14 years & over Solomon Islands (14-29 years) 24,933 Choiseul Western Isabel Central Rennell-Bellona Guadalcanal Malaita Makira-Ulawa Temotu Honiara Town 1,037 5,882 1,064 1,617 54 3,042 3,687 922 492 7,136 39,761 17,711 27,652 17,957 9,695 161,223 68,813 92,410 16,591 8,342 16,760 10,341 6,419 87,792 38,708 49,085 743 4,029 748 1,118 44 1,974 2,303 609 287 4,736 294 1,853 316 499 10 1,068 1,384 313 205 2,400 528 2,046 500 477 145 2,393 6,187 1,169 1,237 2,078 316 1,257 323 304 68 1,545 3,811 748 649 1,320 212 789 177 173 77 848 2,376 421 588 758 4,238 11,610 4,257 4,551 417 13,759 26,543 7,776 3,903 11,098 1,868 5,079 1,846 1,958 214 6,297 11,093 3,547 1,581 5,225 2,370 6,531 2,411 2,593 203 7,462 15,090 4,229 2,322 5,873 _____________________________________________________________________________ Source: 1999 Population Census, SIG Table 4: Youth Population 14 – 29 years in the labour force Province Population 14 years and over in the labour force Females Males Youth Population 14 – 29 years in the labour force Females Males Solomon Islands Choiseul Western Isabel Central Rennell-Bellona Guadalcanal Malaita Makira-Ulawa Temotu Honiara Town 85,124 3,585 16,623 3,498 4,503 492 10,719 19,524 4,326 3,596 18,258 27,406 1,189 5,414 1,005 1,314 322 3,456 6,475 1,346 1,394 5,643 57,718 2,,396 11,209 2,493 41,693 1,565 7,928 1,564 2,094 199 5,435 9,874 2,091 1,729 9,214 14,761 506 26,932 1,059 5,286 1,071 1,422 112 3,519 6,114 1,357 936 6,056 170 7,263 13,049 2,980 2,202 12,615 Source: 1999 Population and Housing census, SIG Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 144 Table 5: Population 14 years and over active in paid work, by age group 14 – 24 and by occupation _____________________________________________________________________________________________________ Occupation Total population Age group and sex 14 years & over with paid work 14 - 24 ________________________________________________________________ Total Males Females Total M F ___________________________________________________________________________________ All Occupations 57,472 39,761 17,711 13,721 8,763 4,958 1 Legislators, Senior 2,502 2,085 417 146 94 52 officials, managers 2 Professionals 6,514 4,052 2,462 911 410 501 3 Technician & Associate 3,044 2,510 534 428 314 107 Professionals 4 Clerks 2,301 1,155 1,146 589 229 360 5 Workers in Services, 7,826 4,902 2,924 2,211 1,304 907 Shops & Markets Sales 6 Skilled Agricultural & 15,220 9,626 5,594 3,877 2,466 1,411 Fishery Workers 7 Craft & Related 7,327 5,728 1,599 1,703 1,349 354 Trades Workers 8 Plant & Machine 5,783 5,262 521 1,730 1,439 291 Operators, Assemblers 9 Elementary 6,955 4,441 2,514 2,133 1,158 975 Occupations ____________________________________________________________________________________ Source: 1999 Population Census, SIG Table 6: Population 14 – 29 years in unpaid work, by main unpaid activities Main unpaid activity Total youth population with unpaid work Total M Unpaid activities 48,842 1 Agriculture 2 Fishing and hunting 3 Craft and related activities 4.Community work 5 Unpaid activity not stated 37,314 3,501 3,691 3,588 748 670 161 90 95 21 14 F 878 25 35 88 20 Age group and sex 15-19 20-24 M F M F 4,448 821 817 699 116 6,229 136 234 490 141 5,255 816 1,164 733 112 7,988 105 166 486 147 25-29 M 4,866 728 908 600 78 F 6,980 709 277 397 113 Source: 1999 Population Census, SIG Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 145 Table 7: Population 14-29 years in paid work, by sex Age group Total in paid work Male Female Solomon Islands 57,472 39,761 17,711 14 15-19 20-24 25-29 261 3,855 9,605 11,212 24,933 147 2,339 6,277 7,828 16,591 114 1,516 3,328 3,384 8,342 Total Source: 1999 Population Census, SIG Table 8: Population by activity status in paid and unpaid work and age. Youth age group Activity status in paid and unpaid work_____________________ Unemployed Not active Paid work status__ (seeking paid work) in paid work not stated_______ Employed in paid work Solomon Islands 57,472 27,652 161,223 2,821 14 15-19 20-24 25-29 261 3,855 9,605 11,212 568 5,080 6,395 4,717 1,732 36,169 23,881 18,839 195 717 429 405 Source: 1999 Population Census, SIG Table 9: Population 14 – 29 years, by employment status & percentage of total labour force in each status ________________________________________________________________________________ _________ __ Age Group Not employed, Employment Status for persons working for pay ____________________________________________ ___ but looking for Total Self Waged Family Contract Other not Employed labour help labour stated work ________________________________________________________________________________________________ Both Sexes 14 15 – 19 20 – 24 25 – 29 261 3,855 9,605 11,212 % of total population 14 years and over Males as % of total Females as % of total 130 1,471 2,645 3,096 67 1,573 5,672 6,795 28 342 413 386 23 332 624 646 6 71 103 123 7 66 148 166 568 5,080 6,395 4,717 37 46 49 46 41 46 60 22 32 24 40 27 30 37 15 14 25 6 14 16 23 ________________________________________________________________________________________________ Source: 1999 Population Census, SIG Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 146 Table 10: Number of households, by Selected Subsistence and marketed products & production method Product Subsistence production Coconut Chillie Rice Fish Shellfish 47,511 4,758 5,531 40,256 25,593 Marketed production 27,018 1,378 1,657 15,787 4,759 Production Method Commercial 10,508 473 1,087 N/A N/A Traditional 15,271 806 405 N/A N/A Source: 1999 Population Census, SIG Figure 1: Formal and Informal employment for 1986 and 2000 80% 70% Formal 60% 50% Informal 40% 30% Not economically active 20% 10% 0% 1986 2000 Source: UNDP, Sustaining Livelihood, 1997 Endnotes 1 DEHRD: Human Resources Development Planning, 2001 ibid 3 (Report of Expert Group Meeting on the post-Conflict Situation, 2000). 4 UNDP, Sustainable Human Development Report on Solomon Islands, 1997 5 ibid 6 UNICEF, Sustaining Livelihood, 1997 7 UNICEF, Situation Analysis, 1999 8 ibid 9 UNICEF, Situational Analysis, 1998 10 DEHRD, Review of Non-Formal Education, 2001 11 Donald Kundu, DDP, SIG, 2001 12 ILO, Decent Work Deficit, 2001 13 John Fotewale, Commissioner of Labour, DCET, SIG, 20001 14 DEHRD, NFE Review, 2001 2 Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 147 15 DEHRD, National Human Resource Development Planning, 2001 White S & Kenyon P, Enterprise- Based Youth Employment Policies, Strategies and Programme. 17 SIG, Labour Policy, 1998 18 SIG, National Youth Policy, 2000 19 DEHRD, Human Resource development Planning, 2001 20 UNICEF, Situational Analysis, 1999 21 UNDP, PHRD, 1999 22 CBSI Annual Report, 2000 23 CBSI Report 24 ibid 25 Youth Employment in SI- Terms of Reference 16 Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 148 Sri Lanka The Sri Lankan economy liberalized in 1977, began undertaking structural adjustment programmes and moving in general towards a more market oriented stance. The policy shift seems to have had a positive impact on several macro aggregates. GDP growth rates have averaged around a healthy 5 per cent, unemployment rates have fallen in spite of rising participation and per capita incomes have doubled over a decade. But the political and social environment has been turbulent not just with the on-going civil war but one of the country’s worst youth insurrections in the 198789 period that crippled the economy and drove the nation to a near state of anarchy. In spite of falling overall rates of unemployment, youth unemployment remained significantly high while youth discontent and disillusionment rode high. Following the insurrection various remedies were sort to ease the situation. The most important in the economic policy arena was the second wave of liberalisation that commenced in 1989, which aimed inter alia to provide greater employment opportunity to youth. The overall impact of this policy is argued to have been quite favourable in many respects (Athukorale and Rajapathirane 2000). As regards trends in the labour market as a whole, several observations are worth making. First, participation rates especially among females have increased considerably, as job opportunities opened up in the industrial sector and in foreign employment. Woman took up the bulk of the incremental jobs in the 1980s. This stands in sharp contrast to the 1971-1981 period where only 12.5 per cent of the new jobs created absorbed women. However, the trend seems to have waned slightly in the 1990s and female unemployment rates have been consistently twice that of men. Second, there was an increased movement towards the manufacturing and service sectors. This trend was more pronounced in the post liberalised period, when employment in agriculture fell from 45.3 per cent in 1981 to 37.3 per cent in 1996. This is in spite of the jobs created in the agricultural sector following massive investments in infrastructure immediately after liberalization. Third, the private sector has emerged as the key provider of employment. However, the government too has been an important job provider especially for youth, the World Bank (1999:23) observes that in 1997, Sri Lanka had the highest number of public sector workers per thousand population in most of Asia. Finally, unemployment rates fell dramatically from double-digit levels in the ‘eighties to single digit levels in the late ‘nineties. Young People in Sri Lanka Sri Lanka’s youth comprised roughly 20 per cent (3.8 million) of the population in 19971, a majority (75%) of which reside in rural areas. The ethnic composition of the youth population corresponds closely to that of the population as a whole. About 74 per cent are Sinhalese, 12.7 per cent are Sri Lankan Tamils, 5 per cent are Indian Tamils and 7.4 per cent are Muslims. Literacy rates amongst youth in Sri Lanka are high for both sexes. Indeed it was already over 90 per cent in 1981. Rural-urban disparities in this regard are slight, as are gender disparities. However, in spite of high levels of literacy, free education up to and including university level, the proportion of tertiary and university educated people in the labour market is very low. 2 In 1977 only 0.6 per cent of that particular age cohort completed university study. In 1997 this figure was around 2.5 per cent. Overall tertiary education enrolment rates (including university education) from 1980 to 1995 increased from 2.7 per cent to 5.1 per cent. On the other hand, average tertiary enrolment rates for lower-middle income earning countries such as Sri Lanka in 1997 was around 22 per cent. Countries such as South Korea and other newly industrialised countries have nearly 100 per cent rate of secondary school enrolment and around 40 per cent for tertiary education in 1977 (World Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 149 Bank 2000). Statistically, therefore, Sri Lanka lags behind its peers in terms of secondary and tertiary education. Figure 1 below shows the educational attainment for economically active youth and the economically active population for 1997. Employment By and large, liberalisation has been favourable in terms of employment generation for youth and for the labour market as a whole. However, unemployment rates amongst young people remain high. Around 35 per cent of teenage and 30 per cent of young adult labour market participants were unemployed in 1997. Furthermore, it is important to analyse further the nature of the jobs created. On the one hand, the industrial distribution of young people is similar to those of the overall workforce with agriculture being the main employer of the young, followed by manufacturing and personal services (figure 2). However, in spite of enjoying higher job opportunities and higher rates of job creation by the private sector since liberalisation, much of the labour force seems to have congregated around the lower occupational tiers, especially in industries that demand cheap labour and factory type production. This trend seems to have risen over the decade and is true for both young people and adults (figure 3). Moreover, evidence suggests that the earnings and the quality of employment may have deteriorated over time. Rodrigo (2000) for instance argues that gender disparities in earnings have risen while Gunatilake (1999) argues inter alia that working conditions have deteriorated for employees in the new economic environment. The occupational patterns observed amongst youth in general are vastly different to patterns amongst university graduates. Most graduates cluster around the higher rungs of the occupational ladder as professionals (15 per cent), technical staff (62 per cent) and clerical staff (10.8 per cent) in 1992. Graduate occupation patterns indicate a revealed preference for higher-rung jobs. It is also likely that graduate entrants to the labour market—and those unemployed-- aspire to find employment in the technical, professional or clerical categories. There is clear evidence about the type of expectations a degree creates, irrespective of the quality of the skills acquired or its functional value in the labour market. Occupational patterns amongst youth as a whole and graduates show that there are marked differences and that attempts to solve the issues of a niche will not solve issues of the rest of the work force. On the other hand, an insignificant proportion of graduates are occupied as managers during the 1992-98 period compared to soon after liberalisation in 1981 when around 9.5 per cent of graduate jobs were in the managerial positions. The situation in 1981 seems a residue of graduate employment patterns prior to liberalisation when a degree was considered a sufficient qualification to take up managerial roles in the SOEs. In contrast, post liberalisation patterns of employment by occupation indicate that graduates have been in demand to provide mainly technical services rather than managerial or professional services. Formal vs. informal sector As noted in Part I, classifying economic activity as belonging to the formal or informal sector is notoriously difficult. The fundamental stumbling block is the definition of what constitutes the informal sector. One empirically viable, but rather approximate approach is to differentiate between formal and informal sector activity by categorisation in the labour force. The labour force survey categorises workers as being an employer, employee, own account worker or an unpaid family worker. It is likely that much of the workers in the first and second categories probably belong to the ‘formal’ sector, while members of the latter types of activities, particularly the last Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 150 category, are engaged in informal sector activities. Using this definition it can be seen that over 25 per cent of the employed teenagers and 15.6 per cent of young adults seem to be engaged in unpaid family work (with around 75 per cent of these being male). The corresponding figure for the labour force as a whole is no more than 10 per cent in 1997 (figure 4). Around 87 per cent of such youth are from rural areas and are educated up to the GCE Ordinary Level exam (42 per cent) or less (43 per cent). Over 70 are male. Nearly 77 per cent of all such youth are in the agriculture and 14 per cent in construction. If the ‘informal’ sector included both unpaid family workers as well as own account workers, the proportion of youth engaged in probable informal sector activity rise to around 35 per cent among teenage youth and 30 per cent among young adults. The corresponding figure for all employed is nearly 40 per cent. Thus the percentage of youth employed in the informal sector ranges from 15-30 per cent depending on the definition used. For all employed the range is between 10-40 per cent. Informal sector employment therefore is not an issue particular to youth. In fact, fewer young people seem to be involved in informal sector activity than the labour force as a whole. Wage employment vs. self-employment Figure 4 above can also be used to estimate patterns in wage and self-employment. It is assumed that the ‘own account worker’ category by and large captures those who are self employed while the ‘employee’ category roughly captures wage earners. Using these definitions it can be seen that a majority of youth (nearly 68 per cent on average) are in the wage-earning sector (40 per cent of whom are female). This is 10 per cent higher than the corresponding figure for all employed. Further, only 9.4 percent of teenage youth and 13.9 per cent of young adults are in selfemployment as opposed to nearly 30 per cent of all employed. This is probably an indication that self-employment is often taken up as an option of last resort and is not highly preferred among youth. Unemployment The most notable feature when comparing youth unemployment rates with overall rates is that youth unemployment is almost three times as high as overall rates. High youth unemployment has been a consistent feature of Sri Lanka for the past several decades. This is in spite of the fact that youth unemployment rates have been falling over time, corresponding to general rates of unemployment. It is also notable that similar to the labour force as a whole, female youth unemployment is higher than male youth unemployment. In 1953, for instance, female unemployment was 5 percentage points higher than male at 20 per cent, while in 1973 it was almost double that of male at 36.4 per cent. By 1997, female unemployment nearly tripled male unemployment rates at 19.7 per cent. Increased participation rates amongst females certainly add to the phenomena. This pattern is evident in youth unemployment rates as well (Figure 5). Young females suffer from significantly higher unemployment rates than do young males. The gap (to the detriment of females) is particularly evident amongst young adults. Even though unemployment rates between males and females have been falling over the 1990s females come up as being worse off than males in the youth category. It has often been argued that unemployment is high amongst ‘educated’ youth. One should be careful about what level of education such measures refer to, for statistically, the definition of ‘educated’ does not seem to extend up to the graduate level. The bulk of those unemployed (33 per Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 151 cent) are qualified above grade 8 but less than A/L, while 23 per cent are A/L qualified (Appendix 2 Table 9b). In spite of their voice, graduate unemployment rates are generally lower than unemployment rates for other categories at around 7.3 per cent in 1997. Thus Sri Lanka seems to have relatively more a problem of educated unemployment where ‘educated’ pertains more to the Grades 8 to 13 category rather than university education. Alailima (1998:33) argues that there is a more recent emergence of vocationally trained unemployed as well, indicating perhaps that the training received is not geared for the labour market or that the pathways from education to labour market are not well defined. Another feature is that youth spend considerable time searching for jobs. Amongst unemployed teenagers, 31 per cent claim to have been looking for a job for over a year, while 4 per cent claim to have been seeking employment for over 2 years. The corresponding figures for young adults is 63 per cent and 28 per cent while for all employed it is 57 per cent and 30 per cent respectively. Thus young adults in particular, incur long search periods. During this period the main source of support is either from family (28 per cent), government-- including food stamps (26.2 per cent), and charitable institutions (18.5 per cent). Thus the high incidence of youth unemployment, its persistence and the long job search time involved are all significant characteristics very much at the root of youth discontent and disillusionment. Their frustrations are exacerbated given high levels of literacy, high aspirations for upward mobility and white-collar employment. High levels of political activity make the consequences of unemployment in terms of civil disorder particularly plausible as the several insurrections indicate. What is the cause for unemployment and its characteristics? Some of these are discussed below. Underemployment There have been no formal analyses done in Sri Lanka regarding underemployment. This is mainly due to data limitations. Even the LFS data, possibly the most comprehensive and consistent source available to analyse such trends for 1992 onwards, does not enable the calculating visible or invisible underemployment, apart from a core group (Salih 2000b). If a very general hours-based analysis is done one may note that as far as hours worked go, 68 per cent of youth claim to work for over 35 hours per week, exceeding equivalent figures for all employed or graduates. Only around 9 per cent claim to work for less than 9 hours a week. Estimates of invisible underemployment in terms of relative pay deprivation or skills mismatch/underutilisation is almost impossible to calculate. This does not mean, of course, that underemployment is not prevalent. Many of the jobs created for women in the industrial sector have been in assembly work in areas such as garments, foot-ware, fishing gear, electronic assembly, etc. It is possible that these workers—who report to have a minimum of secondary level education—were seriously underemployed in terms of skills utilized. This may also be true for those workers who out migrated as domestic aids. Nearly 80 per cent of them report to have some years of secondary education (Eelans & Schamper, 1992). National Youth Policy (NYP) Youth issues have been on the Sri Lankan political agenda for several decades, especially in response to significant youth uprisings and insurgency in the 1970s and then again in the late 1980s. A special Ministry for Youth Affairs and Employment was established in 1979, taking over youthYouth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 152 oriented functions that had until then been provided as a sub-division of another Ministry. Even so, youth programmes had never been guided by well-defined policy oriented towards youth. The direction taken was often ad hoc and short-term in nature, focusing mainly on issues pertaining to university graduates. A fresh attempt has been made to draft a NYP in April 2001. The overall objective of the NYP is stated to be ‘the creation of an environment conducive to a righteous society that must fulfil the needs and aspirations of youth, with a view to looking at Sri Lankan youth problems from a youth view-point and assisting in finding or evolving permanent solutions for them and making youth the active participants in national development.’ The fundamental objective of the NYP is to work towards integrating the youth into the social life more gainfully by its actions….The NYP makes an effort also to clarify how adult society is readying itself to help the youth to avoid contemporary problems and obstacles that modern day young men and woman face, and while doing so, it also attempts to identify the responsibilities of youth.’ The end result is intended to be improved well being of youth, self-empowerment, participation, leadership and entrepreneurship. The NYP identifies a threefold strategy achieve its goals: 1. Addressing issues that are personal to youth, specifically health issues, societal problems arising from gender differences, poverty and deprivation. 2. Addressing ‘structural areas’ that provide youth opportunities for participation in making social decisions and accepting responsibilities of citizenship. These areas are noted to be a) law b) franchise c) rights d) political participation and e) environment 3. Addressing issues that equip youth with skills necessary for entering fully into autonomous adult life. The areas identified are education, vocational training, employment, national service programs, sports and entertainment, media and communication, science and technology, arts, agriculture and industry. The youth policy also identifies certain groups as being vulnerable needing urgent attention. The groups include disabled young men and women, young prisoners, drug addicts, those out of parental care, those driven to ill-fame, disabled soldiers of both sexes, youth soldiers and youth in the estates and city slums. For the purpose of policy formulation youth are defined as those in the age group 13-30. This is then broken further into two subgroups: 13-19 (13 per cent of the population) and 20-30 (19.5 per cent of the population).3 The draft NYP then identifies policies specific to each group. For the first group, policies will focus on health issues, societal problems arising from gender differences, poverty and deprivation. For the second group, policies will focus on vocational training, employment, communication, media, law, franchise, representation and participation in administrative bodies. Even though the NYP identifies special groups within the youth it does not give any indication as to the nature of policies to be targeted at these. The Draft document does not, however, raise issues particular to youth in Sri Lanka. Moreover, the policy document is not supported by research and analysis based on the Sri Lankan labour market for youth, their employability, incentive structures, etc. No studies have been carried out in the areas of the labour market, working conditions, labour laws, employability, the dimensions of employment, poverty, human capital and technology. Basically, many of the problems of young people are economic, but no analysis has been made of the economics of youth labour markets and employability. Insight from such analysis could help carve a clearer and more focussed longer-term policy direction that is both effective and practical. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 153 Implementing the NYP Although the proposal is in its initial stages, several issues that may arise in the preparation of the action plan and implementation have been the subject of discussion.4 The first issue is as to who will implement the youth policy and who will monitor performance. A related issue is who the key partners of such an effort would be and how their representation will be weighted. Consensus amongst officials of the MYA tended towards the notion that present institutions within the ministry of youth Affairs (MYA) handle a multitude of on-going projects and programmes catered towards youth, which meant that specific implementation and monitoring functions should be the task assigned to a separate unit created anew. A second issue is how the responsibilities will be delineated amongst the various partners and how exactly monitoring would take place. For example, within the Government itself, several ministries implement vocational training programs, credit programmes and rural development programmes that have a direct bearing on the youth or involve them in vicarious ways. There are also numerous private sector, NGO and community based youth programmes. All these efforts can enjoy largely positive externalities through a network that facilitates more participation, interaction and information. The main role of a new unit, if created, would best be one of co-ordination, facilitation and perhaps monitoring using a set of measures as well defined as possible. The action plan itself could also focus on how to improve efficiency of existing institutions, and creating supplements where existing programmes are deemed inadequate. Active Labour Market Policies Almost all programmes directly focussing youth are at present handled by the MYA. The MYA has various institutes under its preview working towards the improvement of different aspects of youth welfare. These institutes together with the financial provision and proportion of provision spent during the year 2000 are in Table 1. below. As the table shows, the NYSC enjoys the largest provision--roughly 86 per cent of the total provision not including the Gramodaya Folk Arts Centre. The Small enterprises Development and Career Guidance Divisions are allocated 6 and 4 per cent respectively while the Youth Employment Planning Division is allocated 2.9 per cent. Crude estimates based on Ministry of Youth affairs (2000) information on programme specific expenditure indicate that the highest expenditure at the NYSC is incurred on technical and vocational training (around 23 per cent), followed by activities of the cultural division (roughly 17 per cent on youth awards for artistic talents, the national drama school, etc), career guidance and counselling (roughly 12 per cent) and the Youth Information Bureau (roughly 9 per cent). Apart from the MYA several other government bodies work towards youth, most notably the Samurdhi Ministry, the Ministry of Education and the Ministry of Tertiary and Vocational Training and Rural Industries (TVTRI). Other Ministries such as Women’s Affairs, Agriculture, etc. all implement various programmes that area accessible to certain groups within youth but are targeted directly at other categories such as those in poverty, women, etc. Supply side: Enhancing Human Capital Education and training Currently about 13 Ministries are involved in the development and monitoring of technical training schools in Sri Lanka. These government programmes account for about 80 per cent the Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 154 vocational and technical training provided in the area outside the Western Province (Jayaweera, 2000). There are also numerous NGOs offering VT. The several private sector training programmes offering VT are mostly fee levying and are concentrated in a few areas most notably in computer-oriented subjects, secretarial courses and courses in dress making etc., which are ad hoc and sparsely distributed especially in urban areas. The NYSC casts vocational training in the larger framework of youth development and is thus more holistic in its approach than other training programmes carried out by other bodies. The NYSC also has strong political backing, residential training facilities and a network of decentralized district offices to enable close monitoring of rural activity. It also has well-established links with donor agencies and NGOs. Moreover, the NYSC job market information centre and the career guidance service supplement training (ILO-Colombo, 2001). On the minus side, however, the NYSC suffers from a certain degree of institutional rigidity affecting dynamism and flexibility of the organization—the same types of programmes are implemented year after year leading to a sense of lethargy in terms of monitoring for external effectiveness and quality. Moreover, the output of trained individuals—the 1200 annual output of graduates in particular—is mainly a supply-driven phenomenon with poor demand from the labour market. This may have serious implications to the future credibility of the organisation’s operations, given rising discontent amongst the unemployed graduates. There is also a geographical mismatch in terms of supply and demand: training is provided mainly in the rural areas but job opportunities are by and large in the Western province and urban areas. Most curricular are conventional in that they do not have a component of substantial interaction with potential employers. The NYSC also lacks a system to monitor efficiency and quality of training. As for the multitude of other technical and vocational programs, the key draw back is that the TEVT system in Sri Lanka itself is not well designed, complementary or consistent. It has been argued in various instances that the training system is not demand driven, i.e., there are qualitative and quantitative mismatches between what the training programmes deliver and what employers seek. There are qualitative and quantitative mismatches especially pertaining to training delivery vis-à-vis market demand (Jayaweera 1998). Moreover, the sector lacks effective policymaking, planning and management leading to poor or non-existent coordination, operational inefficiency, overlaps and duplication. Thus the internal efficiency and the external effectiveness of training institutions and programmes are low (ILO 2001). The focus has also been one of increasing quantity rather than quality. Exacerbating this issue is the fact that vocational training institutions have been developed in a rather ad hoc manner often in response to incidents of youth violence and unrest. This has had an adverse impact on the development of the sector (Jayaweera 1998). Moreover, the sector as a whole has no long-term strategy or goal. Several of the programmes suffer from ambiguous and at time misleading mandates and there seems to be a lack of clarity as to target groups, programme objectives and skill levels. Female enrolment rates in vocational training are almost equal to that of males. However, the distribution of females within the various training programmes is severely restricted to a few courses, often those traditionally conceived to be ‘female’ occupations. These include sewing, weaving, dressmaking, etc. Jayaweera (2000) argues that in the 31 technical colleges women increased from 14.9 per cent in 1973 to 40.7 per cent in 1992 and were 39.9 per cent in 1998. But 60 – 70 per cent of the women students are still enrolled in commerce and secretarial courses while the percentage employed in technical courses has increased very slowly from 1 per cent in 1987 to 16 per cent in 1996. Therefore the increase in the number of technical colleges has not necessarily increased female access to acquiring technical skills. But Jayaweera also observes that the key Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 155 stumbling block to opportunity for skills development is social class, rather than gender. As she notes, the affluent middle class has more options. Guidance and counselling The MYA established a career guidance division in 1998 in order to ‘build up contented and effective human resources through career guidance’. The unit aims to guide job seekers in identifying or creating a field of employment that suits them and to assist youth to gain professional training opportunities. Key programmes organised by the unit include career guidance services through 32 Divisional secretary offices, awareness programmes on employment and training opportunities held at the Divisional level and training programmes to prepare for job opportunities. The Career Guidance Division also authors various leaflets and publications. The most significant is the ‘Directory of Employment’ that provides a sector-wise classification of employment opportunity, career guidance manuals and special leaflets. The functions of the unit could be made more effective if measures of monitoring progress were developed, including statistics on number of recipients, cost per person, nature of query, establishing feed-back loops, etc. Moreover, programmes should be targeted at the exit level. This would be the school level, especially between grades 8 and 10 (Ordinary Level exam classes) since most teenage entrants to the labour market exit formal education at this point. Given the dynamic nature of exit and entry in the labour market, an on-line directory and information service would be useful. If events and publications are in paper form, regularity, consistency and access are key elements that need to be enhanced. The NYSC has a newly established large job information centre in Colombo that caters to this need somewhat. The Centre aims to provide youth with information regarding ‘education, vocational training, business training, etc.’ (MYA 2000:12) and 3903 youth have already registered with the Centre. However, access is by and large limited due to geographical constraints and lack of awareness amongst youth with regard to immediate vacancies. The NYSC has a separate section providing counselling and guidance for youth. Counselling services were provided mainly through 1 national centre and 10 district centres. In the year 2000, around 4500 youth had sort assistance at these centres. Apart from this young inventors were assisted with guidance, technical know how and finances. Programmes are also conducted to train youth to be counsellors. In 2000, 60 men and women were trained to be counsellors. However, this exercise used up a little over 25 per cent of the amount allocated for it. In contrast, the ‘Political Academy’ established to train youth in political activity benefited 41 people, while the expenditure incurred over-shot the budget by nearly 300 per cent. Demand side: Creating job opportunities Job creation and public works A key vehicle of employment creation especially for the youth is via large-scale national level programmes such as the Samurdhi. In 1997, around 36000 unemployed youth with Ordinary Level passes were recruited by the Samurdhi programme as animators or development officers at the village level. Around 5000 unemployed graduates were recruited as managers of the program. Persistent government bulk recruitment as for the Samurdhi programme or as trainee teachers accentuates and perpetuates biases in youth preferences for public sector jobs. It also helps increase ‘search’ time and creates a specific set of aspirations. As cited elsewhere, twenty years after Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 156 liberalisation, over 50 percent of youth still aspire to public sector jobs. This is not surprising, given the signals the government sends to the labour market. Temporary income generation and employment opportunities through public works are offered mainly by the national poverty alleviation programme Samurdhi under its rural infrastructure development component. The target group is the poor and those in transient poverty. However, unlike in the Maharashtrian Employment Guarantee Scheme (MES), there is a strong element of coercion in the Samurdhi based food-for-work program. In the MES, poor people needing assistance turn up for work whenever they need the money and are paid accordingly in cash or kind. Thus the beneficiaries are targeted on a self-selection basis. The Samurdhi on the other hand first selects beneficiaries for cash transfers and then require these beneficiaries to participate in rural works. Participation, therefore, often means foregoing earnings from usual source of employment. In other words, public works in the form of community projects in the Samurdhi programme incurs high opportunity costs. Moreover many recipients are often left worse off once the rural works projects have ended not only because of foregone earnings but also because microavenues of subsistence to which the poor had access before (often derived from patron-client relationships with more affluent families, landed proprietors, etc) are disrupted. Job prospects for youth in the information economy Developing countries such as Sri Lanka are particularly suited for exporting knowledgebased products especially because of the low cost of labour and the availability of a large pool of human capital. Moreover, the market is still young and offers increasing returns to scale. Investing, building and expanding the industry, therefore, is a prudent investment for countries such as Sri Lanka that have a large workforce and the potential to improve the productivity of the work force. The Sri Lankan ICT industry is still nascent with significant potential for contributing to growth and creation of value added employment in the economy. Within the ICT industry the demand for software development and enabling services has grown significantly during the past decade due to local and foreign sources. Local demand increases come from initiatives to modernise both the private and the public sectors for application software specific to industries and organisations.5 Demand from overseas has increased mainly because of cheap labour and the reputation the sub-continent has received so far given the thriving Indian ICT industry. The opportunities for youth in the information economy are significant. For example in the software development segment alone, there is an urgent need for locally developed software in Sri Lanka since importing software to meet the rising demand has several limitations. First, there are systemic differences between nations (e.g. legislative, practice-wise), which make the noncustomised adoption of foreign software senseless. Customising, however, is time consuming, expensive and error-prone. This reduces the reliability of the software and delays the implementation of projects. Second, software developers tend to rely on expatriate staff for undertaking the customisation and adaptation of software. This denies exposure and work to locals. Third, access to core programmes by local staff is often denied under agreements to ensure that local developers do not understand the intricacies of the system, and to create dependence. Fourth, most of the imported systems require the local institutions to make a huge leap into modernised systems from primitive manual systems. This results in a disruption of operations, resource waste and delays. Finally, most imported interactive software use only the English language. This denies a large class of Sinhala/Tamil educated persons from competing for jobs at institutions that use Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 157 electronic systems. Thus, there is a high demand for developing software in particular within the country and with it huge potential for youth. But the focus need not be software development alone. The ICT industry is a gold mine in terms of offering a variety of job opportunities for youth. Moreover, it could contribute towards increasing labour mobility, vertically and horizontally. However, there are certain structural deficiencies in the economy that constrain the speed of growth in the sector. One of the most pertinent is that there is currently no IT policy governing the direction of the industry. Nor is there any significant research indicating market structures, potentials, paths, etc. The Computer Information and Technology Council (CINTEC) has been established by the government to form national guidelines for the sector, amongst engaging in other tasks such as increasing computer awareness, performing a co-ordinating role, etc. The CINTEC has identified several thrust areas within which to work and improve the IT sector. These areas are HRD, e-governance (amongst the public sector in particular where activities are computerised), ecommerce, software enabling services and the development of private sector incentives, infrastructure development. Various steps have been taken, especially in the capacity of coordinator to move in this direction. These are elaborated in the discussion below. Unfortunately, however, the lack of a clear policy direction and commitment to that direction the full potential of the industry may not be realised. Moreover, computer literacy may well become a repressive device benefiting an advantaged segment of the youth and marginalizing others. This may lead to lop-sided development particularly in the short run. It is likely that such effects may be temporary and that a spill over effect will eventually benefit all segments of the labour market. To minimise temporary disadvantages, however, it is essential that the government encourage computer literacy throughout the island, increasing awareness and penetration rates, working within the clear framework of medium to long-term policy. Another problem within the industry is that there are no strict national guidelines (imposed by the state or a professional body) as to the standards and quality targets that should be met by the local producers. Similarly there are no national standards for ICT-based education. CINTEC has linked up with the TEVC to delimit standards that improve and make consistent the quality of various courses offered by institutions. Inadequate human resources in the local labour market is another major stumbling block. At present there are very few persons in the domestic labour market who possess requisite skills and expertise in software engineering and other ICT related areas. Most local institutions that teach computing skills often focus on out-dated languages and operating systems that have little professional relevance. Inadequate finances constrain the training of employees on-the-job. The problem is compounded when trained software engineers look for more challenging and remunerative jobs overseas. This poses the vital question as to who should bare the cost of training and educating individuals in developing the relevant skills. The lack of qualified and recognised teachers and trainers exacerbates the problems in HRD. On a more positive note, however, the CINTEC has identified HRD as being vital in developing the IT industry. At present no precise statistics are available as to the number of professionals in the industry. A rough estimate is that Sri Lanka has about 2500 IT qualified IT professional in industry, and that only around 10 per cent of this figure comprises those with Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 158 graduate level education The target is to raise the number of computer professionals to 25000 in the next 5-6 years. Towards this end, the CINTEC encourages the introduction of computer science as a discipline at the major universities. Qualification is important especially as a screening device in the job market. CINTEC role is in setting national standards and accreditation for the training provided by most of the courses. Finally, inadequacies in physical infrastructure result in congestion and limit the construction of large interstate networks. A closely related issue is the need to build a macro environment (both political and economic) that facilitates the growth of the industry. Experience of the Indian software industry shows that reputation is of fundamental importance in winning contracts in an industry where contracts are inherently incomplete (Bannerjee and Duflo 1999). A strong element facilitating the building up of a sound reputation lies within the individual firm as well as the general macroeconomic environment and infrastructure. Promoting self-employment and supporting small enterprises Promoting self employment has become a much discussed and practiced issue in Sri Lanka, with numerous government and non-government organisation promoting this in various ways such as improving access to credit, technical skills, guidance, advise in marketing, etc. The most common support, however, is in terms of facilitating credit. The target group for most of the efforts are those in poverty. The Small Enterprises Development Division under the MYA is the key public sector organisation that targets youth in particular. It should be noted, however that this Division accounts for only around 6 per cent of the MYA programme expenditure and thus is relatively low key within the Ministry agenda itself. The Samurdhi scheme is another key player offering both credit and guidance for self-employment. This programme targets both those in poverty and youth. Apart from these programmes private sector banks and development banks too have initiated several schemes, of which the Gami Pubudu Programme under the Hatton National Bank takes priority. Various public, private and NGOs are also involved in giving technical and other support to youth. Small Enterprises Development Division of the MYA This division, as its name reveals, focuses exclusively on promoting small-scale enterprises. Activities carried out include one day awareness programmes and courses conducted in developing entrepreneurship, managing small businesses, marketing and accounting, providing consultancy services and the compilation of handbooks for entrepreneurs. Some of these functions (particularly the training programs) are performed at the district level. In the year 2000, 680 training programmes were conducted in 18 districts incurring over Rs. 5 million. Around 20000 young people are reported to have participated in these sessions. The Surathura programme The Surathura programme is a key micro-credit programme operated by the Rural Credit Division of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka, funded by the three participatory credit institutions: the Bank of Ceylon, People’s Bank and the Hatton National Bank. It is targeted towards educated unemployed youth to enable them to undertake income generating activities or a micro-finance project. The government paid an interest subsidy of 10 per cent per annum to the PCIs to maintain the on-lending rate of 10 per cent per annum. The programme commenced in 1996. A survey Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 159 conducted on the performance of the project in 1997 revealed that although the target group was educated unemployed youth, the Scheme had in fact funded relatively well-off individuals from outside the target group. Moreover, 58 per cent of the loans had been taken to support existing enterprises. Nearly 80 per cent of the loans had been taken to finance trading activities the balance had been for agriculture and services. Only 39 per cent of the projects funded recorded satisfactory loan repayment. In the light of the findings the scheme was re-designed and implemented as a second phase in 1997/98. In 1999, the Project had financed 16 433 sub-projects to the value of Rs. 614 million throughout the island. A Central Bank based survey on loan defaulters of the project had indicated that the key cause for default was due to the poor identification of borrowers. 6 SASANA under the Samurdhi program Samurdhi has initiated several types of credit programmes for the poor. These include the Small Credit Programme (SASANA) that commenced in 1995, the Accelerated Loan Animator Scheme that commenced in 1996, and the Enterprise Development Credit Scheme (SAVANA) and the Samurdhi Leasing Scheme that were introduced more recently in 1998. Of these programs, SASANA uses the largest amount of financial resources annually. In 1998, SASANA loans to the value of Rs. 500 million had been granted to around 75 000 recipients. The size of loans varied from Rs. 2 500 to Rs. 10 000 at a 10 percent interest rate. The loans have been granted to develop small enterprises.7 The main focus of this section will be the SASANA programme as it is the longest standing credit scheme within the Samurdhi, and youth in poverty are a particular target group. The key objectives of the SASANA programme are to make credit accessible to the poor and youth in particular so that they can set up and sustain micro enterprises for self-employment. The loan is accessible island-wide to over 50 per cent of the population given the scope and coverage of the Samurdhi program.8 This implies that SASANA loans are accessible to a large proportion of youth in poverty. The loans have been used mainly to fund itinerant trade such as the door-to-door sale of clothes, sweets, household items, etc., and more metropolitan areas dress making and sewing (albeit to a lesser extent than itinerant trade). As mandated by the Samurdhi Authority, no loans had been given to conventional agriculture-oriented projects such as paddy cultivation, plantation, etc. Even though youth in poverty are a particular target for the SASANA loan, Gunatilake and Salih (1999) find out that most of the project holders are clustered around the 35-44 age group. Thus poorer youth do not clamour to obtain credit via SASANA for small-scale enterprise development, in spite of is relatively high accessibility. This may well be because self-employment is not perceived as an appealing job to hold by youth. In fact, SASANA project holders themselves (largely in the non-youth category) indicate that self employment as afforded by the SASANA programme was not what they had aspired to do. It had been a last-resort option, often driven by credit availability rather than genuine interest. The Gunatilake and Salih study shows that over 50 percent of the entire sample prefer their children to be employed in the public sector. Around 20 percent prefer private sector employment. This “aspirations mismatch” between what Samurdhi offers and what the poor really want poses a real threat to the longer-term sustainability of the micro enterprises, and certainly for targeting youth for self-employment via such a broad-based poverty alleviation scheme. Another serious problem with credit programmes in a poverty alleviation context as argued in Gunatilake and Salih (1999) is whether ‘the type of markets that the projects cater to can sustain the projects in the medium and longer-term. Almost all the enterprises cater to a poor, limited, segmented market where demand is rather inelastic. For example, a soap-maker in Eheliyagoda could market his tissue-wrapped, homemade cakes of soap mainly amongst plantation workers who appreciated the 25 cent reduction in the price of the cake of soap compared to more popular brands of soap. Moreover, Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 160 most of the buyers of the homemade soap had been persuaded to purchase it because it was a way of “helping” a fellow Samurdhi recipient. It is doubtful, therefore, whether this industry could expand beyond this segmented market, even to the less-rural areas of Eheliyagoda. This is true for most of the other micro-enterprises supported by SASANA. Poor quality and packaging, poor marketing skills and the lack of effective advertising (apart from attempts at moral suasion) and the lack of benefits of economies of scale that larger manufacturers enjoy, confine these tiny businesses to very limited, segmented markets catering to the poor. A possible implication of the nature of the markets is that the projects may not profit and expand enough to propel its holders out of poverty. Indeed, the projects may well cause social exclusion and increase the incidence of relative poverty.’ These results may hold true for youth embarking on such projects as well. Catering to a niche, non-expanding, inelastic market may well exacerbate social exclusion and restrict labour mobility rather than encourage it. So even if youth in poverty obtained credit and commenced upon projects, it is arguable whether such projects would be an avenue out of poverty and social exclusion. The sustainability of the SASANA programme itself is suspect, given the high loan default rate and the low profit margins of most projects. The expectation of some recipients of loan-forgiveness in a government-sponsored programme only exacerbates the problem. Moreover, the SASANA seems to have been more successful at being a measure protecting the poor rather than increase their income generating capabilities though self-employment generation. This is particularly so when micro enterprise credit is targeted at the ultra poor or labouring poor categories, who comprise the lowest tiers of those in poverty. Poor youth in these tiers in particular, suffer a high opportunity cost associated with starting up a business. Most projects have long gestation periods before returns are received. If youth are also main income earners of the family, they are likely to trade off future income for present income, choosing to seek, say, casual employment over self-employment projects. The ‘upper-ranks’ of the poor, namely the self-employed poor (those in self employment who work alone or employ a few others), entrepreneurial poor (those in self employment employing five or more people) or near poor (those in stable wage employment characterised by low earning power) are often better targets for micro-finance. This perhaps contributes to the success of the Gami Pubudu Programme, whose target group is the upper-end of those poor, discussed next. Private sector initiatives in targeting credit to youth: the Gami Pubuduwa Programme (GPP) Sri Lanka’s handful of private commercial banks generally stay away from offering micro credit for self employment, given the high risk of default such programmes carry and high operational costs they incur. The Hatton National Bank of Sri Lanka (HNB) is an exception to the rule. The HNB launched the Gami Pubuduwa or ‘village reawakening’ programme in October 1989 providing an example of how a commercially profitable micro finance programme is carried out within the operating structure of a private commercial bank. The Bank’s involvement in microfinance, however, has meant high operational costs and specialised human resource requirements. 9 These constraints also mean that expansion opportunities for such an operation are limited once a break-even point has been reached. The GPP provides banking services to households in rural and semi-urban areas in Sri Lanka, geared to micro enterprise and non-farm business development. It works through GPP units operating in 20 administrative districts through HNB’s branch network. Between 1989 and 1995 the programme had reached 12 654 borrowers with an average loan size of US $ 360 and USD $ 4.6 million in total loans approved. It has mobilised 44, 500 deposit accounts with average balances of US $145 and total deposits of US $ 8.15 million. The scheme is implemented by 105 delivery units staffed by 114 field offices which carry out the credit delivery and recovery facilities. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 161 The GPP caters to the rural entrepreneurial credit needs but has targets in particular credit for educated rural youth, particularly school leavers and university undergraduates. It is also interesting note that the programme was first initiated in 1989 in areas where youth unrest was highest. So far, youth between the ages 18-25 have obtained around 20 per cent of the loans. Females have taken around 12.5 per cent of the loans. Roughly half the customers have taken loans to improve existing projects. The most popular sectors have so far been transportation followed by carpentry, grocery sale and garment production (HNB 2000). The loan default rate is reported to be very low at around 3 per cent. The GPP is more than just a credit program. It is an integrated approach that educates its customers about product quality, marketing, budgeting and banking. The programme also helps in coordinating, channelling technical help and organising special marketing events and fairs. The GPP has also made institutional relationships with the Sarvodaya villagebased organisation, the SANASA federation of thrift and credit co-operatives and other NGOs through the UNDP-CARE network of micro-finance institutions in Sri Lanka. These are invaluable sources for information about customers and sources that assist customers with their entrepreneurial endeavours. Moreover, the GPP has benefited from international organisations that carry out similar ventures such as the Bangladesh Rural Advancement Committee and Australia-based Opportunity International. The HNB experience shows that institutional commitment, operating autonomy and a management environment that encourages responsive procedures to enhance programme sustainability, are vital ingredients for a successful micro finance initiative (Gallardo et.al.,1997). Supporting private sector development. The policy stance of the Sri Lankan Government has long been to use the private sector as the engine of growth. Since 1994, the main elements of reform have been in terms of tariff and tax changes, public enterprise reform including privatisation and commercialisation, attempts to reduce the budget deficit and human resource development.10 Trade reform has lead to the rationalisation of the tariff structure and reducing certain price distorting elements especially in the agricultural sphere. These reforms have taken place (e.g., changes to the tariff structure) mainly because of the political will and commitment to implement them. However, in several cases (e.g., the elimination of quantitative restrictions on certain agricultural produce), the poor timing of the reform lead to near-disastrous consequences. The key tax reform has been the implementation of the GST with the aim of making the tax system simpler and more efficient. Strong political commitment has been a key contributor to the implementation of this change in the tax system. It is doubtful however, whether the GST is revenue neutral, given the many exemptions offered. It is also doubtful whether the GST is price neutral (especially during the initial months of implementation) especially due malpractices on the part of the trader, arising from inadequate public awareness campaigns. In the case of public enterprise reform, the main obstacles have arisen from poor labourmanagement dialogue. In several privatisation attempts, the main problem had been union resistance. This is hardly surprising, given the poor legal and policy framework currently available to handle labour issues during privatisation. More importantly, the problems were also reflective of the inadequacies in the exit policy of the Sri Lankan labour market (Kelegama and Salih 1998). Matching Demand and Supply: Job Brokerage and Placement Programmes for job placement are rare. Youth often have to rely on career guidance services for information and guidance on jobs but access to these services is often limited for Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 162 geographical and other reasons. In any case, these programmes at best point to possible directions young people can investigate. They do not act as intermediaries in terms of information gathering, processing and dissemination. Nor are these centres a conduit for job brokerage. Job placement programmes for graduates, on the other hand, have a long history. In spite of small numbers (around 2.5 per cent of the labour force and 1.5 per cent of all those unemployed in 1997), graduates have always been a vocal group that politicians have sort to appease. Hence graduate placement schemes and graduate issues have always been important. Indeed, Persistently high public sector recruitment of graduates and ad hoc solutions to graduate unemployment adds to the tendency of graduates queuing for public sector jobs, often conceding it to be a right to be employed in the public sector and such employment an obligation on the part of the government. This supports the ‘queuing hypothesis’ that public sector pay policies (argued to be higher than private sector pay), fringe benefits (e.g., job security, social status) and hiring practices skews worker preferences towards public sector jobs and thus ‘queue’ for them.11 For graduates the pay policy argument does not really hold as it applies mostly to low skilled and semi-skilled workers. Instead, what is more applicable is that in the context of a repeated game, the government has built in expectations over time that has encouraged graduates to queue for public sector jobs. This further entrenches a possible mismatch between aspirations and skills demanded by the private sector. The piece-meal and ad-hoc palliatives the government uses time and again, and more recently the bulk recruitments of unemployed graduates as teachers or managers, clearly worsens the situation. Job brokerage deals with the issue of matching job seekers with employment opportunities. This includes methods that open ‘pathways’ from school to work, from inactivity to activity, from unemployment to employment, from job search to training programmes and from unproductive jobs to decent work. In Sri Lanka, recent attempts have been made to open such pathways. Amongst this is the activity carried out by organisations such as Young Entrepreneur Sri Lanka, an NGO that aims to provide young Sri Lankan citizens with experience in practical economic and business education in the private enterprise to help them be ‘work force ready’. This NGO that was launched in 1997, is affiliated to Junior Achievement International, a non-profit organisation financed by over 100000 businesses, foundations and individuals. The purpose of the organisation is to educate and inspire young people to value free enterprise, understand business and economics. The organisation works together with the Ministry of Education and Higher Education, USAID and TIPS, as well as business organisations. The programme is carried out in three levels—elementary, middle and senior, encompassing grades 1 through grade 13 of the formal educational curriculum. At present schools in both urban and rural areas participate in this program. School children are encouraged to form their own company, establish their own Board of Directors, open bank accounts under the name of the company in commercial banks, prepare company reports, advertise, market, sell and keep accounts. The schools-based companies are more or less miniature versions of their counterparts in the formal business world. This hands-on experience in actual contact with the ‘real world’ and the use of the English language to present ideas and performance reviews enables students to be more work-force ready by the time they actually leave school. It also gives them invaluable insight and awareness as to the options available outside wage employment or the public sector. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 163 The Effectiveness of Youth Employment Policy: Lessons Learnt. The key problem encountered in trying to gauge the effectiveness and performance of these programmes is that meaningful performance targets and effectiveness indicators have not been developed or defined. There are also no follow-up studies or evaluations conducted in any systematic way. The lack of follow up and tracer studies is a significant constraint to gauging programme efficiency and methods of improvement. Moreover, since there are no meaningful guidelines to follow in terms of performance targets to be achieved, comparison within and across programmes is almost impossible. Exacerbating the issues is that there is no central database or source of information that keeps updated records of nation-wide statistics on youth, programmes available and their costs. Thus it is very difficult to assess programme performance over time. Furthermore, very little research has been done on the spatial variations and causes of youth unemployment, or community (group) specific attributes constraining employability. If there were significant variations in this regard, then an effective labour market policy would be one that reflects this. With this caveat in mind, the remainder of this section would proceed to draw lessons from the attempts that have been implemented so far. Vocational training With regard to vocational training, the key lessons are that the system has to be more demand driven and that a clear policy for the sector (with long term goals) is needed to make delivery more effective and less duplicative. Moreover, national standards for quality and accreditation have to be developed and monitored. The TEVT system also needs to improve staff quality, equipment and training quality. Certain courses need to be updated and in some cases replaced to meet current market demands. The sector could also benefit from more research into external and internal effectiveness. Conducting tracer studies in this regard is essential. A key drawback constraining a comprehensive study of the services provided in the sector by the various partners is the unavailability of an inventory of such activity and organisations. At present, females tend to pivot around a few types of courses. Increasing awareness and access to the more technical courses available would help females move out of being occupationally segregated and instead be horizontally mobile. A positive lesson learnt from the activities so far is the benefit of adopting a holistic approach by organisations such as the NYSC in providing training. Here TEVT is delivered more as an integrated package, which at best combines career guidance and job market information along with various recreational activities and residential facilities if the need arises, for the trainees. The NYSC also has well established partnerships and links with NGOs, the private sector and several other public training providers which has the potential to make TEVT much more effective. Further involvement with the private sector for practical exposure will enhance the quality of courses. A principle measure to reduce overlap and duplication in programmes is to foster partnerships within the various public sector organisations, NGOs and private sector organisations working in TEVT. Finally, TEVT programmes should target youth much earlier than they do at present. Most teenage youth who opt to leave formal education do so at the Grade 8 to 10 level. School-based training sessions and awareness programmes can by and large be a more effective way of targeting youth than expecting youth to turn up at training centres as a last resort when all other options fail. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 164 Moreover, formal education and non-formal education must merge within the school curricular so that youth entrants to the labour market will be workforce ready at the time they enter the market. This leaves less time to be discouraged and eventually frustrated. TEVT is as much an issue of awareness of options as it is the delivery of quality market-oriented training. Guidance and counselling Current efforts in career guidance and counselling are rather limited. The main way forward seems to be to develop partnerships amongst the various service providers to build a strong national network. This would enable youth seeking assistance to be guided and referred to more appropriate service providers, if the necessity arises. It will also have large positive externalities through information flows that cannot be achieved when service is provided in isolation. Career guidance in particular could benefit from networked databases advertising vacancies and positions. An electronic database that is dynamic in its information would be an end that is worth working towards. Until then, career guidance units could play a strong role towards guiding youth towards various electronic and non-electronic sources of obtaining information. Public works Public works are a poor source of employment in Sri Lanka even amongst those in poverty or transitional poverty. The way it is currently operated in Sri Lanka, public works are non selftargeting leading to high opportunity costs of joining in such work and disrupting traditional sources of earning a living. A self-targeting programme would be when the poor themselves approach public works programmes for temporary income support as in the Maharastrian Employment Guarantee Scheme in India. In Sri Lanka, poverty alleviation programmes such as the Samurdhi tend to force participation in rural works. Thus, even though useful in certain one-off situations such as a severe drought or famine, job creation through public works cannot be used in a prescriptive fashion. Job prospects in the information economy The sector has high prospects especially for youth. Unfortunately there is no clear policy guiding the sector. The lack of a national policy in terms of IT training and education is particularly important in order to make sure that computer literacy does not become a repressive device benefiting an advantaged segment of the youth and marginalizing others. The sector should also define national standards to be met by service providers and trainers. Currently the sector also suffers from a severe shortage of resource personnel, qualified professionals and technical staff. This constrains rapid expansion. The unstable political and macro economic conditions are another drawback affecting the growth of the sector. The information economy is particularly responsive to these factors. Self employment Sri Lankan experience shows that supporting self employment includes providing support in a vast array of factors including credit, technical skills, marketing accounting, advertising, sales and transport facility. The provision of credit alone without providing support and guidance in these other areas is a futile effort. Thus the best support for self-employment comes from organisations whose approach is integrated. Moreover, regional disparities mean that a single approach to Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 165 developing self-employment will not work in all the areas. Supporting youth in metropolitan areas for instance requires techniques vastly different from supporting rural youth with little physical access to a market. Thus large-scale prescriptive nation wide attempts at boosting self-employment is not cost effective. In terms of credit programs, those that work best (in terms of low default rates) are those handled by loan providers other than the government. Most government credit schemes tend to be highly politicised nurturing a culture of dependency and an expectation of loan forgiveness. The more successful credit programmes are those whose target groups are above tiers that are ultra-poor or are labouring poor. In other words, youth that are close to and above the poverty line tend to fare better in self-employment projects for which they obtain credit than their much poorer counterparts. The better credit programmes are also those that gather sufficient information about the feasibility of the project before implementation. Better the information, lesser are the problems of adverse selection. A rather costly but effective way of information gathering adopted by the GPP programme was to send programme offices to selected villages, where the offices first introduced development banking facilities to the poor, networked with the villages and various other NGOs in the area as well as NGOs around the world who work on similar issues. The GPP experience is a clear example that proves the effectiveness of forming partnerships and liaisons with various stakeholders and service providers. Increasing awareness amongst youth as to options available outside wage employment is important, as the dominant attitude amongst contemporary Sri Lankan youth is to turn to selfemployment as an option of last resort. Finally, self-employment works best when the economy is growing rather than otherwise. It is also more successful when political and economic uncertainties are minimal. Job Placement and Job Brokerage There are virtually no job placement programmes for youth in general. However, graduates have been the subject of various placement programmes for many decades. These programmes have by and large been unsuccessful. This has often lead the government to engage in the bulk recruitment of unemployed graduates (and in some cases unemployed youth) in various ways. The dangers of such bulk recruitment into the public sector are manifold. The most pertinent to the Sri Lankan labour market is the ‘wrong’ signals it sends to youth, entrants and those already in the market. A Manifestation of this is that young people tend to ‘queue’ for public sector jobs, developing aspirations that are difficult if not impossible to match. It also creates a culture of dependency and an attitude where a public sector job is often considered a right and that such employment is an obligation on the part of the government. Very few programmes exist at present facilitating job brokerage. This is an area that should receive special attention in the NYP action plan. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 166 Figure 1: Economically active population and economically active youth by educational attainment in 1997 Source: DCS(various issues-b). See also Appendix 2- Table 6. Figure 2: Employment by industrial category, all employed versus youth in 1997 45 40 % employed 35 30 25 20 15 10 Not defined Personal services Transport, storage and communication Trade and hotels Construction Electricity, gas and water Manufacturing Mining and quarrying Agriculture 0 Insurance and real estate 5 Industrial Category All Employed Youth 15-19 Youth 20-24 Source: DCS (various issues-b). Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 167 Figure 3: Employment by occupational category, all employed versus youth in 1997 Source: DCS (various issues-b) Employment status Figure 4: Employment status for all employed and youth in 1997 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Unpaid family w orker Ow n account w orker Employer Employee All Employed Employed Youth aged 15-19 Employed Youth aged 20-24 Source: DCS (various issues-a) and DCS (various issues-b) Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 168 Unemployment rates by gender for the labour force as a whole and youth in 1997 Unemployment rate Figure 5: 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Labour force as a whole Youth 15-19 Youth 20-24 Category Male Female Source: DCS (various issues-a) and DCS (various issues-b) Table 1: Financial provision and expenditure of institutes under the purview of the Ministry of Youth Affairs in 2000. Institution National Youth Services Council (NYSC) Youth Employment and Planning Division Small Enterprises Development Division Career Guidance Division The Gramodaya Folk Arts Centre1 Financial provision in Rs. Mn. and (US$ mn.) Recurrent Capital 321.7 (3.6) 10.9 (0.1) 22.2 (0.2) 15.2 (0.17) n.a. 118.5 (1.3) 2.4 (0.02) 4.6 (0.05) 0.5 (0.005) n.a. Expenditure as a percentage of provision Recurrent Capital 92.5 % 86.7% - - 94.8% 98.4% 9.8% 98.0% n.a. n.a. Note: 1 Information about financial provision is not available. However, the expenditure incurred on programmes in 2000 is slightly over Rs. 1.5 million. Source: Ministry of Youth Affairs (2000), Annual Report. Endnotes 1 This is roughly a threefold increase on the number of youth immediately after independence in 1948. Until 1981, the growth rate of the youth population was faster than that of the entire population. However, since 1981, growth rate of the youth population has declined, due to lower rates of fertility. 2 The formal education system of Sri Lanka follows closely the current British education system. The entire programme lasts for roughly 13 years starting around the age of 5, with primary schooling lasting from grades 1-5, and then secondary school education culminating with the General Certificate of Education (GCE) (Ordinary Level) examination at the end of 11 years. Lakshman (unpublished) argues that education up to the GCE O/L qualification is now almost a minimum required level of education sort by most employers. Two further years of schooling leads a Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 169 candidate to take the GCE (Advanced Level) examinations in 3 (or 4 up until the year 2000) specialized subjects to qualify for University entrance. University education in the Arts, Science (physical and biological) and Management oriented subjects usually take a minimum of three academic years to complete at the ‘general level’ with an optional ‘honours’ year, if specialization is preferred. Courses in Medicine and Engineering often take longer to complete. Due to the recent political economic problems and student unrest at Universities, the waiting time to enter University has increased considerably, with the issue of ‘back-log’ batches becoming a serious issue in the mid 1990s. Currently the age of University entrance would range from 20-23, on average and the age of completing University education at a local institute would range from 24-27. See de Silva and Peiris (1995) for more details. 3 The rationale for these lower and upper limits in age is not entirely clear. They seem to be based on biological and social factors rather than on a legal basis such as the end of the age for compulsory schooling, etc. Thus the age 13 for instance, roughly indicates the moving of a child into being a youth with the onset of puberty. 4 As discussed at the meeting on ‘Introducing a NYP’. See footnote 2. 5 Some of the modernisation proposals in the banking and financial sphere in Sri Lanka which interests the Central Bank in 1998 were the introduction of a scriptless trading system in Government Securities; the introduction of an electronic funds transfer and securities transfer system to handle domestic transactions; the introduction of a modernised Employees Provident Fund (EPF) system in which individual employees are registered (unlike the current system where employers are registered) and are required to carry a unique identification number until retirement or death, whichever is early; the off-site surveillance of transactions involving foreign exchange, etc. 6 There are several other credit, micro-enterprise development and employment promotion projects operated by the Rural Credit Division of the Central Bank. These programmes are accessible to youth, but not targeted specifically to them. Such projects include the North-Central Province Participatory Rural Development Project (1996-2002 and 1997-2003) funded by the ASDB, IFAD, SIDA and WFP; Small Farmers and Landless Credit Project (1990-2000) funded by the IFAD, CIDA and the Government of Sri Lanka; the Kegalle District Integrated Rural Development Revolving Fund Project (1997-2001) funded by the Government of Sri Lanka and the Japan U-Ko Micro-Finance Project funded by the JBIC. 7 ‘Unlike the SASANA scheme the Accelerated Loan Animator Scheme is mainly meant to cover emergency credit needs. In 1998 Rs. 45.8 million had been awarded under the Scheme. The two other initiatives, the SAVANA and the Samurdhi Leasing Schemes were budgeted Rs. 200 million each in 1998. The SAVANA loans are meant for developing enterprises of a larger scale than the type of projects the SASANA targets and this reflects in the size of the SAVANA loans that range from Rs. 10 000 to Rs. 50 000. Successful SASANA loan recipients are encouraged to apply for SAVANA loans and thus graduate onto receiving larger loans that will enable them to further develop their business ventures. The SAVANA loan is granted without collateral at a 10 percent interest rate payable within a period of four years. Roughly 5000 loans were expected to be granted in 1998. The Samurdhi Leasing Scheme aims to provide capital assets (e.g., twowheel tractors, welding machines, etc.) to selected beneficiaries. The cost of such assets is expected to vary from Rs. 50 000 to about Rs. 200 000 and around 200 loans were to be granted in 1998’ (Extracted from Gunatilake and Salih 1999). 8 The programme targets those in poverty. Recent World Bank estimates calculate poverty in Sri Lanka to capture around only 22-23 per cent of the population. The Samurdhi, however, being a programme cast in the political economy of Sri Lanka, peppers its grants over 50 per cent of the population. 9 For example, the programme has village banking advisors, who are themselves given special incentives (motor cycle allowances etc), whose initial is to promote in rural areas banking services available through the HNB and to accumulate information on non-farm micro enterprises and small-scale business projects suitable for HNB financing support. This is a rather tedious and specialised function of information gathering that involves high operational costs. 10 The ensuing discussion has been extracted from Salih et al. (1998). 11 Glewwe (1987) initiated this as an explanation for high unemployment in the labour market but was criticised by Rama (1999) on the empirical tests carried out to validate the argument. The hypothesis, however, seems to suit the case of graduate employment and unemployment patterns more than it does the labour market as a whole. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 170 Thailand Young workers have been critical to Thailand’s economic success over the past three decades during the period of rapid economic growth. Thailand enjoyed an average growth rate of 7.6 per cent per year between 1977-1996, during which time the agricultural share of the GDP fell to 11.0 per cent while the shares of industry and services expanded to 40.0 per cent and 49.0 per cent, respectively. The 1997 financial crisis resulted in a major economic contraction leading to increased unemployment. Youth workers were severely affected by the economic slowdown. While the quality of life of Thai youth has improved significantly after an extended period of economic growth and relative political stability, the 1997 “financial crisis has served as a reminder that youth remain one of the most vulnerable groups in the Thai society” (ESCAP 2000, p. 2). Economic expansion and increased GDP per capita has lifted Thailand to the group of middle-income countries and has resulted in overall improvements in human resources development in terms of education and health. In 2001 Thailand ranked 66 among 174 countries in the United Nations Human Development Index development (UNDP 2001, see also, table 1, chapter 1 above). However, the lop-sided economic growth has also had negative socio-economic implications such as urban-centred economic development that has caused gaps between the rich and the poor to widen. While the head-count ratio of poverty, based on the poverty line established by the National Economic and Social Development Board in 1998, fell from 1988 to 1996 the trend reversed with the economic crisis leading to a rising proportion of the population in poverty after 1998. Other indicators such as the poverty-gap ratio and the severity of poverty index also increased in the two years following the onset of the Asian crisis. In addition, there is a high degree of income disparity in Thailand across regions. Over the years poverty declined at a slower rate in poor regions than in rich areas. Average annual per capita incomes in Bangkok were reported to exceed those in the South, the North and the Northeast by 5 to 10 times in 1988 and 1996 (UNDP 1999). The economic crisis exacerbated these regional differences. Income disparities between urban dwellers and the rural population have been significant (WB 2001, p. iii). Inequalities have also been reported between the male and female workers in the private sector, with women being more likely to earn lower wages than men. From the perspective of youth development, these disparities present challenges for organizations working to improve welfare and potential of youth in Thailand. Youth employment is inevitably affected by the socio-economic conditions resulting from uneven development that can be characterized as follows: Growth-oriented, rather than human-oriented, economic development policy and consequent disparity in income and access to social and educational services have contributed to underdevelopment in terms of education and skills for youth. Rapid economic growth has been achieved at the expense of investment in educational institutions and skill development for children and youth, especially those in the underprivileged classes and in the rural areas. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 171 Young People in Thailand Thai youth account for a little less than one-fifth of the total population. As seen in Table 2, the youth population has remained rather steady in absolute number from 11.3 million in 1985 to 11.5 million in 2000, but has been on a decreasing trend in terms of the percentage of total population from 22.0 per cent to 18.4 per cent over the period 1985 to 2000. At the same time the proportion of ageing population has increased rather significantly from 5.3 per cent to 9.2 per cent over the same period. This trend accentuates the significance of youth participation in employment to compensate for the growing numbers of retired people. Economic activity The Thai Labour Force Survey presents the principal activities of the population by age1. Data for August 2000 presented in Table 3 show that for young persons aged 15-24 years, 53.4 per cent are in the labour force with a higher proportion of young men (57.8 per cent) than young women (48.8 per cent) who are economically active. This means that slightly less than half (46.6 per cent) of youth are not in the labour force; 42.2 per cent of young men and 51.2 per cent of young women. Most of those who are not economically active are attending school or doing housework. A larger proportion of young women (37.8 per cent) than young men (35.6 per cent) are studying. Likewise, a greater percentage of young women (9.2 per cent) than young men (0.3 per cent) are not in the labour force and doing household work. Another 1.4 per cent consider themselves too young to be working or are not in the labour force for other reasons. A comparison of data for municipal areas and non-municipal areas indicates that greater percentages of youth in the countryside (56.5 per cent) than in cities (42.2 per cent) are in the labour force. In rural areas the difference between labour force participation of young men (61.7 per cent) and young women (51.0 per cent) is greater than in urban areas with 43.2 per cent and 41.3 per cent, respectively that are economically active. Labour force participation Over half of Thai youth or 6.1 million were in the labour force in August, 2000. Youth aged 15-24 constituted 18.4 per cent of the total labour force. As Table 4 shows, there has been a significant decrease in youth and children in the labour force in percentage terms. Child labour aged 13-14 year dropped dramatically from 37.6 per cent in 1990 to 7.9 per cent in 2000. Labour force participation of teenagers aged 15-19 years fell from 68.5 per cent in 1990 to 34.5 per cent in 2000, while that for young adults aged 20-24 years dropped from 86.7 per cent in 1990 to 71.0 per cent in 2000. The drastic decline of children in the labour force in Thailand can be at least partly explained by the Labour Protection Act of 1998, which raised the legal working age from 13 to 15 years. Child labour remains due to the fact that the Act has yet to be fully enforced. Children of poor families still leave school after they have completed the sixth year of primary school in order to work to supplement the family income. A study conducted by the National Statistical Office on children and youth in 1997 indicated that the most important reasons for dropping out are: the need to earn a living (40.0 per cent) and lack of funds for school (33.7 per cent) (NSO Report on Children and Youth, 1997, cited in ESCAP 2000, p. 43). Fewer children are expected to join the labour force once the National Education Act of 1999 that extends compulsory education from six to nine years is fully implemented. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 172 Figure 1 highlights the rise in labour force participation from low levels for children and youth to peak rates for prime ages of economic activity between the ages of 25 and 49 years. Labour force participation rates decline for people over the age of 50. Participation of women is lower than for men at all ages. Employment Table 5 shows the proportion of the population in each age group that was in employment at the time of the August surveys during 1990-2000. For all years youth employment as a percentage of the youth population is lower than the corresponding rates for adult population aged of 25+ year or working ages of 15+ years. The proportion of each age group that is in employment was higher for teenagers aged 15-19 than for young adults aged 20-24 and higher for young men than for young women. Figure 3 shows the decline in the proportion of youth in employment during the 1990s. The decreasing proportion of employed youth to total youth dropped from 73.6 per cent in 1990 to 49.5 per cent in 2000. Employed teenagers as a proportion of the teenage population dropped from 65.0 per cent in 1990 to 31.9 per cent in 2000. The corresponding fall in the employment-to population ratio for young adults was from 82.4 per cent to 66.8 per cent. Unemployment Youth unemployment varies in nature and characteristics from country to country. However, there are two key features that remain quite constant in different national contexts. First, youth unemployment rates are generally higher than adult employment rates in almost every country where statistics are available whether the aggregate rates of unemployment are high or low. Second, youth unemployment is closely linked to adult unemployment in that youth employment opportunities appear to be very susceptible to shocks hitting the aggregate labour market (O’Higgins 2001). Consistent with global phenomenon, unemployment rates in Thailand are higher for youth than adults, especially in times of economic hardship. The youth unemployment rates in Thailand were consistently greater than adult unemployment rates during 1990-2000. Together with the rest of the population, Thai youth have been hard hit by the economic downturn following the 1997 economic crisis. During the years of tight labour markets in the late 1980s and early 1990s the unemployment rates of young men and young women were about the same. However, during the crisis years, unemployment rates for young men were greater than for young women. It may be that more men lost their jobs. Perhaps women were more likely to find self-employment opportunities in the informal sector. Or perhaps their work is more “invisible” in terms of official statistics. Men and women who dropped out of the labour force and were not counted as unemployed. For the labour force as a whole, participation rates for men decreased from 78.7 per cent in 1997 to 77.3 per cent in 2000 while those of women fell from 64.8 per cent to 63.3 per cent. It is interesting the LFPR for women in 1998 was 68.5 per cent. This may mean that additional workers entered the labour force to earn extra income but then dropped out as discouraged workers. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 173 Figure 5 shows youth unemployment rates divided by adult unemployment rates. Unemployment rates for youth are over three times higher than for adults. While the ratio dipped from 4.0 in1998 to 3.1 in 1999, it rose to 4.5 times in 2000. Unemployment rates are generally higher in rural or non-municipal areas than in urban or municipal areas. In August 2000 the unemployment rate for youth was 7.0 per cent in cities, compared to 6.5 per cent in the countryside. These data are for the peak season of the agricultural cycle. Differences are greater in the off-season. Unemployment Rates by Education Although data on unemployment rates by educational attainment for the youth population are not available for this study, it is instructive to look at the rates for the entire labour force. While the overall unemployment rate in August 2000 was 2.4 per cent, the rates for persons with vocational training at the secondary level (5.6 per cent) and tertiary level (7.3 per cent) are significantly higher. On the other hand, unemployment rates for those with less than an elementary education and lower elementary are much less than the average. This suggests that those with vocational training and academic qualifications may not always find it easy to find jobs. Poor workers with little education may not be able to afford open unemployment. National Youth policy Government policies for youth development in Thailand have been in place since 1963. Four national youth policies have been formulated, generally linked to the National Economic and Social Development Plans. Along with expansion of formal education in the country, the First National Economic and Social Development Plan (1961-1966) emphasised better academic preparation and vocational training for youth in order to develop middle-level human resources. Four of the twentyfour guidelines directly concerned employment issues. Other policies ranged from preventing drug addiction to correcting undesirable behaviour. Youth strategies reported in Perspective Policies and Planning for the Development of the Youth (1982-2001) were the most significant policy statement prior to 2000. The plan was promulgated in 1982 but not adopted until 1994. Policies were intended for long-term planning for youth development over the period 1982-2001 in the areas of education, employment, morals, government, health and resources. Specifically the strategies proposed by the report were: Review the ability of the state to offer formal education, including provision, distribution and extension of education both at the compulsory level and beyond. Consider how to divide responsibilities for the cost of education among the government, the private sector and the students on a basis of justice, equality and the greatest good for the development of the country. Revise programs of studies within and between each level and type so that they are more realistic and especially in order to prepare the young to enter into an occupation and be able to lead a good and moral life. Consider how to use non-formal education and informal education (especially through mass media) to help those young people, outside of the formal school system, to help themselves to have better jobs. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 174 Reform the compensation system, whether it be wages or salaries so that it corresponds to abilities, experiences, specialized skills or standard skills instead of using the number of years of education as a norm. The report suggested that more jobs be created for young people particularly in the provinces through budget allocations from the capital to the regions. It recommended reforms in agriculture related to the pricing system and plantation development. For the manufacturing sector it urged the promotion of labour-intensive industry including agro-industry, weaving and electronics with better quality control for export markets. It encouraged the development of small and medium enterprises, since they accounted for about 80 per cent of all enterprises. The report sought to promote manufacturing activities in rural areas. It pressed for decentralisation of the government budget to the provincial level in order to promote the creation of jobs in retailing services and other services at the provincial level. The report stressed the need for a commitment by the government to develop areas outside of Bangkok and encouraged training services in nonformal education. In order to promote more productive jobs with greater income it urged planners to identify target groups of youth to create employment opportunities and enhance vocational training. The recommendations are included in Annex 3. Planning and Implementation (1) Planning bodies Two key bodies for planning youth policies are the National Youth Commission and the National Youth Bureau. National Youth Commission The National Youth Commission is chaired by the Prime Minister with a Minister to the Prime Minister’s Office as the vice-chairperson. Consisting of representatives of ten government agencies and eight prominent persons from the public and private sectors The National Youth Commission has the following mandate (ESCAP, 2000): To propose policies and recommendations on youth issues to the Cabinet. To consider youth promotion and development plans - both governmental and nongovernmental - in line with the national youth policy. To consider implementation measures including the coordination, follow-up and evaluation of programmes, projects and activities in line with the national youth policy. To provide suggestions to the Cabinet on methods to improve the national coordination mechanism for youth, as well as youth programmes implemented by governmental agencies and non-governmental organizations. To report the situation of youth to the Cabinet at least once a year. To consider youth issues upon the request of the Cabinet. National Youth Bureau In 1963 the National Youth Office was established under the National Research Council in the Office of the Prime Minister to serve as the focal point for research on youth issues. Since its inception the National Youth Office has changed its name and status through a series of Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 175 governments and constitutions. In 1973 it was upgraded to departmental status and became known as the National Youth Bureau under the Office of the Prime Minister. As a department under the Office of Prime Minister, the National Youth Bureau comprises seven divisions. Among them are the Youth Policy and Planning Division, the Youth Promotion and Development Division and the Training Division. The official roles of the National Youth Bureau are: (2) To implement the measures of the National Youth Commission. The follow-up and evaluate the implementation of the national youth policy, plans and projects. To act as a central coordinating body for youth work and activities and to disseminate information about youth. To compile studies and research on youth. To develop plans and projects on youth development. To prevent and address youth problems. To initiate, support and promote beneficial youth activities. To train youth officers. To support youth activities - both governmental and non-governmental. Legal and policy framework The legal and policy framework for youth issues includes the Occupational Training Promotion Act of 1993, the Constitution of 1997, the Labour Protection Act of 1998 and the National Education Act of 1999. Occupational Training Promotion Act of 1993 The Occupational Training Promotion Act of 1993 is aimed at upgrading skills of workers in order to increase productivity. The Act encourages on-the-job training through cooperation between employers of youth and institutes for training. It seeks to reduce the mismatch between human resources development and labour market demands (ESCAP 2000, p. 85.). Constitution of 1997 In addition to protecting human rights and personal freedom the Constitution of 1997 stipulates that the state must provide free educational and health services for youth, ensure gender equality, create employment and guarantee a living wage and adequate income for self-sufficiency (ILO-EASMAT, 2002, annex 2). Labour Protection Act of 1998 The Labour Protection Act promulgated in 1998 is in line with the Eighth Economic and Social Development Plan and the Constitution of 1997. The Labour Protection Act provides legal measures to safeguard the rights of workers under the 18 years age and female workers. Under Section 15 the Act stipulates that employers must provide equal treatment of men and women. Section 16 prohibits sexual harassment of women and children. Under the Act employers must abide by regulations related to working hours, holiday periods, overtime work and rest periods. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 176 The Act prohibits labour of children under 15 years of age. Additional rules and restrictions apply to employees below 18 years of age. The Act requires that they be registered and that authorities be regularly informed about their employment status. Employers are prohibited from assigning night work and jobs involving hazardous substances and heavy machinery to those under 18 years. They are also prohibited from working in dance halls, gambling dens, slaughterhouses and establishments offering sexual services (ESCAP 2000, pp. 84-85). The Labour Protection Act provides additional rights to youth under 18 years. These youth can take paid leave for up to 30 days to upgrade their skills. They must be paid directly rather than through parents or guardians. There are also regulations affecting female workers including young women. Employers are prohibited from assigning hazardous tasks such as working underground or on scaffolding. Pregnant workers are not to perform tasks that endanger themselves and babies. Women cannot be terminated due to pregnancy. Women who are pregnant may request a change in duties. Education Act of 1999 The National Education Act of 1999 is the first comprehensive legislation to promote education aimed at developing the full potential of the Thai people through creating awareness and knowledge in the areas of political processes, democratic governance, human rights, local wisdom, environmental preservation, individual self-reliance and enhanced creativity through self-instruction and lifelong learning (ESCAP 2000, p. 30). Most Articles of the National Education Act of 1999 are relevant to youth especially those that specify the duration of education (Articles 10, 11 and 17). These stipulate nine years of compulsory education and oblige the state to provide twelve years of education free of charge (EASMAT, 2002, annex 3). (3) National policies National policies for youth employment are generally linked to the National Economic and Social Development Plans and the current policies of government administrations. Eighth National Economic and Social Development Plan (1997-2001) The Eighth Plan was never fully implemented due to the economic crisis. It introduced strategies to develop the full potential of people, to ensure their capacity to adjust to changing circumstances in order to maintain a satisfactory livelihood, and to participate fully in sustainable economic and social development (National Economic and Social Development Board, 1991, pp. 11-12). Under the Eighth National Economic and Social Development Plan strategies were designed for children and youth dealing with human potential, suitable environment, management and administration, research and assistance to children in special need. Children and youth suffered from inadequate services resulting from reduced budgets due to the economic crisis. In addition they were affected by the impact of the unemployment of their parents. During the reformulation of projects after the onset of the crisis government agencies assigned a high priority to safety nets. Some of the projects created job opportunities for young people and provided financial support to education and development for deprived children and youths. This included efforts to protect the rights of the child and to promote sustainable development. Such projects would be considered consistent with the child and youth development Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 177 plans prepared for integrated development outlined in the report on Perspective Policies and Planning for the Development of Youth (1982-2001). (National Youth Bureau, 1998, p. 4). A list of 24 projects was identified for youth employment under the Eighth Plan. Among them were guidance for graduates, pre-employment training for special groups, occupational training outside of the school system, training for detainees, rural youth development, training for agriculture, development of agricultural youth groups, non-formal education, government support for garment workers, special funds for skills development, training programmes in private schools, occupational training in Bangkok community colleges, new science centres, textile weaving for young people, non-formal education for youth, occupational training in rural areas, promotion of SMEs, job fairs, occupational training for young people in the private sector and development of information technology for the Department of Skill Development. Many of these projects were implemented during the economic crisis. Ninth National Economic and Social Development Plan (2002-2006) The Ninth National Economic and Social Development Plan (2002-2006) has five major strategies for human development (National Economic and Social Development Board, 2001, pp. 40-48): Improving the human resources by understanding threats and opportunities from changes in order to adapt accordingly through improvement of health and educational systems to be more flexible as to serve individual needs. It also aims to improve standards of skills of the Thai people through various forms of training and networking to be more consistent with the changes in production and technology. Promoting self-employed persons and entrepreneurs of small enterprises, increasing employment through more off-farm activities, encouraging overseas employment, and developing labour market information technology as well as relevant labour market indicators. Increasing efficiency of the system of social protection through improvements in social security management and improving social safety nets for the poor and the underprivileged. Improving the system to prevent and solve the problem of drugs as well as to improving the management system of security in life and property of the people. Promoting the roles of family, religious organizations, communities, non-government organizations, volunteers and mass media to participate in the human development effort. Government policy of the Taksin Administration Government policy of the Taksin administration promotes youth employment through its labour development. The overriding goal of government policy is economic recovery. Specific policies have not been identified for youth employment. However, five policies for labour development outlined by Prime Minister Taksin should improve the employment situation of young people: The government will encourage the private sector to participate in skills development of workers in order to increase labour quality and standards. The government will provide monetary and financial support to develop the skills and flexibility of workers in order to respond appropriately to the needs of enterprises for each community. Workers should be compensated by fair wages in order to provide adequate incentive for them to find employment Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 178 within their own communities. This will address the problems of migration and unemployment at the same time. The quality of life of people in each community will be improved at the same time. The government will promote social security measures and enlarge social welfare services for workers to improve protection of both formal employees and informal workers. There will be health, safety and environmental protection within each firm. Special protection will be provided to women and youth. The government will promote the system of labour relations such that all relevant parties are involved in the processes of problem solving, development issues and labour protection in a way that is just and effective. The government will protect Thai workers overseas from being exploited by their placement agencies and employers. The government will adopt appropriate measures for foreign workers in Thailand. Such measures will take into consideration of the demand for labour in the private sector, the question of internal security as well as develop local skills to meet urgent demand. Government policies will affect young women and young men together with other workers. They are generally aimed at improving employment in rural areas through increases in non-farm activities as well as appropriate measures in dealing with immigrant workers and increasing the numbers of skilled workers in the areas that are in short supply. The policy instruments designed to support these policies are to promote a key product of one tambon for one product. Financial support of one million baht will be provided to each village as an investment loan for villagers. Illegal immigrants are encouraged to be registered openly by their employers in order to avoid illicit activities by both government officials and the workers themselves. Finally, manpower that is in high demand but short supply such as information technology and other specific areas of science and technology will receive special encouragement from the government through higher education and private organizations to jointly improve the quality of such manpower. Active Labour Market Policies Supply-Side: Education and Training Department of Skill Development (DSD) With 43 skill development agencies under its auspices, the Department of Skill Development is directly in charge of skill development of Thailand’s labour force. DSD operates one Central Institute for Skill Development, 11 Regional Institutes for Skill Development, and 31 Provincial Centres for Skill Development, and plans to establish the Provincial Centre in every province. The main responsibilities of the DSD are as follows: Hasten manpower planning to correspond to the Master Plan for Industrial Restructuring. Develop the labour force for domestic production and international markets Create skill development information systems at all levels for the manpower planning in the private sector as well as for public employment. Provide economic incentives and improve legal measures to encourage the private sector to participate in skill development. Increase cooperation in skill development among national stakeholders and at international level. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 179 The operation of the DSD involves four key skill development activities: vocational training; occupational skill standards promotion; personnel development training; skill development promotion. During 1995-2000 DSD has provided vocational training services to approximately 200,000 trainees per year. Vocational training in the Department of Skill Development is divided into three programmes in its standard training system: (1) pre-employment training; (2) skill upgrading training; and (3) training for self-employed persons. (1) The Pre-employment Training Programme provides basic skill training in various professions for male and female job seekers aged 15-30. Generally, training courses provided include two components – centre-based training courses which last 2-10 months followed by inplant training at private enterprises for 1-4 months. Centre-based training is generally provided for new entrants into the labour market, disadvantaged groups aged 15 or over and educationally disadvantaged youth aged between 13-15 years who have left school at the primary level and lack an opportunity to continue in the formal educational system. Community-based pre-employment training courses are also provided to specifically targeted groups including unemployed persons and laid-off workers, agricultural labour in the off-harvest season, soldiers, prisoners and children and youth in juvenile institutions. (2) The Skill Upgrading Training Programme offers training courses of various skill areas to those already in the labour force aged 15 or over. As a rule prospective trainees already have basic skills in the chosen area and must have completed secondary school. This programme is designed to provide advanced skills for workers to participate effectively in the labour market and to enhance their careers prospects. The course duration typically ranges from 18 to 60 hours. (3) The Training for Self-employed Persons Programme provides training to those who have professional knowledge and plan to set up their own business. Training courses such as those in management, law, ethics, taxes, credit, accounting, budgeting and marketing last about two weeks or 60 hours. The DSD’s training courses provide primarily industrial skills such as auto repairs, plant mechanics, welding, and construction. More recently skills for business and services have been introduced into the curriculum. Training is provided for skills used for hotels, restaurants, computers and offices. The emphasis is more on practical applications rather than the theoretical issues for trainees without work experience. During recent years the DSD has developed strategies to promote private sector involvement in skills development by encouraging cooperation between private enterprises and educational institutions. Under this arrangement students at educational institutions obtain hands-on experience in private business. At the same time workers in the private sector gain access to additional training at educational institutions or government vocational training centres. Tax incentives have also been used to promote business participation in skills development. Private enterprises registered as training providers under the Vocational Training Promotion Act of 1996 are entitled to certain privileges, including 50 per cent income tax deduction for training expenses. Financial incentives have also been given to private enterprises that wish to establish skills testing for work overseas. Skills testing is also encouraged for private vocational training Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 180 institutes. Private enterprises can apply for low-interest loans from the DSD to establish or expand training programmes in skill fields that are in high demand. From 2001 the Department of Skill Development has undertaken some skill development programmes. These include the following: (1) National manpower coordination. The DSD began formulating an operational plan for the master plan of manpower development for production and services industries in Thailand 20002006. The operational plan is sub-divided into two periods. The first period (2000-2001) is the time to assemble operational plans from various agencies and adjust them to be consistent with the master plan and common usage of existing resources. The second period (2002-2006) will be actual execution of operational plans for the master plan. The DSD has coordinated with Ministries of Public Health, commerce and foreign Affairs in formulating the plans to promote business activities through specific skills formulation in five areas. These skill areas are Thai cooking, child and elderly care, Thai traditional medicine and patient care. (2) Improved efficiency of skill development process. The DSD has introduced new materials into the training curriculum for job seekers without work experience. The new subjects include English courses, self-employment training, computer skills, career visions and industrial habits. There has been an improvement in moving from an older system of time-based training to the new one of competency-based skills training. This new system will provide opportunities for trainees to improve themselves in order to meet the skills standards. (3) Skills development for the stimulation of the Thai economy in 2001. The DSD has organized a project to develop training for e-commerce and management for those who are unemployed and laid-off as well as those earning less than 10,000 baht per month with a bachelors degree or higher and those with basic computer skills. The DSD faces a number of challenges including a lack of coordination among various bodies that undertake training programmes. Trainees in pre-employment training generally have a weak educational background. School drop-outs are not easily trained to be skilled workers. Efforts should be continued to promote training in the private sector (ILO, 2000). Despite integrated strategies and targeted programmes for youth employment the number of young people benefiting from programmes is small compared to the dimensions of the problem. The Department of Skill Development counted in its vocational training programmes 274,457 trainees in 1999 and 189,178 trainees in 2000. Vocational trainees in the training centres of the Department of Public Welfare numbered 8,486 in 1999 and 7,154 in 2000. From a gender perspective the courses are not always friendly to women, especially those provided by Department of Skill Development that has traditionally provided heavily male-oriented skills training such as automotive mechanics and other heavy industrial skills. New courses provided to promote women's participation tend to be low-level skills and traditionally “female” skills such as sewing, cooking, hairdressing, hotel maids and office assistance. The vocational training services provided by the main governmental vocational training agency that aims at servicing youth outside of the formal school system caters more to the needs of the males - new entrants and experienced workers. The 2000 figures indicate that only 37 percent of all trainees in the DSD training system were female, and only 25 percent of the standard, centre-based preYouth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 181 employment training, whose beneficiaries include largely teenagers and young adults, were female (Busakorn, 2001). As a result, Thai women and girls have had limited access to skills training within the DSD vocational training system. While its seven welfare and vocational training centres located in all regions in the country have reached a segment of disadvantaged women and girls, the training capacity is very small. The DPW system has provided training services to only several thousand disadvantaged women and girls a year, compared to about 200,000 a year under the DSD system. Moreover, skill selection in the DPW training system is limited, largely confined within the traditionally female and low-skill areas such as handicrafts and services. This is partly the result of institutional limitations: (i) the DPW lacks the necessary budget, expertise and mandate to provide vocational skills training on a comprehensive scale; and (ii) the objective of DPW is to provide only elementary job skills in order for its clients - who require many social services - to survive at the subsistent level (Busakorn, 2001). Gender disparities in vocational skills training have been recognized by vocational training agencies. Initiatives to encourage women’s participation in skills training have been created within the DSD, largely by (i) adding new courses deemed suitable for females to existing list of skills training curriculum, and (ii) introducing special project targeting women and girls of disadvantaged backgrounds (Busakorn, 2001). A 30 per cent target has been set to increase women’s participation by 2002 in institution-based pre-employment training programme. This target is part of the department’s loan agreement with the Asia Development Bank. In 1998 Department of Skill Development with funding from the Asia Development Bank established the first women-oriented training centre in Chiang Mai Province later known as the “Women’s Friendly Centre” (WFC). The Chiang Mai WFC provides tailor-made vocational training courses aimed at providing women with skills to meet the changing requirements of labour markets. The Chiang Mai WFC is considered by the DSD to be a “best practice” training facility for women. Department of Public Welfare (DPW) Through its 75 provincial and 169 district public welfare offices nationwide, the Department of Public Welfare provides social welfare services including job training to the disadvantaged and impoverished population. The DPW views vocational training as a key part of its services that will help its clients move towards the goal of self-reliance. The target disadvantaged groups coming under the DPW’s remit are as follows: Disadvantaged children and youth aged under 18 years Marginalized elderly aged over 60 years People with disabilities Marginalized women Disaster victims Ethnic groups (largely identified as members of hill tribes) Homeless people Impoverished families Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 182 While the DPW provides social services to several groups of the disadvantaged clients listed above, its seven welfare and vocational training centres for women largely cater to young girls aged from 13 years into their twenties. This is because part of the DPW’s mandate is to protect the welfare of disadvantaged groups. Vocational training is provided to girls and women as a preventive measure against female migration into Bangkok or large cities and to discourage girls and women from entering prostitution. Training duration is six months for standard centre-based training courses and ten days to one month for short-term courses. Standard training courses include entry level skills such as for barbers, beauticians, electricians and plumbers. New courses have been added such as for computer services, hotel services, office assistance, traditional Thai massage and child and elderly care. During the 1990s the DPW provided services to 2,500-8,500 trainees per year (Busakorn, 2001). Department of Vocational Education (DOVE) The Department of Vocational Education (DOVE) has a wide coverage and broad network for providing vocational education. It has a Dual Vocational Training Project for apprenticeship training. It also provides equivalent general education at the elementary and secondary levels. A number of problems were identified by the Country Employment Policy Review (CEPR) including the fact that many courses are bridges to higher levels of training rather than direct routes to jobs. Services for guidance, counselling and placement are limited. According to the CEPR there is insufficient coordination of the DOVE services with other vocational education and training providers. In addition, existing national occupation skill standards have no linkage with the curricula of DOVE, hence lessening the effectiveness of the skill recognition system (ILO 2000, pp. 64-65). Department of Non-Formal Education (DNFE) The Department of Non-Formal Education (DNFE) in the Ministry of Education provides three major tracks of education general education, vocational education and self-educating activities. Vocational education is the most relevant to youth employment. Within the vocational track there are four different training programmes (Department of Non-Formal Education, 2000, pp. 12-13): (1) Short courses in occupation training. The main purpose of short courses is to train for selfemployment that may eventually lead to wage employment. Among the skills offered by the DFNE are mushroom growing, food processing, electrical repair, haircutting, welding and repair for bicycles, motorcycles, radios and television. (2) Training for specific occupational groups. This training is aimed at groups of people who want to find additional work in order to supplement family income or to form a community business. The basic requirement for the training programme is that groups of fifteen persons or more identify a common interest in a specific occupation. The total training period is within 30 hours. One trainer is provided by DNFE while the group must be responsible for the costs of all training materials. (3) Certificate programme for occupations at the lower secondary education level. This programme is aimed at those with a complete primary education (at the level of grade 6) who wish to continue their education up to the lower secondary level. The main purpose is for the students to generate some income while learning from their existing vocational experience. After completing all the requirements, students receive a lower secondary education certificate. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 183 (4) Vocational certificate of the non-formal education programme. The programme is designed for those with a lower secondary education certificate who want to continue to a higher level of vocational education and are currently employed by using some vocational skills. It is intended to upgrade vocational skills as well as academic credentials without trainees losing an opportunity to work for their own living. The certificate is equivalent to that of the upper secondary level in the vocational track. Among the occupational skills offered are computing, management, English and services for businesses; care of children and the elderly; training for hotels, tourism, electronics, ceramics, mechanics and agriculture; food processing and engine repair. The Department of Non-Formal Education normally aims at providing educational opportunities to those who have not been able to do so through a formal educational channel. Trainees are generally from poor families. It may be argued that certificate programmes provide better credentials as well as improved skills but do not necessarily help generate employment opportunities for young people. Short courses for vocational training might be identified as “best practices” for youth employment insofar as they promote self-employment among rural youth. The Department of Skill Develop does not focus on rural areas. The main target group for the second type of DNFE training is for adult women in the rural areas. Nevertheless, additional employment or income generation of any group will indirectly benefit young people as well. Other Government Training Programmes Other government departments provide short-term training courses. The Department of Community Development and the Offices of Accelerated Rural Development in the Ministry of the Interior provide training for youth. The Department of Agricultural Promotion with the Ministry of Agriculture and Cooperatives provides training opportunities to young farmers (ESCAP 2000, p. 86). Demand-Side: Promoting Self-Employment and Small Business Development Department of Industrial Promotion (DIP) The Department of Industrial Promotion is the main institution involved in the development of policies and programmes for micro and small enterprises (MSEs) and small and medium enterprises (SMEs) in Thailand in line with National Social and Economic Development Plans, government policies and economic conditions. It is charged with developing policies to enhance capacity and provide training for SME development. Key priorities are management skills and new technology to enhance enterprise productivity and achieve international standards. The DIP has provided assistance for training, information, research and extension services. The DIP also supports rural-based cottage and handicraft industries. The Institute for SME Development also has responsibility for training and consulting. An SME Development Committee has been established to coordinate and monitor policies for SMEs in Thailand (ILO 2000, pp. 28-29). Matching Demand and Supply: Job Brokerage and Placement Department of Employment (DOE) The main function of the Department of Employment (DOE) in the Ministry of Labour and Social Welfare is to organize job fairs and job placement in order to reduce the time it takes for the Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 184 unemployed to find employment and businesses to fill positions. The role of providing adequate information about labour markets is useful for reducing youth unemployment. The Department of Employment in the Ministry of Labour and Social Welfare is charged with this responsibility. The DOE organizes job fairs that place prospective employers in direct contact with potential employees. It also serves as an agent for official job placement services. It collects data on job seekers, job vacancies and job replacements. Information for the supply side is derived from labour force registration of new entrants and retrenched workers. Data for the demand side are collected from its satellite employment offices and daily newspaper listings. The ILO argues that it would be useful to have more information on the performance of Thailand’s employment. This would include the proportions of job seekers registered and placed by the employment services. In addition to these measures of performance, it would be useful to have indicators of quality for services provided such as the speed of replacement and the rate of retention of job seekers placed by the employment services. A report by Fraser (1999) revealed that the placement to applicant ratio fell from about 67 per cent in 1997 to 53 per cent in 1998, while the placement to vacancies rate rose from around 64 per cent to 80 per cent. Such finding represents some improvement of the placement services. Conclusions and Recommendations Youth employment is a serious problem in Thailand where unemployment rates for young people aged 15-24 year have been at least three times those of adults increasing to four and a half times in recent years As is the case elsewhere in the world youth are especially vulnerable to economic downturns as evidenced by the fact that youth unemployment rates increased threefold from 2.2 per cent in 1997 to 6.6 per cent in 2000. Growth-oriented, rather than human-oriented, economic development policy and the consequent disparities in income and access to social and educational services have contributed to the underdevelopment of education and training for young women and young men in Thailand. Rapid economic growth has been achieved at the expense of equitable development and adequate investment in education and skills for children and youth, especially those in the underprivileged classes and those in the rural areas. Youth unemployment is a result of the interaction between social problems and uneven development, and is further affected by frictional unemployment during the transition from school to work. Social problems concerning youth include primarily drugs, crime, prostitution, premature sexual relations among youth and HIV/AIDS. National policies have included integrated strategies for youth employment but their implementation seems to have been hampered by frequent changes in government administration and inadequate coordination among government agencies. Opportunities for development and employment of youth have not been equally shared among geographical regions, across income groups, between urban areas and rural areas, in rich households and poor families and by young women and young men. Recommendations Thailand has produced a number of comprehensive plans for youth development included integrated strategies for employment promotion. The following recommendations from consultative studies point to specific areas where youth policies might be strengthened and improved: Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 185 Greater attention by the Thai government to youth unemployment Direct funding to improve provision of education and training to smooth the school-to-work transition for young women and young men Concerted efforts from relevant government agencies and the National Youth Bureau to counter social problems related to youth Improved policies to promote full employment through support for youth self-employment, young entrepreneurs, SME development, decentralised power, and the “sufficiency economy” of His Majesty the King Serious attention by Thai government to the “sufficiency economy” by practising a “New Theory” for farming enterprises, community business and schooling systems with more emphasis on promoting youth entrepreneurship Greater support for a knowledge-based economy in parallel with a “sufficiency economy” and employment promotion Continued efforts to coordinate vocational education programmes through a broad strategy that assigns responsibility for education and training to particular agencies within a national framework Greater attention to youth employment in rural areas through promotion of off-farm activities, agricultural processing and youth entrepreneurship Strengthened role of the private sector in training activities Improved policies for young women in areas of employability and entrepreneurship Better coordination among government agencies, and between government organizations and non-government organizations Greater participation of youth themselves in formulating, implementing and evaluating policies, programmes and projects for youth employment Increased emphasis on poor households, informal sector, agricultural production and rural areas Specific policies to prevent and alleviate the problem of school drop-outs by providing financial support that takes into account both the direct costs and opportunity costs of continued education for poor households Effective measures to enforce laws and regulations that protect and support young people Table 1: Key indicators 1995 Gross domestic product at 1988 Prices (% change) Agricultural sector at 1988 Prices (% change) Non-agricultural sector at 1988 prices (% change) Labour force participation rate 13+ years (%) Unemployment rate 13+ years (%) 9.3 2.4 10 73.0 1.1 1996 5.9 3.2 6.1 71.4 1.1 1997 -1.4 0.2 -1.5 71.7 0.9 1998 -10.8 -0.1 -11.4 70.6 3.4 1999 4.2* 2.2* 4.4* 69.2 3.0 2000 4.4* 3.1* 4.6* 69.7 2.4 Source: Bank of Thailand at http://www.bot.or.th and National Statistical Office, Labour Force Survey, Round 3, August at http://www.nso.go.th. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 186 Table 2: Distribution of youth and ageing population in Thailand (1985-2000) in thousands and percentages 1985 15-24 (%) 60+ (%) Total 1990 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 11,343.3 22.0 12,166.9 21.6 11,561.2 19.4 11,579.2 19.3 11,446.8 18.9 11,561.8 18.9 11,527.1 18.6 11,466.9 18.4 2,734.8 5.3 3,426.8 6.1 4,817.3 8.1 4,936.5 8.2 5,237.8 8.6 5,288.4 8.6 5,502.0 8.9 5,742.7 9.2 51,450.6 56,405.0 59,450.8 60,045.3 60,648.9 61,248.4 61,856.7 62,481.4 Source: National Statistical Office, Reports of the Labour Force Survey, Round 3, August. Table 3: Economic and non-economic activities of youth aged 15-24, 2000 Total Total Population Total Labour Force Current Labour Force Employed At work With job but not at work Unemployed Looking for work Available but not looking for work Seasonally inactive labour force Persons not in the labour force Household work Studies Too young/old/incapable of work Others Under 13 years 100.0 53.4 53.0 49.5 49.2 0.4 3.5 1.4 2.1 0.3 46.6 4.7 36.7 1.4 3.8 0.0 Male Female 100.0 57.8 57.4 53.3 53.0 0.0 4.1 1.8 2.3 0.4 42.2 0.3 35.6 1.7 4.5 0.0 100.0 48.8 48.5 45.6 45.2 0.4 2.9 1.0 1.9 0.3 51.2 9.2 37.8 1.1 3.1 0.0 Source: National Statistical Office, Report of the Labour Force Survey, Round 3, August 2000. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 187 Table 4: Labour force participation rates in Thailand by age group and sex in 1990 and 2000 1990 Age Group Total 2000 Male Female Total Male Female Total 56.3 59.7 52.8 69.7 77.3 62.3 13-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-49 50-59 60+ 37.6 68.5 86.7 90.2 92.3 92.8 92.1 85.3 41.7 37.0 67.7 91.6 96.6 98.0 98.7 97.9 94.8 53.0 38.2 69.4 81.7 83.6 86.6 86.9 86.3 76.5 32.2 7.9 34.5 71.9 87.2 89.5 90.8 89.8 81.3 33.6 8.7 38.0 77.2 94.4 96.2 97.6 97.6 93.2 45.8 7.1 30.9 66.4 79.7 82.8 84.0 82.1 70.1 23.1 Source: National Statistical Office, Labour Force Survey, Round 3, August 1990 and 2000. Table 5: Employment-to-population ratios by age group, 1990-2000 Year 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1990 15-19 Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female 31.9 34.8 28.9 29.9 33.3 26.3 34.7 38.3 31.0 37.9 39.9 36.0 40.8 42.7 38.8 46.4 47.3 45.5 65.0 64.1 65.9 20-24 66.8 71.5 61.9 67.4 71.7 62.9 69.8 74.5 64.8 77.4 82.4 72.2 76.8 82.3 71.1 78.8 84.4 73.0 82.4 87.0 77.6 15-24 49.5 53.3 45.6 48.8 52.7 44.7 52.3 56.5 48.0 57.7 61.2 54.1 58.7 62.4 54.9 62.4 65.7 59.1 73.6 75.4 71.7 25+ 77.5 86.8 68.4 76.8 86.4 67.5 77.4 86.5 68.5 79.5 88.6 70.7 78.8 88.6 69.4 79.9 89.2 71.0 82.6 90.7 74.7 15+ 70.6 78.4 62.9 69.7 77.7 61.9 70.9 78.6 63.4 73.9 81.4 66.5 73.5 81.5 65.6 75.2 82.7 67.8 79.7 85.6 73.8 Source: National Statistical Office, Reports of the Labour Force Survey, Round 3, August. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 188 Table 6: Unemployment rates classified by age group and sex for the whole kingdom, 1990-2000 Unemployment Rates Total 1990 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Youth (15-24) Male Female 4.3 2.3 2.5 2.2 7.5 7.8 6.6 4.3 2.3 2.6 2.5 8.3 8.3 7.1 Adults (25+) Male Female Total 4.3 2.3 2.3 1.8 6.5 7.2 6.0 1.3 0.8 0.7 0.5 2.4 1.9 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.6 0.4 2.2 1.8 1.4 Total (15+) Male Female Total 1.6 1.1 0.8 0.7 2.7 2.0 1.5 2.2 1.1 1.1 0.9 3.4 3.0 2.4 2.0 0.9 1.0 0.8 3.4 3.0 2.4 2.4 1.3 1.1 0.9 3.4 3.0 2.4 Source: National Statistical Office, Reports of the Labour Force Survey, Round 3, August. Table 7: Unemployment rates classified by age group and sex for municipal and nonmunicipal areas, 2000 Total Municipal Non-Municipal Total 15-19 20-14 15-24 25+ 6.8 6.5 6.6 1.5 5.2 7.6 7.0 2.0 7.0 6.3 6.5 1.3 Source: National Statistical Office, Reports of the Labour Force Survey, Round 3, August 2000. Table 8: Unemployment rates by educational attainment and sex for municipal and nonmunicipal areas, 2000 Total Total Less than lower elementary Elementary Lower elementary Upper elementary Secondary Lower secondary Upper secondary Vocational University or equivalent Academic Technical vocational Other Teacher training Total Male Female Total Municipal Male Female Total Non-Municipal Male Female 2.4 1.3 2.4 1.4 2.3 1.2 2.7 0.9 3.0 1.7 2.4 0.1 2.3 1.3 2.3 1.4 2.3 1.3 1.0 2.9 1.0 2.8 1.1 3.1 1.8 2.0 2.3 2.2 1.2 1.6 0.9 3.1 0.8 2.9 1.1 3.3 3.4 3.5 5.6 3.6 3.8 5.5 3.1 3.1 5.7 2.4 3.4 4.0 2.4 3.3 4.4 2.3 3.7 3.4 3.8 3.6 7.0 4.0 4.1 6.4 3.4 2.9 8.0 3.8 7.3 4.1 6.8 3.6 7.8 3.7 5.5 3.8 5.5 3.6 5.5 4.1 8.6 4.5 7.9 3.7 9.5 1.6 0.7 2.3 1.4 1.6 1.2 1.7 0.4 2.8 Source: National Statistical Office, Report of the Labour Force Survey, Round 3, August 2000, Summary Results, p. 85. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 189 Table 9: Number of vocational trainees in the Department of Skill Development Vocational Training Programmes during fiscal years 1995, 1998 and 1999 1995 Activity Male 1998 Female Total Total 69,174 28,865 Pre-employment training 15,900 2,059 17,959 Rural training 13,249 9,475 22,724 Upgrading training 22,944 8,204 31,148 Non-technical training 14,832 8,139 22,971 2,249 988 3,237 Personal skill development Male Female 1999 Total Male Female Total 98,039 141,421 80,332 221,753 178,006 96,451 274,457 60,324 24,904 - - 85,228 88,555 22,845 111,400 - - 77,465 52,911 130,376 3,632 2,517 - - 85,620 71,221 156,841 - - 6,149 - 3,831 - 2,385 6,216 Source: Department of Skill Development and N. Teeravit cited in ILO, Decent work for all: Targeting full employment in Thailand, Bangkok, 2000. Table 10: Number of vocational trainees in the Department of Public Welfare Vocational Training Centres during 1990-2000 Number of Trainees Training Center 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Lampang Chiang Rai Sri Saket Khonkaen Nontaburi Chonburi Songkla 1,154 0 224 243 970 0 0 1,316 0 513 245 908 0 150 1,377 0 261 193 981 0 400 1,322 0 599 435 1,025 334 500 1,192 0 655 510 816 414 490 1,100 0 638 550 1,000 450 540 726 330 606 378 1,271 418 314 1,670 531 731 416 1,151 399 360 1,701 728 961 753 1,201 839 830 1,834 780 983 806 1,199 1,645 1,239 1,805 681 996 878 963 1,309 522 Total 2,591 3,132 3,212 4,215 4,077 4,278 4,043 5,258 7,013 8,486 7,154 Source: Department of Public Welfare cited in Busakorn (2001). Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 190 Figure 1: Labour force participation rates by age group and sex, 2000 120.0 100.0 LFPRs 80.0 60.0 40.0 Total Male Female 20.0 0.0 13-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-49 50-59 60+ Age Group Source: Table 4. Figure 2: Employment-to-population ratios by age group and sex, 2000 Employment-to-Population Ratio 100.0 90.0 80.0 70.0 60.0 50.0 40.0 30.0 20.0 10.0 0.0 15-19 20-24 15-24 25+ 15+ Age Group Total Male Female Source: Table 5. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 191 Figure 3: Employment-to-population ratio by age group, 1990-2000 Employment-to-Population Ratio 90.0 80.0 70.0 60.0 50.0 40.0 30.0 20.0 10.0 0.0 1990 1995 1996 1997 15-19 1998 20-24 1999 2000 15-24 Source: Table 5. Figure 4: Youth unemployment rates by sex, 1990-2000 9.0 Unemployment Rates 8.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1990 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Year Total Male Female Source: Table 6. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 192 Figure 5: Youth-to-adult unemployment rates, 1990-2000 5.0 4.5 4.0 3.5 Ratio 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 1990 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Year Source: Table 6. Endnotes 1 See ILO-EASMAT (2002, annex 1) for a description of concepts and definitions used. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 193 Viet Nam Vietnam is located in Southeast Asia, bordering China to the North, Laos and Cambodia to the West, and the Pacific Ocean to the East and the South. It is composed of three main geographic zones -- the North, the Center and the South -- with a total area of 331,000 km2. In terms of administration, Vietnam has 61 provinces and centrally administered cities, which are subdivided into 609 urban and rural districts. The districts are subdivided into urban wards and rural communes. In terms of population, the 2001 general population and housing census registered 78.7 million inhabitants (up to July 2001), of whom 19,2 million inhabitants (equal to 24,4%) living in urban areas and 59,5 others (75,6%) in rural areas. Vietnam is a multi-ethnic nation (with 54 ethnicities) the overwhelming majority of which is the Kinh (accounting for over 87%); the remainder consists of ethnic minorities, most of whom inhabit upland areas.In terms of faith and religion, about one-third of Vietnam's population are followers of 6 main religions: Buddhism, Catholicism, Protestantism, Islamism, Cao §µi and Hoµ H¶o. Buddhism accounts for the largest number of believers, followed by Catholicism, then Protestantism, Islamism, Cao §µi and Hoµ H¶o. Throughout the historical process of their development, the various ethnic and religious communities in Vietnam have been bound to each other by economic and cultural ties, and by solidarity in the struggle against nature and foreign aggression.In terms of birth rate, achievements in population activity have reduced it from 4.0 in 1987 to 2.7 in the 1992-1996 period. As shown by the 1999 general population census, this downward trend has continued. In terms of the economy, Vietnam has embarked upon a process of economic renewal, with a switch from the centralized planning management mechanism to a market economy under State management. That the different economic sectors are recognized and their development facilitated has promoted a rapid growth of the economy. In particular, Resolution No 10 granting long-term land use right to farmers has breathed a new life into the Vietnamese agriculture. Foreign investments, coming to Vietnam since 1987, have led to a broad participation of various countries in an economy which is open in orientation, multilateral in relationships, and diverse in forms. So far, the economy has acquired a fairly high growth rate, which is quite evident in all branches and domains. GDP recorded an average annual increase of 3.9% during the 1986-1990 period, and 8.2% for the 1991-1995 period. Adversely affected by the regional financial-economic crisis for the 1996-2000 period, it still managed to score an average annual increase of 7%. Per capita per year GDP has reached nearly 400 USD, or almost doubled the 1990 figure. Economic development has provided the basis for the settlement of social issues, such as hunger eradication and poverty alleviation (the ratio of households below the poverty line has dropped sharply from 55% in 1990 to 11% in 2000); health care; and education (by 2000, Vietnam had completed primary education universalization and illiteracy eradication). Young People in Viet Nam According to the survey in 2001 on labour and employment, Vietnam's youth population (from 15 to 34 years of age) amounts to 27,135, 760, or 34,5% of the total population. Of these: 13, 459, 337 are males, or 49.6%; 13, 676, 423 are females, or 50.4%. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 194 In terms of age: The 15-24 age group accounts for 15,134, 000 , or 55.77%; The 25-34 age group accounts for 12,001,760 , or 44..23%. In terms of place of residence: 20,477,200 , or 75.46%, live in the countryside; 6,658,560, or 24.54%, live in urban areas. Over the past 10 years, along with the process or urbanization and renewal, the urban youth population has increased by 5.2%, while the rural youth population has decreased accordingly. In terms of social labour force: Young people engaged in permanent economic activity account for 55.5% of the social labour force, and 73.6% of the youth population. Of these: The 15-24 age group accounts for 25.2% of the social labour force, and 33.4% of the youth population; The 25-34 age group accounts for 30.3% of the social labour force, and 40.2% of the youth population. Overview of job opportunities and labour market Employment Overview Under the Vietnamese Labour Code, the working age starts at 15. However, workhands in the 15-17 age group are described as under-age labour, and the Code has specific regulations for their employment. On the basis of those regulations, the figures listed below also start with 15 years' olds. The labour population consists of males from 15 to 60 years of age and females from 15 to 55 years of age. From 1995 to 2000, the number of workhands getting employment increased from 34.6 to 40.6 million, i.e. by 31.0%. In general, the number of newly employed tended to increase year after year: on average 863,000 per year during the 1991-1995 period, and 1.2 million per year during the 1996-2000 period (or 39% up from the 1991-1995 period). However, 1.4 million people reach working age every year. Added to the 2.4 million still unemployed, the rural underemployed (about 26%), and the high urban unemployment rate, this places a heavy employment burden on the country. The urban unemployment rate has registered positive changes: 6.4% in 2000 against about 6.6%-6.7% in 1998-1999. The rural underemployment rate has ranged between 26% and 28%, and was 26.1% in 2000. While the economy has been faced with numerous difficulties, the renewal policy for the development of a multi-sector commodity economy and the elimination of State subsidies has helped provide employment for 60% of job seekers, 40% of whom self-employed in different economic sectors. The statistics about young people’s participation in economic activity over the past 10 years show the following: Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 195 - The (15-34) age group has decreased slightly in proportion: from 35.7% in 1991 to 34.7% in 2000, while increasing in number. The decreasing percentage results from fruitful population activity: the birth rate has dropped from 2.75% in the early 1990s to 1.7% at present. - The proportion of young people participating in economic activity compared with the total labour population has decreased considerably: from 62.8% in 1991 to 50.0% in 2000. This results from the increasing participation in universities, colleges and vocational secondary schools. - As shown by the 1999 population census, working youth now account for the majority of the youth population (73.6%). Youth employment by Industrial sector By economic branch, 63% of the labour force worked in agriculture, 14% in industry, and 23% in services. The proportion of young people working in industry was higher than the average (19.52% for the 15-24 age group and 17.85% for the 25-34 age group, compared with the average 14.24%). The main reason was that, in the countryside, quite a large number of persons above labour age and under 15 years of age were taking part in farm work. By gender, for the 15-24 age group, the percentage of females working in services was higher than that of males and the average. The reason was that a high percentage of rural youth took part in small commerce, especially in farm products. For the 25-34 age group, the percentage of males working in industry and construction was fairly higher than that of females. Of these, many rural young men went to urban areas to seek employment during idle times. Their number was 500,000 for Hå ChÝ Minh City alone. In rural areas, for all age groups, most of the labour force worked in agriculture (71.11%). Only 12% and 16.8% worked in industry and services respectively. However, the percentages for young persons within the 25-34 age bracket were somewhat higher: 14.86% and 18.65% respectively. In urban areas, the proportion working in services was considerably higher than that of those working in industry (63.7% compared with 30%). As regards the working age population as a whole, the higher the age bracket, the lower the proportion of people working in industry and the higher that of people working in services. That was why young people accounted for the majority of the industrial workforce, while their proportion was quite low in agriculture (mainly in the rural outskirts). In fact, urban services were mainly limited to the informal sector. Employment by type of firm As shown by the 1999 population census, the number of young people taking part permanently in economic activities accounted for 55.5% of the social labour force, of these, 63.2% operating in the individual sector, 25.5% in the collective sector, 8.1% in the State sector, and the rest (in negligible proportions) in other sectors. - The State economic sector: According to the 1999 population census, only a small percentage of young people (8.1%) operated in the State sector. The proportion of workhands in the State sector has constantly decreased, from 14.7% of the social labour force in 1985 to below 9% in the mid-1990s, and 9% in 2000. On the other hand, it has increased gradually along with the age groups: 5.47% for the 15-24 bracket, 10.3% for the 25Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 196 34 bracket, and 13.06% for the 35-59 bracket. According to reports on the reform of State enterprises, the proportion of workhands operating in the State sector has continued to decrease. The 1999 population census also showed that young people participating permanently in economic activities in the collective economic sector (rural agricultural cooperatives and urban handicrafts cooperatives) accounted for over 1/4 of the labour force in all economic sectors. Over recent years, this economic sector has created employment for numerous young workhands. The private and individual economic sector accounted for 62% of the social labour force participating permanently in economic activity. For young workhands, the sector accounted for 64.1%. During the years of renewal, this sector has provided employment for numerous laid-off or unemployed workhands (accounting for about 90% of the job opportunities created annually). Thanks to the policies encouraging the development of different economic sectors, over the past years, the private and individual sector has developed vigorously, with various forms of activity, such as producers' or business households, limited liability companies, and farms. According to a report of the Ministry of Labour, Invalids and Social Welfare, despite limited investments in technology and working conditions, the small and medium enterprises have proved their potentials and advantages in employment generation. There are now 41,000 small and medium enterprises (excluding household enterprises), representing 96% of the total number of enterprises in the country. They account for 32% of the total industrial output, 25% of Gross Domestic Product, and nearly 49% of the non-agricultural labour force. In 2000 alone, with the coming into effect of the Law on Enterprises, 13,000 small and medium enterprises were founded, providing employment for hundreds of thousands of workhands. In agriculture, farms have become an efficient model the development of which is being encouraged in the new countryside. There are now 113,000 farms throughout the country, providing employment for 678,000 workhands, or 6 workhands per farm averagely. The foreign-invested sector, including industries and services, created employment for 300,000 workhands from 1993 to 1998. The figure has gone down in recent years, parallel with decreases in foreign investment. Although accounting for only about 1% of the labour force (both direct and indirect) at present, this sector has played an active role in the labour restructuring in the direction of industrialization, modernization and international integration. Unemployment and Underemployment Employment generation has seen positive developments during the 1996-2000 period, increasing by 3% annually, but remains unable to satisfy the employment demands of the society in general and the youth in particular. Urban youth unemployment and rural youth underemployment are pressing issues today. - Rural underemployment Over recent years, the rural underemployment rate has increased constantly, accounting for 26-28% of the total labour force engaged in economic activity in rural areas. A decrease was registered in 2000 compared with 1999, but only negligible. The majority of the underemployed in rural areas are young people (usually 60-63%). The youth underemployment rate is high in such regions as the Red River delta (37.8%), or Northern Central Vietnam (33.6%). Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 197 By economic sector, underemployment is registered mostly in the non-State sector (98.3%), then the State sector (1.4%). There are many reasons leading to rural youth underemployment, such as: - Limited arable land acreage. - Slow restructuring of animal and vegetal cultivation. - Irrational economic structure (almost purely agricultural), underdeveloped trades and crafts. - Few entities offering job opportunities. - Low educational and vocational standards compared with labour market demands. - Lack of funds to develop production and business. - Urban unemployment In the 1996-2000 period, job generation made much progress, but still failed to meet the employment requirements of working people. Unemployment remains an urgent problem for urban areas. According to a labour and employment survey in 2000, the nation-wide urban unemployment rate amounts to 6.3%. On average, the number of unemployed workhands increased by 16% a year during the 1996-1999 period. As shown by the survey, the unemployed were mainly those without professional qualifications. Their rate increased by 2.5% from 1996 to 1999, while the unemployment rate among the professionally qualified decreased from 5.5% to 4.6% in 1999. Still, the unemployment rate among the professionally qualified remained high. In 2000, the urban unemployment rate was somewhat lower than the 1998 and 1999 figures, but was quite high in Hanoi (7.95%), H¶i Phßng (7.76%) and CÇn Th¬ (7.15%). Of the 8 territorial regions, in the 4 northern regions (from Northern Central Vietnam up) the male unemployment rate was higher than that of female unemployment, while in the 4 southern regions (from the Southern Central Vienam coastal provinces down) the situation is reversed. One of the causes of the growing unemployment rate is that the training quality and training structure fail to meet the requirements of the labour market. Besides, the limited number of work places and the unattractive policies and mechanisms provide no incentives for the qualified (trained) workhands. National Youth Policy Characteristics Youth policy represents the institutionalization of Party and State policy stance on youth into legal institutions and a system of programs and plans, with targets, tasks, and proposed mechanisms and resources for the solution of youth-related problems, in order to tap the creative potentials of the youth and facilitate their contribution and growth in the process of national construction and safeguarding. The overall objective of Vietnam's youth development strategy in the period of stepped-up industrialization and modernization is to shape a comprehensively developed Vietnamese younger generation, a young human resource of high quality meeting adequately the nation's development needs and also the youth's own development needs, and to promote the fine nature and great potentials of the youth as a creative shock force for the successful realization of national industrialization and modernization. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 198 Main targets Target 1: To raise the educational, professional and vocational levels of the youth, and their advanced scientific-technological capacity. Target 2: To ensure a rational youth labour structure, generate more job opportunities and reduce unemployment; to increase the incomes and improve the living conditions of the youth and young families. Target 3: To cultivate fine qualities and revolutionary morality among the youth. Target 4: To rapidly build for the country a contingent of young managers, leaders and scientifictechnological workers. Target 5: To improve youth health and physical development; to raise the quality of the youth population. Target 6: To promote the shock role of the youth for the firm defense of the socialist Vietnamese Homeland. Target 7: To cultivate a civilized lifestyle, preserve and promote the national cultural identity, acquire the cultural quintessence of mankind, and cater for the cultural and spiritual life of the youth. Target 8: To forge the youth as a shock force, to promote the right and role of the youth as masters in national socio-economic development. Target 9: To intensify youth participation in international exchanges, in contribution to the defense of peace, and the strengthening of solidarity and friendship with the youth the world over. Target 10: To ensure the implementation of basic youth rights, to support and facilitate the execution of youth obligations. Guidelines of the Communist Party of Vietnam in relation to education and training To develop education and training constitutes a primary State policy. To invest in education and training is to invest in development. To link science & technology and education & training with the national development strategy. To develop education with a view to raising the population's intellectual level, training human resources and grooming talents, and forging high-quality human resources for national development. To materialize an education for all, advance toward a learning society, and assert lifelong learning as the right and obligation of all citizens. To diversify forms of training. To effect social equity in education and training. To closely link the expansion of education and training with the improvement of its quality and efficiency, study with practice, talent with virtues, and the school with the family and the society. To make education and training an undertaking of the society. To mobilize the entire society for education work; to motivate people of all callings to contribute to shaping a population-based education under State management. Targets of development of education and training until 2020 To broaden the scope and raise the quality of the education and training system to match the level of the world's developed countries. To raise the quality of comprehensive training, to groom the Vietnamese into people with sufficient qualities and capacity for national industrialization and modernization, and a worthy role in the international division of labour and cooperation. Concerning the target of raising the population's intellectual level: Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 199 - To eradicate illiteracy, to raise the proportion of literates aged 15 and older from 94% in 2000 to 97% in 2020. To raise the proportion of students aged 23 and younger from 47% in 1996 to 60% in 2010, and 80% in 2020. To increase the number of schooling years for persons aged 25 and older from 5 in 1996 to 9 in 2020. - To raise the proportion of persons under uninterrupted schooling for the 2005-2020 period. - To raise the proportion of students in the 17-23 age group from 2.2% in 1996 to 20% in 2010, and 25% in 2020. - To ensure a quantitative and qualitative improvement of the scientific-technological personnel to match the regional and international standards. Concerning the target of training human resources: - To increase the ratio of trained labour from 20% in 2000 to 40% in 2010. - To increase the ratio of university-level scientific-technological workers (per thousand inhabitants) from 25%o in 2000 to 50%o in 2020. To intensify the overseas training, shortterm training and post-university training of scientific-technological personnel. Concerning the target of grooming talents: - On the basis of raising the population's intellectual level and training human resources, to groom talented persons and develop talents. - The State is to attach importance to building the systems of specialized schools and selected classes, and a number of high-quality university-level training centers, for grooming talents and, at the same time, to pay attention to sending talented persons for overseas training. - To effect policies capable of attracting and worthily utilizing talents. Major policies and measures To improve the national education system, diversify the forms of schools and classes (public, semi-public, private), encourage self-learning, and ensure learning opportunities for all. To renew the objectives, curriculums, and teaching and learning methodologies in the direction of increasing the proactiveness and creativeness of learners in the learning process. To ensure a quantitative and qualitative improvement of the teaching staffs, and encourage bright students to enroll in teachers' training institutions. To gradually increase State investments in education and training and, at the same time, mobilize reasonable contributions from the population. Policy on employment and income generation The national policies on labour and employment have the following aspects: + Maximum mobilization of the existing labour force. + Labour efficiency. + Job opportunities for job seekers. + Early re-employment for the unemployed. + Rational relationships between economic growth and employment generation. The State has invested in the creation of new job opportunities in the national economy through socio-economic development programs, such as the "Program for greening barren land and bald hills", "Program for the exploitation and utilization of riverside and seaside alluvial banks", "National target program on hunger eradication and poverty alleviation", and especially the "National target program on employment" and "Program on job training for the 1999-2000 period". The State has also helped the population in self-employment or employment creation through the following main channels: Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 200 + Enactment of policies encouraging economic development. + Funding in the form of preferential credit. + Support in training. Through the above-mentioned efforts, job opportunities have been created annually for 1 - 1.2 million workhands, most of whom young people. Targets for Employment 2001-2005 According to the 9th Party Congress (April 2001), for the 2001-2005 period, employment is to be created for 15 million workhands, including those newly coming to labour age (about 1.2 million annually) and the unemployed left from preceeding years. Of these, the rural areas account for (in workday equivalents) about 12.5 million, and the urban areas about 2.5 million. For the next 5 years, employment is to be created for over 7.5 million workhands in economic and social fields, or averagely 1.5 million a year. The rural areas are expected to generate employment for about 9 million workhands, thus raising the number of rural workhands getting employment to 28 million in 2005. The urban areas are expected to generate employment for 1.78 million workhands in 5 years, thus raising the number of urban workhands getting employment to 11 million. In 2005, the ratio of rural worktime utilization is to be about 80%; urban unemployment is to account for about 5.4% of the labour age population. Basic Strategies To achieve the above-described objectives, the Government has adopted the following main strategies: - To promulgate and organize the implementation of a concerted system of laws, decisions and policies designed to promote a sustainable development of the economy. To develop concentrated industrial parks and key economic zones. To pay attention to developing medium and small enterprises. To ensure the comprehensive socio-economic development of the rural areas. To exert control over the labour utilization norms; to create new job opportunities in programs and projects. To combine economic growth with employment creation. - To increase direct support activities for a solution, to act against mass dismissals of employees. To gradually elaborate and put into practice a policy on unemployment insurance. - To increase direct support activities to provide employment for the unemployed, the underemployed, and the disadvantaged in the labour market. The Hå ChÝ Minh Communist Youth Union The Hå ChÝ Minh Communist Youth Union is the socio-political organization of Vietnamese youth, founded, led and forged by the Communist Party of Vietnam and President Hå ChÝ Minh. Of its current 7 action programs, 3 are directly related to the youth labour and employment issue. Program 1: The youth to learn, create, and master science and technology. Objective: To cater for the improvement of the educational, vocational, and foreign language qualifications of the youth and adolescents. To organize for the youth to serve as a shock force in Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 201 the implementation of the Strategy for the development of education and training and the Strategy for the development of science and technology laid down by the Party and the State, in contribution to raising the quality of the young human resources to the benefit of national industrialization and modernization. Main contents and measures: To encourage and motivate the learning and self-forging movement of youth and adolescents both within and outside the school; to help raising the quality of education and training, achieving illiteracy eradication and primary education universalization nationwide; to ensure junior secondary and vocational education universalization for the youth. To enhance vocational guidance and training for the youth and adolescents, to shape for the youth a proper occupational attitude and style. To sponsor movements for the youth to advance into sciences and technologies, such as the "Creative youth movement", "National IT contests", CKT movement (for better quality, design and economization), etc. Program 2: The youth to volunteer in the implementation of key national programs and projects. Objective: To motivate the youth to volunteer in the implementation of key programs and projects at the national and local levels, through which to educate and forge themselves. Main contents and measures: To arouse among the youth the spirit of "Three readinesses", "Five Forwards", "Wherever the Party needs and whatever is difficult, the youth are present", to motivate young people to go to difficulty-ridden areas to bring prosperity to their native places, the Homeland and themselves. To involve actively the entire Union in the government programs for forest planting, tending and protection (e.g. program for 5 million hectares of forest, etc.). To proactively elaborate programs and projects for developing marine and island economies, such as the "youth islands" of B¹ch Long VÜ and Cån Cá. To participate in building and developing the infrastructures and major or key projects at the local and national levels, such as the Hå ChÝ Minh Highway, the Yaly Hydropower Project, the program to eliminate the single-trunk "monkey bridges" in the Mekong Delta provinces, etc. To take the initiative for the construction of "youth economic zones" and "youth selfestablishment villages" in difficulty-ridden ecological areas, e.g. mountain areas in the Northwest or the Central Highlands. In 2000 alone (Year of Vietnamese Youth), Union chapters nationwide mobilized 3 million public utility workdays, the equivalent of one year's labour of 10,000 volunteers working on the Hå ChÝ Minh Highway project. Program 3: The youth to help each other in self-establishment and socio-economic development. Objective: To motivate, organize and guide the youth to participate in the implementation of socioeconomic development programs at the national and local levels, help settle the employment issue, increase income and improve living conditions, and ensure a safe, healthy and progressive social environment. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 202 Main contents and measures: Regarding the rural youth: To organize, encourage and guide extension programs in agriculture, forestry and fishery; to intensify activities for knowledge dissemination and scientifictechnological transfer; to grant support and loans for the restoration of traditional crafts, development of new crafts, generation of employment and augmentation of income; to restructure vegetal and animal cultivation, raise productivity, quality and efficiency in agriculture; to effect agricultural and rural development in the direction of industrialization and modernization. Regarding the urban youth: To push ahead the movements for "Better quality, design and economization", "To review theories, practice skills, and enter contests", "To innovate and improve techniques", etc. To take an active part in the national employment program. To continue improving and broadening activities for youth education in issues related to population, health and environment; to combat social vices (drug abuse, etc.). To expand humanitarian and charity activities. In 2000 alone, the Union held 9,955 scientific-technological courses for 442,901 rural youths, founded 3,763 technical display entities, and consolidated or built 2,500 agro-extension clubs. Especially, Union members were mobilized for rural communication building, notably the project for the elimination of single-trunk "monkey bridges" in the Mekong Delta provinces, under which 2,100 new bridges are to be built. To provide 250,000 young people with vocational training and job placement. The Vietnam Youth Federation The Vietnam Youth Federation is the broad social organization of the Vietnamese younger generation and youth organizations. All young Vietnamese from 15 to 35 years of age, regardless of gender, ethnicity, religion, social origin, historical backgrounds, and place of residence, and all Vietnamese youth organizations, who agree with the Federation Statutes are eligible for Federation membership. Of its current 5 major campaigns, 2 are related to the youth labour and employment issue, namely: - The campaign for "Strenuous efforts in learning and creation to the benefit of national industrialization and modernization". Its objectives are: to effect a shift in the perception and action of the youth, to help them realize clearly that strenuous efforts in learning and creation constitute the road to overcome poverty and backwardness, surmount the challenges of bitter economic competition at the time of scientific and technological advances and international integration, and contribute to the successful process of national industrialization and modernization. Its main activities are: To help each other raise educational levels; to develop movements for learning and scientific researches with a view to future careers; to hold contests in scientifictechnological creation; to establish education extension and talent promotion funds among the youth. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 203 Over the past 5 years, in the "Summertime Culture Light" campaign, the Federation sponsored 35,000 anti-illiteracy courses for 500,000 participants, ensured primary education universalization for 125,000 persons, and offered education extension grants worth 53,750 million VND to 440,000 students. - The campaign for "Mutual aid in self-establishment for a prosperous people and a forceful country". Its main objectives are: To help the youth acquire a positive and proactive attitude in employment generation and self-establishment, and practice mutual aid and solidarity in production and business; to motivate the youth to bring into play their dynamism, creativeness and boldness in contribution to economic development to their own and the country's benefit. Its main activities are: To provide counselling, vocational guidance, employment generation, tranfer of scientific-technological advances; to expand job service and vocational training for the youth; to help the youth with credits for production and business; to launch and popularize the movement for "Economization and accumulation" among the youth; to develop job creation projects and farms for the youth. Over the past 5 years, the Vietnam Youth Federation has mobilized funds worth nearly 1,171 billion VND with which to help 825,000 young people develop production and business, thereby generating self-employment, increasing income and contributing to economic development. Federation chapters have sponsored scientific-technological training for over 1.2 million young people, and founded more than 3,500 agro-extension clubs. Youth vocational training and job placement centers have trained 550,000 young people, and provided employment to 268,000 young men and women. The Vietnam National Union of Students The Vietnam National Union of Students is the socio-political organization of Vietnamese students, a bridge linking students with the Party, the State and mass organizations. It operates as an educational entity in learning institutions. Its membership includes Vietnamese citizens studying in colleges and universities at home and abroad, who wish to join the Union on a voluntary basis, with an understanding of its Statutes, and with its approval. Of its current 6 main action programs, 2 are directly related to the student labour and employment issue. - The program "Students to strive in learning, scientific-technological research, and talent development". The forms of activity are varied: faculty or subject clubs, subject Olympic contests; round-tables or symposiums targeting knowledge and skills improvement; fund-raising to provide scholarships to assiduous yet poor students, awards to talented students, support for access to new technologies, or incentives for participation in technological transfers to rural areas. From 1993 to 1998 alone, Union chapters founded 60 preceptors' and student job placement clubs; scholarships worth 41,576 million VND were granted to 20,788 students. Up to February 2001, the Union had in coordination with credit banks granted loans worth 39,354 million VND to 28,000 students from 100 universities, colleges and vocational schools, assuring poor students of a major suport for their learning endeavors. - The program "Students to join hands with the community". It includes activities of young intellectuals volunteering to participate in rural development. It provides students with an Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 204 opportunity to get close to realities and put their knowledge to use to the benefit of the inhabitants of hinterland, remote and difficulty-ridden areas. From 1993 to 1998 alone, 44,700 students took part in summertime voluntary work in poor villages and needy places. This program has over recent years become a fine student tradition. Active labour market policies Supply side: Improving human capital Education and training As mentioned above, Vietnam has enforced legislation on primary education universalization and considers schooling for all children the responsibility of the family and the education sector. By 2000, primary education universalization had been completed, with diverse forms of education for difficulty-ridden children and children in hinterland, remote and ethnic minority areas. Hence, enrollments in primary and junior secondary education have increased constantly, with no major differences among geographical regions. Under the general education program, all persons could have finished junior secondary education by the age of 18. However, in many localities, many persons in the 20-24 age group still follow general education. On the other hand, most persons in the 25-34 age group have stopped schooling, and turned to vocational training or working. As shown by the 1998 survey on the population's living standards, the educational level of young people is higher than that of persons aged 35 and older. By gender, there is no major difference between the educational levels. Especially, for the 6-24 age group, the educational levels of males and females are virtually the same. For the 25-34 age group, the educational level of males is higher, but not much, than that of females (8.1 compared with 7.8). Meanwhile, for the 35-59 age group, the educational level of males is much higher than that of females. By location, there is a remarkable difference between the educational levels in urban and rural areas, and the higher the age the greater the difference. Thus, in terms of schooling opportunities, the rural youth have more constraints than urban youth, in terms of economic conditions, material facilities, social environment, etc. Thanks to higher intellectual, living and development standards, most urban families tend to work hard for their children to finish general education as a basis for higher schooling or a stable job. Meanwhile, unable to find non-agricultural employment, many rural families tend to accept that their children do not necessarily finish general education, because in the final analysis they will only go back to farm work. As shown by the table, the 5th, 9th and 12th grades accounted for the highest proportions. They are the last grades of the three cycles of general education (primary education from the 1 st to the 5th grades, junior secondary education from the 6th to the 9th grades, and senior secondary education from the 10th to the 12th grades). Having finished a cycle, only part of the students are able to continue with the next; the rest, due to their families' economic constraints or their own limited learning capacity, have to quit for a job or stay home. For the youth age groups, completion of junior secondary education accounts for the highest proportion, then comes completion of senior secondary education, then completion of primary education. Things are quite different for higher age groups, where completion of primary education accounts for the highest proportion. It can be said, therefore, that today's young people have greater access to education than their parents had in Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 205 their times. This is a good sign, since young people with a high educational level will supply the main human resources for the national industrialization till 2020. However, there still remain many young people having finished only the 5th, 6th, 7th or even lower grades. They mainly inhabit mountain areas and difficulty-ridden rural areas. This constitutes a constraint for the economic development of these areas. It can be seen that, for the 25-34 age group, there is no big difference between the educational level of males and the combined educational level of the whole group; and this also means that there is no difference between the educational level of males and that of females. For the 20-24 age group, however, there is a difference, although not so big. This is shown in the higher proportion of males having finished senior secondary education compared with females, and the higher proportion of females having finished junior secondary education compared with males. This trend is also true with the 15-19 age group. The number of males in the 20-24 age group having finished junior secondary education upwards accounts for 44.83%, while the combined proportion for the whole age group is 44.62%. For the 25-34 age group, the proportions are 56.6% and 55% respectively. The education level of urban population in general is much higher than that of the rural population. Statistics have shown an increasing gap in education between urban and rural populations, though the levels of both populations have in overall terms improved. Urban young people having finished secondary schools in the 20-24 age group account for 43.49% and in the 2534 age group for 40.78%, while corresponding figures for rural young people are 15.81% and 12.71%, which mean that the number of urban young people having finished secondary schools is three times higher than that of rural young people. One of the important reasons leading to such a considerable difference is that the majority of rural young people with a high level of education, after graduation from universities or vocational schools, have stayed on in urban centers for job opportunities instead of returning to their home villages. Vietnam in fact underwent a relatively long period of training structure imbalances in which university and college education enjoyed development priority while vocational training was neglected. As a result, upon shift to the new period of economic development and expanded roles of economic sectors, the contingent of skilled technical workers has become insufficient. In 1998, the Vietnamese Government decided to set up the General Department of Vocational Training (GDVT) to unify the State administration and promote activities in this field to provide human resources for economic development. Prior to 1998, because of the inadequate investments in vocational training, young people having finished secondary schools were apt to either quit further learning or enrol in universities and colleges. This generated an irrationality in the proportions of trained labour at various levels: Technical workers are seriously insufficient in contrast to the seemingly excessive number of university graduates against the needs of the economy. In order to gradually meet the requirements of upgrading the people’s intellectual levels, training human resources and nurturing talents, the university education sector with 104 universities and 64 colleges throughout the country has over the past years constantly renewed their training content and methodologies while expanding their scope and diversifying their forms of training. In the 1998-99 academic year, they registered 641,147 students, of which 575,446 were students of public institutions and 65,701 of private institutions. Every year, the education and training sector supplies a marked force of quality labour to the cause of national industrialization and modernization. (Graduates numbered 38,466 in 1996, 58,059 in 1997, 74,015 in 1998 and 113,600 in 1999). Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 206 In Vietnam, in parallel with the system of universities, there is also a system of training institutions (whose number has gone down from 366 in 1980 to 129 in 1998). Thanks to the increasing attention given to vocational training, activities in this field have become increasingly diverse. According to official statistics, today’s vocational training system consists of: - 164 vocational schools, of which 157 are public and 7 are private; - 148 vocational centers; and - 137 secondary schools and colleges covering vocational training activities. In addition, there are many in-enterprise vocational training units plus a large number of other centers also conducting vocational training activities such as job service centers, vocational guidance centers, etc. Vocational activity is also quite common in craft villages where workers mainly learn while working. In such a sense, vocational training has been extended to all economic sectors, with short-term training being the main form conducted in private training institutions and longer-term training being the focus of State training institutions. As reported by GDVT, the enrolment in vocational training institutions has on an average increased by 20% per annum. In the 1999-2000 academic year, the numbers of students enrolled in long-term vocational training and short-term vocational training were 130,000 and 600,000 respectively. Findings from a survey conducted by the Institute of Labour Science and Social Issues show that as high as 53% of vocational training institutions concentrate in the two major economic centers of the Red River Delta and the Southeastern region. The remaining 47% are located in the other six economic regions. There are two economic regions covering 8 provinces, yet having a meager 1% of all vocational training institutions. This irrational distribution will exert an adverse impact on plans to supply labour force for economic and social sectors in these regions. However, according to general assessment at present, vocational training institutions are overtraining 25% their capacity. Hence, the discrepancy between vocational training needs and the capacity of training institutions in response. The 1989 population census revealed that there were 3.4 million people with technical worker training or higher (excluding short-term training). In the 1999 census, the figure was 4.1 million, marking an increase of 0.7 million on the national scale in a decade - a disproportionately modest ratio if an increase of 8.9 million workhands in the same period is taken into account. Following is the labour structure breakdown by technical & professional level: Youth with technical & professional levels, including technical workers and graduates from secondary schools, colleges and universities and higher institutions, accounted for only 5.87%. This is low compared to the 13.1% accounted for by those aged between 35 and 59. With the present figure of 5.87%, it will be extremely hard to attain the target of training 30% of the labour force set for 2005 despite the special attention reserved for vocational training in recent years. Among youth aged between 15 and 24, a large number are undergoing technical & professional training after their completion of general education. However, the figure of 9.03% of those with technical & professional education among the 25-34 age group is surprisingly low, as people in this group in general would need a certain level of technical & professional education in order to find a job, particularly given the seemingly impossible increase of employment in the agricultural sector. With Vietnam’s gradual industrialization, with the relatively fast growing inflows of foreign investment, and with this country’s accelerated international economic integration, it has become evident that technical and professional training for the young people should be enhanced. Another aspect of irrationality arises from the disproportionately low percentage of technical workers among youth Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 207 and the labour force alike against the number of graduates from colleges, universities and higher institutions. As shown by the 1999 population census, the population aged 13 and older who experienced technical training accounted for 2.3%, specialized schools - 2.8%, colleges - 0.7%, universities - 1.7%, and post-graduate education - 0.1%. While college and university graduates find it difficult to get a job, enterprises, especially foreign invested enterprises, find it difficult to catch technicians and skilled workhands. From a gender perspective, young females with technical & professional training level and higher account for 5.29%, while the figure for young males is 6.47%. The difference is not considerable between males and females among those with college, university and higher education, but there are more males pursuing vocational training than females, and more females pursuing specialized secondary education than males. Actually, in Vietnam it is more likely for a person with a specialized secondary education to find a clerical job at a State agency, and therefore his/her workload would be less burdensome, also meaning having more time to take care of his/her family. Consequently, more females tend to enter specialized secondary institutions. In the 15-24 age group, there are more females graduating from colleges and universities than males, but the tendency is reversed for the 25-34 age group. Rural labour with technical & professional education account for 4.2%, and urban labour 17.47%, this gap is in fact not very important. The reason: In the rural areas, economic activities are basically agro-based, small-scaled and manual, while in the urban areas non-agricultural activities are dominant and requiring technical & professional skills from workers. Nevertheless, given the view that the labour force constitutes the driving force for economic development, the current percentage of the rural labour force with technical & professional education is too low to promote generation of non-agricultural employment in the rural areas. As regards rural youth, the percentage of those with technical & professional training is a meager 3.36%, of whom those in the 15-24 age group account for a very low figure of 1.98% and those in the 25-34 age group - 5.07%. Meanwhile, the corresponding percentages for urban youth are 13.36%, 7.2% and 20.16%. The very low percentage of technical & professional training among the 15-24 age group is justified by the fact that a large number of them have quitted before they finish secondary education schools while others are continuing their general education, especially among those aged between 15 and 19. The difference in education between rural and urban youth is most distinctive among those having college, university and higher education: Only 0.79% of rural youth have accessed such education, while the figure for urban youth is 5.2%. As for rural youth, there are more with technical training than with college and university education, but for urban youth, it’s just the reverse. This constitutes an irrationality, for there is a huge shortage of technical workers, meaning operators, but not managers. In sum, the percentages of youth with technical & professional education in general and in specific age group in particular are both lower than the percentage of labour force with technical & professional education in the working age group (15-60 age group for males and 15-55 age group for females). This is true for both males and females, rural and urban areas, and it can only be explained by the attendance at technical & professional training courses of a relatively large number of workers aged between 35 and 59. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 208 Guidance and counselling In today’s Vietnam, the labour market information system has not yet developed. Consequently, learners select education mainly on the basis of suggestions of their families rather than a close linkage between labour users and training institutions. As revealed by a survey in 2000 on employment of college and university graduates in 1999, as high as 23.8% of them were unemployed, and as high as 24% of those employed had jobs which were not suitable with their trained skills. So, the combined percentage of the unemployed and the unfitted employed accounts for around 42%. And this again constitutes a major irrationality in college and university training plans, originating from among others lack of communication between suppliers (training institutions) and demanders (labour employers). In vocational training in particular, learners seem to suffer greatly from a lack of information of both training institutions and users in need of technical workers. As a result, it is a common mindset for workers to rush for training in such occupations as electronics, mechanical repair, garment, etc. while a bundle of occupations closely associated with new calls of manufacturing technologies have so far been not covered, for instance clerical skills, sea-products processing, automated equipment operation, etc. which are in great need by enterprises. Typical is the water subsurface welding which is among the occupations that Japan wishes to receive trained Vietnam labour, yet there has been no institution providing such training. due to the inadequate attention given to vocational guidance as well as insufficient information on technical and occupational needs. Demand side: Creation of job opportunities Prospective employment for youth in an informatics-based economy Informatics is one of the areas in which Vietnam is much behind other countries, as its IT infrastructure is quite limited. However, the renewal process has brought about great strides in the country’s post and telecommunications industry. The expanded application of IT in all economic and social fields is considered by the State a priority in the national economic development strategy. Diverse activities related to IT represent a big opportunity for Vietnamese youth, for only they are capable of accessing new technologies. At the moment, almost all new recruits in IT companies are young people. Besides, thanks to the development of information channels, workers -especially youth find it easier to get a more suitable job. Moreover, also thanks to information development, it has become easier for undergraduates to determine which occupation to learn to fit their capabilities. Employment information has become increasingly widely publicized in the mass media. However, modern means of communication are only good at present for a small segment of urban population and for the key target group of students and young intellectuals. Regarding the rural areas, due to the overall economic underdevelopment, economic difficulties and low professional standards, only radio and newspapers are accessible but not such updated IT facilities as the Internet, and therefore employment opportunities and competitiveness are quite low for rural labour. Pioneering in IT application for employment and recruitment are foreign- invested enterprises and Vietnam-based foreign representative offices. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 209 Self-Employment and small enterprise support programs Prompted by the pressing need for employment, the Government in 1992 set up the National Employment Fund which was in 1999 turned into the National Employment Program. During 19962000, the Fund lent out 3,000 billion VND and provided employment for 1.8 million workhands, or 30% of the newly generated employment, of whom 0.8 million workhands got new jobs and 1 million others had sideline jobs. In 2000 alone, the Fund made loans worth 754 billion VND to more than 16,000 projects, thus creating employment for nearly 350,000 workhands. The Fund is targeted at small-scale projects to create more job opportunities. As such, the Fund has helped many localities restore and develop traditional craft villages and generate employment for handicraft and small-scale industries. And this program has yielded positive results in rural employment generation. Apart from the National Employment Program, there are other target programs that are important as well in employment generation. The Vietnam-Czech Program, Vietnam-Germany Program are just two examples whose borrowers are Vietnamese guest workers who had to return prematurely when Eastern European countries fell into crisis. The rural credit program is another example. As statistics show, these programs for the past 10 years have contributed to creating about 5.7 million new work places with young people being the main beneficiaries. Small enterprises make up the majority in Vietnam’s private economic sector. According to statistics, enterprises with less than 100 workers each in Vietnam account to 97.6% of all private enterprises. Vietnamese private enterprises are small in labour force and capital. In Vietnam’s economic development strategy, small enterprises are regarded as a potential source of employment and a mobilizer of idle money available among the population. Yet, Vietnam has so far had no separate policy to support small enterprises. However, related policies are numerous, as demonstrated in policies toward enterprises, policies on employment, hunger eradication and poverty alleviation, etc. Vietnam at the moment is drafting a Decree on developing small and medium enterprises (SME) in support of the latter. According to the current regulations, SMEs are those with less than 200 workers each and a business capital of less than 5 billion VND. The Law on Enterprises effective as of the 1st January 2000 has granted preferential conditions for small enterprises and households in terms of registration procedures and charges. By 31 May 2001, there were 21,234 new enterprises and 220,000 private business households established under this Law with a total registered capital of about 36,000 billion VND. Reports show that each new enterprise on an average creates some 20 new workplaces. This means that new enterprises alone (excluding business households) have created 420,000 new workplaces. Vietnam’s credit policies have reserved certain attention for small enterprises. Among the many support funds which have been set up in service of national programs and to lend at preferential interest rates, most notable are the Fund for Hunger Eradication and Poverty Alleviation, the National Employment Fund, the Vietnam-Germany Fund for Vietnamese Returnees, and the Fund to Support SMEs, etc. The credit policy of the Fund for Hunger Eradication and Poverty Alleviation is to focus mainly on private business households by the Bank for the Poor as a proxy. This Fund reserves preferences for women involved in economic activities through the Women’s Union. A problem with this Fund, however, is that its beneficiaries often do not know what to use the credit for. The credit policy that requires commercial banks as an intermediary is also problematic, for the banks Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 210 still mainly base their lending decisions on related enterprises’ collaterals rather than their real payment abilities. As a result, money is piling up at banks while most enterprises are hungry of capital. This kind of policy seems to fit big enterprises only. One of the most important sources of capital for small enterprises at present is the informal source. Entrepreneurs take their selfgenerated capital as the main source, to be complemented by borrowings from their relatives. As regards labour policies: Although designed to regulate the industrial relations between employees and employers, the Labour Code has many provisions unapplicable to enterprises with less than 10 workers, and in practice it has not been substantially realized in the private economic sector constituted largely by SMEs. However, the national employment program has made an important contribution to founding small enterprises which ultimately aims to generate employment. In terms of labour recruitment, small enterprises are confronted with a lot of difficulties in training and recruiting workers with appropriate skills. Recruitment has been done mainly through recommendations by acquaintances. Skills improvement has been done mainly through on-the-job training. Close to 70% of entrepreneurs have not experienced any business governance training course. In sum, support for small enterprises remains an issue in need of enhancement, and it is hoped that its problems will be gradually solved once a government decree on SMEs is enacted. Job intermediation: Matching demand and supply Public employment services Currently, there are 143 employment service centers throughout the country which every year provide occupation counselling for some 200,000 workhands and supply 80,000 workers for enterprises. Most of these centers are subordinates of provincial Departments of Labour-Invalids and Social Affairs, while some others belong to such institutions as the Women’s Union, the Youth Union, the Chamber of Commerce and Industry, etc. Apart from their principal functions in employment counselling, these centers also organize vocational training courses to meet the need of enterprises for skilled labour. Their counselling has actually developed vigorously in Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City where labour markets are relatively matured. The centers came into being in parallel with national employment programs, and they have in general enjoyed the State support in terms of equipment, infrastructures and the annual finances from national employment programs. Surveys have shown that as many as 96% of job seekers came to these centers for opportunities, and they were all under 40 years of age. So, the de facto beneficiaries of these centers were young workhands. However, as judged by enterprises with advanced technologies, especially foreign invested enterprises, labour recruitment procedures at these centers remain rather complex and not yet satisfying to the demands of enterprises. According to stipulations of Vietnamese laws, foreign invested enterprises should recruit labour through employment service centers, and could only recruit on their own if the centers fail to respond after 30 days since application. But field surveys show that some 55% of these enterprises recruit labour absolutely on their own. This in part reflects the weaknesses inherent in employment service centers. To redress the situation, the Government plans to direct these centers to specialize in employment services, while facilitating the various economic sectors’ extensive activity in this field on the basis of legal provisions. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 211 Labour export is also a priority in Vietnam’s employment strategy. It is seen not only as a means to generate employment, but furthermore, a way to help workers learn managerial expertise and technical skills in operating modern technological instruments in service of the industrialization process in Vietnam and at the same time a considerable source of income for workers, as many returning guest workers have been able to establish successful businesses. To date, Vietnam has exported labour to 38 countries and territories, in an increasing number. Between 1991 and 2000, the country sent more than 120,000 guest workers overseas on a termed basis. The labour export annual growth rate during the 1994-2000 period was approximately 27.3%. In 2000 alone, some 30,000 Vietnamese guest workers were sent off, 3 times more than in 1995. At the moment, there are about 250,000 Vietnamese workers and specialists working overseas, sending back nearly 1 billion USD a year to their families. Labour market information remains fragmented on both input and output levels. Vietnam has yet to build a nationwide network to collect information, even in major cities. Evaluation of the labour force currently is mainly based on sample surveys. And one of the important reasons leading to failure to take hold of employment information is that in Vietnam, there have been only policies regarding employers upon sacking workers rather than unemployment insurance. Conclusions and Lessons learnt Employment generation efforts made by Vietnam over the past years show the following lessons: First, employment generation is one of the pressing and sensitive social issues, for it relates to the life of many, and is one of the most important factors contributing to social stability and development. However, employment generation should be done through economic measures, which means that it should be done on the basis of the vigorous development of the various industries and economic sectors, in combination with application of the market mechanism in parallel with ensuring social equity and progress. Second, it’s necessary to radically change the mindset of all sectors and strata, especially of young people, on generating employment in a market economy. It’s also imperative to improve the young people’s adaptability and competitiveness, help turn their past passivity into proactivity as things are now (to proactively seek or create employment rather than sit idle and waiting for assignment). Third, employment for workers should be generated through major project programs and their efficient integration with each other. Fourth, employment programs should pay attention to disadvantaged social groups in the labour market such as jobless young people, the unemployed, the disabled, social vices target groups, etc. Favorable conditions should be created for them to get a job. Fifth, employment policy is a fundamental social policy of the State. And in this regard, the labourinvalids and social affairs sector play a core role, with the involvement of every individual and social organization, particularly at rural commune and urban ward level. Given their functions and tasks, mass organizations have a major role to play in generating employment for their members. The actual work in counselling, vocational training and employment generation of the Ho Chi Minh Communist Youth Union and the Vietnam Youth Federation during the past few years has asserted the great role of mass organizations in vocational training, counselling and employment generation Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 212 for the youth. However, in face of the limited material base and constrained operational skills, the activity in employment generation and occupational counselling for the youth will gain greater efficiency if more investments in terms of material conditions and improvement of professional skills can be made. Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 213 Table 1: Yearly increases in employment (1995-2000) Unit: thousand persons Newly employed Increase 1995 34,600 936 1996 35,792 1,192 1997 36,944 1,202 1998 38,194 1,200 1999 39,394 1,200 2000 40,594 1,200 General Statistics Office - Survey on labour and employment Table 2: Youth population in economic activity Unit: % Age group Compared with total labour population 15-24 years' old 25-34 years' old Compared with (15-24) age group (15-34) age group compared with total population 1991 62.8 1992 62.9 1993 62.4 1994 63.1 1995 61.7 1996 55.8 1997 54.7 1998 52.6 2000 50.0 31.7 31.5 83.5 31.2 30.2 84.9 30.2 32.1 83.3 29.9 29.1 81.8 29.1 32.6 80.1 26.0 29.8 79.1 24.9 29.1 77.2 23.3 29.3 75.8 21.8 28.2 72.8 35.7 34.8 34.8 34.8 34.8 33.6 33.5 33.2 34.7 Source: Situation regarding labour and employment in Vietnam, 1991-2000 Table 3: Youth activity Unit: person Working Housework 20,211,288 1,197,619 Under schooling 4,290,619 Labour incapacity 170,283 Unemployed Undefined 1,178,122 411,247 Accounting for 73.6% Accounting for 4.4% Accounting for 15.6% Accounting for 0.6% Accounting for 4.3% Accounting for 1.5% of total youth population of total youth population of total youth population of total youth population of total youth population of total youth population Source: General population and housing census, 1999 Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 214 Table 4: Employment for persons aged 15 and older in 2000 Unit: % Age group Fully employed Total Underemployed Unemplo yed Fully employed Females Underemployed 70.57 69.10 73.82 27.17 26.13 24.05 2.26 4.47 2.13 71.13 67.91 72.56 26.65 27.54 25.30 2.21 4.55 2.15 66.80 61.63 69.52 26.86 21.15 24.59 6.34 16.81 5.89 65.97 60.50 67.80 27.87 23.44 26.00 6.16 16.06 6.20 71.67 70.62 75.19 27.26 27.06 23.89 1.06 2.32 0.93 70.95 69.42 74.03 28.04 28.38 25.08 1.01 2.20 0.89 Nationwide Combined 15-24 25-34 Urban areas Combined 15-24 25-34 Rural areas Combined 15-24 25-34 Unempl oyed Source: Survey on labour and employment in 2000 Table 5: Rural youth underemployment Unit: % Age group 15-24 25-34 Total youth population 1996 26.6 37.0 38.0 1997 25.5 32.8 29.4 1998 28.2 34.1 28.2 1999 28.0 30.7 29.7 2000 27.1 23.9 27.3 Source: Situation regarding labour and employment in Vietnam, 1996-2000 Table 6: Urban unemployment rates by professional skills Unit: % of whole group Professional skills Total in urban areas Of which: - Without professional skills - With professional skills 1996 5.7 1999 7.2 5.8 5.5 8.3 4.6 Difference 16.0 20.0 -4.2 Source: Survey on labour and employment, 1996-1999 Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 215 Table 7: Employment structure by economic branch and gender: Unit:% Branches Gender Age group Combined Males Females 15 - 24 25 - 34 15 - 24 25 - 34 15 - 24 25 - 34 Agriculture Forestry Aquaculture 64.52 57.48 65.74 54.20 63.30 60.69 Industry Constructio n 19.52 17.85 19.79 21.35 19.24 14.43 Services 15.97 24.67 14.47 24.45 17.46 24.88 Combined 24.33 21.69 24.94 22.01 23.76 21.38 Source: Survey on population's living standards, 1998 Table 8: Main employment structure by economic branch and location Unit: % Age group Location Rural areas Urban areas 0 - 14 15 - 24 25 - 34 35 - 59 60+ Combined 0 - 14 15 - 24 25 - 34 35 - 59 60+ Combined Agriculture Forestry Aquaculture 90.20 70.56 66.49 67.67 83.30 71.11 11.11 6.93 3.89 5.30 19.29 6.30 Branch Industry Construction Services Combined 4.56 17.26 14.86 10.28 3.95 12.06 22.22 41.00 35.66 5.24 12.18 18.65 22.05 12.75 16.84 66.67 52.08 60.45 7.51 25.08 21.14 38.14 8.12 100.00 0.47 18.96 25.63 25.72 10.00 29.99 68.98 70.71 63.71 47.58 7.35 100.00 Source: Survey on population's living standards Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 216 Table 9: Permanent employment in 1999 for persons aged 13 and older Unit: % Age group Total 13 - 14 15 - 24 25 - 34 15 - 34 35 - 59 60+ Total 100.00 1.60 25.21 30.27 55.48 38.62 4.30 State 9.62 0.49 5.47 10.30 8.11 13.06 1.75 Collective 26.84 18.21 25.22 25.70 25.48 28.10 36.38 Economic Private Individual 61.95 80.88 66.54 62.10 64.12 58.09 61.64 sectors Mixed Foreign invested 0.95 0.53 0.17 0.03 1.50 1.13 1.18 0.63 1.33 0.86 0.53 0.12 0.08 0.03 Undefined 0.11 0.22 0.13 0.09 0.11 0.11 0.12 Source: 1999 general population and housing census Table 10: Average educational level by age group, gender and location Unit: % Gender Age group 6 – 14 15 – 19 20 - 24 25 - 34 35 - 59 60+ Combined Rural 4.5 7.6 7.4 7.8 7.8 5.4 6.8 Males Urban 5.1 8.8 8.9 9.5 9.6 7.5 8.6 Combined 4.6 7.7 7.7 8.1 8.1 5.8 7.1 Rural 4.7 7.4 7.2 7.5 6.3 3.3 6.2 Females Urban 5.6 9.4 9.5 9.3 8.4 4.7 8.1 Combined Combined 4.7 7.6 7.7 7.8 6.7 3.6 6.5 4.7 7.7 7.7 8.0 7.3 4.8 6.8 Source: Survey on the population's living standards, 1998 Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 217 Table 11: Grades finished by population groups aged 15 and older Unit: % Grade Finished 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Total 15 - 19 20 - 24 1.22 2.79 4.05 7.70 13.18 9.20 7.73 8.02 17.40 9.45 6.34 12.93 100.00 1.10 3.78 4.56 7.41 12.15 9.44 8.70 8.24 19.11 2.58 2.21 20.72 100.00 Age group 25 - 34 1.22 3.47 5.00 6.33 9.24 7.02 6.00 6.72 28.65 3.55 2.89 19.91 100.00 35 - 59 1.36 6.00 8.15 7.49 14.85 5.14 4.04 3.98 25.76 3.15 3.41 16.67 100.00 60+ 0.10 4.24 17.79 19.99 11.93 21.25 3.45 2.20 1.99 9.58 0.84 0.73 5.91 100.00 Source: Survey on the population's living standards, 1998 Table 12: Grades finished by male population groups aged 15 and older Unit: % Grade Finished 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Total 15 - 19 20 - 24 1.76 3.73 3.95 6.44 10.83 9.88 7.10 9.07 16.97 10.83 6.07 13.39 100.00 1.44 4.40 4.04 8.18 12.58 9.07 7.73 7.73 17.25 3.14 2.70 21.74 100.00 Age group 25 - 34 1.15 3.34 4.20 6.04 8.12 6.33 6.33 7.89 28.21 4.49 3.17 20.73 100.00 35 - 39 0.45 3.65 5.16 5.52 12.46 5.39 5.26 4.74 27.56 4.07 4.87 20.88 100.00 60+ 0.10 2.04 8.45 14.67 11.66 25.56 4.76 3.30 3.01 14.77 1.36 0.87 9.43 100.00 Source: Survey on the population's living standards, 1998 Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 218 Table 13: Grades finished by urban population groups aged 6 and older Unit: % Grade finished 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Total 15-19 20-24 Age group 25-34 0.92 2.46 2.77 3.69 4.92 5.85 7.38 4.31 11.69 15.08 12.92 28.00 100.00 1.04 1.82 2.86 3.13 6.51 5.47 7.03 4.69 16.15 4.17 3.65 43.49 100.00 0.17 0.68 2.20 3.05 5.08 5.92 6.60 6.94 20.47 4.23 3.89 40.78 100.00 35-39 0.80 1.77 4.52 2.48 9.40 5.05 4.08 3.72 24.56 4.17 3.99 35.46 100.00 60+ 0.26 3.58 12.02 11.51 10.49 20.20 3.84 2.56 1.28 16.88 1.02 1.02 15.35 100.00 Source: 1998 survey on the population's living standards Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 219 Table 14: Gender Combined Males Females Professional & technical levels of labour force, by gender Age group Total 13-14 15-24 25-34 15-34 35-59 60+ Total 13-14 15-24 25-34 15-34 35-59 60+ Total 13-14 15-24 25-34 15-34 35-59 60+ Total population aged 13 and older Without technical skills 100.00 6.81 27.51 22.90 50.41 31.40 11.38 100.00 7.32 28.29 23.72 52.01 30.83 9.84 100.00 6.33 26.78 22.14 48.92 31.94 12.81 92.40 99.85 96.72 90.95 94.10 86.90 95.64 90.76 99.85 96.74 89.64 93.50 83.85 91.13 93.93 99.85 96.71 92.25 94.69 89.62 98.84 Technical & professional level Technical Secondary College, Undefined skills education university plus education 2.28 0.06 1.07 2.97 1.85 3.83 1.19 3.46 0.05 1.49 4.30 2.77 5.78 2.42 1.18 0.07 0.66 1.29 0.95 2.09 0.31 2.80 0.00 1.06 3.39 2.12 4.98 1.49 2.72 0.00 0.81 2.95 1.79 4.88 2.93 2.88 0.00 1.31 3.83 2.45 5.06 0.46 2.47 0.00 1.10 2.85 1.90 4.25 1.55 3.01 0.00 0.91 3.10 1.91 5.45 3.44 1.97 0.00 1.29 2.61 1.89 3.18 0.21 0.05 0.09 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.14 0.04 0.10 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.09 0.05 0.08 0.04 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.18 Source: General population and housing census, 1999 Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 220 Table 15: Technical & professional education of rural and urban working youth Unit: % Location Age group Total female populatio n aged 13 and older 95.74 1.34 1.88 College, university plus education 0.99 13-14 100.00 7.27 99.89 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.09 15-24 25-34 15-34 35-59 60+ Total 13-14 15-24 25-34 15-34 35-59 60+ 27.87 22.56 50.43 30.40 11.91 100.00 5.44 26.43 23.92 50.35 34.40 9.81 97.99 94.91 96.61 84.62 117.9 82.48 99.69 92.76 79.82 86.61 71.68 15.25 0.68 1.56 1.07 2.31 0.82 5.05 0.24 2.33 6.22 4.18 7.82 2.52 0.78 2.39 1.50 3.28 1.09 5.53 0.00 1.95 6.22 3.98 9.43 2.91 0.52 1.12 0.79 1.67 0.65 6.88 0.00 2.92 7.71 5.20 11.03 4.79 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.14 0.05 0.07 0.04 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.15 Total Rural Urban Technical & professional level Without skills Technical skills Secondary education Undefined 0.05 Source: General population and housing census, 1999 Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 221 Part III: Conclusions and Policy Recommendations Lessons Learnt & Recommendations As noted above, the countries under study here differ widely in terms of their characteristics, however a number of common themes and recommendations may be identified. Of course the degree to which they apply to each country here varies to some extent. 1) The Problem - The integration of Youth into Decent Work is an issue of fundamental importance. In this regard, the analysis here can but add support to the recommendation of the high level panel that the problems of youth should take centre stage in policy formulation. To this one might add that there are several elements to promoting the transition from school to decent work. - - First, young people need to be given the basis before they enter the labour market. That is to say, in many countries the need to ensure access and fulfilment of basic levels of education has not yet been achieved. Although, in most cases, a relatively small group, there are still significant numbers of young people who enter the labour market before reaching the age of the fifteen and therefore without having the opportunity to exploit their potential through the attainment of at least basic levels of education Youth unemployment is an important problem but it is only the tip of the iceberg. Access to Decent Work involves rather more. In many countries informal sector jobs and underemployment are significant and worsening problems. 2) Integration - There is a clear need to increase the integration of policies, both horizontally and vertically. That is to say, youth employment policies should be integrated into the more general employment creation strategy of countries. Youth unemployment and more generally, difficulties for young people in making the transition to Decent Work, is largely a question of prevailing economic and employment conditions. Any strategy to promote youth employment needs to take the wider context into consideration. At the same time, it is important that youth employment policies are not, and are not seen to be, promoting youth employment at the expense of other categories of job seeker. Simultaneously, youth employment policy needs to be integrated with other policies regarding youth. Above all this regards educational policies; however, there is a need to look wider. The consequences of the failure to effectively integrate young people into Decent Work manifests itself in many areas. In some countries, the growth of youth unemployment has been associated with increasing levels of drug addiction, to take just one example. All too often, the responsibilities for different areas of youth policy lie with different agencies and institutions with little or no coordination between them. In this sense, an integrated youth policy can serve the purpose of defining clearly areas of action, responsibilities of the different actors and the means of co-ordinating these actions so as to achieve a common goal. 3) Targets (and the means to achieve them) – An important issue arising in the studies discussed here as well as in the High Level Panel’s recommendations is the importance of establishing targets for policy. In many countries this has already been achieved to a greater or lesser degree. Equally important, but perhaps less successfully achieved in many of the countries considered Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 222 here, is the need to ensure that the means are provided by which the targets may be achieved. Above all, this means making adequate resources available to dealing with youth questions. 4) Education and Training systems – Here there are two basic issues. First, access to and the provision of basic levels of education and therefore literacy; a pre-requisite for exploiting the benefits to had in particular (but not only) from the newer technologies. In most countries considered here major advances been made in recent decades, however, this remains a significant obstacle in the Pacific Islands. Second, very often there is a need to make Education and Training (and above all VET) systems more responsive to the market. Problems in this area and a number of ways in which this can be mitigated have been discussed in Parts I and II. These include the development of a modern apprenticeship system as in Australia or the more community based approaches to be found in many countries including the Pacific Islands. 5) Public Employment Services – Often there is need to develop this area. For the most part, in the countries considered here, Job search is largely undertaken by young people without the aid of Public (or indeed Private) Employment Services. In some cases this is due to their virtual non-existence as is the case in the Pacific Islands, in others, although such services exist potential young clients largely ignore them. This also may be due to limited territorial extension but may also be due to a limited view as to their function. In many countries there is a need to make such services more active in providing the link between young job seekers and potential employers; the Job-Matching Function. The case of Viet Nam illustrates that a legal requirement for employers to use the Public Employment Services is not sufficient and in my opinion is not to be advised. Rather, these services have to demonstrate their usefulness in fulfilling an active and useful role in helping the young find work. There are a number of ways in which this can be achieved and much depends on the level of income and financial resources available to the PES. However, the provision of basic information on the availability of employment opportunities and perhaps access to basic services which may aid young people in their search for work. This may simply mean a room in which access to a telephone is provided for the purposes of contacting potential employers, but might also, where circumstances permit, go beyond this and involving training by the employment services in basic methods of job search, access to computer based services such as the Internet to look for work and so forth. Clearly this requires resources and the specific ways forward will vary according to the country, however, the basic idea remains valid across a wide range of countries. One often hears arguments made about the need to “activate the young unemployed”, here one is advocating the Activation of the Employment Services. 6) Labour Market Information – A basic lesson to be learnt from the studies here is the importance of the availability of labour market information in promoting the employment of young people. In many cases, labour market information systems are underdeveloped in the region. They can and do play a useful role at many levels; from informing young people about opportunities, to helping governments to design appropriate youth employment policies. 7) Attitudes of, and to, young people – Often the argument is made that young people don’t hold the right attitudes; they seek the type of work which is not available, they undertake inappropriate preparation or simply they don’t want to look for work. Where this is true, it is likely to depend on a variety of factors. First, young people need to have access to opportunities for appropriate education and training. This is a basic obstacle in many countries as noted above and regards the provision of such appropriate education and training. Second, much depends also on information being available on job opportunities. Here, much can be done by getting Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 223 employers and workers involved in schools and universities as well as by activating the employment services as advocated above. Whilst the second of these is very much dependent on the development of Labour Market Information Systems, the involvement of the local economic communities in the education system is not. Getting local economic actors involved can do much to promote this informational function. Finally, particularly in the case of the Pacific Islands, a problem was identified regarding young people being unwilling to take on work because of the social and economic obligations this would entail through the wantok system. Whilst it is always dangerous to meddle in local cultural systems, it is important to recognise that such types of impediments do exist and to seek solutions to them. In each of the cases mentioned here, the main point is that the difficulty lies not with the young people themselves but with the conditions which they face. One can only end by reiterating the wise words of Mr. Kofi Annan: Young people are an asset not a problem! Youth Employment in Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Framework and Policy Recommendations 224 References ABS - 1997 Youth Australia: A Social Report. Cat. No. 4111.0, ABS, Canberra. ABS - 2001 Labour force survey, Cat No 6203.0. October. ABS, Canberra. 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