WATER AND ENVIRONMENT ISSUES IN THE BLACK, CASPIAN AND ARAL SEAS Background paper for the G12 environment strategy prepared by the United Nations Development Programme, Regional Bureau for Europe and Central Asia January 2003 G12 Regional Seas Programmes (Black Sea, Caspian Sea and Aral Sea): Background paper for the G12 environment strategy, prepared by UNDP regional Bureau for Europe and Central Asia. Contents Page Executive Summary 1.0. Introduction 2 1.1. Background 2 1.2. Governance 3 1.3. Legal setting and its implementation 3 1.4. Management tools 4 1 2.0. Black Sea 2.1. Water issues in the Black Sea 7 2.1.1. Geographical setting 7 2.1.2. Specific water and environmental issues 7 2.2. Governance challenges specific to the Black Sea 8 2.3. Overview of where specific water and environment needs are being met by national, bilateral international community 10 2.4. Overview of where specific needs are not being met and suggestions for possible support measures 12 7 3.0. Caspian Sea 13 3.1 Water Issues in the Caspian Basin 13 3.1.1 Geographical Setting 13 3.1.2. Specific Water and Environmental Issues 14 3.2. Governance challenges specific to the Caspian Sea 15 3.3. Overview of where specific water and environmental needs are being met by national, bilateral and international community 16 3.4. Overview of where specific needs are not being met and suggestions for possible support measures 18 4.0. Aral Sea 20 4.1. Water Issues in the Aral basin. 20 4.1.1. Geographical setting 20 4.1.2. Specific Water and Environmental Issues 20 4.2. Governance challenges specific to the Aral. 22 4.3. Overview of where specific water and environmental needs are being met by national, bilateral and international community. 23 4.4. Overview of where specific needs are not being met and suggestions for possible support measures. 25 Appendix I: Regional Sea Maps Appendix II: Listings of regional Sea Projects. Executive Summary This background paper has been prepared by the United Nations Development Programme as a contribution to the G12 environment strategy under consideration by the European Union. The Aral Sea, Black Sea and Caspian Sea share common bonds geographically, politically and environmentally. Each has been significantly impacted by the industrialization and agricultural management practices of the Soviet Union, and, in the post Soviet era, the transitional governments have dealt with environmental pressures with an array of responses. These water specific environmental challenges, varying paths of development, and current governance structures are addressed in this report. There are several commonalities in regional environmental governance in the Aral Sea, Black Sea and Caspian Sea basins. Common themes include a basic lack of capacity, a lack of revenues dedicated to national and regional environmental management and enforcement, a lack of compliance with existing internationally implemented regional environmental programmes, dependence on international support to meet basic environmental management needs, and institutional and sectoral isolation. These factors are endemic throughout the region and create significant barriers to successful water and environmental management. The environmental concerns that are in most dire need of attention across the Black Sea, Caspian Sea and Aral Sea basins are a direct result of industrial and agricultural activities instigated during the Soviet economic expansion throughout these regions. These massive projects emphasized immediate domination of nature in order to reap maximum gains, but the result has been economic dependence on non-sustainable development. These trends were exacerbated following the collapse of the Soviet Union, as states sought to survive economically at the expense of their natural resources. The countries in these regions share common needs for assistance. Current national environmental action plans need to be amended to more accurately reflect realistic achievable results instead of unobtainable ideals. National and regional Intersectoral coordination needs to be enhanced in order to most effectively address common environmental concerns. Implementation of standardized monitoring of environmental quality, specifically effluents, pollution and nutrient levels and other anthropogenic impacts should be emphasized throughout all of the basins in order to create reliable data for compliance and enforcement and to gauge the concrete actions at the local, national and regional levels. Despite these commonalities, there are also notable differences in regional environmental governance in each of these Basins. As a result, these problems cannot be resolved by applying a single template for regional environmental management. The Aral Sea basin suffers from a lack of coordinated national, regional and international efforts. There are multiple water users and usages, and the prevalence of cotton monoculture throughout the Aral basin strains water resources well beyond sustainable capacity. Further, these strains are magnified by: competition between states over the water resources of the two major river systems feeding the Aral; debilitating patronage systems; missed early opportunities for institutional change; 1 and over all regional instability. Only in the Aral Sea basin is competition over fresh water an immediate threat to economic and political stability of the states in the region. There is a lack of any legal agreement on the protection of the Aral basin environment and interstate agreements on water allocation are proving difficult to uphold. Large amounts money, through grants and loans, have been spent on addressing the Aral basin problems in the past ten years, but with no evident change in the behaviour of the basin states towards good resource management. In comparison, the Black Sea basin has the benefit of a coordinated regional sea programme with significant international funding and technical resources, and, as a result, encouraging progress is clearly seen in the policies of some Black Sea states. The Black Sea has a ratified Convention, a functioning Commision and nascent secretariat, and an active umbrella environmental programme. The somewhat ambitious objectives of the regional coordinating body have resulted in a delayed implementation phase; however, a recent revision of the Strategic Action Programme has stretched the time-frame, making implementation more feasible. Eutrophication caused by nutrient loading from agricultural activities in the major river basins and from inadequate municipal and industrial wastewater treatment has impacted greatly on the Black Sea ecosystem and, in particular, its socially and economically important fisheries. This issue is a major focus for the international community, particularly GEF, and a concerted effort by the UN agencies to tackle and control the problem. There is attention to broad based environmental management throughout this area, and in the contributory river basins as well. Unlike the Aral and Caspian basin, in several of The BlackSea states, there is a clear economic incentive to improve environmental management in order to meet EU accession requirements. Unfortunately, the G12 Black Sea states are not candidates for EU accession and as a result there is uneven effort amongst the countries in pursuit of common water management issues. However, political instability in the Black Sea region does not appear to be immediately threatened by environmental degradation. The Caspian basin has several unique environmental, political and geographic features that distinguish it from the neighboring basins. The regional coordinating body is focused on establishing a dialogue between the states and producing realistic plans (national and regional) for protection of the Caspian environment, emphasizing intersectoral coordination and collaboration. Poor economic conditions, lack of political will, instability, and disputed legal status, diminish the short-term potential of this programme. Monitoring to ascertain the environmental impacts of human activities in the region, and human health impacts in the coastal zones has been abandoned by the littoral states and decisions are being taken in a knowledge vacuum. There are important bioresources, including sturgeon, which, if managed correctly, could generate significant revenues and provide the financial means to support a strong environmental management, but at present vested interests and short term perspectives prevent good stewardship. The Caspian Sea basin contains significant energy resources and it is these, it is hoped, along with the region’s geopolitical importance, which will be in the longterm be the saviour, rather than some would assert the destroyer, of the seas’ environment. Despite these differences, this study makes a number of common recommendations to be summarized here. These include: increased focus of international assistance organizations on compliance with existing regional international agreements where possible; enhanced intersectoral coordination at the local, national and regional levels; development of economic instruments to achieve cooperation and compliance; development of region wide public health atlases to evaluate impacts of poor water supply and wastewater treatment; and increased public awareness and NGO participation in international projects. 2 1.0 Introduction 1.1 Background This paper has been written in response to a request to the UNDP Regional Bureau for Europe and Central Asia by the European Union as input into the elaboration of the Eastern Europe, Caucasus and Central Asia (EECCA) Environmental Strategy. The paper concentrates on the three major regional seas in the G12 region, Black Sea, Caspian Sea and Aral Sea, and draws upon published reviews and reports, prepared by the Regional Seas’ coordinating bodies and component projects in the Environment and Water sectors, as well as related project documents prepared by the littoral states. The term sea is a misnomer for two of the water bodies in question, since neither the Caspian nor Aral have any connection with the World’s oceans and are fully enclosed; the Caspian is the World’s largest enclosed water body. Replenishment of the Black Sea waters through the narrow Bosphorus and it is calculated that it takes over forty years and under the influence of the large freshwater inflows its salinity is only 18 ppt compared to 22ppt of the Mediterranean. The three seas originate from and are remnants of the ancient Tethys Sea that at one time spanned from the Atlantic Ocean to Asia and contain unique brackish water flora and fauna. The environment in these enclosed/ semi enclosed seas is very sensitive to the volume and quality of the waters from the contributory river basins, many of which support highly industrial and intensive agricultural regions. None of these seas have the buffering capacity of the open ocean and unable to cope with rapid change. Tidal currents, if they exist, are minor and gyratory currents, induced by large river inflows, act to distribute rather than disperse pollution throughout their waters. Throughout modern history these vast inland seas have been believed to be imperturbable. Recently they have experienced dramatic environment failures due to anthropogenic influences: the continued existence of the Aral Sea, described as an ecological disaster, is now under question, and the Black Sea is often said to be a sea in crisis. The Caspian Sea is now also showing worrying signs of collapse. The majority of problems for these seas began with the post war industrial and agricultural expansion of the Soviet Union. The 1950s and 1960s saw tremendous economic growth and execution great engineering projects to utilize the country’s vast water resources; damming of the rivers Dniper, Don, Kuban, Volga, Kura, Amu Darya and Syr Darya for hydro-power, navigation and water supply altered hydrological regimes and impeded migratory fish. Expansion of vast tracks of irrigated lands bmbn the 1970’s in the Soviet “Green Revolution”.diverted water away, thus changing the seas’ hydro-chemistry, and increasing nutrient input, as well as insidious agro-chemicals. The Soviet led push for greater production was viewed as mans domination of nature, and saw contempt for the environment and its protection. This was a clear over estimation of what the environment could absorb, and has left a legacy of contamination in rivers, groundwaters and land. Industrial expansion mirrored this with effluent dumping into rivers and tributaries. This pattern of over-utilisation was not limited to the Soviet Union and the Communist Block but occurred throughout the industrialized countries during this period. The difference being that recently other industrialized states have developed the capacity and wealth to be able to begin to rectify their faults. It is common to view the break-up of the Soviet Union as the point at which everything went wrong, but in fact a steady economic decline had been in progress for ten or more years. By the early 1990’s the country’s ability to deal with its environment problems was severely weakened. As evidenced by the condition of infrastructure in the G12 states today, maintenance backlogs have their beginnings well before the break-up. This (despite the effort) during glasnost to take act in a more environmentally sound way with regards to economic activities. 3 With the break-up came a period of rapid change, instability, unrest, and in some cases war. Industrial and agricultural sectors collapsed as Soviet style command and control markets disappeared and new market economies struggled to form. There was little time to worry about the environment and no money to address the mistakes of the past. Today, with GDPs still well below those of the late 1980s, tackling the acute environment problems of the G12 may well take a decade or even two, and there is always the possibility that in some of the states they never will be addressed without outside assistance. The collapse of region’s economies has delivered the short-term benefits of reduced pollution loads and in some areas reduced water abstraction levels, but, as national economies begin to recover without necessary environmental policies and legislation in place, and strong, adequately funded regulatory authorities to enforce compliance the environmental future could be bleak. Many existing environmental laws in the region were inherited from the Soviet system, which is reputed for having the most vigilant environmental laws in the world. However some of these laws and regulations are so strict that they are impossible to comply and result in a complete disregard for positive environmental stewardship. The challenge is to set in place a coherent set of environmental structures and tools before this window of opportunity closes. Adding to the economic woes is political instability throughout the region, which has the potential for overt conflict in some places. Although officially all the G12 countries have democratic regimes, in many control is firmly in the grip of the incumbent President, with a few of these leaders with distinct dictatorial leanings. In these societies freedom of speech and an independent press is constrained and voiced public opinion – one of the engines for change in a democratic society – ignored. In the Caspian and the Aral, there is real potential for future conflict over the natural resources as the relations between littoral and basin states have become more acrimonious over the divisions of petroleum or water resources. Some of the littoral states have already threaten the dissolution of diplomatic relations with one another over these disputes. All this makes the concerted effort to address the shared environmental problems of the regional seas much more difficult. At the same time, this makes international efforts to bring all the parties together to constructively address these problems all the more critical and immediate. 1.2 Governance The regional governance of the three seas varies. The Black Sea Bucharest Convention came into force in 1992 establishing the Istanbul Commission and a nascent permanent secretariat that are now operable. The secretariat is funded by the countries and is still a relatively weak body. It continues to need considerable support from the international community to carry out its considerable functions. Tacis will provide direct support to the secretariat as part of its Environment Programme 2000. The BSEP remains the umbrella programme under which all major international assistance is coordinated. There is no Convention of Protection of the Marine Environment of the Caspian although the final text has been agreed to and it is hoped the document will be signed in early 2003. The future Convention will only come into force once all five littoral states have ratified, which is unlikely in the short term until the legal status of the Caspian is resolved. In place of a Convention and secretariat the Caspian Environment Programme (CEP) acts as the environment management body. It was formed in 1995 and has a Programme Coordination Unit in Baku, Azerbaijan and activity centers distributed around the region. Its membership comprises the littoral states with Tacis, UNDP, UNEP and the World Bank. At present the international partners financially support the CEP, but in its next phase the countries are committed to fund the management structure. On the Aral Sea the picture is complex. The basin states signed an agreement in 1992 to form the Interstate Commission for Water Coordination (ICWC) under which two river basin authorities were formed ( Amu Darya and Syr Darya). In 1994 the Aral Sea Basin Programme (ASBP), a partnership between the basin states 4 and international funding agencies was formed, as a broad umbrella programme. The International Fund of the Aral Sea (IFAS) was created to undertake overall coordination of ASBP under which the ICWC and a newly created Sustainable Development Commission (since reformed) was charged with providing advice on technical and management issues within their areas of competence. IFAS was intended to be supported by both the basin states and international partners. However, economic difficulties in the Aral states have resulted in a lack of payments to the organization by all members. In general, regional governance in the three seas is satisfactory, if shaky, G12 country support for the management institutions, particularly on the Black and Caspian Seas, is slow in coming. For all these seas the initial demand for action and its mobilization came from the international community, rather than the littoral states. The regional programmes were constructed without clear national commitment and support. Therefore implementation has been slow. The regional programmes have of course themselves engendered national support, but it is never sufficient to support the demands of ever accelerating regional programmes, driven by well meaning international partners. There are many relevant national projects (see annex II) that are outside the main regional programmes and within the jurisdiction of the national programme partners. There are also numerous international partner projects (Tacis, GEF, UNDP and WB), which are nationally executed, and have a direct bearing on the regional seas programmes. Often they are not coordinated with the regional seas programmes or with one another, particularly investment projects. In order to strengthen national inter-sectoral coordination and propagate country ownership the preparation of national action plans, the creation of inter-sectoral bodies is seen as a vital step in each littoral state. Such an inter-sectoral body need not necessarily be led by the Ministry of Environment or Natural Resources, since a weak and marginally effective coordination body could be more damaging than none at all. 1.3 Legal setting and its implementation All the G12 countries have participated in the Tacis Common Environmental Policies project and DG Environment is engaged with those countries that have entered into Partnership and Co-operation Agreements on beginning approximation work on their environmental legislation. There appears to be recognition in all G12 countries of the need to co-operate in environmental policy and develop harmonized regulations, increasingly along EU lines. The process is well advanced and should be deepened. The Bucharest Convention on the Protection of the Black Sea Against Pollution was signed and ratified in 1994 and since protocols on Hazardous Substances, Dumping, Land-based Sources (under revision) have been adopted. Under preparation are a protocol on Biodiversity and Transboundary Movement of Hazardous Substances, and regional plans on nutrient reduction and co-operation in the event of spillage oil and hazardous substances. A separate Fisheries Convention is still under negotiation. On the Caspian, there are no regional agreements of any form and this will remain the case until the legal status of the sea is resolved. The final text of the Framework Convention on the Protection of the Marine Environment of the Caspian has been agreed and is to be signed by four, if not five countries, in early 2003. A protocol and co-operation plan in case of oil spills in the Caspian has been drafted and a mechanism is being sought for its implementation. Protocols on Biodiversity, Hazardous Substances, Land-based Sources, Prevention and Control of Invasive and Introduced Species and EIA are envisaged. A fisheries agreement is currently being negotiated with the assistance of CITES, FAO and Tacis; it is unclear whether there will be a separate Fisheries Convention. 5 On the Aral Sea, agreements between the states on annual water allocation are made through the ICWC and observe the status quo. An agreement between Kazakhstan and the Kyrgz Republic to supply fossil fuels in return for summer water releases has been signed, but it is unclear whether the agreement is being honoured. It has been commented that there is that lack of true commitment at a high political level to solve the problems of the Aral Sea and enter into comprehensive agreements and co-operation on water use and sharing. There is no basin wide agreement on protection the Aral Sea basin environment, though one is necessary to protect this basin. Commitment to environmental international legislation, at least on paper, is good. UN Conventions such as Biodiversity, Migratory Species, Basel, CITES, Stockholm, ESPOO and Conventions under the IMO, including MARPOL, have been either signed or ratified by many of the member countries; however, implementation is very poor. More work is needed by the international community to encourage compliance. The IMO is very active on the Black and Caspian seas working in conjunction with the shipping and oil and gas interests to help the countries implement regional and international agreements. CITES is working with authorities and fisheries industry in the Caspian to help improve management of the sturgeon fisheries and UNECE is active in the region encouraging implementation of Aarhus and ESPOO. Following the Johannesburg summit, new efforts need to be made to forge partnerships with the private sector to assist countries in meeting their regional and international commitments. These partnerships will not form by themselves and will need to be pursued actively by the international community. Failure to implement and comply with existing or new legislation, whether it is at the national, regional or international level is at the very heart of the regional seas’ problems. There is a common refrain amongst all of the regional sea programmes for improved compliance and enforcement of existing legislation, and provision of funding levels for the regulatory authorities commensurate with their obligations. The national institutions whether they are involved in pollution control and abatement, water resource management, environmental status monitoring, fisheries or nature conservancy, are drastically under-funded and many have barely sufficient money to pay salaries. It should be recognized that budgets are in the tens of thousands of dollars, not hundreds of thousands, and internationally grant-funded projects are a major source of survival income. At the same time, the regional and international agreements are putting more not less obligations on these weak institutions, which of course they accept in the hope of further international support. This situation is unlikely to change in the near future; national budgets are being squeezed as governments look for savings to finance economic development, infrastructure maintenance and social needs. Policy and legal reform and institutional rationalization will help to better focus the resources available but this is not the complete solution. The correct use of economic instruments will prevent pollution and over ultilization of resources. However, they should not be seen, as they are in many G12 states, as a means of raising operating revenue for the regulatory systems. Environmental funds work successfully in some states but are at the national level prone to misuse. At the regional level, work on environment funds on the Black Sea and Caspian Seas received little support from the Ministries of Finance of the participating countries and could not be advanced, despite eagerness from the Ministries of Environment. A regional environment fund underpinned by a regional levy on shipping or, in the Caspian, oil and gas industry, could be viable although expensive to manage, however, at present there are no dominant advocates for such instruments. Due to poor funding and resulting poor salaries the regulatory authorities often suffer from low implementation and execution capacity. Capacity building measures undertaken by the international community are often ineffective due to poor identification of the target audience and lack of follow-up activities – a certificate and no more. More patient guidance is needed, with step by step training to bring about lasting changes. Although it goes against policy of most of the international agencies perhaps subsidizing staff salaries to attract and keep highly educated and motivated young professionals in the Ministries during this critical period could be considered as an alternative to straight technical assistance. Projects like the recent Tacis ‘Support for the Implementation of Environmental and National Environmental Action Plans’ should be 6 replicated for the regional seas, addressing implementation of the specific National and the Strategic Action Plans. 1.4 Management tools Both the Black Sea Environmental Programme (BSEP) and Caspian Environmental Programme (CEP) are umbrella programmes that address a wide range of water and environmental issues and problems in a holistic and integrated manner, including, inter alia: - Pollution from land-based and marine based sources Spillage of oil and other hazardous substances from shipping and off and near shore facilities Fisheries management Biodiversity and invasive species Integrated Coastal Area management (based on land use) and sustainable coastal development Public health, including recreational waters and water supply to coastal communities In both seas, Transboundary Diagnostic Analyses (TDA) were prepared. Following a review of the perceived water and environmental issues in the light of existing information and data the root causes were identified and interventions needed to address them identified in a Strategic Action Programme (SAP). In essence, the Black and Caspian Seas the SAPs provide a timeline for implementation of commitments made by the countries in their respective Conventions and associated Protocols, but they are voluntary, non-binding guidance documents, adopted at the Ministerial level only, often solely by the Ministries of Environment, and contain actions which lie outside the jurisdictions of the signatories. The Black Sea and Caspian (in draft) SAPs are comprehensive, ambitious work plans, unprioritized and uncosted. The international partners, typically those who are driving the SAPs, have unrealistic expectations of the speed with which the SAPs can be realized by the signatory countries and perhaps, under present economic climate, a more subjective, bottom-up approach to SAP implementation should be adopted. The G12 countries need to define their own national priorities and prepare their own national plans for implementation. These should be coordinated through the national endorsement processes, and receive support from all relevant Ministries – including, critically Ministries of Finance - and key stakeholders. Importantly, these national plans should be based on available national resources, if wish lists are to be turned into realistic and implementable plans. Once complete, the prioritization and timelines of these national plans should be reflected in the SAP – though obviously, not based on the lowest common denominator – in order modulate the timing of SAP implementation. On the Black Sea it is recognized that the EU accession process is a driver for three member states and the G12 member constraints cannot be allowed to impede implementation to any significant degree. The initial national plans produced may not be encouraging, for example, investment project are unlikely to figure largely into the plans, but they will be realistic and could be built upon in the future. On the Aral Sea the focus of concern has been water allocation and demand management in the basin, since these are root causes of the Aral Sea’s dramatic decline; in comparison these allocation issues are not critical in either the Black or Caspian Seas. The Aral Sea Basin Program (ASBP) deals with the whole basin and was designed to address both water and environmental issues in an integrated fashion; however, as it developed and the potential to rehabilitate the Aral Sea faded, water allocation issues took precedent. According to IFAS the downstream basin states spend around $650 million per annum on the socio-economic and environmental stabilization under the ASBP. However, these expenditures are excluded from the ASBP Strategic Action Programme and it would appear none of the countries, are subject to a specific national plan, except the country NEAPS. This lack of planning integration is of specific concern. Under the GEF project the basin states are 7 being given support to prepare water and salinity management plans. The regional seas are the final downstream users in the wider basins. The unsustainable use of the water resources in the upstream countries is finally reflected in the environmental status of the sea. It is impossible to decouple the regional seas programmes from wider water resource management and land use in the contributing river basins. The Istanbul Commission for the Black Sea and its umbrella Black Sea Environment Programme (BSEP) under which the major basin projects are implemented have strong linkages with there river basin counterparts; these include a major shared project with the International Commission on the Protection of the Danube River (ICPDR); shared projects, and growing links with national and international activities on the Dniper and Dinester; and unofficial linkages with the Don and Kuban River Basin Authorities in Russia. On the Caspian, the geographical coverage of the umbrella Caspian Environment Programme (CEP) is restricted to the sea’s surface area and a 100km coastal zone. Unofficial contacts through the compnent projects have been made with the Federal Russian Volga Revival programme, and USAID and Tacis projects in the Kura basin with some exchange of data between projects. This lack of basin approach is a current weakness of the CEP. It should be noted that efforts to develop priority investment portfolios in the Black and Caspian Seas have been less than successful, with few relevant, bankable water and environment projects having been identified and prepared. Also, to the writer’s best knowledge, no environmental projects, with direct link to either the Black or the Caspian Sea have been prepared under the EU Tacis Joint Environment Programmes (JEP) project. A major omission on both the Black (except in the Danube basin) and Caspian Sea is a prioritised list of point and diffuse source pollution hot spots or, a credible assessment of land-based sources, from which such a list could arise. Development of such hot spot lists and identification of potential investment projects, in coordinated conjunction with the regulatory authorities, is believed overdue in the Black and Caspian Seas. In all three regional seas access to good, reliable data is inadequate and data sharing between littoral/basin states is uncommon. The G12 region can generally be said to be data rich and information poor. There is a lot of anecdotal evidence and designer data, which, in the current information vacuum, masquerades as empirical observations. All historical data and assumptions should be questioned and validated. For the regional seas the Russian Hydrometeorological Services and the other Russian Institutions that were the depositaries for all Soviet data hold much of the valuable historical data. Oceanographic, hydrological, hydrographic, hydrochemical, fisheries data stretching back in some cases over hundred years does exist, but is not easily accessible except in summary form, since much still exist only in paper form and is often well guarded. The G12 countries usually have access only to data that relates to their own national territory. Data exchange clauses and articles do exist in the various regional agreements and project documents, as well as international commitments, but in reality the institutions that hold the data have tremendous vested interests and maintain a tight control. On the Caspian, the Hydrometeorological Services of the littoral states have still not signed an agreement on data exchange and obtaining a simple meta-database of Caspian data held by the Russin Hydromet took considerable effort on the part of CEP. Despite these problems, pressure must continue to be exerted on the countries by the international agencies to share their information and they themselves must make available all project results in full and, where possible, in a consistent format. Little or no information on the environmental status of regional seas is collected by the G12 littoral and basin states outside specific projects, including fisheries and biodiversity data. Where monitoring is undertaken only the basic parameters are measured and it is often spasmodic. There constant calls from the states to provide equipment and training for all aspects of environmental monitoring, but no monitoring needs assessments are provided and no calculations of running costs made. Initially the international community did respond to these calls, but stories of equipment lying unpacked in state laboratories for years and valuable instruments being transferred out of the region have since made donors more cautious. Monitoring programmes, as a first step, be 8 they for contaminants or biodiversity, should be focused, of a limited scope and affordable; designed to answer the priority questions for the decision makers. They need to be put in place and over a programmed period (4-5 years) capacity building as well as provision of equipment need to be undertaken to ensure a resulting reliable product. Recipient and donor pride often hinders the acceptance of simple but sustainable monitoring programmes, preferring the quick technological fix to the long-term step-by-step approach. On the Caspian and Black Seas work on biological effects and biomarker techniques is seen as one way of filling the need for a cost effective monitoring contaminant programmes. Involving the public in environmental decision making as a major engine for change and, with the exception of the Black Sea, under utilized. It is always, as in this introduction, the final activity considered in any regional or national plan and it is often the activity whose budget is cut in the final review. As stated clearly in a recent Black Sea review document, only through embracing the democratic process can we achieve real change with on-going environmental education of all sectors of society. Transparency of and access to the decision making process is essential to sustainable development. The public has to be shown that change is possible and it is they that have power to make the change. Vast numbers of small environmental awareness projects have been executed in the regions on issues pertaining to the regional seas but still more, better targeted effort is required. Efforts should include the development of Local Environmental Action Plans involving coastal communities and local government authorities, mayoral conferences on the regional sea issues, involvement of the Regional Environmental Centres and the stronger NGOs in execution of key aspects of the regional sea projects. More accessible information about the programmes objectives, activities, results and failures, through regionally accessible formats are needed. These cannot be just a web-site, but must also include posters, leaflets, brochures in the languages of the coastal populations. Outreach programmes are expensive but essential activities. Only the Black Sea Commission allows NGO observer status to their meeting and, importantly the Black Sea NGO network is the only such body to grant reciprocal status to the Commission. Transparency on both the Caspian and Aral Seas needs to be improved. In the following sections, more detail is provided on the policy and policy tools in the three regional seas discussed. This will review what is working and what is not working at regional and national levels, and where there are needs, proposals for and prioritization of support measures. The emphasis is on what needs to be done at the national level in order to comply with existing national, regional and international commitments. 9 2.0 Black Sea 2.1 Water issues in the Black Sea 2.1.1 Geographical setting The Black Sea is the largest of the three regional seas in this report and is virtually land-locked being surrounded by the littoral states are Bulgaria, Georgia, Romania, Russia, Turkey and Ukraine. The surface area of the Black Sea is 423,000 km2 and has a volume of 574,000 km3. The contributory basin has a surface area of over 2 million km2 and falls within 17 states. The sea is connected to the Mediterranean in the south via the narrow Turkish straits at the Bosphorus that leads into the Sea of Marmara and then to the Aegean Sea. In the north, it is connected to Sea of Azov, which is shared between Russia and Ukraine and is considered an intrinsic part of the Black Sea. In the main basin of the Black Sea the water depth approaches 2200m with only a narrow coastal shelf. In the northeast between Romania and Ukraine there is an extensive shallow shelf area, which occupies approximately 20% of the surface area of the sea, which is an important fish spawning and nursery ground. The Black Sea receives large quantities of freshwater from its many contributory rivers; the largest of these rivers are the Danube, Dniester, Dnieper and Don that provide over 70% of the freshwater inputs. Since the sea receives more freshwater than it loses in evaporation, the salinity is quite low compared to other regional seas. It is calculated that there is a surface outflow from the Black Sea to the Aegean of 610km3/year and to compensate an underflow of 313km3/year enters from the Mediterranean keeping the salinity at approximately 18ppt. The slow rate of replenishment of the deep waters from the Mediterranean and large input of freshwaters has led to a very stable hydrographic environment in which wind, solar and wave energies are insufficient to mix the lighter freshwater surface layer with the deeper denser saline waters. This has created permanently anoxic basin waters below 150m, due to the oxygen demand of large quantities of decomposing riverine organic matter as it falls to the bottom. The River Danube is the single largest contributor of freshwater to the Black Sea and has a profound influence on the hydrography, chemistry and biology of the sea and, especially on the north-west shelf. The Danube and the pollutants it carries represent the biggest threat to the stability of the Black Sea. The Danube riparian states include Germany, Austria, Hungary, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Slovenia, Croatia, Bosnia-Herzegovenia, Yugoslavia, Bulgaria, Romania, Moldova and Ukraine.The activities of the people of these thirteen countries as much as those of the Black Sea littoral states that have put the Black Sea in crisis, and demonstrating most vividly the need to adopt a basin wide approach in addressing the environmental problems of regional seas. The Black Sea coastal zone is densely populated, hosting a permanent population, excluding Istanbul, of 16 million and another 4 million during the summer season. Tourism is an important source of revenue for region, especially in the three G12 littoral states, Russia, Ukraine and Georgia where seaside holidays at home are once again becoming popular. Recreational and commercial fishing are prevalent in the region. Experts estimate that the Black Sea could support sustainable fish catches in the region of 2 million tones per year if the principles of responsible fishing were introduced and the necessary protective measures put in place. Since the 1980’s the value of the fishing industry on the Black Sea is estimated to have declined by as much as $170 million due to over-capitalisation and over exploitation with a reduction in overall landings and a loss of valuable species. In addition, in the 1980’s the invasion of the ctenophore Mnemiopsis Leidyi from the 10 eastern seaboard of the United States, transferred in ship ballast waters, has led to competition with and loss of the pelagic fish species. Bringing about a near total collapse of Black Sea fisheries as the invasion reached plague proportions. Mnemiopsis numbers are now declining for a several reasons and with some enforcement measures in place there is now hope that the Black Sea fisheries may get recover. Despite this, the Black Sea states have not yet finalized the Fisheries Convention begun in 1996 and illegal fishing is still a major concern for the region. 2.1.2 Specific water and environmental issues Eutrophication is the priority transboundary issue for the Black Sea and target of a major initiative by the Global Environmental Facility to reduce nutrient loading from the basin countries. Eutrophication in the Black Sea was first widely observed in 1960s and 1970s when the linkage to river discharges were made. It is estimated that historically the Danube alone introduced some 60,000 tons of phosphorus and 340,000 tons of inorganic nitrogen into the sea each year. These huge nutrient inputs were observed to change the structure of the plankton community, including a shift to small size plantonkic algae (i.e. dinoflagellates) and an increase in the incidence of ‘blooms’ – the phenomena whereby a particular aquatic ecosystem becomes dominated by a single species. In addition, the decomposition of the plankton caused oxygen depletion, sometimes also the production of Hydrogen Sulphide, which led to mass mortalities of fish and invertebrates. Observations have shown a worrying rise in the anoxic waters of the basin and reduction of the oxygen rich upper layer to less than 100m in depth in places and an expansion of the zones of hypoxia. The waters of Danube have had a particularly troubling impact on the all-important northwest shelf of the Black Sea, whose historically clear waters support the macrophyte Phyllophora, a red algae which provides the most important nursery for fish in the Black Sea. The increase in phytoplankton populations and their consequential density reduced water clarity and the amount of the sunlight getting to the Phyllophora. In the deeper waters and the area of Phyllophora field have been reduced from 11,000km2 in 1950s to 500km2 in the 1990’s. A joint Danube-Black Sea working group in 1998 identified the long-term objective for rehabilitation of the Black Sea in order to achieve an ecological status as close as possible to that of the Black Sea in the early 1960’s, when the natural conditions were not significantly disturbed. And an intermediate objective for all countries to introduce urgent control measures to avoid that discharge of nitrogen and phosphate does not exceed levels observed in 1997. It was also made clear by the working group that the Danube basin countries were the major source of nutrients, with fertilizer use in Germany and Austria being of particular concern. In the lower basin Central European countries fertilizer use has declined over the past ten years due to economic downturns, although reactivation of intensive agriculture could again, cause problems if not regulated. Municipal water waste treatment in on the G12 Black Sea coast is either poor, or non-existent. The treatment works are often overloaded, obsolete and in need of urgent repair. Often sewage treatment is limited to screening before being discharged directly via long sea outfall of industry into coastal rivers. Micro-biological pollution of recreational waters is of concern in the G12 Black Sea countries and lack of access to monitoring data compounds the problem. Without primary, secondary or tertiary treatment the nutrient loading from municipal waste is naturally high. Clean water supply in certain places of the coastal zone is a problem with high reported incidence of water borne diseases. Secondary contamination of drinking water in urban areas and poor separation of water supply wells and septic tanks in rurac areas is common. It is unclear whether this situation 11 is deteriorating or improving since the epidemiological data is not easily accessible. This certainly warrants further attention. The main sources of hydrocarbons are the oil terminal at Odessa, the Port of Sochi and the Danube. Transport of oil into and out of the Black Sea via the Turkish straits is forecast to increase considerably with the development of the Caspian oil fields. The new Baku – Poti pipeline will deliver oil to the Black Sea coast, along with the oil already delivered from Novorossiysk, for transfer to Ukraine and to the Balkans via Borgas. This additional tanker traffic will increase the risk of oil spills and the countries under the stewardship of the IMO are about to sign a Cooperation Plan in the event of an oil spills. All the countries are signatories to MARPOL 1973/78 and strenuous efforts are being made to provide reception facilities in compliance with the special area status accorded to the Black Sea. Assessments have indicated that trace metals do not appear to be a general problem in the Black Sea, but of course, there are as always regional hot spots. It also must be noted that there are considerable data gaps, both in contaminants measured and coverage. The highest concentrations of organochlorine compounds found in the Black Sea sediments are in the vincinity of the Danube delta; out values are low in comparison with other regional seas and G12 locations. There is evidence of current use of DDT. It is not clear from current pollution assessment of the Black Sea what levels of organochlorine compounds are to be found on the eastern shore of the Black Sea and the Sea of Azov, which are associated with large irrigated areas. 2.2 Governance challenges specific to the Black Sea The Black Sea countries signed the Convention on the Protection of the Black Sea Against Pollution in 1992, known as the Bucharest Convention, and the Istanbul Commission was established once ratified. Agreement on the associated documents dealing with, financial issues, privileges and immunities, and headquarters took time and delayed the establishment of a permanent secretariat until October 2000. Not all the countries have paid their contributions for upkeep of the secretariat and at it is limited to an executive director and a senior pollution and monitoring officer, plus support staff at present. In time, four additional officers responsible for addressing land-based sources, biodiversity, environmental information and environmental law will be engaged. It is understood that the Tacis phase III support project is considering supporting the biodiversity expert in the short term. After ten years there is still a lack of assurance of country commitment to the Convention, especially within the G12 countries.. Tacis has recently reported that the Commission and current secretariat are subject to severe functional and operational constraints in ensuring the implementation of the Convention and its protocols. The Commissioners, drawn from the Ministries of either environment or natural resources, do not have jurisdiction over many of the issues addressed in the Convention and have no access to a national mechanism to secure funding. They are not able to guarantee national implementation of the Convention articles or protocol or even monitor progress towards their implementation. In addition, protocols on biodiversity and transboundary movement of hazardous waste are being finalised Only one state, Ukraine, has a national Black Sea plan, based on the Convention and Strategic 12 Action Plan, which has been endorsed by the government, and can serve as legal binding instrument for implementation. In June 2002 the national plans of Bulgaria, Romania, Russia and Turkey were still at the draft stage. As on the Caspian and Aral Seas the inter-sectoral coordination is poor in the Black Sea. The establishment of national bodies to develop integrated environmental policies and an action plan incorporating the major stakeholders is an important next step. The secretariat has an immense work programme, but has neither the finances nor capacity to execute it. Six advisory boards, coordinated by the activity centers established under the Black Sea Environmental Programme, are still to be established to assist the secretariat in their work. Only of the Activity Centers four can be considered operable. Including the three G12 Activity Centres, which are operating with the assistance from Tacis; however but their claim to be regional centers of excellence is dubious. The Biodiversity center in Batumi, Georgia is incapable of leading the biodiversity component of the Tacis programme and has been given more nationally oriented activities. The future of pollution monitoring Activity Centre is also uncertain following the request by the Ukrainian beneficiary that it be moved from its long-standing home in Odessa to an institute in Kiev. The secretariat will remain reliant on both the GEF and EU-Tacis projects, under the Black Sea Environment Programme, for some time yet to come in order to meet its obligations. The Black Sea countries are divided into those which are either on the path to EU accession (Bulgaria and Romania) or are waiting in the wings (Turkey) and those which not. The accession countries have a very real incentive to meet the accession criteria and align their legislation with that of the EU and are receiving considerable financial assistance to do so through the ISPAR funds. As a result, these accession seeking states are more aggressively addressing environmental compliance within regional water management programmes, including the Black Sea and Danube, as a clear demonstration of environmental stewardship. However, actual compliance with new legislation, as opposed to titular enforcement of environmental laws, needs to be demonstrated to the European Union. Since this is often one of the predominant barriers for EU accession. The strained budgets and overwhelming need to provide basic public services in the G12 countries has led these countries to relegate environmental issues to very low priorities. A comparison of the EU accession states to these G12 countries demonstrates two-tracked environmental policy development in the Black Sea. There is a real concern that implementation of the Convention, its protocols and Strategic Action Plan will pushed as much by Brussels as the littoral states. The G12 countries could not implement the original 1996 Strategic Action Plan (SAP) and it’s doubtful whether they can implement the recently revised time-frame (2002) but they agreed to both. Perhaps they had no choice and they felt that by agreeing eventually some real material assistance might be forthcoming. This wishful thinking is dangerous, since it puts off the day when the countries themselves have to address the problems and it would be better if they set realistic objectives themselves, within the framework of a national plan, instead of the looking to the SAP which emphasizes unobtainable goals for them. Addressing the problems of the Black Sea is very closely linked to the need to address the problems of the major river basins. In this regard, the Black Sea is a model for all other regional seas. The Brussels Ministerial Declaration, 2001, and MoU on Cooperation between the Black Sea Commission and the International Commission on the Protection of the Danube River (ICPDR), 2002, formalized the cooperation and collaboration between the two governance bodies. It is under this that the Danube-Black Sea task force and Joint Black Sea-Danube Technical Working group were established. In the future a similar close relationship could be forged with the Dnieper countries (Ukraine, Belarus and Russia) as they begin negotiation on their own regional basin Convention. In fact it is essential that the Black Sea Commission involve itself in these potential transboundary river 13 programmes and agreements to avoid confusion and conflict in the future. According Tacis reports and others there are some very serious problems with water related environmental management in Ukraine, Russia and Georgia at the national level. These include: A basic lack of commitment to environmental protection, with very little financial support allocated to national and regional programmes. This is in large part due to economic difficulties, lack of general revenue and more pressing social and political concerns of the governments of these countries. There are trained scientists in these countries that have the raw technical skills to undertake environmental monitoring, assessment and management, but the lack of budget is slowly eroding what capacity remains. Despite commitments of governments, capital investment projects to reduce pollution, within Ukraine, Georgia and Russia’s Black Sea basin, have not been forthcoming. Any environmental reforms intended to address transboundary issues are not dealt with at local and municipal levels, due to a lack of regional cooperative experience of these states. Though major and valiant efforts have been made towards incorporating the public in environmental management issues, it is believed that the public is generally not aware of Black Sea environmental issues. As a result of this lack of awareness and lack of education, the public has not been able to curtail environmentally damaging practices, nor to appeal to their governments to support more active compliance with regional environmental governance commitments. Poor compliance of pollution regulations, caused by poorly equipped and trained enforcement authorities and a debilitating patronage system, is common to the region’s institutions. In its recent five year review of SAP implementation the Istanbul Commission noted that there were no comprehensive records of effectiveness of the enforcement procedures. These combined factors have severely hampered positive water based environmental change in the G12 Black Sea Basin littoral states. 2.3 Overview of where specific water and environmental needs are being met by national, bilateral and international community The Black Sea Environmental Programme (BSEP) was initiated in 1993 and as one of the first GEF Regional Sea Programmes has laid the foundations for other GEF international water programmes around the world. With the assistance of the EU, through their Tacis and Phare facilities, BSEP established a regional management structure – including six Activity Centers located on the coast; undertook a detailed Transboundary Diagnostic Analysis that spawned many national and regional reports; and developed a comprehensive Strategic Action Programme (SAP), between the years 1994 to 2000. National Black Sea Action Plans were initiated, but, as stated above, failed to be implemented because they were not endorsed by the littoral states. The SAP is intended to address a range of environmental issues pertaining to the broad concept of sustainable development, with emphasis on the human component of environmental management. The SAP was a very well presented comprehensive document, but perhaps overly ambitious, and as a result, in a recent review by the Istanbul Commission many of the Programmes time-lines have been extended by five or ten years. The Tacis phase II project and current phase III project under BSEP were designed to assist the countries implement the SAP in the areas of biodiversity, pollution monitoring and integrated coastal zone management and have been in part successful. The current GEF projects under the Black Sea – Danube River Basin Strategic Partnership are targeted at nutrient load reduction and habitat restoration, which are seen as the most immediate threats to the Black Sea (see below). 14 With the establishment of the secretariat the status of the Black Sea Environmental Programme has now formalized as a coordinated programme of interventions designed to implement the SAP and is coordinated through a Joint Project Management Group, ensuring collaboration amongst donors. Ongoing projects under the BSEP include: - GEF-UNDP Control of eutrophication, hazardous substances and related measures for rehabilitating the Black Sea eco system, phase 1, project elements include: Capacity building of the secretariat; revision of the land-based activity legislation; strategic studies of eutrophication process in the Black Sea; development of sectoral and national nutrient control plans, including amended proposals for amended legislation; cost-benefit study of application of recommendations; formulation of proposals for economic instruments; and small grant programme to support nutrient reduction projects. The value of the support is $4.3 million over 2 years. - GEF-WB Investment Fund for Nutrient Reduction in the Danube and Black Sea Basin worth $70 million over the next six years, has been established to catalyze the necessary investment response from a wide group of stakeholders to reduce nutrient inputs. The investment fund will provide grant funds for investments in agriculture, municipal and industrial wastewater treatment sectors and will aim to lever an additional $210 million. -Tacis Black Sea Environmental Programme support Phase III commenced in June 2003, with a total budget of Euro 2.8 million it is to be implemented over 24 months. The project will provide technical assistance to the secretariat and the three Activity Centres in Ukraine, Russia and Georgia to meet their commitments under the SAP. Specific project activities include: - Assist the countries to finalise and adopt a water monitoring programme and development of the Environmental Assessment and Monitoring Strategy and Integrated Monitoring and Assessment Programme for the Black Sea - Develop a regional database and QA/QS system for an integrated contaminant monitoring programme - Investigation possible economic instruments to support a regional environmental fund - Finalisation of Biodiversity Strategy and Action Plan, and a integrated biodiversity monitoring programme - Update of Black Sea Pollution assessment and help prepare a cost-effective Pollution Reduction strategy - Dissemination of information and public awareness raising The ICPDR’s Pollution Reduction Programme, a similar but more advanced programme of projects to the BSEP, which has recently developed a revised Strategic Action Programme. The overall objectives are to achieve sustainable development in the Danube River Basin and specifically to reduce pollution loads, in particular nutrients, to the Black Sea. On the sectoral level, the Danube SAP priorities are (1) Improvement of municipal wastewater and solid waste management; (2) Introduction of Best Available Technologies – BAT, and Best Environmental Practices – BEP, and abatement of water pollution in the mining and industrial sectors; and (3) Implementation of good agricultural practices and mechanisms for sustainable land management in the agricultural sector. Under the Pollution Reduction Programme the GEF – UNDP project Strengthening the Implementation Capacities for Nutrient Reduction and Transboundary Cooperation in the Danube River Basin, phase 1 has a duration of two years and a value of $5.35 million. Project components include ; Development of river basin and water resource guidelines; formulation of policy for 15 reduction of nutrients and other harmful substances and rehabilitation of wetlands; proposal for economic instruments; capacity building to improve transboundary contaminant monitoring; a public awareness campaign and small grants programme and strategic studies of the sediments of the Iron gate reservoirs. The Dnieper Basin Environment Programme is a GEF/UNDP sponsored programme to assess the transboundary river issues in Russia, Ukraine and Belarus that began in 1999. The long term objectives of the programme are to remedy serious environmental effects of pollution and to ensure sustainable use of the basin resources. In this first phases the specific objectives are (1) Create a transboundary management regime and coordinating body; (2) Assist countries in the formulation, review and endorsement process of a Strategic Action Programme; (3) Improve financial/legal/operational mechanisms for pollution reduction and sustainable resource use; (4) Formulation of National Action Plans by inter-ministerial committees; (5) Improve conservation of biodiversity; (6) Enhance communication among stakeholders and encourage public awareness and involvement in addressing the problems of the Dnieper Basin; and (7) Build capacity for SAP implementation. The BSEP and Dnieper programmes coordinate through the UNDP-GEF offices in New York. Other regional projects include projects such as: A $10 million World Bank loan to Georgia with additional GEF funds to support an ICZM project which includes the preparation of national oil spill contingency plan, a contaminant monitoring programme, ICZM database and the creation of a national park within the Kolkheti wetlands. The IMO is working with the Black Sea states and oil and gas industry representatives to implement the new co-operation plan in the event of oil spills and through a pilot project in Odessa to test proposals for the new Convention on Ballast waters management. NATO (North Atlantic Treaty Organization) has been active in the Black Sea since 1993 with various projects and provided much valuable data to the BSEP Black Sea Pollution Assessment in through their Science for Stability Black Sea project which ended in 1998. A full listing of major Black Sea projects is given in appendix II. 2.4 Overview of where specific needs are not being met and suggestions for possible support measures There is an urgent need for all the Black Sea states in particular the G12 countries, to develop a national Black Sea plans that can be endorsed by the governments, undergo full inter-sectoral consultation and to which a budget can be assigned. The current SAP is still too ambitious and which, it should be remembered, is not a binding document. In its phase III project Tacis is to provide some small assistance to the G12 countries develop national plans, but it is unlikely to be enough. The states countries should be encouraged to strengthen an inter-sectoral coordination. Coordination at the regional level between countries and donors is good and also between the Black Sea and the major programmes of the river basins. However, the secretariat is still weak and has not the funds or capacity to undertake its duties and more financial and political commitment is needed from the countries. 16 Although much assistance in terms of equipment and training has been given to the region, little coordinated monitoring of contaminants and biota is being undertaken by the states. This may be because existing proposed conventional monitoring programmes are too expensive to execute and no cost-effective alternatives have yet to be agreed. It should be hoped that the Tacis project would be able to encourage the G12 states to establish new programmes soon. A land-based source assessment was undertaken as part of the first GEF project, however, the result was not satisfactory and a new assessment, including that of diffuse sources, is required urgently. A revised list of hot-spot should be prepared and for priority projects documents prepared for submission to international donors. The international community should emphasize compliance with existing agreements and policies at the national and regional level. These agreements should be followed as closely as possible and implementation of a graduated process for enforcement would create more effective compliance than an all or nothing approach; however, Policy makers, and enforcement bodies should be made aware of these policy process options. In order to fully understand the range of water specific environmental needs in the region, a comprehensive stakeholder analysis should be conducted. This should focus on the multiple stakeholders, including not only those affected by environmental degradation, but those causing it, and those who are charged with regulating it. Further, such an analysis, if properly conducted would provide illuminating insights into the perceptions of the most immediate threats to and concerns of those most directly involved in these issues. This information can be used to steer policy, target programmes, and to influence government actions. Though this area is probably less prone to emerging environmental based conflict than the Aral or Caspian basins, the information garnered from such a comprehensive stakeholder analysis could provide much needed information regarding the basic water specific needs in the region. Improved monitoring of health conditions in the G12 countries, specific to water related impacts should be considered. These conditions warrant attention for public health reasons, as well as for broader environmental management concerns. In summary, the suggested project for the Black Sea include: - - Encourage water and environmental policy coordination in the region through development and implementation of national action plans and the creation of national coordinating unit and inter-sectoral liaison committees Assist the countries to implement cost-effective, integrated contaminant and biological monitoring programmes in the coastal waters. Undertake a new land-based source assessment for the Black Sea. Assist the countries improve their compliance record with national and international legislation, and investigate graduated compliance process. Undertake a stakeholder analysis Production of a public health atlas for the Black Sea and development and implementation of targeted action plans. 17 3.0 Caspian Sea 3.1 Water issues in the Caspian Basin 3.1.1. Geographical Setting The Caspian Sea is the largest inland water body in the world, occupying a deep depression on the boundary between Asia and Europe with a water level at present 27 metres below sea level. It is approximately 1200km long with a maximum breadth of 466km and contains 78,000 cubic km and has a total coastline of 7000km. The sea is split into three major portions: the northern, middle and southern parts. The northern part, which covers approximately 80,000 square km, is relatively shallow, averaging about 5 to 6m and has a salinity of 0.1 parts per thousand (ppt) and 10-11 ppt near the middle Caspian. The Northern Caspian is subject to a continental climate and ice begins to appear in November and in severe winters will cover the whole of the northern section. The middle part of the Caspian is a separate depression whose western slope is quite steep leading to depths of 400600m and whose eastern slopes are more gradual. The middle part is separated from the largest southern part by the Absheron ridge, which is an extension of the Greater Caucasus range. The middle and southern parts of the Caspian have only small fluctuations in salinity: surface salinity varies from 12.6 to 13.5 ppt increasing from north to south and west to east, there also a small increase in salinity with depth. Water depths of over 1000m are found in the southern part of the Caspian. The Caspian is fed by four rivers or river groups: in the north the Volga (80 percent of total inflow) and the Ural (5 percent); in the west the Terek, Sulak and Samur (5 percent) and the Kura (8 percent); and, in the south, the short mountain rivers from the Iranian Alborz range (4-5 percent). There is no appreciable run-off from the eastern side of the Caspian. The Caspian is subject to considerable water level fluctuations. Between 1835 and 1978 the water level fell by three metres to –28.5m, since then levels have risen by more than two metres and then fallen back slightly. These water fluctuations are mainly caused by natural phenomena but are also subject to anthropogenic effects. Depending on which climatic model is selected, global warming may cause either a dramatic increase or slight decrease in the water level over the next fifty years. The water level fluctuations have significant impacts on the coastal biodiversity and infrastructure, particularly in the shallow, northern part where loss of land and flooding are of real concern. Although the biodiversity of the Caspian is quite low it does exhibit a relatively high endemism due to its historical isolation. The current estimated number of endemic species is 337, including 34 fish and 1 marine mammal, the Caspian Seal. The coastal and marine habitats are diverse, including important Ramsar sites, however, protection of these areas is not always as legislation dictates and the water level fluctuations of the Caspian constantly re-define the boundaries and extent of the coastal wetlands. With the connection of the Caspian to the Black Sea and Baltic Sea through the Russian inland waterways of the threat of invasive species and the potential destruction they bring is a major environmental issue for the Caspian. There are five Caspian littoral states: Azerbaijan, Islamic Republic of Iran, Kazakhstan, Russian Federation and Turkmenistan. There are three additional states whose territory lies within the Caspian basin: Armenia, Georgia and Turkey. The population of the Caspian coastal region is approximately 12 million; six million reside in the narrow coastal strip of the Islamic Republic of Iran and 3 million in Baku and the coast of Azerbaijan. The remaining population are distributed on the Russian (Daghestan, Kalmykiya and Astrakhan oblasts) and Kazakhstan (Atyrau and Mangistau oblasts) coasts. The coastal population of Turkmenistan is very small, and is concentrated around the ports of Turkmenbashi and Chalakan. Oil and gas have been a major industry of the Caspian since the end of the 19th century. The Caspian Basin is believed to contain considerable oil and gas deposits, though the magnitude, value, location and even ownership is still unclear. Initially oil reserves were estimated to be around 50 billion barrels. This figure was upgraded to 200 billion in the mid-1990s, but has recently been revised downward to 100 billion. All the major international 18 oil companies are currently involved the exploition of Caspian oil and gas and construction of the infrastructure, including pipelines, to deliver the oil to market. The earliest date for large-scale production from the two major known fields in Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan is 2007 and 2010, respectively. The Caspian Sea is rich in fish resources and home to the largest populations of sturgeons in the world. The fishing industry creates large numbers of coastal jobs. The wholesale value of caviar alone is estimated to be $80 million dollars annually, although only a small percentage of this money will return to the coastal communities. The Caspian sturgeon fishery has suffered a dramatic decline since the early eighties due to numerous factors. Illegal fishing and trading in caviar since the break-up of the Soviet Union and disintegration of the fisheries management is the main reason for the decline, however, pollution and changes in the hydrological regime in the main spawning rivers have also contributed. The invasive of the comb jelly Mnemiopsis Leydei of the Caspian from the Black Sea, via the Volga-Don canal, is of great concern, threatening to decimate the sardine and sprat fisheries particularly in the southern part of the sea much as it did on the Black Sea, and rather impact the sturgeon fishery. 3.1.2 Specific water and environmental issues in the Caspian Sea It is often stated that the Caspian is highly polluted with hydrocarbons from the oil and gas industry and by the Volga River, which discharges the wastes from Russia’s industrial heart-land into the northern Caspian. It is true, there are major pollution hot spots, Baku and the Absheron peninsula in particular, but recent international studies have yet to identify widespread pollution. On the Volga river, below the Volga cascade, studies by Dutch scientists have indicated the lower portion of the Volga to be a relatively clean river and studies in the Volga delta by Moscow State University have come to the same tentative conclusion. This is in comparison to other similar river systems, for instance, to the lower Danube. It is very conceivable that many of the pollutants from the Volga system are sequestered in the reservoirs of the Volga cascade and further investigation of these potential pollution sources needs to be undertaken. On the Kura river system, the Azerbaijan authorities talk of gross pollution emanating from both Georgia and Armenia and threatening the water supply abstraction point for Baku, which lies on the main river below the junction of the Kura (draining from Georgia and Azerbaijan) and the Aras (draining from Turkey, Armenia and Iran). A limited study by USAID of the Mingechaur reservoir, a large irrigation impoundment on the Georgian-Azerbaijan boundary, showed the quality of the downstream water at the time of sampling (summer) to be relatively good. As part of its Transboundary Diagnostic Analysis of the Caspian Sea, the Caspian Environment Programme (CEP) reviewed the available historical water and sediment quality data from the Aras river system, but could not make any conclusive statements about the pollution load of the river because of the questionable reliability and coverage of the data, indicating further studies are perhaps required. The CEP undertook a limited survey of the sediments in the coastal zone of the Caspian during 2000 and 2001. The International Atomic Energy Authority’s Marine Environmental Laboratory in Monaco tested approximately 120 sediment samples for thirty contaminants, including pesticides and PCBs. This was the first basin wide survey undertaken since the break-up of the Soviet Union. The full findings are available on the CEP web-site (www.caspianenvironment.org) and are summarized below: - - The levels of many heavy metals (Aluminium, Cadmium, Chromium, Copper, Lead, Nickel, Silver and Zinc) are high in the Caucasus region and the south Caspian; this heavy metal signature is probably geographical in origin rather than industrial; Mercury is a contaminant of concern, especially around Baku, where a source of Mercury from industrial facilities in Sumgait has been identified. Two hots spots of Chromiun were identified, one near the mouth the Ural river in Kazakhstan and a second in 19 - the Kura delta, which could represent industrial or mining discharges. Lead levels are high near Sumgait and show a slight elevation in the mouth in the Ural. In general, the sediments in the Kazak and Russian sectors are remarkably unpolluted with heavy metals Baku Bay has high levels of HCH, Aldrin, PAHs, PCBs, Chlorane, total hydrocarbons, DDT, Lindane Endrin and Dieldrin in the sediments. The Kura River mouth has high levels of HCH, Aldrin, PAH, Chlorane, total hydrocarbons, DDT and HCB. The Kazak waters were the cleanest of organics, including total hydrocarbons The most worrying finding was the high levels of pesticides in the Caspian and the evidence of continued use of DDT, a compound that has been banned in the region for over twenty years. Ecotoxicology results undertaken by a Japanese consultant in a recent World Bank study confirmed these findings showing high pesticides levels present in the tissues of fish and the Caspian seal. High levels of total hydrocarbons were not, as had been predicted, recorded in the sediments throughout the coastal zone and nutrient loading was found to be an issue only in local areas, noticeably along the Iranian coast were there is a high population, little waste water treatment and intensive agriculture, especially rice. Baku Bay and the Absheron Peninsula and the city of Sumgait in Azerbaijan are some the most polluted parts of the Caspian coast. A study of Baku Bay funded by the Government of the Netherlands and executed by the consulting firm IWACO in 2000, following up on an early World Bank study, reported the water and and sediments of the Bay to be grossly polluted. It was estimated that the Bay receives up to 8,000 tonnes of petroleum hydrocarbons per year from a coastal oil field (Bibi-Heybat), two out-dated refineries and the municipal wastewaters. In addition, 40,000 cubic metres of untreated muncipal wastewaters are discharged into the Bay daily, representing a considerable health hazard. There have been numerous efforts by the international funding agencies and CEP to generate sufficient Government and state oil company interest to tackle some of these problems before and since the study, but as yet these efforts have been to no avail. Sumgait is an industrial city, close to Baku, which in Soviet times was a major producer Chlorine-Alkaline and which led to gross contamination of the environment by Mercury. It is estimated that mercury losses to the environment were at times as high as 1kg per ton of chlorine produced and the total loss during the production life was between 1.5-3 thousand tones. A World Bank mercury clean-up project, worth $8.3 million, has targeted one high priority site, out of 44 identified, for mercury clean-up; approximately 100-150 tonnes of mercury is estimated to have accumulated in the soil of the old factory site. This is the first step in a massive environmental clean-up, which needs to be undertaken by the Government of Azerbaijan. 3.2 Governance challenges specific to the Caspian The Caspian Sea has potentially immense oil and gas resources that could be either its saviour or its destroyer. In the late 19th early 20th century the Caspian and in particular Baku was an important center for the production of oil and its bi-products. Baku was the target of German armies during World War II but they failed to cut off one of Russia’s major oil supplies. Throughout the first half of the 20th century tremendous environmental damage was done by the industry to the Absheron peninsula and the coastal waters of Azerbaijan, but luckily development was limited on shore and the near shore, and as new more easily accessible oil fields were discovered Baku and the Caspian lost their importance. The Caspian resources were reappraised at the end of the 20th century, with the break up of the Soviet Union, and driven by technological advances in oil exploration and the increasing demand for and therefore price of oil. . Current estimates of the oil reserves of the Caspian are between 100-200 billion barrels, principally in the Kazakh and Azeri sectors. This represents tremendous wealth if it can be transported to the global market and if the countries can decide who owns it. In conjunction with the national oil companies all 20 of the major international oil companies are actively exploring the Caspian and busy constructing the infrastructure-the pipelines-necessary to export it to market. Caspian oil is never going to be cheap and constraints placed by politicians on the export routes are making it even more expensive. The oil companies see the Caspian as strategic rather than a mainstream development and therefore the revenues from the much heralded bounty may be some way off, or it may never come. The littoral states, probably aware of the past short falls of their own national oil companies, but, also possibly seeing potential revenue sources, have set environmental operating standards for the international oil companies at very high standards in the production sharing agreements; sometimes higher than those in national legislation and certainly higher than the national companies could meet at present. The Russian Federation is calling for zero discharge from all oil off-shore installations on a regional basis. However, no investment in the regulatory system required to make this enforce this measure is being made by the littoral states. The states also are voicing just concern about the potential impact of oil spills on the enclosed Caspian, but, similarly, barely, any effort is being made by the states to address the issue, and Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan are wholly reliant on the international oil companies to respond to an emergency event. On the other hand, the states are extremely keen to prosecute the international oil companies when it is claimed they are violating any regulations. It is reported that in Kazakhstan the coastal oblasts have levied fines worth $40 million on the international oil companies. Based these very mixed signals it does not appear that the states are taking their stewardship of the environment seriously and an atmosphere of short-termism, of plunder, still pervades. All the governments of the Caspian states are marked by strong executive powers and although they all now have democratically elected Presidents, they are at varying stages of democratization. Government accountability is for the most part weak in the region, with paternalistic central governments that do not feel a need to consult with or listen to their citizens. Lack transparency and abuse of power are common in the regional at national and local level, and are a consequence of the weak democratic process. The governments in the region are tightly focused on economic growth and revitalization and much less attention is being given to the environment protection, or even public health. Integration of environmental protection objectives into the overall development planning process is still a distant objective, although there are encouraging signs notably in Kazakhstan and Iran. Tensions exist between the states, notably between Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan and Iran and Azerbaijan over the sea-bed resources. Succession is a looming issue for Azerbaijan and perhaps Turkmenistan and the slow separation of church and secular state in Iran brings with it great instability. In the background of all this activity the main outstanding governance issue for the Caspian, impacting on oil development, pipelines, fisheries, shipping and the environment alike, is the lack of agreement on the legal status. Prior to its break-up the Soviet Union had agreements with Persia and later Iran on the commerce, shipping and fisheries, which allowed free navigation and free fishing except in the costal waters. In 1954 a line of frontier was established and fishing rights were reaffirmed. However, crucially there was no agreement on sea-bed resources. Until the legal status of the Caspian Sea is resolved by the five littoral states no regional agreements, even for those issues (environment and fisheries) that are completely de-linked from the legal status question can be signed. There are three main options for division of the sea-bed: - - Closed Basin: A twenty mile coastal zone in which the country has full sovereign rights, a further 20 mile exceptional economic zone with lesser sovereign rights, but including exploitation of all natural resources, and a middle zone of the Sea which belongs to the Commonwealth of Caspian States and is under their control and management. Open Sea, based on UN Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS): A twelve miles of territorial waters in which the coastal states has full sovereignty and 200 miles of exceptional economic zone were the states have 21 - lesser sovereign rights, but including exploitation of all natural resources. Transboundary Lake: The Caspian is divided into national sectors, formed by the median line and extension of the boundaries between states at the point they meet the Sea, in which the states have full sovereignty. Negotiations between the countries are on-going, but the present their stated positions are: - Russia, Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan support the transboundary lake option and bilateral agreements have been signed between Russia and Kazakhstan and Russia and Azerbaijan to that effect. Iran favours the closed basin option with a proposed a condominium approach, where all resources in the central zone are shared equally. Turkmenistan has requested the UN to adjudicate, but it is understood they favor the open sea option and with the position of the middle line being negotiated. It is still unclear how and when these negotiations will be resolved. A recent summit of the Caspian State Presidents in April 2002 failed to break the deadlock; however, political changes in one or more of the Caspian countries in the nearest future could help speed up the final decision. The governance of the Caspian is not helped by the continued isolation of Iran by the western powers, although in recent years relations with the EU and its member states have improved greatly along with the democratization of the country, the United States policy towards Iran is still one of isolation. In general, the environmental legislation of the Caspian states is well developed and has undergone and continues to undergo considerable transformation, however, there are still weaknesses including: legislation gaps, inconsistencies, misguided economic instruments and, above all, poor compliance. There is recognition amongst the G12 members of the advantage of harmonization of regulations, standards and increasingly along EU lines. Compliance with multilateral Environmental Agreements (MEAs) such as Aarhus, Espoo, CITES is often poor and more assistance needs to be given once the country has signed and ratified a specific agreement to insure compliance. Countries received GEF assistance in order to implement the Biodiversity and Climate Change Conventions and now also the Agreement on Persistent Organic Pollutants, but some other lesser agreements are not so well supported. The Ministries or Departments of Environment, with perhaps the exception of Iran, are catastrophically underfunded and their capacity to implement national legislation, ensuring compliance, is severely compromised, if it exists at all. Working with the authorities on the ground to ensure fair application of existing legislation is surely the next greatest challenge for the international community. However, the countries must demonstrate a true commitment to change the situation in return not just through new policy and legislation but also budgetary allocations. As in the Black Sea and the Aral Sea lack of clear jurisdiction is a major obstacle in the successful governance of water and environmental issues and a barrier to integration at the sectoral level. In all states responsibilities are distributed over a relatively large number Ministries and Institutions, for instance, in Turkmenistan environmental protection is the shared responsibility of: - Ministry of Nature Protection The State Fish Industry Committee Turkmen Geology National Hydrometeorology Committee, attached to the cabinet of Ministers Turkmenistan information standards center 22 - Ministry of Water Industry Civil Defense and Emergency Situations Department Sanitary and Epidemiological Inspection There are no national coordinating bodies for Caspian issues, although efforts are being made to establish them through the Caspian Environment Programme, and even within the larger Ministries inter-departmental rivalry can prevent smooth coordination. 3.3 Overview of where specific water and environment needs are being met by national, bilateral and international community In the Caspian’s governance vacuum, the Caspian Environmental Programme (CEP) is the only existing intergovernmental body that operates, although it has no legal entity and participation is voluntary. The CEP is a regional umbrella Programme agreed in 1995 and launched in 1998 by the littoral states and aided by the international agencies (approximately $16 million) in a desire to protect the Caspian Sea marine environment, as expressed in the Tehran (1991) and Astrakhan (1993) communiqués and the Almaty Declaration on Environmental Cooperation, signed in May 1994. The geographically coverage of the CEP is limited to the surface area of the sea itself and an inland 100km coastal zone. Its steering committee encompasses all Caspian states and the main supporting international agencies (WB, UNDP, UNEP and the EU) but excludes the other countries in the broader Caspian Sea basin, even as observers. The CEP Steering committee meets once a year and comprises high-level representatives from the countries, often the Minister of Environment or Natural Resources. The main CEP operational body, the Programme Coordinating Unit (PCU), managed by the Programme Coordinator, is currently located in Baku, Azerbaijan but is scheduled to transfer to Tehran, Islamic Republic of Iran in early 2003. The CEP has established ten regional thematic centers (Biodiversity; Water level Fluctuations; Fisheries; Legal, Economic and Regulatory instruments; Pollution Abatement and Control; Emergency Response; Pollution Monitoring; Integrated Coastal Area Management; Desertification; and Sustainable Human Development and Health) whose primary function was to assist in the development of the Transboundary Diagnostic Analyses (TDA). Following completion of the TD in 2002 the centres’ future is under review with the likely result will be that the centers will be replaced by Advisory Boards their number reduced. The International Partners have provided the financial support for the CEP’s management structure, including the salaries of the Programme Coordinator and key PCU staff, during its first four period. However, a prerequisite for further support will be that these management costs are met by the Caspian states. The Strategic Action programme (SAP), compiled by experts drawn from the region supported by international experts, outlines a ten year plan of action dived into two five year periods. Upon signing the countries will commit themselves to implement the activities in the first five years and endeavour to implement those in the second five years – this second group contains the wish list projects. The SAP will be revised every four years creating a rolling programme of activities. In developing the SAP the experts drew upon the TDA, the text of the Framework Convention and importantly in the first five years of activity, the draft National Caspian Action Plans (NCAPs). All five Caspian states are developing, independently or within existing planning frameworks, National Caspian Action Plans. These NCAPs are currently going through the endorsement processes of their respective governments and will be adopted within the next six months. The NCAPs reflect the national and regional (as given in the SAP) environmental priorities and have been subjected to consultation process at the national and regional levels involving all major stakeholders including the public. The countries are now considering proposals put forward by the CEP to establish permanent National Caspian Coordinating Units, analogous to Programme Coordinating Unit (PCU) at the regional level, to monitor and coordinate implementation of the NCAP. In addition, it has been suggested an inter-sectoral liaison committee be established comprising representative from the major stakeholders. 23 As part of its activities the CEP through the offices of UNEP has been supporting the development process of the Framework Convention for the Protection of the Marine Environment of the Caspian Sea and initiating discussions on some of the key protocols to the Convention (Biodiversity and Emergency Response). Intergovernmental discussions on the Framework Convention began in 1994, and at the seventh session in Tehran in July 2002 a final text, between Azerbaijan, Islamic Republic of Iran, Kazakhstan and Russia, was agreed and a date for signing was set for late January 2003. It is anticipated that at least four of the countries will sign and then perhaps go on to ratify the Convention. Turkmenistan is still considering whether to sign the document. Only until all five countries, including Turkmenistan, have signed and ratified the Convention will it enter in to force and a Commission and Secretariat be established. Until that time the CEP will remain as the regional management structure. The World Bank has been executing a $2 million project to identify and prepare environmental investment projects on the Caspian and through grant support small-scale investments projects up to $50,000. The number and type projects put forward as candidates for preparation by the Caspian states has been disappointing. No major pollution rehabilitation projects were put forward, although many exist, and there were a large number of projects targeted at supporting the sturgeon fisheries. Assistance is to be provided in the new GEF support project to the CEP to undertake a rapid land-based source assessment of the near basin and develop and priority hot-spot list in the hope to trigger more interest from the countries in tackling these problems. The GEF project worth $5-6 million is to be implemented by UNDP. It will also address the priority regional concerns biodiversity, invasive species (in conjunction with the IMO Global ballast management project) and persistent toxic substances identified in the SAP. There are numerous public participation and awareness projects and programmes in the Caspian region implemented by Tacis, UNDP, bilateral donors and international NGOs. One of the most targeted programmes is that of the NGO support group ISAR. Funded by USAID, ISAR has offices in three of the Caspian states, coordinates the Caspian NGO forum and holds workshops and seminars on key Caspian environmental issues. This is the only Caspian region project funded by USAID, although they do provide sporadic technical assistance to oil spill contingency planning. On the national level, the World Bank money is being accessed by Kazakhstan to prepare a Master Plan for the city of Atyrau in Kazakhstan; in Azerbaijan, as part of the Urgent Environmental Investment Portfolio, a new sturgeon hatchery is being constructed on the river Kura and a Mercury clean-up pilot project is being implemented in Sumgiat. Negotiations are also underway with the Ministry of Power in Iran for a loan to implement a basin plan for the river Pashakola in the south-east of the Caspian. Through their trust funds the World Bank provided regional support for the development of a mutual aid plan for oil spill preparedness (Norway) and an ecotoxicological study (Japan) of the Caspian seal, sturgeons and bony fish. Assistance to the countries in preparation of their National and Regional Oil spill contingency plans has come from numerous quarters including the IMO, UNDP, EBRD and the international oil companies; this assistance will continue beyond the planning stage and into implementation. The World Health Organisation (WHO) provided training to three Caspian states (Turkmenistan, Azerbaijan and Iran) on microbiological monitoring techniques for coastal recreational waters and associated quality assurance and quality control measures. Follow-on pilot projects were organized based in the three states over a fifteen month period on important recreational beaches. The WHO in collaboration with CEP endeavored to collect data on the public health of the coastal population in the Caspian, in particular incidence of water borne diseases, but unfortunately the local health authorities either had no information or were unwilling to release it. 24 In addition to CEP there are two inter-agency bodies functioning on the Caspian; the Bioresources Commission which sets quotas for fish and the Caspian seal and CASPCOM which is a loose affiliation of the countries Hydrometeorlogical and Meteorological Services. The Bioresources Commission is currently working with CITES FAO and EU- Tacis to agree a fisheries management plan for the Caspian Sea, in particular for the sturgeons, and in discussions towards establishment of a separate Fisheries Convention. Both Tacis and FAO are preparing new technical assistance support projects for the fisheries worth in total approximately $4 million. CASPCOM has been working with the World Meteorological Organisation for a number of years in the design of a programme of activities, known as CASPAS, to rehabilitate the hydrometeorological monitoring infrastructure of the Caspian states to improve short-term flooding and longer-term water level forecasts, and in some states also improve contaminant monitoring. The money required is considerable, first estimates of were $120 million, and the lack of suitable monitoring vessels is a major obstacle. Collaboration with oil and gas industry may be one of the only ways forward. As noted above, the geographical coverage of CEP is limited to the surface area of the sea and a narrow coastal strip; however, the programme does collaborate with a number of major projects in the contributory river basins of the Caspian, especially the Volga, Ural and Kura. On the Volga the Russian Federal Volga Revival programme, based in Nizhny Novgorod, has a comprehensive pollution discharge and hydrological database and has developed an ambitious action plan. However, funding of the programme, even though guaranteed by the central government, is limited. In the past it received support from Tacis, the German government and from UNESCO, through the UNESCO chair at Nizhny Novgorod Technical University. UNESCO is currently assisting the programme prepare a new vision for Volga-Caspian basin. A UNEP Volga-Caspian basin project that began in 1998 is still on-going and overlaps with the proposed UNESCO project. In the Volga and Ural deltas major GEF biodiversity projects focused on wetlands are due to begin implementation in 2003. On the Kura, a number of transboundary projects are being implemented or are in the planning process. Although the conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan has not yet been resolved, the two countries are willing to cooperate at the technical level in certain sectors and in particular in regards to the environment. USAID funded Water Management in the South Caucasus has had considerable success working with the hydrometeorlogical services of the three main Kura basin countries to improve transboundary water quantity measurements and developing sub-basin IRBM plans. The Tacis Joint River Management Project, which ends in 2003, has a pilot project on the river Kura to demonstrate implementation of UNECE guidelines on monitoring and assessment of transboundary waters. A list of known major projects in the Caspian basin is given in appendix II. 3.3 Overview of where specific water and environmental needs are not being met and suggestions for possible support measures The lack of a ratified regional agreement of the Caspian environment is likely to remain a hindrance to good governance of the sea for a considerable time, unless the political map of the region changes rapidly in the near future. Good work is being done and will continue to be done by UNEP to support the Convention process and if the if final text is signed in January we will have, if not a legal binding document, then a clear statement of intent which can be built upon. Development work on the protocols to the Convention must also continue and assistance will need to be sought from a host of different institutions including the EU, FAO, WHO, UNDP and IMO. The future of the CEP is relatively secure, although funding of the management structure has been given as a prerequisite for future funding by GEF and Tacis. 25 At the national level, there is an urgent need to form national coordination units (NCU) and through that body improve the inter-sectoral collaboration. The development of the National Caspian Action Plans (NCAP) and their endorsement will hopefully act as a spur the countries to create and support such bodies and a complimentary inter-sectoral liaison committee. The countries will need assistance in creating the NCUs and building the necessary capacity to enable them to function as execution bodies in their own right. Countries will also need support to implement their NCAPs, especially in capacity building, technical assistance and public participation areas. A major shortfall is the lack of knowledge regarding the impact of pollution loads on the Caspian. The land-based source assessment for the near basin planned will hopefully lead to development of a prioritized hot-spot list and the accelerated investment by the governments in reducing pollution of the Caspian. It has been assumed that many contaminants in the basin are sequestered in the major river impoundments before reaching the sea, but there is no data to support this view and some basic research is required. Closer collaboration with the major projects in the Volga and Kura basins is also required. The G12 Caspian states require assistance at the regional committee level to help ensure pollution control and abatement compliance. This is probably the most critical need. The authorities need to be shown ways and means of working with enterprises to reduce pollution loads and meet environmental objectives in a phased manner. A real commitment from the states to tackle the pollution problems and within the regulatory authorities a transparency in their dealings are required. Little is known about the public health of the Caspian coastal community and its linkage, if any, with water and environmental problems. A health atlas of the Caspian would be the first step in developing a public health programme for the Caspian peoples, identifying priority areas of concern and localities which could be addressed with a combination of concrete actions and public education campaigns. National public awareness campaigns to support the limited regional activities are sorely needed, starting with the regional government and the municipalities at the coast. Information needs to be provided in the native language in an accessible format. Possible activities include: Mayoral conferences, creation of coastal concern groups, development of school curriculum. In summary, the suggested projects for the Caspian include: - - Encourage water and environment policy coordination in the region through the implementation of the National Caspian Action Plans and creation of national coordinating units and inter-sectoral liaison committees. Undertake a comprehensive assessment of the pollution loads on the Caspian in particular from the major river basins of the Volga and Kura, and from these studies work develop a list of priority hot-spots. Improve the collaboration between CEP and management authorities and projects in the major river basins. Assist the states improve their compliance record with national and international legislation, in particular legislation relating to pollution control and abatement. Production of a public health atlas of the Caspian coastal zone and development and implementation of targeted action plans. Development and implementation of national public awareness campaigns targeted on Caspian issues. 26 4.0 Aral Sea 4.1 Water issues in Aral Basin 4.1.1 Geographical setting Located in the heart of Central Asia, the Aral Sea Basin (see map in appendix 1) covers an area of 2.2 million km2 and is home to 38 million people. The basin comprises the drainage area of two large rivers (the Amu Darya and Syr Darya), the Aral Sea and the Aral Sea’s natural surrounding region. The source of the Amu Darya is on the northern flank of the Pamir mountain range and the Syr Darya rises in the Tien Shan Mountains about 500km to the north. The rivers flow approximately 2500 km through the high mountain countries of Tajikistan and Kygyzstan down to the plains of Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan. The southern, larger river Amu Darya carries a flow of approximately 70-80 km3/year while in the Syr Darya the flow is about half this volume. The two rivers discharge into the Aral Sea in two separate deltas located in Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan. The Aral Sea was the fourth largest inland body of water, with a surface water area of 67,000km2,until the 1960s and the expansion of irrigation in the region. These two rivers are the life blood of Central Asia, providing much needed water for irrigation in the downstream countries where annual rainfall is as little as 100mm/yr. Currently 90% of the waters of the Amu Darya and Syr Darya rivers are used for irrigation. The Aral Sea used to receive up to 60 km3/year, it now only receives between 0 to 20 km3/year. The most heavily impacted region on the Aral Sea is Karakalpakstan in western Uzbekistan, which was the Amu Darya river delta. Currently, the Amu Darya does not reach the Aral due to excessive water withdrawals upstream. In 1990 the decline in water was so drastic that the northern section of the Aral Sea, Maloye More fed by the Syr Darya, split from the Bol’shoye More fed by the Amu Darya in the south. 4.1.2 Specific water and environmental issues The most pressing water issue is water management and allocation in this basin as a result of rapid agricultural development in the basin during the Soviet era. The increase in area of irrigated lands and development of cotton have resulted in dramatic reductions in the volume of water reaching the Aral Sea, whereby the size of the Aral Sea has shrunk to approximately 25 percent of it’s 1960 volume. The result has been: an increase in land and water salinization, poisoning what remains of the Aral Sea waters, collapse of economic viability for coastal fishing towns, decreases in human health in the near Aral zone from sedimentary dust laden with agro-chemicals, decline in human health conditions in the basin from contamination of the drinking water supplies by nutrients and agro-chemicals, a significant decrease in access to potable water, and loss of regional and global biodiversity. The deterioration of irrigation systems and water management infrastructure compounds the problem, with the loss of precious water resources due to inefficiency. The Central Asian states are in the depth of a socio-economic transition, which does not allow for large scale reduction of agricultural activity nor the massive investment required to modernize the irrigation practices. Additionally, the threat by upstream states to hold back water for hydro-electric power generation will impact upon the volumes of summer water available for irrigation and is a potential source of conflict between the up and down stream states. 27 During the Soviet era cotton became the main commodity for the Central Asian states. The expansion of cotton base agriculture in the 1950s involved massive irrigation projects schemes, drawing on the Amu Darya and Syr Darya, and almost doubling the area of irrigated lands to 7.9 million hectares. By the 1950s the Soviet Union was independent of cotton imports and the fate of the Aral Sea was sealed. The land itself is high salt and not suited for water intensive agriculture and salinization and high water tables are constant and critical problem. Almost 30% of all irrigated lands have medium to high salt levels with yields reduced 20 to 30%. The agro-chemicals have been used in great quantities, including DDT, BHC, methyl mercaptophos, octamethyl, butifos, milbex, hexachlorane (BHO), phosphamide (dimethoate), phosalone, lenacil, ronit (Ro-Neet), yalal (molinate), sodium TCA, chlorazone, and aldrin. These persistent organic substances find their way into rivers via the drainage canals polluting downstream waters and contaminating groundwaters. When the surface waters evaporate, either in fields or down stream in the Aral basin these chemicals are deposited in loose soils that contribute to toxic dust storms that sweep across the region. The environmental ramifications are significant with high human health and development costs in the region. Anemia, cancers and infectious diseases are prevalent among the indigenous population in the Aral region. The pressure from Moscow and from regional elites during the Soviet era to increase cotton production led to the massive expansion of cultivated lands which appears to be an intractable situation at present. In the post-Soviet era, cotton remains a major export commodity. The lack of centralized planning, and the need for states to pursue economic development has led each state to independently increase cotton production and thus water. Water use has continued to rise, as states seek to maintain economies based on the export of a non-sustainable product. In order to support to the irrigation in the region the Soviets constructed massive water management infrastructure projects. Dams were built upstream to conserve the water in the winter months that was needed in the cotton fields through the summer months. Canal systems were constructed to distribute and channel water from the rivers, and irrigation systems designed provide the crops with water when needed. The Kara Kum Canal stemming from the Amu Darya is the longest canal in the world. It extends more that 1300 km into Turkmenistan where it provides irrigation for over 850,000 hectares of croplands. These regionally integrated, massive infrastructure projects were maintained during the Soviet era through state subsidies. There were Soviet institutions in place to direct coordinated management of transboundary regional infrastructure projects, and water sharing practices. However, after this period, each state became responsible for its own portion of this integrated infrastructure. State autonomy led to a significant decrease in the resources devoted to maintaining the infrastructure, and the result has been a substantial deterioration of the water management capacity. Water seepages, leaks and diversions are commonplace, putting further stresses the on already diminished water resources of the Aral Sea basin. Since the collapse of the Soviet Union, water from upstream states is often horded by governments in need of hydropower energy, while crops in the down stream states wilt in the summer months. The lack of an enforced bartering trade agreement employed during the Soviet era is a main cause of this hording behavior. Originally upstream states held water in reservoirs during winter months in exchange for transfer of energy resources from the down stream states. The allowed water to be released to the cotton fields during key growing season, and energy for heating to be transferred to upstream states in the winter months. This exchange is no longer instituted following the collapse of the USSR, as the down stream states of Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan seek external markets for their energy resources. In response, Kyrgyz dams at the Toktogul reservoir on the Syr Darya are used for 28 hydro-electricity generation during frigid winter months to provide heat to Kyrgyz residents. Kyrgyz officials maintain that Uzbeks should either pay for water held in the reservoir, or exchange water for natural gas. While a similar situation is possible between on the Amu Darya between upstream Tajikistan and downstream Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan, it has not yet occurred because of civil war in Tajikistan. The major concern regarding dams on the Amu Darya is the disrepair threatening unregulated flow of spring water into the river basin. Poor pollution control in Tajikstan and Kyrgyzstan puts further pressure on the water management in downstream states. Contamination of downstream waters from municipal waste waters, food industry, agriculture and, most telling, mining activities are of concern for the water supplies and the general environment of the Aral Sea Basin. In Turkmenistan, the Kara Kum canal distributes the waters of the Aral Sea basin almost to the shores of the Caspian Sea, literally carrying the country’s lifeblood. When built the Kara Kum brought about huge socio-economic changes to a desert, nomadic society. This crucial artery is subject to pollution from agrochemicals, municipal wastes and industrial enterprises, and suffers high levels of leakage, whereby reducing efficiency and causing water logging of adjacent land and polluting groundwaters. Uzbekistan suffers from flow restrictions and pollution of its waters from the upstream states. It is the largest consumer of water in the basin as its economy and society the most reliant on agriculture. Agriculture is between 23% and 35% of GDP, and accounts for between 24% employment in Uzbekistan. Uzbekistan with Kazakhstan share the shoreline of the Aral Sea and therefore have suffered huge social-economic costs with the destruction of the Aral Sea and the decline in human health in the Aral surrounding area. These factors, combined with low GDPs and regional ethnic tensions have led to high levels of concern regarding the stability of the Central Asian region as a whole and the Aral Sea Basin in particular. International organizations have begun to address these complex problems, however, a workable solution remains elusive. The water management of the Aral Sea basin was strictly dictated by Moscow in the Soviet era, but, subsequently, the independent states are struggling to work collectively to address the problem while also addressing other immediate demands. 4.2 Governance challenges specific to the Aral The basic management capacities for water management at the national and regional level are remnants of the Soviet era. Though there were movements made during glasnost towards incorporating ecological sensitivity into water management schemes they were not in place long enough to come to fruition. Control over water in Central Asia is directly linked to political control and after the break-up the new Central Asian states maintained the institutional inertia that had dominated water management in the region for decades. As a result, the interests that are served by current water management practices hold a distorted political power throughout the region, as was the case under Soviet rule. Though some initial attempts have been made to reverse this, it is viewed that the political stability of the region is better served by allowing such systems to remain intact for now. Additionally, it is commonly accepted that the window of opportunity to shift this pattern of control was missed early in the transition period and hence the international community may have sacrificed the capacity for sustainable water management in exchange for short term regional stability. It should also be noted that Ministries with jurisdiction over water management issues are often staffed by persons with a scientific background and hold a belief that technological solutions can resolve all environmental problems. Thus they are not inclined towards innovative practices or 29 policies that would reduce regional strains on environmental resources. Though water problems may initially appear to be solvable to the outside observer, the internal politics of the states make this much more complicated. There is a basic lack of capacity endemic throughout the region with regards to implementation of coordinated, and sustainable water management practices, particularly in a transboundary context. Policies that are devised to improve conditions domestically often have negative regional impacts. In addition, the budgets of organizations charged with formulating and implementing policies are limited, as national governments struggle to provide basic services to populations. With the loss of support from the Soviet Union, the Aral Sea states have been accumulating debt, as exports of domestic products have fallen. The major export commodities are cotton and energy resources. Thus prioritization is given to sectors that have potential to earn income in the short term, even if it is at the expense of country, and region as a whole in the longer term. Despite these barriers, the governments of the Central Asian republics recognized that they were in need of international assistance and perhaps used the ecological catastrophe of the Aral Sea as a means for attracting international aid. Therefore, there have been movements by the states to develop institutions that focus on regional cooperation. The most notable of these is the Aral Sea Basin Programme (ASBP). The objectives of this organization were defined as (a) stabilizing the environment of the Aral Sea, (b) rehabilitating the disaster zone around the Sea, (c) improving the management of the international waters of the Basin and (d) building capacity of the regional institutions. The purpose was also to collectively adopt accepted principals of international water law, including the principal to use ones own water resources in such a manner as to not injure others also dependent upon these resources. However, excessive focus on water management as a singular issue, instead of an integrated social, political and economic challenge to the states in the region has hampered the effectiveness of these institutions. Recently, there has been a concerted effort on behalf of the international community to coordinate efforts more effectively, linking management with agricultural reforms, and energy efficiency. Despite these changes, the countries are still plagued with barriers to compliance. Managerial capacity declines as well educated, highly literate specialists receive training from international donors and move away from the region, leaving those in charge to continue the practices that were set during the Soviet era. Unfortunately, the Basin countries have failed to meet their obligations under the ASBP agreement and time frames have been stretched. This delay on the part of the countries have led many in the international community to question the commitment of the states to true cooperation. Nonetheless, the challenge of the Aral is one that international organizations are hesitant to surrender. The compliance problems related to successful cooperative water management in the region at the state level stem from a lack of overall sectoral and inter-sectoral coordination. Though one ministry may be charged with management of water for agriculture, another may be charged with water management for energy purposes and yet another ministry charged with water oversight for environmental purposes. Water quantity and quality issues are dealt with separately and the environment is separate again; problems are dealt with in isolation instead of an integrated, holistic manner. The institutionalized patronage system, which has its roots in the Tsarist and Soviet eras, remains systemic and is reinforced by low government salaries, and thus acts against sectoral cooperation at the state or regional level. However, because this corrupt system is so endemic, the 30 international community is hesitant to force its dismantling without a credible replacement. The seemingly fixed nature of these relationships limits the ability to bring about positive change at the sub national level. The dead of a transitional system with enhanced civil participation and civil society in natural resource management remains elusive. And democratization is limited in the region. There is little institutionalized transparency in the governments, elections rarely meet acceptable norms set by the international community, and the regional governments lack mechanisms for true civic participation. The absence of free and independent press, prosecution of journalists and strict control of information in the region limits democratization efforts. Without these basic elements of democracy, civil participation in water and environmental remains a fallacy. The government maintains control of NGOs with very strict monitoring and registration requirements and severe limits on political participation of these groups. The institutions and mechanisms for collective management need to be established to ensure that all consumers, including the Aral Sea and the environment of the Amu Darya and Syr Darya, are able to enjoy benefits. Though this ideal appeals to many in the international community, the domestic policy makers have not yet realized the benefits in cooperation. 4.3 Overview of where the water and environmental specific needs are being met by national, bilateral and international community In the Aral Basin, there was international attention from UNEP to the crisis prior to the collapse of the USSR, however, once the Soviet Union imploded and Moscow no longer controlled the region, UNEP withdrew their programme. But soon after other international organizations come to the region’s aid. The international community was eager to offer assistance under the condition that a regional cooperative agreement was initiated. The regional leaders, acutely aware of the need to attract aid, worked quickly to develop such an agreement, based largely on the existing Soviet era agreements of water management ministries. This agreement established the Interstate Water Management Commission, later referred to as the International Commission for Water Coordination (ICWC) made up of relevant water ministry officials. Though this applied Soviet era regional institutional structures to international cooperation, it was initially acceptable to the international aid community. This agreement and the subsequent international support to the Aral Basin states, led to a continuation of reliance of the region on external support for internal water management problems. This agreement did not significantly address sustainable use of the waters of the Aral basin and it lacked institutional mechanisms to allow for enforcement, monitoring or incentives for states to actively cooperate. Despite these institutional weaknesses, international aid organizations flocked to the region offering assistance and support. These included: The World Bank, Asian Development Bank, the EU, the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, UNDP and NATO. Bilateral aid organizations from the US, Germany, Israel, the Netherlands, Kuwait, Japan and Switzerland engaged the individual states and the region as a whole. NGOs including Mercy Corps International, Crosslinks International, Farmer-to-Farmer International, Medecins San Frontieres and Greenpeace became active in the region as well. In order to more effectively support the mission of the ICWC, with guidance from the World Bank, 31 the states created the International Fund for the Aral Sea (IFACs) and the Interstate Council for Aral Sea (ICAS) under the broader umbrella of the Aral Sea Basin Programme. This organization had multiple branches, including Interstate Commission for Socio-Economic Development and Scientific, Technical and Ecological Cooperation (ICSDSTEC), and the broader scoped International Council for Addressing the Aral Sea Crisis. The World Bank, UNEP, UNDP and European Union broadly supported this organization. The seven main themes of the programme were to: Develop a regional strategy for managing water resources and improvements in efficiency and sustainability of dams Rehabilitate hydrometeorological services and regional environmental information systems Manage water quality Restore wetlands and conduct environmental studies Improve clean water, sanitation and health Integrate land and water management in upper wetlands Automate controls of the two basin-wide agencies for water allocation The countries, under the advisement of the international community, later streamlined this largescale internationally funded organization. This streamlining was due to a lack of clear authority, duplication of efforts and overall difficulty in obtaining credible commitments from the states. IFAS and ICAS were consolidated into one organization, IFAS, which is accountable to the five heads of state of the region. In turn IFAS has a board made up of five Deputy Prime Ministers who oversee the ICWC, and it’s Scientific Information Center, the Executive Committee over the Deputy Chairman and GEF project manager, and the Sustainable Development Commission with it’s own Scientific Information Center. The World Bank, and European Union largely support this organization. The GEF support to regional activities, implemented by the World Bank, began in 1994 with a $500,000 preparatory assistance grant, with which initial work on the regional water strategy was undertaken. Out of this preparatory phase the Water and Environmental Management Project was borne. The project is worth $21million, including $4.1million contribution by the five basin states, and is supported by the governments of Netherlands and Sweden, and the European Union and GEF. It commenced in 1998 with duration of 4 to 5 years. The major components are: Water and Salt Management plans at the national and regional levels; water conservation pilot projects for agricultural users; Public Awareness Campaign to sensitize the public to the objectives of ASBP and induce behavioral changes; Dam and Reservoir management; Transboundary Water Monitoring; Wetlands Restoration of Lake Sudoche; and Project Management Support to IFAS. At the outset of this project it was assumed that a large-scale reduction of irrigated areas was neither politically or economically feasible, at least until other less costly alternatives have been exhausted. It is calculated that near full restoration of the Aral in a 100 year time- frame would require flow to the Aral to be restored to 45km3/year and demand for irrigation cut by 50%. This is deemed unrealistic and a target of 20% reduction to restore flows back to 20km3/year is being sought to restore the Aral to about a third of its original size and a salinity of 60g/l. The EU TACIS established in 1995 a programme to assist in water policy development issues, Water Resources Management and Agricultural Production in the Central Asian Republics (WARMAP) phases I and II. The project focused it’s attention on capacity building, legal assistance, development strategies for managing water resources, the creation of a management information systems and 32 improvement of water efficiency in agricultural sectors. The official terms of reference are “drafting of international (interstate) agreements on policies and strategies on water and land resources, their use, management, protection and apportionment; the drafting of national and intergovernmental legal and normative acts based on interstate agreements.”(Volume VI: Legal and Institutional Aspects, p. 2. TACIS). TACIS WARMAP assisted with reforming the water codes of the Aral Basin states to conform to international water law, and harmonizing domestic laws across borders. Finally, TACIS WARMAP seeks to address issues of overlapping jurisdiction among institutions and organizations regulating water management in the Aral Basin. In order to encourage regional cooperation among the states, the UNDP organized a conference on Sustainable Development in the region in 1995. The result was the “Nukus Declaration” in which the five regional presidents renewed their overall commitment to the Aral Sea Basin Programme. While the cooperation was largely symbolic in nature, it was viewed as a precursor to further international commitments in the region. However, it is suggested that this overt emphasis on regional cooperation has led states in the region to replace Moscow with the international organizations when it comes to direction in water management strategies. While this is problematic in terms of true autonomy for the states, it does allow involvement of the international community in one of the world’s most visible environmental catastrophes. In an attempt to join in this effort, many bilateral aid organizations have come forward to assist these efforts. Generally, this assistance is done in coordination with pre-existing programmes. The US government has made independent steps in the region through a US-AID programme. This programme focuses on water management as tied to energy. Independently of other international efforts, US-AID has held a series of workshops for regional leaders, with eventual agreements resulting from these. These agreements address payment for water through pricing policies and incentives. As a result, Kyrgyzstan has been continuing to horde water in order to exact a price for its release or a barter agreement for energy resource exchange. This project involves the very real concerns for energy and resource sharing for the region. However, it also counters the progress made by the Aral Sea Basin Programme. In addition to the above technical assistance projects, major investment projects in irrigation and drainage, worth at least $200 million are being advanced by the World Bank and other donors in Kazakhstan, Kyrgyz republic and Uzbekistan. A full listing of project of Aral Sea Basin projects is given in appendix II. In general these international and bilateral assistance programmes are well intended and attempt to address the plethora of problems facing water management in the region. However, there is obvious duplication of efforts, with state leaders bidding one organization off another in some cases and in others turning a blind eye to intersectoral competition for foreign assistance funds. The lack of coordination at the international level also wastes the support offered by the broader global community. As this occurs, agreements become less enforceable, especially when they are challenged by other agreements. This results in much lower levels of actual compliance than anticipated, since it is often not clear which agreement takes precedence and a lack of concrete action. Throwing money at the situation cannot solve the problems of water management. It is critical that compliance with coordinated agreements is emphasized in order to achieve the concrete results that are desperately needed. 4.4 Overview of specific needs not being met and suggestions for possible support activities 33 The limitations on effective water governance in the Aral Basin are not insurmountable, though they do present significant logistical and political challenges. At the regional level, there are also numerous challenges to effective water management compliance measures. These include: Centralized regional policy development, lacking intersectoral coordination and largely focused on short term needs. There is a clear need for adoption of an integrated approach at the regional level. Unclear, overlapping, and contradictory policies – though steps are being taken to address this, inconsistencies in policies makes compliance far more difficult. Sacrifice of environment for short term stability - despite initial intentions to improve environmental quality, many international and bilateral programmes in the region favor short term solutions in order to minimize potential for conflict, while long term sustainable management practices are not applied. By giving up the ideal of a fully restored Aral Sea, the question becomes: Is a much reduced, degraded Aral Sea worth saving? Lack of coordinated efforts of international community- failure of international community to work as a cohesive unit in the region has led to a redundancy of efforts of international community, with multiple mixed messages given to government officials and policy makers. Lack of incentives for compliance with effective environmental water managementunclear incentives for government officials and policy makers results in decreased likelihood of compliance. A review of the current body of agreements on water and environmental issues in the basin is required as well as a broadening of the regional management structure. The broadening of the mandate of the Interstate Committee for Sustainable Development from the Aral Sea to the whole of Central Asia in June 2000 in an effort to revitalize the body, demonstrated the low priority the Aral states give to this core principal. At the national level the problems include: Excessive dependence on a cotton monoculture for export, which leads to a decrease in political will to invest in alternate agricultural and income producing practices. Competition for government income, a declining or near static GNP and lack of alternate income sources and increasing demands for basic services leads to the pursuit and precedence of immediate term interests over long term sustainability. A steady decline in infrastructure and loss of maintenance budgets lower water use efficiency and lower crop yields, adding to every quickening downward spiral. Is this decline terminal and, if so, are the international community merely postponing the inevitable, thereby hindering, rather than assisting, the rehabilitation of the Aral? Estimates of the collective maintenance backlog to rehabilitate the irrigation and drainage infrastructure lie in the range of $10-20 billion, which can be only realistically mobilized, if at all, by the private sector. Patronage systems operating in government institutions decrease the willingness to cooperate sectorally and inter-sectorally to solve problems. Moribund institutions at the state and regional levels acceptance of status quo regarding environmental and water management - they lack adequate budgets, staff 34 and capacity, which, combined with the patronage system, result in entrenched practices and policies. Energy dependence on hydro-electricity and lack of reliable alternative sources of energy in upstream states, leads to hording of water in summer months and discharges in winter months, counter to agricultural needs. Abuse of power leads to a decline of institutional capacity of states to meet compliance and implementation demands of national and regional environmental problems. There is a real need to review the efforts made to date to meet the ASBP objectives in particular those aimed at rehabilitation of the Aral Sea itself. In setting the new reduced targets, is the international community ignoring one of the central environmental tenet of the last decade, that of sustainability, and accepting current short-term political and social realities at face? We know that the situation is environmentally unsustainable, but is it also, given the huge maintenance backlog, probably financially unsustainable. As stated earlier, the international community may have made the conscious decision that keeping existing systems in place was crucial in order to preserve regional stability and avoid conflict. Emphasis needs to be placed on coordination of water management and environmental policy coordination throughout the region. Consideration should also be given to a regional Convention for the Protection of the Aral Sea Basin under which the development of long term goals for water management and environmental protection can be agreed and a Strategic Action Programmes be initiated based. Assistance should be given to the countries to strengthen coordination of intersectoral policies and establish a national authority for basin issues and mechanisms for the inclusion of large numbers of stakeholders in the decision making process. Enhanced coordination of international programmes throughout the region is needed, with the international agencies and bilateral organizations taking more responsibility for coordination at headquarters level, rather than reliance on project staff and country offices. This will require an increased level of communication between organizations, with the establishment of regular face-toface meetings and a clearing-house for project material. Obviously further assistance should be given to reform the agricultural sector. In addition to the ongoing efforts in water efficiency, work should begin at looking and ways and means of reducing regions dependence on cotton and bringing about the large-scale reduction of water-use that would be so desirable. For example, investigating the diversification of crops and manufacture of value added products, and extended debt re-payments or possible debt for nature (or water) swaps to decrease amount of cultivated land in individual states. Assist the institutions comply with existing legislation, standards and regulations in water use and pollution discharges. Institutional capacity has to be built and the destructive patronage system broken and more innovative ways to assist the regulatory authorities need to be sought. The correct application of environmental instruments is one way of achieving compliance without reliance on the weak regulatory bodies. Conduct national and regional stakeholder analyses in order to properly identify gaps in knowledge and understanding, local, national and regional priorities, and identify specific sources of potential conflict in order to preemptively address this. 35 Further work needs to be done on sensitizing the public to the plight of the Aral and water usage. The efforts of GEF project need to be continued, especially in countries such as Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan where civil society is weakest. In summary, potential support activities include: - Review of the long-term strategy for the Aral Sea and within a legal context develop longterm environmental objectives Develop an integrated water and environment Strategic Action Programme for the Aral Basin, based on agreed long-term objectives and national Aral action plans Improved coordination between the international and bilateral agencies Develop proposals for the significant reduction of irrigated lands and water use. Assistance to countries to improve their records of compliance with water use and discharge licensing. Conduct national and regional stakeholder analyses to improve capacity focus. Develop country targeted public awareness campaigns. 36 Appendix I, Maps CASPIAN SEA 37 Map II 38 ARAL SEA 39 Appendix II LISTINGS OF MAJOR WATER AND ENVIRONMENTAL PROJECTS IN THE BLACK, CASPIAN AND ARAL BASINS 40 Regional Projects related to the Caspian Sea Title Conservation of Wetland Biodiversity in the Lower Volga Region Project Contact GEF/UNDP Russia Project life In PDF B. 2002 Budget $ 430,220 for PDF B. No figure for full project Kazakhstan Wetlands Conservation with the Ural River Component Project Conservation of Iranian Wetlands Project Tacis Phase III CEP Project TACIS Joint River Management Programme--TACIS GEF/UNDP Kazakhstan In PDF B 2002 No figure available GEF/UNDP Iran In PDFB. 2002 Tacis/Brussels Mid-2003 to 2005 Early spring 2001 (2 years) Full project around $ 6/7 m 4 million EUR 1 mln EUR (4 m EUR for all four basins) Regional Environment Center (EU-TACIS, USEPA) Nato Kirvalidze, tel/fax 966-956, 877-418-171; rec@caucasus.n et GEF/UNDP Iran Chartered 1999 In PDF A. 2002 Full project $ 650,000 GEF Small Grant Programme/UN DP Iran Under implementa tion $90,000 Yakhkesh Mountain Conservation Community based Conservation of Traditional Waterfowl Trapping practices Description Just starting PDF-B phase; to conserve region's wetland and provide for their sustainable use through strengthened planning and management capacity; improved adaptive local and regional water management practices; strengthened legal and regulatory base and enforcement capacity; development of alternative livelihood demonstration projects ; improved awareness and establishment of a sustainable financing mechanism. To conserve selected wetlands including Ural river component . PDF-B complete; Project Brief under consideration PDF-B nearing completion, Project Brief expected by end 2002. Aims at conservation and wise use of selected wetlands including Caspian connected Miankale. Overall objective is to support the prevention, control and reduction of adverse transboundary pollution impact caused by the quality of the four rivers selected for the project. The results will be used to recommend modifications to the UN/ECE Guidelines for monitoring and assessment of transboundary waters. Emphasis on capacity building and the development of regional environmental cooperation. Objectives include increasing information exchange between NGOs, governments, the scientific community and the private sector, developing compatible environmental policy and strategies among countries, and raising awareness about the environment. Includes a grants program. PDF A near completion. Project Brief expected by end 2002. Aims at safeguarding Yakhkesh Mountain ecosystem In the Caspian Province of Mazandaran NGO executed project in Mazandaran to protect Siberian Crane 41 including Siberian Crane Prevention of Transboundary Degradation in KuraAraz River Basin Integrated Environmental Management in the Volga -Caspian Region TEAP—TACIS Environmental Awareness Project GEF supported Enabling Projects in all five countries to develop Biodiversity Protection Strategies Caspian Environmental NGO Network USAID Water Management in the South Caucasus .Phase II Cooperative River Monitoring among Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia and the US— NATO Science for Peace Programme IMP and IS GEF/UNDP Azerbaijan PDF B in pipeline UNEP/CIP Russia 2002 $ 696,000 for PDF B. No figure available for the full project No figure available Full project will aim at improvement in the quality of water and in water managements mechanism to meet the short and long terms needs of the ecosystem and to improve quality of water inflow to the Caspian . Close to & 1.5 million for all five Projects assist the littoral countries to prepared National Biodiversity Reports and the National Biodiversity Protection Strategies. Project aims at development of a legal instrument s for protection of the Caspian Sea and for improvement in the aquatic ecosystem management completed GEF/CBD Convention Secretariat Various stages USAID 1998ongoing USAID/DAI 2003 National Academy of Sciences (Armenia), Tbilisi State University (Georgia), and Azerecolab (Azerbaijan) WMO 3 year project; June 2001 No figure available $ 6 million Promotion of the regional environmental collaboration in the Caspian area by information exchange (monthly bulletin “Caspian Environmental News”) and regional workshops on environmental topics. Phase I concluded in April 2001. Present phase aims at implementing activities pertaining to the management of transboundary water resources in the Kura- Araz River Basin Pre-proposal has been submitted to NATO. Purpose of demonstration project will establish approximately 90 monitoring stations for collection of limited data above and below major cities and farming, mining and industrial areas on the Kura and Araks Rivers and their major tributaries. This system will be developed cooperatively with scientists from Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia and the US, and with additional funding from the US DOE. Improved hydrological data collection monitoring in the Caspian littoral countries 42 Azerbaijan Urgent Environmental Investment Portfolio World Bank $ 20 million Strengthening environmental management ; soil clean up in selected areas and hatchery construction Regional Projects Related to Black Sea Title GEF Regional Control of eutrophication, hazardous substances and related measures for rehabilitating the Black Sea ecosystem GEF Investment Fund for Nutrient Reduction Contact UNDP Sema Acar, Black Sea secretariat, Istanbul Project life 2002 -2004 Budget $4.3 million Description Project component include: Support to secretariat; strategic studies of eutrophication process in the Black Sea; Sectoral and national nutrient reduction strategies; cost-benefit of application of nutrient reduction recommendations; small grants programme; economic instruments; fisheries support. World Bank, Piotr Krzyzanowski, Washington 2002 - 2008 $70 million Tacis BSEP support EU-Tacis, Black Sea secretariat, Istanbul 2002-2006 EURO 2.8 million NATO Scierntists for Peace Black Sea project Middle East Technical University Erdemli, Turkey GEF-WB, Tacis, WWF, UK, Denmark, Netherlands UNDP-GEF, Canada UNDP-GEF. ICPDR secretariat, Vienna 1998 - 2002 Investment fund to provide grant funding to nutrient reduction projects. Currently in the pipeline are the following: Ukraine integrated Coastal Zone Management, Hungary wastewater nutrient reduction; Turkey agricultural pollution control; Moldova Agricultural control; Russia Krasnodar Agricultural Pollution Reduction Project components include: Development of integrated monitoring and assessment programme; investigation of economic instruments for a regional environmental fund; updated pollution assessment report; public awareness campaign; and management assistance to the secretariat. Co-operation project between six major marine institutes in the Black Sea to explore and quantify the variability of the Black Sea ecosystem Black Sea/Asov ecological corridor projectt Dniper River basin project UNDP-GEF Strengthening the implementation capacities for nutrient $16.5 million Changes to agricultural practices; coastal protection, biodiversity protection 1999-2003 $7.3million 2002-2004 $5.35millio n Including a Transboundary Diagnostic Analysis, SAP, National plans and negotiations on a regional Convention Project components include: policy development for river basin and water resource management, reduction of nutrients and rehabilitation of wetlands; formulate proposals for economic instruments; public awareness campaign; and limited strategic studies 43 reduction and transboundary cooperation in the Danube Regional Projects Related to Aral Sea Title WARMAP, phase I and II Contact EU-Tacis Project life 1995-2000 Budget $7million Aral Sea Basin Programme; water and Environmental Management Project Transboundary River Basin Initiative Central Asia Environment and Energy Programme Regional Environmental Action Plan Syr Darya Control and Northern Aral Sea project Various irrigation and drainage projects World Bank, IFAS 1998-2003 $21million USAID, UNDP, US State Dept. USAID 2000 present 2000-2003 0.35million UNDP 2000-2001 0.35 Assessment of five priority environmental issues and development of strategic Action Programme World Bank and JICA Status unknown 100 World Bank On-going 1118 Rehabilitation of Syr Darya’s majopr hydraulic structures; strengthening of water resource management institutions; establishment of a sustainable fishery in the northern Aral. Rehabilitation of irrigation and drainage systems; promotion of farm privatization; and institutional strengthening 20million Description Project components include: WARMIS database; Hydrometeorological survey; cost/benefit analysis; interal water sharing agreements; itegrated land and water management in upper basin Project components: Water and salt management strategy; public awareness campaign on water conservation; dam safety and assessment and improvement; Transboundary water monitoring; wetlands restoration; Project management support to IFAS Satellite monitoring of snowmelt in upper catchment for improved long-tern forecasting of water resources. Framework for assistance to improvement of management of critical environmental resources 44