Development in Urbanized Settings: A Study of Novostroikas in Bishkek A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Bachelor of Arts in International and Comparative Politics at The American University of Kyrgyzstan. by Bermet Zhumakadyr kyzy Supervisors: Medet Tiulegenov, Assistant Professor, International and Comparative Politics Shairbek Juraev, Director, Central Asian Studies Institute The American University of Central Asia Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan April, 2012 Acknowledgements I would like to thank my supervisors Medet Tiulegenov and Shair Juraev for their wise help and guidance with this work. Thank you from the bottom of my heart. I would like to thank Emil Nasritdinov, Joyce Pisarello, and Rene Provis for their help and support. Last but not least, I would like to thank interviewees for providing information and sharing their knowledge. II Abstract DEVELOPMENT IN URBANIZED SETTINGS: A STUDY OF NOVOSTROIKAS IN BISHKEK By Bermet Zhumakadyr kyzy, International and Comparative Politics A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Bachelor of Arts in Politics at the American University of Central Asia, 2012 Supervisors: Medet Tiulegenov, Assistant Professor, International and Comparative Politics Shairbek Juraev, Director, Central Asian Studies Institute Government’s engagement is crucial for the development of the new settlements. The subject of this study is the development of novostroikas in Bishkek. Specifically, this paper attempts to explore why government decides to engage in one novostroika, while ignoring the existence of another. Government’s engagement is only possible when the new settlement has the legal status. Meanwhile, illegal settlement may attain legal status through pressure in the form of political protests or lobbying by government officials and/or residents of the new settlement. Once a novostroika gains legal status, government engages in the development of the new settlement. The study provides an illustration on the challenges posed by the weakness of the state in addressing the problems of urbanized poverty. III Table of Contents Acknowledgements.......................................................................................................I V Abstract........................................................................................................................IV Table of Contents.........................................................................................................IV Introduction....................................................................................................................1 Chapter 1: Novostroikas in Bishkek: Background and Policy Dilemmas Faced by The Government.................................................................................................7 Chapter 2: Background on Case Studies: Ak Bata, Ak Jar, Altyn Kazyk, and Kalys Ordo..................................................................................................................12 Chapter 3: Review of Literature and the Conceptual Framework: Two Theoretical Approaches to Study Development in Novostroikas........................................20 Chapter 4: Vying for Public Goods: The Role of Legal Status, Pressure and Connections......................................................................................................26 Conclusion....................................................................................................................36 Bibliography.................................................................................................................39 IV Introduction Over 200,000 new settlements reportedly exist in the world today.1 These are favelas in Brazil, barriadas in Peru, barrios in Caracas, vijijis in Kenya, katchi abadis in Pakistan, gecekondus in Turkey, kampungs in Malaysia and so on. These new settlements, often labeled as slums, are nothing less than a vivid illustration of the process commonly referred as the “urbanization of poverty.”2 The UN-Habitat (United Nations Human Settlements Programme) states that “[s]ince 1950, mankind has endured its most rapid expansion, from 2.5 billion to 6 billion people. Sixty per cent of this gain has been in urban areas. […] During the next 30 years, the global urban populations will increase by more than 2 billion while rural populations will be almost static.”3 These numbers reveal the magnitude of persisting and continuing trend of population increase in urban areas. The UN-Habitat further reports that “[a]lmost 1 billion people, or 32 per cent of the world’s urban population, live in slums, the majority of them in the developing world.”4 UN-Habitat’s astounding numbers complement World Bank’s warnings that “urban poverty would become the most significant and politically explosive problem of the next century.”5 The enormity and speed of global poverty urbanization reveals the importance and urgency of examining urban poverty closely. One of the ways to contribute to the study of this salient phenomenon is to explore the product of poverty urbanization, namely, new 1 Mike Davis, Planet of Slums (London and New York: Verso, 2006), 26. Gerard Piel, “The Urbanization of Poverty Worldwide,” Challenge 40, no. 1 (1997). 3 United Nations Human Settlements Programme, The Challenge of Slums: Global Report on Human Settlements 2003 (London and Sterling, VA: Earthscan Publications Ltd., 2003), 5. 4 Ibid, - 1 -. 5 Anquing Shi. “The Impact of Access to Urban Potable Water and Sewerage Connections on Child Mortality: City-Level Evidence, 1993,” in World Bank Economists’ Forum, ed. Shantayanan Devarajan, F. Halsey Rogers, and Lyn Squire (Washington, D.C.: The World Bank, 2001), 234. 2 -1- settlements. This paper aims to look at the developmental issues faced by the new settlements in Kyrgyzstan, a relatively new state with a struggling economy and persisting legacies of the Soviet rule. Novostroikas, a local term for new settlements, in Bishkek are coalescence and a visible evidence of the most salient social problems that Kyrgyzstan has been facing today: unemployment, poverty, and corruption. These new settlements often have negative connotations being associated with squalor, criminals, social unrest. However, the associations are often without merit to them. There are some novostroikas that are thriving and are well integrated into the city infrastructure. Nevertheless, striking is the difference in the degree of infrastructure development among the new settlements; sometimes drastic contrasts can be observed in novostroikas located just next to each other. An excellent illustration is the example of Altyn Kazyk and Kalys Ordo, two bordering novostroikas in the outskirts of Bishkek. In Altyn Kazyk people live in inhumane conditions: there is no clean drinking water, no electricity, and no paved roads. All it consists of are houses made out of clay. On the other hand, Kalys Ordo has electricity, water, 5275 meters of paved roads, and an elementary school. Kalys Ordo feels like suburb of the city, although only 100 meters away, Altyn Kazyk seems like an impoverished slum. This paper aims to examine this issue though addressing the following questions: Why is there such a striking difference in the levels of development in these two bordering novostroikas in Bishkek? What factors are most important in determining the quality of life in these settlements? What are the roles of the state authorities and settlers in this, and in what contexts does their relationship lead to improvements in the settlements? These questions guided the research project under the main research question: what are the factors that result in government’s actions to -2- improve infrastructure in the novostroika? The hypothesis has been that the differences among the novostroikas are very much a reflection of the varying combination of factors, including the governmental engagement, which results from the legal status of the settlement, initiatives of the residents, the political connections between particular novostroikas and representatives of decision-making bodies. Given this, the research task has been to reveal those contexts in which these factors play with each other and produce quite differing results. The findings, discussed in length the in the subsequent chapters, suggest the authorities’ engagement is only possible in the legalized settlements; however, the legal status is necessary but not sufficient factor. The informal pressure from the residents of settlements and development of political connections between the settles and the authorities prove to play a very important role. Given the limitations in terms of time and scope, the research is focused on close analysis of four new settlements in the northern outskirts of Bishkek: Altyn Kazyk, Ak Jar, Ak Bata, and Kalys Ordo. These are relatively recent settlements, located close to each other, but presenting quite different degrees of infrastructural development. One of the reasons for limiting the number of discussed settlements is the methodological feasibility. The paper relies both on secondary sources, but significant part of the findings come from the first-hand in-depth interviews held with the relevant representatives of the novostroikas. The interviews had the purpose of finding primary information about this quite under-researched topic, and overall two government officials, one NGO director (with over 20 years of experience of work with new settlements), and 14 residents (mostly anonymous) were interviewed. There are several caveats in terms of the terminology employed in the paper. First, for the purposes of this paper novostroika and new settlement will be used -3- interchangeably. These terms are just two of many equivalent variations of the terms (squatter settlement, informal housing, illegal settlement, shanty town), to denote largely pejorative term “slum”.6 The notion of “slum” could be traced back to 1812, when James Hardy Vaux was the first to define it and used it synonymously with “racket” or “criminal trade” in his work Vocabulary of the Flash Language.7 Since then and until the end of 19th century the word had negative connotations being associated with crime, drugs, wretchedness, etc.8 The notion of “slum” changed from stigmatized concept to general operational in 1880s by the Housing Reform Movement in England.9 Nowadays slum is a contested term: it has a negative connotation and is considered to be pejorative term by some, yet it is becoming a neutral and acceptable notion in academia. Operational definition of slum was proposed by United Nations Expert Group Meeting in 2002. It defines slums as “an area that combines, to various extents, the following characteristics (restricted to the physical and legal characteristics of the settlement, and excluding the more difficult social dimensions): 1. inadequate access to water; 2. inadequate access to sanitation and other infrastructure; 3. poor structural quality of housing; 4. overcrowding; 5. insecure residential status.”10 6 United Nations Human Settlements Programme, The Challenge of Slums: Global Report on Human Settlements 2003 (London and Sterling, VA: Earthscan Publications Ltd., 2003), 9. 7 Mike Davis, Plant of Slums (London and New York: Verso, 2006), 21. 8 United Nations Human Settlements Programme, The Challenge of Slums: Global Report on Human Settlements 2003 (London and Sterling, VA: Earthscan Publications Ltd., 2003), 9. 9 Ibid, 9. 10 Ibid. -4- Ninette Fahmy states that new settlements “are those communities which sprang up as a result of illegal acquisition of publicly owned state land […]. As such, these areas fall outside official urban planning, suffer lack of provision of basic urban services, which includes electricity, water, and sewage, and are subject to forceful eviction at any time.”11 UN-Habitat and Fahmy’s definitions are useful in describing those new settlements where government has not taken actions to improve the novostroika. Kalys Ordo and Ak Bata used to fit within these two definitions several years ago but do not nowadays as the government has actively been involved in upgrading and integrating these settlements into the city. For the purposes of this study, term novostroika or new settlement includes both settlements that are not upgraded (and fit the definitions above) and those new settlements that were upgraded (and used to fit the definitions above). The term “government” is used broadly to denote the state authorities in general, rather than referring to the executive branch or any particular unit within it. When particular government body is discussed in this study, then it is called by its name and is not referred to as the “government”. “Development” in this research means infrastructure development which for the purposes of this study is measured by the following tangible characteristics: water, electricity, and paved roads. This is however not to undermine in any way the importance of multidimensional approach on development. Infrastructure development is important and necessary before multidimensional approach could be applied. Consequently, “government’s Ninette S. Fahmy, “A Culture of Poverty or the Poverty of a Culture? Informal Settlements and the Debate over the State-Society Relationship in Egypt,” Middle East Journal 58, no. 4 (Autumn, 2004), 600. 11 -5- engagement” in novostroika denotes government’s actions directed to provide and upgrade these three infrastructural characteristics. The implications of this study are limited. There are 48 legally recognized and unknown numbers of unofficial new settlements around Bishkek. This study mostly looked at the novostroikas that formed around years 2002-2005, however many other new settlements were formed in 1990s and 2011. Considering these, the findings of this research could not be extended to all the novostroikas in Kyrgyzstan, even though the patterns are expected to be similar in other parts of Bishkek’s outskirts. The paper is organized in the following way. The first chapter provides general background on the new settlements in Bishkek and dilemmas government faces in implementing policy towards these new settlements. The next chapter presents four new settlements that were studied in this research: Altyn Kazyk, Ak Jar, Ak Bata, and Kalys Ordo. The Chapter 3 provides a brief review of the literature and puts forward two theoretical approaches employed in this study. Finally, Chapter 4 analyzes government’s engagement in four case-study new settlements utilizing combination of two main theoretical frameworks. Conclusion summarizes the findings of the study, stresses its implications within the broader context and gives suggestions for further research in the area of development in novostroikas in Bishkek. -6- Chapter 1: Novostroikas in Bishkek: Background and Policy Dilemmas Faced by the Government First new settlements started to form around Bishkek in 1989, when the Soviet Union was still in place.12 These first settlements were formed through “land invasions” (or local term samozahvat).13 This trend of creation of novostroikas through either “land invasions” or sometimes on legal basis through government’s allocation of land lots to people around Bishkek has persisted since 1989 till recent days.14 In 2006, 30 percent of Bishkek’s territory consisted of novostroikas.15 Currently there are 48 officially recognized new settlements in Bishkek (including Ak Jar, which is in the process of gaining legal status).16 The number is even larger if to include many novostroikas that still lack legal statuses. Formation of all these new settlements around Bishkek could be divided into three waves: (1) during the first years of independence from 1989-1993, (2) during the 2005 riots, and (3) during 2011 riots and ethnic conflict.17 These are only main waves, some novostroikas formed in times which do not fit the delineation into three waves.18 The main cause for the development of these novostroikas around Bishkek is high rate of internal rural-urban migration which resulted in the high growth rate of the city’s population. From 1989 to 1999 Bishkek’s population increased by 151,000 12 Jumagazy Sadyr uulu, interview by author, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, February 22, 2012. Ibid. 14 Ibid. 15 Азамат Касыбеков, “«Пояс шахида» вокруг Бишкека. Новостройки и их обитатели,” ЦентрАзия, Январь 16, 2006, доступ Апрель 1, 2012. http://www.centrasia.ru/newsA.php?st=1137395340. 16 Официальный сайт Мэрии города Бишкек, “Пресс-конференция по вопросу «Самовольно выстроенных индивидуальных жилых домов в новостройках города Бишкек, а также об упорядочении работы общественного транспорта в столице»,” Официальный сайт Мэрии города Бишкек, Мар. 16, 2012, http://bishkekgov.in.kg/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=2329%3A-lr&catid=40%3Acategorynews&Itemid=74&lang=ru (доступ Апр. 1, 2012). 17 United Nations Human Settlements Programme, The Challenge of Slums: Global Report on Human Settlements 2003 (London and Sterling, VA: Earthscan Publications Ltd., 2003), 22. 18 Jumagazy Sadyr uulu, interview by author, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, February 22, 2012. 13 -7- due to internal migration, although the increase was offset by emigration to other countries.19 Population growth in Bishkek resulted in high demand for housing and land. This led to the formation of new settlements around Bishkek.20 This begs a question: what causes migration from rural areas to Bishkek. Literature on rural-urban migration explained the phenomena through dividing decision to migrate as being affected by “push” and “pull” factors. “Push factors” are based on longing to escape unemployment and lack of opportunities in impoverished rural areas, whereas “pull factors” are decision to migrate in search of better opportunities and life in the city and attraction to “the city lights.”21 However, once in Bishkek there is a need for land and housing. According to the Land Code of Kyrgyz Republic every citizen is entitled to a land plot free-of-charge if they do not already possess a land plot anywhere else within the borders of Kyrgyzstan: (a) for the construction of a residential house; (b) for the construction of a dacha; and (c) for agricultural use for the entitled citizens.22 However, to qualify for a plot the household must meet demanding criteria and, afterwards, wait in the queue hampered by corruption for the land lot.23 Therefore, some decide to illegally squat public land instead of undergoing through rigid and lengthy procedures to obtain land. Martin Schuler, “Migration Patterns of the Population in Kyrgyzstan,” Espace Populations Societes, 2007, http://eps.revues.org/index1967.html#tocto1n5 (accessed Apr. 1). 20 United Nations Human Settlements Programme, The Challenge of Slums: Global Report on Human Settlements 2003 (London and Sterling, VA: Earthscan Publications Ltd., 2003), 22. 21 Johan Frederick Rye, “Leaving the Countryside: An Analysis of Rural-to-Urban Migration and Long-Term Capital Accumulation,” Acta Sociologica 49, no. 1 (Mar., 2006): 49. 22 Земельный Кодекс Кыргызской Республики, Право на земельный участок как объект гражданских прав и сделки с ним, глава 3, статьи 25-30. 23 Raymond J. Struyk and Friedemann Roy, “Kyrgyzstan’s “Squatter Communities” and the Potential of Housing Micro Finance to Support Upgrading,” Housing Finance International (Sep., 2006), 23. 19 -8- The reports suggest 392,852 people currently live in 48 officially recognized novostroikas.24 The number may go even bigger if to count new settlements that still lack legal statuses. Living conditions in these settlements vary greatly: there are new settlements which are considered to be an “elite zone” with spacious and fancy housing and there are novostroikas with no electricity, no water, and no paved roads. The latter in most of the cases are the ones without legal statuses. The state identifies illegal settlers as “land-grabbers” or “land-invaders” (samozahvatchiki) who should not be granted right to land.25 These illegal settlers often do not have a residence permit for Bishkek or propiska. Without this residence permit these dwellers become second-class citizens: they cannot vote, do not have access to medical services, their children cannot attend schools (although this can be solved through informal payment), etc.26 The difference in treatment by state of illegal and legal settlements is interesting considering the fact that some of the now-legal settlements once were illegally squatted too. State policy options towards novostroikas have variety too: negligence, eviction, resettlement, or upgrading. Most often used policy is negligence, where the new settlements remain under the threat of eviction, although novostroikas seem to gain legal status eventually. Kyrgyz government faces a dilemma when deciding whether to grant legal status. On the one hand granting legal status to illegally squatted novostroika will set an undesirable precedent, on the other hand the government is responsible for the well-being of all citizens including the dwellers of novostroikas.27 Диана Эсеналиева, “Около 400 тыс. человек проживает в новостройках Бишкека,” КирТаг, Апрель 10, 2012, доступ Апрель 11, 2012. http://www.kyrtag.kg/?q=ru/news/18761. 25 Balihar Sanghera and Elmira Satybaldieva, “Ethics of Property, Illegal Settlements and the Right to Subsistence,” International Journal of Sociology and Social Policy 32, no. 1/2 (2012), 104. 26 Анастасия Ходыкина, “Нет бумаги – нет человека,” Inkg.info, Февраль 20, 2012, доступ Апрель 1, 2012. http://inkg.info/news/deti/1063-net-bumagi-net-cheloveka. 27 Самарбек Болотбеков, Интервью с Еленой Нечаевой, ТВ программа. Майдан. Мар. 6, 2012. 24 -9- Housing in the illegal settlements should be removed according to law. However, state chooses to ignore existence of these settlements. Removal of the housing constructions in these new settlements requires positive active actions from the government, whereas neglect does not require any actions. Kyrgyz government was able to remove few housing constructions, which were located at the legally recognized novostroikas. However, officials admit that there are many more constructions which need to be removed. Yet, the state is hesitant to forcefully enforce eviction policy. There is a dilemma: on the one hand government should enforce the law on the other hand enforcement may lead to protests and violence. So, there are two main dilemmas faced by the government when deciding which policy to follow. First dilemma is whether to grant legal status to illegally formed novostroika and set precedent. On the other hand, government is responsible for ensuring well-being of the novostroika dwellers as they are still Kyrgyz citizens. If not to grant legal status, then the government should evict illegal settlements. However, the dilemma is: eviction may lead to protests and violence, yet government must enforce the law. As OGUKS’ (Общественно-государственное Управление капитального строительства мэрии Бишкека) official said: “Russian saying goes as “Better poor peace than any war.” […] If more people will become aggressive, the balance in the society will go off. There is a golden rule by which society must be ruled – balance interests in the society. We should take into account interests of these people [novostroika dwellers], they are too our citizens.”28 In the face of these dilemmas most of the time government chooses to ignore illegal settlements and take no actions towards them. 28 Rakadbek Suiumkulov, interview by author, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, March 22, 2012. - 10 - To sum up, new settlements have existed ever since Kyrgyzstan’s independent history and squatting of publicly owned land is not a recent phenomenon in a relatively short history of a sovereign country. A high rate of rural-urban migration resulted in the formation of these often illegal new settlements. The government’s policy towards these new settlements has been somewhat ambivalent due to the dilemmas it faces when deciding which policy to adopt. - 11 - Chapter 2: Background on Case Studies: Ak Bata, Ak Jar, Altyn Kazyk, and Kalys Ordo There are four bordering novostroikas in the northern part of Bishkek. They are located along one of the main roads that is used to drive into and out of Bishkek (ob’ezdnaya doroga). They are Ak Bata, Ak Jar, Altyn Kazyk, and Kalys Ordo. If to travel along the ob’ezdnaya doroga from east to west the new settlements will follow one another in the following order: Ak Jar, Ak Bata, Altyn Kazyk, and Kalys Ordo. With regard to the level of infrastructure development in these new settlements they will be positioned as follows (from “less developed” to “more developed”): Altyn Kazyk, Ak Jar, Ak Bata, and Kalys Ordo (see table 1). This will be the order in which novostroikas will be presented in this chapter. Altyn Kazyk Ak Jar Ak Bata Kalys Ordo 84 146 83 135 Electricity No Most houses Most houses Yes Water No Some houses Most houses Yes Roads No No Some roads Yes Area (in hectares) Table 1 Altyn Kazyk is an illegal new settlement with an area of 84 hectares. It was established through squatting of the public land in 2005 following the “Tulip Revolution”. Ever since its existence the government has ignored this new settlement. - 12 - At the same time novostroika residents were not assertive in demanding legal status as some other illegal new settlements were. Houses in Altyn Kazyk do not have electricity. However, there are electrical transformers that were built and are used to support the workers on city’s dump site located right next to Altyn Kazyk. Some of the residents living close to the dump site illegally connect their households to these electrical transformers through informal payments.29 However, this option is available only to households that are located in the immediate vicinity of the dump site, and hence in the vicinity of the electrical transformers. There is no drinking water available in Altyn Kazyk. Therefore, the residents are forced to go neighboring novostroika Kalys Ordo for the water.30 Moreover, there are no paved roads in Altyn Kazyk. The roads turn into watery mud after the rain. There are no marshrutkas (type of local public transportation, minibus) that have routes into this new settlement. Therefore to get to school or to go to work the residents have to walk around one kilometer to the ob’ezdnaya doroga and then catch marshrutka. Children attend school located either in other novostroikas, in the city, or do not attend school at all. There are no medical services provided in the new settlement itself, moreover most of the residents cannot access public healthcare due to not having propiska. However, informal payment is likely solve this matter too.31 Altyn Kazyk is located in an area which is considered to be hazardous and prohibited for living. The new settlement is in an unacceptable vicinity to the city’s dump site, which however provides jobs to the residents who pick and sort trash.32 29 Altyn Kazyk resident, interview by author, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, March 5, 2012. Ирина Ковшова, “Золотой клад на помойке,” Слово Кыргызстана, Мар. 27, 2012, окончательное издание. 31 Altyn Kazyk resident, interview by author, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, March 5, 2012. 32 Ibid. 30 - 13 - Moreover, the novostroika is located nearby a cemetery and cattle cemetery.33 Finally, gas pipes pass underneath some parts of Altyn Kazyk and pose a risk of explosion.34 The houses cannot be built on the ground underneath which gas pipes pass as the gas pipes cannot hold the additional pressure and might break and explode.35 Altyn Kazyk’s history of interactions with the government starts with its formation in 2005 during the riots in March commonly known as the “Tulip Revolution.” That same year Kurmanbek Bakiev signed the decree no. 247, which transferred public land to individuals for housing constructions.36 Later he revoked the decree and the same territory was appropriated for cemetery.37 However, some people have already paid and bought the land from alleged officials and started to build houses.38 These people refused to move out and the new settlement continued to grow.39 Another new settlement, Ak Jar is comparatively better off than Altyn Kazyk. It was promised to be granted legal status by the Prime Minister Almazbek Atambaev himself; however its legal status is ambivalent. It occupies an area of 146 hectares.40 It was finally established in 2005 through squatting, although there have been earlier attempts to form a new settlement in that area.41 Ak Jar has a main road which goes all the way through the novostroika. There are 40 roads crossing it perpendicularly. The Mayor’s Office ordered to put electrical 33 Altyn Kazyk resident, interview by author, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, March 5, 2012. Ibid. 35 Bolot Abdiev, interview by author, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, March 20, 2012. 36 Ирина Ковшова, “Золотой клад на помойке,” Слово Кыргызстана, Мар. 27, 2012, окончательное издание. 37 Ibid. 38 Altyn Kazyk resident, interview by author, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, March 5, 2012. 39 Ibid. 40 Официальный сайт Мэрии города Бишкек, “Глава столичного муниципалитета посетил жилмассив «Ак-Жар»,” Официальный сайт Мэрии города Бишкек, Мар. 16, 2012, http://bishkekgov.in.kg/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=1657%3A-lr&catid=40%3Acategorynews&Itemid=74&lang=ru (доступ Апр. 1, 2012). 41 Jumagazy Sadyr uulu, interview by author, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, February 22, 2012. 34 - 14 - lines till the road 22 inclusively in 2011. Therefore, only half of the new settlement has electricity, the rest of the new settlement either still does not have electricity or have illegally extended electrical lines from the street 22.42 There is no running water in the households. Instead there are water pumps on the central road from where residents bring water to their houses. There are no paved roads in Ak Jar. The ground largely consists of clay in that area, therefore the roads become extremely muddy after rain.43 Despite bad roads there are two marshrutka lines into this novostroika. There is no school in the new settlement, but most of the children attend schools that are located either in the neighboring new settlements or in the city.44 And there are no medical services provided in the novostroika. Ak Jar is located in an area which does not meet the criteria for building houses. The ground largely consists of clay, which cannot hold housing constructions well. This is the reason why there is no running water in every household, as clay is not able to hold water pipes and starts raveling out if the humidity rises.45 Moreover, underneath some of the housing constructions in Ak Jar pass gas pipes, which are dangerous as they have the potential to explode under the additional pressure of housing constructions.46 Ak Jar initially was squatted in 1989 and people already had then started building houses.47 However, it was discovered that the area is not suitable for housings due to the fact that ground largely consisted of clay.48 Therefore, national 42 Ak Jar resident, interview by author, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, March 4, 2012. Jumagazy Sadyr uulu, interview by author, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, February 22, 2012. 44 Ak Jar resident, interview by author, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, March 4, 2012. 45 Rakadbek Suiumkulov, interview by author, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, March 22, 2012. 46 Ibid. 47 Jumagazy Sadyr uulu, interview by author, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, February 22, 2012. 48 Ibid. 43 - 15 - government resettled these people in 1992 and paid compensation.49 Yet, the housing constructions and unpaved roads made by people remained.50 Therefore, people could see that these places could be populated and used this opportunity during 2005 riots to re-establish the new settlement.51 For the six years since then Ak Jar residents lived without electricity, water, etc. In August 2011 residents of Ak Jar blocked the ob’ezdnaya doroga demanding provision of water and electricity, construction of a school, a medical center, and a road to the new settlement.52 Later in August the Prime Minister Almazbek Atambaev visited Ak Jar and promised to provide water and electricity to the new settlement.53 Water was provided in October and electricity was provided in December of 2011 to the novostroika Ak Jar.54 Ak Bata is located between Altyn Kazyk and Ak Jar and is comparatively better off than both of them. Ak Bata was formed through squatting in June 2002.55 It has been granted legal status shortly in August 2002 after the protests by the squatters.56 It legally occupies an area of 83 hectares.57 There are six electrical transformers that provide electricity for the entire novostroika. However, there are no electrical poles in the new settlement and some residents extended the electrical lines by building and establishing self-made electrical poles.58 There are water pumps in most of the households, however substantial amount of households still do not have access to water directly from their own 49 Jumagazy Sadyr uulu, interview by author, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, February 22, 2012. Ibid. 51 Ibid. 52 K-News, “Расследование K-News: Кому принадлежит новостройка «Ак-Жар»,” K-News, Август 9, 2012, доступ Апрель 11, 2012, http://www.knews.kg/ru/action/1572/. 53 СДПК, “А. Атамбаев: «Жители новостроек – граждане нашей страны, мы обязаны решать их острые социальные проблемы,” СДПК, Авг. 13, 2012, http://www.sdpk.kg/party-line/meetings-withvoters/584--ll------------r (доступ Апр. 11, 2012). 54 Ak Jar resident, interview by author, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, March 4, 2012. 55 Ibid. 56 Зинаида Сорокина, “Снести или переселить?” Вечерний Бишкек, Февраль 22, 2012, доступ Апрель 11, 2012, http://members.vb.kg/2012/02/22/gorod/1.html. 57 Ibid. 58 Ak Bata resident, interview by author, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, March 4, 2012. 50 - 16 - house.59 There are no paved roads in Ak Bata, however some roads have gravel.60 There are 3 marshrutka lines ending in this new settlement. Moreover, there are school and medical center in Ak Bata.61 Unlike Altyn Kazyk or Ak Jar, territory of Ak Bata is not considered to be hazard zone. However, it is still in the vicinity of the city’s dump site as it borders with Altyn Kazyk. Therefore, residents complain that the smell from the dump site reaches Ak Bata especially during summertime.62 Moreover, some housing constructions in Ak Bata are not legally registered as they are built in the area underneath which gas pipes pass.63 Ak Bata was squatted in June 2002 few months after the Aksy events in Osh.64 In August residents protested by occupying the public land (current Ak Bata) and at the end of August the new settlement was granted legal status through government’s decree no. 596.65 After it acquired legal status, government was committed to and did provide the new settlement with water, electricity, and built school in the novostroika.66 Kalys Ordo is a new settlement located to the West from Altyn Kazyk. Kalys Ordo is a new settlement which is the most developed out of the four settlements studied in this research. It has legal status and occupies an area of 135 hectares.67 Every household in Kalys Ordo has running water and electricity.68 Most of the roads, 5272 meters, in Kalys Ordo are cemented.69 There are 3 marshrutka lines 59 Ak Bata resident, interview by author, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, March 4, 2012. Ibid. 61 Ibid. 62 Ibid. 63 Rakadbek Suiumkulov, interview by author, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, March 22, 2012. 64 Ak Bata resident, interview by author, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, March 4, 2012. 65 Rakadbek Suiumkulov, interview by author, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, March 22, 2012. 66 Ak Bata resident, interview by author, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, March 4, 2012. 67 МСН “Бишкек «обрастает» новостройками,” МСН, Ноябрь 28, 2006, доступ Апрель 11, 2012, http://www.msn.kg/ru/news/16366/. 68 Kalys Ordo resident, interview by author, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, March 6, 2012. 60 - 17 - that end in this new settlement. There is a medical center and an elementary school in the novostroika.70 Unlike all of the previous three novostroikas Kalys Ordo is the only one that does not have housing constructions built above the gas pipe lines.71 The area does not pose hazardous threats to the residents. However, during summertime, similar to Ak Bata, smell from the city’s dump site reaches Kalys Ordo.72 Kalys Ordo has had relatively peaceful history: if there were protests, they were peaceful, such as meeting in front of the Mayor’s Office.73 800 people, who squatted this area in 2003, were people who were not able to get land in Ak Bata in 2002.74 Sabyr Omuraliev, one of the residents, was actively involved in projecting and planning the new settlement.75 Under his supervision residents themselves built roads and left special areas for school construction, parks, medical center, etc. in the future.76 In 2003 water started running in the new settlement through the efforts of the residents.77 As at that time the novostroika still did not have legal status, government could not provide electricity to Kalys Ordo. However, Sabyr Omuraliev made a deal with an organization located nearby to extend electrical lines and make a monthly payment for it.78 One electrical transformer was put through the efforts of the residents themselves, moreover residents themselves made wooden electrical poles.79 Kabar Mobile, “При содействии АРИС в ряде новостроек Бишкека завершается строительство дорог,” Kabar Mobile, Июль 20, 2011, доступ Апрель 11, 2012, http://pda.kabar.kg/society/full/8372. 70 Kalys Ordo resident, interview by author, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, March 6, 2012. 71 Ibid. 72 Jumagazy Sadyr uulu, interview by author, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, February 22, 2012. 73 Kalys Ordo resident, interview by author, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, March 6, 2012. 74 Ibid. 75 Ibid. 76 Ibid. 77 Ibid. 78 Ibid. 79 Ibid. 69 - 18 - In 2004 government granted legal status to this new settlement.80 After that residents in cooperation with government provided electricity and water to the entire new settlement.81 To sum up, four new settlements (Altyn Kazyk, Ak Jar, Ak Bata, and Kalys Ordo) were examined in this research. These four settlements geographically border with each other, yet exhibit a variety which characterizes 48 novostroikas in Bishkek. These settlements were established in different years from 2002 to 2005. Current levels of infrastructure development in these novostroikas differ. History of how infrastructure developed in these new settlements differs too. Yet, if to compare only two new settlements instead of all four, there are similarities either in the year of establishment, legal status, hazard danger, etc. The variety of novostroikas exhibited through these four new settlements with some differences and similarities provide an opportunity to compare whether differences influenced the way government was engaged in these novostroikas. 80 81 Kalys Ordo resident, interview by author, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, March 6, 2012. Ibid. - 19 - Chapter 3: Review of Literature and the Conceptual Framework: Two Theoretical Approaches to Study Development in Novostroikas Development literature on new settlements suggest there are two ways of seeing and assessing the developmental challenges in the new settlements. One group of scholars puts much importance to the government’s involvement in the development of the new settlement – process known as slum upgrading, which usually follows with further integration into the city. Doug Sanders suggests that the future of the slums largely depends on what course of actions (eviction, demolition, relocation, legalization/integration, ignoring) towards the settlements government decides to take.82 He advocates for the government that engages with the new settlement, rather than ignoring or repressing them.83 Another scholar Ninette Fahmy makes a strong case against state’s repressive policies towards the new settlements.84 She argues that repressive policies create culture characterized by poverty, which in combination with weak society and corruption impedes government’s objectives.85 Another group of scholars goes further arguing that government’s engagement in the new settlement must be complemented by vision and/or participation of the new settlement in its development. Akbar Zaidi argues for national and state institutions to engage in alleviating poverty in new settlements must incorporate local context of the new settlement and take into account “desires, expectation, or choices of the prospective beneficiaries.”86 R. Sharma and K. Sita argue that participation of the 82 Doug Sanders, Arrival City: How the Largest Migration in History is Reshaping Our World (New York: Pantheon Books, 2010). 83 Ibid. 84 Ninette S. Fahmy, “A Culture of Poverty or the Poverty of a Culture? Informal Settlements and the Debate over the State-Society Relationship in Egypt,” Middle East Journal 58, no. 4 (Autumn, 2004). 85 Ibid. S. Akbar Zaidi, “Institutions, Poverty: The Case of Karachi,” Economic and Political Weekly 32, no. 51 (Dec. 20-26, 1997), 3293. 86 - 20 - residents of new settlements in the government’s development efforts must be included.87 They go as far as stating that attitudinal training and attitudinal change of the residents of the new settlements is needed.88 Finally, Raymond Stuyk and Friedemann Roy join international group scholars arguing for the pro-active government policies in the novostroikas, specifically Novostroikas in Kyrgyzstan started gaining scholarly attention relatively recently due to the fact that the phenomenon itself is comparatively recent in this country. Thus, novostroikas in Kyrgyzstan first developed in late 1980s-early 1990s, whereas Rio de Janeiro’s first favela was established in 1880s.89 Scholars on novostroikas in Kyrgyzstan rarely studied the phenomenon within the framework of development field. Balihar Sanghera and Elmira Satybaldieva approach study of novostroikas in Kyrgyzstan from the human rights perspective.90 Somewhat similarly, Craig Hatcher explores the novostroika themes in the context of the propiska system in Kyrgyzstan.91 Aida Alymbaeva studies ethnicity and regional divides through her fieldwork in novostroikas.92 Yet, there is no literature devoting specific focus to government’s policy and development in new settlements in Kyrgyzstan. International scholars largely agree that government’s intervention is needed for the development and successful integration of the new settlement into the city. Therefore, this research assumes that government’s engagement in the development of a novostroika is necessary. Building on this assumption and seeing different levels of development in Altyn Kazyk (where government clearly invested money to build R. N. Sharma and K. Sita, “Cities, Slums and Government,” Economic and Political Weekly 35, no. 42 (Oct. 14-20, 2000). 88 Ibid. 89 Mike Davis, Planet of Slums (London and New York: Verso, 2006), 27. 90 Balihar Sanghera and Elmira Satybaldieva, “Ethics of Property, Illegal Settlements and the Right to Subsistence,” International Journal of Sociology and Social Policy 32, no. 1/2 (2012). 91 Craig Hatcher, “Making Citizens Legible: Legacies of Population Registration Systems in PostSocialist Cities,” (working paper, American University of Central Asia, 2011). 92 Aida A. Alymbaeva, “Kyrgyz Ethnicity Issues: North and South (In the Case of the Bishkek PeriUrbans of Qelecheq and Qoq-Jar). 87 - 21 - roads and provide water and electricity) and Kalys Ordo it is of scholarly interest to explore why government engages in one new settlement and not another. For the purposes of this paper, two bodies of theories are suggested to be taken as a basis for the case of novostroikas in Bishkek. One set of theories focuses on the public policy decision-making, and specifically on how the government comes to a decision to engage and upgrade conditions in the new settlements. The second body of theories deals with the new settlements themselves – their conditions, characteristics, etc. Combination of both of these approaches with arbitrary modifications will be employed in this work as a theoretical framework. With regard to the first group of theories focusing on the government-side, Graham Allison’s Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis became the classic study of government decision making after initial publication in 1971. As more documents were declassified and evidence about Cuban Missile Crisis grew, Graham Allison rewrote the book with Philip Zelikow in 1999. In their book authors propose three separate models of decision-making at international level and employ these models for the analysis of the events of the Cuban Missile Crisis: Rational Actor Model, Organizational Behavior Model, and Governmental Politics Model. The Rational Actor Model, the one that is most commonly used in analyzing foreign affairs, sees the state or national government as a unitary actor. This model emphasizes rationality and of the national government. Moreover, this model focuses on the government’s objective or goal, based on which the government chooses certain policy to achieve that objective or goal. As the authors point out: “recounting the aims and calculations of nations or governments is the trademark of Rational - 22 - Actor Model.”93 To sum up, national government being rational actor purposely chooses highest value-maximizing action among the available alternatives.94 Another model developed by the authors is the Organization Behavior Model. This approach, contrarily to previous, “opens up” the “black box” government. It sees government as a “conglomerate of loosely allied organizations.”95 These organizations within the national government developed standard operating procedures and organizational culture.96 Therefore, standard patterns of behavior developed by constellation of organizations within the government result in an output – policy. To sum up, policy is not a rational choice of a unitary actor, but an output of operations of the organizations within the government. Third model – the Governmental Politics Model – emphasizes the roles individuals (or as the authors label them “players”) in decision-making. These players bargain based on their perception of national, organizational, and personal goals, which may lead to “confusion of officials with diverse interests”.97 Moreover, the power is shared between the players unequally, meaning that the players have to bargain with another player with more or less power.98 Thus, political bargaining between diverse individuals results in certain policy. So, contrarily to Rational Actor Model, this model sees government as consisting of individual who may be irrational and confused about their goal. Contrarily to Organization Behavior Model, this model does not see the output – or policy – as merely and organizational output but an output shaped by individual players. 93 Graham T. Allison and Philip D. Zelikow, Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis, 2nd ed. (New York: Addison-Wesley Educational Publishers Inc., 1999), 13. 94 Ibid, 18-19. 95 Ibid, 143. 96 Ibid, 166. 97 Ibid. 294. 98 Ibid, 300. - 23 - The second approach to study development in the new settlements is to focus on the new settlements themselves. These theories describe and attach certain attributes to the new settlements. Therefore, development in new settlement depends on the characteristics of the new settlement itself. Until 1960s-1970s new settlements were largely perceived as an anomaly or a problem to be solved. Charles Stokes was among the first to distinguish different types of new settlements and suggest that they could be seen as something positive. Charles Stokes’ work is the most widely known and quoted attempt to conceptualize and theorize the new settlements. In his work Stokes differentiates two types of new settlements: “slums of hope” and “slums of despair”. The former are places of upward-mobility for the dwellers, who come to the city “seeking improvement.”99 Therefore, these new settlements are most likely to either naturally disappear or reclaim a neighborhood due to the efforts of the dwellers.100 “Slums of despair” are mostly a home to dwellers who did not possess abilities to survive the city life. These types of new settlements according to Stokes will persist because the dwellers in these new settlements lack the capabilities to move up through the “social class structure.”101 So, Stokes looks at the attitudes of the dwellers themselves to distinguish between “slums of hope” and “slums of despair” and development in the new settlement will depend on which group it falls under. To sum up, two broad approaches could be used for the study of development in novostroikas. One is theory on decision-making in government, while another theorizes and categorizes new settlements themselves. These two theories complement the study of new settlements as it looks at both main actors: government and the novostroika itself. Charles J. Stokes, “A Theory of Slums,” Land Economics 38, no. 3 (Aug. 1962): 190. Ibid: 193. 101 Ibid: 190. 99 100 - 24 - Development in novostroikas in this paper is explored and analyzed within the framework of both of these theoretical approaches, thus making novostroika not merely an object of government’s policies but also an active actor itself. However arbitrary modifications will be made to theories to fit this study and both models are taken as a broad framework rather than a strict theory to follow. Allison’s and Zelikow’s models were tested on international level by the authors themselves. However in this research the models are employed for the municipal level. Authors of the theory themselves suggest applying the core arguments of the book beyond the sphere of international affairs.102 Moreover, various combinations of three models are used in this work which significantly strengthens the explanatory power of the models.103 Stokes’ model is used to intuitively and broadly distinguish between the “slums of hope” and “slums of despair” as the author himself suggests doing. 102 Graham T. Allison and Philip D. Zelikow, Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis, 2nd ed. (New York: Addison-Wesley Educational Publishers Inc., 1999), 7. 103 Ibid, 392. - 25 - Chapter 4: Vying for Public Goods: The Role of Legal Status, Pressure and Connections What are the factors that result in government’s actions to improve infrastructure in the novostroika? The hypothesis is that novostroika needs to have legal status for the government to take positive actions to develop and improve its infrastructure. The hypothesis clearly holds true in the four cases covered in this research. Two other factors are important in explaining government’s engagement in novostroika’s infrastructure development: a) political pressure from the new settlements and b) the role of political and personal connections between the settlements and the decision-making institutions. Each of these factors has explanatory power regarding government’s engagement in new settlements and these factors can explain government’s engagement within theoretical frameworks discussed earlier. The legal status is the most important factor resulting in government’s engagement in novostroika. A new settlement acquires legal status after the Mayor’s Office issues a decree.104 Juridical status as an independent variable fits well within the combination of Allison and Zelikow’s Rational Actor Model and Organizational Behavior Model. The combination of these two models shows how juridical status affects whether government will or will not take positive steps to improve infrastructure in the novostroika. Combination of these two models classifies new settlements based on juridical status into legal novostroikas and illegal novostroikas. 104 Rakadbek Suiumkulov, interview by author, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, March 22, 2012. - 26 - Government is a rational actor (Rational Actor Model). One of its main goals is to maintain legitimacy.105 One way to do so is to fulfill its obligation to provide for the needs of the state’s citizens. Therefore, government engages in developing infrastructure in the new settlement to fulfill its obligation. However, government is not actively involved in improving infrastructure in all settlements. It only engages in new settlements that have legal statuses. Furthermore, government is constrained by existing laws (Organizational Behavior Model) to engage in illegal new settlements, precisely because the latter lack legal documents. Bodies within the government cannot take actions towards novostroika which does not exist de jure. Hence, legal status is the necessary factor for the government’s engagement in novostroika. The above described combined model mechanism applies to four cases in this study, although Ak Jar is the only case that does not accurately fit the model. Out of four cases in this work legal novostroikas are Ak Bata and Kalys Ordo, whereas Altyn Kazyk and Ak Jar does not have legal status and has ambiguous legal status accordingly. It must be mentioned, that Ak Jar has an oral promise of the Prime Minister, now President of Kyrgyzstan Atambaev, to be granted legal status in the future, yet Mayor’s Office has not issued a decree to legalized Ak Jar. Taking juridical statuses within the framework of the combined model described above explains the government’s treatment of the four case-study new settlements. Government was and still is actively engaged in improving and developing infrastructure in Ak Bata. Ak Bata acquired legal status in August 30, 2002 through Mayor’s Office’s decree no. 596.106 Once granted legal status organizations within the government started to fulfill its obligation to provide for the needs of its citizens by taking positive actions to develop infrastructure in the new settlement. Thus by 2004 105 106 Rakadbek Suiumkulov, interview by author, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, March 22, 2012. Ak Bata resident, interview by author, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, March 4, 2012. - 27 - Bishkekglavarhitektura finalized a general plan of construction (genplan) for Ak Bata.107 In 2004 OGUKS installed water pipes and water pumps.108 In 2005 OGUKS installed electrical transformers and provided electricity for some parts of Ak Bata.109 Kalys Ordo acquired legal status in September 19, 2004 by Mayor’s Office’s decree no. 706.110 Before 2004 residents provided the new settlement with electricity and water themselves. However, starting in 2004, the government began to fulfill its obligation to meet the needs of novostroika residents. Thus that same year through efforts of Sabyr Omuraliev (resident of Ak Bata) the general plan of the new settlement was finalized by Bishkekglavarhitektura.111 That same year OGUKS continued to further install electricity and water pipes in the new settlement.112 In 2011 ARIS (Agency for Community Development and Investment) in partnership with Mayor’s Office built cemented roads in Kalys Ordo.113 With regard to Ak Jar, the government was not actively engaged in improving infrastructure in this novostroika until 2011. Ak Jar is still an illegal settlement with oral promise to be legalized. In 2011 the Prime Minister Almazbek Atambaev under the pressure promised to grant legal status to Ak Jar.114 Atambaev also stated that Ak Jar is now under the jurisdiction of Bishkek, which would entail it already was granted legal status.115 However, there was no decree issued by the Mayor’s Office, therefore the legal status of Ak Jar remains ambiguous. Later that year OGUKS 107 Ak Bata resident, interview by author, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, March 4, 2012. Ibid. 109 Ibid. 110 Kalys Ordo resident, interview by author, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, March 6, 2012. 111 Ibid. 112 Ibid. 113 С. Султанкулова, “В семи жилмассивах завершена реконструкция центральных дорог,” Коомдук Телерадио Беруу Корпорациясы, Сентябрь 21, 2011, доступ Апрель 11, 2012, http://ktrk.kg/rus/index.php?newsid=268. 114 Калича Джаманкулова, “Жилмассив «Ак-Жар» передадут на баланс Свердловского района столицы,” K-News, Август 12, 2011, доступ Апрель 11, 2012, http://www.knews.kg/ru/society/1698/. 115 ОКМОТПРЕСС, “А. Атамбаев: Необходимо улучшать инфраструктуру жилмассивов,” Правительство Кыргызской Республики , Авг. 12, 2012, http://www.gov.kg/?p=1975 (доступ Апр. 11, 2012). 108 - 28 - installed water pipes and electricity in the new settlement.116 With regard to Altyn Kazyk the government did not take positive steps to improve infrastructure in the new settlement – it could not due to legal constraints. To sum up, government as a rational actor engages in infrastructure development in novostroikas to fulfill its obligation to provide for the needs of state’s citizens (Rational Actor Model). At the same time government is not engaged in development of illegal settlements, such as Altyn Kazyk, as it is constrained by law (Organizational Behavior Model). It only engages in new settlements once they are granted legal statuses, shown in the cases of Ak Bata, Kalys Ordo, and Ak Jar (although ambiguous). Therefore, legal status is a deciding factor that results in government’s actions to improve infrastructure in new settlement. Juridical status explains why government engages in some new settlements’ infrastructure development and not others. However juridical status as a variable does not explain how an illegal new settlement acquires legal status in the first place. Pressure from illegal new settlements is needed for the government to legalize novostroika. Pressure can come in various in forms of protests, such as road-blocking or picketing in front of government bodies. Pressure as an independent variable fits well within a modified Stokes’ theory combined with Allison and Zelikow’s Rational Actor Model and Organizational Behavior Model. Modified use of a combination of these two theoretical approaches shows how pressure results in legalization of the new settlement. Stokes’ “slums of hope” concept will be modified to indicate novostroika with politically active residents, who are able to mobilize effectively, whereas the “slums of despair” 116 Rakadbek Suiumkulov, interview by author, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, March 22, 2012. - 29 - concept will mean the opposite – politically inactive residents without ability to mobilize effectively. Following is the description of the mechanism that explains how pressure in the form of protests can result in legalization of a new settlement. Government as a rational actor constrained by its own jurisdiction does not take actions to improve infrastructure in illegal novostroika (Rational Actor Model and Organizational Behavior Model). Therefore, it does not take any actions towards an illegal new settlement. Illegal new settlement (“slum of hope”) could start demanding either legal status from the government or improvement in its living conditions. These pressures in forms of protests are most effective during the periods when government is vulnerable (after riots or during pre-election period). Government as a rational actor has two choices: ignore or fulfill the demands of protesters (Rational Actor Model). Since government is weak during the protests and, thus, perceives threats from the protests, it chooses to fulfill the demands of the protesters. “Sometimes government needs to think about its interests too. […] Sometimes the issue of legitimacy arises.”117 Or, as another government official Aida Duishenbiyeva said: “Five years ago, the government’s decision to legalize plots was forced, and more of a political measure – it was necessary to relieve the tension associated with escalation of the housing crisis”.118 The above-described mechanism explains why novostroika has or does not have legal status in all cases studied in this research, with the exception of Kalys Ordo. Ak Bata residents protested just few months after they squatted the area.119 In August 2002 would-be residents of Ak Bata occupied then public land (current area of 117 Rakadbek Suiumkulov, interview by author, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, March 22, 2012. Aigul Temirova, “Kyrgyzstan’s Land Crisis Comes to a Head Again: Experts Blame Corruption, Lack of Economic Development in Regions,” Central Asia Online, April 21, 2012, accessed April 11, 2012, http://centralasiaonline.com/en_GB/articles/caii/features/main/2010/04/21/feature-03. 119 Ak Bata resident, interview by author, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, March 4, 2012. 118 - 30 - Ak Bata).120 Protesters did not leave the area during the day and the night.121 What is more, many protesters started to build houses.122 Officials from Mayor’s Office came to dissolve the crowd of protesters giving oral promise to legalize land later and give land to protesters in other places.123 The efforts to appease the crowd did not work as protesters refused to leave until government granted legal status.124 Government was vulnerable at that moment within the context of then recent Aksy events. Therefore, government as a rational actor, vulnerable and with the perceived threat from protesters will chose to fulfill the demands of the protesters. Ak Jar residents mobilized and started protesting during pre-election time on August 8 2011, six years later after it was squatted. Residents demanded from government better living conditions by blocking ob’ezdnaya doroga and burning tires.125 The protesters continued road blocking until then Prime Minister Almazbek Atambaev’s and City Mayor Isa Omurkulov’s visit in August 12, 2012.126 At that point A. Atambaev personally promised that Ak Jar would be legalized.127 Protests are clearly the defining factor in the case of Ak Jar’s promise to be legalized and subsequent positive actions to improve infrastructure there. Ak Jar is located in a hazardous area. Yet, A. Atambaev still promised legalization. This shows that government placed more value on legitimacy and stability rather than following 120 Ibid. Ibid. 122 Ibid. 123 Ak Bata resident, interview by author, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, March 4, 2012. 124 Ibid. 125 Егор Ермаков, “Жители новостройки «Ак-Жар» требуют встречи с премьером и жгут покрышки на объездной трассе,” Vesti.kg, Август 8, 2011, доступ Апрель 11, 2012, http://www.vesti.kg/index.php?option=com_k2&view=item&id=6454:zhiteli-novostroyki-ak-zharetrebuyut-vstrechi-s-premerom-i-zhgut-pokryishki-na-obezdnoy-trasse&Itemid=80. 126 Официальный сайт Мэрии города Бишкек, “Новостройка «Ак-Жар» фактически относится к столице Кыргызстана (фото репортаж),” Официальный сайт Мэрии города Бишкек, Авг. 12, 2011, http://bishkekgov.in.kg/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=1380%3A-l-r&catid=40%3Acategorynews&Itemid=74&lang=kg (доступ Апр. 11, 2012). 127 ОКМОТПРЕСС, “А. Атамбаев: Необходимо улучшать инфраструктуру жилмассивов,” Правительство Кыргызской Республики , Авг. 12, 2012, http://www.gov.kg/?p=1975 (доступ Апр. 11, 2012). 121 - 31 - rules/laws on what area could be given legal status. It must be mentioned, that Ak Jar residents signed documents that removes responsibility from the government in the case of hazardous situations occurring due to pipelines or clay ground.128 In contrast to Ak Bata and Ak Jar, Altyn Kazyk could be looked at as a “slum of despair” where residents are politically inactive. One of the Altyn Kazyk residents tried to organize road blocking in August 2011 after Ak Jar residents’ protests.129 However, only a few people showed up for road blocking, and those who did come to protest stayed only for three hours.130 When asked why this is the case, the resident replied: “They [Altyn Kazyk residents] became like animals. They do not want to have business with government and are used to living like they do. […] They even like it.”131 To sum up, residents of novostroikas could be divided into residents of “slums of despair” (or those who are politically inactive and are able to mobilize) and into residents of “slums of hope” (or those who are politically active and are unable to mobilize). The former lack capabilities to pressure government and therefore are not legalized. The latter mobilize and pressure the government when it is vulnerable through protests. A vulnerable government within the context of being in vulnerable situation perceives threat and chooses to abide by the demands of the protesters (Rational Actor Model) and grant legal status to new settlement. Once granted legal status a new settlement will receive government’s engagement in the new settlement for infrastructure development. The above described mechanism did not hold true in the case of Kalys Ordo. How did Kalys Ordo receive legal status if it did not protest? Interviews with Kalys 128 Ak Jar resident, interview by author, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, March 4, 2012. Ibid. 130 Ibid. 131 Ibid. 129 - 32 - Ordo residents revealed that people both from government and the new settlement were crucial in contributing to the legalization of the novostroika. Personal connections as a concept explaining legalization of Kalys Ordo fits within again modified Stokes’ theory and Allison and Zelikow’s Governmental Politics Model. Kalys Ordo could be looked at as a “slum of hope” where some residents are particularly knowledgeable and are politically active. These active residents are able to use personal connections to effectively lobby government to gain legal status. Moreover, there are people in government who support the cause of the new settlement either to achieve personal objectives or due to personal beliefs that are part of an official’s background (Governmental Politics Model). Sabyr Omuraliev was mentioned by every single interviewed resident in Kalys Ordo as a knowledgeable person with a university degree in History and as the person who contributed to the novostroika’s development. He was an informal leader in organizing squatting in Kalys Ordo.132 Before Kalys Ordo was legalized, Sabyr Omuraliev drew a plan of future novostroika with space for roads, houses, and public buildings such as school, hospital, etc.133 Moreover he made informal deals with people outside of the novostroika to bring water and electricity to Kalys Ordo when the novostroika was still illegal. Moreover, For the novostroika to develop there is a need for a “bridge”. There should be “bridge” between government and people. Sabyr was our “bridge”, he has taken us to so many government agencies. He would take us all and we would go to Mayor’s Office with letters. Then we would go to deputies. Sabyr knew where to go and whom to ask.”134 132 Kalys Ordo resident, interview by author, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, March 6, 2012. Ibid. 134 Ibid. 133 - 33 - Sabyr Omuraliev established good relations with then Mayor of Bishkek Arstanbek Nogoev, OGUKS official Beishen Abdrazakov, and deputy Jyrgalbek Surabaldiev.135 These government officials were supportive in legalizing and active in developing infrastructure in Kalys Ordo.136 Beishen Abdrazakov was particularly active in many novostroikas, however only in ones with legal statuses.137 He himself grew up in a new settlement and had first-hand knowledge of the problems in novostroikas.138 His background of growing up a in new settlement shaped his values and impacted his actions of helping novostroikas (Governmental Politics Model). He actively lobbied for the infrastructure development in both Kalys Ordo and Ak Bata.139 To sum up, effective utilization of personal connections both in new settlements and government were important in contributing to the development of the novostroika. This could be seen within the framework of Stokes’ theory and within Allison and Zelikow’s Governmental Politics Model. Therefore, three main factors were found important in resulting in government’s actions to improve infrastructure in the novostroika. They are: legal status, political pressure, and personal connections. Legal status is a necessary factor for the government to take positive steps in improving infrastructure in the new settlement. However, this begs a question of how illegal settlement acquires legal status. Pressure in the form of protests needs to arise from the illegal settlement during times when the government is vulnerable for the government to grant legal status to the settlement. Once that status was given, government engages in the development of 135 Kalys Ordo resident, interview by author, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, March 6, 2012. Ibid. 137 Jumagazy Sadyr uulu, interview by author, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, February 22, 2012. 138 Kalys Ordo resident, interview by author, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, March 6, 2012. 139 Ak Bata resident, interview by author, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, March 4, 2012. 136 - 34 - the new settlement. Leadership and personal connections were important factor both for legalizing the novostroika and lobbying for the new settlement’s interests (which are mainly infrastructure development) once it was granted legal status. - 35 - Conclusion This paper aimed to examine differences in development levels in different new settlements though addressing the following questions: Why is there such a striking difference in the levels of development in these two bordering novostroikas in Bishkek? What factors are most important in determining the quality of life in these settlements? What are the roles of the state authorities and settlers in development, and in what contexts does their relationship lead to improvements in the settlements? The findings suggest the authorities’ engagement is only possible in legalized settlements; however, legal status is a necessary but not sufficient factor for development. The informal pressure from the residents of settlements and development of political connections between the settlers and the authorities prove to play an important role. Two broad theoretical approaches were employed to study these cases and test the hypothesis. One approach is theory surrounding decision-making in government, while another theorizes and categorizes new settlements themselves. Modifications to the original theories and combinations of different models from the first approach, the combination of both approaches provided mechanisms for understanding why and how government chose to engage in certain novostroika. To sum up, the main finding of this research is that in most cases pressure in the form of the protests during times when government is vulnerable leads to legalization of the novostroika. In lesser extent, people both from the new settlement were found to be crucial in facilitating legalization process. Once legalized, government engages in the novostroika. Again, people both from the new settlement - 36 - and in government were found to have big impact on government’s engagement in the novostroika through lobbying on behalf of the new settlement. These three factors were found to be most important in legalization and furthering government’s engagement in the new settlement for infrastructure development, leading to various outcomes in the level of development in various new settlements. However, these factors are not the only factors that impact the government’s actions towards the novostroika. Other variables such as actual number of people living in the novostroika, hazard zone status, or internal power structure in the novostroika also affect government’s engagement in the new settlement. These factors should studied further in this area. Current research limited the study to two main actors: government and novostroika. However, NGOs and international organizations are often important in contributing the development (both infrastructure development and broader development) in both legal and illegal new settlements in Bishkek. This could be a potential direction for further research on the development of the new settlements in Bishkek. What is more, this research assumed a novostroika to be unitary actor. However, a closer look at the new settlements in Bishkek reveals that there are various political structures and actors within the new settlement itself. Residents in new settlements do not always agree with each other and act cohesively in pressuring government through protests or lobbying for infrastructure development. For instance, during protests residents sometimes could not reach an agreement on who should be the representative of the new settlement and delegate messages from the residents to government officials. Studying internal politics and structures of the novostroika will further extend understanding of the development of the new settlement. - 37 - In addition, Chapter 4 of this study states that residents of Ak Bata were able to mobilize politically to pressure the government, whereas the residents of Altyn Kazyk were not. It will be interesting to explore why residents of one new settlement are politically active and are able to mobilize effectively to pressure the government, whereas residents of another novostroika are politically inactive and are not able to mobilize effectively. Beyond that, Ak Jar presents an interesting case to study the politicized and ambiguous process of legalization. Ak Jar is included in the list of 48 officially recognized novostroikas in Bishkek and OGUKS has been actively engaged in its development since September 2011.140 To add, resident had to sign papers that free the government from responsibility in the case of hazard occurring due to clay ground. Only after that infrastructure development works began. However, the Mayor’s Office is yet to issue decree which will legalize Ak Jar de jure. 140 Rakadbek Suiumkulov, interview by author, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, March 22, 2012. - 38 - Bibliography Abdiev, Bolot. Interview by author. Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, March 20, 2012. Allison, Graham T. and Philip D. Zelikow. Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis. 2nd ed. New York: Addison-Wesley Educational Publishers Inc., 1999. Altyn Kazyk resident. Interview by author. Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, March 5, 2012. Alymbaeva, Aida A. “Kyrgyz Ethnicity Issues: North and South (In the Case of the Bishkek Peri-Urbans of Qelecheq and Qoq-Jar). Davis, Mike. Planet of Slums. London and New York: Verso, 2006. Fahmy, Ninette S. “A Culture of Poverty or the Poverty of a Culture? Informal Settlements and the Debate over the State-Society Relationship in Egypt.” Middle East Journal 58, no. 4 (Autumn, 2004): 597-611. Hatcher, Craig. “Making Citizens Legible: Legacies of Population Registration Systems in Post-Socialist Cities.” Working paper, American University of Central Asia, 2011. Kabar Mobile. “При содействии АРИС в ряде новостроек Бишкека завершается строительство дорог.” Kabar Mobile, Июль 20, 2011. Доступ Апрель 11, 2012. http://pda.kabar.kg/society/full/8372. K-News. “Расследование K-News: Кому принадлежит новостройка «Ак-Жар».” K-News, Август 9, 2012. Доступ Апрель 11, 2012. http://www.knews.kg/ru/action/1572/. ---. “Численность жителей новостроек Бишкека достигла более 207,5 тысяч человек.” K-News, Февраль 7, 2012. Доступ Апрель 1, 2012. http://www.knews.kg/ru/society/10497/. - 39 - Piel, Gerard. “The Urbanization of Poverty Worldwide.” Challenge 40, no. 1 (1997): 58-68. Rye, Johan Frederick. “Leaving the Countryside: An Analysis of Rural-to-Urban Migration and Long-Term Capital Accumulation.” Acta Sociologica 49, no. 1 (Mar., 2006): 47-65. Sadyr uulu, Jumagazy. Interview by author. Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, February 22, 2012. Sanders, Doug. Arrival City: How the Largest Migration in History is Reshaping Our World.New York: Pantheon Books, 2010. Sanghera, Balihar and Elmira Satybaldieva. “Ethics of Property, Illegal Settlements and the Right to Subsistence.” International Journal of Sociology and Social Policy 32, no. 1/2 (2012): 96-114. Schuler, Martin. “Migration Patterns of the Population in Kyrgyzstan.” Espace Populations Societes, 2007. http://eps.revues.org/index1967.html#tocto1n5 (accessed Apr. 1). Sharma, R. N. and K. Sita. “Cities, Slums and Government.” Economic and Political Weekly 35, no. 42 (Oct. 14-20, 2000): 3733-3735. Shi, Anquing. “The Impact of Access to Urban Potable Water and Sewerage Connections on Child Mortality: City-Level Evidence, 1993.” In World Bank Economists’ Forum, edited by Shantayanan Devarajan, F. Halsey Rogers, and Lyn Squire. Washington, D.C.: The World Bank, 2001. Stokes, Charles J. “A Theory of Slums.” Land Economics 38, no. 3 (Aug. 1962): 187197. Struyk, Raymond J. and Friedemann Roy. “Kyrgyzstan’s “Squatter Communities” and the Potential of Housing Micro Finance to Support Upgrading.” Housing Finance International (Sep., 2006): 22-27. - 40 - Suiumkulov, Rakadbek. Interview by author. Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, March 22, 2012. Земельный Кодекс Кыргызской Республики. Право на земельный участок как объект гражданских прав и сделки с ним. 1999. Temirova, Aigul. “Kyrgyzstan’s Land Crisis Comes to a Head Again: Experts Blame Corruption, Lack of Economic Development in Regions.” Central Asia Online, April 21, 2012. Accessed April 11, 2012, http://centralasiaonline.com/en_GB/articles/caii/features/main/2010/04/21/feat ure-03. United Nations Human Settlements Programme. The Challenge of Slums: Global Report on Human Settlements 2003. London and Sterling, VA: Earthscan Publications Ltd., 2003. Zaidi, S. Akbar. “Institutions, Poverty: The Case of Karachi.” Economic and Political Weekly 32, no. 51 (Dec. 20-26, 1997): 3282-3293. Болотбеков, Самарбек. Интервью с Еленой Нечаевой. ТВ программа. Майдан. Мар. 6, 2012. Джаманкулова, Калича. “Жилмассив «Ак-Жар» передадут на баланс Свердловского района столицы.” K-News, Август 12, 2011. Доступ Апрель 11, 2012. http://www.knews.kg/ru/society/1698/. Ермаков, Егор. “Жители новостройки «Ак-Жар» требуют встречи с премьером и жгут покрышки на объездной трассе.” Vesti.kg, Август 8, 2011. Доступ Апрель 11, 2012. http://www.vesti.kg/index.php?option=com_k2&view=item&id=6454:zhitelinovostroyki-ak-zhare-trebuyut-vstrechi-s-premerom-i-zhgut-pokryishki-naobezdnoy-trasse&Itemid=80. Касыбеков, Азамат. “«Пояс шахида» вокруг Бишкека. Новостройки и их - 41 - обитатели.” ЦентрАзия, Январь 16, 2006. Доступ Апрель 1, 2012. http://www.centrasia.ru/newsA.php?st=1137395340. Ковшова, Ирина. “Золотой клад на помойке.” Слово Кыргызстана, Март 27, 2012, окончательное издание. Медерова, Альбина. “Более 5 тыс. земельных участков в новостройках Бишкека остаются не узаконенными – мэрия.” КирТАГ, Март 16, 2012. Доступ Апрель 1, 2012. http://www.kyrtag.kg/?q=ru/news/17592. МСН. “Бишкек «обрастает» новостройками.” МСН, Ноябрь 28, 2006. Доступ Апрель 11, 2012. http://www.msn.kg/ru/news/16366/. ОКМОТПРЕСС. “А. Атамбаев: Необходимо улучшать инфраструктуру жилмассивов.” Правительство Кыргызской Республики, Авг. 12, 2012. http://www.gov.kg/?p=1975 (доступ Апр. 11, 2012). Официальный сайт Мэрии города Бишкек. “Глава столичного муниципалитета посетил жилмассив «Ак-Жар».” Официальный сайт Мэрии города Бишкек, Мар. 16, 2012. http://bishkekgov.in.kg/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=165 7%3A-l-r&catid=40%3Acategorynews&Itemid=74&lang=ru (доступ Апр. 1, 2012). ---. “Новостройка «Ак-Жар» фактически относится к столице Кыргызстана (фото репортаж).” Официальный сайт Мэрии города Бишкек, Авг. 12, 2011. http://bishkekgov.in.kg/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=138 0%3A-l-r-&catid=40%3Acategorynews&Itemid=74&lang=kg (доступ Апр. 11, 2012). ---. “Пресс-конференция по вопросу «Самовольно выстроенных - 42 - индивидуальных жилых домов в новостройках города Бишкек, а также об упорядочении работы общественного транспорта в столице».” Официальный сайт Мэрии города Бишкек, Мар. 16, 2012. http://bishkekgov.in.kg/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=232 9%3A-l-r&catid=40%3Acategorynews&Itemid=74&lang=ru (доступ Апр. 1, 2012). СДПК. “А. Атамбаев: «Жители новостроек – граждане нашей страны, мы обязаны решать их острые социальные проблемы.” СДПК, Авг. 13, 2012, http://www.sdpk.kg/party-line/meetings-with-voters/584--ll------------r (доступ Апр. 11, 2012). Сорокина, Зинаида. “Снести или переселить?” Вечерний Бишкек, Февраль 22, 2012. Доступ Апрель 11, 2012. http://members.vb.kg/2012/02/22/gorod/1.html. Султанкулова, С. “В семи жилмассивах завершена реконструкция центральных дорог.” Коомдук Телерадио Беруу Корпорациясы, Сентябрь 21, 2011. Доступ Апр. 11, 2012. http://ktrk.kg/rus/index.php?newsid=268. Ходыкина, Анастасия. “Нет бумаги – нет человека.” Inkg.info, Февраль 20, 2012. Доступ Апрель 1, 2012. http://inkg.info/news/deti/1063-net-bumagi-netcheloveka. Эсеналиева, Диана. “Около 400 тыс. человек проживает в новостройках Бишкека.” КирТаг, Апрель 10, 2012. Доступ Апрель 11, 2012. http://www.kyrtag.kg/?q=ru/news/18761. - 43 -