Chapter 19 Tornadoes Tornado • Violently rota4ng column of air that extends from the base of a thunderstorm to the ground Tornado Sta4s4cs • Over (100, 1000, 10000) tornadoes reported in the U.S. every year • Average of 56 deaths occur and 815 injuries • Es4mated $87.4 million in damages occurs each year • In the most recent several years alone, this amount has exceed $1 billion • What percentage of all tornadoes worldwide occur in the U.S.? Tornado Occurrencs • Primarily form under Supercells • Can also form in squall lines, end of bow echoes, land-­‐falling hurricanes, ordinary thunderstorms • What are they typically called when they form under ordinary thunderstorms? Tornadoes • Typically range from 150 feet to 0.5 miles wide and have wind speeds that range from 65 mph to over 200 mph • Can exceed 1 mile in diameter • What is the current record-­‐holder for width? • What was the previous one? Tornado Life Cycle • Most are short-­‐lived (<10 minutes) • Long-­‐lived ones undergo a 5-­‐stage life cycle • First stage is the development of a funnel cloud and/or rota4ng dust swirl on the ground • Second stage (organizing stage) is the funnel cloud making contact with the ground and increasing in intensity Tornado Life Cycle • Third Stage (mature) intensity of the vortex peaks – rota4on is strongest and tornado is typically at it’s widest point and most ver4cally erect • Fourth Stage (shrinking) Vortex begins to 4lt over more and the tornado begins to shrink • Fi_h Stage (decay) Also known as the rope-­‐out stage Supercell Tornadoes • Supercells rotate because of a process known as vortex 4l4ng. • What leads to vortex 4l4ng? Ver4cal Wind Shear • What is ver4cal wind shear? • Ver4cal Wind Shear in the 0-­‐6km layer (also known as the surface-­‐500mb shear) most commonly used to determine supercell probability Ver4cal Wind Shear • 0 – 1 or 0 – 3 km shear is used to determine tornadic vs non-­‐tornadic environments Vortex Til4ng Tornado Development • Supercell and mesocyclone rota4on origins are well-­‐understood. • Tornado forma4on is not • Key Process is vortex stretching, what is this and how does it occur? • Why don’t we have a good understanding of how tornadoes form? Theorized Tornadogenesis Process • Believed to occur in 3-­‐steps • 1st step is development of a mid-­‐level rota4on (mesocyclone) • 2nd step is development of low-­‐level rota4on (low-­‐level meso, associated with wall cloud development) • 3rd step is rota4on at the ground Step 1 • What causes the mid-­‐level rota4on to form? Step 2 • What causes the 2nd step to occur? Step 3 • Three proposed mechanisms for tornado produc4on – Bodom up process – Top down process – Vortex breakdown Bodom Up Process • Occurs when the RFD moves under the mesocyclone • Believed to be the most common • RFD causes air to rotate horizontally at the surface, which gets 4lted up by the updra_ as it moves under the mesocyclone • Can produce columns of cyclonic and an4-­‐ cyclonic rota4on Bodom Up Process Bodom Up Process • An4-­‐cyclonic tornadoes can form in instances where the primary tornado is large and violent • Vortex stretching of the cyclonic por4on can o_en lead to tornadogenesis • The tornadic poten4al of the surface-­‐based air rota4on arriving at the ground depends cri4cally on the air’s temperature – why? What dictates what the air temperature will be? Top Down Process • “Dynamic Pipe Effect” • Occurs when the mid-­‐level mesocyclone begins to stretch • What two forces are ac4ng on this region? • What keeps them in balance? Top Down Process • Air moving upward in the mesocyclone must con4nually be replaced by air below • Air constricts as it reaches the entry point • If this air is also rota4ng, it too will constrict to balance the forces, which lowers the “pipe” un4l it reaches the surface Top Down Process Vortex Breakdown • Based on data collected from VORTEX • Occurs when a central downdra_ develops in the center of the mesocyclone • Downdra_ is a result of such extreme low pressures in the center of the mesocyclone that air is forced to descend towards the low pressure Vortex Breakdown • Tornado occurs when the central downdra_ inside the mesocyclone merges with the rota4ng air in the outer part of the surface mesocyclone • Only one storm/tornado thus far has shown this behavior • What is the downdra_ called that occurs in the vicinity of the mesocyclone? Vortex Breakdown Tornado Dura4on • Lifecycle typically concludes when the RFD wraps around the tornado circula4on • Longer-­‐lived tornadoes have warmer RFD’s • Strong oujlow winds from the thunderstorm, in addi4on to the storms movement, eventually displace the near-­‐surface por4on of the tornadic circula4on away from cloud-­‐ base – why does this occur? what happens to the tornado at this point? Tornado Families • Refers to tornadoes that developed from the same parent storm – what are these types of storms called? • Some4mes more than one tornado can be on the ground at the same 4me and in some rare instances, older tornadoes may merge with new, developing tornadoes Non-­‐Supercell Tornadoes • O_en referred to as Non-­‐supercell tornadoes, landspouts, waterspouts, mesovor4ces or gustnadoes • Most typical name is landspout Landspouts • Appear visually similar to waterspouts • Short-­‐lived, not as intense as supercell tornadoes • Form from thunderstorms lacking obvious signs of mid-­‐level rota4on Landspout Thunderstorms • Triggered along advancing fronts or gust fronts • Waterspouts are theorized to form in storms that form in the same manner over the water Landspout Tornadoes Fujita Scale • Originally designed to be a damage scale es4mate of tornadic wind speeds • Had several drawbacks, what were they? EF-­‐Scale • Came into use in 2007 • What EF-­‐5 tornado was the first ranked by this scale? EF-­‐F Scale Comparison Tornado Detec4on • Spoders • Radar Radar • Detec4on includes – RFD – Debris ball – Hook echo – Mesocyclone signature – Tornado vortex signature RFD detec4on • Contains precipita4on that wraps around the “echo-­‐free” updra_ • Typically responsible for the hook appearance in radar reflec4vity fields Hook Echo Debris Ball • Theorized to be a result of debris being lo_ed by a tornado • New science is dispu4ng this Debris Ball Mesocyclone Signature Tornado Vortex Signature • “TVS” • Indicated on radar by the beam (gate) of the radar that has drama4cally higher winds than the beams (gates) around it Tornado Forecas4ng • CAPE – Measure of how unstable an updra_ is • Storm-­‐Rela4ve Helicity (SRH) – measure of horizontal rota4on in the lower atmosphere rela4ve to the mo4on of the thunderstorm • Energy-­‐Helicity Index (EHI) – combines CAPE and SRH (= CAPE x SRH / 160000) Tornadoes and Climate Change • How might Tornadoes be affected by climate change?