EC4204 (Provisional may change) Financial Economic Theory LECTURER: Dr Gary Shea Candlemas (Second) Semester 2015/16 CREDITS: 30 LECTURES/SEMINARS: SEMINARS: 26 lectures, 3 lectures per week, dates TBA Problem-solving spreadsheet based seminar sessions embedded in lecture schedule but held in a computer laboratory (TBA) EXAMINATION: 1 three-hour paper CONTINUOUS ASSESSMENT: 1 class test, date TBA 1 computer spreadsheet-based exercise to be held in a computer lab, date TBA FINAL GRADE: Examination: 70% weight Class Test: 15% weight Spreadsheet exercise: 15% weight SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: EC4204 is the final required course for the degree in Financial Economics. BRIEF MODULE OUTLINE This module follows EC4501 and EC4502 and completes the Honours degree in Financial Economics. EC4204 includes an introduction to the theoretical development of asset pricing models and extensive coverage of the theoretical foundations of option pricing. Whereas in EC4501 and EC4502 the student solved small binomial option pricing problems, in EC4204 the foundations of the binomial approach and its extensions to multinomial option pricing and, ultimately, the derivation of the Black-Scholes formula are studied. EC4501 and EC4502 emphasised the solution of small case-study like financial problems via the application of the standard CAPM pricing model. In EC4204 we derive the CAPM model from its foundations and study its theory in detail. The theoretical and empirical implications of the CAPM and other pricing models for evaluating portfolio performance are also studied in depth. Learning Outcomes Returning to the economic foundations of the concepts of return and risk, we will formally derive the basic elements of portfolio theory. You will see how portfolio theory can lead to variations of the standard valuation model for investments – the CAPM. You will learn how to derive alternative asset pricing models to the CAPM, and how the latter differs from them in its theoretical assumptions and predictions. We will overview some recent theoretical challenges to standard asset pricing models that derive from relaxing the standard assumptions about market efficiency. You will see how separate is the theory of option pricing from standard risk-return pricing models, and how different are the theoretical foundations of option pricing. We will formalise the so-called “no-arbitrage” condition and show how it constitutes the basic theoretical foundation of all option pricing models. You will learn how to use the “no-arbitrage” condition to develop richer and more detailed option pricing models. You will learn how a number of the basic theoretical concepts that will be covered in this course can be implemented in computer spreadsheet models. You will expand the set of transferable skills you have already developed in your financial economics studies to being able to implement theory in programming languages and to conduct basic empirical work in portfolio analysis and financial econometrics. MAIN READING The textbooks for this module are: Bodie Z., Kane A., and A. Marcus (2011) Investments and Portfolio Management, McGrawHill (9th ed.) Hull J.C. (2005) Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, Prentice Hall (6th ed.)