Marketing Research Group Project Smart Phone MKTG 6051: Marketing Research Group Member: Palka Sharma Ning Yu Joseph Nayquonabe Jenny Hong Jiang Nicole Newville Table of Contents Executive Summary ............................................................................................................ 3 Introduction ......................................................................................................................... 3 Research design .................................................................................................................. 4 Results ................................................................................................................................. 5 Recommendation .............................................................................................................. 11 Appendices ........................................................................................................................ 11 1 2 2 3 Executive Summary 1 page. This is a one page non-technical summary of the whole project, including the methodology used and major findings/implications. 4 Introduction Smartphone, once a device relegated to corporate executives, is experiencing rapid growth in the consumer market and is changing the landscape of information and media consumption. According to an AOL and Universal McCANN report, in the US, there are currently over 63 million smartphone users with access to mobile web. Smartphone makes information delivery anywhere, anytime become a reality. The entrance of Apple and Google into the smartphone market accelerated the development of mobile applications. Mobile applications provide companies such as Barnes & Noble, Target, Whole Foods with a new way to reach their customers. “There is an app for it” becomes a popular slogan among tech enthusiasts. Caribou Coffee, the second largest coffee retailer in the US, is considering strategies to better reach and serve its customers on smartphones. The company has a website that can be accessed on smartphones but it is not optimized to fit the screen size of smartphones. Starbucks, Caribou’s largest competitor, recently launched an iPhone application which allows customers to locate stores and order on the phone. In response to competition, Caribou needs to decide whether it should launch a mobile website that is easy to navigate on smartphones or develop its own smartphone application. What are the most important features to smartphone users? As the smartphone platform competition intensifies, Caribou also needs to decide if it should focus the resource to develop the application for one platform or multiple platforms such as iPhone, Android and 3 Blackberry. A marketing research is needed to provide necessary information for managerial decisions. Some other issues such as the infrastructure, logistic changes needed and associated costs to implement the new service on smartphones, though important to the marketing decisions, are not addressed in this research. 5 Research design There were many sources of exploratory research that were reviewed for the project (included in Appendix). The data on the prevalence of Smartphone use was encouragingThere are about 270 mm US Smartphone subscribers, of which 63 mm access mobile web and 19 mm that access mobile web on a weekly basis. This indicates a strong consumer base for mobile web and its applications. 53% of Smartphone users act on advertisements on their mobile web, and 24% make actual purchases via such advertising. This shows that mobile advertising is influencing purchase behavior. In addition, 80% of iPhone users use mobile applications. All this data indicates a promising market for mobile web applications, and if the Caribou Coffee application is advertised efficiently, it will aid in expanding the consumer profile of the coffee retail chain. The primary data collection was first conducted via a focus group approach. There were five participants selected for the focus group. The selection criterion was mainly respondents that currently owned a smart phone. Of the five respondents, three had iPhones, and the other two respondents had a Palm Pre and a Google MyTouch phone. The questions for the focus group discussion (appendix) were divided into two sections. The first section aimed at collecting the respondents’ perspectives on preferences in using mobile webpage versus using mobile web applications. The second 4 section narrowed down to feature preferences for a Caribou Coffee application. Some of the key takeaways from the focus group discussion included the widespread preference for a free downloadable application, the ease of finding about new applications from friends and advertisements, the frequent use of mobile web and mobile applications via the Smartphones. All the insights from the focus group were valuable in designing a thorough questionnaire for the survey. An online survey tool was used to administer the survey, Zoomerang. The survey was sent to xx participants, of which we had 53 respondents. The targeted population for the survey was random, selecting participants who owned a Smartphone, and those who did not own a Smartphone. The reason for selecting a random population, irrespective of owning a Smartphone, was to gain perspective on the wants of consumers who could offer their ideas on preferences for mobile applications as well as mobile web information for Caribou Coffee. It is important to note that given time constraints and in order to meet the requirement of the project, it was efficient to select a random population. Another assumption is that the results of the survey are representative of the overall population. 6 Results To create the best user experience for Caribou customers several tests were conducted using the survey results. This section will identify the best mobile platform (web vs. application), the most important features, and examine any differences in mobile usages between handset types. Additional tests were conducted to determine how the availability of a mobile tool would influence customer behavior. 5 The first research objective is to identify if a mobile web site or a smartphone application, is better in serving Caribou customers on smartphones. Two questions were provided in the survey to ask respondents’ experience in finding information on mobile web site and smartphone applications using five-value interval scale from Very Easy (code as 2) to Very Difficult (code as -2). A t-test was done to identify if there is statistical difference between the average difficulty in finding information through the mobile web and finding information through the smartphone applications. phone type web/app Mean P value All phones web App 0.44 0.72 0.032 iPhone web app 0.78 1.04 0.13 Other phones web app 0.08 0.41 0.044 Table 1: Average user experience in finding information on the smartphone From the results above, we can conclude that for all smartphone users, it is easier to find information through smartphone applications than through mobile webs. The smartphone applications give user more control and provide information in a more structured way so it is easier to navigate. However, for iPhone users, the difference between mobile web and application is not statistically significant. It is obvious that iPhone users have fewer difficulties finding information on their phones than other smartphone users. The likely reason for this response is the iPhone’s superior web browser with multi-touch technology enables users to zoom and easily navigate the mobile web with their fingers. The second research objective was to identify which features should be included in the Caribou mobile web experience. Respondents were asked to rank a list of features and then were asked whether they are likely to consider shopping more at Caribou if the features are provided. The importance of each feature was then analyzed to compare the 6 response between those who are likely to shop more at Caribou and those who are not. The test results indicate that the store locator is the most important feature, followed by coupon, store menu and order in advance. The respondents generally think games and links to other applications such as iTunes or Facebook are not important. Further analysis indicates that there are statistically significant difference in response between those who are likely to shop more at Caribou and those who are not regarding menu, coupon and order in advance features (as shown in Table 2). Features Store Locator Menu Coupon Order In Advance Mean for all samples 1.581395349 2.11627907 1.744186047 2.348837209 Likely to shop more at Caribou mean p value No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes 1.54 1.59 1.54 2.31 2.09 1.62 2.91 2.16 0.426388006 0.035652488 0.045789392 0.027943407 Very Import = 1, Import = 2, Neutral = 3, Not very important = 4, Not at all important = 5 Table 2: Feature evaluation The Store Locator is deemed the most important feature among the respondents; however, there is no statistical difference between the two groups. This is probably because the feature is so essential and common in applications that people tend to take it for granted. The results also show that people who are likely to shop more at Caribou tend to put more importance on Coupon and Order In Advance features than those who are unlikely to shop more at Caribou. It is puzzling, though, that people who are unlikely to shop more at Caribou seem to give Menu more importance. Even though the difference is statistically significant, it does not indicate a causal relationship. One of the reasons could be that the non-loyal Caribou customers who are less likely to visit the Caribou store give more importance to menus as they are less familiar with what Caribou offer. 7 Based on the results of the first two tests it is clear that Caribou should develop a mobile application instead of a mobile web experience. An application provides a better user experience for a wider range of mobile devices. Additionally mobile applications are able to take advantage of native handset features like GPS which allow users to map a route to the nearest store based on their current location. Because there are five primary smartphone operating systems (OS) a third test was run to determine which OS to develop for first. The third research objective was to determine if mobile application usage is the same across all handset types, in order to determine which to develop an application for first. Table 3: Survey respondents by type of smartphone 8 Because 57% of respondents indicated they owned an iPhone handset we elected to test the iPhone application usage against all other smartphone handsets. For this test we examined the number of applications downloaded and installed based on handset type. A T-test was used to compare the iPhone users to other Smartphone users. Mean P(T<=t) twotail iPhone: # apps installed Other Smartphone: # apps installed 18.94 6.35 0.00066365 Table 4: Average applications installed on iPhone compared to other Smartphone handsets The results indicate that the average iPhone user downloads 12 more applications than other Smartphone users. Based on the heavier application usage of the iPhone users we conclude that the first version of the mobile application should be created using the iPhone development package. In reviewing the features to include in the iPhone application, one requires that store locations update their POS systems to support mobile ordering. Due to the incremental cost associated with this installation we created a test to determine if iPhone users are more likely than other handset users to order Caribou products using their mobile device. We conducted a Chi-Square Test to determine if there was a statistically dependent relationship between the handset type and the likelihood of ordering coffee on their mobile device. Actual Very Likely Likely Neither Likely nor Unlikely Unlikely Very Unlikely Column Totals NoniPhone iPhone 2 7 11 2 3 25 Row Totals 3 11 8 2 0 24 Expected 5 18 19 4 3 49 Very Likely Likely Neither Likely nor Unlikely Unlikely Very Unlikely Column Totals Chi Test iPhone 2.55 9.18 9.69 2.04 1.53 25 NoniPhone Row Totals 2.45 8.82 9.31 1.96 1.47 24 5 18 19 4 3 49 0.337355 Table 5: Relationship between likelihood of ordering coffee using a mobile device and handset type 9 This test revealed that Owning an iPhone handset does not make a person more likely to order coffee using their mobile phone. If the incremental costs associated with adding this feature to the mobile application exceed our budget for Phase I, consider issuing an application software update with this feature in the future when funds become available. The second set of tests was designed to evaluate the potential impact of the smartphone application on Caribou customers. Our fourth research objective was to determine how the ordering feature of the application would affect loyal vs non-loyal Caribou customers. The analysis of the test results indicates that loyal Caribou customers are more likely to order coffee on smartphones than non-loyal Caribou customers (results shown in Table 3). Mean P value loyal Caribou non-loyal Caribou customers customers 0.833333333 0.096774194 0.005403418 Very Unlikely = -2, Unlikely = -1, Neither Likely nor Unlikely = 0, Likely = 1, Very Likely = 2 Table 6: Loyal Caribou Customers vs. Non-loyal Caribou Customers. Based on this test it is clear that the application will benefit loyal Caribou customers but it is not likely to attract non-loyal Caribou customers. Finally we reviewed the new application’s order feature and the likelihood of it increasing Caribou customer shopping frequency. We conducted another Chi-Square Test to determine if there was a statistical relationship between these two variables. Actual Very Likely Likely Neither Likely nor Unlikely Unlikely Very Unlikely Column Totals App Will Increase Caribou Shopping Frequency 4 14 11 3 0 32 App Will Not Increase Caribou Shopping Frequency Row Totals 0 4 3 17 5 16 1 4 3 3 12 44 Expected Very Likely Likely Neither Likely nor Unlikely Unlikely Very Unlikely Column Totals Chi Test App Will Increase Caribou Shopping Frequency 2.91 12.36 11.64 2.91 2.18 32 App Will Not Increase Caribou Shopping Frequency Row Totals 1.09 4 4.64 17 4.36 16 1.09 4 0.82 3 12 44 0.033744714 Table 7: Relationship between likelihood of using new order feature and Caribou Shopping Frequency 10 Our research indicates that there is a statistical relationship between people who would use the order feature and an increase in their shopping frequency. Based on the results of the final two tests the benefit of adding the order feature would be better servicing loyal Caribou customers and also increasing overall frequency of customer visits. 7 Recommendation US mobile Internet users has grown from 37 millions to 63 millions from 2008 to 2009 with 107% year to year growth rate. The rapid growth of mobile internet and application users presents great market potential to the retailers. The smartphone technology has also matured to allow users to perform online transaction at anytime and anywhere. Caribou’s major competitor, Starbucks, is trying to seize this market opportunity and has launched two mobile web applications, “myStarbucks” and “Card Mobile”, to allow their customers to order online, locate the store, and virtually pay for their drinks from their smartphones. Facing both the market opportunity presented by Smartphone users and the threat by Starbuck, Caribou can’t afford to ignore the smartphone users’ needs. Based on the marketing research study we have conducted, we recommend Caribou to develop smartphone application to address smartphone users’ needs in two phases. The purpose of the recommendation is to improve the customer experiences and increase smartphone customers visits to the stores. 7.1 Phase I – Standalone iPhone Based Application During phase I, we recommend Caribou to develop and launch a smartphone application on iPhone platform within six months. Our survey results indicated that the average iPhone user downloads 12 more applications than other Smartphone users within one 11 month period. Since iPhone users intend to use more smartphone applications than the other smartphone users, the first version of Caribou mobile application should be developed on iPhone platform. The data collected in both focus group and survey indicates that the user find it easier to find information through smartphone applications than mobile website. Therefore, Caribou should launch the standalone mobile application to deliver the customer services via smartphone. The following four major features are the high priority features which should be included in the phase I development: Store Locator: The store locator is deemed as the most important feature among the survey respondents. The store locator needs to be integrated with the iPhone's GPS to detect any Caribou’s location and provide customers the directions to Caribou’s store. It should also allow the customers to contact the store through a “one-button” push. Order in Advance: This feature will have more impact on existing loyal Caribou customers than the non-loyal Caribou customers. The survey results indicate that loyal Caribou customers are more likely to order coffee on smartphones than non-loyal Caribou customers. The order in advance feature will allow the smartphone users to order the drinks via smartphone before they arrive to the store. This will reduce the customer waiting time and improve the customers satisfaction. Mobile Coupons: The mobile coupon is another very attractive feature to the customers based on the survey result. The program aims to increase customers visits and recognize and reward the loyalty of Caribous' regulars. The coupons will be delivered to user’s smartphone and the user will use the smartphone to scan the coupons. The main purpose 12 of this feature is to reward loyal Caribou customers with discount and prizes and attract the new customers to Caribou. Online Menu: The survey results revealed that the online menu is more important to the customers who are unlikely to shop at Caribou. It is an interesting finding. It could be that the non-loyal Caribou customers view menus more important as they are less familiar with Caribou product. 7.2 Phase II – Standalone Android Based Application Depending on the success of the first app in trial cities, the company will decide whether or not to expand the service to other markets. Based on the feedback from the phase I launch, Caribou should consider to conduct a second market research study to focus on Android smartphone users. Since Android platform is just launched less than a year, there is not enough data to indicate whether the platform will be widely adopted yet. But it is worth to monitor the Android smartphone usage. 8 Appendices Research Objective 1: Determine if a mobile web site or a smartphone application, is better in serving Caribou customers on smartphones. Survey Questions Used: 7&8 Hypothesis: H0: The average difficult of finding information is the same between mobile web and mobile application. Ha: The average difficult of finding information is different between mobile web and mobile application. Results: All phone users: t-Test: Paired Two Sample for Means Web App 13 Mean Variance Observations Pearson Correlation Hypothesized Mean Difference df t Stat P(T<=t) one-tail t Critical one-tail P(T<=t) two-tail t Critical two-tail 0.44 0.72 1.149388 0.899592 50 50 0.464822 0 49 -1.88462 0.03271 1.676551 0.06542 2.009575 iPhone users: t-Test: Paired Two Sample for Means Mean Variance Observations Pearson Correlation Hypothesized Mean Difference df t Stat P(T<=t) one-tail t Critical one-tail P(T<=t) two-tail t Critical two-tail Web App 0.777778 1.037037 1.25641 0.883191 27 27 0.373232 0 26 -1.15804 0.128688 1.705618 0.257376 2.055529 Other phone users: t-Test: Paired Two Sample for Means Mean Variance Observations Pearson Correlation Hypothesized Mean Difference df t Stat P(T<=t) one-tail Web App 0.083333 0.416667 0.775362 0.775362 24 24 0.457944 0 23 -1.78113 0.044052 14 t Critical one-tail P(T<=t) two-tail t Critical two-tail 1.713872 0.088104 2.068658 Conclusion: Reject H0 for all phone users and other phone users. Do not reject H0 for iPhone users. For all phone users, mobile applications are statistically easier to find information than mobile webs. However, for iPhone users, the difference is not statistically significant. Overall, iPhone users have much less difficulties finding information on their phones than other smartphone users. Research Objective 2: Identify which features should be included in the Caribou mobile experience. Survey Questions Used: 23 & 24 Hypothesis: For each feature: H0: The average importance is the same between those who are likely to shop more at Caribou and those who are unlikely to shop more at Caribou. Ha: The average importance is different between those who are likely to shop more at Caribou and those who are unlikely to shop more at Caribou. Results: Feature Mean for all samples response to Q24 mean p value store locator game menu trivia coupon pay via phone order in advance iTune Facebook 1.58 4.02 2.12 2.74 1.74 3.09 2.35 3.16 3.35 No 1.55 Yes No Yes No 1.59 4.64 3.81 1.55 0.42638 0.0062793 Yes 2.30 0.035652 No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes 3.09 2.62 2.09 1.63 3.55 2.94 2.91 2.16 3.27 3.12 0.15052 0.045789 0.073203 0.027943 0.36394 Conclusion: The most important features are store locator, coupon, menu and order in advance. Game, link to iTune and link to Facebook are not important to most users. Store locator, even though the most important feature, does not show statistical difference in importance between the two groups. Those who are likely to shop more at Caribou tend to put more importance on coupon and order in advance feature than those who are unlikely to shop more at Caribou. It is puzzling that those who are unlikely to shop more at Caribou put more importance on menu. This could be because they are mostly non-loyal Caribou customers who are less familiar with what Caribou offers. Research Objective 3: Determine if mobile application usage is the same across all handset types, in order to decide how many versions of the application to create. Survey Questions Used: 2 & 9 15 No Yes 3.36 3. 0.48245 Hypothesis: H0: The # of app download is the same between iPhone and other phones. (Average the same) Ha: The # of app download is different between iPhone and other phones. (Average different) Results: t-Test: Two-Sample Assuming Equal Variances iPhone: # apps installed Other Smartphone apps installed Mean 18.94 6.35 P(T<=t) twotail 0.00066365 Conclusion: Reject Ha, the average iPhone user downloads 12 more applications than other Smartphone users. The heavier application usage of the iPhone users indicates that the first version of the mobile application should be created using the iPhone development package. Research Objective 4: Determine if iPhone users are more likely than other smartphone users to order coffee using their mobile device. Survey Questions Used: 2 & 26 16 Hypothesis: H0: Handset type and likelihood of ordering coffee using application are independent. Ha: Handset type and likelihood of ordering coffee using application are dependent. Results: Chi-Square Test NonRow Actual iPhone iPhone Totals Very Likely 2 3 5 Likely 7 11 18 Neither Likely nor Unlikely 11 8 19 Unlikely 2 2 4 Very Unlikely 3 0 3 Column Totals 25 24 49 NonRow Expected iPhone iPhone Totals Very Likely 2.55 2.45 5 Likely 9.18 8.82 18 Neither Likely nor Unlikely 9.69 9.31 19 Unlikely 2.04 1.96 4 Very Unlikely 1.53 1.47 3 Column Totals 25 24 49 Chi Test 0.337355 Conclusion: The Chi-Square Test revealed that p>alpha therefore reject H0. Owning an iPhone handset does not make a person more likely to order coffee using their mobile phone. If the incremental costs associated with adding this feature to the mobile application exceed our budget for Phase I, consider issuing an application software update with this feature in the future when funds become available. Research Objective 6: Determine if there is a relationship between a person’s willingness to order products via the phone related to the mobile application and an increase in shopping more frequently at Caribou. Survey Questions Used: 24 & 26 17 Hypothesis: H0: New order feature and likelihood of increasing Caribou Shopping Frequency are statistically dependent. Ha: New order feature and likelihood of increasing Caribou Shopping Frequency are not statistically dependent. Results: Chi-Square Test Actual Very Likely Likely Neither Likely nor Unlikely Unlikely Very Unlikely Column Totals App Will Increase Caribou Shopping Frequency 4 14 11 3 0 32 App Will Not Increase Caribou Shopping Frequency Row Totals 0 4 3 17 5 16 1 4 3 3 12 44 App Will Increase App Will Not Caribou Shopping Increase Caribou Expected Frequency Shopping Frequency Row Totals Very Likely 2.91 1.09 4 Likely 12.36 4.64 17 Neither Likely nor Unlikely 11.64 4.36 16 Unlikely 2.91 1.09 4 Very Unlikely 2.18 0.82 3 Column Totals 32 12 44 Chi Test 0.033744714 Conclusion: The Chi-Square Test revealed that p<alpha therefore reject Ha. There is a statistical relationship between people who would use the order feature and an increase in their shopping frequency. Therefore if Caribou is looking for new ways to increase the frequency of their customers’ visits, they should prioritize this feature in the development plan ________________________________________________________________________ ____________ Additional Test not used in Results Section Objective: Determine if there is a relationship between a person’s willingness to order products via the phone and the number of applications they downloaded to their smartphone. Survey Questions Used: 9 & 26 18 Hypothesis: H0: Number of applications downloaded and likelihood of ordering Caribou products via mobile application are statistically dependent. Ha: Number of applications downloaded and likelihood of ordering Caribou products via mobile application are not statistically dependent. Results: 19 Chi-Square Test Actual None Very Likely Likely Neither Likely nor Unlikely Unlikely Very Unlikely Column Totals 1-5 0 3 4 1 0 8 Expected None 1-5 Very Likely 0.67 Likely 3.00 Neither Likely nor Unlikely 3.17 Unlikely 0.67 Very Unlikely 0.50 Column Totals 8 Chi Test 6-10 2 6 1 1 1 11 11-20 0 2 6 0 1 9 6-10 0.92 4.13 4.35 0.92 0.69 11 0.75 3.375 3.5625 0.75 0.5625 9 21-50 1 5 4 0 0 10 Row Totals 50+ 1 2 3 2 1 9 0 0 1 0 0 1 4 18 19 4 3 48 Row 11-20 21-50 50+ Totals 0.833333 0.75 0.08 4 3.75 3.38 0.38 18 3.958333 3.56 0.40 19 0.833333 0.75 0.08 4 0.625 0.56 0.06 3 10 9 1 48 0.647908 Conclusion: The Chi-Square Test revealed that p>alpha therefore reject H0. There is not a statistical relationship between people who would use the order feature and the number of applications they download to their phone. 20