Relocating Labor-intensive Industries from Thailand to Neighboring Countries: Possibility and Policy Implications Saowaruj Rattanakhamfu Somkiat Tangkitvanich Wirot Sukphisan Ploy Thammapiranan Thailand Development Research Institute Abstract government in facilitating the relocation process as well as in increasing the competitiveness of these As a result of higher wage and labor shortages in industries. Thailand, Thai companies in labor-intensive industries 1. Introduction are forced to find the new business model to remain competitive. In the short run, some companies may choose to relocate their production bases Labor intensive industries, especially textile and to garment, shoes and leather goods, and gems and neighboring countries with lower wage rates to jewelry, have played an important role to Thai maintain their traditional cost comparative advantage. economy as the major export industries as well as the However, in the long run, they have to move up their main employment sources. In terms of exports value in value chain by adding higher value added activities, 2012, textile and garment, and gems and jewelry such as research and development (R&D), design, industries marketing, and branding to stay competitive. percent, intensive industries has declined. Figure 1 shows that It also draws policy role 2.6 However, the competitiveness in these labor Myanmar and Vietnam), as well as who are likely to the and the manufacturing sector in the same year. countries, especially CLMV (Cambodia, Lao PDR, regarding 3.2 employ about 11.8 percent of the total employment in relocating Thai production bases to neighboring implications to respectively. In addition, textile and garment industries This paper aims at finding out the possibility of relocate, how and where? contribute of their market shares in the world market have decreased the over time. 20 Relocating Labor-intensive Industries from Thailand to Neighboring Countries 21 Source: UN Comtrade Figure 1: Market share of export to the world by products and countries In the past, Thailand enjoyed the comparative section will describe where to relocate. The fifth advantage in labor intensive industries due to its cheap section will provide case studies of companies and abundant labor. However, the continual increase relocating to neighboring countries. The cases will not in wages decreases its comparative advantage. In the only highlight why and how they have relocated but short run, one way to stay competitive in labor- also help us draw lessons on the factors that determine intensive industries is moving the production bases to the successful relocation. low-wage countries. They still have to move up their compare the production cost differences in different value chain by R&D, design, marketing or creating locations, namely Bangkok, Ho Chi Minh City, and own brands to be competitive in the long run. Yangon. The last section will summarize and provide The next section will provide possibility for relocating Thai manufacturing bases in labor intensive industries to neighboring countries. The third section will provide an overview of the companies likely to relocate, and how they would do so. The fourth The sixth section will policy recommendations. 2. Possibility for relocating laborintensive industries to neighboring countries 22 東協瞭望 009 The flying geese theory is proposed by Akamatsu (1962) 1 on labor costs. As domestic labor costs have escalated to explain the phenomenon of industry significantly, these companies, especially in labor- development in East Asia. This theory explicates that intensive industries, find it increasingly hard to the economic development model in Asian countries is continue their operations in Thailand. Some have similar to a flying-geese pattern such that more relocated their production bases to lower wage developed countries move their production bases to countries, especially Vietnam, Cambodia, and Lao less developed countries, starting from Japan as a PDR and lately Myanmar. technology leading country to Newly Industrializing Economies (NIEs) (i.e., South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore and Hong Kong), then old ASEAN members In particular, the reduction in competitiveness of Thai labor-intensive industries is due to the following reasons. (i.e., Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia and Philippines) and finally new ASEAN countries (i.e., Vietnam, Firstly, wages have continuously increased in Thailand. Recently, a nationwide increase in the daily Cambodia, Lao PDR, and Myanmar). minimum wage to 300 baht (or 9.7 USD4) has further The main driver of a change in production pattern is the internal restructure of leading countries. That is, reduced the already thin profit margins of laborintensive industries. an increase in wages in more developed countries reduces their comparative advantage in labor-intensive Continual rise in labor cost has gradually products; therefore they have to relocate low-value diminished Thailand’s cost advantages in labor- added activities to less developed countries with lower intensive products in the international market. Figure 2 wages. shows the differences in the average labor wages in some labor-intensive industries between 2007 and 2013. The flying geese theory can explain production pattern in Southeast Asia well. the For example, in garment industry, the manufacturing base is moved from Japan to South Korea and Taiwan, later Thailand, Malaysia, and Indonesia and now Vietnam, Cambodia, Lao PDR and Myanmar. equipment manufacturers (OEMs) . intensive industries have increased significantly. In particular, in the textile industry, the average wage increased from 4,867 baht in 2007 to 9,217 baht in 2013, accounting for the growth rate of 89 percent. Similarly, the average wage in the garment industry In Thailand, most manufacturers are original 2 During this period, the average wages in these labor- increased from 4,884 baht in 2007 to 7,745 baht in Of them, only 5 2013, accounting for the growth rate of 59 percent. percent conduct research and development (R&D) 3 , The wage in the shoes and leather goods industries therefore their comparative advantage mainly depends increased from 5,467 baht in 2007 to 8,150 baht in 1 Akamatsu K. (1962). A historical pattern of economic growth in developing countries. Journal of Developing Economies, 1(1):3–25. 2 In this paper, an original equipment manufacturer (OEM) means a company producing products for another company that sells those products under its own brand name. 3 Source: National Science Technology and Innovation Policy Office 2013, accounting for the growth rate of 49 percent. The wage in the gems and jewelry industries also increased from 7,219 baht in 2007 to 10,955 baht in 2013, accounting for the growth rate of 52 percent. 4 The average exchange rate in 2013 is 30.73 baht/USD. (source: www.bot.or.th) Relocating Labor-intensive Industries from Thailand to Neighboring Countries 23 Recently, due to the introduction of new daily enormously to 23 percent in textile industry, 11 percent minimum wage policy started in some provinces in in garment industry, 10 percent in shoes and leather April 2012 and nationwide in 2013, the annual growth goods industries, and 35 percent in gems and jewelry rates of wages in these industries have jumped industries in 2013. Source: Labor Force Survey (various years), National Statistics Office Figure 2: Average monthly wages in labor intensive industries As a result of higher wages, companies in these the introduction of new minimum wage policy, the industries have become more sensitive to the external average profit margin of textile and garment industry is pressures, such as Thai Baht appreciation 5 . down to only 1.9 percent. Moreover, companies in the Furthermore, some of them are at risk of shutting down shoes and leather goods industries as well as those in their businesses. Based on the data from the Office of the gems and jewelry industries could potentially suffer Industrial Economics, our estimation shows that after a loss (Figure 3). 5 The exchange rate from Thai baht to USD has changed from 34.56 baht/USD in 2007 to 30.73 baht/USD in 2013. (Source: www.bot.or.th) 24 東協瞭望 009 Source: Authors, calculated based on the data from the Office of Industrial Economics Figure 3: Average cost and profit to sales after the introduction of new minimum wage policy Secondly, labor shortage problem, especially unemployed, as shown in Figure 4. In 2013, there are unskilled labor, becomes increasingly severe in Thailand. less than 300,000 unemployed workers in Thailand, and During the past ten years, the unemployment rate has the unemployment rate stands at only 0.7 percent. gradually decreased, so as the absolute number of the Source: National Statistics Office Figure 4: Number of unemployed and unemployment rate in Thailand Relocating Labor-intensive Industries from Thailand to Neighboring Countries 25 Looking forward in the future, Thailand is to increase to almost 13 percent in 20126. According to quickly approaching the aging society. Figure 5 shows the World Population Prospects prepared by the United that the shares of people with the age of 60 and above Nation, Thailand will reach the stage of aging society to the total number of population in Thailand have before any other countries in Southeast Asia, excluding exceed 10 percent since 2004, and continued Singapore7. Source: National Statistics Office Figure 5: Share of people with the age of 60 or above Thirdly, competition from other countries, increased its market share which is still at the low level, particularly emerging economies, becomes more and its market share is likely to increase when it gradually more intense in the world export market. Figure 6 industrializes. It is expected that India will become shows that China has sharply increased its market another main competitor in labor-intensive products share of manufacturing products in the world market because India recently started developing its since 2003. Currently, Thailand’s main competitor for manufacturing sector, and will become one of the most the low-end market is China, which has comparative attractive manufacturing destinations due to its abundant advantage in cheap labor. Although India has slightly supply of cheap labor and large domestic market. 6 7 Source: National Statistics Office, Thailand http://esa.un.org/wpp/Excel-Data/population.htm 26 東協瞭望 009 China India Source: UN Comtrade Figure 6: Market shares of manufacturing products in the world market Finally, Thailand is facing more difficulties to Thailand during 2006-2016. Moreover, it is highly access major export markets, compared with its likely that the EU will abolish the GSP privileges for competitors due to two main reasons. The first reason all manufacturing products from Thailand in 2017. is that Thailand’s main trade partners are in the process 3. Who are likely to relocate, how and why? of trade negotiations with its main competitors. For example, Malaysia and Vietnam are not only participating in the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) In this section, we provide description of trade negotiation, but also actively negotiating a companies that are likely to relocate and the way they bilateral free trade agreement with the EU, while are expected to relocate. Thailand is negotiating only with the EU. If their intensive industries, namely textile and garment, shoes negotiations are successful, they will have tariff and leather goods, and gems and jewelry, for our in- advantages over Thailand in these major markets. depth study. Based on data collection from the field Furthermore, some agreements are already effective, trips and interviews with trade associations and such as Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA) government agencies in these countries, we find that between Japan and Indonesia (effective since 2008), large enterprises (LEs) are more likely to relocate or and EPA between Japan and Vietnam (effective since expand their production bases to low wage neighboring 2009). The conclusion of these agreements swipes countries than SMEs due to their ability to take more Thailand’s tariff advantages over its main competitors risks. In addition, the low value-added, labor-intensive, in the Japanese market. Thailand is also graduating and low-tech production processes are likely to be from the Generalized System of Preferences (GSP) relocated or expanded to neighboring countries. For granted by the US and the EU. For example, the EU example, for the textile and garment industries, such abolished the GSP privilege for gems importing from production processes are cutting, sewing and making We select three labor- Relocating Labor-intensive Industries from Thailand to Neighboring Countries 27 garments, especially sport-specific clothing, non- processes of the textile industry in Thailand are fashion apparel, and uniforms. For the shoes and involved with higher levels of technology and skilled leather goods industries, such processes are non- labor than those in the garment industry. In the latter, fashion athletic and leather footwear production and most enterprises are large enterprises and are OEMs preparation, including replicating, cutting, insole producing sportswear, non-fashion apparel items and decorating, assembling and trimming. Similarly, for uniforms. the gems and jewelry industries, the unsophisticated these low wage countries are cutting, sewing and final production processes for medium and low-end making garments. products, particularly costume jewelry, are prone to be relocated to neighboring courtiers. The production processes performed in The main mode of relocation of production in this sector is foreign direct investment, either by a single From our research, it appears that the common company or by groups of companies in the same cluster. form of relocation to neighboring countries with While the new companies are mainly wholly-owned by abundant supply of cheap labor is direct investment by Thai investors, if allowed by the law, some are jointly setting up factories. In some cases, Thai enterprises owned with local investors. The advantages of joint may choose to have joint investment with local investment are better access to local knowledge and partners. Another alternative is to outsource their understanding about domestic market demand and production to suppliers in those countries. In general, stronger connection with local authorities. the main reason to relocate to these low wage countries disadvantage is the risk related to the differences in is to maintain their cost comparative advantages. views and interests of the shareholders. We also find Comparing among these three labor-intensive industries, many more enterprises in the textile and garment industries than those in the other two industries have relocated to neighboring countries. This is because the size of textile and garment industries is much bigger than those of the other two. The share of large enterprises is also much higher in textile and garment industries. In particular, the share of large enterprises to total enterprises in the textile and garment industries is 15.9 percent out of 2,390 enterprises, while that in the shoes and leather goods is only 10.3 percent out 1,037 enterprises in 2012. 3.1 Textile and garment industries The that some Thai enterprises choose to invest in neighboring countries through nominees to avoid some regulatory limitations or discriminations against foreign investors. In Myanmar, for example, foreign and local investors are entitled to different rights in terms of land ownership. In sum, the reasons for some Thai companies to relocate to neighboring countries are as follows. Firstly, the problems of increased labor costs and labor shortages, especially unskilled labor, are becoming severe in Thailand. As a result, some Thai companies have to find new production bases in countries with lower wages and larger supply of labor. Secondly, Thai companies, especially the OEMs Comparing to enterprises in textile industry, for global brands, are pressured by their buyers to enterprises in garment industry are more likely to move to lower wage countries to maintain their cost relocate their production bases to neighboring countries, advantage. especially CLMV. This is because the production 28 東協瞭望 009 Finally, neighboring countries have trade better access to local knowledge and understanding preferences from main export markets, such as the US, about the EU and Japan. For example, the EU has lifted the connection with local authorities. sanction against Myanmar, and provided it with GSP disadvantages are difficulties in finding reliable local effectively since 19 July 2013. Under the EU’s business partners and the risks related to corporate “Everything but Arm” scheme, Myanmar will enjoy governance. Finally, the advantage of outsourcing is trade preferences by getting exemption from import the reduced investment risks, while the disadvantage is tariffs to the European market for all products, except the risk of losing control over production. for arms and ammunitions. In contrast, Thailand is likely to graduate from the GSP soon. As a result, Thai companies have strong incentives to move their production bases to these neighboring countries. 3.2 Shoes and leather goods industries Most Thai companies in the shoes and leather domestic market demand and stronger However, the Similar to the garment and textile industries, the main factors for relocating shoes and leather goods production to neighboring countries are increased labor cost and labor shortages. According to the Thai Footwear Association (TFA), the shoe industry in Thailand still needs more than 10,000 employees for filling vacant positions. Furthermore, OEMs for goods industries that have relocated to neighboring global brands are pressured by their buyers to move to countries are relatively large because larger companies lower wage countries to maintain their cost advantage. are more capable than smaller ones to deal with In addition, for some OBMs, the domestic market is business risks in neighboring countries. In particular, quite saturated and facing fierce price competition from they are better equipped to handle regulatory risks and Chinese products; therefore they turn to expand their inefficient financial system. Some of them are original markets in neighboring countries which have rapid brand manufacturers (OBMs), while others are OEMs economic growth, increased purchasing power and for global brands. similar preferences for products. The production processes likely to be moved to neighboring countries are those that are highly laborintensive, produce low value added, and use low technology level. 3.3 Gems and jewelry industries Similar to the above two industries, the low value- Examples of such processes are added, highly labor-intensive, and low-tech production production and preparation of non-fashion athletic and processes of unsophisticated final production processes leather footwear, including replicating, cutting, insole for medium and low-end products, especially costume decorating, assembling and trimming. jewelry, are prone to be relocated to neighboring The modes of relocation of production in this sector vary from setting up wholly-owned investment, joint venture with local partners, and outsourcing to local suppliers. The upside of wholly-owned investment is getting full control of the company decisions while the downside is higher regulatory risks. On the contrary, the advantages of joint investment are courtiers. However, very few Thai companies in gems and jewelry industries relocate to neighboring countries. Some of them are large companies and OBMs, therefore their main reasons for relocation are expanding their markets as well as accessing the abundant supply of cheap labor in order to keep their price comparative advantage. They also tend to directly Relocating Labor-intensive Industries from Thailand to Neighboring Countries 29 invest in these new markets by setting up production Vietnam (148 USD in Ho Chi Minh City)8. bases and distribution channels. In contrast, some of of labor force, the country with the largest number of them are companies interested in raw materials in rich labor force is Vietnam (52.9 million), followed by natural resource countries; therefore they have joint Myanmar (33.3 million), Cambodia (8.4 million) and investment with local partners who have strong Lao PDR (3.3 million)9. connection with related government officials. Some also choose to invest in neighboring countries through nominees to avoid some discrimination against foreign investors. In Myanmar, for example, foreign investors have different rights from local ones in terms of the exploitation of natural resources, such as jewelry mining rights. In terms In addition, the location of CLMV is close to Thailand. The north of Thailand is bordered to Myanmar and Lao PDR, and the northeast is bordered to Lao PDR and Cambodia. Formerly, the production linkages between Thailand and its neighboring countries were quite difficult due to poor connectivity among these countries. However, the current However, relocating gems and jewelry production development plan for road and rail transportation in bases to neighboring countries is relatively more Greater Mekong Subregion (GMS) countries and the challenging than relocating apparel or shoes production emerging economic corridors are connecting Thailand bases because labor in gems and jewelry industries are with these countries. rather skilled or semi-skilled which require investing program, three economic corridors are intersected in heavily in training. Thailand: 4. Where to relocate? (connecting Vietnam, Myanmar), the the Under the GMS development East-West Lao North-South Economic PDR, Corridor Thailand Economic and Corridor Regarding target countries for relocation, Thai (connecting the Southern provinces of China, Myanmar, companies are likely to move to CLMV due to their Lao PDR, Thailand, and Malaysia) and the Southern large supply of cheap labor and their geographical Economic Corridor (connecting the Dawei deep sea advantages. Among CLMV, the country with the port of Myanmar, the Laem Chabang deep sea port of lowest monthly wage for factory worker is Myanmar Thailand, and Cambodia), as shown in Figure 7. It is (USD 53 in Yangon), followed by Cambodia (74 USD expected that the economic corridors will play a key in Phnom Penh), Lao PDR (132 USD in Vientiane) and role to link production and trade in the region. 8 Source: JETRO. The 23nd Survey of Investment Related Costs in Asia and Oceania (2013). 9 Source: World Bank database (2013) 30 東協瞭望 009 Source: http://www.npu.ac.th Figure 7: Economic corridors connecting Thailand and neighboring countries In addition, CLMV have advantages in terms import from Cambodia, Lao PDR, and Myanmar, as of trade privileges granted by major markets, as shown they are least developed countries under the Everything in Table 1. For example, the EU provides duty free but Arms (EBA) initiative. and quota free, with the exception of armaments, for Table 1: Trade preferential from major markets Major markets Cambodia US Zero tariff rates and no quotas Lao PDR No GSP benefit Myanmar Vietnam Under the process of easing economic sanction Under the TPP negotiation • Textile EU Under EBA scheme, zero tariff rates and no quotas Under EBA scheme, zero tariff rates and no quotas Abolish the economic sanction since April 2012, and provide GSP since 19 July 2013 under EBA scheme. Note: Data covered only products under GSP and EBA schemes. and garment: non-zero tariff rates and quotas • Leather goods and shoes: no GSP due to export quantities over the quota • gems: most tariff rates are zero under GSP and there are quotas Relocating Labor-intensive Industries from Thailand to Neighboring Countries 31 In spite of the aforementioned strengths, Thai have three factories in Thailand, but there is currently companies planning to relocate to CLMV should be only one domestic factory. The company executives aware of some pitfalls. decided to relocate to Vietnam since 4-5 years ago due For example, Vietnam still faces some problems waiting to be solved. These to increases in wages, and the difficulties in hiring include the sharp increases in wage rate, unclear law unskilled labor in Thailand. The main factors to set up and ineffective enforcement, inefficient infrastructure manufacturing facilities in Vietnam are abundant and unstable macroeconomic conditions, especially supply of cheap labor, high growth rate of population, high inflation, high level of non-performing loans and existing trading partners. (NPLs) in the banking sectors, and low confidence in Vietnam is located in Giao Long Industrial estate in the local currency. Ben Tre province, with the area of 100,000 square Similarly, Myanmar has some disadvantages as an investment destination. The main difficulty is inefficient infrastructure, especially electricity and transportation system. It also suffers from other problems such as the skyrocketing land prices, difficulties in finding sizable land lots, under- The first factory in meters, and 5,000 employees. The production there is mainly to serve its clients who are the owners of global sports brands. The purchase orders are usually of small volume with frequent design changes, and sports jackets. The second factory is currently built nearby the first factory. developed banking system, the lack of market The advantages of setting up factories in Ben Tre information, uncertainty of laws and regulations as province over Ho Chi Minh City are lower wages (80 well as political instability. USD difference per worker per month) and easier to 5. Some case studies of Thai companies relocating to neighboring countries find workers. The company can usually recruit 100 workers within one week. In spite of cheaper labor costs in Vietnam, there are other costs in setting-up business. For example, the company has to invest more on human capital development by provide This section provides some case studies of Thai training courses to local workers in order to assure their companies in labor intensive industries relocating to quality neighboring countries to draw lessons why and how productivity of Vietnamese workers at the moment is they have relocated and how they have been so far comparatively lower than that of Thai workers. successful. Three case studies include a Thai garment Furthermore, the costs of learning the country’s laws factory in Vietnam, and a Thai shoes factory and regulations and dealing with different law subcontracting to a local supplier in Myanmar, and a interpretation by different government officials are Thai wholly-owned jewelry factory in Vietnam. another item of business cost that cannot be ignored. 5.1 Case study of a Thai garment factory in Vietnam 5.2 Case study of a Thai shoes factory subcontracting to a supplier in Myanmar One of Thai companies successful in relocating to Vietnam is Alliance One Apparel, a company under the Liberty Garment Group. Alliance One Apparel used to of production. This is because labor In contrast to setting up a new factory in neighboring countries to supply to a global brand, a 32 東協瞭望 009 Thai company in the leather shoes industry chooses to comparing to Thailand’s, the wage in Vietnam is keep its cost comparative advantage by relocating some quickly increasing. For example, wages have increased production lines to Myanmar. The company outsources three times in a single year of 2012, resulting in an CMP (Cut-Make-Pack) operations to a Myanmese sub- average monthly wage of 120 USD. The quoted wage contractor. To assure the quality and standard of rates are exclusive of social security contribution at production, the 17% in 2013 and recently increased to 18% in 2014. Thai company provides some technological assistance (such as giving advice on machines to be used for production, and dispatching Thai technicians to monitor and control the production in Myanmar). The company also provides raw materials (such as cow skins and pig skins) for its Myanmese subcontractors. Although its factory in Vietnam has an advantage of lower labor cost over the Thai counterparts, the company still has to import raw materials from aboard. Therefore, the net production cost in Vietnam is merely7-8 percent lower than that in Bangkok due to the recent wage increases. In spite of low labor cost, there are significant extra costs of production in Myanmar. In particular, Myanmar still has poor quality of infrastructures, especially electricity and road. The electricity shortage in Myanmar causes higher production cost because the state can provide electricity about 5 hours a day on average, and producers have to use their own electricity generators to continue their production lines. In addition, complicated export and import laws and regulations cause slow customs process, resulting in higher operating cost. For Pranda, 90 percent of total production in Vietnam is mainly for exports with the rest 10 percent for domestic market. The main export markets are Germany, France and UK. Because the EU provides GSP to imported products from Vietnam, the tariff charged for jewelry exported from Vietnam is 2.5 percent lower than that from Thailand. For domestic market, the company sells the products under its own brand name “Prima Gold” to serve the medium-low end customers. As distribution channel is key to expand its sales, Pranda plans to increase its retail 5.3 Case study of a Thai jewelry factory in Vietnam outlet in Vietnam from 4 in 2012 to 16 in the near Pranda Jewelry Public Company Limited, a Thai While labor cost is on the rise, business leading manufacturer of medium-to high-end quality environment in Vietnam has improved during the past jewelry, has established four factories in Thailand and five years. In terms of public utilities, both roads and expanded its manufacturing bases into other countries, electricity system have been upgraded, even though including Vietnam, Indonesia, and Germany. Pranda power blackouts are still the problem in Vietnam, Vietnam Company Limited has been operating in Dong especially in the dry season. The government has also Nai Industrial Zone since 1995. The main reasons to amended laws and regulations to be friendlier to set up a factory there are low wage, high potential foreign investors. domestic market and GSP privileges from the EU, interpretations among government agencies remains a which is one of Pranda’s main markets. problem. In addition, bureaucratic red tapes add more Currently there are about 200-300 workers in the Pranda Vietnam’s factory. Although still low future. However inconsistency in law cost in doing business in Vietnam. Relocating Labor-intensive Industries from Thailand to Neighboring Countries 33 6. Cost structure analysis 6.1 Textile and garment industries This section compares the differences in the ex- Based on our estimation, if the ex-factory factory production cost in some cities in neighboring production cost in the garment industry in Bangkok is countries, namely Yangon and Ho Chi Minh City, normalized to 100, the production costs in Ho Chi comparing with that of Bangkok. The costs in the two Minh City and Yangon are 90.16 and 86.18, cities are obtained by imputing the production cost of respectively (Table 3). The main factor contributing to factories in Bangkok, adjusted for the differences in the different production costs is the gaps in labor cost. labor and facility costs among the three cities. The The city with the highest labor cost is Bangkok, production cost of Bangkok factories in the three followed by Ho Chi Minh City and Yangon, industries are obtained from data collected by the respectively. Although Yangon has relatively cheaper Office of Industrial Economics. labor cost, it has severe electricity shortages. Factories there need to have their own electricity generators to Based on aforementioned methodology, Table 2 shows that for all three industries, the factory costs in Bangkok are the highest among these three locations, followed by those in Ho Chi Minh City and Yangon. Comparing among the three industries, the gap of the ensure their operation, resulting in high effective electricity cost. Table 3: Comparison of garment production costs in Bangkok, Ho Chi Minh City and Yangon cost Bangkok Ho Chi Minh City Yangon differences among these three locations is the cost of raw material 47.05 47.05 47.05 labor. It is noted that Yangon has the lowest cost of labor* 22.91 18.46 9.39 labor, but the highest electricity cost among these three office cost 6.83 3.54 1.92 locations. However, in general, Yangon is still the electricity 4.15 2.05 8.74 location with the lowest ex-factory cost of products in water 0.05 0.04 0.09 all the three industries. others 19.01 19.01 19.01 Table 2: Factory costs of products in the three industries in different locations Total production 100.00 cost at factories ** Source: Authors 90.16 86.19 ex-factory cost is the least in the gems and jewelry industry. Industry The key factor contributing to the cost Bangkok Ho Chi Minh City Yangon Garment 100.00 90.16 86.19 Shoes and leather goods Note: * labor cost includes labor wage, and employers’ payment for social security contribution 100.00 92.21 83.95 ** exclusive of logistics and transportation cost from factories to ports Gems and jewelry 100.00 95.98 93.73 Source: Authors, based on field-trip data and the Office of Industrial Economics’s survey 6.2 Shoes and leather goods industries Similar to the garment production cost, our estimation shows that among three cities, the ex- 34 東協瞭望 009 factory production cost of shoes and leather goods in Likewise, the production costs of gems and Bangkok is the highest, while that in Yangon is the jewelry are different in three cities, although the gaps lowest. In particular, if the production cost of shoes are not as significant as in the two industries previously and leather goods is normalized to 100 in Bangkok, the discussed. In particular, if the ex-factory production production costs would be 92.21 and 83.95 in Ho Chi cost in Bangkok is normalized to 100, the production Minh City and Yangon, respectively (Table 4). Again, costs would be 95.98 and 93.73 in Ho Chi Minh City the main factor contributing to the difference in and Yangon, respectively (Table 5). Unlike the other production costs is labor cost. The city with the two products, the costs of gems and jewelry production highest labor cost is Bangkok, followed by Ho Chi in these three cities are not significantly different Minh City and Yangon, respectively. Unlike the because the share of labor cost in this industry is only garment production cost, the differences in electricity about 12 percent, only about half of those in the other cost in the shoes and leather goods production in two industries. Similar to the other two industries, the Bangkok and Yangon are not much because the main factor contributing to the differences in production process of shoes and leather goods requires production cost among the three cities is labor cost. lower share of electricity usage than that of the garment The city with the highest labor cost is Bangkok, products. followed by Ho Chi Minh City and Yangon. Table 4: Comparison of shoes and leather goods production costs in Bangkok, Ho Chi Minh City and Yangon Table 5: Comparison of gems and jewelry production costs in Bangkok, Ho Chi Minh City and Yangon Yangon cost Bangkok Ho Chi Minh City Yangon raw material 64.11 64.11 64.11 12.17 9.55 5.54 cost Bangkok Ho Chi Minh City raw material 46.10 46.10 46.10 labor* 20.13 17.77 9.16 labor* office cost 9.58 4.97 2.69 office cost 1.54 0.80 0.43 electricity 1.58 0.78 3.33 electricity 1.26 0.62 2.65 water 0.08 0.06 0.14 water 0.10 0.08 0.18 others 22.53 22.53 22.53 others 20.82 20.82 20.82 83.95 Total production cost at factory ** 100.00 95.98 93.73 Total production cost at factories ** 100.00 92.21 Source: Authors Source: Authors Note: * labor cost includes labor wage, and employers’ payment for social security contribution Note: * labor cost includes labor wage, and employers’ payment for social security contribution ** exclusive of logistics and transportation cost from factories to ports 6.3 Gems and jewelry industries ** exclusive of logistics and transportation cost from factories to ports 7. Conclusion and policy recommendations Relocating Labor-intensive Industries from Thailand to Neighboring Countries 35 In conclusion, due to wage pressure and labor shortages, companies in labor-intensive industries have to adjust in order to survive and grow. The best solution is to upgrade to higher value-added activities 7.1 Policy recommendations on supporting Thai companies to invest in neighboring countries However, some Firstly, the government should establish a one- companies may not be able to do so, and choose to stop service unit which can provide both basic and in- relocate their production bases to neighboring countries depth information necessary for making decision to with lower wage rates. In this case, the off-shoring invest in neighboring countries (see Figure 8). The production activities should be limited to low value- basic information includes trade and tax rates, added ones, such as cutting and making, while keeping incentives for foreign investors, laws and regulations high value-added activities, such as design and on foreign investment, availability and quality of marketing, in Thailand. Companies may consider infrastructure, spatial and industrial information, keeping their local production to serve customers that procedures and documents required for business require establishment. The in-depth information includes to increase their competitiveness. short-time delivery, which needs close monitoring and engagement. information on market conditions and consumer tastes. Most importantly, it is necessary to recognize that relocating to poorer countries with cheaper labor would increase competitiveness of the companies only in the short term. Companies in labor-intensive industries should strive to upgrade their technical capabilities by using information and communication technologies (ICTs) to manage their supply chain and increase the linkages with their buyers. In order to increase their long-term competitiveness, they have no choices but to In addition to providing information, the one-stop service unit should also facilitate Thai companies in doing business in neighboring countries as well as support them to build the business linkages with local companies in neighboring countries. The Japan External Trade Organization (JETRO), considered one of the best practices in supporting and facilitating companies in investing abroad, can provide a model. Secondly, the government should consider move up the value chain to higher value-added establishing special economic zones (SEZs) in the activities, by transforming themselves to preferred border areas. The laws and regulations for these SEZs OEMs, ODMs or OBMs. should provide some privileges to investors, such as Our study provides the following policy recommendations for the government to support Thai companies to relocate to neighboring countries as well as to promote the industrial development in the laborintensive sectors. special minimum wage rates and facilitating them in hiring foreign workers. The establishment of SEZs in border areas will be beneficial to Thai companies, especially SMEs, because they will be able to keep operating their production in Thailand where they are accustomed to local laws and regulations, and to avoid the risks from investment abroad, such as regulatory, business and cultural uncertainties. 36 東協瞭望 009 Trade and tax privileges Facilitating Thai investors in doing business in neighboring countries One-stop service Supporting SMEs to build business linkages with local enterprises in neighboring countries Incentives for foreign investors Laws and regulations on foreign investment Availability and quality of infrastructure Procedures and required documents for establishment Spatial and industrial information Marketing information Providing useful and updated information Figure 8: One-Stop Service Unit 7.2 Policy recommendations on promoting industrial upgrading The OEMs might consider sub-contracting or off-shoring their production bases to the areas with cheaper labor costs in the short term. In addition, The government should support and promote Thai they should strive to become preferred OEM companies to upgrade their production capabilities to suppliers by complying with international labor higher value-added activities. The strategies for and environmental standards. In the long term, they sustainable competitiveness are varied according to should upgrade their production to become ODMs. their production approach, as follows: Thus, the role of the government is to equip them ˙ Assemblers (e.g., garment makers) with technological knowledge and skills on design, research and development as well as management. In the short term, the assemblers may ˙ Original Design Manufacturers (ODMs) offshore their production base to areas with cheaper labor cost. They should also aim at In the short term, the ODMs should upgrading their production capabilities to be OEM strengthen their design and production capacities to suppliers in the long term. In this regard, the be more efficient. At the same time, they should government should support their upgrading efforts strive to become original brand manufacturers by facilitating access to capital and equipping them (OBMs) in the long term. In this respect, the with necessary skills concerning procurement and government logistics. knowledge and skills on branding, marketing and ˙ Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) should support them customer services. ˙ Original Brand Manufacturers (OBMs) to gain Relocating Labor-intensive Industries from Thailand to Neighboring Countries 37 The OBMs might consider upgrading their Fourthly, government agencies should support domestic brands to regional ones in order to SMEs to expand their marketing and networking by expand their markets. Correspondingly, the role of providing useful and up-to-date information, such as government is to support their activities in information on potential markets and technology. In marketing and building international networks by particular, the Department of Foreign Trade Promotion supporting them to expose themselves in regional should support them to attend international trade shows trade exhibitions and roadshows. and events. In general, to support Thai companies to upgrade Fifthly, the Ministry of Industry should encourage along value chains and to increase their competiveness, the upgrading of SMEs’ technological capabilities by the government should play the following roles. focusing on technology development and technology Firstly, it should facilitate SMEs’ access to capital. SMEs, especially in labor intensive industries, usually have difficulties in getting the bank loan because some labor intensive industries, such as textile and garment transfer through various activities, such as providing industrial experts, promoting industrial network, and strengthening the linkages between industry and the academia. and shoes and leather goods, are considered as sunset Finally, relevant government agencies, especially industries. To promote greater access to capital, the Ministry of Industry, should encourage SMEs to government’s specialized financial institutions, such as improve their manufacturing process in order to the Export-Import Bank and the Thai Credit Guarantee achieve international standards, such as ISO 9000 and Corporation, should play a leading role. ISO 14000. Manufacturers should also be promoted to Secondly, government agencies should provide support for SMEs to develop and strengthen linkages adopt lean manufacturing to make their operation more cost efficient. among themselves as well as among them and large The government should declare this decade to be companies. In this regards, the Department of Industry “the Decade of Productivity Improvement” to set a Promotion should partner with related industry clear direction in which all relevant stakeholders will associations to strengthen its cluster support programs. follow. The government, business and workers are Thirdly, public universities and specialized institutes should provide support in terms of education and training in order to equip companies with essential skills, such as technical, management, product development, design, and marketing research skills, with subsidy from the Ministry of Industry and the Skill Development Fund. advised to get together and set up policies that accommodate predictable and continual wage increase and productivity improvement. Collaboration between the government and private sector organizations, especially the Thai Chamber of Commerce and the Federation of Thai Industries, is the key to successful upgrading. 38 東協瞭望 009 Dr. Saowaruj Rattanakhamfu, the first author of this Dr. Somkiat Tangkitvanich, the second author of this paper, is currently a research fellow in Science and paper, technology Thailand development research institute. He earned is PhD in development research institute. She earned her PhD in computer science at the Tokyo institute of technology, economics at the University of Melbourne, Australia. Japan. His specialties include trade policy, industrial Her research specialties include applied economics, policy, development program at is currently ICT the policy, president and of Media Thailand policy. development economics, science and technology upgrading, and productivity upgrading. References Akamatsu K. (1962) A historical pattern of economic growth in developing countries. Journal of Developing Economies, 1(1):3–25. JETRO. (2013) The 23nd Survey of Investment Related Costs in Asia and Oceania. Thailand Development Research Institute. (2013) Relocating Labor-intensive Industries to Neighboring Countries: Case Studies of Textile and Garment, Shoes and Leather Goods, Gems and Jewelry. 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