Operating-Income-Based Valuation

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Module 14

Operating-Income-Based Valuation

Learning Objectives – coverage by question

True/False Multiple Choice Exercises Problems Essays

LO1 – Define equity valuation models and explain the information required to value equity securities.

1 1, 2

LO2 – Describe and apply the residual operating income model to value equity securities.

1-5 2-13 3-11 1-4 1-3

LO3 – Explain how equity valuation models can aid managerial decisions.

14, 15 12, 13 5 4, 5

Test Bank, Module 14

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14-1

Module 14: Operating-Income-Based Valuation

True/False

Topic: Weighted Average Cost of Capital

LO: 2

1.

The weighted average cost is computed as: WACC=(r d

× % of debt) + (r e

× % of net income)

Answer: False

Rationale: Discount rate WACC = (r d

× % of debt) + (r e

× % of equity)

Topic: RNOA, WACC, and Company Value

LO: 2

2. All else equal, when WACC is higher than RNOA, the company’s market value is increasing.

Answer: False

Rationale: For a given level of NOA, company value increases when RNOA > WACC.

Topic: Residual Operating Income (ROPI) Valuation Model

LO: 2

3.

Differing accrual accounting policies have an impact on the estimated value of equity when using the

ROPI model.

Answer: False

Rationale: Expected ROPI offsets different levels of NOA resulting from differing accounting policies, leaving estimated value unaffected by accounting policies.

Topic: Company Value under ROPI Model

LO: 2

4. The residual operating income (ROPI) model estimates firm value as the current book value of net operating assets plus the present value of expected residual operating income.

Answer: True

Rationale: The ROPI model estimates firm value as the current book value of net operating assets plus the present value of expected ROPI.

Topic: ROPI Valuation Model

LO: 2

5.

The residual operating income (ROPI) model focuses on net income which is a more accurate measure of future profitability than expected cash flows.

Answer: False

Rationale: NOPAT is the key value driver of the ROPI model.

©Cambridge Business Publishers, 2013

14-2 Financial Statement Analysis & Valuation 3 rd

Edition

Topic: Insights from ROPI Model

LO: 3

6.

The power of the residual operating income (ROPI) model is that it allows managers to focus on either the income statement or balance sheet to increase firm value.

Answer: False

Rationale: The ROPI model focuses managers’ attention on both the income statement and the balance sheet.

Test Bank, Module 14

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14-3

Multiple Choice

Topic: Earnings and Equity Values

LO: 1

1. On April 24, 2009, Ford Motor Company reported a net loss of $1.4 billion for the fiscal quarter. That day, Ford’s stock price climbed from $4.49 per share to $5.00. This demonstrates that:

A) Equity valuation models are not related to company earnings

B) Dividends are unrelated to earnings

C) Equity valuation models can be irrational

D) The net loss was smaller than investors expected

E) All of the above

Answer: D

Rationale: Equity valuation models are based on expected future earnings. The loss that Ford reported was less than investors expected, so in a way, it was good news.

Topic: Projecting Revenue One Year Out – Numerical calculations required

LO: 2

2.

Following is information from Morse Inc. for 2012.

Total 2012 revenue

Total revenue growth rate

Terminal revenue growth rate

Net operating profit margin (NOPM)

Net operating asset turnover (NOAT)

Projected 2013 total revenue would be:

A) $258,364

B) $234,696

C) $185,868

D) $240,614

E) None of the above

Answer: A

Rationale: $219,138 × 1.179 = $258,364

$219,138

17.9%

7.1%

9.8%

2.12

©Cambridge Business Publishers, 2013

14-4 Financial Statement Analysis & Valuation 3 rd

Edition

Topic: Projecting Net Operating Profit After-Tax (NOPAT) – Numerical calculations required

LO: 2

3.

Following is information from Hewlett Packard for 2011 ($ in millions).

Total revenue

Projected revenue growth rate

$127,245

1.0%

Net operating profit margin (NOPM)

Net operating assets (NOA)

5.9%

$62,249

Net operating asset turnover (NOAT)

Projected net operating profit after tax (NOPAT) for 2012 is:

A) $7,583 million

B) $7,950 million

C) $3,684 million

D) $8,258 million

E) None of the above

2.04

Answer: A

Rationale: $127,245 million × 1.01 × 0.059 = $7,583 million

Topic: Projecting Net Operating Profit After-Tax (NOPAT) – Numerical calculations required

LO: 2

4.

Following is information from American Eagle Outfitters for 2011 ($ in thousands).

Total revenue $3,159,818

Total revenue growth rate

Net operating profit margin (NOPM)

6.5%

4.7%

Net operating profit after tax (NOPAT)

Net operating asset turnover (NOAT)

Projected net operating assets (NOA) for 2012 is:

A) $ 795,272 thousand

B) $ 716,001 thousand

C) $1,253,293 thousand

$148,063

4.16

D) $ 808,944 thousand

E) None of the above

Answer: D

Rationale: $3,159,818 thousand × 1.065 / 4.16 = $808,944 thousand

Test Bank, Module 14

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14-5

Topic: Net Operating Profit After-Tax

LO: 2

5.

Which of the following items should not be included in net operating profit after tax (NOPAT)?

A) Revenue

B) Cost of Goods Sold

C) Selling, General & Administrative Expenses

D) Decrease in Accounts Receivable

E) None of the above

Answer: D

Rationale: Accounts Receivable is an asset and is not included in the calculations of NOPAT.

Reductions in accounts receivable are a component of the statement of cash flows.

Topic: ROPI Valuation Model

LO: 2

6.

Which of the following descriptions of the residual operating income (ROPI) model is inaccurate ?

A) ROPI analysis focuses on the amount by which shareholder value is created during a period.

B) ROPI is positive when NOPAT is higher than WACC × NOA

Beg

.

C) ROPI is useful as a management tool as it forces managers to pay attention to both the income statement and the balance sheet.

D) One critique of the ROPI model is that it focuses managers’ attention solely on short-term operating assets and neglects investment in long-term operating assets.

E) None of the above

Answer: D

Rationale: ROPI= NOPAT- (WACC × NOA

Beg

) NOA is the book value of all net operating assets at the beginning of the current period. This includes current and long-term operating assets. Managers must, therefore, focus on both short-term and long-term operating assets.

Topic: Computing Residual Operating Income – Numerical calculations required

LO: 2

7. Thomas Railways reports the following information. What is the company’s residual operating income

(ROPI) for 2012?

Cash

Operating assets

Operating liabilities

Net operating profit after tax

Weighted average cost of capital

2012

$2,200

$9,800

$5,300

$1,800

6.0%

A) $1,248

B) $1,348

C) $1,530

D) $1,548

E) None of the above

Answer: D

Rationale: ROPI = NOPAT- (NOA

Beg

× Weighted average cost of capital)

$1,800 – [($9,200 - $5,000) × 0.06] = $1,548

2011

$2,000

$9,200

$5,000

$1,600

6.0%

©Cambridge Business Publishers, 2013

14-6 Financial Statement Analysis & Valuation 3 rd

Edition

Topic: Computing Residual Operating Income – Numerical calculations required

LO: 2

8.

Magee and East, Inc., have a fiscal year ending May 31. Based on the following information, what is the company’s residual operating income (ROPI) for the year ended May 31, 2012?

October 31 2012 2011

Cash

Net operating working capital

Net long-term operating assets

Net nonoperating obligations

Net operating profit after tax

Weighted average cost of capital

A) $194

B) $254

C) $244

D) $180

E) None of the above

$4,400

$1,400

$2,400

$300

$400

5.4%

Answer: B

Rationale:

ROPI = NOPAT- (NOA

Beg

× Weighted average cost of capital)

NOA = Net operating working capital + Net long-term operating assets

2011 NOA = $700 + $2,000 = $2,700

ROPI = $400 – ($2,700 × 0.054) = $254

Topic: Residual Operating Income (ROPI) Valuation Model

$3,560

$700

$2,000

$200

$360

5.8%

LO: 2

9.

Which of the following descriptions of Residual Operating Income (ROPI) is incorrect ?

A) The estimations of value per share of companies are the same when employing the ROPI and

DCF model if the firm is growing at a constant rate.

B) ROPI = NOPAT- (WACC × NOA), and WACC × NOA is the dollar amount of return that lenders and shareholders expect the company to earn on their investment.

C) If a company utilizes overly conservative/aggressive accounting practices, its book value is understated/ overstated and will affect the estimate of the stock price using the ROPI model.

D) ROPI model uses information from both the income statement and balance sheet.

E) None of the above

Answer: C

Rationale: While it is true that aggressive accounting practices can affect a company’s book value, this is offset by higher/lower expected residual operating income, leaving the estimate of stock price unaffected.

Test Bank, Module 14

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14-7

Topic: ROPI Model – More challenging

LO: 2

10.

Which of the following is incorrect (r w

is the weighted average cost of capital)?

A) ROPI = NOPAT - (r w

× NOA)

B) NOPAT - (r w

× NOA) = (NOPAT/NOA - r w

) × NOA

C) RNOA = NOPAT / average NOA

D) ROPI = (RNOA × r w

) – NOA

E) None of the above

Answer: D

Rationale: ROPI = NOPAT - (r w

× Net operating assets) = (NOPAT/ NOA - r w

) × NOA, and RNOA is defined as NOPAT / average NOA. Therefore D is incorrect by definition.

Topic: ROPI Model – Numerical calculations required

LO: 2

11.

Assume the following forecasted residual operating income (ROPI) for Jenkins & Co. for 2012:

($millions)

Current

2012 2013

Forecast Horizon

2014 2015 2016

Terminal

Year

Residual operating income (ROPI) $512 $788 $1,136 $1,290 $1,422 $1,578

The value of the firm using the ROPI valuation model and NOA for 2012 of $8,024 and a discount rate of 8% and an expected terminal growth rate of 3.5%, is

A) $29,548

B) $25,775

C) $30,060

D) $ 3,772

E) None of the above

Answer: E

Rationale: $788/1.08 + $1,136/1.08

2

+ $1,290/1.08

3

+ $1,422/1.08

4

+ ($1,578 / (0.08 - 0.035))/1.08

4

+

$8,024 = $37,572

Topic: ROPI Model

LO: 2

12.

All of the following are attributes of the ROPI model except :

A) ROPI utilizes both the balance sheet and the income statement, capturing information in accrual accounting.

B) ROPI is immune from the effects of differing accounting policies.

C) ROPI is falsely perceived as influenced by accrual accounting policies.

D) ROPI model is accurately perceived as influenced by accrual accounting policies.

E) None of the above

Answer: D

Rationale: ROPI valuation is immune from accounting policies, as ROPI changes to offset changes in

NOA arising from differing accounting policies.

©Cambridge Business Publishers, 2013

14-8 Financial Statement Analysis & Valuation 3 rd

Edition

Topic: ROPI Model

LO: 2

13.

Which of the following statements is true :

A) ROPI = NOPAT+ (r w

× NOA)

B) ROPI = NOPAT – (r w

× NOA)

C) ROPI = NOPAT – [(r w

– g) × Net operating assets]

D) ROPI = NOPAT – [NOA t

– NOA t-1

]

E) None of the above

Answer: B

Rationale: ROPI=NOPAT-(r w

× NOA)

Topic: Advantage of DCF over ROPI

LO: 3

14.

Which of the following items is an advantage of the discounted cash flow (DCF) model, compared with the residual operating income (ROPI) model?

A) It forecasts residual operating income which is easier than forecasting cash flow.

B) It utilizes information from both the balance sheet and income statement for valuation model.

C) It is well known and widely accepted model

D) It focuses on value drivers such as margins and turnovers

E) All of the above

Answer: C

Rationale: The DCF model is a well-known and widely accepted model.

Topic: ROPI Model Insights

LO: 3

15.

Which of following is an advantage of the ROPI model?

A) Well known and widely accepted valuation model

B) Cash flows are not affected by accrual accounting

C) Utilizes both the balance sheet and the income statement, and captures the information in accrual accounting

D) Does not depend on an arbitrary discount rate.

E) None of the above

Answer: C

Rationale: Utilizes both the balance sheet and the income statement, and captures the information in accrual accounting.

Test Bank, Module 14

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14-9

Exercises

Topic: Stock Price Reaction to Earnings Announcement

LO: 1

1.

In a recent quarterly earnings announcement, Meridian Inc. announced that its earnings had markedly increased (up 20 cents per share over the prior year). Meridian’s stock price dropped nearly

5% on the earnings report. Why do you believe that Meridian’s stock reacted as it did?

Answer:

The likely explanation is that the market had expected a greater earnings increase. This expectation had already been impounded in the company’s stock price. Because the expectation was not met, the price declined.

Topic: Calculating WACC

LO: 1

2.

Kling Industries has an after-tax cost of debt of 5.04%. Your online investigation reveals that the company has a beta of 1.50. Assume that the risk free rate in 2012 is 4.5% and an appropriate “spread” of equities over the risk-free rate is 5%. The company has 77% of its capitalization from equity.

Calculate the company’s weighted average cost of capital for 2012.

Answer:

WACC = (cost of debt × debt % capitalization) + (cost of equity × equity % capitalization).

Cost of debt after tax = 5.04%. Cost of equity = 4.5% + (1.50 × 5%) = 12.00.

WACC = (5.04% × 23%) + (12.00% × 77%) = 10.40%.

Topic: Per Share Value – ROPI Model

LO: 2

3.

Calculate the per share value of Gleem Chemical Corporation if the cumulative present value of horizon period ROPI is $5,500, the present value of terminal ROPI is $6,550, the net operating assets

(NOA) are $22,000, and net nonoperating obligations (NNO) are $2,440. The company has 600 shares outstanding.

Answer:

Cumulative PV of ROPI

PV of terminal value of ROPI

NOA

Total enterprise value

Net nonoperating obligations

Value of equity

Shares outstanding

Value per share

$ 5,500

6,550

22,000

34,050

(2,440)

$31,610

600

$52.68

©Cambridge Business Publishers, 2013

14-10 Financial Statement Analysis & Valuation 3 rd

Edition

Topic: ROPI Calculations

LO: 2

4.

Following are financial statement numbers and select ratios for Target Corp. for the fiscal year 2011

(dollars in millions). Use the information to determine the residual operating income (ROPI) in 2012.

2011 Total revenues

2011 Net operating assets (NOA)

Sales growth, 2012 through 2015

Net operating profit margin (NOPM)

$69,865

$32,510

3.7%

5.0%

Net operating asset turnover (NOAT)

Terminal growth rate

2.15

3%

Discount rate

Answer:

ROPI = NOPAT – (WACC × NOA

Beg

)

2012 NOPAT = $69,865 million × 1.037 × 0.05 = $3,623 million.

2012 ROPI = $3,623 million – (5% × $32,510) = $1,997.

5%

Topic: ROPI Calculations

LO: 2

5. Following are financial statement numbers and select ratios for Darden Restaurants Inc. for the year ended May 27, 2012 (dollars in millions). Use the information to determine the residual operating income (ROPI) in 2013.

2012 Sales

2012 Net operating assets (NOA)

Sales growth, 2013 through 2016

Net operating profit margin (NOPM)

$7,998.7

$3,892.2

6.6%

6.8%

Net operating asset turnover (NOAT)

Terminal growth rate

2.06

4%

Discount rate

Answer:

ROPI = NOPAT – (WACC × NOA

Beg

)

2013 NOPAT = $7,998.7 million × 1.066 × 0.068 = $579.8 million.

2013 ROPI = $579.8 million – (5% × $3,892.2 million) = $385.2 million.

Topic: Terminal Value

LO: 2

5%

6.

Given the horizon period from 2013 to 2017, with the terminal year 2018, calculate the present value at December 31, 2012 of the terminal value of ROPI given the following additional information:

Annual ROPI during the terminal period (2018) = $18,000

Discount rate = 8.4%

Growth rate= 2.5%

Answer:

[($18,000) / (0.084 - 0.025)] / (1 + 0.084)

5

= $203,833

Test Bank, Module 14

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14-11

Topic: ROPI Valuation Model

LO: 2

7.

Use the following information (in millions) and the residual operating income (ROPI) model, to value the equity of a small publicly-traded company. The company’s stock is currently trading at $130 per share. Would you purchase shares of this stock at $130? Why or why not?

Cumulative present value of horizon period ROPI

Present value of terminal period ROPI

Net operating assets, beginning of year

$16,000

44,000

18,000

6,000

625

Net nonoperating obligations

Number of shares outstanding, in millions

Answer:

Total firm value = $16,000 + $44,000 + $18,000 = $78,000

Total equity value = $78,000 - $6,000 = $72,000

Per share value = $72,000 / 625 = $115.20

No, I would not purchase shares of the stock, because it appears to be overvalued based on the

ROPI model. My valuation puts the price at $115.20, so at $130 it is not a good deal.

Topic: ROPI Valuation Model

LO: 2

8.

In its 2012 fiscal year report, a company reported the following information:

2012 2011 2010

Net operating profit after tax

Net operating assets, end of year

$112,486

$1,335,543

$91,816

$1,158,543

$77,345

$1,074,922

The company’s WACC is 8%. What is the residual operating income (ROPI) for 2012? Is this an improvement over the previous year? Is this a good sign for investing in this company?

Answer:

ROPI = NOPAT – (WACC × Net Operating Assets

BEG

)

2012 ROPI = $112,486 – (0.08 × $1,158,543) = $19,803

2011 ROPI = $91,816 – (0.08 × $1,074,922) = $5,822

2012 ROPI was $19,803. This is a big improvement over the 2011 ROPI. This is a good sign for investors; however, we would want to determine if the NOPAT above reflects expected future

NOPAT, or if it was affected by one-time items.

©Cambridge Business Publishers, 2013

14-12 Financial Statement Analysis & Valuation 3 rd

Edition

Topic: ROPI Valuation Model

LO: 2

9.

In its 2012 fiscal year report, a company reported the following information:

Net operating profit after tax

2012

$56,243

2011

$45,908

2010

$38,673

Net operating assets, end of year $1,335,543 $1,158,543 $1,074,922

At what weighted average cost of capital would the company report residual operating income (ROPI) of $0 in 2012?

Answer:

With a WACC of about 4.9%, the company would report zero ROPI.

ROPI = NOPAT – (WACC × NOA

BEG

)

When ROPI = $0, NOPAT = (WACC × NOA

BEG

), and that WACC = NOPAT / NOA

BEG

2012 WACC = $56,243 / $1,158,543) = 4.9%

Topic: ROPI Computation

LO: 2

10.

Given the following information, calculate the ROPI for the latest fiscal year. At what WACC will the company report zero ROPI?

Revenues

NOPAT

$40,000

$3,000

WACC

Net operating assets beginning of year

5%

$20,000

Net operating assets end of year $22,000

Net debt

Answer:

ROPI = NOPAT – (WACC × NOA

BEG

)

ROPI = $3,000 – (0.05 × $20,000) = $2,000

$10,000

ROPI equal to zero implies that WACC = NOPAT / NOA

BEG

WACC = $3,000 / $20,000 = 0.15. The company will report zero ROPI with a WACC of 15%

Topic: Computing RNOA from ROPI – More challenging

LO: 2

11.

A firm has expected residual operating income of $8.4 million, the weighted average cost of capital

(WACC) of 5.5%, and net operating assets (NOA) at the beginning of the period of $220 million. NOA is projected to grow to $260 million by the end of the year. What is the projected return on net operating assets (RNOA) for the year?

Answer:

ROPI = NOPAT – (WACC × NOA

BEG

).

$8.4 = NOPAT – (0.055 × $220) NOPAT= $20.5

RNOA = $20.5 / [($220 + $260) / 2] = 8.5%

Test Bank, Module 14

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14-13

Topic: Using ROPI in a Management Setting

LO: 3

12.

A company wants to assess the performance of its management using the ROPI-based analysis. At the beginning of the period, the company has net operating assets of $56 million, and its weighted cost of capital (WACC) for this period is 7.5%. a. What is the minimum level of NOPAT the company will need in this year for management to report it has achieved an acceptable level of profit under the ROPI analysis? b. Why is it often advantageous for a company to use ROPI analysis to evaluate managers?

Answer: a. ROPI = NOPAT – (WACC × NOA

BEG

). For ROPI to equal zero, NOPAT – (0.075 × $56 million).

In this case, NOPAT must be greater than $4.2 million, meaning that the firm must have a net operating profit after tax greater than $4.2 million for it to report positive ROPI. b. Many large companies use ROPI or a similar analysis to evaluate their managers because it forces company managers to pay attention to the balance sheet in addition to the income statement.

Topic: Using ROPI in a Management Context

LO: 3

13.

Consider a management team that has its incentive compensation package tied to residual operating income (ROPI). Discuss how the team can improve ROPI by 1) driving improvements in operating margin, and/or 2) reducing the company’s operating asset base.

Answer:

The primary drivers of the ROPI equation are NOPAT, WACC, and operating asset base. ROPI =

NOPAT – (WACC × Net operating assets). If management can increase the business’s operating margin through cost savings, the company will increase reported NOPAT, and therefore ROPI.

Similarly, if management can reduce its net operating asset base, it can reduce the “charge” incurred against the NOPAT generated. This will result in greater ROPI for a given level of NOPAT.

©Cambridge Business Publishers, 2013

14-14 Financial Statement Analysis & Valuation 3 rd

Edition

Problems

Topic: Calculating FCFF and ROPI from Financial Statements

LO: 2

1.

Following are the balance sheet and income statement for Silver Toys Inc.

Silver Toys Inc.

Balance Sheet at December 31

2012 2011

Cash

Accounts Receivable

Inventories

Total Current Assets

Plant Assets, Net

Total Assets

$ 2,046

2,946

9,136

14,128

21,974

$36,102

$ 1,958

3,192

7,714

12,864

21,250

$34,114

Accounts Payable

Accrued Liabilities

Total Current Liabilities

Long-term Debt

Total Stockholder's Equity

Total Liabilities and Equity

$ 1,982

1,750

3,732

8,944

23,426

$36,102

$ 1,696

1,490

3,186

10,398

20,530

$34,114

Silver Toys Inc.

Income Statement for the year ended December 31

(in thousands) 2012

Revenues

Cost of Books Sold

Gross Profit

$24,164

11,876

12,288

2011

$20,874

10,028

10,846

Selling, General and Admin Expenses

Operating Profit

Interest Expense

7,938

4,350

500

7,014

3,832

450

Pretax Income

Income Tax Expense

Net Income

3,850

1,156

$ 2,694

3,382

1,014

$ 2,368 a. Calculate net operating profit after tax (NOPAT) for 2012. Assume that the company’s statutory tax rate is 30%. b. Calculate net operating assets (NOA) for 2011 and 2012. c. What is the free cash flows to the firm (FCFF) for 2012 for the Silver Toys? d. What is the residual operating income (ROPI) for 2012 for the Silver Toys? The company’s weighted average cost of capital is 8.45%.

Test Bank, Module 14

©Cambridge Business Publishers, 2013

14-15

Answer: a. 2012 NOPAT = $4,350 – [$1,156 + ($500 × 0.30)] = $3,044 b. 2011 NOA = $34,114 – $3,186 – $1,958 = $28,970

2012 NOA = $36,102 – $3,732 – $2,046 = $30,324 c.

NOPAT $ 3,044

Ending Net Operating Assets 30,324

Beginning Net Operating Assets 28,970

Increase in NOA 1,354

FCFF = NOPAT – Increase in NOA $ 1,690 d.

NOPAT $ 3,044

Beginning Net Operating Assets

ROPI = NOPAT – (WACC × Beginning Net

Operating Assets)

28,970

$596

Topic: Valuing Equity Securities using ROPI Model

LO: 2

2.

Following are financial statement numbers and select ratios for Target Corp. for the fiscal year 2011

(ending January 28, 2012).

($ millions)

Sales

Net operating profit after tax (NOPAT)

Net operating assets (NOA)

Current

2011 2012

Forecast Horizon

2013 2014 2015

Terminal

Year

69,865 72,450 75,131 77,910 80,793 83,217

3,483 3,623 3,757 3,896 4,040 4,161

32,510 33,698 34,945 36,237 37,578 38,706

Forecast assumptions and other financial information for Target are as follows:

Sales growth 3.7%

Net operating profit margin (NOPM)

Net operating asset turnover (NOAT)

Terminal growth rate

Discount rate

5.0%

2.15

3%

5%

Shares outstanding in millions

Stockholders' equity

669.3

$15,821

Net nonoperating obligations (NNO) $ 16,689 a. Use the residual operating income (ROPI) model to estimate the value of Target’s equity, per share at fiscal year end. b. Target Corp. shares closed at $50.05 per share on January 28, 2012. How does your valuation compare with this closing price?

©Cambridge Business Publishers, 2013

14-16 Financial Statement Analysis & Valuation 3 rd

Edition

Answer: a.

($millions)

NOPAT

NOA

Beg

ROPI (NOPAT- [NOA

Beg

× r w

])

Discount factor [1 / (1 × r w

) t

]

PV of horizon ROPI

Cum PV of horizon ROPI

PV of terminal ROPI

NOA

Total firm value

Less NNO

Firm equity value

Shares outstanding (millions)

Stock value per share

Current

2011 2012

3,623

Forecast Horizon

2013 2014

3,757 3,896

2015

Terminal

Year

4,040 4,161

32,510 33,698 34,945 36,237

1,998 2,072 2,149 2,228

0.95238 0.90703 0.86384 0.82270

37,578

2,282

$7,471

1,903 1,879 1,856 1,833

93,870

32,510

133,851

16,689

117,162

669.3

$175.05 b. The valuation of Target at $175.05, above, suggests that the firm is undervalued at the closing market price of $50.05. This could be because the discount rate used here is too low or because growth projections are too aggressive.

Test Bank, Module 14

©Cambridge Business Publishers, 2013

14-17

Topic: Valuing Equity Securities using ROPI Model

LO: 2

3.

Following are financial statement numbers and select ratios for Hewlett-Packard Corp. for the year ended October 31, 2011.

($millions)

Current

2011 2012

Forecast Horizon

2013 2014 2015

Terminal

Year

Total net revenue $127,245 $128,517 $129,803 $131,101 $132,412 $133,736

Net operating profit after tax (NOPAT) 7,522 7,583 7,658 7,735 7,812 7,890

Net operating assets

(NOA) 62,249 62,999 63,629 64,265 64,908 65,557

Forecast assumptions and other financial information for HP are as follows:

Revenue growth

Terminal growth rate

Net operating profit margin (NOPM)

1.0%

1.0%

5.9%

Net operating asset turnover (NOAT)

Discount rate

Shares outstanding in millions

Stockholders' equity

2.04

5.6%

1,991

$38,625

NNO $23,624 a. Use the residual operating income (ROPI) model to estimate the value of Hewlett-Packard’s equity, per share at October 31, 2011. b. Hewlett Packard’s shares closed at $26.61 per share on October 31, 2011. How does your valuation compare with this closing price?

Answer: a.

($ millions)

NOPAT

Current

2011 2012

7,583

Forecast Horizon

2013

7,658

2014

7,735

2015

7,812

Terminal

Year

7,890

NOA

Beg 62,249 62,999 63,629 64,265 64,908

ROPI (NOPAT- [NOA

Beg

× r w

])

Discount factor [1 / (1 × r w

) t

]

PV of horizon ROPI

Cum PV of horizon ROPI

PV of terminal ROPI

NOA

Total firm value

Less NNO

Firm equity value

Shares outstanding (millions)

Stock value per share

$14,515

4,097 4,130 4,172 4,213

0.94697 0.89675 0.84920 0.80416

3,880 3,704 3,543 3,388

74,385

62,249

151,149

23,624

127,525

1,991

$64.05

4,255 b. The valuation of HP at $64.05, above suggests that the firm is undervalued at the closing market price of $26.61. This could be because the discount rate used here is too low or because growth projections are too aggressive.

©Cambridge Business Publishers, 2013

14-18 Financial Statement Analysis & Valuation 3 rd

Edition

Topic: Valuing Equity Securities using ROPI Model

LO: 2

4.

Following are the income statements and balance sheets for Darden Restaurants, Inc. for the fiscal year ending May 27, 2012.

Darden Restaurants, Inc.

Consolidated Balance Sheet s

(In millions)

Assets

Cash and cash equivalents

Receivables, net

Inventories

Prepaid income taxes

Prepaid expenses and other current assets

Deferred income taxes

Total current assets

Land, buildings and equipment, net

Goodwill

Trademarks

Other assets

Total assets

Accounts payable

Short-term debt

Accrued payroll

Accrued income taxes

Other accrued taxes

Unearned revenues

Current portion of long-term debt

Other current liabilities

Total current liabilities

Long-term debt, less current portion

Deferred income taxes

Deferred rent

Obligations under capital leases

Other liabilities

Total liabilities

Common Stock (129 shares outstanding)

Retained Earnings

Treasury Stock

Accumulated other comprehensive (loss)

Unearned compensation

Total stockholders’ equity

Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity

May 27, 2012 May 29, 2011

$ 70.5 $ 70.5

71.4

404.1

12.2

74.9

124.5

757.6

65.4

300.1

5.2

77.0

145.6

663.8

3,951.3

538.6

464.9

231.8

$5,944.2

$ 260.7

262.7

154.3

--

60.4

231.7

349.9

454.4

1,774.1

1,453.7

312.9

204.4

54.4

302.7

4,102.2

2,518.8

3,172.8

(3,695.8)

(146.6)

(7.2)

1,842.0

$5,944.2

3,622.0

517.1

454.0

209.7

$5,466.6

$ 251.3

185.5

167.1

9.3

64.3

200.0

--

409.3

1,286.8

1,407.3

345.4

186.2

56.0

248.7

3,530.4

2,408.8

2,921.9

(3,325.3)

(59.8)

(9.4)

1,936.2

$5,466.6

Test Bank, Module 14

©Cambridge Business Publishers, 2013

14-19

(In millions)

Sales

Costs of sales:

Food and beverage

Restaurant labor

Restaurant expenses

Total cost of sales

Darden Restaurants, Inc.

Consolidated Statements of Earnings

Selling general and administrative

Depreciation and amortization

Interest, net

Total costs and expenses

Earnings before income taxes

Income taxes

May 27, 2012

$7,998.7

2,460.6

2,502.0

1,200.6

6,163.2

746.8

349.1

101.6

7,360.7

638.0

161.5

May 29, 2011

$7,500.2

2,173.6

2,396.9

1,129.0

5,699.5

742.7

316.8

93.6

6,852.6

647.6

168.9

Earnings from continuing operations

Losses from discontinued operations, net

476.5

1.0

478.7

2.4

Net earnings $475.5 476.3

Required: a. Calculate the following metrics for 2012:

Net operating profit after tax (NOPAT) – assume the statutory tax rate is 37.5%

Net operating assets (NOA)

Net operating profit margin (NOPM)

Net operating asset turnover (NOAT)

Net nonoperating obligations (NNO), and

Sales growth. b. Use the residual operating income (ROPI) model to estimate the per share value of Darden

Restaurant’s equity, at May 27, 2012. The company’s weighted average cost of capital is 9% and terminal growth rate is expected to be 4%. c. Darden Restaurant’s shares closed at $53.06 per share on May 27, 2012. How does your valuation compare with this closing price?

©Cambridge Business Publishers, 2013

14-20 Financial Statement Analysis & Valuation 3 rd

Edition

Answer: a. NOPAT = $540.0: $476.5 + ($101.6 × (1 – 37.5%))

NOA = $3,892.2: ($5,944.2 – $70.5) – ($1,774.1 – $262.7 – $349.9 + $312.9 + $204.4 + $302.7)

NOPM = 6.8%: $540.0 / $7,998.7

NOAT = 2.06: $7,998.7 / $3,892.2

NNO = = $2,050.2: $262.7 + $349.9 + $1,453.7 + $54.4 – $70.5

Sales growth = 6.6%: ($7,998.7 / $7,500.2) – 1 b.

($millions)

NOPAT

Current

2012 2013

579.8

Forecast Horizon

2014 2015

618.1 658.9

2016

702.4

Terminal

Year

730.4

NOA

Beg 3,892.2 4,139.1 4,412.3 4,703.5 5,014.0

ROPI (NOPAT- [NOA

Beg

× r w

])

Discount factor [1 / (1 × r w

) t

]

229.5 245.6 261.8 279.1

0.91743 0.84168 0.77218 0.70843

279.1

PV of horizon ROPI

Cum PV of horizon ROPI

$817.2

210.6 206.7 202.2 197.7

PV of terminal ROPI

3,954.5

NOA

3,892.2

Total firm value

8,663.9

Less NNO

2,050.2

Firm equity value

6,613.7

Shares outstanding (millions)

129.0

Stock value per share

$51.27 c. The valuation of Darden Restaurants at $51.27 above suggests that the firm is overvalued at the closing market price of $53.06. This could be because the discount rate used here is too high or because growth projections are too conservative.

Test Bank, Module 14

©Cambridge Business Publishers, 2013

14-21

Topic: Using ROPI in a Management Context

LO: 3

5.

Suppose you are an officer for Jordan Corporation and are presented with the following information regarding your two operating divisions:

U.S. division

Latin America division

Revenues

Net operating profit after tax (NOPAT)

$12,800

7,900

$13,400

6,500

Weighted average cost of capital (WACC) 8.00% 8.00%

Beginning Net Operating Assets (NOA)

Ending Net Operating Assets (NOA)

38,160

40,280

34,760

35,800 a. Compute the residual operating income (ROPI) for each division. b. Compare the residual operating income (ROPI) for each division. Which division is performing better? c. What would you recommend to each division’s top manager to improve its performance?

Answer: a.

U.S. division

Latin America division

Net operating profit after tax (NOPAT)

Weighted average cost of capital (WACC)

Beginning Net Operating Assets (NOA)

Expected NOPAT = NOA beg x WACC

$7,900

8.00%

38,160

3,053

$6,500

8.00%

34,760

2,781

ROPI = NOPAT - Expected NOPAT $4,847 $3,719 b. Although the U.S. Division generates less revenue, Net Operating Profit After Tax (NOPAT) is much higher than that of the Latin America Division. Further, U.S. Division has only slightly higher Net Operating Assets, although both divisions have the same WACC. The ROPI of U.S.

Division therefore is higher than that of the Latin America Division. c. Division managers can improve ROPI by increasing NOPAT, by decreasing NOA or by reducing the division’s risk profile to reduce the WACC. To increase NOPAT, the division could increase revenues (holding costs constant) or decrease costs (relative to revenues). To decrease NOA in the short run, the division could reduce working capital assets (inventory and accounts receivable) or increase accounts payable. In the longer run, the division can reduce levels of PPE so as to improve efficiency. Reducing risk is more challenging yet because financing decisions are not typically made at the divisional level.

©Cambridge Business Publishers, 2013

14-22 Financial Statement Analysis & Valuation 3 rd

Edition

Essay Questions

Topic: DCF, ROPI and Earnings Quality

LO: 2

1.

Which is the better model for valuation when earnings quality is a major concern, DCF or ROPI?

Explain.

Answer:

Both approaches are suitable. When earnings quality is an issue, the ROPI model can still be used because it is unaffected by companies’ accounting practices. If a company uses overly conservative accounting practices, its book value is understated. However, this is offset by higher expected residual operating income (remember, ROPI = NOPAT – (WACC × Net Operating Assets).

Topic: NOPAT vs. Net Income in ROPI Valuation

LO: 2

2.

Discuss why NOPAT is used in calculating the value of a company instead of net income in the ROPI equity valuation model.

Answer:

NOPAT, rather than net income, is used in calculating the value of a company in the ROPI model because NOPAT reflects the operating side of the firm as opposed to net income, which includes both operating activities and borrowing and security investing activities. NOPAT is, then, compared with

NOA, another operating metric. When net income is used, stockholders’ equity, rather than NOA, is the appropriate balance sheet amount.

Topic: ROPI Model

LO: 2

3.

Explain the concept behind the Residual Operating Income (ROPI) model.

Answer:

The ROPI model is the idea that owners and non-owners (e.g. bondholders) each expect a certain amount of return in exchange for the money that they give to the firm. For the firm, this return amounts to a cost. This cost, calculated as WACC × Net Operating Assets, is often referred to as expected net operating profits after tax (Expected NOPAT).

Anything the firm earns over and above the Expected NOPAT is money that creates value for the firm. The difference between the firm’s actual NOPAT and the Expected NOPAT is called Residual

Operating Income (ROPI). Hence, firms that can produce substantial Residual Operating Income should be valued higher, while companies that have low, or negative, Residual Operating Income, should be valued lower.

Test Bank, Module 14

©Cambridge Business Publishers, 2013

14-23

Topic: Advantages/Disadvantages of DCF and ROPI Models

LO: 3

4.

Name and describe some of the advantages/disadvantages of both the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) and the Residual Operating Income (ROPI) valuation models.

Answer:

The DCF method is well known and has been adopted by a number of investment firms. It’s perceived advantage is the use of cash flows, which are not affected by accrual accounting rules.

Although DCF has received vast attention, some of the drawbacks are that DCF penalizes firms for investing in net operating working capital and long-term operating assets, which are essential to a firm’s long-run survival. Although both may create value and are critical to the effective operations of a firm, additions to either reduce Free Cash Flows to the Firm (FCFF). Thus, some companies may be tempted to decrease investing in assets in order to increase FCFF. Another weakness is that

FCFF may often fluctuate, creating difficulties at arriving at the true value of the firm.

The Residual Operating Income (ROPI) model, on the other hand, utilizes the accrual concept of accounting and uses both the balance sheet and the income statement to arrive at a firm’s value.

Advantages include the fact that the ROPI model captures information, such as margins and turnover, which is valuable in understanding a firm’s value. A disadvantage is that the financial statements do not reflect all company assets.

Topic: Using ROPI in a Management Context

LO: 3

5.

You have recently taken a position as CFO of High Tech Corporation, a leading manufacturer of consumer electronics. The industry is widely regarded as one of the more stable across the economic spectrum and offers good long-term growth prospects. In addition to High Tech Corp., there are several other well-capitalized competitors, and each company commands roughly identical market shares. Each competitor has highly efficient manufacturing processes and operates at virtually identical margins. In your new position as CFO, your incentive compensation plan is primarily driven by ROPI. High Tech Corp. has historically been ROPI neutral while its peers in have been ROPI positive. Looking at the information below, what would be your immediate objectives for

High Tech Corp. in order to drive positive ROPI. Explain your actions.

High Tech

Corp.

Industry

Peers

Net operating profit margin (NOPM) 12.0% 12.0%

Working Capital as % of NOA

Debt to market value of equity (%)

Cost of Debt

Cost of Equity

Weighted average cost of capital (WACC)

20.0%

0.0%

4.0%

9.0%

9.0%

15.0%

34.0%

4.0%

10.0%

8.0%

©Cambridge Business Publishers, 2013

14-24 Financial Statement Analysis & Valuation 3 rd

Edition

Answer:

ROPI = NOPAT – (WACC × NOA), our job as CFO is to manipulate the components of the ROPI equation so that High Tech Corp. generates positive ROPI. First, while increasing NOPAT can result in the desired outcome, the problem outlined an industry in which this looks to be challenging over the near-term. All competitors have identical market shares and margins, so High Tech would need to increase its sales by taking share from a strong field of competitors. While this will ultimately be the objective of executive management, as CFO we can take more immediate actions to increase ROPI.

Two ROPI drivers at High Tech appear out of balance relative to the company’s industry peers. First,

High Tech has 20% of its net operating assets tied up in working capital, compared to just 15% for the peers. By optimizing the supply chain at High Tech, the company will reduce its net operating asset base. This will result in a decreased “charge” against NOPAT in the ROPI equation. Second, High

Tech does not appear to be maximizing its capital structure relative to its peers. As CFO, increasing the amount of debt carried on the balance sheet to a reasonable level will decrease the WACC component in the ROPI equation. Again, this too will result in a smaller “charge” against NOPAT for

ROPI calculation. It is important to note that High Tech should not experience a significant increase in its cost of equity due to the addition of reasonable leverage; at a 34% debt to cap level, High Tech would expect its cost of equity to mirror that of its close industry peers.

Test Bank, Module 14

©Cambridge Business Publishers, 2013

14-25

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