Business Planning Paulo Soares de Pinho FEUNL March, 19 2014 1 Key Elements • The Opportunity • The Context • The Team • The Deal 2 It is not the technology - only 3 Business Plans 4 5 The Business Plan • At startup phase the business plan becomes a critical element of the entrepreneurial venture – To attract financing • To determine financial needs • To determine pre and post-money valuations and capital structure – To show that entrepreneur has carefully evaluated the opportunity • Market size; competitive products; competitors • Strategic and financial aspects • Adequate risk evaluation 6 Why is the Business Plan so important? • Business plan is a crucial exercise – For entrepreneurs • To evaluate CAPEX and OPEX requirements • To determine financing needs • To value their venture “Plans are nothing. Planning is everything” – For finance-providers, to evaluate entrepreneurs: • how much do they know about their business, market size, etc? • How careful were they at estimating their sales potential, margins, CAPEX, OPEX and financing needs? • Have they clearly anticipated sources of risk? • How much attention did they pay to important details? 7 The Opportunity and its business model • The Vision – Clearly specify your vision for the new venture, i.e., your ambitions for your venture – Vision characteristics • • • • Short / focused statement Able to survive the friction of time – but adjustable Unique – special to your venture Purpose: provides rationale for venture’s existence 8 Vision statements • BMW Vision Statement (an old one) – To become most successful premium manufacturer in the car industry. • Pepsi Co Vision Statement – PepsiCo’s responsibility is to continually improve all aspects of the world in which we operate – environment, social, economic – creating a better tomorrow than today. – Our vision is put into action through programs and a focus on environmental stewardship, activities to benefit society, and a commitment to build shareholder value by making PepsiCo a truly sustainable company. 9 The Venture’s Mission statement • The mission statement will describe the company’s goals, products / services and target customers as well as the deliverables for the different stakeholders. – Characteristics: • Short: 100 words or less • Should provide a clear path to achieve company’s vision • Clear, concise explanation of company’s purpose, values, goals, customers (Channels?), • A Mission Statement defines the company's business, its objectives and its approach to reach those objectives. A Vision Statement describes the desired future position of the company. Elements of Mission and Vision Statements are often combined to provide a statement of the company's purposes, goals and values. However, sometimes the two terms are used interchangeably. 10 11 12 Product’s Value Proposition • Clearly state the value your offer to your customers – Product: superior product characteristics that are valued by the clients – Access: How does the consumer get access to it – Service: What service you offer besides the product – Security: how safe is your product – Other benefits – Price: how does your price compare with the benefit you offer to the customer? • In short, lists your customers’ perceived benefits from your product and how much they have to pay for them (of course, you need to listen to them first) 13 Some value-propositions • Starbucks – We provide a friendly, comfortable, well-located place offering a wide range of fresh, customized coffees, teas and other beverages for the person who enjoys a good experience and a good beverage. • Google search engine – Fast, relevant results for the most ill-described query. • Amazon.com (an old one) – An easily accessible internet site that is convenient all of the time to provide a wide selection of books, CD’s and videos at a fair price to the busy, computerliterated customer 14 The Business Model • Customer Selection • • Who is the customer? Is our offer relevant to this group? • Value Proposition • What are our products unique benefits? • Competitive Advantage • • Products and services • • • What are our sources of competitive advantage? Is it sustainable? How do we differentiate ourselves? What is our product range? What elements of the value-chain we want to control and which do we outsource? • Organisational Design • What is our organisation architecture? • Value capture • • How do we capture part of the value created? How do we protect profitability • Talent • How do we recruit and retain talent? 15 Business Plan: Contents • Executive Summary • The Market – Including the marketing plan • The technology, product or service – Including info on “proof of concept” and IP issues • • • • • Management Team Business Operations Financial Projections Details on the Use of Funds Exit Possibilities 16 Executive Summary • Two pages (3 already too long) • In the first paragraph you must capture the attention of a potential financial investor • Explain what is different about your opportunity, how big is the market potential, how fast can your company grow; what is your vision • What is the Value Proposition • Who are the competitors, how will they react, substitute products and services, etc • Why are you the right team for this opportunity? • Think of it as the main guide to your elevator pitch 17 The product • Why is your innovation relevant? – Is it a disruptive innovation? • Is it going to completely change an industry / sector? • How really new is it? What are current alternatives? – To which use is it meant? – How much value it creates to potential customers? • At which price can be sold? – What alternative uses it may have? • Detail main characteristics / specifications 18 The Product: Intellectual property • Who owns the IP? IP rights and ownership are usually among the most critical issues for VC investment – Yourselves? A University? – Is it transferable? How? – Who owns the IP in case your firm becomes insolvent? • Is (are) there any patent(s)? – How strong are they? – Do we have to invest to get stronger IP protection? – Do you own the patent or just the rights to use it via a royalty? – If answer is yes, can we buy the patent? 19 The people • Who are the founders? – – – – What have they accomplished in the past? Have they worked together as a team in the past? Are they friends / relatives? How many are they? (too many/few)? Who else (what skills) should join the team? • Do they possess the right skills for this Opportunity? – Technological; Marketing; Managerial • Whom do they know? (what is their reputation?) – What doors may be open by these contacts? • How committed are they? – Their own initial investment (cash, time, opportunity costs) 20 The Market • Target Market Be flexible: your product may have alternative uses/markets. Search for the best alternative – What is the relevant target market? – How large is it? – How attractive is it? • Margins (and ability to protect them); costs; technological stability; • Market growth; margins; threats, etc – What share of the market can be captured? – What are the growth prospects? • Can we ride on its growth? – How easy it is to enter and capture a share of it? • Who is your competition? What are their strengths? Any softspots? 21 The opportunity (cont) • The customer Try to think on the opportunity from the customer’s perspective (rather than your own) – Who is he/she? – How does he (or who does) make decisions? • Or who actually makes the decision to buy the product – What needs can we serve? and how? – How to market/position the product (4 p’s…) – How to attract customers? (at which cost?) – How to retain, cross-sell and evaluate (CRM)? – How much does it costs to support? – How to monitor customer satisfaction and anticipate future needs? 22 The Market: Marketing Plan • Must detail your marketing strategy – All previous discussion about the relevant target market, and the customer; – How is the product/service going to be positioned – How will be promoted – Wow will access distribution channels • Need strategic partnerships (investors)? – How will handle competitors and competitive products and services – Specific actions to achieve specific results 23 Business Operations • Manufacturing (if applicable): – Outsourced; in-house; production technology – Costs; sourcing raw materials, etc – Quality control • Company’s own R&D – Research facilities; Available grants • Delivery to end customers or distributors • Human resources – People to be hired (and when); – Remuneration, etc… 24 Financial Projections • Sales Plan – Units & prices per year & channel • Costs – Cost of goods sold – Other overhead • R&D and product development – Expenses and time-plan • Working capital requirements • Fixed capital investments 25 Financial Projections • Pro-forma income statements based upon previously presented projections and assumptions – Detail sales revenue (by product, sales channel, customer group, etc); detail prices, etc – Detail costs (CGS, admin, marketing & sales, personnel) and show coherence with previous assumptions • Investment plan – Detail R&D, fixed investment, etc • Pro-forma balance sheets based upon income statement and your financing plans – Detail financing stages; What financing and who from – Detail Working capital management and assumptions • Pro-forma Cash-flow statements • A valuation exercise? 26 Room for Dessert 27 Case analysis • How do you evaluate the business (1-5)? – What do you like about it? – What do you don’t? – What are the major risks? • How do you evaluate the business plan (1-5)? – What do you like about it? – What do you don’t? – How reasonable are the financial forecasts? • Who are the “target investors” for this business plan? – What kind of deal is proposed to them? 28 29