illustration by georg wagner strategies by Daniel Corsten and Joerg S Hofstetter St Gallen It is commonly assumed that consolidation will reduce the number of B2B exchanges serving the consumer goods industry. Don’t believe it. In fact new, specialist exchanges will emerge, and managing multiple B2B channels won’t be easy after the hype: the emerging landscape of b2b exchanges summer 2001 vol. 1, no. 1 journal After the hype: The emerging landscape of B2B exchanges © ecr How many B2B exchanges can the consumer goods industry support? Early hype about B2B exchanges’ potential to revolutionise buyer/seller relationships is now giving way to a much more sober assessment. According to industry sources, only 23 per cent of the hundreds of B2B marketplaces which have been announced have conducted their first trade. In our research, we identified 50 exchanges, but only half-a-dozen have surfaced as major players. 51 daniel corsten and joerg s hofstetter summer 2001 vol. 1, no. 1 journal © ecr 52 Daniel Corsten is senior lecturer at the University of St Gallen and Deputy Director at the Institute for Technology Management, University of St Gallen, Switzerland Joerg S. Hofstetter is a Senior Researcher at the University of St Gallen Institute for Technology Management. Nowadays, it’s commonly predicted that the industry’s Big Four – Transora, cpg, Worldwide Retail Exchange, and Global Net Exchange – will eventually consolidate down to one or two superexchanges, with all the others vanishing. In fact, the opposite is more likely to occur. Different types of exchange are emerging with different specialist offerings. There is no single “best way forward”. As a result, companies cannot sit back and wait for consolidation to simplify their choices as to which exchanges to work with. Instead, they will need to adapt to a multiple-exchange environment, and to establish clear criteria for choosing which exchanges to work with – and why. The early days Early B2B exchanges were hampered by three major flaws. First, they were too price-focused. They were driven by a simplistic, micro-economic vision of a perfect, commodity-like market, where goods are sold via spot contracts. They consequently concentrated on providing services such as auctions, or other forms of electronic matching of customers and suppliers. In practice, however, only 10 to 20 per cent of trade is sold on spot-contracts. As The Economist commented, by “focusing on the exception rather than the rule, [exchanges were] bound to remain fringe players, starved of liquidity and ignored by most big firms in their industry, which continued negotiating contracts as before”. Second, their services were too simple. They tended to use off-the-shelftechnologies (ie, middle-ware and databases), and because they saw buyers as the key beneficiaries they focused on auctions or bundling buyer power. Consequently they failed to attract suppliers and were soon starved of traffic and liquidity. Reverse auctions, competitive bidding and request-for-quotation services have a role to play within B2B exchanges. But retailers, for example, quickly realised auctions would be restricted to nonbranded goods, ie, bulk and commodity items such as white T-shirts or standard household electronics. As the ceo of one major European retailer commented: “Auctions are not a good way to fill shelves.” Third, as entrepreneurs launched hundreds of exchanges covering every potential activity in the value chain, there was a tremendous proliferation of standards and required data formats. As a result, there were simply too many interfaces. In the uk, for example, at one stage, Different type of exchange are emerging with different specialist offerings. There is no single “best way forward” Early B2B exchanges were too simplistic 53 Definition of B2B-Exchanges • B2B-exchanges are virtual, Internet-enabled information, communication and transaction marketplaces, where buyers and sellers meet, trade, interact and transact. They are technological enablers. Nothing more and nothing less. • Buyer-oriented marketplaces aim to reduce purchasing and transaction costs by offering auction buying, demand aggregation, or e-procurement. • Seller-oriented marketplaces increase buyers’ awareness of the seller’s product range and capabilities by featuring on-line catalogues, address book of distributors, or storefronts. • Third-party-oriented exchanges earn money by offering multiple buyers and sellers a platform to pursue transactions. Services include matching facilities, yellow pages for, integrated catalogues, demand aggregation, or auctions. • Horizontal exchanges provide general services, such as logistics, certification, or maintenance, repair or operating services “horizontally”, to many industries. • Vertical exchanges serve the particular needs of a vertical space in a value chain concentrating, eg, on trading of crops, fruit or raw material, processed food, wholesale, foodservice or retail. • Exchanges are also distinguished by their sourcing strategy (ie, spot or systematic sourcing) and object (ie, operating or manufacturing inputs). Operating inputs, eg, chemicals, gasoline, screws, and staples, are often traded via spot contracts on “yield managers”, or systematically on “MRO (maintenance, repair and operating service) hubs”. Manufacturing supplies can be traded via “open exchanges” or “catalogue hubs”. after the hype: the emerging landscape of b2b exchanges vol. 1, no. 1 summer 2001 Private exchanges will co-exist with ‘megahubs’ … journal The emerging B2B landscape As the industry matures, however, the main forms of B2B exchange are becoming clear. They include private exchanges, consortium exchanges, “mega-exchanges” and “meta-marketplaces”. Private exchanges are exclusive marketplaces, operated by a single retailer or manufacturer, and restricted to its suppliers or customers. Prominent examples of private marketplaces are Tesco’s Information Exchange, Sainsbury’s Information Direct, and Wal-Mart’s Retail Link. Recently, DM – Drogeriemarkt has opened a similar platform in a pioneering initiative in Germany. Private exchanges can offer a wide variety of functionalities, from web-edi, exchange of inventory and pos-data, to cpfr (Collaborative Planning, Forecasting and Replenishment) and joint category management. The early start-up exchanges ran into trouble because although they were open to everyone, they lacked critical mass of traffic and transaction volume, or the indepth know-how to adapt their applications to specific industries’ needs. They also lacked funds needed to develop the full range of e-business services that they promised to deliver. The only way they could gain access to this critical mass in these areas was to convince the big players to invest as equity members. Consortium exchanges were the result. In the grocery industry, four such exchanges dominate. wre (www.worldwideretailexchange.org), and gnx (www.gnx.com), which were founded by retailers and are therefore retaileroriented. Transora (www.transora.com) and cpg (www.cpgmarket.com), on the other hand, were founded by supplier and are therefore supplier-oriented exchanges. Recently, gnx and Transora announced plans for a mega-hub to bridge the two exchanges, thereby effectively forming an integrated exchange. Later, other exchanges could join, perhaps even from non-related industries, to gain economies of scale on infrastructure utilisation. This mega-exchange should provide low-cost edi and xml transport and translation services, but most of all, should support exchange-to-exchange interoperability, facilitating cross-value chain applications including joint promotions management, cpfr and other services. The mega-hub should allow members to use the services of other exchanges without the expense of building a connection to the other exchange. © ecr As the market matures exchanges will specialise manufacturers were reportedly being asked to provide product content in more than 10 different and unrelated data formats. Figure 1 daniel corsten and joerg s hofstetter © ecr journal vol. 1, no. 1 summer 2001 … and ‘metamarkets’ linking different exchanges 54 Participants could collaborate with trading partners across the value chain via multiple exchanges. Meta-marketplaces pursue a similar vision of interoperability, not by creating a new entity, but by neutrally serving all potential companies independent of their affiliation with other exchanges. A prominent example of a meta-market in the consumer goods industry is the Global Trade Master. Global Trade Master has its origins in the collaborative ECRnet platform for the ECR community and is promoted by a powerful consortium of eds, Oracle, sap and hp. Global Trade Master will let users roam across exchanges and provide distributed catalogue and content services. In our view, increasing competition between exchanges in their search for market share and liquidity will prompt them to differentiate the services they offer. To date, the Big Four have announced that they would provide almost the same services – replenishment, marketing, procurement, retail and financial services, collaborative planning, forecasting and replenishment and supply-chain optimisation. However, to gain competitive advantage, they will develop specialist services in areas such as knowledge-management, market research, data mining and warehousing, processes (eg, integrated Figure 2 promotion or product development), catalogue services, supporting services (eg, logistics), certification, credit and financial services. These services will be increasingly contracted from independent exchange services providers. Some exchanges will even build a network of alliances to concentrate on their core competencies. For example, Transora is keeping only core value-added services, including product catalogues and cpfr, in-house. Recently, it acquired Planet U, a specialist for e-couponing and announced outsourcing alliances with Foodtrader.com, Novopoint, eBreviate, Dynamic Trade, Freemarkets and uccnet. On the other hand, cpg seems confident of its ability to develop a wide range of competitive services in-house. The final key players in this mix are co-ordination bodies who help build consensus among stakeholders, define and promote standards, demonstrate best practices, and in some cases, publish implementation guidelines. They are metaplayers who represent the collective interests of their stakeholders and influence the way business is conducted. In the consumer goods industry, for example, there are different layers of coordination bodies which are skilfully linked through various boards. They include ean International, cies, ucc Co-ordination Bodies GTM Agro Paper Meat Fruit Upstream Exchanges PrivateManufacturer Exchanges M3 Meta-Markets M1 CPG WRE Consortium Exchanges R1 M2 Transora MegaExchanges R2 GNX R3 PrivateRetailer Exchanges Exchange Service Providers Suppliers Manufacturers Retailers As exchanges specialise and differentiate… Increasing competition between exchanges in their search for market share and liquidity will prompt them to differentiate the services they offer after the hype: the emerging landscape of b2b exchanges vol. 1, no. 1 summer 2001 Competition between exchanges will also intensify journal … their services will get richer Formative trends for exchanges As e-business evolves, we can identify four trends among exchanges: 1. Exchanges are moving to collaborative services Originally, exchanges focused on price. Now, all exchanges are moving beyond spot transactions to encourage collaborative relationships. As one retail executive told us: “Exchanges are the natural extension of ECR.” Implementing collaborative processes between retailers and manufacturers is difficult, however. For example, cpfr requires sophisticated technical capabilities that integrate many different processes and systems, and are therefore beyond what off-the-shelf technologies can offer. The other side of the coin is that, so far, very few companies in Europe actually employ full cpfr. If exchanges are successful in this area, they could greatly accelerate its adoption. 2. Exchanges are becoming specialised platforms Exchanges are moving from being generalists offering all services to specialists providing focused value-added services. Only Transora offers hedging services and international barter exchanges, for example, while wre services include a product-development tool, including product design and preproduction approval. Because of the peculiarities of the consumer goods industry – including factors such as short shelf lives, regional supply and local consumer demand – there will be room for exchanges which cater for specific needs and deliver tailored solutions. In future, exchanges are likely to concentrate on some core services that they retain and fulfil in-house, and which require considerable know-how in fields such as finance, market research and product development. They will then offer complementary and ancillary services in alliance with other exchanges, or by ways of neutral service providers. Transora is already actively forming alliances with other exchanges or technology providers which offer the complementary services it does not wish to develop and execute in-house. 3. Exchanges are operating in a multiple-channel environment Our research suggests companies will actively trade via many exchanges. While a company might be a member of a particular “home exchange”, that © ecr (Uniform Coding Council), Eurocommerce (for retailers), aim (for manufacturers), and joint platforms, such as the ECR National board, ECR Europe and the Global Commerce Initiatives. 55 daniel corsten and joerg s hofstetter summer 2001 vol. 1, no. 1 journal © ecr 56 Firms will have to work with many exchanges exchange is unlikely to enjoy an exclusive relationship with that particular company. Most businesses will need to maintain links to many exchanges across their supply chain. In a recent workshop, managers estimated that in future they would be trading via eight to 10 vertical and horizontal exchanges. Already, many companies invest in several consortium exchanges. For example, Coca-Cola, Danone and Nestlé are involved both in Transora and cpg-Market. One reason is that each exchange has unique advantages. Another is that they don’t want to put all their eggs in one basket. Successful companies will therefore skilfully orchestrate a multiple-channel environment – private exchanges to enable tailored processes and give competitive advantage; consortium exchanges to multiply standard processes and have wide reach; integrated exchanges to offer seamless processes; and meta-markets to give access to a multitude of exchanges. Transaction flows could follow this sort of pattern: • Company-to-company direct. Large transaction volumes between manufacturers and retailers and their partners (including ingredient, packaging suppliers and logistics and financial service providers) will be either routed via traditional channels (eancom, web-edi, fax, mail, e-mail), or their private marketplaces. Often overlooked, there is also a significant transaction volume between different units of multinationals, eg, Carrefour, Ahold, Unilever or Nestlé. They often employ dozens of enterprise-resource-planning systems and could well need the functionalities of B2B exchanges within their companies. • Company-to-company via exchange. Large transaction volumes will be routed between companies and open or consortium exchanges, with the Big Four and others taking the lion’s share. However, we believe smaller exchanges with unique offerings will manage to generate enough traffic. A significant portion will be routed between the exchanges via meta-marketplaces or megaexchanges. 4. Exchanges will integrate upstream suppliers. The challenge for the future is to create a true business community from consumer to raw material so companies and exchanges are seamlessly connected. Most current efforts are only focused on the retail and manufacturer level, but some exchanges are already linking-up with upstream exchanges. The downside is that these complex communities will also be more difficult to co-ordinate. Before B2B exchanges, conflicting interests between retailers and manufacturers were often mediated by Successful companies will skilfully orchestrate a multiple-channel environment of private, consortium and integrated exchanges and meta-marketplaces If companies want to develop collaborative processes that are superior to their competitors, they will have to invest in private exchanges after the hype: the emerging landscape of b2b exchanges vol. 1, no. 1 summer 2001 journal … will require careful thought Implications for managers The landscape of exchanges is changing, but one thing is certain – exchanges are only technological enablers and a new form of intermediary which connects companies to a larger network based on common (global) data standards and (best practice) processes – creating seamless supply-chains. Exchanges could help companies reach the next level of efficiency. But they are not a panacea. The belief that we are on our way to one “super-mega-exchange” is unfounded. There is no “one-way-best-forward”. Yes, further consolidation is likely. But in the end, there will be still more exchanges than today. So companies need to understand the nature of the emerging exchange models and carefully balance their pros and cons. Here’s our assessment: Internal exchanges: An internal exchange based on intranet technology is a prerequisite for efficiently managing the flow of information and goods within the internal network of companies. If internal processes are not optimised and well integrated, they cannot reap the full potential of exchanges. Most major companies still lack integrated standard enterprise-resource-planning-systems for their dispersed internal businesses. Instead they have many different legacy systems which have developed historically, or are the result of mergers and acquisitions. Private exchanges: If companies want to develop collaborative processes with key customer and suppliers that are unique, bespoke, and superior to the network of their competitors, they will have to invest in a private exchange. In other words, private exchanges should be used for core business activities, such as buying and selling strategic goods and services, or wherever competitive advantages can be built to form superior management of collaborative processes. DM – Drogeriemarkt, Sainsbury’s, Tesco, Unilever and other companies are currently investing heavily in private exchanges with information-sharing and collaborative-process capabilities. WalMart is completely dedicated to its Retail Link and has never expressed any interest in joining a big exchange. Moreover, since prices for exchange technology will inevitably go down once technology providers have recovered their development costs, even smaller companies will, in future, be able to create © ecr But choosing which exchanges to work with… ECR-principles. Today, retailers and manufacturers sit with their competitors on the boards of the Big Four, but who mediates between the global consortium exchanges or those on other levels of the value chain? 57 daniel corsten and joerg s hofstetter summer 2001 vol. 1, no. 1 journal © ecr 58 Different types of exchange… their own exchange or lease space for (virtual) private exchanges on existing exchange infrastructures. Consortium exchanges: Companies which have invested in consortium exchanges should understand their limits. First, competition authorities are concerned about their power. Second, conflicting interests between competitors who are often equity members of such a profit-maximising entity could hamper its progress. And consortium exchanges are, by definition, “competitive edge equalisers”. Competitors can hardly gain competitive advantage if they all have access to the same technology and processes (unless they implement better). For this reason, many companies will not route the lion’s share of their core business via exchanges. Nevertheless, consortium exchanges will remain necessary for dealing with the multitude of small and medium-sized suppliers and customers and for trading non-strategic goods and services where in both cases standardisation is key. Mega-exchanges: These could experience other difficulties. First, we believe it is unlikely many companies or exchanges will accept the invitation of the mega-hub to become equity members in the trading hub. For example, wre recently announced it would not join the mega-hub or co-operate with manufacturer-oriented marketplaces in other ways because it believed it could offer the desired functionalities alone. Second, mega-exchanges still have to master basic technical challenges. For example, the first trials to send messages from a manufacturer via a manufactureroriented exchange (ie, Transora, cpg) via retailer-oriented exchanges (eg, gnx, wre) encountered some routing difficulties. Meta-markets: These have a very ambitious vision. They want to be “exchange integrators” which connect the growing number of internal networks, private exchanges, and open exchanges and consortium exchanges across the many tiers of customers and suppliers. Meta-markets could benefit from emerging peer-to-peer exchange technologies – such as those used by Napster, which enable users to directly swap MP3 music files based on information posted on web sites. If meta-markets apply this new technology, they could allow companies to interact directly, eliminating the need for further intermediaries. But they have not yet demonstrated proof of the concept. How, then, will exchanges affect retailer/manufacturer relationships? The new business environment requires an intensification of co-operation in the industry. The Big Four are big, dynamic organisations with significant resources Competitors won’t gain competitive advantage by sharing the same technology and processes. But the environment requires intensified cooperation …will offer different benefits Useful reading 1. R Ferrari, (2000). Get Your Supply Chain The new business environment requires an intensification of co-operation in the industry after the hype: the emerging landscape of b2b exchanges vol. 1, no. 1 summer 2001 journal Processes Ready For Trading Exchanges, AMR Report. 2. Steven Kaplan and Mohanbir Sawhney, (2000). E-Hubs: The New B2B Marketplaces, Harvard Business Review, Vol 78 No 3, pp 86 – 96. 3. A White, (2000). The Dating Game – Searching For Liquidity In The New Economy, Logility 2000 (www.cpfr.org). Richard Wise and David Morrison, (2000), Beyond The Exchange: The Future Of B2B, Harvard Business Review, Vol 78 No 6, pp 86 – 96. © ecr Exchanges need common standards to avoid conflicts competing with each other and driven by the interest of their equity partners. They are profit maximising and, unlike ECR Europe and the Global Commerce Initiative, they are not transparent. There is therefore a strong need for an open forum between ECR Europe, the Global Commerce Initiative and the exchanges to make sure consensusbuilding between retailers and manufacturers continues, that duplication of efforts and standards proliferation is avoided, and to make sure destructive conflicts do not re-emerge. But still, companies need to find out much more. We need to assess how exchanges influence both existing relationships and the structure of the supplier or customer network. Companies will also need better ways to judge the strengths and weaknesses of different exchanges; to find out how exchanges can be seamlessly connected; how networks are best governed; and how companies can generate competitive advantage when they share exchange infrastructures with their competitors. But most of all, we need to assess whether – and when – exchanges really bring bottom-line savings to the supply chain. 59