Avon Products Inc. Business Strategy To: XXX From: Petra Mertusova Subject: XXX Date: September 5, 2010 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. Table of contents TABLE OF CONTENTS ....................................................................................................................... 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY .................................................................................................................... 3 COMPANY DESCRIPTION................................................................................................................. 4 VISION .................................................................................................................................................. 5 MISSION ................................................................................................................................................ 5 GOALS .................................................................................................................................................. 6 KEYS TO SUCCESS ................................................................................................................................. 6 PRODUCTS AND SERVICES ..................................................................................................................... 7 ORGANIZATIONAL STRUCTURE / MANAGEMENT................................................................................... 8 BUSINESS LOCATIONS ......................................................................................................................... 11 FINANCIAL STATUS ............................................................................................................................. 12 STRATEGIC FOCUS AND PLAN 2010 - 2014 ................................................................................ 12 OBJECTIVES ........................................................................................................................................ 12 PROJECTS AND STRATEGIES ................................................................................................................ 13 Pricing Strategy ............................................................................................................................. 15 INDUSTRY ANALYSIS ...................................................................................................................... 16 DESCRIPTION OF THE INDUSTRY ......................................................................................................... 16 MARKET ANALYSIS ............................................................................................................................. 17 United States .................................................................................................................................. 17 Europe ............................................................................................................................................ 17 Russia ............................................................................................................................................. 18 China .............................................................................................................................................. 19 COMPETITIVE ANALYSIS .............................................................................................................. 20 ENVIRONMENT ................................................................................................................................. 20 STRATEGIC POSITION AND RISK ASSESSMENT..................................................................... 22 STRATEGIC POSITION .......................................................................................................................... 22 OUR Mission .................................................................................................................................. 22 OUR Vision .................................................................................................................................... 22 Target Market ................................................................................................................................ 22 Prices ............................................................................................................................................. 22 Quality............................................................................................................................................ 23 Market shares ................................................................................................................................. 23 Environment ................................................................................................................................... 23 SWOT ANALYSIS ............................................................................................................................... 24 Internal focus ................................................................................................................................. 24 Strengths .................................................................................................................................................... 24 Weaknesses ................................................................................................................................................ 24 External focus ................................................................................................................................ 24 Opportunities.............................................................................................................................................. 24 Threats ....................................................................................................................................................... 25 4P’S OF MARKETING ....................................................................................................................... 25 FOUR P’S OF MARKETING ................................................................................................................... 25 Product ........................................................................................................................................... 25 Price ............................................................................................................................................... 25 1 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. Distribution & Marketing Program (Promotion)........................................................................... 26 MANAGEMENT AND ORGANIZATION ....................................................................................... 27 CODE OF ETHIC ................................................................................................................................ 27 FINANCIAL PLAN.............................................................................................................................. 28 GENERAL ASSUMPTIONS ..................................................................................................................... 28 INCOME STATEMENT ........................................................................................................................... 28 BALANCE SHEET ................................................................................................................................. 29 STATEMENT OF THE CASH FLOW ......................................................................................................... 30 PROFIT ANALYSIS AND FORECAST ....................................................................................................... 32 OPERATING PROFIT ESTIMATION FOR FINANCIAL YEARS 2010, 2011, 2012 ......................................... 33 ESTIMATION OF TOTAL REVENUE FOR FINANCIAL YEARS 2010, 2011, 2012 ........................................ 33 ESTIMATION OF COST OF GOOD SOLD & SELLING, GENERAL AND ADMINISTRATIVE EXPENSES & ....... 34 Operation profit ............................................................................................................................. 34 ESTIMATION OF OTHER EXPENSES PLUS COMPUTATION OF TOTAL PROFIT ........................................... 36 SUM UP ................................................................................................................................................. 37 APPENDIX ........................................................................................................................................... 41 REFERENCE LIST ............................................................................................................................. 46 2 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. Executive summary Avon Products Inc., one of the largest worldwide cosmetic companies, went through different challenges in the last decade; from prohibition of direct selling in China, to big worldwide recession, to trying to be better than competition. Avon has prestigious position on the cosmetic market for more than 120 years, which the management and all stakeholders have been building with bringing innovations, technology updating, educating employees and obeying trends, ethical rules and pro-environment behavior. Avon is one of the companies that fight with the recession with minimum loses – its value of shares is still increasing. Even if the Avon is successful company, top management realizes that they always have to come up with news to stay the prestigious worldwide company. Therefore new objectives for the company are to reach the new target market and always spread within the world. By reaching the objectives Avon fully follows its mission and vision, according which they were, are and will be the successful company. 3 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. Company Description Avon Products, Inc. is cosmetic World Wide Company of which history is counted from 1886. Till now, our company operates in more then 100 countries where take care more than 42,000 customers around the world. (About Avon, 2009). Andrea Jung pointed out: “Our primary distribution channel is direct selling by our more then 5,8 million Avon Sales Representatives.” (About Avon, 2009). (Avon Annual Report 2009, 2010) 4 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. Vision Our vision is “be the company that best understands and satisfies the product, service and self-fulfillment needs of women – globally.” (The Avon vision, 2009). Mission Our mission is divided into 6 main parts: 1. Reaching the market – to be a global beauty leader: “We will build a unique portfolio of beauty and related brands, striving to surpass our competitors in quality, innovation, and value, and elevating our image to become the world’s most trusted beauty company.” (The Avon mission, 2009). 2. Considering on the customer relationship: “We will become the shopping destination for women, providing a personal, high-touch experience that helps create lifelong customer relatio006Eships.” (The Avon mission, 2009). 3. Selling strategy: “We will expand our presence in direct selling, empowering women to achieve economic independence by offering them a superior earnings opportunity as well as recognition, service and support, making it easy and rewarding to be affiliated with Avon.“ (The Avon mission, 2009). 4. Working environment: “We will be known for our leadership edge, including our passion for high standards, our respect for diversity, and our commitment to create exceptional opportunities for professional growth so that associates can fulfill their highest potential.” (The Avon mission, 2009). . 5. Philanthropic interests that help disease-ridden women worldwide: “We will be a committed global champion for the health and well-being of women through philanthropic efforts, with a special focus on breast cancer, domestic violence and women’s empowerment.” (The Avon mission, 2009). 6. To Become “the most admired company: We will deliver superior returns to our shareholders by tirelessly pursuing new growth opportunities while maintaining our commitment to be a socially responsible, ethical company that is watched and emulated as a model of success.“ (The Avon mission, 2009). 5 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. Goals The goals of Avon are strictly contiguous with the individual mission parts. However according to the business plan the mission should be little bit reworked and strength their key parts to fulfill the stated objectives – mainly the first and fifth parts which are to be a global beauty leader with considering on the new target market and to be a company considering on the developing pro-environment products. Keys to success The main keys to success are: to follow product quality management system to follow Code of Business Conduct and Ethics to extend and empower “Green Behavior” (Environment, 2009). (Avon Annual Report 2009, 2010) no animal testing to satisfy customer needs and requirements extend Worldwide face to face selling (direct sales) “Taking Aggressive Cost Actions” (Avon Annual Report 2009, 2010) Philanthropy involvement 6 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. Products and Services Avon Products, Inc. has split the products into three main categories: (About Avon, 2009). (Online Avon Katalog, 2010) 7 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. Organizational Structure / Management Board of Directors Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Andrea Jung Former Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Granite Broadcasting Corporation W. Don Cornwell Former Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer, Tambrands, Inc. Edward T. Fogarty Former Chief Financial Officer, Gilt Group, Inc. V. Ann Hailey Former Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Schering-Plough Corporation Fred Hassan 8 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. Chief Executive Officer, GenSpring Family Offices Maria Elena Lagomasino Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Time Inc Ann A. Moore Advisory Partner, Clayton, Dubilier and Rice, Inc. Paul S. Pressler Chief Executive Officer, ConAgra Foods, Inc. Gary M. Rodkin Chairman, The Stern Group, Inc. Paula Stern, Ph.D. Managing Director, Yankee Hill Capital Management LLC 9 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. Lawrence A. Weinbach (Avon Annual Report 2009,2010) Board and Committees (Avon Annual Report 2009,2010) 10 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. Business Locations Avon Products, Inc. headquartered is based on: 1345 Ave of the Americas, New York, NY 10105+0302, United States. (Avon markets, 2009). Besides, our company is operating over the main six geographic regions: North America (dark blue colour) Latin America (violet colour) Central and Eastern Europe (light blue colour) China (red colour) Asia Pacific (orange colour) Western Europe Middle East and Africa (green colour) Geographical Map: (Avon markets, 2009). 11 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. Financial Status Based on the below attached financial consolidated statement from 2009 Annual Report, our company is proving its success as not only Total Assets are increasing year by year, but also Total shareholder’s equity increased from 2007 up to 2009 while total debt decreased in 2009 comparing to 2008, slightly increased in 2008 and flowingly decreased in 2007, 2006 and 2005. Total Revenue was increasing since 2005 till 2008 while in 2009 decreased by $307.3 mill. (Avon Annual Report 2009, 2010) All numbers in the enclosed financial consolidated statement are in Dollars in millions, except per share data. (Avon Annual Report 2009, 2010) Strategic Focus and Plan 2010 - 2014 Objectives The business plan is going to describe the directions and propose steps for the company as a whole, including top management and shareholders to achieve following objectives: Change the worldwide reputation of the Avon Company Reach the new target market - lower class customers Achieve the competitive advantage within chosen products Stabilize the position of social responsible company – protect environment 12 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. Projects and Strategies The company’s product portfolio is dividing to three categories, as was mentioned above those are beauty, fashion and home. Each category has its customers however according to the last surveys the sales within the beauty products increased for about 17%. (Avon products (AVP), 2010). Therefore this segment became the most important to compare it with the others. On the other side, there should be movement also within the other segments for reaching the stated objectives. Company has huge portfolio, and are spending huge amount of money for research and development of those products. For stabilizing the reputation of the social responsible company, the products contain the highest quality ingredients. However, consumers usually certain on the prestigious brands, that have long time history and good name on the market. Therefore for achieving the new target market – lower class, the product strategy is proposed as follow. First of all there should be chosen one exact product from each segment through which it would be possible to attract the new target market. - First Segment - beauty includes all possible cosmetic products from make up, through nail cosmetic, to hair and body cosmetic products. Avon has already developed the strategy of using qualitative and quite expansive products for women upper 40 years, however also younger generation likes to use prestigious brands. Therefore the company should concentrate on the product for the women ages 25 to 40 who prefer qualitative but price accessible products. Here helps the cooperation with celebrities and reputable people, who recommend the products. Avon is cooperating with the celebrities to propagate their philanthropy programs; however the reputation would increase the advertisements assigned especially for the usage of individual beauty cosmetics. - Second segment – fashion includes accessories as well as jewelries and watches. Within this part of industry the competition is huge mainly by prestigious brands. Therefore the strategy for increasing the revenue within this segment should be to cooperate with those brands. Avon has already had the experience with the cooperation with the other brands. In 2010 Avon bought the Slipada company that is making and direct selling jewelries. This was good step as it can increase the revenue for fashion segment as it creates $1,77 billion of its $10,38 billion revenue. (Avon 13 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. buys Slipada for $ 650 million, 2010). It is not needed to buy the company, as it was within the Slipada, but make a cooperation agreement within which the profit will be shared (all depends on the contract). This step can help not only to Avon Company, but also to the mentioned brands as well. The reason is that the Avon is worldwide known as social responsible company, that offer products produced from high quality material that save environment and are using the high tech solutions, however developed by the environment saving techniques. By this step the reputation of Avon will attract also lower class as they realize that even qualitative products that save environment are reachable for them. - Last segment - the decorative products, for home is the weakest segment of the Avon product portfolio. Therefore within this business strategy, the proposal is take this segment as additional and not to spend special effort for these products. It can be re-evaluate after the successful applying all mentioned steps, then Avon can concern on this segment. (Avon products (AVP.) As can be seen on the graph above, the main revenue comes from the beauty segment which makes all in all 72% of all sales worldwide. (Avon products (AVP.) Within the product strategy it is needed to continue with the social responsible approach. The company is using principles for saving the environment in following ways: „reducing our global environmental footprint, including the issue of climate change, by recycling, reducing waste, conserving energy and water, and monitoring and reducing greenhouse gas emissions. New Avon facilities are 14 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. developed using green building standards, and we are proud of recent LEED, BREEAM.“ (Environment, 2009). Another stage for the product strategy is to point out on the regional differences. As the business plan is worldwide the same product strategy will be used for every continent. However there have to be signed specification according to different consumption within countries. For the first quarter of the FY 2010 the Avon faced following changes within their sales in the individual regions: “2% sales decline in North America, a 22% sales increase in Latin America, a 31% sales decrease in China, a 28% sales increase in Eastern Europe, and a 23% sales increase in Western Europe and Africa. “(Avon products (AVP), n.d.). Therefore for planning the product strategy the company can use the lessons learned from previous experiences and focus mainly on the countries, where customers react on the brand in positive way. With the new consideration only on the few products, that will attract the lower class, the company should focus on regions as Latin America, Eastern Europe, Western Europe, Africa and China. The reason is also because of the purchasing power of the inhabitants within these regions. Therefore for these regions, the product strategy will be to attract new target market by products and prices which are capturing the attention of potential customers. Pricing Strategy Based on the analyst statement, pricing strategy of Avon is very attractive due to the fact that it is “attracting beauty consumers who are looking to keep a close eye on their spending.” (Guy Montague, October 8, 2008). 15 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. Industry analysis Description of the Industry Avon’s products belong to the group of personal care products. This market is basically divided into four major sub-sectors. Among first sub-sector belong face care products, which are very important as “the beauty of a person is described by the look of one’s face.” (Personal Care Industry Overview, 2009). (Personal Care Industry Overview, 2009). The secret is not within the make-up and covering the deficiencies, but within the taking care about the skin. Therefore this sub-sector includes mainly soaps, face creams and other products helping to have healthy skin of the face. The second subsector is Hand and foot care products, this segment is growing up every year, and therefore cosmetic companies put severity to this part of the industry. The third subsector is hair care products, which is the segment with largest jump from the period when the conditioners were developed. The last but not least is the cosmetic subsector, which includes products such as eye makeup products, face makeup, and lip makeup products. With globalization this sub-sector growth to enormous amount, because of “strong macroeconomic trends creating opportunities for new product niches.“ (Personal Care Industry Overview, 2009). 16 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. Size and growth rate of cosmetic industry worldwide: (Avon Annual Report 2009. 2010). Market analysis As the business plan is proposed world widely, it is needed to describe the individual continents which are the most important for Avon business – United States, Europe, Russia and China. United States As Karen grant, the vice president and senior global industry analyst stated: “the year 2009 was one of the hardest in the history of beauty industry. All the US categories experienced dollar declines, with the biggest decline being in fragrances, followed by prestige make-up and skin care.” (Katie Nichol. January 27, 2010). Within United States “a 6 percent drop in sales compared to 2008 puts the value of the US prestige beauty market at $8.19bn.“ (Katie Nichol. March,23 2010). Because the recession brings problems to the ´beauty industry´ the next years will be very challenging. People will look not only for perfect quality of products, but for good prices as well. Therefore, Avon has big chance to success on the reaching new target market, offering the products with the highest possible quality for prices that will be interesting for consumers in the US region. Europe During last few years European market went through the recession as well as US market. Therefore manufacturers concerned mainly on the innovations of the 17 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. products. They hoped for better changing situation on the market, as the forecasts stated that in 2014 there will be an increase of 12% in total overall retail sales. According to head consultant at Mitel Beauty Innovations Europe has not found out the potential within online beauty retailing. Therefore when the companies focus more on this type of selling, there is a big chance to reach the broader market base. (Nichol Katie, April 16, 2010). Russia Russian market was considered as the heaven for the beauty market, however this was the true for the years 2004 to 2007, where the increase in the growth rate was more than 10% from year to year. However this trend has stopped with the recession. Nowadays the growth is only something more than 5%. Even if this trend is occurring the brands can benefit also from this situation. (The Russian market has been something of a haven for beauty players in recent years, 2009). According to Vladimir Sudarikov – business development manager at Gradient – the Russian distributor Russian market can benefit form the crises: “with the possibility to strengthen our brands’ positions and occupy a bigger share of the market ceded by former competitors“. (The Russian market has been something of a haven for beauty players in recent years, 2009). Main players within Russian market are 3 brands: Procter & Gamble, L´oreal and Avon, and create 23% of the whole market. Professionals see the next trends within the popularity of natural based products. People trust products offered in the drugstores (78%) and specialized stores (65%), more than those offered in supermarkets (47%) or internet (18%). Even though the Russian beauty market faces problems, there are huge place for achieving interesting market share for new companies. (The Russian market has been something of a haven for beauty players in recent years, 2009). 18 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. China This market is the fastest growing market within international beauty and hair care industry out of all other countries, with its consumer spending more than $5 BN in year 2008. (China beauty market, 2009). To look at the Chinese market from segmentation point of view, as can be seen in the graph below, the most successful segment is products using for facial moisturizers. (Tang Ros, 2010). On the other side the recession affected also the Chinese market. There was decrease in the sales in the color cosmetics at 3%, also other segments dropped down. However with the big boom of cosmetic industry there was an expansion of the stores offering the cosmetic products. (China´s beauty markets continuous to boom, 2010). In 1998, China forbid the direct selling as a selling strategy, as it was hardly separated from so called ´pyramid sales´. However in 2005, China finally authorized the direct selling, which bring huge opportunities for cosmetic companies to penetrate on the market. (Pitman Simon, 2006). 19 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. Competitive analysis Avon Products Inc. has oligopoly position on the World market due to the large number of main competitors who are influencing each other decisions and strategies: - Revlon - L’Oreal - Mary Kay (Avon Prods Inc. Top Competitors, 2010). Finance comparison provided by Daily Fince.com as of September 3rd 2010 shows our strong position on the marker even if our main competitors are performing well too. See appendix No1. Environment (Environment, 2009). Within the product strategy it is needed to continue with the social responsible approach. The company is using principles for saving the environment in the following ways: „reducing our global environmental footprint, including the issue of climate change, by recycling, reducing waste, conserving energy and water, and monitoring and reducing greenhouse gas emissions. New Avon facilities are developed using green building standards, and we are proud of recent LEED, BREEAM.“ (Environment, 2009). 20 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. Moreover Avon in 2009 began with „green behavior “launching the approach „Hello Green Tomorrow“, by which they „empower a global environmental movement to nurture future.“ (Environment, 2009). As can be seen in the graph, the water consumption has decreased by 24%, even the greenhouse gas emissions and energy consumption decreased for more than 30%. Because of the good results with this type of the developing products, and the nowadays trend to produce products that are environment friendly, the company can reach even more upper class clients, which is the company’s goal and objective for this business plan. (Environment, 2009). Other important step within product strategy is to point out that the products developed by Avon do not consist of any raw ingredients that were testing on the animals. Avon also cooperates only with the suppliers that supply products which were not testing on the animals. The company tries to find out all other possible ways for testing and except the same from the companies they are cooperating with. 21 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. Strategic position and Risk Assessment Strategic position We have build very strong, persuasive and fully covered Mission and Vision which are being still expanding. OUR Mission (To become) “The Global Beauty Leader” (The Avon mission, 2009). (To become) “The Women’s Choice for Buying” (The Avon mission, 2009). (To become strongest) “The Premier Direct Seller” (The Avon mission, 2009). (To become known as) “The Best Place to Work” (The Avon mission, 2009). (To become) “The Largest Women’s Foundation” (The Avon mission, 2009). (To become) “The Most Admire Company” (The Avon mission, 2009). OUR Vision “To be the company that best understands and satisfies the product, service and self-fulfillment needs of women—globally.” (The Avon vision, 2009). Target Market Avon Products, Inc. target market is defined as following: - No Gender difference – female (top priority) as well as male - All age categories - Worldwide - Different color - Middle class Prices All the prices are reaching market levels to keep pace with the main competitors. 22 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. Quality All products that Avon sells are high-quality products which are not being tested on animals and up-to-date technologies are in use. “Product responsibility - our pledge to deliver safe and effective products - will always be our top priority.” (Product Responsibility, 2010). (Product Responsibility, 2010). Market shares Our stocks are publicly traded through NYSE international stock exchange market. See Appendix No.2 & No. 3 Environment “While we face the challenges that are typical of any global organization that strives to reduce environmental impacts, we remain determined to address them, and we are more committed then ever to meeting our environmental goals and our stakeholders' expectations” (Environment, 2009) which ended up we are launching very successful “Hello Green Tomorrow” project. (Environment, 2009). 23 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. SWOT Analysis Avon’s SWOT analysis included all the strengths, weakness, opportunities and threats. Internal focus Strengths Strong brand name Strong position on the global market ISO 14001 certificate for factories developing the products – China, Brazil, Poland, Mexico, Philippines (Assurance & Certification, 2010). Know-how (124 years of experiences in the cosmetic industry) Over-experienced management leadership (due to board of directors set up) No animal testing Pro environment approach Philanthropy activities Cooperation with the best producers of ingredients needed for the Avon products Strong Marketing Weaknesses The way of Direct Selling – not all countries sales representative are strong in direct selling way because of the culture External focus Opportunities To develop and adapt employees direct selling skills based on the region, country and culture Lower or Higher class of the customers not launched so far 24 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. Expand to mixed cosmetics stores such as Marionaud, Fann- Perfumeries, Douglass, and pharmacies if applicable Threats Direct selling prohibition (past experiences from China 1998 – described above in Market Analysis) New competitors entering the market 4P’s of Marketing Four P’s of Marketing Product Because of the huge amount of individual products our company is offering, it is better to mention only segments with few examples. Beauty o Color, Skin Care, Fragrance, Personal care Fashion Home Price Prices of our products are accessible for the target market with the competitive advantage. 25 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. Distribution & Marketing Program (Promotion) Different channels for the distribution of the products are used: Advertisement – all above the line communication Individual philanthropy activities - campaigns, actions, conferences Avon Ladies - Direct selling representatives – face to face introducing of the products Sponsorships - support different activities Media communication – web page, articles, discussions, fashion magazines Avon´s promotions are divided into 3 categories: Business category – motivational speakers, professional seminars, ecommerce, different leadership programs “Fun” category – celebrities participating in talk shows and describing the products or company, offering free products Serious category – professional discussions and articles regarding to marketing, financial, product and other strategies Marketing program has been concerned on the cause-related marketing. Due to the fact of globalization of the company and developing the customers’ loyalty into the company’s products, Avon is supporting women’s health such as fighting against the domestic violence and breast cancer. 26 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. Management and Organization Avon’s Organizational Structure consists of: Executive Committee (13 members) Board of Directors (11members Board Committees (12 members) Finance Committee (5 members) o Audit Committee (5 members) o Lead Independent director o Compensation Committee (4 members) o Nominating & Corporate Governance Committee (4 members) (Avon Annual Report 2009). Detailed Organization structure is in the section 2.6 pgs 7,8,9. Based on 2009 Annual Report, company was employing 41.000 employees (out of which 6.000 in the US and 35.000 in the rest of the World). (Avon Annual Report 2009). Code of Ethic Our company has strictly described how to behave ethically and according to the values and beliefs of the company, in the Code of Business Conduct and Ethics. “As Avon associates, we all share a proud heritage of maintaining the highest standards of integrity and ethical conduct. These values trace directly back to the premise upon which David McConnell founded this business more than a century ago. And today, we hold steadfast to these values and principles because they are the bedrock not only of Avon’s past, but of its future.” (Code of Conduct & Ethics, 2010). 27 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. All our employees have no limited access to our Code of Business Conduct and Ethics side: http://www.avoncompany.com/investor/corporategovernance/pdf/code_of_conductold .pdf#search="ethical codex" Financial Plan General assumptions Main economical highlights for the financial year 2009 ending December 31: Total cost & expenses are stood pretty much in line with the last year showing a slight increase for 0.15% (Avon Annual Report 2009, 2010) Net sales decrease by 2.8% for a year (excluding other revenue – shipping & handling fees paid by sales representatives). (Avon Annual Report 2009, 2010) So the net income ($ 625.8 million) – represents a significant decline of 28.5 % to revenue reached at the end of the financial year 2008. (Avon Annual Report 2009, 2010) In spite of that the company was able to decrease its total debt by 1.67% reaching $ 2,445.9 million at the end of year 2009. (Avon Annual Report 2009, 2010) Cash flow for operating activities increased by 4.5%, it was able to decrease the loss on investing activities by 45% but increased its loss on financing activities by 155% (Avon Annual Report 2009, 2010) Total shareholder’s equity rose to $ 1,312.6 million representing a increase of 84.27 % (compared to $ 712.3 in 2008) (Avon Annual Report 2009, 2010) Income statement Income statement table for years 2007, 2008 & 2009 below shows that the economical recession has affected sales & incomes and that is loosing money on the 28 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. profit. The new strategy followed by corrective actions with the new set up should decrease the cost of sales, support an increase in total sales but increase the general sales. (Avon Annual Report 2009, 2010) (Avon Annual Report 2009, 2010) Balance sheet The balance sheet for financial years ending 2007, 2008 & 2009 is shown below. In general, continuous increase might be noticeable on both sides. Avon continued to buy back outstanding stocks from the market that generates loss of $ 4,545,800 million. Also, retained earnings are higher at the end of 2009 than they were on 2008 that means Avon retained another significant portion out of the total net income. (Avon Annual Report 2009, 2010) 29 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. (Avon Annual Report 2009, 2010) Statement of the cash flow Statement of the cash flow for years 2007, 2008 & 2009 might be found in the table below. As shown, Avon ended up with lower loss on investing activities as well as increased the cash on operating activities. Unfortunately, the loss in financing activities has been deepen one and half time more than it was at the end of 2008. 30 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. 31 (Avon Annual Report 2009, 2010) 800000000 600000000 400000000 200000000 0 -200000000 -400000000 -600000000 Net cash provided by operating activities Net cash used by investing activities Net cash used Effect Effect of by financing exchange rate activities changes on cash and equivalents Net change in cash and equivalents 2009 2008 2007 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. Profit analysis and forecast Two tables need to be shown in order to get a clearer picture what segment and region generated the most significant part of the total sales: (Avon Annual Report 2009, 2010). (Avon Annual Report 2009, 2010) It is not a surprise that Beauty segment is the most dominant revenue maker for Avon (70%). Moreover, America is without any doubts the largest market and therefore stands for 70% of the total revenue. Latin America plays the most dominant role and it is reasonable as for the economical parameters its countries operate under supplemented by portfolio that Avon offers. (Avon Annual Report 2009, 2010) Our strategy for incoming years is to gather as much as possible of the market segments introducing low costs products. In the matter of finance, we need to estimate and realize what the additional marketing cots would be and how would they affect 32 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. our general costs. Introducing new or re-new products trying to attract new segment of target market, changing the manufacturing (packaging, ingredients) definitely affect the cost of good sold and selling & administrative expenses. The recent purchase of Slipada definitely affects the total revenue – increasing revenue for the fashion segment) as well and will increase the company’s dept. Operating profit estimation for financial years 2010, 2011, 2012 Company’s sales were hurt by recession in 2009. We don’t expect the falling trend to continue and try to stabilize and even increase the sales. The year 2010 revenue would be higher due to the purchase of Slipada – if not occurred the rate we count on with is 3%. (Avon Annual Report 2009, 2010) Estimation of total revenue for financial years 2010, 2011, 2012 All numbers in mil.$ Financial Year 2009 2010 2011 10,284.70 10,823.24 12,688.23 19,273.84 Other revenue 98.1 103.005 111.2454 120.145 Total revenue 10,382.80 10,926.25 12,799.47 19,393.99 Net Sales 2012 Total revenue chart in $ million: 20,000.00 18,000.00 16,000.00 14,000.00 12,000.00 10,000.00 Other revenue 8,000.00 Net Sales 6,000.00 4,000.00 2,000.00 0.00 2009 2010 2011 2012 33 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. Estimation details: the first year increases in net sales represented by 3% increase in 4th quarter for beauty segment (marketing strategy revenue results) + $ 230 million revenue for segment fashion – purchase of Slipada 2011 - 15% increase in sales for beauty segment applying the new strategy and expanding on the new target market + revenue for fashion segment increased by 5% Another 5% increase in sales in year 2012 for beauty segment and stagnation for the fashion segment as most of the activities spend on marketing and expanding the target market We expect the home segment to be stabilized for the following three years Follow on strategy would be concentrated more on fashion and home segment as soon the beauty segment is stabilized at the end of 2012 Other revenue – represented by shipping and handling fees paid by the sales representative is expected to increase in the first year by 5% and expand by another 8% for years 2011, 2012 following the average annual increase before 2009 Estimation of Cost of good sold & selling, general and administrative expenses & Operation profit Financial Year all numbers in mil.$ 2009 2010 2011 2012 cost of good sold 3888.3 3966.066 3807.423 5711.135 Selling, general and adm.expenses 5476.3 6023.93 5722.734 5894.416 1,018.20 936.25 3,269.32 7,788.44 Operating profit (total revenuecosts) 34 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. 35 Operating profit with cost of good sold & selling, general and admin. sales prediction chart – amounts in $ million 9000 8000 7000 6000 cost of good sold 5000 Selling, general and adm.expenses Operating profit (total revenuecosts) 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 Estimation details Cost of good sold will increase by 2% in line with sales & considering the expansion of fashion segment in 2010, decreases in 2011 mostly by economy of scope for the expanded fashion & beauty segment. Finally will increase by 50% due to expected sales boom in 2012 Selling, general, and administrative expense will grow by 10% explaining by the aggressive marketing strategy; will decrease by 5% in 2011 as the marketing strategy will be dissolute. Finally costs are expected to increase by 3% in 2012 to copy the rapid sales increase In total, year 2010 estimation is slightly lower to reflect the decreasing sales/vs. total expense rations + the pay the price of the massive marketing strategy. Year 2011 is predicted to be a wealthier year for the marketing campaign fruits and economy of scope adaptation on new product lines. Finally, year 2012 is expected to be the wealthiest year if the concept of this strategic plan is going to be followed. Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. Estimation of other expenses plus computation of total profit all numbers in mil.$ Financial Year 2009 2010 2011 2012 Interest expense 104.80 110.04 121.04 112.57 Interest income -20.20 -20.60 -25.76 -26.40 Other expenses 7.10 6.92 7.03 7.13 Total other expenses 91.70 96.36 102.32 93.30 Earning before taxes 926.50 839.89 3,167.00 7,695.13 Taxes 298.30 264.56 997.58 2,423.90 Net Income 628.20 575.33 2,169.42 5,271.23 Net Income estimation chart in $ million: Financial Year 2012 2011 2010 2009 0.00 1,000.00 2,000.00 3,000.00 4,000.00 5,000.00 6,000.00 Interest rates are lower each year affecting the interest income decreases in both 2009, 2008. The interest income are expected to recover in 2010 by 2% , increase in 2011 by 25% and by another 2.5% in 2012 in the match with recovering interest rates predictions. 36 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. Interest income represents the interest paid for purchased money and we expect to show higher numbers at the end of 2010 for the purchase on debt (5% higher), increase in 2011 by 10% due to the interest rates recovering and decreasing by 7% in 2012 for many matured debts. Other expenses affected by foreign change rates losses will show slight decrease in 2010 for stabilizing dollar (2.5%). Pretty stabilized expenses are expected for 2011 & 2012 showing only 1.5% increases each year. tax rate is predicted to be stable, therefore 31.4% average for last 3 years is being used to compute the rate. Sum up Avon divided their initiatives and strategy into few steps. First of all their main intention is to be in close contact with the customers, know all their needs and problems and react flexible. Second important step is to follow up the trends on the market, however in advance – to have an advantage of being first on the market with the new innovative product. Third step is most known worldwide and that is to concern on the lives of women, who have crucial problems - those diseased by breast cancer and tortured women. Fourth step was more about the finance – where the company decided to restructure their costs structure. Avon is the number one company uses direct selling method for doing the business. Avon decided to sell its products mainly by direct/selling channel and using the website. The company has three stage sales forces. On the first stage are franchise managers whose responsibilities are to hire and recruit new dealer and motivate them as well. Second stage belongs to the franchise dealers who have network belong them full of certified beauty consultants. The strategy of hiring consultants is built up on the trust of those people. All they need to have is creativeness, and hardworking propositions. Third stage - the direct selling is based on the direct contact with customers and selling the products “from home to home”. This strategy was very efficient for impaling on the market, however with the new business strategy, there 37 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. should be reworked this approach. To build up the new prestige of the company also the selling strategy needs to be changed. (Avon cosmetic dealer and direct selling. 2008). The Company for last 2 decades bet on the fight with the breast cancer of women and home violence against the women, which is nowadays one of the most crucial medical problems among women. The public charity of the Avon was found out in 1955 to improve women’s lives. This laid the foundation of philanthropy of the brand and started the ambitious to be the sign for women. Through buying the products of Avon the customer can help to individual women with problems. Two major philanthropy projects – Speak out against domestic violence and Avon breast cancer crusade are helping the women worldwide by financing medical researches, support medical services, diagnostic and screening, and education as well. Thanks to these activities the company has prestige to be the most care company of the world which brings them the uniqueness on the market. (Avon cosmetic dealer and direct selling. 2008). On the other side Avon Company initiated some restructuring actions in 2009 considered on transformation of their cost structure for achieving efficiency across their worldwide operations. “Avon said that it expects total costs to implement the initiatives approved to date to be approximately $165 million, including a charge of approximately $77 million pretax in the second quarter of 2009. When combined with costs of approximately $13 million to implement initiatives from its 2005 restructuring program, the company said that it will incur a total charge of approximately $90 million in the quarter, or $0.19 per share, including $0.05 per share for a one-time restructuring tax charge.” (Avon highlights restructuring plans; Jobs supply chain impacted, 2009). “When fully implemented, the initiatives approved to date reflect almost half the costs to implement the 2009 restructuring program, and are expected to generate approximately 60% of the targeted annualized savings. As a result, we are on track to achieve our stated goal of approximately $200 million in total annualized savings by 2012-2013, with costs to implement all initiatives expected to be in the range of $300-$400 million."“ said Charles Cramb, vice chairman, chief finance and strategy officer, Avon. (Avon highlights restructuring plans; Jobs supply chain impacted, 2009). 38 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. There are different initiatives to reach the goal: “Realignments in its global supply chain manufacturing footprint and improvements in operating model effectiveness in key geographies, costs-to-implement realignments of supply chain manufacturing operations, primarily in North America, Western Europe, and Central and Eastern Europe, close its facility in Springdale, Ohio, by mid-2012. Production will shift to its manufacturing sites in Morton Grove, IL, and Celaya, Mexico, and to contract manufacturers, to close its manufacturing facility in Neufahrn, Germany, and that it has entered into the required formal information and consultation processes with the economic committee and works council in Germany, to improve processes, reconfigure equipment and streamline operations at its facility in Naro Forminsk in order to meet increasing demand more cost-effectively, to continue improving Avon's operating model effectiveness in Latin America and Western Europe. In Latin America, it is said that it plans to regionalize commercial marketing and leverage other key business support functions such as sales support, supply chain and administration across multiple markets. Avon also said that it plans to integrate its commercial marketing departments in the U.K. and Spain to create a single consolidated commercial marketing organization to better serve the company's markets across Western Europe, the Middle East and North Africa.“ (Avon highlights restructuring plans, Jobs supply chain impacted, 2009). 39 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. “Avon’s dedication to the principles of corporate responsibility has been part of the company’s DNA for more than a century” Andrea Jung, Chairman and Chief Execute officer. (Corporate Responsibility, 2010). “To meet fully the obligations of corporate citizenship by contributing to the well-being of society and the environment in which it functions.” David H. McConnel, Founder of Avon Products, Inc. 1886. (Corporate Responsibility, 2010). 40 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. Appendix Appendix No. 1 (Avon Prods Inc. Top Competitors, 2010). 41 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. Appendix No. 2 42 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. (NYSE Euronext, 2010). 43 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. Appendix No. 3 44 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. (NYSE Euronext, 2010) 45 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. Reference List About Avon. (2009). Retrieved August, 2010, from http://responsibility.avoncompany.com/page28-About-Avon Avon Annual Report 2009. (2010). Retrieved August 14, 2010, from http://www.avoncompany.com/investor/annualreport/index.html The Avon vision. (2009). Retrieved August 16, 2010, from http://responsibility.avoncompany.com/page-13-Our-Vision-and-Mission The Avon Mission. (2009). Retrieved August 16, 2010, from http://responsibility.avoncompany.com/page-13-Our-Vision-and-Mission Environment. (2009). Retrieved August 16, 2010, from http://responsibility.avoncompany.com/page-17-Environment Avon marketss. (2009). Retrieved August 20, 2010, from http://www.avoncompany.com/world/markets.html Avon buys Slipada for $ 650 million. (2010). Retrieved August 27, 2010, from http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Avon-buys-Silpada-for-650-apf-1595752486.html?x=0&.v=10 Avon products (AVP). (n.d.). Retrieved August 27, 2010, from http://www.wikinvest.com/stock/Avon_Products_%28AVP%29 Personal Care Industry Overview. (2009). Retrieved August 27, 2010, from http://www.fashionproducts.com/personal-care-overview.html Katie Nichol. (2010, January 27). US market for prestige beauty product suffered in 2009. Retrieved August 25, 2010, from http://www.cosmeticsdesign.com/Products-Markets/US-marketfor-prestige-beauty-products-suffered-in-2009 Katie Nichol. (2010 March 23). Value of US prestige beauty market falls to $ 8,19bn. Retrieved August 25,2010, from http://www.cosmeticsdesign.com/Products-Markets/Value-of-US-prestigebeauty-market-falls-to-8.19bn Avon Online katalog. (2010). Retrieved August 28, 2010, from http://avonkatalog.info/images/Avon-Katalog-14.jpg Guy Montague. (2008, October 8). Analyst tips Avon for success. Retrieved August 28, 2010, from http://www.cosmeticsdesign.com/Financial/Analyst-tips-Avon-for-success Katie Nichol. (2010 April 16). Encouraging growth predicted in resilient European beauty retail market. Retrieved August 28, 2010, from http://www.cosmeticsdesign-europe.com/ProductsMarkets/Encouraging-growth-predicted-in-resilient-European-beauty-retail-market The Russian market has been something of a haven for beauty players in recent years. (2009). Retrieved August 29, 2010, from http://www.intercharm.net/eng/show.phtm?lang=eng&action=main&num=13449 China beauty market. (2009). Retrieved August 29, 2010, from http://www.chinabeautyexpo.biz/en/facts/china-beauty-market/ 46 Business Strategy Avon Products Inc. Tang Ros. (2010). Chinese beauty experts media workshop. Retrieved August 29, 2010, from http://www.tnsglobal.com/_assets/files/TNSRI_Chinas_booming_beauty_market_2010.pdf China´s beauty markets continuous to boom. (2010). Retrieved August 29, 2010, from http://www.bwconfidential.com/en/china-s-beauty-market-continues-to-boom,article-56.html Pitman Simon. (2006). Avon goes full throttle in China. Retrieved August 29, 2010, from http://www.cosmeticsdesign.com/Products-Markets/Avon-goes-full-throttle-in-China Avon Prods Inc. Top Competitors. (2010). Retrived August 29, 2010, from http://www.dailyfinance.com/company/avon-products-incorporated/avp/nys/top-competitors Product Responsibility. (2010). Retrieved August 29, 2010, from http://responsibility.avoncompany.com/page-21-Product-Responsibility Assurance & Certification. (2010). Retieved August 29, 2010, from http://responsibility.avoncompany.com/page-49-Assurance-and-Certification Code of conduct & Ethics. (2010). Retrieved August 29, from http://responsibility.avoncompany.com/page-60-Code-of-Conduct-and-Ethics Avon cosmetic dealer and direct selling. (2008). Retrieved August 31, 2010, from http://www.franphil.com/avon-cosmetics-dealer-and-direct-selling/ Avon highlights restructuring plans; Jobs supply chain impacted. (2009). Retrieved August 31, 2010, from http://www.gcimagazine.com/business/marketers/announcements/51407827.html Corporate Responsibility. (2010). Retrieved August 31, 2010, from http://responsibility.avoncompany.com NYSE Euronext. (2010). Retrieved September 10, 2010, from http://www.nyse.com/about/listed/lcddata.html?ticker=avp&fq=D&ezd=1W&index=2 NYSE Euronext. (2010). Retrieved September 10, 2010, from http://www.nyse.com/about/listed/lcddata.html?ticker=avp 47