SECFTION 1 COSTS OF ELECTRIC POWER GENERATION IN 2007 In order to determine the costs involved in production of electric power that are assignable to corrosion, a several step process was used: First, the total cost of electricity to consumers was determined. This was taken as the sale price to consumers in 2007, and includes profits earned by the producers and distributors. The second step was to determine the fractions of the total cost that were due to the various electric power production, transmission and distribution activities. It was assumed that the fractions of total costs to consumers have the same proportions as costs incurred by utilities. The third step was to analyze the costs of each activity in depth to determine the fractions of the costs of each activity that are due to corrosion. This section covers the first two of the above steps. The third step is covered in later sections. Total Costs to Consumers for 2007 Calendar year 2007 was selected as the base year for this study. The total national costs to the consumer of generating, transmitting and distributing electric power were determined as described below. Total national electricity production data from the SEC annual report [1] for 2007 is also given in Table 1.1 below. Table 1.1. Total Sales of Electricity, 2007 KSA Sales of Electricity to Ultimate Customers (SAR) Total Sales of Electricity to Ultimate Consumers (kWh) Average Revenue per KWh (H/kWh) 20,979,452,000 169,780,321,000 12.3568 As shown in Table 1.1, the total cost of electricity to consumers in the Saudi Arabia in 2007 was approximately SAR 20.98 billion as reported in SEC 2007 annual report on page 63 [1]. Breakdown of Total Costs for 2007 Electricity sales by investor owned plus publicly owned utilities accounted for 100% of total electric sales. Since compiled cost data are available for the investor owned and publicly owned utilities, and since sales by these two utility groups represent most of the total sales of electricity, the data for these two utility groups were taken as being representative of the total. These are shown in Table 1.2 for 2007. Table 1.2 Breakdown of Compiled Utility Costs for Investor Owned Plus Publicly Owned Utilities for 2007 Category Total Percent Operational expenses 6,308,661,000 31.98 Maintenance expenses 6,760,312,000 34.27 Depreciation expenses 6,371,536,000 32.30 Other expenses 284,173,000 1.44 Total expenses 100 19,724,682,000 Applying the percentages of the cost categories of Table 1.2 to the total cost to consumers of electricity, Table 1.1, results in the costs to consumers by category for 2007 as follows: The first three categories in Table 1.3, operating, maintenance and depreciation expenses are considered to be the direct costs for electric power generation. These costs are all affected by corrosion, and are therefore analyzed in detail here. The “other expenses” in Table 1.3 cover costs for items such as amortization, taxes, gains and losses from property transactions, etc. These costs are believed to increase approximately proportionally to the direct costs of operation, maintenance, and depreciation, i.e., these indirect costs tends to increase if the direct costs increase, for example due to corrosion. For this reason, these indirect costs are considered to be essentially taxes on the direct costs that are affected by corrosion in the same way as the direct costs, and are distributed proportionally to those direct costs, with the results shown in Table 1.4. Table 1.3. Costs to consumers by major category, 2007 Category Total Percentages Operational expenses 6,709,981,466 31.98 Maintenance expenses 7,190,363,886 34.27 Depriciation expenses 6,776,856,209 32.30 Other expenses 302,250,440 1.44 Total expenses 20,979,452,000 100.00 Table 1.4. Adjusted Costs to Consumers, by Major Category in 2007 Category Total Adjusted Percentages Operational expenses 6,808,065,089 32.45 Maintenance expenses 7,295,469,533 34.77 Depreciation expenses 6,875,917,378 32.77 Total expenses 20,979,452,000 100.00 The total generation capacity of SEC power plants was 32,957MW in 2007. The contribution of different type of generation capacities and respective percentage contributions are summarized in Table 1.4-1. The major contribution of power generation is from gas turbines which accounted alone for 51.53% in year 2007. Table 1.4-1. Breakdown of power generation by generation type for 2007, [1]. Generation type Steam Gas Combined cycle Diesel Total Installed capacity (MW) Percentages 12,651 38.39 16,984 51.53 2,385 7.24 937 2.84 32,957 100.00 Breakdown of O&M Costs by Facility or Function To allow detailed analysis of operating, maintenance and depreciation costs, these costs need to be broken down by type of facility or function. The breakdowns for O&M costs from government reports are used, as shown in Table 1.5. Table 1.5. Adjusted Costs to Consumers, by Major Category in 2007 Generation type Percent* Cost Adjusted Percent** Steam power plants 38.39 5,144,655,422 29.15 Gas turbine plants 51.53 6,906,713,120 39.14 Diesel power plants 7.24 969,884,055 5.50 Combined cycle power plants 2.84 381,040,402 2.16 Nuclear power plants 0 0.00 Hydraulic power plants 0 0.00 Other power supply expenses 215,650,000 1.22 Transmission 313,224,000 1.78 Distribution 3,540,919,000 20.07 Others (Customer accounts, sales, administration, etc.) 174,105,000 0.99 Total 100.00 17,646,191,000 *This is based on total generation capacity for 2007 i.e. 32,957MW ** This is based on total cost of distribution, generation, transmission, fuel, and others Two adjustments were made to the data in Table 1.5: Essentially all of the “Other Power Supply Expenses” listed in Table 1.5 are due to purchased power. The type of generation involved in this purchased power is not indicated. It is assumed that electricity involved in power purchases was generated by the same fraction of modes as shown for the listed generation types, and the costs in “Other Power Supply Expenses” are distributed to the other generation modes in proportion to their listed value. The costs in the “Other” category are essentially a service charge applied to the costs of the direct functions, and will increase as the direct costs increase. Accordingly, the costs in the “Other” category were distributed to the direct generation, transmission and distribution functions in proportion to their listed value. The adjusted results are shown in Table 1.6. Table 1.6. Adjusted Costs to Consumers, by Major Category in 2007 Generation type Cost Percentages Steam power plants 5,279,525,754 29.92 Gas turbine plants 7,087,776,888 40.17 Diesel power plants 995,310,167 5.64 Combined cycle power plants 391,029,613 2.22 Nuclear power plants 0.00 Hydraulic power plants 0.00 Transmission 316,345,199 1.79 Distribution 3,576,203,379 20.27 Total 17,646,191,000 100.00 The above table shows the fractions of reported utility O&M costs for electricity generation, transmission and distribution for 2007. When these fractions are applied to the O&M costs from Table 1.4, O&M costs to consumers are developed, as shown in Table 1.7. The total O&M cost of about SAR 20.979 billion is broken down by type of facility or function. The largest fraction of 40.17% of the cost is attributed to gas turbine generation or approximately SAR 8.427 billion. The second largest fraction of the O&M cost is attributed to steam power plant generation at 29.92% or SAR 6.277 billion. Table 1.7. Operation and Maintenance Costs to Consumers in 2007 Broken Down by Type of Facility or Function. Generation type Cost Percentages Steam power plants 6,276,796,910 29.92 Gas turbine plants 8,426,615,976 40.17 Diesel power plants 1,183,318,365 5.64 Combined cycle power plants 464,892,791 2.22 Nuclear power plants 0.00 Hydraulic power plants 0.00 Transmission 376,100,935 1.79 Distribution 4,251,727,023 20.27 Total 20,979,452,000 100.00 SECTION 2 CORROSION COST ESTIMATES FOR FOSSIL FUEL BASED POWER GENERATION In this section, the cost due to corrosion related to fossil fuel based power plants will be calculated using the operation and maintenance costs and the costs due to lost production, if the data is available for the latter option. 2.1 Corrosion Costs due to Operation and Maintenance (O&M) Costs The total industry O&M cost to consumers for generating electricity by steam power for the year 2007 was SAR 6,276,796,910 as given in Table 1.7 above. This represented 29.92% of the total O&M cost of electricity to consumers for all generating, transmission, distribution and support facilities. In order to determine the sources of these steam power costs, including the fractions due to corrosion, the following approach has been used followed. O&M costs for major steam power plants in Saudi Arabia has to be evaluated in detail as per the questionnaire given in Appendix-A. This study will determine the total costs for the major operating and maintenance cost categories used by the Electricity and Cogeneration Regulatory Authority (ECRA) of Saudi Arabia. For each of these O&M costs, the fraction that was attributable to corrosion has to be determined. The total costs, and the corrosion fractions, as shown in Table A-1 in Appendix A will be determined once the data is made available. In order to complete the present corrosion cost estimation exercise, the percent of O&M costs attributed to corrosion was taken from the EPRI report [2, Table 5-1, P. F-34] for Duke Power stations as being a reasonable estimate for the nation as a whole. On this basis, the O&M cost to consumers due to corrosion for fossil fired steam power stations for 2007 was 0.042 x 6,276,796,910 = SAR263,625,470. 2.2 Corrosion Costs due to Loss of Production Costs Corrosion costs due to forced lost of production will be analyzed as per the procedure given in EPRI report [2], as given below: An attempt is being made by the project team to carry out a detailed analysis of the operating and outage records to determine the total number of hours of lost production in 2007 at largest steam power stations and also the fraction of these hours that were due to corrosion. The questionnaire prepared based on the guide lines provided in EPRI report [2, Table 8-1, Appendix-G, P. G-40] is included in Appendix A as Table A-2. As per the EPRI report [2, Table 8-1 in Appendix G] the lost production during the year was 10.4% of the total possible generation of 51,158,400 MWe-hr for the five stations which they considered for their analysis, and that the lost production due to corrosion was 3.6% (corrosion accounted for about 34.5% of the lost production). As per EPRI report [2], the cost of lost production due to having to generate electricity using more expensive methods was estimated using a typical value of $13/MWe-hr for the lowest heat rate stations, and $7/MWe-hr for medium heat rate stations, or an average of about $10/MWe-hr for the five largest Duke Power stations. In the present case the cost electricity generation of 55SAR/MWh is used. The outage percentage is taken as 10.4% and corrosion cost as 3.6% as mentioned above. This results in a total cost for lost production from all the steam power stations of SAR55 x 169,780,321 x 0.3891 x 0.104 = SAR377,871,911 due to all causes, and SAR55 x 169,780,321 x 0.3891 x 0.036 = SAR130,801,816 due to corrosion. Here the number 38.91% correspond to the generation contribution through steam power plants (Table 4-1 above). Hence the percent contribution of corrosion with respect to total steam power generation was found to be 34.615%. Table 2.1. Summary of Corrosion Costs to Consumers for Steam Power Item Total O&M Cost, Percent due to Cost due to (SAR) Corrosion, (%) Corrosion, (SAR) Total Fossil Steam 6,276,796,910 4.2 263,625,470 Power O&M Costs to Consumers Cost due to Lost 377,871,911 34.62 130,801,816 Production, at SAR55/MWe-hr Total Fossil Steam 6,654,668,821 5.93 394,427,286 Power O&M Costs to Consumers, Including Costs of Lost Production SECTION 3 SOURCES OF HIGH CORROSION COSTS The most significant sources of corrosion costs for fossil fuel fired steam power plants are identified in Table 5-1 of Appendix F. These sources are listed in Table 4-2 below, with the corrosion fractions of Appendix F applied to the industry as a whole. The most significant cost items from Tables 4-1 and 4-2 are discussed below. Table 4-2 Main Fossil (Coal) Steam Power O&M Corrosion Related Costs Activity Percent of Budget Percent Corrosion Percent Plants Corrosion Cost to Nation Reasons for Corrosion Costs Fossil Fuel 82.21 2 100 $1,934,303,125 The corrosion problems that can be caused by aggressive chemical species in coal require that cleaner, more expensive sources of fuel be used or that the coal be processed to remove impurities. Maintenance of Boiler Plant 5.22 30 100 $1,842,305,494 Corrosion of boiler tubes is a major cause of boiler plant maintenance. Corrosion of precipitators and FGD equipment are also major causes of high corrosion costs. Maintenance of Electric Plant 2.32 15 100 $409,401,221 Corrosion of items such as condenser and other heat exchanger tubes and of turbine blades leads to high costs. Maintenance Supervision and Engineering 1.62 15 100 $285,874,990 Maintenance supervision and engineering have to deal with the corrosion problems that occur in the plant, e.g., boiler tube corrosion. Steam Expenses 2.46 7.5 100 $217,053,234 Chemistry effort is required to control corrosion in the boiler and auxiliary systems. Maintenance of Structures 0.54 10 100 $63,527,776 Corrosion and corrosion prevention activities (e.g., maintenance of protective coatings) are important causes of costs regarding the maintenance of structures. Electric Expenses 1.53 3 100 $53,998,609 The corrosion costs in this category include costs for circulating water treatment chemicals that are used to reduce corrosion, increased costs of lubricants associated with their anti-corrosion properties, operating practices directed at minimizing corrosion. Misc. Steam Power Expense 1.98 2 100 $46,587,035 Corrosion costs in this category include the increased costs of transportation caused by corrosion, and the cost of R&D associated with corrosion. Maintenance of Miscellaneous Steam Plant 0.25 15 100 $44,116,511 Corrosion leads to problems, and the need for maintenance, of most mechanical and electrical equipment. Operations, Supervision and Engineering 1.8 2 100 $43,057,715 Operations, supervision and engineering have to deal with corrosion problems as they occur, which mainly are due to the aggressive chemicals in the coal. Total Enumerated Costs $4,940,225,710 Steam Power O&M Cost to Consumers: $117,644,029,000 4-3 Fuel Causes. The main cause of the high indirect corrosion costs associated with the use of crude oil as fuel is the potential for problems due to impurities in the crude oil such as sulfur and chlorine. These impurities can cause corrosion and similar problems in many areas of the power plant and to the environment. The presence of these aggressive species leads to many indirect corrosion costs, such as the use of crude oil from higher cost sources with lower impurity levels, preprocessing of crude oil to remove impurities, and use of cleanup equipment such as precipitators and flue gas desulfurization equipment. The aggressive species also add to direct corrosion costs of power plant equipment, as covered later under other items. Avoidable Costs. It appears that the only practical approaches for reducing the high corrosion costs associated with impurities in crude oil is to develop improved and less costly methods for cleaning the crude oil, or to utilize alternate ways of burning crude oil that make dealing with the impurities less costly. Maintenance of Boiler Plant Causes. There are two main causes of high corrosion costs associated with maintenance of the boiler plant. The first cause is costs associated with the aggressive nature of the chemicals in the crude oil. These aggressive species lead to corrosion of boiler tubes, precipitators, flue gas desulfurization equipment, and ash handling equipment. The second main cause of high corrosion costs is associated with water/steam side corrosion, which affects boiler tubes, turbines, condensers, piping and heat exchangers. Avoidable Costs. It appears that the high corrosion costs associated with crude oil could be reduced by one or the other or a combination of several possible routes: selection of more corrosion resistant materials, control of plant conditions to reduce the aggressiveness of the conditions (e.g., temperatures and water chemistry), and preprocessing or pre-treatment of the crude oil to reduce the rate of ingress and concentration of aggressive chemicals. Some of the high costs associated with water/steam side corrosion are potentially avoidable by improved water chemistry and material selection. Lost Production Causes. A main cause of the high corrosion costs associated with lost production are outages associated with boiler tube failures. Corrosion of other equipment, such as flue gas desulfurization equipment, is also important. Avoidable Costs. It appears that continued improvements in selection of materials for boiler tubes, development of remedial approaches such as use of weld overlays and changes in burner design, and control of water chemistry, have the potential for significantly reducing the costs of lost production. REFERENCES 1. Annual report Saudi Electricity Company, Riyadh, 2007. 2. Cost of Corrosion in Electric Power Sector, Final Report-1004662, October 2001, EPRI 3412 Hillview Avenue, Palo Alto, California 94304, PO Box 10412, Palo Alto, California 94303 • USA, askepri@epri.com, www.epri.com Keywords Corrosion Economics Costs Electric power generation Transmission Distribution Sixteen cost categories are defined in Part 101 (Reference #3) for the fossil stations, of which fourteen apply to major utilities. This list and the specific definitions are well covered in Chapter 3 and are not discussed in this Chapter. In addition to the information on the fourteen cost categories, other financial and general information is available, most of which is typically construction related information. Some of this information is included in Table 5-1 for the coal burning fossil stations and in Table 5-2 for the natural gas burning fossil stations. These additional cost categories or general information categories include: 1. Type of Plant 2. Construction start date 3. Construction end date 4. Installed MW-e capacity 5. Time connected to grid 6. Average number of employees 7. Net Generation – MW-hrs 8. Land and land rights cost 9. Cost of structures and improvements 10. Equipment costs 11. Roads, Railroads and bridges 12. Cost per kW-e installed 13. Primary fuel type 14. Total annual expenses per net kW-hr 15. Average heat rate Fossil, Hydro and Gas Turbine O&M Costs In addition to these additional categories, several categories of general information or financial information were added in Table 5-1 and Table 5-2 as calculated values. These calculated values used information reported in the FERC data (Reference #2) to develop other information categories of interest. These calculated value categories are: 1. Fuel expense per net KW-hr 2. Fuel expense as percent of total production expenses 3. Unit utilization percentage (hours connected to grid versus total hours) 4. Maximum annual power possible in MW-hrs (based on name plate rating) 5. Capacity factor in percent Eight separate stations are listed in Table 5-1 as predominately coal burning stations while six separate stations are listed in Table 5-2 as predominately natural gas burning stations. The 1998 FERC report for Duke Power Company included data on 21 separate hydro stations, which are listed in Table 5-3. Two of the 21 hydro stations are operated as pumped storage sites. As discussed in Chapter 2, the hydro stations have a separate set of definitions designed to better report their operating parameters. 13 cost categories are discussed in Chapter 3, of which 11 apply to the Duke Power hydro stations since Duke Power is defined as a major utility. Table 5-3 lists the financial data for each of these 21 hydro stations for each of the 11 applicable cost categories defined in Part 101 (Reference #3). These 11 cost categories are listed under production expenses in Table 5-3. As with the fossil station FERC data, additional financial and general information was listed for the hydro stations. The information selected for inclusion in Table 5-3 was: 1. Type of Plant 2. Construction start date 3. Construction end date 4. Installed MW-e capacity 5. Time connected to grid 6. Average number of employees 7. Net Generation – MW-hrs 8. Land and land rights cost 9. Cost of structures and improvements Fossil, Hydro and Gas Turbine O&M Costs 10. Cost of reservoirs, dams and waterways 11. Equipment costs 12. Roads, Railroads and bridges 13. Cost per KW-e installed 14. Primary fuel type 15. Total annual expenses per net KW-hr In addition to these categories for the hydro stations, calculated value lines of general information or financial information were added in Table 5-3. These calculated values used information reported in the FERC data (Reference #2) to develop other information categories of interest. These calculated value categories are: 1. Unit utilization (time connected to the grid) 2. Max possible power generation (MW-hrs) 3. Capacity Factor, % 4. Pumped Storage Efficiency (for the two pumped storage units) Since the cost categories are well defined in Part 101 (Reference #3) as discussed in Chapter #2, and highly regulated by the FERC, the information listed in the FERC Form No. 1 data (Reference #2) should be considered accurate with low uncertainty. Compared to the uncertainty of the percentage corrosion related evaluations completed in this report, the uncertainty associated with the financial data from the FERC reports should be minimal. The comparison of the Duke Power information should be directly applicable to the rest of the utilities in the United States if other design, operational and maintenance differences are identified and addressed. These differences could include but should not be limited to differences in fuel type or quality, differences in condenser cooling water sources, original design of the stations, proximity to fuel sources, age of the stations, significant capital upgrades for older stations, number of maintenance employees for upkeep of site, political influences, etc. Some of these differences are measurable with known, quantifiable adjustment methods while other differences are more subjective and difficult to analyze. Cost of financing (ability to borrow money) can also be a factor in the cost of operating a power generation station. APPLICATION OF DEFINITIONS AND EVALUATIONS TO DUKE POWER EXPENSES For the overall application of the Duke Power corrosion related O&M expenses to the remainder of the Power Generation Industry for 1998, three key inputs are needed to complete the evaluation and provide reasonable assurance that the uncertainty of the extrapolation effort is minimized. The three key inputs are: 1. Well defined industry cost categories 2. Reliable and detailed O&M cost data gathered by the cost categories for Duke Power and for the Industry 3. Completed evaluations of the impact of corrosion on the Duke Power O&M budgets With the industry cost categories discussed in Chapter 2, the O&M cost data from FERC Form No. 1 Reports addressed in Chapter 3 and the evaluations of percent corrosion related completed in Chapter 4, the only step remaining in the process is to complete the applications of the definitions and evaluations into a roll up process. This roll up process is completed in this chapter and documented in Tables 5-1, 5-2 and 5-3 as previously discussed. The percent avoidable values and the percent uncertainty values are based on engineering judgment of the SME’s interviewed in the completion of this report. Fossil Power Generation Results – Natural Gas Stations Table 5-2 includes the roll up information for the six fossil stations that use natural gas as the predominant fuel source. These six stations include: 1. Lee Steam Station 2. Dan River Steam Station 3. Buck Steam Station 4. Riverbend Steam Station 5. Buzzard Roost Combustion Turbine Station 6. Lincoln Combustion Turbine Station Four of these combustion turbine stations share sites with the coal burning stations by the same name. The generic site O&M expenses have been distributed accordingly to the two categories as required by FERC data reporting guidelines. Fossil, Hydro and Gas Turbine O&M Costs As seen in Table 5-2, the predominant cost category in the overall O&M budget is fuel at 83.0% of the overall budget. The predominate cost category for impact of corrosion on the O&M budget is also fuel at 2.0 %corrosion related but representing 49.8 % of the overall total for corrosion related cost categories. The other significant cost category impacting the percent corrosion related is Maintenance of electric plant at 35.8 %. Based on the roll up data presented in Table 52, of the overall 1998 Department O&M Budget of $37,159,000 reported for the six combustion turbine stations in this station grouping, $1,239,000 or 3.3 %is evaluated to be corrosion related. Of this amount, $78,000 or 6.3 % is considered avoidable. This represents 0.21 % of the total station budget. The predominate factor in the overall station budget for this station grouping is the cost of fuel which ranges from a high of 88.9 %at the Lincoln Combustion Station to a low of 49.5 % at the Lee Combustion Station. The system average is 83.0 %, which is heavily influenced by the newest and largest combustion turbine site, Lincoln.