THE BOEING 737-700ER 10 February 2006 Long Haul at Lower Cost On 31 January 2006, with an order for two planes from All Nippon Airways, Boeing launched the 737700ER, the longest-range version of its popular 737 family of aircraft. Boeing is explicitly targeting low cost carriers looking to expand their operations to include transatlantic services, as well as traditional carriers wishing to exploit opportunities on new, non-stop niche markets. John Weatherill Director, Airline Planning The Long Range Recipe. The –700ER is inspired by the Boeing Business Jet (BBJ), itself a derivative of the 737-700. The new aircraft uses the fuselage of the –700, but the larger wings of the –800. This change, along with additional fuel storage capacity, gives the 737-700ER a range of up to 5,510 nautical miles (10,200 km) – almost 65% further than the current 737-700. And unlike the BBJ, which is designed for low-density, all business configurations, the new –700ER can achieve its range limits with a load of 126 passengers in a two-class configuration. By comparison, most 737-700 operators configure their aircraft with 125-140 seats. The range of the new 737-700ER is comparable to that of the Boeing 767-400 and the Airbus A330300, but as a narrowbody jet with a much lower operating weight, will be less costly to operate on a per flight basis. As a result, airlines can begin exploring long haul markets, including transoceanic city pairs, which may be too thin to support non-stop service with existing aircraft. Range Limits and Traffic Requirements. The map below compares the approximate range limits from Toronto of the existing 737-700 and the new 737-700ER. While the original –700 cannot reach Europe without stopping to refuel, the new –700ER can make any point in Western or Eastern Europe, and can reach as far as North Africa on a non-stop basis. YYZ 737-700 Range Limit 737-700 ER Range Limit New non-stop route oppotunites With a seating capacity of only 126 passengers, the market size required to support non-stop service is significantly lower than that required to support service with larger jets of comparable range. To achieve an average load factor of 80%, a 737-700ER operator would need to carry 73,500 passengers annually. By comparison, the 80% load factor threshold requires 143,000 passengers for the 767-400, or 172,000 passengers for A330-300. Page 3 February 2006 InterVISTAS’ Canadian Aviation Intelligence Report Copyright ©2006 InterVISTAS Consulting Inc., all rights reserved. THE BOEING 737-700ER – CON’T Air Service Implications. The –700ER opens up the transatlantic market to carriers intent on adding smaller spokes to their North American or European hubs (e.g., London-Winnipeg) or, for LCCs with less-developed hub structures, the opportunity to serve primary markets (e.g., Toronto-London) with a lower cost narrowbody jet. Among traditional airlines, U.S. carriers have recently focused on redeploying 757/767 aircraft from the low-yield domestic market to higher-yield transatlantic routes, where competition from low cost carriers is far less intense. Although this is a sound strategy that has produced positive results, efforts have been constrained by aircraft size (the 767 is too large for many markets) and aircraft range (the 757 can reach only Western Europe from the Northeast U.S.). The 737-700ER offers a solution to both problems, especially for carriers currently holding orders and options for 737 family aircraft. On the low-cost side, some see the introduction of transatlantic services by LCCs to be inevitable. With lower trip costs (and potentially lower per-seat costs) than existing widebody options, including the revolutionary 787, the –700ER may be the catalyst for this expansion. Low cost carriers that currently operate 737-family aircraft, such as WestJet and Ireland-based Ryanair, can also take advantage of commonality between the –700ER and their existing fleets, further reducing the cost of operating these aircraft. Planning for the 737-700ER. As the delivery of the first 737-700ER is scheduled to occur in early 2007, airports and communities should begin examining the implications of this aircraft on their long-range air services. Given the extended planning cycle required for international services, communities should start laying the research groundwork necessary to quantify and communicate these new air service opportunities to airlines that begin to order the 737700ER. Page 4 February 2006 InterVISTAS’ Canadian Aviation Intelligence Report Copyright ©2006 InterVISTAS Consulting Inc., all rights reserved.