Statistics for Business PMBA 421 Summer 2012 Office Hours: By appointment Chris D. Gingrich, Ph.D. Office: CC206e 432-4154 chris.gingrich@emu.edu Course Description and Objectives This course provides a basic foundation in the discipline of statistics and statistical analysis. Statistics is used widely in business management including accounting, operations, human resources, finance and marketing. Understanding of the role that statistics plays is important in your development as a manager. This course requires only a facility in basic algebra. The course is delivered on-line through Aplia, a web-based course content provider, and will use Moodle (http://moodle.emu.edu), the EMUprovided learning management system. The objectives of this course are to provide the following: Understanding the basic definitions of data including scales of measurement and basic descriptive statistics. Understanding how to describe data with both tabular and graphical presentations. Understanding measures of central tendency and measures of variability and the various techniques used to describe these measures. Understanding the relevance of basic probability to the understanding and application of statistical analysis. Knowing basic discrete probability distributions and how to use them in making statistical inferences. Knowing basic continuous probability distributions and how to use them in making statistical inferences. Understanding concepts of sampling and sampling distributions and how they are used. Knowing how to compute confidence intervals for means and proportions and knowing the relevance of those intervals and how they are used. Knowing how to frame conjectures into testable hypotheses and how to conduct hypothesis tests. Knowing how to compare means, how to create experimental designs and how to conduct an analysis of variance. Knowing how to compare proportions and how to create tests of independence. Knowing how to use basic simple regression to model causality Summer 2012 1 PMBA 421 Statistics for Business Required Text and Materials Essentials of Statistics for Business and Economics, 6th Edition, David R. Anderson, Dennis J. Sweeney and Thomas A. Williams. (Thomson South-Western, 2011) ISBN 0-538-75457-5 This course will use Aplia to deliver course content and assessment. The cost of Aplia is $90 which includes on-line access to the text in e-book format. The e-book text is available for the duration of the course. If you prefer purchasing a hard-copy of the text you can do so through Aplia for an additional fee or you may purchase a new or used copy from any book seller. Chapter assignments and assessments are handled through Aplia. Examinations are handled through Moodle. In addition to these graded items, each textbook chapter contains exercises (with answers posted on Moodle) that students should use for additional practice for topics not fully mastered from the Aplia exercises. Aplia Registration Aplia is part of CengageBrain, which allows you to sign in to a single site to access your Cengage materials and courses. 1. Connect to http://login.cengagebrain.com/ 2. If you already have an Aplia/Cengage account, sign in. From your Dashboard, enter your course key (GRA8-TZLD-D22P) in the box provided, and click the Register button. If you don't have an Aplia/Cengage account, click the Create a New Account button, and enter your course key when prompted: GRA8-TZLD-D22P. Continue to follow the on-screen instructions. Aplia Payment Online: Purchase access to your course (including the digital textbook) from the CengageBrain website. After paying, you will have the option to purchase a physical book at a discounted price. If you choose to pay later, you can use Aplia without paying until three weeks after the start of the course. Grading Policy Grading will be based on the following scale: A A- 94-100 90-93 Summer 2012 B+ B 87-89 84-86 C+ C 77-79 74-76 B- 80-83 C- 70-73 D+ D 2 67-69 60-66 F Below 60 PMBA 421 Statistics for Business Evaluation Criteria and Weights in Grade Determination There will be weekly assessments on Aplia from the chapter material covered each week and three section exams each covering four chapters. The weekly work on Aplia is due on Sunday nights by 11:45 p.m. The final grade will be computed using the following weights: Assessment Aplia Weekly Assignments* Exams (3) Weight 55% 45% *Average of 13 total assignments, with the lowest score dropped Disability Statement If you have received services in the past related to a learning disability or attention deficit disorder and/or feel you may have such a problem in this course, please make an appointment with the Coordinator of Student Disability Support Services in the Academic Support Center, 3 rd Floor, Hartzler Library, 432-4233. Class Schedule Week May 14-20 Week 1 May 21-27 2 May 28June 3 June 4-10 3 4 June 11-17 June 18-24 June 25-July 1 July 2 -8 July 9-15 5 6 7 8 July 16-22 July 23-29 9 10 July 30-Aug 5 11 Aug 6-12 12 Summer 2012 Topic Introduction to Aplia; Data and Statistics: An Overview and Introduction Descriptive Statistics: Tabular and Graphical Presentations Descriptive Statistics: Numerical Measures Introduction to Probability; Exam #1 (Chapters 1-4) No assignments due this week Discrete Probability Distributions Continuous Probability Distributions Sampling and Sampling Distributions Interval Estimation; Exam #2 (Chapters 5-8) Hypothesis Tests Comparisons Involving Means, Experimental Design and Analysis of Variance Comparisons Involving Proportions and Tests of Independence Simple Linear Regression Exam #3 (Chapters 9-12) 3 Chapter 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 PMBA 421 Statistics for Business The first exam will come during week 4, the second exam during week 8, and the third exam during week 12. The exams are timed at two hours and must be completed by 11:59 p.m. on Sunday of the specified week. While the exams are open book/open note they are not intended that you have the opportunity to look up solutions to all the questions. Attempting to do so will cause you to run out of time. Assistance This course is designed for independent study and learning. The course does not contain regular lecture or instructor interface. However, students may ask the instructor to clarify points not understood and to answer specific questions. The preferred contact method is by email. Summer 2012 4 PMBA 421