Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 117 (2003) 125–144 Methods of estimating CO2 , latent heat and sensible heat fluxes from estimates of land cover fractions in the flux footprint Segun O. Ogunjemiyo a,∗ , Samuel K. Kaharabata c , Peter H. Schuepp b , Ian J. MacPherson d , Ray. L. Desjardins c , Dar A. Roberts a b a Department of Geography, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA 93106-4060, USA Department of Natural Resource Sciences, McGill University, Macdonald Campus, Ste-Anne-de Bellevue, Que., Canada c Research Branch, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, Ottawa, Ont., Canada d Institute for Aerospace Research, National Research Council of Canada, Ottawa, Ont., Canada Received 12 December 2002; received in revised form 11 February 2003; accepted 18 February 2003 Abstract We present a description of the process of estimating surface fluxes of CO2 , latent heat and sensible heat from estimates of fractions of satellite-based land cover types in the flux footprint. The study is conducted at two heterogeneous sites in the boreal forest of Central Canada. Using a Twin Otter aircraft, fluxes were measured in a grid pattern during three Intensive Field Campaigns (IFCs) and Landsat thematic mapper data were used for land cover classification. Using a footprint function developed from tracer gas release experiments in the boreal forest, the fractions of cover types within the footprint were determined, and used in a regression analysis against observed fluxes. The results showed that the surface cover types within the flux footprint accounted for about 90% of the variations in the measured airborne fluxes of CO2 , sensible heat and latent heat, at two different study sites. The attempted validation of the regression models, by comparing flux estimates over regional transects outside the grid area for which the regression model had been developed or over site-specific runs within the grid area against observed fluxes, based on fractional distributions of surface cover types, were encouraging. They indicate the potential for extrapolating models developed for a given location to another location, based simply on the fractions of cover types, at least for similar land cover types. © 2003 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved. Keywords: Flux footprint; Sensible heat; Latent heat; Intensive Field Campaigns Abbreviations: BOREAS, Boreal Ecosystem Atmosphere Study; BORIS, BOREAS Information System; C, CO2 flux; CODE, California Ozone Deposition Experiment; FIFE, First International Satellite Land Surface Climatology Project Field Experiment; H, sensible heat flux; IFC, Intensive Field Campaigns; LE, latent heat flux; NOWES, Northern Wetland Study; NSA, Northern Study Area; P, flux footprint; RSS, remote sensing science; SSA, Southern Study Area; TE, terrestrial ecosystem; TO, Twin Otter Land cover class abbreviations: As, aspen; Cd, conifer dry; Cr, conifer regeneration; Cw, conifer wet; De, deciduous; Di, disturbed; Dr, deciduous regeneration; Fe, fen; Cl, clearing; Pi, pine; Sp, spruce; Sh, shrub; Wt, water ∗ Corresponding author. Tel.: +1-805-893-4519; fax: +1-805-893-7782. E-mail address: segun@geog.ucsb.edu (S.O. Ogunjemiyo). 0168-1923/03/$ – see front matter © 2003 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/S0168-1923(03)00061-3 126 S.O. Ogunjemiyo et al. / Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 117 (2003) 125–144 1. Introduction The need to further understand the processes governing the transfer of heat, mass and energy between the terrestrial ecosystems and the atmosphere and to improve process model predictions of surface–atmosphere exchange has been a subject of great concern in recent years. It has motivated the design and execution of multi-scale projects such as HAPEX-MOBILHY (André et al., 1996), the First International Satellite Land Surface Climatology Project Field Experiment (FIFE) (Sellers et al., 1989), the Northern Wetland Study (NOWES) (Glooschenko et al., 1994), the California Ozone Deposition Experiment (CODE) (Pederson, 1995) and the Boreal Ecosystem Atmosphere Study (BOREAS) (Sellers et al., 1995). Most coupled boundary-layer surface energy balance models estimate surface fluxes on the basis of a known relationship between fluxes and easily derived or remotely sensed parameters such as radiative surface temperature, which reflects the combined effects of surface energy balance, atmospheric state and the character of the local land surface (Diak, 1990; Carlson et al., 1994; Norman and Becker, 1995), and vegetation indices such as the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), greenness index (GI) or simple ratio (SR), leaf area index (LAI), which are related to variables such as vegetation structure and density (e.g. Hall et al., 1992; Bonan, 1993). The coupled boundary-layer surface energy balance models are known to have produced mixed results. An example is the use of remotely sensed data to infer surface sensible heat flux on a regional scale. For land surfaces composed of either dense vegetation or bare soils, remote-sensing-based land surface energy balance models have been used with reasonable accuracy (Kustas et al., 1989; Diak, 1990; Abareshi and Schuepp, 1998). Over areas with incomplete canopy cover, however, less satisfactory results have been reported, probably because such areas do not support the assumption of coupling between sensible heat flux and radiative temperature. Grid flight data from BOREAS (Ogunjemiyo et al., 1997, 1999) revealed a poor agreement between aircraft-based estimates of sensible heat flux and surface radiative temperature, and also between flux estimates and those obtained from satellite derived surface temperature (Ogunjemiyo et al., 1998). This is mainly attributed to the fact that the downward looking radiometer sees largely the surfaces between the spindly trees and the shaded subcanopy surfaces, which occupy part of its field of view, while heat exchange takes place primarily from the top of the trees, which have a small radiometric cross-section. The same problem was identified by Hall et al. (1992), and Sun and Mahrt (1995). Because land cover reflects the combined effects of vegetation, climate, soil and topography, some relationship should be expected between it and airborne measured fluxes of sensible heat, latent heat and CO2 . The development of a land cover-based model for estimation of surface fluxes could then provide a more attractive alternative to flux estimation based on remotely sensed surface characteristics. The lack of studies in this area are due to the specific (but seldom satisfied) requirements for establishing a relationship between fluxes and land cover: (a) high-resolution land cover data; (b) aircraft flux measurements; (c) tower flux measurements for specific cover types; (d) a mechanism for delineating the cover types that contribute significantly to the measured flux. The data acquisition in BOREAS was designed to meet such requirements. The project produced Landsat thematic mapper (TM)-based land cover data of the BOREAS study areas, and airborne flux data of the area on a regional scale and the development of the footprint concept provided a refined method for relating eddy fluxes to areas upwind of the measurement platform. The focus of this study is to explore the potential of estimating surface fluxes of heat, water and CO2 from a heterogeneous ecosystem given the proportion of cover types that constitute the ecosystem. The study was conducted at two 16 km × 16 km heterogeneous grid sites in the study areas of BOREAS in 1994. The subject is approached by multiple regression analysis, through which flux estimates can be deduced from the fractions of cover types within the flux footprint under the given meteorological conditions. Chen et al. (1999) is the only study known by the authors to have been done in this area for a heterogeneous and complex terrain as the boreal forest, where as much as 13 different cover types have been identified (Hall et al., 1997). This study provides a simpler alternative to Chen et al. (1999) approach, which is mathematically complex in practical application and too-heavily based on normalizing the ‘response function’ (of fluxes to S.O. Ogunjemiyo et al. / Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 117 (2003) 125–144 surface characteristics) based on tower data and works only if the latter are really representative of the overall terrain, which is precisely questionable in a complex surface like BOREAS. 2. Materials and methods 2.1. Site description The study sites are 16 km × 16 km heterogeneous grid areas located in the Southern Study Area (SSA) and Northern Study Area (NSA) of BOREAS. The diagonal corners of the SSA grid are located at 53.92◦ N/104.81◦ W and 53.78◦ N/104.56◦ W and those of the NSA grid site at 55.94◦ N/98.65◦ W and 55.80◦ N/98.40◦ W. The land cover maps of the grids are given in Ogunjemiyo et al. (1997) and Barr et al. (1997). The number of cover type ranges from 6 to 13, depending on the classification scheme (Hall et al., 1997; Ranson et al., 1997). The dominant cover type is conifer, which consists mainly of black spruce (Picea mariana) and jack pine (Pinus banksiana). Black spruce is found primarily in poorly drained areas, and jack pine stands are associated with well-drained and relatively dry areas, concentrated in the north-central and lower half center of the SSA grid, where the effects of logging with new regeneration can be observed. The deciduous species include quaking aspen (Populus tremuloides), balsam poplar (Populus balsamifera), and tamarack (Larix laricina). In the poorly drained areas throughout the grid, bogs support black spruce with some tamarack. The fen areas are composed mostly of sedge vegetation with discontinuous cover of tamarack or swamp birch. The distinct feature of the NSA grid is the abundance of mature conifer stands in the northern half and a mixture of conifers and deciduous stands at different stages of regeneration in the lower half of the grid. 2.2. Aircraft-based data The flux data were acquired using the Canadian Twin Otter (TO) aircraft (MacPherson, 1996; Ogunjemiyo et al., 1999). The principal role of the TO in BOREAS was to make low-altitude flux measurements for use in scaling up fluxes from tower 127 scales to the regional scales observable by satellite. The TO aircraft was operated in all the three Intensive Field Campaigns (IFCs) in 1994: IFC-1 from 23 May to 13 June, IFC-2 from 20 July to 8 August, and IFC-3 from 30 August to 19 September. At the NSA, five grid flights were flown in IFC-1, four in IFC-2, and five in IFC-3 while the corresponding numbers for the SSA were three, four and two. The flight patterns included site-specific runs, regional runs and grid patterns (MacPherson, 1996). Model development in our study was based on data from grid patterns, with some regional and site-specific runs used for model validation (Section 4.5). The grid patterns were flown at an approximate altitude of 30 m a.g.l., at a mean air speed of 60 m s−1 . Each grid flight consisted of nine parallel straight lines 16 km in length, spaced 2 km apart, with each line sampled twice in a time-centered sequence. Flight trajectories (East–West or North–South) were chosen for closest approach to crosswind conditions. All flights were flown around solar noon, under mostly clear weather conditions (cloud cover < 10%) characterized by unstable thermal stratification of the atmosphere. The aircraft was instrumented to measure about 64 different variables. Data were digitized at 16 Hz. Observed data used in this study include the three components of the wind speed, air temperature, surface temperature, incident and reflected solar radiation, reflected red and near-infrared radiation and mixing ratios of CO2 and H2 O. Parameters derived from measured variables include, friction velocity (u∗ ), Obukhov length (L), net radiation, and potential temperature (θ). Detailed descriptions of the aircraft instrumentations and data, including the weather conditions are given by Ogunjemiyo et al. (1997, 1999) and MacPherson and Betts (1997). 2.3. Satellite-based data The description of surface cover types used the land classification maps based on Landsat TM data. The TM-based imagery in BOREAS was classified with two schemes by the Terrestrial Ecosystem team and one by the Remote Sensing Science team (Sellers and Hall, 1994). These datasets are henceforth identified as TE-1, TE-2 and RSS, respectively. The images were obtained from the BOREAS Information System 128 S.O. Ogunjemiyo et al. / Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 117 (2003) 125–144 (BORIS) database and stored in the BOREAS grid projection based on the ellipsoidal version of the Albers Equal Area Conic Projection (AEAC). The spatial coverage of TE-1 and TE-2 for the NSA and TE-1 for the SSA was approximately 129 km × 86 km, and TE-2 for the SSA approximately 144 km × 114 km. The RSS imagery covered a smaller area, but large enough to encompass most of the tower sites and the TO grid sites. Each pixel in the images represents a 30 m × 30 m area of ground. Subsets of the images, representing the 16 km ×16 km TO grid site were produced from the bigger images. TE-1 and TE-2 classifications were based solely on TM data, while a combination of Shuttle Imaging Radar-C (SIR-C) and TM data were used for RSS classification. The scene for the TE-1 dataset was acquired on 20 August 1988 for the NSA, and 6 August 1990 for the SSA. For TE-2, the imagery scene was acquired on 21 June 1995 for the NSA, and 2 September 1994 for the SSA. The scene for RSS was acquired on 2 September 1995, for the SSA and on 13 April 1994 for the NSA. Table 1 shows the cover class categories as defined by the three classification schemes. A detailed description of the data and the procedures used to classify TE-1, TE-2 and RSS are given in Hall and Knapp (1999), Hall et al. (1997) and Ranson et al. (1997), respectively. 3. Data processing To estimate the vertical turbulent fluxes of sensible heat (H), latent heat (LE) and CO2 (C) at the flight level, the scalars and the vertical component of the wind were detrended as outlined in Ogunjemiyo et al. (1997), to obtain the fluctuations of the variables. Fluxes were then computed from the time-averaged covariance between fluctuations of the vertical wind and the scalar of interest. The fluxes were averaged over 2 km data windows along each of the nine 16 km runs, and the segment values averaged over the two repeated passes of each grid line, creating a matrix, Fij , of 8 × 9 data points per grid. In this study, the contributions to the flux by scales larger than 2 km were considered negligible based on the findings by Ogunjemiyo et al. (1999), which showed that they did not exceed 10% of the turbulent flux on any given segment flight and far less when composited over an IFC. For this reason the data used for analysis were composited over multiple grid flights. We assume that the segment averaged fluxes are due to flux density contributions from all the cover types within the flux footprint, i.e. Fij = K ψijk dijk (1) k=1 Table 1 Land cover classes at the grid sites as defined by the three classification schemes ClassID 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 TE1 TE2 RSS Cover type NSA (%) SSA (%) Cover type NSA (%) SSA (%) Cover type NSA (%) SSA (%) Conifer wet Conifer dry Mixed Deciduous Fen Water Disturbed Regeneration (young) Regeneration (medium) Regeneration (older) Recent Burn – – 36.0 15.0 10.0 2.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 0 14.0 11.0 0 – – 57.9 4.7 11.7 2.1 6.4 0.2 1.2 4.7 2.1 8.7 0.3 – – Conifer wet Conifer dry Mixed Deciduous Fen Water Disturbed Fire blackened New regeneration conifer Medium-age regeneration conifer New regeneration deciduous Medium-age regeneration deciduous Grass 3.1 2.3 4.2 15.0 14.4 1.1 5.6 0.2 9.3 11.7 32.1 0.7 0.3 45.0 3.1 9.7 4.5 12.1 0.2 4.1 0.1 5 12.4 3.6 0.1 0.1 Spruce Pine Aspen Shrub Clearing Fen Water – – – – – – 33.0 15.2 8.5 37.9 1.3 3.6 0.5 – – – – – – 39.2 38.9 7.7 8.1 3.5 2.5 0.1 – – – – – – S.O. Ogunjemiyo et al. / Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 117 (2003) 125–144 where dijk is the spatially averaged flux density and ψijk is the weighting function for cover type k in segment i of grid line j. The flux density dijk is difficult to measure even in a homogeneous area because of its dependence on ecophysiological factors and biophysical properties of the cover types. In the absence of independent information on this parameter, a relationship was developed between Fij and ψijk through a multiple regression model of the form 2 Fij = β0 + β1 ψij1 + η1 ψij1 + · · · + βk ψijk 2 +ηk ψijk +ε (2) where β is the coefficient for the linear term, η is the coefficient for the quadratic term for each of the independent variable, and ε is the error associated with this model. Estimated values of ψijk were checked for possible colinearity or multi-colinearity. Meteorological variables were purposely excluded from this regression analysis, not only because meteorological conditions were similar within the database for each IFC, but in order to highlight the role of surface cover on spatial flux distribution. To estimate the land cover fractions, the footprint extent, including up to 98% of total estimated contribution to the flux, was superimposed over the land cover classification image, which consisted of rows of 30 m pixels in the upwind direction, i.e. perpendicular to the flight track. If αx is the weight given to the pixel at upwind horizontal distance x from the pixel corresponding to the flight path (x = 0), and Imxk is an indicator for the presence or absence of cover type k for the pixel at distance x and row m in the segment, then ψijk = X P 1 Imxk αx R (3) m=1 x=0 where R is the number of rows in the segment, X is the maximum upwind extent of the footprint which contributes 98% of the measured flux. The value of Imxk is 1 if cover type k is represented by the pixel at distance x and column m, otherwise Imxk is 0. The weight of the pixels, αx , was determined from the flux footprint function (P) developed for the grid sites by Kaharabata et al. (1997), i.e. xn+1 x=xn P dx x=0 P dx αx = X 129 (4) where xn+1 and xn are upwind and downwind distances, respectively, of the pixel in the nth column, and P is defined as s P(x, z) = u∗ k szs e−(z/Bσz ) Φ(z/L) (Bσz )s Aσz u(x) (5) where A = s−1 Γ(1/s)3/2 Γ(3/s)−1/2 and B = Γ(1/s)1/2 Γ(s/3)−1/2 (Γ , the gamma function) are diffusion parameters, s is the vertical shape exponent of the diffusing scalar’s plume and ranges from 1 (instability) to 2 (stable stratification), Φ is the stability correction, and z (m) is the observation height. The vertical spread of the diffusing scalar plume σ z (m) is a function of the mean plume height Z (m) and has been defined as σz = Γ(1/s)1/2 Γ(3/s)1/2 Z Γ(2/s) (6) according to Pasquill and Smith (1983). To estimate Z, which is a function of upwind distance x, van Ulden’s (1994) expression for dZ/dx is numerically integrated as in Kaharabata et al. (1997). The horizontal wind velocity at mean plume height u(x) (m s−1 ), expressed as a function of Z, was estimated by c(Z − d) u∗ cZ ln u(Z) = −Ψ (7) k z0 L where Ψ is the stability correction for momentum, d (m) is the displacement height, u∗ is the friction velocity, and z0 (m) is the roughness length. The stability component in the flux footprint function was represented by the Obukhov length, L (m). 4. Results and discussion 4.1. Comparison between the classifications Table 1 shows the land cover classes at the grid sites as defined by the three classification schemes. The classes range from 7 in RSS to 13 in TE-2. The classes common to TE-1 and TE-2 include water, fen, deciduous, mixed, conifer wet (primarily black spruce growing on peat or poorly drained mineral soils) and conifer 130 S.O. Ogunjemiyo et al. / Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 117 (2003) 125–144 dry (primarily jack pine stands in a well-drained area with sandy soils). The mixed class describes an area that contains coniferous and deciduous trees, with the dominant species <80%. The main difference between TE-1 and TE-2 is in the subdivision of the regeneration classes, which is more refined in TE-2 than in TE-1. This difference may be more likely due to the year of data acquisition than to the classification techniques. The 7 years separating the two datasets at the NSA, and 4 years at the SSA, may have produced successional changes in the vegetation, as well as other temporal differences due to clear cutting and other man-induced change, making it possible to distinguish between regenerating conifers and deciduous. The spruce, pine and shrub classes in RSS scheme are similar to conifer wet, conifer dry and the regeneration classes in TE-1 and TE-2. The RSS classification differs from others by the absence of a mixed conifer (spruce and pine) or mixed trees (conifer and deciduous) class, which was known to be present at the sites. This appears as the main weakness of this classification. The major discrepancy between the classification schemes is evident from the comparison of the percentage composition of their classes. For example, at the NSA grid the composition of regeneration class varies from 24% in TE-1 to 52% in TE-2; the fen class varies from 4.3% in TE-1 to 14% in TE-2; and the spruce or conifer wet class varies from 3.3% in TE-2 to 37% in TE-1. There is better agreement between the maps at the SSA than the NSA. Despite the different classification methods with their associated errors, and the variation in the class definitions, some noticeable agreements can be observed. For example, at the NSA grid the maps show a well defined contrast in biophysical properties between the northern half and the southern half, which exhibits the signature of an area recovering from fire events. The area is dominated by regenerating plants, mainly deciduous (aspen), which are interspersed with bare soils and rock outcroppings. In the center of this area is a pocket of unburned mature stands. On the other hand, the northern half of the grid is typical of a mature temperate forest, i.e. tall conifers with closed canopy. The species in this area occur in mixtures, and in patches of pure stands, as is the case with the jack pine and black spruce. The most distinct distribution patterns common to all the SSA maps are the occurrence of fen at the SW quadrant of the grid, the cluster of deciduous patches along the NW–SE diagonal, the regenerating areas and jack pine that are confined to the north of the diagonal, and the black spruce which appears to be everywhere in the grid, but with highest concentration in an elongated strip below the diagonal. 4.2. Footprint function and estimates Over heterogeneous terrain, the turbulence characteristics may not be in equilibrium with the local surface but will reflect the surface conditions some distance upwind. This problem is particularly relevant in the case of flux observations by aircraft. In order to relate aircraft-measured fluxes to satellite-derived vegetation indices or cover types, it is therefore important to identify the areas (pixels) upwind that actually contributed to the fluxes, i.e. the flux footprints. Flux footprint have been studied extensively (Leclerc and Thurtell, 1990; Schuepp et al., 1990, 1992; Horst and Weil, 1992, 1994; Schmid, 1994; Baldocchi, 1997; Kaharabata et al., 1997; Amiro, 1998). The footprint model used in this study (Kaharabata et al., 1997) was based on a tracer gas experiment conducted at the sites, and had input parameters which include: the Obukhov Length, L; friction velocity u∗ ; roughness length, z0 ; and the displacement height, d. The sensitivity test of the model by Kaharabata et al. (1997) showed the model less sensitive to u∗ than to z0 , such that <1% average difference was observed in the footprint for changes in u∗ from 0.53 to 1.0 m s−1 for both neutral and unstable stratification, while the footprint was found to increase fairly uniformly by about 23% for the unstable and 17% for the neutral case as the roughness length changed from 0.7 to 0.4 m. To examine the impact of this sensitivity on the cover types, footprint functions based on values of L = −100 m, u∗ = 0.50 m s−1 , and z0 = 0.4, 0.7, 1.0 m, typical for BOREAS noontime, clear-sky conditions, were applied to TE-1 data for N–S grid flight trajectory with west wind in the NSA grid, and E–W grid flight trajectory with south wind in the SSA grid. If we define X98 and Xmax as the upwind distances corresponding to a cumulative 98% of the footprint, and the distance of local maximum contribution, respectively, these footprint simulations showed X98 values of 739, 614 and 534 m, and Xmax values of 72, S.O. Ogunjemiyo et al. / Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 117 (2003) 125–144 131 Fig. 1. Ratio of the proportion of the cover types within the footprint (F) to the grid average value (G). The x-axis represents the cover classID, as given in Table 1. 58 and 49 m, respectively, for z0 values of 0.4, 0.7 and 1.0 m. The impact of the changes in footprint on cover types is demonstrated in Fig. 1, which represents the ratio of the proportion of the cover types within the footprint to grid average values, and shows that a change in footprint from 534 to 739 m had little effect on the proportion of the cover types contributing to the flux. It also demonstrates that the area effectively sampled by the aircraft was representative of the grid, with the exception of class 6 in the SSA, which is open water. However, since the surface coverage of that class is <0.3%, this discrepancy is irrelevant for the purpose of this analysis. 4.3. Choosing the most appropriate cover map Visual inspection suggests systematic bias in some of the classes for the various classifications, which could affect the results of the regression analysis of flux versus surface cover. In order to choose the land cover map that will optimize the regression correlation between the surface cover and the surface fluxes, 132 S.O. Ogunjemiyo et al. / Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 117 (2003) 125–144 Fig. 2. Maps showing abundance of (a) vegetation or shrub, (b) conifer wet or spruce and (c) conifer dry or pine. a footprint function based on z0 = 0.65 m, d = 8 m, u∗ = 0.56 m s−1 and L = −100 m, was applied to TE-1, TE-2 and RSS using N–S grid flight trajectories. The estimates of each of the cover types within the FP of the 2 km window along the flight lines were used to produce maps of class abundance. Such maps for the NSA, showing the abundance for regeneration (shrub), conifer wet (spruce) and conifer dry (pine) classes, are shown in Fig. 2. As seen from this figure, the regeneration class within the flux footprint showed comparable values for all the maps, though with greater spatial extent in RSS and TE-2 compared to TE-1. However, the conifer wet or spruce class, and the conifer dry or pine class, within the flux footprint in TE-2 appeared nonrepresentative of the grid. This is concluded because their percentage compositions around the old black spruce and old jack pine towers are only seen as 21 and 5%, respectively, compared to 87 and 78% for RSS, and 69 and 65% for TE-1. One of the criteria for locating the flux towers was the presence of a (>60%) single vegetation type in an area. For this reason, TE-2 was rejected for the analysis. Either RSS or TE-1 could be used for the analysis, but RSS was chosen over TE-1 based on the more representative year of data acquisition. The species composition maps for the SSA grid (Fig. 3) are shown for the regeneration, conifer wet and fen classes. In this case, all the datasets were found appropriate for the S.O. Ogunjemiyo et al. / Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 117 (2003) 125–144 133 Fig. 3. Species composition maps for the SSA grid, showing the (a) regeneration, (b) conifer wet or spruce, and (c) fen classes. analysis, but TE-2 was chosen because of its more detailed surface description. 4.4. Regression analysis 4.4.1. SSA grid 4.4.1.1. Model formulation. Regression models were formulated for sensible heat, latent heat and CO2 fluxes, for each IFC, at the SSA. Spatially averaged value of z0 and d, were obtained by spatial aggregation based on the weighted value of the individual cover types, using values of z0 and d for different cover types at the grids as given in Kaharabata et al. (1997) and Mahrt et al. (1997). The weight of the pixels, αx , were determined for all pixels within 98% of the flux footprint, and applied on the TE-2 cover map. The choice of X98 was made to ensure that the cover types that contributed to the flux were adequately represented. The values of u∗ and L for the grid flights in the three IFCs are given in Table 2. Also given in the table are the values for Xmax and X98 . Average values of u∗ for each of the IFCs were typical of our study areas, which were covered with mature forest stands. Highest variation in the values of L occurred during 134 S.O. Ogunjemiyo et al. / Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 117 (2003) 125–144 Table 2 SSA grid flight conditions and footprint estimates IFC Date Flight number Flight direction (◦ ) Cross wind u∗ (m s−1 ) L (m) Xmin (m) IFC-1 05/31 06/04 07 09 N–S N–S West West 0.74 0.71 183.0 176.0 21 20 74 73 846 823 IFC-2 07/20 07/21 07/24 07/26 21 22 26 30 E–W N–S E–W N–S North West North West 0.72 0.71 0.66 0.41 415.6 202.7 141.2 128.0 28 22 19 10 100 78 66 34 1242 884 730 365 IFC-3 09/13 09/16 49 53 E–W N–S South West 0.65 0.72 187.0 258.0 21 24 75 85 850 998 Xmax (m) X98 (m) u∗ : friction velocity; L: Obukhov length; Xmin : minimum distance that contributes to the flux; Xmax : distance of maximum contribution to the flux; X98 : the distance that contributes 98% of the measured flux. IFC-2. On the average, the minimum distance from which contribution was made to the measured flux, Xmin , was about 20 m and an average about 28 pixels on the cover maps (based on TM spatial resolution of 30 m) contributed 98% of the measured flux. For the purpose of the regression analysis classes in TE-2 were reclassified. New regeneration conifer and medium-age regeneration conifer classes were merged, and the new class named conifer regeneration. Also the new regeneration deciduous and medium-age regeneration deciduous classes were merged, and the new class named deciduous regeneration. The merging was done in order to prevent undue fragmentation of the cover classes. The following abbreviations were used for the cover classes: conifer wet (Cw), conifer dry (Cd), mixed (Mi), deciduous (De), fen (Fe), disturbed (Di), conifer regeneration (Cr), deciduous regeneration (Dr). The fire blackened, water and grass classes were not used in the regression analysis because of their small composition in the grid (each <0.3%), and the fact that their estimated values in the flux footprint were often not representative of the grid average. The components of the regression models for the fluxes are given in Table 5. A significant relationship was obtained between CO2 flux and cover types in each of the IFCs. The coefficients of determination, r2 , were 0.70 for IFC-1 (Cifc1 ), 0.89 for IFC-2 (Cifc2 ), and 0.91 for IFC-3 (Cifc3 ). Both H and LE showed significant relationships in IFC-2 (Hifc2 , LEifc2 ) and IFC-3 (Hifc3 and LEifc3 ) but no significant relationship in IFC-1. The r2 values for LEifc2 and LEifc3 were 0.92 and 0.87, respectively, and all cover types, except Cd, made significant contributions to LE in IFC-2. The r2 values for Hifc2 and Hifc3 were 0.84 and 0.93, respectively. The lack of relationship for LE in IFC-1 could be that at this time of the year LE is fairly uniform in space. The nonlinear nature of the relationships between fluxes and cover types is depicted by the quadratic terms in the models. The variation in the number of cover types between IFCs that made significant contributions to the fluxes, even when similar numbers of pixels were within the flux footprint, indicates the dependence of the fluxes on biophysical and phenological properties of the cover types. 4.4.1.2. Model evaluation. The data used for model evaluation are from flights executed over a “regional run” (Candle Lake run; MacPherson, 1996) either overlapping or within 8 days from the timing of the grid flights used in the regression model. The land cover map of the SSA site showing the flight trajectory of the run relative to the grid site runs is given in Barr et al. (1997). The track was chosen to cover significant heterogeneity; it crossed aspen and black spruce forests, a partially logged area, an old burn and three lakes (Halkett, Candle and White Gull). The track was divided into nine segments (as described in Table 3), over which the mean fluxes were calculated. Also, the values for z0 , d, u∗ and L were calculated for each segment. The fraction of cover types within the aircraft footprint, calculated for the segments, are given in Table 4. To include the seasonal trend in the fluxes, one run from each of the three IFCs was used. The predicted fluxes for each segment, based S.O. Ogunjemiyo et al. / Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 117 (2003) 125–144 Table 3 Description of the segments along the Candle Lake run Segment Approximate length (km) Description A B C D E F G H I 19 2 14 17 17 11 12 4 18 Aspen (As) Halkett Lake (Lk) Mostly aspen (As) Mixed (Mi) Mixed (Mi) Candle Lake (Lk) Spruce (Sp) White Gull Lake (Lk) Spruce (Sp) on the regression models in Table 5, are compared in Figs. 4–6 against the observed fluxes from the TO aircraft. Comparisons of the predicted to measured flux estimates show a trend that represents a successful demonstration of the potential to scale up from local (grid) observations to larger areas. The correlation coefficients for C are 0.79, 0.89 and 0.90 for IFC-1, IFC-2 and IFC-3, respectively. In IFC-2 and IFC-3, the coefficients are 0.92 and 0.90 for LE, 0.88 and 0.93 for H, respectively. Results of a sensitivity analysis for the regression coefficients showed r2 is more sensi- 135 tive to changes in the coefficients of the cover types that have higher cover fraction values. Comparison between the flux types showed LE models to be most sensitive and C models to be least sensitive to changes in coefficients. The averaged predicted values of C and LE showed a concomitant pattern with the forest LAI (Blanken et al., 1997). This is more apparent for deciduous (predominantly aspen stands) C estimates, which increase from a spring (25 May) value of −0.11 mg m−2 s−1 to a summer (25 July) of −0.68 mg m−2 s−1 and then level off to an autumn (12 September) value of −0.24 mg m−2 s−1 . The value of LE is also higher in summer than in autumn, and while this is expected it should be pointed out that the high values are associated with high soil moisture at the site. During IFC-2 in 1994, there were high rainfall events at the SSA that caused water table level to rise, thereby increasing the canopy conductance to evapotranspiration and plants uptake of CO2 . A comparison between the predicted estimates of C and LE for the aspen stands against the other cover types (spruce and mixed vegetation) shows a pattern that further highlights the success of the approach used in this study to predict the dynamics of gas exchanges in a complex forest ecosystem. In all cases where Table 4 Fraction of cover types in the flux footprint along the Candle Lake run Date Fraction of cover types Cw Cd Mi De Fe Di Cr Dr C (aspen) 05/25/94 07/25/94 09/12/94 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.15 0.18 0.19 0.51 0.49 0.49 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.18 0.18 0.17 D (mixed) 05/25/94 07/25/94 09/12/94 0.20 0.24 0.24 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.26 0.26 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.01 0.00 0.03 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.19 0.19 0.18 E (mixed) 05/25/94 07/25/94 09/12/94 0.25 0.23 0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.19 0.18 0.17 0.18 0.17 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.13 0.16 0.16 0.11 0.14 0.14 G (spruce) 05/25/94 07/25/94 09/12/94 0.33 0.34 0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.12 0.13 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.22 0.19 0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.25 0.24 0.00 0.01 0.01 I (spruce) 05/25/94 07/25/94 09/12/94 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.22 0.22 0.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.32 0.32 0.31 0.02 0.03 0.03 The descriptions of the cover classes are given in the text. 136 Flux Regression terms and their coefficients Cw De Dr Fe Mi Cw2 Di2 Dr2 Fe2 Mi2 – 17.3 65.2 – 5.7 28.6 – −27.4 – 10.2 – −58.2 – −68 −115 −3.14 –29.2 – 249 899 – 18 – – −23 −135 – – 177 239 β0 Cw De Dr Fe Mi Cw2 Cd Cr Fe2 Mi2 Di 37.8 × 102 14.6 × 102 −22.7 × 102 – −13.7 × 102 −12.9 × 102 144 × 102 – −226 × 102 −119 × 102 287 × 102 −51.9 × 102 364 × 102 136 × 102 – 475 × 102 −67 × 102 – 1270 × 102 – 1060 × 102 – 302 × 102 – β0 Cw De Fe Mi Cw2 Dr2 Fe2 Mi2 De2 18.3 × 102 38.3 × 102 72.5 × 102 −176 × 102 – −74.5 × 102 99.9 × 102 – – 77.3 × 102 117 × 102 184 × 102 105 × 102 – −279 × 102 – – −24.9 × 102 – β0 Cifc1 Cifc2 Cifc3 LEifc2 LEifc3 Hifc2 Hifc3 1.05 7.65 2.4 The subscripts are used to indicate the IFC. 49.9 × 102 S.O. Ogunjemiyo et al. / Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 117 (2003) 125–144 Table 5 Regression model terms and coefficients obtained for CO2 flux (Cifc1 , Cifc2 , Cifc3 ), latent heat flux (LEifc2 , LEifc3 ), and sensible heat flux (Hifc2 , Hifc3 ) at the SSA S.O. Ogunjemiyo et al. / Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 117 (2003) 125–144 137 Fig. 4. Comparison of the airborne observed CO2 fluxes along the Candle Lake run against the regression model estimates. model evaluations are made for LE and C, their values for the mixed tree class fall between the extreme values that are associated with aspen and black spruce. This is not surprising considering that the mixed forest cover class is a mixture of black spruce and aspen. While there is no clear pattern in the estimates of H, the seasonal dynamics of the shifting roles of LE and H is exemplified by values of the Bowen ratio, which 138 S.O. Ogunjemiyo et al. / Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 117 (2003) 125–144 Fig. 5. Comparison of the airborne observed latent heat fluxes (LE) along the Candle Lake run against the regression model estimates. Table 6 Northern Study Area grid flight conditions and footprint estimates IFC Date Flight number Flight direction (◦ ) Cross wind u∗ (m s−1 ) L (m) Xmin (m) Xmax (m) X98 (m) IFC-2 07/28 08/01 08/04 08/08 33 35 37 39 N–S N–S N–S N–S West West West West 0.49 0.31 0.72 0.51 67.6 25.2 245.2 65.8 13 6 23 12 45 30 84 44 475 247 975 467 u∗ : friction velocity; L: Obukhov length; Xmin : minimum distance that contributes to the flux; Xmax : distance of maximum contribution to the flux; X98 : the distance that contributes 98% of the measured flux. are lower in IFC-2 than in IFC-3. For example the Bowen ratio for aspen and black spruce increase from 0.26 and 0.78 in July to 1.37 and 1.01, respectively, in September. 4.4.2. NSA grid 4.4.2.1. Model formulation. The regression analysis for this site explored a situation where a single cover S.O. Ogunjemiyo et al. / Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 117 (2003) 125–144 139 Fig. 6. Comparison of the airborne observed sensible heat fluxes (H) along the Candle Lake run against the regression model estimates. Table 7 Regression model terms and coefficients obtained for CO2 flux (Cn , Cs ), latent heat flux (LEn , LEs ) and sensible heat flux (Hn , Hs ) at the NSA Flux Cn Hn LEn Cs Hs Les Regression terms and their coefficients β0 Sh As Sp Sp2 Pi 7.49 1200 −2090 −9.91 – 3340 – −16700 −3930 −14.08 10600 6640 6.67 −12800 −4760 −4.49 −6850 – – – – −1.03 1001 666 – – – 2.19 – – −2.21 – – – – −16700 0.469 −746 −309 – 1570 −5760 Pi2 Fe2 Fe – – – −13.5 2450 – – – – – – 7670 The subscripts are used to differentiate between the models developed for the northern half (n) and southern half (s) of the grid. The variables (i.e. cover classes) are defined in the text. 140 S.O. Ogunjemiyo et al. / Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 117 (2003) 125–144 Fig. 7. Plots of the observed against the regression estimates of (a) C, (b) H and (c) LE, for the black spruce run in the NSA. type dominated each half of the grid area. Regression equations were developed separately for the closed canopy (predominantly black spruce) in the northern half of the grid, and the sparse and open canopy regen- erating area in the southern half. The flux data used were from IFC-2. The conditions for the grid flights and the associated footprint parameters are shown in Table 6. S.O. Ogunjemiyo et al. / Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 117 (2003) 125–144 141 Fig. 8. Plots of the observed against the regression estimates of (a) C, (b) H and (c) LE, for the burn site run in the NSA. The components of the regression equations for the northern half (Cn , Hn and LEn ) and southern half (Cs , Hs and LEs ) are given in Table 7. Abbreviated class name used are aspen (As), fen (Fe), spruce (Sp), pine (Pi), clearing (Cl), shrub (Sh), and water (Wt). The main difference between the two halves of the grid is in the contributions due to Sp and Fe. At the northern half there was no significant contribution due to Fe, and all 142 S.O. Ogunjemiyo et al. / Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 117 (2003) 125–144 fluxes have a nonlinear relationship with Sp. However, at the southern half, Fe contributions to all the fluxes were significant, and its relationship to the fluxes of moisture and CO2 is quadratic. It should be noted that even though As is statistically significant to be included in the regression equations for LE and H (LEn and Hn ), it’s actual contribution to the fluxes is very marginal. This is because As constitutes <6% of the land cover compositions at the northern half of the NSA grid for which the models were developed. The same applies to Pi in the regression equation for LEs . 4.4.2.2. Model validation. Data from the sitespecific runs, were used to evaluate the NSA regression models. These data were independent of those used to develop the regression models. The smallest-scale site-specific runs were chosen to sample, and much as practicable, a single type vegetation. Most of the runs were made to pass within about 100 m of one of the main BOREAS flux towers. In the NSA, site-specific runs were made to pass the towers at the old black spruce (OBS), old jack pine (OJP) and young jack pine (YJP). Since regenerating, burned-over areas dominated much of the NSA, an additional site-specific run was flown over it, although it had no flux tower. The runs varied in length from 3 or 4 to 14 km. The shorter runs were usually repeated up to 10 times to improve the statistical reliability of flux estimates. The YJP and burn site runs were flown at slightly lower altitude than other runs to reduce the flux footprint. The longer runs were typically flown 4–6 times on a given flight. Cn , Hn and LEn , were evaluated using data from the site-specific old black spruce run (MacPherson, 1996). The run was divided into four segments (A, B, C and D), and fluxes were averaged over each of the segments. Three flights flown on 29 July, 2 August and 8 August were used to test the regression models. Each of the flights consisted of at east six passes. To evaluate Cs , Hs and LEs , data from the site-specific burn run (MacPherson, 1996) were used. The data, from two flights flown on 29 July, and 02 August, consisted of five and six passes, respectively. The flight length was divided into five segments (A, B, C, D and E), and fluxes were averaged over the segments. Figs. 7 and 8 show the plots of the observed fluxes against the predicted flux estimates based on Cn , Hn , LEn , and Cs , Hs , LEs , respectively. A good agreement was observed between the predicted and observed estimates. For the burn run, the correlation coefficients, r, for C, H, LE were 0.8, 0.82 and 0.91, respectively. For the old black spruce run the model outputs compared very well with the observed fluxes, with r values for C, H, and LE of 0.94, 0.84 and 0.93. Both LE and C estimates for the burn site are on the average higher than the black spruce estimates, while H estimates are higher over the black spruce. The high C estimates over the burn site are primarily due to the presence of a mixture of young growing plants, dominated by aspen, which is known for its strong CO2 absorption. Evaporation from the shallow pools of water scattered across the burn area and the transpiration from the regenerating plants both account for the high LE observed for the site. In general the estimates show greater variations compared to SSA estimates. The results from this study, as demonstrated by the agreement between measured and predicted surface fluxes, suggest that to a large extent the quadratic terms have been able to capture the nonlinear interactions between the surface heat fluxes and the specified variables. 5. Conclusions The growing concern about global warming and its impact on the environment requires that more large scale experiments such as BOREAS be conducted to provide data that will help to understand the exchange processes over ecosystems at global scales. Our analysis of the BOREAS data focused on the relationship between surface cover as described by satellites and their relationship to aircraft-measured fluxes. Previous studies (Ogunjemiyo et al., 1997, 1999) demonstrated links between the flux distribution patterns at the grid sites and the surface configuration of the land cover and this study pursued the objective of establishing quantitative relationships between cover types and airborne flux measurements by multiple linear regression. The successful efforts in BOREAS in delineating the footprint of airborne observations, i.e. the surface source zones sampled by the flux systems, provided a basis for correlating the airborne fluxes with surface cover types. Our study demonstrates the importance of S.O. Ogunjemiyo et al. / Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 117 (2003) 125–144 a physically and physiologically meaningful surface classification in heterogeneous terrain for the prediction of scalar fluxes, and gives some indirect insight into spatial scales that are of importance for such estimates. Where more than one land cover classification schemes are available, as it is the case in this study, it is difficult to tell if there is any benefit from seeking the minimally complex land use map. However, what this study has demonstrated is that the complexity of the land cover maps is secondary to the accurate representation of the cover classes by the cover maps. The method described in this study can be implemented for any region where the necessary data are available. Where there is lack of adequate data, the method can be implemented by using regression models developed over a site with similar surface conditions and land cover types. Because the models are constrained by phenological status and physical condition (e.g. surface wetness) of the land cover, they are not general enough for general application. We expect the expressions to perform well if extrapolated to areas with similar cover type and surface conditions, but considerable additional information about surface and sub-surface conditions would have to be incorporated into a model fit for general application. It is important to note that this is the first study of this kind, and more studies might be required to corroborate the validity of this technique. Our study should be seen as a necessary (but far from sufficient) condition for a model of general applicability in scaling-up within a complex, heterogeneous landscape. Considering that until now no consistent results have been reported from the use of boundary-layer models in predicting fluxes over heterogeneous areas, and how little effort has been made by modelers to relate fluxes to cover types in these areas, the results from this study will hopefully stimulate further research on this problem. 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