WORKSHOP OF THE AUSTRALASIAN MACROECONOMICS SOCIETY (WAMS 2014) JULY 31 – AUGUST 1, 2014 We would like to thank the following sponsors, who generously contributed funds: Centre for Applied Macroeconomics Analysis, Australian National University Department of Economics, University of Melbourne Macroeconomics Research Unit, University of Melbourne Melbourne Business School, University of Melbourne Reserve Bank of Australia The Treasury DRAFT PROGRAM THURSDAY, JULY 31 8:30 – 9:00: Coffee and assorted savoury snacks 9:00 – 9:30 Introductions: Ian King, Nilss Olekalns, Timothy Kam Session 1: 9:30-10:15 10:15-11:00 11:00-11:45 Room 1 Growth and Trade “Innovation, Technology Diffusion and Trade” Scott French (UNSW) Discussant: Timur Behlul (Melbourne) “Misallocation, Internal Trade, and the Role of Transportation Infrastructure” Manuel Garcia-Santana (Université Libre de Bruxelles) Discussant: Reshad Ahsan (Melbourne) “Regional Differences in Economic Growth” Presenter: Tomohito Okabe (ANU) Discussant: Xueli Tang (Deakin) Room 2 VARs “Structural VARs, Deterministic and Stochastic Trends” Benjamin Wong (RBNZ) Discussant: Efrem Castelnuovo (Melbourne) “Uncertain Times, Hard Times: Volatility Shocks in Recessions and Expansions” Efrem Castelnuovo (Melbourne) Discussant: Don Harding (La Trobe) “Financial Regulation Policy Uncertainty and Credit Spreads in the U.S.” Gabriela Nodari (Verona) Discussant: Jonathan Thong (Melbourne) 1 11:45 – 1:00 Session 2 1:00-1:45 1:45-2:30 2:30 – 3:00 Session 3 3:00-3:45 3:45-4:30 Lunch Room 1 Monetary Theory “Inflation and Real Wage Dispersion: A Model of Frictional Markets” Stella Huangfu (Sydney) Discussant: Benoit Julien (UNSW) “Can Sale Price Adjustments Affect the Neutrality of Money?” Fang Yao (RBNZ) Discussant: Sylvia Xiao (UTS) Room 2 Social Insurance “Social Health Insurance: A Quantitative Exploration” Chung Tran (ANU) Discussant: Solmaz Moslehi (Monash) “Payroll Taxes, Social Insurance, and Business Cycles” Mark Weder (Adelaide) Discussant: Begona Dominguez (UQ) Break 1 Room 1 Habit Formation andConsumption “Lifestyle Habits and International Transmission of Business Cycles” Alexandre Dmitriev (Tasmania) Discussant: Horag Choi (Monash) “Consumption Commitments in General Equilibrium” Christian Gillitzer (RBA) Discussant: Kei Kawakami (Melbourne) Room 2 Structural Change “Sectoral Stagnation and the Yen” Luke Meehan (ANU) Discussant: Viet Nguyen (Melbourne Institute) “Demographics, Home Production, and Structural Change” Satoshi Tanaka (UQ) Discussant: Jay Sarkar (QUT) 4:30 – 4:45 Break 2 4:45 – 5:45 Plenary 1: Professor Jaume Ventura (CREI, Barcelona GSE) 6:00 – 7:30 Drinks (MBS) 7:00 Workshop Dinner (MBS) 2 FRIDAY, AUGUST 1 8:30 – 9:00: Session 4 9:00-9:45 9:45-10:30 Coffee and assorted savoury snacks Room 1 Macro Theory “Straightforward Approximate Stochastic Equilibria for Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models” Denny Lie (Sydney) Discussant: May Li (Melbourne) Room 2 Phillips Curve and Business Cycles “A Spectral Representation of the Phillips Curve in Australia” Debdulal Mallick (Deakin) Discussant: Matthew GreenwoodNimmo (Melbourne) “A Class of Aggregate Production Functions” Sephorah Mangin (Monash) Discussant: Mei Dong (Melbourne) “A Boom-Bust Business Cycle Model” Timo Henckel (ANU) Discussant: Guay Lim (Melbourne Institute) 10:30 – 10:45 Break 1 10:45 – 11:45 Plenary 2: Professor Vincenzo Quadrini (University of Southern California) 11:45 – 1:00 Lunch (and Board Meeting) Session 5 1:00-1:45 1:45-2:30 2:30 – 3:00 Room 1 Growth and Environment “Economic Growth, Structural Change and Environmental Quality” Simone Marsiglio (James Cook) Discussant: Andrew John (MBS) “Natural Resources, R&D and Economic Growth” Thanh Quang Le (UQ) Discussant: Scott French (UNSW) Room 2 Zero Lower Bound “Estimating the expected duration of the ZLB in a DSGE Model with Forward Guidance” James Morley (UNSW) Discussant: Yu-Chin Chen (MBS) “Estimating DSGE models with Occasionally Binding Constraints” Presenter: Tim Robinson (Melbourne Institute) Discussant: Benjamin Wong Break 2 3 Session 6 Room 1 Government Policy and Investment 3:00-3:45 “An Evaluation of Constitutional Constraints on Capital Taxation” Begona Dominguez (UQ) Discussant: Pedro Gomis Porqueras (Monash) 3:45-4:30 “Government Corruption and FDI under the Threat of Expropriation” Chris Hajzler (Otago) Discussant: Tim Kam (ANU) Room 2 Financial Frictions and Business Cycles “Financial Conditions and Slow Recoveries” Zhe Li (Shanghai University of Finance and Economics) Discussant: Tim Robinson (Melbourne Institute) “News Driven Business Cycles in SOEs” Gunes Kamber (RBNZ) Discussant: Barry Rafferty (Melbourne) 4:30 – 4:45 Break 3 4:45 – 5:15 Wrap up (Adrian Pagan) 5:15 – 5:30 Presentation for Best Discussant Prize 5:30 – Adjourn 4