“Islamic Capital Markets and New Product Development - Establishing alternative pricing and valuation benchmarks and delinking from conventional benchmarks.” ‘Issues and Challenges for developing an Islamic Inter-bank Benchmark in Pakistan’ Author’s Name: Suleman Muhammad Ali Author’s current affiliation & position: Manager Product Structuring and Research; Product Development & Shariah Compliance – Meezan Bank Limited.1 Email addresses of the author: sulemanmuhammadali@gmail.com Telephone number: +92 3002762632 About the Author: Mr. Suleman Muhammad Ali holds an MBA (Finance) degree from Institute of Business Administration, Karachi and is a Chartered Islamic Finance Professional (CIFP) from INCEIF, Kuala Lumpur. Currently he is the Manager- Product Structuring & Research at Meezan Bank Limited leading the product structuring and Shariah compliance function related to Islamic Structured finance, Sukuk Issues, Treasury and Corporate Finance. Mr. Ali is also a reputed Islamic banking trainer, has conducted various corporate workshops/seminars across Pakistan and is a regular speaker on the subject at NIBAF - a training arm of State Bank of Pakistan (SBP). He was involved in the structuring of Pakistan’s first ever short term KAPCO Sukuk and the development/presentation of proposal regarding the launch of Islamic Interbank Offered Rate - Karachi (IIBOR - K) in Pakistan to SBP. 1 Competing Interest: Author’s employment with Meezan Bank.Limited. Page 1 of 40 Abstract Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to identify and discuss the issues and challenges involved in developing an Islamic interbank benchmark in Pakistan. Design/approach: To achieve this objective the paper initially evaluates the need and the purpose for having a separate Islamic benchmark. Subsequently the paper compares the mechanisms of interest based benchmark prevailing in Pakistan and the Islamic interbank benchmark rate launched recently in the international market with the proposed mechanism of Islamic benchmark in Pakistan. This proposed mechanism is further critically evaluated regarding its practicality and the challenges involved in making the benchmark a reliable representative of the Islamic interbank market are discussed at length. The crucial question whether this Islamic benchmark will be independent from the prevailing conventional benchmark is analyzed along with suggested scenarios under which the Islamic benchmark shall be de-linked from the conventional benchmark. Methodology: The study is based on the review of various scholarly writings on the importance and requirement of Islamic benchmark rate, review of industry statistics, review of relevant data on prevailing benchmarks, direct observation of behavior of industry participants, author’s personal experience and association with the industry including involvement in the development of the proposed mechanism for Islamic benchmark in Pakistan and various minutes of the meetings held for implementation and launch of the proposed benchmark. Findings & Practical implications: The study identifies the issues hampering the development of a reliable Islamic benchmark in Pakistan and concludes that in the prevailing circumstances the benchmark if launched will not be independent from the conventional benchmark unless certain regulatory and other measures are taken. The analysis conducted provides avenues for further research and will facilitate regulators and industry players in formulating strategies and policies in pursuit of developing the Islamic benchmark in Pakistan. Keywords: Karachi Inter-bank Offered Rate (KIBOR); standardization; benchmark, market forces; independence; Islamic Interbank Offered Rate – Karachi (IIBOR-K) Page 2 of 40 1.0 Introduction After the debacle in the attempts to introduce Islamic Banking in the 1980s the industry saw a renaissance in Pakistan when in 2002 Meezan Bank Limited (MBL) was given the first full fledged Islamic Banking license in Pakistan (MBL Annual Report 2010). The progress during the past 10 years has been phenomenal. From a meager Rs. 8 Bn Deposits in 2003 the industry has grown to a level of Rs.706Bn as on December 2012 (Islamic Banking Bulleting-State Bank of Pakistan [IBB-SBP] December 2012). Similarly the Total Assets of the industry have grown from Rs.13Bn in 2003 to Rs. 837 Bn during this period (IBB-SBP December 2012). Aided with these figures the Islamic Banking industry has now captured around 9.7% share of the overall banking market in terms of deposits (IBB-SBP December 2012). These figures seem all the more impressive given the fact that the Islamic Banks operate in an environment which is fiercely dominated by conventional banks operating in the country for the last 65 years. However despite these achievements the dominant conventional climate has led Islamic banks to follow the footsteps of conventional banks in matters ranging from product design, packaging, pricing, marketing, customer service, costing, profit rates and other areas. This imitation of conventional products in form although does not necessarily result in Shariah non compliance of the Islamic financial products if the substance structure and operational execution of the transaction is based on Shariah principles rather than the riba based Qard structures of the conventional banks; the imitation in form has become a bone of contention in convincing the masses regarding the Shariah compatibility of the current Islamic banking system and products in Pakistan. Hence this reputational road block; despite the growth in recent years; has hindered Islamic banks to make any significant inroads in areas untouched by conventional banks so much so that with only 10% of the country’s population having a formal bank account (World Bank 2011, ‘World Bank Page 3 of 40 Financial Inclusion Data’) the unbanked section of the country’s population still stands at a massive 90%. The Shariah Reputation Risk is a unique feature faced by an Islamic financial institution in addition to the reputational risk related to the solvency of the financial institution. While Islamic financial institutions may sustain the confidence in the public regarding their ability to pay their debts as they fall due at the same time any dent in confidence regarding the level of Shariah compliance adhered to by these institution can also have disastrous effects causing a bank run on deposits or drying up of credit disbursements causing a liquidity crises which can in turn ultimately lead to the insolvency and default of the institution. While the issue of imitation of conventional products in form is a common phenomenon through out the global Islamic financial markets; the issue is a serious threat in the context of Pakistan given the chequered experience of the public with the Islamic banking experiment of the 1980s The experiment was declared un-Islamic by Federal Shariat Court (FSC) of Pakistan in 1991 and by Shariah Appellate Bench (SAB) of the Supreme Court of Pakistan in 1999 (Usmani 2007). Similar apprehensions exist among the general public regarding the Shariah compatibility of the current Islamic financial system. 2.0 The use of KIBOR as a benchmark: In Pakistan the representative benchmark used by commercial banks to price their financing products is the Karachi Interbank Offered Rate (KIBOR). The mechanism for calculating KIBOR will be discussed in the later section; however the KIBOR was launched in January 2004 and all the commercial banks were required; upon the instructions of SBP (BPD CircularNo.1, 21 January 2004); to price their corporate lending based on KIBOR. Before the launch of KIBOR the commercial banks either used the prevailing rates of various tenors of the sovereign Treasury Bills issued by SBP or the SBP discount window rates as the base rates for pricing their Page 4 of 40 lending products. With the establishment of Meezan Bank Limited (MBL) as the first commercial Islamic bank in 2002; the bank also started to use the Treasury Bill rates as the base rate for pricing its products. Subsequently with the incorporation of KIBOR the bank started to price its products based on this benchmark. The use of interest based benchmarks is prevalent in all the Islamic financial market and is widely being used by Islamic banks for financing their products; the main reason for this is the absence of any worthwhile market representative Islamic financial benchmark. The use of these benchmarks has been allowed by Islamic scholars based on the fact that if the underlying transaction is based on the compensatory contracts, procedures and principles allowed by Shariah rather than the contract of Qard (as is the case with conventional banks) the mere usage of a conventional benchmark for calculating the price or the profit amount does not render the transaction haram or impermissible. Usmani (1998, p.119) states: If a Murabaha transaction fulfills all the conditions enumerated in this chapter, merely using the interest rate as a benchmark for determining the profit of murabaha does not render the transaction as invalid, haram or prohibited because the deal itself does not contain interest. Similarly the juristic pronouncement given by the Shariah board of the Islamic Interbank Benchmark Rate (IIBR) (2011, p.1) states that: in the absence of benchmarks that have evolved from Shari`a precepts for transacting, Islamic financial institutions have been making regular use of LIBOR (the London Interbank Overnight Rate) which is based on interest and is therefore in no way reflective of Islamic values and principles. It is for this reason that such a benchmark is ill-suited as an accurate indicator of value within Islamic markets even though fiqh councils and committees have ruled that it is lawful to use such benchmarks as references in the absence of anything else.” Hence from these quotes it is clear that while the scholars have given the approval for the usage of the conventional interest based benchmarks the usage is considered undesirable and only on the condition that the representative Islamic benchmarks are not available. Commenting on the use of conventional benchmarks Usmani (1998, p.119-120) further states: Page 5 of 40 It is, however true that the Islamic banks and financial institutions should get rid of this practice as soon as possible, because, firstly, it takes the rate of interest as an ideal for a halal business which is not desirable, and secondly because it does not advance the basic philosophy of Islamic economy having no impact on the system of distribution. Therefore the Islamic banks and financial institutions should strive for developing their own benchmark. The development of indigenous Islamic financial benchmark in Pakistan is not only the desire of the country’s Islamic finance scholars but is also the requirement for the industry to make further inroads into the country’s financial landscape and even more so to bring the 90% unbanked population in to financial inclusion which has largely been untouched by the conventional system for the last 66 years. 3.0 The ingredients of an Islamic benchmark: While commenting on the need for an Islamic benchmark the fatwa of the Shariah board of the IIBR (2011) states: Since the Shari`a of Islam insists on transacting with justice and the doing of good, it requires the development of instruments that measure what occurs in the markets in accordance with values and principles that correspond with the Shari`a of Islam. Unless a benchmark is derived from within the value system on which the Islamic financial services industry is based, that benchmark can never serve as a true and accurate point of reference for the industry. This is why there is such a pressing need today for benchmarks that describe Islamic markets with precision while also according with authentic Islamic modes of transacting. In the previous section we have looked at the requirement of an indigenous Islamic financial benchmark both from the Shariah as well as the commercial perspective. Before discussing the possibilities, issues and options for launching such a benchmark it is important to extract and outline the broad objectives and goals that such a benchmark must fulfill from both the perspectives: The benchmark must be a reliable standard representative of the Islamic financial markets’ liquidity situation for unsecured risk, placements and acceptances. Page 6 of 40 It must be derived from the value system and contracts based on the principles of Shariah and Islamic modes of financing. The benchmark must be acceptable to the industry participants to the extent that it used for their internal pricing and for pricing their wholesale, retail and interbank financing transactions. The benchmark must be a means of achieving the distributive justice as outlined by the principles of Islamic economics. 4.0 Mechanism of KIBOR Karachi Inter-bank Offered Rate (KIBOR) uses the Reuters infrastructure for its daily quotations. The contributors of KIBOR are around 20 conventional commercial banks (as selected by Financial Markets Association of Pakistan (FMA)) operating in Pakistan. As per the FMA (Master Communique’ on Kibor 2009) the contributing banks contribute their two way Bid and Ask rates daily by 11:20 am (Pakistan Standard Time) to the Reuters for the tenors ranging from overnight to 3 years. The Reuters cancels out the highest and lowest rates as outliers and calculates the arithmetic mean of the remaining rates. The FMA also acts as the guardian of the KIBOR setting process. Initially rates of only 1-month, 3-month and 6-month tenors were quoted; the quoted rates for various tenors have been extended over the years. The 6-month and the 1-year KIBOR are the most widely used rates for pricing long term and short term financial transactions. Rules and Mechanism of KIBOR as per FMA (Master Communiqué on Kibor 2009): All KIBOR contributor banks are required to quote their two way prices for minimum amount of PKR100mn, within the allowable maximum bid/offer spreads for the relevant tenor as indicated below: Page 7 of 40 - Overnight – 1month - 3 and 6 months - 9 months, 12 months, 2 & 3 years 50basis points 25 basis points 50 basis points The quoted prices would remain valid between 11:30 am – 11:50 am for all KIBOR tenors. KIBOR contributing banks should have unsecured contributing limits for at least 25% of other KIBOR contributing banks. In cases where unsecured lending limits for any particular KIBOR contributing bank do not exist or are temporarily full, the quoting bank is required to honor its KIBOR quoted bid price. Banks which fail to submit KIBOR rates to Reuters for 4 Business Days during any calendar month would be suspended for the next 1 month from the list of KIBOR contributors. SBP will monitor this regularly and instruct the Reuters to comply with the said instructions under advice to FMA 5.0 Proposed Mechanism of Islamic Interbank Offered Rate – Karachi (IIBOR-K) In this section we look at the proposed mechanism of IIBOR – K developed by Meezan Bank Limited and presented to the State Bank of Pakistan on 4th June 2010. As far as the structure of the mechanism is concerned it is similar to the way other benchmarks like LIBOR and KIBOR are derived; with Islamic Banks and Islamic Banking Windows of conventional banks contributing rates each day for various tenors based on their liquidity position and their forecasts for the future trend of the market. The following mechanism and specific rules were outlined for the IIBOR – K in the proposal put forward before the SBP: 1) Banks that can contribute shall be Islamic Banks (IBs) and Islamic Windows (IWs). However initially only the six full-fledged Islamic banks shall be the contributors. Islamic windows shall join in at a later stage Page 8 of 40 2) All contributor banks shall be required to quote their two way expected profit rates on Interbank Mudarabah/Musharakah/Wakala Placements for the amount of PKR 25 million, within the allowable maximum bid/offer spreads for the relevant tenor as indicated in Table 1 below. The quoted prices would remain valid between 11:45am-12:00 pm Pakistan Standard Time (PST) for all IIBOR-Karachi tenors. Initially only rates for 1-week to 6-months tenor shall be quoted. 3) If the bank is hit on its IIBOR-Karachi price once in any tenor, it can then change the price for any IIBOR-Karachi tenor in a subsequent quote. However, the bid/offer spread in case of any subsequent price must not be more than the allowable bid/offer spread as per Table 1. Table 1 1 week, 2 weeks and 1 month 3 and 6 months 100 basis points 50 asis points 4) IIBOR-Karachi contributor banks should have unsecured placement limits in place for at least 25% of other IIBOR-Karachi contributing banks. In cases where unsecured placement limits for any particular IIBOR-Karachi contributing bank do not exist or are temporarily full, the quoting bank is required to honor its IIBOR-Karachi quoted bid price. Banks which fail to submit IIBOR-Karachi rates to Reuters for 7 Business Days during any calendar month would be suspended for the next 1 month from the list of IIBOR-Karachi contributors. 5) Other Miscellaneous Guidelines a) All IIBOR-Karachi Contributors to submit their rates to Reuters latest by 11:35 am PST. b) To calculate IIBOR-Karachi Fixings, Reuters will exclude highest and lowest prices as per Table 2 and calculate the arithmetic mean for the remaining values. c) All IIBOR-Karachi interbank related deals should be mentioned properly in reporting through money market Central Reporting System (CRS) to SBP. Page 9 of 40 Table 2 Number of Contributing Banks Less than or Equal to 4 Between 5 & 8 More than 8 6.0 Outlier Prices to Removed None 1 highest & 1 lowest 2 highest & 2 lowest be Analysis and comparison of proposed IIBOR-K mechanism with other benchmarks The mechanism for deriving IIBOR - K is quite similar to the mechanism of other conventional benchmarks and the Islamic Interbank Benchmark Rate (IIBR); the only Islamic banking benchmark launched in November 2011 jointly by Thomson Reuters (TR) and AAOIFI. However compared to the IIBR which does not relate to any specific region, country or jurisdiction (TR 2011, ‘IIBR Fact Sheet’) the proposed IIBOR-K is related to the city of Karachi and the rate shall be the benchmark for the financings provided through out the jurisdiction of Pakistan. Secondly the IIBR is the benchmark rate for the financings to be provided in the currency of United States Dollars and not in any particular currency of the countries to which the contributor banks relate to; hence it is supposed to be the global benchmark for Islamic banks(TR 2011, ‘IIBR Fact Sheet’). With the major contributors of IIBR being banks from the GCC the IIBR may represent the ground realities of liquidity situation in the GCC but surely may be in stark contrast to ground realities in other Islamic financial markets like Malaysia, Indonesia, Pakistan, Africa, etc. For this reason the use of IIBR in USD denominated financing is non existent in the markets outside the GCC. Based on observation and discussion with industry participants even in GCC the major banks; both the contributors and non contributors to the IIBR; do not use IIBR as the preferred benchmark for providing USD based financings. This shows that there is a lack of confidence in IIBR being the true representative of the industry. Another major difference between IIBR and IIBOR-K is that while the IIBR is based on the Page 10 of 40 quotes of the Bid rates (TR 2011, ‘IIBR Fact Sheet’), IIBOR-K is proposed to be a two way rate based on both Bid and Ask quotes of the contributing banks for various tenors. Hence the IIBOR-K shall be quoted in form of a range rather than a single rate. To ensure that the range is not expansive the proposed mechanism has restricted the maximum spread allowed when the quote is made. Both the benchmarks are not based on fixed returns as is the case with conventional interest based benchmarks but are rather based on expected rates; i.e. the contributors are asked to submit the expected rates that they would be willing to provide/demand for certain amount of funding. The reason for this is that while conventional rates are guaranteed as an obligation on the obligor in a contract of qard or loan the underlying Islamic interbank transactions are based on Musharakah, Mudarabah, Wakalah or Commodity Murabaha under which the returns are not guaranteed but are to be earned based on the actual underlying performance of investment or trade transaction. The mechanism of IIBOR-K also defines the minimum amount of acceptance / placement for which the rates are to be quoted which is PKR 25million compared to the lot size required under the rules of KIBOR; which is PKR 100million; this amount seems paltry however the same has been kept due to the industry dynamics as will be discussed in the later sections. In contrast the mechanism of IIBR does not outline any such minimum lot size amount for making the quote but refers to the market amount of USD in the question asked to the contributors (TR 2011, ‘IIBR Fact Sheet’). This can be a problem since the contributing banks to the IIBR currently range from GCC region to Malaysia while there are plans to include more Islamic banks from other regions; with each region having different standards and levels for market amount of USD this mechanism is bound to discourage actual cross border interbank transactions based on the benchmark making it at best a quoted benchmark rather than a traded one. To make the IIBOR-K a practical industry representative Page 11 of 40 benchmark and to avoid artificial quotes by the contributor banks certain provisions have been built in its mechanism including the rule that the contributed rates shall remain valid for 15 minutes between 11:45am till 12:00pm and any bank which is approached for its expected ask rate during this time period by any other contributing bank will be required to honor its commitment and place funds with that investee bank provided the investor bank has sufficient room in its interbank placement limits for that investee bank. Likewise to ensure that there is sufficient interbank flow of funds among IIBOR-K contributors the rules also require that each contributor bank must have unsecured placement limits in place for at least 25% of other IIBORK contributing banks. At the same time the rules make it mandatory for the quoting banks to accept funds at the quoted expected bid rate if it is approached during the defined time period by any other contributing bank. Similarly to keep track of the deals at the quoted rates the proposed rules also require the contributing banks to specifically mention such interbank deals as IIBORK related in the SBP reporting system. No such measures seem to have been incorporated in the IIBR mechanism which would ensure that the IIBR contributed rates are genuine and the rate actually becomes an industry representative practical benchmark. However under the IIBR mechanism TR is required to carry out the audit and review of the contributed rates before calculating the average IIBR rate for the day. Along with this audit requirement the IIBR is also supervised by a supervisory and technical advisory committee known as the Islamic Benchmark Committee (IBC) comprising of representatives of all the contributing banks, AAOIFI, Thomson Reuters, Islamic Development Bank, etc. At best the IBC based on the recommendations of TR can include or exclude any contributor bank in case of persistent out of the market non genuine quotes or any other breach of the agreement between the contributing banks (TR 2011, ‘IIBR Fact Sheet’). However as far as measures required to make the benchmark practical and tradable Page 12 of 40 is concerned the IIBR seems to be deficient in this regard when compared to the proposed IIBOR-K mechanism. At the same time it is important to note that there is no provision of any supervisory body for the IIBOR-K to judge the matter in case of conflict or to implement the rulings like inclusion or exclusion of contributors as an independent impartial party. SBP can play this role as it is doing in case of KIBOR. 7.0 Issues and challenges in developing and launching IIBOR - K The purpose of having benchmarks is to have a reliable barometer available for the users to judge the status of the liquidity position of the industry which would help them in making an informed financial decision. Hence the benchmark must be reflective of the industry status and market dynamics. There is no point in having a benchmark which is not reflective of the industry position of liquidity. Such benchmarks would lead users to make decisions which have not optimally taken in to account the liquidity position of the market and the level at which the interbank market prices the risk given the tenor of financing for clean unsecured financing. The same was the concern of the SBP representatives on the proposal presented before them. While appreciating the efforts of Meezan Bank’s team and the viability of the mechanism of the IIBOR-K the SBP reiterated the need for making it a true representative of the Islamic banking industry and stressed that for this purpose ‘all Islamic banks must not only be in consensus but also be the contributors to the daily rates for deriving the IIBOR –K rates’. Despite these promising developments in 2010 the launch of IIBOR – K has been stalled to date due to impeding issues and challenges which need to be conquered for developing a truly reliable and representative Islamic benchmark rate for the Islamic banking industry in Pakistan. These issues and challenges are discussed at length in the following sections. 7.1 Size of the industry Page 13 of 40 Why did the SBP stress the need for including at least all the Islamic banks as contributors to the rate before the final launch? The answer lies in the small size of the industry. Despite attaining around 10% market share the Islamic banking industry in Pakistan is still dwarfed by the conventional banking system of the country. As per the current figures (2012 year end) there are 5 fulfledged Islamic Banks and 13 Islamic Banking windows (IBB-SBP December 2012). This is in stark contrast to the size of the conventional banking market which has around 32 commercial banks. Out of these 30 banks; up to 20 are contributors to KIBOR for various tenors. These include top 5 commercial banks known as the Big 5 controlling 52% market share of the banking industry namely MCB Bank, United Bank Limited, National Bank of Pakistan, Allied Bank Limited and Habib Bank Limited (Annual Reports 2011). Hence the KIBOR is determined based on contributions from a major portion of the banking industry and thereby representing the real market sentiment. Absence of one or two contributor banks on any single day would not affect the status of KIBOR not reflecting the industry status. However since Islamic banking is relatively a small industry with only five participants the absence of one or two participants or disqualification of one or two participating banks will render the IIBOR-K as meaningless and not reflecting the industry ground realities. 7.2 Industry Dynamics The current Islamic banking industry landscape is largely dominated by one large Islamic bank. Meezan Bank Limited (MBL) is the first and largest Islamic Bank of Pakistan controlling a market share of 32.5 % in terms of deposits and 33% in terms of assets as of December 2012 (MBL Annual Report 2012). The remaining numbers are shared by 4 Islamic banks and 13 Islamic banking windows. In terms of profitability MBL ranked 9th in the whole banking industry as per the results for the year ended December 2011 with a bottom line profit after tax of Page 14 of 40 PKR 3.392 billion. Compared to this the rest of the full-fledged Islamic banks in the industry managed to secure a combined bottom line of PKR 1.11 billion; with Bank Islami Limited (BIL) and Al Baraka Bank Pakistan Limited (ABBPL) showing earnings of PKR 410 million each Dubai Islamic Bank (DIB) making an earning of PKR191million while Burj Bank Limited (BBL) made a net loss of PKR 288 million. With this controlling stake in the market other market participants are anxious of being a partner contributor to an average industry benchmark. The relative strength of MBL in terms of profitability has enabled the bank to invest heavily in its branch network over the years. With 310 branches MBL has the 8th largest bank network in the industry (MBL Annual Report 2012), the closest to MBL among Islamic banks is BIL with a branch network of 102 (BIL Annual Report 2012). The total number of Islamic banking branches in the country as of year ending December 2012 was 1097 branches (IBB-SBP December 2012). This widespread branch network provides MBL with an extensive outreach and higher sources of generating low cost retail liquidity. This has resulted in MBL having the lowest average cost of deposit rate of 5.3% in the Islamic banking industry (MBL Annual Report 2011). In fact when looking in terms of the whole banking industry MBL has the 7th lowest cost of deposits among 32 commercial banks. As per the year ended 2011 the rest of the Islamic banks experienced the following costs of deposits (according to 2011 annual reports). Name of Bank Cost of Deposits Bank Islami Limited 6.3% Dubai Islamic Bank 6.4% Burj Bank Limited 8.4% Al Baraka Bank Pakistan Limited 8.7% The proportion of low cost Current Account and Saving Account (CASA) deposits; an important statistical performance benchmark in the industry; of MBL as of December 2011 was 65%. Comparatively other Islamic banks fared as per the following table (according to 2011 annual reports). Page 15 of 40 Name of Bank Proportion of CASA Bank Islami Limited 48.5% Dubai Islamic Bank 53.8% Burj Bank Limited 44.6% Al Baraka Bank Pakistan Limited 45.9% In terms of wholesale sources to funding MBL due to its better credit rating; as mentioned in the following section; and strength of its balance sheet is able to have diverse lines with other conventional financial institutions to accept and place funding through the modes of Tawarruq and commodity murabaha. These entire factors place MBL into a very strong position by a huge margin compared to its Islamic banking counterparts creating a perception that MBL will be able to control the benchmark rates to its benefit and to the detriment of other banks. Such perceptions may seem unreal given the mechanism of IIBOR-K as stated above which requires: i) the rates quoted by each bank to be executable to control the rigging of the benchmark and; ii) the average will be a trimmed average by discarding the highest and the lowest prices. However given the fact that the rates of offer/bid will only be given for a meager PKR 25 million which will not have a huge impact on MBL given the sheer size of its balance sheet and the fact that if the contributor banks on any given day fall below the number of five the trimmed average formula will not be implemented making the controlling of the benchmark by the industry’s largest bank a certain possibility. The IIBOR-K derived from such a situation may be to low to be acceptable to other Islamic banks in the industry; who will have to charge a higher premium over and above the benchmark rate making it difficult for them to market their financing products to their corporate and retail customers. The low cost of deposits will certainly enable MBL to quote rates which are very much lower than the rest of the market. Hence even if we consider that the number of contributors does not fall below five contributors the rates quoted by MBL shall be sidelined as outliers. The IIBOR-K in such cases will then be based on the remaining values. These values may be contributed by a Page 16 of 40 large number of Islamic banks and Islamic banking windows but the resulting IIBOR-K rates may not reflect the true industry position nor be based on the lowest cost and risk levels of the industry since after all MBL does represent 33% share of the industry. 7.3 Ratings The contributing banks for LIBOR and KIBOR have similar ratings and financial strength which allows for each of the contributing banks to freely trade funds between them at the contributed rates. The ratings of the big 5 group of banks; the major contributor to the KIBOR and the other second tier contributor banks as at September 2012 is as follows (SBP 2012): Name of Bank Rating Agency Short Rating National Bank of Pakistan Allied Bank Limited United Bank Limited MCB Bank Limited Habib Bank Limited Bank Alafalah Limited Askari Bank Limited Faysal Bank Limited Bank Al Habib Limited Habib Metropolitan Bank JCR-VIS PACRA JCR-VIS PACRA JCR-VIS PACRA PACRA PACRA PACRA PACRA A-1+ A1+ A-1+ A1+ A-1+ A1+ A1+ A1+ A1+ A1+ Term Long Rating term AAA AA+ AA+ AA+ AA+ AA AA AA AA+ AA+ As can be observed the short term ratings of all the major banks contributing to the KIBOR are same. This ensures that each bank has sufficient lending limits approved with other banks for short term interbank placements. The following is the ratings of Islamic banks operating in Pakistan (SBP 2012): Name of Bank Rating Agency Short Rating Meezan Bank Limited Bank Islami Limited Dubai Islamic Bank Burj Bank Limited Al Baraka Bank Pakistan Limited JCR-VIS PACRA JCR-VIS JCR-VIS JCR-VIS A-1+ A1 A-1 A-1 A-1 Term Long Rating term AAA A A A Page 17 of 40 Due to MBL’s relative strength as mentioned earlier the bank has both long term and short term ratings higher than its peers. In fact MBL’s short term ratings are equal to the top tier commercial banks in the industry. As far as other players in the Islamic banking industry are concerned all of them have a one level lower short term credit rating of A-1. Due to this difference in credit ratings all Islamic banks do not have sufficient interbank credit lines with each other; thereby reducing the volume of transactions between them. Instead Islamic banks are more satisfied with having interbank short term credit lines with the Islamic banking windows of conventional banks which have the same credit rating as their conventional parent companies since ratings are issued for the institution as a whole and not independently for the window operations. Almost all of the conventional banks mentioned in the ratings grid have conventional windows except Allied Bank Limited. Secondly the development of product structure of local commodity murabaha in 2007 in Pakistan has allowed Islamic banks to use this vehicle of Tawarruq for parking their excess liquidity even with conventional banks. Such measures have raised eyebrows of various observers including the regulator; however the Islamic banks and their Shariah advisors have justified these measures in the past on the basis of non availability of sufficient Shariah compliant avenues for deployment of excess liquidity by Islamic banks and the fact that the commodity murabaha transaction structurally involves sale of goods rather than lending of funds to conventional banks. Hence the Islamic banks have other alternatives with better risk profiles to invest their excess liquidity with rather than rely on other Islamic banks. The unavailability of sufficient lines was also raised as one of the stumbling road block restricting the development of Islamic interbank market and practical viability of IIBOR-K during the meetings between Islamic banks for the launch of IIBOR-K. Since rates quoted for Page 18 of 40 IIBOR-K need to be executable as mentioned in the mechanism above so as to avoid rigging of rates and make the benchmark a real representative of the industry; the unavailability of sufficient lines would effectively make the contributed quotes non-executable hence increasing the chances of the IIBOR-K rates being rigged. 7.4 Standardization Another important factor inhibiting interbank flow of funds between Islamic banks is the fact that different Islamic banks and windows use products based on different modes for acceptance and placement of funds in the interbank market. This was also the main factor highlighted by Treasurers and Shariah advisors in the various meetings held between Islamic Banks to build a consensus for the launch of IIBOR-K. MBL, ABBPL and BBL use the Musharakah structure for accepting and placing liquidity. On the other hand DIB uses the Wakalah based structure for placement of liquidity. The second largest Islamic bank BIL initially had its interbank product structure based on Wakalah but later discarded it citing Shariah compliance issues; the bank also was not in favor of using Musharakah based structure earlier but now seems to be settled with the same structure. As far as Islamic windows of conventional banks are concerned Bank Alfalah Islamic, MCB Islamic, Habib Metropolitan Islamic and Habib Bank Islamic use the Musharakah based structure for interbank activity. Faysal Bank Islamic, Standard Chartered Saadiq and Soneri Bank Islamic use the Mudarabah Structure. Similarly the use of Commodity Murabaha or Tawarruq has been a major bone of contention among Islamic banks in terms of its compliance to Shariah. Disapproval of the product gained its momentum after the issuance of ruling regarding impermissibility of organized Tawarruq by Islamic Fiqh Academy. While MBL, BIL and DIB use it sparingly other Islamic banks have not allowed the use of this product. Page 19 of 40 Hence it is clear that unlike conventional banking system where there is only one product structure; based on lending; Islamic banks in Pakistan use various different structures for acceptance and placement of funds in the interbank market. To resolve this matter and to bring a certain level of standardization Musharakah and Wakalah structures were selected by Shariah Advisors and Treasurers for the purpose of standardization during meetings for the launch of IIBOR-K based on SBP directives. In the initial round of circulation for final approval the Musharakah based structure and the Interbank Master Musharakah Agreement were approved and finalized by MBL, Dawood Islamic Bank (now BBL), ABBPL and Emirates Global Islamic Bank (now merged with ABBPL). The product was disapproved by DIB and BIL citing Shariah concerns. The Wakalah based structure and the Master Wakalah Agreement were approved and finalized by MBL, ABBPL and DIB. However Dawood Islamic Bank and BIL disapproved the structure based on Shariah reasons. Without divulging these Shariah reasons it is imperative to mention the nature of reasons for disapproval raised by each bank: Dawood Islamic Bank cited Fiqhi concerns and questioned the permissibility of Wakalah for istithmar (investment) purposes. BIL’s concerns regarding Musharakah where more related to operational aspects for instance use of hiba, waad and the ability of all Islamic banks to segregate and manage special investment pools from its general pools. Regarding Wakalah; BIL cited Fiqhi concerns in using Wakalah and giving a fixed fee to the wakil in a special investment pool where the Wakeel is also participating as a partner along with the Muwakkil. Regarding its non approval of Musharakah; DIB advised that ‘its global Shariah board is not convinced regarding the Shariah compliance of the Interbank Musharakah product and hence Page 20 of 40 it is not possible for them to secede from them’; hence the reason was more of an internal policy matter rather than a purely Shariah issue. While the Fiqhi issues are not the subject of discussion of this paper it is pertinent to mention over here that hiba and waad are only applied by Islamic banks in Pakistan when calculating and distributing monthly Mudarabah profits to general pool of depositors; the same are not employed by Islamic banks in interbank Musharakah transactions involving special investment pools as has been observed over the years by the author; hence BIL’s concerns regarding this seem to be unreal. Hence despite these efforts the six Islamic Banks in 2010 failed to agree on any single product structure and legal documentation to be used in the Islamic interbank market. However despite these setbacks since the Musharakah based structure was still largely acceptable by a large number of Islamic windows along with four full-fledged Islamic banks; MBL initiated a second level of consensus exercise in which Islamic Windows of conventional banks were asked to give their consent and approval for this products structure and its legal documentation. This received an overwhelming response and the following windows gave their consent for the Interbank Musharakah product: Faysal Bank Islamic Banking, Askari Bank Islamic Banking, Habib Metropolitan Islamic, Bank Alfalah Islamic Banking, National Bank Islamic, MCB Islamic and Habib Bank Islamic. Despite this consensus the launch of IIBOR-K could not be achieved in 2010 due to the absence of two key players in the industry i.e. BIL and DIB. The current situation in 2013 is more or less the same with seven Islamic windows and three fulfledged Islamic banks being in consensus on the Interbank Musharakah Structure; while three fulfledged Islamic banks are in consensus for the Wakalah structure. With this divided mandate Page 21 of 40 the development of an efficient Islamic interbank market and hence a viable benchmark remains a distant possibility. 7.5 Low confidence regarding Shariah compliance: Due to different schools of Fiqh; scholars from Malaysia, Pakistan and Gulf Region have different opinion on different issues which result in different product structures prevailing in different regions. This has hindered the process of standardization and integration of global Islamic financial markets; restricting the flow of funds between jurisdictions; since Islamic investment opportunities like sukuk issues in Malaysia may not be acceptable to scholars from Pakistan or GCC and vice versa due to underlying Shariah non compliance issues. Unrestricted flow of funds; as is the case with conventional financial markets; is crucial for the development of a well integrated and efficient global Islamic financial market. While inter regional differences are understandable intra regional differences are a real cause of concern within the nascent Islamic financial market in Pakistan. The issue of standardization in Pakistan is not related merely to the transaction structures in the interbank market (as discussed above) but extend to the general banking products that each Islamic bank offers. In fact this problem is an extension of the issue of standardization in the global Islamic financial markets due to different Shariah opinions in each jurisdiction. While there is sufficient level of understanding among Islamic banks having local Pakistani scholars on their Shariah boards or as Shariah advisors; products of Islamic banks with foreign Shariah boards are seen with skepticism. The local religious schools and their fatwa issuing bodies have only certified products of Islamic banks with local Shariah scholars. While the position of these institutions regarding Islamic banks with foreign scholars is that of anonymity; that is neither approving nor disapproving these institutions. This is also the position of the country’s two biggest religious Page 22 of 40 institutions Jamia Darul Uloom and Jamia Al Rashid; both the institutions hold heavy influence among the general public. Again the major reason underlying this issue seems to be the difference of opinion between the different schools of thought since the Hanafi fiqh is the major school of thought prevailing in Pakistan while scholars of Arab origin in other Islamic banks follow other schools of thought. Hence while MBL has approved the Wakalah based interbank product structure of DIB the bank does not have any interbank placement lines with DIB. Similarly MBL also does not have any placement lines with Standard Chartered (SCB) Saadiq (Pakistan). Similar is the position of BIL and BBL regarding these two institutions. The reason in both these cases is the lack of confidence that prevails in the market regarding the Shariah compliance level of the financing products of these two institutions and the level of systems in place to ensure Shariah compliant execution of approved products which in turn leads to confidence deficit regarding the permissibility of income earned by these institutions. It is important to note however that similar lack of confidence among local Islamic Banks does not exist regarding ABBPL even though the bank is a subsidiary of Al Baraka Banking Group (ABG), a Bahraini joint stock company. Even the religious schools of the country also have a positive opinion regarding the bank. This seems to be due to the fact that the bank’s management has devised its Shariah governance structure according to the sentiments of the market by incorporating a local panel of well reputed and qualified Shariah scholars. There are three local Shariah scholars on its panel for managing Shariah matters of the subsidiary along with the high profile global Shariah board of the ABG. The bank used to operate with one Shariah scholar previously but reconstituted its local panel in 2010 when the bank acquired Emirates Global Islamic Bank. In contrast DIB and SCB Saadiq both employ one local Shariah scholar who works under their global Shariah boards. Page 23 of 40 This issue has also hampered the development of clean interbank lines between Islamic banking institutions restricting the free and efficient flow of funds between them. Resolution of this issue is crucial for the development of the Islamic banking industry and the launch of an Islamic benchmark rate in the country. Various measures need to be taken to resolve this issue. Institutions facing the problem of market perception and Shariah acceptability need to rethink on their Shariah governance structures and probably follow in the footsteps of ABBPL: keeping intact their high profile global Shariah boards as well as creating a local committee of local Shariah scholars catering to the local demands and sentiments of the market. This may result in different Shariah positions being taken by these banks for the same product being offered in different markets; for instance rebate on early payments in Murabaha transactions which may be allowed in the GCC markets but prohibited in the Pakistani market; or different products being offered for different markets. However this is the strategy employed by successful multinational organizations worldwide; take for instance the example of Pizza Hut and KFC offering different menus for different markets catering to the local tastes. Such differences of opinion can also be weeded out through Shariah advisor level negotiations between Islamic banks. Alternatively the Islamic banks (especially those with foreign Shariah scholars) can approach the local religious and fatwa institutions to resolve the issues and misunderstandings regarding their products. This will not only help in bringing standardization but also result in more marketability and acceptability of their brand name. 7.6 Role of Central Bank Shariah Board Role of the central Shariah Board is crucial for the development and standardization of Islamic banking products in any jurisdiction. The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) incorporated its Shariah Board in the year 2004; two years after issuing the first license for establishing a full-fledged Page 24 of 40 Islamic bank in the country. Over the past nine years SBP Shariah Board has been instrumental in achieving several crucial landmarks for instance approval of Essentials and Model Agreements for Islamic Modes of Financing; Structuring and launch of WAPDA Sukuk and a series of Sovereign Ijarah Sukuk; adoption and adaptation of four AAOIFI Shariah standards in Pakistan; issuance of instructions and guidelines for Islamic Banking Institutions; etc. Despite these achievements the SBP Shariah Board has not been able to make any impact regarding the following: (1) Achieving standardization/harmonization of Shariah interpretations among Islamic banks: To date the SBP Shariah Board has not taken any measures in resolving the differences of opinion prevailing in the market as discussed in the previous section. One reason for this is evident from the roles of the SBP Shariah Board (SBP 2008, Strategic Plan for the Islamic Banking Industry in Pakistan [SPIBIP]) which does not require individual Islamic banks to acquire approval of SBP Shariah Board before launch of new products in the market. This is unlike the role of Syariah Advisory Council (SAC) of Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) which requires the individual banks to take the approval of SAC (SBP 2008, SPIBIP); this ensures an in built mechanism for achieving standardization across the industry within BNM’s jurisdiction. While recognizing its benefits the strategy adopted by BNM can also result in inertia, lack of innovation and creativity in the industry by slowing down the process of new product development and launch by erecting stumbling blocks of procedures, policies and approvals of the regulator. Due to these reasons SBP has adopted the current approach which has resulted in the development of diverse menu of products and solutions available for Islamic banking customers. However despite this policy, standardization of the industry can be achieved in a harmonious manner if the regulatory Shariah Board makes a pro-active intervention by requiring the Islamic banks and their Shariah advisors Page 25 of 40 to sit together and weed out the outstanding differences through a series of constructive discussions with the SBP Shariah Board acting as a moderator. (2) Resolution of long outstanding structural issues necessary for the development of the Islamic banking industry: Availability of Central Bank’s Lender of Last Resort Facility for Financial institutions (which we will discuss in detail in the next section) and sovereign short term money market instruments for managing liquidity; are necessary ingredients for building a strong infrastructure for an effective financial system. Despite several proposals from Islamic banks in this regard; the past nine years have not seen any worthwhile development in this area. (3) Providing Shariah compliant alternates to SBP’s preferential conventional financing schemes: Similarly Islamic banks have developed appropriate solutions for other major problems facing the industry and submitted the proposals to the SBP Shariah Board. These proposals include the development of Shariah compliant alternates to Long Term Finance Facility for export oriented projects – a facility under which SBP provides liquidity at subsidized rates to conventional banks for providing subsidized funding to exporters, solutions enabling Islamic banks to execute forward foreign currency transactions with SBP and proposed Shariah compliant structure for collateralized Islamic interbank placement product an alternative to conventional repo and reverse repo transactions. These issues are of vital importance for the development of Islamic money market but no significant progress or intent at the regulatory level can be seen. A major reason for this inertia and the dormant role played by SBP’s Shariah Board lies in the governance structure of its Shariah board; explained one Islamic banking executive during discussion with the author. The composition of the SBP’s Shariah board (SBP 2008, SPIBIP) shall involve two Shariah scholars, one accountant, one lawyer and director of the Islamic Banking Department (IBD) of SBP who shall also act as secretary to the Shariah Board. The role Page 26 of 40 of the accountant and the lawyer shall only be to provide technical help to the Shariah scholars. The authority to make final decisions shall rest with the chairman of the board who shall be from among the two Shariah scholars. The problem lies in the fact that since its incorporation either one or both of the scholars appointed on the SBP Shariah board has at the same time served as Shariah advisor of a particular Islamic bank. Currently one of the scholars on SBP Shariah Board is also the Shariah advisor of DIB while the other scholar is the Shariah advisor of MCB Islamic. This is not the case in other jurisdictions for instance in Malaysia the BNM SAC members are not allowed to work in the Shariah committee of any financial institution. The executive explained that this does not ensure independence of the Shariah board with the focus of the board being diverted to matters which are of more significance to the banks’ the Shariah scholars are associated with rather than resolving the pressing matters of the overall industry. 7.7 Non availability of Shariah compliant Financier of Last Resort Facility (FOLRF) One major role that Central Bank needs to play is that of being the financier of last resort to all the banks in the industry. Currently SBP provides this facility to conventional banks in Pakistan through its 3 Day discount window facility known as reverse repo facility at the prevailing discount rates (SBP 2009, DMMD Circular No.1). The conventional banks can avail this facility by placing government papers as securities to the SBP. In contrast there is no such facility available for Islamic banks. A Shariah compliant structure for this facility based on the concept of Mudarabah was developed in consensus by Islamic banks and submitted to SBP on 12th September 2011. Subsequently the members of the development committee of the proposal also gave their presentation to SBP. Under the structure whenever any Islamic bank is short of funds it can approach the SBP for requirement of funds. SBP after the usual scrutiny can provide funds as Rabul Maal by investing Page 27 of 40 in the general asset pool of the investee Islamic bank; which is managed by the Islamic bank as Mudarib. SBP’s investment will be given a profit sharing weightage. The tenor of SBP investment can be from 1 – 3 days; to be decided at the time of application by the Islamic bank. Upon maturity of the investment period; profit of the pool will be calculated from which the profit share of SBP will be calculated as per the pre agreed profit sharing weightage and distributed to SBP along with the initial investment value. The structure is similar to that followed by the central bank of Indonesia. However despite the efforts the Islamic banks are still devoid of this facility. Without this facility Islamic banks are devoid of a source of liquidity supply which can act as a cushion in times of liquidity crunch. Currently in times of liquidity crunch Islamic banks have to rely on the interbank market to avail liquidity. Due to under development of Islamic liquidity market as discussed in previous sections arranging liquidity from the interbank market becomes an uphill task. Consequentially liquidity can only be arranged at higher costs, and more often the overnight rates offered for the liquidity are even higher than the SBP window rates available for conventional banks. Apart from this the non availability of the Islamic Discount Window causes Islamic banks to take a cautious approach in managing their funds. This impacts their daily and weekly liquidity management approach since Islamic banks have to fulfill daily and weekly statutory Cash Reserve Requirements (CRR) of the regulator. This has resulted in a situation where the Islamic financial market and the Islamic banks operate at a level which is lower than the optimal efficiency level resulting in artificially higher liquidity management costs. Under these circumstances and given the small size of the industry any average benchmark rate of the Islamic banking industry will be higher than it would have been with the availability of Islamic Window Facility; thus not reflecting the true sentiments of the market. Page 28 of 40 8.0 Independence of IIBOR-K from KIBOR Islamic banks are financial institutions and like all financial institutions they are agents of financial intermediation. That is all financial institutions including Islamic banks have two major core functions to play. The first function relates to the accumulation of funds from the surplus units of the economy; i.e. those sources having surplus liquidity. The second function relates to the placement or transfer of the accumulated funds to the deficit units of the economy; i.e. those individuals, firms, factories, etc which require these funds to produce goods and services which add value to the society. Hence by playing this role the financial institutions help deploy idle capital to productive uses. Islamic banks play the same role albeit in a manner which complies with Shariah. The Pakistani Islamic Figure 1 - Money Market Equilibrium banking sector also plays the same 20% KIBOR & IIBOR-K 18% function within the wider financial 16% 14% intermediation market. However the 12% Demand 10% Supply 8% 6% problem with the Pakistani Islamic banking sector is the same as 4% 2% discussed earlier that it is merely a 0% 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 Liquidity Supplied & Dem anded (in PKR Bns) 9.7% of the total banking industry. Without going into the statistics the Islamic interbank market is even smaller than this figure would suggest due to it’s under developed nature and small volume transactions among Islamic banks. Under this scenario even if the IIBOR-K is launched as per the proposed mechanism it is almost certain that the rates of IIBOR-K would be more or less equal to the KIBOR. The reason for this possibility is that financial markets like all markets are driven by the forces of demand and supply which interact Page 29 of 40 in the market to achieve the equilibrium price. The price in the financial market is the interest rate at which the liquidity is demanded and supplied. The typical demand curve of liquidity is negatively sloped as can be seen in Figure 1. The negative slope is due to the fact that lower the interest rate the higher is the demand for liquidity for a specified period of credit; which is assumed to be 6-months in Figure 1. The figure also shows the supply curve of liquidity which is positively sloped denoting the fact that higher the interest rates higher will be the amount of liquidity that financial institutions are willing to supply for a specified period of credit. The money market equilibrium is the point where the demand for liquidity and supply of liquidity interact denoting the fact that supply and demand are equal at that point of interest rate. In Figure 1 the money market equilibrium is at the point where KIBOR is equal to 8%. Other things remaining constant, any one institution charging rates higher than this point say for instance 10% will realize that it is unable to find sufficient borrowers to lend to since there would be other financial institutions offering credit at much cheaper rates of 8% in the market. Hence this institution would be forced to decrease its rates for supplying credit to the market up to the rate of 8% since any rates above than this market equilibrium rate would not get the required number of borrowers. Similar will be the case if we bring in IIBOR-K into this market. Other things remaining constant, if five Islamic banks and certain number of Islamic banking windows were to quote their rates as per the proposed mechanism of IIBOR-K and if that rate were to be higher than the prevailing market equilibrium rate of KIBOR these host of Islamic institutions will face the same situation as faced by the institution which quoted 10% rate in our hypothetical example. If 6-month IIBOR-K is quoted at 10% on any single day with equilibrium KIBOR being 8% Islamic banks will not be able to find sufficient interbank and even corporate customers to provide financing to. Contrastingly since Page 30 of 40 IIBOR-K is proposed to be a two way rate the bid rate of IIBOR-K will also be higher than 200 basis points than the bid rate of KIBOR. This will provide arbitrage opportunities to the market participants who will start borrowing from the conventional system at 8% and place the borrowed funds at 10% with Islamic banks. Even conventional banks will find it profitable to start placing their excess liquidity with Islamic banks at 10%. This situation will result in Islamic system being flushed with excess liquidity and contracting avenues for deployment of this liquidity. As a result Islamic banks and windows will have to reduce their quotes for the following days up to the point where IIBOR-K is equal to KIBOR or the equilibrium rate. If the IIBOR-K rates are quoted below the equilibrium KIBOR rates the process will be reverse. For instance if the equilibrium 6-month KIBOR is 8% and the 6-month IIBOR-K is quoted at 6% the Islamic banking institutions will witness long queues of interbank as well as corporate customers desiring to avail funding from them. The arbitrageurs including conventional banks will also find an opportunity to avail funding from the Islamic system and place these funds with the conventional system. On the other hand depositors who are indifferent regarding Shariah compliance will start to withdraw their deposits from the Islamic system and deposit their funds with the conventional system. This pressure on withdrawals and high demand for Islamic funds would create a liquidity crunch situation for Islamic banks which they would require to resolve through replenishing of liquidity from the interbank market, with other Islamic banks facing the same situation and non availability of FOLRF from SBP the Islamic banks would be bound to approach the KIBOR priced conventional system for availing the required liquidity through Tawarruq which would be higher than the IIBOR-K rates. Hence being a dwarf to the conventional system the Islamic banks would be forced to increase their quoted rates for the following periods to stem the outflow of funds from its system as well as to ease the pressure on Page 31 of 40 its financing side. The rates would have to be increased upto the point where IIBOR-K is equal to the KIBOR rates baring transactional cost of arbitrage. In the scenarios discussed above the question arises why would the Islamic system be forced to revise its rates rather than the conventional system? The answer lies in the fact that Islamic banking is merely a 9.7% of the total Banking industry in Pakistan and hence is not a dominant position to dictate its rates. Hence the conventional system is currently the market maker and is the major market for financial intermediation; any solo action on the part of Islamic participants does not and will not move the market. Hence as far as the economic theory of market forces is concerned the IIBOR-K launched at this stage will not be independent from KIBOR and will have to toe its line. However it remains to be seen for which we don’t have any empirical evidence in any other market regarding how will the market move when Islamic banking captures a major share of around 50% or 60% of the banking market. Even in such cases it is highly likely that the two rates would be more or less the same baring transaction costs of arbitrage since with no barriers to the free flow of funds between the two systems the market forces would able to play their free role and equate the two rates up to the point where there are no further opportunities of arbitrage. However it is certain that in such a scenario IIBOR-K will not follow KIBOR since both the rates will have same level of presence on ground and both the rates will be in a position to move the market. 8.1 Independence of IIBOR-K with a Bar on free flow of funds The placement of excess liquidity by Islamic banks with conventional interest based institutions is a matter of concern among various quarters and is not viewed favorably by various Shariah scholars since it results in facilitating conventional banks to make riba based lending whereas the Holy Quran forbids Muslims from helping one another in wrong doing and transgression (Surah Page 32 of 40 Al Maidah 5:2). Indeed it seems undesirable and unjust that on the one hand Islamic institutions discourage customers from depositing with conventional banks due to presence of Riba while at the same time they place their funds in a wholesale manner with conventional banks through controversial products like commodity murabaha/Tawarruq. In this section we look at the effects on independence of IIBOR-K where there is a complete ban on placement of funds by Islamic banks with conventional banks either from the Shariah scholars or the regulator. While at the same time we also assume that there is no bar on conventional banks placing funds with Islamic banks since the majority of the funds of the conventional banks consist of deposits from the general public and is deemed to be halal by the majority of the scholars (Usmani c. 1999). The following two figures depict the probable scenarios in such a case: In the Figure 2 (a) the market Figure 2 (a) - Money Market Equilibrium equilibrium is shown in a 20% situation where there is no bar KIBOR & IIBOR-K 18% 16% on free flow of funds between 14% 12% Demand 10% the two systems. The market Supply 8% equilibrium 6% 4% KIBOR and IIBOR-K is achieved at 8% 2% 0% 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 Liquidity Supplied & Dem anded (in PKR Bns) assuming other things are constant and there are no transaction costs of arbitrage. The supply in this figure is the total supply of money being the aggregate of supply of the Islamic market and the conventional market. The same is the case with demand which is the aggregate of the two markets. Page 33 of 40 The Figure 2 (b) shows the Figure 2 (b) - Conventional Money Market Equilibrium conventional 20% 18% The demand in the conventional 16% 14% KIBOR market. market is the same as the 12% Supply 10% Demand 8% Supply** 6% demand in figure 2 (a) since the Islamic banks are not 4% barred from accepting funds 2% 0% 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 from 10000 the conventional Liquidity Supplied & Dem anded (in PKR Bns system. However the supply in figure 2 (b) is less than the supply level in figure 2 (a) since the Islamic banks are not allowed to place funds with conventional banks. Hence the supply curve (Supply**) in figure 2 (b) is to the left of the supply curve (Supply) in figure 2 (a); the gap between the two curves depicts the unavailable Islamic money supply. Due to this shift in the money supply the equilibrium KIBOR of the conventional market at Figure 2 (c) - Islamic Money Market Equilibrium 10% comes out to be higher 20% 18% than the equilibrium that 16% IIBOR-K 14% would have been in case free 12% Demand 10% Supply Demand** 8% 6% flow of funds was allowed between the two systems as 4% 2% depicted in Figure 2 (a). Now 0% 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 Liquidity Supplied & Demanded (in PKR Bns) let’s look at Figure 2 (c) which represents the Islamic money market; notice that the supply curve in Figure 2 (c) is at the same level as in Figure 2 (a) Page 34 of 40 since the conventional banks can place/offer their funds with/to the Islamic market; the supply in the Islamic market will be same as supply of funds in Figure 2(a). However since conventional banks are not allowed to accept funds from Islamic banks the demand for the Islamic funds will be less than the demand shown in Figure 2 (a). Hence the demand curve (Demand**) in Figure 2 (c) is to the left of the demand curve (Demand) in Figure 2 (a). This decrease in the demand would result in equilibrium IIBOR-K at 6% in the Islamic market being less than the equilibrium IIBOR-K which would have been in case free flow of funds were allowed between the two systems as depicted in Figure 2 (a). Hence with the restrictions in place and no arbitrage opportunities available it is highly likely that IIBOR-K will be different and lower than the KIBOR rate at all times due to excess supply and lower demand for funds in the Islamic market; making IIBOR-K largely independent from the KIBOR fixing. It is important to note that the explanation discussed above assumes that there will be no indirect leakages from the Islamic system towards the conventional system. In the real world scenario it is highly likely that even though direct placement from Islamic banks into conventional system would be restricted other economic agents such as firms and corporate entities; especially those which are indifferent regarding Shariah principles; would start availing funding from the Islamic system while placing their excess liquidity with the conventional system thereby resulting in an indirect arbitrage. However the magnitude and the pace of this arbitrage will determine the impact it will have on the two benchmark rates; which remains to be seen. Irrespective of the effects; as far as the independence of IIBOR-K is concerned a restriction on flow funds is bound to make it a reality. 8.2 Independence hampered due to nature of Islamic Banking financing: Page 35 of 40 Currently the nature of financial intermediation undertaken by Islamic banks is similar to that taken by conventional banks. Both systems have adopted debt based approach for financial intermediation. While both the deposit side and the financing side of the conventional system is based on debt; Islamic banks rely on non debt based contracts for accumulation of deposits and debt based transactions for financing purposes. These debt based financing of Islamic banks comprises the following modes murabaha, tawarruq, istisna, musawamah, etc. Under these modes the basic underlying risk effecting the decision making of Islamic banks is the credit default risk which is similar to the underlying risk of the conventional lending based products. Hence the price that the market or the customers are willing to pay for this risk is justifiably similar to the prevailing price at which the conventional system is willing to provide funding for. Hence Islamic banks also need to charge the same rate which is equal to the market equilibrium KIBOR. KIBOR has also been used as a benchmark by Islamic banks for providing car financing and house financing through the lease based modes of ijarah and musharakah mutanaqisa instead of using the prevailing market rates of car and property rental rates of different areas. While financing based on Shirkatul Aqd based modes is a rarity even the mechanism of such transactions when executed has been financially engineered to restrict the returns of the financier to the KIBOR while remaining in the ambit of Shariah principles. The reason for this adherence to KIBOR even when using such modes is partly due to the fact that Islamic banks have targeted those markets and customers who have traditionally been banking with the conventional banks and partly due to the small size of the Islamic banking industry. The customers who have the option of availing financing at lower rates from conventional banks will not find any attraction in entering into partnership based financing modes with Islamic banks and share their profits without any ceiling. Hence in such a scenario; even if Islamic banks gain a majority share of the Page 36 of 40 banking market; any separate Islamic benchmark will not be independent of KIBOR and will not achieve its purpose of being based on the value system of Islam and being a means for achieving distributive justice as outlined earlier. As has been stressed by many observers and scholars that Islamic banks need to move on into adopting modes which are based on the principles of profit and loss sharing; rather than low risky debt based modes; which are more aligned in achieving the distributive justice as outlined by Islam. Use of such modes on the financing side will also ensure returns on the deposit side which may be variable but more in line with the higher objectives of Maqasid alShariah. While Islamic banks cannot and should not curtail their financings to the existing markets and customers it is necessary that they venture out into areas which have been untouched by the traditional form of financial intermediation. For instance Islamic microfinance involving partnerships with poor people in their businesses; private equity investments in growing small and medium sized venture; partnerships with young entrepreneurs in promising startups; equity partnerships with small and poor farmers who have the capability but no resources; taking direct equity stakes in projects of national interest like extraction of coal in the Thar desert and development of coal fired power plants; etc. These are areas which have been neglected by the conventional finance so much so that 88% of the country’s population is unbanked. With vast untapped potential in agriculture, power, mining, service industry, etc markets and customers which have been denied access to finance up till now would be more willing to enter into partnership based financings where losses, risks and profits are shared with the Islamic banks as per the actual performance of the underlying business. These projects may result in higher risks but also result in high profits which are not capped by the KIBOR rate; while at the same time it is possible to hedge the risks through diversification. Hence along with the existing portfolio Page 37 of 40 Islamic banks should focus on developing this portfolio of shirkatul aqd based activities. Upon significant size of this portfolio Islamic banks will have two types of assets those which are debt based and capped to a certain level of risk and profit rates; and secondly the portfolio which is partnership based with managed risk but higher returns without any capping. With these inherent characteristics; irrespective of their size or share in the industry; Islamic banks will provide IIBOR-K quotes which would be different and independent from KIBOR reflecting their own liquidity status, placement opportunities, expected returns and risk. 9.0 Conclusion The proposed mechanism for IIBOR-K is a workable option; however the paper has explained in detail various practical issues and challenges which have hampered the development of this benchmark. These issues and challenges range from market dynamics, standardization, strength of the industry players, under developed interbank market, role of the regulator and deficient interbank infrastructure. A strategy needs to be evolved by the Islamic financial institutions, Shariah scholars, regulators and other stakeholders to resolve these challenges for not only providing a favorable environment for the launch of IIBOR-K but also for the development of an integrated and efficient Islamic financial system in the country. The analysis also concludes that in the current scenario if the IIBOR-K is launched it will not be independent from the conventional KIBOR; even if the Islamic banking industry captures a higher market share the IBOR-K would still be expected to be equal to the KIBOR given the fact that there are no restrictions of flow funds from Islamic to conventional system under the current scenario. If restrictions are placed on such flows the IIBOR-K is expected to be lower than the KIBOR. The paper also suggests that real independence can be ensured if the Islamic banks adjust the nature of their financial intermediation according to the higher motives of Maqasid AlShariah. 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