5 Forecast Financial Statements These forecasts have been prepared in accordance with the Public Finance Act 1989. They are based on the accounting policies and assumptions that follow. As with all such assumptions, there is a degree of uncertainty surrounding them. This uncertainty increases as the forecast horizon extends. The Risks and Scenarios and Specific Fiscal Risks chapters discuss the risks to the fiscal forecast in more detail. The forecasts have been prepared in accordance with the Statement of Responsibility and reflect the judgements and information known at the time they were prepared. They reflect all government decisions and circumstances communicated to 1 May 2015. The finalisation dates and key assumptions that underpin the preparation of the Forecast Financial Statements are outlined in the Fiscal Outlook chapter (pages 49 to 51). B.3 | 91 2015 BUDGET ECONOMIC AND FISCAL UPDATE Statement of Accounting Policies Significant Accounting Policies The Forecast Financial Statements have been prepared in accordance with the accounting policies that are expected to be used in the comparable audited actual Financial Statements of the Government. They comply with generally accepted accounting practice (GAAP) as required by the Public Finance Act 1989 and have been prepared in accordance with Public Benefit Entity Financial Reporting Standard 42: Prospective Financial Statements. All forecasts use the accrual basis of accounting. Forecasts have been prepared for the consolidated Financial Statements of the Government reporting entity, which includes all entities controlled by the Government (as defined by applicable financial reporting standards). The specific accounting policies are included within the 2015 Budget Economic and Fiscal Update Additional Information document which can be found on the Treasury’s website at www.treasury.govt.nz/budget/forecasts/befu2015 Changes in Accounting Policies All policies have been applied on a consistent basis during the forecast period. There have been no changes in accounting policies during the period. The “Actual” Financial Statements for the year ended 30 June 2014 shown in these forecasts apply accounting policies established in accordance with New Zealand equivalents to International Financial Reporting Standards as appropriate for public benefit entities (NZ IFRS (PBE)). As a consequence of the change in GAAP resulting from the External Reporting Board’s Approved Accounting Standards Framework, the Forecast Financial Statements for the years ended 30 June 2015 to 30 June 2019 apply accounting policies established in accordance with Public Sector PBE Accounting Standards (PBE Standards) – Tier 1. These standards are based on International Public Sector Accounting Standards (IPSAS). The impact of changing from NZ IFRS (PBE) to PBE Standards is not significant. This is owing to a strong degree of convergence between the two suites of standards. Forecast Policies The Forecast Financial Statements have been prepared on the basis of the Treasury’s best professional judgement. Actual financial results for the periods covered are likely to vary from the information presented in these forecasts. Factors that may lead to a material difference between information in these Forecast Financial Statements and the actual reported results in future years are set out in the Specific Fiscal Risks chapter on pages 67 to 90. Key forecast assumptions are set out on pages 49 to 51. 92 | B.3 FORECAST FINANCIAL STATEMENTS Reporting and Forecast Period The reporting periods for these Forecast Financial Statements are the years ended 30 June 2015 to 30 June 2019. The “2014 Actual” figures reported in the statements are the audited results reported in the Financial Statements of the Government for the year ended 30 June 2014. The “2015 Previous Budget” figures are the original forecasts to 30 June 2015 as presented in the 2014 Budget. B.3 | 93 2015 BUDGET ECONOMIC AND FISCAL UPDATE Government Reporting Entity as at 1 May 2015 These Forecast Financial Statements are for the government reporting entity as specified in Part 3 of the Public Finance Act 1989. This comprises Ministers of the Crown and the following entities (classified in the three institutional components used for segmental reporting): Core Crown Departments Crown Law Office Department of Conservation Department of Corrections Department of Internal Affairs Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet (includes Canterbury Earthquake Recovery Authority as a departmental agency) Education Review Office Government Communications Security Bureau Inland Revenue Department Land Information New Zealand Ministry for Culture and Heritage Ministry for Primary Industries Ministry for the Environment Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment Ministry of Defence Ministry of Education Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade Ministry of Health Ministry of Justice Ministry of Māori Development Ministry of Pacific Island Affairs Ministry of Social Development Ministry of Transport Ministry of Women’s Affairs New Zealand Customs Service New Zealand Defence Force New Zealand Police New Zealand Security Intelligence Service Office of the Clerk of the House of Representatives Parliamentary Counsel Office Parliamentary Service Serious Fraud Office State Services Commission Statistics New Zealand The Treasury Offices of Parliament Others Controller and Auditor-General The Ombudsmen Parliamentary Commissioner for the Environment New Zealand Superannuation Fund Reserve Bank of New Zealand State-owned Enterprises segment Airways Corporation of New Zealand Limited Animal Control Products Limited AsureQuality Limited Electricity Corporation of New Zealand Limited KiwiRail Holdings Limited Kordia Group Limited Landcorp Farming Limited Learning Media Limited (in liquidation) Meteorological Service of New Zealand Limited New Zealand Post Limited New Zealand Railways Corporation Quotable Value Limited Solid Energy New Zealand Limited Transpower New Zealand Limited Mixed ownership model companies (Public Finance Act schedule 5 companies) Others Genesis Energy Limited Meridian Energy Limited Mighty River Power Limited 94 | B.3 Air New Zealand Limited FORECAST FINANCIAL STATEMENTS Crown entities segment Accident Compensation Corporation Arts Council of New Zealand Toi Aotearoa Broadcasting Commission Broadcasting Standards Authority Callaghan Innovation Careers New Zealand Children’s Commissioner Civil Aviation Authority of New Zealand Commerce Commission Crown Irrigation Investments Limited Crown Research Institutes (7) District Health Boards (20) Drug Free Sport New Zealand Earthquake Commission Education New Zealand Electoral Commission Electricity Authority Energy Efficiency and Conservation Authority Environmental Protection Authority External Reporting Board Families Commission Financial Markets Authority Government Superannuation Fund Authority Guardians of New Zealand Superannuation Health and Disability Commissioner Health Promotion Agency Health Quality and Safety Commission Health Research Council of New Zealand Heritage New Zealand Pouhere Taonga Housing New Zealand Corporation Human Rights Commission Independent Police Conduct Authority Law Commission Maritime New Zealand Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa Board New Zealand Antarctic Institute New Zealand Artificial Limb Service New Zealand Blood Service New Zealand Film Commission New Zealand Fire Service Commission New Zealand Lotteries Commission New Zealand Productivity Commission New Zealand Qualifications Authority New Zealand Symphony Orchestra New Zealand Teachers Council New Zealand Tourism Board New Zealand Trade and Enterprise New Zealand Transport Agency New Zealand Venture Investment Fund Limited New Zealand Walking Access Commission Office of Film and Literature Classification Pharmaceutical Management Agency Privacy Commissioner Public Trust Radio New Zealand Limited Real Estate Agents Authority Retirement Commissioner School Boards of Trustees (2,417) Social Workers Registration Board Sport and Recreation New Zealand Standards Council Takeovers Panel Te Reo Whakapuaki Irirangi (Māori Broadcasting Funding Agency) Te Taura Whiri i te Reo Māori (Māori Language Commission) Television New Zealand Limited Tertiary Education Commission Tertiary education institutions (29) Testing Laboratory Registration Council Transport Accident Investigation Commission WorkSafe New Zealand B.3 | 95 2015 BUDGET ECONOMIC AND FISCAL UPDATE Crown entities segment continued Organisations listed in schedule 4 of the Public Finance Act 1989 Non-listed companies in which the Crown is majority or sole shareholder (Public Finance Act schedule 4A companies) Agricultural and Marketing Research and Development Trust Asia New Zealand Foundation Fish and Game Councils (12) Game Animal Council Leadership Development Centre Trust Māori Trustee National Pacific Radio Trust New Zealand Fish and Game Council New Zealand Game Bird Habitat Trust Board New Zealand Government Property Corporation New Zealand Lottery Grants Board Ngāi Tahu Ancillary Claims Trust Pacific Co-operation Foundation Pacific Island Business Development Trust Reserves Boards (21) Sentencing Council Te Ariki Trust Crown Asset Management Limited Crown Fibre Holdings Limited Education Payroll Limited Fairway Resolution Limited Health Benefits Limited Research and Education Advanced Network New Zealand Limited Southern Response Earthquake Services Limited Tāmaki Redevelopment Company Limited The Network for Learning Limited Legal entities created by Treaty of Waitangi settlements Acts (Public Finance Act schedule 6) Te Urewera Subsidiaries of SOEs, Crown entities and other government entities are consolidated by their parents and not listed separately in this table. 96 | B.3 FORECAST FINANCIAL STATEMENTS Forecast Statement of Financial Performance for the years ending 30 June 2014 Note Actual $m 2015 Previous Budget $m 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Revenue Taxation revenue 1 60,879 65,824 65,462 68,098 71,718 75,995 79,633 Other sovereign revenue 1 5,450 5,138 5,191 5,038 4,621 4,444 4,284 Total Revenue Levied through the Crown's Sovereign Power 66,329 70,962 70,653 73,136 76,339 80,439 83,917 Sales of goods and services 16,472 17,091 16,625 17,253 17,756 18,325 18,682 3,175 3,672 3,565 4,036 4,692 5,140 5,480 3,692 3,809 3,879 Interest revenue and dividends 2 Other revenue 3,420 3,842 3,594 3,580 Total revenue earned through the Crown's operations 23,067 24,605 23,784 24,869 26,140 27,274 28,041 Total revenue (excluding gains) 89,396 95,567 94,437 98,005 102,479 107,713 111,958 Expenses Transfer payments and subsidies 3 23,360 23,876 23,846 24,482 25,353 26,228 27,232 Personnel expenses 4 20,484 20,881 21,182 21,594 21,699 21,868 22,025 Depreciation and amortisation 5 4,872 4,882 4,855 4,904 5,034 5,196 5,250 Other operating expenses 6 35,553 37,520 36,757 38,093 37,499 37,664 37,669 Finance costs 7 4,400 4,763 4,689 4,687 5,271 5,503 5,536 Insurance expenses 8 3,501 3,517 4,023 4,348 4,764 5,217 4,991 Forecast new operating spending 9 - 291 7 305 1,403 3,965 5,526 Top-down expense adjustment 9 Total expenses (excluding losses) 92,170 Minority interest share of operating balance before gains/(losses) (159) Operating balance before gains/(losses) (excluding minority interests) (2,933) (875) 94,855 (555) 94,804 (1,025) 97,388 (520) 100,503 (500) (445) 105,196 (430) 107,799 (340) (317) (441) (522) (535) 372 (684) 176 1,476 1,995 3,624 2,560 2,518 2,602 2,689 Net gains/(losses) on financial instruments 10 4,820 Net gains/(losses) on non-financial instruments 11 540 (82) (6,551) (45) (47) (48) (49) 21 (25) (66) (32) (13) (11) (1) Less minority interest share of net gains/losses Total gains/(losses) Net surplus/(deficit) from associates and joint ventures Operating balance (excluding minority interests) 12 2,583 5,381 2,476 360 254 2,808 3,102 6,021 (596) 646 (634) 2,483 2,458 2,543 2,639 331 333 333 334 2,990 4,267 4,871 6,597 The accompanying notes and accounting policies are an integral part of these Statements. B.3 | 97 2015 BUDGET ECONOMIC AND FISCAL UPDATE Forecast Analysis of Expenses by Functional Classification for the years ending 30 June 2014 Actual $m 2015 Previous Budget $m 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m 30,457 334 15,041 13,990 4,155 3,850 2,064 9,684 7,984 2,328 1,787 1,517 563 595 5,271 1,403 (520) 31,585 322 14,983 14,031 4,231 3,853 2,051 10,017 8,256 2,350 1,792 1,545 562 595 5,503 3,965 (445) 32,245 311 14,937 14,033 4,261 3,863 2,051 10,211 8,328 2,376 1,827 1,567 566 591 5,536 5,526 (430) Total Crown expenses By functional classification Social security and welfare GSF pension expenses Health Education Core government services Law and order Defence Transport and communications Economic and industrial services Heritage, culture and recreation Primary services Housing and community development Environmental protection Other Finance costs Forecast new operating spending Top-down expense adjustment 27,266 295 14,344 13,064 4,104 3,730 1,776 9,137 7,767 2,372 1,703 1,095 538 579 4,400 - 28,125 409 14,741 13,571 4,462 3,750 1,936 9,427 7,924 2,348 1,788 1,141 511 543 4,763 291 (875) 28,224 375 14,748 13,772 3,940 3,863 1,878 9,583 8,169 2,174 1,848 1,211 593 285 4,689 7 (555) 29,595 371 15,103 13,894 4,385 3,881 2,036 9,437 7,866 2,304 1,896 1,547 569 537 4,687 305 (1,025) Total Crown expenses excluding losses 92,170 94,855 94,804 97,388 100,503 105,196 107,799 Below is an analysis of core Crown expenses by functional classification. Core Crown expenses include expenses incurred by Ministers, Departments, Offices of Parliament, the NZS Fund and the Reserve Bank, but not Crown entities and SOEs. 2014 Actual $m 2015 Previous Budget $m 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Core Crown expenses By functional classification1 Social security and welfare GSF pension expenses Health Education Core government services Law and order Defence Transport and communications Economic and industrial services Heritage, culture and recreation Primary services Housing and community development Environmental protection Other Finance costs Forecast new operating spending Top-down expense adjustment 23,281 282 14,898 12,300 4,502 3,501 1,811 2,237 2,058 842 676 347 533 579 3,620 - 23,954 395 15,065 12,827 4,816 3,486 1,984 2,217 2,215 770 700 326 510 543 3,883 291 (875) 23,842 359 15,075 13,021 4,401 3,606 1,927 2,328 2,268 779 735 357 678 285 3,977 7 (555) 24,639 355 15,581 13,134 4,811 3,622 2,087 2,214 2,262 808 742 582 605 537 3,676 305 (1,025) 25,161 318 15,621 13,211 4,598 3,576 2,118 2,259 2,178 784 660 497 571 595 4,080 1,403 (520) 25,928 305 15,673 13,255 4,630 3,572 2,108 2,320 2,242 769 647 477 573 595 4,217 3,965 (445) 26,855 294 15,743 13,249 4,660 3,572 2,108 2,361 2,188 754 670 472 577 591 4,254 5,526 (430) Total core Crown expenses excluding losses 71,467 73,107 73,090 74,935 77,110 80,831 83,444 1. The classifications of the functions of the Government reflect current approved baselines. Forecast new operating spending is shown as a separate line item in the above analysis and will be allocated to functions of the Government once decisions are made in future Budgets. The accompanying notes and accounting policies are an integral part of these Statements. 98 | B.3 FORECAST FINANCIAL STATEMENTS Forecast Statement of Comprehensive Income for the years ending 30 June 2014 2015 Previous Actual Budget $m $m 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Operating Balance (including minority interest) 2,946 3,467 (251) 3,463 4,780 5,404 7,133 Other comprehensive income Revaluation of physical assets 5,395 - (51) - - - - (142) 10 - 2 (3) 7 - - - - Net change in hedging instruments entered into for cash flow hedges (34) (3) Foreign currency translation differences for foreign operations (51) 4 Valuation gains/(losses) on investments available for sale taken to reserves (36) 10 24 10 11 11 12 1 (30) (46) 6 11 17 20 Total other comprehensive income 5,275 (19) (208) 26 22 30 29 Total comprehensive income 8,221 3,448 (459) 3,489 4,802 5,434 7,162 Attributable to: - minority interest - the Crown 147 8,074 365 3,083 306 (765) 480 3,009 514 4,288 534 4,900 534 6,628 Total comprehensive income 8,221 3,448 (459) 3,489 4,802 5,434 7,162 Other movements Forecast Statement of Changes in Net Worth for the years ending 30 June 2014 Actual $m Opening net worth Operating balance (including minority interest) Net revaluations Transfers to/(from) reserves (Gains)/losses transferred to the Statement of Financial Performance Other movements Comprehensive income Gain/(loss) on Government share offers Increase in minority interest from Government share offers1 Transactions with minority interest Closing net worth 70,011 2,946 5,395 (2) (43) (75) 8,221 (577) 3,308 (184) 80,779 2015 Previous Budget $m 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m 75,467 80,779 79,984 83,035 87,360 92,329 3,463 30 4,780 20 5,404 25 7,133 24 3,467 10 3 (32) 3,448 (282) 78,633 (251) (51) (113) 7 (51) (459) 23 (359) 79,984 6 (10) 3,489 (438) 83,035 8 (6) 4,802 (477) 87,360 13 (8) 5,434 (465) 92,329 13 (8) 7,162 (489) 99,002 1. 2015 movement relates to the vesting of the loyalty bonus schemes on Government share offers. The accompanying notes and accounting policies are an integral part of these Statements. B.3 | 99 2015 BUDGET ECONOMIC AND FISCAL UPDATE Forecast Statement of Cash Flows for the years ending 30 June 2014 Actual $m 2015 Previous Budget $m 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Cash Flows from Operations Cash was provided from Taxation receipts Other sovereign receipts Sales of goods and services Interest and dividend receipts Other operating receipts 59,853 4,974 16,608 2,945 5,737 64,913 4,645 17,113 3,310 4,972 64,650 4,642 17,135 3,465 4,319 67,001 4,357 17,352 3,608 4,621 70,605 4,140 17,807 4,185 3,667 74,865 4,117 18,358 4,567 3,771 78,456 4,233 18,656 4,945 3,718 Total cash provided from operations 90,117 94,953 94,211 96,939 100,404 105,678 110,008 Transfer payments and subsidies Personnel and operating payments Interest payments Forecast new operating spending Top-down expense adjustment 23,447 59,891 4,312 - 24,020 63,953 4,728 291 (875) 23,944 62,090 4,784 7 (555) 24,498 63,069 4,704 305 (1,025) 25,333 60,884 5,173 1,403 (520) 26,194 61,782 5,327 3,965 (445) 27,188 61,251 5,351 5,526 (430) Total cash disbursed to operations 87,650 92,117 90,270 91,551 92,273 96,823 98,886 2,467 2,836 3,941 5,388 8,131 8,855 11,122 (5,503) (5,725) (658) (1,529) 73 - (7,832) 4,339 (576) (1,971) (46) (326) 370 (7,022) 952 (601) (1,786) 134 375 (8,128) (788) (744) (1,645) (75) (316) 280 (7,115) (5,692) (655) (1,698) 31 (412) 75 (6,264) 4,095 (436) (1,679) 29 (677) 100 (5,872) 2,391 (426) (1,743) 42 (880) 100 Net cash flows from investing activities (13,342) (6,042) (7,948) (11,416) (15,466) (4,832) (6,388) Net cash flows from operating and investing activities (10,875) (3,206) (4,007) (6,028) (7,335) 4,023 4,734 274 2,186 5,520 152 598 (759) 511 595 (482) 164 6,685 169 6,909 174 (4,809) 180 (5,081) 1,442 (838) (2,101) (1,494) (464) (1,073) 3,808 (365) 6,688 (471) 965 (464) 1,819 (514) 3,003 (524) 1,507 (547) 8,424 2,596 4,740 5,856 7,919 (3,229) (3,920) Net movement in cash Opening cash balance Foreign-exchange gains/(losses) on opening cash (2,451) 14,924 (585) (610) 11,108 - 733 11,888 588 (172) 13,209 - 584 13,037 - 794 13,621 - 814 14,415 - Closing cash balance 11,888 10,498 13,209 13,037 13,621 14,415 15,229 Cash was disbursed to Net cash flows from operations Cash Flows from Investing Activities Cash was provided from/(disbursed to) Net (purchase)/sale of physical assets Net (purchase)/sale of shares and other securities Net (purchase)/sale of intangible assets Net (issue)/repayment of advances Net acquisition of investments in associates Forecast new capital spending Top-down capital adjustment Cash Flows from Financing Activities Cash was provided from/(disbursed to) Issues of circulating currency Government share offer programme1 Net issue/(repayment) of government bonds 2 Net issue/(repayment) of foreign-currency borrowings Net issue/(repayment) of other New Zealand dollar borrowings Dividends paid to minority interests Net cash flows from financing activities (832) (166) 1. Excludes purchases by ACC and NZS Fund. 2. Further information on the proceeds and repayments of government bonds is available in note 23. The accompanying notes and accounting policies are an integral part of these Statements. 100 | B.3 21 FORECAST FINANCIAL STATEMENTS Forecast Statement of Cash Flows (continued) for the years ending 30 June 2014 Actual $m 2015 Previous Budget $m 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Reconciliation Between the Net Cash Flows from Operations and the Operating Balance Net Cash Flows from Operations 2,467 2,836 3,941 5,388 8,131 8,855 11,122 4,820 2,583 6,021 2,560 2,518 2,602 2,689 540 21 5,381 (82) (25) 2,476 (6,551) (66) (596) (45) (32) 2,483 (47) (13) 2,458 (48) (11) 2,543 (49) (1) 2,639 (4,872) (4,882) (4,855) (4,904) (5,034) (5,196) (5,250) (789) (838) (738) (773) (777) (790) (805) (47) (128) (290) (125) (126) (129) (129) 442 1,409 202 (3,655) 353 3,629 (86) (1,952) 374 1,538 330 (3,641) 370 705 (109) (4,836) 418 (1,089) (167) (6,775) 440 (1,478) (189) (7,342) 460 (1,713) (203) (7,640) (1,553) 143 (41) 39 (248) 275 (1,385) (803) 326 (4) (27) (20) 270 (258) 390 194 (33) (61) (40) (788) (338) (278) 445 22 (10) (9) (215) (45) 501 409 (14) 1 (10) (434) 453 323 397 (62) (1) (28) 186 815 577 350 (48) 1 (10) (394) 476 Items included in the operating balance but not in net cash flows from operations Gains/(losses) Net gains/(losses) on financial instruments Net gains/(losses) on non-financial instruments Minority interest share of net gains/(losses) Total gains/(losses) Other Non-cash Items in Operating Balance Depreciation and amortisation Write-down on initial recognition of financial assets Impairment on financial assets (excluding receivables) Decrease/(increase) in defined benefit retirement plan liabilities Decrease/(increase) in insurance liabilities Other Total other non-cash Items Movements in Working Capital Increase/(decrease) in receivables Increase/(decrease) in accrued interest Increase/(decrease) in inventories Increase/(decrease) in prepayments Decrease/(increase) in deferred revenue Decrease/(increase) in payables/provisions Total movements in working capital Operating balance (excluding minority interests) 2,808 3,102 (634) 2,990 4,267 4,871 6,597 The accompanying notes and accounting policies are an integral part of these Statements. B.3 | 101 2015 BUDGET ECONOMIC AND FISCAL UPDATE Forecast Statement of Financial Position as at 30 June 2014 Note Assets Cash and cash equivalents Receivables Marketable securities, deposits and derivatives in gain Share investments Advances Inventory Other assets Property, plant and equipment Equity accounted investments1 Intangible assets and goodwill Forecast for new capital spending Top-down capital adjustment Actual $m 2015 Previous Budget $m 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m 13 13 11,888 17,480 10,498 16,610 13,209 17,471 13,037 17,468 13,621 18,009 14,415 18,377 15,229 19,003 13 13 13 48,457 20,596 24,756 1,099 2,510 116,306 10,071 2,920 - 42,731 21,234 26,626 1,155 2,144 115,873 10,326 2,934 339 (765) 46,469 24,526 26,973 1,067 2,153 119,432 10,742 2,999 (375) 46,799 25,921 28,669 1,089 2,165 123,577 11,126 3,264 316 (655) 52,760 27,353 30,482 1,075 2,194 126,675 11,430 3,433 729 (730) 49,167 28,880 32,135 1,014 2,189 128,793 11,741 3,373 1,406 (830) 47,226 30,508 33,939 965 2,266 130,414 12,054 3,323 2,286 (930) 256,083 249,705 264,666 272,776 287,031 290,660 296,283 4,964 11,294 1,962 103,419 35,825 10,885 6,955 5,224 11,874 1,821 104,390 31,272 10,380 6,111 5,476 11,500 2,002 107,898 38,519 12,560 6,727 5,640 12,232 2,012 113,377 37,814 12,190 6,476 5,809 13,114 2,022 121,663 38,903 11,772 6,388 5,984 13,333 2,050 118,961 40,381 11,332 6,290 6,163 14,260 2,060 115,620 42,094 10,872 6,212 175,304 171,072 184,682 189,741 199,671 198,331 197,281 80,779 78,633 79,984 83,035 87,360 92,329 99,002 13,300 16,601 12,720 15,978 20,439 25,508 32,312 62,225 43 56,509 5 62,142 (59) 61,873 (39) 61,689 (28) 61,507 (15) 61,322 (6) 75,568 5,211 73,115 5,518 74,803 5,181 77,812 5,223 82,100 5,260 87,000 5,329 93,628 5,374 80,779 78,633 79,984 83,035 87,360 92,329 99,002 15 16 9 9 Total assets Liabilities Issued currency Payables Deferred revenue Borrowings Insurance liabilities Retirement plan liabilities Provisions 18 19 20 21 Total liabilities Total assets less total liabilities Net Worth Taxpayers' funds Property, plant and equipment revaluation reserve Other reserves Total net worth attributable to the Crown Net worth attributable to minority interest Total net worth 22 1. Tertiary education institutions constitute most equity accounted investments. The accompanying notes and accounting policies are an integral part of these Statements. 102 | B.3 FORECAST FINANCIAL STATEMENTS Forecast Statement of Borrowings as at 30 June 2014 2015 Previous Budget $m 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m 60,337 3,147 183 7,758 2,245 1,501 28,248 58,855 3,688 190 6,849 1,890 1,994 30,924 58,381 5,917 179 7,311 2,582 2,088 31,440 64,149 3,939 179 7,311 2,281 2,706 32,812 70,456 3,937 179 7,311 1,969 2,669 35,142 65,364 3,928 179 7,311 1,849 3,103 37,227 60,024 3,921 179 7,311 1,729 3,142 39,314 103,419 104,390 107,898 113,377 121,663 118,961 115,620 77,461 25,958 75,602 28,788 79,702 28,196 82,878 30,499 88,811 32,852 83,562 35,399 78,037 37,583 103,419 104,390 107,898 113,377 121,663 118,961 115,620 89,090 86,246 91,162 94,467 100,896 96,081 90,992 Actual $m Borrowings Government bonds Treasury bills Government retail stock Settlement deposits with Reserve Bank Derivatives in loss Finance lease liabilities Other borrowings Total borrowings Sovereign-guaranteed debt Non sovereign-guaranteed debt Total borrowings Net Debt: Core Crown borrowings1 Add back NZS Fund holdings of sovereign-issued debt and NZS Fund borrowings (1,168) (1,280) (1,305) (1,307) (1,306) Gross sovereign-issued debt2 88,468 85,479 89,994 93,187 99,591 94,774 89,686 Less core Crown financial assets 3 68,047 63,248 71,777 73,929 81,207 78,514 77,572 Net core Crown debt 20,421 22,231 18,217 19,258 18,384 16,260 12,114 Add back core Crown advances 13,753 15,056 14,352 15,425 15,758 15,823 15,881 Net core Crown debt (incl. NZS Fund)4 34,174 37,287 32,569 34,683 34,142 32,083 27,995 25,757 26,280 29,104 30,914 32,962 35,136 37,472 59,931 63,567 61,673 65,597 67,104 67,219 65,467 88,468 85,479 89,994 93,187 99,591 94,774 89,686 (8,112) (7,245) (7,684) (7,625) (7,550) (7,550) (7,550) 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 81,956 79,834 83,910 87,162 93,641 88,824 83,736 Add back NZS Fund holdings of core Crown financial assets and NZS Fund financial assets 5 Net core Crown debt (excl. NZS Fund and advances)6 Gross Debt: Gross sovereign-issued debt2 Less Reserve Bank settlement cash and Reserve Bank bills Add back changes to DMO borrowing owing to settlement cash7 Gross sovereign-issued debt excluding Reserve Bank settlement cash and Reserve Bank bills 4 (622) (767) Notes on borrowings Total borrowings can be split into sovereign-guaranteed and non-sovereign-guaranteed debt. This split reflects the fact that borrowings by SOEs and Crown entities are not explicitly guaranteed by the Crown. No debt of SOEs and Crown entities is currently guaranteed by the Crown. 1. Core Crown borrowings in this instance include unsettled purchases of securities (classified as accounts payable in the Statement of Financial Position). 2. Gross sovereign-issued debt (GSID) represents debt issued by the sovereign (the core Crown) and includes any government stock held by the other Crown reporting entities. 3. Core Crown financial assets exclude receivables. 4. Net core Crown debt represents GSID less financial assets. This can provide information about the sustainability of the Government's accounts, and is used by some international agencies when determining the creditworthiness of a country. 5. Adding back the NZS Fund assets provides the financial liabilities less financial assets of the core Crown, excluding those assets set aside to meet part of the future cost of New Zealand Superannuation. 6. Net core Crown debt (excluding NZS Fund and advances) excludes financial assets which are held for public policy rather than treasury management purposes. 7. The Reserve Bank has used $1.6 billion of settlement cash to purchase reserves that were to have been funded by the NZDMO borrowing. Therefore, the impact of settlement cash on GSID is adjusted by this amount. The accompanying notes and accounting policies are an integral part of these Statements. B.3 | 103 2015 BUDGET ECONOMIC AND FISCAL UPDATE Statement of Actual Commitments as at 31 March 2015 As at 31 Mar 2015 $m As at 30 June 2014 $m Capital Commitments Specialist military equipment Land and buildings Other property, plant and equipment Other capital commitments Tertiary education institutions 479 1,182 5,513 842 201 732 878 5,307 919 201 Total capital commitments 8,217 8,037 Operating Commitments Non-cancellable accommodation leases Other non-cancellable leases Tertiary education institutions 2,838 2,388 494 3,059 2,340 494 Total operating commitments 5,720 5,893 13,937 13,930 Total commitments Total Commitments by Segment Core Crown Crown entities State-owned Enterprises Inter-segment eliminations 4,366 5,368 5,025 (822) 4,916 5,465 4,847 (1,298) 13,937 13,930 As at 31 Mar 2015 $m As at 30 June 2014 $m Quantifiable Contingent Liabilities Guarantees and indemnities Uncalled capital Legal proceedings and disputes Other contingent liabilities 223 6,089 459 376 222 5,662 604 357 Total quantifiable contingent liabilities 7,147 6,845 Total Quantifiable Contingent Liabilities by Segment Core Crown Crown entities State-owned Enterprises Inter-segment eliminations 6,881 47 219 - 6,568 44 233 - Total quantifiable contingent liabilities 7,147 6,845 Quantifiable Contingent Assets by Segment Core Crown Crown entities State-owned Enterprises 141 3 12 129 4 - Total quantifiable contingent assets 156 133 Total commitments Statement of Actual Contingent Liabilities and Assets as at 31 March 2015 More information on contingent liabilities (quantified and unquantified) is outlined in the Specific Fiscal Risks chapter. The accompanying notes and accounting policies are an integral part of these Statements. 104 | B.3 FORECAST FINANCIAL STATEMENTS Notes to the Forecast Financial Statements 2014 2015 2016 2017 Actual $m 2015 Previous Budget $m 2018 2019 Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Source deductions Other persons Refunds Fringe benefit tax 23,738 5,216 (1,573) 489 25,224 5,428 (1,395) 512 25,114 5,661 (1,517) 519 26,364 5,584 (1,696) 540 27,710 6,018 (1,680) 561 29,173 6,399 (1,710) 585 30,766 6,578 (1,783) 609 Total individuals 27,870 29,769 29,777 30,792 32,609 34,447 36,170 10,369 (152) 527 2 10,988 (160) 567 2 11,423 (167) 605 2 Forecast Forecast $m $m NOTE 1: Sovereign Revenue (Accrual) Taxation Revenue (accrual) Individuals Corporate Tax Gross companies tax Refunds Non-resident withholding tax Foreign-source dividend w/holding payments 9,020 (192) 428 8 9,555 (207) 481 2 Total corporate tax 9,264 9,831 10,170 10,145 10,746 11,397 11,863 1,644 446 2,007 495 1,777 523 2,094 537 2,243 566 2,567 594 3,045 615 9,838 (152) 486 (2) 9,785 (148) 506 2 Other Direct Income Tax Resident w/holding tax on interest income Resident w/holding tax on dividend income Total other direct income tax 2,090 2,502 2,300 2,631 2,809 3,161 3,660 39,224 42,102 42,247 43,568 46,164 49,005 51,693 Gross goods and services tax Refunds 27,208 (11,191) 29,392 (11,630) 28,519 (11,312) 30,242 (11,949) 31,754 (12,609) 33,384 (12,957) 34,663 (13,429) Total goods and services tax 16,017 17,762 17,207 18,293 19,145 20,427 21,234 Road user charges Petroleum fuels excise – domestic production Alcohol excise – domestic production Tobacco excise – domestic production Petroleum fuels excise – imports1 Alcohol excise – imports1 Tobacco excise – imports1 Other customs duty Gaming duties Motor vehicle fees Approved issuer levy and cheque duty Energy resources levies 1,205 865 650 273 747 242 999 172 211 187 52 35 1,268 936 681 286 766 255 1,108 155 209 195 65 36 1,265 972 665 307 716 259 1,154 169 217 199 48 37 1,339 1,074 689 309 717 255 1,197 160 213 200 47 37 1,396 1,191 713 310 642 264 1,241 152 215 203 47 35 1,475 1,219 742 309 657 275 1,236 144 218 205 47 36 1,543 1,243 772 309 670 286 1,237 136 220 208 47 35 Total other indirect taxation 5,638 5,960 6,008 6,237 6,409 6,563 6,706 Total indirect taxation 21,655 23,722 23,215 24,530 25,554 26,990 27,940 Total taxation revenue 60,879 65,824 65,462 68,098 71,718 75,995 79,633 ACC levies Fire Service levies EQC levies Child support Court fines Other miscellaneous items 3,600 339 274 545 179 513 3,172 348 282 665 173 498 3,303 355 280 501 179 573 2,941 357 281 642 178 639 2,671 360 283 484 179 644 2,514 365 286 449 180 650 2,387 370 289 398 181 659 Total other sovereign revenue 5,450 5,138 5,191 5,038 4,621 4,444 4,284 66,329 70,962 70,653 73,136 76,339 80,439 83,917 Total direct income tax Goods and Services Tax Other Indirect Taxation Other Sovereign Revenue (accrual) Total sovereign revenue 1. Customs excise-equivalent duty. B.3 | 105 2015 BUDGET ECONOMIC AND FISCAL UPDATE Notes to the Forecast Financial Statements 2014 2015 2016 2017 Actual $m 2015 Previous Budget $m 2018 2019 Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Source deductions Other persons Refunds Fringe benefit tax 23,621 5,466 (2,276) 482 25,074 5,964 (2,211) 510 24,982 5,949 (2,111) 517 26,229 5,823 (2,273) 538 27,569 6,198 (2,252) 559 29,027 6,707 (2,362) 583 30,612 6,915 (2,474) 607 Total individuals 27,293 29,337 29,337 30,317 32,074 33,955 35,660 Forecast Forecast $m $m NOTE 1 (continued): Sovereign Receipts (Cash) Taxation Receipts (cash) Individuals Corporate Tax Gross companies tax Refunds Non-resident withholding tax Foreign-source dividend w/holding payments 9,374 (563) 405 - 9,963 (703) 480 2 10,050 (544) 517 (4) 9,956 (561) 505 2 10,599 (579) 526 2 11,202 (609) 566 2 11,628 (637) 604 2 Total corporate tax 9,216 9,742 10,019 9,902 10,548 11,161 11,597 1,629 449 2,005 495 1,776 523 2,093 537 2,242 566 2,566 594 3,043 615 Other Direct Income Tax Resident w/holding tax on interest income Resident w/holding tax on dividend income Total other direct income tax 2,078 2,500 2,299 2,630 2,808 3,160 3,658 38,587 41,579 41,655 42,849 45,430 48,276 50,915 Gross goods and services tax Refunds 26,596 (10,948) 28,504 (11,130) 27,799 (10,812) 29,364 (11,449) 30,875 (12,109) 32,483 (12,457) 33,764 (12,929) Total goods and services tax 15,648 17,374 16,987 17,915 18,766 20,026 20,835 Road user charges Petroleum fuels excise – domestic production Alcohol excise – domestic production Tobacco excise – domestic production Customs duty Gaming duties Motor vehicle fees Approved issuer levy and cheque duty Energy resources levies 1,187 861 651 268 2,179 208 178 51 35 1,268 936 681 286 2,284 209 195 65 36 1,265 972 665 307 2,298 217 199 48 37 1,339 1,074 689 309 2,329 213 200 47 37 1,396 1,191 713 310 2,299 215 203 47 35 1,475 1,219 742 309 2,312 218 205 47 36 1,543 1,243 772 309 2,329 220 208 47 35 Total other indirect taxation 5,618 5,960 6,008 6,237 6,409 6,563 6,706 Total indirect taxation 21,266 23,334 22,995 24,152 25,175 26,589 27,541 Total taxation receipts 59,853 64,913 64,650 67,001 70,605 74,865 78,456 3,579 340 273 219 149 414 3,174 348 282 252 137 452 3,154 355 287 207 152 487 2,858 357 280 216 153 493 2,631 360 283 219 153 494 2,595 365 286 223 153 495 2,693 370 289 229 154 498 Total direct income tax Goods and Services Tax Other Indirect Taxation Other Sovereign Receipts (cash) ACC levies Fire Service levies EQC levies Child support Court fines Other miscellaneous items Total other sovereign receipts Total sovereign receipts 106 | B.3 4,974 4,645 4,642 4,357 4,140 4,117 4,233 64,827 69,558 69,292 71,358 74,745 78,982 82,689 FORECAST FINANCIAL STATEMENTS Notes to the Forecast Financial Statements 2014 Actual $m 2015 Previous Budget $m 2015 2016 2017 Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m 2018 2019 Forecast Forecast $m $m NOTE 2: Interest Revenue and Dividends By type Interest revenue Dividends 2,516 659 3,101 571 2,913 652 3,356 680 3,971 721 4,376 764 4,670 810 Total interest revenue and dividends 3,175 3,672 3,565 4,036 4,692 5,140 5,480 2,295 1,249 879 (1,248) 2,492 1,277 1,006 (1,103) 2,419 1,459 1,070 (1,383) 2,561 1,481 1,300 (1,306) 3,031 1,522 1,523 (1,384) 3,333 1,569 1,652 (1,414) 3,551 1,624 1,746 (1,441) 3,175 3,672 3,565 4,036 4,692 5,140 5,480 New Zealand superannuation Jobseeker support and emergency benefit Supported living payment Sole parent support Family tax credit Other working for families tax credits Accommodation assistance Income related rents Disability assistance Student allowances Other social assistance benefits 10,913 1,691 1,422 1,222 1,965 567 1,146 660 379 539 1,519 11,590 1,648 1,518 1,243 1,934 527 1,141 718 373 531 1,293 11,589 1,686 1,512 1,186 1,857 550 1,128 718 377 520 1,310 12,256 1,616 1,519 1,187 1,837 577 1,137 774 379 529 1,409 12,861 1,574 1,530 1,242 1,835 655 1,151 818 378 548 1,423 13,571 1,531 1,536 1,218 1,916 648 1,169 872 379 560 1,436 14,383 1,519 1,564 1,224 1,983 639 1,174 927 380 558 1,450 Total social assistance grants 22,023 22,516 22,433 23,220 24,015 24,836 25,801 804 827 882 720 765 806 845 By source Core Crown Crown entities State-owned Enterprises Inter-segment eliminations Total interest revenue and dividends NOTE 3: Transfer Payments and Subsidies Subsidies KiwiSaver Other transfer payments Official development assistance 533 533 531 542 573 586 586 23,360 23,876 23,846 24,482 25,353 26,228 27,232 By source Core Crown Crown entities State-owned Enterprises Inter-segment eliminations 6,232 11,315 2,956 (19) 6,361 11,607 2,923 (10) 6,540 11,749 2,909 (16) 6,739 11,964 2,908 (17) 6,628 12,108 2,980 (17) 6,642 12,201 3,042 (17) 6,612 12,328 3,103 (18) Total personnel expenses 20,484 20,881 21,182 21,594 21,699 21,868 22,025 By source Core Crown Crown entities State-owned Enterprises Inter-segment eliminations 1,476 1,661 1,735 - 1,533 1,710 1,639 - 1,457 1,687 1,711 - 1,536 1,743 1,625 - 1,574 1,797 1,663 - 1,588 1,858 1,750 - 1,606 1,885 1,759 - Total depreciation and amortisation 4,872 4,882 4,855 4,904 5,034 5,196 5,250 36,779 17,297 9,042 (27,565) 38,038 17,759 9,556 (27,833) 37,816 17,947 9,270 (28,276) 39,219 18,471 9,396 (28,993) 38,592 18,400 9,682 (29,175) 38,635 18,300 10,082 (29,353) 38,644 18,205 10,328 (29,508) 35,553 37,520 36,757 38,093 37,499 37,664 37,669 Total transfer payments and subsidies NOTE 4: Personnel Expenses NOTE 5: Depreciation and Amortisation NOTE 6: Other Operating Expenses By source Core Crown Crown entities State-owned Enterprises Inter-segment eliminations Total other operating expenses B.3 | 107 2015 BUDGET ECONOMIC AND FISCAL UPDATE Notes to the Forecast Financial Statements 2014 Actual $m 2015 Previous Budget $m 2015 2016 2017 Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m 2018 2019 Forecast Forecast $m $m NOTE 7: Finance Costs By type Interest on financial liabilities Interest unwind on provisions 4,360 40 4,721 42 4,633 56 4,630 57 5,216 55 5,449 54 5,480 56 Total finance costs 4,400 4,763 4,689 4,687 5,271 5,503 5,536 By source Core Crown Crown entities State-owned Enterprises Inter-segment eliminations 3,620 219 1,161 (600) 3,883 237 1,295 (652) 3,977 221 1,333 (842) 3,676 216 1,520 (725) 4,080 230 1,700 (739) 4,217 243 1,805 (762) 4,254 251 1,818 (787) Total finance costs 4,400 4,763 4,689 4,687 5,271 5,503 5,536 By entity ACC EQC Southern Response Other (incl. inter-segment eliminations) 3,484 (111) 87 41 3,561 34 (89) 11 3,783 (59) 286 13 4,329 57 (49) 11 4,641 153 (42) 12 5,001 224 (21) 13 4,756 225 (3) 13 Total insurance expenses 3,501 3,517 4,023 4,348 4,764 5,217 4,991 NOTE 8: Insurance Expenses NOTE 9: Forecast New Spending and Top-down Expense Adjustment 2015 2016 2017 Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m 2018 2019 Forecast Forecast $m $m Forecast New Operating Spending Unallocated contingencies Forecast new spending for Budget 2016 Forecast new spending for Budget 2017 Forecast new spending for Budget 2018 7 - 305 - 403 1,000 - 465 1,000 2,500 - 526 1,000 2,500 1,500 Total forecast new operating spending 7 305 1,403 3,965 5,526 Operating top-down adjustment (555) (1,025) (520) (445) (430) Unallocated contingencies represent expenses included in Budget 2015 and previous Budgets that have yet to be allocated. Forecast new spending indicates the expected spending increases from future Budgets. 2015 Forecast $m 2016 Forecast $m 2017 Forecast $m 2018 Forecast $m 2019 Post-2019 Total Forecast Forecast Forecast $m $m $m Forecast New Capital Spending (annual) Unallocated contingencies Forecast new spending for Budget 2016 Forecast new spending for Budget 2017 Forecast new spending for Budget 2018 Forecast new spending for Budget 2019 - 241 75 - 254 59 100 - 77 200 300 100 - 30 200 250 300 100 250 518 836 602 534 900 918 936 Total forecast new capital spending - 316 413 677 880 1,604 3,890 Forecast new capital spending (cumulative) - 316 729 1,406 2,286 (655) (730) Capital top-down adjustment (cumulative) (375) (830) (930) Unallocated contingencies represent capital spending from Budget 2015 and previous Budgets that has yet to be allocated. Forecast new spending indicates the expected capital spending increases from future Budgets. 108 | B.3 FORECAST FINANCIAL STATEMENTS Notes to the Forecast Financial Statements 2014 Actual $m 2015 Previous Budget $m 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m NOTE 10: Net Gains and Losses on Financial Instruments By source Core Crown Crown entities State-owned Enterprises Inter-segment eliminations 4,045 702 161 (88) 2,378 373 52 (220) 4,415 2,765 59 (1,218) 2,344 316 123 (223) 2,370 318 59 (229) 2,466 331 42 (237) 2,604 335 (2) (248) Net gains/(losses) on financial instruments 4,820 2,583 6,021 2,560 2,518 2,602 2,689 NOTE 11: Net Gains and Losses on Non-Financial Instruments By type Actuarial gains/(losses) on GSF liability Actuarial gains/(losses) on ACC outstanding claims Other 577 479 (516) (82) (2,049) (4,232) (270) (45) (47) (48) (49) Net gains/(losses) on non-financial instruments 540 (82) (6,551) (45) (47) (48) (49) 220 477 (156) (1) (13) (69) (20) 20 (2,360) (4,243) 53 (1) (1) (45) 1 - (1) (47) 1 - (1) (48) 1 - (1) (49) 1 - 540 (82) (6,551) (45) (47) (48) (49) 916 (392) 490 (1,648) 2,406 585 800 (801) 4,279 48 830 (890) 5,223 (289) 809 (872) 6,596 52 845 (896) 2,990 4,267 4,871 6,597 By source Core Crown Crown entities State-owned Enterprises Inter-segment eliminations Net gains/(losses) on non-financial instruments NOTE 12: Operating Balance (excluding Minority Interests) By source Core Crown Crown entities State-owned Enterprises Inter-segment eliminations 203 2,874 428 (697) 1,871 1,357 593 (719) Total operating balance 2,808 3,102 (634) NOTE 13: Financial Assets and Sovereign Receivables Cash and cash equivalents Tax receivables Trade and other receivables Student loans (refer note 14) Kiwibank mortgages Long-term deposits IMF financial assets Other advances Share investments Derivatives in gain Other marketable securities Total financial assets and sovereign receivables 11,888 8,112 9,368 8,716 14,630 3,844 2,142 1,410 20,596 4,164 38,307 10,498 8,664 7,946 9,024 16,361 1,986 2,557 1,241 21,234 2,797 35,391 13,209 8,884 8,587 8,878 16,037 3,046 2,504 2,058 24,526 3,303 37,616 13,037 9,290 8,178 9,171 17,446 2,848 2,525 2,052 25,921 2,950 38,476 13,621 9,818 8,191 9,415 19,026 2,869 2,545 2,041 27,353 3,039 44,307 14,415 10,504 7,873 9,615 20,528 3,072 2,565 1,992 28,880 3,155 40,375 15,229 11,113 7,890 9,750 22,176 3,347 2,585 2,013 30,508 3,358 37,936 123,177 117,699 128,648 131,894 142,225 142,974 145,905 Financial Assets by Entity NZDMO Reserve Bank of New Zealand NZS Fund Other core Crown Intra-segment eliminations 18,359 18,849 26,990 24,358 (8,473) 13,555 18,657 27,419 21,202 (6,318) 17,552 20,521 30,062 22,988 (7,585) 17,907 20,683 32,038 22,909 (7,648) 23,558 21,055 34,100 23,172 (8,173) 18,371 20,682 36,316 23,826 (7,515) 14,803 20,837 38,702 24,290 (7,309) Total core Crown segment 80,083 74,515 83,538 85,889 93,712 91,680 91,323 ACC portfolio EQC portfolio Other Crown entities Intra-segment eliminations 30,897 3,605 9,806 (2,464) 32,539 102 7,852 (1,777) 34,787 1,557 8,984 (2,765) 36,131 71 7,923 (2,222) 37,289 121 7,802 (2,177) 38,183 118 8,005 (2,136) 39,416 119 8,253 (2,066) Total Crown entities segment 41,844 38,716 42,563 41,903 43,035 44,170 45,722 Total state-owned enterprises segment 21,151 23,459 23,156 25,140 26,931 28,915 31,005 Inter-segment eliminations (19,901) (18,991) (20,609) (21,038) (21,453) (21,791) (22,145) Total financial assets and sovereign receivables 123,177 117,699 128,648 131,894 142,225 142,974 145,905 B.3 | 109 2015 BUDGET ECONOMIC AND FISCAL UPDATE Notes to the Forecast Financial Statements 2014 Actual $m 2015 Previous Budget $m 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m NOTE 14: Student Loans Nominal value (including accrued interest) 14,235 14,790 14,802 15,375 15,875 16,341 16,768 Opening book value Amount borrowed in current year Less initial write-down to fair value Repayments made during the year Interest unwind Impairment Other movements 8,288 1,512 (630) (1,032) 579 (12) 11 8,752 1,586 (668) (1,158) 601 (100) 11 8,716 1,529 (606) (1,114) 596 (253) 10 8,878 1,583 (646) (1,161) 605 (100) 12 9,171 1,615 (652) (1,251) 622 (100) 10 9,415 1,655 (668) (1,334) 636 (100) 11 9,615 1,702 (687) (1,436) 646 (100) 10 8,716 9,024 8,878 9,171 9,415 9,615 9,750 Net Carrying Value1 By class of asset Land Buildings State highways Electricity generation assets Electricity distribution network (cost) Specialist military equipment Specified cultural and heritage assets Aircraft (excluding military) Rail network Other plant and equipment (cost) 37,138 27,396 19,709 13,941 3,992 2,891 2,975 2,287 936 5,041 35,030 27,365 19,797 13,529 4,261 3,080 2,679 3,269 1,372 5,491 37,312 28,498 20,828 13,643 4,124 3,091 2,993 2,891 1,040 5,012 37,240 30,198 22,419 13,413 4,242 3,109 3,018 3,593 1,367 4,978 37,111 31,147 23,908 13,192 4,440 3,173 3,045 4,072 1,699 4,888 37,140 31,313 25,434 12,933 4,528 3,090 3,072 4,670 1,782 4,831 37,159 31,768 26,910 12,703 4,621 3,126 3,098 4,883 1,856 4,290 Total property, plant and equipment 116,306 115,873 119,432 123,577 126,675 128,793 130,414 30,963 56,802 28,541 - 31,334 54,618 29,921 - 31,956 58,773 28,703 - 33,292 60,902 29,383 - 34,210 62,548 29,917 - 34,397 64,202 30,194 - 34,561 65,787 30,066 - 116,306 115,873 119,432 123,577 126,675 128,793 130,414 Land breakdown by usage Housing State highway corridor land Conservation land Rail network Schools Commercial (SOEs) excluding Rail Other 11,361 8,853 5,432 3,256 3,167 1,312 3,757 9,410 8,303 5,385 3,234 2,875 1,489 4,334 11,371 8,853 5,357 3,231 3,186 1,327 3,987 11,089 8,881 5,368 3,214 3,228 1,364 4,096 10,882 8,923 5,378 3,194 3,223 1,378 4,133 10,670 9,073 5,389 3,183 3,218 1,420 4,187 10,451 9,223 5,399 3,163 3,218 1,462 4,243 Total land 37,138 35,030 37,312 37,240 37,111 37,140 37,159 Closing book value NOTE 15: Property, Plant and Equipment By source Core Crown Crown entities State-owned Enterprises Inter-segment eliminations Total property, plant and equipment 1. Using a revaluation methodology unless otherwise stated. 110 | B.3 FORECAST FINANCIAL STATEMENTS Notes to the Forecast Financial Statements 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Actual $m 2015 Previous Budget $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Schedule of Movements Cost or Valuation Opening balance Additions (refer below) Disposals Net revaluations Other1 122,796 6,672 (1,432) 3,038 (732) 129,107 8,678 (865) (37) 130,342 8,039 (731) (3) (54) 137,593 9,247 (912) 2 145,930 8,180 (780) (4) 153,326 7,301 (763) 23 159,887 6,910 (789) 1 6 Total cost or valuation 130,342 136,883 137,593 145,930 153,326 159,887 166,015 NOTE 15: Property, Plant and Equipment (continued) Accumulated Depreciation and Impairment Opening balance Eliminated on disposal Eliminated on revaluation Impairment losses charged to operating balance Depreciation expense Other1 12,963 (813) (2,133) 346 3,805 (132) 16,843 (52) 4,224 (5) 14,036 (92) (19) 4,199 37 18,161 (55) 4,253 (6) 22,353 (60) 4,364 (6) 26,651 (60) 4,501 2 31,094 (60) 4,563 4 Total accumulated depreciation and impairment 14,036 21,010 18,161 22,353 26,651 31,094 35,601 116,306 115,873 119,432 123,577 126,675 128,793 130,414 Additions – by functional classification Transport and communications Economic and industrial services Education Health Defence Other 2,363 1,108 529 443 386 1,843 3,235 717 895 803 619 2,409 3,081 593 899 772 334 2,360 3,834 610 1,162 701 441 2,499 3,355 710 1,024 722 511 1,858 3,347 626 853 417 362 1,696 2,917 650 814 410 486 1,633 Total additions to property, plant and equipment2 6,672 8,678 8,039 9,247 8,180 7,301 6,910 Total property, plant and equipment 1. Other mainly includes transfers to/from other asset categories. 2. These additions do not include any purchases which may result from the allocation of the forecast for new capital spending (separately disclosed in the Statement of Financial Position). NOTE 16: Intangible Assets and Goodwill By type Goodwill Other intangible assets 628 2,292 650 2,284 589 2,410 589 2,675 589 2,844 589 2,784 589 2,734 Total intangible assets and goodwill 2,920 2,934 2,999 3,264 3,433 3,373 3,323 By source Core Crown Crown entities State-owned Enterprises Inter-segment eliminations 1,184 542 1,194 - 1,182 587 1,165 - 1,247 573 1,179 - 1,436 657 1,171 - 1,566 696 1,171 - 1,569 640 1,164 - 1,571 577 1,175 - Total intangible assets and goodwill 2,920 2,934 2,999 3,264 3,433 3,373 3,323 B.3 | 111 2015 BUDGET ECONOMIC AND FISCAL UPDATE Notes to the Forecast Financial Statements 2014 Actual $m 2015 Previous Budget $m 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m NOTE 17: NZ Superannuation Fund Revenue Less current tax expense Less other expenses Add gains/(losses) 767 1,074 164 3,735 685 585 157 1,914 678 508 138 3,328 714 616 168 2,025 782 660 195 2,161 854 708 220 2,306 930 760 242 2,460 Operating balance 3,264 1,857 3,360 1,955 2,088 2,232 2,388 Opening net worth Operating balance Other movements in reserves 22,549 3,264 (4) 25,157 1,857 19 25,809 3,360 21 29,190 1,955 20 31,165 2,088 26 33,279 2,232 34 35,545 2,388 42 Closing net worth 25,809 27,033 29,190 31,165 33,279 35,545 37,975 Comprising: Financial assets Financial liabilities Net other assets 26,990 (2,323) 1,142 27,419 (1,557) 1,171 30,062 (2,005) 1,133 32,038 (2,095) 1,222 34,100 (2,147) 1,326 36,316 (2,204) 1,433 38,702 (2,265) 1,538 Closing net worth 25,809 27,033 29,190 31,165 33,279 35,545 37,975 7,626 3,668 7,439 4,435 7,081 4,419 7,445 4,787 7,759 5,355 7,234 6,099 7,486 6,774 Total payables 11,294 11,874 11,500 12,232 13,114 13,333 14,260 By source Core Crown Crown entities State-owned Enterprises Inter-segment eliminations 7,800 5,382 4,832 (6,720) 7,856 5,270 5,146 (6,398) 7,869 5,027 5,040 (6,436) 8,621 4,865 5,057 (6,311) 9,493 4,810 5,099 (6,288) 9,750 4,672 5,166 (6,255) 10,750 4,524 5,228 (6,242) Total payables 11,294 11,874 11,500 12,232 13,114 13,333 14,260 NOTE 18: Payables By type Accounts payable Taxes repayable 112 | B.3 FORECAST FINANCIAL STATEMENTS Notes to the Forecast Financial Statements 2014 Actual $m 2015 Previous Budget $m 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m By entity ACC EQC Southern Response Other (incl. inter-segment eliminations) 29,948 4,747 1,434 (304) 30,383 364 466 59 35,307 2,288 1,193 (269) 36,842 262 645 65 38,458 170 208 67 40,126 163 23 69 41,863 158 73 Total insurance liabilities 35,825 31,272 38,519 37,814 38,903 40,381 42,094 NOTE 19: Insurance Liabilities ACC liability Calculation information PwC NZ has prepared an independent actuarial estimate of the ACC outstanding claims liability as at 31 December 2014. This estimate includes the expected future payments relating to accidents that occurred prior to balance date (whether or not the associated claims have been reported to, or accepted by, ACC) and also the expected future administrative expenses of managing these claims. The assumptions underpinning this valuation form the basis of the five-year forecast of the outstanding claims liability. The key economic variables that impact on changes to the valuation are the long-term Labour Cost Index (LCI), average weekly earnings and the discount rate. Discount rates were derived from the yield curve for New Zealand Government bonds. For these forecast statements, the claims liability has been updated for the latest discount rates as at 31 March 2015. The equivalent single effective discount rate, taking into account ACC's projected future cash flow patterns, is 3.82% and allows for a long-term discount rate of 5.5% from 2065. Other key variables in each valuation are the forecast increases in claim costs over and above the economic variables above, and the assumed rate at which long-term claimants will leave the scheme over the period. This assessment is largely based on scheme history. Presentation approach ACC has available to it a portfolio of assets that offset the claims liability. The assets below (less cross-holdings of NZ Government stock) are included as assets in the Statement of Financial Position. 2014 Actual $m 2015 Previous Budget $m 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Gross ACC Liability Opening gross liability Net change 29,446 502 29,209 1,174 29,948 5,359 35,307 1,535 36,842 1,616 38,458 1,668 40,126 1,737 Closing gross liability 29,948 30,383 35,307 36,842 38,458 40,126 41,863 Less Net Assets Available to ACC Opening net asset value Net change 27,193 2,647 29,309 2,042 29,840 4,457 34,297 1,620 35,917 1,223 37,140 865 38,005 1,202 Closing net asset value 29,840 31,351 34,297 35,917 37,140 38,005 39,207 Net ACC Reserves (Net Liability) Opening reserves position Net change (2,253) 2,145 100 868 (108) (902) (1,010) 85 (925) (393) (1,318) (803) (2,121) (535) (108) 968 (1,010) (925) (1,318) (2,121) (2,656) Closing reserves position (net liability)/net asset B.3 | 113 2015 BUDGET ECONOMIC AND FISCAL UPDATE Notes to the Forecast Financial Statements NOTE 19: Insurance Liabilities (continued) EQC liability Calculation information Melville Jessup Weaver prepared an independent actuarial estimate of the EQC outstanding claims liability at 31 December 2014 by estimating the projected ultimate claims costs then deducting the payments made in relation to those claims on or before that date. Each component of the claims liability was split into separate groups depending upon the Canterbury earthquake event grouping or other "business as usual" claims. These event groups were further split into sub-claim valuation groups being land claims, building claims or contents claims. The assumptions underpinning the 31 December 2014 valuation form the basis of the five-year forecast of the outstanding claims liability. Critical assumptions used in projecting the ultimate costs include apportionment of costs across earthquake events, the profile of claims settlement, claims inflation rate per annum, risk margins and claims handling costs. There is a high level of uncertainty associated with the valuation of the outstanding claims liability, reinsurance recoveries and unexpired risk liability. Some of the key uncertainties are: cost apportionment across events; the potential for construction cost to exceed expectations; land damage estimates; reinsurance recoveries and profile of claims settlement. The actual claims outcome may differ from the one currently forecast. Presentation approach EQC reinsurance recoveries are included in receivables in the Statement of Financial Position. 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Actual $m 2015 Previous Budget $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m EQC Liability Opening gross liability Net change 6,869 (2,122) 4,308 (3,944) 4,747 (2,459) 2,288 (2,026) 262 (92) 170 (7) 163 (5) Closing gross liability 4,747 163 158 Less Reinsurance Receivable Opening reinsurance receivable Net change 2,623 (1,398) Closing reinsurance receivable 1,225 364 1,161 (1,111) 50 2,288 262 170 1,225 (561) 664 (647) 17 (12) 5 (3) 2 (2) 664 17 5 2 - Net EQC Liability Opening net position Net change (4,246) 724 (3,147) 2,833 (3,522) 1,898 (1,624) 1,379 (245) 80 (165) 4 (161) 3 Closing net position (net liability) (3,522) (314) (1,624) (245) (165) (161) (158) 114 | B.3 FORECAST FINANCIAL STATEMENTS Notes to the Forecast Financial Statements 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Actual $m 2015 Previous Budget $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Government Superannuation Fund Other funds 10,886 (1) 10,385 (5) 12,562 (2) 12,192 (2) 11,774 (2) 11,334 (2) 10,874 (2) Total retirement plan liabilities 10,885 10,380 12,560 12,190 11,772 11,332 10,872 NOTE 20: Retirement Plan Liabilities The net liability of the Government Superannuation Fund (GSF) was calculated by GSF's actuary as at 31 January 2015. The liability arises from closed schemes for past and present public sector employees as set out in the Government Superannuation Fund Act 1956. A Projected Unit Credit method was used to calculate the liability as at 31 January 2015, based on membership data as at 30 June 2014 with adjustments for cash flows to 31 January 2015. The funding method requires the benefits payable from GSF in respect of past service to be calculated and then discounted back to the valuation date. For these Forecast Financial Statements, the net GSF liability was updated for the latest discount rates derived from the market yield curve for New Zealand Government bonds as at 31 January 2015. Other principal long-term financial assumptions were an inflation rate, as measured by the Consumers Price Index (CPI), of 1.3% for the year to 30 June 2015, increasing to 1.9% for the 11 years to 30 June 2026, then increasing by 0.05% each year reaching to 2.5% in the year ending 30 June 2039 and remaining at 2.5% pa for all years after that. In addition an annual salary growth rate, before any promotional effects, of 3% (unchanged from 30 June 2014). The 2014/15 projected increase in the net GSF liability is $1,676 million, reflecting an increase in the GSF liability of $1,981 million and an increase in the GSF net assets of $305 million. The increase in the GSF liability of $1,981 million includes an actuarial loss between 1 July 2014 and 31 January 2015, of $2,266 million, owing to movements in the discount rates offset by the impact of movements in CPI rates. The remaining $285 million reduction is owing to lower than expected benefits to members (reduces the liability), offset by current service cost and interest unwind (increases the liability). The increase in the value of the net assets of GSF of $305 million includes a gain of $217 million reflecting the updated market value of assets at 31 January 2015. The balance of $88 million is the total of the expected investment returns and contributions received, offset by the benefits paid to members. The changes in the projected net GSF liability from 2014/15 onwards reflect the net of the expected current service cost, interest cost, investment returns and contributions. 2014 Actual $m 2015 Previous Budget $m GSF Liability Opening GSF liability Net projected change 15,290 (730) 14,360 (299) 14,560 1,981 16,541 (303) 16,238 (352) 15,886 (376) 15,510 (397) Closing GSF liability 14,560 14,061 16,541 16,238 15,886 15,510 15,113 3,382 395 3,622 195 3,674 433 3,979 234 4,046 238 4,112 241 4,176 245 Less Net Assets Available to GSF Opening net asset value Investment valuation changes Contribution and other income less pension payments Closing net asset value (103) (141) 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m (128) (167) (172) (177) (182) 3,674 3,676 3,979 4,046 4,112 4,176 4,239 Net GSF Liability Opening unfunded liability Net projected change 11,908 (1,022) 10,738 (353) 10,886 1,676 12,562 (370) 12,192 (418) 11,774 (440) 11,334 (460) Closing unfunded liability 10,886 10,385 12,562 12,192 11,774 11,334 10,874 B.3 | 115 2015 BUDGET ECONOMIC AND FISCAL UPDATE Notes to the Forecast Financial Statements 2014 Actual $m 2015 Previous Budget $m 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m NOTE 21: Provisions Provision for employee entitlements Provision for ETS credits Provision for National Provident Fund guarantee Provision for infrastructure costs Provision for weathertight services financial assistance package 3,444 521 910 394 3,174 362 942 201 3,264 863 872 204 3,251 821 833 - 3,289 777 794 - 3,304 732 756 - 3,286 683 718 - Other provisions 112 1,574 123 1,309 64 1,460 33 1,538 19 1,509 13 1,485 7 1,518 Total provisions 6,955 6,111 6,727 6,476 6,388 6,290 6,212 By source Core Crown Crown entities State-owned Enterprises Inter-segment eliminations 4,208 2,076 1,177 (506) 3,562 2,017 1,016 (484) 4,413 1,994 964 (644) 4,040 2,001 956 (521) 3,680 2,017 958 (267) 3,579 2,028 945 (262) 3,473 2,042 955 (258) Total provisions 6,955 6,111 6,727 6,476 6,388 6,290 6,212 Provision for ETS credits The Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) was established to assist New Zealand in meeting its international climate change obligations and to reduce New Zealand's net emissions of greenhouse gases to below business-as-usual levels. The ETS creates a limited number of tradable New Zealand Units (NZUs) which the Government can allocate. Emitters can also surrender Kyoto compliant units to meet their obligations. The allocation of NZUs creates a provision if allocated for free; the provision is reduced, and revenue recognised, as NZUs and Kyoto compliant units are surrendered to the Crown by emitters. The Kyoto compliant units collected through the ETS are recognised as revenue and as part of the net Kyoto Protocol position. The prices for NZUs and Kyoto compliant units used to calculate the ETS provision are assumed to remain constant over the forecast period and are based on market prices during March 2015. The ETS impact on the fiscal forecast is as follows: 2014 Revenue Expenses Kyoto compliant units surrender expense Gains/(losses) Operating balance 116 | B.3 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Actual $m 13 (46) (24) (285) 2015 Previous Budget $m 46 (51) (6) - Forecast $m 83 (114) (311) Forecast $m 144 (102) - Forecast $m 148 (104) - Forecast $m 154 (109) - Forecast $m 159 (110) - (342) (11) (342) 42 44 45 49 FORECAST FINANCIAL STATEMENTS Notes to the Forecast Financial Statements 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Actual $m 2015 Previous Budget $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Property, plant and equipment revaluation reserve Investment revaluation reserve Cash flow hedge reserve Foreign currency translation reserve Share based payment reserve Net worth attributable to minority interests 13,300 62,225 58 33 (92) 44 5,211 16,601 56,509 104 (47) (52) 5,518 12,720 62,142 82 (56) (85) 5,181 15,978 61,873 92 (46) (85) 5,223 20,439 61,689 103 (46) (85) 5,260 25,508 61,507 114 (44) (85) 5,329 32,312 61,322 126 (47) (85) 5,374 Total net worth 80,779 78,633 79,984 83,035 87,360 92,329 99,002 Transfers from/(to) other reserves Other movements 10,862 2,808 (577) 229 (22) 13,344 3,102 155 - 13,300 (634) 65 (11) 12,720 2,990 279 (11) 15,978 4,267 201 (7) 20,439 4,871 205 (7) 25,508 6,597 215 (8) Closing taxpayers' funds 13,300 16,601 12,720 15,978 20,439 25,508 32,312 57,068 5,386 (229) 56,648 (139) 62,225 (39) (44) 62,142 (269) 61,873 (184) 61,689 (182) 61,507 (185) 62,225 56,509 62,142 61,873 61,689 61,507 61,322 NOTE 22: Changes in Net Worth Taxpayers' funds Taxpayers' funds Opening taxpayers' funds Operating balance excluding minority interest Government share offers in SOEs Property, Plant and Equipment Revaluation Reserve Opening revaluation reserve Net revaluations Transfers from/(to) other reserves Closing property, plant and equipment revaluation reserve B.3 | 117 2015 BUDGET ECONOMIC AND FISCAL UPDATE Notes to the Forecast Financial Statements 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Actual $m 2015 Previous Budget $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m Forecast $m 61,321 747 1,627 2,397 (23,447) (41,989) (3,642) - 66,030 771 1,737 2,307 (24,021) (42,419) (3,884) (291) 875 66,032 821 1,921 2,442 (23,944) (42,757) (4,043) (7) 555 68,282 835 1,718 2,438 (24,498) (43,745) (3,691) (305) 1,025 72,028 839 2,023 1,996 (25,333) (42,974) (3,980) (1,403) 520 76,360 846 2,217 2,002 (26,194) (43,749) (4,048) (3,965) 445 80,025 858 2,350 1,992 (27,188) (43,045) (4,091) (5,526) 430 Net core Crown operating cash flows (2,986) 1,105 1,020 2,059 3,716 3,914 5,805 Core Crown Capital Cash Flows Net purchase of physical assets Net increase in advances Net purchase of investments Government share offer programme Forecast for future new capital spending Top-down capital adjustment (1,867) (716) (865) 2,325 - (2,600) (1,423) (2,060) 628 (326) 370 (2,486) (759) (1,452) 628 375 (2,928) (1,216) (2,045) (316) 280 (2,528) (466) (1,997) (412) 75 (1,715) (191) (1,589) (677) 100 (1,633) (192) (1,494) (880) 100 Net core Crown capital cash flows (1,123) (5,411) (3,694) (6,225) (5,328) (4,072) (4,099) Residual cash (deficit)/surplus (4,109) (4,306) (2,674) (4,166) (1,612) (158) 8,201 (8,684) 3,380 8,462 (1,777) (2,400) 6,909 - 6,503 (11,312) - 6,374 (11,455) - 2,897 4,285 6,909 (4,809) (5,081) NOTE 23: Core Crown Residual Cash Core Crown Cash Flows from Operations Tax receipts Other sovereign receipts Interest, profits and dividends Sale of goods and services and other receipts Transfer payments and subsidies Personnel and operating costs Interest payments Forecast for future new operating spending Top-down expense adjustment 1,706 The residual cash (deficit)/surplus is funded or invested as follows: Debt Programme Cash Flows Market: Issue of government bonds Repayment of government bonds Net issue/(repayment) of short-term borrowing 1 Total market debt cash flows Non-market: Repayment of government bonds Net issue/(repayment) of short-term borrowing Total non-market debt cash flows Total debt programme cash flows Other Borrowing Cash Flows Net (repayment)/issue of other New Zealand dollar borrowing Net (repayment)/issue of foreign currency borrowing Total other borrowing cash flows Investing Cash Flows Net sale/(purchase) of marketable securities and deposits Issues of circulating currency Decrease/(increase) in cash Total investing cash flows Residual cash deficit/(surplus) funding/(investing) 7,716 (2,196) (935) 8,046 (8,805) 720 4,585 (39) - (1,427) (500) (1,152) (480) - (1,927) (1,632) 4,585 (1,966) 1,265 3,882 1,136 1,682 509 (79) 1,160 (21) (1,769) (722) (106) (1,072) 22 (87) (213) (185) 5,830 152 (4) 2,120 511 (1,135) 337 164 (4) (5,275) 169 (6) 4,711 174 (6) 3,199 180 (5) 5,978 1,496 497 (5,112) 4,879 3,374 4,306 2,674 4,166 (674) 1,083 409 (1,510) 274 351 (885) 4,109 (842) 294 1. Short-term borrowing consists of Treasury Bills and may include Euro-Commercial Paper. 118 | B.3 (303) (100) (403) 6,909 1,612 (4,809) 88 158 (5,081) 1 (1,706) FORECAST FINANCIAL STATEMENTS Forecast Statement of Segments Core Crown Crown entities 2014 Actual $m 2014 Actual $m State-owned Enterprises 2014 Actual $m Inter-segment eliminations 2014 Actual $m Total Crown 2014 Actual $m Statement of Financial Performance for the year ended 30 June 2014 Revenue Taxation revenue Other sovereign revenue Revenue from core Crown funding Sales of goods and services Interest revenue and dividends Other revenue 61,474 1,201 1,488 2,295 839 5,409 24,782 1,868 1,249 2,090 187 13,650 879 772 (595) (1,160) (24,969) (534) (1,248) (281) 60,879 5,450 16,472 3,175 3,420 Total revenue (excluding gains) Expenses Social assistance and official development assistance Personnel expenses Other operating expenses Interest expenses Insurance expenses Forecast for future new spending and top-down adjustment 67,297 35,398 15,488 (28,787) 89,396 23,360 6,232 38,255 3,620 - 11,315 18,958 219 3,464 2,956 10,777 1,161 14 (19) (27,565) (600) 23 23,360 20,484 40,425 4,400 3,501 - - - Total expenses (excluding losses) 71,467 33,956 14,908 Minority interest share of operating balance before gains/(losses) Operating balance before gains/(losses) Total gains/(losses) Net surplus/(deficit) from associates and joint ventures Operating balance Expenses by functional classification Social security and welfare Health Education Transport and communications Other Finance costs Forecast for future new spending and top-down adjustment Total Crown expenses (excluding losses) - 18 (173) - - (28,161) 92,170 (4) (159) (4,170) 1,460 407 (630) (2,933) 4,265 1,179 5 (68) 5,381 108 235 16 203 2,874 428 (697) 1 2,808 360 23,281 14,898 12,300 2,237 15,131 3,620 4,526 12,640 9,622 2,289 4,660 219 4 6,909 6,834 1,161 (541) (13,194) (8,862) (2,298) (2,666) (600) 27,266 14,344 13,064 9,137 23,959 4,400 - - - 71,467 33,956 14,908 (28,161) - 92,170 - 8,227 11,819 60,037 30,963 32,543 1,184 1,633 2,780 6,379 32,685 56,802 8,627 542 607 1,574 1,762 17,815 28,541 192 1,194 1,404 (693) (2,480) (16,728) (31,291) (35) 11,888 17,480 93,809 116,306 10,071 2,920 3,609 Statement of Financial Position as at 30 June 2014 Assets Cash and cash equivalents Receivables Other financial assets Property, plant and equipment Equity accounted investments Intangible assets and goodwill Inventory and other assets Forecast for new capital spending and top-down adjustment - - - 146,406 108,422 52,482 (51,227) 256,083 Liabilities Borrowings Other liabilities 89,090 28,442 5,155 43,836 26,185 7,245 (17,011) (7,638) 103,419 71,885 Total liabilities 117,532 48,991 33,430 (24,649) 175,304 Total assets less total liabilities 28,874 59,431 19,052 (26,578) 80,779 Net worth Taxpayers' funds Reserves Net worth attributable to minority interest 11,971 16,903 - 27,744 31,627 60 3,358 10,111 5,583 (29,773) 3,627 (432) 13,300 62,268 5,211 Total net worth 28,874 59,431 19,052 (26,578) 80,779 Total assets - - B.3 | 119 2015 BUDGET ECONOMIC AND FISCAL UPDATE Forecast Statement of Segments (continued) Core Crown Crown entities State-owned Enterprises 2015 Forecast $m Inter-segment eliminations 2015 Forecast $m Total Crown 2015 Forecast $m 2015 Forecast $m 2015 Forecast $m Revenue Taxation revenue Other sovereign revenue Revenue from core Crown funding Sales of goods and services Interest revenue and dividends Other revenue 66,077 1,236 1,429 2,419 723 5,071 25,378 1,787 1,459 2,413 142 13,928 1,070 894 (615) (1,116) (25,520) (519) (1,383) (436) 65,462 5,191 16,625 3,565 3,594 Total revenue (excluding gains) 71,884 36,108 16,034 (29,589) 94,437 Expenses Social assistance and official development assistance Personnel expenses Other operating expenses Interest expenses Insurance expenses Forecast for future new spending and top-down adjustment 23,846 6,540 39,273 3,977 2 11,749 19,634 221 4,013 2,909 10,981 1,333 8 (16) (28,276) (842) - 23,846 21,182 41,612 4,689 4,023 - - Total expenses (excluding losses) 73,090 35,617 15,231 - 19 Statement of Financial Performance for the year ended 30 June 2015 Minority interest share of operating balance before gains/(losses) Operating balance before gains/(losses) Total gains/(losses) Net surplus/(deficit) from associates and joint ventures (548) (1,206) 2,055 510 (1,478) 67 576 916 (392) (362) 441 46 3 (29,134) 26 (429) (1,219) - 1 7,150 6,747 1,333 (528) (13,220) (9,162) (2,532) (2,850) (842) (317) (684) (596) 646 23,842 15,075 13,021 2,328 15,395 3,977 - - Total Crown expenses (excluding losses) 73,090 35,617 15,231 (29,134) 94,804 9,462 12,161 61,915 31,956 34,085 1,247 1,454 2,684 5,617 34,262 58,773 9,331 573 577 1,663 1,984 19,509 28,703 164 1,179 1,215 (600) (2,291) (17,718) (32,838) (26) 13,209 17,471 97,968 119,432 10,742 2,999 3,220 (548) (1,648) 94,804 Operating balance Expenses by functional classification Social security and welfare Health Education Transport and communications Other Finance costs Forecast for future new spending and top-down adjustment 4,910 12,893 9,912 2,637 5,044 221 490 (548) - (634) 28,224 14,748 13,772 9,583 24,336 4,689 (548) Statement of Financial Position as at 30 June 2015 Assets Cash and cash equivalents Receivables Other financial assets Property, plant and equipment Equity accounted investments Intangible assets and goodwill Inventory and other assets Forecast for new capital spending and top-down adjustment - - 151,905 111,817 54,417 (53,473) 264,666 Liabilities Borrowings Other liabilities 91,161 30,882 5,484 46,070 28,278 7,294 (17,025) (7,462) 107,898 76,784 Total liabilities Total assets (375) - (375) 122,043 51,554 35,572 (24,487) 184,682 Total assets less total liabilities 29,862 60,263 18,845 (28,986) 79,984 Net worth Taxpayers' funds Reserves Net worth attributable to minority interest 12,931 16,931 - 28,585 31,569 109 3,401 10,012 5,432 (32,197) 3,571 (360) 12,720 62,083 5,181 Total net worth 29,862 60,263 18,845 (28,986) 79,984 120 | B.3 FORECAST FINANCIAL STATEMENTS Forecast Statement of Segments (continued) Core Crown Crown entities State-owned Enterprises 2016 Forecast $m Inter-segment eliminations 2016 Forecast $m Total Crown 2016 Forecast $m 2016 Forecast $m 2016 Forecast $m Revenue Taxation revenue Other sovereign revenue Revenue from core Crown funding Sales of goods and services Interest revenue and dividends Other revenue 68,868 1,438 1,416 2,561 638 4,832 25,829 1,925 1,481 2,706 111 14,450 1,300 800 (770) (1,232) (25,940) (538) (1,306) (564) 68,098 5,038 17,253 4,036 3,580 Total revenue (excluding gains) 74,921 36,773 16,661 (30,350) 98,005 Expenses Social assistance and official development assistance Personnel expenses Other operating expenses Interest expenses Insurance expenses Forecast for future new spending and top-down adjustment 24,482 6,739 40,755 3,676 3 11,964 20,214 216 4,340 2,908 11,021 1,520 8 (17) (28,993) (725) (3) 24,482 21,594 42,997 4,687 4,348 Statement of Financial Performance for the year ended 30 June 2016 Total expenses (excluding losses) Minority interest share of operating balance before gains/(losses) Operating balance before gains/(losses) Total gains/(losses) Net surplus/(deficit) from associates and joint ventures - - 74,935 (720) 36,734 15,457 - 27 (504) 36 66 271 700 92 (576) (223) (14) 2,343 - (720) (29,738) 97,388 (441) 176 2,483 77 248 8 (2) 331 Operating balance Expenses by functional classification Social security and welfare Health Education Transport and communications Other Finance costs Forecast for future new spending and top-down adjustment 2,406 585 800 (801) 2,990 24,639 15,581 13,134 2,214 16,411 3,676 5,494 13,161 10,145 2,600 5,118 216 1 7,155 6,781 1,520 (538) (13,639) (9,386) (2,532) (2,918) (725) 29,595 15,103 13,894 9,437 25,392 4,687 - - Total Crown expenses (excluding losses) 74,935 36,734 15,457 (29,738) 97,388 9,715 12,361 63,813 33,292 35,983 1,436 1,508 1,849 4,811 35,244 60,902 9,700 657 585 1,990 2,035 21,115 29,383 171 1,171 1,188 (517) (1,739) (18,783) (34,728) (27) 13,037 17,468 101,389 123,577 11,126 3,264 3,254 (720) - (720) Statement of Financial Position as at 30 June 2016 Assets Cash and cash equivalents Receivables Other financial assets Property, plant and equipment Equity accounted investments Intangible assets and goodwill Inventory and other assets Forecast for new capital spending and top-down adjustment - - 157,769 113,748 57,053 (55,794) 272,776 Liabilities Borrowings Other liabilities 94,467 31,017 6,447 44,885 30,490 7,348 (18,027) (6,886) 113,377 76,364 Total liabilities Total assets (339) - (339) 125,484 51,332 37,838 (24,913) 189,741 Total assets less total liabilities 32,285 62,416 19,215 (30,881) 83,035 Net worth Taxpayers' funds Reserves Net worth attributable to minority interest 15,336 16,949 - 31,030 31,293 93 3,704 10,019 5,492 (34,092) 3,573 (362) 15,978 61,834 5,223 Total net worth 32,285 62,416 19,215 (30,881) 83,035 B.3 | 121 2015 BUDGET ECONOMIC AND FISCAL UPDATE Forecast Statement of Segments (continued) Core Crown Crown entities State-owned Enterprises 2017 Forecast $m Inter-segment eliminations 2017 Forecast $m Total Crown 2017 Forecast $m 2017 Forecast $m 2017 Forecast $m Revenue Taxation revenue Other sovereign revenue Revenue from core Crown funding Sales of goods and services Interest revenue and dividends Other revenue 72,544 1,288 1,478 3,031 604 4,673 25,904 1,993 1,522 2,702 103 14,843 1,523 898 (826) (1,340) (26,007) (558) (1,384) (512) 71,718 4,621 17,756 4,692 3,692 Total revenue (excluding gains) 78,945 36,794 17,367 (30,627) 102,479 Expenses Social assistance and official development assistance Personnel expenses Other operating expenses Interest expenses Insurance expenses Forecast for future new spending and top-down adjustment 25,353 6,628 40,166 4,080 - 12,108 20,197 230 4,755 2,980 11,345 1,700 8 (17) (29,175) (739) 1 25,353 21,699 42,533 5,271 4,764 Statement of Financial Performance for the year ended 30 June 2017 Total expenses (excluding losses) Minority interest share of operating balance before gains/(losses) Operating balance before gains/(losses) Total gains/(losses) Net surplus/(deficit) from associates and joint ventures 883 - - 77,110 37,290 16,033 1,835 2,369 (29,930) 24 (561) 37 (472) 271 773 47 (660) (229) 883 100,503 (500) 1,476 2,458 75 249 10 (1) 333 Operating balance Expenses by functional classification Social security and welfare Health Education Transport and communications Other Finance costs Forecast for future new spending and top-down adjustment 4,279 48 830 (890) 4,267 25,161 15,621 13,211 2,259 15,895 4,080 5,856 13,168 10,204 2,633 5,199 230 1 7,347 6,985 1,700 (560) (13,748) (9,426) (2,555) (2,902) (739) 30,457 15,041 13,990 9,684 25,177 5,271 883 - - Total Crown expenses (excluding losses) 77,110 37,290 16,033 (29,930) 100,503 10,178 12,906 70,628 34,210 37,730 1,566 1,519 1,922 4,572 36,540 62,548 9,962 696 602 1,963 2,055 22,914 29,917 204 1,171 1,175 (442) (1,524) (19,487) (36,466) (27) 13,621 18,009 110,595 126,675 11,430 3,433 3,269 - 883 Statement of Financial Position as at 30 June 2017 Assets Cash and cash equivalents Receivables Other financial assets Property, plant and equipment Equity accounted investments Intangible assets and goodwill Inventory and other assets Forecast for new capital spending and top-down adjustment - - Total assets 168,736 (1) 116,842 59,399 (57,946) - 287,031 (1) Liabilities Borrowings Other liabilities 100,895 31,249 6,992 45,938 32,435 7,430 (18,659) (6,609) 121,663 78,008 Total liabilities 132,144 52,930 39,865 (25,268) 199,671 Total assets less total liabilities 36,592 63,912 19,534 (32,678) 87,360 Net worth Taxpayers' funds Reserves Net worth attributable to minority interest 19,615 16,977 - 32,733 31,090 89 3,983 10,017 5,534 (35,892) 3,577 (363) 20,439 61,661 5,260 Total net worth 36,592 63,912 19,534 (32,678) 87,360 122 | B.3 FORECAST FINANCIAL STATEMENTS Forecast Statement of Segments (continued) Core Crown Crown entities State-owned Enterprises 2018 Forecast $m Inter-segment eliminations 2018 Forecast $m Total Crown 2018 Forecast $m 2018 Forecast $m 2018 Forecast $m Revenue Taxation revenue Other sovereign revenue Revenue from core Crown funding Sales of goods and services Interest revenue and dividends Other revenue 76,811 1,263 1,527 3,333 583 4,622 25,970 2,070 1,569 2,749 103 15,307 1,652 960 (816) (1,441) (26,073) (579) (1,414) (483) 75,995 4,444 18,325 5,140 3,809 Total revenue (excluding gains) 83,517 36,980 18,022 (30,806) 107,713 Expenses Social assistance and official development assistance Personnel expenses Other operating expenses Interest expenses Insurance expenses Forecast for future new spending and top-down adjustment 26,228 6,642 40,223 4,217 1 12,201 20,158 243 5,209 3,042 11,832 1,805 8 (17) (29,353) (762) (1) 26,228 21,868 42,860 5,503 5,217 Statement of Financial Performance for the year ended 30 June 2018 Total expenses (excluding losses) Minority interest share of operating balance before gains/(losses) Operating balance before gains/(losses) Total gains/(losses) Net surplus/(deficit) from associates and joint ventures 3,520 - - 80,831 37,811 16,687 2,686 2,465 72 5,223 - 3,520 (30,133) 10 (569) 37 (821) 283 766 32 (636) (237) 105,196 (522) 1,995 2,543 249 11 (289) 809 (872) 1 4,871 333 (24) 1 7,704 7,201 1,805 (580) (13,824) (9,428) (2,608) (2,931) (762) 31,585 14,983 14,031 10,017 25,557 5,503 Operating balance Expenses by functional classification Social security and welfare Health Education Transport and communications Other Finance costs Forecast for future new spending and top-down adjustment 25,928 15,673 13,255 2,320 15,918 4,217 3,520 - - Total Crown expenses (excluding losses) 80,831 37,811 16,687 (30,133) 105,196 10,672 13,570 67,439 34,397 39,326 1,569 1,494 1,898 4,239 38,034 64,202 10,219 640 617 2,288 2,090 24,537 30,194 249 1,164 1,118 (443) (1,522) (19,828) (38,053) (26) 14,415 18,377 110,182 128,793 11,741 3,373 3,203 6,261 13,134 10,203 2,601 5,369 243 - 3,520 Statement of Financial Position as at 30 June 2018 Assets Cash and cash equivalents Receivables Other financial assets Property, plant and equipment Equity accounted investments Intangible assets and goodwill Inventory and other assets Forecast for new capital spending and top-down adjustment 576 - - 169,043 119,849 61,640 (59,872) 290,660 Liabilities Borrowings Other liabilities 96,080 31,113 7,412 47,292 34,471 7,536 (19,002) (6,571) 118,961 79,370 Total liabilities Total assets - 576 127,193 54,704 42,007 (25,573) 198,331 Total assets less total liabilities 41,850 65,145 19,633 (34,299) 92,329 Net worth Taxpayers' funds Reserves Net worth attributable to minority interest 24,838 17,012 - 34,142 30,887 116 4,037 10,018 5,578 (37,509) 3,575 (365) 25,508 61,492 5,329 Total net worth 41,850 65,145 19,633 (34,299) 92,329 B.3 | 123 2015 BUDGET ECONOMIC AND FISCAL UPDATE Forecast Statement of Segments (continued) Core Crown Crown entities State-owned Enterprises 2019 Forecast $m Inter-segment eliminations 2019 Forecast $m Total Crown 2019 Forecast $m 2019 Forecast $m 2019 Forecast $m Revenue Taxation revenue Other sovereign revenue Revenue from core Crown funding Sales of goods and services Interest revenue and dividends Other revenue 80,472 1,222 1,556 3,551 560 4,597 26,015 2,127 1,624 2,794 103 15,593 1,746 996 (839) (1,535) (26,118) (594) (1,441) (471) 79,633 4,284 18,682 5,480 3,879 Total revenue (excluding gains) 87,361 37,157 18,438 (30,998) 111,958 Expenses Social assistance and official development assistance Personnel expenses Other operating expenses Interest expenses Insurance expenses Forecast for future new spending and top-down adjustment 27,232 6,612 40,250 4,254 - 12,328 20,090 251 4,982 3,103 12,087 1,818 8 (18) (29,508) (787) 1 27,232 22,025 42,919 5,536 4,991 Statement of Financial Performance for the year ended 30 June 2019 Total expenses (excluding losses) Minority interest share of operating balance before gains/(losses) Operating balance before gains/(losses) Total gains/(losses) Net surplus/(deficit) from associates and joint ventures 5,096 - - 83,444 37,651 17,016 3,917 2,603 (30,312) 12 (585) 38 (482) 286 837 (2) (648) (248) - 5,096 107,799 (535) 3,624 2,639 76 248 10 Operating balance Expenses by functional classification Social security and welfare Health Education Transport and communications Other Finance costs Forecast for future new spending and top-down adjustment 6,596 52 845 (896) 6,597 26,855 15,743 13,249 2,361 15,886 4,254 6,016 13,107 10,192 2,625 5,460 251 (25) 1 7,885 7,337 1,818 (601) (13,913) (9,409) (2,660) (2,942) (787) 32,245 14,937 14,033 10,211 25,741 5,536 5,096 - - Total Crown expenses (excluding losses) 83,444 37,651 17,016 (30,312) 107,799 11,203 14,154 65,966 34,561 40,824 1,571 1,542 1,795 4,248 39,680 65,787 10,469 577 632 2,677 2,128 26,200 30,066 304 1,175 1,084 (446) (1,527) (20,173) (39,543) (27) 15,229 19,003 111,673 130,414 12,054 3,323 3,231 - 334 5,096 Statement of Financial Position as at 30 June 2019 Assets Cash and cash equivalents Receivables Other financial assets Property, plant and equipment Equity accounted investments Intangible assets and goodwill Inventory and other assets Forecast for new capital spending and top-down adjustment 1,356 - - 171,177 123,188 63,634 (61,716) 296,283 Liabilities Borrowings Other liabilities 90,991 31,698 7,719 48,874 36,231 7,643 (19,321) (6,554) 115,620 81,661 Total liabilities Total assets - 1,356 122,689 56,593 43,874 (25,875) 197,281 Total assets less total liabilities 48,488 66,595 19,760 (35,841) 99,002 Net worth Taxpayers' funds Reserves Net worth attributable to minority interest 31,435 17,053 - 35,803 30,674 118 4,124 10,014 5,622 (39,050) 3,575 (366) 32,312 61,316 5,374 Total net worth 48,488 66,595 19,760 (35,841) 99,002 124 | B.3