1. Developer: Project Description: Project Location: BERWYN SENIOR APARTMENTS Berwyn Development Corporation 3322 S. Oak Park Avenue Berwyn, IL 60402 The proposed project will consist of new construction age-qualifying rental apartments developed in conjunction with various multi-family funding sources and/or low income housing tax credit funds administered by the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD), the Illinois Housing Development Authority (IHDA) and other sources of financing. 6901-6916 Stanley Avenue -- or -- 3308 S. Oak Park Avenue Berwyn, Cook County, Illinois The city of Berwyn is located in Cook County in northeast Illinois, approximately ten miles southwest of the city of Chicago. Major regional transportation systems serving the properties include Interstate 55, located 2.5 miles south and the I-290/Eisenhower Expressway, situated 2.5 miles north. As illustrated on Exhibit 1.1, the subject properties each represent a transit-oriented development opportunity within a designated redevelopment district of downtown Berwyn, defined as the Depot District. Site Descriptions: Situated on the north side of the METRA rail lines, the Stanley Avenue property currently supports a 6,500+/square foot single story office building and an adjoining surface parking lot. To the east and west, storefront merchants such as a dry cleaner, an upholstery business, a graphic design firm, and an insurance brokerage comingle with privately-managed vintage apartments. The 3308 S. Oak Park Avenue property, formerly Berwyn Finer Foods, is situated directly west of MacNeal Hospital in the heart of the downtown district. The property is bordered to the south by a bank/office facility and public parking lot, and to the north by storefront merchants, office and consumer service providers, along with Century Station, a 52-unit mixed-use condominium development. Page 1.1 TRACY CROSS & ASSOCIATES, INC. GEOGRAPHIC ORIENTATION: DEPOT DISTRICT – POTENTIAL SENIOR APARTMENTS BERWYN, IL 1.1 Rockford Chicago 6901-6915 Stanley Avenue Berwyn Peoria 3308 Oak Park Avenue Springfield Source: Berwyn Development Corporation and Microsoft Streets & Trips Market Support Analysis Berwyn Senior Apartments Berwyn Development Corporation Berwyn, Illinois Beyond the downtown district, the general environs of each potential development site are characterized by tree-lined residential neighborhoods of Chicago-style bungalows, turn-of-the-last-century frame homes and courtyardstyle vintage apartment buildings, schools, churches and parks. The Conceptualized Apartment Development: In accordance with the City of Berwyn’s Depot District Redevelopment Plan, the Berwyn Development Corporation (BDC) envisions a residential living environment conducive to an aging populace, affording convenient access to healthcare, transportation, shopping and a myriad of social, cultural and entertainment options. The Berwyn Senior Apartments would represent rental apartments reserved for persons aged 55 and older, a portion of which may be designated as affordable to moderate-income mature households. In conjunction with a yet-to-be-named development partner, the BDC could potentially form an alliance with a senior advocacy organization whose mission would be to provide residents with access to wellness, social service programming and other supportive activities designed to encourage continued independence and interaction. In this regard, Berwyn Senior Apartments would fulfill IHDA’s Housing Task Force Initiatives relative to at risk seniors in Cook County. Conclusions: Page 1.2 Based upon a thorough analysis of all demographic, demand and competitive market factors expected to influence future age-qualifying rental development within Berwyn and its environs as detailed in the body of this report, the conceptualized Berwyn Senior Apartments is viewed as having strong market potential. In fact, the program supports all the necessary ingredients for successful development with this conclusion founded on the basis of the following: The locations of the potential development sites are viewed as excellent. Each is situated within the downtown business district of the city of Berwyn, within walking distance of a variety of services, healthcare, churches, civic gathering spots, shopping, dining and entertainment, as well as local senior centers. Further, with multiple modes of public transit at their doorstep, and proximity to Interstates 55/290/294 and major regional thoroughfares such as Cicero and Harlem avenues, employment concentrations not only in the city but throughout the suburban region are readily accessible. Future residents would also have access to door-to-door bus transport services provided through Berwyn’s Senior Services department. And, of course, the downtown transit-oriented locale will enhance marketing exposure. Reflecting its urban environment, the resident household base is aging in place, with population and household growth among seniors aged 55 and older in both the Primary Market Area (PMA) and Secondary Market Area (SMA) expected to substantively increase over the next five years. Our affirmative conclusion also reflects the fact that, although the majority of mature householders in the market area are homeowners TRACY CROSS & ASSOCIATES, INC. Market Support Analysis Berwyn Senior Apartments Berwyn Development Corporation Berwyn, Illinois (and especially those at age categories 55-64), based upon Census 2010 estimates, a sizable 26.0 percent are renters. These statistics reflect the influence of not only age- and income-qualifying apartments, but also several long established continuing care retirement communities in the market area such as the British Home in Brookfield, and Plymouth Place and Bethlehem Woods in LaGrange Park, to name a few. Notably, in Berwyn proper, mature renter households represent 28.1 percent of all occupied housing units, despite the fact that the city is void of agerestricted rental housing forms at present. Page 1.3 Overall, the conceptualized Berwyn Senior Apartments will face limited direct competition. For example, over the last ten years, there have been only 41 new fair market rental units introduced in the whole of the market area, representing only 5.4 percent of total fair market agequalifying inventory. Of these, 30 are distributed among three mixedincome developments which are fully leased, while the remaining 11 units represent service-enhanced rentals which command average lease rates in excess of $2,500 monthly, thus disenfranchising a significant component of resident mature households in terms of affordability. Similarly, the vast majority of non age-restricted rental communities in the overall area are also now some 25 to 40 years old and are at or nearing obsolescence. Further, most are of small scale, averaging 22 units in size and lack any of the community amenities which appeal to the mature residents. Notably, there are no fair market rental developments (conventional or age-qualifying) proposed in the whole of the market area. Addressing affordable (income-qualifying) rental development, only six of the 17 communities proximate to Berwyn, and a collective 544 units have been built since 2003 (35.2 percent of affordable rental inventory), with the majority of existing programs now some 15 to 25 years old. Yet, despite their age, vacancies in this housing subset are extremely tight, with only 14 units currently unoccupied (0.9 percent) and all programs reporting extensive waiting lists for residency. Hence, as an affordable or mixed-income development, Berwyn Senior Apartments would serve to alleviate the significant strain evident in this housing sector. Finally, there is more than adequate demand in the Berwyn Market Area for age-qualifying rental housing, in both the fair market and affordable housing sectors. Specifically, applying upon mobility, tenure and lifestyle factors to the base of households aged 55 years and older and earning at least $35,000 per annum reveals that the entire market area is capable of absorbing 106 new age-restricted rental apartment units annually during the 2011-2016 forecast period. Berwyn itself represents roughly 16.0 percent of this demand potential, or 17 units per year. Additive to this demand equation, given the age and condition of existing rental inventory (conventional and age-qualifying) the Berwyn Market Area would require a net replacement of 85 rental units annually to balance units lost to demolition or abandonment and merely maintain current vacancy levels; yet (again) there are no new fair market rental units proposed in the whole of the market area. TRACY CROSS & ASSOCIATES, INC. Market Support Analysis Berwyn Senior Apartments Berwyn Development Corporation Berwyn, Illinois Similarly, focusing upon low to moderate income mature household segments reveals that, in the Berwyn Market Area, there are currently 7,878 mature households earning incomes between 30.0 and 60.0 percent of area median based upon 2011 income parameters determined by HUD and used as a guideline by IHDA and other public housing authorities. Based upon these calculations, the prototype 40unit development (or some component therein) need penetrate less than 1.0 percent of income-qualifying households aged 55+ in the whole of the market area, and not more than 6.0 percent of households in the immediate PMA to achieve full lease-up of an affordable or mixedincome program. This penetration rate is well below the overall 5.0 to 7.0 percent rate typically considered acceptable by IHDA. Product Recommendation: Assured that there is sufficient demand to sustain stabilized occupancies within an age-restricted living environment, the following table forwards product recommendations along with a benchmark lease strategy for a 40-unit agerestricted fair market rental community which will appeal to the intended mature constituency and competitively position the development within the marketplace. The recommended program envisions a midrise residential building which could be accommodated on either the Oak Park Avenue or Stanley Avenue sites. A RECOMMENDED PRODUCT MATRIX: BERWYN SENIOR APARTMENTS BERWYN, IL Fair Market 40-Unit Prototype Plan Type (1) Number Percent Plan A Plan B Plan C 4 32 4 10.0 80.0 10.0 Total/Wtd. Average: 40 100.0 Bedrooms/ Unit Size Monthly Rent(1) Baths (Sq. Ft.) $ $ / Sq. Ft. 0 / 1.0 1 / 1.0 2 / 1.0 450 675 850 $800 995 1,150 $1.78 1.47 1.35 --- 670 $991 $1.48 Benchmark rents are presented in current dollars and carried forward to an anticipated 2013 market introduction. Benchmark rents include water/sewer, refuse collection, and common area utilities; tenant is responsible for all other utility expenses. Source: Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. As shown, suggested plan offerings include studio, one and two bedroom, one bath designs ranging in size from 450 to 850 square feet, with the average unit providing 670 square feet of living area. The suggested unit sizes and distributions by unit type are consistent with new construction senior developments not only in the market area but throughout the suburban landscape as well. For example, 63.3 percent of fair market apartments, 58.7 percent of service-enhanced alternatives, and 87.3 percent of age- and incomequalifying apartments, reflect one bedroom plan types. Moreover, the recommended product line will maximizes densities within the two potential development sites, given building height and parking requirements within the Depot District. To this point, the suggested unit sizes are modestly smaller than Page 1.4 TRACY CROSS & ASSOCIATES, INC. Market Support Analysis Berwyn Senior Apartments Berwyn Development Corporation Berwyn, Illinois floor area zoning requirements currently in place for the Depot District and may require variance approval. The land plan and streetscape must be conducive to a mature resident population, with sidewalks and appropriate curb cuts/ramps to facilitate safety and pedestrian-oriented functionality. Approximately ten percent of the units should be designated as handicap accessible, while the remaining units should be adaptable for physically disabled and/or special needs residents such as those with visual or hearing impairment. The suggested product line assumes a level of community amenities and interior appointments commensurate with new construction alternatives in the marketplace, including on-site management and building maintenance, free laundry facilities on each floor, a community room with Pullman kitchen for social gatherings, 24-hour security, internet connectivity, and off-street secured parking. Ideally, the development would form an alliance with a home healthcare agency, providing on-site space to be utilized for wellness programming, and other ala carte personalized services. Other optional amenities could include participation in “market day” or comparable pre-packaged food delivery services and/or optional meal plans served within the community room. The apartments themselves should feature enlarged doorways, fully applianced kitchens, baths outfitted with safety bars and shower seats, walk-in master bedroom closets in all one and two bedroom units, appropriate utility outlet placement, and emergency call systems. Benchmark rents for the fair market development, which are presented in current dollars carried forward to an anticipated 2013 market entrance, extend from $800 to $1,150 monthly, translating to a weighted average monthly rent of $991 or $1.48 per square foot. Included in the monthly rent are water/sewer, refuse collection, and common area utilities. It is expected that the resident will be responsible for all other utilities. Absorption Potentials: Market Positioning: At benchmark rents, Berwyn Senior Apartments will generate an overall absorption rate of 4.5 units per month, enabling the 40-unit prototype development to achieve full lease-up within nine months of first occupancy. This absorption period assumes extensive pre-marketing, lead list generation and unit reservation efforts commence in tandem with the public review and approval process, site improvement and construction periods. Rationale supporting the recommended apartment program, the benchmark rental strategy, and the forecasted absorption period is summarized as follows: Page 1.5 To reiterate, the recommended product line is consistent with new construction senior rental housing alternatives found throughout the Chicago region, providing floor plan configurations that are fully functional as it relates to livability for mature tenants, i.e., interior features and amenities such as specially designed baths, conveniently located electrical outlets, etc., which serve to enhance the older adults’ ability to sustain independence. TRACY CROSS & ASSOCIATES, INC. Market Support Analysis Berwyn Senior Apartments Berwyn Development Corporation Berwyn, Illinois Page 1.6 Moreover, the suggested community amenities, coupled with a downtown location steps from a host of healthcare, transportation and daily necessities, afford a superior living environment compared to virtually all other conventional or age-qualifying rental alternatives in the marketplace and will enhance the overall marketability of the community. The benchmark rental strategy fully considers affordability constraints of the market area’s resident mature household base. Mature market area householders, for example, support a relatively modest median annual income of $44,040. In Berwyn proper, median incomes of the cohort household base currently stand at $37,550 yearly. There are, however, some 6,000 householders in the overall market area aged 55 and older earning between $21,000 and $46,000 yearly, incomes sufficient to support the benchmark rents based upon a typical senior housing allocation cost factor of 45.0 percent of annual income. In Berwyn proper, roughly 2,380 mature householders currently support the requisite incomes. As illustrated on Exhibits 1.2 and 1.3, the benchmark rent strategy positions the recommended fair market development $98 monthly above market average rents among competing fair market senior developments for comparable footage, and approximately $75 above the two newest and most proximate developments, namely Riverwalk in Lyons and Countryside Senior in Countryside. This value positioning is fully justified given the superior lifestyle location of the conceptualized development, coupled with the new construction alternative. Moreover, the benchmark rent strategy enables the development to maintain a significant under market variance relative to competing independent living, serviceenhanced alternatives where (again) required service fees extend from $2,500 monthly. Also, the average benchmark rent of $991 equates to a value of $1.48 per square foot, a value position some 37.0 percent higher than the $1.08 per square foot average noted among conventional (non agequalifying) rental alternatives in the market area. The above market positioning is viewed as reasonable given the new construction alternative, the scale of the suggested community, and the suggested community amenities which are designed to appeal to a mature resident. Finally, the forecasted absorption rate of 4.5 units monthly balances levels of pent-up demand for new construction fair market senior housing with the market realities of an uncertain economic environment. Specifically, a stagnant housing market, significant loss of equity and wealth depletion from four-plus years of economic chaos, coupled with an expanding home health care industry which affords alternatives to relocation will certainly weigh heavily upon lifestyle choices for transitioning seniors over the next several years. Moreover, while vacancy rates among age-qualifying fair market and service-enhanced communities are currently balanced, it is expected that this marketplace will face increasing competition as current residents continue to vacate independent options and transition to more supportive levels of care. TRACY CROSS & ASSOCIATES, INC. Rent/Value Analysis Representative Fair Market Senior Apartments Berwyn CMA September 2011 1.2 1,200 Rent (In Current Dollars) 1,100 1,000 900 800 700 600 500 400 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 Sq. Ft. Program (Vacancy/Absorption) Studio One Bedroom Flat Two Bedroom Flat Countryside Senior (0.0) The Briarwood (0.0) Riverwalk (25.0) Melrose Commons (0.0) Berwyn Senior Apartments (4.5/Mo. Fcst.) Market Line Rent/value analysis uses a scatter diagram to graphically represent a set of observations found in today's marketplace, specifically the square footage of units offered and their associated rent levels. Regression analysis is then used to fit a line through the set of market observations that represent the "best fit" or average market line. This market line can then be used to predict the performance of a new, untested product line or offer explanations regarding the occupancy/absorption rates of currently available product lines. Source: Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. 9-11AVG Rent/Value Analysis Representative Fair Market Senior Apartments Berwyn CMA September 2011 1.3 Plan Size (Sq. Ft.) 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 Average Market Rent $479 567 655 743 831 919 1,007 1,095 1,183 Program/Location (1) (1) Berwyn Senior Apartments at Benchmark Riverwalk/Lyons Countryside Senior/Countryside The Briarwood/Forest Park Melrose Commons/Melrose Park Average Market Rent Variance From Market $+98 +77 +46 1 0 -1 -2 -103 Year Built/ Renovated --2003 2010 670 746 590 $991 1,037 868 $1.48 1.39 1.47 $893 960 822 528 768 1.45 768 358 803 616 907 1.72 1.13 618 1,010 ---- Market ---- (1) Average Rent Rent per Dollars Sq. Ft. Average Plan Size (Sq. Ft.) 1933 2003 Vacancy Rate (Monthly Absorption) 4.5/Mo. Fcst. 25.0 0.0 4.6 0.0 0.0 Slope: $0.88 per sq. ft. (1) Represents mixed-income community; statistics reflect fair market units only. Source: Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. 9-11AVG Market Support Analysis Berwyn Senior Apartments Berwyn Development Corporation Berwyn, Illinois Shifting demographics in terms of both age and levels of affordability are expected to result in weakening market conditions over the long term as these communities compete for a diminishing pool of potential incomequalifying senior consumers. These factors are reflected not only in the benchmark rent strategy, but also in realistic projected absorption levels. Alternative Development Strategies: As also detailed throughout this report, the Berwyn Market Area also supports more than sufficient demand for income-qualifying affordable senior rental housing. To this end, the 40-unit prototype development could also be introduced under a mixed-income strategy, wherein 40 to 60 percent of the units (16 to 24 units) could be designated for moderate to low income seniors earning not more than 60.0 percent AMI. For that matter, some component (say ten percent) could be reserved as supportive housing for very low income at risk seniors which could enhance the likelihood of approval by IHDA. Under a mixedincome scenario, the distribution of unit types should remain constant. Specific to designated affordable units, maximum gross rents by unit type, which include incremental costs for utilities, are established annually by IHDA. For financial modeling purposes, the following table outlines maximum rents based upon IHDA’s 2011 Maximum Rent Schedule, assuming residency at 60.0 Percent AMI for analytical purposes only. This table also presents suggested net monthly rates assuming an estimated average $105 per month utility allowance. AN ALTERNATIVE DEVELOPMENT MATRIX: A MIXED-INCOME COMMUNITY BERWYN, IL Net Gross Plan Type Plan A Plan B Plan C Total/Wtd. Average: (1) (2) (3) Monthly Rent(3) Unit Bedrooms/ Unit Size Monthly Utility Distribution Baths (Sq. Ft.) Rent(1) Allowance(2) $ $ / Sq. Ft. 0 / 1.0 1 / 1.0 2 / 1.0 450 675 850 $786 842 1,011 $85 105 115 $701 737 896 $1.56 1.09 1.05 --- 670 $853 $105 $839 $1.25 10.0 80.0 10.0 100.0 Rents reflect IHDA 2011 Maximum Monthly Gross Rents for Multi-Family Programs; assumes 40.0 to 60.0 percent of development designated as affordable (16 to 24 units); utilized for analytical purposes only. Utility allowance estimated for analytical purposes only. Assumes all residency at 60.0 Percent AMI; utilized for analytical purposes only. Source: Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. A mixed-income development strategy would position Berwyn Senior Apartments to maximize overall senior rental housing demand potentials in the marketplace thus allowing for a reasonable absorption period for each component of the community. For example, it is expected that an affordable component would be fully leased within a three-month qualification and residency approval period prior to first occupancies, thus constricting the absorption period of market units to a three- to five-month timeframe depending upon unit allocation, thereby improving overall economic return. Page 1.7 TRACY CROSS & ASSOCIATES, INC. Market Support Analysis Berwyn Senior Apartments Berwyn Development Corporation Berwyn, Illinois Closing Remarks: Page 1.8 In closing, our firm has endeavored to present a rental apartment product line which will compliment redevelopment initiatives established by the City of Berwyn and provide area seniors with a new construction alternative which is functional and enhances livability and a sense of community. In addition, the suggested development scenarios will allow the community, under either a fair market or mixed-income alternative, to not only achieve a reasonable initial absorption but, more importantly, to sustain stabilized occupancies of 95 percent over the long term, despite what is expected to remain a challenging economic and competitive environment. TRACY CROSS & ASSOCIATES, INC. 2. BERWYN AND ITS ENVIRONS The subject properties are located within the historic Depot District of downtown Berwyn, Illinois. Slated for full demolition and redevelopment, the properties include an approximate 17,500 square foot parcel located at 6901-6916 Stanley Avenue, along with a 25,876 square foot parcel located at 3308 Oak Park Avenue. Either of these properties will accommodate the 40-unit midrise prototype development. GEOGRAPHIC ORIENTATION: POTENTIAL SENIOR APARTMENTS DEPOT DISTRICT - BERWYN, IL 6901-6915 Stanley Avenue 3308 Oak Park Avenue Source: Berwyn Development Corporation and Microsoft Streets & Trips Adjacent Land Uses: Page 2.1 Berwyn is a mature first-ring suburb of Chicago which experienced its strongest growth prior to and immediately following WWII. As such, the city benefits from all the elements of the urban lifestyle. Berwyn’s well established downtown business district features with a variety of retail, dining, entertainment and consumer services, all within a two-to-three block walking distance of the proposed development sites. These include, among others, a fresh market/deli, branch facilities of Harris Bank, a Walgreen’s pharmacy as well as MacNeal Hospital, a 338-bed hospital and trauma center along with related service providers and clinics. TRACY CROSS & ASSOCIATES, INC. Market Support Analysis Berwyn Senior Apartments Berwyn Development Corporation Berwyn, Illinois Over the last decade many of the regions rail line communities experienced resurgence in development activity, particularly mixed-use residential development within their respective downtown districts, attracting local downsizing consumers as well as younger professional singles, couples and young families desirous of an urban lifestyle. The city of Berwyn, too, witnessed the introduction of several smaller-scale midrise and garden condominium developments beginning in 1999, along with a modicum of teardown/new construction single family development, as new generations of families settled in the city. Recognizing the importance of preserving the strong cultural heritage of Berwyn, while also positioning the city to serve generations to come, a comprehensive redevelopment plan for Berwyn’s downtown district was commissioned, spearheaded by local entrepreneurs, public officials and residents. This plan, unveiled in 2005, reflects the City’s long term vision of a vibrant entertainment, retail, dining and residential atmosphere, to include a variety of housing options, a pedestrian-oriented streetscape, and landmark civic structures to foster a renewed sense of community. Several key components of the redevelopment plan have been initiated, including construction of a new 300-space parking garage to facilitate commuters as well as local shoppers, while a number of streetscape projects have been completed, and the main METRA commuter station has been renovated. Several new restaurants and consumer service providers have also invested in downtown. Recent urban-oriented residential projects include Ridgeland Crossing and Century Station, highlighted as follows: Page 2.2 Ridgeland Crossing: Ridgeland Crossing is an 84-unit residential community located at Ridgeland and 34th Street, roughly five blocks east of the potential development sites, and proximate to the LaVergne Avenue METRA station. This development began marketing in TRACY CROSS & ASSOCIATES, INC. Market Support Analysis Berwyn Senior Apartments Berwyn Development Corporation Berwyn, Illinois November 2005, featuring a variety of one and two bedroom plan designs. Average sales prices currently extend from $150,000 to $225,000, translating to an overall average sales price of $179,000 which includes a typical 1,000 square foot unit. Through December 2008, Ridgeland Crossing had generated an average sales rate of 1.0 unit per month, noting 37 units sold. Subsequently, the collapse of the regional housing market adversely affected (particularly) condominium sales throughout the region. During the 2009-June 2011 marketing period, for example, Ridgeland Crossing generated only seven additional contracts (0.2 sales per month), with 40 of its 84 units remaining to be sold. Area Services: Page 2.3 Century Station: Situated immediately north of the Oak Park Avenue property and east of the Stanley Avenue site, Century Station is a 52-unit mixed-use residential condominium community developed over first floor retail. Representing a hallmark of the Depot District redevelopment plan, pre-construction marketing of this community began in February 2006. Plan designs include a variety of one, two and three bedroom styles ranging in unit size from 900 to 1,340 square feet. Base sales prices initially ranged from $204,900 to $354,900, with the typical residence containing 1,100 square feet of living area and carrying a sales price of $266,000. Through December 2007, Century Station generated an overall sales velocity of 2.3 units monthly. Thereafter, market pressures forced contract cancellations and marketing efforts were eventually suspended. At this writing, repositioning of Century Station is being finalized, with the community anticipated to re-emerge as a luxury rental apartment community for the foreseeable future. Residents of the immediate area benefit from easy access to multiple modes of public transportation. For example, METRA’s Burlington Northern Santa Fe commuter rail service offers scheduled transportation from its Oak Park Avenue station situated one block from each of the potential development sites, along with its LaVergne and Harlem avenue stations, located five blocks east and west, respectively. Trains from these locations reach Chicago’s Union Station within 25 minutes. Similarly, the Chicago Transit Authority (CTA) provides scheduled bus service throughout Berwyn, including its 311 Oak Park Avenue, 307 Harlem Avenue and 302 Laramie routes which provide linkage to the CTA’s Pink Line rail service at Laramie Avenue, the X54 Cicero Avenue bus to Chicago Midway Airport (roughly 3.5 miles south) and surrounding employment centers, as well as employment concentrations such as Loyola and Hines hospitals, Triton College in River Grove, the Maybrook/Cook County Courts in Maywood, as well as Maywood Park and Hawthorne race tracks. TRACY CROSS & ASSOCIATES, INC. Market Support Analysis Berwyn Senior Apartments Berwyn Development Corporation Berwyn, Illinois The subject properties are also served by many regional highways, providing easy access to neighboring shopping centers and regional employment facilities. For example, within a 3.0 mile radius of downtown Berwyn, one may access Interstates 55, 290, and 294, along with major arterials such as Cicero, Western, Harlem and Ogden avenues, all providing convenient access to suburban employment corridors in south/southwestern Cook, DuPage and Will counties. Specific to resident seniors, Berwyn’s Senior Services department also offers senior and disabled citizens door-to-door bus service to local grocery and shopping, medical appointments, the community Senior Center, as well as city and township sponsored events. The Senior Services department also provides lawn maintenance, snow removal and a “handy man” program for seniors with limited incomes. And, apart from MacNeal Hospital, major medical campuses serving the overall area include Loyola Medical Center and Hines Veterans Hospital located approximately 3.0 miles north in Maywood, as well as the John Stroger, Rush, and University of Illinois medical campuses situated some seven miles east in Chicago. In addition to Berwyn’s many established local merchants and service providers, regional shopping is also plentiful, including the North Riverside Park Mall located approximately 2.0 miles north, and Oak Brook Center located approximately six miles west, along with the many retail centers aligning Cermak Road, Harlem, Cicero and Ogden avenues. Each of these centers support a wealth of major national and regional retailers such as such as JC Penney, Macy’s, Carson Pirie Scott & Company, and Sears, “big-box” retailers such as Target, Wal-mart, Kmart, Home Depot, Menards and Lowe’s, as well as regional grocery chains including Jewel, Dominick’s, Aldi and Tony’s Fresh Markets. Future Berwyn Senior Apartments’ residents will also have access to many social activities locally. For example, the Berwyn Cultural/Senior Center is located within one mile north at Ridgeland Avenue and 16th Street. The Senior Center sponsors book clubs, lectures, card parties, pot luck dinners, and other events throughout the year. In addition, the many local churches, the Berwyn Library, veterans groups such as the VFW Post 2378, and civic organizations including the Elks Lodge, Berwyn Masonic Lodge and Royal Order of Moose host numerous events, dinners, craft bazaars, and other gatherings throughout the year. Also, Berwyn’s 16th Street Theater, a professional theatre troupe, supports several productions throughout the year. Also of interest to resident seniors, the PAV YMCA, located just blocks south on Oak Park Avenue, offers its nationally acclaimed “Silver Sneakers” wellness program, Meals On Wheels, and a variety of other activities appropriate for mature participants, while MacNeal Hospital as well as Berwyn Township Administration sponsor a number of wellness programs, health screenings, and related services to assist local seniors. Again, these senior centers and other facilities are all within one mile of the subject sites. Page 2.4 TRACY CROSS & ASSOCIATES, INC. Market Support Analysis Berwyn Senior Apartments Berwyn Development Corporation Berwyn, Illinois The proposed development sites are also proximate to numerous municipal parks and recreational facilities such as the Pavek Community Center, Proksa Park, and Berwyn Gardens, while the city sponsors band concerts, ethnic festivals, and other civic events throughout the year. Berwyn is also within a ten-minute drive of Brookfield Zoo in neighboring Brookfield, as well as Maywood Park, a harness racing and entertainment facility located in Maywood, and Hawthorne Thoroughbred Race Track in Cicero. Finally, Berwyn is only a 25-minute train ride from the city of Chicago and its many cultural, educational and entertainment options. Exhibit 2.1 forwards a geographic orientation of available services most proximate to the subject properties. Marketing/ Suitability: Page 2.5 It goes without saying that, from a marketing perspective, the subject properties offer an excellent location proximate to a multitude of services of particular significance to the intended mature resident constituency. More importantly, the proposed Berwyn Senior Apartments are identified as a key component of City of Berwyn redevelopment initiatives. TRACY CROSS & ASSOCIATES, INC. 2.1 PROXIMATE AMENITIES: BERWYN SENIOR HOUSING – DEPOT DISTRICT BERWYN, IL Loyola Medical Center/Hines Veterans Hosp. (3.0 miles) Stroger/Rush/U of Illinois Medical Campuses (6.8 miles) 11 4 12 9 10 8 13 5 7 6 1 3 1 Berwyn Senior Apartments 5 Berwyn Public Library 2 Walgreen’s Pharmacy 6 Pavek Community Center 3 Tonini’s Italian Market 7 4 Berwyn Cultural/Senior Center 8 2 1 14 Chicago Midway Airport (3.5 miles) Jewel Foods 13 Elks Lodge 10 Dominick’s Finer Foods 14 Berwyn Ace Hardware Pav YMCA 11 VFW Post 2378 MacNeal Hospital Berwyn Township Adm. Bldg. 12 Cermak Shopping District METRA/CTA 9 Source: Microsoft Streets & Trips and Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. 3. Definition of the Market Area: MARKET AREA CHARACTERISTICS Given the fact that senior citizens tend to age in place, or move only a short distance from where they currently reside, socio-economic and demographic characteristics of the area’s mature constituency, along with factors such as location, access to transportation and other services were examined to determine the market area for the conceptualized Berwyn Senior Apartments. Based upon this analysis, Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. identified separate and distinct quadrants which form the Berwyn Market Area. Specifically, Berwyn Senior Apartments will derive its principle demand support from within the host city of Berwyn, defined as the Primary Market Area (PMA). To confirm the appropriateness of the PMA, extensive interviews were conducted with officials of various local agencies and other senior-oriented residential developments to determine service areas and/or points of origin of existing residents. These sources included fire and emergency management, local senior citizen service organizations, and local property management personnel. Secondary support, in turn, will emanate from the adjoining townships of Cicero, Lyons, Riverside and Stickney in west/southwest Cook County, generally extending west from Cicero Avenue to the Cook/DuPage county line and south from Roosevelt Road to Interstate 55 (the Secondary Market Area or SMA). This geographic area includes the municipalities of Brookfield, Cicero, Countryside, Forest View, Hodgkins, Indian Head Park, La Grange, LaGrange Park, Lyons, McCook, North Riverside, Riverside, Stickney, Summit and Western Springs. For perspective, the Berwyn Market Area is depicted below: GEOGRAPHIC ORIENTATION: BERWYN MARKET AREA Primary Market Area Secondary Market Area Source: Microsoft Streets & Trips and Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. Page 3.1 TRACY CROSS & ASSOCIATES, INC. Market Support Analysis Berwyn Senior Apartments Berwyn Development Corporation Berwyn, Illinois Demographic Characteristics: During the decade of the 1990s, the population of the Berwyn Market Area grew by an average of 3,287 persons per year or a substantial 12.2 percent to a 2000 base of 303,273 persons. Despite strong advances in population, household formations during the decade advanced at a modest rate of 2.1 percent to a 2000 household base of 102,807. Growth rates during this ten-year timeframe largely reflected in-migration of young ethnic families, and particularly Hispanics, attracted by the general area’s proximity to sources of employment and multiple modes of transportation. In 2000, for example, Hispanics represented 23.5 percent of market area households compared to the 9.1 percent representation level noted in 1990. Since 2000, the market area as a whole has reversed trends, recording a net loss of 95 households annually, to an estimated 2011 base of 101,759 households. Several factors have contributed to this erosion, including transitioning life cycles and, most importantly, challenging economic periods following 9/11 and more recently during the Great Recession beginning in late2007 through the present. These factors notwithstanding, household formation patterns over the last eleven years have continued to reflect strong in-migration of younger Hispanic families, which today represent 34.5 percent of the market area’s overall household base. Not surprisingly, the 2011 median age in the overall area is estimated at a relatively young 35.3 years, while the median household size stands at 3.04 persons per household. Population/ Households: Mature Constituencies The cohort population aged 55 and older (which constitutes the focus of this analysis) represents an estimated 21.5 percent of the overall population, or 65,073 persons, reflecting the maturation of 431 persons yearly compared to the 60,334-person base noted in 2000. By component age category, persons aged 55 to 64 currently account for 49.4 percent of the mature population base, while persons aged 65-74 account for 26.5 percent, and persons aged 75-84 represent 16.7 percent. Elderly constituents aged 85 and older represent the remaining 7.5 percent. Further segmenting the mature population base, the host PMA currently accounts for 16.5 percent of the total, or 10,750 persons. Looking forward to 2016, the mature population base of the Berwyn Market Area is expected to advance sharply to an estimated base of 71,176 persons. This increase in population is based upon Census 2010 figures and statistical forecasts developed by Claritas, Inc. as stated in its Senior Life Report. In terms of households, the overall market area currently supports an estimated 40,132 households headed by a person aged 55 or older, translating to an average household size of 1.62 persons per household. Mature households aged 55 and older currently represent 39.4 percent of the overall base, modestly higher than the 35.8 percent representation level noted in 2000. Page 3.2 TRACY CROSS & ASSOCIATES, INC. Market Support Analysis Berwyn Senior Apartments Berwyn Development Corporation Berwyn, Illinois By age category, the number of households in the age group 55-64 currently equals 17,552 (43.7 percent of the total), with households aged 65 to 74 accounting for 27.7 percent or 11,122 households. Another 8,761 households are between 75 and 84 years of age (21.8 percent), while the remaining 6.7 percent represent households aged 85 and older. As illustrated in the following table, the PMA accounts for 17.3 percent of the overall area’s mature household base, supporting 6,938 households. POPULATION AND HOUSEHOLD TRENDS: PERSONS AGED 55+ BERWYN MARKET AREA Average Annual Change Area 2000 2011 (Est.) 2016 (Proj.) 2000-2011 2011-2016 71,176 11,506 59,670 431 -45 476 1,221 151 1,069 42,913 7,214 35,699 281 -45 327 556 55 501 Population Berwyn Market Area City of Berwyn PMA Remainder of Market Area 60,334 11,247 49,087 65,073 10,750 54,323 Households Berwyn Market Area City of Berwyn PMA Remainder of Market Area 37,036 7,437 29,599 40,132 6,938 33,194 2011 Senior Household Tenure (Percent of Total Cohort Households) Owner Occupied Renter Occupied Area Aged 55-64 Aged 65-74 Aged 75+ Aged 55-64 Aged 65-74 Aged 75+ Berwyn Market Area City of Berwyn PMA Remainder of Market Area 78.6 71.7 79.9 81.0 65.8 84.0 74.9 73.2 75.3 21.4 28.3 20.1 19.0 34.2 16.0 25.1 26.8 24.7 Source: U.S. Census Bureau: Census 2000, 2010; Claritas, Inc.: 2011 Demographic Comparison and Senior Life reports. By 2016, it is expected that the number of resident mature households in the Berwyn Market Area will advance to 42,913, noting the maturation of 556 resident households annually during the forecast period, and increasing its representation level to 42.7 percent of all households. By age category, householders at profile age categories between 55 and 74 will advance to 31.7 percent compared to the current 28.2 percent level. Although the host Berwyn mature household base is projected to increase to 7,214 by 2016, its share of total market area mature households will decline to the 16.8 percent mark. Functional Capacity: Page 3.3 Based upon Census estimates, although 64.0 percent of mature households in the whole of the market area represent family households, a substantial 29.7 percent represent householders living alone. In Berwyn itself, a modestly higher 33.1 percent of mature householders live alone. Also, a nominal ten percent of all mature persons in the market area suffer from some form of disability. Roughly one-third of this disabled population are home-bound or have self care limitations which could preclude independent living alternatives, while more than one-half are afflicted with some form of sensory, mental or physical limitation. TRACY CROSS & ASSOCIATES, INC. Market Support Analysis Berwyn Senior Apartments Berwyn Development Corporation Berwyn, Illinois Income: A further review of the Berwyn Market Area’s mature household base reveals an estimated 2011 median household income of $44,040, a significant 16.8 percent below the estimated $52,959 median household income in Cook County as a whole. Fully 40.9 percent (or 16,422 mature households) in the market area earn less than $35,000 annually, with 27.9 percent or 11,218 households earning less than $25,000 per annum. Notably, 43.3 percent of constituent householders aged 65-74 currently earn less than $35,000 per annum, while a significant 59.9 percent of households aged 75 and older earn less than $35,000 per year. In the PMA, mature households currently support a median income of $37,550, a level 17.3 percent lower than mature householders elsewhere in the market area, as nearly one half (47.5 percent or 3,297 households) in the PMA earn less than $35,000 annually. Refer to Appendix Tables A3.2 and A3.3 for detailed distributions of households by age category and incomes. 2011 HOUSEHOLD INCOME CHARACTERISTICS: HOUSEHOLDERS AGED 55+ BERWYN MARKET AREA Berwyn Market Area City of Berwyn PMA Remainder of Market Area 40,132 $44,040 6,938 $37,550 33,194 $45,397 Households Earning Less than $35,000 Percent Number 40.9 16,422 47.5 3,297 39.5 13,125 Households with Incomes $35,000+ Percent Number 59.1 23,710 52.5 3,641 60.5 20,069 Households with Incomes $50,000+ Percent Number 44.0 17,655 37.7 2,619 45.3 15,036 Households with Incomes $75,000+ Percent Number 27.1 10,874 18.8 1,305 28.8 9,569 Households with Incomes $100,000+ Percent Number 17.3 6,961 10.7 743 18.7 6,218 Attribute Total Households Aged 55+ Median Annual Income Source: Claritas, Inc., 2011 Household Income by Age of Householder Report. Employment: Page 3.4 It goes without saying that the conceptualized Berwyn Senior Apartments will be convenient to significant sources of employment, not only in the immediate Berwyn/Cicero area, but given ease of access to multiple modes of transportation, employment sources throughout the city of Chicago, Cook County and, for that matter, the metro area as well. According to the Illinois Department of Employment Security, this consolidated region currently supports an TRACY CROSS & ASSOCIATES, INC. Market Support Analysis Berwyn Senior Apartments Berwyn Development Corporation Berwyn, Illinois employment base of 3,613,173 workers, with employment concentrated in the manufacturing, trade, transportation and education and health services sectors, attributed in large part to the numerous industrial campuses and business parks developed along the I-55 and I-290/294 transportation corridors, and along major regional arterials such as Cicero and Western avenues, including the aforementioned Chicago Technology Park situated a mere 3.5 miles east in Chicago. Education and health services also play a key role in the region, currently providing some 555,937 jobs represented by major employers such as MacNeal Hospital in Berwyn itself, along with Loyola Medical Center and Hines Veterans Hospital in nearby Maywood, as well as the John Stroger, Rush and University of Illinois medical campuses aligning I-290 on Chicago’s west side, among others. One cannot, however, overlook the current national economic crisis which has had a profound impact upon our region as the onset of a national recession saw employment rosters in all industry sectors deteriorate. Since 2007 and through 2010, for example, the six-county metro area has averaged a net loss of 77,250 jobs annually with the majority of these losses occurring in 2009 when 223,400 jobs were eliminated. YEAR-OVER-YEAR CHANGE IN TOTAL EMPLOYMENT SIX-COUNTY CHICAGO METRO AREA 100.0 75.0 50.0 25.0 0.0 -25.0 -50.0 -75.0 -100.0 -125.0 -150.0 -175.0 -200.0 -225.0 -250.0 Change (000s) Year-Over-Year March 2009-March 2010 6-Cty Metro Chicago Private Sector Government 2003 2004 Down 108,638 Down 106,506 Down 5,132 2005 2006 Metropolitan Chicago (1) -2.9% -3.2% -1.1% 2007 Private Sector 2008 2009 2010 (1) Government Figures as of March 2010 include private sector employment covered by the Illinois Unemployment Insurance Act as well as Federal, State and Local government. Source: Illinois Department of Employment Security Although the pace of job losses subsided in 2010, employment contractions continued throughout the metro area, down 108,638 jobs year-over-year, equal to 2.9 percent of total employment. Job contractions were concentrated among private sector employers with 106,506 jobs lost, while government payrolls declined by 5,132 workers. Page 3.5 TRACY CROSS & ASSOCIATES, INC. Market Support Analysis Berwyn Senior Apartments Berwyn Development Corporation Berwyn, Illinois Nonetheless, the metro area will always represent a core source of employment. As summarized in the following table, for example, based upon employment statistics compiled by the Illinois Department of Employment Security (IDES), the city of Chicago alone supports some 1.3 million private sector jobs, representing roughly one-third of total private sector employment in the metropolitan region. Moreover, another 28.6 percent or 894,853 jobs are within a reasonable 30minute commuting time from Berwyn. PRIVATE SECTOR EMPLOYMENT: AREAS PROXIMATE TO BERWYN Total Private Sector Employment 2011 Number of Workers Percent of Total Employment Six-County Chicago Metro Area 3,133,051 100.0 City of Chicago Central Business District Outer Business Ring South West Central Northwest (including O'Hare) Far South Southwest 1,011,151 170,114 309,085 93,767 63,947 120,365 46,694 65,990 32.3 5.4 9.9 3.0 2.0 3.8 1.5 2.1 Suburban Cook County West Suburban Cook County Southwest Suburban Cook County South Suburban Cook County 409,943 106,948 162,054 140,941 13.1 3.4 5.2 4.5 DuPage County 484,910 15.5 Area (1) (1) Represents private sector employment covered by the Illinois Unemployment Insurance Act as of March 2010. Source: Illinois Department of Employment Security: Where Workers Work 2011. Additive to private sector employment, in 2010 there were some 308,612 federal, state, county and city government jobs in Cook County alone. General Housing Characteristics: Page 3.6 Based upon estimates derived from the 2010 Census, there are currently 101,759 occupied housing units in the Berwyn Market Area, representing 92.5 percent of all housing stock. Owner-occupied units account for 66.6 percent or 67,822 units, while the remaining 33.4 percent are renter-occupied. TRACY CROSS & ASSOCIATES, INC. Market Support Analysis Berwyn Senior Apartments Berwyn Development Corporation Berwyn, Illinois In the PMA, a total of 18,039 housing units are occupied (87.1 percent of the total), with 59.8 percent or 10,787 units identified as owner-occupied. Focusing upon tenure characteristics of mature households, it is estimated that 46.1 percent of all owner-occupied housing units in the Berwyn Market Area represent householders aged 55 years and older, while 26.0 percent of all renteroccupied housing units reflect a mature householder at least 55 years of age. Notably, in the localized PMA, mature households account for a substantial 28.1 percent of all renters, estimated at 2,040 households. The PMA alone accounts for nearly one-quarter (23.1 percent) of all mature renters in the market area. Given the established “first-ring” location of the overall market area, it is not surprising that estimates derived from the 2010 Census also reveal that more than three-quarters of the overall area’s housing stock was constructed prior to 1970, with nearly two-thirds of all housing stock (68,845 units or 62.6 percent) built in 1959 or earlier. In fact, only 2.0 percent or 2,254 units have been built in the whole of the market area since 2000 (again) primarily reflecting redevelopment initiatives within the respective downtown districts of the component municipalities. Notably, in the Berwyn PMA itself, just under one half of all housing stock (10,299 units or 49.7 percent) was built prior to 1939. Residential Permit Activity: The general housing character of the market area is further supported by analysis of building permit data derived from the U.S. Department of Commerce’s C40 Construction Reports. Which reveal that the Berwyn Market Area issued an average of 218 residential building permits annually during the 2000-2010 period. Market area authorizations spiked during the 2001-2003 period, recording a peak 399 authorizations in 2002, representing the highest level of building activity noted in the market area in more than two decades. New construction levels remained elevated during the ensuing 2004-2006 housing boom years as an average of 250 units per permitted yearly. During the 2007-2009 timeframe, as the housing market declined nation-wide, the general area followed suit, issuing an average of 109 permits per year, down 56.4 percent from the previous threeyear period. Authorization levels spiked in 2010 at 154 units, reflecting authorization of the Summit Senior Apartments (120 units) which are further detailed in Section 5 of this report. It should be noted that, subsequent to permit issuance, Summit Senior Apartments has been re-positioned to reflect a total development size of 78 units. Focusing specifically upon multi-family authorizations, while the Berwyn Market Area has averaged 96 units yearly since 2000, construction activity has been highly cyclical. For example from a high of 294 multi-family units permitted in 2002, authorizations dwindled to a mere three units by 2008. In 2009, 72 multifamily units were issued, reflecting introduction of the Countryside Senior Apartments in Lyons and (again) in 2010, 120 units were permitted in Summit. Page 3.7 TRACY CROSS & ASSOCIATES, INC. Market Support Analysis Berwyn Senior Apartments Berwyn Development Corporation Berwyn, Illinois Again, market area multi-family permit activity reflects several midrise condominium for sale developments such as the previously noted Ridgeland Crossing and Century Station communities in Berwyn, as well as a modicum of mixed-income age-qualifying rental communities, including Riverwalk (120 units) and most recently, Countryside Senior Apartments (70 units) in Lyons and Summit Senior Apartments, where 78 units are currently under construction. MULTI-FAMILY PERMIT TRENDS: BERWYN MARKET AREA 300 Percent of Suburban Region Number 24.0 275 22.0 250 20.0 225 18.0 200 16.0 175 14.0 150 12.0 125 10.0 100 8.0 75 6.0 50 4.0 25 2.0 0.0 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Total (1) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011(1) Percent of Suburban Region Statistics YTD July 2011. Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census: C-40 Construction Reports Refer to Appendix Tables 3.1 through 3.6 for detailed statistical demographic, employment and residential construction support. Page 3.8 TRACY CROSS & ASSOCIATES, INC. 4. COMPARABILITY AND DEMAND ASSESSMENT: THE FAIR MARKET SECTOR In order to assess the competitive environment within which age-qualifying fair market rental apartments would exist, our firm conducted an assessment of selected rental developments in areas proximate to Berwyn and/or which share commonalities in terms of healthcare and other senior-oriented services. Further, to provide a clear understanding of the market dynamics relative to all housing options available to the area’s mature constituency, our analysis was expanded to also include market conditions among independent living components within proximate service-enhanced senior communities, as these developments comprise the balance of rental housing alternatives available to localized seniors. Excluded from this latter housing subset, are those developments which require an endowment or equity purchase in addition to monthly service fees. In aggregate, our sample base encompassed 17 separate communities and a collective 873 apartments within Berwyn, Brookfield, Countryside, Forest Park, LaGrange Park, Lyons, Melrose Park, and Oak Park in west suburban Cook County, and the neighboring Clearing community area of Chicago, defined for purposes of this analysis as the Berwyn Competitive Market Area (CMA). Exhibit 4.1 provides a geographic orientation of the 17 representative developments, five of which are located within Berwyn itself, while composite summaries of comparable fair market rental communities are provided in Appendix Table A4.1. Fair Market Apartments: Throughout the expanded Berwyn CMA, eleven rental apartment developments were selected as a representative sampling of fair market rental alternatives. For the most part, these developments reflect privately-managed garden-style and vintage courtyard apartment buildings dating from 1930 to 1972. Collectively accounting for 246 units or 28.2 percent of the competitive base, they are typically of smaller scale, averaging 22 units in size. However, as detailed in Exhibit 4.2, four of the eleven, including Countryside Senior in Countryside, The Briarwood in Forest Park, Riverwalk in Lyons and Melrose Commons in Melrose Park, represent midrise and highrise age-qualifying developments. With the exception of The Briarwood, these age-qualifying communities reflect mixedincome developments wherein the majority of units are designated for moderate to low income seniors. The affordable components of these communities are further detailed in Section 5 of this report. Also, all except The Briarwood have been built in the last nine years (2003-2010). The four age-qualifying communities collective provide 66 rental apartments, representing 36.7 percent of fair market alternatives in the localized area. Of these, only three are currently unoccupied, translating to a relatively balanced vacancy factor of 4.5 percent. For perspective, a balanced market typically requires vacancies in the range of 5.0 to 6.0 percent to allow for filtering or movement within the marketplace. Notably, the three vacancies are all found at Riverwalk in neighboring Lyons, which Exhibit 4.2 also reveals carries the highest rental rates among the four age-qualifying programs. Berwyn itself is host to 76.3 percent of the remaining fair market units in our competitive sampling (87 of 114 units). Overall, 11 of the 114 units are currently available, translating to an overall vacancy factor of 9.6 percent, indicative of weakness in the marketplace. Some of this market weakness, however, is likely attributed to the age and scale of the representative developments, exacerbated Page 4.1 TRACY CROSS & ASSOCIATES, INC. 4.1 FAIR MARKET AND SERVICE-ENHANCED SENIOR APARTMENTS: BERWYN CMA M10 S6 M11 S5 M8 S4 M9 M4 M5 M2 S1 M1 M3 Potential Berwyn Senior Housing Sites M6 S2 M7 Source: Microsoft Streets & Trips and Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. Key See Appendix A4.1 for project identification and summary statistics. S3 COMPOSITE SUMMARY: REPRESENTATIVE FAIR MARKET RENTAL APARTMENTS BERWYN CMA 4.2 Vacancy/Absorption Development Location Year Project Built/ Size Renovated (1) (In Units) Average Average Unit Size Monthly Rent Per (Sq. Ft.) Rent Sq. Ft. Characteristics Number Percent Age-Qualifying Apartments Countryside Senior Apartments (1) The Briarwood (1) Riverwalk (1) Melrose Commons Countryside 2010 7 590 $868 $1.47 0 0.0 Forest Park 1933 36 358 616 1.72 0 0.0 Lyons 2003 12 746 1,037 1.39 3 25.0 Melrose Park 2003 11 803 907 1.13 0 0.0 Total/Weighted Average: 66 528 $768 $1.45 3 4.5 Non Age-Qualifying Apartments (1) (2) 2105 2111 G 2105-2111 Grove A Avenue B Berwyn 1930 36 762 $712 $0 93 $0.93 6 16 7 16.7 3225 Home Avenue Berwyn 1959 12 600 700 1.17 0 0.0 3612 Clarence Avenue Berwyn 1950 2 900 1,350 1.50 1 50.0 6744-6750 21st Street Berwyn 1929 13 750 745 0.99 1 7.7 Green Garden Apartments Berwyn 1972 24 588 683 1.16 1 4.2 528 Des Plaines Avenue Forest Park 1970 15 582 733 1.26 1 6.7 1970 North 18th Avenue Melrose Park 1965 12 525 650 1.24 1 8.3 Total/Weighted Average: 114 661 $716 $1.08 11 9.6 Overall Total/Weighted Average: 180 612 $735 $1.20 14 7.8 Represents mixed-income community; statistics reflect only those units designated as fair market. Monthly rents typically include gas-fired boiler heat, common area utilities, water and sewer service; tenant is responsible for electric and all other utility expenses. Source: Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. Market Support Analysis Berwyn Senior Apartments Berwyn Development Corporation Berwyn, Illinois by continued economic weakness throughout the region and, especially, in the manufacturing and logistics sectors of industry which are concentrated in areas serving Berwyn. Plan offerings among the eleven fair market developments primarily reflect one bedroom designs, with only a modicum of studio and larger two bedroom plan styles available. As also shown on Exhibit 4.2, the average apartment among the eleven developments contains 612 square feet of living area and carries a monthly rent of $735, or $1.20 per square foot. Included in this monthly rent are gas-fired boiler heat, common area utilities, and water/sewer service, with the tenant typically responsible for electric and all other utility expenses. The exception is Riverwalk, where the tenant is responsible for all utilities. As outlined in the following table, among age-qualifying fair market rentals in the Berwyn CMA, studio apartments currently support an average monthly rent of $573 for an average 300 square foot apartment. The average one bedroom in this housing subset includes 549 square feet and leases for $778 monthly or $1.42 per square foot, while the remaining two bedroom units provide an average 839 square feet which carries a lease rate of $1,052 monthly ($1.25 per square foot). RENTAL CHARACTERISTICS BY UNIT TYPE: REPRESENTATIVE FAIR MARKET APARTMENTS BERWYN CMA Total Units Unit Type Number Percent Average Unit Size (Sq. Ft.) Average Monthly Rent(1) Rent Per Sq. Ft. $1.91 Age-Qualifying Apartments Studio Flat 22 33.3 300 $573 One Bedroom Flat 30 45.5 549 778 1.42 Two Bedroom Flat 14 21.2 839 1,052 1.25 Total/Averages: 66 100.0 528 $768 $1.45 Non Age-Qualifying Apartments Studio Flat --- --- --- --- --- One Bedroom Flat 84 73.7 619 $687 $1.11 Two Bedroom Flat 30 26.3 778 797 1.02 Total/Averages: 114 100.0 661 $716 $1.08 (1) Monthly rents typically include gas-fired boiler heat, common area utilities, water and sewer service; tenant is responsible for electric and all other utility expenses. Source: Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. Page 4.2 TRACY CROSS & ASSOCIATES, INC. Market Support Analysis Berwyn Senior Apartments Berwyn Development Corporation Berwyn, Illinois Conversely, and (again) largely reflecting the age and scale of the remaining developments, non age-qualifying alternatives in the CMA carry significantly lower lease rates, ranging from an average of $1.11 per square foot for a typical one bedroom design to $1.08 per square foot for a two bedroom style, reflecting an overall variance of 21.2 percent below their age-qualifying counterparts. Community amenities among non age-qualifying fair market alternatives are generally limited to on-site management and building maintenance, central laundry facilities and off street parking, while among the four senior communities, additional amenities typically include a community social room, fitness center, planned activities, and scheduled transportation. Service-Enhanced Apartments: In addition to fair market rentals, there are currently six service-enhanced, agequalifying rental programs marketing as components of larger congregate/continuing care retirement communities in areas proximate to Berwyn. These include: The British Home-Wye Valley Apartments in Brookfield; Autumn Green at Midway Village in the Clearing area of Chicago; Bethlehem Woods-Maplewood/Oakwood Apartments in LaGrange Park; Victory Centre of Riverwoods in Melrose Park; and Holley Court Terrace and Oak Park Arms in Oak Park. Again, none of these six programs requires an endowment or equity purchase as a condition of residency, instead operating on a conventional twelve-month lease basis. Notably, Autumn Green and Midway Village and Victory Center of Riverwoods also offer affordable (income-restricted) units which are excluded from this competitive analysis. For the most part, the six service-enhanced developments represent newer construction midrise programs built between 1986 and 2005. The lone exception is the Oak Park Arms, a former hotel built in 1922 which was converted to a service-enhanced retirement community in the late 1980s. Collectively, the six service-enhanced rental programs provide 693 fair market independent living units. Of these, 43 are currently unoccupied, translating to a relatively balanced vacancy factor of 6.2 percent. The six service-enhanced independent living programs offer a variety of studio, one bedroom and two bedroom plan designs which range in unit size from 3066 to 1,073 square feet, with commensurate monthly lease rates extending from $1,465 to $4,722, exclusive of optional ala carte services or incremental fees for wellness programs and the like where required. As summarized in the following table, the average service-enhanced apartment home commands a single occupancy monthly rent or service fee of $2,873 which includes a 675 square foot apartment. This translates to a ratio of $4.26 per square foot. While the level of services vary, they typically include on-site management, maintenance and utilities (except telephone), 24-hour security, emergency call systems, scheduled transportation, planned activities, community social areas, fitness centers and at least one meal daily, along with scheduled housekeeping. Page 4.3 TRACY CROSS & ASSOCIATES, INC. Market Support Analysis Berwyn Senior Apartments Berwyn Development Corporation Berwyn, Illinois COMPOSITE SUMMARY: SERVICE-ENHANCED SENIOR APARTMENTS BERWYN CMA Unit Size Monthly (Sq. Ft.) Number of Programs 6 (1) (2) (3) (2) Service Fee (3) Total Units (2) 693 (1) Average/ Vacancy Range Average Range Average Sq. Ft. Characteristics 366 - 1,073 675 $1,465 - $4,722 $2,873 $4.26 6.2 Excludes developments which require an endowment or equity purchase in addition to monthly service fees as well as units designated for assisted living and/or special needs residency. Includes British Home-Wye Valley in Brookfield; Autumn Green at Midway Village in the Clearing area of Chicago; Bethlehem Woods-Maplewood/Oakwood in LaGrange Park; Victory Centre of Riverwoods in Melrose Park; and Holley Court Terrace and Oak Park Arms in Oak Park. Service fees based upon single occupancy and generally include at least one meal daily, bi-monthly housekeeping, scheduled transportation, emergency call systems, all utilities except telephone, and scheduled activities. Source: Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. Demand AnalysisFair Market Apartments: Despite the aging of the general population, householders in their maturing lifecycle move infrequently. In fact, most householders in age categories 55 to 74 are completely satisfied with their current residence, with less than 6.0 percent moving on an annual basis. Among potential profile householders aged 75 and older, movership levels drop to only 5.0 percent annually. Moreover, for the age-qualified householders that do move, a number of options are available, including: 1) migration out-of-state or out of the immediate area, generally cast at 10.0 percent; 2) into an existing home or condominium; 3) into alternative product found in the new construction sector of the market, including products that are deed restricted on the basis of age, as well as those that have been designed with a directed, not restricted, appeal to mature consumers; and 4) into some form of age-restricted rental housing. Hence, since most seniors prefer to age in place, the demand for age-qualifying rental housing in the Berwyn Market Area should be viewed as only so large. Consistent with established service areas for emergency and (other) supportive care services, Berwyn Senior Apartments will derive its primary demand support from the host City of Berwyn PMA; while secondary support for the conceptualized development will emanate from the adjoining townships of Cicero, Lyons, Riverside and Stickney in west/southwest suburban Cook County (the SMA). The following paragraphs present an overall understanding of the depth of demand for fair market age-qualifying rental housing in the Berwyn Market Area, defined in terms of independent living forms (i.e. exclusive of assisted living and special needs residency). Page 4.4 TRACY CROSS & ASSOCIATES, INC. Market Support Analysis Berwyn Senior Apartments Berwyn Development Corporation Berwyn, Illinois Affordability AnalysisFair Market Apartments: In order to refine the base of mature households in the Berwyn Market Area who would qualify for fair market rental alternatives, minimum monthly incomes were determined utilizing housing cost allocations of 30.0 to 45.0 percent, as this range reflects the fact that senior households would be willing to pay up to 45 percent of their gross monthly income to reside in the Berwyn Senior Apartments community. In other words, the 30.0 percent factor reflects a typical rent allocation, while the 45.0 percent level is viewed as a reasonable threshold to allow for ancillary expenses such as food, clothing, insurance, etc. Applying mobility, tenure and lifestyle factors to the base of households aged 55 years and older and earning at least $35,000 per annum reveals that the entire market area is capable of absorbing 106 new age-restricted rental apartment units yearly during the 2011-2016 forecast period. Berwyn itself represents roughly 16.0 percent of this demand potential, or 17 units per year (Exhibits 4.3 and 4.4). Housing Need: The demand for fair market age-qualifying rental housing in the Berwyn Market Area is more than sufficient to support the construction of the prototype 40-unit residential building. Specifically, apart from Berwyn Senior Apartments, there are only 78 additional rental units in planning in the whole of the market area, namely Summit Senior Apartments which (again) represents replacement construction of a former Cook County Housing Authority project. In fact, over the last decade, only 41 new fair market rental units have been added to the marketplace (a mere four units annually). At the same time, a significant percentage of the area’s housing inventory, and particularly rental inventory, are at or approaching obsolescence. Hence, the Berwyn Market Area will require a net replacement of 85 units annually (or a conservative 0.25 percent of total inventory) simply to maintain the current overall vacancy factor of 7.8 percent. Moreover, once the economy improves, it is expected that vacancies in the localized are will begin to fall, likely translating into supply pressures. The planned development therefore is necessary to mitigate the expected impact of a diminished supply of adequate and acceptable rental housing in the Berwyn Market Area and avoid the ultimate displacement of constituent renter households. Moreover, the 41 new fair market units are distributed between five fair market and service-enhanced rental developments in the market area, three of which are principally income-qualifying affordable communities which (collectively) provide a mere 30 fair market units or only 3.4 percent of the overall fair market rental base. The remaining 11 new units are within service-enhanced rental alternatives which carry significantly higher lease rates averaging in excess of $2,500 monthly, thus disenfranchising a significant component of resident mature households in terms of affordability, with these factors lending further support to the conceptualized development. Again, the age, scale and condition of the vast majority of competing conventional rental developments clearly support demand for quality new housing product directed to maturing households in the Berwyn Market Area as a whole, and in the PMA in particular. To this point, the recommended housing product is consistent with newer construction, age-qualifying alternatives Page 4.5 TRACY CROSS & ASSOCIATES, INC. DERIVATION OF FAIR MARKET AGE-QUALIFYING RENTAL HOUSING DEMAND BERWYN MARKET AREA: 2011-2016 4.3 2011 2016 Householders Aged …. Attribute Householders Aged …. 55-64 65-74 75+ 55-64 65-74 75+ 17,552 11,122 11,458 19,067 12,750 11,096 12,809 6,299 4,602 14,030 7,362 4,631 < 100 > < 183 > < 100 > < 183 > 12,759 6,199 4,419 13,980 7,262 4,448 766 --- 372 --- --221 839 --- 436 --- --222 Annual Propensity to Remain in Area @ 90 Percent 689 335 199 755 392 200 Annual Propensity to Move to New Construction Alternative @ 50 Percent 344 167 100 377 196 100 Annual Propensity to Move to New Construction in an Age-Qualified Community @ 50 Percent 172 83 50 188 98 50 43 ----- --33 --- ----25 47 ----- --39 --- ----25 Total Cohort Households With Annual Incomes of $35,000 or More Households Presently Residing in Age-Qualifying Rental/CIL Housing(1) Total Age and Income Qualified Households Annual Propensity to Move @ 6 Percent @ 5 Percent Annual Propensity to Move to New Construction Age-Qualified Rental Alternative @ 25 Percent @ 40 Percent @ 50 Percent Average Annual Demand for Age-Qualifying Rental Development During 2011-2016 Period (1) < 50 > < 50 > - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 106 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Represents occupied units among selected fair market age-qualifying rental apartments and congregate independent living developments within the defined Berwyn Market Area; excludes residents of assisted living/special needs facilities. Distribution of occupied units by cohort age category estimated for analytical purposes. Source: Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. DERIVATION OF FAIR MARKET AGE-QUALIFYING RENTAL HOUSING DEMAND CITY OF BERWYN PMA: 2011-2016 4.4 2011 2016 Householders Aged …. Attribute Householders Aged …. 55-64 65-74 75+ 55-64 65-74 75+ 2,800 1,829 2,309 3,049 2,083 2,082 1,881 910 850 2,054 1,037 775 --- --- --- --- --- --- 1,881 910 850 2,054 1,037 775 113 --- 55 --- --42 123 --- 62 --- --39 102 50 38 111 56 35 Annual Propensity to Move to New Construction Alternative @ 50 Percent 51 25 19 56 28 17 Annual Propensity to Move to New Construction in an Age-Qualified Community @ 50 Percent 25 12 10 28 14 9 6 ----- --5 --- ----5 7 ----- --6 --- ----5 Total Cohort Households With Annual Incomes of $35,000 or More Households Presently Residing in Age-Qualifying Rental/CIL Housing(1) Total Age and Income Qualified Households Annual Propensity to Move @ 6 Percent @ 5 Percent Annual Propensity to Remain in Area @ 90 Percent Annual Propensity to Move to New Construction Age-Qualified Rental Alternative @ 25 Percent @ 40 Percent @ 50 Percent Average Annual Demand for Age-Qualifying Rental Development During 2011-2016 Period (1) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 17 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Represents occupied units among selected fair market age-qualifying rental apartments and congregate independent living developments within the City of Berwyn PMA; excludes residents of assisted living/special needs facilities. Distribution of occupied units by cohort age category estimated for analytical purposes. Source: Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. Market Support Analysis Berwyn Senior Apartments Berwyn Development Corporation Berwyn, Illinois throughout the suburban marketplace, while the benchmark rental strategy fully aligns the qualitative components of senior housing demand. Hence, at an average benchmark rent of $991 monthly, Berwyn Senior Apartments will achieve full lease-up of a 40-unit fair market development within nine months of first occupancy, translating to an overall absorption rate of 4.5 units per month. This absorption rate assumes extensive pre-marketing and lead list generation and unit reservation efforts commence in tandem with the public review process, site improvement and construction cycle. Most importantly, the conceptualized Berwyn Senior Apartments are identified as a key component of the City of Berwyn Depot District Redevelopment Plan. Page 4.6 TRACY CROSS & ASSOCIATES, INC. 5. COMPARABILITY AND DEMAND ANALYSIS: THE AFFORDABLE SECTOR In order to assess the competitive environment within which affordable senior rental apartments would exist, our firm conducted an assessment of selected age- and income-qualifying rental apartment developments of scale in areas proximate to the development sites and/or which share commonalities in terms of healthcare and other senior-oriented services, focusing primarily upon age-oriented, incomerestricted housing development. Given the overall lack of multi-family rental development in (especially) the PMA, the market area was expanded to include select affordable developments within the neighboring community areas of Chicago Lawn, Gage Park, Garfield Ridge, and New City in the city of Chicago, along with the near west suburban villages of Bellwood, Elmwood Park, Maywood, Melrose Park and Oak Park, as developments here will service as a source of competitive substitution. Excluded from our competitive sampling of affordable developments are those which solely service special needs residents as well as public housing facilities directed to very low income households. Further, in order to provide a clear understanding of the market dynamics relative to all housing options available to the area’s elderly constituency, our analysis was expanded to also include market conditions present among other income-restricted rental programs which would serve as an affordable alternative to Berwyn Senior Apartments. In aggregate, our sample base encompassed 20 separate developments consisting of 1,984 income-qualifying affordable rental units. Exhibit 5.1 provides a geographic orientation of the 20 representative developments. Notably, none are found within the host Berwyn PMA. Pertinent characteristics of these affordable developments are highlighted in the following paragraphs, while composite summaries and comparative assessments of all analyzed programs are provided in Appendix Tables A5.1 and A5.2. Age-Qualifying Affordable Apartments: Throughout the expanded Berwyn Competitive Market Area (CMA), 17 agequalifying low income housing facilities were identified. The majority of agequalifying low income rental programs represent structures building in the mid1970s to late 1990s, while only six programs (Senior Suites of Marquette Village, Senior Suites of Garfield Ridge, Senior Suites of New City, Riverwalk, Melrose Commons and Countryside Senior Apartments) have been constructed in the last eight years. Also, as noted in Section 4 of this report, Riverwalk, Melrose Commons and Countryside represent mixed-income communities providing both fair market and affordable rentals. Countryside is the newest in the marketplace, introduced in September 2010. This community was fully leased within a threemonth residency qualification period, equating to an overall absorption rate of 21.0 units per month. The six newest developments provide a collective 544 units or only 35.2 percent of all age-qualifying affordable housing in the whole of the CMA. The 17 age- and income-restricted developments collectively offer a total of 1,556 units. At present, only 14 units are unoccupied, translating to an extremely tight overall vacancy factor of 0.9 percent. In fact, 13 of 17 developments are fully occupied and maintain extensive waiting lists of pre-qualified applicants. Again, market equilibrium requires vacancies in the range of 5.0 to 6.0 percent to allow for filtering. The majority of age-qualifying affordable developments represent highrise or midrise housing forms comparable to that conceptualized for Berwyn Senior Page 5.1 TRACY CROSS & ASSOCIATES, INC. COMPOSITE SUMMARY: AGE- AND INCOME-RESTRICTED RENTAL APARTMENTS BERWYN CMA 5.1 Average Development Location Prairie View I/II Bellwood Churchview Manor Vacancy/Absorption Year Project Average Monthly Gross Monthly Average Built/ Size Unit Size Gross Rent Per Utility Monthly (Sq. Ft.) Rent Sq. Ft. Allowance Net Rent Renovated (In Units) (1) Characteristics Number Percent 1993-1995 84 676 $620 $0.92 $95 $525 0 0.0 Chicago-Chicago Lawn 1992 60 558 598 1.07 --- 598 6 10.0 Lawn Terrace Chicago-Chicago Lawn 1996 102 559 606 1.08 --- 606 6 5.9 Senior Suites at Marquette Village Chicago-Chicago Lawn 2008 93 589 852 1.45 --- 852 1 1.1 Senior Suites of Gage Park Chicago-Gage Park 1995 86 567 864 1.52 --- 864 1 1.2 Senior Suites of Garfield Ridge Chicago-Garfield Ridge 2005 86 567 864 1.52 --- 864 0 0.0 Senior Suites of New City Chicago-New City 2003 110 575 873 1.52 --- 873 0 0.0 Cicero 1997 71 570 666 1.17 70 596 0 0.0 Countryside 2010 63 590 829 1.41 79 750 0 0.0 Elmbrook Senior Apartments Elmwood Park 1999 71 566 1,318 2.33 32 1,286 0 0.0 Lyons Grove Senior Apartments Lyons 1996 50 700 630 0.90 95 535 0 0.0 Riverwalk(1) Lyons 2003 108 746 935 1.25 --- 935 0 0.0 Garden House of Maywood Maywood 1978 144 567 945 1.67 35 910 0 0.0 Maywood Phoenix Maywood 1987 72 550 1,357 2.47 56 1,301 0 0.0 Melrose Commons(1) Melrose Park 2003 84 738 812 1.10 38 774 0 0.0 Mills Park Oak Park 1975 198 650 1,035 1.59 87 948 0 0.0 The Oaks Oak Park 1980 74 631 1,005 1.59 85 920 0 0.0 1,556 617 $887 $1.44 $67 $848 14 0.9 Drexel Horizon Countryside Senior Apartments (1) Total/Weighted Average: (1) Average Includes only those units that are designated as affordable. Source: Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. Market Support Analysis Berwyn Senior Apartments Berwyn Development Corporation Berwyn, Illinois Apartments, while two (Prairie View and Lyons Grove) feature a single-story villa housing idiom. Plan offerings among the 17 age-qualifying affordable developments primarily reflect one bedroom designs, with only a modicum of studio or two bedroom plan styles available. As detailed in Exhibit 5.2, the average unit contains 617 square feet of living area and requires a gross monthly rent of $887, or $1.44 per square foot. Ten of the 17 provide a utility allowance which is deducted from the gross monthly rent. At present, this utility allowance averages $67 monthly, translating to an overall net monthly lease rate of $848 or $1.37 per square foot. By bedroom type, studio/efficiency apartments currently support an average monthly gross rent of $899 for an average 474 square foot apartment unit. The average one bedroom apartment includes 608 square feet and leases for $882 monthly, while the remaining two bedroom units provide an average 816 square foot apartment which carries an average lease rate of $936 monthly ($1.15 per square foot). RENTAL CHARACTERISTICS BY UNIT TYPE: AGE- AND INCOME-RESTRICTED RENTAL APARTMENTS BERWYN CMA Total Units Unit Type Studio Flat Number Percent Average Unit Size (Sq. Ft.) Monthly Gross Rent Rent Per Sq. Ft. 78 5.0 474 $899 $1.90 One Bedroom Flat 1,359 87.3 608 882 1.45 Two Bedroom Flat 119 7.6 816 936 1.15 Total/Averages: 1,556 100.0 617 $887 $1.44 Source: Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. Community amenities typically include on-site management and building maintenance, a community room for socializing, and laundry facilities on each residential floor, while some feature additional enhancements such as emergency call systems, scheduled transportation, a library, fitness facilities and planned activities. The Senior Suites programs also include monthly housekeeping and offer optional meal plans. Also, most include off-street parking for residents. At present, there is only one other age-qualifying affordable development currently in planning in the Berwyn CMA, namely Summit Senior Apartments in Summit. Located at 7400 W. 63rd Place, Summit Senior Apartments is a joint venture development of the Cook County Housing Authority and Turnstone Development and represents replacement of the Authority’s Robert Allison Homes which were demolished in 2009. Currently under construction, the community will include 60 apartments in a midrise residential building along with 18 villa-style townhomes designated for residents aged 62 and older with incomes of between 30.0 and 80.0 percent of area median. Summit Senior Apartments is anticipated to open in early 2012. Page 5.2 TRACY CROSS & ASSOCIATES, INC. 5.2 AFFORDABLE (INCOME-QUALIFYING) APARTMENTS: BERWYN CMA A19 A20 A18 A15 A16 A17 A14 A13 A12 Potential Berwyn Senior Housing Sites A3 A1 A2 A5 A4 A6 A8 A11 A7 A9 A10 Source: Microsoft Streets & Trips and Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. Key See Appendices A5.1 and A5.2 for project identification and summary assessment. Market Support Analysis Berwyn Senior Apartments Berwyn Development Corporation Berwyn, Illinois Family-Oriented Low Income Apartments: Apart from age-restricted communities, there are also three income-restricted rental communities in the Berwyn CMA which do not impose strict age limitations upon residents. These include Oaks of Willow Hill in Justice; Goodell Place in Maywood; and Heritage House in Melrose Park. Only Goodell Place has been constructed in the last ten years, with the remaining two programs now some 40 years old. Combined, the three non age-restricted low income rental developments offer a total of 428 units. In aggregate, only 10 are currently unoccupied, translating to a tight overall vacancy rate of 2.3 percent. Notably, all of these vacancies are found at Oaks of Willow Hills, which was built in 1971. Oaks of Willow Hill and Heritage House reflect larger-scale garden-style developments of 100 units or more. Conversely, Goodell Place is a 22-unit midrise residential community. In this housing subset, as well, plan offerings primarily represent one and two bedroom apartment designs, with a moderate number of studios and three bedroom units also available. All three low income family developments provide building maintenance and on-site laundry facilities, and all include off street parking. Only Oaks of Willow Hill features additional amenities such as an outdoor swimming pool, club room and tot lot. As summarized in the following table, among these non age-restricted low income rental developments, the average unit contains731 square feet of living area and requires a gross monthly rent of $792, equal to $1.08 per square foot. COMPOSITE SUMMARY: REPRESENTATIVE FAMILY INCOME-RESTRICTED APARTMENTS BERWYN CMA Development Location Year Project Average Average Avg. Mo. Average Built/ Size Unit Size Monthly Rent Per Utility Monthly Vacancy/Absorption (Renovated) (In Units) (Sq. Ft.) Gross Rent Sq. Ft. Allowance Net Rent Number Characteristics Percent Oaks of Willow Hill Justice 1971 263 828 $903 $1.09 $38 $865 10 3.8 Goodell Place Maywood 2001 22 681 712 1.05 97 615 0 0.0 Heritage House Melrose Park 1972 143 559 599 1.07 86 513 0 0.0 428 731 $792 $1.08 $57 $735 10 2.3 Total/Weighted Average: Source: Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. Demand AnalysisAffordable Apartments: Page 5.3 In calculating the demand for income-restricted rental units, Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. conducted a detailed analysis of household income distributions to determine the overall number of senior households in both the PMA and SMA who would “qualify” for the residency within Berwyn Senior Apartments given median income and per person limits established by HUD and used as a due diligence guideline by IHDA and other public housing authorities. Consistent with established service areas for emergency and (other) supportive care services, Berwyn Senior Apartments will derive its primary demand support from the host TRACY CROSS & ASSOCIATES, INC. Market Support Analysis Berwyn Senior Apartments Berwyn Development Corporation Berwyn, Illinois City of Berwyn PMA, while secondary support for the proposed development will emanate from the adjoining townships of Cicero, Lyons, Riverside and Stickney in west/southwest suburban Cook County (the SMA). Overall Demand Base: Based upon the 40-unit prototype development, and assuming for analytical purposes, at least 16 units (40.0 percent) are designated for mature householders earning not more than 60.0 percent of area median income, the following table establishes the overall number of mature households in both the PMA and SMA who would qualify for an income-restricted program given 2011 median income and per person limits as defined by IHDA: 2011 POTENTIAL INCOME-QUALIFYING SENIOR HOUSEHOLDS: HOUSEHOLDERS AGED 55+ BERWYN MARKET AREA Area Berwyn Market Area City of Berwyn PMA Remainder of Market Area Total Number of Area Households Aged 55+ Number of Households at 30.0 Percent of Median Income Number of Households at 40.0 Percent of Median Income Number of Households at 50.0 Percent of Median Income Number of Households at 60.0 Percent of Median Income 40,132 6,938 33,194 7,245 1,334 5,911 10,650 2,002 8,648 13,820 2,705 11,115 16,826 3,365 13,461 Notes: 1) Income limits based upon IHDA's published maximum limits for the host Cook County, Illinois. 2) According to IHDA's tax credit guidelines, the maximum annual income (2.0 person) limit for low-income qualifiers at 30.0 percent of median is $17,970; at 40.0 percent of median is $23,960; at 50.0 percent of median is $29,950 and at 60.0 percent of median is $35,940. 3) Because incomes derived from the Census are only offered in $5,000 - $15,000 increments, estimates have been provided accordingly. 4) A Two-Person Household is used as the basis for the bedroom versus family size adjustment as it is assumed that a number of qualifying senior households will likely represent married couples as well as single and/or widowed seniors. Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Census 2000 and 2010 ; Claritas, Inc., Senior Life Report; IHDA's Maximum Annual Income Limits dated 5/31/2011 and Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. Within the defined boundaries of the Berwyn Market Area, and including the prototype 40-unit development as well as the 78-unit Summit Senior Apartments currently under construction, there are 665 low income rental units available to serve the 16,826 moderate to low income area mature households, translating to an overall penetration of 3.9 percent. This overall capture rate represents only a fraction of IHDA’s generally accepted ratio of 25.0 percent. Moreover, a substantial number of existing low income units are now some 25 to 40 years old, and are at or approaching obsolescence. Further, as previously noted, the localized Berwyn PMA is void of designated affordable rental alternatives. Affordability Analysis: Page 5.4 The previous table depicts the entire pool of income qualifying senior households in the Berwyn Market Area. In order to refine this demand base in terms of affordability limits, Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. conducted an analysis to determine minimum income requirements based upon a standard rent allocation as a percent of gross monthly income. Minimum gross monthly incomes were determined utilizing rent allocations of 30.0 percent and 45.0 percent as (again) this range reflects the fact that an elderly household would be willing to pay up to 45.0 percent of their gross monthly income to reside in the conceptualized facility, allowing for remaining living expenses such as food, clothing, auto expenses, etc. TRACY CROSS & ASSOCIATES, INC. Market Support Analysis Berwyn Senior Apartments Berwyn Development Corporation Berwyn, Illinois Based upon 2011 maximum gross monthly rents and maximum unit type household compositions as determined by IHDA, and applying the defined housing allocations of 30.0 percent and 45.0 percent of gross monthly income reveals that mature households within the 30.0 Percent AMI classification would require incomes of between $11,227 and $17,970 for a one bedroom unit, while at 60.0 Percent AMI, incomes of between $22,453 and $35,940 would meet residency affordability requirements. Refer to Exhibit 5.3 for a delineation of affordability limits at each designated income level. Given these refined income-qualifying statistics, the following text table provides a more accurate estimate of the number of potential mature renters in the Berwyn Market Area: 2011 REFINED INCOME-QUALIFYING SENIOR HOUSEHOLDS: HOUSEHOLDERS AGED 55+ BERWYN MARKET AREA Area Berwyn Market Area City of Berwyn PMA Remainder of Market Area Total Number of Area Households Aged 55+ Number of Households at 30.0 Percent of Median Income and within the Affordability Limits Number of Households at 40.0 Percent of Median Income and within the Affordability Limits Number of Households at 50.0 Percent of Median Income and within the Affordability Limits Number of Households at 60.0 Percent of Median Income and within the Affordability Limits 40,132 3,365 5,477 6,858 7,878 6,938 634 1,602 1,427 1,697 33,194 2,731 3,875 5,431 6,181 Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Census 2000 and 2010 ; Claritas, Inc., Senior Life Report; IHDA's Maximum Annual Income Limits dated 5/31/11, and Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. Penetration Rate: Page 5.5 Based upon these calculations, the Berwyn Market Area carries more than adequate demand support for low income elderly units. For example, as outlined in the following table, across all income classifications, the prototype development need penetrate less than 1.0 percent of households aged 55+ in the whole of the market area, and not more than 4.0 percent of households in the more localized PMA to achieve full lease-up of either a 16 or 24-unit affordable program. Again, this penetration rate is well below the overall 5.0 to 7.0 percent rate typically considered acceptable by IHDA. TRACY CROSS & ASSOCIATES, INC. 5.3 2011 INCOME-QUALIFYING METHODOLOGY: BERWYN SENIOR APARTMENTS 30.0 Percent of Median Income 40.0 Percent of Median Income 50.0 Percent of Median Income 60.0 Percent of Median Income Studio Maximum Income Limit for a One-Person Household $15,720 $20,960 $26,200 $31,440 IHDA Gross Monthly Rent (including utility allowance) $393 $524 $655 $786 $4,716 $6,288 $7,860 $9,432 $15,720 10,480 $20,960 13,973 $26,200 17,467 $31,440 20,960 One Bedroom Maximum Income Limit for a Two-Person Household $17,970 $23,960 $29,950 $35,940 IHDA Gross Monthly Rent (including utility allowance) $421 $561 $701 $842 $5,052 $6,732 $8,412 $10,104 $16,840 11,227 $22,440 14,960 $28,040 18,693 $33,680 22,453 Two Bedroom Maximum Income Limit for a Two-Person Household $17,970 $23,960 $29,950 $35,940 IHDA Gross Monthly Rent (including utility allowance) $505 $674 $842 $1,011 $6,060 $8,088 $10,104 $12,132 $20,200 13,467 $26,960 17,973 $33,680 22,453 $40,440 26,960 Unit Type Gross Annual Rent Minimum Required Income @ 30.0 Percent Affordability Threshold @ 45.0 Percent Affordability Threshold Gross Annual Rent Minimum Required Income @ 30.0 Percent Affordability Threshold @ 45.0 Percent Affordability Threshold Gross Annual Rent Minimum Required Income @ 30.0 Percent Affordability Threshold @ 45.0 Percent Affordability Threshold Source: IHDA's Maximum Annual Income Limits dated 5/31/11; and Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. Market Support Analysis Berwyn Senior Apartments Berwyn Development Corporation Berwyn, Illinois PENETRATION REQUIREMENTS: BERWYN SENIOR APARTMENTS 30.0 Percent of Median Attribute Total PMA 40.0 Percent of Median Total SMA PMA SMA 50.0 Percent of Median SMA PMA Total 60.0 Percent of Median Total PMA SMA AFFORDABLE UNITS: 16 Prototype Development (1) Aggregate Demand Base (Aged 55+) Penetration Rate Required 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 3,365 634 2,731 5,477 1,602 3,875 6,858 1,427 5,431 7,878 1,697 6,181 0.5 2.5 0.6 0.3 1.0 0.4 0.2 1.1 0.3 0.2 0.9 0.3 AFFORDABLE UNITS: 24 Prototype Development (1) Aggregate Demand Base (Aged 55+) Penetration Rate Required (1) 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 3,365 634 2,731 5,477 1,602 3,875 6,858 1,427 5,431 7,878 1,697 6,181 0.7 3.8 0.9 0.4 1.5 0.6 0.3 1.7 0.4 0.3 1.4 0.4 Unit count based upon a prototype 40-unit residential building and assumes affordable units designated for seniors earning not more than 60.0 Percent AMI; distributions utilized for analytical purposes only. Source: Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. Furthermore, in terms of affordability, rents for the prototype affordable program are generally at or below the typical “30.0 percent of gross income” allocation and considerably below the accepted senior household threshold of “45.0 percent of gross income”: AFFORDABILITY OF BENCHMARK RENTS: BERWYN SENIOR APARTMENTS One Person Household Two Person Household 30.0 AMI 40.0 AMI 50.0 AMI 60.0 AMI 30.0 AMI 40.0 AMI 50.0 AMI 60.0 AMI Studio Maximum Income Limit Annual Maximum Gross Rent Rent as a Percent of Income $15,720 4,716 30.0 $20,960 6,288 30.0 $26,200 7,860 30.0 $31,440 9,432 30.0 ------- ------- ------- ------- One-Bedroom Maximum Income Limit Annual Maximum Gross Rent Rent as a Percent of Income $15,720 5,052 32.1 $20,960 6,732 32.1 $26,200 8,412 32.1 $31,440 10,104 32.1 $17,970 5,052 28.1 $23,960 6,732 28.1 $29,950 8,412 28.1 $35,940 10,104 28.1 Two-Bedroom Maximum Income Limit Annual Maximum Gross Rent Rent as a Percent of Income $15,720 5,052 32.1 $20,960 6,732 32.1 $26,200 8,412 32.1 $31,440 10,104 32.1 $17,970 5,052 28.1 $23,960 6,732 28.1 $29,950 8,412 28.1 $35,940 10,104 28.1 Unit Type Source: IHDA Schedule of Maximum Annual Income Limits dated 5/31/2011 and Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. Page 5.6 TRACY CROSS & ASSOCIATES, INC. Market Support Analysis Berwyn Senior Apartments Berwyn Development Corporation Berwyn, Illinois Absorption Rate: In order to assess the likely absorption potential of the proposed project, our firm focused upon absorption levels achieved by the newer age- and/or incomequalifying developments in comparable urban areas of the region. As previously noted, for example, Countryside Senior Apartments achieved full lease-up of its 63 affordable units in December 2010, equal to an overall absorption rate of 21.0 units per month. Similarly, in the Dunning neighborhood of Chicago, the 32-unit Senior Suites of Autumn Green absorbed at an overall rate of 16.0 units monthly, also achieving stabilized occupancy in December 2010; while Wrightwood Senior Apartments in Ashburn, TRC Senior Village in Washington Park, Wilson Yard Senior Apartments in Uptown, and Casa Maravilla in the Lower West Side, also achieved stabilized occupancies in 2010, generating absorption rates of 12.0, 11.6, 8.2 and 7.4, respectively. Full lease-up of affordable units within Berwyn Senior Apartments is expected to occur at a pace comparable to absorption rates achieved by these newer programs (at an average of roughly 12.7 units monthly), or at the very least a rate consistent with the development’s expected construction cycle. This conclusion can be supported by the fact that the community would represent one of only two new age- and/or income-qualifying programs constructed in whole of the market area in the last six years. Additional rationale is also found in the market’s extremely tight conditions, particularly among age-qualifying low income programs which (again) are virtually fully occupied and maintain extensive waiting lists for residency, as well as the fact that the units to be offered represent a superior product in terms of size and livability compared to virtually all other rental inventory in the market area. Housing Need: The demand for age- and income-restricted rental housing in the Berwyn Market Area is more than sufficient to support the construction of age-oriented low income units based upon the fact that in the whole of the market area, there are currently 7,878 households who could qualify for the designated low income units. Furthermore, 13 of the 17 of the existing age- and income-qualifying programs are at full occupancy, with no fewer than 300 pre-qualified applicants on waiting lists. Moreover, the remaining three low income programs (non age-restricted) in the overall area also reflect low vacancy levels averaging only 2.3, while vacancies among fair market senior rental developments currently stand at 4.5 percent, indicative of pressure in the marketplace. Finally, the age and condition of not only the vast majority of competing low income programs, but conventional rental developments as well, clearly supports a demand for quality new housing product directed to maturing households in the Berwyn Market Area as a whole, and in the PMA in particular. Page 5.7 TRACY CROSS & ASSOCIATES, INC. 6. Fair Market Apartments: IMPACT STATEMENT As outlined throughout this report, there has been only a limited supply of new construction senior-oriented rental housing in the greater Berwyn area while. In fact, there have been only 41 new fair market units constructed in the defined Berwyn Market Area in the last ten years, representing select units within ageand income-restricted developments or larger service-enhanced communities. Moreover, the vast majority of existing apartments, now some 25 to 40 years old, are approaching obsolescence. Hence, the introduction of the 40-unit prototype community will fill a void in the marketplace by providing an overall living environment conducive to a mature resident population offering a superior housing product in terms of livability and functionality, including appropriate outlet placements, enlarged doorways, and specially designed baths convenient to older adults which will enable residents to maintain independence. Moreover, affordability requirements among the few service-enhanced developments proximate to Berwyn disenfranchise a large percentage of the area’s mature constituency, thus negating any level of influence upon these programs. The Affordable Rental Sector: Among income-qualifying alternatives, as well, there has been limited new construction of throughout the Berwyn Market Area, with the average development now more than 30 years old. Nonetheless, vacancies among these low income programs are extremely low, at only 0.9 percent or 14 units available, and all communities reporting extensive waiting lists of pre-qualified applicants for residency. Moreover, apart from Berwyn Senior Apartments, the only other senior affordable development proposed in the whole of the market area is the 78-unit Summit Senior Apartments in southwest suburban Summit. This community, however, represents replacement of the former Robert Allison Homes, a Cook County Housing Authority community and it is expected that this community will be fully leased upon opening, anticipated in early 2012. Hence, as an affordable or mixed-income community, Berwyn Senior Apartments will not negatively impact upon other existing programs in the market area, whether fair market or sponsored by IHDA, HUD or other public entities. In fact, these units will serve to alleviate the significant level of demand that exists, as evidenced by the overall lack of vacant units and associated lengthy waiting lists maintained by comparable programs. Finally, the prototype housing product and community aesthetics are viewed as complimentary to the goals of promoting new residential development within the Depot District of downtown Berwyn as defined in its Redevelopment Plan. Page 6.1 TRACY CROSS & ASSOCIATES, INC. Trends in Population and Households: Persons Aged 55+ Berwyn Market Area 2000 - 2016 A3.1 Average Annual Change 2000 2011 (Est.) 2016 (Proj.) 2000-2011 2011-2016 Cohort Age Category …. Cohort Age Category …. Cohort Age Category …. Cohort Age Category …. Cohort Age Category …. 55-64 65-74 75+ 55-64 65-74 75+ 55-64 65-74 75+ 23,562 3,966 19,596 17,856 3,259 14,597 18,916 4,022 14,894 32,119 5,426 26,693 17,219 2,784 14,435 15,735 2,540 13,195 35,374 5,985 29,389 20,484 3,295 17,189 13,605 2,382 11,223 11,134 2,104 9,030 12,297 2,951 9,346 17,552 2,800 14,752 11,122 1,829 9,293 11,458 2,309 9,149 19,067 3,049 16,018 12,750 2,083 10,667 55-64 65-74 75+ 55-64 15,318 2,226 13,092 778 133 645 -58 -43 -15 -289 -135 -154 651 112 539 653 102 551 -83 -63 -21 11,096 2,082 9,014 359 38 321 -12 -25 24 -76 -58 -18 303 50 253 326 51 275 -72 -45 -27 65-74 75+ POPULATION Berwyn Market Area(1) City of Berwyn PMA Remainder of Market Area HOUSEHOLDS Berwyn Market Area(1) City of Berwyn PMA Remainder of Market Area (1) Includes Berwyn, Cicero, Lyons, Riverside and Stickney townships in Cook County, IL. Source: U.S. Department of Commerce-Bureau of the Census, Census 2000 and 2010 ; Claritas, Inc. Senior Life Report ; and Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. A3.2 HOUSEHOLD INCOMES: HOUSEHOLDS AGED 55 AND OLDER BERWYN MARKET AREA Household Income Householders Aged … Householders Aged … Householders Aged… 65 to 74 Years 75+ Years 55 to 64 Years Total Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent 2011 (Est.) Under $15,000 5,543 13.8 1,618 9.2 1,627 14.6 2,298 20.1 15,000-24,999 5,675 14.1 1,367 7.8 1,727 15.5 2,581 22.5 25,000-34,999 5,204 13.0 1,758 10.0 1,469 13.2 1,977 17.3 35,000-49,999 6,055 15.1 2,291 13.1 1,980 17.8 1,784 15.6 50,000-74,999 6,781 16.9 3,544 20.2 1,825 16.4 1,412 12.3 75,000-99,999 3,913 9.8 2,364 13.5 974 8.8 575 5.0 100,000-149,999 4,000 10.0 2,597 14.8 908 8.2 495 4.3 150,000-199,999 1,233 3.1 814 4.6 264 2.4 155 1.4 200,000 and Over 1,728 4.3 1,199 6.8 348 3.1 181 1.6 40,132 100.0 17,552 100.0 11,122 100.0 11,458 100.0 Total Median $44,040 $40,646 $62,252 $29,277 2016 (Proj.) Under $15,000 5,674 13.2 1,720 9.0 1,813 14.2 2,141 19.3 15,000-24,999 5,776 13.5 1,445 7.6 1,918 15.0 2,413 21.7 25,000-34,999 5,440 12.7 1,872 9.8 1,657 13.0 1,911 17.2 35,000-49,999 6,497 15.1 2,462 12.9 2,267 17.8 1,768 15.9 50,000-74,999 7,316 17.0 3,804 20.0 2,119 16.6 1,393 12.6 75,000-99,999 4,276 10.0 2,572 13.5 1,117 8.8 587 5.3 100,000-149,999 4,454 10.4 2,846 14.9 1,089 8.5 519 4.7 150,000-199,999 1,424 3.3 927 4.9 330 2.6 167 1.5 200,000 and Over 2,056 4.8 1,419 7.4 440 3.5 197 1.8 42,913 100.0 19,067 100.0 12,750 100.0 11,096 100.0 Total Median $45,530 $63,375 Source: Claritas, Inc.: 2011 Senior Life Report and Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. $41,573 $30,233 A3.3 HOUSEHOLD INCOMES: HOUSEHOLDS AGED 55 AND OLDER CITY OF BERWYN PMA Household Income Householders Aged … Householders Aged … Householders Aged… 75+ Years 55 to 64 Years 65 to 74 Years Total Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent 2011 (Est.) Under $15,000 1,000 14.4 200 7.1 320 17.5 480 20.8 15,000-24,999 1,113 16.0 317 11.3 289 15.8 507 22.0 25,000-34,999 1,184 17.1 402 14.4 310 16.9 472 20.4 35,000-49,999 1,022 14.7 408 14.6 313 17.1 301 13.0 50,000-74,999 1,314 18.9 689 24.6 302 16.5 323 14.0 75,000-99,999 562 8.1 316 11.3 130 7.1 116 5.0 100,000-149,999 546 7.9 348 12.4 114 6.2 84 3.6 150,000-199,999 102 1.5 66 2.4 21 1.1 15 0.6 200,000 and Over 95 1.4 54 1.9 30 1.6 11 0.5 6,938 100.0 2,800 100.0 1,829 100.0 2,309 100.0 Total Median $37,550 $52,642 $34,882 $28,529 2016 (Proj.) Under $15,000 1,019 14.1 223 7.3 368 17.7 428 20.6 15,000-24,999 1,112 15.4 337 11.1 326 15.7 449 21.6 25,000-34,999 1,217 16.9 435 14.3 352 16.9 430 20.7 35,000-49,999 1,091 15.1 437 14.3 365 17.5 289 13.9 50,000-74,999 1,370 19.0 753 24.7 338 16.2 279 13.4 75,000-99,999 600 8.3 347 11.4 143 6.9 110 5.3 100,000-149,999 590 8.2 380 12.5 135 6.5 75 3.6 150,000-199,999 111 1.5 73 2.4 25 1.2 13 0.6 200,000 and Over 104 1.4 64 2.1 31 1.5 9 0.4 7,214 100.0 3,049 100.0 2,083 100.0 2,082 100.0 Total Median $38,576 $53,036 Source: Claritas, Inc.: 2011 Senior Life Report and Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. $34,822 $28,768 Trends in Nonagricultural Wage & Salary Employment by Industry Sector Chicago-Naperville-Joliet, IL Metropolitan Division(1) 2001 - July 2011 A3.4 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 3,887,300 3,799,100 3,756,900 3,754,100 3,790,900 3,843,700 3,873,100 3,845,100 3,645,200 3,611,300 3,586,200 3,619,000 Natural Resources, Construction & Mining 181,000 181,700 179,700 175,600 175,400 180,500 176,900 165,700 135,800 121,100 116,600 121,400 Manufacturing 481,600 441,000 412,800 400,800 395,900 389,900 383,700 370,600 326,300 315,400 313,500 319,700 Wholesale Trade 219,700 213,500 208,200 205,300 208,500 211,200 212,100 211,900 197,700 193,400 192,400 198,300 Retail Trade 394,100 385,300 380,600 382,500 383,700 384,600 388,500 383,400 361,600 356,700 352,600 357,200 Transportation & Utilities 192,400 180,100 176,400 178,000 178,600 180,600 181,600 180,900 168,900 167,900 165,700 169,700 Information 107,500 99,500 91,500 87,000 84,800 83,800 83,800 82,800 76,800 73,800 74,000 71,000 Financial Activities 293,100 290,400 294,500 292,000 295,100 298,000 294,600 283,400 267,200 259,400 259,700 257,100 Professional & Business Services 631,100 602,600 588,600 603,300 622,400 645,500 659,600 650,800 599,200 605,600 598,300 609,500 Education & Health Services 444,500 453,400 460,700 468,500 478,700 490,700 504,000 520,300 531,700 544,200 540,400 548,400 Leisure & Hospitality 304,900 305,600 312,000 317,600 322,500 332,200 339,400 341,100 329,700 328,200 324,500 327,900 Other Services 165,600 166,000 172,200 171,900 170,600 171,800 172,800 174,600 171,200 168,500 168,100 167,500 Government 471,800 480,000 479,800 471,700 474,700 475,000 476,100 479,800 479,000 477,200 480,400 471,500 Total Employment (2) (1) (2) First Seven Months 2011 2010 2001 Includes Cook, DeKalb, DuPage, Grundy, Kane, Kendall, McHenry and Will counties in Illinois. Totals may not add due to rounding; YTD July 2011 figures are preliminary. Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Labor Statistics. Housing Units by Year Built and Tenure Berwyn Market Area 2011 A3.5 Berwyn Market Area Housing Units by Year Structure Built Housing Units Built 2000 to present Housing Units Built 1990 to 1999 Housing Units Built 1980 to 1989 Housing Units Built 1970 to 1979 Housing Units Built 1960 to 1969 Housing Units Built 1950 to 1959 Housing Units Built 1940 to 1949 Housing Units Built 1939 or Earlier Total 2011 Est. Median Year Structure Built Total Occupied Housing p g Units Number of Units Percent of Total City of Berwyn PMA Number of Units Percent of Total Remainder of Market Area Number of Units Percent of Total 2,254 5,520 6,202 11,985 15,152 22,904 13,382 32,559 2.0 5.0 5.6 10.9 13.8 20.8 12.2 29.6 144 340 392 771 1,877 3,879 3,017 10,299 0.7 1.6 1.9 3.7 9.1 18.7 14.6 49.7 2,110 5,180 5,810 11,214 13,275 19,025 10,365 22,260 2.4 5.8 6.5 12.6 14.9 21.3 11.6 24.9 109,958 100.0 20,719 100.0 89,239 100.0 ----------------- 1953 ----------------- ----------------- 1949 --------------- ----------------- 1954 ----------------- 101,759 , 92.5 18,039 , 87.1 83,720 , 93.8 Total Owner-Occupied Housing Units By Householders Aged 55 to 64 Years By Householders Aged 65 to 74 Years By Householders Aged 75 Years and Older 67,822 11,159 9,597 10,540 66.6 16.5 14.2 15.5 10,787 1,459 1,332 2,107 59.8 13.5 12.3 19.5 57,035 9,700 8,265 8,433 68.1 17.0 14.5 14.8 Total Renter-Occupied Housing Units By Householders Aged 55 to 64 Years By Householders Aged 65 to 74 Years By Householders Aged 75 Years and Older 33,937 3,046 2,250 3,540 33.4 9.0 6.6 10.4 7,252 577 692 771 40.2 8.0 9.5 10.6 26,685 2,469 1,558 2,769 31.9 9.3 5.8 10.4 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2010 ; Claritas, Inc., 2011 Demographic Comparison Report and Senior Life reports; and Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. Residential Building Permit Trends Berwyn Market Area 1995 - July 2011 A3.6 Berwyn Market Area Single Family Remainder of Market Area City of Berwyn PMA MultiFamily Total Single Family MultiFamily Total Single Family MultiFamily Year Total 1995 149 52 97 4 4 0 145 48 97 1996 193 153 40 15 3 12 178 150 28 1997 156 145 11 6 4 2 150 141 9 1998 136 123 13 10 0 10 126 123 3 1999 265 184 81 75 6 69 190 178 12 2000 149 85 64 48 2 46 101 83 18 2001 323 161 162 7 3 4 316 158 158 2002 399 105 294 2 2 0 397 103 294 2003 229 163 66 2 2 0 227 161 66 2004 228 149 98 24 10 14 204 139 65 2005 234 165 69 22 6 16 212 159 53 2006 288 206 80 24 10 14 264 196 68 2007 162 146 16 13 1 12 149 145 4 2008 51 48 3 0 0 0 51 48 3 2009 114 42 72 1 1 0 113 41 72 2010 154 34 120 0 0 0 154 34 120 16 15 16 15 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 16 14 16 14 0 0 218 317 250 109 154 122 143 173 79 34 96 174 77 30 120 10 4 23 5 0 4 2 9 1 0 6 1 15 4 0 209 313 227 104 154 118 141 165 78 34 90 173 62 26 120 First Seven Months 2010 2011 Averages 2000- 2010 2001 - 2003 2004 - 2006 2007 - 2009 2008 - 2010 Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, C-40 Construction Reports and Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. Composite Summary: Fair Market Apartments Berwyn CMA September 2011 A4.1 Project/Location Map Number Year Built Total Units Unit Type M7 2010 7 1 BR Unit By Type Rent Range Sq. Ft. Range Rent/Sq. Ft. Range $868 590 $1.47 $868 590 $1.47 AGE-QUALIFYING DEVELOPMENTS Countryside Senior 6404 Joliet Road Countryside, IL 60525 708.246.0101 7 Weighted Average Rent/Sq. Ft.: The Briarwood-Independent 7824 West Madison Street Forest Park, IL 60130 708.366.2206 M8 Occupancy: 100% leased. Maintains waiting list. Utilities: Tenants pay electric. Amenities: Central laundry on each floor, community room, off-street parking. Comments: Statistics exclude 63 income-qualifying units. There are 100 parking spaces. 1933 36 Studio/1.0 1 BR/1.0 Weighted Average Rent/Sq. Ft.: Source: Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. 22 14 $573 683 300 450 $1.91 1.52 $616 358 $1.72 Occupancy: 100% occupied. Maintains waiting list. Utilities: Tenants pay electric. Amenities: Emergency call system, community room, off-street parking, business center, planned activities, scheduled transportation, skilled care facility on-site. Comments: None. Appendix A4.1, Page 1 of 6 Project/Location Riverwalk 8019 Ogden Avenue Lyons, IL 60534 708.442.0007 Map Number Year Built Total Units Unit Type M6 2003 12 1 BR/1.0 2 BR/1.0 2 BR/2.0 Unit By Type 3 4 5 Weighted Average Rent/Sq. Ft.: Melrose Commons 1750 Riverwoods Drive Melrose Park, IL 60160 708.343.2265 M11 Sq. Ft. Range Rent/Sq. Ft. Range $866 1,094 1,094 566 792 816 $1.53 1.38 1.34 $1,037 746 $1.39 Occupancy: 75.0%; Three (3) vacant units. Utilities: Tenants pay electric and gas. Amenities: Central laundry facility, community room, planned activities, off-street parking. Comments: Statistics exclude 108 income-qualifying units. 2003 11 1 BR/1.0 2 BR/2.0 6 5 Weighted Average Rent/Sq. Ft.: Source: Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. Rent Range $850 975 722 900 $1.18 1.08 $907 803 $1.13 Occupancy: 100% occupied. Maintains waiting list. Utiliti Utilities: T t pays electric. l ti Tenant Amenities: Laundry facility, fitness center, library, planned activities, business center, scheduled transportation. Comments: Statistics exclude 84 income-qualifying units. Appendix A4.1, Page 2 of 6 Project/Location Map Number Year Built Total Units Unit Type M4 1930 36 1 BR/1.0 2 BR/1.0 Unit By Type Rent Range Sq. Ft. Range Rent/Sq. Ft. Range $675 750 700 825 $0.96 0.91 $713 763 $0.93 $700 600 $1.17 $700 600 $1.17 FAMILY (Non Age-Qualifying) DEVELOPMENTS 2105-2111 Grove Avenue 2105-2111 Grove Avenue Berwyn, IL 60402 847.471.0354 18 18 Weighted Average Rent/Sq. Ft.: 3225 Home Avenue 3225 Home Avenue Berwyn, IL 60402 708.485.4488 M2 Occupancy: 83.3%; Six (6) vacant units. Utilities: Tenants pay electric and cooking gas. Amenities: Central laundry facility, off-street parking. Comments: None. 1959 12 1 BR/1.0 Weighted Average Rent/Sq. Ft.: Source: Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. Occupancy: 100.0% Occupied. Utilities: Tenants pay electric. Amenities: Central laundry facility. Comments: None. 12 Appendix A4.1, Page 3 of 6 Project/Location 3612 Clarence Avenue 3612 Clarence Avenue Berwyn, IL 60402 708.697.5932 Map Number Year Built Total Units Unit Type M3 1950 2 2 BR/1.0 Unit By Type 2 Weighted Average Rent/Sq. Ft.: 6744-6750 21st Street 6744-6750 21st Street Berwyn, IL 60402 847.471.0354 M5 Occupancy: 50.0%; One (1) vacant unit. Utilities: Tenants pay electric. Amenities: Central laundry facility, garage. Comments: None. 1929 13 1 BR/1.0 Weighted Average Rent/Sq. Ft.: Source: Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. Occupancy: 92.3%; One (1) vacant unit. Utiliti Utilities: T t pay electric. l ti Tenants Amenities: None. Comments: None. 13 Rent Range Sq. Ft. Range Rent/Sq. Ft. Range $1,350 900 $1.50 $1,350 900 $1.50 $745 750 $0.99 $745 750 $0.99 Appendix A4.1, Page 4 of 6 Project/Location Green Garden 6701 and 6705 Stanley Avenue Berwyn, IL 60402 708.848.4600 Map Number Year Built Total Units Unit Type M1 1972 24 1 BR/1.0 2 BR/1.0 Unit By Type 16 8 Weighted Average Rent/Sq. Ft.: 528 Des Plaines 528 Des Plaines Avenue Forest Park, IL 60130 708.848.4600 M9 Occupancy: 95.8%; One (1) vacant unit. Utilities: Tenants pay electric and cooking gas. Amenities: Central laundry facility, off-street parking. Comments: None. 1970 15 1 BR/1.0 2 BR/1.0 Weighted Average Rent/Sq. Ft.: Source: Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. Occupancy: 93.3%; One (1) vacant unit. Utiliti Utilities: T t pay electric. l ti Tenants Amenities: Central laundry facility, off-street parking. Comments: None. 13 2 Rent Range Sq. Ft. Range Rent/Sq. Ft. Range $650 750 550 665 $1.18 1.13 $683 588 $1.16 $715 850 565 690 $1.27 1.23 $733 582 $1.26 Appendix A4.1, Page 5 of 6 Project/Location 1970 North 18th Avenue 1970 North 18th Avenue Melrose Park, IL 60160 708.848.4600 Map Number Year Built Total Units Unit Type M10 1965 12 1 BR/1.0 Unit By Type Weighted Average Rent/Sq. Ft.: Source: Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. Occupancy: 91.7%; One (1) vacant unit. Utilities: Tenants pay electric. Amenities: Central laundry facility, off-street parking. Comments: None. 12 Rent Range Sq. Ft. Range Rent/Sq. Ft. Range $650 525 $1.24 $650 525 $1.24 Appendix A4.1, Page 6 of 6 Composite Summary: Affordable (Income-Qualifying) Apartments Berwyn CMA September 2011 A5.1 Project/Location Map Number Year Built Total Units Unit Type A17 1993/1995 84 1 BR/1.0 Units By Type Gross Rent Unit Size (Sq. Ft.) $/Sq. Ft. AGE-QUALIFYING DEVELOPMENTS Prairie View I and II 3500 and 3936 Georgina Lane Bellwood, IL 60104 630.789.8939 708.547.5508 Churchview Manor 2626 West 63rd Street Chicago-Chicago Lawn 773.925.0730 84 Weighted Average: A7 676 $0.92 $620 676 $0.92 $589 730 540 815 $1.09 0.90 $598 558 $1.07 Occupancy: 100%; Maintains waiting list. Utilities: Tenants pay electric and gas. Utility allowance: $95 One bedroom. Amenities: Central laundry, community room, off-street parking. Comments: 60% AMI 1992 60 1 BR/1.0 2 BR/1.0 56 4 Weighted Average: Source: Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. $620 Occupancy: 90.0%; Six (6) vacant units allocated to 60% AMI. Maintains waiting list for units allocated to 30% AMI. Utilities: Tenants pay electric. Utility allowances are not provided. Amenities: Central laundry facility, community room, off-street parking, planned activities, scheduled transportation to grocery markets. Comments: 30/60%AMI Appendix Table A5.1, Page 1 of 7 Project/Location Lawn Terrace 3214 West 63rd Place Chicago-Chicago Lawn 773.925.0815 Map Number Year Built Total Units Unit Type A8 1996 102 Studio/1.0 1 BR/1.0 2 BR/1.0 Units By Type 8 83 11 Weighted Average: Senior Suites at Marquette Village 7430 South Rockwell Avenue Chicago-Chicago Lawn 773.436.0333 A9 A6 400 540 815 $0.63 1.15 0.91 $606 559 $1.08 Utilities: Tenants pay electric. Utility allowances are not provided. Amenities: Central laundry facility, community room, off-street parking, planned activities, scheduled transportation to grocery markets. Comments: 30/50/60% AMI 2008 93 Studio/1.0 1 BR/1.0 10 83 $/Sq. Ft. $253 622 740 94.1%; Six (6) vacant units allocated to 60% AMI. Maintains waiting list for units allocated to 30% and 50% AMI. $680 873 500 600 $1.36 1.46 $852 589 $1.45 Occupancy: 98.9%; One (1) vacancy. Maintains waiting list. Utilities: Included Amenities: Monthly housekeeping, central laundry on each floor, community room, off-street parking, planned activities, scheduled transportation to grocery markets, optional meal plan. Comments: 15/30/50/60% AMI 1995 86 Studio/1.0 1 BR/1.0 7 79 Weighted Average: Source: Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. Unit Size (Sq. Ft.) Occupancy: Weighted Average: Senior Suites of Gage Park 3244 West 59th Street Chicago-Gage Park 773.434.4333 Gross Rent $763 873 475 575 $1.61 1.52 $864 567 $1.52 Occupancy: 98.9%; One (1) vacant unit allocated to 60% AMI. Maintains waiting list for units allocated to 50% AMI. Utilities: Included Amenities: Monthly housekeeping, central laundry on each floor, community room, off-street parking, planned activities, scheduled transportation to grocery markets, optional meal plan. Comments: 50/60% AMI Appendix Table A5.1, Page 2 of 7 Project/Location Senior Suites of Garfield Ridge 5839 South Harlem Avenue Chicago-Garfield Ridge 773.229.1533 Map Number Year Built Total Units Unit Type A4 2005 86 Studio/1.0 1 BR/1.0 Units By Type 7 79 Weighted Average: Senior Suites of New City 4845 South Western Avenue Chicago-New City 773.523.9333 A5 A3 $/Sq. Ft. $763 873 475 575 $1.61 1.52 $864 567 $1.52 100%; Maintains waiting list. Utilities: Included Amenities: Monthly housekeeping, central laundry on each floor, community room, off-street parking, planned activities, scheduled transportation to grocery markets, optional meal plan. Comments: 30/50/60% AMI 2003 110 1 BR/1.0 110 $873 575 $1.52 $873 575 $1.52 Occupancy: 100%; Maintains waiting list. Utilities: Included Amenities: housekeeping central laundry on each floor, floor community room parking Monthly housekeeping, room, off-street off street parking, planned activities, scheduled transportation to grocery markets, optional meal plan. Comments: 30/50/60% AMI 1997 71 1 BR/1.0 1 BR/1.0 Weighted Average: Source: Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. Unit Size (Sq. Ft.) Occupancy: Weighted Average: Drexel Horizon 3443 South 55th Avenue Cicero, IL 60804 708.780.0822 Gross Rent 21 50 $655 670 570 570 $1.15 1.18 $666 570 $1.17 Occupancy: 100% occupied. Maintains waiting list. Utilities: Tenants pay electric and gas. Utility allowances: $63 One bedroom apartment; $73 One bedroom villa. Amenities: Central laundry on each floor, community room, off-street parking, planned activities, library, game room, gazebo with grills. Comments: 50/60% AMI Appendix Table A5.1, Page 3 of 7 Project/Location Countryside Senior 6404 Joliet Road Countryside, IL 60525 708.246.0101 Map Number Year Built Total Units Unit Type A11 2010 63 1 BR/1.0 Units By Type 63 Weighted Average: Elmbrook Senior 7940 West Grand Avenue Elmwood Park, IL 60707 708.583.1235 A19 A2 590 $1.41 $829 590 $1.41 $1,177 1,362 475 595 $2.48 2.29 $1,318 566 $2.33 Utilities: Tenants pay electric. Utility allowance: $79 One bedroom. Amenities: Central laundry on each floor, community room, off-street parking. Comments: Initial occupancy September 27, 2010. 40/50/60% AMI. Statistics exclude seven market rate units. There are 100 parking spaces. 1999 71 Studio/1.0 1 BR/1.0 17 54 $/Sq. Ft. $829 100% leased. Maintains waiting list. Occupancy: 100% Occupied; Maintains waiting list. Utilities: Tenants pay electric. Utility allowances: $25 Studio; $34 One bedroom. Amenities: parking gardening area Central laundry facility facility, community room room, off-street off street parking, area, patios patios, planned activities, on-site social services coordinator, emergency call system, Meals on Wheels program. Comments: Statistics exclude one two-bedroom unit occupied by staff. 1996 50 1 BR/1.0 Weighted Average: Source: Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. Unit Size (Sq. Ft.) Occupancy: Weighted Average: Lyons Grove Senior 8325 Carr Court Lyons, IL 60534 708.442.5810 Gross Rent 50 $630 700 $0.90 $630 700 $0.90 Occupancy: 100% occupied. Maintains waiting list. Utilities: Tenants pay electric and gas. Utility allowance: $95 One bedroom. Amenities: Central laundry facility, community room, planned activities, off-street parking. Comments: 50/60% AMI Appendix Table A5.1, Page 4 of 7 Project/Location Riverwalk 8019 Ogden Avenue Lyons, IL 60534 708.442.0007 Map Number Year Built Total Units Unit Type A1 2003 108 1 BR/1.0 2 BR/1.0 2 BR/2.0 Units By Type 24 64 20 Weighted Average: Garden House of Maywood 515 South Second Avenue Maywood, IL 60153 708.343.4511 A15 A14 566 792 816 $1.42 1.23 1.19 $935 746 $1.25 Utilities: Tenants pay electric and gas. Amenities: Central laundry facility, community room, planned activities, off-street parking. Comments: 40/50/60% AMI Statistics exclude twelve market rate units. 1978 144 1 BR/1.0 144 $945 567 $1.67 $945 567 $1.67 Occupancy: 100% occupied. Maintains waiting list. Utilities: Tenants pay electric. Utility allowance: $35 One bedroom. Amenities: parking Central laundry facility facility, community room room, off-street off street parking. Comments: HUD/HFDA Statistics exclude one two-bedroom unit occupied by staff. There are 48 parking spaces. 1987 72 Studio/1.0 1 BR/1.0 18 54 $/Sq. Ft. $804 973 973 100% occupied. Maintains waiting list. Weighted Average: Source: Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. Unit Size (Sq. Ft.) Occupancy: Weighted Average: Maywood Phoenix 401 Green Street Maywood, IL 60153 708.344.0365 Gross Rent $1,192 1,412 460 580 $2.59 2.43 $1,357 550 $2.47 Occupancy: 100% occupied. Maintains waiting list. Utilities: Tenants pay electric. Utility allowances: $49 Studios, $58 One bedroom. Amenities: Central laundry facility, community room, off-street parking. Comments: HUD/HFDA Statistics exclude one one-bedroom unit occupied by staff. There are 22 parking spaces. Appendix Table A5.1, Page 5 of 7 Project/Location Melrose Commons 1750 Riverwoods Drive Melrose Park, IL 60160 708.343.2265 Map Number Year Built Total Units Unit Type A18 2003 84 1 BR/1.0 1 BR/1.0 1 BR/1.0 1 BR/1.0 2 BR/2.0 2 BR/2.0 Units By Type 21 21 11 11 10 10 Weighted Average: Mills Park 1025 Pleasant Place Oak Park, IL 60302 708.386.7536 A13 A12 $/Sq. Ft. $775 775 775 775 930 930 650 698 713 722 893 900 $1.19 1.11 1.09 1.07 1.04 1.03 $812 738 $1.10 100% occupied. Maintains waiting list. Utilities: Tenant pays electric. Utility allowance: $35 One bedroom, $48 Two Bedroom. Amenities: Laundry facility, fitness center, library, planned activities, business center, scheduled transportation. Comments: 50/60% AMI Statistics exclude eleven market rate units. 1975 198 1 BR/1.0 198 $1,035 650 $1.59 $1,035 650 $1.59 $832 1,035 523 650 $1.59 1.59 $1,005 631 $1.59 Occupancy: p y 100% occupied. Maintains waiting p g list. Utilities: Tenants pay electric. Utility allowance: $87 One bedroom. Amenities: Central laundry facility, library, on-site home health care, off-street parking. Comments: None 1980 74 Studio/1.0 1 BR/1.0 Weighted Average: Source: Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. Unit Size (Sq. Ft.) Occupancy: Weighted Average: The Oaks 114 South Humphrey Oak Park, IL 60302 708.386.5812 Gross Rent 11 63 Occupancy: 100% occupied. Maintains waiting list. Utilities: Tenants pay electric. Utility allowance: $73 Studio; $87 One bedroom. Amenities: Central laundry facility, fitness center, business center, on-site home health care, off-street parking. Comments: None Appendix Table A5.1, Page 6 of 7 Project/Location Map Number Year Built Total Units Unit Type A10 1971 263 1 BR/1.0 2 BR/1.0 3 BR/2.0 Units By Type Gross Rent Unit Size (Sq. Ft.) $/Sq. Ft. $755 905 1,050 611 848 1,034 $1.24 1.07 1.02 $903 828 $1.09 FAMILY INCOME-QUALIFYING DEVELOPMENTS Oaks of Willow Hill 8711 South 87th Terrace Justice, IL 60458 708.848.4600 99 66 98 Weighted Average: Goodell Place 617 South 16th Avenue Maywood, IL 60153 708.344.6525 A16 Occupancy: 96.2%; Ten (10) vacant units. Utilities: Tenants pay electric. Utility allowances: $27 One bedroom; $34 Two bedroom; $52 Three bedroom. Amenities: Central laundry facility, off-street parking, swimming pool, clubhouse. Comments: Formerly marketed as Candelwood Apartments. 60% AMI 2001 22 1 BR/1.0 2 BR/1.0 3 19 Weighted Average: Heritage House 10317 West Palmer Street Melrose Park, IL 60164 847.455.3020 A20 560 700 $0.84 1.07 $712 681 $1.05 Occupancy: 100% occupied. Maintains waiting list. Utiliti Utilities: T t pay electric l t i and d gas. Utility Utilit allowances: ll $84 O d $99 T d Tenants One b bedroom; Two b bedroom. Amenities: Central laundry facility. Comments: 40/50/60% 1972 143 Studio/1.0 Studio/1.0 1 BR/1.0 Weighted Average: Source: Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. $473 750 48 6 89 $508 577 649 320 368 700 $1.59 1.57 0.93 $599 559 $1.07 Occupancy: 100% occupied. Maintains waiting list. Utilities: Tenants pay electric. Utility allowances: $72 Studio; $94 Two bedroom. Amenities: Central laundry facility. Comments: 60% AMI Statistics exclude one one-bedroom unit used as on-site leasing/management office. Appendix Table A5.1, Page 7 of 7 A5.2 Assessment Summary: Income-Qualifying Apartments Berwyn CMA September 2011 Project: Location: Telephone: Map Number: Tenant Base: Bedroom Types: Affordable Housing Program: Total Number of Units: Low Income Units: Development Condition: Overall Occupancy: Tenant Demographics: Project: Location: Telephone: Map Number: Tenant Base: Bedroom Types: Affordable Housing Program: Total Number of Units: Low Income Units: Development Condition: Overall Occupancy: Tenant Demographics: Project: Location: Telephone: Map Number: Tenant Base: Bedroom Types: Affordable Housing Program: Total Number of Units: Low Income Units: Development Condition: Overall Occupancy: Tenant Demographics: Source: Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. Prairie View I and II 3500 and 3936 Georgina Lane Bellwood 60104 630.789.8939 A17 Elderly 1 TC 84 84 Good 100.0% 60% of median Churchview Manor 2626 West 63rd Street Chicago-Chicago Lawn 60629 773.925.0730 A7 Elderly 1,2 HTF/TC 60 60 Good 90.0% 30/60% of median Lawn Terrace 3214 West 63rd Place Chicago-Chicago Lawn 60629 773.925.0815 A8 Elderly 0,1,2 HTF 102 102 Good 94.1% 30/50/60% of median Appendix A5.2, Page 1 of 7 A5.2 Assessment Summary: Income-Qualifying Apartments Berwyn CMA September 2011 Project: Location: Telephone: Map Number: Tenant Base: Bedroom Types: Affordable Housing Program: Total Number of Units: Low Income Units: Development Condition: Overall Occupancy: Tenant Demographics: Project: Location: Telephone: Map Number: Tenant Base: Bedroom Types: Affordable Housing Program: Total Number of Units: Low Income Units: Development Condition: Overall Occupancy: Tenant Demographics: Project: Location: Telephone: Map Number: Tenant Base: Bedroom Types: Affordable Housing Program: Total Number of Units: Low Income Units: Development Condition: Overall Occupancy: Tenant Demographics: Source: Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. Senior Suites at Marquette Village 7430 South Rockwell Avenue Chicago-Chicago Lawn 60629 773.436.0333 A9 Elderly Studio,1 HTF 93 93 Excellent 98.9% 15/30/50/60% of median Senior Suites of Gage Park 3244 West 59th Street Chicago-Gage Park 60629 773.434.4333 A6 Elderly Studio,1 HUD/Section 8 86 86 Excellent 98.9% 50/60% of median Senior Suites of Garfield Ridge 5839 South Harlem Avenue Chicago-Garfield Ridge 60638 773.229.1533 A4 Elderly Studio, 1 HUD/Section 8 86 86 Excellent 100.0% 30/50/60% of median Appendix A5.2, Page 2 of 7 A5.2 Assessment Summary: Income-Qualifying Apartments Berwyn CMA September 2011 Project: Location: Telephone: Map Number: Tenant Base: Bedroom Types: Affordable Housing Program: Total Number of Units: Low Income Units: Development Condition: Overall Occupancy: Tenant Demographics: Project: Location: Telephone: Map Number: Tenant Base: Bedroom Types: Affordable Housing Program: Total Number of Units: Low Income Units: Development Condition: Overall Occupancy: Tenant Demographics: Project: Location: Telephone: Map Number: Tenant Base: Bedroom Types: Affordable Housing Program: Total Number of Units: Low Income Units: Development Condition: Overall Occupancy: Tenant Demographics: Source: Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. Senior Suites of New City 4845 South Western Avenue Chicago-New City 60609 773.523.9333 A5 Elderly 1 HUD/Section 8 110 110 Excellent 100.0% 30/50/60% of median Drexel Horizon 3443 South 55th Avenue Cicero, IL 60804 708.780.0822 A3 Elderly 1 HTF/TC 71 71 Good 100.0% 50/60% of median Countryside Senior 6404 Joliet Road Countryside, IL 60525 708.246.0101 A11 Elderly 1 SHTC/TC 70 63 Excellent 100.0% 40/50/60/100% of median Appendix A5.2, Page 3 of 7 A5.2 Assessment Summary: Income-Qualifying Apartments Berwyn CMA September 2011 Project: Location: Telephone: Map Number: Tenant Base: Bedroom Types: Affordable Housing Program: Total Number of Units: Low Income Units: Development Condition: Overall Occupancy: Tenant Demographics: Project: Location: Telephone: Map Number: Tenant Base: Bedroom Types: Affordable Housing Program: Total Number of Units: Low Income Units: Development Condition: Overall Occupancy: Tenant Demographics: Project: Location: Telephone: Map Number: Tenant Base: Bedroom Types: Affordable Housing Program: Total Number of Units: Low Income Units: Development Condition: Overall Occupancy: Tenant Demographics: Source: Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. Elmbrook Senior 7940 West Grand Avenue Elmwood Park, IL 60707 708.583.1235 A19 Elderly Studio,1 HUD/Section 8 72 71 Adequate 100.0% Up to 50% of median Lyons Grove Senior 8325 Carr Court Lyons, IL 60534 708.442.5810 A2 Elderly 1 HTF/TC 50 50 Good 100.0% 50/60% of median Riverwalk 8019 Ogden Avenue Lyons, IL 60534 708.442.0007 A1 Elderly 1,2 TC 120 108 Good 97.5% 40/50/60/100% of median Appendix A5.2, Page 4 of 7 A5.2 Assessment Summary: Income-Qualifying Apartments Berwyn CMA September 2011 Project: Location: Telephone: Map Number: Tenant Base: Bedroom Types: Affordable Housing Program: Total Number of Units: Low Income Units: Development Condition: Overall Occupancy: Tenant Demographics: Project: Location: Telephone: Map Number: Tenant Base: Bedroom Types: Affordable Housing Program: Total Number of Units: Low Income Units: Development Condition: Overall Occupancy: Tenant Demographics: Project: Location: Telephone: Map Number: Tenant Base: Bedroom Types: Affordable Housing Program: Total Number of Units: Low Income Units: Development Condition: Overall Occupancy: Tenant Demographics: Source: Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. Garden House of Maywood 515 South Second Avenue Maywood, IL 60153 708.343.4511 A15 Elderly 1 CDT/HUD/HFDA 144 143 Adequate 100.0% Up to 30% of median Maywood Phoenix 401 Green Street Maywood, IL 60153 708.344.0365 A14 Elderly Studio,1 HUD Section 202 73 72 Adequate 100.0% Up to 50% of median Melrose Commons 1750 Riverwoods Drive Melrose Park, IL 60160 708.343.2265 A18 Elderly 1,2 HTF/TC 96 84 Excellent 100.0% 50/60% of median Appendix A5.2, Page 5 of 7 A5.2 Assessment Summary: Income-Qualifying Apartments Berwyn CMA September 2011 Project: Location: Telephone: Map Number: Tenant Base: Bedroom Types: Affordable Housing Program: Total Number of Units: Low Income Units: Development Condition: Overall Occupancy: Tenant Demographics: Project: Location: Telephone: Map Number: Tenant Base: Bedroom Types: Affordable Housing Program: Total Number of Units: Low Income Units: Development Condition: Overall Occupancy: Tenant Demographics: Project: Location: Telephone: Map Number: Tenant Base: Bedroom Types: Affordable Housing Program: Total Number of Units: Low Income Units: Development Condition: Overall Occupancy: Tenant Demographics: Source: Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. Mills Park 1025 Pleasant Place Oak Park, IL 60302 708.386.7536 A13 Elderly 1 HUD 198 198 Adequate 100.0% Up to 60% of median The Oaks 114 South Humphrey Oak Park, IL 60302 708.386.5812 A12 Elderly Studio,1 HUD 74 74 Adequate 100.0% Up to 60% of median Oaks of Willow Hill 8711 South 87th Terrace Justice, IL 60458 708.848.4600 A10 Family 1,2,3 TE 263 263 Good 96.2% 60% of median Appendix A5.2, Page 6 of 7 A5.2 Assessment Summary: Income-Qualifying Apartments Berwyn CMA September 2011 Project: Location: Telephone: Map Number: Tenant Base: Bedroom Types: Affordable Housing Program: Total Number of Units: Low Income Units: Development Condition: Overall Occupancy: Tenant Demographics: Project: Location: Telephone: Map Number: Tenant Base: Bedroom Types: Affordable Housing Program: Total Number of Units: Low Income Units: Development Condition: Overall Occupancy: Tenant Demographics: Source: Tracy Cross & Associates, Inc. Goodell Place 617 South 16th Avenue Maywood, IL 60153 708.344.6525 A16 Family 1,2 LIHTC 22 22 Good 100.0% 40/50/60% of median Heritage House 10317 West Palmer Street Melrose Park, IL 60164 847.455.3020 A20 Family 1,2 HTF/TC 144 144 Adequate 100.0% 60% of median Appendix A5.2, Page 7 of 7