Title: SNA long-term research agenda Categorisation International Coordination\SNA Revision To Joe, Aileen and ELS DDs, Members of the ESA 95 Review Group have been asked by the UN, via Eurostat, for our suggestions concerning the prioritisation of the 2008 SNA Research Agenda. I have listed the present issues on the SNA long-term research agenda below. Way forward and ...... Action for YOU ! Any comments on the prioritisation of the present list. Any additions to the list together with text for the 5 headings listed below are required. Any response(s) to me should be copied to Joe/Aileen for any additional comment. Deadline is 9 April 2010, allowing me time to co-ordinate a single response to Eurostat. The treatment of quality adjustments in measuring non-market output should be an example of an addition we may seek to add. If so, I would be grateful for Simon Humphries (and his team) to provide the appropriate supporting detail. Present issues on the SNA long-term research agenda 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Reverse Transactions Debt concessionality Clarification of income concept in the SNA - should holding gains be included? Final consumption of corporations The relationship of SNA and IASB High inflation Accrual interest in the SNA - the debtor or creditor approach? Equity valuation and its implications Provisions Distinction between current maintenance and capital repairs Broadening the fixed asset boundary to include other intellectual property assets Treatment of private-public partnerships Consolidation, both for government and private enterprise groups Wider use of fair value for loans Recognition of social security entitlements as liabilities Leases to exploit natural resources such as mineral deposits Reinvested earnings Output of central banks: taxes and subsidies on interest rates applied by central banks Inclusion of international organisations in the SNA Government social services Additional items If you want to include any additional items, details for the following headings are needed. I have also provided an example for the type of details needed below. Contact person The issue 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 1 LIMITE EN Reasons for inclusion in the research agenda Time horizon Key references 12 Treatment of private-public partnerships Contact person Cor Gorter (IMF) The Issue PPPs are generally understood to be arrangements whereby elements of the acquisition and operating of infrastructural projects that were traditionally undertaken by the public sector are transferred to the private sector. These elements may include legal ownership of the infrastructure for an agreed number of years, the financing of the asset, and production of services related to the exploitation of the asset. PPP arrangements vary widely in character and typically involve large financial resources. They are popular in several countries for financing and operating (rail) roads, education and health facilities, and even prisons. From the point of view of the public sector, the main attraction of this limited privatization is the efficiency gains they promise. However, by using the private sector to finance these projects governments may avoid showing explicit government debt. Furthermore, PPPs bear considerable fiscal risks to government (e.g., in the shape of guarantees, etc.) and the accounting of such risks may affect policy decisions. It is therefore imperative that statistics appropriately reflect these hazards; the present 1993 SNA does not provide sufficient guidance in this respect. Several issues need to be resolved. A main question is who should be considered the economic owner of the fixed asset: government, the private enterprise, or maybe both to some extent. A related question is whose balance sheet should show the external financing of the project. Further questions concern the classification and valuation of the transactions taking place between government and the private enterprise during the period covered by the operation of the asset. Reasons for inclusion in the Research Agenda PPPs were proposed as a 1993 SNA update issue (issue number 24) by the Canberra II Group on the Measurement of Non-Financial Assets. The Group discussed the issue of economic ownership on the basis of the criteria economic control and who has the risks and rewards of the assets. As the relative importance of these factors are likely to vary with each PPP, it appeared to be very difficult to formulate generally applicable rules. The Group came to a similar conclusion regarding the operation of the assets. Headway had been made in Eurostat’s ESA 95 Manual of government deficit and debt,1 the UK Accounting Standards Board and the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB), but none of the proposals found a strong backing in the Canberra II Group. The AEG discussed an Issues paper on PPPs during its January/February 2006 meeting. 2 The AEG acknowledged that a general description would be very useful but that the issues are very complex. It was therefore suggested that the material might appear as an annex to the updated SNA. Representatives of the Australian Bureau of Statistics, the Office for National Statistics, and the International Monetary Fund offered to draft a text for the annex. Statisticians should consider the rules that the IASB and the International Public Sector Accountants Standards Board (IPSASB3) adopt regarding PPPs4, even if these are not decisive for the statistical treatment. By end-2006, the IASB arrived at a conclusion on how the private sector should account for PPPs.5 The IPSASB has started its own project for public sector financial reporting on PPPs, but an end date is not yet known. In view of the limited progress made up till date, the ISWGNA decided it would be better to add this topic to the Research Agenda. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------1 Section IV.4.2, Long term contracts between government units and non-government partners. 2 The document was prepared by Brett Kaufmann, Robin Lynch, Christoph Maier, and John Pitzer. 3 The IPSASB is part of the International Federation of Accountants (IFAC). 4 PPPs are often referred to as “service concessions arrangements” in public and business accounting. 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 2 LIMITE EN 5 The International Financial Reporting Interpretations Committee (IFRIC, the interpretative arm of the IASB), issued a near-final interpretation-IFRIC 12, Service Concessions Arrangements, on November 30, 2006. It concluded that the asset should be recorded with the unit that has the controls over it, which usually is government. The private operator receives either a financial asset in the shape of a right on cash payments from government for services rendered, or an intangible asset in the shape of the right to charge users of the public asset. Time horizon An agreement in the IPSASB may well take until its meeting in mid-2008. A proposal for the statistical treatment of PPPs could then be expected by the end of 2008. References AEG document and conclusion: http://unstats.un.org/unsd/sna1993/description.asp?ID=23 Overview IFRIC 12: http://www.iasb.org/Current+Projects/....htm Sanjiv 23 March 2010 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 3 LIMITE EN Ian Richardson 09/03/2012 14:34 To: Dunn/ONS@ONS cc: Subject: Daniel Wisniewski/NAD/MESAG/NEWPORT/ONS@ONS, San Chris Daffin/EEPD/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS@ONS POLICE AND FIRE PENSIONS I attach a paper discussed at a recent Sector Accounts Local government meeting with HMT and OBR, abut the treatment of police and fire pensions in the national accounts and Public Sector Finances. As you will see, OBR feel that the present treatment of police and fire pensions does not count transactions accurately. I think that there is a problem , and it seems likely that we will be proposing a change of presentation in the 2013 Blue book. It is not clear to me who the central contact point for pensions is for Blue Book purposes but I would welcome a central view on the possible changes. Thank you Ian Ian Richardson Branch Head Local Government and Public Corporations Account Public Sector and Economics Division Room 1.059, ONS, Newport Tel. 01633 455780 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 4 LIMITE EN SALG (12) 1 POLICE AND FIRE PENSION TOP-UP GRANTS Background 1. Philippa Todd (OBR) has queried the present treatment of the police and fire pension schemes, in particular arguing that the central government top-up payments into these pension schemes are double-counted in the local authority accounts. Introduction 2. I attach as an annex an e-mail setting out the views of David Hobbs, ONS accountant. 3. I think that basically Dave agrees with Philippa that the present system double counts the police and fire top-up grants by scoring the receipts in both D.612 imputed social contributions and in D.73 current grants from central government 4. The following table (also in this attachment), shows Table 5.3.4 in the Blue book. 9086/12 one possible way of changing MLG/am DG G I 5 LIMITE EN 5. Changing the value for identifier NSMM (D.61 social contributions) will change GZSK (net social benefits paid) and show increased local authority spending in the PSF tables. Scope for making this change 6. As the proposed change would affect the Blue Book calculations for at least ten years this change will have to wait for the 2013 Blue Book at the earliest. A further complication is that the 2014 Blue Book will introduce changed methods for showing pensions as ONS adopts the 2010 European System of Accounts. It could be argued that making a change for one year only might confuse users. 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 6 LIMITE EN Next steps 7. Views from SALG members are invited on this possible change. Other parts of ONS have not yet been fully consulted and their views will also need to be taken into account. Ian Richardson 23 February 2012 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 7 LIMITE EN ANNEX: ADVICE SUPPLIED BY DAVE HOBBS, ONS ACCOUNTANT David Hobbs To: cc: Subject: 20/12/2011 14:44 Ian Richardson/EEPD/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS@O Police and Fire pension funds Ian As stated in the LG Financial Statements, "The police and fire fighters' pensions are provided through unfunded schemes administered locally, and the cost of police and fire fighters' pensions are therefore included in local authority expenditure." So there are effectively no separate pension funds for these schemes so it makes sense to include all related flows transparently within the LA's accounts. For illustration, I have used the unaudited 2009-10 figures for the police scheme, as per Tom's paper to show how I think the various flows should appear in the accounts, firstly as if the scheme and LA report the flows separately and, secondly, merging the scheme into the LA's account: (a) Police pensions Scheme income and expenditure account, 2009-10 Expenditure: £ million (iv)Pensions payable in period 2492 Income: (i)Employee contributions receivable in period (ii)Employer's contributions payable in period (iii)Other income (v) Deficit for the period, covered by LA £ million 543 1216 70 663 (b) Local authority income and expenditure account, 2009-10 Expenditure: (ii)Employer's contributions payable in period £ million 1216 (v) Scheme deficit for the period, covered by LA Income: £ million (vi)Top-up grants receivable by LA from CG, calculated as pensions payable (iv) employee contributions (i) employer contributions (ii) other income (iii) = 2492 - 543 - 1216 - 70 = 663 663 (c) Households' income and expenditure account, 2009-10 Expenditure: (i)Employee contributions payable in period £ million 543 Income: (iv)Pensions receivable in period £ million 2492 (d) General government income and expenditure account, 2009-10 Expenditure: (vi)Top-up grants payable by CG to LA, calculated as pensions payable (iv) employee contributions (i) employer contributions (ii) other income (iii) = 2492 - 543 - 1216 - 70 = Income: 663 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 8 LIMITE EN The net effect of all this is that: the transactions within the police pension scheme net to a deficit for the year of £663m, and this is covered by the local authority. In turn, the pensions cost to the local authority nets out to its imputed employers contribution of £1216m (as its contribution to the scheme is covered by the top-up grant from CG). The net impact on LG borrowing is therefore £1216m. The only impact on CG borrowing is £663m (= the top up paid to LG, which could be seen as a form of 'employers' contribution , paid by CG, to the scheme, via the LA). The overall impact on GG borrowing is therefore £663m + £1216m = £1879m, made up of: total pensions payable £2492 less employee contributions receivable £543 less other income £70m As the fire fighters' scheme is unfunded it can, for convenience, be amalgamated with the LA income and expenditure accounts (cancelling out all opposite and equal transactions) as follows: (e) Combined local authority and fire-fighter' scheme income and expenditure account, 2009-10 Expenditure: £ million (iv)Pensions payable in period 2492 Income: £ million (i)Employee contributions receivable in period (iii)Other income (vi)Top-up grants receivable by LA from CG, calculated as pensions payable (iv) employee contributions (i) employer contributions (ii) other income (iii) = 2492 - 543 - 1216 - 70 = Impact on borrowing = 'imputed employer contributions' 543 70 663 1216 Philippa's recent note to you included the following comments: - PSNB should score the gross payments to pensioners, less employee contributions (as with the main CG unfunded schemes) True - PSNB should score the net cost of providing the fire fighter's pensions in the period, although I think this should also take into account the 'other income'. So, for 2009-10, the total impact on GG PSNB would be pensions payable less [employee contributions receivable + other income] (= 2492m - 543m- 70m) = £1879m. Via the top-up grant, this impact on GG PSNB is shared as £1216 for LG and £663m for CG. - Employers contributions would increase compensation of employees, and reduce net social benefits In Table (e) above, the employer contribution is not visible as an expenditure item. I think what Philippa is saying is that if we show an imputed employer's contribution on the expenditure side of the LA's account then this is balanced by a reduction in the amount shown for social benefits (=pensions) payable. Following Philippa's logic, Table (e) would be re-arranged to become Table (f) below, with the same overall effect on LG PSNB: (f) 'Re-arranged' Combined local authority and fire-fighter' scheme income and expenditure account, 2009-10 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 9 LIMITE EN Expenditure: £ million (iv)Pensions payable in period [= gross pensions payable £2492m less amount treated as employer contribution, i.e. as employee compensation rather than social benefits £1216m) Employer's contributions (within employee compensation) 1276 Income: (i)Employee contributions receivable in period 1216 (iii)Other income (vi)Top-up grants receivable by LA from CG, calculated as pensions payable (iv) employee contributions (i) employer contributions (ii) other income (iii) = 2492 - 543 - 1216 - 70 = Impact on borrowing = 'imputed employer contributions' £ million 543 70 663 1216 However, in my view, this is rather misleading as it understates the true size of the gross pensions payments. More meaningful would be to show the full figure for pensions payable (i.e. £2492m) and to show the employers' contributions on both the expenditure (i.e. LA) side and the income (i.e. pension scheme) side. The combined account would thus appear: (f) 'Re-arranged' Combined local authority and fire-fighter' scheme income and expenditure account, 2009-10 Expenditure: £ million Income: £ million (iv)Pensions payable in period 2492 (i)Employee contributions 543 receivable in period Employer's contributions made 1216 Employer's contributions 1216 by LA (within employee received by scheme compensation) (iii)Other income 70 (vi)Top-up grants receivable by 663 LA from CG, calculated as pensions payable (iv) employee contributions (i) employer contributions (ii) other income (iii) = 2492 - 543 - 1216 - 70 = Net impact on LG borrowing 1216 Philippa continues: - Although the gap between gross payments and employer and employee contributions is met by CG top-up grants, the PSNB should be including the net spending that this top-up grant finances True, GG PSNB should be impacted by £1879m, of which £1216m is borne by LG and £663m by CG as explained above. - And any imputed employer contributions that were netted off net social benefits should also have an offset that scores in an offsetting way within PSNB (e.g. within compensation of employees)Not necessary if presented as in (f). Table (f) above is similar to the presentation in the BB table 5.3.4S which shows both employees contributions (D611) and employers' contribution (D612) on the income (i.e. resources) side and shows pensions payable on the expenditure (i.e. uses) side. The employers' contributions on the expenditure side is not included in Table 5.3.4S as this, being part of compensation of employees, would be included as a 'use' within the allocation of primary income account for LG. It is not clear to me, however, whether the Top-up grant is included in the figure for 'employer contributions' within Table 5.4.3S (resources), or where in the accounts the 'other income' amount has been recorded. Regarding the PSAT2LG table, this seems to have been prepared in a fashion that may be inconsistent with 5.4.3.S. I would have expected 'current receipts' to include both employee contributions and imputed employer contributions, other income and the top-up grants receivable in the year. Perhaps these are included in the 'gross operating surplus/deficit line?). Similarly, I would expect 'current expenditure' to include the gross pension cost (under 'social benefits') and the LG compensation of employees (including the 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 10 LIMITE EN imputed employer contribution) to be included within P3 'Current expenditure on goods and services'. I can't tell if this is the case without a breakdown of the figures contained in the PSAT2LG table. Happy to discuss Dave David Hobbs Public Sector Division Office for National Statistics Tel: 01633 456316 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 11 LIMITE EN NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Sanjiv Mahajan on 03/02/2012 at 22:49 Title: Table 29 - Differences between Dec 2010 Commission Proposal and Supplementary Table Questionnaire R R e p o n e T o R e p o n e Re esssp po on nssse eT To oR Re esssp po on nssse e Note for the record Sanjiv Mahajan 03/02/2012 21:56 To: cc: Subject: Sarah Levy/ONS@ONS Robert Dunn/ONS@ONS [RESTRICTED] - Re: Fw: UK supplementary table on pension Dear Sarah, As discussed - the resolution of the differences has yet to be bought back to the Council. It is likely to be in the late March meeting. Also, a few countries are coming out of the woodwork and will support the German proposal. Happy to discuss. Sanjiv Sarah Levy 31/01/2012 16:41 To: cc: Subject: Sanjiv Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@O Robert Dunn/ONS@ONS [RESTRICTED] - Fw: UK supplementary table on FYI. This is rather an odd response - they have already published the table in the Compilation Guide (published 17th Jan), but now he is suggesting that the decision is not final until approved by the Council. Sarah ----- Forwarded by Sarah Levy/ONS on 31/01/2012 16:38 ----- 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 12 LIMITE EN Ismael.AHAMDANECHZARCO@ec.europa.eu To Sarah Levy/ONS@ONS 31/01/2012 15:19 cc Subject RE: [RESTRICTED] - Re: UK supplementary table on pensions 2010 Hola Sarah, in fact, we decided to go the other way because it makes more sense and because it is more in line with the final report of the CMFB on pensions and with the SNA 2008. On the other hand, it is true that this will affect to all columns, but since this row can be estimated, the residuals will be obtained anyway. I also think that I need to inform to the contact group on pensions, but I prefer to do it when table 29 is finally approved by the Council. Looking forward the agenda of the seminar¡ Un abrazo, Isma From: Sarah Levy [mailto:sarah.levy@ons.gsi.gov.uk] Sent: Tuesday, January 31, 2012 1:51 PM To: AHAMDANECH ZARCO Ismael (ESTAT) Cc: Robert Dunn; Sanjiv Mahajan Subject: [RESTRICTED] - Re: UK supplementary table on pensions 2010 Hola Isma I remember the problem - but as far as I know, the solution was still under discussion at the higher level and you had indicated that you felt the best option would be to delete Row 2.5. This is why we were surprised to find that the decision has gone the other way. Thank you for agreeing that we do not have to include Row 2.5 until the next transmission (2011). However, I will need to look into the issue over the next month because of our publication on 27th April. A key point - which I hope you will include in the guidance that I believe should be sent to the Contact Group on Pensions - is that inclusion of Row 2.5 also affects other parts of the supplementary table. The following cells in the table are affected: Column A (DC pensions): Rows 2 (total contributions) and 8 (revaluations, which is a residual) Columns B, E and G (DB pensions for employees): Row 2.2 (employer imputed contributions, which is a residual) but NOT Row 2. Column H (social security pensions): Rows 2 (total contributions) and 3 (other changes, which is a residual) Regarding the seminar, we will be sending out invitations and agenda shortly. Best wishes, Sarah 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 13 LIMITE EN Ismael.AHAMDANECH-ZARCO@ec.europa.eu 31/01/2012 09:44 To Sarah Levy/ONS@ONS cc Subject RE: [RESTRICTED] - Re: UK supplementary table on pensions 2010 Hola Sarah, the problem we found is that there was a missmatch between table 29 in the Annex A of the new ESA (the methodological part) and Annex B (the transmission program). In the methodological part there was no row 2.5, but we were working all the time with that row (remember that in the questionnaire you had always it). Regarding the UK table for 2010, for Eurostat there is no problem if you don´t include row 2.5. This is a voluntary transmission so any data you send will be very welcome. You can include row 2.5 for the next transmission (2011). Tell me if I can help you in something else. Un abrazo, Isma ps: btw, do you know when you will have the agnda for the seminar of 27th of April? From: Sarah Levy [mailto:sarah.levy@ons.gsi.gov.uk] Sent: Monday, January 30, 2012 5:36 PM To: AHAMDANECH ZARCO Ismael (ESTAT) Cc: Robert Dunn; Sanjiv Mahajan Subject: [RESTRICTED] - Re: UK supplementary table on pensions 2010 Hola Isma Thank you for your response. I can see why you have taken this decision, and I don't disagree with it - but with such a major change, it really would have been helpful to email the Contact Group on Pensions about it. We will now have to revise the UK 2010 table to include it. I can see that the final version of the Technical Compilation Guide that you published on 17th January includes Row 2.5 in the table on page 33, but I can see no accompanying text explaining it or providing guidance on how to compile it. I assume that, because it was a last-minute change, you did not have time to incorporate such text. Could you email the Contact Group on Pensions alerting us all to the change and explaining what it means? I think this is important in order to avoid the risk of some EU countries doing it one way and others the other way, which would produce inconsistency. Best wishes, Sarah Levy Head of Pensions Analysis Household and Labour Market Division Office for National Statistics Cardiff Road Newport South Wales NP10 8XG Tel: 01633 455457 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 14 LIMITE EN Ismael.AHAMDANECH-ZARCO@ec.europa.eu 30/01/2012 15:45 To Sarah Levy/ONS@ONS cc Subject RE: [RESTRICTED] - Re: UK supplementary table on pensions 2010 Hola Sarah, yes, you are right, but then we had an internal discussion and we decided that row 2.5 should be in. The reason is what I said before. In fact, I think that it is the best solution, because these charges have to be taken into account somehow, and row 2.5 is the best place. So the charges will be included in the tables, separately in that row. Sorry for the confusion I have created. Do you agree with our approach? Un abrazo, Isma From: Sarah Levy [mailto:sarah.levy@ons.gsi.gov.uk] Sent: Monday, January 30, 2012 4:14 PM To: AHAMDANECH ZARCO Ismael (ESTAT) Subject: [RESTRICTED] - Re: UK supplementary table on pensions 2010 Thanks, Isma But we still have the problem that Row 2.5 is no longer included in the most recent versions of the table, as you agreed in November, e.g. your email of 18th November in which you said: "Hola Sarah, I have to leave now, I will call you tomorrow. You are right, we need to fix that mismatch, and I think the best option is, as you suggest, to delete row 2.5 of Annex II. Thanks for spotting that¡¡, Isma" Given that this is the case, we have assumed that the service charge should not be included in Row 2 (because Row 2 = sum of Rows 2.1 to 2.4). But the question is, are we right to assume this, or should it be included in Row 2 even if it is not shown separately? If the latter, (a) would it be included in Row 2.2 or 2.4? Or (b) would Row 2 be calculated as: Row 2.1 + Row 2.2 + Row 2.3 + Row 2.4 + service charge (not shown separately). Thank you. Sarah Levy Head of Pensions Analysis 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 15 LIMITE EN Household and Labour Market Division Office for National Statistics Cardiff Road Newport South Wales NP10 8XG Tel: 01633 455457 Ismael.AHAMDANECH-ZARCO@ec.europa.eu 30/01/2012 14:55 To Sarah Levy/ONS@ONS cc Subject RE: [RESTRICTED] - Re: UK supplementary table on pensions 2010 Hola Sarah, ya estoy contigo. Now, I switch to english. For me, row 11 is no so important since it is a memo item. The important thing for me is row 2.5. Why? Because if you want to know the change in pension entitlements, you need to have an estimation of the cost of managing the pension fund: somebody has to pay that, and these are the contributors. So, in fact, the change in entitlements is equal to contributions minus payments minus service cost (in fact, row 11 and 2.5 should be the same). You can take a look to the SNA 2008 and see that they follow the same approach (chapter 17.5). Regarding the estimation, I think you should so it as the summ of the cost: salaries of managing employees plus other costs such as rent of buildings, IT,... Please, tell me if this helps you. We can discuss even by phone if you wish. Un abrazo, Isma From: Sarah Levy [mailto:sarah.levy@ons.gsi.gov.uk] Sent: Tuesday, January 24, 2012 7:48 PM To: AHAMDANECH ZARCO Ismael (ESTAT) Subject: [RESTRICTED] - Re: UK supplementary table on pensions 2010 Hola Isma We are planning to publish our first UK Supplementary Table on Pensions, for the year 2010, on 27 April 2012. This is the table that I sent you on 21 December in the workbook "Pensions Questionnaire_2011_UK". The table will be accompanied by an article explaining how we have arrived at the estimates. As I will be writing this article in the next few weeks, I would be grateful if you could send me any comments you may have on the table. In particular, please could you respond to my queries under Question 8 of the 'Questions' spreadsheet in the "Pensions Questionnaire_2011_UK" workbook? Also, we are organising a seminar in London on the morning of 27 April to present and discuss the 2010 table. I will send you an invitation shortly, in case you may be interested in attending. Best wishes, Sarah 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 16 LIMITE EN Sarah Levy/ONS 21/12/2011 17:3 To Ismael.AHAMDANECH-ZARCO@ec.europa.eu cc Sanjiv Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@ONS Subject [RESTRICTED] - UK supplementary table on pensions 2010 Dear Ismael Please find attached the first experimental Supplementary Table on Pensions for the UK, for the year 2010. I also attach some accompanying documentation. We are pleased to have produced our first table by the deadline of 31 December 2011, and we would welcome any comments you may have on it. Please note that the Table and other unpublished material are marked 'RESTRICTED'. Please treat them as confidential and not for publication or circulation. Deseandote una feliz navidad y todo lo mejor para el 2012! Un abrazo, Sarah Levy Head of Pensions Analysis Household and Labour Market Division Office for National Statistics Cardiff Road Newport South Wales NP10 8XG Tel: 01633 455457 For the latest data on the economy and society consult National Statistics at http://www.ons.gov.uk 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 17 LIMITE EN NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Sanjiv Mahajan on 18/11/2010 at 09:56 Title: Pensions Technical Compilation Guide - Issues for clarification Categorisation International Coordination\Pensions Note for the record Sarah Levy 17/11/2010 11:52 To: cc: Subject: Ismael.AHAMDANECH-ZARCO@ec.europa.eu, christoph.mue Sanjiv Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@ONS, Reimund [UNCLASSIFIED] - Issues for clarification Dear Ismael and Christoph I am sending you a note of key issues which I think need to be clarified in the Technical Compilation Guide. I am copying this email to Reimund, given his interest in some of the points. I would be happy to provide some real-life examples for the Guide. As you know, the UK cannot provide numbers yet, but I would be happy to describe examples of types of pension scheme and other things which give rise to the concerns described in the note. Best wishes, Sarah Levy Head of Pensions Analysis Household and Labour Market Division Office for National Statistics Cardiff Road Newport South Wales NP10 8XG Tel: 01633 455457 If pension statistics are important to your work, please respond to our Work Programme Consultation at www.ons.gov.uk/about/consultations/work-programme-consultation/index.html 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 18 LIMITE EN Points for clarification in the Technical Compilation Guide on Pensions Data in the National Accounts, following the workshop in Luxembourg 9-10 November 2010 Sarah Levy Office for National Statistics, UK 1. Columns A and D As I said at the workshop, there is not enough guidance provided at present on how to deal with DC schemes (columns A and D of the supplementary table). Even if this affects only a minority of countries, it is important to have clear guidance. Here are some suggestions: First, I think it is important to be clear about which schemes should be in Columns A and D. My view is that these columns are for pure DC schemes only. Schemes that are not pure DC (i.e. where liabilities may be different from assets and therefore require actuarial calculations) should be shown in columns B and E-H. If notional DC schemes or other hybrids were to be included in Columns A or D, the figures would be very difficult to interpret because we would have a combination of (i) liabilities calculated on an actuarial basis and (ii) liabilities = assets (the value of the accumulated pension fund). Some countries appear to be doing this at the moment. Second, if we accept that Columns A and D should only contain schemes where liabilities = assets (pure DCs), then the approach to compiling the Supplementary Table for these columns must be different from the approach used for the columns based on actuarial estimates of liabilities (DBs, hybrids etc). With DBs, the opening and closing balances are estimated – either from a model like the Freiburg model or by actuaries. By contrast for DCs, the data sources should contain actual figures for assets (which = liabilities) at the start of the year (row 1) and at the end of the year (row 10), plus contributions (rows 2.1 and 2.3), transfers (row 6), property income (row 2.4) and benefits (row 4). If the opening balance + contributions + net transfers in + property income – benefits paid during the year do not equal the closing balance, it can only be because of changes in the underlying value of the fund (either up or down). This should, I think, go in row 8 (revaluations) although row 9 is another possibility. Note that: In the case of pure DCs, there is no actuarial information. Therefore rows 2.2 and 3 are not applicable, as Chapter 17 makes clear. Also (but this is not clear at present) there can be no actuarial information for rows 7, 8 and 9. Therefore these are also not applicable, unless we use 8 or 9 for changes in the underlying value of the fund, as suggested above. NOTE ON HYBRIDS: After I had written the above paragraphs, I started to wonder how hybrids should be treated. Maybe it depends on the rules of the scheme and on whether the estimated value of actuarial liabilities is higher or lower than the value of liabilities based on actual asset values? For instance, in a scheme which is predominantly DC but with a DB underpin, then it would not make sense to estimate the liabilities based only on the DB underpin, as the 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 19 LIMITE EN households’ actual entitlements would be higher than this minimum value. Again, I think the Guide needs to explain how to deal with such cases. 2. Pensions manager and classification issues We still need clarification of this, and some real-life examples would be helpful in the Guide –especially because the text in Chapter 17 (Section 3.2) is still very unclear. Specifically: Where the fund and the scheme are separate legal entities, guidance is needed about where to put the liability in the table – should it be put in the column which reflects the classification of the fund? (normally financial corporations) Or in the column that reflects the classification of the scheme? (in most cases associated with the sponsoring employer). I understand that the ‘pension manager’ is, in the case of DB schemes, the one that bears the responsibility for paying the liabilities (the employer/scheme) irrespective of whether another unit (such as a pension fund/insurance company) has the day-to-day management (‘administration’) of the assets. I assume that this is why funded DB schemes where general government is the pension manager can be classified either in financial corporations (column E) or in general government (column F) depending on who administers the assets. But if this is the case, then Column D is odd because there is generally no risk to the employer with DC schemes (because assets = liabilities). As one of the Swedish delegates said, if pension management was defined by who assumes the risk, then Column D should not exist! So probably we should interpret Column D simply as containing DC schemes for general government employees. If this is so, would all such schemes be classified in financial corporations? I cannot find any guidance in the Guide on these matters. Again, I think the problem comes from trying to apply the same rules to DCs as to DBs. 3. Indexation arrangements and PBO/ABO The Guide tends to assume that all government pension schemes will be wage-indexed, at least up until the point of retirement. Of course this is the case for final salary schemes by definition. It also the case for notional DC schemes where adjustments are in line with wages until retirement (Box 12). Therefore, the Guide recommends the PBO approach. However, as I said at the workshop, there are a growing number of DB schemes that are not ‘final salary’ – such as career average schemes and notional defined contribution schemes – and many of these have entitlements linked to price increases pre- as well as post-retirement. For instance, this is the case with ‘Nuvos’, the UK civil service pension scheme which is the only DB option for people joining the civil service from 2007. The Technical Compilation Guide does not deal with this issue, and I think it needs to do so – first by acknowledging that ABO may be more appropriate than PBO in some cases, and second by providing guidance on how to deal with cases of indexation by prices rather than wages. 4. Imposed and negotiated reforms I really think we need some real-life examples of what type of reform should go where. 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 20 LIMITE EN 5. Actuarial valuations as an alternative data source I think many of the estimates produced so far for DB pension liabilities have been for social security pension schemes and have used the Freiburg model because this model can cope well with such schemes. However, it should be recognised that in some countries the source data for employment-related social insurance schemes (DB) comes directly from actuarial valuations. In such cases, given the number of schemes and the cost involved, it is not possible to recreate estimates of liabilities using the Freiburg model or a similar approach. Nor would there be any advantage to doing so, as professional actuarial valuations should provide equally good estimates of pension liabilities. It would be helpful to acknowledge this in the Guide. It has been suggested that the results from an approach based on compiling figures from actuarial valuations may be less ‘transparent’ than results from a modelling approach. I agree that they would be less transparent to those who are accustomed to modelling, but from the point of view of those external to the compilation processes, both approaches are equally difficult to understand. Transparency can only be obtained, in my view, by clear explanations of the methods in both cases. 6. Working example 8.2 in the Guide The German example included in the Guide gives the impression that it will be OK to provide column C only under the Transmission Programme, without a split between columns A and B. This does not seem probable – but please could you clarify if this is or is not the case. 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 21 LIMITE EN NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Sarah Levy on 15/10/2010 at 11:01 Title: ELS Representation at conferences / meetings outside ONS - HLM Division - Pensions Analysis Unit R R e p o n e Re esssp po on nssse e ELS Representation at Conferences (National and international) from April 2010 Household and Labour Market Division - Pensions Analysis Unit (PAU) Name of conference Date Location International 12 May Bank of Guidance 2010 England, Manual London Update Seminar (organised by Sanjiv Mahajan) ONS 5 October Church Pensions 2010 House Seminar Conference (organised Centre, by PAU) London Eurostat 9-10 Eurostat Workshop November offices, on Pensions 2010 Luxembourg Name of Link attendee(s) for more details Role of attendee(s) Sarah Levy To present overview of ONS project 'funded and unfunded pension estimates in the NA' Sarah Levy The four members of PAU were presenters; Ole Hazel Black chaired the seminar. Mitchell Guled Guled Jess Coleman (and Ole Black) Sarah Levy To attend the workshop, which will provide further guidance on Eurostat's requirements for completing the new Pensions Supplementary Table. 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 22 LIMITE EN ELS Representation outside ONS Household and Labour Maket Division - Pensions Analysis Unit (PAU) Name of organisation (e.g. UN, Eurostat, OECD, other govt. departments, etc.) ONS = coordinator OGDs = members DWP = coordinator OGDs = members Chatham House Name of Duration Name of representative(s)/attendee(s) Committee, Purpose Frequency of Task Force, (Brief (e.g. per meetings Steering description year) (e.g. no. Group, User 1 sentence) of days) Group, etc. National Statistics Harmonisation Group (NSHG), in particular the NSHG subgroup on pensions The NSHG manages the harmonisation process. PAU chairs the NSHG subgroup on pensions and represents the pensions subgroup at the meetings of the NSHG. Enabling The Steering Retirement Group Savings oversees the Programme design and (ERSP) management Evaluation of the ERSP Steering Evaluation, Group which is intended to assess the impact of the 2012 private pension reforms. Group of Provide expert experts (the advice to the group has no Chatham formal name) house project "Modelling of Long-Run Savings, Pensions and Financial Market Trends" 4-5 times a 1/2 days year Hazel Mitchell Sarah Levy 4-5 times a 2 hours year Sarah Levy 1 meeting so far, another expected before Xmas Sarah Levy 9086/12 2 hours MLG/am DG G I 23 LIMITE EN NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Sanjiv Mahajan on 28/08/2010 at 21:22 Title: ONS view on pensions letter Categorisation International Coordination\Pensions Note for the record Tim Clode 19/08/2010 11:09 To: cc: international@ons Subject: Melissa.Perry@hmtreasury.gsi.gov.uk Martin Kellaway/NEID/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@ONS, Simon H ONS view on pensions letter Dear Melissa, Here are the views of our pensions expert, Martin Kellaway. Kind regards Tim "The letter from the 9 MSs is not particularly clear. First of all, in terms of government deficit and debt statistics (used to judge compliance against the Maastrict Treaty EDP process and the Stability & Growth Pact) it does not particularly matter whether pension schemes are funded (a pension pot that gets invested in assets) or unfunded (pay as you go, like the UK civil service scheme). In both cases the government liability (should one be recognised) to pensioners/potential future pensioners is not included in the government debt statistics. In terms of the deficit, for unfunded schemes the impact is the payment to pension receipients. For funded schemes, it is the cost by government as an employer in making contributions to the fund, the fund itself should be classified outside the government sector in the financial corporations sector. If MSs are replacing unfunded schemes with funded ones, the act of making payments into those funds (which we would expect to be higher than the costs of paying the current pension recipients) to establish the fund will have an impact on government deficit and debt, so I guess this is what the complaint is about. The MSs involved therefore feel penalised for taking responsible action (bringing forward their pension timebomb problem by trying to resolve it) whereas those that leave it are not similarly penalised. However, it could be argued that the credit rating agencies will take this into account when rating issues of government debt so that by being responsible now the interest bill comes down. It is, of course, difficult to have harmonised statistics to judge MSs performances when their systems (such as pensions, but another example is social security) are not harmonised. To exclude the payments would only be possible if the S&G Pact was revised to be based on a new statistic: an adjusted form of government net borrowing. Martin Kellaway" __________________________________________________________________________________________ 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 24 LIMITE EN TIM CLODE | International Relations | UK Statistics Authority | Newport NP10 8XG | United Kingdom Tel +44 (0)1633 455739 | Fax +44 (0)1633 652652 | tim.clode@statistics.gov.uk | www.statistics.gov.uk NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Sanjiv Mahajan on 22/12/2011 at 07:51 Title: UK supplementary table on pensions 2010 Categorisation International Coordination\Pensions Note for the record Sarah Levy 21/12/2011 17:32 To: cc: Subject: Ismael.AHAMDANECH-ZARCO@ec.europa.eu Sanjiv Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@ONS [RESTRICTED] - UK supplementary table on pensions 2010 Dear Ismael Please find attached the first experimental Supplementary Table on Pensions for the UK, for the year 2010. I also attach some accompanying documentation. We are pleased to have produced our first table by the deadline of 31 December 2011, and we would welcome any comments you may have on it. Please note that the Table and other unpublished material are marked 'RESTRICTED'. Please treat them as confidential and not for publication or circulation. Deseandote una feliz navidad y todo lo mejor para el 2012! Un abrazo, Sarah Levy Head of Pensions Analysis Household and Labour Market Division Office for National Statistics Cardiff Road Newport South Wales NP10 8XG Tel: 01633 455457 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 25 LIMITE EN Compiling estimates of state pension obligations for the National Accounts (a methodology article) Sarah Levy, Pensions Analysis Unit, Office for National Statistics (ONS) 1. Introduction ONS is working to produce the first official estimate of the total obligations, or gross liabilities, of UK pension schemes. The work began in 2009 as part of efforts to address new international requirements for the National Accounts. These include a ‘supplementary table’ on pensions which all countries will have to include in their National Accounts. The UK’s first supplementary table on pensions will be produced on an experimental basis for the year 2010. The table will include estimates for unfunded pensions, which comprise public sector employee pensions and state pensions. For such pensions there is no pension fund: the payments are financed from taxation and employee contributions. The first article in this series, which was published in August 20111, provided an overview of the work in the context of the 2010 revision of the European System of Accounts (ESA), which is the EU-specific interpretation of the internationally agreed System of National Accounts. ESA2010 involves changes in the treatment of pensions, in particular the introduction of a ‘supplementary table on pension schemes in social insurance’ (see Table 1). The first article also described the methodology that ONS – with the support of the Government Actuary’s Department (GAD) – has developed for estimating the accrued-to-date obligations of public sector employee pension schemes. This article describes the methodology for producing similar estimates for state pensions, which will appear in Column H of the supplementary table on pensions. In the supplementary table, as elsewhere in the National Accounts, ‘social security pension schemes in social insurance’ do not include social assistance (income-related benefits). UK state pension estimates are for the contributory state pension, which is made up of the basic and additional state pensions. Pension Credit (a means-tested benefit for pensioners) and other non-contributory state pensions are not included2. The estimates have been produced for ONS by the Department for Work and Pensions (DWP). ONS and GAD have quality assured the results. It should be noted that state pension liabilities are not liabilities in the sense of debt, because it is possible to change the obligations outstanding by enacting legislation or, if legislation is not required, by announcing changes to the rules. Such changes may affect service already accrued by pension scheme members, as in the case of the change in the basis of uprating for state pensions in payment discussed in Section 2. For this reason, pension liabilities are properly defined as ‘contingent pension obligations’ rather than debt in the Maastricht sense. Contingent pension obligations are not the same as ‘contingent liabilities’ as defined by HM Treasury for the purposes of the Whole of Government Accounts and by the Office for Budget Responsibility in its 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 26 LIMITE EN fiscal sustainability reports3. 1 Levy, S. (2011), see Sources and further reading. 2 Pension Credit is the main non-contributory state pension. There are two small non-contributory elements of the Basic State Pension: Category C, which is is payable to people over State Pension Age on 5 July 1948 and their widows; and Category D, which is paid to people aged 80 and over in certain circumstances (see Pension Trends Chapter 5: State pensions in Sources and further reading). 3 HM Treasury (2011) and Office for Budget Responsibility (2011), published on 13 July 2011 (see Sources and further reading). These reports define ‘contingent liabilities’ as liabilities which are associated with events which may arise in future but are improbable (less than 50 per cent probability); some of these events are also unquantifiable. Office for National Statistics 2 Table 1: Supplementary table on pension schemes in social insurance Relations Row No. Recording Core national accounts Not in the core national accounts Total pension schemes Counterparts: Pension entitlements of nonresident households4) Pension manager Non-general government General government Defined contribution schemes Defined benefit schemes and other1) nondefined contribution schemes Total Defined contribution schemes Defined benefit schemes for general government employees2) Social security pension schemes Classified in financial corporations Classified in general 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 27 LIMITE EN govt 3) Classified in general government Column number A B C D E F G H I J Opening balance sheet 1 Pension entitlements Changes in pension entitlements due to transactions Σ 2.1 to 2.4 2 Increase in pension entitlements due to social contributions 2.1 Employer actual social contributions 2.2 Employer imputed social contributions 2.3 Household actual social contributions 2.4 Household social contribution supplements5) 3 Other (actuarial) change of pension entitlements in social security pension schemes 4 Reduction in pension entitlements due to payment of pension benefits 2+3 -45 Changes in pension entitlements due to social contributions and pension benefits 6 Transfers of pension entitlements between schemes 7 Changes in pension entitlements due to pension scheme reforms Changes in pension entitlements due to other flows 8 Changes in entitlements due to revaluations6) 9 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 28 LIMITE EN Changes in entitlements due to other changes in volume 6) Closing balance sheet 1+ Σ 5 to 9 10 Pension entitlements Related indicators 11 Output 1) Such other non-defined contribution schemes, often described as hybrid schemes, have both a defined benefit and a defined contribution element. 2) Schemes organised by general government for its current and former employees. 3) These are non-autonomous defined benefit schemes whose pension entitlements are recorded in the core national accounts. 4) Counterpart data for non-resident households will only be shown separately when pension relationships with the rest of the world are significant. 5) These supplements represent the return on members' claims on pension schemes, both through investment income on defined contribution schemes' assets and for defined benefit schemes through the unwinding of the discount rate applied. 6) A more detailed split of these positions should be provided for columns G and H based on the model calculations carried out for these schemes. The cells shown as █ are not applicable; the cells in XX will contain different data from the core national accounts. Office for National Statistics 3 2. Methodology This section describes the work that has been done by DWP, ONS and GAD to produce the state pension estimates for the 2010 experimental supplementary table. The supplementary table is prepared on an ‘accrued-to-date’ basis, in line with similar information contained in the National Accounts. This means that Rows 1 and 10 (entitlements/ liabilities) show the amounts due for service to date (at the beginning and end of the year respectively). They do not include rights which will be built up in the future. However, the work that is routinely carried out by DWP to forecast expenditure on state pensions takes into account future accumulation of pension rights, as well as rights accrued to date. This is because the purpose of such forecasts is to establish whether expenditure flows are sustainable as part of long term projections of government expenditure. This section starts by discussing the models used by DWP to produce the estimates of state pension expenditure for the long term projections. It then explains the adjustments that had to be made in order to produce estimates for Rows 1 and 10 of the supplementary table (Column H) on an ‘accrued-to-date’ basis. Additional adjustments due to the modelling assumptions required for the National Accounts are also explained. A discussion of the procedure for discounting expenditure flows to produce estimates of the present value of expenditure concludes the discussion of how the entitlements/liabilities were estimated. 2.1 Modelling state pensions for the long term projections In the UK, the contributory state pension is made up of two tiers: the Basic State Pension (BSP), which provides a flat-rate pension in retirement, and the additional state pension4. In order to 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 29 LIMITE EN qualify for the full BSP, which was £102.15 per week for a single person in 2011/12, people reaching State Pension Age (SPA) on or after 6 April 2010 need to have 30 ‘qualifying years’ (reduced from 44 years for men and 39 years for women reaching SPA before this date). If they have fewer qualifying years, they receive a partial payment in proportion to the number of qualifying years they have built up. Qualifying years are built up by paying National Insurance (NI) contributions while working or, if not in work, through credits. People may also purchase qualifying years by making additional voluntary contributions. With the additional state pension, employees (but not the self-employed) add to the BSP by making extra contributions in order to receive additional pension payments. People who care for others can build up entitlements through credits. The additional state pension was first introduced as the State Earnings-Related Pension Scheme (SERPS) in 1978. SERPS was replaced by the State Second Pension (S2P) in 2002. In DWP’s modelling for the long term projections, references to Additional Pension (AP) refer to SERPS and S2P. Estimates for the state graduated retirement benefit scheme (GRAD), a forerunner of SERPS to which it was possible to contribute between 1961 and 1975, are produced separately (see below). People can defer receipt of their state pension beyond SPA. In such cases, the initial entitlement is increased at a rate of 1 per cent for every five weeks of deferral or 10.4 per cent for a complete year. If people defer for 12 consecutive months or more, they can choose to receive a lump sum instead of the amount that they would have been paid as a pension. The lump sum is equivalent to the amount of deferred pension payments plus interest at 2 per cent above the Bank of England base rate. 4 Further details are available in Pension Trends Chapter 5: State pensions (see Sources and further reading). Office for National Statistics 4 DWP’s long term projections of state pension expenditure are based on two models: the BSP model and the AP model, discussed below. The BSP model is also used to produce separate estimates for GRAD and for lump sums. 2.1.1 The BSP model The BSP model is made up of two parts: the first comprises people who are currently over SPA, referred to in this article as ‘pensioners’; the second comprises the ‘inflows’ of working age people into the pensioner population as they reach SPA. For each group, it is necessary to estimate expenditure on BSP from the date of the accounts (end-2009 or end-2010 in the case of the 2010 supplementary table) until the date at which the youngest person of working age (age 16) is expected to die. For the first group (pensioners), the model takes information on initial amounts of BSP paid to pensioners at SPA from the Quarterly Statistical Enquiry (QSE), a biannual 5 per cent sample of administrative data. Over time, these initial amounts of BSP are adjusted for changes in pensioners’ lives after SPA such as changes in marital status, including widowhood5; they are also 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 30 LIMITE EN increased each year in line with uprating policy (see Section 2.2.2). Pensioners remain in the population until death, which is estimated using mortality rates from the ONS’s 2008-based national population projections. The mortality rates used in the model are split by sex and single year of age up to 125 years. For the second group (working age people reaching SPA), it is necessary to estimate both the initial numbers of people (cohorts reaching SPA) and amounts of BSP that will be paid to them when they reach SPA. These ‘inflows’ into the pensioner population can then be treated in the same way as the estimates for existing pensioners, including adjusting for changes in their lives after SPA and increasing pensions in line with uprating policy. In order to estimate inflows, the BSP model creates a ‘caseload forecast’ for each cohort of working age people reaching SPA until the youngest person (age 16 at the date of the accounts) reaches SPA. The caseload forecast is estimated by creating 17,550 groups, representing different combinations of: country of residence6, sex, marital status, age, personal entitlement to BSP as a percentage of full BSP, and category of pension (see Box 1). Some combinations are not possible in practice, so some groups have no one in them. The number of people in each group is multiplied by the average BSP payment for that group at SPA (based on multiplying the personal entitlement to BSP for the group by the projected value of full BSP that year) to create an expenditure forecast for the group when it reaches SPA. This expenditure forecast can be treated in a similar way to the initial amounts of BSP paid to existing pensioners at SPA, as described above. In order to allocate people to the right group in the caseload forecast, data on personal entitlements to BSP is needed. This comes from the ‘L2 dataset’ (a 1 per cent sample of HM Revenue and Customs’ National Insurance Recording System). L2 shows the entitlement to BSP built up by each person in terms of qualifying years, whether as a result of paying NI contributions while working or as a result of building up credits or through payment of additional voluntary contributions. Age and sex data from the L2 dataset is also used to show when people will reach SPA (which ‘SPA cohort’ they belong to). 5 Further details of the BSP model including adjustments to deal with changes in pensioners’ lives after SPA are available in the paper ‘DWP Long Term Basic State Pension Modelling’ (see Sources and further reading). 6 Pensioners living overseas are entitled to receive BSP from the UK if they have built up qualifying years during their working lives, but their entitlement is treated differently depending on where they are resident (see Box 1). Office for National Statistics 5 To forecast numbers reaching SPA in each year, the model uses ONS’s 2008-based national population projections. These provide the total potential number of inflows, which are then split by level of personal entitlement on a cohort basis using information from the L2 dataset. The numbers from the L2 dataset are adjusted using information from the QSE, because the L2 data is known to underestimate future entitlements to BSP. Box 1: Categories used in the BSP caseload forecast 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 31 LIMITE EN Country of residence1 GB, non-frozen rate overseas, frozen rate overseas. Sex Male, female. Marital status2 Male, single female, married female, divorced female, widowed female. Age 60-125 (women), 65-125 (men). Personal entitlement Proportion of full BSP: 0%, 0-50%, 50-60%, 60-80%, 80-100%, 100%. Category of pension3 A: entitlement based on a person’s own contributions. B: entitlement based on partner’s contribution record, paid when the person is not entitled to a Category A pension. 1 Pensions of people living overseas in countries with a non-frozen rate are uprated in the same way as those of people living in the UK, but those living in ‘frozen rate’ countries have their state pensions frozen at the rate they were first paid. A full list of frozen/non-frozen rate countries is available from http://research.dwp.gov.uk/asd/asd4/sp_historical_overseas_expenditure.xls 2 Data on marital status is from ONS marital status projections (2006). This is an important factor when modelling the caseload forecast for women. 3 Note that ‘category of pension’ combined with ‘marital status’ and ‘personal entitlement’ information gives further breakdowns. Also, some people have both category A and B components. If someone has less than 60% of Category A, their pension can be topped up using their partner’s contributions. There are a number of combinations, e.g. AB, ABL and BL. Source: Department for Work and Pensions It should be noted that the model produces estimates for Great Britain (GB) in the first instance; these include payments to pensioners resident overseas who have rights to UK state pensions. Forecasts for numbers of overseas residents are currently produced by assuming that a proportion (for example 12 per cent of the 2009/10 ‘SPA cohort’) of the total is overseas residents. DWP is working to improve this methodology. Forecasts for the UK are produced by uprating the GB (including overseas) estimates using a factor based on the ratio of pensioner numbers in Northern Ireland to those in GB7. Although the model is based on the two parts discussed above – (i) current pensioners and (ii) inflows of working age people reaching SPA – it also needs to allow for inflows of people into the pensioner population after SPA (in cases where people decide to defer taking their state pensions beyond SPA) and associated payments of deferred pensions and lump sums. Inflows after SPA are derived using historic inflow numbers from the QSE combined with ONS population figures to predict how many people with unclaimed entitlement are above SPA at any point in time, and when they are likely to claim state pension. Some adjustments are made to allow for changes in the behaviour of women as women’s SPA rises from April 2010. To estimate the payments associated with inflows after SPA, the model uses data from the QSE on take-up rates for deferred pensions and lump sums combined with calculations of amounts payable 7 As part of quality assurance, GAD pointed out that the use of this ratio produces a double allowance for pensioners overseas who originate from Northern Ireland because the GB figure includes residents overseas originating from all parts of the UK. The effect of this double counting was judged to be negligible, so no adjustment has been made for 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 32 LIMITE EN 2010, but GAD has recommended making an adjustment in future years. Office for National Statistics 6 based on the rules applying to each. Deferred pension payments are included in estimates of BSP in DWP’s model, while results for lump sums are calculated separately (see Section 2.2.1). Finally, the BSP model is used to produce estimates for GRAD, even though GRAD is a forerunner of the additional state pension. For current pensioners, administrative data from the QSE shows the proportion receiving GRAD at SPA. The proportion of future SPA cohorts with GRAD entitlement is calculated using information from the L2 database. From 2023/24 there are assumed to be no new cases reaching SPA because GRAD could no longer be accrued after 5 April 1975. 2.1.2 The AP model The BSP model is a payouts-based model: it is based on estimates/forecasts of pension payments at SPA for current and future pensioners. By contrast, the AP model is an accruals-based model. Estimates of entitlement to SERPS and S2P accrued during people’s working lives (revalued by earnings growth) are used to estimate their entitlements to AP from SPA. After SPA, entitlements are adjusted for changes in pensioners’ lives, such as widowhood. They are increased each year in line with inflation until death, which is estimated using mortality rates from the ONS’s 2008-based national population projections. In order to produce estimates/forecasts of entitlement to AP there are three stages. The first stage uses the L2 database to produce earnings factors8 based on: Numbers of jobs from DWP’s cohort employment model, Numbers of people by individual age earning at each of three levels: 1. between the Lower Earnings Limit and the Lower Earnings Threshold 2. between the Lower and Upper Earnings Thresholds 3. between the Upper Earnings Threshold and the Upper Accrual Point Deductions for contracting out of AP into private pension schemes. For the 2010 supplementary table, the earnings factors between 2008/09 and the date of the accounts (end-2009 or end-2010) had to be projected as 2008/09 was the last year of actual data available from the L2 database. The second stage combines the earnings factors (whether from the L2 database or projected) with accrual rates. Accrual rates are defined in legislation and are used to turn earnings factors into accrued AP entitlements. In the third stage, for each cohort of people, entitlements accrued in a particular financial year are increased until SPA according to the rules on revaluation during working life – currently in line with earnings growth (see Table 2). They are then converted into a ‘gross AP entitlement’ for the cohort at SPA and this is increased from SPA in line with inflation. Thus, accrued AP entitlements = Earnings * rate of accrual... revalued in line with earnings growth until SPA 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 33 LIMITE EN Earnings * rate of accrual... uprated in line with inflation from SPA Carer credits are modelled separately using data on benefit caseloads, economic activity, information from the L2 database and ONS population projections. 8 For further details, see the paper ‘DWP Earnings Factor Modelling: Turning earnings distributions into earnings factors’ (Sources and further reading). Office for National Statistics 7 Table 2: Earnings revaluation rates used in the AP model Financial year Earnings revaluation rate 2009/10 1.031 2010/11 1.012 2011/12 1.009 2012/13 1.020 2013/14 1.022 2014/15 1.041 2015/16 1.044 2016/17 1.045 2017/18 1.048 1 The 2017/18 assumptions are repeated for all future years. 2 Historical rates are based on the Average Earnings Index. Forecasts are consistent with the Budget 2011 economic assumptions up to 2016/17 and the Office for Budget Responsibility’s long term economic assumptions as of July 2011 from 2017/18 onwards. Source: Department for Work and Pensions It should be noted that the AP model currently has some weaknesses, which DWP’s forecasting team is working to resolve. These are: It only forecasts the amount of money going to a cohort of people based on total accruals in each year; it does not show the distribution between different groups. However, this does not affect the estimates produced for the National Accounts. It does not distinguish between GB and overseas cases, so all entitlements are uprated from SPA (even those in ‘frozen rate’ countries). 2.2 Adapting to National Accounts requirements 2.2.1 Accrued-to-date estimates The main adjustment needed for the National Accounts supplementary table on pensions involved putting the estimates generated by the long term projections model onto an ‘accrued-to-date’ basis. This is because the long term projections model used by DWP to forecast expenditure on state pensions takes into account future accumulation of pension rights as well as rights accrued to date. However, the National Accounts shows accrued-to-date pension entitlements/liabilities. Putting the estimates from DWP’s models onto an ‘accrued-to-date’ basis meant removing any accruals beyond the date of the accounts (in the case of the 2010 supplementary table: end-2009 for Row 1 of the supplementary table and end-2010 for Row 10). For the AP model, this was 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 34 LIMITE EN relatively straightforward because it is an accruals-based model. This meant that accruals could be ‘turned off’ after the date of the accounts (for December 2009 taking three-quarters of accruals in 2009/10; and for December 2010 taking three-quarters of accruals in 2010/11). For the BSP model the change to an ‘accrued-to-date’ basis was more complicated. In the BSP model’s caseload forecast, the proportions of full BSP that people should receive based on their working lives and qualifying years had to be changed to estimate personal entitlement to 2009/10 and 2010/119 rather than personal entitlement when they reached SPA10. Further adjustments were needed to ensure that the alignment of the L2 data with the QSE data (see Section 2.1.1) was not affected by this change. 9 The long term projections model for BSP works on financial years; it was not possible to change it to calendar years. 10 Although GRAD estimates are based on the BSP model, there was no need to turn off accruals for GRAD because accruals have already ceased. Office for National Statistics 8 When modelling BSP on an accrued-to-date basis, a problem was encountered with ‘inherited rights’: the rights to BSP of people with Category B pensions (those based on a spouse or civil partner’s contribution record, see Box 1). When DWP sought to run the long term projection model on an accrued-to-date basis, the model assumed that many people reaching SPA after the date of the accounts had only a partial state pension based on their own contributions (Category A) because qualifying years were only allowed for up to the date of the accounts. Thus the model automatically projected that they would receive inherited rights (Category B), as their pensions based on contributions paid to the date of the accounts were insufficient. To avoid distorting the result, DWP and ONS agreed to remove all inherited rights for people reaching SPA after the date of the accounts. This was justified on the basis that the changes introduced from 6 April 2010 by the Pensions Act 2007 (see Box 2) should mean that in future most people will qualify for full BSP in their own right. However, GAD has pointed out that this is a considerable approximation, and has recommended further work in future to address the issue. Box 2: The Pensions Act 2007 The Pensions Act 2007 introduced a package of measures including, from 6 April 2010: a reduction in the number of qualifying years for full BSP to 30 (from 44 for men and 39 for women) for those reaching SPA on or after this date, the ending of the requirements (a) for people to have at least one-quarter of the full number of qualifying years to receive any BSP and (b) for at least one year to come from paid contributions rather than credits, and the introduction of a new system of carer credits. Source: Pension Trends Chapter 5: State pensions A different approach was used for producing estimates of lump sums for the supplementary table because it proved difficult to forecast annual expenditure on lump sums on an accrued-to-date basis. Therefore, the forecast from the long term projections was adjusted using ratios. These 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 35 LIMITE EN ratios were calculated as: BSP expenditure on the accrued-to-date basis divided by BSP expenditure on the long term projections basis11. Separate ratios were produced for each year, by age and gender. They were applied to the forecast for lump sums from the long term projections, producing a downwards adjustment. Adjustments were also made to allow for the different assumptions on SPA used for the National Accounts work compared to those used for the long term projections (see Section 2.2.2). 2.2.2 Changes in model assumptions Some modelling assumptions also had to be altered in order to meet the requirements for the National Accounts supplementary table on pensions. In particular, it was necessary that the estimates should be based on legislation already enacted at the date of the accounts, and that modelling assumptions should not include reforms enacted thereafter. This meant that SPA rules had to be based on the Pensions Act 1995 which raised SPA for women to 65 by 2020 and the Pensions Act 2007 which provided for a gradual increase in SPA for men and women to 68 by 2046. This meant changing the assumptions in DWP’s long term projections model, which were based on the schedule of increases in SPA contained in the Pensions Bill 2011 as at July 201112, although the Bill only became an Act of Parliament in November 2011. 11 BSP 12 At was used in preference to AP to derive the ratios, as most lump sum payments are related to BSP. the time of the publication of the long term projections in Office for Budget Responsibility (2011). Office for National Statistics 9 The 2011 supplementary table will incorporate the changes to SPA under the Pensions Act 2011, which provide for women’s SPA to rise to 65 by November 2018 and for SPA for both sexes to rise to 66 by October 2020. A comparison of estimates in the 2011 supplementary table with those in the 2010 supplementary table will shed light on the impact of the increased pace of SPA changes. Another change in modelling assumptions related to the uprating rules for BSP. DWP’s long term projections model uses assumptions based on the ‘triple lock’ policy, which was introduced by an official announcement in the June 2010 Budget (no legislation was required). The triple lock policy stated that in future the BSP would increase each year by average earnings growth, inflation (using the CPI) or 2.5 per cent, whichever was higher. As this announcement was made during 2010, the 2010 supplementary table required different uprating assumptions for the BSP estimates produced as at December 2009, before the triple lock was announced, and those produced as at December 2010, after its announcement (see Tables 3 and 4). Similarly, there was an announcement in the June 2010 Budget that inflation uprating for state pensions would move from the Retail Prices Index (RPI) to the Consumer Prices Index (CPI). Therefore in the 2010 supplementary table, for uprating AP by inflation after SPA, it was necessary to use the RPI for the December 2009 estimates and the CPI for the December 2010 estimates. Table 3: Economic assumptions used for the supplementary table in the calculation of the BSP model estimates for December 2009 Financial year 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 36 LIMITE EN Calendar year Uprating value Uprated by Policy 2004/05 2005 1.028 RPI RPI, 2.5% 2005/06 2006 1.031 RPI RPI, 2.5% 2006/07 2007 1.027 RPI RPI, 2.5% 2007/08 2008 1.036 RPI RPI, 2.5% 2008/09 2009 1.039 RPI RPI, 2.5% 2009/10 2010 1.05 RPI RPI, 2.5% 2010/11 2011 1.025 2.5% RPI, 2.5% 2011/12 2012 1.046 RPI RPI, 2.5% 2012/13 2013 1.021 Earnings Earnings 2013/14 2014 1.02 Earnings Earnings 2014/15 2015 1.038 Earnings Earnings 2015/16 2016 1.043 Earnings Earnings 2016/17 2017 1.045 Earnings Earnings 2017/18 2018 1.04754 Earnings Earnings 1 The 2017/18 assumptions are repeated for all future years. 2 Forecasts of inflation and earnings growth are consistent with the Budget 2011 economic assumptions up to 2016/17 and the Office for Budget Responsibility’s long term economic assumptions as of July 2011 from 2017/18 onwards. Source: Department for Work and Pensions Office for National Statistics 10 Table 4: Economic assumptions used for the supplementary table in the calculation of the BSP model estimates for December 2010 Financial year Calendar year Uprating value Uprated by Policy 2004/05 2005 1.028 RPI RPI, 2.5% 2005/06 2006 1.031 RPI RPI, 2.5% 2006/07 2007 1.027 RPI RPI, 2.5% 2007/08 2008 1.036 RPI RPI, 2.5% 2008/09 2009 1.039 RPI RPI, 2.5% 2009/10 2010 1.050 RPI RPI, 2.5% 2010/11 2011 1.025 2.50% RPI, 2.5% 2011/12 2012 1.046 RPI RPI, CPI, earnings, 2.5% 2012/13 2013 1.043 CPI CPI, earnings, 2.5% 2013/14 2014 1.025 2.50% CPI, earnings, 2.5% 2014/15 2015 1.038 Earnings CPI, earnings, 2.5% 2015/16 2016 1.043 Earnings CPI, earnings, 2.5% 2016/17 2017 1.045 Earnings CPI, earnings, 2.5% 2017/18 2018 1.0495 Earnings plus 0.2% CPI, earnings, 2.5% 1 The 2017/18 assumptions are repeated for all future years. 2 Forecasts of inflation and earnings growth are consistent with the Budget 2011 economic assumptions up 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 37 LIMITE EN to 2016/17 and the Office for Budget Responsibility’s long term economic assumptions as of July 2011 from 2017/18 onwards. 3 The long term uprating assumption (from 2017/18) is earnings plus 0.2%, in line with the triple lock policy. Historically, earnings have risen more rapidly than prices (or 2.5 per cent) in most years, so under the triple lock policy, BSP increases are expected to keep pace with earnings growth in future. However, in years when earnings growth is sluggish, BSP increases might outpace earnings increases, so 0.2% is added to the earnings growth forecast for the long term uprating assumption. Source: Department for Work and Pensions 2.3 Discounting In both the BSP and AP models, the initial outputs from the model show forecast expenditure every year from the date of the accounts (December 2009 or December 2010) until 2114. However, for the supplementary table, a single figure representing the present value of accrued-to-date obligations is required. Therefore, future expenditure flows are discounted using a discount rate (see Box 3) and summed to give a single figure. Box 3: The discount rate The discount rate (r) is the rate which is used to convert future payments into a ‘present value’ at a particular date. For example, the present value (PV) at time (t) of a payment (P) payable one year in future (at t+1) is calculated as: PVt= Pt + 1 (1 + r) In the case of pensions, there is a stream of payments for many years into the future which are discounted to calculate the present value. For the supplementary table, Eurostat requires that the same discount rate be used in all EU countries and for all government-managed pension schemes including social security pension schemes (Column H)13. For the 2010 supplementary table, the rate that Eurostat has asked all EU countries to use is 3 per cent real (or 5 per cent nominal). 13 See ‘Pensions in the National Accounts: Compiling a complete picture of UK pensions including unfunded pensions for public sector employees’ (Sources and further reading). Office for National Statistics 11 Eurostat’s approach is similar to the ‘social time preference rate’ approach used for cost benefit analysis/project appraisal by the UK Government, following guidance in HM Treasury’s ‘Green Book’14. The Green Book prescribes a standard discount rate of 3.5 per cent (real) but says that a lower rate may be appropriate for long term usage. The approach is also similar to the method adopted by HM Treasury for setting contribution rates in public service pension scheme valuations using the Superannuation Contribution Accruing for Past Experience (SCAPE) rate. The SCAPE rate is a stable discount rate. It was revised in the March 2011 Budget from 3.5 per cent (real, in excess of RPI), where it had been fixed since the late 1990s, to 3 per cent (real, in excess of CPI). For the work on Column H of the supplementary table, a 5 per cent nominal discount rate has been used. This has been adjusted to allow for the effect of moving from financial to calendar years in 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 38 LIMITE EN the spreadsheets used for discounting (see Appendix 1). 3. Conclusion ONS is working to produce the first official estimate of the total obligations of UK pension schemes, including state pensions. The obligations to pay future state pensions are entitlements from the point of view of households and liabilities from the point of view of government. They are properly defined as ‘contingent pension obligations’ rather than debt in the Maastricht sense. ONS has commissioned DWP to produce estimates of state pensions for the 2010 experimental supplementary table on pensions, which is part of new international requirements for the National Accounts. Pension obligations in the supplementary table are estimated on an accrued-to-date basis, showing amounts due for service to date, excluding rights which will be built up in the future. The work by DWP has involved adapting existing models used for long term projections of expenditure on the basic and additional state pensions, and overcoming several challenges in the process. ONS and GAD have quality assured the results, and GAD has recommended a number of improvements. Some of these are being implemented for the 2010 supplementary table and others will be considered as part of work for future supplementary tables. 14 See HM Treasury (2003), Sources and further reading. Office for National Statistics 12 Sources and further reading Department for Work and Pensions (2011): ‘DWP Long Term Basic State Pension Modelling’. Available on request. Department for Work and Pensions (2011): ‘DWP Earnings Factor Modelling: Turning earnings distributions into earnings factors’. Available on request. Eurostat/European Central Bank (2011): Technical compilation guide on pensions data in National Accounts, second draft for the Eurostat/ECB Contact Group on the statistical measurement of the assets and liabilities of pension schemes in general government. Available on request. HM Treasury (2003): The Green Book: Appraisal and Evaluation in Central Government. Available at: www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/data_greenbook_index.htm HM Treasury (2011): Whole of Government Accounts: Unaudited Summary Report for the year ended 31 March 2010, published July 2011. Available at www.hmtreasury. gov.uk/psr_government_accounts.htm Hobbs, D. (2010a), Office for National Statistics: Wider measures of public sector debt: A broader approach to the public sector balance sheet. Available at www.ons.gov.uk/ons/rel/psa/widermeasuresof-public-sector-debt/july-2010/index.html Hobbs, D. (2010b), Office for National Statistics: Wider measures of public sector debt: an update. Available at www.ons.gov.uk/ons/rel/psa/wider-measures-of-public-sector-debt/september-2010-update-/index.html 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 39 LIMITE EN Levy, S. (2011): ‘Pensions in the National Accounts: Compiling a complete picture of UK pensions including unfunded pensions for public sector employees’, Office for National Statistics. Available at: www.ons.gov.uk/ons/rel/pensions/pensions-in-the-national-accounts/compiling-acompletepictureof-uk-pensions-including-unfunded-pensions-for-public-sector-employees--methodologyarticle2011-/index.html Office for Budget Responsibility (2011): Fiscal sustainability report, July 2011. Available at http://budgetresponsibility.independent.gov.uk Office for National Statistics Pension Trends, available at www.ons.gov.uk/ons/aboutons/ourstatistics/ publications/pension-trends/index.html System of National Accounts 2008 (SNA2008), published jointly by the European Commission, the International Monetary Fund, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, the United Nations and the World Bank. New York, 2009. Office for National Statistics 13 Appendix 1: Adjustment to discounting approach This appendix is an extract from the quality assurance report by the Government Actuary’s Department (GAD) which discusses a recommended adjustment to the discounting approach to allow for changes from financial year to calendar year. The outcome is also shown. Extract from the GAD quality assurance report “DWP provided some figures for total expenditure on state pensions over the years 2006-07 to 2010-11, which provided no evidence that the payments were spread unevenly over the year. In particular, the proportion of payments made by the end of December each year was very close to 75.0%. Thus it seemed entirely reasonable to assume that ¼ of the payments from the 2010-11 year should be included in the present value calculation as at 31st December 2010 (and similarly, that ¼ of the payments from the 2009-10 year should be included in the present value calculation as at 31st December 2009). “The discounting of projected amounts of expenditure in each (financial) year to give present values was done in the workbook “PV_ONS_201110921_UK.xls”. This was easy to understand. To produce the present value as at end December 2010, it summed: ¼ of the year’s expenditure in the FY 2010-11 (discussed in paragraph 23) with no discounting expenditure in the FY 2011-12 discounted by 5%, that is, divided by 1.05, where 5% is the discount rate mandated under ESA 2010 expenditure in the FY 2012-13 discounted by dividing by a factor of 1.052 expenditure in the FY 2013-14 discounted by dividing by a factor of 1.053 and so on. 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 40 LIMITE EN “Take as an example, the figures for 2011-12. These payments fall on average mid-way through the financial year, that is at the end of September (assuming that payments are more or less level over the year). Therefore, to produce a present value as at 31st December 2010, the payment for 2011-12 needs to be discounted by a factor of 1.050.75, that is, for the 9 month period from end September back to 31st December. This issue will apply for each subsequent year as well – for example, the figure for 2012-13 should be discounted by 1.051.75 rather than 1.052. Thus the totals as calculated will be 1.050.25 too small (about 1¼%)”. Outcome As a result of the advice from GAD, DWP has adjusted its approach to producing present value figures for the National Accounts supplementary table on pensions. For example, the present value at 31 December 2010 is the sum of: ¼ of the year’s expenditure in the FY 2010-11 with no discounting expenditure in the FY 2011-12 discounted by dividing by a factor of 1.050.75 expenditure in the FY 2012-13 discounted by dividing by a factor of 1.051.75 expenditure in the FY 2013-14 discounted by dividing by a factor of 1.052.75 and so on. 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 41 LIMITE EN Extract from article on Column H to be published in 2012 UNPUBLISHED – PLEASE TREAT AS CONFIDENTIAL, NOT FOR CIRCULATION 4. Sensitivity analysis This section presents the results of analysis of what happens to the estimate of pensions entitlements (or liabilities) when the assumptions used to produce the estimate change. Each assumption in turn is varied, while holding the other assumptions constant. The changes are reported with respect to a ‘central estimate’, which is the estimate of entitlements (or liabilities) at 31 December 2010 shown in Row 10 of Table 8 (£3.8 trillion). Table 9 looks at the impact of varying the nominal discount rate away from the 5 per cent level used for calculating estimates in the supplementary table on pensions. Increasing the discount rate by 0.25 per cent to 5.25 per cent leads to a 6 per cent decrease in total state pension entitlements (by £231 billion), while increasing the discount rate by one percentage point to 6 per cent leads to a 21 per cent decrease in total state pension entitlements (by £815 billion). Reducing the discount rate has an even greater impact on the estimates. For example, reducing the discount rate to 4 per cent leads to a 31 per cent increase in total state pension entitlements (by £1.2 trillion). Table 9: Sensitivity analysis for discount rate1,2 United Kingdom and overseas Basic State Pension (BSP) Nominal discount rate (%) Change in pension entitlements Change in pension entitlements Additional Pension (AP) Nominal discount rate (%) Change in pension entitlements Change in pension entitlements Total state pension Nominal discount rate (%) Change in pension entitlements Change in pension entitlements (£ billion) (%) 4.00 1,018 31% 4.25 726 22% 4.50 461 14% 4.75 220 7% 5.00 0 0 5.25 -200 -6% 5.50 -383 -12% 5.75 -551 -17% 6.00 -704 -22% (£ billion) (%) 4.00 145 27% 4.25 104 19% 4.50 66 12% 4.75 32 6% 5.00 0 0 5.25 -29 -5% 5.50 -55 -10% 5.75 -80 -15% 6.00 -102 -19% (£ billion) (%) 4.00 1,174 31% 4.25 837 22% 4.50 532 14% 4.75 253 7% 5.00 0 0 5.25 -231 -6% 5.50 -443 -12% 5.75 -637 -17% 6.00 -815 -21% 1 AP comprises S2P and SERPS. Total state pension comprises BSP, AP, GRAD and lump sums. 2 Changes are with reference to central estimate of pension entitlements as at December 2010. Source: ONS using Department for Work and Pensions data Table 9 also shows breakdowns for the main components of the state pension: BSP and AP. The impact of changes in the discount rate is greater for BSP than for AP because the central estimate of BSP entitlements is much larger than the central estimate of AP entitlements. 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 42 LIMITE EN Table 10 shows the impact of varying uprating assumptions for BSP and AP payments with respect to the central estimate of entitlements as at 31 December 2010. The uprating approach in each case is different: in the case of BSP, uprating is based on the triple lock policy (see Section 2.2.2), while for AP it is in line with the CPI measure of inflation (assumed to be 2 per cent in the long term). The analysis shows the impact of varying uprating in each case by +/-2 per cent. For BSP, increasing uprating by 1 per cent leads to a 31 per cent increase in entitlements, while reducing uprating by 1 per cent leads to a 22 per cent reduction in entitlements. For AP, increasing uprating by 1 per cent leads to a 16 per cent increase in entitlements, while reducing uprating by 1 per cent leads to a 13 per cent reduction in entitlements. Table 10: Sensitivity analysis for uprating (BSP and AP)1,2,3 United Kingdom and overseas Basic State Pension (BSP) Change in uprating (%) Change in pension entitlements Change in pension entitlements Additional Pension (AP) Change in uprating (%) Change in pension entitlements Change in pension entitlements (£ billion) (%) -2 -1,233 -38% -1 -712 -22% +1 1,008 31% +2 2,469 76% (£ billion) (%) -2 -131 -24% -1 -71 -13% +1 85 16% +2 217 40% 1 AP comprises S2P and SERPS. Total state pension comprises BSP, AP, GRAD and lump sums. 2 Changes are with reference to central estimate of pension entitlements as at December 2010. 3 Assumes no change in discount rate, which remains 5% (nominal). Source: ONS using Department for Work and Pensions data It is worth noting that a change in uprating assumptions of the magnitude of +/-2 per cent is unlikely to occur without a significant change in the long-term economic environment, such as persistently higher/lower inflation and/or (nominal) earnings growth. In such circumstances, it is improbable that the nominal discount rate would remain at the same level, as we have assumed in this analysis (it would be adjusted to reflect the new economic conditions). This can be explored in the model. As an example, BSP uprating is increased by 2 per cent and the nominal discount rate is increased from 5 per cent to 7 per cent, BSP entitlements increase by 60 per cent rather than by 76 per cent (as shown in Table 10). Table 11 shows the impact of varying the earnings growth assumption for AP with respect to the central estimate of AP entitlements as at 31 December 2010. As explained in Section 2.1.2, earnings growth is used in the AP model to revalue entitlements up to SPA. Table 11 shows that a change of +1 per cent in the earnings growth assumption leads to a 13 per cent increase in AP 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 43 LIMITE EN entitlements, while a change of -1 per cent leads to a 10 per cent decrease in AP entitlements. The table also shows the impact of +/-2 per cent change in uprating assumptions, but, as noted above, this would be unlikely to occur without a significant change in the long-term economic environment, such as persistently higher/lower inflation and/or (nominal) earnings growth, which would affect the choice of nominal discount rate to use in the model. Table 11: Sensitivity analysis for earnings growth (AP only) 1,2,3 United Kingdom and overseas Change in earnings growth assumption (%) Change in pension entitlements (£ billion) Change in pension entitlements (%) -2 -95 -18% -1 -53 -10% +1 69 13% +2 159 29% 1 AP comprises S2P and SERPS. 2 Changes are with reference to central estimate of pension entitlements as at December 2010. 3 Assumes no change in discount rate, which remains 5% (nominal). Source: ONS using Department for Work and Pensions data The mortality rates used by DWP in the BSP and AP models are taken from the ONS’s 2008based national population projections, specifically the central or ‘principal’ population projection. ONS also produces variants around this central projection, including one based on the assumption that life expectancy increases more rapidly than expected in future (the ‘high life expectancy’ variant) and another based on the assumption that life expectancy increases less rapidly than expected (the ‘low life expectancy’ variant). Table 12 shows the effect of using mortality rates based on the high and low life expectancy variants rather than on the principal projection. This produces changes in pension entitlements of +/-9 per cent for BSP and +/-6 per cent for AP. 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 44 LIMITE EN Table 12: Sensitivity analysis for life expectancy assumptions1,2,3 United Kingdom and overseas High life expectancy Change in pension entitlements Change in pension entitlements Low life expectancy Change in pension entitlements Change in pension entitlements (£ billion) (%) BSP 304 9% (£ billion) (%) -298 -9% AP Total state pensions 35 341 6% 9% -31 -6% -331 -9% 1 AP comprises S2P and SERPS. Total state pension comprises BSP, AP, GRAD and lump sums. 2 Changes are with reference to central estimate of pension entitlements as at December 2010. 3 Assumes no change in discount rate, which remains 5% (nominal). Source: ONS using Department for Work and Pensions data The sensitivity analysis presented in this section shows that changes in the assumptions used to produce estimates of pensions entitlements (or liabilities) produce important changes in the results. 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 45 LIMITE EN Pensions in the National Accounts: Compiling a complete picture of UK pensions including unfunded pensions for public sector employees Sarah Levy, Pensions Analysis Unit, Office for National Statistics (ONS) 1. Introduction ONS has begun work to produce, for the first time, an official estimate of the total obligations, or gross liabilities, of UK pension schemes. The work began in 2009 as part of efforts to address new international requirements for the National Accounts. These include a ‘supplementary table’ on pensions which all countries will have to include in their National Accounts. A team coordinated by ONS’s Pensions Analysis Unit has been set up to produce the UK supplementary table on pensions. ONS aims to produce the first set of experimental statistics for the supplementary table on pensions in December 2011, covering the year 2010. The table will include estimates of obligations for funded and unfunded pension schemes. Funded pensions are those where benefits are met from a fund built up in advance from contributions and investment income, and are found mainly in the private sector (the main exception being the Local Government Pension Scheme). Unfunded pensions are those in which obligations are not underpinned by a fund; they comprise mainly public sector employee pensions1 and state pensions. The pension payments made by the government for unfunded pensions are financed from general taxation and employee contributions. The obligations to pay future pensions are gross liabilities from the point of view of the pension schemes. They are entitlements (or assets) from the point of view of the scheme members, so in producing estimates of total pension obligations, or gross liabilities, ONS will also be producing estimates of households’ total pension entitlements, or ‘pension wealth’. These entitlements include rights to state pensions as well as pensions provided through employment. It should be noted that although we refer to pension schemes’ obligations as ‘liabilities’, there is some debate about whether this is appropriate. On the one hand, the intention of the supplementary table is to record all pensions owing to households by private employers and the government, whether or not there are assets available to fund them; in this sense, they are liabilities. On the other hand, the amounts owing are not liabilities in the sense of debt, because it is possible to change the rules of the pension schemes and thereby change the obligations outstanding (such changes may affect service already accrued by pension scheme members as well as future service). When faced with unfunded pension obligations which are considered to be unacceptably high, it is not unusual for governments to do this. For this reason, pension liabilities are properly defined as ‘contingent pension obligations’ rather than debt in the Maastrict sense. It is also important to note that ‘contingent pension obligations’ 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 46 LIMITE EN are not the same as ‘contingent liabilities’ as defined by HM Treasury for the purposes of the Whole of Government Accounts and by the Office for Budget Responsibility in its fiscal sustainability reports2. 1 There are some unfunded arrangements in the private sector, known as unfunded Employer Financed Retirement Benefit Schemes (EFRBS) and Unfunded Unapproved Retirement Benefit Schemes (UURBS). 2 HM Treasury (2011a) and Office for Budget Responsibility (2011a), published on 13 July 2011 (see Sources and further reading). These reports define ‘contingent liabilities’ as liabilities which are associated with events which may arise in future but are improbable (less than 50 per cent probability); some of these events are also unquantifiable. Office for National Statistics 2 This article is divided into three parts. Sections 2, 3, 4 and 5 explain what the work is about, what statistics ONS intends to produce and why they will be useful. Sections 6 and 7 provide detailed information about one part of the work for which the methodology is at advanced stages of development: producing figures for unfunded pension schemes for government employees. Section 8 concludes and describes our future plans. 2. Pensions in the National Accounts: the current position Information on pensions currently appears in the National Accounts in several places. For instance, contributions to pension schemes are recorded for both funded and unfunded pensions. These are attributed to the household sector, which is the beneficiary of nearly all such schemes. They also feed into the National Accounts aggregate ‘compensation of employees’, which is part of the income approach to measuring GDP and the calculation of the saving ratio. Another example is that the household sector balance sheet includes an estimate of assets held in pension funds and insurance companies, and these assets are also recorded as a liability of the corporate sector (although the part relating to the Local Government Pension Scheme and other funded public sector schemes is ultimately the responsibility of Government)3. However, there is no single place where it is possible to see both balances (stocks) and transactions (flows) for pensions. Also, the picture is incomplete from a pensions point of view. Individual personal pensions are excluded because they are not considered part of ‘social insurance’4, while unfunded pensions are not included in the assets of the household sector. Even where pension assets are recorded (i.e. for funded pensions), the value shown – in the figure provided for ‘life assurance and pension funds’ – includes life assurance products as well as pensions, and the pensions element is not separately identifiable. Moreover, those pension liabilities which are recorded (for the corporate sector, including funded public sector schemes) are recorded on the basis that liabilities are equal to the market value of assets, rather than on an actuarial basis, which is a more appropriate way of estimating liabilities for some schemes (see Section 3). This means that, for those interested in pensions aggregates, the National Accounts provide incomplete information. It is not possible to answer questions like ‘What is the total value of pension obligations in the UK?’ or ‘What proportions of pension obligations belong to the private 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 47 LIMITE EN sector and to Government?’ This is also the case for other countries. However, the population of the UK, in common with the populations of other developed countries, is ‘ageing’5. More and more people as a proportion of the total are retired and depend – to a greater or lesser extent – on income from pensions. Although many people have other sources of income in retirement, pensions (state and private) remain the largest source of retirement income, and in the UK private pension saving is the main form of saving for retirement6. For this reason, having a complete picture of pensions aggregates is becoming increasingly important. The way that pensions are currently reported in the National Accounts is inadequate for this purpose. 3 For further information, see Pension Trends Chapter 14: Pensions in the National Accounts, available at www.statistics.gov.uk/pensiontrends 4 Pension schemes in social insurance comprise workplace pension schemes and state pensions accrued through National Insurance contributions. They exclude individual personal pensions, social assistance (such as Pension Credit), health or long-term care insurance and individual insurance policies. Pensions not qualifying as social insurance (individual personal pensions) are treated as a form of saving in the National Accounts. 5 See Pension Trends Chapters 2 and 3 for statistics on the ageing population and life expectancy. 6 See Pension Trends Chapters 10, 11 and 12 for statistics on saving for retirement and income sources in retirement. Office for National Statistics 3 This article shows how the supplementary table on pensions will add to the information currently available in the core National Accounts, providing a complete picture of National Accounts pensions aggregates in one place. It should be noted that this article does not attempt to provide an introduction to the treatment of pensions in the core National Accounts (this is provided in Pension Trends7); nor does it cover how pensions transactions feature within the sequence of National Accounts, or how transactions are re-routed (this is explained in Rahman, 2007). 3. ESA2010 and the supplementary table on pensions ESA2010 As required by EU regulation, the UK National Accounts are compiled according to definitions set out in the European System of Accounts (ESA), which is the EU-specific interpretation of the internationally agreed System of National Accounts (SNA). The SNA has recently been revised to produce SNA2008, and the ESA is being revised to produce ESA2010. A key change in SNA2008 and ESA2010 compared with SNA93 and ESA95 is the treatment of pensions, in particular the introduction of a ‘supplementary table on pensions schemes in social insurance’ (see Table 1). The supplementary table on pensions The supplementary table is designed to provide a complete picture of pensions, with the exception of individual personal (including stakeholder) pensions, which are excluded because they are not part of social insurance (see Section 2). It covers state pensions and all workplace private pensions, which are those shown in the first three columns of Figure 1. In the supplementary table on pensions, pensions are defined as old age pensions and related benefits such as survivor, disability and early retirement pensions. Pensions are recorded gross (without deductions for taxes, service charges etc). The SNA2008 manual8 notes that the 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 48 LIMITE EN distinction between pension and non-pension benefits is important because “the SNA recognizes liabilities for some pensions whether there are actually assets set aside to meet the entitlements or not but recognizes reserves for non-pension benefits only when these actually exist”. The supplementary table on pensions brings together information shown in the standard or ‘core’ National Accounts (Columns A to F of the table) and information on unfunded pensions, which will not be in the core accounts but will only appear in the supplementary table (Columns G and H). It has been argued by a number of countries, including the UK, that unfunded pension liabilities should not appear in the core accounts because they are not part of national debt. The columns of the supplementary table also break down the information according to: who is the ‘pension manager’: private sector (Columns A-C) or Government (Columns D-H); the type of pension scheme: defined benefit, hybrid and defined contribution (see Box 1); and where the scheme appears in the National Accounts classification. The table requires estimates of entitlements, or gross liabilities, to be calculated on an actuarial basis for defined benefit and other ‘non-defined contribution’ (or ‘hybrid’) pension schemes including those in the private sector (mainly funded, Column B), the Local Government Pension Scheme (funded, Column E), central government schemes (unfunded, Column G) and the state pension system (unfunded, Column H). In the case of pure defined contribution schemes in Columns A (private sector) and D (public sector), liabilities equal assets at market value, so actuarial methods for calculating liabilities are not applicable. 7 Pension Trends Chapter 14: Pensions in the National Accounts. 8 SNA2008, paragraph 17.99. Office for National Statistics 4 Table 1: Supplementary table on pension schemes in social insurance Recording Core national accounts Not in the core national accounts Pension manager Non-general government General government Defined benefit schemes for general government employees2) Defined contribution schemes Defined benefit schemes and other1) nondefined contribution schemes Total Defined contribution schemes Classified in 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 49 LIMITE EN financial corporations Classified in general govt 3) Classified in general government Social security pension schemes Total pension schemes Counterparts: Pension entitlements of nonresident households4) Relations Row No. Column number A B C D E F G H I J Opening balance sheet 1 Pension entitlements Changes in pension entitlements due to transactions Σ 2.1 to 2.4 2 Increase in pension entitlements due to social contributions 2.1 Employer actual social contributions 2.2 Employer imputed social contributions 2.3 Household actual social contributions 2.4 Household social contribution supplements5) 3 Other (actuarial) change of pension entitlements in social security pension schemes 4 Reduction in pension entitlements due to payment of pension benefits 2+3 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 50 LIMITE EN -45 Changes in pension entitlements due to social contributions and pension benefits 6 Transfers of pension entitlements between schemes 7 Changes in pension entitlements due to pension scheme reforms Changes in pension entitlements due to other flows 8 Changes in entitlements due to revaluations6) 9 Changes in entitlements due to other changes in volume 6) Closing balance sheet 1+ Σ 5 to 9 10 Pension entitlements Related indicators 11 Output 1) Such other non-defined contribution schemes, often described as hybrid schemes, have both a defined benefit and a defined contribution element. 2) Schemes organised by general government for its current and former employees. 3) These are non-autonomous defined benefit schemes whose pension entitlements are recorded in the core national accounts. 4) Counterpart data for non-resident households will only be shown separately when pension relationships with the rest of the world are significant. 5) These supplements represent the return on members' claims on pension schemes, both through investment income on defined contribution schemes' assets and for defined benefit schemes through the unwinding of the discount rate applied. 6) A more detailed split of these positions should be provided for columns G and H based on the model calculations carried out for these schemes. The cells shown as █ are not applicable; the cells in XX will contain different data from the core national accounts. Office for National Statistics 5 Figure 1: Types of private pension provision in the UK Occupational salary related Occupational money purchase Group personal pensions Individual personal pensions Defined contribution Occupational Personal (contract-based) Employer sponsored Not workplace DB Unfunded Funded Workplace / employer sponsored Defined benefit 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 51 LIMITE EN Source: Adapted from Pensions Commission (2004) Box 1: DB, DC and hybrid pension schemes Defined benefit (DB) schemes are those in which the rules specify the rate of benefits to be paid. The most common DB scheme is one in which the benefits are based on the number of years of pensionable service, the accrual rate and final salary. However, Career Average Revalued Earnings (CARE) schemes are becoming increasingly common in the UK. These base the pension on earnings over the whole career, adjusted by prices or earnings. Defined contribution (DC) schemes are those in which the benefits are determined by the contributions paid into the scheme, the investment return on those contributions (less charges), and the annuity purchased on retirement. They are also known as money purchase schemes. Hybrid schemes are those offering a choice, or mixture, of DB and DC rights at retirement. In the supplementary table on pensions, hybrid schemes are referred to as ‘other non-DC schemes’ and are included with DB schemes. The rows of the supplementary table on pensions present opening and closing balances for the year (Rows 1 and 10 respectively). These are both the obligations, or gross liabilities, of pension schemes and the assets (entitlements) of the household sector. In the table, the opening and closing balances are labelled ‘pension entitlements’. They are the ‘present value’ of gross liabilities/ entitlements accrued up to the end of the year in question. All of the transactions which occur during the year are shown in Rows 2 to 9 of the supplementary table. Some of the transactions are actual cash flows, such as payment of actual contributions and pension benefits, while others are imputed (such as employer imputed contributions to DB pension schemes, Row 2.2) or reflect changes in actuarial assumptions used to calculate DB pension entitlements (Rows 8 and 9) or pension scheme reforms9 (Row 7). 9 Examples of pension scheme reforms are reforms of benefit and/or indexation rules. The impact of such reforms will only be recorded once the reforms are enacted. In cases of reforms which do not require legislation, like the replacement of the Retail Prices Index (RPI) with the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) for the indexation of public sector employee and state pensions, the impact will be recorded when the changes are announced. They will only lead to immediate changes in the figures in the supplementary table on pensions if they affect the entitlements of existing members. Office for National Statistics 6 European requirements and methodology ONS will be legally required by the EU to publish the supplementary table on pensions for every year from 2012, twelve months after the year end. ONS’s intention is to publish experimental versions of the table for the years 2010 and 2011. The ESA2010 contains a chapter on pensions (Chapter 17), which sets out how the supplementary table on pensions must be compiled. Eurostat, the EU statistical agency, and the European Central Bank (ECB) have developed additional guidelines10 with the aim of ensuring that actuarial estimates for DB schemes are compiled in a consistent manner by all EU countries, so that people can compare results across Europe on a like-for-like basis. Box 2 shows the Eurostat requirements 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 52 LIMITE EN and recommendations for assumptions used to produce actuarial estimates for governmentmanaged DB pension schemes in the supplementary table on pensions. Box 2: Assumptions for calculating actuarial estimates for government-managed schemes Eurostat/ECB (2011) sets out a number of requirements and recommendations on the assumptions to be used in calculating actuarial estimates for government-managed DB schemes: Requirements: Real discount rate: 3 per cent (stable) Nominal discount rate: 5 per cent (stable), based on the real discount rate plus inflation Recommendations: Inflation: 2 per cent (stable, in line with ECB medium-term inflation target) Uprating/indexation of pensions in payment: in accordance with country-specific indexation rules, which may be based on inflation (‘price indexation’), wage growth (‘wage indexation’) or a mixture of the two Real wage growth (used to model future salary increases for members of DB schemes who have not yet reached retirement): in line with long-term productivity assumption of Ageing Working Group (AWG) for EU countries, varying between countries. AWG figures for the UK come from the Office for Budget Responsibility (the latest long-term productivity figure is 2 per cent11) Nominal wage growth: real wage growth plus inflation Demographic assumptions (population, fertility, mortality and migration): based on Europop estimates and projections for EU countries. Figures are provided by ONS but some adjustments are made In addition to the actuarial assumptions, in the interests of consistency and comparability across the EU, Eurostat has recommended that obligations of government-managed DB pension schemes be estimated using the projected benefit obligations (PBO) approach rather than the accumulated benefit obligations (ABO) approach. The PBO approach takes into account expected future pay increases due to career development and general wage growth, whereas the ABO approach does not. In the UK, all DB pension schemes (for employees in the private and public sectors) use the PBO method, as this is a requirement of International Accounting Standards 19 (IAS 19). Eurostat and the ECB have also commissioned the Research Center for Generational Contracts at Freiburg University to develop a large-scale model which provides aggregate estimates of pension liabilities of DB schemes based on a comparable actuarial framework. In such actuarial models, future benefit payments to all pension scheme members are estimated each year and then these flows over time are discounted to give a single ‘present value’ figure for pension obligations (or gross liabilities) outstanding. 10 Eurostat/ECB (2011). See Sources and further reading. 11 This figure was published in July 2011 by the Office for Budget Responsibility (2011a). Office for National Statistics 7 Box 3: The discount rate The discount rate (r) is the rate which is used to convert future payments into a ‘present value’ at a particular date. For example, the present value (PV) at time (t) of a payment (P) payable one year in future (at t+1) is calculated as: 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 53 LIMITE EN PVt= Pt + 1 (1 + r) In the case of pensions, there is a stream of payments for many years into the future which are discounted to calculate the present value. According to Eurostat/ECB (2011), the choice of discount rate is “one of the most crucial assumptions for estimating pension entitlements, since its accumulated impact over many decades can be quite high”. Variations in the discount rate produce big changes in the actuarial estimate (present value) of pension entitlements, or obligations (see Section 7). Actuaries calculating obligations of private sector pension schemes in the UK should use the yield on AA corporate bonds as the discount rate, according to IAS 19. In the past, government pension liabilities have been calculated using a different approach12, but from 2010/11 the annual ‘resource accounts’ for public sector unfunded pension schemes (in terms of the supplementary table on pensions, those in Column G) are being prepared using a variable discount rate based on variable AA corporate bond rates and a marketbased inflation assumption, which is in line with IAS 19. The discount rate is set by HM Treasury, on advice from the Government Actuary’s Department (GAD), and the same rate is used by all the public sector unfunded pension schemes which produce annual resource accounts (see Section 6). However, the resource accounts are based on different discount rates each year because the yield on AA corporate bonds is a market rate. This makes the results difficult to interpret: short-term fluctuations caused by discount rate volatility obscure real changes caused by ‘fundamentals’ such as changes in longevity or assumptions about real wage growth. An alternative approach is to use a stable discount rate similar to the ‘social time preference rate’ used for cost benefit analysis/project appraisal by the UK Government (HM Treasury, 2003) or to the Superannuation Contribution Accruing for Past Experience (SCAPE) rate – the long-term stable discount rate used by HM Treasury to set contribution rates in public service pension scheme valuations (HM Treasury, 2010). The pensions chapter of the ESA2010 manual13 stipulates the use of a nominal discount rate based on suitable ‘risk free’ rate such as the yield on high quality government or corporate bonds (AAA-rated) with 10-year terms or more. For calculating the pension obligations of schemes for which governments are responsible, Eurostat/ECB (2011) favours a discount rate based on a basket of long-term European government bonds. It argues that “in order to guarantee comparability across countries, the same discount rate should be applied to all EU countries and for all government-managed pension schemes (including social security pension schemes) at whatever level of government” and that “a stable discount rate should be applied to avoid the noise which arises from frequent changes”. It concludes that the same discount rate should be used by all 27 EU countries and that this should be a 3 per cent real (or 5 per cent nominal) discount rate. Recent developments in the UK point in the same direction, although the rationale is different. A recent government consultation on the SCAPE rate (HM Treasury, 2010) led to a revision of this rate from 3.5 per cent (real, in excess of RPI), at which it had been fixed since the late 1990s, to 3 per cent (real, in excess of CPI). The new rate, which was announced in the March 2011 budget, is based on long-term expectations for growth in the UK economy. 12 In recent years an adjustment has been made for the long-term RPI assumption. For example, at 31 March 2010, the real discount rate of 1.8% was calculated from difference between nominal AA corporate bond rates (5.5%) and the 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 54 LIMITE EN current market expectation of future RPI inflation (3.7%), based on the difference between the yields of indexed and nonindexed Treasury stock of the appropriate maturity. The nominal discount rate was then calculated as 1.8% (real discount rate) plus a different long-term RPI assumption (2.75%), which equals 4.6%. 13 Chapter 17, paragraph 17.167, of the 20 December 2010 draft of the ESA2010 Manual. Office for National Statistics 8 Large-scale models are ideal in countries where there are few schemes and these schemes cover the whole population, so that it is possible to use whole-population economic assumptions (e.g. for wage growth) and demographic assumptions (e.g. mortality rates for men and women). It also helps if the type of pension scheme is homogeneous so that it is possible to assume that all pensions entitlements accumulate according to a simple set of rules. The standard Freiburg model is based on the rules of final salary schemes. Career average re-valued earnings (CARE) schemes and notional DC schemes are more complicated to model. CARE schemes now account for around a quarter of the membership of private sector DB pension schemes in the UK14 and may be the predominant type of scheme for public sector employees in future following the recommendations of the Independent Public Service Pensions Commission (IPSPC) chaired by Lord Hutton of Furness, which the government has announced the intention to adopt15. In practice, because of the fact that pension systems and data sources are different in different EU countries, the goal of ensuring that actuarial estimates for DB schemes are compiled in a consistent manner by all EU countries presents some difficulties (see Section 4). However, it has been possible to agree on key points such as the use of a single, stable discount rate for government-managed pensions in all EU countries. The discount rate is a key assumption for producing actuarial estimates of pension scheme obligations (see Box 3). 4. Methods and sources in the UK ONS has been working since October 2009 on a methodology for compiling estimates for the UK supplementary table on pensions in line with the approach required by Eurostat. There are, however, three areas where the nature of the UK pension system and the data sources available are different from the countries in continental Europe around whose systems Eurostat has built its recommended methodology: 1. Role of the state. In many continental European countries, pension systems are dominated by large pension schemes covering all employees (private and public sector) for which the government is ultimately responsible, even if employers act as facilitators. By contrast, in the UK the government is responsible for part of total pension provision – (i) the state pension and (ii) pensions for public sector employees. However, the private sector (employers and insurance companies) is also a major provider of pensions. 2. Number of schemes. Continental European countries have a small number of pension schemes covering most of the population. This means that data is relatively easy to collect and that modelling assumptions can be based on demographic data for the population as a 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 55 LIMITE EN whole. In the UK, by contrast, there are over 50,000 occupational pension schemes (most of which have fewer than 12 members), and around 3 million people are contributing to workplace pensions through individual contracts with insurance companies16. The demographic profiles cannot be assumed to be the same as those of the population as a whole. This presents a challenge for data collection and modelling. 3. Type of scheme. In countries like France and Germany, the dominant type of pension is DB – normally ‘final salary’ type schemes – whereas in the UK, pure DC schemes have been growing in coverage and are now equally important in terms of numbers of active members. Moreover, it is no longer possible to assume that DB schemes in the UK fit the ‘final salary’ model, as DB schemes in the public and private sectors are switching to the CARE model to reduce risk to providers. There are also many different types of ‘hybrid’ scheme, combining elements of DB and DC schemes. 14 Report of ONS’s 2009 Occupational Pension Schemes Survey, Chapter 4. See Sources and further reading. 15 Independent Public Service Pensions Commission (IPSPC) (2011): Final report, see Sources and further reading. 16 The figure for occupational schemes is from the Pensions Regulator (September 2010). The estimate of people with individual contracts with insurance companies who are contributing to pensions via the workplace (mainly via group personal and stakeholder pensions) is from the 2010 Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings (see also footnote 21). Office for National Statistics 9 The main implication of these differences is that in the UK, large-scale models like that developed by Freiburg University are less useful for calculating actuarial estimates of DB pension liabilities for the supplementary table. The UK pension system, with its large number of heterogeneous schemes, where the private sector is dominant and final salary schemes are in decline, requires different approaches for Columns B, E and G. The exception is Column H, where such modelling is appropriate because the state pension is provided in just two ‘schemes’ covering most members of the UK population. The work on Column H is being carried out by the Department for Work and Pensions in coordination with ONS, and will be discussed in a future publication. ONS’s modified approach for Columns B, E and G involves collating information from existing sources in the form of actuarial valuations and accounts. These are commissioned by scheme trustees (for private sector schemes) or by the government (for public sector schemes). In the private sector, trustees are required to conduct actuarial valuations every three years and to calculate estimates of gross liabilities using a prudent discount rate, taking into account either or both (i) the yield on assets held by the scheme to fund future benefits and the anticipated future investment returns, and (ii) the market redemption yields on government or other high-quality bonds17. These estimates, referred to as ‘technical provisions’18, are the basis for returns to the Pensions Regulator which feed into our Column B estimates as well as contributing to the estimate in Column E. Separately, private sector employers (not pension schemes) are required to report gross pension liabilities in their annual accounts under IAS 19, using a discount rate in line with AA 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 56 LIMITE EN corporate bond yields. In the public sector, actuarial valuations should be conducted every three to four years, with the purpose of estimating the present value of the pension benefits that will be paid in future, and setting contribution rates to reflect that value. These will be referred to below as ‘triennial valuations’. The discount rate used is the SCAPE rate, currently set at 3 per cent real (see Box 3). The schemes for the civil service, NHS employees and teachers publish their valuation reports. In addition, for the main centrally-administered public service pension schemes, annual ‘resource accounts’ are produced with advice from the Government Actuary’s Department (GAD) or other actuaries (see Section 6). IAS 19 applies to the accounts of public sector entities, subject to adaptations and interpretations agreed by the Financial Reporting Advisory Board and set out in the Government Financial Reporting Manual (HM Treasury, 2011b). The triennial valuations and annual accounts already contain much of the information required for the supplementary table. Where there are gaps, ONS has established that these can, in most cases, be filled by data collected by the Pensions Regulator and the Financial Services Authority and estimates from surveys and financial inquiries conducted by ONS and other government departments. ONS believes that there is an important advantage of using actuarial valuations and annual resource accounts in the UK context, where there are many different schemes. The calculations are made by professional actuaries who take into account information specific to each scheme: Benefit rules: As well as the main retirement benefits, the actuaries will take account of the benefits payable in other circumstances such as early retirement due to ill health and survivors’ pensions (those payable to surviving dependents if the member dies). 17 See SI 2005 No. 3377 Regulation 5(4). 18 The Pensions Act 2004 defines ‘technical provisions’ as the amount required to make provision for a pension scheme’s liabilities, as assessed under actuarial valuation. Office for National Statistics 10 Members of the scheme: They will use detailed membership data, including information on individuals’ pay and career history. Assumptions about the future: Assumptions such as life expectancy or the probability of early retirement due to ill health reflect the expectations for members of the specific scheme. For pension systems like that of the UK, the results from collating information from existing sources compiled with advice from actuaries should be more accurate than those produced by centralised modelling. However, there is also a disadvantage: the sources calculate actuarial estimates of liabilities for government-managed pension schemes using different assumptions from those that Eurostat has stipulated for the supplementary table (see Box 2). The use of different assumptions can produce very different results (see below, Section 7). ONS’s view is that the use of different assumptions for wage growth, indexation of benefits and 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 57 LIMITE EN demographic factors is justifiable where the assumptions reflect the specific rules and characteristics of each pension scheme. However, for discount rates, there is no argument in favour of scheme-specific assumptions, and a consistent approach is desirable for reasons of comparability. For Columns E and G (schemes for government employees), ONS is working with GAD to convert figures in the triennial valuations and resource accounts of public service pension schemes onto the basis of a stable 5 per cent discount rate in nominal terms (3 per cent in real terms). This is discussed further below (Sections 6 and 7). ONS hopes to be able to achieve a similar result for Column B (private sector schemes) by working with information collected by the Pensions Regulator. This stage of the work will be discussed in a later publication. However, it should be noted that if the UK follows the Eurostat guidelines for the supplementary table which require the discount rate to be the same for all schemes where the government is the pension manager (3 per cent real or 5 per cent nominal), while the private sector reports on the basis of market discount rates, it will not be possible to compare the results for Column B with those for Columns E and G on a like-for-like basis19. Results are extremely sensitive to differences in the discount rate. A final issue which particularly affects the UK relates to pure DC schemes – whether occupational schemes or workplace pension schemes based on individual contracts with insurance companies. Pure DC pensions are already a large part of UK pension provision, and this type of provision is expected to grow rapidly from 2012 with the introduction of NEST20. UK pension provision in pure DC schemes is imperfectly measured by official statistics at present. Although we have estimates for active members of DC workplace schemes (over 4 million ‘employee jobs’21), there are no records of membership once people’s pension funds have been converted into annuities. However, this project has established that at end-2009 insurance companies were responsible for some £870 billion of pension entitlements, of which £246 billion were in DC workplace pension pots accumulating before retirement and £172 billion was related to payment of annuities and income drawdown funds; DC pension funds managed smaller amounts. 19 It would be possible to compare the results for Column B with those for Columns E and G on a like-for-like basis if the results from Column B could be converted onto a stable 3 per cent real (or 5 per cent nominal) discount rate basis. However, this would be extremely challenging given the number of schemes in Column B, which will be similar to the number in the Pension Protection Fund universe reported in the 2010 Purple Book (6,850 at end-March 2010). 20 NEST (National Employment Savings Trust) is a new DC trust-based occupational pension scheme which is being introduced to meet the needs of people who are largely new to pension saving. NEST is part of the government’s 2012 workplace pension reforms. For further information, see www.nestpensions.org.uk and the website of the Department for Work and Pensions (DWP): www.dwp.gov.uk/policy/pensions%2Dreform/workplace%2Dpension%2Dreforms/ 21 This estimate is from the Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings (ASHE) 2010. ASHE is the only survey of all workplace pensions. ASHE counts ‘employee jobs’ rather than individuals, but differences between the two are small. Office for National Statistics 11 For pure DC pensions, it is not necessary to make actuarial estimates because liabilities are equal 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 58 LIMITE EN to assets at market value by definition. Eurostat/ECB guidelines for compiling the data for Columns A and D have not yet been finalised, and these columns will be discussed in a future publication. 5. Interpreting the information – how useful will it be? Government pension obligations The supplementary table on pensions will show obligations of all funded and unfunded DB pension schemes which are the responsibility of the government. This means that there will be, for the first time, a complete picture of such obligations and this picture will be updated annually. Specifically, the schemes included will be: Funded, in the core National Accounts: Column E: the Local Government Pension Scheme (LGPS) and other funded schemes classified in General Government such as the BBC’s DB scheme, the Transport for London scheme and schemes with a Crown guarantee such as those for members of formerly nationalised industries (railways, coal and telecommunications). Unfunded, not in the core National Accounts: Column G: centrally-administered pension schemes for public sector employees, of which the main schemes are those for: civil servants, teachers, National Health Service employees, members of the Armed Forces, police officers, firefighters, the judiciary, members of the security services (MI5 and MI6), UK Atomic Energy Authority employees, DFID overseas employees and those working for the Research Councils. Column H: the state pension system, comprising the basic state pension and the additional state pension, which covers most people in the UK and some pensioners resident overseas. In addition, Column D will show pure DC pension schemes which are sponsored by the UK government. However, in this case the providers are insurance companies and it is they rather than General Government who are responsible for the liabilities. An example is the civil servants’ ‘Partnership account’, which is provided by the Standard Life, Scottish Widows and Prudential insurance companies. At present, estimates of gross liabilities of pension schemes which are the responsibility of the UK government are not available on consistent, complete and regular bases from any official source. ONS’s publication Pension Trends22 brings together what information is available, but the only figures that are regularly updated are those for Column G schemes, most of which publish annual resource accounts. HM Treasury’s Whole of Government Accounts (WGA), published for the first time in July 2011 (for the financial year 2009/10), are an important addition because they add the figures for public sector funded pensions to those for the Column G schemes. While the resource accounts and the figures published by the WGA are useful data sources, many users may find them difficult to understand because the estimates of gross liabilities change each year reflecting short-term discount rate fluctuations. By contrast, Columns E, G and H of the supplementary table on pensions will be relatively easy to interpret because they take a long-term view of pension obligations: the use of the stable discount rate (5 per cent in nominal terms, or 3 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 59 LIMITE EN per cent in real terms) means that year-to-year changes will reflect changes in ‘fundamentals’. This approach as well as other factors mean that the results presented in the supplementary table will be different from those published in the WGA reports (see Box 4). 22 Pension Trends Chapter 14: Pensions in the National Accounts. Office for National Statistics 12 The complete, up-to-date picture of government-managed DB pension liabilities provided by the supplementary table on pensions will be an important addition to National Statistics. Moreover, it will be possible to compare the results with those of other EU countries which are preparing supplementary tables on pensions to similar specifications and standards. Box 4: Key differences between the supplementary table and WGA approaches Like ONS’s supplementary table on pensions, HM Treasury’s WGA publications (which are the basis for the information on pensions in OBR’s fiscal sustainability reports) provide information on the government’s pension obligations. However, there are some key differences between the WGA approach and that adopted by ONS for National Accounts purposes. These are: Discount rate: OBR (2011a) notes that “we cannot easily quantify how much difference the choice of discount rate makes in aggregate, as the different accounts consolidated into the WGA use a variety of different discount rates according to their own accounting rules”. This is particularly true for the LGPS, police and firefighters’ pension schemes, where different discount rates are used in the accounts that are compiled annually by local authorities, which are the sources used by WGA. ONS’s supplementary table overcomes this problem through a methodology based on rolling forward discount rates from the triennial valuations for these schemes and converting them onto the supplementary table basis (5 per cent nominal), rather than using the annual accounts compiled by local authorities (see Sections 6 and 7). Gross vs. net liabilities: The WGA presents information for net pension liabilities. These are the same as gross pension liabilities in the case of unfunded schemes, where there are no assets. However, they are not the same in the case of funded schemes, where the net figures represent the deficit (assets minus liabilities). ONS’s supplementary table on pensions shows all liabilities gross, in line with Eurostat requirements. Scope of accounts: The two approaches are similar in terms of which public sector employee schemes are included in the accounts (see above). However, for the LGPS, police and firefighters’ pension schemes the WGA approach excludes the obligations in respect of people who belong to public sector employee schemes but do/did not work for the public sector. The supplementary table on pensions shows the total obligations of all schemes. The rationale is that the pensions supplementary table aims to show the total liability that General Government is responsible for, irrespective of who is the employer. Also, the supplementary table shows all flows relating to pensions during the year, whereas in the WGA approach any payments and receipts within the public sector are consolidated out of the accounts. State pensions: The WGA information published in July 2011 did not include estimates of obligations with respect to state pensions. ONS’s supplementary table on pensions will do so. Accrued-to-date concept The supplementary table on pensions is prepared on an ‘accrued-to-date’ basis, in line with similar types of information contained in the National Accounts. The totals in Rows 1 and 10 (Columns E, G and H) may be interpreted as the amount which the government owes in pensions for service to 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 60 LIMITE EN date. This is similar to the amount that the government would owe if the schemes were to be wound up at the date of the accounts except that this calculation may be based on the ABO method, while service to date calculations use the PBO method23. The table will include what the WGA and OBR reports published in July 2011 refer to as ‘future liabilities from past activities’ in respect of pensions, since these are considered part of accruedtodate pension obligations. At present, ‘future liabilities from past activities’ are not included in the National Accounts, as liabilities are not recorded on an actuarial basis (see Section 2). When the ESA2010 changes are implemented in the core National Accounts, ‘future liabilities from past 23 At the date of the accounts, PBO takes into account projected salary at retirement or earlier leaving, while ABO is based on current salary only. See above, Section 3. Office for National Statistics 13 activities’ in respect of pensions will be included for those pensions which appear in the core accounts, i.e. for funded (public and private sector) pensions, but not for unfunded pensions Liabilities of government-managed pension schemes are often thought of as part of a ‘wider measure of public sector debt’ which goes beyond the Maastricht definition of debt24, although there is some debate about whether they should be included in debt measures (see Section 1). Rows 1 and 10 can also be understood as total household pension entitlements (or ‘wealth’) held with the government at these dates. However, it is important to note that liabilities calculated on an ‘accrued-to-date’ basis are not an appropriate indicator of fiscal sustainability. This is because they only take account of the rights accumulated to date, not those which will be accumulated in the future. Fiscal sustainability is about current and future cash flows including future entitlements as they build up. Figure 2 illustrates the difference between the two concepts. Figure 2: Alternative definitions of gross liabilities Source: European Commission Public Finance Report 2006 quoted in Eurostat/ECB (2011) Nevertheless, it makes sense to use the same data sources and assumptions – as far as possible – for modelling fiscal sustainability25. Thus the work that ONS is doing on accrued-to-date liabilities should form an important input into work by others, such as the OBR, on fiscal sustainability of UK pensions. Private sector pension liabilities The supplementary table on pensions will provide an estimate of total private sector pension liabilities (gross). Although individual personal (including stakeholder) pension liabilities will not be in the supplementary table, this type of pension liability has to be estimated as part of the process of creating the table, and ONS intends to publish it in order to complete the picture. 24 Hobbs, D. (2009), Office for National Statistics: Wider measures of public sector debt: A broader approach to the public sector balance sheet. Available at www.statistics.gov.uk/articles/nojournal/wider-measures-public-sector-debt.pdf. 25 The procedure to extend the scope of accrued-to-date liabilities to a sustainability analysis is described in Müller et al 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 61 LIMITE EN (2010). Office for National Statistics 14 This will be the first time that this information is published for the UK. It will also be possible to see a split between DB pension liabilities (including those of hybrid schemes) and pure DC pension liabilities. ONS expects the figures to show three things in particular: 1. The large scale of private sector pension liabilities, including those of insurance companies. 2. The relative (but declining) importance of DB versus DC pension obligations. 3. The considerable variability of private sector pension liability estimates (and therefore household pension entitlements) over time. The UK picture is expected to be different from that of many of continental European countries. However, it will be difficult to compare the estimates for the UK private sector with those of other European countries. In the case of DB schemes, this is because the private sector figures in the supplementary table on pensions will be based on different discount rates, both within each EU country and between countries; these may vary both in terms of absolute level and the direction of change from year to year. For instance, the ‘technical provisions’ measure of total DB pension liabilities in the Pension Protection Fund (PPF) universe26 as at 31 March rose from £955 billion in 2008 to £1,110 billion in 2009 and then fell to £1,074 billion in 2010. In the case of DC schemes, it is because liabilities are equal to the market value of assets, which tend to be volatile – particularly when stock markets are affected by changes in the economic cycle, as was the case during the recession of 2008-09. This variability will also make it difficult to compare on a like-for-like basis the estimates of DB pension liabilities for the private sector (Column B) with those of government-managed schemes (Columns E to H), where a stable discount rate applies (see Section 4). It would be possible to make like-for-like comparisons between Columns A and D, which contain DC schemes in the private and public sectors respectively. However, most government-managed schemes in the UK are DB schemes. 6. How Column G is compiled Most of the centrally-administered unfunded pension schemes for public sector employees (Column G) have annual accounts known as ‘resource accounts’ which disclose information on pension entitlements/liabilities in line with International Account Standards 19 (IAS 19). The resource accounts include most of the information required for the supplementary table, although the calculations are on a different basis from that required by Eurostat for the supplementary table. Our preferred methodology where resource accounts exist is to use the information in them and make adjustments to the basis required for the supplementary table. The Government Actuary’s Department (GAD) has advised ONS on how to do this. There are two schemes in Column G which do not produce annual resource accounts: those for 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 62 LIMITE EN firefighters and police officers. In these cases, our preferred option is to use a method based on rolling forward some figures from the triennial valuations and combining them with data which is collected annually by government departments (see below) to produce the annual estimates that are needed for the supplementary table. These two methods – adjusting the resource accounts and rolling forward the triennial valuations – are discussed in more detail below. Further technical descriptions are available in a methodology note prepared by GAD27. First, it is important to point out some general issues: 26 The PPF universe covers private sector DB pension schemes. Readers should note that the figures quoted here are not on a supplementary table basis, in particular because the PPF universe contains some non-private sector schemes according to the National Accounts classification system. Further work is needed to put these figures on a supplementary table basis, and will be described in future publications. 27 GAD (2011a). Office for National Statistics 15 The methodology uses existing sources and makes adjustments, in particular for the difference in discount rates between the resource accounts and the supplementary table. This provides a cost-effective solution without unacceptable compromises of accuracy (the parameter used for this purpose has been assessed, as described below). However, the results are not as accurate as performing a full actuarial valuation. The resource accounts of some schemes do not show separately the impact of changes in demographic assumptions (Row 9 of the supplementary table), but instead include them with changes in financial assumptions (Row 8). ONS hopes to obtain further breakdowns for the civil service pension scheme, which is the only large scheme that does not show separately the impact of changes in demographic assumptions in its resource accounts, in order to improve the results for Rows 8 and 9 and other estimates depending on them 28. The method based on the resource accounts assumes that the main adjustment in financial assumptions in the resource accounts from year to year is of the real discount rate, not real wage growth (the other key financial assumption). It also assumes that the proportionate impact of any changes in demographic assumptions is the same when the supplementary table discount rate is used as when the resource account discount rate is used. If there are major changes in real wage growth or demographic assumptions, GAD has recommended that actuaries be consulted about the implications. The method based on rolling forward from the triennial valuations – the ‘roll forward method’ – is not capable of producing results automatically for Rows 7, 8 and 9 of the supplementary table between triennial valuations. However, figures can be estimated on a case by case basis where annual changes are known about, and then revised when information on these changes is disclosed in the next triennial valuation. All data sources used here are on a financial year basis (1 April to 31 March), so results 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 63 LIMITE EN have to be adjusted to calendar year for the supplementary table. This is a rough adjustment based on proportions. The resource accounts method The resource accounts are compiled every year for pension schemes of civil servants, teachers, National Health Service employees, members of the Armed Forces, the judiciary, members of the security services (MI5 and MI6), UK Atomic Energy Authority employees, DFID overseas employees and those working for the Research Councils. They conform to the requirements of IAS 19, including (from 2010/11) the use of a variable nominal discount rate based on AA corporate bond rates (see Section 3). Although the discount rates vary from one financial year to the next, the same discount rate is used for all the resource accounts of these schemes in a particular financial year. This is set by HM Treasury each year and announced in a Public Expenditure System (PES) note. The resource accounts contain some information which can be used directly in the supplementary table, and some information which can be used after adjustment. Table 2 shows how the supplementary table rows are calculated using the data from the resource accounts and any adjustments, which are detailed in Appendix 1 (Table A). Table 2 also shows an example: the results for the Teachers’ Pension Scheme (TPS) England and Wales. 28 Rows 8 and 9 feed into the estimates for Row 2.2, which is calculated as a balancing item from other rows; and for Rows 1 and 10 (because of the adjustment calculated using the duration parameter, which depends on Int3, see below). Office for National Statistics 16 Table 2: Calculation of supplementary table Column G using resource accounts, on a 2009/10 financial year basis Row Item Calculation/source Adjustment applied TPS England & Wales (£ million) Opening balance sheet Transactions 2 Social contributions Sum of Rows 2.1 to 2.4 14,582 2.1 Employer actual social contributions Employer contributions 2009/10 from resource accounts 3,220 2.3 Household actual social contributions Employee contributions 2009/10 from resource accounts 1,507 2.4 Household social contribution supplements Row 1 × 5% (nominal discount rate for supplementary table) 9,867 3 Other (actuarial) 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 64 LIMITE EN accumulation of pension entitlements in social security pension funds Not applicable 0 4 Pension benefits Benefits payable 2009/10 from resource accounts 6,830 5 Changes in pension entitlements due to social contributions and pension benefits Row 2 + Row 3 – Row 4 7,752 6 Transfers of entitlements between schemes (net) Transfers in 2009/10 – Payments to and on account of leavers 2009/10 from resource accounts -81 7 Changes in pension entitlements due to other transactions (eg arising from negotiated changes in scheme structure) Past service cost 2009/10 from resource accounts (adjusted by Adj1 shown in next column) Adj1 (adjustment of entitlements from the discount rate used in the resource accounts at 31 March 2009 to the stable discount rate) 22 Other economic flows 8 Revaluations Estimated on a case by case basis where necessary, otherwise nil 0 9 Other changes in volume Changes in demographic assumptions 2009/10 from resource accounts ÷ Pension entitlements at 31 March 2010 from resource accounts × Row 10 1,941 Closing balance sheet 10 Pension entitlements at 31 March 2010 Pension entitlements at 31 March 2010 from resource accounts (adjusted by Adj2 shown in next column) Adj2 (adjustment of 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 65 LIMITE EN entitlements from the discount rate used in the resource accounts at 31 March 2010 to the stable discount rate) 206,965 1 Pension entitlements at 31 March 2009 2.2 Employer imputed social contributions Balancing item: Row 10 – Row 1 – (Σ Rows 2.1, 2.3, 2.4, 6, 7, 8, 9) + Row 4 197,331 -12 Closing balance of previous year's supplementary table Office for National Statistics 17 The roll forward method For the two schemes in Column G which do not produce annual resource accounts, as well as for the Local Government Pension Scheme (LGPS) (Column E), our best option at present is to use a method based on ‘rolling forward’ figures from triennial scheme valuations to produce annual estimates. This method uses a combination of: information from the most recent scheme valuation (total liabilities, Standard Contribution Rate29 and key financial assumptions i.e. nominal discount rates and/or real discount rates and/or pension increase assumption30); and information collected annually by the relevant government department31 (employer and employee contributions, benefits payable and transfers). This method works in a similar way to the resource accounts method except for Row 2.2 of the supplementary table, which is not calculated as a balancing item; and Rows 7-9, which cannot be updated between triennial valuations except on a case by case basis (if information becomes available indicating that a change has occurred). Table 3 shows how the supplementary table rows are calculated using the roll forward method and any adjustments. The adjustments are detailed in Appendix 1 (Table B)32. An alternative to the roll forward method for the police and firefighters’ schemes and the LGPS would be to use information from the statutory accounts compiled each year by the employers (local authorities). This is the approach adopted by the WGA. The accounts that are compiled by local authority employers use different discount rates (see Box 4). This does not conflict with the objectives of the WGA, but it would cause problems for ONS’s work on the supplementary table on pensions as it would be necessary to convert each set of accounts onto a stable discount rate basis in line with the Eurostat requirements. This would be time consuming and it would also be 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 66 LIMITE EN difficult to ensure the reliability of the resulting estimates, because it would be necessary to convert to a stable discount rate basis from many different discount rates. This is not the case with the resource accounts, which all use the same discount rate in a given financial year. 29 The Standard Contribution Rate is the total contribution rate (employer plus employee contributions) necessary to cover the cost of benefits which are being accrued by current employees, expressed as a percentage of pensionable pay. It is disclosed in actuarial valuations (GAD, 2011a). 30 It is only necessary to have two of the three key financial assumptions, as the third can be calculated from them. 31 Communities and Local Government for firefighters and the LGPS and the Home Office for the police. 32 Further information is available in GAD (2011a). Office for National Statistics 18 Table 3: Calculation of supplementary table Column G using roll forward method, on a 2009/10 financial year basis Row Item Calculation/source Adjustment applied Opening balance sheet 1 Pension entitlements at 31 March 2009 Closing balance of previous year's supplementary table OR total liabilities at 31 March 2009 from scheme valuation (adjusted for discount rate) if scheme valuation at this date exists Adj3 (adjustment of entitlements from the discount rate used in the scheme valuation at 31 March 2009 to the stable discount rate) Transactions 2 Social contributions Sum of Rows 2.1 to 2.4 2.1 Employer actual social contributions Employer contributions 2009/10 from annual data collected by relevant department 2.2 Employer imputed social contributions Balance, after deducting Rows 2.1 and 2.3, of pensionable pay times the adjusted Standard Contribution Rate. Pensionable pay is estimated as employer contributions 2009/10 ÷ employer contribution rate Adj 4 (adjustment to Standard Contribution Rate during 2009/10 based on the difference between the discount rate used in the latest scheme valuation and the stable discount rate) 2.3 Household actual social contributions 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 67 LIMITE EN Employee contributions 2009/10 from annual data collected by relevant department 2.4 Household social contribution supplements Row 1 × 5% (nominal discount rate for supplementary table) 3 Other (actuarial) accumulation of pension entitlements in social security pension funds Not applicable 4 Pension benefits Benefits payable 2009/10 from annual data collected by relevant department 5 Changes in pension entitlements due to social contributions and pension benefits Row 2 + Row 3 – Row 4 6 Transfers of entitlements between schemes (net) Transfers in 2009/10 – Payments to and on account of leavers 2009/10 from annual data collected by relevant department 7 Changes in pension entitlements due to other transactions (eg arising from negotiated changes in scheme structure) Estimated on a case by case basis where necessary, otherwise nil Other economic flows 8 Revaluations Estimated on a case by case basis where necessary, otherwise nil 9 Other changes in volume Estimated on a case by case basis where necessary, otherwise nil Closing balance sheet 10 Pension entitlements at 31 March 2010 Row 1 plus sum of Rows 5, 6, 7, 8 and 9 Office for National Statistics 19 The duration parameters Two parameters have been developed by GAD in order to make the adjustments of the information from the scheme valuations and resource accounts onto a supplementary table basis: the ‘duration applicable to liabilities’ (Int4 in the resource account method and Data22 in the roll forward method, see Appendix 1); and 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 68 LIMITE EN the ‘duration applicable to Standard Contribution Rate’ (SCR) (Data23, see Appendix 1). The ‘duration’ measures the effect on the liabilities and the SCR of changes in the discount rate; it is related to the average time until the pension benefits will be paid. The duration applicable to liabilities (D) is calculated as: D = – ln [ Int3 / Data10 ] ln [ (1 + Int1) / (1 + Int2) ] where: ln natural logarithm Data10 total liabilities at end of year Int1 real discount rate for the start of year Int2 real discount rate for the end of year Int3 liabilities at end of year using previous year’s financial assumptions (Data 10 minus change in financial assumptions) The duration applicable to the SCR is calculated using the same formula, but Int3 is replaced by the SCR at the end of the year using the previous year’s financial assumptions and Data10 is replaced by the SCR at the end of the year. Further information on the practical challenges of estimating these durations is provided in GAD (2011b). The GAD note also points out that adjustments using such duration parameters are only an approximate method, although they are more accurate than simple linear extrapolations. GAD recommends testing the results by using a range of durations and assessing their impact on the relevant figures. Employer imputed social contributions When compiling the supplementary table on pensions from the resource accounts, employer imputed social contributions (Row 2.2) are calculated as a balancing item: pension entitlements at the end of the year minus the pension entitlements at the start year and all flows during the year (see Table 2). This row is very sensitive to the estimation of pension entitlements. As Row 2.2 is a component of Rows 2 and 5, these rows are also sensitive to the estimation of the pension entitlements at the beginning and end of each year. GAD (2011a) notes that calculating the duration applicable to the liabilities using the information drawn from the same resource accounts as the data on the level of the entitlements in the start year and end year helps to provide consistency and reduce the volatility of Row 2.2. Row 2.2 is perhaps one of the most difficult to interpret in the supplementary table. What is meant by ‘employer imputed social contributions’? ESA2010 Chapter 17 notes that: “Any changes in entitlements over the year not included in other rows of the table are captured in row 2.2. This row covers also any ‘experience effects’ where the observed Office for National Statistics 20 outcome of pension modelling assumptions (real wage growth rate, discount rate) differs from the levels assumed”. In the resource accounts of the unfunded public sector pension schemes, these ‘experience effects’ are referred to as ‘experience gains and losses’. Experience gains and losses reflect 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 69 LIMITE EN differences between the assumed rate of inflation and actual inflation during the year, differences between assumed wage growth and actual increases during the year, and other factors such as where actual survival rates are lower or higher than the assumed rates. Row 2.2 also contains the difference between, on the one hand, what the resource accounts refer to as ‘current service cost’, which is the increase in liabilities resulting from employee service during the year, and, on the other hand actual cash contributions received during the year. The figures for current service cost reflect the discount rate used for the supplementary table, while actual cash contributions received are based on the calculations made for the scheme valuations; if there is a difference between the two (i.e. if the discount rate used for the supplementary table on pensions and the SCAPE rate are different), this will be reflected in Row 2.233. Also, actual cash contributions received may be adjusted upwards or downwards to reflect past events (via the contribution rate set by the latest scheme valuation). One interpretation of Row 2.2 is that a large positive amount means that contributions received during the year are not enough to meet the change in the scheme’s liabilities. It would appear logical to conclude that actual contributions – which may have been set several years previously in the last triennial valuation – need to be increased and/or that some of the assumptions need to be changed to make them more realistic. However, GAD’s advice is that care should be taken before reaching this conclusion because experience effects are volatile: they may be positive one year but negative the next. An established pattern of experience effects over several years, however, would indicate that the assumptions should be reviewed34. 7. Sensitivity analysis for Column G The figures for the entitlements of public sector employees in unfunded schemes that are published in the schemes’ resource accounts show big year-on-year variations. Table 4 shows, for the largest four schemes – those for civil servants, teachers, National Health Service employees and members of the Armed Forces – how estimates of entitlements (the obligations or liabilities of schemes) have varied in recent years. The explanations provided in the resource accounts is that these changes are mainly due to changes in the discount rate, which varies from year to year because it is based on AA corporate bond rates (see Box 3). From time to time changes in other financial assumptions also affect estimates of obligations, as do changes in demographic assumptions. 33 If the discount rate used for the supplementary table is lower than the SCAPE rate, the measured value in the supplementary table of the increase in liabilities resulting from employee service during the year will be greater than the contributions actually paid, and this will produce a positive contribution to Row 2.2, particularly for schemes with a large proportion of active members relative to pensioner members (‘young schemes’). 34 Also, if the discount rate used for the supplementary table and the SCAPE rate are different, amounts shown in Row 2.2 will reflect differences between the discount rate used for the supplementary table and the SCAPE rate. Office for National Statistics 21 Table 4: Liabilities of largest four unfunded public service pension schemes 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 70 LIMITE EN United Kingdom £ billion 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 National Health Service 189 249 242 227 329 Teachers 164 208 204 194 258 Civil Service (Great Britain) 101 129 119 116 153 Armed Forces 76 101 97 91 121 Total (four largest schemes) 530 687 663 628 861 % compared with previous year 130% 96% 95% 137% Real discount rate used (%) 2.8 1.8 2.5 3.2 1.8 Source: Schemes’ annual resource accounts as at 31 March In the case of Column G of the supplementary table on pensions, variability in estimates of scheme liabilities due to changes in the discount rate are eliminated by the use of a stable discount rate (5 per cent in nominal terms), but other assumptions may change. Table 5 shows the central assumptions used when compiling accounts for Column G schemes on a supplementary table basis. An important aspect of the work on the supplementary table is to test how sensitive are the estimates of liabilities to changes in these assumptions. A methodology for doing this has been developed by GAD. Table 5: Central assumptions used to compile accounts on supplementary table basis for Column G schemes Discount rate (nominal) 5% Inflation 2% Assumed future rate of increases in pensions (nominal) In line with pension increase policy, i.e.: - Before change from RPI to CPI*: 2.75% - Following change: 2% Wage growth (nominal) Stable 4.25% (equivalent to 2.25% in excess of long-term inflation assumption of 2%) Current mortality rates Based on recent experience of pensioners in public service pension schemes – longer life expectancy than general population Future improvements in mortality rates Based on future improvements in mortality rates assumed in ONS national population projections – currently 2008-based principal projections * The change from the Retail Prices Index (RPI) to the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) for indexation of public sector employee and state pensions was announced in the June 2010 budget. The resource accounts will recognise the change as at June 2010, so it will appear in the resource accounts for 2010/11. For the sensitivity analysis in this section we have used the ‘before change’ (RPI) assumption of 2.75% as the central assumption for pension indexation. The rest of this section discusses what happens to the estimate of pension liabilities when the assumptions change. Each assumption in turn is varied, while holding the other assumptions constant. Further information on the methodology used to calculate these ‘sensitivities’ is available 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 71 LIMITE EN in GAD (2011c). The sensitivities are shown in Tables 6 and 7. In order to calculate the sensitivities, GAD started by producing a central estimate of pension entitlements for the four largest schemes (civil servants, teachers, NHS, and Armed Forces) as at 31 March 200835 on a supplementary table basis. This central estimate – £636 billion – was based 35 The March 2008 date was chosen because in order to calculate a central estimate of liabilities on the basis of the assumptions used in the supplementary table for the purposes of sensitivity analysis, GAD wished to apply the same ‘duration applicable to liabilities’ figure to active members, deferred members and pensioner members. This method could not be relied upon to produce robust results when Data15 (the difference between nominal discount rate for Office for National Statistics 22 on the assumptions in Table 5. The absolute increases and decreases shown in Tables 6 and 7 (in £ billion) relate to this central estimate. However, the percentage changes on either side of the central estimate could be applied to more recent estimates (GAD 2011c, paragraph 9). Table 6: Sensitivity analysis for financial assumptions Nominal discount rate (%) 4.00 4.25 4.50 4.75 5.00 5.25 5.50 5.75 6.00 Change in pension entitlements (£ billion) 105 77 50 25 0 -24 -46 -68 -89 Change in pension entitlements (%) 16 12 8 4 0 -4 -7 -11 -14 Nominal wage increases (%) 3.00 3.25 3.50 3.75 4.00 4.25 4.50 4.75 5.00 5.25 Change in pension entitlements (£ billion) -35 -28 -21 -14 -7 0 7 15 23 31 Change in pension entitlements (%) -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 4 5 Rate of pension indexation (%) 1.50 1.75 2.00 2.25 2.50 2.75 3.00 3.25 3.50 3.75 Change in pension entitlements (£ billion) -80 -65 -49 -33 -17 0 17 35 54 73 Change in pension entitlements (%) -13 -10 -8 -5 -3 0 3 6 8 11 Source: Government Actuary’s Department Table 6 shows that the estimate of pension liabilities/entitlements is most sensitive to changes in the discount rate (which is also the most variable financial assumption). A one per cent fall in the discount rate increases liabilities by 16 per cent, while a one per cent increase in the discount rate reduces liabilities by 14 per cent. GAD (2011c, paragraph 14) explains why the effect of a change in the discount rate is not symmetric. Changes in the rate of pensions indexation also have a large impact on estimates of pension liabilities/entitlements. The supplementary table on pensions for 2010 will show the impact of the change from the RPI to the CPI for indexation of public sector employee and state pensions announced in the June 2010 budget. Changes in the rate of pensions indexation have a greater impact than changes in nominal wage increases for Column G schemes because changes in the rate of pensions indexation affect pensioners, deferred pensions and active members (when they retire) while changes in nominal wage growth only affect the value of pension entitlements of active members (GAD 2011c). Table 7: Sensitivity analysis for demographic assumptions Scenario Lower life expectancy Higher life expectancy Lower life 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 72 LIMITE EN expectancy Higher life expectancy Change in assumed life expectancy at age 60 for current pensioners - 1.0 years + 1.0 years - 1.2 years + 1.4 years Change in assumed life expectancy at age 60 for current employees - 1.0 years + 1.0 years - 2.8 years + 3.5 years Change in pension entitlements3 (£ billion) - 14 + 14 - 27 + 30 Change in pension entitlements3 (%) - 2.2 + 2.2 - 4.2 + 4.8 Changes in the assumption for current mortality rates1 Changes in the assumptions for future improvements in mortality rates2 1 With no change to the assumed future improvements in mortality rates (future improvements in mortality rates are based on the principal life expectancy scenario of the ONS 2008-based National Population Projections). 2 With no change to the assumed current mortality rates. Lower and higher life expectancy refers to the 'low' and 'high' life expectancy scenarios of the ONS 2008-based National Population Projections. 3 Combined effect for current pensioners and current employees. Source: Government Actuary’s Department supplementary table and assumed rate of increase in pensions) was very different from the real discount rate. The most recent set of accounts for which the two figures were close was that dated 31 March 2008. Office for National Statistics 23 Table 7 shows that the estimate of pension liabilities/entitlements is also sensitive to changes in demographic assumptions, particularly those involving changes in the assumptions about future mortality rates. The analysis presented here is based on the 'low' and 'high' life expectancy scenarios of the ONS 2008-based National Population Projections. ONS publishes new National Population Projections every two years, leading to a revised set of demographic assumptions for the resource accounts for unfunded public service pension schemes. 8. Conclusion and forward planning The work being carried out by ONS to meet the requirements of ESA2010 for a supplementary table on pensions in the UK National Accounts has begun to produce results. Total pension scheme liabilities (gross) are being calculated for the first time for both funded and unfunded pensions. The table also documents flows during the year, showing how changes in total liabilities reflect amounts contributed, benefits paid out, transfers between schemes and any changes in financial or demographic assumptions. Although the supplementary table on pensions provides a complete picture of pension provision in the UK in terms of National Accounts definitions, it excludes individual personal pensions. However, this information will also be published by ONS. Thus, ONS will be able to provide a complete estimate of household pension entitlements in the UK (equivalent to the gross liabilities of 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 73 LIMITE EN pension providers), both on a National Accounts basis and according to broader definitions. These entitlements will include rights to state pensions as well as pensions provided through employment. The work to compile the supplementary table on pensions is complex. Some of the challenges have been described in this article, which documents the process of compiling figures for unfunded pensions for public sector employees and of testing how sensitive the results are to changes in financial and demographic assumptions. ONS plans to publish another article in the autumn describing the process of compiling figures for state pensions, which is being undertaken by the Department for Work and Pensions. As in the case of unfunded pensions for government employees, the work on state pensions includes sensitivity analysis to test how the results change when the underlying assumptions change, and this will be documented in the article. Shortly the first experimental estimates for the supplementary table on pensions (for the year 2010) are produced, in December 2011, ONS will publish a third article presenting the estimates and describing how the figures in the rest of the table (the columns covering funded pensions) have been compiled. ONS expects to publish this article in early 2012 (see Table 8). Table 8: Publication timetable for articles on the development of the National Accounts supplementary table on pensions Title of article Publication date Pensions in the National Accounts: Compiling a complete picture of UK pensions including unfunded pensions for public sector employees 3 Aug 2011 Compiling estimates of state pension obligations for the National Accounts (provisional title) 25 Nov 2011 The National Accounts supplementary table on pensions: experimental estimates for 2010 (provisional title) Jan/Feb 2012 Office for National Statistics 24 Sources and further reading European Commission (2009): 2009 Ageing Report – Economic and budgetary projections for the EU-27 Member States (2008-2060), available at: http://ec.europa.eu/economy_finance/publications/publication14992_en.pdf Eurostat/European Central Bank (2011): Technical compilation guide on pensions data in National Accounts, second draft for the Eurostat/ECB Contact Group on the statistical measurement of the assets and liabilities of pension schemes in general government. Copies available on request. Government Actuary’s Department (2011a): ‘Public service pension schemes – population of the supplementary table’, a methodology note dated 14 March 2011. Copies available on request. Government Actuary’s Department (2011b): ‘Public service pension schemes – Duration applicable 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 74 LIMITE EN to the liabilities and the Standard Contribution Rate’, 14 March 2011. Copies available on request. Government Actuary’s Department (2011c): ‘Public service pension schemes – Sensitivity of measured value of pension entitlements to assumptions’, 14 March 2011. Copies available on request. HM Treasury (2003): The Green Book: Appraisal and Evaluation in Central Government. Available at: www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/data_greenbook_index.htm HM Treasury (2009): Long-term public finance report – an analysis of fiscal sustainability, December 2009. Available at http://webarchive.nationalarchives.gov.uk/+/http://www.hmtreasury. gov.uk/prebud_pbr09_longtermfinances.htm HM Treasury (2010): Consultation on the discount rate used to set unfunded public service pension contributions, December 2010, available at: www.hmtreasury. gov.uk/consult_unfunded_pensions.htm HM Treasury (2011a): Whole of Government Accounts: Unaudited Summary Report for the year ended 31 March 2010, published July 2011. Available at www.hmtreasury. gov.uk/psr_government_accounts.htm HM Treasury (2011b): Government Financial Reporting Manual. Available at www.hmtreasury. gov.uk/frem_index.htm). Hobbs, D. (2009), Office for National Statistics: Wider measures of public sector debt: A broader approach to the public sector balance sheet. Available at www.statistics.gov.uk/articles/nojournal/wider-measures-public-sector-debt.pdf Independent Public Service Pensions Commission (IPSPC) (2010) Interim report, 7 October 2010. Available from: www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/indreview_johnhutton_pensions.htm Independent Public Service Pensions Commission (IPSPC) (2011) Final report, 10 March 2011. Available from: www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/indreview_johnhutton_pensions.htm Office for Budget Responsibility (2011a): Fiscal sustainability report, July 2011. Available at http://budgetresponsibility.independent.gov.uk Office for Budget Responsibility (2011b): Economic and fiscal outlook, March 2011. Available at http://budgetresponsibility.independent.gov.uk/economic-and-fiscal-outlook-march-2011/ Office for National Statistics 25 Office for National Statistics Occupational Pension Schemes Annual Report 2009, available at: www.statistics.gov.uk/StatBase/Product.asp?vlnk=1721 Office for National Statistics Pension Trends, available at www.statistics.gov.uk/pensiontrends Müller, C., Raffelhüschen B. and O. Weddige: ‘Using pension data for policy making - the case of the German pension reforms’, ECB/Eurostat E-Book of the April 2009 workshop on pensions. Available at: www.ecb.int/pub/pdf/other/ecbeurostatworkshoponpensions201002en.pdf Pension Protection Fund/The Pensions Regulator (2010): Purple Book – DB pensions universe risk profile 2010, available at: www.pensionprotectionfund.org.uk/Pages/ThePurpleBook.aspx 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 75 LIMITE EN Pensions Commission (2004) Pensions: Challenges and Choices, The First Report of the Pensions Commission. The Stationery Office: London. Pensions Commission (2005) A New Pension Settlement for the Twenty-First Century, The Second Report of the Pensions Commission. The Stationery Office: London. Rahman, S (2007): ‘The treatment of pensions in the National Accounts’, Economic & Labour Market Review Vol. 1 No. 10 October 2007. Available at www.statistics.gov.uk/cci/article.asp?ID=1877&Pos=1&ColRank=1&Rank=1 System of National Accounts 2008 (SNA2008), published jointly by the European Commission, the International Monetary Fund, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, the United Nations and the World Bank. New York, 2009. Office for National Statistics 26 Appendix 1: Adjustments to supplementary table basis Table A: Adjustments from resource accounts to supplementary table basis used in Table 2 Adjustment Formula Label For liabilities at 31 March 2009 due to discount rate [(1 + Int1) / (1 + Data15a)]Int4 Adj1 For liabilities at 31 March 2010 due to discount rate [(1 + Int2) / (1 + Data15b)]Int4 Adj2 where: Int1 Real discount rate for resource accounts at 31 March 2009 Int2 Real discount rate for resource accounts at 31 March 2010 Data15a Difference between nominal discount rate for supplementary table and assumed rate of increase in pensions as at 31 Mar 2009 Data15b Difference between nominal discount rate for supplementary table and assumed rate of increase in pensions as at 31 Mar 2010 Int3 Liabilities as at 31 March 2010 using previous year's financial assumptions Data 10 Liabilities as at 31 March 2010 from resource accounts Int4 Duration applicable to liabilities, calculated as: – ln [ Int3 / Data10 ] ln [ (1 + Int1) / (1 + Int2) ] and ln stands for natural logarithm Table B: Adjustments from scheme valuation to supplementary table basis used in Table 3 Adjustment Formula Label For liabilities at 31 March 2009 due to discount rate [(1 + Int5) / (1 + Data15)]Data22 Adj3 For Standard Contribution Rate during 2009/10 due to discount rate [(1 + Int5) / (1 + Data15)]Data23 Adj4 where: Int5 Real discount rate used in latest scheme valuation Data15 Difference between nominal discount rate for supplementary table and assumed rate of increase in pensions Data22 Duration applicable to liabilities calculated for the latest scheme valuation (see below) Data 23 Duration for the Standard Contribution Rate calculated for the latest scheme valuation (see below) 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 76 LIMITE EN RESTRICTED - CONFIDENTIAL - NOT FOR CIRCULATION Eurostat/ECB Questionnaire on Pension Schemes Please return by 31st December 2011 Country: Name of contact: sarah.levy@ons.gsi.gov.uk United Kingdom Sarah Levy Question 1 Please complete the attached Pensions Supplementary Table, for the latest year(s), in millions of national currency, for years 2009 and 2010. The table has been completed in £ million for 2010. This is the first year that the UK has compiled the table. Question 2 Have there been any major changes in the pension entitlements in your country since the last questionnaire? (e.g.: changes due to pensions reforms, revised modelling assumptions, new data sources,…) Not applicable, as we have not compiled the table before. However, it should be noted that there were two official announcements in June 2010 : (1) the change in the inflation index to be used for uprating the additional state pension in payment (Column H), and public sector employee pensions in payment (Columns E and G) from the RPI to the CPI; this is recorded in Row 7 of these columns. (2) the change in the method for uprating the basic state pension in payment (Column H) to the 'triple lock' approach - see attached methodology article published on 2 December 2011; this is recorded in Row 7 of this column. Question 3 Which data sources have you used to compile the new Supplementary Table? The main distinctions are between Columns A-C, which use survey and administrative data, versus Columns E and G, which use data obtained directly from pension scheme valuations and accounts, versus Column H, which is based on a national model produced by the Department for Work and Pensions (DWP). See attached Word document for further details. Question 4 Which gaps in the Supplementary Table remain and how do you intend to improve the data availability? 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 77 LIMITE EN COLUMNS A-C : We have not yet incorporated data on the pension liabilities of the Pension Protection Fund and the Financial Assistance Scheme. Also, in cases of variables for which we do not have information about DB/DC splits we are estimating using ratios based on the DB/DC splits for other variables. ONS has now made changes to its MQ5 surveys to improve the estimation of DB/DC splits for future supplementary tables. COLUMN E: Although we have data for the largest scheme in this column - the Local Government Pension Scheme (LGPS) England and Wales - and for some of the other schemes, there are still a number of data gaps, including for the LGPS (Scotland), which has never published a scheme valuation. Therefore this column is heavily reliant on estimates at present. COLUMN G: There are no data sources for the schemes for police officers and firefighters (about 15% of the total), so these have had to be estimated. We expect data for the police and fire schemes to become available in 2012 or 2013. Question 5 What is the timeliness of the available data sources? Are they sources which will be available annually? For Columns A to C and H, the data sources are available annually and in a timely manner. For columns E and G (which rely on data from the pension schemes themselves): where sources are available, most of them are available annually. However, many are not published in time for us to produce estimates at T+12 months. We have obtained unpublished, near-final figures for some schemes in Columns E and G; these may be revised when the final figures are published. There are some exceptions - in particular those schemes for public sector employees which do not publish annual resource accounts (see attached article published on 3 August 2011); in these cases, we have to use the latest scheme valuation, and this means that the estimates for Rows 7 and 9 may be incomplete in some years (until the next scheme valuation is published, allowing us to revise these rows for the intervening years). Question 6 Are the underlying modelling assumptions to compile pension entitlements compatible with national models? The only national model that exists is for state pensions (Column H). We have used the existing model (owned by the DWP) and made some adaptations in order to meet Eurostat's requirements for the Supplementary Table (see attached article published 2 December 2011), so the two models are compatible, but some of the assumptions are different. Question 7 Could you please specify the modelling assumptions, e.g. a) discount rate; b) wage rate plus ABO/PBO wage growth rate method (cohorts, grouping of data, etc.); c) population projections; and d) any other specification Finally, any information on sensitivity analysis used would be useful. 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 78 LIMITE EN DISCOUNT RATE: Columns E, G and H use a 5% stable nominal discount rate. Column B uses a market-based nominal discount rate based on a risk-free rate in the form of 15-year fixed interest Gilt yields (4.4% in December 2009, 4.0% in December 2010). ABO/PBO: All DB entitlements that are estimated using data from employee schemes (Columns B, E and G) incorporate the PBO approach because this is the standard approach used by scheme actuaries in the UK. A similar approach is used for Column H where appropriate (see attached methodology article published 2 December 2011). POPULATION PROJECTIONS: Data used by scheme actuaries (for DB employee schemes in Columns B, E and G) is likely to be based on ONS population projections, but this cannot be verified. Column H uses ONS population projections (2008-based projections). SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS: See attached article published 3 August 2011 and extract from 2012 article (UNPUBLISHED). Question 8 Following your work, do you have any comments/questions on the Supplementary Table 1) We have not yet been able to compile data for Row 11 (output). We hope to be able to do so in future, but we are struggling to find sources that would allow us to estimate it. Do you have any suggestions? Can it be modelled? 2) We understand that the service charge should NOT be included in Row 2, following the deletion of Row 2.5 from the supplementary table in the latest drafts of ESA2010 Chapter 17. Please could you confirm this? Question 9 Do you have any other comments on the exercise? No. 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 79 LIMITE EN RESTRICTED - CONFIDENTIAL SUPPLEMENTARY TABLE ON UNPUBLISHED - NOT FOR PENSIONS CIRCULATION UNITED KINGDOM Please complete the table in millions of national currency for the latest available year(s) Please enter a number, M (not applicable) or L (not available) in each cell of the table Please introduce footnotes below the table to provide helpful comments on your completion of the table. Year 201 0 Recordin g Pension manager Relations Cod e Ro w No. Code Column number Standard national accounts Non-general government Defin ed benefi Defin t ed contri sche mes and butio 1 other n ) nonsche define mes d contri butio n sche Tota mes l Sch em es Cou nter part s: Pen sion entit lem ents of resi dent hou sehold s 4) Cou nterparts : Pens ion entit leme nts of nonresid ent hous ehol ds 4) XP 131 4 XP TO T XP TO TR H XPT OT NR H H I J K Not in the standard accounts General government Defined benefit schemes for general government employees2) Defi ned cont ributi on sche mes XPC 1W XPB1 W XPC B1 W A B C XP CG Class ified in finan cial corpo ration s XPB G12 Clas sifie d in gene ral gove rnme nt 3) XPB G13 D E F Opening balance sheet 9086/12 Clas sifie d in gene ral gov ern men t XP BO UT1 3 G Soc ial sec urit y pen sio n sch em es MLG/am DG G I Tot al Pen sio n 80 LIMITE EN XA F63 LS Σ 2.1 to 2.4 – 2.5 XD 61p XD 611 1 2 2.1 XD 612 1 2.2 XD 613 1 2.3 XD 614 1 XD 619 XD 62p 2+3-4 1 XD 8 2.4 3 4 5 Pension entitlemen ts (incl contingent pension entitlemen ts) Increase in pension entitlemen ts due to social contributi ons Employer actual social contributi ons Employer imputed social contributi ons Househol d actual social contributi ons Househol d social contributi on suppleme nts5) Other (actuarial) change of pension entitlemen ts in social security pension schemes Reduction in pension entitlemen ts due to payment of pension benefits Changes in pension entitlemen ts due to social contributi ons and 338,5 40 1,60 3,4 6,3 1,263, 1,89 331,6 915, 97, 45, 351 2 M 10 M 053 369 923 Changes in pension entitlements due to transactions 33,38 5 73,29 9 106, 684 15,85 7 29,87 2 45,7 28 14,31 3 14,3 13 6,206 2,153 8,35 8 11,32 3 55,58 7 66,9 10 27,04 9 34,32 8 61,3 77 6,336 38,97 1 45,3 07 9086/12 L M 62,5 14 270 ,00 0 464 ,34 8 L L M 17,2 80 56, 089 128 ,87 8 L L 3,733 M 6,67 9 24, 725 L L M 2,525 M 6,16 0 41, 076 58, 119 L L M 16,57 7 M 45,7 53 172 ,83 5 302 ,07 5 L L 112 ,38 7 112 ,38 7 L L M 28,3 05 69, 353 171 ,61 0 L L M 34,2 09 313 ,03 4 405 ,12 4 L L M M 25,14 9 9,780 M 12,57 4 M 12,57 5 MLG/am DG G I L 81 LIMITE EN pension benefits XD 81 XD 82 XK 7 XK 5 XA F63 LE 1+ Σ 5 to 9 XP1 6 7 Transfers of pension entitlemen ts between schemes Change in entitlemen ts due to negotiated changes in scheme structure 9 Changes in entitlemen ts due to revaluatio ns6) Changes in entitlemen ts due to other changes in volume 6) 10 Pension entitlemen ts (incl. contingent pension entitlemen ts 8 11 Output 279 M 40,55 0 548 L M 28 M 140 0 437 31,57 95,1 32, 93, 0 0 M 0 M 15 954 731 Changes in pension entitlements due to other flows 37,90 1 M 385,7 04 269 78,4 50 0 1,339, 675 L 0 M M 313,0 19 M Related indicator M L M L L L 0 78, 450 L L 1,92 4 0 1,4 90 L L 852, 083 3,8 43, 357 6,7 33, 839 L L L L L M M 433 M Closing balance sheet 1,72 5,38 0 L 0 L 0 1) Such other non-defined contribution schemes, often described as hybrid schemes, have both a defined benefit and a defined contribution element. 2) Schemes organised by general government predominantly for its current and former employees. 3) These are non-autonomous defined benefit schemes whose pension entitlements are recorded in the standard accounts. 4) Counterpart data for resident and non-resident households will only be shown separately when pension relationships with the rest of the world are significant. 5) These supplements represent the return on members' claims on pension schemes, both through investment income on defined contribution schemes' assets and for defined benefit schemes through the unwinding of the discount rate applied. 6) A more detailed split of these positions should be provided for columns G and H based on the model calculations carried out for these schemes. Country footnote s (UK) 1 Row 2.5 has been deleted for consistency with the latest draft of ESA2010 Chapter 17. Therefore the service charge is not included in the main body of the table (Rows 1-10). 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 82 LIMITE EN Data sources used by ONS to compile the UK Supplementary Table on Pensions 2010 Owing to complexity of the UK pension system, there is no ‘national model’ or single data source for the supplementary table on pensions. Each column has been compiled using the most appropriate source available. Articles have been published by ONS in 2011 on the sources for Columns E, G and H. An article planned for 2012 will cover the data sources used in Columns A and B. This document is in two parts. Part 1 lists the sources used in each column, and Part 2 provides a brief description of the sources used in Columns A and B (sources for the other columns are described in the published articles). Part 1 Column Source data used A – group personal pensions (DC) FSA data for Rows 1 and 10. HMRC data for actual contributions (Rows 2.1 and 2.3). MQ5 insurance companies survey data for other rows. A – occupational pensions (DC) For Rows 1 and 10 (insured pensions): FSA data. For Rows 1 and 10 (selfadministered pension funds): MQ5 self-administered pension funds survey. For other rows: MQ5 self-administered pension funds survey or MQ5 insurance companies survey, as appropriate. B – occupational pensions (DB) PPF Purple Book estimates (aggregating data for some 6,600 schemes) for Row 1 and Rows 7 to 10. A small number of PPF-eligible schemes that are classified in Column E are excluded. MQ5 self-administered pension funds survey for Rows 2 to 6. E Pension scheme valuations (normally published every 3-4 years) and annual resource accounts. See article published 3 August 2011 for further details. Data for the LGPS used in Rows 2 to 6 is provided by the Department for Communities and Local Government (for LGPS England and Wales) and by the Northern Ireland Local Government Officers’ Superannuation Committee; figures for Scotland are estimated. For other schemes, information comes from scheme valuations and annual accounts; in the 2010 table, much of it is estimated. G Pension schemes’ annual resource accounts. This column brings together 13 sets of accounts for unfunded schemes, plus estimates for two schemes (police and fire). See article published 3 August 2011 for further details. H DWP model (see article published 2 December 2011 for further details). Rows 2.1 and 2.3 are adjusted for consistency with actual contributions paid into the National Insurance Fund, as published in the core National Accounts. 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 83 LIMITE EN Part 2 Relevant data sources Financial Services Authority (FSA) The FSA has administrative data for pension reserves held by insurance companies in respect of private pensions. The dataset covers reserves for both the accumulation and decumulation phases (the latter comprises reserves associated with annuities in payment), and for both occupational and personal pensions. ONS has access to this data for use in the National Accounts. Of personal pensions, only group personal pensions are included in the supplementary table; individual personal pensions are excluded because they are not part of pensions in social insurance. HM Revenue and Customs (HMRC) HMRC publishes tables based on administrative data showing contributions to personal pensions (including stakeholder pensions) at www.hmrc.gov.uk/stats/pensions/menu.htm For the supplementary table, we use the data for employer-sponsored pensions only (Tables 7.4 and 7.5). MQ5 MQ5 is a series of annual and quarterly surveys of insurance companies, self-administered pension funds, investment trusts, unit trusts and property unit trusts run by ONS. Income and expenditure data are provided for insurance companies (quarterly and annual) and self-administered pension funds (quarterly). In addition, annual balance sheet data are reported for all sectors. The PPF Purple Book The Pension Protection Fund (PPF) has a unique dataset that covers funded DB schemes in the private sector; it uses the dataset to produce an annual publication called the Purple Book. The sample taken for the Purple Book covered nearly 6,600 schemes in 2009/10, representing 90 per cent of PPF-eligible schemes and 99.8 per cent of their total liabilities. Most private sector DB schemes are PPF-eligible. The PPF Purple Book dataset contains estimates of liabilities which are reported by private sector DB schemes to the PPF on the basis of a standard set of assumptions. This allows the PPF to produce estimates of total liabilities on a ‘full buy-out’ basis, which uses a Gilts-based discount rate (a risk-free market rate). These estimates are used in the supplementary table. However, the full buy-out estimates are only published for the financial year. In order to convert to a calendar year basis, we use the PPF’s estimate of liabilities on a s179 basis, which is published on a monthly basis in the PPF’s 7800 index. To produce the closing balance for Column B (Row 10), the ratio of full buyout liabilities to s179 liabilities at the end of the financial year is used to rate up the s179 estimate at the end of the previous calendar year. For Rows 7 to 9, figures are estimated in consultation with the PPF, which advises ONS of any changes to key assumptions and the approximate size of their impact on these rows. 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 84 LIMITE EN NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Sanjiv Mahajan on 01/04/2012 at 20:00 Title: Pensions Seminar in London, England Categorisation International Coordination\Pensions Note for the record Sanjiv Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LOND ON/ONS To gabriel.quiros@ecb.europa.eu, joseph.a.bonello@gov.mt, sbr@dst.dk, dgr.vonberg@cbs.nl, international@scb.se, gandolfo@istat.it, yolanda.gomez.menchon@ine.es, raoul.depoutot@insee.fr, tanja.mucha@destatis.de, albert.braakmann@destatis.de, m.pommee@cbs.nl, cathy.kruger@scb.se, vkounadis@cystat.mof.gov.cy, Hilkka.Vihavainen@stat.fi, Anita.Heinonen@stat.fi, gzeitountsian@cystat.mof.gov.cy, O.Leszczynska@stat.gov.pl, ursula.havel@statistik.gv.at, michael.wolf@scb.se cc Sarah Levy/ONS@ONS 01/04/2012 19:04 Subject Pensions Seminar in London, England Dear colleagues, As mentioned at last week's CWPS meeting. On 27 April 2012, the UK Office for National Statistics (ONS) will be holding a seminar at the Royal Statistical Society in London to present the first full set of official statistics on the obligations of UK pension providers, including the UK government. The seminar will coincide with the first publication of the UK National Accounts Supplementary Table on Pensions. Please see the attached invitation for details. Places will be allocated on a first come first served basis. If you wish to attend, please email us at: pensionsanalysis@ons.gov.uk Background information is available at www.ons.gov.uk/ons/publications/allreleases.html?definition=tcm%3A77-228861 and you will also be able to find the UK National Accounts Supplementary Table on Pensions (2010) here at 09.30 on 27 April 2012. If you need any further information, please let me know. Best regards 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 85 LIMITE EN Sanjiv Mr Sanjiv Mahajan Head of International Strategy and Coordination National Accounts Coordination and Development Room 2.101 Office for National Statistics Government Buildings Cardiff Road Newport Wales NP10 8XG Work no. +44 (0) 1633 45 5294 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 86 LIMITE EN UK pension obligations – the full picture A seminar presenting the first full set of official statistics on funded and unfunded pension obligations of UK pension providers Date: Friday, 27 April 2012 Time: 10.30 to 12.30 Place: Lecture Theatre, Royal Statistical Society, 12 Errol Street, London EC1Y 8LX This seminar will present the first set of official statistics on the total obligations of UK pension providers ‐ broken down into private sector pensions, funded and unfunded pensions for public sector employees, and state pensions. The information presented will be for 2010, and has experimental status. It will be published at 09.30 on 27 April 2012. These statistics are part of ONS work on a supplementary table for the UK National Accounts within the framework of the European System of Accounts 2010. The seminar will explain the background and discuss the methodology used to produce the figures in the table. It will also consider how the table fits into wider measures of public sector debt in the UK and its relationship with the broader EU context. The seminar will be chaired by Joe Grice, Chief Economist, Office for National Statistics AGENDA 10.15 ‐ 10.30: Registration 10.30 ‐ 11.00: Funded and unfunded pension obligations of UK pension providers – a full picture. Sarah Levy, Head of Pensions Analysis, Office for National Statistics 11.00 ‐ 11.25: Pensions and wider measures of public sector debt in the UK. David Hobbs, Head of Accountancy Advice, Office for National Statistics 11.25 ‐ 11.45: Coffee break 11.45 ‐ 12.30: Discussion and feedback session Panel members: Paul Johnson, Director, Institute for Fiscal Studies Reimund Mink, former Senior Adviser, European Central Bank Sarah Levy, Office for National Statistics Dave Hobbs, Office for National Statistics 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 87 LIMITE EN NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Phillip Davies on 05/03/2012 at 15:06 Title: [PROTECT] - Fw: PROTECT: Transfer of Royal Mail pension fund Categorisation Production and Analysis\Sector and Financial Accounts Branch\Miscellaneous From : Marianthi Dunn/STID/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS To : Daniel Wisniewski/NAD/MESAG/NEWPORT/ONS, Phillip Davies/NEWPORT/ONS CC : Jacqui Jones/MQD/SSSG/NEWPORT/ONS, Philip Stokoe/NEWPORT/ONS, Terry-Ann Ware/ONS Date Sent : 05/03/2012 14:08:50 Subject : [PROTECT] - Fw: PROTECT: Transfer of Royal Mail pension fund Hi both, This query came in the GCF in box. As it's linked to financial liabilities can you pls respond to Steve and cc the GCF inbox. Regards, Marianthi Dunn Gross Capital Formation Branch Business Indicators and Balance of Payments Division Office for National Statistics Tel: (+)44 1633 456390 Fax: (+)44 1633 652716. http://www.ons.gov.uk/ ----- Forwarded by Marianthi Dunn/STID/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS on 05/03/2012 14:03 ----steve.farrington@obr.g si.gov.uk 02/03/2012 17:21 To: cc: Subject: GCF@ONS PROTECT: Transfer of Royal Mail pension fund Hi, As you can see from the exchange below, we are going to be including the impact of the Royal Mail transfer in our Budget forecast and we've been checking with your colleagues about the likely classification treatment of the switch in the pblic sector accounts. However, as Philip mentions at the bottom of his e-mail, that still leaves open the question of the treatment in the National Accounts - specifically I wanted to check if you thought it likely that there might be an impact on higher level series - the obvious example I'm thinking of is the transfer of BNFL liabilities in 2005 which caues the large ofsetting spikes in general government and 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 88 LIMITE EN business investment. My reading of Phil's e-mail is that this is unlikely to be the case this time around but can you shed anymore light on this as clearly it has the potential to have a significant effect on our published forecast? thanks very much, steve Stephen Farrington | Economic Forecast | Office for Budget Responsibility | 020 7271 2443 From: Pavandeep Dhami Sent: 15 February 2012 10:53 To: Stephen Farrington Subject: FW: [PROTECT] - Re: RESTRICTED: Transfer of Royal Mail pension fund From: Philip Stokoe [mailto:philip.stokoe@ons.gsi.gov.uk] Sent: 15 February 2012 08:39 To: Pavandeep Dhami Cc: David Bailey; James.Ebdon@hmtreasury.gsi.gov.uk Subject: [PROTECT] - Re: RESTRICTED: Transfer of Royal Mail pension fund Hi Pav, Guidance in this area is indeed, pretty clear, and the subject of payments to government from the transfer of pension obligations comes with its own section of the Manual of Government Deficit and Debt (MGDD), which I have attached. This guidance will inform the ONS treatment, and the clarity provided has undoubtedly been one of the reasons why HMT has not felt the need, up until now, to ask for a formal ONS view. Selected quotes: III.6.1.2 Transfer of employers' pension obligations to government .................. 9. For various reasons, government, as owner of the public corporations, may intend to "clean" their balance sheets, for instance with a view to privatising these corporations, as investors would be reluctant to purchase the corporation encumbered by these obligations. 10. As a result of the transfer of the pension obligations to government, the employer’s pension scheme is suppressed and the pension obligations are transferred to the government into the general social security scheme or into an unfunded scheme for government employees (where the employees have a status similar to civil servants). The new scheme is unfunded (referred to as “Pay As You Go system”). In the case of a previously funded scheme, the transfer involves a change in the organisation of the pension scheme. ..................... 12. The common point is that, as counterpart to the future commitments taken by government, government receives a “lump sum” that is assumed to cover the future burden of the pensions that will be paid by government. This “lump sum” is an amount determined at the time of transfer of obligations, which may however be paid in several or many instalments over time. ................. 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 89 LIMITE EN III.6.1.3 The key issue in national accounts 14. In general economic terms, the transaction between the public corporation and general government can be considered as a transfer of a liability in the sense of "future and certain obligations", with, as counterpart, a transfer of cash (or other financial assets). ...........However, ESA95 does not record obligations for unfunded pension schemes as assets of households nor as liabilities of government. This often makes it difficult for national accountants to determine how to record the lump sum payments and the future payments of pensions after the transfer of responsibility from the public corporations to government as there is no specific liability in national accounts in the balance sheet of government, even when this liability was previously recorded in the balance sheet of the corporation. ................ 16. Payments received by a government from a public corporation in the context of the transfer of obligations under either unfunded or funded pension schemes that the corporation operates for its own employees, into an unfunded scheme operated by government, are treated as unrequited transactions, classified as capital transfers (codified D.99 in ESA95), recorded as government revenue and therefore have a positive impact on government surplus or deficit (EDP B.9). The pension obligations taken over by government are not recorded in the form of an ESA95 liability. 17. However, this improvement in the government surplus or deficit will be offset in the future by the effective payment of pension benefits, recorded as government expenditure, to the beneficiaries of the scheme previously managed by the public corporation. Therefore, normally, the transfer of pension obligations is globally neutral for general government surplus / deficit (or very close to neutrality) over time. 18. In general the transaction value is equal to the actuarial value of the pension obligations taken on by government. However it is possible that the payment received is significantly different from the actuarial value. Two cases can be analysed: The payment may be significantly greater than the actuarial value. In this case the excess of the payment over the pension obligations should be treated as a withdrawal of equity (coded as F5 in national accounts) by government from the public corporation. The payment may be significantly less than the actuarial value. In this case the payment is recorded in its entirety as a capital transfer received by government. 19. As regards the time of recording, the capital transfer, and therefore the impact on government surplus or deficit, is recorded when government becomes legally responsible for the payment of the future pension benefits to the employees previously covered by their employer scheme. It is recorded for the amount agreed as payment from the corporation to government, unless the payment exceeds the actuarial value of the pension obligations. So, although ONS have not formally been asked for a view, the guidance above is pretty clearly describing what we understand is proposed for the Royal Mail Pension Scheme, such that your proposed treatment appears correct. N.B. This is my personal view, not a formal ONS classification decision - We will probably seek to confirm this formally, probably via a NACC Authorisation, as soon as HMT confirm the finalised details of what is happening and when. The broader impact on the National Accounts is not quite as straightforward as a transfer from the private to the public sector, (not least as the Royal Mail Pension Plan is almost certainly a Public Financial Corporation anyway) but will appear in the National Accounts as a transfer from the Financial Corporations sector to the Government sector - and specifically from the Pension Funds and Insurance Corporations sub-sector to the Government sector - I'm no expert on exactly how this will appear, but I think the transaction will appear as a big figure in the Accumulation Accounts in Blue Book in the Financial Corporations sector (Blue Book Table 4.1.7) and the Pension Funds and Insurance Corporations sub-sector (Table 4.4.7) - big D.9 transactions aren't unheard of - the D.91 tax on MFIs due to the FSCS and collapse of B&B is in there in 2008, but unusual. Given the size of the impact, we will be releasing an article at some point explaining it all - we just haven't decided when! Hope this helps - happy to discuss! 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 90 LIMITE EN Phil Phil Stokoe | National Accounts Classification | Public Sector Economic Division | Office for National Statistics | Government Buildings | Cardiff Road | Newport | Wales | NP10 8XG | Room 2.164 | Phone: 01633 455805 | Internal Extension: 5805 Pavandeep.Dhami@obr.gsi.gov.uk 14/02/2012 17:35 To Philip Stokoe/NEWPORT/ONS@ONS, David Bailey/NEWPORT/ONS@ONS cc James.Ebdon@hmtreasury.gsi.gov.uk Subject RESTRICTED: Transfer of Royal Mail pension fund Phil/David As you are likely already aware, we intend to include the impact of the Royal Mail transfer in our March forecast. I understand the Eurostat guidance on these kinds of transactions is quite clear. Based on discussions with the Treasury, we are likely to treat the transaction as follows: On the * not affect * PSNB. * result * result day of transfer: The transferred liabilities are contingent and therefore do deficit or debt. The transferred assets will result in a one-off reduction in PSND will also fall, but by a smaller amount than PSNB, as a of the gilts and cash being transferred to Government. The Central Government Net Cash Requirement will fall by as a of the cash transferred from RMPP. Following the transfer and in subsequent years: * PSNB (and therefore PSND) will increase by the annual payments to Royal Mail pensioners, less income from assets or savings on debt interest as a result of asset sales. * Sales of fixed assets and illiquid financial assets will reduce PSND. * On sale of liquid financial assets will have no further benefit to PSNB or PSND, but any variance between the transfer and disposal value will impact on PSND. * Cancellation of gilts, should that occur, would not impact on any fiscal aggregates. I appreciate that you cannot - and indeed have not been asked to provide formal clarification of how you will treat this transactions. However, as I am sure you will also appreciate, it would be highly embarrassing for ourselves, given the sums involved, if the eventual treatment significantly differed from the above. So I am asking for some kind of reassurance that this is along the right 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 91 LIMITE EN tracks and would be thankful for any informal steer you could offer. The other side of the coin, for which we are far more uncertain, is how this may potentially be treated in the National Accounts. If the fiscal numbers essentially treat this as a capital grant from the private to public sector, might there be some noticeable movements in the investment figures between business and government investment, or some other strange treatment that we should attempt to capture in our economic forecast? I am due to discuss this with the OBR's Budget Responsibility Committee tomorrow evening and would be even more grateful if you could provide an initial response prior to that point. Happy to discuss Pav 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 92 LIMITE EN III.6 Payments to government from transfer of pension obligations III.6.1 Background to the issue 1. This concerns lump sum payments to government in the context of the transfer of pension obligations. III.6.1.1 Employers' pension schemes 2. In several Member States, corporations, including public corporations, may set up specific pension schemes for their own staff which they manage directly. They are referred to as “non-autonomous employers’ pension schemes” in ESA95. These corporate pension schemes are not treated in national accounts as social security schemes, i.e. the flows of contributions (or injections of funds by employers) and pension benefits are not part of government revenue or expenditure (except if government organises such a scheme for its own employees). Therefore the flows are allocated to the sector in which the employer organising the scheme is classified. See ESA95 4.88 b and c. (unfunded schemes set up by employers for their employees). 3. In this context, employers may set up unfunded or funded schemes. The main difference is whether “segregated reserves” exist. 4. A non-autonomous funded pension scheme organised by an employer for its own staff is funded in the case where the employer builds up a segregated reserve – because of legal obligations, specific regulations, contractual clauses, accounting standards or only on a voluntary basis - for the explicit and exclusive purpose of paying pensions to their employees, ex-employees or their dependants. Consequently, the book value of this reserve as reported in the employer’s balance sheet is likely to represent a predominant part of the actuarial value of the pension obligations. 5. This reserve ensures a strong protection of the pension rights of the beneficiaries, notably in the case of bankruptcy of the employer, or in the case of mergers. The reserve is invested in assets that are identifiable in the balance sheet of the corporation. 6. In ESA95, this obligation is recorded as AF.612 (“Net equity of households in pension funds reserves”). Depending on the nature of the fund, the liability is valued differently in national accounts. If it is a defined-benefit funded scheme, it is the present value of the promised pension benefits. If it is a defined-contribution funded scheme (named “money purchase schemes” in ESA95), it is the market value of the corresponding assets invested on markets. For public corporations the first case is the most frequent. In the balance sheet of the corporation, generally the reserve is recorded at book value. Note that if, at a point in time, the book value of the segregated reserve is not a predominant part of the actuarial value of the pension obligations, the scheme is still considered as funded if it is obvious that the firm is acting in order to reach such a target in the medium term. 7. By contrast, in a non-autonomous unfunded pension scheme, employers make only the commitment to ensure the payment of a defined level of pension benefits. The pension rights of the employees, that are normally legally recognised, are based in this case on the commitment made by the firm and its capacity to face the payment obligations at the time they are due. General Government and public corporations III Manual on Government Deficit and Debt 137 III.6.1.2 Transfer of employers' pension obligations to government 8. The case of transfer to government of a funded scheme that will remain funded after the transfer is not treated here. In this case, the rules stated in part 1 of this Manual (see I.3) as regards the classification of funded pension schemes would strictly apply. 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 93 LIMITE EN 9. For various reasons, government, as owner of the public corporations, may intend to "clean" their balance sheets, for instance with a view to privatising these corporations, as investors would be reluctant to purchase the corporation encumbered by these obligations. 10. As a result of the transfer of the pension obligations to government, the employer’s pension scheme is suppressed and the pension obligations are transferred to the government into the general social security scheme or into an unfunded scheme for government employees (where the employees have a status similar to civil servants). The new scheme is unfunded (referred to as “Pay As You Go system”). In the case of a previously funded scheme, the transfer involves a change in the organisation of the pension scheme. 11. Note that various arrangements might be observed in the context of this transfer of pension obligations. Government could take responsibility for the payment of all the future pensions to existing employees of the corporation or only to a certain group of those employees. It could also take responsibility for only part of the future pensions. Government could pay additional amounts to pensioners in order to guarantee them a level of pensions on the basis of a current arrangement more advantageous than the new scheme they join. 12. The common point is that, as counterpart to the future commitments taken by government, government receives a “lump sum” that is assumed to cover the future burden of the pensions that will be paid by government. This “lump sum” is an amount determined at the time of transfer of obligations, which may however be paid in several or many instalments over time. 13. This amount paid to government is often an actuarial estimate of the present value of the future related government disbursements, which will commonly be reflected in the accounts of the public corporation where they are prepared in line with international standards. However it is possible that the lump sum is higher or lower than the present value of future pension payments, which would then need to be further analysed. III.6.1.3 The key issue in national accounts 14. In general economic terms, the transaction between the public corporation and general government can be considered as a transfer of a liability in the sense of "future and certain obligations", with, as counterpart, a transfer of cash (or other financial assets). On an economic basis, the "real" net worth of both agents has not changed because of the transaction. The increase in cash of general government is compensated in economic terms by the increase in its liabilities towards the future retired employees. In parallel, the decrease in assets (cash or other financial assets) held by the public corporations is compensated by the decrease in its liabilities towards the same future retired employees. However, ESA95 does not record obligations for unfunded pension schemes as assets of households nor as liabilities of government. This often makes it difficult for national accountants to determine how to record the lump sum payments and the future payments of pensions after the transfer of responsibility from the public corporations to government as there is no specific liability in national accounts in the balance sheet of government, even when this liability was previously recorded in the balance sheet of the corporation. 15. This chapter explains the treatment that has been considered as relevant in the current national accounts framework. 138 III.6.2 Treatment in national accounts 16. Payments received by a government from a public corporation in the context of the transfer of obligations under either unfunded or funded pension schemes that the corporation operates for its own employees, into an unfunded scheme operated by government, are treated as unrequited transactions, classified as capital transfers (codified D.99 in ESA95), recorded as government revenue and therefore have a positive impact on government surplus or deficit (EDP B.9). The pension obligations taken over by government are not recorded in the form of an ESA95 liability. 17. However, this improvement in the government surplus or deficit will be offset in the 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 94 LIMITE EN future by the effective payment of pension benefits, recorded as government expenditure, to the beneficiaries of the scheme previously managed by the public corporation. Therefore, normally, the transfer of pension obligations is globally neutral for general government surplus / deficit (or very close to neutrality) over time. 18. In general the transaction value is equal to the actuarial value of the pension obligations taken on by government. However it is possible that the payment received is significantly different from the actuarial value. Two cases can be analysed: The payment may be significantly greater than the actuarial value. In this case the excess of the payment over the pension obligations should be treated as a withdrawal of equity (coded as F5 in national accounts) by government from the public corporation. The payment may be significantly less than the actuarial value. In this case the payment is recorded in its entirety as a capital transfer received by government. 19. As regards the time of recording, the capital transfer, and therefore the impact on government surplus or deficit, is recorded when government becomes legally responsible for the payment of the future pension benefits to the employees previously covered by their employer scheme. It is recorded for the amount agreed as payment from the corporation to government, unless the payment exceeds the actuarial value of the pension obligations. 20. However, the arrangement between the corporation and government might foresee a set of payments after the legal transfer and not a single payment. Where the payments are spread over many years in the future, as capital transfers they should be recorded when they are due to be paid in future years. However in the case where the payments are spread over 2 or 3 years (even if pension payments may extend over many years), it would be more appropriate to record the total in national accounts as a single payment when government becomes legally responsible for future pensions, with the part to be paid in future years treated as a transaction in financial instrument AF.7 (accounts receivable of government). 21. In some cases, the arrangement could foresee a transfer of pension obligations in several steps, covering each time a proportion of the employees. For each transfer, the corresponding agreed payment should be considered and any timing difference with the effective payment would be recorded as a financial transaction. III.6.3 Rationale of the treatment 22. The treatment is based on the fact that ESA95, like SNA93, currently does not recognise a liability, in the sense of a financial instrument, for the obligations relating to pensions in the context of an unfunded scheme. 23. Under these conditions, it has not been considered possible that government incurs a liability as counterpart of the amount paid by the public corporation and representing the present value of these obligations, which should therefore be recorded as a General Government and public corporations III Manual on Government Deficit and Debt 139 financial transaction without an impact on government deficit/surplus. From a general point of view, while the existence of new future commitments taken by government in exchange for the cash paid by the firm is acknowledged, the conditions in the ESA95 for the recognition of unfunded pension-related liabilities are not met. It may also be noted that some transactions recorded as transfers in national accounts may imply specific obligations for the receiver. For instance, an investment grant is generally paid only under the condition that the cash is used for acquiring certain capital goods. It is notably the case for grants from EU Structural Funds. 24. The payment is recorded as a capital transfer (D9) on the basis of the one-off occurrence (as evidenced by the list given in ESA95 for "other capital transfers" in 4.165) and the high value of the transaction. 25. The above treatment was developed under the expectation that the payment would be identical to, or very close in size to, the actuarial value of the pensions to be paid in 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 95 LIMITE EN future years. However it may be that the payment is in fact significantly different from the actuarial value. Where the payment is greater than the actuarial value, the excess is treated as a withdrawal of equity by the government. In the case where the payment is lower than the actuarial value, no further transactions are recorded. This is equivalent to a “net” recording, since the underlying flows could be shown gross (with matching capital transfers in each direction between the government and corporation), however for pragmatic reasons of simplicity a net recording is preferred. 26. This payment could not be treated as an exceptional social contribution paid on behalf of the employees. This may be observed on an individual basis only where some employees voluntarily move from one employer to another, which involves the renunciation of a social insurance scheme and implies the transfer of past contributions to the new scheme in order to reconstitute new rights. But in the case under review, the transfer does not result from an individual decision. In addition, this would have the effect of artificially increasing the fiscal burden during the fiscal year in which the transaction takes place. 27. In the specific case of a funded scheme organised previously by the employer, there is no transfer of a liability to government. Actually, again because ESA95 does not recognise liabilities for future pensions in the case of an unfunded scheme, at the time the pension obligations are transferred to the government, the liability AF.612 disappears as the scheme is effectively transformed into an unfunded scheme, without any change in the rights acquired by the participants. This is an unquestionable feature of the new pension for the corporation’s employees, unless government allocates the assets received from the corporation into a segregated reserve with the explicit and exclusive aim of ensuring the majority of the future pension benefit payments. As already stressed, government usually merges these specific obligations into the general social security obligations (or the scheme organised for civil servants in some cases) such that it becomes fully inappropriate to continue recording the specific liability of the corporation towards its employees in the national accounts. 28. Under these conditions, there is no transfer of a liability corresponding to the obligations previously borne by the corporation and the disappearance of the liability AF.6 must be recorded in the account of the corporation at the time of the transfer. 29. The disappearance of this liability is recorded as an “other change of volume of assets” (K.10) in both accounts of households and of the corporation. Under these conditions, the pension obligations no longer take the form of a financial instrument at the time of the transfer of the scheme to the government and, therefore, the transfer of the financial assets from the corporation to the government is recorded as an unrequited transaction, i.e. a capital transfer improving government deficit/surplus as there is an increase in government revenue (capital transfer received). 140 30. According to the ESA95 treatment of the time of recording of capital transfers, a transfer payment made over many years should be recorded in the periods when the payments are due to be made. However, where a transfer payment is spread over only a few years, and therefore gives the impression that it has been artificially split for financing reasons, the entire transfer payment should be recorded when the government takes responsibility for future pension payments. III.6.4 Accounting examples III.6.4.1 Initial unfunded pension scheme A public corporation transfers to the government its obligations related to pensions for its staff that the corporation has organised on its own in the form of an unfunded pension scheme. Government accepts to pay future pensions and in exchange receives a cash payment of 1000. In a future given year (t+*), pensions paid to retired staff from the public corporation amount to 50. Year t General government Public corporation (NFC) Capital account ΔA ΔL ΔA ΔL 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 96 LIMITE EN D.9 +1000 D.9 -1000 B.9 +1000 B.9 -1000 Financial account ΔA ΔL ΔA ΔL F.2 +1000 F.2 -1000 B.9 +1000 B.9 -1000 Year t+* (adaptable to any year other than t) General government Households Current/Capital account U/ΔA R/ ΔL U/ΔA R/ ΔL D.621 50 D.621 50 B.9 -50 B.9 +50 Financial account ΔA ΔL ΔA ΔL F.2 -50 F.2 +50 B.9 -50 B.9 +50 General Government and public corporations III Manual on Government Deficit and Debt 141 III.6.4.2 Initial funded pension scheme The conditions of the transfer are similar but the scheme was organised in the form of a funded pension scheme. The government accounts are similar to the case of an unfunded scheme. Accounts of the corporation are different for year t while the accounts of households are now affected. Year t General government Public corporation Opening balance sheet ALAL Assets 1000 AF.612 1000 Capital account ΔA ΔL ΔA ΔL D.9 +1000 D.9 -1000 B.9 +1000 B.9 -1000 Financial account ΔA ΔL ΔA ΔL F.2 +1000 F.2 –1000 B.9 +1000 B.9 -1000 Other change in volume ΔA ΔL ΔA ΔL AF.612 -1000 B.10.2. +1000 Closing balance sheet ALAL F.2 1000 F.2 142 Households Opening balance sheet AL AF.612 1000 Other Change in volume ΔA ΔL AF.612 -1000 B.10.2 -1000 Closing balance sheet 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 97 LIMITE EN AL III.6.4.3 Initial unfunded pension scheme where lump sum payment is greater than value of pension obligations A public corporation transfers to the government its obligations related to pensions for its staff that the corporation has organised on its own in the form of an unfunded pension scheme. The pension obligations have an actuarial value of 900. Government accepts to pay future pensions and in exchange receives a cash payment of 1000. In a future given year (t+*), pensions paid to retired staff from the public corporation amount to 50. Year t General government Public corporation (NFC) Capital account ΔA ΔL ΔA ΔL D.9 +900 D.9 -900 B.9 +900 B.9 -900 Financial account ΔA ΔL ΔA ΔL F.2 +1000 F.2 -1000 F.5 -100 F.5 -100 B.9 +900 B.9 -900 General Government and public corporations III Manual on Government Deficit and Debt 143 Year t+* (adaptable to any year other than t) General government Households Current/Capital account U/ΔA R/ ΔL U/ΔA R/ ΔL D.621 50 D.621 50 B.9 -50 B.9 +50 Financial account ΔA ΔL ΔA ΔL F.2 -50 F.2 +50 B.9 -50 B.9 +50 III.6.4.4 Initial unfunded pension scheme where the lump sum payment is spread over two years A public corporation transfers to the government its obligations related to pensions for its staff that the corporation has organised on its own in the form of an unfunded pension scheme. The pension obligations have an actuarial value of 1000. Government accepts to pay future pensions and in exchange receives a cash payment of 1000 spread equally over two years (year t and year t+1). Year t General government Public corporation (NFC) Capital account ΔA ΔL ΔA ΔL D.9 +1000 D.9 -1000 B.9 +1000 B.9 -1000 Financial account ΔA ΔL ΔA ΔL F.2 +500 F.2 -500 F.7 +500 F.7 +500 B.9 +1000 B.9 -1000 144 Year t+1 General government Households Financial account 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 98 LIMITE EN ΔA ΔL ΔA ΔL F.2 +500 F.2 +500 F.7 -500 F.7 -500 B.9 0 B.9 0 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 99 LIMITE EN NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Sanjiv Mahajan on 31/01/2012 at 07:12 Title: Table 29 - Differences between Dec 2010 Commission Proposal and Supplementary Table Questionnaire R R e p o n e Re esssp po on nssse e Note for the record Sarah Levy 30/01/2012 16:36 To: cc: Subject: Ismael.AHAMDANECH-ZARCO@ec.europa.eu Robert Dunn/ONS@ONS, Sanjiv Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LOND [RESTRICTED] - Re: UK supplementary table on pensions 20 Hola Isma Thank you for your response. I can see why you have taken this decision, and I don't disagree with it - but with such a major change, it really would have been helpful to email the Contact Group on Pensions about it. We will now have to revise the UK 2010 table to include it. I can see that the final version of the Technical Compilation Guide that you published on 17th January includes Row 2.5 in the table on page 33, but I can see no accompanying text explaining it or providing guidance on how to compile it. I assume that, because it was a last-minute change, you did not have time to incorporate such text. Could you email the Contact Group on Pensions alerting us all to the change and explaining what it means? I think this is important in order to avoid the risk of some EU countries doing it one way and others the other way, which would produce inconsistency. Best wishes, Sarah Levy Head of Pensions Analysis Household and Labour Market Division Office for National Statistics Cardiff Road Newport South Wales NP10 8XG Tel: 01633 455457 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 100 LIMITE EN Ismael.AHAMDANECHZARCO@ec.europa.eu To Sarah Levy/ONS@ONS 30/01/2012 15:45 cc Subject RE: [RESTRICTED] - Re: UK supplementary table on pensions 2010 Hola Sarah, yes, you are right, but then we had an internal discussion and we decided that row 2.5 should be in. The reason is what I said before. In fact, I think that it is the best solution, because these charges have to be taken into account somehow, and row 2.5 is the best place. So the charges will be included in the tables, separately in that row. Sorry for the confusion I have created. Do you agree with our approach? Un abrazo, Isma From: Sarah Levy [mailto:sarah.levy@ons.gsi.gov.uk] Sent: Monday, January 30, 2012 4:14 PM To: AHAMDANECH ZARCO Ismael (ESTAT) Subject: [RESTRICTED] - Re: UK supplementary table on pensions 2010 Thanks, Isma But we still have the problem that Row 2.5 is no longer included in the most recent versions of the table, as you agreed in November, e.g. your email of 18th November in which you said: "Hola Sarah, I have to leave now, I will call you tomorrow. You are right, we need to fix that mismatch, and I think the best option is, as you suggest, to delete row 2.5 of Annex II. Thanks for spotting that¡¡, Isma" Given that this is the case, we have assumed that the service charge should not be included in Row 2 (because Row 2 = sum of Rows 2.1 to 2.4). But the question is, are we right to assume this, or should it be included in Row 2 even if it is not shown separately? If the latter, (a) would it be included in Row 2.2 or 2.4? Or (b) would Row 2 be calculated as: Row 2.1 + Row 2.2 + Row 2.3 + Row 2.4 + service charge (not shown separately). Thank you. Sarah Levy Head of Pensions Analysis 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 101 LIMITE EN Household and Labour Market Division Office for National Statistics Cardiff Road Newport South Wales NP10 8XG Tel: 01633 455457 Ismael.AHAMDANECH-ZARCO@ec.europa.eu 30/01/2012 14:55 To Sarah Levy/ONS@ONS cc Subject RE: [RESTRICTED] - Re: UK supplementary table on pensions 2010 Hola Sarah¡¡, ya estoy contigo. Now, I switch to english. For me, row 11 is no so important since it is a memo item. The important thing for me is row 2.5. Why? Because if you want to know the change in pension entitlements, you need to have an estimation of the cost of managing the pension fund: somebody has to pay that, and these are the contributors. So, in fact, the change in entitlements is equal to contributions minus payments minus service cost (in fact, row 11 and 2.5 should be the same). You can take a look to the SNA 2008 and see that they follow the same approach (chapter 17.5). Regarding the estimation, I think you should so it as the summ of the cost: salaries of managing employees plus other costs such as rent of buildings, IT,... Please, tell me if this helps you. We can discuss even by phone if you wish. Un abrazo, Isma From: Sarah Levy [mailto:sarah.levy@ons.gsi.gov.uk] Sent: Tuesday, January 24, 2012 7:48 PM To: AHAMDANECH ZARCO Ismael (ESTAT) Subject: [RESTRICTED] - Re: UK supplementary table on pensions 2010 Hola Isma We are planning to publish our first UK Supplementary Table on Pensions, for the year 2010, on 27 April 2012. This is the table that I sent you on 21 December in the workbook "Pensions Questionnaire_2011_UK". The table will be accompanied by an article explaining how we have arrived at the estimates. As I will be writing this article in the next few weeks, I would be grateful if you could send me any comments you may have on the table. In particular, please could you respond to my queries under Question 8 of the 'Questions' spreadsheet in the "Pensions Questionnaire_2011_UK" workbook? Also, we are organising a seminar in London on the morning of 27 April to present and discuss the 2010 table. I will send you an invitation shortly, in case you may be interested in attending. Best wishes, 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 102 LIMITE EN Sarah Sarah Levy/ONS 21/12/2011 17:32 To Ismael.AHAMDANECH-ZARCO@ec.europa.eu cc Sanjiv Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@ONS Subject [RESTRICTED] - UK supplementary table on pensions 2010 Dear Ismael Please find attached the first experimental Supplementary Table on Pensions for the UK, for the year 2010. I also attach some accompanying documentation. We are pleased to have produced our first table by the deadline of 31 December 2011, and we would welcome any comments you may have on it. Please note that the Table and other unpublished material are marked 'RESTRICTED'. Please treat them as confidential and not for publication or circulation. Deseandote una feliz navidad y todo lo mejor para el 2012! Un abrazo, Sarah Levy Head of Pensions Analysis Household and Labour Market Division Office for National Statistics Cardiff Road Newport South Wales NP10 8XG Tel: 01633 455457 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 103 LIMITE EN NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Sanjiv Mahajan on 20/01/2012 at 09:51 Title: Meeting of the CWP on Statistics, 17 January 2012 German position on ESA2010, Annex B, Table 29 of the transmission programme "Pension schemes in social insurance" - Comments from Sarah Levy R R e p o n e T o R e p o n e Re esssp po on nssse eT To oR Re esssp po on nssse e Note for the record Sarah Levy 19/01/2012 11:59 To: cc: Subject: Alan.Napier@dwp.gsi.gov.uk Kevin.Hughes@dwp.gsi.gov.uk, Sanjiv Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/ [PROTECT] - Supplementary Table on Pensions in the Nationa Dear Alan I have tried to phone you a few times this morning, but you are not at your desk. Could you give me a call, please? I understand from my colleague Sanjiv Mahajan, who works in National Accounts international coordination, that you have received an email from the German Ministry of Economics arguing that the Supplementary Table on Pensions in the National Accounts - Table 29 in the European System of Accounts 2010 (ESA2010) should be voluntary and asking you to express an opinion. I understand that you have drafted a response, but I am not sure if you have sent it yet? I am not sure if you are aware of the UK view (which does not support the German position), and the work done so far? In brief: The project to build the Supplementary Table on Pensions has a long history, with ONS acting as the UK representative for the past five or six years (because this is part of National Accounts work). We have been working to compile the table since 2009 and DWP's Forecasting Division has been actively engaged in the work for the past year. The project sits within the broader ONS work to meet the requirements of ESA2010. The Germans are now challenging the requirement in respect of Table 29. However, the UK position is to try to meet all ESA2010 requirements unless we have a good reason for not doing so - which is not the case for the Supplementary Table on Pensions. We have already published two articles on the project and submitted our first experimental table (for 2010) to Eurostat. Following some additional quality assurance that we are doing in February-March - we are committed to publishing the 2010 results in April 2012. We expect to be the first EU country to publish the table, but we look forward to seeing results for other EU countries in due course. A key benefit of the project is to be able to compare results between countries. Making the table voluntary would reduce the likelihood of this happening. Please give me a call when you have a moment to discuss. 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 104 LIMITE EN Best wishes, Sarah Levy Head of Pensions Analysis Household and Labour Market Division Office for National Statistics Cardiff Road Newport South Wales NP10 8XG Tel: 01633 455457 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 105 LIMITE EN NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Sanjiv Mahajan on 25/01/2012 at 09:35 Title: Technical Compilation Guide for Pension Data in National Accounts Categorisation International Coordination\Pensions Note for the record Frederique.ROUARD@ ext.ec.europa.eu 20/01/2012 09:01 To: IRroji@instat.gov.al, ursula.havel@statistik.gv.at, Hans.DeDyn ueli.schiess@bfs.admin.ch, natasav@dzs.hr, solcics@dzs.hr, gsarris@cystat.mof.gov.cy, ondrus@ mariagnese.branchi@ecb.int, Werner.Roeger@ec.europa.eu, tonu.mertsina@stat.ee, anapat@sta sgalmes@bde.es, eeva.hamunen@stat.fi, lotta.sjoblom@stat.fi, paula.koistinen-jokiniemi@stat.fi, j michael.c.brennan@cso.ie, paddy.mcdonald@cso.ie, Stefan.Jansen@hagstofa.is, anbaldas@istat xhevriefetahu@hotmail.com, edina.kozic@bhas.ba, Gabija.Ramsaite@stat.gov.lt, john.haas@state joseph.p.vella@gov.mt, vanessa.dimech@gov.mt, e.veldhuizen@cbs.nl, mpoe@cbs.nl, kns@ssb.n draganp@stat.gov.rs, pedro.oliveira@ine.pt, alina.predescu@insse.ro, Martin.Daniels@scb.se, ma mojca.skrlec@gov.si, Frantisek.Bernadic@statistics.sk, anders.nordin@sogeti.lu, GULSER.DEMIR tihomira.dimova@unece.org cc: Gallo.Gueye@ec.europa.eu, Silke.STAPEL@ec.europa.eu, Je Leonidas.AKRITIDIS@ec.europa.eu, Kristine.VASARIETE@ec.europa.eu, Crina.CHEREJI@ec.eu Subject: Technical Compilation Guide for Pension Data in National Acco Dear Members of the NAWG , For your information, the European Commission (Eurostat) and the ECB have released the Technical Compilation Guide for Pension Data in National Accounts. The Guide, produced by the two institutions, is a handbook for compilers and users of data on pension schemes in social insurance. It aims at supporting National Statistical Institutes, Central banks and other compilers within the European Union, to derive position and flow data for pension entitlements. The guide is also a useful tool to help users to understand the data. The "Technical Compilation Guide for Pension Data in National Accounts" is available on: http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/portal/page/portal/product_details/publication?p_product_code =KS-RA-11-027 Best wishes Ms Frédérique ROUARD European Commission National Accounts methodology, Sector accounts, Financial indicators EUROSTAT C1 BECH Building E2/826 5, rue Alphonse Weicker - L2721 Luxembourg Tel: (+352) 4301-31962 Fax: (+352) 4301-33029 E-mail:Frederique.ROUARD@ext.ec.europa.eu 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 106 LIMITE EN NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Sanjiv Mahajan on 24/01/2012 at 20:33 Title: Meeting of the CWP on Statistics, 17 January 2012 German position on ESA2010, Annex B, Table 29 of the transmission programme "Pension schemes in social insurance". R R e p o n e T o R e p o n e Re esssp po on nssse eT To oR Re esssp po on nssse e Note for the record Sanjiv Mahajan 24/01/2012 12:44 To: cc: Subject: Sarah Levy/ONS@ONS [PROTECT] - Re: Fw: Supplementary Table on Pensions in th Dear Sarah, Thanks - hits the right tone. Sanjiv Sarah Levy 24/01/2012 11:31 To: LINDSEY.LEWIS@DWP.GSI.GOV.UK, JOHN.MC Miriam.Bennett-Houlton@fco.gsi.gov.uk, Will.Garton@fco.gsi.gov.uk, Christopher.Ho Alessandro.Hillman@fco.gsi.gov.uk, Liz.Tillett@dwp.gsi.gov.uk, Frank.Carson@hmtr Bridget.Micklem@hmtreasury.gsi.gov.uk, Julian.Brown@hmtreasury.gsi.gov.uk cc: KEVIN.HUGHES@DWP.GSI.GOV.UK, Alan.Nap Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@ONS, Ole Black/EEPD/BSG/NEWPORT/ON Subject: [PROTECT] - Fw: Supplementary Table on Pensi Dear colleagues 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 107 LIMITE EN I am sending you - for your information - an email that I sent to Alan Napier last week clarifying our position on European System of Accounts Table 29 (pension schemes in social insurance). When I emailed Alan I did not have the full list of people involved, so apologies for the delay in cc'ing you. If you have any questions or wish to discuss, please get in touch. Regards, Sarah Levy Head of Pensions Analysis Household and Labour Market Division Office for National Statistics Cardiff Road Newport South Wales NP10 8XG Tel: 01633 455457 ----- Forwarded by Sarah Levy/ONS on 24/01/2012 11:16 ----Sarah Levy/ONS 19/01/2012 11:59 To Alan.Napier@dwp.gsi.gov.uk cc Kevin.Hughes@dwp.gsi.gov.uk, Sanjiv Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@ONS Subject [PROTECT] - Supplementary Table on Pensions in the National Accounts Dear Alan I have tried to phone you a few times this morning, but you are not at your desk. Could you give me a call, please? I understand from my colleague Sanjiv Mahajan, who works in National Accounts international coordination, that you have received an email from the German Ministry of Economics arguing that the Supplementary Table on Pensions in the National Accounts - Table 29 in the European System of Accounts 2010 (ESA2010) should be voluntary and asking you to express an opinion. I understand that you have drafted a response, but I am not sure if you have sent it yet? I am not sure if you are aware of the UK view (which does not support the German position), and the work done so far? In brief: The project to build the Supplementary Table on Pensions has a long history, with ONS acting as the UK representative for the past five or six years (because this is part of National Accounts work). We have been working to compile the table since 2009 and DWP's Forecasting Division has been actively engaged in the work for the past year. The project sits within the broader ONS work to meet the requirements of ESA2010. The Germans are now challenging the requirement in respect of Table 29. However, the UK position is to try to meet all ESA2010 requirements unless we have a good reason for not doing so - which is not the case for the Supplementary Table on Pensions. We have already published two articles on the project and submitted our first experimental table (for 2010) to Eurostat. Following some additional quality assurance that we are doing in February-March - we are committed to publishing the 2010 results in April 2012. We expect to be the first EU country to publish the table, but we look forward to seeing results for other EU countries in due course. A key benefit of the project is to be able to compare results between countries. Making the table voluntary would reduce the likelihood of this happening. Please give me a call when you have a moment to discuss. Best wishes, 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 108 LIMITE EN Sarah Levy Head of Pensions Analysis Household and Labour Market Division Office for National Statistics Cardiff Road Newport South Wales NP10 8XG Tel: 01633 455457 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 109 LIMITE EN NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Sanjiv Mahajan on 20/01/2012 at 09:46 Title: Meeting of the CWP on Statistics, 17 January 2012 German position on ESA2010, Annex B, Table 29 of the transmission programme "Pension schemes in social insurance". R R e p o n e Re esssp po on nssse e Note for the record Sanjiv Mahajan 20/01/2012 08:24 To: Matthew Shearing/ONS@ONS cc: Subject: Re: Fw: Urgent: Pension schemes in social insurance - Proble And Regional AccountsNotes Link Dear Matthew, I have spoken to, and agreed, that Sarah Levy will follow up the detail with DWP staff direct via her channels. Our approach remains unchanged - the DWP comments are reflecting possibly they think the work is for them and not reflecting ONS are in the lead and the impact on them is limited and handled through the Pensions Group we have in place to produce the Suplementary Table. We have completed much of the work and will be publishing in April 2012. Hope this helps. Sanjiv Matthew Shearing 18/01/2012 13:38 To: Sanjiv Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@O cc: ALAN.NAPIER@DWP.GSI.GOV.UK Subject: Fw: Urgent: Pension schemes in social insurance Problem in view of the proposal for a Regulation on the European System Of Nationa Regional Accounts Sanjiv, grateful if you could respond please, copying those included below. Thanks Matthew Shearing | Head of International Relations | National Statistician's Office | UK Statistics Authority | Tel: +44 (0)1633 455739 Mob: +44 (0)7801 522812 | Email:matthew.shearing@statistics.gsi.gov.uk | www.statisticsauthority.gov.uk/national-statistician/index.html ----- Forwarded by Matthew Shearing/ONS on 18/01/2012 13:37 ----- 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 110 LIMITE EN ALAN.NAPIER@DWP.GSI.G OV.UK 18/01/2012 13:21 To Matthew Shearing/ONS@ONS cc LINDSEY.LEWIS@DWP.GSI.GOV.UK, JOHN.MCCALLION1@DWP.GSI.GOV.UK, KEVIN.HUGHES@DWP.GSI.GOV.UK, MARIA.MEYER@DWP.GSI.GOV.UK, VICTORIA.WEBB1@DWP.GSI.GOV.UK Subject RE: FW: Urgent: Pension schemes in social insurance Problem in view of the proposal for a Regulation on the European System Of National And Regional Accounts Matthew Sorry to come at you as a "copy recipient", but can I confirm that we would prefer the table to be dropped altogether? I'm acutely conscious that we would need to rely on schemes themselves to provide the information and its collection would be a considerable burden - and well beyond anything we would need for domestic regulatory purposes. Alan Napier | EU & International Team | Pensions Protection & Stewardship Division | Department for Work & Pensions | 7th Floor | Caxton House |Tothill Street | LONDON | UK | SW1H 9NA | Tel: (+44(0)2074497386 (ext.64386))|Email:alan.napier@dwp.gsi.gov.uk Consider the environment - please. -----Original Message----From: Matthew Shearing [mailto:matthew.shearing@statistics.gsi.gov.uk] Sent: 13 January 2012 19:00 To: Lewis Lindsey STRATEGY INTERNATIONAL Cc: Napier Alan PENSIONS PRIVATE; International; Hughes Kevin PENSIONS PRIVATE; Miriam.Bennett-Houlton@fco.gsi.gov.uk; Will.Garton@fco.gsi.gov.uk; Sanjiv Mahajan Subject: Re: FW: Urgent: Pension schemes in social insurance - Problem in view of the proposal for a Regulation on the European System Of National And Regional Accounts Hi Lindsey, Thanks for that. My reply to Miriam earlier was as follows: "Having spoken to our national accounts expert, the UK can in part support the German proposal in respect of the revision to ESA not establishing an obligation to report these data. But we will need to discuss with our German colleagues the stipulation that it be left to Member States to include these figures in the framework of their national accounts. We are concerned that this may lead to figures that may not be comparable being released as European statistics, especially with only a partial coverage of Member States reflecting the different stages of statistical developments in this domain. The goal for any European statistics is to ensure that figures should be released when they are comparable and with as full coverage as possible between MS. I am positive on the possibilities that we can discuss this with our German colleagues with a mutually beneficial outcome for both UK and Germany. We will begin this process on Monday. " So, we will consider the issues before supporting the German initiative to not have the requirement obligatory, but in fact we will not be seeking to push it any further than the German's. 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 111 LIMITE EN Regards, Matthew Matthew Shearing | Head of International Relations | National Statistician's Office | UK Statistics Authority | Tel: +44 (0)1633 455739 Mob: +44 (0)7801 522812 | Email:matthew.shearing@statistics.gsi.gov.uk | www.statisticsauthority.gov.uk/nationalstatistician/index.html LINDSEY.LEWIS@DWP.G SI.GOV.UK 13/01/2012 17:28 To Matthew Shearing/ONS@ONS cc International@ONS, ALAN.NAPIER@DWP.GSI.GOV.UK, KEVIN.HUGHES@DWP.GSI.GOV.UK, Miriam.Bennett-Houlton@fco.gsi.gov.uk, Will.Garton@fco.gsi.gov.uk Subj FW: Urgent: Pension schemes in social insurance - Problem in view of the proposal for a Regulation ect on the European System Of National And Regional Accounts Hello Matthew, We were asked for our view on pension schemes within European level national accounts by UKRep - see email chain below. We are concerned that we will not be able to comply with the requirement, and that this will incur cost on both us and business. Kind Regards, Lindsey Lindsey Lewis International Unit Department for Work and Pensions Tel. +44 (0)20 73404028 (ext. 23028) mailto:lindsey.lewis@dwp.gsi.gov.uk ______________________________________________ From: Lewis Lindsey STRATEGY INTERNATIONAL Sent: 13 January 2012 16:13 To: 'Miriam.Bennett-Houlton@fco.gsi.gov.uk'; 'Will.Garton@fco.gsi.gov.uk' Cc: Napier Alan PENSIONS PRIVATE; Mccallion John STRATEGY PRIVATE PENSIONS; 'Frank.Carson@hmtreasury.gsi.gov.uk'; 'Bridget.Micklem@hmtreasury.gsi.gov.uk'; 'Julian.Brown@hmtreasury.gsi.gov.uk'; Tillett Liz STRATEGY INTERNATIONAL; 'Christopher.Hobley@fco.gsi.gov.uk'; 'Alessandro.Hillman@fco.gsi.gov.uk'; Hughes Kevin PENSIONS PRIVATE Subject: RE: Urgent: Pension schemes in social insurance - Problem in view of the proposal for a Regulation on the European System Of National And Regional Accounts Hello Miriam, 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 112 LIMITE EN I've asked our analysts to look at the table and they confirm that this would be very difficult for the UK to comply with and would represent a significant additional data collection burden for us. (Some parts are probably not possible for us to collect). So we should definitely support the German proposal to make this a voluntary requirement on this basis, alongside the principle that we should avoid placing additional reporting burdens on Member States except where absolutely necessary. Will - is there a UK National Statistics Authority official who leads on this overall? If so, would you be able to make sure that he/she is in the loop on this issue? Many thanks. Kind Regards, Lindsey Lindsey Lewis International Unit Department for Work and Pensions Tel. +44 (0)20 73404028 (ext. 23028) mailto:lindsey.lewis@dwp.gsi.gov.uk -----Original Message----From: mailto:Miriam.Bennett-Houlton@fco.gsi.gov.uk] Sent: 13 January 2012 10:12 To: Napier Alan PENSIONS PRIVATE; Mccallion John STRATEGY PRIVATE PENSIONS; Frank.Carson@hmtreasury.gsi.gov.uk; Bridget.Micklem@hmtreasury.gsi.gov.uk; Julian.Brown@hmtreasury.gsi.gov.uk; Tillett Liz STRATEGY INTERNATIONAL Cc: Christopher.Hobley@fco.gsi.gov.uk; Alessandro.Hillman@fco.gsi.gov.uk; Will.Garton@fco.gsi.gov.uk Subject: FW: Urgent: Pension schemes in social insurance - Problem in view of the proposal for a Regulation on the European System Of National And Regional Accounts Dear all, Please see the below request for support from my German oppo on pensions. London, please could you advise whether we can support this? Copied to Will Garton, who attends the Statistics working group. Miriam -----Original Message----From: .BRUEEU SOZ-2 Barth, Bruno [mailto:soz-2-eu@brue.auswaertiges-amt.de] Sent: 12 January 2012 17:57 Subject: Urgent: Pension schemes in social insurance - Problem in view of the proposal for a Regulation on the European System Of National And Regional Accounts Dear colleagues, May I draw your attention to a serious problem we have with the attached proposal for a Regulation on the European System of National and Regional Accounts currently discussed in the Working 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 113 LIMITE EN Party on Statistics. The next and probably final meeting of the Working Party is scheduled for 17 January. The problem concerns the pension schemes in social insurance. The Regulation stipulates the binding requirement for Member States to deliver table 29 of Annex B "pension schemes in social insurance". Germany is against the binding requirement. Instead, we propose to make the delivery of table 29 VOLUNTARY. I attach our written opinion on table 29 which substantiates our reservation and proposes to make the delivery of table 29 voluntary. It would be extremely helpful for us, if your delegations could approach your Ministries responsible for Pension Insurance to support the German position and to organise as much support as possible. The German Ministry of Labour and Social Affairs is not responsible for the Regulation but for Pension Insurance so that you might have to contact your Ministry responsible for the Working Party on Statistics. Thank you very much for your support. Kind regards Bruno Bruno Barth Social Affairs Counsellor Permanent Representation of Germany to the EU Rue Jacques de Lalaing 8-14 B-1040 Brussels Tel: +32(0)2 787 1322 Mobil: +32(0)473 737208 Fax: +32(0)2 787 2322 E-Mail: bruno.barth@diplo.de *********************************************************************************** Visit http://www.fco.gov.uk for British foreign policy news and travel advice and http://blogs.fco.gov.uk to read our blogs. This email (with any attachments) is intended for the attention of the addressee(s) only. If you are not the intended recipient, please inform the sender straight away before deleting the message without copying, distributing or disclosing its contents to any other person or organisation. Unauthorised use, disclosure, storage or copying is not permitted. Any views or opinions expressed in this e-mail do not necessarily reflect the FCO's policy. The FCO keeps and uses information in line with the Data Protection Act 1998. Personal information may be released to other UK government departments and public authorities. All messages sent and received by members of the Foreign & Commonwealth Office and its missions overseas may be automatically logged, monitored and/or recorded in accordance with the Telecommunications (Lawful Business Practice) (Interception of Communications) Regulations 2000. *********************************************************************************** << File: German opinion on Annex B Table 29 Pension schemes in social insurance - WorkingGroup Statistics.doc >> << File: Document in all languages.htm >> << File: Annex B english text.pdf >> << File: Proposal of the regulation english version.pdf >> 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 114 LIMITE EN NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Sanjiv Mahajan on 15/01/2012 at 13:51 Title: Meeting of the CWP on Statistics, 17 January 2012 German position on ESA2010, Annex B, Table 29 of the transmission programme "Pension schemes in social insurance". R R e p o n e T o R e p o n e Re esssp po on nssse eT To oR Re esssp po on nssse e Note for the record Matthew Shearing 13/01/2012 19:00 To: LINDSEY.LEWIS@DWP.GSI.GOV.UK cc: ALAN.NAPIER@DWP.GSI.GOV.UK, International@ONS, KEV Will.Garton@fco.gsi.gov.uk, Sanjiv Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@ONS Subject: Re: FW: Urgent: Pension schemes in social insurance - Proble And Regional AccountsNotes Link Hi Lindsey, Thanks for that. My reply to Miriam earlier was as follows: "Having spoken to our national accounts expert, the UK can in part support the German proposal in respect of the revision to ESA not establishing an obligation to report these data. But we will need to discuss with our German colleagues the stipulation that it be left to Member States to include these figures in the framework of their national accounts. We are concerned that this may lead to figures that may not be comparable being released as European statistics, especially with only a partial coverage of Member States reflecting the different stages of statistical developments in this domain. The goal for any European statistics is to ensure that figures should be released when they are comparable and with as full coverage as possible between MS. I am positive on the possibilities that we can discuss this with our German colleagues with a mutually beneficial outcome for both UK and Germany. We will begin this process on Monday. " So, we will be supporting the German initiative to not have the requirement obligatory, but in fact we will be seeking to push it a bit further. Regards, Matthew Matthew Shearing | Head of International Relations | National Statistician's Office | UK Statistics Authority | Tel: +44 (0)1633 455739 Mob: +44 (0)7801 522812 | Email:matthew.shearing@statistics.gsi.gov.uk | www.statisticsauthority.gov.uk/national-statistician/index.html 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 115 LIMITE EN LINDSEY.LEWIS@DWP.GSI. GOV.UK 13/01/2012 17:28 To Matthew Shearing/ONS@ONS cc International@ONS, ALAN.NAPIER@DWP.GSI.GOV.UK, KEVIN.HUGHES@DWP.GSI.GOV.UK, Miriam.BennettHoulton@fco.gsi.gov.uk, Will.Garton@fco.gsi.gov.uk Subject FW: Urgent: Pension schemes in social insurance - Problem in view of the proposal for a Regulation on the European System Of National And Regional Accounts Hello Matthew, We were asked for our view on pension schemes within European level national accounts by UKRep - see email chain below. We are concerned that we will not be able to comply with the requirement, and that this will incur cost on both us and business. Kind Regards, Lindsey Lindsey Lewis International Unit Department for Work and Pensions Tel. +44 (0)20 73404028 (ext. 23028) mailto:lindsey.lewis@dwp.gsi.gov.uk ______________________________________________ From: Lewis Lindsey STRATEGY INTERNATIONAL Sent: 13 January 2012 16:13 To: 'Miriam.Bennett-Houlton@fco.gsi.gov.uk'; 'Will.Garton@fco.gsi.gov.uk' Cc: Napier Alan PENSIONS PRIVATE; Mccallion John STRATEGY PRIVATE PENSIONS; 'Frank.Carson@hmtreasury.gsi.gov.uk'; 'Bridget.Micklem@hmtreasury.gsi.gov.uk'; 'Julian.Brown@hmtreasury.gsi.gov.uk'; Tillett Liz STRATEGY INTERNATIONAL; 'Christopher.Hobley@fco.gsi.gov.uk'; 'Alessandro.Hillman@fco.gsi.gov.uk'; Hughes Kevin PENSIONS PRIVATE Subject: RE: Urgent: Pension schemes in social insurance - Problem in view of the proposal for a Regulation on the European System Of National And Regional Accounts Hello Miriam, I've asked our analysts to look at the table and they confirm that this would be very difficult for the UK to comply with and would represent a significant additional data collection burden for us. (Some parts are probably not possible for us to collect). So we should definitely support the German proposal to make this a voluntary requirement on this basis, alongside the principle that we should avoid placing additional reporting burdens on Member States except where absolutely necessary. 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 116 LIMITE EN Will - is there a UK National Statistics Authority official who leads on this overall? If so, would you be able to make sure that he/she is in the loop on this issue? Many thanks. Kind Regards, Lindsey Lindsey Lewis International Unit Department for Work and Pensions Tel. +44 (0)20 73404028 (ext. 23028) mailto:lindsey.lewis@dwp.gsi.gov.uk -----Original Message----From: mailto:Miriam.Bennett-Houlton@fco.gsi.gov.uk] Sent: 13 January 2012 10:12 To: Napier Alan PENSIONS PRIVATE; Mccallion John STRATEGY PRIVATE PENSIONS; Frank.Carson@hmtreasury.gsi.gov.uk; Bridget.Micklem@hmtreasury.gsi.gov.uk; Julian.Brown@hmtreasury.gsi.gov.uk; Tillett Liz STRATEGY INTERNATIONAL Cc: Christopher.Hobley@fco.gsi.gov.uk; Alessandro.Hillman@fco.gsi.gov.uk; Will.Garton@fco.gsi.gov.uk Subject: FW: Urgent: Pension schemes in social insurance - Problem in view of the proposal for a Regulation on the European System Of National And Regional Accounts Dear all, Please see the below request for support from my German oppo on pensions. London, please could you advise whether we can support this? Copied to Will Garton, who attends the Statistics working group. Miriam -----Original Message----From: .BRUEEU SOZ-2 Barth, Bruno [mailto:soz-2-eu@brue.auswaertiges-amt.de] Sent: 12 January 2012 17:57 Subject: Urgent: Pension schemes in social insurance - Problem in view of the proposal for a Regulation on the European System Of National And Regional Accounts Dear colleagues, May I draw your attention to a serious problem we have with the attached proposal for a Regulation on the European System of National and Regional Accounts currently discussed in the Working Party on Statistics. The next and probably final meeting of the Working Party is scheduled for 17 January. 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 117 LIMITE EN The problem concerns the pension schemes in social insurance. The Regulation stipulates the binding requirement for Member States to deliver table 29 of Annex B "pension schemes in social insurance". Germany is against the binding requirement. Instead, we propose to make the delivery of table 29 VOLUNTARY. I attach our written opinion on table 29 which substantiates our reservation and proposes to make the delivery of table 29 voluntary. It would be extremely helpful for us, if your delegations could approach your Ministries responsible for Pension Insurance to support the German position and to organise as much support as possible. The German Ministry of Labour and Social Affairs is not responsible for the Regulation but for Pension Insurance so that you might have to contact your Ministry responsible for the Working Party on Statistics. Thank you very much for your support. Kind regards Bruno Bruno Barth Social Affairs Counsellor Permanent Representation of Germany to the EU Rue Jacques de Lalaing 8-14 B-1040 Brussels Tel: +32(0)2 787 1322 Mobil: +32(0)473 737208 Fax: +32(0)2 787 2322 E-Mail: bruno.barth@diplo.de *********************************************************************************** Visit http://www.fco.gov.uk for British foreign policy news and travel advice and http://blogs.fco.gov.uk to read our blogs. This email (with any attachments) is intended for the attention of the addressee(s) only. If you are not the intended recipient, please inform the sender straight away before deleting the message without copying, distributing or disclosing its contents to any other person or organisation. Unauthorised use, disclosure, storage or copying is not permitted. Any views or opinions expressed in this e-mail do not necessarily reflect the FCO's policy. The FCO keeps and uses information in line with the Data Protection Act 1998. Personal information may be released to other UK government departments and public authorities. All messages sent and received by members of the Foreign & Commonwealth Office and its missions overseas may be automatically logged, monitored and/or recorded in accordance with the Telecommunications (Lawful Business Practice) (Interception of Communications) Regulations 2000. *********************************************************************************** << File: German opinion on Annex B Table 29 Pension schemes in social insurance - WorkingGroup Statistics.doc >> << File: Document in all languages.htm >> << File: Annex B english text.pdf >> << File: Proposal of the regulation english version.pdf >> 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 118 LIMITE EN NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Sanjiv Mahajan on 12/01/2011 at 13:32 Title: Inflation and discount rates in National Accounts Pensions Supplementary Table Categorisation International Coordination\Pensions Note for the record Sarah Levy 11/01/2011 11:59 To: SHAUN.BUTCHER@DWP.GSI.GOV.UK, PENNY.SINCLAIR@ ANTHONY.HARRIS1@DWP.GSI.GOV.UK, ARUMUGAM.NAGENDRAM@DWP.GSI.GOV.UK, Gul Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@ONS, David Hobbs/OFD/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS@ONS, Ch cc: Subject: [UNCLASSIFIED] - Re: Inflation and discount rates in National Dear colleagues I am trying to resolve the issue of how to record the change from the RPI to the CPI in the pensions supplementary table (see my email to you of 17 December). We seem to have ended up with some different views. I don't think there is a 'right answer' but we do need to decide which approach to follow in order to be consistent - so I am setting out the choices and my preferred solution below. I would be grateful if you could let me know if you object to this solution, bearing in mind that there is no ideal way to resolve this. 1. Michael Scanlon of GAD has set out two ways in which the change from RPI to CPI for public service pension indexation could be treated, arguing that method (1) - using the same real discount rate implies a change in the nominal discount rate which should be reflected in row 8 of the supplementary table, while method (2) - using the same nominal discount rate - implies a change in the real discount rate, which would not appear anywhere in the table. For details, see note attached to my email of 17 December, which is re-attached below. 2. Ismael Ahamdanech-Zarco of Eurostat's reaction to GAD's note was that the first approach using the real discount rate is better because with the second approach we are "missing something", i.e there is an implied change in the real discount rate which is not recorded anywhere in the table. 3. Shaun Butcher, DWP Forecasting Division, argued that changes to the assumed rate of increase of pensions due to the change from RPI to CPI should not have any impact on the discount rate, nominal or real. Discount rates reflect things like governments' long-term borrowing costs, while differences between real and nominal are linked to GDP deflators (not RPI or CPI). By contrast, the change from RPI to CPI is relevant for decisions about uprating of pensions (future pension increases). My view is that Shaun's solution is the one that is most compatible with the aims of the pensions supplementary table, including the aim of using stable long-term discount rates which reflect things like social time preference rates, long-term borrowing costs and GDP deflators across Europe. Also, this solution is the least likely to cause problems of inconsistency with other EU countries, as the guidance asks us to use either 3% real or 5% nominal discount rates and does not envisage any changes in these owing to country-specific changes in inflation (or, for that matter, inflation indices). Ismael said in his reply that he did not wish to amend the guidance, so if we were to adopt either of Michael’s suggested approaches (which impact on either the 3% real or 5% nominal discount rate) we would risk not being comparable with other EU countries. 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 119 LIMITE EN Therefore, unless anyone has strong objections, I suggest that we adopt this approach, which means that the change from RPI to CPI would appear in the supplementary table as movements a, b, c and d outlined in GAD's note, and there would be a fall in pension entitlements between the start and end of the year in which the change from RPI to CPI takes place. Please let me know your views, and also if I have missed or misunderstood anything. Best wishes, Sarah Levy Head of Pensions Analysis Household and Labour Market Division Office for National Statistics Cardiff Road Newport South Wales NP10 8XG Tel: 01633 455457 If pension statistics are important to your work, please respond to our Work Programme Consultation at www.ons.gov.uk/about/consultations/work-programme-consultation/index.html 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 120 LIMITE EN Treatment of change from RPI to CPI In June 2010, the Government announced that public service pension indexation would be in line with CPI rather than RPI from April 2011. It will be necessary to take account of this announcement in the Supplementary table on pension schemes in social insurance. This note illustrates two different ways in which this announcement could be treated, as follows: • Using the same real discount rate before and after the announcement • Using the same nominal discount rate before and after the announcement Each illustration covers the year in which this announcement is recognised in the Supplementary table. They set out the financial assumptions at the start and end of the year and discuss the impact on the rows of the Supplementary table. Illustration 1: Same real discount rate At start year At end year The following table illustrates possible financial assumptions using the same real discount rate in excess of increases in pensions at the start year and end year. Financial assumption Nominal discount rate Assumed rate of increase of RPI Assumed rate of increase of CPI Assumed rate of increase of pensions1 Discount rate in excess of increases in pensions2 5¾% 2¾% 5% 2¾% 2% 2% 2¾% 2% 3% 3% 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 121 LIMITE EN NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Sanjiv Mahajan on 12/01/2011 at 13:32 Title: Inflation and discount rates in National Accounts Pensions Supplementary Table Categorisation International Coordination\Pensions Note for the record Sarah Levy 11/01/2011 11:59 To: SHAUN.BUTCHER@DWP.GSI.GOV.UK, PENNY.SINCLAIR@ ANTHONY.HARRIS1@DWP.GSI.GOV.UK, ARUMUGAM.NAGENDRAM@DWP.GSI.GOV.UK, Gul Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@ONS, David Hobbs/OFD/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS@ONS, Ch cc: Subject: [UNCLASSIFIED] - Re: Inflation and discount rates in National Dear colleagues I am trying to resolve the issue of how to record the change from the RPI to the CPI in the pensions supplementary table (see my email to you of 17 December). We seem to have ended up with some different views. I don't think there is a 'right answer' but we do need to decide which approach to follow in order to be consistent - so I am setting out the choices and my preferred solution below. I would be grateful if you could let me know if you object to this solution, bearing in mind that there is no ideal way to resolve this. 1. Michael Scanlon of GAD has set out two ways in which the change from RPI to CPI for public service pension indexation could be treated, arguing that method (1) - using the same real discount rate implies a change in the nominal discount rate which should be reflected in row 8 of the supplementary table, while method (2) - using the same nominal discount rate - implies a change in the real discount rate, which would not appear anywhere in the table. For details, see note attached to my email of 17 December, which is re-attached below. 2. Ismael Ahamdanech-Zarco of Eurostat's reaction to GAD's note was that the first approach using the real discount rate is better because with the second approach we are "missing something", i.e there is an implied change in the real discount rate which is not recorded anywhere in the table. 3. Shaun Butcher, DWP Forecasting Division, argued that changes to the assumed rate of increase of pensions due to the change from RPI to CPI should not have any impact on the discount rate, nominal or real. Discount rates reflect things like governments' long-term borrowing costs, while differences between real and nominal are linked to GDP deflators (not RPI or CPI). By contrast, the change from RPI to CPI is relevant for decisions about uprating of pensions (future pension increases). My view is that Shaun's solution is the one that is most compatible with the aims of the pensions supplementary table, including the aim of using stable long-term discount rates which reflect things like social time preference rates, long-term borrowing costs and GDP deflators across Europe. Also, this solution is the least likely to cause problems of inconsistency with other EU countries, as the guidance asks us to use either 3% real or 5% nominal discount rates and does not envisage any changes in these owing to country-specific changes in inflation (or, for that matter, inflation indices). Ismael said in his reply that he did not wish to amend the guidance, so if we were to adopt either of Michael’s suggested 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 122 LIMITE EN approaches (which impact on either the 3% real or 5% nominal discount rate) we would risk not being comparable with other EU countries. Therefore, unless anyone has strong objections, I suggest that we adopt this approach, which means that the change from RPI to CPI would appear in the supplementary table as movements a, b, c and d outlined in GAD's note, and there would be a fall in pension entitlements between the start and end of the year in which the change from RPI to CPI takes place. Please let me know your views, and also if I have missed or misunderstood anything. Best wishes, Sarah Levy Head of Pensions Analysis Household and Labour Market Division Office for National Statistics Cardiff Road Newport South Wales NP10 8XG Tel: 01633 455457 If pension statistics are important to your work, please respond to our Work Programme Consultation at www.ons.gov.uk/about/consultations/work-programme-consultation/index.html 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 123 LIMITE EN NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Sanjiv Mahajan on 19/12/2010 at 16:30 Title: Inflation and discount rates - request for advice Categorisation International Coordination\Pensions Note for the record Sarah Levy 17/12/2010 17:21 To: cc: Subject: Ismael.AHAMDANECH-ZARCO@ec.europa.eu Sanjiv Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@ONS [UNCLASSIFIED] - Re: Inflation and discount rates - request fo Dear Ismael We are making good progress on Columns G and H of the Pensions Supplementary Table, but we have come upon the following difficulty about which I need to ask your advice. It relates to inflation and discount rates. Your guidance says that we can use either a 3% real discount rate or a 5% nominal discount rate for the estimates in the Supplementary Table, as these would give virtually the same result. However, the UK government recently announced that from April 2011 the inflation index used to calculate public sector pensions would change from the Retail Price Index (RPI) to the Consumer Price Index (CPI). Historically, the CPI has been lower than the RPI. This means that pension liabilities will be recalculated by scheme actuaries to reflect a change in the rate of pension increases. We have been trying to work out where this change would appear in the Supplementary Table. In doing so, we have realised that when the inflation assumption changes we cannot assume that both methods (3% real discount rate and 5% nominal discount rate) give the same result. In fact, this assumption only applies if there are no major changes in inflation assumptions. As the attached note demonstrates, we have two alternatives for the Supplementary Table in 2011: I. We use the 3% real discount rate assumption, in which case the result of the change from RPI to CPI is cancelled out in Rows 7/8 and liabilities remain the same at the end of the year as at the start of the year (other things being equal). OR II. We use the 5% nominal discount rate assumption, in which case the result of the change from RPI to CPI is a fall in pension liabilities between the start of the year and the end of the year, which is reflected in a decrease in row 7/8 of the table. The attached note, which has been written for us by a colleague at the Government Actuary's Department (GAD), sets out the issues in more detail. We would like your advice on what to do. Would you prefer us to use one method or the other? 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 124 LIMITE EN I think it would also be important to clarify this issue in the Technical Compilation Guide, as other countries may face similar problems when there is a significant change in inflation assumptions and it would be important to have a consistent approach across the EU. Wishing you a good holiday and a Happy New Year, Sarah Levy Head of Pensions Analysis Household and Labour Market Division Office for National Statistics Cardiff Road Newport South Wales NP10 8XG Tel: 01633 455457 If pension statistics are important to your work, please respond to our Work Programme Consultation at www.ons.gov.uk/about/consultations/work-programme-consultation/index.html 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 125 LIMITE EN NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Sanjiv Mahajan on 20/10/2010 at 14:30 Title: Pensions Supplementary Table Categorisation International Coordination\Pensions Note for the record Sarah Levy 18/10/2010 18:07 To: cc: Subject: Ismael.AHAMDANECH-ZARCO@ec.europa.eu Peter.Parlasca@ec.europa.eu, Sanjiv Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/L RE: Pensions Supplementary TableNotes Link Hola Ismael Thank you for sending me the draft of the Technical compilation guide on pensions data. I have read Chapters 1-5 so far, and I have found them very helpful. I am attaching a list of my specific comments. One general comment: I am pleased to see the new guidance on the discount rate in Chapter 5, which responds to the concerns expressed by ourselves and others. The other sections covering modelling assumptions are also useful, and I look forward to further discussion of the details at the workshop in November. Un abrazo, Sarah Levy Head of Pensions Analysis Household and Labour Market Division Office for National Statistics Cardiff Road Newport South Wales NP10 8XG Direct line : 01633 455457 Main switchboard: 0845 601 3034 www.statistics.gov.uk/pensiontrends/ Ismael.AHAMDANECHZARCO@ec.europa.eu 08/10/2010 14:42 To: cc: Subject: Sarah Levy/ONS@ONS Peter.Parlasca@ec.europa.eu RE: Pensions Supplementary Table Hola Sarah, 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 126 LIMITE EN Indeed it´s a good idea. I´m sending you the draft, but please take into account that it is a draft and that some mistakes (not serious anyway) can remain yet. On the other hand, please, if possible, send me any possible comments by 18th of October. Do not hesitate to contact me if you need any other thing. Buen fin de semana, Isma -----Original Message----From: Sarah Levy [mailto:sarah.levy@ons.gsi.gov.uk] Sent: Friday, October 08, 2010 1:02 PM To: AHAMDANECH ZARCO Ismael (ESTAT) Subject: RE: Pensions Supplementary Table Thanks, Ismael We are pushing ahead now with developing estimates for the UK's Supplementary Table, and it would be very useful to have some extra guidance at this point. I know that Peter is going to present the draft pensions compilation guide on 9/10th November, but I wonder if you have an early draft that you could send me now? This might help to clarify some of the questions we have, so that we do things right and do not have to make expensive corrections later. It might also help you and Peter in developing the compilation guide, because if it does not answer our questions, we could feed this information back to you for inclusion in the guide. Thank you again, Sarah Levy Head of Pensions Analysis Household and Labour Market Division Office for National Statistics Cardiff Road Newport South Wales NP10 8XG Direct line : 01633 455457 Main switchboard: 0845 601 3034 www.statistics.gov.uk/pensiontrends/ Ismael.AHAMDANECH-ZARCO@e c.europa.eu To: Sarah 08/10/2010 09:21 cc: Subject: RE: Pensions Levy/ONS@ONS Supplementary Table Hi Sarah, Yes it´s me. Peter Parlasca is the head of the team, but I´m the responsible for this isue. 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 127 LIMITE EN Best, isma -----Original Message----From: Sarah Levy [mailto:sarah.levy@ons.gsi.gov.uk] Sent: Thursday, October 07, 2010 7:43 PM To: AHAMDANECH ZARCO Ismael (ESTAT) Subject: RE: Pensions Supplementary Table Dear Ismael John Verrinder says you are the person to talk to. Have you taken over from John? Or is it Peter Parlasca, whose name I can see on the agenda for the workshop on 9-10th November? Could you tell me who is the right person to contact to discuss a few issues re the Supplementary Table, either when I am in Luxembourg or by email before then? Thank you. Sarah Levy Head of Pensions Analysis Household and Labour Market Division Office for National Statistics Cardiff Road Newport South Wales NP10 8XG Direct line : 01633 455457 Main switchboard: 0845 601 3034 www.statistics.gov.uk/pensiontrends/ 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 128 LIMITE EN Title: Pensions Seminar Categorisation International Coordination\Pensions Note for the record Ismael.AHAMDANECHZARCO@ec.europa.eu 14/07/2010 09:48 To: thorsten.haug@destatis.de, thomas.luh@destatis.de, caricchi@ ammalmeida@bportugal.pt, Ahristov@NSI.bg, Aharrison1@worldbank.org, anne.mulkay@nbb.be, Aidan.Synnott@cso.ie, bio@dst.dk, Clyde.Caruana@gov.mt, ddamianou@cystat.mof.gov.cy, Dario didier.blanchet@insee.fr, Dominique.Durant@banque-france.fr, fabrice.lenglart@insee.fr, francois. Gabriele.Semeraro@bancaditalia.it, Christopher.Garland@ec.europa.eu, georgeta.mondiru@insse germain.stammet@bcl.lu, Gillian.Phelan@centralbank.ie, guy.schuller@statec.etat.lu, h.lub@dnb.n huszarg@mnb.hu, Janusz.Jablonowski@mail.nbp.pl, Jens.Gruetz@destatis.de, joao.nogueiramart Johann.Bjorgvinsson@statice.is, John.Verrinder@ec.europa.eu, jonas.edblom@scb.se, Kamil.DYB caruanak@centralbankmalta.org, Karl.Schwarz@statistik.gv.at, Liene.Gintere@csb.gov.lv, louprad Marc.origer@statec.etat.lu, MTeresa.Ferreira@ine.pt, M.Madejski@stat.gov.pl, marjana.klinar@go marta.rodriguez@ecb.europa.eu, mikk.medijainen@stat.ee, MDimcheva@nsi.bg, Josemaria.Olivar Paula.Koistinen-Jokiniemi@stat.fi, malizia@istat.it, razvan.miroescu@bnro.ro, reimund.mink@ecb. Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@ONS, Sarah Levy/ONS@ONS, SCorres@bankofgreece.g Tomas.Paulauskas@stat.gov.lt, ulrich.burgtorf@bundesbank.de, veronika.stastna@czso.cz, zuzan cc: Denis.Leythienne@ec.europa.eu, Peter.Parlasca@ec.europa.e Subject: Pensions seminar Dear colleagues, Please note that a seminar on pension schemes will be held in Luxembourg on 9/10 November 2010. The main objective is to further prepare for the compilation and transmission of the future table on pensions which should be part of the revised ESA transmission programme. The agenda will be circulated in due time. Please, if you are no longer responsible for this issue, contact me to drop your e-mail adress from the contact list. Best regards, Ismael Ahamdanech Zarco European Commission Eurostat.Unit C5: Government and sector accounts; Financial indicators Office E3/818, Bech Building. Rue Alphonse Weicker, 5.L-2920, Luxembourg Phone: (+352)430138893 Fax: (+352)430134389 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 129 LIMITE EN NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Sanjiv Mahajan on 29/01/2010 at 18:37 Title: ECB Monthly Bulletin article 'Entitlements of households under government pension schemes in the euro area - Results on the basis of the new system of national accounts' Categorisation International Coordination\Pensions Note for the record Marta.Rodriguez@ecb.i nt 27/01/2010 16:45 To: caricchi@istat.it, ammalmeida@bportugal.pt, Ahristov@NSI.bg anne.mulkay@nbb.be, asuncion.rubio@bde.es, Aidan.Synnott@cso.ie, bio@dst.dk, Clyde.Caruan ddamianou@cystat.mof.gov.cy, Dario.florey@bfs.admin.ch, didier.blanchet@insee.fr, Dominique.D fabrice.lenglart@insee.fr, francois.lequiller@oecd.org, Gabriele.Semeraro@bancaditalia.it, acristob georgeta.mondiru@insse.ro, Gsarris@cystat.mof.gov.cy, germain.stammet@bcl.lu, Gillian.Phelan@ guy.schuller@statec.etat.lu, h.lub@dnb.nl, hee@ssb.no, huszarg@mnb.hu, Janusz.Jablonowski@ Jens.Gruetz@destatis.de, joao.nogueiramartins@ec.europa.eu, Johann.Bjorgvinsson@statice.is, j Kamil.DYBCZAK@ec.europa.eu, caruanak@centralbankmalta.org, Karl.Schwarz@statistik.gv.at, L louprado@ine.es, lgordo@bde.es, Marc.origer@statec.etat.lu, MTeresa.Ferreira@ine.pt, M.Madejs marjana.klinar@gov.si, mikk.medijainen@stat.ee, MDimcheva@NSI.bg, Paula.Koistinen-Jokiniemi razvan.miroescu@bnro.ro, rnws@cbs.nl, Sanjiv Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@ONS, Sar SCorres@bankofgreece.gr, Tomas.Paulauskas@stat.gov.lt, ulrich.burgtorf@bundesbank.de, veron zuzana_durcenkova@nbs.sk cc: Reimund.Mink@ecb.int, John.Verrinder@ec.europa.eu, Ismae ZARCO@ec.europa.eu Subject: ECB Monthly Bulletin article 'Entitlements of households under the euro area - Results on the basis of the new system of national accounts' Dear colleagues, On behalf of Reimund Mink, please find attached, for your information, the article entitled ‘Entitlements of households under government pension schemes in the euro area – Results on the basis of the new system of national accounts’ . The article has been published on the 2010 January's edition of the ECB Monthly Bulletin. Best regards, Marta Rodríguez 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 130 LIMITE EN 85 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 131 LIMITE EN ECB Monthly Bulletin January 2010 ARTICLES Entitlements of households under government pension schemes in the euro area – results on the basis of the new System of National Accounts This article presents the results obtained when household entitlements under government pension schemes in the euro area are recorded on the basis of the System of National Accounts, 2008 (2008 SNA). While the treatment of government pension schemes in the core accounts has hardly changed, the 2008 SNA provides an international statistical standard for compiling supplementary data on pension entitlements under unfunded defi ned-benefi t schemes managed by the general government and also social security schemes. The rough magnitude of unfunded entitlements vis-à-vis general government is known owing to various studies undertaken by international organisations such as the IMF, the OECD and the World Bank. However, the 2008 SNA makes provision for more detailed information in terms of pension entitlements as outstanding amounts, their accumulation and the impact of pension reforms. It increases the transparency of household and general government fi nance, allows a better comparison across countries and economic areas and is particularly relevant in view of the far-reaching implications of population ageing in the euro area and many industrial economies. Household entitlements under government pension schemes as presented in this article cannot be used as an indicator to assess the fi scal sustainability of unfunded pension schemes. For that purpose the concept of pension entitlements needs to be extended to include entitlements that will be accrued in the future, while at the same time comparing these “claims” with future social contributions and tax payments. 1 INTRODUCTION AND POLICY CHALLENGES Owing to increasing life expectancy and low birth rates, the population in the euro area is ageing and is expected to decline. According to the central scenario prepared by Eurostat, life expectancy at birth in the euro area is projected to increase in the period from 2008 to 2060 by 7.5 years for men (from 77.5 years in 2008 to 85.0 years in 2060) and by 6.1 years for women (from 83.4 years in 2008 to 89.5 years in 2060). As shown in Chart 1, this implies a continuation of the gradual convergence of the life expectancy of men and women. As regards the birth rate in the euro area, although it is expected to rise slightly, from 1.55 births per woman in 2008 to 1.67 births per woman in 2060, this is still substantially below the rate of 2.1 births per woman that would be needed for each generation to replace itself.1 To assess the policy challenges arising from the above demographic projections for the fi nancing of pay-as-you-go government pension schemes, it is useful to analyse the implications by taking stock of pension entitlements already accrued to date, from both a national accounts perspective and a forward-looking economic perspective. 1 See also European Commission and the Economic Policy Committee, “2009 Ageing Report: economic and budgetary projections for the EU-27 Member States (2008-2060)”, European Economy, No 2, 2009. 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 132 LIMITE EN ENTITLEMENTS OF HOUSEHOLDS UNDER GOVERNMENT PENSION SCHEMES IN THE EURO AREA – RESULTS ON THE BASIS OF THE NEW SYSTEM OF NATIONAL ACCOUNTS Chart 1 Projected life expectancy at birth in the euro area (age in years) 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 life expectancy at birth, men life expectancy at birth, women 70 75 80 85 90 95 70 75 80 85 90 95 Source: European Commission and the Economic Policy Committee (2009), 2009 Ageing Report: economic and budgetary projections for the EU-27 Member States (2008-2060), European Economy No 2, 2009. STC/2010/007 86 ECB Monthly Bulletin January 2010 From a forward-looking economic perspective, according to the 2009 Ageing Report by the European Commission and Economic Policy Committee, government expenditure on pensions in the euro area is projected to rise from the level of 11.1% of GDP in 2007 to 13.9% of GDP in 2060, with signifi cant differences across the euro area countries. In conjunction with the euro area’s weak structural fi scal position, this overall rise in ageing-related costs in an environment in which potential GDP growth is declining to some extent would contribute to signifi cant risks to the long-term sustainability of public fi nances identifi ed in the Sustainability Report 2009.2 Reducing these risks requires the implementation of the so-called threepronged strategy agreed upon by the Stockholm European Council in 2001 which consists of (i) fostering fi scal consolidation, (ii) increasing productivity and employment and (iii) reforming social security systems including pensions. The above-mentioned stocktaking approach is based on the recording of pension entitlements which pensioners and employees have accrued through their past social contributions. These household pension entitlements are obligations of general government. Even though they are not recorded as government debt, governments are expected to fulfi l their commitments to (current and future) pensioners. In the light of 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 133 LIMITE EN the projected demographic developments, it is of interest to record the size of these obligations and monitor their development over time. It must be stressed that gauging general government accrued-to-date pension obligations does not suffi ce in itself to allow an assessment of the sustainability of public fi nances. This is because the evolution of future contributions to pay-as-you-go government pension schemes is not taken into account. Notwithstanding, if recorded systematically and over a long time horizon, data on accrued obligations may contribute usefully to assessing, inter alia, to what extent the size of pension obligations changes in response to reforms of government pension schemes, e.g. increases in the statutory retirement age. According to the literature, the size of these accrued-to-date pension entitlements of households or obligations of general governments is very signifi cant, although differing widely across countries.3 The recently adopted 2008 SNA recommends that the accrued-to-date pension entitlements of households be recorded under unfunded defi nedbenefi t schemes managed by government and social security schemes in a supplementary table on pensions.4 Moreover, the European System of Accounts, which is currently being revised, will be amended in line with this approach. These amendments aim to allow pension data of countries with different types of pension scheme to be compared, especially in the case of major economic areas, such as the euro area, the United States and Japan. Against this background, the aim of this article is to survey the changes in the 2008 SNA with respect to accrued-to-date pension entitlements and to present estimates for the euro area prepared by the European Commission (Eurostat)/ECB Task Force on Pensions established by the Committee for Monetary, Financial and Balance of Payments Statistics.5 The article is structured as follows. Section 2 provides an overview of how pension 2 See European Commission, “Sustainability Report 2009”, European Economy, No 9, 2009. 3 For a survey of estimates, including those of the OECD and IMF, see R. Holzmann, P. Palacios and A. Zviniene, “On the economics and scope of implicit pension debt: an international perspective”, Empirica, No 28, 2001, pp. 97-129. The studies surveyed date back to the mid-1990s and fi nd implicit pension liabilities of between 200% and 350% of GDP for individual euro area countries. 4 The 2008 SNA, the most important international statistical standard, is an updated version of the System of National Accounts, 1993 (1993 SNA). It is the fi fth version of the SNA, the fi rst of which was published over fi fty years ago, and it was adopted by the United Nations Statistical Commission in 2008 and 2009. The 2008 SNA was prepared under the auspices of the Inter-Secretariat Working Group on National Accounts (ISWGNA), which consists of fi ve organisations: Eurostat, the IMF, the OECD, the United Nations Statistics Division and regional commissions of the United Nations Secretariat and the World Bank. The 2008 SNA is published jointly by the fi ve organisations. It is available at the website of the United Nations Statistics Division (http://unstats.un.org/unsd/sna1993/snarev1.asp). 5 The estimates refer to accrued-to-date pension entitlements of households vis-à-vis unfunded employment-related government pension schemes, including social security schemes. See also R. Mink, M. Rodriguez, E. Barredo and J. Verrinder, “Refl ecting pensions in National Accounts – Work of the Eurostat/ECB Task Force”, a paper prepared for the 30th General Conference of the 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 134 LIMITE EN International Association for Research in Income and Wealth (IARIW), August 2008. STC/2010/007 87 ECB Monthly Bulletin January 2010 ARTICLES Entitlements of households under government pension schemes in the euro area – results on the basis of the new System of National Accounts entitlements of households are currently recorded in national accounts and introduces the new way of recording pension data recommended in the 2008 SNA. Section 3 presents estimates of pension entitlements under government pension schemes in the euro area in comparison with data provided for the United States. It describes these data from the perspective of households and also from a general government perspective. Section 4 briefl y considers the projections published in the 2009 Ageing Report for all EU Member States. Their methodological basis is also compared with the concept of accrued-todate pension entitlements. Section 5 concludes. 2 PENSION ENTITLEMENTS OF HOUSEHOLDS UNDER GOVERNMENT SCHEMES, AS COMPARED WITH HOUSEHOLD ASSETS Pension entitlements of households can be recorded either as fi nancial assets in the national accounts or as contingent assets.6 Those treated as fi nancial assets constitute fi nancial claims that benefi ciaries have vis-à-vis either their employer or a pension manager designated by the employer to pay pension benefi ts earned as part of a compensation agreement concluded between the employer and the employee. Those treated as contingent assets usually represent “conditional claims” on unfunded pension schemes managed by general government, including social security schemes. As counterparts, they are recorded as contingent liabilities of the government, the obligations of which cover these contingencies together with government debt. SOCIAL INSURANCE PENSION SCHEMES Under social insurance pension schemes, benefi ciaries are obliged or encouraged to take out insurance to cover their risks and needs in old age. The most important pension benefi t covered by social insurance pension schemes is income in retirement, but other contingencies may also be covered. For example, pensions may be payable to widows and widowers, or to people who have suffered an injury at work and are no longer able to work. Social assistance benefi ts may be provided independently of participation in a social insurance scheme. A third form of pension is that provided under individual insurance policies. 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 135 LIMITE EN As shown in Box 1, there are different types of social insurance pension scheme in the euro area: they may be managed by general government, as is predominantly the case, or by non-government entities; they may be designed as employment-related pension schemes, such as defi ned-contribution, defi ned-benefi t or hybrid schemes, or as social security schemes. Employment-related schemes may be funded or unfunded, while social security schemes tend to be fi nanced on a pay-as-you-go basis, through social contributions or government transfers. In the System of National Accounts, 1993 (1993 SNA), obligations to provide pension benefi ts were recognised as liabilities for employment-related defi ned-contribution and funded defi ned-benefi t schemes, but not for unfunded defi ned-benefi t and social security schemes. The recently adopted 2008 SNA recommends that pension entitlements under unfunded defi ned-benefi t schemes managed by general government and social security schemes be recorded as supplementary data.7 This will allow pension data of countries with different types of pension scheme to be compared, especially in the case of major economic areas, such as the euro area, the United States and Japan. Social security pension schemes and unfunded defi ned-benefi t schemes managed by general government are particularly important for the euro area. Accordingly, there is an interest in comprehensive information on accrued-to-date government obligations that will need to be fi nanced in future, in view of demographic developments and the foreseeable fi scal burden owing to ageing populations. 6 As contingent assets and liabilities do not give rise to unconditional obligations either to make payments or to provide other objects of value, they are not recorded as fi nancial assets and liabilities in the national accounts. For details, see paragraph 2.29 of the 2008 SNA. 7 For details, see Chapter 17 of the 2008 SNA. STC/2010/007 88 ECB Monthly Bulletin January 2010 Box 1 SOCIAL INSURANCE, SOCIAL ASSISTANCE AND INDIVIDUAL INSURANCE POLICIES Social insurance is the predominant form of pension scheme in the euro area, covering social security pension schemes (classifi ed as belonging to the general government sector) which, in many cases, are organised for major parts of the population, and employment-related pension schemes established by employers, including government, for their own employees.1 The distinction between social security schemes and employment-related schemes varies considerably from country to country, with the consequence that the coverage and, therefore, the national perception of what the term “social security” means also vary considerably, especially between European and non-European countries. In contrast to social insurance benefi ts, social assistance benefi ts are payable without qualifying contributions having been made to a social insurance scheme. Individual insurance policies are policies that benefi ciaries take out in their own names without being members of a scheme organised collectively for groups of employees, as in the case of social insurance. Employment-related social insurance pension schemes may be managed by general 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 136 LIMITE EN government or by non-government entities, and they may be funded or unfunded. Funded schemes fi nance pension benefi ts by drawing down segregated and earmarked assets. Their design calls for them to hold assets equal to their liabilities. These schemes can be exactly funded, under-funded or over-funded, depending on the size of the accumulated assets in relation to the pension entitlements. Unfunded schemes fi nance current pension payments with the ongoing contributions paid by future pensioners and/or other ongoing revenue, such as taxes or transfers; unfunded schemes may nevertheless hold assets (for liquidity reasons, for example, or as buffer funds). 1 Chapter 17 of the 2008 SNA describes the recording of pension schemes in the form of social insurance, social assistance and individual insurance schemes. A new chapter on pensions will also be part of the revised European System of Accounts. Social insurance pension schemes Characteristics Social insurance The benefi ciary is obliged or encouraged to take out insurance against contingencies (old age, unemployment, illness, long-term care) by intervention of a third party. Social security Employment-related social insurance Form of organisation Organised by general government via social security schemes Organised by employers on behalf of their employees and their dependants or by others on behalf of a specifi ed group Type of social insurance Social security pension schemes Other social security Employment-related pension schemes Other employmentrelated social insurance Sector Social security funds Sector or sub-sector of employer or pension funds STC/2010/007 89 ECB Monthly Bulletin January 2010 ARTICLES Entitlements of households under government pension schemes in the euro area – results on the basis of the new System of National Accounts DIFFERENT RECORDING OF DEFINEDCONTRIBUTION AND DEFINED-BENEFIT SCHEMES Institutional differences across countries with respect to pension schemes (e.g. a relatively large proportion of defi ned-contribution schemes in the United States, the Netherlands and the United Kingdom, as opposed to relatively large social security and government-managed unfunded defi ned-benefi t schemes in most euro area countries) result in signifi cant differences across the national accounts, making international comparisons diffi cult. In particular, household pension entitlements in countries with mainly defi ned-contribution schemes are recorded as household assets, while rather small amounts of pension entitlements are recorded in countries in which pension schemes are predominantly organised as governmentmanaged unfunded schemes, as in Germany, France and Italy. Looking at the data currently reported in household balance sheets on life insurance and pension assets, euro area countries with a large proportion of defi ned-contribution schemes show rather high ratios of household life insurance and pension assets as a percentage of household gross disposable income (GDI) (see Table 1). The opposite is the case for euro 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 137 LIMITE EN area countries with social security pension schemes for the majority of the population and also unfunded defi ned-benefi t schemes managed by general government. In the euro area, defi ned-contribution pension entitlements (including life insurance products) totalled €4.8 trillion in 2008, covering 80% of household GDI (see also Table 5) or 11% of household assets, held predominantly with pension funds.8 In the United States, life insurance and pension assets amounted to USD 10.4 trillion in 2008, which corresponds 8 See Table 3.3 under the Euro area accounts sub-section of the Euro area statistics section in this issue of the Monthly Bulletin. Employment-related pension schemes are broken down further into defi ned-contribution pension schemes and defi ned-benefi t pension schemes. In a defi ned-contribution scheme, the benefi ts are defi ned exclusively in terms of the level of the fund built up from the contributions made over the employee’s working life and the increases in value that result from the investment of these funds. These schemes are organised like accounts owned by the scheme participants, as the level of benefi ts on retirement depends on the balance in the defi ned-contribution scheme account. The entire risk of the scheme to provide an adequate income in retirement is thus borne by the employee. In a defi ned-benefi t scheme, the benefi ts payable to the employee on retirement are determined through the use of a formula, either alone or in combination with a guaranteed minimum amount payable. This formula typically considers the length of service and some measure of fi nal or average pay. The risk of a defi ned-benefi t scheme to provide an adequate income in retirement is borne by the employer. Hybrid schemes with both a defi nedbenefi t and a defi ned-contribution element are usually classifi ed as defi ned-benefi t schemes. Table 1 Household life insurance and pension assets (percentages of household GDI at the end of the year) Country/area 1999 2007 2008 Euro area 64.4 84.0 79.7 of which: Germany 64.2 82.8 84.8 France 69.6 96.7 94.5 Italy 33.6 54.1 51.3 The Netherlands 296.0 324.4 268.7 United Kingdom 261.5 247.9 201.8 United States 138.4 129.2 98.0 Japan 103.3 119.5 . Sources: ECB, European Commission (Eurostat), UK Offi ce for National Statistics, US Federal Reserve Board, US Bureau of Economic Analysis, Bank of Japan, Economic and Social Research Institute and the Cabinet Offi ce of the Government of Japan. Notes: End-of-year fi gures. Data include life insurance and pension assets; they refer predominantly to defi ned-contribution schemes. STC/2010/007 90 ECB Monthly Bulletin January 2010 to 98% of household GDI or some 16% of household assets. In the euro area, the annual growth rate of household life insurance and pension assets declined from 10% in 2005 to 6% in 2007, mainly on account of diminishing holding gains (see Chart 2). In 2008 the assets decreased by more than 1%. This was relatively moderate in comparison with the 8% drop in euro area household fi nancial assets, mainly as a result of valuation losses in the course of the fi nancial crisis. By contrast, US household fi nancial assets dropped by about 17% in 2008. Most of the loss in assets was accounted for by shares and other 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 138 LIMITE EN equity, which fell by 27% in 2008. Pension fund assets in the United States also declined sharply, falling by 22% in 2008. This relatively large negative impact on household life insurance and pension assets in the United States, as compared with the rather moderate decline in the euro area, is related to the fact that defi ned-contribution schemes in the United States are far more exposed to the fi nancial crisis via their heavy fi nancial investment in equity than schemes in the euro area, which hold mainly debt securities. In general, the growth rates of US household life insurance and pension assets have been more volatile than those of corresponding investments of euro area households since 2000 (see Chart 3). A BROADER VIEW OF HOUSEHOLD PENSION ENTITLEMENTS In order to make it possible to provide a comprehensive view on social insurance pension entitlements, the 2008 SNA recommends that a supplementary table be compiled in which all pension entitlements are recorded in balance sheets on an accrued-to-date basis. Entitlements Chart 3 Household assets in the euro area and in the United States (multiples of annual household GDI) non-financial assets life insurance and pension assets shares and other equity long-term deposits and debt securities short-term deposits and debt securities Euro area household assets 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 US household assets 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Sources: ECB, US Bureau of Economic Analysis and US 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 139 LIMITE EN Federal Reserve Board. Note: Household non-fi nancial assets in the euro area refer to residential real estate and in the United States to residential real estate and tangible assets. Chart 2 Household life insurance and pension assets, and financial assets (annual percentage changes) -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 euro area financial assets euro area life insurance and pension assets US financial assets US life insurance and pension assets Sources: ECB and US Federal Reserve Board. STC/2010/007 91 ECB Monthly Bulletin January 2010 ARTICLES Entitlements of households under government pension schemes in the euro area – results on the basis of the new System of National Accounts under unfunded defi ned-benefi t schemes managed by government are not recorded in the standard national accounts, but in this supplementary table. The same applies to social security pension entitlements. The supplementary table on social insurance pension schemes provides a framework for compiling and presenting balance sheet, transaction and other fl ow data for all pension entitlements from the perspective of both debtors (pension funds) and creditors (households). The table shows stock and fl ow data for specifi c pension schemes, such as government-managed unfunded defi ned-benefi t schemes and social security pension schemes, that are not fully recorded in the standard national accounts. In principle, the supplementary table covers the pension part of social insurance only. Social assistance, health or long-term care insurance and individual insurance policies (related to pensions) are not included. However, it contains elements of social assistance that are covered indistinguishably within pension schemes that are generally organised as social insurance. Entitlements for survivors (e.g. dependent 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 140 LIMITE EN spouses, children and orphans), as well as benefi ts for disability and invalidity are included in the supplementary table if they are an integral part of the pension scheme. Table 2 presents the supplementary table as included in Chapter 17 of the 2008 SNA. The rows show the opening and closing balance sheet positions of the various social insurance pension schemes, and also the transactions and other fl ows during an accounting period. In essence, the table reconciles the opening and closing positions of pension entitlements (rows 1 and 10) for all social insurance pension schemes that exist in an economy. Transactions shown in the table are social contributions received (row 2), pension benefi ts paid (row 4), transfers of pension entitlements (row 6) and consequences of pension reforms (row 7). Other economic fl ows cover revaluations and other changes in volume (rows 8 and 9) during an accounting period. The columns distinguish between different types of pension scheme according to various criteria – the principle of recording (in the standard national accounts, or not in the standard accounts), the pension manager and the sector of the scheme (government or non-government), and the type of the scheme (defi ned-contribution, defi ned-benefi t or social security) – with separate columns (G and H) for the “non-standard account” schemes – unfunded government-managed defi ned-benefi t and social security pension schemes. Column J shows all household pension entitlements. Only the items in the table that are shaded in yellow add to the transaction data on social contributions and pension benefi ts that are already recorded. The additional fl ow data are essential to derive data on pension entitlements. They comprise data on imputed social contributions paid by employers (row 2.2) and household supplementary contributions (row 2.4), other actuarial changes in social security pension entitlements (row 3) and changes arising from revaluations and other changes in volume. Together with the transaction data on both employers’ and household actual social contributions (rows 2.1 and 2.3) and pension benefi ts (row 4), which are also recorded in the standard national accounts, they permit a full and consistent set of stock and fl ow data to be compiled for pension schemes, as shown in columns G and H. In the absence of data from other sources or reporting agents, national statistical institutes, in cooperation with other national agencies, perform the actuarial calculations underlying columns G and H on pension schemes managed by government. This is a new task for statisticians, which requires extensive experience in handling 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 141 LIMITE EN fi nancial models for pension annuities and life insurance. STC/2010/007 92 ECB Monthly Bulletin January 2010 3 ENTITLEMENTS TO GOVERNMENT PENSIONS IN THE EURO AREA SUPPLEMENTARY DATA ON PENSION SCHEMES MANAGED BY GOVERNMENT In order to obtain a complete picture of the pension entitlements of households in the euro area, data on transactions and other economic fl ows in the course of 2007 as well as outstanding positions in pension entitlements at the end of 2006 (the opening amounts) and the end of 2007 were estimated with the assistance of the European Commission (Eurostat)/ECB Task Force on Pensions (see Box 2). These estimates were based on national pension models, and also on benchmark calculations provided by Table 2 Supplementary table on pension schemes in social insurance Recording Standard national accounts Pension manager Non-general government Defi nedcontribution schemes Defi ned-benefi t schemes and other 1) non-defi nedcontribution schemes Total Defi nedcontribution schemes Row No Column number A B C D Opening balance sheet 1 Pension entitlements Changes in pension entitlements due to transactions 2 Increase in pension entitlements due to social contributions 2.1 Employer actual social contributions 2.2 Employer imputed social contributions 2.3 Household actual social contributions 2.4 Household social contribution supplements 5) 3 Other (actuarial) changes in pension entitlements in social security pension schemes 4 Reduction in pension entitlements due to payment of pension benefi ts 5 Changes in pension entitlements due to social contributions and pension benefi ts 6 Transfers of pension entitlements between schemes 7 Changes in pension entitlements due to pension scheme reforms Changes in pension entitlements due to other fl ows 8 Changes in pension entitlements due to revaluations 6) 9 Changes in pension entitlements due to other changes in volume 6) Closing balance sheet 10 Pension entitlements Notes: 1) Other non-defi ned-contribution schemes, often described as hybrid schemes, have both a defi ned-benefi t and a defi ned-contribution element. 2) Schemes organised by general government for its current and former employees. 3) These are non-autonomous defi ned-benefi t schemes the pension entitlements of which are recorded in the standard national accounts. 4) Counterpart data for non-resident households will only be shown separately when pension relationships with the rest of the world are signifi cant. STC/2010/007 93 ECB Monthly Bulletin January 2010 ARTICLES Entitlements of households under government pension 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 142 LIMITE EN schemes in the euro area – results on the basis of the new System of National Accounts the Forschungszentrum Generationenverträge (Research Centre for Generational Contracts at Freiburg University). Table 3 provides an overview of these benchmark calculations, covering about 54% of the government-managed unfunded defi nedbenefi t schemes and 73% of the social security schemes in 2007. According to these estimates, pension entitlements under government-managed unfunded defi ned-benefi t schemes accounted for about 79% and pension entitlements under social security schemes for 415% of household GDI at the end of 2007 (see also Table 5). These results are broadly in line with the fi ndings in the literature on estimating the size of accrued-to-date pension entitlements. Differences relate mainly to the reference Standard national accounts Not in the standard national accounts Total pension schemes Counterparts: pension entitlements of resident households 4) General government Defi ned-benefi t schemes for general government employees 2) Social security Classifi ed in fi nancial pension schemes corporations Classifi ed in general government 3) Classifi ed in general government EFGHIJ Opening balance sheet Changes in pension entitlements due to transactions Changes in pension entitlements due to other fl ows Closing balance sheet 5) These supplements represent the return on members’ claims on pension schemes through investment income on defi nedcontribution schemes’ assets and, for defi ned-benefi t schemes, through the unwinding of the discount rate applied. 6) A more detailed split of these positions should be provided for columns G and H based on the model calculations carried out for these schemes. The cells shown as are not applicable; the cells in will contain different data from the standard national accounts. STC/2010/007 94 ECB Monthly Bulletin January 2010 year, the proportion of pension schemes included in the estimates, the denominator (household GDI in this case, but GDP in other studies), as well as methodological specifi cations that follow the new international standards, and macroeconomic assumptions. Moreover, the approach applied in this article provides a coherent set of stock and fl ow data, as outlined in Table 2. In 2007, the reference year of the estimates presented in this article, accrued pension entitlements in the euro area totalled about 490% of annual household GDI (330% of GDP), with government-managed unfunded defi ned-benefi t schemes amounting to about 79% of household GDI (52% of GDP) and pension entitlements under social security schemes for 415% of household GDI (278% of GDP). 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 143 LIMITE EN Estimates of accrued contingent pension entitlements have been provided for France and Germany in recent years. The estimates for France, which were carried out by INSEE, put implicit social security pension entitlements at 259% of GDP in 2003. The fi gure is broadly in line with the results published in a study by the Banque de France, in cooperation with the US Bureau of Economic Analysis. According to the calculations undertaken for Germany by DESTATIS, social security pension entitlements amounted to about 230% of GDP in 2005. The entitlements derived for social security pension schemes in these country studies compare well with the estimates provided for the euro area (278% of GDP in 2007). Preliminary estimates for pension schemes established for civil servants have been carried out recently in some country studies. For the euro area, they amounted to 52% of GDP in 2007.9 These estimates should be considered from two perspectives, namely that of households and that of the government. From the household perspective, they provide additional information on household assets, including contingent pension entitlements. From the government’s perspective, they add to the data on government liabilities, including contingent pension obligations. However, as set out in Box 3, these 9 See R. Holzmann et al. 2001; D. Blanchet and S. Le Minez, “Assessing implicit pension liabilities for the French pension system: a micro-founded approach”, a paper prepared for the 30th General Conference of the IARIW, August 2008; D. Durant and M. Reinsdorf, “Implicit social security and pension wealth in household assets in the US and France”, a paper prepared for the 30th General Conference of the IARIW, August 2008; and A. Braakmann, J. Grütz and T. Haug, “Das Renten- und Pensionsvermögen in den Volkswirtschaftlichen Gesamtrechnungen”, Statistisches Bundesamt, Wirtschaft und Statistik 12/2007, pp. 1167-79. Table 3 Pension entitlements under government-managed pension schemes in the euro area (percentages of annual household GDI in 2007; projected-benefi t-obligation valuation 1) ) Position Column No Government-managed unfunded defi ned-benefi t schemes Social security pension schemes GH Pension entitlements (opening balance sheet) 77.4 406.0 Increase in pension entitlements due to social contributions 4.1 29.7 Other (actuarial) change of pension entitlements -2.3 Reduction in pension entitlements due to payment of pension benefi ts 3.0 14.4 Changes in pension entitlements due to social contributions and pension benefi ts 1.1 13.1 Changes in pension entitlements due to pension reforms -0.0 -4.1 Pension entitlements (closing balance sheet) 78.5 415.0 Memo: Pension entitlements (closing balance sheet) in EUR billions 2,270 17,404 Sources: ECB and Research Centre for Generational Contracts, Freiburg University. Notes: The row and column numbers refer to the corresponding row and column numbers in Table 2. 1) See Box 2 for details on the valuation methods. STC/2010/007 95 ECB Monthly Bulletin January 2010 ARTICLES 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 144 LIMITE EN Entitlements of households under government pension schemes in the euro area – results on the basis of the new System of National Accounts fi gures do not allow a direct assessment of fi scal sustainability, which would need to be based on a more comprehensive approach, including revenue projections. Similar actuarial calculations have been carried out by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis for private and government-managed defi nedbenefi t schemes and for social security pension schemes in the United States.10 Currently, both defi ned-benefi t and defi ned-contribution schemes play important roles in fi nancing retirement for households.11 While government-managed unfunded defi ned-benefi t schemes are virtually non-existent in the United States, pension entitlements from private defi ned-benefi t pension schemes add the equivalent of about 80% of US household GDI to US household assets (see also Table 5, row 5). Moreover, US household have contingent social security pension entitlements of about 160% of household GDI (see also Table 5, row 10).12 In order to account for the uncertainty surrounding the actuarial estimates of contingent pension entitlements of euro area households, sensitivity analyses were carried out. The calculations shown 10 See M. B. Reinsdorf and D. G. Lenze, “Defi ned benefi t pensions and household income and wealth”, Survey of Current Business, August 2009; and D. Durant and M. Reinsdorf, op. cit. 11 In the US private sector, newly established pension schemes are almost always defi ned-contribution schemes. The number of private sector defi ned-benefi t schemes is declining very slowly but remains above 40,000. The population covered is ageing rapidly, so that benefi t payments are rising faster than contributions. Moreover, the United States also has over 2,500 defi ned-benefi t pension schemes for employees of state and local governments, while the federal government manages about 40 defi ned-benefi t schemes for its employees. 12 Social security is covered in the estimates for the United States. It is a social insurance programme, not a social assistance programme. It is not very different from social security in Europe, except that the benefi ts are generally lower relative to average earnings because of the expectation that the retiree will also have income from employer schemes or from individual insurance schemes. Table 4 Sensitivity analysis of household entitlements under government pension schemes in the euro area (percentages of household GDI) Real wage growth rate as a percentage Real discount rate as a percentage 1 1.5 2 Schemes G H G H G H 2.6 79.2 419.1 83.9 446.3 89.2 477.2 2.8 76.6 404.6 81.1 430.2 86.1 459.3 3.0 74.2 390.8 78.5 415.0 83.2 442.4 3.2 71.9 377.8 75.9 400.7 80.4 426.5 3.4 69.7 365.5 73.5 387.2 77.8 411.6 Sources: ECB and Research Centre for Generational Contracts, Freiburg University. Notes: Pension entitlements as percentages of household GDI; end-2007; projected-benefi t-obligation valuation; sensitivity analysis based on varying the real discount rate and real wage growth; baseline scenario: a real discount rate of 3% and real wage growth of 1.5%; G – government-managed unfunded defi ned-benefi t schemes; H – social security pension schemes. Chart 4 Sensitivity analysis by varying the real discount rate and the real wage growth rate (percentages of household GDI) Government-managed unfunded defined-benefit schemes and social security pension schemes -75 -50 -25 0 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 145 LIMITE EN 25 50 75 -75 -50 -25 0 25 50 75 2.6 2.8 3.0 3.2 3.4 real wage growth rate at 1% real wage growth rate at 1.5% real wage growth rate at 2% Sources: ECB and Research Centre for Generational Contracts, Freiburg University. Notes: Pension entitlements as deviations from the baseline scenario as percentages of household GDI; end-2007; projected-benefi t-obligation valuation; sensitivity analysis based on varying the percentage of the real discount rate (x-axis) and the real wage growth rate; baseline scenario: a real discount rate of 3% and a real wage growth rate of 1.5%. STC/2010/007 96 ECB Monthly Bulletin January 2010 in Table 4 and Chart 4 are based on various model assumptions, with a baseline scenario assuming a long-term real discount rate of 3% and an annual real wage growth of 1.5%. To check the robustness of the results, the baseline assumptions were changed as indicated in the table and in the chart. For these calculations, the projected-benefi t-obligation (PBO) method was applied (see Box 2). As shown in Chart 4, the impact of a change in the real discount rate on the amount of pension entitlements is substantially higher than that of changes in the real wage growth. The calculations based on the PBO valuation lead to stocks of pension entitlements that are usually 10% to 20% higher than entitlements valued on the basis of the accrued benefi t obligations (ABO). Moreover, the sensitivities in the case of PBO valuation are more pronounced than in the case of ABO valuation. Hence, accrued-to-date pension entitlements related to government-managed pension schemes amounted to between 430% and 570% of household GDI in the euro area at the end of 2007. Box 2 ACTUARIAL ESTIMATES OF PENSION ENTITLEMENTS All pension entitlements of households are assessed as part of the extended household balance sheet in the national accounts (showing assets and contingent assets) at a certain point in time, usually at the year-end. The pension entitlements under unfunded social insurance are recorded in gross terms, meaning that no accrued-to-date obligations of households refl ecting future social contributions to fi nance the pension entitlements are taken into account; instead only the accrued-to-date pension entitlements for current and future pension benefi ts are covered, i.e. the pension entitlements accrued by current workers (including deferred pension entitlements) and the remaining pension entitlements of existing pensioners. As for all national accounts data, the data are measured ex post, as they include only the current values of the entitlements that arise from already accrued pension rights. The method is based on observable past events and transactions, such as membership of the pension scheme and contributions paid. However, these ex post measures also rely on some assumptions in the modelling process. The probability that current contributors may die or become disabled before reaching pensionable age needs to be estimated. The approach also covers future changes to the (defi ned) pension benefi ts owing to 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 146 LIMITE EN any legislation enacted prior to the year for which pension entitlements are calculated. Finally, the method requires assumptions about future developments, notably the development of the discount rate for future pension disbursements. As with all other assets, the pension entitlements are entered into the extended household balance sheet at their value on the balance sheet date. Since actuarial values for pension entitlements related to unfunded social insurance in the euro area are typically not made available by the manager of the pension scheme, compilers of national accounts have to estimate the actuarial value. The real discount rate applied has a relatively large impact on the overall amount estimated. Sensitivity analyses using several different discount rates (or discount rate differentials) are strongly recommended. Three choices may be considered for a discount rate to be applied STC/2010/007 97 ECB Monthly Bulletin January 2010 ARTICLES Entitlements of households under government pension schemes in the euro area – results on the basis of the new System of National Accounts A COMPREHENSIVE VIEW OF HOUSEHOLD PENSION ENTITLEMENTS AND GOVERNMENT PENSION OBLIGATIONS The data provided in balance sheets for the euro area and in these preliminary compilations allow a more comprehensive picture of household assets – including household contingent pension assets – and liabilities, to be drawn. Household wealth is broken down into non-fi nancial assets (housing) and fi nancial assets. Table 5 illustrates that household assets in the euro area (excluding contingent pension entitlements) were more than seven times annual household GDI at the end of 2007; the same calculation for the United States shows that household entitlements were more than eight times larger than annual household GDI. Contingent pension entitlements of households in the euro area are larger than those in the United States – at approximately fi ve times and two times annual household GDI respectively. There are to government-managed pension schemes: (i) a discount rate based on the yield on (central) government bonds; (ii) a discount rate based on the yield on high quality corporate bonds; and (iii) a risk-free rate refl ecting the time value of money. The preferred discount rate is the yield on central government bonds (or, exceptionally, high quality corporate bonds). These should, ideally, have a residual maturity of the same order as the pension entitlements (e.g. 30 years, which corresponds to the average length of pension entitlement payments). Another important aspect is the assumption about real wage growth used in the calculations of entitlements under defi ned-benefi t pension schemes, where the level of pensions is determined by applying a formula to the member’s salary. One approach is to assume that there is no future real wage growth – the accrued-benefi t-obligation method. The alternative approach is to make an explicit non-zero assumption for wage growth – the projected-benefi t-obligation method – which would take account of expected promotions and other factors driving real wages. Table 5 Household assets, liabilities, net worth and contingent pension entitlements in the euro area and the United States (multiples of household GDI; end-2007) Item Euro area United States Assets 7.3 8.3 Non-fi nancial assets 4.4 2.8 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 147 LIMITE EN Financial assets 3.0 5.5 Of which: Life insurance and pension assets (as currently reported) 0.8 1.3 Of which: Pension entitlements under private defi ned-benefi t schemes 1) . 0.8 Liabilities 0.9 1.4 Net worth (assets minus liabilities) 6.4 6.9 Memo items: Contingent pension entitlements 4.9 1.6 Under government-managed defi ned-benefi t schemes 2) 0.8 0.0 3) Under social security pension schemes 4.2 1.6 4) Sources: ECB, European Commission (Eurostat), Research Centre for Generational Contracts, Freiburg University, US Bureau of Economic Analysis and US Federal Reserve Board. 1) For the euro area, data are not yet available; for the United States, data refer to end-2006. 2) Government-managed defi ned-benefi t schemes are predominantly unfunded in the euro area, but are predominantly funded in the United States. 3) Government-managed unfunded defi ned-benefi t schemes are practically non-existent in the United States although the pre-1983 federal government scheme was unfunded and still supports many retirees. 4) US households have contingent social security pension entitlements. STC/2010/007 98 ECB Monthly Bulletin January 2010 practically no pension entitlements recorded under US government-managed unfunded defi ned-benefi t schemes, but many under social security pension schemes. From the fi gures shown in Table 5 information can be derived on government pension obligations arising from government-managed pension schemes at the end of 2007. Table 6 provides an overview of gross government debt in the euro area and in the United States as conventionally measured. It shows that government debt was between 60% and 70% of GDP (see Table 6). If all contingent pension liabilities are taken into account, government obligations in the euro area at the end of 2007 were more than fi ve times higher than gross government debt (see Table 6). The associated increase in government obligations is less signifi cant in the United States. ASSESSING THE IMPACT OF PENSION REFORMS ON ENTITLEMENTS UNDER GOVERNMENT PENSION SCHEMES The calculations presented above may have substantial implications for future rates of benefi ts, taxes and social contributions. Reforms of government-managed defi ned-benefi t pension schemes are on the agenda of most governments in the euro area as these schemes are far more strongly affected by demographic changes than defi nedcontribution pension schemes. A demographic change that reduces the number of contributors relative to the benefi ciaries will require a reduction in average pension benefi ts if contribution rates are to remain constant. Alternatively, for constant pension benefi ts, contribution rates (or tax payments) would have to be increased. To avoid an unbalanced burden either on benefi ciaries or on contributors, different strategies of pension reform are typically considered. Reforms may take the form of adjusting the existing scheme arrangements with regard to the level of pension benefi ts and social contributions (parametric reforms). Alternatively, fundamental 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 148 LIMITE EN changes may be made to the structure of the fi nancing of pension benefi ts (systemic reforms). They may be carried out by setting up a new scheme for new contributions or new contributors, while largely maintaining the current scheme for accrued entitlements. Policy simulations based on pension models are useful for broadly assessing the impact of parametric pension reforms by modifying parameters and input data for existing schemes. In this context, several important determining factors of the accrued pension entitlements can be identifi ed. The levels of pension benefi ts actually paid are regarded as quite important as they are a direct determinant of the stock of pension entitlements. The retirement age is an additional determining factor. Other factors are the indexation of pension benefi ts, as well as reductions in future pension benefi ts on account of pension reforms already enacted. Table 6 General government debt and contingent pension entitlements in the euro area and the United States (multiples of GDP; end-2007) Item Euro area United States Maastricht debt 0.7 0.6 1) Memo items: Contingent pension obligations 3.3 1.1 Government-managed defi ned-benefi t schemes 2) 0.5 0.0 3) Social security pension schemes 2.8 1.1 4) Debt including contingent pension obligations 4.0 1.7 Sources: ECB, European Commission (Eurostat), Research Centre for Generational Contracts, Freiburg University, US Bureau of Economic Analysis and US Federal Reserve Board. 1) Currency and deposits, loans and debt securities incurred by general government (consolidated). 2) Government-managed defi ned-benefi t schemes are predominantly unfunded in the euro area, but are predominantly funded in the United States. 3) Government-managed unfunded defi ned-benefi t schemes are practically non-existent in the United States. 4) US households have contingent social security pension entitlements. STC/2010/007 99 ECB Monthly Bulletin January 2010 ARTICLES Entitlements of households under government pension schemes in the euro area – results on the basis of the new System of National Accounts In several euro area countries, pension reforms have been carried out in recent years by, inter alia, gradually raising the statutory retirement age. If the effective retirement age rises in line with the increase in the statutory retirement age, pension benefi ts will decrease as eligible individuals will draw pension payments for a shorter period of time. In parallel, the payment of pension contributions over a longer period adds to the revenue of pension schemes. According to policy simulations, the impact of raising the effective retirement age for the euro area by one year would lower pension entitlements by 2.7%, and by 5.2% if it is increased by two years (relative to the baseline scenario shown in Table 4). A further aspect to be considered when modelling such an increase in the retirement age is that the outcome of 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 149 LIMITE EN the reform depends also on the behavioural assumptions regarding new benefi ciaries with respect to changes in the retirement age, the penalty for early retirement and legislation on, for example, granting disability benefi ts. 4 PROJECTIONS OF THE IMPACT OF AGEING POPULATIONS ON GOVERNMENT PENSION EXPENDITURE – THE 2009 AGEING REPORT In April 2009 the ECOFIN Council endorsed the 2009 Ageing Report for the EU-27 Member States (2008-2060), which had been prepared by the European Commission and the Economic Policy Committee on the basis of commonly agreed demographic and macroeconomic assumptions. As explained in Box 3, the concept of implicit pension liabilities, as applied in the Ageing Report, differs from that of estimating accrued-to-date pension entitlements in the national accounts as it projects total age-related government expenditure including pensions over a long horizon. Both concepts are linked to each other: accrued-to-date pension entitlements are compiled ex post taking into consideration all “claims” accrued by current workers and the remaining pension entitlements of existing pensioners. In this respect, they are only a sub-set of implicit pension liabilities. Implicit pension liabilities also include, in addition to pension entitlements that have accrued to date, inter alia, pensions to be paid to people who are not yet in the labour market, some of whom have not even been born yet. To this extent, implicit pension liabilities are a forwardlooking concept that is based on a broader set of projections.13 13 The amount of such implicit liabilities may be much higher than the amount of accrued-to-date pension entitlements. In an empirical study undertaken with data for the social security pension scheme in Germany, these implicit pension liabilities (open-system gross pension obligations) were calculated at 622% of GDP in 2006 of which less than half were accrued-to-date pension obligations. Future social contributions and taxes added up to 535% of GDP in 2006 leading to a relatively low balancing item, the “fi nancing gap” of approximately 88% of GDP. See C. Müller, B. Raffelhueschen and O. Weddige, “Measuring pension liabilities and the perspective of sustainability: the case of the reformed German statutory pension scheme”, Discussion Paper No 39, Research Centre for Generational Contracts, Freiburg University, September 2009. STC/2010/007 100 ECB Monthly Bulletin January 2010 Box 3 PENSION ENTITLEMENTS ACCRUED TO DATE AND IMPLICIT PENSION LIABILITIES The concepts of accrued-to-date pension entitlements and implicit pension liabilities, as applied in the 2009 Ageing Report for the EU-27 Member States (2008-2060), are linked to each other. Accrued-to-date contingent pension entitlements are compiled on the basis of a national accounts concept. They are derived ex post as they only include the pension entitlements accrued by current workers and the remaining pension entitlements of existing pensioners. Pension entitlements accrued to date are a component of a broader defi nition of implicit pension liabilities. They represent only a fraction of the pensions to be paid in the future. According to the 2009 Ageing Report, government pension expenditure in the euro area is projected to 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 150 LIMITE EN increase by 2.8 percentage points to nearly 14% of GDP by 2060 if it is assumed that policies remain unchanged.1 These future payments can be divided into four groups: (a) for each year, pensions have to be paid to people who have already retired today. Given the mortality of pensioners, this group of payments is expected to progressively decline in importance and will become zero upon the death of the last people who have already retired today; (b) pensions have to be paid in future to people working today, in relation to the entitlement they have already acquired up to the present moment. This share of payments will increase for several years, as people currently working will progressively retire; it will then decrease in line with mortality; (c) pensions have to be paid to people already in the labour market, in relation to the entitlements they will accumulate from the present moment until their retirement; and (d) pensions have to be paid in the distant future to people who are not yet in the labour market, some of whom are yet to be born. Accrued-to-date pension entitlements, as measured in national accounts, correspond to (a) and (b) if account is taken of the necessary modelling assumptions such as the discount rate or wage growth. The concept that is relevant for assessing sustainability, by contrast, corresponds to (a) to (d), together with the related government revenues. However, implicit pension liabilities are also derived by making corresponding assumptions related to the discount rate and other parameters of pension models. Accordingly, accrued-to-date pension entitlements are based on a backward-looking actuarial estimation, even though the estimation requires projections on the future development of interest rates, wages and the population. By contrast, implicit pension liabilities are a forward-looking concept based on a broader set of projections, and they are set to be used in the EU’s new medium-term budgetary objectives. For reasons of consistency, it is appropriate to harmonise the data input for calculations of accrued-to-date contingent pension entitlements and also for projections of government pension expenditure. In practice, there are cases in which the results derived for accrued-to-date pension entitlements and for implicit pension liabilities appear to point in different directions. Countries may have large accrued-to-date contingent pension entitlements, but their implicit pension liabilities are not expected to increase in the future. These countries have mature pension systems, so that large accrued-to-date contingent pension entitlements have been accumulated over time. 1 The results of the 2009 Ageing Report are described in Box 7 of the June 2009 issue of the Monthly Bulletin. STC/2010/007 101 ECB Monthly Bulletin January 2010 ARTICLES Entitlements of households under government pension schemes in the euro area – results on the basis of the new System of National Accounts 5 CONCLUSION As described in the article, the 2008 SNA foresees supplementary data on pension entitlements of households under government pension schemes, as will the European System of Accounts, which is currently being revised. Following this approach, the European Commission (Eurostat)/ECB Task Force on Pensions has already undertaken preparatory work to provide estimates of these pension entitlements under unfunded defi ned-benefi t schemes managed by government and under social security schemes. In the absence of data from other sources or reporting agents, the national statistical institutes have carried out these estimates in cooperation with other national agencies. This was a rather new and challenging task, requiring extensive experience in actuarial fi nance. The data compiled in accordance with the new, globally agreed and harmonised methodology confi rm that accrued-to-date contingent pension entitlements are very signifi cant in the euro area, even exceeding the portfolio of all fi nancial assets or that of non-fi nancial assets owned by households. They total approximately 490% of households’ annual gross disposable income or 330% of GDP). In terms of government obligations, they are about fi ve times higher than government debt. The results are in line with those of earlier studies reviewed by the World Bank for a wide range of countries, including several euro area countries, and with estimates calculated by the national statistical offi ces of Germany and France.It must be stressed that the compilation of general government accrued-to-date pension obligations does not allow an assessment of the sustainability of public fi nances. This would only be possible if the evolution of future contributions to the pension schemes were fully accounted for. Nevertheless, if recorded systematically 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 151 LIMITE EN over a long time horizon, data on accruedto-date pension obligations may contribute usefully to gauging, inter alia, to what extent the size of pension obligations changes in response to reforms of government pension schemes,e.g. increases in the statutory retirement age. Given the size of the ageing-related fi scal burden, it is necessary for countries to fi nd an intergenerational balance between securing appropriate pensions in the future and maintaining the social security burden for members of the labour force within tolerable limits. The same also applies to other types of government obligations in the form of health care and long-term care. The implementation of the so-called three-pronged strategy agreed upon by the Stockholm European Council in 2001 is essential. It comprises (i) fostering fi scal consolidation, (ii) increasing productivity and employment and (iii) reforming social security systems including pensions. 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 152 LIMITE EN NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Sanjiv Mahajan on 17/11/2011 at 18:08 Title: Table 29 - Differences between Dec 2010 Commission Proposal and Supplementary Table Questionnaire R R e p o n e Re esssp po on nssse e Note for the record Sanjiv Mahajan 17/11/2011 17:33 To: cc: Subject: Sarah Levy/ONS@ONS Ismael.AHAMDANECH-ZARCO@ec.europa.eu Re: Questionnaire on Pension SchemesNotes Link Dear Ismael and Sarah, Thank you to you both for trying to get to the bottom of the differences. I have this point amongst others noted to be raised at the CWPS session next Wed. I will pick up emails on Mon am but not thereafter until Wed eve. Have a good evening. Best regards. Sanjiv Sarah Levy 17/11/2011 17:15 To: cc: Subject: Ismael.AHAMDANECH-ZARCO@ec.europa.eu Sanjiv Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@O Re: Questionnaire on Pension SchemesNotes L Gracias, Isma This sounds like a good solution. I'm on leave tomorrow - back in the office on Monday. All the best, 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 153 LIMITE EN Sarah Levy Head of Pensions Analysis Household and Labour Market Division Office for National Statistics Cardiff Road Newport South Wales NP10 8XG Tel: 01633 455457 Ismael.AHAMDANECHZARCO@ec.europa.eu 17/11/2011 17:00 To: cc: Subject: Sarah Levy/ONS@ONS Sanjiv Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@O RE: Questionnaire on Pension Schemes Hola Sarah, I have to leave now, I will call you tomorrow. You are right, we need to fix that mismatch, and I think the best option is, as you suggest, to delete row 2.5 of Annex II. Thanks for spotting that¡¡, Isma From: Sarah Levy [mailto:sarah.levy@ons.gsi.gov.uk] Sent: Thursday, November 17, 2011 5:35 PM To: AHAMDANECH ZARCO Ismael (ESTAT) Cc: Sanjiv Mahajan Subject: Re: Questionnaire on Pension Schemes Isma I don't understand this. The table you have just sent me is from what you call "the Commission proposal", dated 20 December 2010. However, it does not match Table 17.5 in the draft Chapter 17 of the ESA2010 manual circulated in December 2010, or the table on page 31 of the Technical Compilation Guide that Lena Frej Ohlsson circulated on 27 May 2011 (which matches the Chapter 17 table). Sarah Ismael.AHAMDANECH-ZARCO@ec.europa.eu 17/11/2011 16:08 To: Sarah Levy/ONS@ONS cc: Sanjiv Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@ONS Subject: RE: Questionnaire on Pension Schemes Hi Sarah, I think you have a wrong version of the 2010 Commission proposal. See the good one. Best, Isma From: Sarah Levy [mailto:sarah.levy@ons.gsi.gov.uk] 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 154 LIMITE EN Sent: Thursday, November 17, 2011 4:48 PM To: AHAMDANECH ZARCO Ismael (ESTAT) Cc: Sanjiv Mahajan Subject: Re: Questionnaire on Pension Schemes Isma This is the same issue as the one that we discussed earlier today. The version being requested to be signed off is the old version, not the latest one in the December 2010 draft of Chapter 17. Copies of the two tables are attached. Sarah Ismael.AHAMDANECH-ZARCO@ec.europa.eu 17/11/2011 15:38 To: Sarah Levy/ONS@ONS cc: Sanjiv Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@ONS Subject: RE: Questionnaire on Pension Schemes Hola Sarah, I´m revising UK comments on table 29. Here you say: It appears that the request is as the Table 29 in the Commission Proposal of Dec 2010, assuming an extended deadline of 2014 instead of 2012. In principle this is fine, except that the version of the table being requested to be signed off is not the same as the version provided to us with in the latest draft of ESA2010 Chapter 17 (dated Dec 2010). But I do not see the differences in both tables. Maybe I´m wrong, can you please send me both tables? best, isma From: Sarah Levy [mailto:sarah.levy@ons.gsi.gov.uk] Sent: Thursday, November 17, 2011 12:49 PM To: ESTAT C-5 SECRETARIAT Cc: Sanjiv Mahajan; AHAMDANECH ZARCO Ismael (ESTAT) Subject: Re: Questionnaire on Pension Schemes Dear Neusa Greetings from the UK! We are starting to fill in the questionnaire that you have sent us for the 2010 supplementary table on pensions. We have noticed three differences between your questionnaire and the latest version of the supplementary table circulated in the December 2010 draft of the ESA2010 manual: 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 155 LIMITE EN 1) an additional row in the table : Row 2.5 (pension scheme service charges) 2) additional wording (in italics) in Rows 1 and 10 : Pension entitlements (including contingent pension entitlements) 3) use of the term 'standard national accounts' rather than 'core national accounts' The version that you have sent for the 2010 table seems to match previous versions of the questionnaire for 2008 and 2009, so I think it must be an old version. However, we are working to the latest version of the table in the December 2010 draft of the ESA2010 manual (Table 17.5). Please could you send us an updated version of the questionnaire which is consistent with the December 2010 draft of the ESA2010 manual? Thank you. Sarah Levy Head of Pensions Analysis Household and Labour Market Division Office for National Statistics Cardiff Road Newport South Wales NP10 8XG Tel: 01633 455457 ESTAT-C-5SECRETARI To: caricchi@istat.it, acristobal@ine.es, Ana.AGUNDEZ-GARCIA@ec.europa.eu, AT@ec.euro ammalmeida@bportugal.pt, Ahristov@NSI.bg, Anne.Greiveldinger@statec.etat.lu, Aharrison1@worldbank.org, pa.eu anne.mulkay@nbb.be, asuncion.rubio@bde.es, Aidan.Synnott@cso.ie, Barbara.Montereale@bfs.admin.ch, bio@dst.dk, Giuseppe.Carone@ec.europa.eu, xrisisk@statistics.gr, Clyde.Caruana@gov.mt, 19/07/2011 ddamianou@cystat.mof.gov.cy, Dario.florey@bfs.admin.ch, Gabe.DE-VRIES@ec.europa.eu, 14:51 didier.blanchet@insee.fr, Dominique.Durant@banque-france.fr, Per.Eckefeldt@ec.europa.eu, elena.marton@bfs.admin.ch, fabrice.lenglart@insee.fr, Susana.Filipa.Lima@bportugal.pt, Lena.FrejOhlsson@ec.europa.eu, Gabriele.Semeraro@bancaditalia.it, gabriella.ocskai@ngm.gov.hu, dominicg@dzs.hr, Christopher.Garland@ec.europa.eu, georgeta.mondiru@insse.ro, Gsarris@cystat.mof.gov.cy, Gerald.Wimmer@oenb.at, Gergana.Peeva@nssi.bg, germain.stammet@bcl.lu, Gillian.Phelan@centralbank.ie, Jens.GRUETZ@ec.europa.eu, guy.schuller@statec.etat.lu, hkulaksiz@muhasebat.gov.tr, h.lub@dnb.nl, hee@ssb.no, huszarg@mnb.hu, Inta.Vanovska@csb.gov.lv, Isabelle.YNESTA@oecd.org, I.Kuseleviciene@finmin.lt, Janusz.Jablonowski@mail.nbp.pl, j.geerts@cbs.nl, Johann.Bjorgvinsson@statice.is, jonas.edblom@scb.se, Jose.Sergio.Branco@bportugal.pt, Kamil.DYBCZAK@ec.europa.eu, caruanak@centralbankmalta.org, Karl.Schwarz@statistik.gv.at, Denis.Leythienne@ec.europa.eu, Liene.Gintere@csb.gov.lv, ludmila.vebrova@czso.cz, lgordo@bde.es, lumerlo@ine.es, Marc.origer@statec.etat.lu, Margita.Kupkova@statistics.sk, marian_labaj@nbs.sk, marjana.klinar@gov.si, marta.rodriguez@ecb.europa.eu, maura.francese@bancaditalia.it, michael.wolf@scb.se, Michele.CHAVOIX-MANNATO@oecd.org, mikk.medijainen@stat.ee, MDimcheva@nsi.bg, Mira.Lehmuskoski@stat.fi, Josemaria.Olivares@ec.europa.eu, Peter.Parlasca@ec.europa.eu, patricia.semiao@ine.pt, Paula.KoistinenJokiniemi@stat.fi, malizia@istat.it, razvan.miroescu@bnro.ro, reimund.mink@ecb.europa.eu, Sanjiv Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@ONS, Sarah Levy/ONS@ONS, thorsten.haug@destatis.de, Tom.Dominique@igss.etat.lu, Tomas.Paulauskas@stat.gov.lt, ulrich.burgtorf@bundesbank.de, veronika.stastna@czso.cz, vija.veidemane@csb.gov.lv, Walter.Stuebler@statistik.gv.at, Jakub.Wtorek@ec.europa.eu, sisaknezs@mnb.hu, zuzana_durcenkova@nbs.sk cc: Lena.Frej-Ohlsson@ec.europa.eu, Ismael.AHAMDANECH-ZARCO@ec.europa.eu, marion.deunert@ecb.int Subject: Questionnaire on Pension Schemes Dear Members of the contact group on pensions, On behalf of Lena Frej Ohlsson, Head of Unit Eurostat/C-5 (Government and Sector Accounts; Financial indicators), please find attached a note and questionnaire on the above mentioned subject. Best regards Neusa PIRAINO 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 156 LIMITE EN Secrétariat de l'Unité C-5 EUROSTAT BECH E3/828 Tel: +352 4301-32473 E-mail: neusa.piraino@ec.europa.eu <<cover_letter pensions_2011_b.pdf>> <<Pensions Questionnaire_2011.xls>> This email was received from the INTERNET and scanned by the Government Secure Intranet anti-virus service supplied by Cable&Wireless Worldwide in partnership with MessageLabs. (CCTM Certificate Number 2009/09/0052.) In case of problems, please call your organisation?x02019;s IT Helpdesk. Communications via the GSi may be automatically logged, monitored and/or recorded for legal purposes. For the latest data on the economy and society consult National Statistics at http://www.ons.gov.uk 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 157 LIMITE EN NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Sanjiv Mahajan on 09/05/2012 at 07:27 Title: Urgent: Pension schemes in social insurance Problem in view of the proposal for a Regulation on the European System Of National And Regional Accounts R R e p o n e Re esssp po on nssse e Note for the record Sanjiv Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LOND ON/ONS 09/05/2012 07:26 To Miriam.Bennett-Houlton@fco.gsi.gov.uk cc Subject Re: FW: Urgent: COERPER 16 May - Implicit State LiabilityNotes Link Dear Miriam, Good morning. Apologies - I do not know the answers to either of those questions. Best regards Sanjiv Miriam.BennettHoulton@fco.gsi.gov.uk To Sanjiv Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@ONS 08/05/2012 15:18 cc Subject FW: Urgent: COERPER 16 May - Implicit State Liability FYI my response to our German attaché. Do you know whether this will go to Coreper I or II? And who will brief the Perm Rep to abstain? Thanks Miriam 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 158 LIMITE EN -----Original Message----From: Miriam Bennett-Houlton (Restricted) Sent: 08 May 2012 16:17 To: '.BRUEEU SOZ-2 Barth, Bruno' Cc: Christopher Hobley (Restricted) Subject: RE: Urgent: COERPER 16 May - Implicit State Liability Dear Bruno We understand your concerns, but we think that it is reasonable for the supplementary table on pensions to be mandatory because the publication of all pensions liabilities (funded and unfunded) in all Member States would lead to an increased comparability of accounts statistics. Elements of the accounts which are voluntary are so because either they are seen not to have a significant impact on the overall accounts (satellite accounts); or for certain data which some countries cannot provide. Pensions do not satisfy either of these criteria. We recognise some of your concerns regarding the variability of the estimates and methodological assumptions, but overall we support the table being mandatory. I'm afraid that we won't support you on this point, but we will abstain rather than opposing your position. Best Miriam -----Original Message----From: .BRUEEU SOZ-2 Barth, Bruno [mailto:soz-2-eu@brue.auswaertiges-amt.de] Sent: 08 May 2012 15:12 To: Miriam Bennett-Houlton (Restricted); Christopher Hobley (Restricted); BEL Rabau Muriel; BEL Pernot, Annemie; CZE Zuzana ZAJAROSOVA; fenny.steenks@minbuza.nl; rob-van.iersel@minbuza.nl; petra.silovska@mzv.cz Cc: holger.winkler@bmas.bund.de Subject: Urgent: COERPER 16 May - Implicit State Liability Dear all, I informed you at the beginning of this year about a problem we have with the proposal for a Regulation on the European System of National and Regional Accounts. The proposal will be discussed in COREPER on 16 May. Germany proposed in the Working Group on Statistics that the revision of the ESA should not establisha an obligation to report these data. Right know there are 87 votes against the proposal which is not enough for a blocking minority of 91 votes. Germany plans to recall its reservation against the compulsory reporting in the next COREPER on 16 May. It would be very helpful for us, if you would ask your experts whether they are against the mandatory reporting and whether they can support the German position in next COREPER. Kind Regards Bruno 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 159 LIMITE EN Bruno Barth Social Affairs Counsellor Permanent Representation of Germany to the EU Rue Jacques de Lalaing 8-14 B-1040 Brussels Tel: +32(0)2 787 1322 Mobil: +32(0)473 737208 Fax: +32(0)2 787 2322 E-Mail: bruno.barth@diplo.de ----Original Message----From: .BRUEEU SOZ-2 Barth, Bruno [mailto:soz-2-eu@brue.auswaertiges-amt.de] Sent: 12 January 2012 17:57 Subject: Urgent: Pension schemes in social insurance - Problem in view of the proposal for a Regulation on the European System Of National And Regional Accounts Dear colleagues, May I draw your attention to a serious problem we have with the attached proposal for a Regulation on the European System of National and Regional Accounts currently discussed in the Working Party on Statistics. The next and probably final meeting of the Working Party is scheduled for 17 January. The problem concerns the pension schemes in social insurance. The Regulation stipulates the binding requirement for Member States to deliver table 29 of Annex B "pension schemes in social insurance". Germany is against the binding requirement. Instead, we propose to make the delivery of table 29 VOLUNTARY. I attach our written opinion on table 29 which substantiates our reservation and proposes to make the delivery of table 29 voluntary. It would be extremely helpful for us, if your delegations could approach your Ministries responsible for Pension Insurance to support the German position and to organise as much support as possible. The German Ministry of Labour and Social Affairs is not responsible for the Regulation but for Pension Insurance so that you might have to contact your Ministry responsible for the Working Party on Statistics. Thank you very much for your support. Kind regards Bruno Bruno Barth Social Affairs Counsellor Permanent Representation of Germany to the EU Rue Jacques de Lalaing 8-14 B-1040 Brussels Tel: +32(0)2 787 1322 Mobil: +32(0)473 737208 Fax: +32(0)2 787 2322 E-Mail: bruno.barth@diplo.de 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 160 LIMITE EN 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 161 LIMITE EN NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Sanjiv Mahajan on 30/04/2012 at 09:41 Title: ESA 2010 - doc. on legal text and Annex A - 9086/12 + ADD 1 to ADD 25 Categorisation International Coordination\International Organisation\Eurostat\CWPS Note for the record dgg.statis.ecofin@consiliu m.europa.eu To dgg.statis.ecofin@consilium.europa.eu 30/04/2012 07:38 cc Subject ESA 2010 - doc. on legal text and Annex A - 9086/12 + ADD 1 to ADD 25 Working Party on Statistics - ESA 2010 experts Dear All, In view of the forthcoming discussion of the ESA 2010 proposal in Coreper (tentatively scheduled on 16 May), a document integrating all parts of the Presidency compromise text is being compiled (doc. 9086/12). Please note that the legal text and Annex A (ADD 1 to ADD 25) are now available. The legal text corresponds to the text agreed in the 19 April Working Party meeting and issued last Monday (document 8656/1/12 REV 1). However all markings have been removed (strikethrough, bold, etc.) Annex A corresponds to the text agreed under the Polish Presidency (the list of DS documents agreed for the different chapters at the time was compiled in document 18749/11). However, again all markings have been removed. In addition, a number of problems that were flagged in December 2011 or discovered in the meantime have been corrected: Chapter 1 Paragraph 1.22 - the order of the sentence has been changed Chapter 2 Paragraph 2.110 - "insurance corporations" has been replaced by "pension funds" Chapter 5 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 162 LIMITE EN Table 5.4: "Investment income payable on pension entitlements" (instead of "Property income ..."). Chapter 17 In paragraph 17.19 - "employment-related non-pension schemes" replaces "employment-related pension schemes". In paragraph 17.131 - last sentence, the letter "D" has been deleted. Best regards, Marig Le Goff DG G IA - Economic Policy Council of the European Union JL 40 GH 08 Rue de la Loi, 175 / B-1048 Bruxelles Tel: (32-2) 281 2187 Fax: (32 - 2) 281 81 08 e-mail: marig.legoff@consilium.europa.eu The views expressed are purely those of the writer and may not in any circumstances be regarded as stating an official position of the Council. COUNCIL OF THE EUROPEAN UNION Brussels, 27 April 2012 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 163 LIMITE EN 9086/12 Interinstitutional File: 2010/0374 (COD) LIMITE STATIS 28 ECOFIN 348 UEM 77 CODEC 1060 NOTE from: to: No. Cion prop.: Subject: General Secretariat of the Council Delegations COM(2010) 774 final - 5053/11 STATIS 1 ECOFIN 2 UEM 2 CODEC 6 Proposal for a Regulation of the European Parliament and of the Council on the European system of national and regional accounts in the European Union (ESA 2010) - Presidency compromise Delegations will find attached a Presidency compromise text on the above proposal. ________________ Encl: 9086/12 MLG/am DG G I 164 LIMITE EN ANNEX Proposal for a REGULATION OF THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT AND OF THE COUNCIL on the European System of national and regional accounts in the European Union (Text with EEA relevance) THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT AND THE COUNCIL OF THE EUROPEAN UNION, Having regard to the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union, and in particular Article 338(1) thereof, Having regard to the proposal from the Commission1, After transmission of the draft legislative act to the national parliaments, Having regard to the opinion of the European Central Bank2, Acting in accordance with the ordinary legislative procedure3, 1 2 3 OJ C […], […], p. […]. OJ C […], […], p. […]. OJ C […], […], p. […]. Whereas: (1) The monitoring of the economies of the Member States and of the economic and monetary union (EMU) requires comparable, up-to-date and reliable information on the structure and developments in the economic situation of each Member State or region. (2) The Commission should play a part in the monitoring of the economies of the Member States and of the EMU and, in particular, report regularly to the Council on the progress made by Member States in fulfilling their obligations under the EMU. (3) Citizens of the Union need economic accounts as a basic tool for analysing the economic situation of a Member State or region. For the sake of comparability, such accounts should be drawn up on the basis of a single set of principles that are not open to differing interpretations. (4) The Commission should use aggregates of national accounts for Union administrative purposes and, in particular, budgetary calculations. (5) In 1970, an administrative document entitled 'European System of Integrated Economic Accounts (ESA)' was published, covering the field governed by this Regulation, which had been drawn up solely by the Statistical Office of the European Communities and on its responsibility alone. That document was the outcome of several years' work by the Statistical Office of the European Communities, together with Member States' national statistical institutes, to devise a system of national accounts meeting the requirements of the European Communities' economic and social policy. It constituted the Community version of the United Nations System of National Accounts which had been used by the Community up to that time. In order to update the original text a second edition of the document was published in 19794. 4 Eurostat : "European System of Integrated Economic Accounts (ESA)", second edition, Statistical Office of the European Communities, Luxembourg, 1979. (6) Council Regulation (EC) No 2223/96 of 25 June 1996 on the European system of national and regional accounts in the Community5 set up a system of national accounts meeting the requirements of the economic, social and regional policy of the Community. That system was broadly consistent with the new System of National Accounts which was adopted by the United Nations Statistical Commission in February 1993 (SNA 1993) so that the results in all member countries of the United Nations should be internationally comparable. (7) SNA 1993 was updated in the form of a new System of National Accounts (2008 SNA) adopted by the United Nations Statistical Commission in February 2009 in order to bring national accounts more in line with the new economic environment, advances in methodological research, and needs of users. (8) There is a need to revise the European system of accounts (ESA 95) set up by Regulation (EC) No 2223/96 in order to take into account these new developments so that that system constitutes a version of 2008 SNA adapted to the structures of the Member States' economies, and so that the data of the Union are comparable with those compiled by its main international partners. (9) Attention should be paid in the case of environmental and social accounts to the Communication from the Commission to the Council and the European Parliament of 20 August 2009 entitled "GDP and beyond - Measuring progress in a changing world"6. There is a need to pursue methodological studies and data tests, in particular on issues related to GDP and beyond and the Europe 2020 strategy with the aim of developing a more comprehensive measurement approach for wellbeing and progress in order to support the promotion of a smart, sustainable and inclusive economy. 5 6 OJ L 310, 30.11.1996, p. 1. COM(2009) 433 final. (10) The revised European System of Accounts set up by this Regulation (ESA 2010) includes a methodology and a transmission programme (which defines accounts and tables to be provided by all Member States according to specified deadlines). The Commission should make those accounts and tables available to users on precise dates and, where relevant, according to a pre-announced release calendar. (11) ESA 2010 is gradually to replace all other systems as a reference framework of common standards, definitions, classifications and accounting rules for drawing up the accounts of the Member States for the requirements of the Union, so that results that are comparable between the Member States can be obtained. (12) In accordance with Regulation (EC) No 1059/2003 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 26 May 2003 on the establishment of a common nomenclature of territorial units for statistics (NUTS)7, all Member States’ statistics transmitted to the Commission which are broken down by territorial units are to use the NUTS classification. Consequently, in order to establish comparable regional statistics, the territorial units should be defined in accordance with the NUTS classification. (12a) The transmission of data by the Member States, including the transmission of confidential data, is governed by the rules set out in Regulation (EC) No 223/2009 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 11 March 2009 on European statistics8. Measures that are taken in accordance with this Regulation should ensure the protection of confidential data and that no unlawful disclosure or non-statistical use occurs when European statistics are produced and disseminated. 7 8 OJ L 154, 21.6.2003, p. 1. OJ L 87, 31.3.2009, p. 164. (13) A task force has been set up to further examine the issue of the treatment of financial intermediation services indirectly measured (FISIM) in national accounts. Taking into consideration the findings of the task force, it may be necessary to amend the methodology for the calculation and allocation of FISIM, by means of a delegated act before the end of 2012, in order to provide improved results. (14) Research and development expenditure has the nature of investment and should therefore be recorded as gross fixed capital formation. However, it is necessary to specify the format of the data to be recorded as gross fixed capital formation by means of a delegated act when a sufficient level of confidence in the reliability and comparability of the data is reached through a test exercise based on the development of supplementary tables. (15) Deleted (16) In order to amend the Annexes to this Regulation, the power to adopt delegated acts in accordance with Article 290 of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union should be delegated to the Commission in respect of specifying and improving the content of the ESA 2010 methodology in accordance with article 2(2); laying down a methodology for the calculation and allocation of FISIM in accordance with Article 2(4) and of ensuring the reliability and comparability of the research and development data to be recorded as gross fixed capital formation in accordance with Article 2(5). The European Statistical System Committee will be consulted on the evaluation that the data on Research and Development have reached a sufficient level of quality both in current prices and in volume terms for national accounts purposes before the end of May 2013. The delegated act should be based on this evaluation. It is of particular importance that the Commission carries out appropriate consultations during its preparatory work, including at expert level. The Commission, when preparing and drawing up delegated acts, should ensure a simultaneous, timely and appropriate transmission of relevant documents to the European Parliament and to the Council. (17) Since the implementation of this Regulation will require major adaptations in national statistical systems, derogations will be granted by the Commission to Member States. (18) In order to ensure uniform conditions for the implementation of this regulation, implementing powers should be conferred on the Commission and exercised in accordance with Regulation (EU) No 182/2011 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 February 2011 laying down the rules and general principles concerning mechanisms for control by Member States of the Commission's exercise of implementing powers.9 (19) Since the objective of this Regulation, namely the establishment of a revised European System of Accounts (ESA 2010), cannot be sufficiently achieved by the Member States and can be better achieved at Union level, the Union may adopt measures, in accordance with the principle of subsidiarity as set out in Article 5 of the Treaty of the European Union. In accordance with the principle of proportionality, as set out in that Article, this Regulation does not go beyond what is necessary in order to achieve that objective. (20) The European Statistical System Committee set up by Regulation (EC) No 223/2009 has been consulted. (21) The Committee on Monetary, Financial and Balance of Payments Statistics set up by Council Decision 2006/856/EC of 13 November 2006 establishing a Committee on monetary, financial and balance of payments statistics10 and the Gross National Income Committee (GNI Committee) set up by Council Regulation (EC, Euratom) No1287/2003 of 15 July 2003 on the harmonisation of gross national income at market prices (GNI Regulation)11 have been consulted, 9 10 11 OJ L 55, 28.2.2011, p. 13. OJ L 332, 30.11.2006, p.21. OJ L181, 19.7.2003, p.1. HAVE ADOPTED THIS REGULATION: Article 1 Subject matter 1. This Regulation sets up the European System of Accounts 2010 (ESA 2010). 2. ESA 2010 provides for: (a) a methodology (Annex A) on common standards, definitions, classifications and accounting rules that shall be used for compiling accounts and tables on comparable bases for the purposes of the Union, together with results as required by Article 3; (b) a programme (Annex B) setting forth the time limits by which Member States shall transmit to the Commission (Eurostat) the accounts and tables to be compiled according to the methodology referred to in point (a). 3. Taking into account Articles 5 and 12, this Regulation shall apply to all Union acts that refer to the ESA or its definitions. 4. This Regulation does not oblige any Member State to use the ESA 2010 in compiling accounts for its own purposes. Article 2 Methodology 1. The methodology of the ESA 2010 referred to in point (a) of Article 1(2) is set out in Annex A. 2. The Commission may adopt, by means of delegated acts in accordance with Article 7, amendments to the ESA 2010 methodology. These are intended to specify and improve its content for the purpose of ensuring a harmonised interpretation or to ensure international comparability provided that they do not change its underlying concepts, do not require additional resources for producers within the European Statistical System for their implementation and do not cause a change in own resources. 3. In the event of doubt regarding the correct implementation of the ESA 2010 accounting rules, the Member State concerned shall request clarification from the Commission (Eurostat). The Commission (Eurostat) shall promptly examine the issue and communicate its advice on the requested clarification to the Member State concerned and all other Member States. 4. Member States shall carry out the calculation and allocation of financial intermediation services indirectly measured (FISIM) in national accounts in accordance with the methodology described in Annex A. The Commission shall be empowered to adopt before the end of 2012 a delegated act in accordance with Article 7, laying down a revised methodology for the calculation and allocation of FISIM. In exercising its power pursuant to this provision, the Commission shall ensure that the delegated act does not impose significant additional administrative burdens on the Member States and on the respondent units. 5. Research and development expenditure shall be recorded, by Member States, as gross fixed capital formation. The Commission shall be empowered to adopt in accordance with Article 7 a delegated act to ensure the reliability and comparability of the ESA data of the Member States on research and development. In exercising its power pursuant to this provision, the Commission shall ensure that the delegated act does not impose significant additional administrative burdens on the Member States and on the respondent units. Article 3 Transmission of data to the Commission 1. The Member States shall transmit to the Commission (Eurostat) the accounts and tables set out in Annex B within the time limits specified for each table. 2. Member States shall transmit to the Commission the data and metadata required by this Regulation in accordance with a specified interchange standard and other practical arrangements. The data shall be transmitted or uploaded by electronic means to the single entry point for data at the Commission. The interchange standard and other practical arrangements for the transmission of the data shall be adopted by the Commission in the form of implementing acts. Those implementing acts shall be adopted in accordance with the examination procedure referred to in Article 10(2). 3. Deleted Article 4 Quality assessment 1. For the purpose of this Regulation, the quality criteria set out in Article 12(1) of Regulation (EC) No 223/2009 shall apply to the data to be transmitted. 2. Member States shall provide the Commission (Eurostat) with a report on the quality of the data transmitted in accordance with Article 3. 3. In applying the quality criteria referred to in paragraph 1 to the data covered by this Regulation, the modalities, structure, periodicity and assessment indicators of the quality reports shall be defined in accordance with the examination procedure referred to in Article 10(2). 4. The Commission (Eurostat) shall assess the quality of the data transmitted. Article 5 Date of application and of first transmission of data 1. The ESA 2010 shall be applied for the first time to data established in accordance with Annex B to be transmitted in September 2014. 2. The data shall be transmitted to the Commission (Eurostat) in accordance with the time limits laid down in Annex B. 3. In accordance with paragraph 1, until the first transmission based on the ESA 2010, Member States shall continue to send to the Commission (Eurostat) the accounts and tables established by applying the ESA 95. 4. Without prejudice to Article 19 of Council Regulation (EC, Euratom) No 1150/2000 of 22 May 2000 implementing Decision 2007/436/EC, Euratom on the system of the European Communities own resources12 the Commission and the Member State concerned shall check that this Regulation is being correctly applied and shall submit the outcome of those checks to the Committee referred to in Article 10(1) of this Regulation. 12 OJ L 130, 31.5.2000, p. 1. Article 6 Derogations 1. Insofar as the national statistical system necessitates major adaptations for the application of this Regulation, the Commission will grant derogations to Member States in accordance with the examination procedure referred to in Article 10(2) from its application until 1 January 2020. 2. To that end, the Member State concerned shall present a duly justified request to the Commission not later than three months after the entry into force of this Regulation. The Commission, after consulting the European Statistical System Committee, shall report to the European Parliament and the Council not later than 1 July 2018 on the application of the granted derogations in order to verify whether they are still justified. Article 7 Exercise of the delegation 1. The power to adopt the delegated acts is conferred on the Commission subject to the conditions laid down in this article. 2. The power to adopt delegated acts referred to in Articles 2(2), 2(4) and 2(5) shall be conferred on the Commission for a period of five years following the entry into force of this Regulation. The Commission shall draw up a report in respect of the delegation of powers not later than six months before the end of the five-year period. The delegation of powers shall be tacitly extended for periods of an identical duration, unless the European Parliament or the Council opposes such extension not later than three months before the end of each period. 3. The delegation of power referred to in Articles 2(2), 2(4) and 2(5) may be revoked at any time by the European Parliament or by the Council. A Decision to revoke shall put an end to the delegation of power specified in that Decision. It shall take effect the day following the publication of the Decision in the Official Journal of the European Union or at a later date specified therein. It shall not affect the validity of any delegated acts already in force. 4. As soon as it adopts a delegated act, the Commission shall notify it simultaneously to the European Parliament and to the Council. 5. A delegated act adopted pursuant to Articles 2(2), 2(4) and 2(5) shall enter into force only if no objection has been expressed either by the European Parliament or the Council within a period of three months of notification of that act to the European Parliament and the Council or if, before the expiry of that period, the European Parliament and the Council have both informed the Commission that they will not object. That period shall be extended by two months at the initiative of the European Parliament or of the Council. Article 8 Revocation of the delegation Deleted Article 9 Objections to delegated acts Deleted Article 10 Committee 1. The Commission shall be assisted by the European Statistical System Committee established by Regulation (EC) No 223/2009. The Committee shall be a committee within the meaning of the Regulation (EU) No 182/2011. 2. Where reference is made to this paragraph, Article 5 of Regulation (EU) No 182/2011 shall apply. Article 11 Cooperation with other committees 1. On all matters falling within the competence of the Committee on Monetary, Financial and Balance of Payments Statistics the Commission shall request the opinion of that Committee in accordance with Article 2 of Decision 2006/856/EC. 2. The Commission shall communicate to the Gross National Income Committee (GNI Committee), set up by Regulation (EC, Euratom) No 1287/2003, any information concerning the implementation of this Regulation which is necessary for the performance of its duties. Article 12 Transitional provisions 1. For budgetary and own resources purposes and by way of derogation from Article 1(3) and Article 5, the European system of accounts in force within the meaning of Article 1(1) of Regulation (EC, Euratom) No 1287/2003 and the legal acts relating thereto, in particular Regulation (EC, Euratom) No 1150/2000 and Council Regulation (EEC, Euratom) No 1553/89 of 29 May 1989 on the definitive uniform arrangements for the collection of own resources accruing from value added tax13, shall be the ESA 95 while Council Decision 2007/436/EC, Euratom of 7 June 2007 on the system of the European Communities’ own resources14 remains in force. 2. For the purpose of determination of the VAT-based own resource, and by way of exception from paragraph 1, the Member States may use data based on ESA 2010 while Decision 2007/436/EC, Euratom remains in force, in cases where the required detailed ESA 95 data are not available. Article 13 Entry into force This Regulation shall enter into force on the twentieth day following that of its publication in the Official Journal of the European Union. This Regulation shall be binding in its entirety and directly applicable in all Member States. Done at Brussels, For the European Parliament For the Council The President The President ________________ 13 14 OJ L 155, 7.6.1989, p. 9. OJ L 163, 23.6.2007, p. 17. COUNCIL OF THE EUROPEAN UNION Brussels, 23 April 2012 8656/1/12 REV 1 Interinstitutional File: 2010/0374 (COD) LIMITE STATIS 26 ECOFIN 319 UEM 70 CODEC 957 NOTE from: to: Subject: Presidency Delegations Proposal for a Regulation of the European Parliament and of the Council on the European system of national and regional accounts in the European Union (ESA 2010) - Presidency compromise (articles and recitals) Delegations will find attached the legal text of the above mentioned proposal as agreed by the Working Party on Statistics on 19 April 2012. Changes to the Commission proposal are marked with bold (additions) and strikethrough (deletions). Changes compared to the previous version are marked with underline. Legal linguistic amendments are marked with italics and underline. _______________ Encl: ANNEX Proposal for a REGULATION OF THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT AND OF THE COUNCIL on the European sSystem of national and regional accounts in the European Union1 (Text with EEA relevance) THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT AND THE COUNCIL OF THE EUROPEAN UNION, Having regard to the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union, and in particular Article 338(1) thereof, Having regard to the proposal from the Commission2, After transmission of the draft legislative act to the national Pparliaments, Having regard to the opinion of the European Central Bank3, Acting in accordance with the ordinary legislative procedure4, 1 2 3 4 DK, UK: Parliamentary scrutiny reservation ; SI: scrutiny reservation OJ C […], […], p. […]. OJ C […], […], p. […]. OJ C […], […], p. […]. Whereas: (1) The monitoring of the economies of the Member States and of the economic and monetary union (EMU) requires comparable, up-to-date and reliable information on the structure and developments in the economic situation of each Member State or region. (2) The Commission should play a part in the monitoring of the economies of the Member States and of the EMU and, in particular, report regularly to the Council on the progress made by the Member States in fulfilling their obligations under the EMU. (3) Union cCitizens of the Union need economic accounts as a basic tool for analysing the economic situation of a Member State or region. For the sake of comparability, such accounts should be drawn up on the basis of a single set of principles that are not open to differing interpretations. (4) The Commission should use aggregates of national accounts for Union administrative purposes and, in particular, budgetary calculations. (5) In 1970, an administrative document entitled 'European System of Integrated Economic Accounts` (ESA)' was published, covering the field governed by this Regulation, which had been drawn up solely by the Statistical Office of the European Communities and on its responsibility alone. That document was the outcome of several years' work by the Statistical Office of the European Communities, together with Member States' national statistical institutes, to devise a system of national accounts meeting the requirements of the European Communities' economic and social policy. It constituted the Community version of the United Nations System of National Accounts which had been used by the Community up to that time. In order to update the original text a second edition of the document was published in 19791. 1 Eurostat : "European System of Integrated Economic Accounts (ESA)", second edition, Statistical Office of the European Communities, Luxembourg, 1979. (6) Council Regulation (EC) No 2223/96 of 25 June 1996 on the European system of national and regional accounts in the Community1 set up a system of national accounts meeting the requirements of the economic, social and regional policy of the Community Union. That system was broadly consistent with the new international System of National Accounts which was adopted by the United Nations Statistical Commission in February 1993 (SNA 1993) so that the results in all member countries of the United Nations should be internationally comparable. (7) SNA 1993 was updated in the form of a new System of National Accounts (2008 SNA) adopted by the United Nations Statistical Commission in February 2009 in order to bring national accounts more in line with the new economic environment, advances in methodological research, and needs of users. (8) There is a need to revise the European system of accounts (ESA 95) set up by Regulation (EC) No 2223/96 in order to take into account these new developments so that that system constitutes a version of 2008 SNA adapted to the structures of the Member States' economies, and so that the data of the Union are comparable with those compiled by its main international partners. (9) Attention should be paid in the case of environmental and social accounts to the Communication from the Commission to the European Parliament and the Council and the European Parliament of 20 August 2009 entitled "GDP and beyond - Measuring progress in a changing world"2. Therefore, further methodological studies and data tests may be required. There is a need to pursue methodological studies and data tests, in particular on issues related to GDP and beyond and the Europe 2020 strategy with the aim of developing a more comprehensive measurement approach for wellbeing and progress in order to support the promotion of a smart, sustainable and inclusive economy. 1 2 OJ L 310, 30.11.1996, p. 1. COM(2009) 433 final. (10) The revised European System of Accounts set up by this Regulation (ESA 2010) includes a methodology and a transmission programme (which defines accounts and tables to be provided by all Member States according to specified deadlines). The Commission should make those accounts and tables available to users on precise dates and, where relevant, according to a pre-announced release calendar. , particularly with regard to monitoring the economic convergence and achieving close coordination of the Member States' economic policies. (11) ESA 2010 is gradually to replace all other systems as a reference framework of common standards, definitions, classifications and accounting rules for drawing up the accounts of the Member States for the requirements of the Union, so that results that are comparable between the Member States can be obtained. (12) In accordance with Regulation (EC) No 1059/2003 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 26 May 2003 on the establishment of a common nomenclature classification of territorial units for statistics (NUTS)1, all Member States’ statistics transmitted to the Commission which are broken down by territorial units are to use the NUTS classification. Consequently, in order to establish comparable regional statistics, the territorial units should be defined in accordance with the NUTS classification. (12a) The transmission of data by the Member States, including the transmission of confidential data, is governed by the rules set out in Regulation (EC) No 223/2009 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 11 March 2009 on European statistics2. Measures that are taken in accordance with this Regulation should ensure the protection of confidential data and that no unlawful disclosure or non-statistical use occurs when European statistics are produced and disseminated. 1 2 OJ L 154, 21.6.2003, p. 1. OJ L 87, 31.3.2009, p. 164. (13) A task force has been set up to further examine the issue of the treatment of financial intermediation services indirectly measured (FisimFISIM) in national accounts. Taking into consideration the findings of the task force, it may be necessary to amend the methodology for the calculation and allocation of FisimFISIM, by means of a delegated act before the end of 2012, in order to provide more reliable improved results. (14) Research and development expenditure has the nature of investment and should therefore be recorded as gross fixed capital formation. However, it is necessary to specify the format of the data to be recorded as gross fixed capital formation by means of a delegated act when a sufficient level of confidence in the reliability and comparability of the data is reached through a test exercise based on the development of supplementary tables. (15) Deleted (16) In order to amend the Annexes to this Regulation, the power to adopt The Commission should be empowered to adopt delegated acts in accordance with Article 290 of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union should be delegated to the Commission in respect of specifying and improving the content of the ESA 2010 methodology in accordance with article 2(2); laying down a methodology for the calculation and allocation of FISIM in accordance with Article 2(4) and of ensuring the reliability and comparability of the research and development data to be recorded as gross fixed capital formation in accordance with Article 2(5). The European Statistical System Committee will be consulted on the evaluation that the data on Research and Development have reached a sufficient level of quality both in current prices and in volume terms for national accounts purposes before the end of May 2013. The delegated act should be based on this evaluation. for the purposes of amending the Annexes to this Regulation. It is of particular importance that the Commission carries out appropriate consultations during its preparatory work, including at expert level. The Commission, when preparing and drawing up delegated acts, should ensure a simultaneous, timely and appropriate transmission of relevant documents to the European Parliament and to the Council. (17) Since the implementation of this Regulation might will require major adaptations in the national statistical systems, derogations will may be granted by the Commission to Member States. (18) In order to ensure uniform conditions for the implementation of this regulation, implementing powers should be conferred on the Commission and exercised in accordance with Regulation (EU) No 182/2011 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 February 2011 laying down the rules and general principles concerning mechanisms for control by the Member States of the Commission's exercise of implementing powers. The measures necessary for the implementation of this Regulation should be adopted in accordance with Council Decision 1999/468/EC of 28 June 1999 laying down the procedures for the exercise of implementing powers conferred on the Commission.”1 (19) Since the objective of this Regulation, namely the establishment of a revised European System of Accounts (ESA 2010), cannot be sufficiently achieved by the Member States and can be better achieved at Union level, the Union may adopt measures, in accordance with the principle of subsidiarity as set out in Article 5 of the Treaty of the European Union. In accordance with the principle of proportionality, as set out in that Article, this Regulation does not go beyond what is necessary in order to achieve that objective. (20) The European Statistical System Committee set up by Regulation (EC) No 223/2009 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 11 March 2009 on European statistics2 has been consulted. 1 2 OJ L 55, 28.2.2011, p. 13. 184, 17.7.1999, p. 23. OJ L 87, 31.3.2009, p. 164. (21) The Committee on Monetary, Financial and Balance of Payments Statistics set up by Council Decision 2006/856/EC of 13 November 2006 establishing a Committee on monetary, financial and balance of payments statistics1 and the Gross National Income Committee (GNI Committee) set up by Council Regulation (EC, Euratom) No° 1287/2003 of 15 July 2003 on the harmonisation of gross national income at market prices (GNI Regulation)2 have been consulted,. HAVE ADOPTED THIS REGULATION: Article 1 Subject matter 6. This Regulation sets up the European System of Accounts 2010 (ESA 2010). 7. ESA 2010 provides for: (c) a methodology (Annex A) on common standards, definitions, classifications and accounting rules that shall be used for compiling accounts and tables on comparable bases for the purposes of the Union, together with results as required by Article 3; (d) a programme (Annex B) setting forth the time limits by which Member States shall transmit to the Commission (Eurostat) the accounts and tables to be compiled according to the methodology referred to in point (a). 1 2 OJ L 332, 30.11.2006, p.21. OJ L181, 19.7.2003, p.1. 8. Taking into account Articles 5 and 12, this Regulation shall apply to all Union acts that refer to the ESA or its definitions. 9. This Regulation does not oblige any Member State to use the ESA 2010 in compiling accounts for its own purposes. Article 2 Methodology 5. The methodology of the ESA 2010 referred to in point (a) of Article 1 (2) (a) is set out in Annex A. 6. The Commission may adopt, by means of delegated acts in accordance with Articles 7, 8 and 9, amendments to the ESA 2010 methodology. which These are intended to specify and improve its content for the purpose of ensuring a harmonised interpretation or to ensure international comparability provided that they do not change its underlying concepts, do not require additional resources for producers within the European Statistical System for their implementation and do not cause an increase a change in own resources. 7. In the event of doubt regarding the correct implementation of the ESA 2010 accounting rules, the Member State concerned shall request clarification from the Commission (Eurostat). The Commission (Eurostat) shall promptly examine the issue and communicate its decision advice on the requested clarification to the Member State concerned and all other Member States. 8. Member States shall carry out the calculation and allocation of financial intermediation services indirectly measured (FisimFISIM) in national accounts in accordance with the methodology described in Annex A. The Commission shall be empowered to adopt may lay down before the end of 2012, by means of a delegated acts in accordance with Articles 7, 8 and 9, laying down a revised methodology for the calculation and allocation of FisimFISIM. In exercising its power pursuant to this provision, the Commission shall ensure that the delegated act does not impose significant additional administrative burdens on the Member States and on the respondent units. 10. Research and development expenditure shall be recorded, by Member States, as gross fixed capital formation. The Commission shall be empowered to adopt in accordance with Article 7 a delegated act to ensure the reliability and comparability of the ESA data of the Member States on research and development. […] In exercising its power pursuant to this provision, the Commission shall ensure that the delegated act does not impose significant additional administrative burdens on the Member States and on the respondent units. The Commission may adopt delegated acts, in accordance with Articles 7, 8 and 9, to ensure the reliability of the data to be recorded as fixed capital formation. Such delegated acts shall specify the format of those data. Article 3 Transmission of data to the Commission 4. The Member States shall transmit to the Commission (Eurostat) the accounts and tables set out in Annex B within the time limits specified for each table. The Commission, after consulting the European Statistical System Committee, shall report to the European Parliament and the Council not later than 1 July 2018 on the application of the derogations granted in accordance with Article 6 in order to verify whether they are still justified. 5. Member States shall transmit to the Commission (Eurostat) the data and metadata required by this Regulation in accordance with a specified interchange standard specified by the Commission (Eurostat). and other practical arrangements. The dData shall be transmitted or uploaded by electronic means to the single entry point for data at the Commission. The interchange standard and other practical arrangements for the transmission of the data shall be adopted by the Commission in the form of implementing acts. Those implementing acts shall be adopted in accordance with the examination procedure referred to in Article 10(2). 6. Deleted Article 4 Quality assessment 5. For the purpose of this Regulation, the quality criteria referred to set out in Article 12(1) of Regulation (EC) No 223/2009 shall apply to the data to be transmitted. 6. Member States shall provide the Commission (Eurostat) with a report on the quality of the data transmitted in accordance with Article 3. 7. In applying the quality criteria referred to in paragraph 1 to the data covered by this Regulation, the modalities, structure, and periodicity and assessment indicators of the quality reports shall be defined in accordance with the examination procedure referred to in Article 10(2). 8. The Commission (Eurostat) shall assess the quality of the data transmitted. Article 5 Date of application and of first transmission of data 5. The ESA 2010 shall be applied for the first time to data established in accordance with Annex B to be transmitted in September 2014. 6. The data shall be transmitted to the Commission (Eurostat) in accordance with the time limits laid down in Annex B. 7. In accordance with paragraph 1, until the first transmission based on the ESA 2010, Member States shall continue to send to the Commission (Eurostat) the accounts and tables established by applying the ESA 95. 8. Without prejudice to Article 19 of Council Regulation (EC, Euratom) No 1150/2000 of 22 May 2000 implementing Decision 2007/436/EC, Euratom on the system of the European Communities own resources1 the Commission and the Member State concerned shall check that this Regulation is being correctly applied and shall submit the outcome of those checks to the Committee provided for referred to in Article 10(1) of this Regulation. Article 62 Derogations 3. Insofar as the national statistical system necessitates major adaptations for the application of this Regulation, the Commission may will grant derogations to Member States in accordance with the examination procedure referred to in Article 10(2) from its application until 1 January 2020. 1 2 OJ L 130, 31.5.2000, p. 1. ES, SI, SK: reservation. 4. To that end, the Member State concerned shall present a duly justified request to the Commission not later than three months after the entry into force of this Regulation. The Commission, after consulting the European Statistical System Committee, shall report to the European Parliament and the Council not later than 1 July 2018 on the application of the granted derogations in order to verify whether they are still justified. Article 7 Exercise of the delegation 6. The power to adopt the delegated acts is conferred on the Commission subject to the conditions laid down in this article. 7. The power to adopt delegated acts referred to in Articles 2(2), 2(4) and 2(5) and Article 3(3) shall be conferred on the Commission for a period of five years following the entry into force of this Regulation. The Commission shall draw up a report in respect of the delegation of powers not later than six months before the end of the five-year period. The delegation of powers shall be tacitly extended for periods of an identical duration, unless the European Parliament or the Council opposes such extension not later than three months before the end of each period. 8. The delegation of power referred to in Articles 2(2), 2(4) and 2(5) and Article 3(3) may be revoked at any time by the European Parliament or by the Council. A dDecision to revoke shall put an end to the delegation of the power specified in that Ddecision. It shall take effect the day following the publication of the dDecision in the Official Journal of the European Union or at a later date specified therein. It shall not affect the validity of any delegated acts already in force. 9. As soon as it adopts a delegated act, the Commission shall notify it simultaneously to the European Parliament and to the Council. 10. A delegated act adopted pursuant to Articles 2(2), 2(4) and 2(5) and Article 3(3) shall enter into force only if no objection has been expressed either by the European Parliament or the Council within a period of two three months of notification of that act to the European Parliament and the Council or if, before the expiry of that period, the European Parliament and the Council have both informed the Commission that they will not object. That period shall be extended by two months at the initiative of the European Parliament or of the Council. 1. The powers to adopt the delegated acts referred to in Articles 2(2), (4) and (5) and Article 3(3) shall be conferred on the Commission for a period of five years following the entry into force of this Regulation. The Commission shall make a report in respect of the delegated powers at the latest six months before the end of the five-year period. The delegation of powers shall be automatically extended for periods of an identical duration, unless the European Parliament or the Council revokes it in accordance with Article 8. 2. As soon as it adopts a delegated act, the Commission shall notify it simultaneously to the European Parliament and to the Council. 3. The powers to adopt delegated acts are conferred on the Commission subject to the conditions laid down in Articles 8 and 9. Article 8 Revocation of the delegation Deleted Article 9 Objections to delegated acts Deleted Article 10 Committee 3. The Commission shall be assisted by the European Statistical System Committee established by Regulation (EC) No 223/2009 of 11 March 2009 on European statistics. The Committee shall be a committee within the meaning of the Regulation (EU) No 182/2011. 4. Where reference is made to this paragraph, Article 5 and Article 7 of Regulation (EU) No 182/2011 shall apply. Decision 1999/468/EC shall apply, having regard to the provisions of Article 8 thereof. The period laid down in Article 5(6) of Decision 1999/468/EC shall be set at three months. Article 11 Cooperation with other committees 3. On all matters falling within the competence of the Committee on Monetary, Financial and Balance of Payments Statistics the Commission shall request the opinion of that Committee in accordance with Article 2 of Decision 2006/856/EC. 4. The Commission shall communicate to the Gross National Income Committee (GNI Committee), set up by Regulation (EC, Euratom) No 1287/2003, any information concerning the implementation of this Regulation which is necessary for the performance of its duties. Article 12 Transitional provisions 3. For budgetary and own resources purposes and by way of derogation from Article 1(3) and Article 5, the European system of accounts in force within the meaning of Article 1(1) of Regulation (EC, Euratom) No 1287/2003 and the legal acts relating thereto, in particular Regulation (EC, Euratom) No 1150/2000 and Council Regulation (EEC, Euratom) No 1553/89 of 29 May 1989 on the definitive uniform arrangements for the collection of own resources accruing from value added tax1, shall be the ESA 95 while Council Decision 2007/436/EC, Euratom of 7 June 2007 on the system of the European Communities’ own resources2 remains in force. 4. For the purpose of determination of the VAT-based own resource, and by way of exception from paragraph 1, the Member States may use data based on ESA 2010 while Decision 2007/436/EC, Euratom remains in force, in cases where the required detailed ESA 95 data are not available. 1 2 OJ L 155, 7.6.1989, p. 9. OJ L 163, 23.6.2007, p. 17. Article 13 Entry into force This Regulation shall enter into force on the twentieth day following that of its publication in the Official Journal of the European Union. This Regulation shall be binding in its entirety and directly applicable in all Member States. Done at Brussels, For the European Parliament For the Council The President The President _______________ NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Sanjiv Mahajan on 20/01/2012 at 09:56 Title: Technical Compilation Guide for Pension Data in National Accounts Categorisation International Coordination\International Organisation\Eurostat\NAWG Note for the record Frederique.ROUARD@ ext.ec.europa.eu 20/01/2012 09:01 To: IRroji@instat.gov.al, ursula.havel@statistik.gv.at, Hans.DeDyn ueli.schiess@bfs.admin.ch, natasav@dzs.hr, solcics@dzs.hr, gsarris@cystat.mof.gov.cy, ondrus@ mariagnese.branchi@ecb.int, Werner.Roeger@ec.europa.eu, tonu.mertsina@stat.ee, anapat@sta sgalmes@bde.es, eeva.hamunen@stat.fi, lotta.sjoblom@stat.fi, paula.koistinen-jokiniemi@stat.fi, j michael.c.brennan@cso.ie, paddy.mcdonald@cso.ie, Stefan.Jansen@hagstofa.is, anbaldas@istat xhevriefetahu@hotmail.com, edina.kozic@bhas.ba, Gabija.Ramsaite@stat.gov.lt, john.haas@state joseph.p.vella@gov.mt, vanessa.dimech@gov.mt, e.veldhuizen@cbs.nl, mpoe@cbs.nl, kns@ssb.n draganp@stat.gov.rs, pedro.oliveira@ine.pt, alina.predescu@insse.ro, Martin.Daniels@scb.se, ma mojca.skrlec@gov.si, Frantisek.Bernadic@statistics.sk, anders.nordin@sogeti.lu, GULSER.DEMIR tihomira.dimova@unece.org cc: Gallo.Gueye@ec.europa.eu, Silke.STAPEL@ec.europa.eu, Je Leonidas.AKRITIDIS@ec.europa.eu, Kristine.VASARIETE@ec.europa.eu, Crina.CHEREJI@ec.eu Subject: Technical Compilation Guide for Pension Data in National Acco Dear Members of the NAWG , For your information, the European Commission (Eurostat) and the ECB have released the Technical Compilation Guide for Pension Data in National Accounts. The Guide, produced by the two institutions, is a handbook for compilers and users of data on pension schemes in social insurance. It aims at supporting National Statistical Institutes, Central banks and other compilers within the European Union, to derive position and flow data for pension entitlements. The guide is also a useful tool to help users to understand the data. The "Technical Compilation Guide for Pension Data in National Accounts" is available on: http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/portal/page/portal/product_details/publication?p_product_code =KS-RA-11-027 Best wishes Ms Frédérique ROUARD European Commission National Accounts methodology, Sector accounts, Financial indicators EUROSTAT C1 BECH Building E2/826 5, rue Alphonse Weicker - L2721 Luxembourg Tel: (+352) 4301-31962 Fax: (+352) 4301-33029 E-mail:Frederique.ROUARD@ext.ec.europa.eu NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Sanjiv Mahajan on 19/07/2011 at 14:56 Title: Questionnaire on Pension Schemes Categorisation International Coordination\Pensions Note for the record ESTAT-C-5SECRETARIAT@ec.eur opa.eu 19/07/2011 14:51 To: caricchi@istat.it, acristobal@ine.es, Ana.AGUNDEZ-GARCIA@ Anne.Greiveldinger@statec.etat.lu, Aharrison1@worldbank.org, anne.mulkay@nbb.be, asuncion.ru bio@dst.dk, Giuseppe.Carone@ec.europa.eu, xrisisk@statistics.gr, Clyde.Caruana@gov.mt, ddam VRIES@ec.europa.eu, didier.blanchet@insee.fr, Dominique.Durant@banque-france.fr, Per.Eckefe Susana.Filipa.Lima@bportugal.pt, Lena.Frej-Ohlsson@ec.europa.eu, Gabriele.Semeraro@bancad Christopher.Garland@ec.europa.eu, georgeta.mondiru@insse.ro, Gsarris@cystat.mof.gov.cy, Ger Gillian.Phelan@centralbank.ie, Jens.GRUETZ@ec.europa.eu, guy.schuller@statec.etat.lu, hkulaks Inta.Vanovska@csb.gov.lv, Isabelle.YNESTA@oecd.org, I.Kuseleviciene@finmin.lt, Janusz.Jablon jonas.edblom@scb.se, Jose.Sergio.Branco@bportugal.pt, Kamil.DYBCZAK@ec.europa.eu, caruan Denis.Leythienne@ec.europa.eu, Liene.Gintere@csb.gov.lv, ludmila.vebrova@czso.cz, lgordo@b marian_labaj@nbs.sk, marjana.klinar@gov.si, marta.rodriguez@ecb.europa.eu, maura.francese@ mikk.medijainen@stat.ee, MDimcheva@nsi.bg, Mira.Lehmuskoski@stat.fi, Josemaria.Olivares@ec Paula.Koistinen-Jokiniemi@stat.fi, malizia@istat.it, razvan.miroescu@bnro.ro, reimund.mink@ecb. Levy/ONS@ONS, thorsten.haug@destatis.de, Tom.Dominique@igss.etat.lu, Tomas.Paulauskas@ vija.veidemane@csb.gov.lv, Walter.Stuebler@statistik.gv.at, Jakub.Wtorek@ec.europa.eu, sisakne cc: Lena.Frej-Ohlsson@ec.europa.eu, Ismael.AHAMDANECH-ZA Subject: Questionnaire on Pension Schemes Dear Members of the contact group on pensions, On behalf of Lena Frej Ohlsson, Head of Unit Eurostat/C-5 (Government and Sector Accounts; Financial indicators), please find attached a note and questionnaire on the above mentioned subject. Best regards Neusa PIRAINO Secrétariat de l'Unité C-5 EUROSTAT BECH E3/828 Tel: +352 4301-32473 E-mail: neusa.piraino@ec.europa.eu <<cover_letter pensions_2011_b.pdf>> <<Pensions Questionnaire_2011.xls>> This email was received from the INTERNET and scanned by the Government Secure Intranet antivirus service supplied by Cable&Wireless Worldwide in partnership with MessageLabs. (CCTM Certificate Number 2009/09/0052.) In case of problems, please call your organisation?x02019;s IT Helpdesk. Communications via the GSi may be automatically logged, monitored and/or recorded for legal purposes. Directorate C: National and European Accounts Unit C-5: Government and sector accounts; Financial indicators EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK DIRECTORATE GENERAL STATISTICS Luxembourg, 19 July 2011 ESTAT/C-5/LFO/IAZ/np/D(2011)871026 NOTE FOR THE ATTENTION OF THE CONTACT GROUP ON PENSIONS Dear Members, As a part of the ongoing work on the recording of pensions in national accounts by the Contact Group on Pensions, Eurostat and the ECB will launch a new questionnaire on pensions, as a follow-up of the 2009 and 2010 questionnaires. This questionnaire is designed to be in line with last year's exercise and to focus on the progress in filling in the supplementary table on pension schemes. This questionnaire is composed of two parts. They refer to: some qualitative questions on the data sources and the compilation of pension obligations/entitlements; and the supplementary table on pensions schemes in social insurance. On the qualitative part of the questionnaire, please be as complete as possible in the answers. In particular, please indicate in question 7 the modelling assumptions used, i.e. the discount rate, the wage growth and the wage valuation method (ABO/PBO), and the population projections used. For comparability reasons, please complete the table for years 2009 and 2010, if data are available. Moreover, please do not alter the table by the addition or removal of rows or columns. We would like to remind you that the ESA 2010 draft legislation of 20 December 2010 proposes that the supplementary table (Table 29), showing flows and stocks of pension schemes under an ADL approach should become compulsory in the forthcoming ESA 2010 transmission program from 2014. Moreover, we assure you that the data sent in this exercise will be not published without permission of the countries. The Contact Group Members are asked to coordinate a single national response and to send the completed questionnaire to Eurostat by 31st December 2011 to Ismael Ahamdanech Zarco (Ismael.AHAMDANECH-ZARCO@ec.europa.eu) – with a copy to Mr. Reimund Mink (reimund.mink@ecb.int) and to Ms Marion Deunert (marion.deunert@ecb.int). For further questions, please do not hesitate to contact: Ismael Ahamdanech Zarco (+ 352 4301 38893) Yours sincerely, Signed Signed Lena Frej Ohlsson, Reimund Mink Head of Unit Senior Adviser Eurostat/C5 ECB/DG Statistics NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Sanjiv Mahajan on 27/05/2011 at 15:23 Title: Pensions Technical Compilation Guide (as at May 2011) Categorisation International Coordination\Pensions Note for the record ESTAT-C-5SECRETARIAT@ec.eur opa.eu 27/05/2011 15:20 To: caricchi@istat.it, acristobal@ine.es, Ana.AGUNDEZ-GARCIA@ Anne.Greiveldinger@statec.etat.lu, Aharrison1@worldbank.org, anne.mulkay@nbb.be, asuncion.ru bio@dst.dk, Giuseppe.Carone@ec.europa.eu, xrisisk@statistics.gr, Clyde.Caruana@gov.mt, ddam VRIES@ec.europa.eu, didier.blanchet@insee.fr, Dominique.Durant@banque-france.fr, Per.Eckefe Susana.Filipa.Lima@bportugal.pt, Lena.Frej-Ohlsson@ec.europa.eu, Gabriele.Semeraro@bancad Christopher.Garland@ec.europa.eu, georgeta.mondiru@insse.ro, Gsarris@cystat.mof.gov.cy, Ger Gillian.Phelan@centralbank.ie, Jens.GRUETZ@ec.europa.eu, guy.schuller@statec.etat.lu, hkulaks Inta.Vanovska@csb.gov.lv, Isabelle.YNESTA@oecd.org, I.Kuseleviciene@finmin.lt, Janusz.Jablon jonas.edblom@scb.se, Jose.Sergio.Branco@bportugal.pt, Kamil.DYBCZAK@ec.europa.eu, caruan Denis.Leythienne@ec.europa.eu, Liene.Gintere@csb.gov.lv, ludmila.vebrova@czso.cz, lgordo@bd marian_labaj@nbs.sk, marjana.klinar@gov.si, marta.rodriguez@ecb.europa.eu, maura.francese@ mikk.medijainen@stat.ee, MDimcheva@nsi.bg, Mira.Lehmuskoski@stat.fi, Josemaria.Olivares@ec Paula.Koistinen-Jokiniemi@stat.fi, malizia@istat.it, razvan.miroescu@bnro.ro, reimund.mink@ecb. Levy/ONS@ONS, thorsten.haug@destatis.de, Tom.Dominique@igss.etat.lu, Tomas.Paulauskas@ vija.veidemane@csb.gov.lv, Walter.Stuebler@statistik.gv.at, Jakub.Wtorek@ec.europa.eu, sisakne cc: Ismael.AHAMDANECH-ZARCO@ec.europa.eu, Lena.Frej-Ohl Subject: Technical Compilation Guide Dear colleagues, As a follow up of the work on pension entitlements compilation and the Eurostat/ECB workshop on pensions of 9-10 November 2010, we hereby send you a revised draft version of the Technical Compilation Guide. This version has already benefited from some comments provided by ECB. However, the web publication on the Eurostat/ECB websites will take into account further contributions announced for the coming weeks. In order to start the discussion on pensions data compilation with you already toda pir y, we would like to open the Electronic Discussion Group on pension entitlements compilation. Ismael Ahamdanech Zarco from Eurostat unit C5 will act as administrator. Whenever you have a question/issue you want to share with other colleagues, send an e-mail to Ismael (ismael.ahamdanech-zarco@ec.europa.eu) who will forward the question/comments to the rest of the contact group using reply-all function in the discussions. We count on your active participation and hope that our future co-operation continues to be as fruitful as until now. With best regards, Lena Frej Ohlsson Lena Frej Ohlsson Head of Unit C5 Government and Sector accounts; Financial indicators European Commission EUROSTAT Tel: (+352) 4301-35161 <<tcg_2nd_draft.pdf>> This email was received from the INTERNET and scanned by the Government Secure Intranet antivirus service supplied by Cable&Wireless Worldwide in partnership with MessageLabs. (CCTM Certificate Number 2009/09/0052.) In case of problems, please call your organisation?x02019;s IT Helpdesk. Communications via the GSi may be automatically logged, monitored and/or recorded for legal purposes. NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Sanjiv Mahajan on 27/05/2011 at 15:23 Title: Pensions Technical Compilation Guide (as at May 2011) Categorisation International Coordination\Pensions Note for the record ESTAT-C-5SECRETARIAT@ec.eur opa.eu 27/05/2011 15:20 To: caricchi@istat.it, acristobal@ine.es, Ana.AGUNDEZ-GARCIA@ Anne.Greiveldinger@statec.etat.lu, Aharrison1@worldbank.org, anne.mulkay@nbb.be, asuncion.ru bio@dst.dk, Giuseppe.Carone@ec.europa.eu, xrisisk@statistics.gr, Clyde.Caruana@gov.mt, ddam VRIES@ec.europa.eu, didier.blanchet@insee.fr, Dominique.Durant@banque-france.fr, Per.Eckefe Susana.Filipa.Lima@bportugal.pt, Lena.Frej-Ohlsson@ec.europa.eu, Gabriele.Semeraro@bancad Christopher.Garland@ec.europa.eu, georgeta.mondiru@insse.ro, Gsarris@cystat.mof.gov.cy, Ger Gillian.Phelan@centralbank.ie, Jens.GRUETZ@ec.europa.eu, guy.schuller@statec.etat.lu, hkulaks Inta.Vanovska@csb.gov.lv, Isabelle.YNESTA@oecd.org, I.Kuseleviciene@finmin.lt, Janusz.Jablon jonas.edblom@scb.se, Jose.Sergio.Branco@bportugal.pt, Kamil.DYBCZAK@ec.europa.eu, caruan Denis.Leythienne@ec.europa.eu, Liene.Gintere@csb.gov.lv, ludmila.vebrova@czso.cz, lgordo@bd marian_labaj@nbs.sk, marjana.klinar@gov.si, marta.rodriguez@ecb.europa.eu, maura.francese@ mikk.medijainen@stat.ee, MDimcheva@nsi.bg, Mira.Lehmuskoski@stat.fi, Josemaria.Olivares@ec Paula.Koistinen-Jokiniemi@stat.fi, malizia@istat.it, razvan.miroescu@bnro.ro, reimund.mink@ecb. Levy/ONS@ONS, thorsten.haug@destatis.de, Tom.Dominique@igss.etat.lu, Tomas.Paulauskas@ vija.veidemane@csb.gov.lv, Walter.Stuebler@statistik.gv.at, Jakub.Wtorek@ec.europa.eu, sisakne cc: Ismael.AHAMDANECH-ZARCO@ec.europa.eu, Lena.Frej-Ohl Subject: Technical Compilation Guide Dear colleagues, As a follow up of the work on pension entitlements compilation and the Eurostat/ECB workshop on pensions of 9-10 November 2010, we hereby send you a revised draft version of the Technical Compilation Guide. This version has already benefited from some comments provided by ECB. However, the web publication on the Eurostat/ECB websites will take into account further contributions announced for the coming weeks. In order to start the discussion on pensions data compilation with you already toda pir y, we would like to open the Electronic Discussion Group on pension entitlements compilation. Ismael Ahamdanech Zarco from Eurostat unit C5 will act as administrator. Whenever you have a question/issue you want to share with other colleagues, send an e-mail to Ismael (ismael.ahamdanech-zarco@ec.europa.eu) who will forward the question/comments to the rest of the contact group using reply-all function in the discussions. We count on your active participation and hope that our future co-operation continues to be as fruitful as until now. With best regards, Lena Frej Ohlsson Lena Frej Ohlsson Head of Unit C5 Government and Sector accounts; Financial indicators European Commission EUROSTAT Tel: (+352) 4301-35161 <<tcg_2nd_draft.pdf>> This email was received from the INTERNET and scanned by the Government Secure Intranet antivirus service supplied by Cable&Wireless Worldwide in partnership with MessageLabs. (CCTM Certificate Number 2009/09/0052.) In case of problems, please call your organisation?x02019;s IT Helpdesk. Communications via the GSi may be automatically logged, monitored and/or recorded for legal purposes. NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Sanjiv Mahajan on 01/10/2010 at 18:11 Title: Workshop on Pension to be held in Luxembourg on 9-10 November 2010 Categorisation International Coordination\Pensions Note for the record Neusa.Piraino@ec.eur opa.eu 28/09/2010 17:44 To: caricchi@istat.it, acristobal@ine.es, ammalmeida@bportugal.p Aidan.Synnott@cso.ie, bio@dst.dk, Giuseppe.Carone@ec.europa.eu, Clyde.Caruana@gov.mt, dd Dominique.Durant@banque-france.fr, fabrice.lenglart@insee.fr, Susana.Filipa.Lima@bportugal.pt, georgeta.mondiru@insse.ro, Gsarris@cystat.mof.gov.cy, germain.stammet@bcl.lu, Gillian.Phelan@ huszarg@mnb.hu, Isabelle.YNESTA@oecd.org, Janusz.Jablonowski@mail.nbp.pl, j.geerts@cbs.n jonas.edblom@scb.se, Kamil.DYBCZAK@ec.europa.eu, caruanak@centralbankmalta.org, Karl.Sc Marc.origer@statec.etat.lu, M.Madejski@stat.gov.pl, marjana.klinar@gov.si, marta.rodriguez@ecb Josemaria.Olivares@ec.europa.eu, patricia.semiao@ine.pt, Paula.Koistinen-Jokiniemi@stat.fi, ma Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@ONS, Sarah Levy/ONS@ONS, SCorres@bankofgreece.g veronika.stastna@czso.cz, zuzana_durcenkova@nbs.sk cc: Ismael.AHAMDANECH-ZARCO@ec.europa.eu, Denis.Leythie Subject: Invitation to a Workshop on Pension to be held in Luxembourg Dear Members of the contact group on pensions, On behalf of Denis Leythienne, acting Head of Unit Eurostat/C-5 (Government and Sector Accounts; Financial indicators), please find attached the invitation and the agenda for the above mentioned Workshop . Best regards Neusa PIRAINO Secrétariat de l'Unité C-5 EUROSTAT BECH E3/828 Tel: +352 4301-32473 E-mail: neusa.piraino@ec.europa.eu <<invitation.pdf>> <<Draft Agenda.pdf>> NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Sanjiv Mahajan on 17/11/2011 at 18:03 Title: Table 29 - Differences between Dec 2010 Commission Proposal and Supplementary Table Questionnaire R R e p o n e Re esssp po on nssse e Note for the record Ismael.AHAMDANECHZARCO@ec.europa.eu 17/11/2011 15:54 To: cc: Subject: Sarah Levy/ONS@ONS Sanjiv Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@ONS RE: Questionnaire on Pension Schemes Hola Sarah, I´m sorry but I do not understand the point here. In fact, the table in the proposal of December 2010 includes that row¡¡, Best, Isma From: Sarah Levy [mailto:sarah.levy@ons.gsi.gov.uk] Sent: Thursday, November 17, 2011 3:29 PM To: AHAMDANECH ZARCO Ismael (ESTAT) Cc: Sanjiv Mahajan Subject: Re: Questionnaire on Pension Schemes Hi Isma Thank you for the clarification. Re your points (a) and (b) - this is fine. However, there is still the issue of Row 2.5. We are not populating this row because we are following the latest guidance, so our delivery would not include it. This also affects Row 2, which would be gross (not net of service charges) for the UK. I suspect that other countries will be in the same position, so it would be helpful for all if you could change the questionnaire. If you stick to the old version, it will be comparable with the previous deliveries but not comparable between countries because some countries will be doing it the old way and some the new way. But of course this is up to you. Best wishes, Sarah Levy Head of Pensions Analysis Household and Labour Market Division Office for National Statistics Cardiff Road Newport South Wales NP10 8XG Tel: 01633 455457 Ismael.AHAMDANECH-ZARCO@ec.europa.eu 17/11/2011 14:10 To: Sarah Levy/ONS@ONS cc: Sanjiv Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@ONS Subject: RE: Questionnaire on Pension Schemes Hola Sarah, as you say, there are some mismatches between table 29 in December proposal and the version we sent. This is because we are still sticking to the old versin (for comparability reasons) although if finally the December proposal is approved we will change to the official table even for the voluntary transmissions. Two other comments: a) We have included the term contingent liabilities to clarify that these liabilities may be in fact contingent and to reinforce the difference with government debt. b) I do not think that there is a big difference between using Standard or core, altough, of course, I may be wrong since I´m not a native english speaker. Un saludo, Isma From: Sarah Levy [mailto:sarah.levy@ons.gsi.gov.uk] Sent: Thursday, November 17, 2011 12:49 PM To: ESTAT C-5 SECRETARIAT Cc: Sanjiv Mahajan; AHAMDANECH ZARCO Ismael (ESTAT) Subject: Re: Questionnaire on Pension Schemes Dear Neusa Greetings from the UK! We are starting to fill in the questionnaire that you have sent us for the 2010 supplementary table on pensions. We have noticed three differences between your questionnaire and the latest version of the supplementary table circulated in the December 2010 draft of the ESA2010 manual: 1) an additional row in the table : Row 2.5 (pension scheme service charges) 2) additional wording (in italics) in Rows 1 and 10 : Pension entitlements (including contingent pension entitlements) 3) use of the term 'standard national accounts' rather than 'core national accounts' The version that you have sent for the 2010 table seems to match previous versions of the questionnaire for 2008 and 2009, so I think it must be an old version. However, we are working to the latest version of the table in the December 2010 draft of the ESA2010 manual (Table 17.5). Please could you send us an updated version of the questionnaire which is consistent with the December 2010 draft of the ESA2010 manual? Thank you. Sarah Levy Head of Pensions Analysis Household and Labour Market Division Office for National Statistics Cardiff Road Newport South Wales NP10 8XG Tel: 01633 455457 ESTAT-C-5SECRETARIAT@ec.eur To: caricchi@istat.it, acristobal@ine.es, Ana.AGUNDEZ-GARCIA@ec.europa.eu, opa.eu ammalmeida@bportugal.pt, Ahristov@NSI.bg, Anne.Greiveldinger@statec.etat.lu, Aharrison1@worldbank.org, anne.mulkay@nbb.be, asuncion.rubio@bde.es, Aidan.Synnott@cso.ie, Barbara.Montereale@bfs.admin.ch, bio@dst.dk, Giuseppe.Carone@ec.europa.eu, xrisisk@statistics.gr, 19/07/2011 14:51 Clyde.Caruana@gov.mt, ddamianou@cystat.mof.gov.cy, Dario.florey@bfs.admin.ch, Gabe.DEVRIES@ec.europa.eu, didier.blanchet@insee.fr, Dominique.Durant@banque-france.fr, Per.Eckefeldt@ec.europa.eu, elena.marton@bfs.admin.ch, fabrice.lenglart@insee.fr, Susana.Filipa.Lima@bportugal.pt, Lena.Frej-Ohlsson@ec.europa.eu, Gabriele.Semeraro@bancaditalia.it, gabriella.ocskai@ngm.gov.hu, dominicg@dzs.hr, Christopher.Garland@ec.europa.eu, georgeta.mondiru@insse.ro, Gsarris@cystat.mof.gov.cy, Gerald.Wimmer@oenb.at, Gergana.Peeva@nssi.bg, germain.stammet@bcl.lu, Gillian.Phelan@centralbank.ie, Jens.GRUETZ@ec.europa.eu, guy.schuller@statec.etat.lu, hkulaksiz@muhasebat.gov.tr, h.lub@dnb.nl, hee@ssb.no, huszarg@mnb.hu, Inta.Vanovska@csb.gov.lv, Isabelle.YNESTA@oecd.org, I.Kuseleviciene@finmin.lt, Janusz.Jablonowski@mail.nbp.pl, j.geerts@cbs.nl, Johann.Bjorgvinsson@statice.is, jonas.edblom@scb.se, Jose.Sergio.Branco@bportugal.pt, Kamil.DYBCZAK@ec.europa.eu, caruanak@centralbankmalta.org, Karl.Schwarz@statistik.gv.at, Denis.Leythienne@ec.europa.eu, Liene.Gintere@csb.gov.lv, ludmila.vebrova@czso.cz, lgordo@bde.es, lumerlo@ine.es, Marc.origer@statec.etat.lu, Margita.Kupkova@statistics.sk, marian_labaj@nbs.sk, marjana.klinar@gov.si, marta.rodriguez@ecb.europa.eu, maura.francese@bancaditalia.it, michael.wolf@scb.se, Michele.CHAVOIX-MANNATO@oecd.org, mikk.medijainen@stat.ee, MDimcheva@nsi.bg, Mira.Lehmuskoski@stat.fi, Josemaria.Olivares@ec.europa.eu, Peter.Parlasca@ec.europa.eu, patricia.semiao@ine.pt, Paula.Koistinen-Jokiniemi@stat.fi, malizia@istat.it, razvan.miroescu@bnro.ro, reimund.mink@ecb.europa.eu, Sanjiv Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@ONS, Sarah Levy/ONS@ONS, thorsten.haug@destatis.de, Tom.Dominique@igss.etat.lu, Tomas.Paulauskas@stat.gov.lt, ulrich.burgtorf@bundesbank.de, veronika.stastna@czso.cz, vija.veidemane@csb.gov.lv, Walter.Stuebler@statistik.gv.at, Jakub.Wtorek@ec.europa.eu, sisaknezs@mnb.hu, zuzana_durcenkova@nbs.sk cc: Lena.Frej-Ohlsson@ec.europa.eu, Ismael.AHAMDANECH-ZARCO@ec.europa.eu, marion.deunert@ecb.int Subject: Questionnaire on Pension Schemes Dear Members of the contact group on pensions, On behalf of Lena Frej Ohlsson, Head of Unit Eurostat/C-5 (Government and Sector Accounts; Financial indicators), please find attached a note and questionnaire on the above mentioned subject. Best regards Neusa PIRAINO Secrétariat de l'Unité C-5 EUROSTAT BECH E3/828 Tel: +352 4301-32473 E-mail: neusa.piraino@ec.europa.eu <<cover_letter pensions_2011_b.pdf>> <<Pensions Questionnaire_2011.xls>> NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Sanjiv Mahajan on 03/05/2012 at 07:23 Title: Pension liabilities in National Account Statistics Categorisation International Coordination\International Organisation\Eurostat\CWPS Note for the record Bernd.Stoertzbach@destati s.de 02/05/2012 12:18 To raoul.depoutot@insee.fr, gandolfo@istat.it, Sanjiv Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@ONS cc thomas.salzmann@bmas.bund.de Subject WG: Pension liabilities in National Account Statistics Dear colleagues, For your infomation, enclosed please find the letter of the German Federal Ministry of Economics and Technology with regard to the meeting of the COREPER. Kind regards Bernd -* * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Bernd Stoertzbach Referatsleiter Tel. +49 611 75-2351 Fax +49 611 75-3950 Bernd Stoertzbach Head of Section Tel. +49 611 75-2351 Fax +49 611 75-3950 Statistisches Bundesamt Gruppe B 1, Planung und Koordinierung, Internationale Kooperation Gustav-Stresemann-Ring 11 65189 Wiesbaden Deutschland Federal Statistical Office Division B1, Planning and Coordination, International Cooperation Gustav-Stresemann-Ring 11 65189 Wiesbaden Germany * bernd.stoertzbach@destatis.de http://www.destatis.de -----Ursprüngliche Nachricht----Von: Salzmann, Thomas -Ib1 BMAS [mailto:Thomas.Salzmann@bmas.bund.de] Gesendet: Mittwoch, 2. Mai 2012 09:09 An: Stoertzbach, Bernd Betreff: WG: Pension liabilities in National Account Statistics Lieber Herr Störtzbach, die Briefe an Italien und Frankreich sind noch am vergangenen Freitag versandt worden. Könnten Sie diese Information auch an Ihre Kollegen in der RAG Statistik weiterleiten? beste Grüße, Thomas Salzmann -----Ursprüngliche Nachricht----Von: Martin.Lehmann-Stanislowski@bmwi.bund.de [mailto:Martin.LehmannStanislowski@bmwi.bund.de] Gesendet: Freitag, 27. April 2012 16:06 An: Eitenmüller, Stefan -Ib BMAS Cc: buero-ic3@bmwi.bund.de Betreff: WG: Pension liabilities in National Account Statistics Lieber Herr Eitenmüller, zu Ihrer Information wie besprochen. Ein gleich lautender Brief ist an den französischen Kollegen gesandt worden. Freundlichen Gruß Martin Lehmann-Stanislowski Unterabteilung IC Gesamtwirtschaftliche Entwicklung, Analysen und Projektionen Bundesministerium für Wirtschaft und Technologie Scharnhorststraße 34-37 10115 Berlin Germany Tel.: ++49-(0)30-20147140 Fax: ++49-(0)30-2014507140 Internet: www.bmwi.de Email: lehmann-stanislowski@bmwi.bund.de -----Ursprüngliche Nachricht----Von: BUERO-I Gesendet: Freitag, 27. April 2012 15:50 An: 'lorenzo.codogno@tesoro.it' Cc: Groß, Alexander, Dr., I; Lehmann-Stanislowski, Martin, IC; Müller, Klaus, IC3 Betreff: Pension liabilities in National Account Statistics Dear Sir, on behalf of Dr. Groß I am sending you the attached letter with two annexes. Sincerely, Vito Arendt ________________________ Büro Dr. Alexander Groß Abteilung Wirtschaftspolitik Bundesministerium für Wirtschaft und Technologie Scharnhorststraße 34-37, 10115 Berlin Telefon: +49 (0)30-18- 615-6101 Fax: +49 (0)30-18-615-5456 mailto:thorsten.schaefer@bmwi.bund.de Internet: www.bmwi.de NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Sanjiv Mahajan on 03/05/2012 at 07:23 Title: Pension liabilities in National Account Statistics Categorisation International Coordination\International Organisation\Eurostat\CWPS Note for the record Bernd.Stoertzbach@destati s.de To raoul.depoutot@insee.fr, gandolfo@istat.it, Sanjiv Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@ONS cc thomas.salzmann@bmas.bund.de 02/05/2012 12:18 Subject WG: Pension liabilities in National Account Statistics Dear colleagues, For your infomation, enclosed please find the letter of the German Federal Ministry of Economics and Technology with regard to the meeting of the COREPER. Kind regards Bernd -* * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Bernd Stoertzbach Referatsleiter Tel. +49 611 75-2351 Fax +49 611 75-3950 Bernd Stoertzbach Head of Section Tel. +49 611 75-2351 Fax +49 611 75-3950 Statistisches Bundesamt Gruppe B 1, Planung und Koordinierung, Internationale Kooperation Gustav-Stresemann-Ring 11 65189 Wiesbaden Deutschland Federal Statistical Office Division B1, Planning and Coordination, International Cooperation Gustav-Stresemann-Ring 11 65189 Wiesbaden Germany * * bernd.stoertzbach@destatis.de http://www.destatis.de -----Ursprüngliche Nachricht----Von: Salzmann, Thomas -Ib1 BMAS [mailto:Thomas.Salzmann@bmas.bund.de] Gesendet: Mittwoch, 2. Mai 2012 09:09 An: Stoertzbach, Bernd Betreff: WG: Pension liabilities in National Account Statistics Lieber Herr Störtzbach, die Briefe an Italien und Frankreich sind noch am vergangenen Freitag versandt worden. Könnten Sie diese Information auch an Ihre Kollegen in der RAG Statistik weiterleiten? beste Grüße, Thomas Salzmann -----Ursprüngliche Nachricht----Von: Martin.Lehmann-Stanislowski@bmwi.bund.de [mailto:Martin.Lehmann-Stanislowski@bmwi.bund.de] Gesendet: Freitag, 27. April 2012 16:06 An: Eitenmüller, Stefan -Ib BMAS Cc: buero-ic3@bmwi.bund.de Betreff: WG: Pension liabilities in National Account Statistics Lieber Herr Eitenmüller, zu Ihrer Information wie besprochen. Ein gleich lautender Brief ist an den französischen Kollegen gesandt worden. Freundlichen Gruß Martin Lehmann-Stanislowski Unterabteilung IC Gesamtwirtschaftliche Entwicklung, Analysen und Projektionen Bundesministerium für Wirtschaft und Technologie Scharnhorststraße 34-37 10115 Berlin Germany Tel.: ++49-(0)30-20147140 Fax: ++49-(0)30-2014507140 Internet: www.bmwi.de Email: lehmann-stanislowski@bmwi.bund.de -----Ursprüngliche Nachricht----Von: BUERO-I Gesendet: Freitag, 27. April 2012 15:50 An: 'lorenzo.codogno@tesoro.it' Cc: Groß, Alexander, Dr., I; Lehmann-Stanislowski, Martin, IC; Müller, Klaus, IC3 Betreff: Pension liabilities in National Account Statistics Dear Sir, on behalf of Dr. Groß I am sending you the attached letter with two annexes. Sincerely, Vito Arendt ________________________ Büro Dr. Alexander Groß Abteilung Wirtschaftspolitik Bundesministerium für Wirtschaft und Technologie Scharnhorststraße 34-37, 10115 Berlin Telefon: +49 (0)30-18- 615-6101 Fax: +49 (0)30-18-615-5456 mailto:thorsten.schaefer@bmwi.bund.de Internet: www.bmwi.de NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Sanjiv Mahajan on 28/03/2012 at 07:59 Title: FW: Regulation on the European System Of National And Regional Accounts Categorisation International Coordination\International Organisation\Eurostat\CWPS Note for the record Miriam.BennettHoulton@fco.gsi.gov.uk To Sanjiv Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@ONS 27/03/2012 17:29 cc Subject RESTRICTED: RE: RESTRICTED: FW: RESTRICTED: FW: Regulation on the European System Of National And Regional Accounts Dear Sanjiv, No worries – I’m sure that will be fine. Thanks for letting me know. Thanks Miriam From: Sanjiv Mahajan [mailto:sanjiv.mahajan@ons.gsi.gov.uk] Sent: 27 March 2012 18:22 To: Miriam Bennett-Houlton (Restricted) Subject: Re: RESTRICTED: FW: RESTRICTED: FW: Regulation on the European System Of National And Regional Accounts Importance: High Dear Miriam, Thank you for the note. I tried contacting Bruno yesterday and today with no joy. I will see the German CWPS rep and expert on the pre-meeting tomorrow and hopefully agree a line. If there are any problems, please let me know. Best regards. Sanjiv Mr Sanjiv Mahajan Head of International Strategy and Coordination National Accounts Coordination and Development Room 2.101 Office for National Statistics Government Buildings Cardiff Road Newport Wales NP10 8XG Work no. Mobile no. E-mail: E-mail: +44 (0) 1633 45 5294 +44 (0) 7900 808 556 sanjiv.mahajan@ons.gov.uk sanjiv.mahajan@hotmail.co.uk Miriam.BennettHoulton@fco.gsi.gov.uk 26/03/2012 11:02 ToSanjiv Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@ONS cc SubjeRESTRICTED: FW: RESTRICTED: FW: Regulation on the European System Of National ctAnd Regional Accounts Dear Sanjiv, As discussed, please find below the message from the German social attaché asking for you to get in touch before the meeting this week. Best wishes, Miriam Miriam Bennett Houlton | Second Secretary, Employment, Social Affairs and Equality | UK Representation to the EU | Avenue d'Auderghem 10 | Brussels 1040 Email: miriam.bennett-houlton@fco.gov.uk | Tel: +32 (0) 2287 8221 | FTN: 8316 8221 | Mobile: +32 (0) 477 780 620 | www.ukeu.fco.gov.uk -----Original Message----From: .BRUEEU SOZ-2 Barth, Bruno [mailto:soz-2-eu@brue.auswaertiges-amt.de] Sent: 22 March 2012 10:38 To: Miriam Bennett-Houlton (Restricted) Subject: Regulation on the European System Of National And Regional Accounts Dear Miriam, could you please ask your expert to contact the German expert in view of the working group next week. Best wishes Bruno -------- Original-Nachricht -------Betreff: RE: Urgent: Pension schemes in social insurance Problem in view of the proposal for a Regulation on the European System Of National And Regional Accounts Datum: Fri, 13 Jan 2012 16:28:18 +0000 Von: Miriam.Bennett-Houlton@fco.gov.uk An: soz-2-eu@brue.auswaertiges-amt.de Referenzen: <D2052D1CA5B63F4A9A0C8938194255160188F217@EX-MAIL-11.consilium.eu.int> <4F0F10D6.1010602@brue.auswaertiges-amt.de> Dear Bruno, Happy New Year! I hope you had a good break. The UK can, in part, support Germany on this. Our experts will get in touch with your experts next week to discuss the details. Best wishes, Miriam -----Original Message----From: .BRUEEU SOZ-2 Barth, Bruno [mailto:soz-2-eu@brue.auswaertiges-amt.de] Sent: 12 January 2012 17:57 Subject: Urgent: Pension schemes in social insurance - Problem in view of the proposal for a Regulation on the European System Of National And Regional Accounts Dear colleagues, May I draw your attention to a serious problem we have with the attached proposal for a Regulation on the European System of National and Regional Accounts currently discussed in the Working Party on Statistics. The next and probably final meeting of the Working Party is scheduled for 17 January. The problem concerns the pension schemes in social insurance. The Regulation stipulates the binding requirement for Member States to deliver table 29 of Annex B "pension schemes in social insurance". Germany is against the binding requirement. Instead, we propose to make the delivery of table 29 VOLUNTARY. I attach our written opinion on table 29 which substantiates our reservation and proposes to make the delivery of table 29 voluntary. It would be extremely helpful for us, if your delegations could approach your Ministries responsible for Pension Insurance to support the German position and to organise as much support as possible. The German Ministry of Labour and Social Affairs is not responsible for the Regulation but for Pension Insurance so that you might have to contact your Ministry responsible for the Working Party on Statistics. Thank you very much for your support. Kind regards Bruno Bruno Barth Social Affairs Counsellor Permanent Representation of Germany to the EU Rue Jacques de Lalaing 8-14 B-1040 Brussels Tel: +32(0)2 787 1322 Mobil: +32(0)473 737208 Fax: +32(0)2 787 2322 E-Mail: bruno.barth@diplo.de NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Sanjiv Mahajan on 24/02/2012 at 14:06 Title: Bill Cash enquiry about European statistics Categorisation International Coordination\International Organisation\Eurostat\General Note for the record Matthew Shearing 23/02/2012 10:09 To: cc: Subject: Sanjiv Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@ONS, Tom.Orfo Fw: Bill Cash enquiry about European statistics Gents - a head-up that a request for briefing (on the pensions stuff) might come your way once we've set up the meeting. Cheers Matthew Shearing | Head of International Relations | National Statistician's Office | UK Statistics Authority | Tel: +44 (0)1633 455739 Mob: +44 (0)7801 522812 | Email:matthew.shearing@statistics.gsi.gov.uk | www.statisticsauthority.gov.uk/national-statistician/index.html ----- Forwarded by Matthew Shearing/ONS on 23/02/2012 10:08 ----Leslie.Saunders@cabinetoffice.x.gsi.gov.uk 23/02/2012 09:22 To Matthew Shearing/ONS@ONS, Stephen.Muers@cabinetoffice.x.gsi.gov.uk cc National Statistician@ONS, Richard Alldritt/LONDON/ONS@ONS, Ross Young/LONDON/ONS@ONS, dominique.lam@hmtreasury.gsi.gov.uk Subject RE: Bill Cash enquiry about European statistics Matthew Thanks for copying me in. I’ve also copied to Dominique Lam, Scrutiny coordinator at the Treasury. The debate earlier this week was a Treasury led scrutiny debate following the European Scrutiny Committee’s consideration of: Proposal for a Council Regulation adjusting, from 1 July 2011, the rate of contribution to the pension scheme of officials and other servants of the European Union ADD 1 Commission Staff Working Paper accompanying the Proposal for a Council Regulation adjusting, from 1 July 2011, the rate of contribution to the pension scheme of officials and other servants of the European Union - Eurostat report on the 2011 update of the 2010 actuarial assessment of the Pension Scheme for European Officials (PSEO). Bill Cash’s cttee recommended the debate. I enclose the Committee’s report and Hansard transcript in case not seen. Les Les Saunders Cabinet Office European & Global Issues Secretariat Tel: 0207 276 0190 From: Matthew Shearing [mailto:matthew.shearing@statistics.gsi.gov.uk] Sent: 22 February 2012 17:49 To: Muers, Stephen - Economic and Domestic Affairs Secretariat (Cabinet Office) Cc: Saunders Les - EGIS (Cabinet Office); national.statistician@statistics.gsi.gov.uk; Richard Alldritt; Ross Young Subject: Bill Cash enquiry about European statistics Stephen, I received a phone call yesterday directly from Bill Cash in his role as Chair of the European Scrutiny Committee (he had been routed to me via the ONS customer contact centre). Despite some difficulty in my understanding his precise purposes, he had a series of wide-ranging questions that centred around the reliability of official statistics coming from both Eurostat and other EU Member States. Fortunately, he was contacting us on the basis that the UK had some of the highest of standards in this respect. He was phoning with a view to getting input to a debate he was going to have on the floor of the Commons yesterday afternoon. Some of his questions were either too detailed for me to answer or too broad-ranging to answer in a hurried telephone conversation. It was however cordially agreed that he would survive yesterday without further detailed input, but he would benefit from talking to officials from the UK Stats Authority in person at a later date in order to better understand the official statistics landscape in the EU. Specifically, he enquired about the reliability of a report published by Eurostat last year on pension contributions that is being used by the Commission to justify proposed pay rises for Commission staff (which I believe related to his Commons appointment). However, he soon revealed wider frustrations with the statistical situation in Europe, citing the Greek case in particular (of which I clarified a little), and its impact on the work of his Committee. He wanted to know what he should or shouldn't trust. Using the contact details he gave me for his office, I propose that I now seek to arrange a meeting with Bill, myself, Jil Matheson and Richard Alldrittt as soon as convenient. Grateful for your advice before I take further action. Thanks and regards, Matthew Matthew Shearing | Head of International Relations | National Statistician's Office | UK Statistics Authority | Tel: +44 (0)1633 455739 Mob: +44 (0)7801 522812 | Email:matthew.shearing@statistics.gsi.gov.uk | www.statisticsauthority.gov.uk/national-statistician/index.html For information on the work of the UK Statistics Authority visit: http://www.statisticsauthority.gov.uk NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Sanjiv Mahajan on 15/01/2012 at 13:50 Title: Meeting of the CWP on Statistics, 17 January 2012 German position on ESA2010, Annex B, Table 29 of the transmission programme "Pension schemes in social insurance". R R e p o n e T o R e p o n e Re esssp po on nssse eT To oR Re esssp po on nssse e Note for the record Miriam.BennettHoulton@fco.gsi.gov.u k 13/01/2012 16:27 To: cc: Subject: Regional Accounts Matthew Shearing/ONS@ONS Sanjiv Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@ONS RE: Urgent: Pension schemes in social insurance - Problem in Thanks Matthew, Please see attached a response from DWP on the query. I have referred them to your response. You may wish to discuss the position with them. Best wishes, Miriam From: Matthew Shearing [mailto:matthew.shearing@statistics.gsi.gov.uk] Sent: 13 January 2012 17:20 To: Miriam Bennett-Houlton (Restricted) Cc: Sanjiv Mahajan Subject: Re: Urgent: Pension schemes in social insurance - Problem in view of the proposal for a Regulation on the European System Of National And Regional Accounts Miriam Yes. And, yes. Thanks Matthew Matthew Shearing | Head of International Relations | National Statistician's Office | UK Statistics Authority | Tel: +44 (0)1633 455739 Mob: +44 (0)7801 522812 | Email:matthew.shearing@statistics.gsi.gov.uk | www.statisticsauthority.gov.uk/national-statistician/index.html Miriam.BennettHoulton@fco.gsi.gov.uk 13/01/2012 16:02 ToMatthew Shearing/ONS@ONS ccSanjiv Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@ONS, Joe Grice/ONS@ONS, Caron Walker/OFD/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS@ONS SubjRE: Urgent: Pension schemes in social insurance - Problem in view of the proposal for a Regulation on the ectEuropean System Of National And Regional Accounts Mathew, Thank you for this. So are you going to discuss with the German experts? Are you happy for me to feed back to my German oppo that we can in part support them and our experts will be contacting theirs next week to discuss the details? I will ensure any future correspondence goes to you and is copied to the address you gave. Thanks, Miriam From: Matthew Shearing [mailto:matthew.shearing@statistics.gsi.gov.uk] Sent: 13 January 2012 16:49 To: Miriam Bennett-Houlton (Restricted) Cc: Sanjiv Mahajan; Joe Grice (ONS) (Restricted); Caron Walker Subject: Re: Urgent: Pension schemes in social insurance - Problem in view of the proposal for a Regulation on the European System Of National And Regional Accounts Miriam, Having spoken to our national accounts expert, the UK can in part support the German proposal in respect of the revision to ESA not establishing an obligation to report these data. But we will need to discuss with our German colleagues the stipulation that it be left to Member States to include these figures in the framework of their national accounts. We are concerned that this may lead to figures that may not be comparable being released as European statistics, especially with only a partial coverage of Member States reflecting the different stages of statistical developments in this domain. The goal for any European statistics is to ensure that figures should be released when they are comparable and with as full coverage as possible between MS. I am positive on the possibilities that we can discuss this with our German colleagues with a mutually beneficial outcome for both UK and Germany. We will begin this process on Monday. Grateful if you can ensure that further correspondence on statistical matters is referred to myself in the first instance and copied to international@ons.gsi.gov.uk Thanks Matthew Matthew Shearing | Head of International Relations | National Statistician's Office | UK Statistics Authority | Tel: +44 (0)1633 455739 Mob: +44 (0)7801 522812 | Email:matthew.shearing@statistics.gsi.gov.uk | www.statisticsauthority.gov.uk/national-statistician/index.html Miriam.BennettHoulton@fco.gsi.gov.uk 13/01/2012 15:16 ToMatthew Shearing/ONS@ONS, Sanjiv Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@ONS cc SubjRE: Urgent: Pension schemes in social insurance - Problem in view of the proposal for a Regulation on the ectEuropean System Of National And Regional Accounts Both, For liaison purposes, please be aware that this has also been sent to Caron Walker and Joe Grice – see attached. Miriam From: Matthew Shearing [mailto:matthew.shearing@statistics.gsi.gov.uk] Sent: 13 January 2012 15:11 To: Sanjiv Mahajan Cc: Miriam Bennett-Houlton (Restricted) Subject: Fw: Urgent: Pension schemes in social insurance - Problem in view of the proposal for a Regulation on the European System Of National And Regional Accounts Sanjiv, I appreciate you are on leave until Monday. Could you urgently attend to advising FCO on whether or not we could support the German proposal please? We can then take this forward with our German colleagues in Brussels on Monday evening and in the meeting on Tuesday. Thanks Matthew Matthew Shearing | Head of International Relations | National Statistician's Office | UK Statistics Authority | Tel: +44 (0)1633 455739 Mob: +44 (0)7801 522812 | Email:matthew.shearing@statistics.gsi.gov.uk | www.statisticsauthority.gov.uk/national-statistician/index.html ----- Forwarded by Matthew Shearing/ONS on 13/01/2012 14:03 ----- Will.Garton@fco.gsi.g ov.uk 13/01/2012 13:45 ToMiriam.Bennett-Houlton@fco.gsi.gov.uk ccMatthew Shearing/ONS@ONS SubjRE: Urgent: Pension schemes in social insurance - Problem in view of the proposal for a Regulation on the European ectSystem Of National And Regional Accounts Miriam, Matthew attends this group. Will W: (+32) (0) 2 287 8223. M: (+32) (0) 476 860 801 -----Original Message----From: Miriam Bennett-Houlton (Restricted) Sent: 13 January 2012 11:12 To: Alan Napier (DWP) (Restricted); JOHN.MCCALLION1@DWP.GSI.GOV.UK; Carson, Frank - HMT; Micklem, Bridget - HMT; Brown, Julian - HMT; Liz Tillett (DWP) (Restricted) Cc: Christopher Hobley (Restricted); Alessandro Hillman (Restricted); Will Garton (Restricted) Subject: FW: Urgent: Pension schemes in social insurance - Problem in view of the proposal for a Regulation on the European System Of National And Regional Accounts Dear all, Please see the below request for support from my German oppo on pensions. London, please could you advise whether we can support this? Copied to Will Garton, who attends the Statistics working group. Miriam -----Original Message----From: .BRUEEU SOZ-2 Barth, Bruno [mailto:soz-2-eu@brue.auswaertiges-amt.de] Sent: 12 January 2012 17:57 Subject: Urgent: Pension schemes in social insurance - Problem in view of the proposal for a Regulation on the European System Of National And Regional Accounts Dear colleagues, May I draw your attention to a serious problem we have with the attached proposal for a Regulation on the European System of National and Regional Accounts currently discussed in the Working Party on Statistics. The next and probably final meeting of the Working Party is scheduled for 17 January. The problem concerns the pension schemes in social insurance. The Regulation stipulates the binding requirement for Member States to deliver table 29 of Annex B "pension schemes in social insurance". Germany is against the binding requirement. Instead, we propose to make the delivery of table 29 VOLUNTARY. I attach our written opinion on table 29 which substantiates our reservation and proposes to make the delivery of table 29 voluntary. It would be extremely helpful for us, if your delegations could approach your Ministries responsible for Pension Insurance to support the German position and to organise as much support as possible. The German Ministry of Labour and Social Affairs is not responsible for the Regulation but for Pension Insurance so that you might have to contact your Ministry responsible for the Working Party on Statistics. Thank you very much for your support. Kind regards Bruno Bruno Barth Social Affairs Counsellor Permanent Representation of Germany to the EU Rue Jacques de Lalaing 8-14 B-1040 Brussels Tel: +32(0)2 787 1322 Mobil: +32(0)473 737208 Fax: +32(0)2 787 2322 E-Mail: bruno.barth@diplo.de ******************************************************************************** *** Visit http://www.fco.gov.uk for British foreign policy news and travel advice and http://blogs.fco.gov.uk to read our blogs. This email (with any attachments) is intended for the attention of the addressee(s) only. If you are not the intended recipient, please inform the sender straight away before deleting the message without copying, distributing or disclosing its contents to any other person or organisation. Unauthorised use, disclosure, storage or copying is not permitted. Any views or opinions expressed in this e-mail do not necessarily reflect the FCO's policy. The FCO keeps and uses information in line with the Data Protection Act 1998. Personal information may be released to other UK government departments and public authorities. All messages sent and received by members of the Foreign & Commonwealth Office and its missions overseas may be automatically logged, monitored and/or recorded in accordance with the Telecommunications (Lawful Business Practice) (Interception of Communications) Regulations 2000. ******************************************************************************** *** For information on the work of the UK Statistics Authority visit: http://www.statisticsauthority.gov.uk *********************************************************************** Please Note: Incoming and outgoing email messages are routinely monitored for compliance with our policy on the use of electronic communications ************************************************************************ Legal Disclaimer: Any views expressed by the sender of this message are not necessarily those of the UK Statistics Authority ************************************************************************ ******************************************************************************** *** Visit http://www.fco.gov.uk for British foreign policy news and travel advice and http://blogs.fco.gov.uk to read our blogs. This email (with any attachments) is intended for the attention of the addressee(s) only. If you are not the intended recipient, please inform the sender straight away before deleting the message without copying, distributing or disclosing its contents to any other person or organisation. Unauthorised use, disclosure, storage or copying is not permitted. Any views or opinions expressed in this e-mail do not necessarily reflect the FCO's policy. The FCO keeps and uses information in line with the Data Protection Act 1998. Personal information may be released to other UK government departments and public authorities. All messages sent and received by members of the Foreign & Commonwealth Office and its missions overseas may be automatically logged, monitored and/or recorded in accordance with the Telecommunications (Lawful Business Practice) (Interception of Communications) Regulations 2000. ******************************************************************************** *** ----- Message from <SATISH.PARMAR@DWP.GSI.GOV.UK> on Fri, 13 Jan 2012 10:55:12 +0000 ----- To:<caron.walker@statistics.gsi.gov.uk>, <joe.grice@ons.gsi.gov.uk> cc:<FIONA.KILPATRICK@DWP.GSI.GOV.UK>, <Miriam.Bennett-Houlton@fco.gsi.gov.uk>, <alan.na SubjectFW: Urgent: Pension schemes in social insurance - Problem in view of the proposal for a Regulation on :Regional Accounts Joe/Caron The issue raised by the Germans (at the bottom of this email chain) seems to be directly relevant to ONS. I'm therefore passing on to you to consider in the context of your role(s) in the European Statistical Programme Committee. Many thanks Satish Satish Parmar | EU Social Security Coordination| Managing EU Policy | Department for Work and Pensions | Level 2 | Caxton House | 6-12 Tothill Street | London SW1H 9NA Telephone: 00 44 (0)20 7340 4330 | Ext: 23330 Email: satish.parmar@dwp.gsi.gov.uk -----Original Message----From: Kilpatrick Fiona STRATEGY INTERNATIONAL Sent: 12 January 2012 17:05 To: Parmar Satish STRATEGY INTERNATIONAL Subject: Fw: Urgent: Pension schemes in social insurance - Problem in view of the proposal for a Regulation on the European System Of National And Regional Accounts Satish - can't see if this has gone to you - could you deal please? Thanks Fiona From Blackberry ----- Original Message ----From: .BRUEEU SOZ-2 Barth, Bruno [mailto:soz-2-eu@brue.auswaertiges-amt.de] Sent: Thursday, January 12, 2012 04:56 PM Subject: Urgent: Pension schemes in social insurance - Problem in view of the proposal for a Regulation on the European System Of National And Regional Accounts Dear colleagues, May I draw your attention to a serious problem we have with the attached proposal for a Regulation on the European System of National and Regional Accounts currently discussed in the Working Party on Statistics. The next and probably final meeting of the Working Party is scheduled for 17 January. The problem concerns the pension schemes in social insurance. The Regulation stipulates the binding requirement for Member States to deliver table 29 of Annex B "pension schemes in social insurance". Germany is against the binding requirement. Instead, we propose to make the delivery of table 29 VOLUNTARY. I attach our written opinion on table 29 which substantiates our reservation and proposes to make the delivery of table 29 voluntary. It would be extremely helpful for us, if your delegations could approach your Ministries responsible for Pension Insurance to support the German position and to organise as much support as possible. The German Ministry of Labour and Social Affairs is not responsible for the Regulation but for Pension Insurance so that you might have to contact your Ministry responsible for the Working Party on Statistics. Thank you very much for your support. Kind regards Bruno Bruno Barth Social Affairs Counsellor Permanent Representation of Germany to the EU Rue Jacques de Lalaing 8-14 B-1040 Brussels Tel: +32(0)2 787 1322 Mobil: +32(0)473 737208 Fax: +32(0)2 787 2322 E-Mail: bruno.barth@diplo.de ***************************** [attachment "German opinion on Annex B Table 29 Pension schemes in social insurance - WorkingGroup Statistics.doc" deleted by Matthew Shearing/ONS] [attachment "Document in all languages.htm" deleted by Matthew Shearing/ONS] [attachment "Annex B english text.pdf" deleted by Matthew Shearing/ONS] [attachment "Proposal of the regulation english version.pdf" deleted by Matthew Shearing/ONS] For information on the work of the UK Statistics Authority visit: http://www.statisticsauthority.gov.uk ----- Message from <LINDSEY.LEWIS@DWP.GSI.GOV.UK> on Fri, 13 Jan 2012 16:13:22 +0000 ----- To: <Miriam.Bennett-Houlton@fco.gsi.gov.uk>, <Will.Garton@fco.gsi.gov.uk> <alan.napier@dwp.gsi.gov.uk>, <JOHN.MCCALLION1@DWP.GSI.GOV.UK>, <Frank.Carson@hmt cc: <Julian.Brown@hmtreasury.gsi.gov.uk>, <liz.tillett@dwp.gsi.gov.uk>, <Christopher.Hobley@fco.gsi.g <KEVIN.HUGHES@DWP.GSI.GOV.UK> Subject RE: Urgent: Pension schemes in social insurance - Problem in view of the proposal for a Regulation on : Hello Miriam, I've asked our analysts to look at the table and they confirm that this would be very difficult for the UK to comply with and would represent a significant additional data collection burden for us. (Some parts are probably not possible for us to collect). So we should definitely support the German proposal to make this a voluntary requirement on this basis, alongside the principle that we should avoid placing additional reporting burdens on Member States except where absolutely necessary. Will - is there a UK National Statistics Authority official who leads on this overall? If so, would you be able to make sure that he/she is in the loop on this issue? Many thanks. Kind Regards, Lindsey Lindsey Lewis International Unit Department for Work and Pensions Tel. +44 (0)20 73404028 (ext. 23028) mailto:lindsey.lewis@dwp.gsi.gov.uk -----Original Message----From: mailto:Miriam.Bennett-Houlton@fco.gsi.gov.uk] Sent: 13 January 2012 10:12 To: Napier Alan PENSIONS PRIVATE; Mccallion John STRATEGY PRIVATE PENSIONS; Frank.Carson@hmtreasury.gsi.gov.uk; Bridget.Micklem@hmtreasury.gsi.gov.uk; Julian.Brown@hmtreasury.gsi.gov.uk; Tillett Liz STRATEGY INTERNATIONAL Cc: Christopher.Hobley@fco.gsi.gov.uk; Alessandro.Hillman@fco.gsi.gov.uk; Will.Garton@fco.gsi.gov.uk Subject: FW: Urgent: Pension schemes in social insurance - Problem in view of the proposal for a Regulation on the European System Of National And Regional Accounts Dear all, Please see the below request for support from my German oppo on pensions. London, please could you advise whether we can support this? Copied to Will Garton, who attends the Statistics working group. Miriam -----Original Message----From: .BRUEEU SOZ-2 Barth, Bruno [mailto:soz-2-eu@brue.auswaertiges-amt.de] Sent: 12 January 2012 17:57 Subject: Urgent: Pension schemes in social insurance - Problem in view of the proposal for a Regulation on the European System Of National And Regional Accounts Dear colleagues, May I draw your attention to a serious problem we have with the attached proposal for a Regulation on the European System of National and Regional Accounts currently discussed in the Working Party on Statistics. The next and probably final meeting of the Working Party is scheduled for 17 January. The problem concerns the pension schemes in social insurance. The Regulation stipulates the binding requirement for Member States to deliver table 29 of Annex B "pension schemes in social insurance". Germany is against the binding requirement. Instead, we propose to make the delivery of table 29 VOLUNTARY. I attach our written opinion on table 29 which substantiates our reservation and proposes to make the delivery of table 29 voluntary. It would be extremely helpful for us, if your delegations could approach your Ministries responsible for Pension Insurance to support the German position and to organise as much support as possible. The German Ministry of Labour and Social Affairs is not responsible for the Regulation but for Pension Insurance so that you might have to contact your Ministry responsible for the Working Party on Statistics. Thank you very much for your support. Kind regards Bruno Bruno Barth Social Affairs Counsellor Permanent Representation of Germany to the EU Rue Jacques de Lalaing 8-14 B-1040 Brussels Tel: +32(0)2 787 1322 Mobil: +32(0)473 737208 Fax: +32(0)2 787 2322 E-Mail: bruno.barth@diplo.de NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Sanjiv Mahajan on 09/12/2011 at 14:33 Title: ESA 2010 - document on table 29 DEADLINE 9/12/11 at noon - UK Response R R e p o n e Re esssp po on nssse e Note for the record Sanjiv Mahajan To: cc: Subject: 09/12/2011 11:40 dgg.statis.ecofin@consilium.europa.eu, pl2011@stat.gov.pl ESA 2010 - document on table 29 DEADLINE 9/12/11 at noon To whom it may concern, Attached is the UK response covering Table 2, there are two key points. (1) This proposal has addressed some of the issues raised. However, the main issue still needs to be addressed: the need to delete Row 2.5 ('Less: Pension scheme service charges'). This has been discussed within the Pensions Task Force and it needs to be deleted in order to be consistent with the table in Chapter 17. (2) A more minor point is that footnotes 7 and 8 seem to be a repetition of 5 and 6. The above points are in response to the document below: Can you please confirm receipt of this response. Best regards. Sanjiv Mr Sanjiv Mahajan Head of International Strategy and Coordination National Accounts Coordination and Development Room 2.101 Office for National Statistics Government Buildings Cardiff Road Newport Wales NP10 8XG Work no. E-mail: +44 (0) 1633 45 5294 sanjiv.mahajan@ons.gov.uk COUNCIL OF THE EUROPEAN UNION Brussels, 6 December 2011 DS 1737/1/11 REV 1 LIMITE ROOM DOCUMENT from: Presidency to: Delegations Subject: Proposal for a Regulation of the European Parliament and of the Council on the European system of national and regional accounts in European Union (ESA 2010) - Presidency proposal on Table 29 (Annex B) Delegations will find attached the revised Presidency proposal on Table 29; changes aim at ensuring consistency with table 17.5 as set out in Chapter 17 (Annex A). _________________ Encl: ANNEX Table 29: Pension schemes in social insurance Recording Core national accounts Pension manager Relations Code Non-general government General government Defined benefit schemes for general government employees2) Defined contribution schemes Defined benefit schemes and other1) non-defined contribution schemes Total Defined contribution schemes Code XPC1W XPB1W XPCB1 W Column number A B C Row No. Not in the core nation Classified in financial corporations Classified in general govt 3) Classified in general government XPCG XPBG12 XPBG13 XPBOUT13 D E F G Opening balance sheet XAF63L S 1 Pension entitlements Changes in pension entitlements due to transactions Σ 2.1 to 2.4 – 2.5 Increase in pension entitlements due to social contributions XD61p 2 XD6111 2.1 Employer actual social contributions XD6121 2.2 Employer imputed social contributions XD6131 2.3 Household actual social contributions XD6141 2.4 Household social contribution supplements5) XD61SC 2.5 Less: Pension scheme service charges So pe sch Other (actuarial) change of pension entitlements in social security pension schemes Reduction in pension entitlements due to payment of pension benefits Changes in pension entitlements due to social contributions and pension benefits Transfers of pension entitlements between schemes Change in entitlements due to negotiated changes in scheme structure Changes in pension entitlements due to other flows Changes in entitlements due to revaluations6) Changes in entitlements due to other changes in volume 6) Closing balance sheet Pension entitlements Related indicators Output 1) Such other non-defined contribution schemes, often described as hybrid schemes, have both a defined benefit and a defined contribution element. 2) Schemes organised by general government for its current and former employees. 3) These are non-autonomous defined benefit schemes whose pension entitlements are recorded in the core national accounts. 4) Counterpart data for non-resident households will only be shown separately when pension relationships with the rest of the world are significant. 5) These supplements represent the return on members' claims on pension schemes, both through investment income on defined contribution schemes' assets and for defined benefit schemes through the unwinding of the discount rate applied. 6) A more detailed split of these positions has to be provided for columns G and H based on the model calculations carried out for these schemes. The cells shown as █are not applicable; the cells in ▒will contain different data from the core national accounts. 7) These supplements represent the return on members' claims on pension schemes, both through investment income on defined contribution schemes' assets and for defined benefit schemes through the unwinding of the discount rate applied. 8) A more detailed split of these positions should be provided for columns G and H based on the model calculations carried out for these schemes. The cells shown in black are not applicable; the cells shown in grey will contain different data from the standard accounts. _________________ NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Eva Haworth/ONS on 21/07/2010 at 11:42 Title: Closed - Owen James - 21/07/10 Categorisation Production and Analysis\Requests for Information 2010 \ 07. July Doug Baker 28/07/2010 13:30 To: ojames@cebr.com cc: Harry Duff/STID/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS@ONS, D Robinson/BDD/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS@ONS, Eva Jones/ONS@ONS Subject: DATA REQUEST Owen, Good afternoon. In reply to your data request please see the spreadsheet attached that shows Current Price (CP) and Constant Price (KP) £m data for the whole economy divided into Sectors, Sub-Sectors and Divisions. Your interest in Financial Intermediation is described below: SECTION J FINANCIAL INTERMEDIATION DIVISION 65 FINANCIAL INTERMEDIATION, EXCEPT INSURANCE AND PENSION FUNDING INSURANCE AND PENSION FUNDING, EXCEPT COMPULSORY SOCIAL SECURITY ACTIVITIES AUXILIARY TO FINANCIAL INTERMEDIATION DIVISION 66 DIVISION 67 CURRENT PRICE (CP) CONSTANT PRICE (KP) Column AJ Column EE Column CH Column GA Column CI Column GB Column CJ Column GC CP_&_KP_£M_WITH _INDUSTRIES_as at BB2010.xls We trust that this data meets with your requirement. Kind Regards Doug Baker Claire Burridge 21/07/2010 11:33 Please respond to info To: cc: Subject: CCC201315 gdp@ons.gsi.gov.uk Financial intermediation as a share of UK GDP - R Dear colleague, Please could you help with the following email? The customer's email address is : ojames@cebr.com Thanks Claire Burridge Customer Advisor | Cynghorydd Cwsmeriaid Customer Intelligence | Cudd-wybodaeth Cwsmeriaid Room 1.101 | Ystafell 1.101 Office for National Statistics | Swyddfa Ystadegau Gwladol Government Buildings | Adeiladau'r Llywodraeth Cardiff Road | Heol Caerdydd Newport | Casnewydd NP10 8XG Telephone 0845 6013034 | Ffôn: 0845 6013034 Communication Matters | Materion Cyfathrebu Communication Division | Is-adran Gyfathrebu Dear Sir / Madame, I would like to get information on Financial Information. I would like to be able to build a series showing Financial intermediation as a share of UK GDP. I can find index values for Financial Intermediation but no base dat. Regards, Owen James economist cebr Unit 1, 4 Bath Street, LondonEC1V 9DX direct line: 020 7324 2864 switchboard: 020 7324 2850 fax: 020 7324 2855 email: ojames@cebr.com NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Sanjiv Mahajan on 12/11/2010 at 16:59 Title: Pensions Comments tcg Categorisation International Coordination\Pensions Note for the record Ismael.AHAMDANECHZARCO@ec.europa.eu 11/11/2010 11:14 To: caricchi@istat.it, acristobal@ine.es, Ana.AGUNDEZ-GARCIA@ Anne.Greiveldinger@statec.etat.lu, Aharrison1@worldbank.org, anne.mulkay@nbb.be, asuncion.ru bio@dst.dk, Giuseppe.Carone@ec.europa.eu, xrisisk@statistics.gr, Clyde.Caruana@gov.mt, ddam VRIES@ec.europa.eu, didier.blanchet@insee.fr, Dominique.Durant@banque-france.fr, Per.Eckefe Susana.Filipa.Lima@bportugal.pt, Lena.Frej-Ohlsson@ec.europa.eu, Gabriele.Semeraro@bancad Christopher.Garland@ec.europa.eu, georgeta.mondiru@insse.ro, Gsarris@cystat.mof.gov.cy, Gera Gillian.Phelan@centralbank.ie, Jens.GRUETZ@ec.europa.eu, guy.schuller@statec.etat.lu, hkulaks Isabelle.YNESTA@oecd.org, I.Kuseleviciene@finmin.lt, Janusz.Jablonowski@mail.nbp.pl, j.geerts@ jonas.edblom@scb.se, Jose.Sergio.Branco@bportugal.pt, Kamil.DYBCZAK@ec.europa.eu, caruan Denis.Leythienne@ec.europa.eu, Liene.Gintere@csb.gov.lv, ludmila.vebrova@czso.cz, lgordo@bd marian_labaj@nbs.sk, marjana.klinar@gov.si, marta.rodriguez@ecb.europa.eu, maura.francese@b mikk.medijainen@stat.ee, MDimcheva@nsi.bg, Mira.Lehmuskoski@stat.fi, Josemaria.Olivares@ec Paula.Koistinen-Jokiniemi@stat.fi, malizia@istat.it, razvan.miroescu@bnro.ro, reimund.mink@ecb. Levy/ONS@ONS, thorsten.haug@destatis.de, Tom.Dominique@igss.etat.lu, Tomas.Paulauskas@ vija.veidemane@csb.gov.lv, Walter.Stuebler@statistik.gv.at, Jakub.Wtorek@ec.europa.eu, sisakne cc: christoph.mueller@vwl.uni-freiburg.de Subject: Comments tcg Dear colleagues, Once again, I would like to thank you for your participation and comments during the workshop. Please, see attached the presence liste to the event. On the other hand, I would like to remind you that, as agreed yesterday in the closing remarks of the workshop, your comments on the draft of the Technical Compilation Guide are welcome until November the 30th. With best regards, Ismael Ahamdanech Zarco European Commission Eurostat.Unit C5: Government and sector accounts; Financial indicators Office E3/818, Bech Building. Rue Alphonse Weicker, 5.L-2920, Luxembourg Phone: (+352)430138893 Fax: (+352)430134389 <<presence_list.doc>> This email was received from the INTERNET and scanned by the Government Secure Intranet anti-virus service supplied by Cable&Wireless Worldwide in partnership with MessageLabs. (CCTM Certificate Number 2009/09/0052.) In case of problems, please call your organisation?x02019;s IT Helpdesk. Communications via the GSi may be automatically logged, monitored and/or recorded for legal presence_list.doc purposes. NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Sanjiv Mahajan on 15/05/2012 at 12:23 Title: Statistics at Coreper on Wed 16 May 2012 Request from Miriam Bennett-Houlton R R e p o n e Re esssp po on nssse e Note for the record Miriam.BennettHoulton@fco.gsi.gov.uk To Matthew Shearing/ONS@ONS 14/05/2012 16:51 cc Sanjiv Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@ONS Subject RE: FW: Coreper: 16 May Great, just checking! Miriam From: Matthew Shearing [mailto:matthew.shearing@statistics.gsi.gov.uk] Sent: 14 May 2012 17:44 To: Miriam Bennett-Houlton (Restricted) Cc: Sanjiv Mahajan Subject: Re: FW: Coreper: 16 May Hi Miriam, Sanjiv will be briefing. I am hoping he will be able to do so Tuesday am asap. Thanks Matthew Matthew Shearing | Head of International Relations | National Statistician's Office | UK Statistics Authority | Tel: +44 (0)1633 455739 Mob: +44 (0)7801 522812 | Email:matthew.shearing@statistics.gsi.gov.uk | www.statisticsauthority.gov.uk/nationalstatistician/index.html Miriam.Bennett-Houlton@fco.gsi.gov.uk 14/05/2012 16:34 ToMatthew Shearing/ONS@ONS cc SubjectFW: Coreper: 16 May Hi Matthew, I just wanted to check with you on the accounts point below – will you be briefing on this? FYI my German colleague has been lobbying hard on the mandatory pensions supplementary table, and Sanjiv confirmed that we do not share the German concerns but we will abstain rather than voting against them when they raise the issue. See attached. Thanks Miriam Miriam Bennett Houlton | Second Secretary, Employment, Social Affairs and Equality | UK Representation to the EU | Avenue d'Auderghem 10 | Brussels 1040 Email: miriam.bennett-houlton@fco.gov.uk | Tel: +32 (0) 2287 8221 | FTN: 8316 5221 | Mobile: +32 (0) 477 780 620 | www.ukeu.fco.gov.uk From: Oliver Thomassen * (Restricted) Sent: 14 May 2012 15:29 To: DL UKREP Counsellors (Restricted); DL UKREP Desk Officers (Restricted) Cc: Andrew Hood* (Restricted); Oliver Thomassen * (Restricted); Cunliffe Private Office UKRep (Restricted); Josephine Kamara (Restricted) Subject: Coreper: 16 May Dear all – Apologies if you have already seen the Coreper agenda for this week – it’s not officially a Coreper without my little weekly e-mail. They may flood your inbox, but you’ll miss them when they’re gone. Coreper will be this week – Wednesday 16 May – starting at 10h15. Why 10h15? Because there will be a little chat on Irish Protocols from 10h00-10h15; then it will lead into the regular Coreper agenda. A Coreper lunch will be hosted by Van Daele, and then Coreper will resume to finish off the remaining issues. So please bring briefs to me by tomorrow – Tuesday 15 May – by 16h00. We will attempt to have a pre-Coreper prep meeting in Jon’s office on Wednesday morning (this is not confirmed as of yet), so your flexibility is genuinely and greatly appreciated. As always – please call for questions! Agenda as follows: In the margins of COREPER : (Legal Section) 10h00 : IGC - Irish Protocol ° ° (ECOFIN Representative) May 2012 ° Follow-up of the Council meeting (Economic and Financial Affairs) on 15 (Matt Hinde et al.) Proposal for a Regulation of the European Parliament and of the Council amending Decision n° 1639/2006/EC establishing a Competitiveness and Innovation Framework Programme (2007-2013) and Regulation (EC) n° 680/2007 laying down general rules for the granting of Community financial aid in the field of the trans-European transport and energy networks [First Reading] = Preparation for the next informal trilogue 9855/12 ECOFIN 400 COMPET 264 TRANS 147 RECH 140 ENER 164 ENV 352 TELECOM 92 ECO 61 CODEC 1287 9857/12 ECOFIN 402 COMPET 265 TRANS 148 RECH 141 ENER 166 ENV 354 TELECOM 93 ECO 62 CODEC 1288 (ECOFIN – sorry, who is this? Iain Frew?) Proposal for a Regulation of the European Parliament and of the Council on the European system of national and regional accounts in the European Union (ESA 2010)[First Reading] = Preparation for the informal trilogue 9747/12 STATIS 40 ECOFIN 395 UEM 108 CODEC 1260 9086/12 STATIS 28 ECOFIN 348 UEM 77 CODEC 1060 + ADD 1 to 26 (JHA Section / Sam Hill) 7/8 June 2012 Presentation of the agenda for the Council meeting (Justice and Home Affairs) on (Sam Hill) Amended proposal for a Directive of the European Parliament and of the Council on common procedures for granting and withdrawing international protection status (Recast) [First Reading] = Preparation for the first informal trilogue 9831/12 ASILE 80 CODEC 1278 (Tania Celani) = Draft Council conclusions 9845/12 JAI 327 ASIM 53 Readmission agreement RESTREINT UE (EP Section / Elin Burns) Proposal for a Directive amending Directive 93/109/EC of 6 December 1993 on the right to stand as a candidate in elections to the European Parliament for citizens of the Union residing in a Member State of which they are not nationals = Agreement on the text and decision to re-consult the European Parliament 9353/12 FREMP 67 JAI 297 PE 182 INST 307 (Elin Burns) Relations with the European Parliament (May 2012) 9554/12 PE 189 INST 318 POLGEN 75 CODEC 1186 (Mihir Joshi / Pauline Clarke) Follow-up of the Council meeting (Foreign Affairs/Development) on 14 May 2012 (Lucy Ahad) Preparation of the Council meeting (Foreign Affairs/Trade) on 31 May 2012 = Other items in connection with the Council meeting (Andy Hood) Preparation of the Council meeting (General Affairs) on 29 May 2012 (Will Garton) Multiannual Financial Framework (2014-2020) - Section of the Negotiating Box relating to Headings 1 (cohesion and CEF) and 2 9772/12 CADREFIN 243 POLGEN 82 - Section of the Negotiating Box relating to the revenue side 9773/12 CADREFIN 244 POLGEN 83 b) Other items in connection with the Council meeting ° ° (Andy Hood et al) ° p.m. : Lunch w/ Van Daele Oliver Thomassen | Deputy Antici | UK Permanent Representation to the EU | Avenue d'Auderghem 10, 1040 Brussels | email: oliver.thomassen@fco.gov.uk Telephone: +0032 (0) 2287 8282 Fax: +0032 (0) 2287 8396 Mobile: +0032 (0) 498 169 047 FTN: 8316 5282 ----- Message from <Miriam.Bennett-Houlton@fco.gsi.gov.uk> on Tue, 8 May 2012 15:16:30 +0100 ----- To:<soz-2-eu@brue.auswaertiges-amt.de> cc:<Christopher.Hobley@fco.gsi.gov.uk> SubjectRE: Urgent: COERPER 16 May - Implicit State :Liability Dear Bruno We understand your concerns, but we think that it is reasonable for the supplementary table on pensions to be mandatory because the publication of all pensions liabilities (funded and unfunded) in all Member States would lead to an increased comparability of accounts statistics. Elements of the accounts which seen not to have a significant accounts); or for certain data do not satisfy either of these are voluntary are so because either they are impact on the overall accounts (satellite which some countries cannot provide. Pensions criteria. We recognise some of your concerns regarding the variability of the estimates and methodological assumptions, but overall we support the table being mandatory. I'm afraid that we won't support you on this point, but we will abstain rather than opposing your position. Best Miriam -----Original Message----From: .BRUEEU SOZ-2 Barth, Bruno [mailto:soz-2-eu@brue.auswaertiges-amt.de] Sent: 08 May 2012 15:12 To: Miriam Bennett-Houlton (Restricted); Christopher Hobley (Restricted); BEL Rabau Muriel; BEL Pernot, Annemie; CZE Zuzana ZAJAROSOVA; fenny.steenks@minbuza.nl; rob-van.iersel@minbuza.nl; petra.silovska@mzv.cz Cc: holger.winkler@bmas.bund.de Subject: Urgent: COERPER 16 May - Implicit State Liability Dear all, I informed you at the beginning of this year about a problem we have with the proposal for a Regulation on the European System of National and Regional Accounts. The proposal will be discussed in COREPER on 16 May. Germany proposed in the Working Group on Statistics that the revision of the ESA should not establisha an obligation to report these data. Right know there are 87 votes against the proposal which is not enough for a blocking minority of 91 votes. Germany plans to recall its reservation against the compulsory reporting in the next COREPER on 16 May. It would be very helpful for us, if you would ask your experts whether they are against the mandatory reporting and whether they can support the German position in next COREPER. Kind Regards Bruno Bruno Barth Social Affairs Counsellor Permanent Representation of Germany to the EU Rue Jacques de Lalaing 8-14 B1040 Brussels Tel: +32(0)2 787 1322 Mobil: +32(0)473 737208 Fax: +32(0)2 787 2322 E-Mail: bruno.barth@diplo.de ----Original Message----From: .BRUEEU SOZ-2 Barth, Bruno [mailto:soz-2-eu@brue.auswaertiges-amt.de] Sent: 12 January 2012 17:57 Subject: Urgent: Pension schemes in social insurance - Problem in view of the proposal for a Regulation on the European System Of National And Regional Accounts Dear colleagues, May I draw your attention to a serious problem we have with the attached proposal for a Regulation on the European System of National and Regional Accounts currently discussed in the Working Party on Statistics. The next and probably final meeting of the Working Party is scheduled for 17 January. The problem concerns the pension schemes in social insurance. The Regulation stipulates the binding requirement for Member States to deliver table 29 of Annex B "pension schemes in social insurance". Germany is against the binding requirement. Instead, we propose to make the delivery of table 29 VOLUNTARY. I attach our written opinion on table 29 which substantiates our reservation and proposes to make the delivery of table 29 voluntary. It would be extremely helpful for us, if your delegations could approach your Ministries responsible for Pension Insurance to support the German position and to organise as much support as possible. The German Ministry of Labour and Social Affairs is not responsible for the Regulation but for Pension Insurance so that you might have to contact your Ministry responsible for the Working Party on Statistics. Thank you very much for your support. Kind regards Bruno Bruno Barth Social Affairs Counsellor Permanent Representation of Germany to the EU Rue Jacques de Lalaing 8-14 B1040 Brussels Tel: +32(0)2 787 1322 Mobil: +32(0)473 737208 Fax: +32(0)2 787 2322 E-Mail: bruno.barth@diplo.de NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Sanjiv Mahajan on 25/11/2009 at 12:13 Title: ESA 10 - Comments on ESA 10 19-20 November meeting Item 3 - Countries responses on remaining methodological issues - Chapter 6, 7 and part of 20 Categorisation International Coordination\ESA Revision Note for the record Martin Kellaway 24/11/2009 15:33 To: cc: Subject: remaining methodological issues christian.ravets@ec.europa.eu Sanjiv Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@ONS ESA10 - Comments on ESA10 19/20 November meeting item 3 Dear Christian, ESA10 - Comments on ESA10 19/20 November meeting item 3 - Countries responses on remaining methodological issues I enclose comments on issues reflected in the document concerning chapters 6, 7 and the part of 20 I worked on. None of these were discussed in the meeting and in line with Gallo's suggestion on the process replies should be given to respondents on each of their points raised. So, here are my replies (I have copied Sanjiv in at this stage as UK was the most active in producing comments). 1) Switzerland pg16/17 - reference to #6.62 You will note that prior to this sentence there is a reference that it needs to be checked against later developments in chapters 16 and 17. There have now been developments. Paragraph 6.62 needs amending to clarify that for a defined benefit scheme the reserves change through an other volume change as they are determined by formula. For a defined contribution scheme chapter 17 has been updated to reflect the change in asset through revaluation resulting in a similar revaluation to the liabilities - this was on the SNA08 research agenda (see SNA08 #12.59). Suggested redraft: ... beneficiaries generally change ... changes. The exception is for defined contribution pension schemes, where the pension entitlements revalue in line with the holding gains and losses on the investment assets. 2) Germany pg 23 point 2 - chapter 20 and 'public sector', repeated pg 27 re #20.309-#20.362. Germany suggest deleting public sector because 'it is not an institutional unit'. Strongly disagree. This is included following a request for its inclusion. There is an overwhelming case for inclusion of a definition of both public and private sector in ESA10. The terms public and private are used throughout ESA10. The same was true of ESA95, where the absence of a definition was a major failure and caused many problems. Note that SNA93 and IMF GFS both had a definition and were superior to ESA95 in that respect. A sector is a part of a whole. The general ESA sectors are one way of dividing this whole, but not the only one. Public/private/RoW is another, where the ESA sub-sectors aggregate up to the public/private sectors. #20.309 clearly states this alternative derivation in a manner that leaves no scope for confusion. There is however a need for chapter 2 to also mention/define public and private sectors (even if it refers to chapter 20 for a fuller description of the public sector), particualrly as private is not defined and has been used inconsistently in ESA10. 3) Netherlands pg 51 - re chapter 7 FDI Agree with point made that FDI needs a description in the annex if it is included. There is an outstanding question as to whether it should be included as a memo item or left out as it fits better with the balance of payments accounts. For Reimund rather than me! 4) Netherlands pg 51 - re transfer of ownership transfer costs for land n.b. reference should be to #7.50 rather than #7.51. Netherlands raised this in questions on the first draft and a reply was given. I presume they are unhappy with it and have raised the same point again. I disagree with their summary, as SNA08 does not instruct that these costs are included in AN.116. See SNA08 #13.44, which states it is AN.1123. The AN.116 is an alternative presentation - it is confusing and should have been killed off in the SNA08 discussions or better description of the alternative presentation given, as if we move items to AN.116 we also have to reproduce the alternative versions of the categories they come out of or there would be double-counting. 5) UK pg 73 - chapter 6 introduction This is a style point. The ESA10 chapter is similar to ESA95. If there has been a change in ESA10 so that each chapter now has an introduction then chapter 6 needs to be made consistent. As the UK states, it would mainly be a case of just adding a sub-title. 6) UK pg 73 - chapter 6, changes to terminology. It would indeed be useful to explain the changes in terminology (and coding categorisation) to the user. This has been done so far in the updating notes, but these will be deleted before the final ESA10 is produced. However, I do not think this should be done within ESA10 (as a regulation the legislation is about what the rules are, not the changes from previous versions) but instead as a separate publication. 7) UK pg 73 - chapter 6, #6.13 # 6.14 remove discrepancy items. This comment supports the views of both authors of the chapters. They were removed in the first version, but reinstated in version two (with a comment) as a result of two respondents requesting their return. Statistical discrepancy items are discrepancy items, they are not 'other changes' so are out of place here. 8) UK pg 73 - chapter 7, comments on coding. Agree with point made. It would be more logical and consistent and does not create new categories. Why repeat the mistakes of SNA08? It is a comment on ESA95 that it improved on SNA93 as the timing of publication allowed ESA to correct some of the mistakes of SNA. We should do likewise with the current updates. 9) UK pg 73 - chapter 7 - repetition of definition of net worth. Do not see any problem here. There is an introductory definition, which is repeated at various stages throughout the whole chapter as each point is mentioned in more detail. 10) UK pg 74 - chapter 7 - definition of a liability There is a definition of a liability, but this comes later. Non-financial assets are defined first; then financial assets and liabilities. It would not make sense to include a definition of a non-financial liability as they can't exist, so it would just confuse. 11) UK pg 74 - chapter 7 - explain why items such as human capital etc are not considered as assets There is no quick reason that can be given for these, just convention as to where the asset boundary is drawn. Sometimes it reflects pragmatism due to difficulty in measuring, sometimes the distinction is between contingent events and real events etc. 12) UK pg 74 - chapter 7 - need to explain why non-financial liabilities not needed. See answers to 10 and 11. I think in a legal text we should just be defining what is included, not what is excluded (however we do so for contingent assets). If it is thought necessary to include this the answer can be quickly provided in this particular case: non-financial and financial assets are different in their nature, the latter have counter-parties, the former do not. 13) UK pg 74 - chapter 7 - 90 days For Reimund, but yes 90 days comes from the convention of industry practice and is not an arbitrary choice. 14) UK pg 74 - chapter 7 - inclusion of both successful and unsuccessful exploration expenditure Disagree. In terms of transactions both types are included. But for the balance sheet I would expect unsuccessful exploration to be immediately depreciated to zero, so would not show in the balance sheet. regards, Martin NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Sanjiv Mahajan on 15/01/2012 at 13:40 Title: Meeting of the CWP on Statistics, 17 January 2012 - German position on ESA2010, Annex B, Table 29 of the transmission programme "Pension schemes in social insurance". Categorisation International Coordination\International Organisation\Eurostat\CWPS Note for the record eu2012presidency@dst .dk 12/01/2012 13:25 To: Bernd.Stoertzbach@destatis.de, eu2012presidency@dst.dk cc: kvp@dst.dk, hannelore.burmann-jaschke@bmwi.bund.de, Ang norbert.raeth@destatis.de, Irmtraud.Beuerlein@destatis.de, Dorothea.Klumpen@destatis.de, tanja elstat@statistics.gr, Sanjiv Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@ONS, International@ONS, Pau Gailute.Juskiene@stat.gov.lt, Jolita.Galeckiene@stat.gov.lt, karmen.hren@gov.si, marjana.klinar@ dgr.vonberg@cbs.nl, mpoe@bcs.nl, carlos.coimbra@ine.pt, rec@ine.pt, pedro.oliveira@ine.pt, ursu Brigitte.grandits@statistik.gv.at, international@statistik.gv.at, ferdinand.leitner@statistik.gv.at, EAta hannelore.burmann-jaschke@bmwi.bund.de, bernd.stoertzbach@destatis.de, albert.braakmann@d rudi.acx@nbb.be, pascale.milis@diplobel.fed.be, ttece.belgoeurop@diplobel.fed.be, mathias.haery vitezslav.ondrus@czso.cz, Jaroslav.sixta@czso.cz, europe-international@insee.fr, fabrice.lenseign martinezsr@ine.es, eduardo.bryant@reper.maec.es, gandolfo@istat.it, giaconi@istat.it, relint@ista Jana.Luttmerdingova@statistics.sk, Frantisek.Bernadic@statistics.sk, albert.antolik@statistics.sk, g b.jakubczak@stat.gov.pl, o.leszczynska@stat.gov.pl, m.jeznach@stat.gov.pl, adriana.ciuchea@ins vanessa.dimech@gov.mt, dace.tomase@csb.gov.lv, dace.deinate@csb.gov.lv, pal.pozsonyi@ksh. john.haas@statec.etat.lu, marc.origer@statec.etat.lu, arti.tyrkko@stat.fi, mika.sainio@stat.fi, meelis guillermo.davila@ec.europa.eu, Gabriel.Quiros@ecb.int, Tjeerd.Jellema@ecb.int, Gallo.Gueye@ec Subject: SV: Meeting of the CWP on Statistics, 17 January 2012 - Germ "Pension schemes in social insurance". Dear Bernd Stoertzbach, dear colleagues, Thank you for your letter. We take note of your position and we find it important that German concern is thoroughly discussed at a Working Party meeting. However, taking into account the closeness of the forthcoming meeting, and an already extensive number of issues to be discussed on the agenda, we have decided to postpone your request for a renewed consideration of table 29 to an upcoming meeting at a later stage. This will also give the Member States the necessary time for preparation of this issue. Med venlig hilsen/Best regards Maciej Truszczynski Direktionssekretariat Tlf. 39 17 39 16 mtr@dst.dk Danmarks Statistik Sejrøgade 11, 2100 Kbh. Ø www.dst.dk -----Oprindelig meddelelse----Fra: Bernd.Stoertzbach@destatis.de [mailto:Bernd.Stoertzbach@destatis.de] Sendt: 12. januar 2012 10:09 Til: eu2012 presidency Cc: Kim Voldby Pedersen; hannelore.burmann-jaschke@bmwi.bund.de; Angela.Schaff@destatis.de; albert.braakmann@destatis.de; norbert.raeth@destatis.de; Irmtraud.Beuerlein@destatis.de; Dorothea.Klumpen@destatis.de; tanja.mucha@destatis.de Emne: Meeting of the CWP on Statistics, 17 January 2012 - German position on ESA2010, Annex B, Table 29 of the transmission programme "Pension schemes in social insurance". Prioritet: Høj Dear colleagues, Enclosed please find a letter of the German Federal Ministry of Economics and Technology to the Chairman of the Council Working Group on Statistics (CWP) expressing again the German position on ESA2010, Annex B, Table 29 of the transmission programme "Pension schemes in social insurance". Would you please be so kind to transfer this information to the Commission and the other Member States. We kindly ask you to give the German delegation the opportunity to raise this issue again in the forthcoming meeting of the CWP on 17 January 2012 because this matter is of crucial importance to Germany. If there are any questions from your side, please do not hesitate to contact me. We would appreciate it very much if you could infom us on your decision on our request to raise the issue again in the forthcoming meeting. Kind regards Bernd Stoertzbach -* Bernd Stoertzbach * Referatsleiter * Statistisches Bundesamt Gruppe B 1, Planung und Koordinierung, Internationale * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Tel. +49 611 75-2351 Fax +49 611 75-3950 Bernd Stoertzbach Head of Section Tel. +49 611 75-2351 Fax +49 611 75-3950 Kooperation Gustav-Stresemann-Ring 11 65189 Wiesbaden Deutschland Federal Statistical Office Division B1, Planning and Coordination, International Cooperation Gustav-Stresemann-Ring 11 65189 Wiesbaden Germany bernd.stoertzbach@destatis.de http://www.destatis.de This email was received from the INTERNET and scanned by the Government Secure Intranet anti-virus service supplied by Cable&Wireless Worldwide in partnership with MessageLabs. (CCTM Certificate Number 2009/09/0052.) In case of problems, please call your organisation’s IT Helpdesk. Communications via the GSi may be automatically logged, monitored and/or recorded for legal purposes. NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Sanjiv Mahajan on 22/07/2011 at 07:27 Title: Explanatory Memorandum 78 - Progress Report for Sharon Bowles R R e p o n e Re esssp po on nssse e Note for the record Sanjiv Mahajan 22/07/2011 07:09 To: cc: Subject: sharon.bowles@europarl.europa.eu Alex Elton-Wall/NSPD/ASRG/LONDON/ONS@ONS, Matthew Re: Reg on the European System of National Accounts Notes Dear Siobhan, There is on-going progress as the ESA 2010 Draft Manual, the proposed Transmission Programme and the Legal text is being discusssed through the Council Working Party on Statistics. I have attached a very recent progress note. If there are any queries, please let me know. Best regards. Sanjiv sharon.bowles@europ arl.europa.eu 19/07/2011 16:48 To: cc: Subject: Sanjiv Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@O RE: Reg on the European System of National Acc Dear Sanjiv, I am writing to see if, now that the ESA 2010 file is being progressed in the Council Working Party on statistics, the UK had any updated lines or input to offer? Sharon is due to present her report in late September, and I am gathering information to give her next week. I´m particularly interested in your views on tables 1 (main aggregates) and 20 (governance) which are deemed the most important; the UK position on the possibility of pensions being captured by the regulation; and implementation date (currently scheduled for 2014). Many thanks, Siobhán Siobhán Bright Parliamentary Assistant to Sharon Bowles MEP Alliance of Liberals and Democrats for Europe Brussels ASP10G205/ 0032 (0)228 47221 -----Original Message----From: Sanjiv Mahajan [mailto:sanjiv.mahajan@ons.gsi.gov.uk] Sent: 04 March 2011 16:37 To: BRIGHT Siobhan Cc: Gaynor Ace; International; Tim Clode; Will.Garton@fco.gov.uk Subject: Re: Reg on the European System of National Accounts Importance: High Dear Siobhan, Apologies for the delay in replying. I have sent this note to the previous inquiry as well. Attached is the recent MEP briefing: (See attached file: Annex B - EM COM (2010) 774 Final - MEP Briefing.doc) Hope this helps. Best regards. Sanjiv Mr Sanjiv Mahajan Head of International Strategy and Coordination National Accounts Coordination and Development Room 2.101 Office for National Statistics Government Buildings Cardiff Road Newport Wales NP10 8XG Tel no. E-mail: E-mail: +44 (0) 1633 45 5294 sanjiv.mahajan@ons.gov.uk sanjiv.mahajan@hotmail.co.uk |---------+---------------------------------> | | siobhan.bright@europar| | | l.europa.eu | | | | | | 04/03/2011 13:55 | | | | |---------+---------------------------------> >------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------| | | | To: Will.Garton@fco.gov.uk, Tim Clode/HRD/ASRG/NEWPORT/ONS@ONS | | cc: Gaynor Ace/NEWPORT/ONS@ONS, International@ONS, Sanjiv Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@ONS | | Subject: RE: Reg on the European System of National Accounts | | | | | >------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------| Thanks for this, Will. I actually emailed Sanjiv just this week in fact, so no doubt we´ll be in touch. Tim/Sanjiv, just to update you that Sharon and I had a good meeting with EUROSTAT this week to go over the main points, and talk about timing etc. Kind regards, Siobhan Siobhán Bright Parliamentary Assistant to Sharon Bowles MEP Alliance of Liberals and Democrats for Europe Brussels ASP10G205/ 0032 (0)228 47221 From: Will.Garton@fco.gov.uk [mailto:Will.Garton@fco.gov.uk] Sent: 04 March 2011 14:42 To: tim.clode@statistics.gsi.gov.uk; BRIGHT Siobhan Cc: gaynor.ace@statistics.gsi.gov.uk; International@statistics.gsi.gov.uk; sanjiv.mahajan@ons.gsi.gov.uk Subject: RE: Reg on the European System of National Accounts Tim, Thanks for this. As I say, I am very happy to try and play a supporting role if I can, but as I know very little about the subject area I think I would be a bit of a post box! Siobhan, Would you mind contacting Sanjiv directly with any questions on this dossier, sure he'll be better able to represent HMG than me! Happy to provide any additional support if I can. Good w/e all. Will Will Garton First Secretary, Economic UK Permanent Representation to the EU Ave De Auderghem 10 1040 Brussels M: (+32) (0) 47 686 0801 W: (+32) (0) 22 87 8223 From: Tim Clode [mailto:tim.clode@statistics.gsi.gov.uk] Sent: 28 February 2011 13:20 To: Will Garton (Restricted) Cc: Gaynor Ace; International; Sanjiv Mahajan Subject: Re: Reg on the European System of National Accounts Will, Hi - am back now. By all means. Sanjiv (copied) is our technical expert on this one. Please could you let me and copy recipients have contact details for Sharon's office. Thanks Tim _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________ TIM CLODE | International Relations | UK Statistics Authority | Newport NP10 8XG | United Kingdom Tel +44 (0)1633 455739 | Fax +44 (0)1633 652652 | tim.clode@statistics.gov.uk | www.statistics.gov.uk Will.Garton@fco.gsi .gov.uk 22/02/2011 17:02 To: Gaynor Ace/NEWPORT/ONS@ONS cc: Tim Clode/HRD/ASRG/NEWPORT/ONS@ONS, International@ONS Subject: Reg on the European System of National Accounts Gaynor, I have been given your email address in Tim's absence. I believe that the UK statistics authority has been involved with the Commission proposal on the Regulation on the European System of National and Regional Accounts in the EU. I am afraid I don't know a great deal about the dossier, but a UK MEP - Sharon Bowles - Chair of Econ has been appointed as rapporteur. Could I ask Statistics UK to continue to work her office to ensure our interests are properly reflected? Very happy to discuss. Will Will Garton First Secretary, Economic UK Permanent Representation to the EU Ave De Auderghem 10 1040 Brussels M: (+32) (0) 47 686 0801 W: (+32) (0) 22 87 8223 5053/11 COM (2010) 774 final – Progress Report Explanatory Memorandum on European Community Legislation PROGRESS REPORT Subject: Proposal for a regulation of the European Parliament and of the Council on the European system of national and regional accounts in the European Union (Text with EEA relevance). Submitted by the Office for National Statistics 4 July 2011 Subject Matter Overview This proposal seeks to revise existing European Union rules in producing National Accounts and Regional Accounts to reflect the new economic environment, advances in methodological research and needs of users. An Explanatory Memorandum was provided in January 2011 (Reference EM COM(2010)774 Final). This was returned not cleared from scrutiny with a request to provide a progress report in six months. Background For each Member State in the European Union, the National Accounts and Regional Accounts are currently compiled in line with definitions, accounting rules and classifications as laid out by the European System of Accounts (1995) set up by Regulation (EC) No 2223/96 of the European Parliament and of the Council. The ESA 1995 system was set up to meet the requirements of the economic, social and regional policy of the Union. In addition, this allows monitoring of the economies of the Member States, and of the economic and monetary union, through the use of comparable, up-to-date and reliable information on the structure and developments in the economic situation of each Member State or region. Proposal This proposal is to embody an updated European System of Accounts, ESA 2010, to revise ESA 1995 to reflect changes since 1995. The new ESA 2010 reflects developments such as new industries and products, the impact of globalisation and the expansion of financial services. The legal elements of the proposal would embody within European law: Methodology on common standards, definitions, classifications and accounting rules; and Programme required from each Member State for transmitting for Union purposes the accounts, data and tables compiled according to the methodology and to specified deadlines. The new regulation (post changes to the content of this proposal and the ratification by the European Parliament and the Council) is expected to be implemented by Member States by September 2014. The ESA 2010 will gradually replace all other systems as a reference framework of common standards, classifications and accounting rules for drawing up accounts of the Member States, so that results are comparable between Member States. For further details, refer to EM COM(2010)774 Final. Progress since January 2011 European Council Working Party on Statistics The European Council Working Party on Statistics (CWPS) under the Hungarian Presidency began the process to ratify the European Commission proposals made in December 2011. The CWPS is represented by appropriate experts from all Member States and has met in April, May (twice) and June. The UK has made significant contributions to each meeting. These meetings have started to discuss the key articles in particular: Article 1 Article 2 Article 3 Article 6 Subject matter Methodology Transmission of data to the Commission Derogations The Commission (Eurostat) have initiated various Task Forces to help develop and improve the methodology, in particular: Treatment of financial intermediation services indirectly measured (FISIM), measuring banks’ activity covering interest paid/received on loans and deposits. Capitalisation of research and development expenditure including a test exercise to establish the reliability of the data. Handbook on Quarterly National Accounts. Other Task Forces still to be set up include: Goods sent abroad for processing. Manual on Regional Accounts. Handbook on prices and volumes. All Member States have been requested by the Commission to submit derogations. These allow Member States additional time beyond September 2014 reflecting the need to develop methods, data collection and systems developments for specific parts of the proposed Transmission Programme. Any derogation will need to be agreed as part of the Regulation. The UK has submitted its requested derogations. Together with other Member States’ derogations, these will be discussed in future CWPS meetings. Derogations agreed will form part of the regulation. The Commission (Eurostat) have also initiated a process whereby Member States can apply for grants to aid the implementation of the final regulation by September 2014. The UK has applied for two grants covering specific areas of the accounting framework and await outcome of the applications. The next CWPS meeting is 12 July 2011 and will be taken forward under the Polish Presidency. Office for National Statistics (ONS) ONS is setting up governance structures and resourced workstreams to meet the proposed implementation date of September 2014. The impact of this proposal will affect a range of economic statistics produced by ONS covering the National Accounts, Regional Accounts, Balance of Payments, Public Sector Finance, Environmental Accounts. Given the integrated manner in which many economic statistics are produced by ONS, this change will form a major programme of work. The impact of data changes will affect ONS customers and suppliers including other government departments. ONS will have close regard to these interactions, as part of the work programme. s of reviewing the requirements Francis Maude Minister for the Cabinet Office NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Sanjiv Mahajan on 08/03/2011 at 09:02 Title: WG EAA: Documents for the WG EAA meeting on 910 March 2011 Categorisation International Coordination\ESA Revision Note for the record Phillip Davies 07/03/2011 12:05 To: Liz.Perry@bankofengland.gsi.gov.uk cc: Andrew Walton/SSPD/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS@ONS, Sanjiv Ma Whittard/NEWPORT/ONS@ONS, Michael Rizzo/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@ONS Subject: [PROTECT] - FW: WG EAA: Documents for the WG EAA meet Hi Liz I've looked through the papers in as much detail as I can and have noted some comments below, which I'm happy to discuss. One over riding comment I need to make is that there is a significant amount of work involved in most of the non-mandatory proposals put forward in these papers and given the squeeze on current and future resources, I am cautious about anything over and above core mandatory requirements (excluding any derogations that have been already asked for - please see the attached Word docs below). As part of our ESA discussions, we have already submitted our proposals for exemptions and derogations to ESA10, which I have attached in the table below (but I believe you should have already these seen) . Also, given the significant amount of detail in these papers and what they are asking, I don't feel there is enough time to digest and properly consult on the options being proposed given the serious and potentially significant impact these proposals could have. Agenda Item 1.2 3.1 3.2 Paragraph Comment 2.1 We are not able to produce the QNA (and therefore SFA & BoP data) before T+90. Throughout As above in relation to timeliness of producing SFA/BoP 2.1 Development of extra level of counterpart (w-t-w) information could be very difficult. There are some lines that only have a single sector asset/liability where this is relatively easy, but if you look at a line such as MMIs issued by other UK residents (F.3316) there are nine asset holding sectors and three liability sectors. It would be difficult to provide w-t-w data accurately as their are a number of data sources in the line that are outside ONS control, for example: 3.2 2.2 3.2 3.1.1 Sterling commercial paper by non-monetary financial corporations information provided by BoE (based on returns to the bank by commercial paper issuers) Issues of foreign currency commercial paper on the Euro markets Euroclear Data from the Bank of International Settlement Issues of foreign currency commercial paper elsewhere - returns made by the main users and supplemented by estimates MFI assets in the form of money market instruments issued by UK corporations - obtained from balance sheet returns made to the Bank of England Insurance and Pension Fund assets - data supplied to the ONS each quarter RoW purchases and Sales of UK corporations’ money market instruments variety of sources including the BoE Local Authority short term money market instruments - returns made quarterly by local authorities in the UK ( these figures are sectorised using a combination of local authority and counterparty sector sources) OVCs and revaluations -This would need further investigation and again significant work to scope and implement. HH & NPISH split is currently not possible Central bank split from MFIs could be possible as the BoE should be able to supply us with the required data. Again would require substantial system work that we would not be able to undertake. The split of S.122 MFIs into MFIs and separate MMF (Mutuals etc.) will need further discussions but will also need substantial system work. The split of S.122 OFIs into OFIs and separate FVC (Financial vehicle corporations) this will need further investigation and then substantial system work. 3.2 3.2 4.1 ESA10 responses Again, the over riding comment for all the above comments is that only mandatory items (subject to derogations/exemptions) are possible at this stage. 3.1.2 Again, only mandatory items (subject to derogations/exemptions) are possible 3.2 This would need further investigation and again significant work to scope and implement. Throughout Our view here would be that we wouldn't want any data presented in the tables that isn't part of a dataset already published in the UK. Template for comments Annex B - Draft ESA TP - UK Response.doc Kind regards NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Phillip Davies on 11/10/2011 at 16:12 Title: WG EAA: For Information: WG EAA Meeting 17-18 October 2011 - Documents for agenda items 2.2, 4.1, 4.3, 4.4 and 7 Categorisation Personal Work Areas (PWA's)\Phil Davies From : mb-wg-eaa@ecb.int To : Isabelle.YNESTA@oecd.org, christian.dembiermont@bis.org, Tracy.Chan@bis.org, asanjose@imf.org, JCartas@imf.org, Michele.CHAVOIX-MANNATO@oecd.org, Ismael.AHAMDANECH-ZARCO@ec.europa.eu, Dimitrov.E@bnbank.org, Bezhanova.K@bnbank.org, Ivanov.R@bnbank.org, ivan.matalik@cnb.cz, TMM@NationalBanken.DK, Piret.Anton@eestipank.ee, simonb@mnb.hu, bgrikinyte@lb.lt, dliberiene@lb.lt, ewa.laskowska@mail.nbp.pl, maciej.szczykutowicz@mail.nbp.pl, mariana.kaznovsky@bnro.ro, mirela.alexandru@bnro.ro, Gunnar.Blomberg@riksbank.se, MFSDSecs@bankofengland.gsi.gov.uk, Jon.Beadle@bankofengland.co.uk, liz.perry@bankofengland.gsi.gov.uk, alexander.nilson@riksbank.se, jpm@NationalBanken.DK, bridin.oleary@centralbank.ie, EAA-TFSD@bank.lv, Phillip Davies/NEWPORT/ONS, BIO@dst.dk, matti.okko@stat.fi, peter.parkkonen@stat.fi, Claire.Hanley@cso.ie, faccount@cso.ie, beatrice.brito@statec.etat.lu, charleshenri.dimaria@statec.etat.lu, marc.origer@statec.etat.lu, h.vandijk@cbs.nl, International Returns, nicolai.nystrand@scb.se, Saara.Roine@stat.fi, a.j.de.boo@cbs.nl, anna.daniels@scb.se, alenka.repovz@bsi.si, Michael.Andreasch@oenb.at, nicole.schnabl@oenb.at, didier.gosset@nbb.be, steven.cappoen@nbb.be, AndroullaMelifronidou@centralbank.gov.cy, ChristinaNicolaidou@centralbank.gov.cy, georgemardas@centralbank.gov.cy, LeniaKesta@centralbank.gov.cy, Manuel.Rupprecht@bundesbank.de, abad@bde.es, sgalmes@bde.es, Hanna.Hakkinen@bof.fi, Risto.Suomela@bof.fi, bdf_mufa@banque-france.fr, SCorres@bankofgreece.gr, qfa@centralbank.ie, mary.cussen@centralbank.ie, gabriele.semeraro@bancaditalia.it, Ingber.Roymans@bcl.lu, NA_GenericMBX@bcl.lu, pacec@centralbankmalta.com, elluln@centralbankmalta.com, L.C.Elfferich@DNB.NL, slima@bportugal.pt, Joao.Cadete.Matos@bportugal.pt, jan_seman@nbs.sk, Franck.SEDILLOT@banque-france.fr, beatrice.thiry@bcl.lu, caruanamc@centralbankmalta.com, Olga.Susana.Monteiro@bportugal.pt CC : Date Sent : 11/10/2011 15:17:42 Subject : WG EAA: For Information: WG EAA Meeting 17-18 October 2011 - Documents for agenda items 2.2, 4.1, 4.3, 4.4 and 7 Dear WG EAA Colleagues, On behalf of Gabriel Quirós please find enclosed five documents as preparation for the WG EAA meeting taking place ion 17-18 October 2011 at the ECB premises: 1. For agenda item 2.2 - Timeliness a document as the initial reaction to the outcome of the discussions on the subject at last week's ESCB Statistics Committee meeting: <<2.2 EAA Timeliness.DOC>> 2. For agenda item 4.1Inter-company loans - a presentation and also a background document from the Banque central de Belgique <<4.1 NBB-Presentation_EN.ppt>> <<4.1 BE NFC - inter-company loans.docx>> 3. For agenda item 4.3 Plans for the compilation of inter-company loans a presentation by the Oesterreichische Nationalbank <<4.3 NFC intercompany loans - Austria.pptx>> 4. For agenda item 4.4 inter-company loans a presentation from Eurostat following the background note sent to you earlier. <<4.4 Eurostat presentation_inter company loans.ppt>> 5. A presentation for agenda item 7 ESA 201 - sub-instrument breakdown of insurance technical reserves <<7 WG EAA Insurance pension and standardised guarantee schemes.ppt>> For colleagues from the national central banks with access to DARWIN via Livelink documents numbered 1-2 may be found under: "Papers" can be accessed via the following link: https://darwin.escb.eu/livelink/livelink/open/49891580 And PowerPoint presentations for attached items numbered 2-5 may be found in DARWIN under : "Presentations" can be accessed via the following link: https://darwin.escb.eu/livelink/livelink/open/50738896 Remaining presentations will be sent to you around midday on Friday, 14 October as a final batch of documents with best regards, Robert Robert Gadsby Senior Economist-Statistician Euro Area Accounts and Economic Statistics Division European Central Bank Tel +49 69 13446623 Fax +49 69 13447637 email: robert.gadsby@ecb.europa.eu NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Sanjiv Mahajan on 07/05/2012 at 19:12 Title: German revision against table 29 of ESA 2010 Categorisation International Coordination\International Organisation\Eurostat\CWPS Note for the record Bernd.Stoertzbach@destat is.de 07/05/2012 10:23 To gandolfo@istat.it, raoul.depoutot@insee.fr, Sanjiv Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@ONS cc Subject WG: German revision against table 29 of ESA 2010 Dear colleagues, for your information please find below the exchange of views concerning our reservation on table 29 between the german ministry in charge and the Presidency. Regards Bernd -* * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Bernd Stoertzbach Referatsleiter Tel. +49 611 75-2351 Fax +49 611 75-3950 Bernd Stoertzbach Head of Section Tel. +49 611 75-2351 Fax +49 611 75-3950 Statistisches Bundesamt Gruppe B 1, Planung und Koordinierung, Internationale Kooperation Gustav-Stresemann-Ring 11 65189 Wiesbaden Deutschland Federal Statistical Office Division B1, Planning and Coordination, International Cooperation Gustav-Stresemann-Ring 11 65189 Wiesbaden Germany bernd.stoertzbach@destatis.de http://www.destatis.de Von: Salzmann, Thomas -Ib1 BMAS Gesendet: Montag, 7. Mai 2012 09:33 An: 'Jens Anton Kjærgaard Larsen' Betreff: AW: German revision against table 29 of ESA 2010 Dear Jens, I hope you have had a nice weekend! Regarding table 29 (of annex B, ESA 2010), we think that our suggested compromise is sufficient and leads to the same result as your proposal of last Friday. If the regulation of ESA 2010 offers a voluntary delivery of table 29 each Member State is actually free to evaluate the methodological issues of reporting implicit liabilities. If Member States should validate such values as a high quality part of official statistics our proposal includes no restriction to report those numbers from the beginning of 2014. We just propose a free decision of reporting a value, which is highly questionable in terms of calculating and interpreting. It also corresponds to the fact, that the results of these calculations are actually not part of the reporting in the core accounts. Therefore we still wish to uphold our reservation against the mandatory reporting of table 29 in the Coreper. Contrary to your assumption, there exists also no official calculation or statistical reporting of such f! igures in Germany. All the best, Thomas --------------------------------------------------Referat Ib1 Tel.: +49 3018 527 2442 ________________________________ Von: Jens Anton Kjærgaard Larsen [mailto:jelars@um.dk] Gesendet: Donnerstag, 3. Mai 2012 17:19 An: Salzmann, Thomas -Ib1 BMAS Betreff: RE: German revision against table 29 of ESA 2010 Dear Thomas, I tried to call again. We are considering taking the ESA file for Coreper in one of the coming weeks, so basically I wanted to check with you if there is any possibility for you to move from your proposed compromise of voluntary reporting? Specifically, I wanted to test on you if idea of a compromise of a delay of (obligatory) reporting from 2014 to 2017 to look at methodological issues and then only report every 5 year could be an option? I understand that Germany nationally do some similar reporting every 5. year. Do you think you would vote against the whole ESA dossier if table 29 is not voluntary? Best, Jens From: Salzmann, Thomas -Ib1 BMAS [mailto:Thomas.Salzmann@bmas.bund.de] Sent: 03 May 2012 14:57 To: Jens Anton Kjærgaard Larsen Subject: German revision against table 29 of ESA 2010 Dear Jens Anton Kjærgaard Larsen, I was told that your are looking for a colleague in the German administration who is working on that issue of table 29 (the compulsory obligation to report the present value of pension liability of social security system ) in the ESA proposal. If you have questions concerning our reservation and our proposed compromise I would be happy to answer you. Best regards, Thomas Salzmann -------------------------------------------------------------------Federal Ministry of Labour and Social Affairs Section Ib1 Tel.: +49 3018 527 2442 Fax: +49 3018 527 1931 Mail: thomas.salzmann@bmas.bund.de <mailto:thomas.salzmann@bmas.bund.de> Web: www.bmas.bund.de <http://www.bmas.bund.de/> NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Sanjiv Mahajan on 06/01/2010 at 18:08 Title: ESA Review: Chapter 20 Government accounts (Version 3) Categorisation International Coordination\ESA Revision Note for the record Frederique.ROUARD@ ec.europa.eu 22/12/2009 08:54 To: reinhold.schwarzl@statistik.gv.at, ursula.havel@statistik.gv.at, geert.detombe@nbb.be, pierre.crevits@nbb.be, rudi.acx@nbb.be, Ahristova@nsi.bg, philippe.stauf gzeitountsian@cystat.mof.gov.cy, ondrusv@gw.czso.cz, ath@dst.dk, shl@dtl-dk.dk, obe@dst.dk, a norbert.raeth@destatis.de, wolfgang.strohm@destatis.de, Reimund.Mink@ecb.int, Tjeerd.Jellema@ frank.schoenborn@cec.eu.int, tonu.mertsina@stat.ee, nat.accounts@statistics.gr, nikstrobl@statist acristobal@ine.es, eeva.hamunen@stat.fi, tuomas.rothovius@stat.fi, fabrice.lenglart@insee.fr, sylv peter.szabo@ksh.hu, pal.pozsonyi@ksh.hu, Mick.lucey@cso.ie, paddy.mcdonald@cso.ie, gudjon.g stefan.jansen@hagstofa.is, tryggvi.eiriksson@hagstofa.is, caricchi@istat.it, battelli@istat.it, manteg gailute.juskiene@stat.gov.lt, irena.tvarijonaviciute@stat.gov.lt, john.haas@statec.etat.lu, marc.orige Dace.Tomase@csb.gov.lv, Ekalnina@csb.gov.lv, joseph.a.bonello@gov.mt, joseph.p.vella@gov.m abr@ssb.no, kns@ssb.no, Charles.ASPDEN@oecd.org, paul.schreyer@oecd.org, e.kucharska@s pedro.oliveira@ine.pt, adriana.ciuchea@insse.ro, adrianam@insse.ro, andreas.lennmalm@scb.se, solveig.westin@scb.se, andrej.flajs@gov.si, janja.kalin@gov.si, jure.lasnibat@gov.si, Frantisek.Ber dilek.ozsoy@tuik.gov.tr, Sanjiv Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@ONS, Simon Humphries/BOPD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@ONS, 'Tihomira.Dimova@unece.org' cc: Jean-Pierre.DUPUIS@ec.europa.eu, Christian.Ravets@ec.eur Luca.Ascoli@ec.europa.eu, Gallo.Gueye@ec.europa.eu Subject: FW: ESA review: chapter 20 the Government accounts (version Dear Members of the ESA Review Group, Please find below a message that was sent to the FAWG on behalf of Mr Luca Ascoli. Best regards Frédérique Rouard Ms Frédérique ROUARD European Commission EUROSTAT C1 BECH Building E2/826 5, rue Alphonse Weicker - L2721 Luxembourg Tel: (+352) 4301-31962 Fax: (+352) 4301-33029 E-mail:Frederique.ROUARD@ec.europa.eu ______________________________________________ From: GUEYE Gallo (ESTAT) Sent: Tuesday, December 22, 2009 9:44 AM To: ROUARD Frederique (ESTAT) Subject: FW: ESA review: chapter 20 the Government accounts (version 3) ______________________________________________ From: GAPINSKA Monika (ESTAT) Sent: Friday, December 18, 2009 2:59 PM To: 'AT - BANK - ANDREASCH Michael'; 'AT - BANK - WIMMER Gerald'; 'AT - INS - STUEBLER Walter'; 'AT MOF - FLEISCHMANN Eduard'; 'AT - MOF - MAYR Franz'; 'AT - NSI - SCHWARZ Karl'; BARCELLAN Roberto (ESTAT); 'BE - NBB - ACX Rudi'; 'BE - NBB - CAPPOEN Steven'; 'BE - NBB - GOSSET Didier'; 'BE - NBB - LIBENS Joseph'; 'BE - NBB - MODART Claude'; 'BE - NBB - MULKAY Anne'; 'BE - NBB - SAUVENIERE Herve'; 'DE - BANK - BURGTORF Ulrich'; 'DE - BANK - HAMKER Juergen'; 'DE - BANK - RADKE Marc Peter'; 'DE - BANK - STOESS Elmar '; 'DE - INS - BRAAKMANN Albert'; 'DE - INS - EICHMANN Wolfgang'; 'DE - INS - FORSTER Thomas'; 'DE - INS - NIEBUR Oliver'; 'DE - INS - Secretariat National Accounts Directorate'; 'DE - MOF - BAUMANN Elke'; 'DE - MOF - KASTROP Christian'; 'DK - BANK - KJERSGAARD FRIIS Carina'; 'DK - BANK - MATHIASEN M. Tue'; 'DK BANK - National Bank Statistics'; 'DK - INS - BRODERSEN Soren'; 'DK - INS - NIELSEN Michael F.'; NOGUEIRA MARTINS Joao (ECFIN); 'ES - BANK - ABAD Pedro'; 'ES - BANK - GORDO Luis'; 'ES - BANK - SANZ Beatriz '; 'ES - BANK - SANZ Beatriz (secretary)'; 'ES - INE - CRISTOBAL Alfredo'; 'ES - INE - ORTEGA Carmen de la POZA'; ASCOLI Luca (ESTAT); DUPUIS Jean-Pierre (ESTAT); FRANK Simona (ESTAT); FREJ OHLSSON Lena (ESTAT); GAPINSKA Monika (ESTAT); JABLONSKA Ivana (ESTAT); JANKO Robert (ESTAT); KAROLOVA Viera (ESTAT); KRENUSZ Agota (ESTAT); MIHAILOVA Diana (ESTAT); PANTAZIDIS Stylianos (ESTAT); POP Cecilia (ESTAT); RENNO Birgitte (ESTAT); SODEIKAITE Rasa (ESTAT); WORONOWICZ Marcin (ESTAT); AHAMDANECH ZARCO Ismael (ESTAT); DIEDERT Marie-Helene (ESTAT); FASSBENDER Jessy (ESTAT-EXT); GANCEDO VALLINA Isabel (ESTAT); GROFFILIER-WOLFANGER Marie-Louise (ESTAT); HOFFMEISTER Onno (ESTAT); LEETMAA Peeter (ESTAT); LEYTHIENNE Denis (ESTAT); LUPI Alessandro (ESTAT); MADANI-BEYHURST Shirin (ESTAT-EXT); MILUSHEVA Boryana (ESTAT); PARLASCA Peter (ESTAT); PIRAINO Neusa (ESTAT); RENNIE Herve (ESTAT); THOUVENIN Gilles (ESTAT); TOKOFAI Anatole (ESTAT); VERRINDER John (ESTAT); VILLAUME Sylvie (ESTAT); WAHRIG Laura (ESTAT); ZIETEN Jean-Luc (ESTAT-EXT); 'IE - BANK - CUSSEN Mary'; 'IE - BANK - DELANEY John'; 'IE - BANK - MURPHY Kieran'; 'IE - BANK - PHELAN Gillian'; 'IE - INS - BRENNAN Michael'; 'IE - INS CAVANAGH Gordon'; 'IE - INS - CSO Financial Accounts Unit - Centralised group address'; 'IE - INS - FANNING Pat'; 'IE - INS - LUCEY Mick'; 'IE - INS - O'MAHONY Rod'; 'IE - INS - O'ROURKE Seamus'; 'IE - INS - SIBLEY Christopher'; 'IE - INS - STYNES Derek'; 'IE - MOF - COUNIHAN Ciarán'; 'IFAC - PSC chairman - ADHEMAR Philippe'; BUCHER Anne (INFSO); 'IT - BANK - BARDOZZETTI Alfredo'; 'IT - BANK - SEMERARO Gabriele'; 'IT INS - CARICCHIA Alfonsina'; 'IT - INS - CINQUEGRANA Giuseppe'; 'IT - INS - MONTEBUGNOLI Maria Emanuela'; 'IT - MALIZIA Raffaele'; 'IT - MOF - DE RITA Paola'; 'IT - MOF - NUSPERLI Federico'; 'IT - MOFSCAFURI Emilia'; 'LUX - BANK - BOUCHET Muriel'; 'LUX - BANK - PERRARD Romain'; 'LUX - INS - DI MARIA Charles-Henri'; 'LUX - INS - ORIGER Marc'; 'LUX - INS - SOPPELSA David'; 'Polyscience - WARTON-WOODS Sheldon'; 'ECB - BIER Werner'; 'ECB - CATZ Julia'; 'ECB - DUCLOS Christophe'; 'ECB - ECHEVERRIA Remigio'; 'ECB - GADSBY Robert'; 'ECB - GIRON PASTOR Celestino'; 'ECB - MAURER Henri'; 'ECB - MINK Reimund'; 'ECB RODRIGUEZ Marta'; 'ECB - SILVA Nuno'; 'ECB - SOLA Pierre'; 'ECB - WILLEKE Caroline'; FISCHER Jonas (ECFIN); 'FI - BANK - LEHTINEN Jyrki'; 'FI - BANK - SAVOLAINEN Eero'; 'FI - INS - HAMUNEN Eeva'; 'FI - INS KOISTINEN-JOKINIEMI Paula'; 'FI - INS - KUUSSAARI Mira'; 'FI - INS - OKKO Matti'; 'FI - INS - SAINIO Mika'; 'FI - INS - VARJONEN-OLLUS Reetta'; 'FR - BANK - BRANTHOMME Patrick'; 'FR - BANK - CHAZELAS Marc'; 'FR BANK - DURANT Dominique'; 'FR - INS - HOURIEZ Guillaume'; 'FR - INS - MAGNIEZ Jacques'; 'FR - MOF AUGERAUD Patrick'; 'GR - BANK - CORRES Stelios'; 'GR - INS - KATSIKA Anastasia'; 'GR - INS - KRASADAKIS A. & PAPANIKOLAKOS P.'; 'GR - INS - PAPANIKOLAKOS Panagiotis'; 'GR - MEF - DIMITROPOULOU Georgia'; 'GR MOF - MARAVELAKIS Stelios'; 'NL - BANK - LUB Henk'; 'NL - INS - HAAKMAN Léonard'; 'NL - INS - VAN DE VEN Peter'; 'NL - MOF - DOEK Kyra'; 'NL - MOF - SCHUERMAN Patrick'; 'PT - BANK - BRANCO Sergio'; 'PT - BANK LIMA Susana Filipa'; 'PT - BANK - MENEZES Paula'; 'PT - BANK - MONTEIRO Olga'; 'PT - INS - DOURADO Rute'; 'PT - INS - FERREIRA Maria Teresa'; 'PT - INS - QUINTELA Maria Isabel'; 'PT - MOF - LEAL Ana'; 'PT - MOF RODRIGUES Anabela NABAIS'; 'PT - MOF - ROXO Fernando'; 'SE - BANK - BLOMBERG Gunnar'; 'SE - INS BERGWALL Jonas'; 'SE - INS - BILJER Marianne'; 'SE - INS - ERICSON Per'; 'SE - INS - HÖRNSTRÖM Ingegerd'; 'SE - INS - JOHANSSON Katarina'; 'SE - INS - JOHANSSON Tomas'; 'SE - INS - LUNDBERG Dan'; 'SE - INS NORBERG Johan'; 'SE - INS - PÄIVINEN Ann-Louis'; 'SE - INS - SODERSTROM Kristina '; 'UK - INS - HEWER Alan'; 'UK - INS - HUMPHRIES Simon'; 'UK - INS - JENKINSON Graham'; 'UK - INS - KELLAWAY Martin '; 'UK INS - SHANKS Helen'; 'UK - MOF - GOLLAND Jeff'; 'CH - BANK - BÄRLOCHER Jürg'; 'CH - BANK - SCHELLING Tan'; 'CH - INS - FLOREY Dario '; 'CH - MOF - SCHWALLER André'; 'CY - BANK - KANUTIN Andrew'; 'CY - BANK - MELIFRONIDOU Androulla'; 'CY - BANK - NICOLAIDOU Christina'; 'CY - BANK - PAPADATOU Nedi'; 'CY - BANK - SOPHOCLEOUS Anthi'; 'CY - BANK - TSOUNDAS Chrysostomos'; 'CY - INS - SARRIS Georgios'; 'CZ - BANK BELLON Milan'; 'CZ - INS - LASTOVKOVA Marie'; 'CZ - INS - RYBACEK Vaclav'; 'CZ - INS - STASTNA Veronika'; 'CZ - INS - TREJBALOVA Marie'; 'CZ - INS - VEBROVA Ludmila '; 'CZ - MOF - PULPANOVA Lenka'; 'CZ - MOF SOJKOVA Dagmar'; 'EE - INE - KALDMA Ene'; 'EE - INE - NAARITS Agnes'; 'EE - INE - TEERN Helle'; 'EE - INE VOGONSKAJA Maria'; 'HU - BANK - GÓDORNE KALÓ Edit'; 'HU - BANK - HUSZAR Gabor'; 'HU - BANK - ILYÉS Csaba'; 'HU - INS - BEDEKOVICS István'; 'HU - MOF - CSONKA Gizella'; 'HU - MOF - REPA Agota'; 'IMF AYALES Edgar'; 'IMF - DUBLIN Keith'; 'IMF - JONES Gary'; 'IS - INS - BJOERGVINSSON Johann R.'; 'LT - BANK DAUKSAS Vincas '; 'LT - BANK - KARALIUNAS Romas '; 'LT - BANK - LIBERIENE Diana'; 'LT - INS TVARIJONAVICIUTE Irena '; 'LT - MOF - ZYGIENE Dalia'; 'LV - BANK - AIZEZERA Ilona'; 'LV - BANK - CAUNE Agris'; 'LV - BANK - LOCMELE Julia'; 'LV - BANK - LOCMELE Julija'; 'LV - BANK - OSE Aiga'; 'LV - INS VEIDEMANE Vija '; 'LV - MOF - STEPANOVA Ilonda'; 'MT - BANK - PULE Jesmond '; 'MT - INS - BONELLO Joseph'; 'MT - INS - GALEA Mark'; 'MT - MOF - CAMILLERI Noel '; 'MT - NSI - CAMILLERI Alfred '; 'MT - NSI PACE-ROSS Michael'; 'NO - INS - HAMMER Kjell'; 'NO - INS - HARALDSDOTTIR Gudrun'; 'NO - INS - VINDHØG Pål Martin'; 'NO - NSI - BRATEN Arne'; 'NO - NSI - COCK-RØNNING Torbjørn'; 'NO - NSI - LARSEN Jan-Tore'; 'NO - NSI - ROSTADSAND Jon Ivar'; 'NO - NSI - TØRUM Espen'; 'OECD - CHAVOIX-MANNATO Michèle'; 'OECD LAROSA-ELKAIM Catherine'; 'PL - BANK - LASKOWSKA Ewa'; 'PL - BANK -JABLONOWSKI Janusz'; 'PL - MOF JAJKO Beata'; 'PL - MOF - MICHALSKI Maurycy'; 'PL - MOF - WYGODA Monika'; 'PL - NSI - KAPCZYNSKA Urszula'; 'PL - NSI - KRYSTA Jerzy'; 'SI - BANK - MURN Dusan'; 'SI - BANK - REPOVZ Alenka'; 'SI - INS - FINC Sasa'; 'SI - INS - FLAJS Andrej'; 'SI - INS - KLINAR Marjana'; 'SI - INS - KOVACIC Sasa'; 'SK - BANK DURCENKOVA Zuzana'; 'SK - BANK - SEMAN Jan'; 'SK - INS - ANTOLIK Albert'; 'SK - INS - ILLITOVA Alena'; 'SK - INS - JASENAKOVA Eva'; 'SK - INS - KUPKOVA Margita'; 'SK - INS - LUHOVA Maria'; 'SK - INS - SZUCSOVA Denisa'; 'SK - MOF - CZIKOOVA Daniela'; 'SK - MOF - ILAVSKA Daniela'; 'SK - NSI - BALAZ Pavol '; 'BA - NSI ALAGIC Zana'; 'BA - NSI - TUKIC Zlatka'; 'BG - BANK - BEZHANOVA Kornelia'; 'BG - BANK - IVANOV Radi '; 'BG - MOF - NAPETOVA Milka'; 'BG - MOF - NESTOROVA Boriana'; 'BG - MOF - PALIOVA Iana'; 'BG - MOF STOJCHEVA Marina'; 'BG - NSI - HRISTOV Anatoliy'; 'BG - NSI - PACHEVA Antoniya'; 'HR - BANK - GALINEC Davor'; 'HR - INS - SOLCICS Slavica'; 'MK - MOF - ESMEROV Petar'; 'MK - NSI - Cadikovska Violeta'; 'RO - BANK - KAZNOVSKY Mariana'; 'RO - BANK - NEAGU Camelia'; 'RO - BANK - PETREAN Aurora'; 'RO - INS - NUTA Mihaela'; 'RO - INS - STANA Elena Silvia'; 'RO - MOF - COSTACHE Dumitru'; 'RO - MOF - ENE Mihaela'; 'RO MOF - MIHAILA Ecaterina'; 'RO - NSI - BARSANESCU Tatiana'; 'RO - NSI - CIUCHEA Adriana'; 'RO - NSI - IVAN UNGUREANU Clementina'; 'TR - BANK - CAKMAK Burcu'; 'TR - BANK - GULERGUN Semra'; 'TR - BANK TOPKAYA Arzu T.'; 'TR - INS - ÖZSOY Dilek'; 'TR - MOF - AYTEKIN Arzu'; 'TR - MOF - KERIMOGLU Baki'; 'TR NSI - ARSLANER Ferhat'; 'TR - NSI - ÇÖKMEZ Ebru'; 'TR - NSI - KORKMAZ Tulay' Cc: GUEYE Gallo (ESTAT); 'anders.nordin@sogeti.lu' Subject: ESA review: chapter 20 the Government accounts (version 3) Dear FAWG Colleagues, Please find attached, as agreed in the last FAWG meeting and in the ESA Review Group, a new version of chapter 20 (version 3). Modifications made to the previous version (version 2, as posted on Circa) appear in track changes. The main amendments concern: - In part 1: The market / non-market distinction (§26 to 33) Borderline cases: Pension funds (new §44) - In part 2: The box (From ESA central framework to GFS transactions and aggregates) p.20 and 21 - In part 3: Debt guarantees (one-off guarantees, §259 to 263) Pension obligations (lump sum payments, §277 to 279) Public-private partnerships (economic ownership, §289 to 291) We would be grateful if you could send your comments to Jean-Pierre Dupuis (jeanpierre.dupuis@ec.europa.eu) before 15 January c.o.b. <<ESA review - V3 (Dec09)Chapter on government.doc>> Kind regards On behalf of Luca Ascoli, Head of Unit Eurostat C-3 "Public Finance" Monika Gapinska European Commission EUROSTAT Unit C3 / BECH Building E3-829 5, rue Alphonse Weicker - L2721 Luxembourg Tel: (+352) 4301-36226 Fax: (+352) 4301-32929 monika.gapinska@ec.europa.eu _________________________________________ The views expressed are purely those of the writer and may not in any circumstances be regarded as stating an official position of the European Commission.This message may contain personal data and other confidential data that are entrusted to the recipients specified in the header of the message. The recipient(s) of this message shall not process the present message in ways that contradict the European legislation on the protection of personal data or jeopardise the confidentiality of the message content. If this message has been received in error, please notify the sender of the message or forward the message to postmaster@cec.eu.int along with a short explanation. Whilst the Commission aims to keep its network free from viruses, you are strongly encouraged to check this email and any attachments to it for viruses, as the Commission accepts no responsibility with regard to any computer virus transferred by way of this e-mail This email was received from the INTERNET and scanned by the Government Secure Intranet anti-virus service supplied by Cable&Wireless in partnership with MessageLabs. (CCTM Certificate Number 2009/09/0052.) In case of problems, please call your organisation?x02019;s IT Helpdesk. Communications via the GSi may be automatically logged, monitored and/or recorded for legal purposes. NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Pete Lee on 02/06/2011 at 13:37 Title: Proposed Reduction to NIRS L2 Deliveries Categorisation Production and Analysis\National Accounts Coordination Branch\Work Planning From : Pete Lee/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS To : claire.price@hmrc.gsi.gov.uk CC : Sally Day/OFD/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS, Andrew Botterill/ONS, Andrew Walton/SSPD/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS Date Sent : 02/06/2011 13:37:08 Subject : Proposed Reduction to NIRS L2 Deliveries Claire, Thanks for the opportunity to comment on this. I completely share Sally's concerns about this and the impact it will have on us being able to take on revisions in a timely and efficient manner. The time lags proposed could mean that we could only take on some revisions to this key data source in years when the Blue Book is open for long run revisions - this would normally be when major methodological, classification or conceptual changes are implemented and would therefore be relatively infrequent. This could potentially compromise the quality of the national accounts and, whilst I understand fully the need to save resources in these straitened times, I would urge HMRC and DWP to take a further look at this to see if another way could be found. Thanks again Pete Pete Lee Head of National Accounts Co-ordination Branch National Accounts Co-ordination and Development Division Office for National Statistics +44-1633-456713 +44-791-789-4697 Fax +44-1633-652803 From : Sally Day/OFD/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS To : claire.price@hmrc.gsi.gov.uk CC : Andrew Botterill/ONS Date Sent : 27/05/2011 15:59:57 Subject : [PROTECT] - Re: Proposed Reduction to NIRS L2 Deliveries Hi Claire Myself and Andy have had some discussion about the potential impact of this. We feel the impact of these changes could lead to the following: Clash of bluebook revisions policy. For example, in Dec 2010 you delivered to us, revised 2007 and 2008 data. I was able to incorporate these revisions in our January delivery for Bluebook (which was open from 2006 to 2008). In March you then delivered revised 2008 and new 2009 data. Again, I was able to incorporate these as our April delivery for Bluebook was from 2008 to 2009. If we had not had any 2007 revisions in the December delivery then I would not have been able to incorporate the 2007 revisions at a later date, due to the restrictions of the closed period. If the revisions are not large then this is not too much of a problem. On this occasion it wouldn't have mattered as the revisions to 2007 were minimal anyway. However, the revisions to 2008 were quite substantial and if we had not been able to include the 2008 revisions then this would have quite an impact on the quality. Quality aspect. The quality aspect doesn't affect the latest years data as this will remain the same as we've always had, however, the changes will affect the quality of that years data in the following bluebook, as no revisions will have been made to it. For example, in Dec 2011 we would have expected to receive revised 2009 data. This is now not the case as it's likely to be the same version of 2009 data that we received in March 2011. This does not take into account any revisions to data processing that HMRC make. We have concerns about the timeliness of DWP's publication of it's own statistics and the potential impact this may have on delivery to us. Many thanks Sally claire.price@hmrc.gsi. gov.uk 26/05/2011 14:44 To: Joshua Abramsky/NEWPORT/ONS@ONS, Andre Botterill/ONS@ONS, Sally Day/OFD/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS@ONS, Pete Lee/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@ONS, Phillip Lee/NEWPORT/ONS@ONS, Joann Lewis/ONS@ONS, Fred Norris/BDD/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS@ONS, Charlotte Richards/ONS@ONS, Bethan West/SSPD/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS@ONS cc: ruth.coxhead@hmrc.gsi.gov.uk, bill.elmore@hmrc.gsi.gov.uk Subject: Proposed Reduction to NIRS L2 Deliveries PROTECT Proposed Reduction to NIRS L2 Deliveries As a recipient of Wages & Salaries estimates produced using National Insurance Recording System (NIRS) data, you should be aware that DWP have proposed some changes to the delivery schedule for the NIRS L2 1% sample to HMRC KAI. Currently we receive NIRS L2 data deliveries from DWP twice a year. We typically receive the January extract in February and the May extract in August. The May extract is the main delivery DWP use to produce their own statistics; the January delivery is provided specifically for HMRC’s use and includes the first delivery of the latest tax year’s data (e.g. the January 2011 extract was the first time we had received data for the 2009-10 tax year). DWP are changing their own publication schedule and will in future be using the January extract. They are therefore proposing to change the delivery schedule to HMRC KAI from two deliveries to just one annual delivery. This would be the January extract. Fewer deliveries would certainly reduce the amount of processing (e.g. loading and decrypting) that would need to be undertaken by KAI Data Production. However, it would also mean that the data held by KAI would be updated less often, and that any analyses currently undertaken using the May extract would in future be conducted on less up to date data (i.e. data extracted in January). There may be further restrictions on when data from the January extract could be made available for use by analysts, possibly not until after publication of DWP’s own statistics. Blue Book The proposed changes would not affect the delivery of the provisional estimates for the most recent year. However, if we continued to send revised estimates to ONS in January for earlier years, these would be produced using the same underlying data as the provisional estimates sent the previous March, and that any revisions would be due only to changes in data processing in KAI (e.g. identification and removal of pensions and/or benefits P14s). Description Sent to ONS (approx) Data Currently Extracted from NIRS Data Extracted Under New Proposals Revised estimates for earlier years January May of previous year January of previous year Provisional estimates for latest year & revised for earlier years March/April January January (i.e. unchanged) Regional Currently the estimates for regional accounts are produced using the data extracted in May. Under these new proposals, they would be produced using data extracted four months earlier. Description Sent to ONS (approx) Data Currently Extracted from NIRS Data Extracted Under New Proposals Provisional estimates for latest year & revised for earlier years October/November May January We are inviting comments from ONS about this proposal. How would this change to the delivery schedule affect your work? Could these changes affect the quality of analyses that you publish? If we decide to make a case to DWP to continue with the twice yearly delivery then we will need to provide strong justification to support our case. Therefore, if you believe that your work will be adversely affected by these proposed changes, it is particularly important that you reply to this email explaining why - as soon as possible but by close of business Wednesday 01/06/11 at the latest. Happy to discuss. For information, Ruth Coxhead has recently replaced Ann White as the Grade 7 leading the team that supplies the Wages & Salaries and Self Employment estimates to ONS. Kind regards. Claire Claire Price HM Revenue & Customs KAI Data, Policy & Co-ordination - Data Production (External Data Team) Plas Gororau | Ellice Way | Wrexham | LL13 7YY Telephone: 01978 297770 (today in London 020 7438 8481) NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Michael Rizzo on 17/11/2011 at 14:46 Title: Public Enquiries actioned by Michael Rizzo - 2010 ___________________________ Mail 5 From : Phillip Davies/NEWPORT/ONS To : fonseca33@aol.com CC : Michael Rizzo/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS, Eva Jones/ONS Date Sent : 03/08/2010 12:48:34 Subject : Re: Bluebook pension query Dear Lee Thanks for your recent email. In relation to your pensions question, pensions is a more complicated area. Issues like contributions to pension funds, pension holidays, top-ups, pensions received, etc. are a mix of cash and accruals depending upon the concept and the measurement. Without more details, it is not easy to say - a rule of thumb does not apply. As you appear to have a lot of detailed questions, please can I recommend a good source of reference for this information is the National > Accounts Concepts, Sources and Methods publication which can be found online herehttp://www.statistics.gov.uk/downloads/theme_economy/Concepts_Sources_&_M ethods.pdf should you want to research this or any other part of the National Accounts further. Kind regards Phillip ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Phillip Davies National Accounts Coordination and Development Division | Office for National Statistics | Room 2.101 | Cardiff Road | Newport | Wales | NP10 8XG Phone: 01633 45 6492 | Email: phillip.davies@ons.gsi.gov.uk | http://www.statistics.gov.uk/ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- fonseca33@aol.com 27/07/2010 15:33 To: cc: Subject: Phillip Davies/NEWPORT/ONS@ONS Re: Bluebook pension query Dear Philiip, Are most pensions and the NI old age pension based on cash basis? Sent from my iPhone On Jul 27, 2010, at 3:56 AM, Phillip Davies <phillip.davies@ons.gsi.gov.uk > wrote: > > Dear Lee > > In response to your further questions: > > Q1. So would it be correct for me to say that the social benefits paid > are recorded when actually paid? I'd imagine the difference between > cash and accrual social benefits to be really small? > > Answer: In the majority of cases Yes. > > 2. For the benefit I originally asked for, how can there be accruals > when the withdrawals depend on person? In other words, one withdraws > funds at own discretion. > > Answer: These benefits more often than not are accrued over the > periods to > which they relate - the accruals would be needed for longer term > payments/receipts. In the main, the short-term payments are treated > as > cash payments. Many of the items included in D.62 like sickness, > unemployment, etc. tend to be specific short-term items where there > are > regular payments, thus no need for accruals. Therefore, if any > accruals > would be needed, then it is likely to be based on payments made by the > provider rather than the receipts by the person. > > A good source of reference for this information is the National > Accounts > Concepts, Sources and Methods publication which can be found online > here > http://www.statistics.gov.uk/downloads/theme_economy/Concepts_Sources_&_Metho ds.pdf > , should you want to research this or any other part of the National > Accounts further. > > > > > > > > > > > > > > Kind regards Phillip -----------------------------------------------------------------------Phillip Davies National Accounts Coordination and Development Division | Office for National Statistics | Room 2.101 | Cardiff Road | Newport | Wales | NP10 8XG Phone: 01633 45 6492 | Email: phillip.davies@ons.gsi.gov.uk | http://www.statistics.gov.uk/ ___________________________ Mail 16 From : Michael Rizzo/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS To : Christopher Davies/ONS CC : Phillip Davies/NEWPORT/ONS, Gerard Carolan/ONS Date Sent : 28/09/2010 13:24:53 Subject : Definitions of the QSA tables in the statistical bulletin DEFINITIONS Household Sector (Tables J1, J2 and J3) NOTE - Savings ratio is calculated by: (gross savings / total available households resources) *100 Total available households resources = Gross household disposable income + D8 adjustment. Gross savings = Total available household resources - Final consumption expenditure Gross disposable income = GoS and mixed income + employees compensation + property income receipts - property income payments + social benefits - social contributions + net transfers - taxes on income. Gross operating surplus and mixed income [B2/3g] (note that the main component of B2g is imputed rent) (self employed sole traders is B3g) : Wages and Salaries [D.11] (calc by taking current weighted AEI and adding or subtracting employment numbers movements) Employers social contributions [D.12] (contributions payable by employers to social security and privately funded social insurance schemes - count as part of compensation of employees here, but are deducted later as uses of the household sector as payments into funds.) [NOTE - this line is where you will see National insurance contributions]. Property income receipts [D.4] Interest receipts (D.41) distributed income of corporations (D.42) (D42 is calculated as dividends from shares and other securities, and withdrawals of income from quasi corporations (owners of partnerships withdrawing income from profits for personal use)) attributed property income of insurance policy holders [D.44] (treatment of insurance technical reserves as belonging to the policy holders in the various institutional sectors) Rent [D.45] (relates to land and sub-soil assets - doesn't include rental from buildings. This is mainly farming land rent) - very small and insignificant series. Property income payments [D.4] Main component is interest paid. Social benefits receipts [D.62] (comprises Social security benefits in cash, private funded social benefits, unfunded employee social benefits and social assistance benefits in cash) Social contributions payments [D.61] (comprises Employers actual social contributions, Employees actual social contributions, Contributions by self-employed and non-employed persons and finally imputed social contributions) - NOTE employers and imputed are the net of D.12 employers contributions Current taxes [D.5] (comprises D51 taxes on income and D59 other taxes) D51 comprises Personal income tax, taxes on unincorporated enterprises, capital gains) D59 comprises Motor vehicle excise duty, council tax and other payments by HH to obtain licenses Adjustment for the change in net equity in households in pension fund reserves [D8] Basically this is for measurement concepts in the accounts - as the reserves of pension funds are treated as being owned by HH sector which has claim on funds. As the pension contributions to and payments by private funded schemes are included with D6, the balance of these contributions less receipts would be included as part of the disposable income of pension scheme rather than HH. Therefore in order to ensure that savings are properly attributed this adjustment is put in between pension funds and HH. Final consumption expenditure (P3) Private Non-Financial Corporations Sector (Tables K1, K2) NOTE - Net Lending is calculated by: (gross disposable income + net capital transfer receipts - GFCF - Inventories - other changes in assets) Gross disposable income = GoS + property income receipts - property income payments + net transfers taxes on income. Gross operating surplus (B.2g) Property income receipts (D.4 resources) Interest receipts (D.41) Distributed income of corporations (D.42) Reinvested earnings on direct foreign investment (D.43) D43 - Reinvested earnings receipts is calculated as the profits of foreign subsidiaries of UK parents after tax and dividends have been paid. Property income payments (D.4 uses) Interest payments (D.41) Distributed income of corporations (D.42) Reinvested earnings on direct foreign investment (D43) D43 - Reinvested earnings payments is calculated as the profits of UK subsidiaries of foreign parents after tax and dividends have been paid. Other resources/uses This shows net non-life insurance claims/premiums - this has no direct impact on net lending as it nets out. Taxes on income (D.51) Net capital transfers This shows various capital grants/transfers paid/received Gross Fixed Capital Formation Inventories Michael Rizzo Editor: United Kingdom Economic Accounts NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Sanjiv Mahajan on 16/06/2010 at 17:26 Title: Response to ECB consultation on monthly and quarterly requirements on External Statistics Categorisation International Coordination\International Organisation\ECB Note for the record Damian Whittard 16/06/2010 16:04 To: alina.muresan@ecb.europa.eu cc: John Bundey/BOPD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@ONS, Richard T Thomas/MQD/SSSG/NEWPORT/ONS@ONS, Peter Gittins/MQD/SSSG/NEWPORT/ONS@ONS, J Walker/STID/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS@ONS, Perry.Francis@bankofengland.gsi.gov.uk, Sanjiv Maha Subject: ECB/ Eurostat's consultation on monthly and quarterly requirem Response to ECB consultation on monthly and quarterly requirements on External Statistics. Hi Alina, I am pleased to provide the United Kingdom's response to the ECB/Eurostat consultation for monthly and quarterly requirements on External Statistics. The UK's response is a joint response from the Office for National Statistics and the Bank of England. The Bank of England is responsible for providing the Monthly Reserves and Monthly Balance of Payments. ONS is responsible for providing the quarterly non-financial and financial accounts. The UK's response is in direct response to document WGES/2010/114. Reading the document, we were unclear how the colour coding in Table 1 is applied to the annex tables, if at all. We have assumed that the colour coding in the Annex tables is that orange is a requirement for euro area countries only and white applies for all EU countries. Please let me know if this assumption is incorrect as it will affect our response? The UK welcomes the ECB/Eurostat's statement that the data requirements for euro area countries and other EU countries will be reflected in the legal text; the ECB Guideline will address euro area countries and the Eurostat Regulation will address all EU countries. The UK would like to thank the ECB and Eurostat for their efforts to separately identify the euro area and non euro area breakdown in the annex provided to document WGES/2010/114. We now have a much clearer picture of the data requirements the UK will be legally required to supply. We recognise that countries outside the euro area are also encouraged to send, on a voluntary basis, the same details as for the euro area countries. Wherever possible, and where this incurs little additional expense, the UK, will do so. However, ECB and Eurostat should recognise that the UK faces considerable budgetary pressures over the coming years and therefore our ability to provide data above and beyond the legal requirements will be severely limited. Therefore our response to the consultation relates solely to the data that the UK will be legally required to deliver to ECB and Eurostat. We would also like to thank the ECB/Eurostat for listening to the member states and amending their initial data requests. The UK, however, would like Eurostat to further consider their data requirements relating to a number of the other quarterly data requests listed in the section below. In the initial consultation the UK responded to the consultation using a colour coding system, GREEN (data easily available), AMBER (requiring significant effort) and RED (extremely difficult as the data is currently unavailable). I have limited the UK's response to commenting only on requirements we coded RED in the initial consultation. We have not commented on other items which we initially coded AMBER and which will still require a significant amount of effort from the UK to produce. Data where it is extremely difficult for the UK to provide data Table A. Monthly Template on Reserve Assets No comment Table B. Monthly balance of payments and reserve assets details No comment Table C.a Quarterly data: Non-financial accounts except investment income No comment Table C.b Quarterly data: Financial accounts and investment income Item I.1.2 Direct Investment, in direct investor (reverse investment): transactions, total investment income and reinvested/reinvestment of earnings - We are unable to supply any of the breakdowns as we only collect reverse debt information and not reverse equity. Item I.1.3 Direct investment, between fellow enterprises: transactions, total investment income and reinvested/reinvestment of earnings - we are unable to supply any of the breakdowns as we do not collect this information. Item I.1.B.S Direct investment, investment fund shares by resident sector: transactions - the UK are unable to provide this data. ECB/ Eurostat recognise that many members states will have difficulty in providing this data and have made it a best effort only item - the UK welcomes this decision and requests that the coding of the annex is altered to reflect that this is a best effort only item. Item II.1.1.S. 1 (& .2) Portfolio investment (Assets) by resident sector, listed and unlisted split: transactions - The UK has no breakdown on listed and unlisted shares. Item II. Portfolio Investment (Liabilities) - the UK is unable to provide any Portfolio Investment Liabilities sector breakdown (including the listed and unlisted split) as it does not collect this information. This information is only available to euro area countries who use the CSDB. Until such a time as the UK uses the CSDB it will be unable to provide a sector breakdown for Portfolio Investment Liabilities. It is our understanding that this is a best effort basis only and WILL NOT be included as a legal requirement for non euro area countries - - the UK welcomes this decision and requests that the coding of the annex is altered to reflect that this is a best effort only item. Item III.S Financial derivatives by resident sector: transactions - the UK does not have a geographic split of this information. We will be interested in the discussion at the thematic meeting in July on this issue. At this stage, however, we are sceptical that any meaningful geographic breakdown can be provided. Item IV.2.3.S Insurance, pension, and standardised guarantee schemes by resident sector: transactions the UK has very little information on the imports of insurance on which to do a sector and geographic split. Item IV.2.4.S.1 (&.2) Trade credits and advances by resident sector, short term and long term: transactions - the UK has very little information on trade credits and advances. The ECB and Eurostat recognise that this is a difficult area and have made this a best effort basis - the UK welcomes this decision and requests that the coding of the annex is altered to reflect that this is a best effort only item. Item IV.2.5.S.1 (&.2) Other accounts receivable/payable by resident sector, short term and long term: transactions - the UK does not collect this information. The ECB and Eurostat recognise that this is difficult and have made this a best effort basis - the UK welcomes this decision and requests that the coding of the annex is altered to reflect that this is a best effort only item. If you require further clarification regarding the comments listed above, please do not hesitate to contact me. All the best Damian Whittard Balance of Payments Room 2101 Office for National Statistics Cardiff Road Newport South Wales NP10 8XG Telephone 01633 455497 NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Jon Simpson on 09/01/2012 at 10:56 Title: RE: Reorganisation at Eurostat and GNI Categorisation National Accounts Methods Development and International Branch\GNI Correspondence with Eurostat From : Jukka.JALAVA@ec.europa.eu To : Ursula.Havel@statistik.gv.at, geert.detombe@nbb.be, philippe.bogaert@nbb.be, EAtanasova@NSI.bg, TTodorov@nsi.bg, philippe.kuettel@bfs.admin.ch, gzeitountsian@cystat.mof.gov.cy, gsarris@cystat.mof.gov.cy, ondrus@gw.czso.cz, veronika.spies@destatis.de, obe@dst.dk, iljen.dedegkajeva@stat.ee, Tonu.Mertsina@stat.ee, kosmolfet@statistics.gr, nat.accounts@statistics.gr, nikstrobl@statistics.gr, acristobal@ine.es, carmen.ortega.poza@ine.es, eeva.hamunen@stat.fi, Tuomas.Rothovius@stat.fi, jean-pierre.berthier@insee.fr, pal.pozsonyi@ksh.hu, Peter.Szabo@ksh.hu, diarmuid.reidy@CSO.IE, Mick.Lucey@CSO.IE, rosmundur.gudnason@hagstofa.is, agostine@istat.it, Gailute.Juskiene@stat.gov.lt, marc.origer@statec.etat.lu, dace.tomase@csb.gov.lv, Ekalnina@csb.gov.lv, joseph.a.bonello@gov.mt, michael.pace-ross@gov.mt, hvdn@cbs.nl, HNMR@CBS.NL, M.Smolska@stat.gov.pl, m.jeznach@stat.gov.pl, carlos.coimbra@ine.pt, alina.predescu@insse.ro, birgitta.magnussonwarmark@scb.se, andrej.flajs@gov.si, Alena.Illitova@statistics.sk, Frantisek.bernadic@statistics.sk, Glenn Everett/ONS, Jon Simpson/DCPD/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS, Paul.STAFFORD@eca.europa.eu, jose.Parente@eca.europa.eu, Alberto.GASPERONI@eca.europa.eu, mariaisabel.quintela@eca.europa.eu, christian.detry@eca.europa.eu CC : James.Whitworth@ec.europa.eu, Paolo.Passerini@ec.europa.eu, Gallo.Gueye@ec.europa.eu, Frederique.ROUARD@ext.ec.europa.eu Date Sent : 05/01/2012 17:11:27 Subject : RE: Reorganisation at Eurostat and GNI Dear colleagues, On behalf of Mr. James Whitworth, Head of Unit C.3 Statistics for administrative purposes, and myself please accept our wishes for A Happy New Year. Enclosed is for your information the reallocation of GNI country desks. Best regards, Jukka Jalava --------------------------------------------------Jukka Jalava Team leader/Senior Statistician Eurostat C.3 Statistics for administrative purposes BECH, 5, rue Alphonse Weicker L-2721 Luxembourg Tel. (+352) 4301-38435 Fax. (+352) 4301-33879 E-mail: jukka.jalava@ec.europa.eu --------------------------------------------------- From: ROUARD Frederique (ESTAT-EXT) Sent: Thursday, January 05, 2012 3:17 PM To: 'AT - Ursula Havel'; 'BE - Geert de tombe '; 'BE -Philippe Bogaert'; 'BG - Elka Atanasova'; 'BG - Todor Todorov'; 'CH - Philippe Kuettel'; 'CY - G. Zeitountsian'; 'CY - Georgh Sarris'; 'CZ - V. Ondrus'; 'DE - Veronika Spies'; 'DK - O. Berner'; 'EE - Iljen Dedegkajeva'; 'EE - Tõnu Mertsina'; 'EL - Konstantinos Molfetas'; 'EL National Accounts Division'; 'EL - Nikolaos'; 'ES - A. Cristobal'; 'ES - Carmen Ortega'; 'FI - E. Hamunen'; 'FI - T. Rothovius'; 'FR - JP Berthier'; 'HU - P. Pozsonyi'; 'HU - Peter Szabo'; 'IE - Diarmuid Reidy'; 'IE - M. Lucey'; 'IS Rosmundur Gudnasson'; 'IT - Alessandra Agostinelli'; 'LT - G. Juskiene'; 'LU - M. Origer'; 'LV - Dace Tomase '; 'LV - E. Kalnina'; 'MT - Joseph Bonello'; 'MT - Michael Pace Ross'; 'NL - H. Verduin'; 'NL - Henk Nijmeijer'; 'PL - M. Smolska'; 'PL - Maria Jeznach'; 'PT - Carlos Coimbra'; 'RO - Alina Predescu'; 'SE - Birgitta Magnusson'; 'SI A. Flajs'; 'SK - Alena Illitova'; 'SK - Frantisek Bernadic'; 'UK - Glenn Everett'; 'UK - Jon Simpson'; STAFFORD Paul (CDCE); PARENTE JOSE (CDCE); GASPERONI Alberto (CDCE); QUINTELA MARIA ISABEL (CDCE); DETRY CHRISTIAN (CDCE) Cc: WHITWORTH James (ESTAT); JALAVA Jukka (ESTAT); PASSERINI Paolo (ESTAT); GUEYE Gallo (ESTAT) Subject: Reorganisation at Eurostat and GNI Dear GNI Committee Members, On behalf of Mr Gallo GUEYE, please find below a message relating to the reorganisation at Eurostat. Best regards Frédérique Rouard ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Dear GNI Committee Members Starting from 1 January 2012, a reorganisation has taken effect at Eurostat. In this context, my tasks and responsibilities have been modified. In addition to national accounts methodology, my tasks now include also sector accounts, pensions and financial indicators.The name of my unit is still ESTAT.C1. On the other hand, the work and responsibilities concerningGNI verification (and VAT control)have been taken over by another (new) unit ESTAT.C3, with Mr James Whitworth as Head of unit. The continuity of work is ensured in particular by the fact that the majority of existing staff will continue to work on GNI. Mr Paolo Passerini has been moved to a different area - Price statistics - and has been replaced by Mr Jukka Jalava. Jukka will work in unit ESTAT.C3. Eurostat staff assignments on GNI verification tasks will be communicated to you shortly by Unit ESTAT.C3 in order to facilitate future contacts. I would like to thank you all for your excellent cooperation, over many years, on issues related to national accounts and GNIharmonisation. I also take this opportunity to wish you a very Happy New Year. Gallo GUEYE Head of Unit C-1 National Accounts methodology. Sectoraccounts. Financial indicators Eurostat Tel: +352 4301 34859 Fax: +352 4301 33029 E-mail gallo.gueye@ec.europa.eu NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Sanjiv Mahajan on 16/08/2009 at 20:17 Title: Eurostat employment questionnaire - UK Response R R e p o n e Re esssp po on nssse e Note for the record Debra Prestwood 10/08/2009 13:33 To: cc: Subject: Robin Youll/EEPD/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS@ONS Sanjiv Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@ONS Re: Action ASAP Re: Link Message: Eurostat employment que Robin Jon Gough sent it to Eurostat as requested by me below, about a month ago if I recall correctly. Jon - can you send your email response to Eurostat on to Robin and Sanjiv please. Thanks Deb Debra Prestwood Assistant Deputy Director Labour Market Outputs and Social Trends Household, Labour Market and Social Well-being Division ONS, Newport External: 0044 1633 45 5882 Internal: 72 5882 Fax: 0044 1633 45 2582 Robin Youll 27/07/2009 09:14 To: cc: Subject: employment questionnaire 2009 Debra, I lost track of this one. Do you know how far we got with this? best wishes Robin ----- Forwarded by Robin Youll/EEPD/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS on 27/07/2009 09:13 ----- Debra Prestwood/SSPD/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS@ Re: Action ASAP Re: Link Message: Eurostat Sanjiv Mahajan To: Robin Youll/EEPD/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS@ONS cc: Subject: Re: Action ASAP Re: Link Message: Eurostat employment questionnaire 2009Notes Link 27/07/2009 08:08 Dear Robin, Do you know if we provided a submission? If so, could you send me a copy - thanks. Sanjiv Robin Youll To: cc: Subject: employment questionnaire 2009 09/07/2009 12:29 Sanjiv Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@O Re: Action ASAP Re: Link Message: Eurostat ...still moving (grindingly) fwd.... ----- Forwarded by Robin Youll/EEPD/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS on 09/07/2009 12:29 ----Debra Prestwood To: Jon Gough/DCPD/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS@ONS cc: Robin Youll/EEPD/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS@ONS Subject: Re: Action ASAP Re: Link Message: Eurostat employment questionnaire 2009Notes Link 08/07/2009 17:51 Thanks Jon, but I need the UK intro to the second section on Hrs wkd updated too. I'm out of the office now until Monday so could you update that part in red in the attached file, and send the file to Eurostat explaining we have made updates in red. Please would you copy to Robin Youll, me and Andrew Walton, with apologies for missing the 30 June deadline. The addressee in Eurostat is: Gabrielle.Pavant@ec.europa.eu Many thanks Deb UK questionnaire2009.doc Debra Prestwood Assistant Deputy Director Labour Market Outputs and Social Trends Household, Labour Market and Social Well-being Division ONS, Newport External: 0044 1633 45 5882 Internal: 72 5882 Fax: 0044 1633 45 2582 Jon Gough 07/07/2009 09:33 To: Debra Prestwood/SSPD/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS@ cc: Nick Barford/IOSD/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS@ONS Subject: Re: Action ASAP Re: Link Message: Eurostat employment questionnaire 2009Notes Link Deb, I assume it is just the initial section in italics that requires updating? I've added my suggested comments in red -> UK questionnaire_Emp_Jun 09 JG comments.d Happy to discuss further. With regards the actual setting up and delivery of these figures it is something that would be good to finally get to the bottom of. I'm still not totally clear on the exact requirement. I think it was 'given' to us because we had a system in Productivity that was similar to what is (maybe) required to meet this regulation. Whether it is Productivity's responsibility to provide jobs data I'm not totally convinced. Regardless on that we do have some initial work and system set up which hopefully won't require much additional work to meet the regulation. The issues I'm still not clear on are 1) are RU-based jobs or LUbased jobs required? 2) are the industry breakdowns required just for total employment or also for employees and self employed. Once these issues are clarified I think the work (certainly on the jobs side) can progress relatively quickly - there may be some MD work required on the seasonal adjustment side as well. I have sent the documentation and a copy of the system produced previously but have added to the attached link a copy of the proposed jobs system and the datasets required in order to complete -> Notes Link Thanks Jon Debra Prestwood 03/07/2009 16:07 To: Andrew Walton/SSPD/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS@O Jon Gough/DCPD/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS@ONS, Nick Barford/IOSD/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS@ONS cc: Robin Youll/EEPD/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS@ONS Subject: Action ASAP Re: Link Message: Eurostat employ questionnaire 2009Notes Link Andrew Please could you quickly QA the blue text for me in Question 1.4, Mon morning? Jon/Nick I really need your updates to the introductory UK notes at the start of the Employment and Hours Wkd sections asap. Can you provide me with any updates shown in a different colour please to the original 2006 version linked above. Thanks Deb Debra Prestwood Assistant Deputy Director Labour Market Outputs and Social Trends Household, Labour Market and Social Well-being Division ONS, Newport External: 0044 1633 45 5882 Internal: 72 5882 Fax: 0044 1633 45 2582 Andrew Walton 05/06/2009 11:49 To: cc: Subject: 2009 Debra Prestwood/SSPD/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS@ Re: Link Message: Eurostat employment question Debra Robin managed to "tease" an important coverage issue out of me under questioning, so you might like to add that to the questionnaire (see below). Thanks Andrew ----- Forwarded by Andrew Walton/SSPD/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS on 05/06/2009 11:48 ----Robin Youll 03/06/2009 17:08 To: cc: Subject: 2009Notes Link Andrew Walton/SSPD/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS@O Re: Link Message: Eurostat employment questio Andrew thanks. very clear. The 'coverage' point you make here may be relevant to the questionnaire, so is probably something Debra needs to be aware of. cheers Robin Andrew Walton 03/06/2009 16:55 To: cc: Subject: 2009Notes Link Robin Youll/EEPD/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS@ONS Re: Link Message: Eurostat employment questio Robin The simple answer is "as published" but it isn't quite that simple. We use the "employee jobs" element of table 5.1 in the Labour Market First Release (so exluding self-employed jobs, HM forces and government supported trainees), but we won't match exactly with the published figures because: 1) The WFJ employee jobs estimate as published is UK, but they can't provide the industry breakdown of employee jobs at the UK level (only the total WFJ is available) because they don't have the information for NI, so they give us the industry breakdown for GB and therefore it totals to GB (a method issue to look at I feel). 2)We may have different vintages of data because of the NA revisions periods. But we are making no specific NA concept adjustments. Andrew Robin Youll 03/06/2009 16:32 To: cc: Subject: 2009Notes Link Andrew Walton/SSPD/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS@O Re: Link Message: Eurostat employment questio thanks Andrew. my only supplementary is do we use WFJ as published or are the numbers made consistent with NA concepts in some way? Robin Andrew Walton 03/06/2009 14:04 To: Robin Youll/EEPD/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS@ONS cc: Chris Daffin/EEPD/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS@ONS Prestwood/SSPD/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS@ONS, Paul Allin/ONS@ONS Subject: Re: Link Message: Eurostat employment questio 2009Notes Link Robin In a nutshell we are measuring total compensation of employees which is made up of Wages and Salaries and Employer's Social Contributions. For the annual dataset we have data from HRMC on total pay (at the total level, and broken down into section level of SIC) plus data from DEFRA, ABI, government and ONS sources etc. to fill in known gaps in coverage and quality issues or for other variables such as redundancy payments. So on the annual basis there is no use of employment numbers (other than maybe a bit of pro rating of £ figures). It is for the more recent data beyond the last HMRC tax year where we need to make use of WFJ and AEI data to form estimates of pay for the quarters. WFJ and AEI are converted onto a quarterly basis and multiplied together to get a quarterly pay series. Forecasts or actual data are provided for items such as pensions, redundancy payments and social contributions. We then scale (or link as you might prefer to think of it) this data onto the published annual data at the point of the last balanced year thus preserving the growth rates in the latest quarters as implied by AEI x WFJ but at a level which is consistent with the last BB. I don't make any estimates of employee numbers or hours worked. Andrew Robin Youll 03/06/2009 13:47 To: Andrew Walton/SSPD/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS@O cc: Chris Daffin/EEPD/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS@ONS Prestwood/SSPD/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS@ONS, Paul Allin/ONS@ONS Subject: Re: Link Message: Eurostat employment questio 2009Notes Link Andrew, thanks. For my education, where do your employment estimates come from? Presumably they're adjusted onto a NA concepts basis somewhere? Robin From: Andrew Walton on 03/06/2009 11:07 To: cc: Debra Prestwood/SSPD/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS@ONS Paul Allin/ONS@ONS, Robin Youll/EEPD/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS@ONS, Chris Daffin/EEPD/BSG/NEWPORT/ONS@ONS Document Link Information: Database: Document: Labour Market Statistics BDB Eurostat employment questionnaire 2009 Notes Link Debra Probably not much help, but here is my response. Thanks Andrew You may open the document by clicking on this link. NACDD BDB on NGROUP1 Created By: Sanjiv Mahajan on 16/01/2010 at 22:07 Title: ESA Review: Chapter 20 Government accounts (Version 3) - Response from UK to Eurostat (ESA 95 Review Group) R R e p o n e Re esssp po on nssse e Note for the record Sanjiv Mahajan 15/01/2010 21:56 To: Frederique.ROUARD@ec.europa.eu, jean-pierre.dupuis@ec.e Luca.Ascoli@ec.europa.eu, Gallo.Gueye@ec.europa.eu cc: reinhold.schwarzl@statistik.gv.at, ursula.havel@statistik.gv.at, geert.detombe@nbb.be, pierre.crevits@nbb.be, rudi.acx@nbb.be, Ahristova@nsi.bg, philippe.stauff gzeitountsian@cystat.mof.gov.cy, ondrusv@gw.czso.cz, ath@dst.dk, shl@dtl-dk.dk, obe@dst.dk, al norbert.raeth@destatis.de, wolfgang.strohm@destatis.de, Reimund.Mink@ecb.int, Tjeerd.Jellema@ frank.schoenborn@cec.eu.int, tonu.mertsina@stat.ee, nat.accounts@statistics.gr, nikstrobl@statistic acristobal@ine.es, eeva.hamunen@stat.fi, tuomas.rothovius@stat.fi, fabrice.lenglart@insee.fr, sylvi peter.szabo@ksh.hu, pal.pozsonyi@ksh.hu, Mick.lucey@cso.ie, paddy.mcdonald@cso.ie, gudjon.g stefan.jansen@hagstofa.is, tryggvi.eiriksson@hagstofa.is, caricchi@istat.it, battelli@istat.it, mantega gailute.juskiene@stat.gov.lt, irena.tvarijonaviciute@stat.gov.lt, john.haas@statec.etat.lu, marc.origer Dace.Tomase@csb.gov.lv, Ekalnina@csb.gov.lv, joseph.a.bonello@gov.mt, joseph.p.vella@gov.mt abr@ssb.no, kns@ssb.no, Charles.ASPDEN@oecd.org, paul.schreyer@oecd.org, e.kucharska@sta pedro.oliveira@ine.pt, adriana.ciuchea@insse.ro, adrianam@insse.ro, andreas.lennmalm@scb.se, solveig.westin@scb.se, andrej.flajs@gov.si, janja.kalin@gov.si, jure.lasnibat@gov.si, Frantisek.Bern dilek.ozsoy@tuik.gov.tr, Tihomira.Dimova@unece.org, Sanjiv Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS Humphries/BOPD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@ONS, 'Tihomira.Dimova@unece.org' Subject: Re: FW: ESA review: chapter 20 the Government accounts (ve Dear Jean-Pierre, Gallo and Luca, The UK ONS has the following comments. We are reasonably content with the track changes as highlighted in blue in the Chapter 20 Version 3 document. However, there are concerns, and clarification is needed regarding the status of Chapter 20 Version 3. (1) We are very concerned that most of the UK comments (and comments from other countries) on Version 2 have not yet been incorporated. All the comments for all the chapters were collated into one document by Eurostat for the November 2009 ESA Review Group Meeting, i.e. Item 3 Document 706 Identification of remaining methodological issues. Eurostat agreed at the meeting that each of these issues and points will be addressed. Therefore, we assume there will be another version of Chapter 20 incorporating the resolution of the issues and points, can this be confirmed? (2) Although the structure and content of Chapter 20 (Version 3) has been improved since the draft version, the style is very different compared with other chapters. One of the aesthetic aspects of ESA 95 was that it had a consistent feel, and read well, as a whole document, this aspect will need to be addressed by the Editorial team for the new ESA, whereby Chapter 20 needs further work. (3) On a separate issue. At the November 2009 meeting, Eurostat agreed to provide a timetable of events to the next meeting in March 2010 reflecting the next phase for comments including the transmission programme work. Is this timetable available? Happy to discuss. Best regards. Sanjiv Mr Sanjiv Mahajan Head of International Strategy and Coordination Economic Production Division Zone GE 108 Office for National Statistics 1 Myddelton Street Islington London EC1R 1UW Tel no. +(44) 020 7014 2078 E-mail: sanjiv.mahajan@ons.gov.uk Frederique.ROUARD@ ec.europa.eu 22/12/2009 08:54 To: reinhold.schwarzl@statistik.gv.at, ursula.havel@statistik.gv.at, Bertrand.Jadoul@nbb.be, geert.detombe@nbb.be, pierre.crevits@nbb.be, rudi.acx@nbb.be, Ahristova@nsi.bg, philippe.stauffer@bfs.ad gzeitountsian@cystat.mof.gov.cy, ondrusv@gw.czso.cz, ath@dst.dk, shl@dtl-dk.dk, obe@dst.dk, albert.braakmann@destatis.de, norbert.raeth@destatis.de, wolfgang.strohm@destatis.de, Reimund.Mink@ecb.int, Tjeerd.Jellema@ecb.int, Wim.Haine@ecb.int, frank.schoenborn@cec.eu.int, tonu.mertsina@stat.ee, nat.accounts@statistics.gr, nikstrobl@statistics.gr, acanada@ine.es, acristobal@ine.e eeva.hamunen@stat.fi, tuomas.rothovius@stat.fi, fabrice.lenglart@insee.fr, sylvie.lelaidier@insee.fr, peter.szabo@ksh.hu, pal.pozsonyi@ksh.hu, Mick.lucey@cso.ie, paddy.mcdonald@cso.ie, gudjon.gudmundsson@hagstofa.is, stefan.jansen@hagstof tryggvi.eiriksson@hagstofa.is, caricchi@istat.it, battelli@istat.it, mantegaz@istat.it, gailute.juskiene@stat.gov.lt, irena.tvarijonaviciute@stat.gov.lt, john.haas@statec.etat marc.origer@statec.etat.lu, Dace.Tomase@csb.gov.lv, Ekalnina@csb.gov.lv, joseph.a.bonello@gov.mt, joseph.p.vella@gov.mt, mpoe@cbs.nl, RHKA@cbs.nl, abr@ssb.no, kns@ssb.no, Charles.ASPDEN@oecd.org, paul.schreyer@oecd.org, e.kucharska@stat.gov.pl, idilio.freire@ine.pt, pedro.oliveira@ine.pt, adriana.ciuchea@insse.ro, adrianam@insse.ro, andreas.lennmalm@scb.se, per.ericson@scb.se, solveig.westin@scb.se, andrej.flajs@gov.si, janja.kalin@gov.si, jure.lasnibat@gov.si, Frantisek.Bernadic@statistics.sk, dilek.ozsoy@tuik.gov.tr, Sanji Mahajan/NAD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@ONS, Simon Humphries/BOPD/MESAG/LONDON/ONS@ONS, 'Tihomira.Dimova@unece.org' cc: Jean-Pierre.DUPUIS@ec.europa.eu, Christian.Ravets@ec.europa.eu, Luca.Ascoli@ec.europa.eu, Gallo.Gueye@ec.europ Subject: FW: ESA review: chapter 20 the Government acc (version 3) Dear Members of the ESA Review Group, Please find below a message that was sent to the FAWG on behalf of Mr Luca Ascoli. Best regards Frédérique Rouard Ms Frédérique ROUARD European Commission EUROSTAT C1 BECH Building E2/826 5, rue Alphonse Weicker - L2721 Luxembourg Tel: (+352) 4301-31962 Fax: (+352) 4301-33029 E-mail:Frederique.ROUARD@ec.europa.eu ____________________________________ From: GUEYE Gallo (ESTAT) Sent: Tuesday, December 22, 2009 9:44 AM To: ROUARD Frederique (ESTAT) Subject: FW: ESA review: chapter 20 the Government accounts (version 3) ______________________________________________ From: GAPINSKA Monika (ESTAT) Sent: Friday, December 18, 2009 2:59 PM To: 'AT - BANK - ANDREASCH Michael'; 'AT - BANK - WIMMER Gerald'; 'AT - INS - STUEBLER Walter'; 'AT MOF - FLEISCHMANN Eduard'; 'AT - MOF - MAYR Franz'; 'AT - NSI - SCHWARZ Karl'; BARCELLAN Roberto (ESTAT); 'BE - NBB - ACX Rudi'; 'BE - NBB - CAPPOEN Steven'; 'BE - NBB - GOSSET Didier'; 'BE - NBB - LIBENS Joseph'; 'BE - NBB - MODART Claude'; 'BE - NBB - MULKAY Anne'; 'BE - NBB - SAUVENIERE Herve'; 'DE - BANK - BURGTORF Ulrich'; 'DE - BANK - HAMKER Juergen'; 'DE - BANK - RADKE Marc Peter'; 'DE - BANK - STOESS Elmar '; 'DE - INS - BRAAKMANN Albert'; 'DE - INS - EICHMANN Wolfgang'; 'DE - INS - FORSTER Thomas'; 'DE - INS - NIEBUR Oliver'; 'DE - INS - Secretariat National Accounts Directorate'; 'DE - MOF - BAUMANN Elke'; 'DE - MOF - KASTROP Christian'; 'DK - BANK - KJERSGAARD FRIIS Carina'; 'DK - BANK - MATHIASEN M. Tue'; 'DK BANK - National Bank Statistics'; 'DK - INS - BRODERSEN Soren'; 'DK - INS - NIELSEN Michael F.'; NOGUEIRA MARTINS Joao (ECFIN); 'ES - BANK - ABAD Pedro'; 'ES - BANK - GORDO Luis'; 'ES - BANK - SANZ Beatriz '; 'ES - BANK - SANZ Beatriz (secretary)'; 'ES - INE - CRISTOBAL Alfredo'; 'ES - INE - ORTEGA Carmen de la POZA'; ASCOLI Luca (ESTAT); DUPUIS Jean-Pierre (ESTAT); FRANK Simona (ESTAT); FREJ OHLSSON Lena (ESTAT); GAPINSKA Monika (ESTAT); JABLONSKA Ivana (ESTAT); JANKO Robert (ESTAT); KAROLOVA Viera (ESTAT); KRENUSZ Agota (ESTAT); MIHAILOVA Diana (ESTAT); PANTAZIDIS Stylianos (ESTAT); POP Cecilia (ESTAT); RENNO Birgitte (ESTAT); SODEIKAITE Rasa (ESTAT); WORONOWICZ Marcin (ESTAT); AHAMDANECH ZARCO Ismael (ESTAT); DIEDERT Marie-Helene (ESTAT); FASSBENDER Jessy (ESTAT-EXT); GANCEDO VALLINA Isabel (ESTAT); GROFFILIER-WOLFANGER Marie-Louise (ESTAT); HOFFMEISTER Onno (ESTAT); LEETMAA Peeter (ESTAT); LEYTHIENNE Denis (ESTAT); LUPI Alessandro (ESTAT); MADANI-BEYHURST Shirin (ESTAT-EXT); MILUSHEVA Boryana (ESTAT); PARLASCA Peter (ESTAT); PIRAINO Neusa (ESTAT); RENNIE Herve (ESTAT); THOUVENIN Gilles (ESTAT); TOKOFAI Anatole (ESTAT); VERRINDER John (ESTAT); VILLAUME Sylvie (ESTAT); WAHRIG Laura (ESTAT); ZIETEN Jean-Luc (ESTAT-EXT); 'IE - BANK - CUSSEN Mary'; 'IE - BANK - DELANEY John'; 'IE - BANK - MURPHY Kieran'; 'IE - BANK - PHELAN Gillian'; 'IE - INS - BRENNAN Michael'; 'IE - INS CAVANAGH Gordon'; 'IE - INS - CSO Financial Accounts Unit - Centralised group address'; 'IE - INS - FANNING Pat'; 'IE - INS - LUCEY Mick'; 'IE - INS - O'MAHONY Rod'; 'IE - INS - O'ROURKE Seamus'; 'IE - INS - SIBLEY Christopher'; 'IE - INS - STYNES Derek'; 'IE - MOF - COUNIHAN Ciarán'; 'IFAC - PSC chairman - ADHEMAR Philippe'; BUCHER Anne (INFSO); 'IT - BANK - BARDOZZETTI Alfredo'; 'IT - BANK - SEMERARO Gabriele'; 'IT INS - CARICCHIA Alfonsina'; 'IT - INS - CINQUEGRANA Giuseppe'; 'IT - INS - MONTEBUGNOLI Maria Emanuela'; 'IT - MALIZIA Raffaele'; 'IT - MOF - DE RITA Paola'; 'IT - MOF - NUSPERLI Federico'; 'IT - MOFSCAFURI Emilia'; 'LUX - BANK - BOUCHET Muriel'; 'LUX - BANK - PERRARD Romain'; 'LUX - INS - DI MARIA Charles-Henri'; 'LUX - INS - ORIGER Marc'; 'LUX - INS - SOPPELSA David'; 'Polyscience - WARTON-WOODS Sheldon'; 'ECB - BIER Werner'; 'ECB - CATZ Julia'; 'ECB - DUCLOS Christophe'; 'ECB - ECHEVERRIA Remigio'; 'ECB - GADSBY Robert'; 'ECB - GIRON PASTOR Celestino'; 'ECB - MAURER Henri'; 'ECB - MINK Reimund'; 'ECB RODRIGUEZ Marta'; 'ECB - SILVA Nuno'; 'ECB - SOLA Pierre'; 'ECB - WILLEKE Caroline'; FISCHER Jonas (ECFIN); 'FI - BANK - LEHTINEN Jyrki'; 'FI - BANK - SAVOLAINEN Eero'; 'FI - INS - HAMUNEN Eeva'; 'FI - INS KOISTINEN-JOKINIEMI Paula'; 'FI - INS - KUUSSAARI Mira'; 'FI - INS - OKKO Matti'; 'FI - INS - SAINIO Mika'; 'FI - INS - VARJONEN-OLLUS Reetta'; 'FR - BANK - BRANTHOMME Patrick'; 'FR - BANK - CHAZELAS Marc'; 'FR BANK - DURANT Dominique'; 'FR - INS - HOURIEZ Guillaume'; 'FR - INS - MAGNIEZ Jacques'; 'FR - MOF AUGERAUD Patrick'; 'GR - BANK - CORRES Stelios'; 'GR - INS - KATSIKA Anastasia'; 'GR - INS - KRASADAKIS A. & PAPANIKOLAKOS P.'; 'GR - INS - PAPANIKOLAKOS Panagiotis'; 'GR - MEF - DIMITROPOULOU Georgia'; 'GR MOF - MARAVELAKIS Stelios'; 'NL - BANK - LUB Henk'; 'NL - INS - HAAKMAN Léonard'; 'NL - INS - VAN DE VEN Peter'; 'NL - MOF - DOEK Kyra'; 'NL - MOF - SCHUERMAN Patrick'; 'PT - BANK - BRANCO Sergio'; 'PT - BANK LIMA Susana Filipa'; 'PT - BANK - MENEZES Paula'; 'PT - BANK - MONTEIRO Olga'; 'PT - INS - DOURADO Rute'; 'PT - INS - FERREIRA Maria Teresa'; 'PT - INS - QUINTELA Maria Isabel'; 'PT - MOF - LEAL Ana'; 'PT - MOF RODRIGUES Anabela NABAIS'; 'PT - MOF - ROXO Fernando'; 'SE - BANK - BLOMBERG Gunnar'; 'SE - INS BERGWALL Jonas'; 'SE - INS - BILJER Marianne'; 'SE - INS - ERICSON Per'; 'SE - INS - HÖRNSTRÖM Ingegerd'; 'SE - INS - JOHANSSON Katarina'; 'SE - INS - JOHANSSON Tomas'; 'SE - INS - LUNDBERG Dan'; 'SE - INS NORBERG Johan'; 'SE - INS - PÄIVINEN Ann-Louis'; 'SE - INS - SODERSTROM Kristina '; 'UK - INS - HEWER Alan'; 'UK - INS - HUMPHRIES Simon'; 'UK - INS - JENKINSON Graham'; 'UK - INS - KELLAWAY Martin '; 'UK INS - SHANKS Helen'; 'UK - MOF - GOLLAND Jeff'; 'CH - BANK - BÄRLOCHER Jürg'; 'CH - BANK - SCHELLING Tan'; 'CH - INS - FLOREY Dario '; 'CH - MOF - SCHWALLER André'; 'CY - BANK - KANUTIN Andrew'; 'CY - BANK - MELIFRONIDOU Androulla'; 'CY - BANK - NICOLAIDOU Christina'; 'CY - BANK - PAPADATOU Nedi'; 'CY - BANK - SOPHOCLEOUS Anthi'; 'CY - BANK - TSOUNDAS Chrysostomos'; 'CY - INS - SARRIS Georgios'; 'CZ - BANK BELLON Milan'; 'CZ - INS - LASTOVKOVA Marie'; 'CZ - INS - RYBACEK Vaclav'; 'CZ - INS - STASTNA Veronika'; 'CZ - INS - TREJBALOVA Marie'; 'CZ - INS - VEBROVA Ludmila '; 'CZ - MOF - PULPANOVA Lenka'; 'CZ - MOF SOJKOVA Dagmar'; 'EE - INE - KALDMA Ene'; 'EE - INE - NAARITS Agnes'; 'EE - INE - TEERN Helle'; 'EE - INE VOGONSKAJA Maria'; 'HU - BANK - GÓDORNE KALÓ Edit'; 'HU - BANK - HUSZAR Gabor'; 'HU - BANK - ILYÉS Csaba'; 'HU - INS - BEDEKOVICS István'; 'HU - MOF - CSONKA Gizella'; 'HU - MOF - REPA Agota'; 'IMF AYALES Edgar'; 'IMF - DUBLIN Keith'; 'IMF - JONES Gary'; 'IS - INS - BJOERGVINSSON Johann R.'; 'LT - BANK DAUKSAS Vincas '; 'LT - BANK - KARALIUNAS Romas '; 'LT - BANK - LIBERIENE Diana'; 'LT - INS TVARIJONAVICIUTE Irena '; 'LT - MOF - ZYGIENE Dalia'; 'LV - BANK - AIZEZERA Ilona'; 'LV - BANK - CAUNE Agris'; 'LV - BANK - LOCMELE Julia'; 'LV - BANK - LOCMELE Julija'; 'LV - BANK - OSE Aiga'; 'LV - INS VEIDEMANE Vija '; 'LV - MOF - STEPANOVA Ilonda'; 'MT - BANK - PULE Jesmond '; 'MT - INS - BONELLO Joseph'; 'MT - INS - GALEA Mark'; 'MT - MOF - CAMILLERI Noel '; 'MT - NSI - CAMILLERI Alfred '; 'MT - NSI PACE-ROSS Michael'; 'NO - INS - HAMMER Kjell'; 'NO - INS - HARALDSDOTTIR Gudrun'; 'NO - INS - VINDHØG Pål Martin'; 'NO - NSI - BRATEN Arne'; 'NO - NSI - COCK-RØNNING Torbjørn'; 'NO - NSI - LARSEN Jan-Tore'; 'NO - NSI - ROSTADSAND Jon Ivar'; 'NO - NSI - TØRUM Espen'; 'OECD - CHAVOIX-MANNATO Michèle'; 'OECD LAROSA-ELKAIM Catherine'; 'PL - BANK - LASKOWSKA Ewa'; 'PL - BANK -JABLONOWSKI Janusz'; 'PL - MOF JAJKO Beata'; 'PL - MOF - MICHALSKI Maurycy'; 'PL - MOF - WYGODA Monika'; 'PL - NSI - KAPCZYNSKA Urszula'; 'PL - NSI - KRYSTA Jerzy'; 'SI - BANK - MURN Dusan'; 'SI - BANK - REPOVZ Alenka'; 'SI - INS - FINC Sasa'; 'SI - INS - FLAJS Andrej'; 'SI - INS - KLINAR Marjana'; 'SI - INS - KOVACIC Sasa'; 'SK - BANK DURCENKOVA Zuzana'; 'SK - BANK - SEMAN Jan'; 'SK - INS - ANTOLIK Albert'; 'SK - INS - ILLITOVA Alena'; 'SK - INS - JASENAKOVA Eva'; 'SK - INS - KUPKOVA Margita'; 'SK - INS - LUHOVA Maria'; 'SK - INS - SZUCSOVA Denisa'; 'SK - MOF - CZIKOOVA Daniela'; 'SK - MOF - ILAVSKA Daniela'; 'SK - NSI - BALAZ Pavol '; 'BA - NSI ALAGIC Zana'; 'BA - NSI - TUKIC Zlatka'; 'BG - BANK - BEZHANOVA Kornelia'; 'BG - BANK - IVANOV Radi '; 'BG - MOF - NAPETOVA Milka'; 'BG - MOF - NESTOROVA Boriana'; 'BG - MOF - PALIOVA Iana'; 'BG - MOF STOJCHEVA Marina'; 'BG - NSI - HRISTOV Anatoliy'; 'BG - NSI - PACHEVA Antoniya'; 'HR - BANK - GALINEC Davor'; 'HR - INS - SOLCICS Slavica'; 'MK - MOF - ESMEROV Petar'; 'MK - NSI - Cadikovska Violeta'; 'RO - BANK - KAZNOVSKY Mariana'; 'RO - BANK - NEAGU Camelia'; 'RO - BANK - PETREAN Aurora'; 'RO - INS - NUTA Mihaela'; 'RO - INS - STANA Elena Silvia'; 'RO - MOF - COSTACHE Dumitru'; 'RO - MOF - ENE Mihaela'; 'RO MOF - MIHAILA Ecaterina'; 'RO - NSI - BARSANESCU Tatiana'; 'RO - NSI - CIUCHEA Adriana'; 'RO - NSI - IVAN UNGUREANU Clementina'; 'TR - BANK - CAKMAK Burcu'; 'TR - BANK - GULERGUN Semra'; 'TR - BANK TOPKAYA Arzu T.'; 'TR - INS - ÖZSOY Dilek'; 'TR - MOF - AYTEKIN Arzu'; 'TR - MOF - KERIMOGLU Baki'; 'TR NSI - ARSLANER Ferhat'; 'TR - NSI - ÇÖKMEZ Ebru'; 'TR - NSI - KORKMAZ Tulay' Cc: GUEYE Gallo (ESTAT); 'anders.nordin@sogeti.lu' Subject: ESA review: chapter 20 the Government accounts (version 3) Dear FAWG Colleagues, Please find attached, as agreed in the last FAWG meeting and in the ESA Review Group, a new version of chapter 20 (version 3). Modifications made to the previous version (version 2, as posted on Circa) appear in track changes. The main amendments concern: - In part 1: The market / non-market distinction (§26 to 33) Borderline cases: Pension funds (new §44) - In part 2: The box (From ESA central framework to GFS transactions and aggregates) p.20 and 21 - In part 3: Debt guarantees (one-off guarantees, §259 to 263) Pension obligations (lump sum payments, §277 to 279) Public-private partnerships (economic ownership, §289 to 291) We would be grateful if you could send your comments to Jean-Pierre Dupuis (jeanpierre.dupuis@ec.europa.eu) before 15 January c.o.b. <<ESA review - V3 (Dec09)Chapter on government.doc>> Kind regards On behalf of Luca Ascoli, Head of Unit Eurostat C-3 "Public Finance" Monika Gapinska European Commission EUROSTAT Unit C3 / BECH Building E3-829 5, rue Alphonse Weicker - L2721 Luxembourg Tel: (+352) 4301-36226 Fax: (+352) 4301-32929 monika.gapinska@ec.europa.eu _________________________________________ The views expressed are purely those of the writer and may not in any circumstances be regarded as stating an official position of the European Commission.This message may contain personal data and other confidential data that are entrusted to the recipients specified in the header of the message. The recipient(s) of this message shall not process the present message in ways that contradict the European legislation on the protection of personal data or jeopardise the confidentiality of the message content. If this message has been received in error, please notify the sender of the message or forward the message to postmaster@cec.eu.int along with a short explanation. Whilst the Commission aims to keep its network free from viruses, you are strongly encouraged to check this email and any attachments to it for viruses, as the Commission accepts no responsibility with regard to any computer virus transferred by way of this e-mail This email was received from the INTERNET and scanned by the Government Secure Intranet anti-virus service supplied by Cable&Wireless in partnership with MessageLabs. (CCTM Certificate Number 2009/09/0052.) In case of problems, please call your organisation?x02019;s IT Helpdesk. Communications via the GSi may be automatically logged, monitored and/or recorded for legal purposes. ESA review - V3 (Dec09)Chapter on government.doc