MMM132 - Management Trimester 2, 2009 Assignment 2 – Case Study Report Corey Allen - 800398156 Luke Kinnear - 800301003 A Competitive Analysis of Virgin Blue Airlines and the Australian Airline Industry 800301003 & 800398156 Page 1 6/03/2016 1. Executive Summary In this report we initially analyse the Australian airline industry as a whole and the environment in which it operates. We see how the industry has moved from a regulated two airline industry to being deregulated and highly competitive. We review some of the political and economic forces that have shaped the industry and how the airlines within it have developed. We also highlight some key turning points in the industry such as the Ansett collapse. In particular, we study the way Virgin Blue operates within this competitive industry. We examine how Virgin Blue has been able to develop a presence in Australia since its inception in 2000. Initially targeting the tourist market, Virgin Blue has been able to increase its impact on the business sector which was once the domain of Qantas. We see that Virgin Blue has been able to harness the power of the Global Virgin brand and develop strategies in line with their culture to provide an attractive alternative to its competitors. We see that today’s industry is faced with the pressures of new entrants, global economic crisis, global health issues and the continuing threat of terrorism. Airlines such as Virgin Blue are under constant pressure to adapt to their environment and have a clear strategic plan place to guarantee survival and success in the future. 800301003 & 800398156 Page 2 6/03/2016 2. Table of contents Page No. 1. Executive Summary 2 2. Table of Contents 3 3. Introduction 4 4. Environmental Analysis 4.1 Introduction 5 4.2 General Analysis 5 4.3 Task Analysis 7 4.4 Summary 9 5. Competitive Analysis 5.1 Organisation Background 10 5.2 Strengths 11 5.3 Weaknesses 12 5.4 Opportunities 12 5.5 Threats 13 5.6 Critical Summation 14 5.7 Recommendations 15 6. Strategic Analysis 16 7. Conclusions 17 8. References 18 800301003 & 800398156 Page 3 6/03/2016 3. Introduction This report analyses the evolution of the Australian airline industry from its former operations under the “two airline policy”, to deregulation in 1990 and the state of the industry today. We look at the effects of the environmental forces that have shaped and continue to shape the industry. We provide some background on the effects of policy changes and the many upheavals the industry has experienced - such as the Ansett collapse and the global financial crisis. We examine in depth how Virgin Blue has rapidly grown within the competitive deregulated market and the strategies the company undertakes to maintain market share. We analyse the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats facing Virgin Blue and make recommendations on ways to strengthen their position in the industry. We begin this report with analysis of the general and task environment within the Australian airline industry. We then provide an analysis of Virgin Blue within the industry, including their competitive situation and current strategic approach to the organisational environment. The Australian airline industry has undergone many changes from competitive, political and economic forces. Airlines need to be constantly aware of the changing environment and be flexible enough to adapt when necessary. 800301003 & 800398156 Page 4 6/03/2016 4. Environmental Analysis 4.1 Introduction The organisational environment refers to the outside set of pressures and forces that an organisation faces, which can have a wide-ranging effect on how they run their operations. This is split into two categories, the general environment and the task environment. The general environment includes political, economic, and technological forces. The task environment is linked more directly to the organisation through competitors and customers. These environments are constantly changing and it is critical for organisations to adapt accordingly (Wadell et al, 2008). Here, we analyse the organisational environment of the Australian airline industry. 4.2 General Analysis The Australian airline industry has changed significantly over the last 30 to 40 years. In late 1990 it moved from a government regulated industry and was deregulated. The industry has experienced many turbulent periods throughout its history often as a result of the environment it operates in. As described by Kirby (1979), up until deregulation the Australian airline industry operated under what was called the “two airline policy” since the 1950s. Under this system, the major air routes across the country were split equally between two airlines. These routes were called Trunk Routes. 800301003 & 800398156 Page 5 6/03/2016 The two airlines were Airlines TAA (Trans-Australia Airlines) which was government owned, and Ansett Airlines of Australia which was privately owned. The regulation meant no price competition between the airlines or improvements in quality of services such as in flight catering or décor. The customer was only offered one price and could not opt out of any services. This is in contrast the current deregulated market where discount fare operators require passengers to pay extra for things such as in-flight catering (Kirby 1979). The airlines were also restricted in terms of flights offered because the flights required were estimated and each Airline could operate 50 per cent of this requirement. This kind of restriction inhibited any form of competition as neither airline could aggressively compete through increased services. In the late 1970s the industry began to change and the policy regulating the industry was reviewed. The restrictions on fares and flights were reduced. However even the lifting of some of these restrictions had little effect on the industry. If discount fares were offered they could not be at the expense of standard fares. (Quiggin 1997) 4.3 Task Analysis The Australian airline industry became deregulated on 1 November 1990. There were no longer restrictions on airfares or to competitors entering the 800301003 & 800398156 Page 6 6/03/2016 market. Quiggin (1997) indicates that almost immediately a new airline, Compass Airlines, started operation in the domestic market offering heavily discounted tickets with only one class. This resulted in the existing two airlines, Ansett and Australian (formerly TAA) becoming more aggressivel in their pricing offers. This ultimately led to the collapse of Compass less than two years later. There was also a Compass Mk II, which also failed. In 1992 Qantas took over Australian Airlines and a year later they merged under “Qantas – The Australian Airline” (qantas.com.au, 2009). Arguably, one of the most turbulent periods for the Australian airline industry, aside from the Pilots Strike of 1989, was the collapse of Ansett Airlines in September 2001. The Australian government had lifted restrictions on foreign investment, in particular domestic airlines being 100 per cent foreign owned. This allowed British-owned Virgin Blue to enter the market in August 2000, (Avline No. 5 2004). As Virgin Blue was the new player it was a shock to many that Ansett was the one to fail. Another significant development to affect the industry was the September 11 attacks in the United States in 2001. The industry had been operating at record levels in July 2001, and fell 20.8 per cent by October 2001. The airline industry restructured with Qantas and Virgin Blue increasing capacity on the existing Ansett routes. (Avline No. 5 2004). Today the Australian airline industry is dominated by four airlines who in 2007/2008 accounted for nearly 88 per cent of the total market. These four are Qantas, Jetstar (Qantas owned), Virgin Blue and Tiger Airways (Avline No 12 2008). Regional airlines make up the remaining 12 per cent of the market. 800301003 & 800398156 Page 7 6/03/2016 The industry has become highly competitive especially among the discount fare carriers, Jetstar, Virgin Blue and the newcomer Tiger. Hadley (2007) reported that the industry was set for a price war with the arrival of Tiger Airways, who were offering $10 plus tax fares. The airlines operate on CASK (Cost per Available Seat Kilometre) calculation, and need to have this at a certain level to be able to offer low fares and be profitable. These discount operators offer no frills flying, and consumers purchase a ticket for a seat only, and any extras such as in-flight catering are paid for as extras. This lower cost of flying also introduced many customers to the airlines who may not have been able to fly in the past or who would have used other forms of transport. The rise in global oil prices has also directly affected airline prices, profits and competition. Wastnage (2008) reported in Travel Weekly that yet another airline was looking to enter the Australian market. Indonesian-based Lion Air was set to start flights to and from Indonesia. The question often raised is whether the industry could make way for another player. Wastnage (2008) explains that unlike Tiger and Virgin Blue who are 100 percent foreign owned, Lion Air had formed a joint venture with Brisbane-based Sky Air World (51 percent owner). This would effectively give them an ability to expand internationally, as under Australian government policy Australian international airlines must be majority Australian owned. 800301003 & 800398156 Page 8 6/03/2016 Despite deregulation, the industry is still required to comply with the Trade Practices Act 1974,specifically in terms of its competition policy. The body that oversees this is the Australian and Competition and Consumer Commission, or ACCC. This body ensures there are no unfair competition practices in the industry. For example, they monitor the advantages Qantas has compared to its much smaller competitors (Kain & Webb 2003). 4.4 Summary The Australian airline industry has moved from regulation of only two operators to the modern market of four major competitors competing against each other. Maintaining market share, continually maintaining low prices and keeping operating costs low are continual challenges against such factors as further squeezing of the market by new airlines, terrorism fears, and rises in global oil prices. 800301003 & 800398156 Page 9 6/03/2016 5. Competitive Analysis 5.1 Organisation Background Virgin Blue was launched in August 2001 with two aircraft and set out on one route with the clear goal of providing a low cost, quality air travel alternative to their largest competitor Qantas. Starting out with humble beginnings as a purely passenger travel alternative for Australian routes, Virgin Blue has grown within the Asia Pacific region to incorporate Pacific Blue which is a joint venture with the Samoan government. This has provided “essential and affordable air services between Samoa, New Zealand and Australia” (virginblue.com.au, 2009). With its evolving business strategy, Virgin Blue is moving towards a more corporate friendly market while remaining relevant to the non-business traveller. The virginblue.com.au website states that over 75 per cent of the top 200 ASX listed companies in Australia hold corporate accounts with them. Virgin’s future business strategy embraces advances in environmental, audio visual and aircraft technology to deliver a product to its consumer that meets the demands of the savvy traveller, whether it is for business or pleasure. These include new aircraft to the fleet and carbon offsetting for the entire staff of Virgin Blue. Virgin has also introduced a frequent flyers program (Velocity) and business lounges at airports to accommodate their growing business clientele. In 2006, CEO Brett Godfrey stated “Virgin was moving from a low-cost business model to a ‘new-world carrier’. New-world carriers provide many of 800301003 & 800398156 Page 10 6/03/2016 the services legacy carriers such as Qantas provide, but retain a low-cost approach”. (smh.com.au, 2005) 5.2 Strengths The review of Virgin Blue’s corporate strategy has revealed the following strengths; Strong culture Low cost strategy in a cost focused environment Edgy marketing strategy Viewed as a fun brand which targets young travellers successfully Good economy to scale- Virgin is a large company with diverse interests (money lending, car insurance, international airlines, music) Corporate strategy- “true and sustainable competition and value-formoney, while not compromising safety or product quality.” (virginblue.com.au, 2009) High levels of employee engagement High brand recognition- Virgin Blue had a 94% brand recognition rate before launch in 2000 (hrleader.net.au, 2003) Ability to codeshare with Virgin Atlantic, V Australia and Pacific Blue airlines Live 2 Air network, which allows customers to access FOXTEL and AUSTAR content on personal screens- a revolutionary first in air travel entertainment Carbon offsetting available for customers All Virgin employee travel is carbon offset 800301003 & 800398156 Page 11 6/03/2016 31% of the domestic market, which makes it the second biggest airline in Australia 5.3 Weaknesses There are weaknesses in the Virgin Blue strategy although they do not have major implications; Viewed as an ‘expensive low cost airline’ by the industry Fly to out-of-the-way airports such as Avalon in Melbourne which does not affect Qantas Hiring policy- eight flight attendants have won an age discrimination case against airline Virgin Blue. The women, aged between 36 and 56, claimed Virgin Blue discriminated against them in job interviews that required applicants to dance and sing. (smh.com.au,2005). Views that the airline compromises safety and comfort for price. Low brand loyalty- most customers find cheapest flights on Webjet etc 5.4 Opportunities Various large opportunities exist in the airline market for Virgin Blue to take advantage of; Low cost business target market Viral marketing/ social media (Twitter/ Facebook) to reduce marketing costs Expanded routes Reduction of costs through own website bookings Expanded marketing overseas for interstate travel 800301003 & 800398156 Page 12 6/03/2016 More fuel efficient aircraft to reduce costs Smaller aircraft (Embraer) so they can compete on routes such as Sydney- Canberra and “enhance their ability to serve the corporate market by more accurately matching seat capacity and frequency to passenger demand” (smh.com.au, 2006). “European budget carriers experienced traffic growth of 2.1 percent despite their revenue worries.” (smh.com.au, 2009). Virgin has a distinct ability to achieve growth during the Global Financial Crisis. 5.5 Threats Many significant threats exist in the airline industry and the external environment which have major implications to Virgin Blue’s business; Competitors offering the same type of product with the same cost advantages such as Tiger and Jetstar. Video conferencing taking over from business trips Rising fuel costs and lack of ability to pass on costs Online competition, lack of control over online market Online fraud/ viruses from booking websites Global financial downturn- reduction in profitability. Qantas just posted an 88% drop in profit on the last financial year, and expects to cut costs by $1.5b over the next 5 years (abc.net.au, 2009). Staffing cuts due to the Global Financial Crisis. Swine flu- implications on travel industry and airfares “Passenger traffic fell 9.3 percent last month following a year-on-year decline of 3.1 800301003 & 800398156 Page 13 6/03/2016 percent in April, a month traditionally buoyed by holiday travel over the Easter period.” Terrorism- implications from September 11 The region experiencing the most economic trouble remains the AsiaPacific market, where international passenger traffic fell 14.3 percent in May due to the weak economic climate "and the impact of influenza A(H1N1) on the region with the most vivid memories of the SARS crisis," (smh.com.au, 2009) 5.6 Rising insurance costs due to terrorism The ability of Jetstar to draw on Qantas’ customer base Critical Summation Virgin Blue continues to hold true to its maxim that it will provide a low cost quality service whilst not compromising safety or comfort. Their foray into providing a business service has been augmented over the last few years by introducing corporate packaging, a frequent flyer program, premium economy class and business lounges at airport terminals. Staff enjoy working with the airline and create a fun atmosphere within the organisation, but the company has been criticised in the media for its hiring policy and procedures, and has been punished accordingly. The marketing around Virgin continues to be audacious and overt, with figurehead Richard Branson constantly in the media spotlight. The Global Financial Crisis and the outbreak of swine flu have had major implications on business worldwide over the last year, and Virgin has not been immune. Profits are forecast to continue to drop in the next financial half 800301003 & 800398156 Page 14 6/03/2016 year. Rising fuel and insurance costs are threats to business, and the threat of terrorism still hangs over the airline industry since September 11, 2001. The airline has some very real opportunities to expand and maximise business including embracing fuel efficient technologies and purchasing smaller aircraft to maintain economy to scale on less popular routes. Growth in budget airlines continues to occur despite the Global Financial Crisis overseas, so it follows that the trend will transfer to the Australian market, which still continues to rally against the downturn. 5.7 Recommendations The following points should be undertaken by Virgin Blue to ensure continuation of business growth, listed in order of priority; Target business clients more heavily, as personal air travel is more susceptible to the economic downturn Use smaller aircraft such as the Embraer fleet to reduce ticket pricing for business routes such as Sydney to Melbourne and Sydney to Canberra Find cleaner and more fuel efficient ways of going about business such as a sustainability programme which other major companies such as Coca-Cola Amatil have embraced Continue to implement the low cost strategy of Ryan Air and the like, as this business is still in growth Find ways to transfer international Virgin flight business to the domestic travel market 800301003 & 800398156 Page 15 6/03/2016 Explore code-sharing relationships with other major international airlines Promote bookings through the virginblue.com.au website to encourage direct business Promote a fairer recruitment strategy including recruitment of women between the ages of 30 to 35 Use social networking to reach their young target market with viral marketing Promote the groundbreaking Live2Air network to the public 6. Strategic Analysis Forming a strategy involves “managers analysing an organisation’s current situation and then developing strategies to accomplish its mission and achieve its goals” (Waddell et al, 2008). Virgin Blue’s mission is to provide “true and sustainable competition and value-for-money, while not compromising safety or product quality.” (virginblue.com.au, 2009) To achieve this, Virgin has implemented many strategies to keep costs low for their customers which do not require cutting costs on maintenance and comfort. Virgin’s ‘user pays’ philosophy is backed up by provision of on board menus and innovations such as Live2Air, which are available for those who wish to pay extra for them. This goes back to Virgin’s original maxim “all you’re buying is the flying” (virginblue.com.au, 2000). Virgin’s target market when the aircraft launched was purely tourist market which they reached by providing a cheaper alternative to the duopoly that had existed until deregulation of the Australian airline industry. Virgin has now 800301003 & 800398156 Page 16 6/03/2016 expanded their target market to embrace the lucrative business sector with business lounges at terminals, larger seating options and corporate packaging. Virgin Blue’s low cost business strategy holds the company in good stead in 2009 and helps maintain an edge over their major competitors. This is a strategy by which “managers try to gain a competitive advantage by focusing the energy of all the organisation’s departments or functions on driving the organisation’s costs down below the costs of its rivals” (Waddell et al, 2008). In the wake of a global financial downturn, individuals and companies are looking for ways to reduce costs, and air travel is considered to be a large cost to most. Rising business costs, security levels and health concerns remain large threats to the airline industry, but Virgin Blue needs to maintain their share of the market to weather these threats. The major competitive threat to Virgin Blue in the current climate is the introduction of other low cost airlines such as Tiger Airways and increased competition from established airlines such as Qantas and Jetstar, which could erode Virgin’s 31% share. In order to differentiate itself from the competition, Virgin Blue needs to encourage related diversification amongst its business units by, for example, code-sharing with Virgin Atlantic, V Australia and Pacific Blue and by providing incentives for customers to purchase tickets for Virgin Blue flights using Virgin credit cards. Conclusions Virgin’s global strategy encompasses various business types including music, money lending, air travel and now a push toward space travel (Virgin 800301003 & 800398156 Page 17 6/03/2016 Galactic). The company continues to diversify in order to remain the brand of choice for its customers. The culture of pushing boundaries whilst providing value and quality for their customers makes Virgin pertinent to its target markets. To survive in the current global financial market and remain competitive in the Australian airline industry, Virgin needs to remain true to its policy of quality and comfort whilst retaining the low cost focus and become a new world carrier, as outlined by Brett Godfrey in 2006. 800301003 & 800398156 Page 18 6/03/2016 REFERENCES Kain, J. Webb, R. 2003 Turbulent Times: Australian Airline Industry Issues 2003, Reseach Paper No. 10 2002-03 Department of Parliamentary Library http://www.aph.gov.au/library/Pubs/RP/2002-03/03RP10.pdf. retrieved 25 August 2009 Kirby, M. G. 1979, ‘An Economic Assessment of Australia’s Two Airline Policy’, Australian Journal Of Management (Oct 1979), Vol 4 Issue 2, pp. 105 – 118, retrieved 25 August 2009, Business Source Premier. 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