Risk Issues for Islamic Banks Global Islamic Finance Forum 18 September 2012 Strictly Private & Confidential Questions to be addressed 1) Is the Risk Management Approach in Islamic Banks different from Conventional Banks? 2) What are some of the main specific risk issues Islamic Banks face? 3) How can these be best mitigated? 4) How to find the optimal risk/return within a defined Risk Appetite Framework? 5) Your Questions Page 2 Risk Management Approach in Islamic Banks Different from Conventional Banks? - Governance - Framework (COSO) - Risk Culture - Systemic Risk in Islamic Banking? Page 3 Generic Risks In Islamic Banking Credit Risk -Debt based versus Equity based -Loss given Default higher -Transfer of credit risks to Investment Account Holders -Contract Risk -Limited Data for effective application scoring Page 4 Generic Risks In Islamic Banking Market Risk -Limited hedging instruments -Liquidity issues -Valuation -Shifting of risk from market to credit and back Page 5 Generic Risks In Islamic Banking Operational Risk -Complexity higher -Limited knowledge of staff -Processes -Systems Page 6 Specific Risks in Islamic Banking -Shariah Non-Compliance risk -Displaced Commercial Risk -Asset & Liability Gap Risk -Equity Investment Risk Page 7 Typical Balance Sheet ASSETS LIABILITIES Retail Financing Restricted Investment Account Holders Corporate Commercial Financing Unrestricted Investment Account Holders Equity Based Financings / Partnerships Profit Sharing Investment Accounts Investments (Sukuk) Demand Deposits Shareholders Equity Investment Risk Displaced Commercial Risk Rate of Return Risk 8 Specific Risks in Islamic Banking Displaced Commercial Risk “The risk arising from assets managed on behalf of Investment Account Holders which is effectively transferred to the Islamic Financial Institution’s own capital because the Institution forgoes part or all of its Mudarib’s share on such fund, when it considers this necessary as a result of commercial pressure in order to increase the return that would otherwise be payable to the Investment Account Holder.” IFSB(2005) 9 Specific Risks in Islamic Banking Displaced Commercial Risk Dual Banking Environment Commercial pressure Due to GIA/SIA Return not guaranteed Bank’s share of profit From equity or reserve Relationship From borrower/lender to partner Operational Risk Fiduciary risk absorbed by Bank Page 10 Profit Equalization Reserve & Investment Risk Reserve Sources of Funds Investment Accounts Shareholders Funds Assets Fund Allocation PER Profit & Loss Profit/Loss Profit Loss IRR Profit & Loss Distribution Bank Bank IAH 11 Specific Risks In Islamic Banking Displaced Commercial Risk - Issues -Non standardized practices across jurisdictions: non transparent -Conflict of interest between shareholders and IAH. Rate of return paid to IAH is ‘smoothed’ at expense of shareholders -But in case of PER, this could also be used to increase shareholder dividend if desired…. -Inter-generational problem -Appearance of steady low risk returns: false performance impression -Might increase management’s risk appetite -Blurring key distinction between conventional and Islamic Banking Page 12 Specific Risks In Islamic Banking Asset & Liability Gap Risk -Up to 4 times larger on average than at Conventional Bank -Long (fixed) Assets versus Short (Floating) Liabilities -Hedging issues -But gap rapidly closing -Innovative floating rate products -Profit Sharing Investment Accounts (Risk Absorbent) Page 13 Risk/Return within Set Risk Appetite Risk Appetite -Annually, approved by Board -Linked to strategy and Macro Economic Environment -Statements across various categories -Risk Organisation & Infrastructure -Qualitative Risk Statements -Quantitative Statements -Limit Structure -Effective Communication Originating Department Page 14 Risk/Return within Set Risk Appetite Internal Capital Adequacy Assessment Process (ICAAP) Initial Capital Assessment Economic Capital Definition Capital Supply Internal Target RWCR Capital Stress Test Internal Capital Planning Material Risk Assessment Capital Demand Page 15 Risk Assessment Develop comprehensive risk library Credit Risk Market Risk Equity Investment Risk/ Capital Impairment Risk Foreign Exchange Risk Funding Cost Liquidity Risk Commodity Risk Credit Spread Risk (large) Exposure Risk Equity Risk Profit Rate Risk Banking Book Default/Counterparty/P re-settlement/Delivery Risk Option Risk Profit Rate Risk Trading Book Credit Concentration Risk Inventory Risk Country/Country Transfer Risk Asset/Market Liquidity Risk Residual/Credit Mitigation Risk Funding Liquidity Risk Displaced Commercial Risk Migration Risk 16 Risk Assessment Operational Risk People Risk Model Risk Technology Risk Market Driven Volume Risk Business Continuity Risk Strategic/Business Risk Political Risk Reputational Risk Regulatory/Complianc e Risk Process Risk Legal Risk Systemic Risk Shariah Non Compliance Risk Fiduciary Risk 17 Materiality Assessment For instance: – Quantitative: Net exposure represents more than 5% of Bank’s capital for respective Risk type – Qualitative: Bank’s expert judgment that such risk could threaten survival of Bank © Jeroen Thijs 2012 18 Risk/Return within Set Risk Appetite -In combination with 3 year dynamic stress test -Determine minimum capital needed to support business -Decide on capital allocation and minimum required return on capital -ICAAP then forms basis for finding optimum risk/return Originating Department Page 19 Closing Thought Is Islamic Banking Riskier than Conventional Banking? Originating Department Page 20 THANK YOU jeroen@bankislam.com.my www.bankislam.com.my Page 21