Introduction : In March 2000, Arinso International, a Belgian software development company, announced an Initial Public Offering. In this paper, we will discuss this IPO. We start by a brief description of the company. Then, we will focus on the main reasons for this IPO. The main features of the capital operation are discussed in the next section. 1.Company profile: Arinso International is a Belgian group that consists of 11 ICT consulting companies, which mainly operate under the name of Argus Integrated Solutions. These companies are specialized in implementing and maintaining Enterprise Resource Planning systems, mainly focused on Human Resource management. Arinso was founded in 1994 by a group of former SAP-HR consultants. The main driving force behind the foundation and largest shareholder is Jos Sluys, who is for the moment still the CEO of the group. Through its subsidiaries the group has an international coverage, it offers its HR applications and services in Europe, the US, Canada and Latin America. Today, it employs 1250 staff in 22 countries. The main activity of Arinso is the provision of Human Resources Solutions with a focus on implementing Human Resources Management, Benefits and Payroll systems. These solutions are customized to the specific needs of the clients. Since their products are tailored, the clients of Arinso are mostly well-established large companies. Some of its clients are for example Fortis, Volkswagen Belgium, KB Luxembourg, Nestle, Bayer, Haliburton, … Its HRsolutions are based on the SAP, ORACLE and Meta4 operating systems. With the companies providing these operating systems Arinso established partnerships. In 1999 Arinso also entered into the areas of e-HR Services and HR Business Process Outsourcing. Arinso expects that these two activities will give the company a competitive advantage in the HR markets in which it operates. It is also developing more general human resource packages, which must make it possible to enter the HR market of the medium sized companies. Figure 1 shows the evolution of the capital over time of Arinso until the IPO. One of the most important changes in capital is the transaction (6). Transaction (6) describes two capital increases because of the contribution of Argurs Integrated Solutions Inc. (US) and Argus Integrated Solutions Inc. (Canada). The capital of Arinso international N.V. is increased with BEF 42,517,442 and BEF 14,003,228; following the contribution of 100,000 shares of Argus Integrated Solutions Inc. (US) and 1,000 shares of Argus Integrated Solutions (Canada), respectively. Date Type of transaction Modification of the capital BEF 1,250,000 Number of Amount of the new shares capital in BEF 1,250 BEF 1,250,000 14.04.1994 (1) Formation 04.09.1998 (2) Capital increase and modification of nature of shares BEF 1,250,000 BEF 2,500,000 26.08.1999 (3) Capital increase by contribution in kind BEF 7,613,142 3,806,571 BEF 10,113,142 (4) Capital increase by conversion of issuance premiums BEF 229,192,468 BEF 239,305,610 (5) Splitting of the shares into 2 BEF 239,305,610 17.12.1999 (6) Capital increase by contribution in kind 1. BEF 42,517,442 1,758,669 BEF 281,823,0532 2. BEF14,003,288 1,356,210 BEF 295,826,340 Figure 1: Evolution of capital Total number of shares 1,250 (par value) 2. Advantages and disadvantages of an IPO In the prospectus, several reasons are mentioned why Arinso did an IPO. The main reasons are : -easing the financing of future acquisitions. First of all, this IPO leads to a large cash inflow for Arinso. According to the prospectus, around 100 million Euros is expected. Secondly, a stock listing opens the possibility for future secondary equity offerings. If the stock performs well, it will not be difficult to attract new investors. -creating a solid capital structure Increasing the equity leads to a lower debt equity ratio and thus less financial risk for Arinso. Before the IPO, the debt equity ratio was about 1.23. After the IPO, it decreased to 0.25. This is a very low leverage ratio. Considering several theories (e.g. the static trade-off theory), this ratio could even be too low to be optimal. -motivating the personnel by setting up stock option plans. Arinso hopes to increase the commitment of the personnel by giving them options. If the stock price does well, these options can be exercised and thus create extra revenue for the staff. On the other hand, the link between the performance of the staff and the performance of the stock price is not always that straightforward. It could then be a source of disappointment if the workers really perform well whereas the stock price is, due to others factors such as for example a negative investment sentiment, underperforming. -increasing name recognition and reputation 1,250,000 5,056,571 5,056,571 10,113,142 11,871,811 13,228,021 Undoubtedly, a stock quotation enhances the visibility of the company. Whether it always increases the reputation of the company, is open to debate. A poorly performing stock can hurt the credibility of the firm and thus negatively influence its performance. -creating liquidity for the current shareholders. An IPO is often a way for the initial founders to dispose of their shares. However, this doesn’t seem the case with Arinso since all the existing shareholders only decrease their stake marginally. Of course, an IPO also has disadvantages. A first major disadvantage mentioned in the prospectus is of course the cost of an IPO. Total costs are estimated at EUR 4.1 million. During our interview with …., the following disadvantages were mentioned: 3. Important features of the IPO -Timetable of IPO Date Event 06/03/2000 Start of pre-marketing 16/03/2000 Start of the book building procedure Start of the public offer 28/03/2000 End of the book building procedure End of public offer barring earlier closing 29/03/2000 Allotment 31/03/2000 Payment 31/03/2000 Listing on the Brussels Stock Exchange As can be seen in the above table, institutional and private investors could subscribe to the offer starting from 16 March 2000 until 28 March 2000. - Number and origin of shares The offering consists of 1.322.802 new shares and 1.322.802 existing shares. If the overallotment option is exercised, 396.841 existing shares will additionally be sold. In this case, the number of shares in hands of the public, the free float, will amount to 20.9%. If « the greenshoe » is not exercised, 18.2% of the shares is owned by the public. In any case, the founder, Jos Sluys, will certainly hold the majority of the shares (61,2% or 63,3%). + tabel verdeling aandelen voor/ na IPO ? - Allocation of the shares The company aimed at selling 30% of the shares to private investors and 70% to institutional investors. Also, a maximum of 100.000 shares could firstly be allocated to the staff. The maximum number of shares one employee could buy was 2000. - Market of quotation The shares are quoted on the First Market of the Brussels Exchange. -Lock up period The existing shareholders agreed not to sell their shares until 180 days after the IPO. This lock up period is mostly introduced in order to not destabilize the stock price by creating a supply surplus. -Lead/ Co-lead manager Since an IPO is not a common event for a company, they have to be assisted by financial institutions that are experienced in these kinds of activities. Arinso chose Fortis Bank as their lead manager, and Bank Degroof and KBC Securities as co-lead managers. Valuation: In order to price the shares, there needs to be an estimate of the value of the shares. Two estimation methods were applied: (1) Discounted cash flow, (2) Peer group comparison (1) Discounted cash flow : In this method, the cash flows that the company is expected to generate in the future, are discounted at the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) of the company. This results then gives the present market value of the company. In order to calculate this WACC, the risk free rate, the market risk premium, and the unlevered beta were estimated to be respectively 6.2%, 1.9% and 1.1. Depending on the amount of leverage, this yields a WACC between 9.0% and 10.2%. The average market value of Arinso is then 647 EUR million. (2) Peer group comparison As a means of checking the market value obtained in the first method, it is common practice to derive the value of a company by analysing price measures of « comparable » firms. However, finding truly comparable firms is not always so straightforward. In the case of Arinso, two peer groups were composed. One group of quoted firms whose main activity was implementing ERP systems and one group of quoted companies whose main activity was providing e-HR solution. For these two groups, Price earnings and price/sales ratios were calculated. Based on the earnings and sales of Arinso, the company should then be valued between 517 and 1841 million Euros. We clearly observe that the DCF method positions Arinso at the low end of this value interval. However, caution is necessary when interpreting the results of this second method. This analysis is carried out at a period when stock prices were at their highest levels and, ex-post, strongly overvalued. For example: the average price earnings ratio of the first peer group amounted to 90.5 for 2000 and 68.1 for 2001. Based on these calculations, the preliminary share price range was set between EUR 36 and EUR 40 per share. This price range is only informative and could change until 16 March 2000. Then, the final price range would be announced. Afterwards, near to the first quotation, the final price would be set and announced. The self-set goal of the corporate governance structure of Arinso is to ensure the interest of its shareholders and stakeholders. Arinso also aims to act in accordance with the principles “Corporate Governance” as recommended by the Belgian Commission for Corporate Governance. In order to be able to attract independent directors, Arinso will reserve itself the right to issue warrants. Other key elements in the corporate governance structure of Arinso are the openness, regularity and high quality communication. Realizing these elements means that Arinso communicates on a regular basis with the press, the financial analysts and the shareholders. An indication that this strategy is appreciated by the parties involved, is the fact that in 2002, for the second year running, the Belgian Association of Financial Analysts ranked Arinso fourth in the evaluation for the annual award for Best Financial Information. For the practical realisation of these key goals Arinso relies on its internal structure, a combination of the Board of Directors and various committees. We now take a closer look at this internal structure. 1. Board of Directors 1.1. Composition of the Board of Directors The members of the Board of Directors are appointed for a period of six years by the General Meeting of Shareholders and a re-eligible. At least two members of the Board have to be independent in the sense that they are not employee or consultant of Arinso or any of its subsidiaries; they hold no more than 3% or more of the shares of Arinso; and that they have no other relationship with Arinso which could affect their independence. 1.2. Tasks of the Board of Directors A first task is to devise the strategy for the group and assigning the financial and other means necessary to fulfil the strategy. The second task of the Board of Directors is controlling management and the different committees. The Board of Directors also decides about the formation and dissolution of the subsidiaries of the company and it defines the management structure of these subsidiaries. A last task of the Board of Directors is evaluating the budgets and figures of the group at periodic intervals. 1.3. Functioning of the Board of Directors For the Board of Directors to take valid decisions or deliberate, a majority of directors should be present or represented. In case that these requirements are not met, at least two directors are required to be present or represented at a new meeting with the same agenda before resolutions can be rendered legitimate. In case of a tie the chairman of the meeting casts the deciding vote. In practice decisions are made by consensus. The CEO, the CFO and the Executive Management Committee inform the Board of Directors on a quarterly basis on the status of the activities within the different subsidiaries, in order for the Board to supervise these subsidiaries. The members of the Board have signed a code of conduct concerning insider trading. 2. The committees 2.1. Auditing Committee The Boards of Directors created an audit committee that consists of at least 4 members. The independent directors are always represented in this committee. The tasks and responsibilities of the Committee are clearly described in the Audit Committee's charter that was established at the meeting of November 2nd 2000. The Audit Committee assists the Board of Directors with the fulfilment of its task concerning the realization and control of external financial reporting, the internal control system on finances and the audit, internal as well as external. 2.2. Remuneration committee (referred to as the ‘Benefits and remuneration committee’ in the IPO prospectus) The Remuneration Committee consists of at least 3 members and the independent directors are always represented. A charter of the tasks and responsibilities of the Remuneration Committee was established at the same meeting as the charter on the Auditing Committee. The main task of this committee is discussing proposals concerning the remuneration of directors and the members of the Board of the subsidiaries. A member of this Committee cannot attend the meeting or the voting concerning his own remuneration. The Remuneration Committee also advises the Board of Directors and the Managing Director on the general remuneration policy. 2.3. Stock option committee The Stock Option Committee is responsible for managing the different warrant plans and is also authorized to elaborate and grant new warrant plans. A member of this Committee is not allowed to attend the meeting or to vote concerning the creation or allocation of his own warrants. 2.4. Executive Management Committee (referred to as ‘Strategic and management committee’ in the IPO prospectus) This Committee consists of the regional managers, the country managers of the three most important countries in the group and the vice presidents of the “Strategy & HR BPO departments”, both in North America and Europe. The Committee evaluates and advises on the current and future policy of the Company, on business development as well as financial and organizational matters. The Committee is also responsible for the communication and implementation of strategic decisions of the Board of Directors towards the countries. In the section, we will discuss the evolution of the stock price, following the initial public offering. The value of the stock was determined to be €40 at the introduction, as can be seen on the graph. To facilitate the comparison between the Arinso-stock and the Bel 20 price index, we have brought the latter to the starting level of the former. Stock Price 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Bel20 2003 2003 2003 2002 2002 2002 2002 2001 2001 2001 2001 2000 2000 2000 2000 Arinso Graph #: Stock price of Arinso International Soon after the IPO, the price of the stock of Arinso International started to decline dramatically. This trend was continued over the next six months, leveling out at around €10 per share before growing again slightly. From 2002 onwards, the stock edged down once more, almost reaching €5. From there on, it slowly started to regain some of its value. When we compare the performance of Arinso International with that of the Bel 20 price index, we note that the stock market crash of 2000 was limited to a section of it, rather than being a general trend. At the time that Arinso International was recovering from the crash, the Bel 20 was edging down. The behavior of the stock of Arinso International and the Bel 20 started to coincide in mid-2001, with both growing. Aside the crash early in 2000, the fluctuations in price seem to be more volatile with the Bel 20 price index, especially from 2002 onwards. It is a frequent observed phenomenon that the stock price sharply increases during the first days of quotation, due to excess demand. This is not the case with Arinso. Although the offer Arinso made was 11 times oversubscribed (and one could expect rising prices), it never exceeded its initial price. A second phenomenon, long term underperformance, is clearly observed with Arinso. If the initial investors would sell their shares today, they would loose about 75% of their investment.