UNIVERSIDAD DE ESPECIALIDADES ESPÍRITU SANTO FACULTAD DE ESTUDIOS INTERNACIONALES INTERNATIONAL CAREERS PROGRAM SYLLABUS COURSE: Statistics II SCHEDULE: 19:75-20:45 FACULTY: ICP BIMESTER: Fall II ACADEMIC UNITS/CRÉDITS: 3 UEES (S.N.C.C. 4.8 ) DAYS: M-Th PRE REQUISITES: Statistics I ROOM: F-13 CONTACT HOURS: 40 NON-CONTACT HOURS: 96 1. COURSE DESCRIPTION Statistics II is the second of two introductory courses in Statistics. The Applications of statistical tools learned along with this course are very important in the development of both short term strategies and strategic planning in today business environment. This course will demand basic Excel knowledge from the participants. Students will develop the capacity to understand and construct economic models based on the understanding of the behavior of a set of variables affecting the variable of interest. Students are going to gain ability in the management of hypothesis testing as a tool for organizing the decision making process. Simple regression and correlation analysis are going to be used by students to forecast real business and economic trends. 2. OBJECTIVES a. GENERAL Students will develop a level of statistical literacy that enables them to critically assess information encountered in the media and other sources. b. SPECIFIC Utilize the computer as a tool for promoting conceptual understanding. Analyze and interpret quantitative information, to use statistical thinking, and to communicate using the language of statistics. 3. COURSE CONTENT OUTLINE DATES & SESSIONS 30-10-06 Session 1 31-10-06 Session 2 SPECIFIC COMPETENCIES NON CONTACT HOURS Discuss Descriptive Syllabus presentation. Read Main Text Statistics Review Course Politics Pages: 41-45 Read Introduction to the use Main Text of Statistical Software Page: 53 Review of Statistical Concepts Using Excel and Mega Stat Software Discrete Probability Read Main Text Distributions Pages: 180-211 Agosto 2006 CONTENTS ASSESSMENT Oral Evaluation Class Discussion Oral Evaluation Class Discussion 01-11-06 Continuous Probability Distributions Sampling Methods and the Central Limit Theorem Session 3 02-11-06 Session 4 06-11-06 Session 5 07-11-06 Session 6 Solve exercises using Hypothesis testing 08-11-06 Session 9 14-11-06 Session 10 15-11-06 Session 11 16-11-06 Session 12 20-11-06 Read Main Text Pages: 250-281 Hwk #1 Oral Evaluation Class Discussion Grading Hwk Oral Evaluation Class Discussion One Sample Test of Read Main Text Hypothesis Pages: 316-318 Oral Evaluation Class Discussion Five Steps Procedure Read Main Text Pages: 318-323 Oral Evaluation Class Discussion One-Tailed Read Main Text Pages: 323-324 Hwk #2 Oral Evaluation Class Discussion Grading Hwk Session 8 13-11-06 Oral Evaluation Class Discussion Estimations and Read Main Text Confidence Intervals Pages: 282-315 Session 7 09-11-06 Read Main Text Pages: 212-249 Two-Tailed Test of Read Main Text Significance Pages: 323-324 Oral Evaluation Class Discussion Testing for a Read Main Text Population Mean Pages: 324-329 Large Sample, Known Population Standard Deviation Tests Concerning Read Main Text Proportions Pages: 329-335 Oral Evaluation Class Discussion Testing for a Read Main Text Population Mean Pages: 335-354 Small Sample, Population Standard Deviation Unknown Oral Evaluation Class Discussion Oral Evaluation Class Discussion Course Review Session 13 21-11-06 Midterm Exam Session 14 Exam Solution Grades 22-11-06 Session 15 23-11-06 Solve exercises Session 16 Agosto 2006 and Comparing Population Read Main Text Mean with Small Pages: 366-385 Samples Two-Sample Test of Hypothesis: Oral Evaluation Class Discussion 27-11-06 Session 17 28-11-06 Session 18 29-11-06 Session 19 30-11-06 Session 20 04-12-06 Session 21 05-12-06 Session 22 06-12-06 Session 23 07-12-06 Session 24 11-12-06 Session 25 12-12-06 Session 26 13-12-06 Session 27 14-12-06 Session 28 18-12-06 Session 29 19-12-06 Dependent Samples Analysis of Variance: The F Distribution Comparing Two Population Variances ANOVA Inferences about Pairs of Treatment Means Read Main Text Pages: 386-402 Oral Evaluation Class Discussion Read Main Text Pages: 402-406 Oral Evaluation Class Discussion Two-Way Analysis of Read Main Text Variances Pages: 406-427 Hwk #2 Correlation Analysis Read Main Text The Coefficient of Pages: 428-435 Correlation Hwk #3 The Coefficient of Read Main Text Determination Pages: 435-450 Regression Analysis Oral Evaluation Class Discussion Confidence Intervals and Predictions Multiple Regressions and Correlation Analysis Inferences in Multiple Regression Analysis Evaluating the Regression Equation Analysis of Residuals Nonparametric Methods: Chi Square Applications Goodness of Fit Test: Unequal Expected Frequencies Limitation of Chi Square Contingency table Analysis Statistical Quality Control Quality Control Charts Index numbers Special Purpose Indexes Course Review Read Main Text Pages: 450-473 Read Main Text Pages: 474-485 Oral Evaluation Class Discussion Oral Evaluation Class Discussion Read Main Text Pages: 485-521 Hwk #4 Read Main Text Pages: 522-523 Oral Evaluation Class Discussion Read Main Text Pages: 523-531 Oral Evaluation Class Discussion Read Main Text Pages: 531-545 Oral Evaluation Class Discussion Read Main Text Pages: 586-617 Oral Evaluation Class Discussion Read Main Text Pages: 618-649 Oral Evaluation Class Discussion Session 30 20-12-06 Final Exam Session 31 21-12-06 Agosto 2006 Exam Solution and Oral Evaluation Class Discussion Grading Hwk Oral Evaluation Class Discussion Grading Hwk Oral Evaluation Class Discussion Session 32 Grades 4. METHODOLOGY Students are responsible for reading every day about the class lecture following the guidelines given in the next section of this syllabus. This preparation is very important to answer questions asked during the class and that will be part of the evaluation. Homework will be turn in at the beginning of the class, and the student should be prepared to answer any related questions. This course will be taught with the aid of power point presentations using an in focus. Excel will be loaded with an additional menu that will allow the use of Mega Stat, a powerful statistical Software. 4. ASSESSMENT On time homework will be graded over a 100% of the grade, one day late homework over 80%, after two days homework will not be received. In case of absence, homework will be due the day the student returns to class. MIDTERM AND FINAL EXAM Homework 20% Oral Evaluations 20% Class Participation 10% Midterm Exam 50% 6. BIBLIOGRAPHY 6.1 REQUIRED Main Text: Statistical Techniques in Business and Economics. McGraw Hill 2005 By: Douglas A. Lind William G. Marshall Samuel A. Wathem 6.2 COMPLEMENTARY Basic Business Statistics Mark Berenson Prentice Hall Introduction to Modern Business Statistics W. J. Conover and Ronal L Iman Wiley Essentials of Business Statistics David F. Groebner and Patrick Shannon Merril Agosto 2006 Business Statistics Lawrence L. Lapin HBJ Statistics for Business and Economics Debra Olson Oltman and James R. Lackritz Business Statistics Richard A. Johnson and Dean W. Wichern Wiley 6.3 HANDOUTS: Formula table 7. FACULTY INFORMATION NAME: Carlos Valdivieso . ACADEMIC CREDENTIALS--UNDERGRAD: Bachelor in Electrical Engineering University of Southern California, Los Angeles GRADUATE: Master in Electrical Engineering University of Southern California, Los Angeles Doctor in Diplomacy and International Sciences Universidad de Guayaquil E – mail: cvaldiv@fiec.espol.edu.ec Agosto 2006