President Bush and the Battle over the FY 1991 Budget: The Death of the “No New Taxes” Pledge Biographies: Michael Boskin, Chairman, Council of Economic Advisers Nicholas Brady, Secretary of the Treasury Richard Darman, Director, Office of Management and Budget Marlin Fitzwater, White House Press Secretary. Roger Porter, Presidential Aide John Sununu, White House Chief of Staff Terms: Gramm-Rudman-Hollings Deficit Reduction Law (GRH) Also known as the Balanced Budget and Emergency Deficit Control Act of 1985 Passed in 1985. Mandated that the federal budget be balanced by October 1990, when the budget for fiscal year 1991 was due. Established annual budget deficit targets that declined to zero over a period of 6 years—i.e., in FY 1986, get the budget deficit to less than $171.9 billion; in FY 1987, $144 billion; in FY 1988, $108 billion; in FY 1989, $72 billion; in FY 1990, $36 billion; and in FY 1991, $0. Automatic spending reductions would be levied if a target was missed in any given year. Known as a sequester, this would shut down the parts of the federal government that were denied funds. In 1987, Congress amended GRH so that a balanced budget was not required until 1993. In 1990, GRH underwent drastic revision as part of the negotiations between the Bush administration and Congress over the FY 1991 Federal Budget. These modifications altered the sequester process. 1989 April 14 President Bush and Congressional leaders appeared in the Rose Garden of the White House to announce an agreement concerning the Fiscal Year 1990 Federal Budget. Bush had entered office in January facing a national debt of well over $2 trillion, with a yearly interest of some $200 billion. President Bush had pledged during the 1988 campaign that he would not raise taxes. After sending his FY 1990 Budget to Congress on February 9, Bush and his economic team negotiated a compromise with Congress that reduced the FY 1990 budget deficit as required by the Gramm-Rudman-Hollings Act of 1981 (GRH), without raising taxes The Rose Garden ceremony, see http://bushlibrary.tamu.edu August 15 President Bush met with Richard Darman, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, John Sununu, White House Chief of Staff, and Nicholas Brady, Secretary of the Treasury, to discuss the administration’s approach to the FY 1991 budget. Darman warned that given the current economic situation, crafting a budget would be extremely difficult and might involve choices among politically damaging options. 1990 January 29 President Bush submitted his proposed budget of $1.23 trillion for fiscal year 1991. He proposed reducing the deficit to $64 billion, barely within the mandate in Gramm-RudmanHollings. Bush’s proposed budget did not cut Social Security, it reduced defense spending by 2.6%, and it reduced capital gains taxes. The budget included over $20 billion in new revenues, largely collected through ‘user’s fees,” which the administration insisted were not taxes. March 5 The Congressional Budget Office released its annual re-estimate of the President’s budget and concluded that the FY 1991 budget deficit would be $131 billion. March 6 Representative Dan Rostenkowski (D-IL), Chairman of the House Ways and Means Committee, met at the White House with Darman and Sununu to warn them that he would be putting forward his own budget plan with a serious emphasis on deficit reduction. The three then spoke with President Bush, who agreed not to declare Rostenkowski’s budget dead on arrival. Later that day, President Bush, Darman, Sununu, and Brady met to discuss budget strategy—and the politics behind it. Bush approved a course in which the administration would try to negotiate a compromise budget with Congress that included both spending reform and deficit reduction, leaving open the possibility of new taxes. March 11 Rostenkowski presented his own budget proposal. He called for an across the board freeze on all costof-living increases in all spending categories, as well as a fifteen cent per gallon tax increase on gasoline. March 14 Darman met with the House Democratic Budget Group and assured them that the administration was serious about budget negotiations and deficit reduction. They expressed a willingness to work with the administration. March 20 President Bush met with Vice President Dan Quayle, Darman, Brady, Sununu, Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers Michael Boskin, and Presidential aide Roger Porter to outline the administration’s goals in any negotiations with Congress over the budget. According to Darman, all in attendance agreed on the need for some sort of revenue-raising measure. March 28 The Republican leadership in Congress gave the president their support for White House budget negotiations with Congressional Democrats. April 29 Negotiations between the White House and Congress went nowhere. President Bush met with Darman, Sununu, and Brady. The President’s staff argued that Bush needed to meet with the Congressional leadership from both parties to express his commitment to a negotiated settlement of the budget. They also argued that future negotiations should be publicized and should be conducted as summits. Bush agreed, with a few modifications. May 1-2 President Bush successfully made the case for serious budget negotiations in separate secret meetings with Senate Majority Leader George Mitchell (D-ME), Senate Minority Leader Robert Dole (R-KS), Speaker of the House Tom Foley (DWA), and House Minority Leader Robert Michel (R-IL). May 6 President Bush and his economic team met with the Congressional leadership at the White House to end the impasse over the FY 1991 budget proposals. Darman warned that a sequester of funds, or a shutdown of the government, would be disastrous. The president indicated that he was willing to negotiate on taxes. May 9 President Bush, along with Darman, Sununu, and Brady, met with Mitchell, Dole, Foley, and Michel in the first public budget negotiating session. Mitchell pressed all to agree that there would be no preconditions on negotiations. White House Press Secretary Marlin Fitzwater released a statement to that effect. May 15 President Bush met with a group of 26 Members of Congress to outline the discussions he had had with Mitchell, Dole, Foley, and Michel. Budget negotiations began on Capitol Hill among the 26 members involved in the negotiations. No progress was made. May 17 - June 20 Budget negotiations continued to stall after unproductive meetings on Capitol Hill between White House staff and a bi-partisan group of Members of Congress. June 22 Brady and Darman report to President Bush on a meeting they had held June 21 with Senator Lloyd Bentsen (D-TX) and Congressman Rostenkowski, during which both Democrats indicated they were amenable to negotiating a deal with the White House that they would then sell to the Democratic leadership. June 25 President Bush met with Republican budget negotiators, all of whom agreed, a few with some hesitation, that a budget deal that raised taxes was acceptable, but only if the deal met certain conditions. June 26 President Bush and his staff agreed at a meeting with the Congressional leadership (as well as Representative Richard Gephardt (D-MO)), that any budget deal would have to include entitlement reform, reduction of defense and discretionary spending, budget process reform, and tax increases. Serious budget negotiations started with this agreement. Following the meeting, President Bush issued a written statement, which said that in order to solve the "deficit problem….tax revenue increases" may be necessary in the federal budget for FY 1991. It was the first time Bush had publicly reneged on his pledge from the 1988 presidential campaign of “no new taxes.” By 12:30 p.m., Press Secretary Fitzwater reported that calls to the White House were running 12 to 1 against the President. Statement available via the Bush Library at: http://bushlibrary.tamu.edu/ August 4 Congress began its summer recess. The twenty-six Members of Congress (the budget negotiators) had met throughout the summer with White House staff, most prominently Darman, Sununu, and Brady, but were unable to reach a budget agreement. Bush wrote in his diary of the negotiations, “I much prefer foreign affairs. I salute Sununu and Darman for doing it.” September 7 The Congressional budget negotiators returned to Washington and began meeting with White House representatives at Andrews Air Force Base. All hoped this would be the final round of negotiations. The talks quickly stalled over capital gains taxes. September 10 In a speech to Congress after the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait, Bush exhorted lawmakers to “address our budget deficit—not after election day, not next year, but now.” September 17 Budget negotiations at Andrews went nowhere. The group of 26 negotiators from Congress agrees to turn over the talks to the Congressional leadership (Mitchell, Dole, Foley, and Michel,) to work with Darman, Brady, and Sununu from the White House. “The talks are not collapsed,” Gephardt declared, “We’re just moving them to a different stage.” September 25 Bush told reporters that he would veto a budget agreement that did not contain “real spending reduction and real process reform.” September 30 The Bush administration and Congressional negotiators reached a budget deal for FY 1991, right before the mandated sequester. Congress also passed a continuing resolution to keep the federal government funded through October 5. October 1 In the Rose Garden, Bush, his budget team, and the Congressional leadership gathered to announce an agreement on the FY 1991 budget. The budget cut almost $120 billion from entitlement and mandatory programs, $182 billion from discretionary programs, and instituted a “pay as you go” system that mandated any new programs be paid for at the time of their initiation. The plan also called for $134 billion in tax increases, the majority of which came from a phased in gasoline tax. President Bush said, “I do not welcome any such tax measure…However, this one does have the virtue…of contributing to deficit reduction.” Representative Newt Gingrich (R-GA) announced his opposition to the agreement and refused to join other members of Congress in the Rose Garden. Rose Garden statement available via the Bush Library at: http://bushlibrary.tamu.edu/ President Bush signed a continuing resolution that provided funds to keep the government operating through October 5, preventing a government shutdown. For Bush’s remarks on his action, see the Bush Library at: http://bushlibrary.tamu.edu/ October 5 The House of Representatives voted 254 to 179 to reject the budget bill, with a coalition of conservative Republicans led by Gingrich joining Democrats to kill the compromise. The defeat of the budget ensured that the government would shut down unless lawmakers passed, and Bush signed, another continuing resolution that provided funds. October 6 The House passed a continuing resolution that would keep the government running through October 12. President Bush vetoed it that same day, saying, “It is time for the Congress to act responsibly on a budget resolution—not time for business as usual.” For the veto message and a Bush press conference go to http://bushlibrary.tamu.edu. Portions of the federal government closed, mainly public attractions such as National Parks. Most key military operations were exempted from the shutdown, which was important because the American military was gearing up to fight the Gulf War. Public outcry over the government shut-down grew, with much of it directed at President Bush. October 9 Under intense public pressure, President Bush signed a second continuing resolution that funded the government through October 19. October 9–27 Congress worked to recraft a budget deal. October 20 President Bush signed another continuing resolution. This one kept the government running until October 24. October 25 President Bush signed another continuing resolution to keep the government running. October 27 The House passed a budget bill in the early morning by a vote of 228 to 200. The Senate passed the bill that afternoon by a 54 to 45 margin. The bill called for the reduction of the federal deficit by $43 billion in FY 1991, and by nearly $500 billion over a five-year period. The bill mandated tax increases for almost every American, but also provided spending cuts in farm, housing, and veterans programs. The passage of the budget bill happened without the support of conservative Republicans, led by Gingrich, who refused to vote for new taxes. News conference on the resolution of the budget crisis at http://bushlibrary.tamu.edu. November 5 President Bush signed the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1990.