REGIONAL OVERVIEW MARKET OVERVIEW Executive Summary Decline in Market Value Slows in 2000 Household cleaning product sales in Latin America in 2000, in US dollar terms, were down minimally on 1999, arresting the severe slump suffered the previous year, although value sales were still well down on 1998's high. The effects of the Brazilian currency devaluation ensured that the market depreciated severely in US dollar terms towards the end of the review period. In local currency constant value terms, however, household cleaning product sales continued to suffer, with only Mexico managing positive real value growth in 2000. Economic Uncertainty and Low Income Inequality in the distribution of income is a key factor in the Latin American market for household cleaning products, with a greater number of consumers on low incomes and therefore pricesensitive in their purchasing behaviour. Economic recession was an influential factor during the latter part of the survey period, with most markets in the region adversely impacted by economic downturn, which was particularly felt by consumers in lower-income brackets. Manufacturers Lower Prices, Hitting Growth Many leading manufacturers were forced to lower prices during the recessionary period initiated by the Brazilian currency devaluation in order to maintain volume sales and market share, a move which, at the same time, hindered any significant expansion of cheaper private label products. Low Penetration of Washing Machines and Dishwashers In contrast to regions such as North America and Western Europe, the penetration of washing machines and dishwashers in Latin America is hampered by a combination of low incomes, reliance on traditional methods of hand-based cleaning and the use of domestic help, as well as a weak utility infrastructure, resulting in poor or unreliable water and electricity supplies, especially in rural areas. Euromonitor Page 1 The Market for Household Cleaning Products in Latin America Regional Overview Demand for Textile Washing Products Mature The large textile washing products sector is relatively mature, despite retaining considerable potential for growth in automatic detergents, as penetration of automatic washing machines grows. The traditional popularity of hand washing sustains healthy demand for bar soaps. One factor set to influence growth is the ongoing and intense competition between the two leading players in the sector, Unilever and Procter & Gamble. Hand Dishwashing Dominant Dishwashing products is dominated by hand detergents due to very low levels of dishwasher penetration in Latin America. Manufacturers spent much of the latter part of the review period launching added-value formulations and extensions of existing products which offer greater antibacterial and biodegradable properties, and claim to protect the skin and prevent irritation. Multi-purpose Surface Cleaners Benefit from Economic Conditions Economic downturn benefited multi-purpose products in surface cleaners, as consumers sought value for money products which can be employed on a multitude of surfaces. By contrast, consumers on higher incomes, who were less affected by recession, showed a greater willingness to upgrade to specialist, task-specific products, which provided improved convenience and efficacy at a higher price. Chlorine Bleach Buoyant Chlorine bleach is one of the few household cleaning products to have benefited significantly from the recession in Latin America. This inexpensive and functional product witnessed growth across the region, as price-conscious consumers took advantage of its versatility. In addition to its germkilling toilet care function, consumers often mix it with other cleaning products such as textile washing powders to produce alternative surface cleaners. Manufacturers also boosted chlorine bleach sales by introducing fragranced products, which were well received and helped to sustain demand. Toilet Care Products Remain Dormant Toilet care products is the least valuable sector in the Latin American household cleaning products market and the products which comprise it are generally perceived as non-essential and generally superfluous. Chlorine bleach is a cheaper option and preferred by the majority of ordinary consumers. However, among higher-income groups, ITBs are proving increasingly popular, although the subsector is developing from a very low base. Tradition Sustains Sales of Polishes Tradition and social norms play a large part in determining the performance of polishes. Latin Americans consider sartorial appearance to be of great importance, and while newly washed clothing is the daily ideal, brightly-shone leather shoes are of equal importance. As a consequence, sales of shoe polish are especially significant, especially as floor and furniture polishes fall some way down the list of household cleaning priorities. Air Fresheners Underdeveloped Air freshener sales in Latin America remain low, as the regional climate favours natural ventilation over artificial fragrancing. This, combined with low incomes and often irregular electricity supply, continues to hinder the possible expansion of electric air fresheners, for example. However, one area of potential growth is car air fresheners, given the large number of automobiles in Latin America. Euromonitor Page 2 The Market for Household Cleaning Products in Latin America Regional Overview Weather Impacts Insecticides Seasonal factors strongly influence demand for insecticides, with the vast bulk of sales occurring between November and February, the Latin American summer period. Electric formats are not common due to price considerations, and consumers prefer the cheapness, convenience and immediate effect of sprays and aerosols. Recent innovation in this sector focused on increasing product safety, with the introduction of new active ingredients which are less harmful to both humans and pets. Concentration in the Leading Positions The household cleaning products market is characterised by high levels of concentration among the leading players, with five principal manufacturers – Unilever, Procter & Gamble, ColgatePalmolive, Reckitt Benckiser and SC Johnson – dominant across most sectors in the market. Unilever enjoyed a comfortable lead over its main rival, Procter & Gamble, in 2000. Fragmentation Beyond the Multinationals Outside the leading five manufacturers, the Latin American household cleaning products market is characterised by fragmentation, reflecting the presence of a large number of small, local manufacturers operating across a wide range of product categories. The fragmentation of the market is also reflected in the relative lack of pan-regional brands. Grocery Formats Increase Penetration In line with global trends, the distribution of household cleaning products in Latin America is set to come even more under the control of grocery multiplies, as huge global retailers such as Carrefour and Wal-Mart increase their penetration of key markets, including Brazil and Mexico. Economies of scale give these retailers a competitive advantage which independent food retailers cannot hope to match. Nevertheless, such outlets will retain a certain importance in Latin America, given the vast areas of land occupied by rural populations. Improved Performance Forecast Household cleaning product sales are forecast to grow significantly faster between 2000 and 2005 than they did during the review period. This prediction is based on an expected stabilisation of macroeconomic conditions, which will allow manufacturers to tentatively recover some of the ground lost in terms of US dollar value sales during the latter part of the review period. Brazil, the region's most influential national market, will experience a recovery in sales, a performance which will exert a significant influence on regional growth patterns during the 20002005 period. MARKET SIZE BY COUNTRY Brazil remained the most valuable household cleaning products market in Latin America in 2000 but, despite registering constant value growth (in local currency terms) of 31% over the 5-year period, value sales of US$4.1 billion in 2000 represented a loss of over five percentage points in terms of market share over 1996. External Factors Influence Brazil The progress of the Brazilian market throughout the review period was closely linked to events in the broader macro environment. Although the economy demonstrated early signs of recovery from the 1999 devaluation in 2000, the real remained weak in relation to the US dollar throughout the last year of the review period, exerting downward pressure on value sales growth. Financially Euromonitor Page 3 The Market for Household Cleaning Products in Latin America Regional Overview constrained, consumers traded down to products offering greater value for money, dispensing with what they perceived as non-essential items. These purchasing trends were most clearly evident in lower-income households, the segment of the population which drove market growth at the beginning of the review period. Sectors whose products were viewed as superfluous, such as polishes, performed poorly, while value sales of textile washing and dishwashing products also contracted, largely due to previously mentioned down-trading. Mexico Buoyant The strongest performing national market in Latin America in dollar terms during the 1996-2000 period was Mexico, which achieved a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 10% to reach sales of US$2.2 billion and rank second behind Brazil in 2000. Instead of mirroring the slight downturn in the macroeconomy in 2000, the Mexican household cleaning products market followed the growth pattern that had been established during the previous four years of the review period. Gains made in sectors such as dishwashing products were consolidated by steady demand as consumers continued to purchase higher-value automatic dishwashing products, enabling the sector to return a growth rate similar to the previous year. Consumers were assisted in this regard by a higher level of price-competitiveness among brands and the opportunity of trading down to lowerpriced local alternatives if required. Euromonitor Page 4 The Market for Household Cleaning Products in Latin America Regional Overview Argentina Sees Growth Along with Brazil and Mexico, Argentina was the only other Latin American country to register positive constant value growth in local currency terms over the review period. The market in Argentina reached a value of US$1.4 billion in 2000, a rise of some 23% in local currency constant value terms. Over the review period, Argentinian consumers began seeking out added-value products, which included items such as kitchen and bathroom cleaners containing bleach, which decreased the need to buy two products. Growth, however, was constrained by an uncertain economic environment in Argentina during 2000. Although some growth was seen in the dishwashing products and surface cleaners sectors, for the most part consumers curtailed their spending on big ticket items, such as textile washing detergents, or stopped buying products they felt they could do without, such as chlorine bleach, which became a popular additive in the surface cleaners sector. Poor Performance from Venezuela, Colombia and Chile Venezuela, Colombia and Chile were characterised by particularly weak constant value growth over the review period, and this caused the household cleaning products market in all three to decline in real terms in 2000. A number of factors came into play, most important of which was political and economic uncertainty, particularly in Colombia and Venezuela. Political and economic turbulence hampered growth in Venezuela’s household cleaning products market throughout the review period, precipitating a contraction of over 8% in constant terms in 2000. With the exception of chlorine bleach sales, which grew by a minimal 0.4%, no sector was immune to declining sales. Despite the market’s lacklustre results in 2000, the performance across all sectors marked an improvement compared to earlier years of the review period, when rampant inflation and negative GDP growth exerted a more deleterious effect on consumer purchasing power than the events of 2000. Due to Colombia’s continuing economic problems, which manifested themselves most notably in high unemployment rates, the spending power of Colombian consumers declined between 1996 and 2000. Products not deemed household essentials, and those items easily replaced by multi-use products, were shunned in favour of products considered necessities. Although industry sources in Colombia indicate that 2000 represented a general economic improvement on 1999 – citing lower inflation rates, the stabilisation of the banking system and increases in construction and development as evidence – consistent unemployment rates of over 20% meant continued low levels of consumer spending power. As a result, seven of the eight market sectors experienced negative constant value growth, with only chlorine bleach increasing in constant value terms. The Chilean market’s more recent downturn followed three years of moderate growth as value sales increased at least 5% per annum over the 1996-1998 period. Household cleaning products became an intensely competitive market towards the end of the review period as manufacturers began to aggressively defend or seek market share. Price-cutting became commonplace, especially in textile washing products, the largest sector of the Chilean market. In an environment where one manufacturer (Unilever) holds a near monopoly, price promotions, buy-one-get-one-free offers and the distribution of bonus packs have become common strategies for stimulating sales. However, the most influential factor on growth in 2000 was the ongoing problems initiated by the devaluation of the Brazilian currency. Brazil is Chile's key export market. Euromonitor Page 5 The Market for Household Cleaning Products in Latin America Regional Overview Sales of Household Cleaning Products by Country 1996-2000 US$ million, current rsp Brazil Mexico Argentina Colombia Chile Venezuela Other TOTAL Source: 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 4,598.6 1,519.3 1,135.6 913.2 508.7 412.0 1,150.2 5,167.8 1,617.0 1,232.1 989.9 526.8 436.4 1,177.9 5,440.1 1,827.5 1,328.2 939.7 505.2 438.7 1,174.0 4,086.2 1,999.4 1,409.4 877.4 460.9 419.4 1,156.6 4,115.8 2,241.9 1,388.5 644.3 443.9 400.4 1,143.0 10,237.6 11,148.0 11,653.4 10,409.4 10,377.8 Euromonitor Sales of Household Cleaning Products by Country: % Analysis 1996-2000 % value Brazil Mexico Argentina Colombia Chile Venezuela Other TOTAL Source: 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 44.9 14.8 11.1 8.9 5.0 4.0 11.2 46.4 14.5 11.1 8.9 4.7 3.9 10.6 46.7 15.7 11.4 8.1 4.3 3.8 10.1 39.3 19.2 13.5 8.4 4.4 4.0 11.1 39.7 21.6 13.4 6.2 4.3 3.9 11.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Euromonitor Sales of Household Cleaning Products by Country: % Growth 1996/2000 % local currency constant value growth Mexico Argentina Chile Brazil Venezuela Colombia Source: Euromonitor 1999/2000 1996-2000 CAGR 1996/2000 TOTAL 1.3 -0.7 -1.7 -5.5 -8.4 -21.5 0.7 5.3 -1.2 7.0 -14.4 -5.3 2.9 22.9 -4.7 31.0 -46.2 -19.4 Euromonitor Page 6 The Market for Household Cleaning Products in Latin America Regional Overview MARKET SIZE BY SECTOR Textile Washing Products – Decline in Market Value Share During the 5-year review period, textile washing products maintained its position as the most valuable sector in the Latin American household cleaning products market, albeit with a declining share of overall sales. It was worth some US$5.4 billion in 2000, equivalent to around 52% of the regional market, after having taken 56% in 1996. The three sectors which dominate the household cleaning products market in Latin America and took over three quarters of total regional value sales in 2000 were textile washing products, surface cleaners and chlorine bleach, products which are deemed essential and treated by consumers and retailers alike as virtual commodity items. For the majority of Latin American consumers, ongoing economic instability and low levels of disposable income have created demand for cleaning products which are both versatile and inexpensive. As a consequence, textile washing products, in addition to their conventional function, are often mixed with water and chlorine bleach and used as surface cleaners, whilst multi-purpose products are preferred for their wide variety of uses and value for money qualities compared with more expensive specialist surface cleaners. Finally, the versatility of cheap chlorine bleach has been of great benefit to price-sensitive consumers who nevertheless desire to maintain clean and hygienic homes. Devaluation of Brazilian Currency Affects US Dollar Growth In absolute dollar value terms, four of the eight sectors – chlorine bleach, surface cleaners, dishwashing products and air fresheners – registered positive growth over the 1996-2000 review period, although much of that growth occurred in the period up to 1998, before economic uncertainty hit the region, creating market instability and a weakening of local currencies against the US dollar. The devaluation the Brazilian currency towards the end of the review period hit growth in US dollar terms. Nevertheless, both chlorine bleach and surface cleaners still managed to record dynamic growths in absolute US dollar terms. Textile Washing Product Sales Decline in 2000 Textile washing products performed relatively well in local currency terms over the review period, despite its large size and relative maturity, but in 2000 the sector continued to decline in US dollar terms in a number of Latin American markets. Given its maturity, the textile washing products sector relies on new product launches to spur growth – for example, tablets and concentrated powders in 1999. With a relative lack of product launches in 2000, consumers for the most part continued to buy the brands they were used to, adjusting their buying habits as necessary to recessionary conditions in a number of markets. Competition Forces Down Prices Intense competition between the leading producers of textile washing products affected value growth in 2000, with price wars in Chile between Procter & Gamble and Unilever being just one example of fierce competition between the two. Euromonitor Page 7 The Market for Household Cleaning Products in Latin America Regional Overview Chlorine Bleach Equals Versatility Plus Value-for-money In Latin America, chlorine bleach has many uses, including as a clothes whitener, spot and stain remover, bathroom cleaner, disinfectant, multi-purpose cleaner and general detergent. This versatility was the foundation for its popularity during the various economic crises suffered by individual national markets during the review period. In some markets, the weaker performance of the sector in 2000 was due to the fact that, with the return of a certain degree of economic stability, consumers began to return to the use of more expensive and task-specific alternatives during that year. Thus it was consumers trading down to chlorine bleach during the economic crisis that underpinned the increase of over 27% in US dollar terms demonstrated by the sector over the review period as a whole. The most salient trend to affect the sector during this period was the introduction of chlorine bleach products enhanced with a delicate scent, usually lemon, floral, or neutral fragrances associated with "freshness". These scented bleaches are designed to make household cleaning tasks more pleasant, while offering the same disinfecting power of the fragrance-free products. Scented bleaches offer consumers an alternative to multi-purpose cleaners that deodorise as well as household antiseptics/disinfectants that kill germs. While standard products remain the most popular mainstay in the majority of households, scented bleaches managed to gain a reasonable foothold in the sector. Value-for-money Focus in Surface Cleaners Across the region as a whole, the positive performance of surface cleaners derived largely again from their perceived flexibility and low price, as well as some new product developments. Multipurpose products were thus widely substituted for task-specific products with regard to cleaning windows, tiles, ovens, sinks, kitchens and other surfaces, especially when economic uncertainties were at their height. In Brazil and Colombia, this trend was particularly evident. As Colombians tend to favour multipurpose cleaning products for a multitude of surfaces and do not often differentiate between products designed for specific tasks, there is little demand for specialised products, especially during times of economic crisis. In addition, the practice of mixing bleach and/or an inexpensive powder textile detergent with a surface cleaner is also common, further limiting the demand for specific surface care products. With this in mind, manufacturers of surface cleaners in Colombia cut prices across the board in order to maintain volume sales. Added-value products, especially those including bleach, became particularly popular in a number of Latin American markets, notably Argentina, and especially in high-income households, where there is a preference for more efficient, easy-to-use products. Dishwashing Dominated by Hand Low levels of dishwasher penetration in Latin America mean that the dishwashing products sector is comprised largely of hand dishwashing detergents. Although there was an increase in the number of households containing a dishwasher, penetration levels are particularly low and automatic dishwashing detergents therefore have a very small consumer base. Thus, while some dynamism is evident in sales of automatic products, the bulk of the growth in sales of dishwashing products has been spurred by conventional hand dishwashing products. Added-value Features Prompt Growth Sales of hand dishwashing products were boosted by added-value formulations, which included fragrance-free products as well as those with lemon, apple and coconut scents. Other notable improvements included biodegradable formulations and formulations that claim to protect, and avoid irritating, the skin. Euromonitor Page 8 The Market for Household Cleaning Products in Latin America Regional Overview Cultural Factors Cultural factors also impact upon the dishwashing products sector. For example, Argentinians tend to apply dishwashing detergent directly to each item to be washed, as opposed to soaking plates, glasses, cutlery and cooking utensils in the dishwater. This practice stems from Argentinian kitchen design. The majority of kitchens have small sinks with a single tub, making it easier to soap and rinse items individually. Chile Chile, on the other hand, has one of the highest per capita expenditures on dishwashing products in Latin America (US$2.80 per head) just behind Argentina (US$3.50 per head). This is partly due to the fact that Chilean families place a great emphasis on cleanliness although, at the same time, Chileans tend to eat at home more often than other Latin Americans. This specifically relates to the military regime that held power from 1973 to 1988, which regularly enforced protracted periods of curfew during which local inhabitants were not allowed to venture outside their homes after a specified hour. This effectively closed the late evening market for restaurants and people became accustomed to earlier nights and eating meals at home. Although the abolition of the curfew in the 1980s opened up nightlife, the majority of Chileans still tend to eat at home more often than they go out to a restaurant. As a result, more dishes are used and in turn more dishwashing detergent is required to clean them. Brazil In Brazil it is commonplace – even in homes with dishwashers – for domestic workers to be available for most of the week. These workers generally wash dishes by hand, and dishwashing machine use is therefore limited to weekends or evenings when domestics are unavailable. Given the low level of dishwasher penetration, the market for dishwashing additives is marginal at best in Latin America. Air Fresheners – Potential Curbed by Climate Air fresheners is one of the smallest sectors in markets throughout the region, with climatic and economic factors playing a major role in determining the size of the sector. Given the tropical climate prevalent in most of Brazil, where windows in both homes and cars are left open for a large part of the year providing natural ventilation, air fresheners obviously have limited potential. A further barrier to growth in recent years came in the form of increasingly hot summers. Industry sources indicate that future sales growth is expected to be achieved largely through addedvalue products such as disinfectant sprays and perfumed products that are designed to be used in specific contexts, such as car air fresheners. Sprays and aerosols continue to account for the bulk of air freshener sales, given their relative low cost and ease-of-use. Conversely, electric air fresheners have suffered stagnant demand across the region due to the perception that they are a luxury product. Mexico was one of the few markets in which electric air fresheners witnessed dynamic growth over the review period, perhaps influenced by US trends. Toilet Care Underdeveloped Despite considering the toilet a place for basic cleanliness, many Latin Americans do not tend to include toilet care products in their shopping basket, mainly due to the perception that such products are a non-essential luxury. Thus products in this sector are mainly targeted at middle- and upper-income groups. Euromonitor Page 9 The Market for Household Cleaning Products in Latin America Regional Overview Most ordinary Latin American consumers use chlorine bleach to disinfect and clean the toilet bowl. The smell of bleach implies cleanliness, and companies are increasingly marketing bleaches with more benefits in terms of product formats, as well as in packaging and formulation innovations. As a result, toilet care products still have a minor presence in the overall market. A Bad Year in Argentina Argentina was the only country in Latin America in which toilet care products failed to achieve positive growth in 2000. According to industry sources, consumers looking to curtail spending simply stopped buying toilet care products, opting instead for chlorine bleach, a cheap and effective alternative to products specifically for use in toilets. Both in-cistern devices and ITBs posted losses in both value and volume terms. External Factors Influence Insecticide Sales Weather patterns exert a strong influence on insecticides sales, the majority of which occur during the summer months which, in the southern hemisphere, extend from October to March. In the November-February peak vacation season in Brazil, for example, sales often triple compared to their winter levels. Hot Summer Boosts Sector in Brazil In 2000, Brazilian insecticides sales were boosted by a long, hot summer, which extended through the academic and labour holidays. In addition to weather, innovative new product launches and extensive marketing in the form of consumer education campaigns served as a second impetus to growth. A principal reason for the sector’s positive performance over the review period was a number of significant technological developments that continued to add value to already sophisticated product ranges. Many developments were aimed at increasing product safety; for example, the traditionally predominant cellulose pellets used in electrical devices were replaced in many brands by new pellets formulated from an active gel ingredient encased with a non-toxic coating. Polish Sales Depressed The weakest performing sector in the household cleaning products market in dollar terms was polishes, a sector which declined at a CAGR of 3% over the 5-year review period. Much of this decrease occurred in 1999, when the sector contracted by some 19%, affected by the devaluation of Brazil's currency, a market where polishes are particularly popular. Social Norms Sustain Shoe Polish Sales Personal presentation remains extremely important in many parts of Latin America, and just as clean and ironed clothes are important to self-image, so are well-shined shoes. Most Latin Americans wear leather shoes that require shining before they leave the house. Training shoes are used almost exclusively for sports and are not widely seen as an alternative to leather shoes for everyday use. Shoe polish is therefore an important item in most households. Many Latin Americans shine their shoes daily and most use shoe polish at least once a week. Appearances Count in Venezuela The importance of maintaining the appearance of floors, furniture, household ornaments and shoes is related in Venezuela to the importance placed on personal appearance with regard to clothing and laundry. Although the majority of households habitually use polishes in their household cleaning routines, consumers are very traditional in their habits. Thus shoe polishes remained most in demand throughout the review period as the quality and appearance of footwear retained its importance among many consumers. Expectations of formal dress and high standards of presentation in the workplace also served to bolster value growth. Euromonitor Page 10 The Market for Household Cleaning Products in Latin America Regional Overview Polishes Important in Chile In Chile, polishes was one of the most valuable sectors in the household cleaning products market, accounting for over 14% of total value sales in 2000. The increased sophistication and greater purchasing power of Chilean consumers led to growth in sales of products designed for specific tasks at the end of the review period. Companies invested heavily in research and development of innovative products in order to generate demand. As a result, products increasingly offered more added-value elements compared to the mid-1990s. They bring varying benefits, including convenience, ease of application, efficacy and environmentally-friendly ingredients. Mexico See Sales Growth In Mexico, the shoe polish subsector conspicuously outperformed the sector as a whole, both over the review period, as well as in 2000. This growth resulted largely from a widening consumer base. Mexicans of virtually every income level place considerable emphasis on keeping their shoes shined, and during the economic downturn that affected the review period a significant number of consumers were compelled to extend the useful life of their shoes through regular maintenance, which boosted sales of shoe polish. Sales of Household Cleaning Products by Sector 1996-2000 US$ million, current rsp Textile washing products Surface cleaners Chlorine bleach Polishes Dishwashing products Insecticides Air fresheners Toilet care products TOTAL Source: 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 19962000 CAGR 5,736.0 1,260.5 691.9 851.6 642.6 719.6 194.2 141.2 6,219.3 1,440.4 759.3 923.5 685.5 751.7 209.2 159.1 6,499.8 1,536.6 810.9 947.8 727.8 753.9 215.5 161.1 5,692.2 1,458.6 816.7 766.2 718.0 625.3 199.9 132.6 5,431.7 1,533.4 879.5 755.1 753.7 677.5 209.5 137.5 -1.4 5.0 6.2 -3.0 4.1 -1.5 1.9 -0.7 10,237.6 11,148.0 11,653.4 10,409.4 10,377.8 0.3 Euromonitor DISTRIBUTION Supermarkets/hypermarkets Dominate Supermarkets and hypermarkets accounted for three quarters of value sales of household cleaning products in Latin America in 2000. Only in Colombia did the other food stores format garner a share approaching that of supermarkets and hypermarkets. The dominance of grocery outlets is most apparent in Brazil, where sales through supermarkets and hypermarkets accounted for more than 91% of total market value in 2000. Supermarkets and hypermarkets increased their dominance of sales in Brazil’s household cleaning products market over 1996-2000 across all sectors, reflecting the country's rapidly developing retail infrastructure. The share taken by grocery multiplies ranged from a minimum of 87% in textile washing products to a maximum of 93% in surface cleaners. From a regional standpoint, the most important markets continue to be the rich and populous São Paulo and Rio de Janeiro in the southeast of the country. Euromonitor Page 11 The Market for Household Cleaning Products in Latin America Regional Overview Colombia Undergoes Shift The household cleaning products market in Colombia saw a gradual shift in distribution patterns during the review period, as supermarkets and hypermarkets overtook independent food stores in terms of value share of household cleaning products. In 2000, more than half of all household cleaning product sales went through these self-service channels as opposed to only 43% in 1996. This represented a significant shift in the retail environment as smaller neighbourhood stores lost out to larger outlets. In 2000, only 47% of household cleaning product sales went through independent food stores, while in 1996 they accounted for 53%. Retail distribution in Colombia witnessed considerable transformation over the review period. The entry of both new national and international players, increased participation of bigger and better organised distribution companies, higher integration among small retailers and modern and more efficient management controls were some of the most important changes. Despite progress, the sector still has some way to go before it reaches the sophistication and concentration of more mature markets. Argentina – Average for the Region Argentina is characterised by more widely spread sales of household cleaning products, with supermarkets and hypermarkets accounting for just over half of all value sales in 2000. Retail distribution generally continued to shift towards supermarkets and hypermarkets throughout the review period, following global trends toward the ongoing concentration. Larger stores such as supermarkets and hypermarkets have more of a presence within the larger metropolitan areas, where the majority of Argentina’s retail traffic occurs. Other food stores and chemists/drugstores have a stronger presence outside of major population areas, where large supermarkets are rare. Unable to compete with supermarkets and hypermarkets on the basis of either price or selection, small independent neighbourhood outlets are expected to experience further declines in future. However, they will remain important as sites for impulse or distress purchases. Mexico Follows General Regional Trends Distribution in Mexico reflected regional distribution trends, as sales of household cleaning products continued to shift from traditional formats to more modern ones, such as supermarkets and hypermarkets. The latter type of outlet, which offers a wider selection in terms of product choice and lower prices due to economies of scale, also offer Mexican consumers the convenience of "onestop" shopping. Euromonitor Page 12 The Market for Household Cleaning Products in Latin America Regional Overview Although Mexican consumers are still inclined to shop at a variety of outlets for their different needs – outdoor markets for perishables, corner shops for milk, eggs and carbonated drinks, speciality stores for tortillas and breads – this is not the case with household cleaning products. Sales of Household Cleaning Products by Country and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2000 % value SH OFS CD DI Others TOTAL Argentina Brazil Chile Colombia Mexico Venezuela 53.3 91.3 79.4 51.1 64.4 72.6 22.9 4.6 14.1 46.7 29.6 15.3 23.8 0.2 0.0 2.0 2.0 5.2 – 0.9 – – – 0.1 – 3.0 6.5 0.2 4.0 6.8 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 TOTAL 74.9 17.2 4.5 0.4 3.0 100.0 Source: Key: Euromonitor SH=Supermarkets/hypermarkets OFS=Other food stores MARKET FORECASTS BY COUNTRY Brazil Set to Recover Share Brazil is forecast to consolidate its share of household cleaning product sales in Latin America and by 2005 value sales are expected to have grown by over 22% in constant terms. A market size of US$5 billion in 2005 will give Brazil some 43% of total regional value, representing an increase of three percentage points on 2000. Forecast strong growth is predicted to come from both the dynamism of the relatively small insecticides sector as well as healthy growth from the far more valuable textile washing products sector. A recovery in sales of textile washing detergents will receive a boost from the expansion of demand for fabric softeners and laundry aids. However, the most dynamic sector is forecast to be insecticides, with sprays and aerosols maintaining strong sales growth, while electric insecticides are set to see demand grow beyond the more affluent southeast. This development is likely to be aided by the recent outbreak of Dengue fever in the Pernambuco region, and subsequent press coverage of the outbreak and government initiatives to deal with it, which in turn have increased consumer awareness of the need to use insecticides. Argentina and Colombia to Post Strong Growth Both Argentina and Colombia are forecast to register double-digit growth in sales of household cleaning products over the 2000-2005 period, with constant value growth of 13% and 11%, respectively. The slight decline in real value sales in Argentina in 2000 pointed to consumers economising as a result of a poor macroeconomic climate. The projected continuation of this recession, however, suggests that consumers will spend another year buying products they know well instead of experimenting with newer, added-value formulations. However, in the longer term, Argentinian consumers are well known for preferring trusted brand names over private label, thus unit prices will rise and drive the market up instead of down. Continued added-value additions to well-known product ranges will give manufacturers scope to raise prices and boost value growth. Euromonitor Page 13 The Market for Household Cleaning Products in Latin America Regional Overview Given the Colombian market’s dependence on macro trends, there is likely to be no quick fix to its current difficult situation. However, help from the IMF, along with a substantial financial aid package from the US meant for use in both social and political reform, have helped to stabilise inflation rates and engender optimism that a turnaround is on the horizon. Industry sources indicate that economic improvement is already evident and cite lower inflation rates, an apparent solution to the banking crisis, recent public works developments such as public transportation reforms in the capital city of Bogotá, and increased construction as signs of economic rebirth. At the time of writing, however, Colombia remains in a severe economic recession, and unless real reforms are enacted, Colombia will continue to slide still further into the depths of financial difficulty. Looking ahead to 2004 and 2005, some level of recovery in all sectors should be evident as general economic growth in Colombia enhances consumer confidence. This upturn should produce a slow increase in prices throughout the market as consumers will be able to spend more on household cleaning products. Real growth, however, will derive from increased sales of products such as laundry aids, air fresheners, toilet care products and specialised polishes and cleaners, which at present experience marginal demand. Modest Progress in Mexico The Mexican household cleaning products market is forecast to post a modest increase in constant value terms over the 6-year period to 2005. Despite a more stable Mexican economy in recent years, it is expected that the household cleaning products market will grow only incrementally in comparison. Such limited growth will result from a combination of the lowering of trade barriers and subsequent downward pressure on unit prices from the activities of recent US entrants, increased distribution through larger outlets operating at lower margins, and the growing disparity between the rich and the poor in Mexico, which will force a larger proportion of the population to purchase items with lower unit prices. Difficult Times in Venezuela The future of the household cleaning products market in Venezuela will most likely be dictated by the unfolding of events in economic and political spheres, given the influence of these two factors during the review period. Political influences tend to be negative. Many companies and influential Venezuelans lack confidence in the current government, which is encouraging capital flight and deterring foreign investment. In terms of the outlook for the household cleaning products market, large-scale changes in usage habits or preferences are not foreseen, and it is unlikely that there will be much innovation in household cleaning products during the forecast period. The twin themes of economy and convenience, or low price brands and labour-saving and timesaving products will continue to shape the market as long as economic conditions remain uncertain. Manufacturers’ strategies of focusing on economy price points and adding value to existing brands in the hope of lifting prices without affecting demand may be the best strategy in what is difficult situation. Chile Set to Suffer In Latin America, the weakest performing market over the forecast period is expected to be Chile. Over the forecast period, the value expansion of the household cleaning products market in Chile is likely to be hindered by the development of private label products. With regard to products such as hand dishwashing detergents, where consumers care less about branding, private labels already account for a significant value share, although they lost share in 2000. Nevertheless, pressure on prices from retailers is expected to impact on value growth in key areas of the market in Chile. Euromonitor Page 14 The Market for Household Cleaning Products in Latin America Regional Overview Industry sources suggest that even though volume sales will rise because of the wider availability of products to both middle- and low-income households, increased competition from major players struggling to increase share, as well as the ongoing development of private label, will hold back price rises below inflation, producing negative real value growth. Forecast Sales of Household Cleaning Products by Country 2000-2005 US$ million rsp Brazil Mexico Argentina Colombia Chile Venezuela Other TOTAL Source: 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 4,115.8 2,241.9 1,388.5 644.3 443.9 400.4 1,143.0 4,277.1 2,246.6 1,415.6 632.8 438.3 379.3 1,128.3 4,443.0 2,257.2 1,446.8 633.1 434.2 370.4 1,128.3 4,624.5 2,276.8 1,482.0 649.2 432.8 378.4 1,143.7 4,814.1 2,315.3 1,522.8 675.4 433.0 396.2 1,175.7 5,009.7 2,374.9 1,569.5 713.9 435.1 407.4 1,217.0 10,377.8 10,518.0 10,712.9 10,987.3 11,332.5 11,727.5 Euromonitor Forecast Sales of Household Cleaning Products by Country: % Analysis 2000-2005 % value Brazil Mexico Argentina Colombia Chile Venezuela Other TOTAL Source: 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 39.7 21.6 13.4 6.2 4.3 3.9 11.0 40.7 21.4 13.5 6.0 4.2 3.6 10.7 41.5 21.1 13.5 5.9 4.1 3.5 10.5 42.1 20.7 13.5 5.9 3.9 3.4 10.4 42.5 20.4 13.4 6.0 3.8 3.5 10.4 42.7 20.3 13.4 6.1 3.7 3.5 10.4 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Euromonitor Forecast Sales of Household Cleaning Products by Country: % Growth 2000-2005 % constant value growth Brazil Argentina Colombia Mexico Venezuela Chile TOTAL Source: Euromonitor 2000-2005 CAGR 2000/2005 TOTAL 4.0 2.5 2.1 1.2 0.3 -0.4 21.7 13.0 10.8 5.9 1.8 -2.0 2.5 13.0 Euromonitor (www.euromonitor.com) Page 15 The Market for Household Cleaning Products in Latin America Euromonitor Regional Overview Page 16