Digital competition: Firms will be forced to innovate to keep up with changing technology IBISWorld Industry Report J5412 Magazine and Directory Publishing in Australia July 2013 Alen Allday 2 About this Industry 18 Competitive Landscape 31 Key Statistics 2 Industry Definition 18 Market Share Concentration 31 Industry Data 2 Main Activities 18 Key Success Factors 31 Annual Change 2 Similar Industries 18 Cost Structure Benchmarks 31 Key Ratios 2 Additional Resources 20 Basis of Competition 20 Barriers to Entry 3 Industry at a Glance 21 Industry Globalisation 4 Industry Performance 22 Major Companies 4 Executive Summary 22 Telstra Corporation Limited 4 Key External Drivers 23 Bauer Media Limited 5 Current Performance 24 Seven West Media Limited 7 Industry Outlook 25 Fairfax Media Limited 9 Industry Life Cycle 26 News Australia Holdings Pty Limited 11 Products & Markets 28 Operating Conditions 11 Supply Chain 28 Capital Intensity 11 Products & Services 29 Technology & Systems 12 Demand Determinants 29 Revenue Volatility 13 Major Markets 30 Regulation & Policy 15 International Trade 30 Industry Assistance 32 Jargon & Glossary 16 Business Locations www.ibisworld.com.au | (03) 9655 3881 | info@ibisworld.com Magazine and Directory Publishing in AustraliaJuly 2013 2 WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU About this Industry Industry Definition This industry includes companies engaged in publishing directories and mailing lists, or magazines or periodicals issued less frequently than weekly. Magazine and periodical companies are included if their main source of income is the sale of Main Activities The primary activities of this industry are advertising space in their own publications. The industry excludes magazines and other publications that only have an online presence, but includes online revenue from companies that print actual magazines and publish on-line. Periodical publishing (except internet-only companies and publications) Magazine publishing (except internet-only companies and publications) Directories (except internet-only companies and publications) Telephone directories (except internet-only companies and publications) Mailing list directories (except internet-only companies and publications) The major products and services in this industry are Mailing lists Other directories Other magazines and periodicals Telephone directories Women’s magazines Similar Industries C1611 Printing in Australia Companies in this industry print a range of materials except for newspapers. J5411 Newspaper Publishing in Australia Firms in this industry are primarily focused on printing and publishing newspapers. J5413 Book Publishing in Australia Businesses in this industry publish books, prints, maps, sheet music and telephone directories. J5700 Internet Publishing and Broadcasting in Australia Publishing magazines, other periodicals and directories exclusively on the internet are included in this industry. Additional Resources For additional information on this industry www.abs.gov.au Australian Bureau of Statistics www.magazines.org.au Magazine Publishers of Australia www.pneb.com.au Publishers National Environment Bureau www.publishersbureau.com.au Publishers’ Advertising Advisory Bureau Magazine and Directory Publishing in AustraliaJuly 2013 3 WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU Industry at a Glance Magazine and Directory Publishing in 2013-14 Key Statistics Snapshot Revenue Annual Growth 09-14 Annual Growth 14-19 Profit Exports Businesses $3.1bn -6.5% -1.6% $492.6m $50.8m 1,201 Consumer sentiment index Revenue vs. employment growth Telstra Corporation Limited 29.4% % change Bauer Media Limited 22.2% News Australia Holdings Pty Limited 2.8% 8 130 4 120 0 110 Index Market Share −4 100 −8 90 −12 −16 Year 06 08 10 12 Revenue 14 16 18 80 Year 05 20 07 09 11 13 15 17 19 Employment SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU p. 22 Establishments 4.3% Key External Drivers Consumer sentiment index 5.9% SA 1.3% 0.6% ACT 0.5% WA Internet connections Real household disposable income TAS NT 41.9% 20.3% Demand from newspaper and book retailing NSW QLD Total time available for leisure and recreation Demand from book and magazine wholesaling 25.2% VIC p. 4 SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU Industry Structure Life Cycle Stage Revenue Volatility Decline Medium Regulation Level Medium Technology Change Medium Capital Intensity Low Barriers to Entry Industry Assistance Low Industry Globalisation Concentration Level Medium FOR ADDITIONAL STATISTICS AND TIME SERIES SEE THE APPENDIX ON PAGE 31 Competition Level High Medium High Magazine and Directory Publishing in AustraliaJuly 2013 4 WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU Industry Performance Executive Summary | Key External Drivers | Current Performance Industry Outlook | Life Cycle Stage Executive Summary Magazines entertain and inform consumers on particular areas of interest, periodicals inform and educate readers about specific topics and provide details about related developments, and directories and mailing lists help people to find other people, organisations and places. Magazines can also provide a medium for readers’ aspirations, which can also make them an attractive medium for advertisers. Most directories tend to rely on advertising for income, while mailing lists are mainly sold to businesses for their own advertising campaigns. Therefore, the main final markets for publishers are households and businesses. The Magazine and Directory Publishing industry is expected to generate revenue of $3.1 billion in 2013-14, down 4.7% for the year. Industry revenue is expected to decrease by an annualised 6.5% in the five years through 2013-14 due to increased competition from internet sources and lower revenue streams from online publications. Industry revenue is expected to contract due to a weaker advertising market and a drift away by readers and advertisers from printed media to online media, which the industry is having difficulties taking advantage of. Industry profit margins have come under pressure due to the slump in revenue over the past five years. The industry has responded by introducing online content that complements existing printed publications and by deepening their involvement in specific markets. However, this has added another layer of costs. Online profit margins tend to be lower compared with print margins. While this trend is expected to continue in future years, publishers are unlikely to develop robust strategies to take advantage of increased online activity. Industry revenue is forecast to decrease by an annualised 1.6% in the five years through 2018-19 to $2.8 billion, including a 2.3% decline in 2014-15. Slight improvements in economic conditions and advertising markets in Australia over much of the next five years will benefit the industry. Industry performance will continue to be hampered by intense competition from digital and competing media. Nevertheless, the internet and digital devices offer publishers opportunities to retain and grow their combined print and online readership, provide value added content through complementary content, podcasts, blogs and analysis tools, and further stratify their markets, all of which could improve selling propositions to both readers and advertisers. Key External Drivers Consumer sentiment index Consumer sentiment influences retail sales and, in turn, spending by retailers and other businesses on advertising. In addition, consumer sentiment is a factor determining the amount spent by consumers on magazines, which affects demand for advertising in magazines. Consumer sentiment is expected to improve in 2013-14, which will provide an opportunity for the industry to limit expected revenue declines. directories, but also provides opportunities for publishers to build an on-line presence. However, growth in the popularity of the internet and the range of products and services sold on the internet is negatively impacting the industry overall, and is a threat to revenue levels for publishers. IBISWorld forecasts that the number of internet connections in Australia will increase in 2013-14. Internet connections The internet is offering products that compete with printed magazines and Real household disposable income The level and rate of growth in household incomes influence the amount spent on magazines and magazine circulation, in turn affecting demand for advertising in Magazine and Directory Publishing in AustraliaJuly 2013 5 WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU Industry Performance Key External Drivers continued magazines. With expected growth in household income in 2013-14, this may help to limit expected industry revenue falls for the year. Demand from newspaper and book retailing The availability of cost-effective distribution channels, such as newsagents and supermarkets, can increase exposure of, and demand for, printed magazines and directories. Printed magazines are particularly reliant on copy sales through retailers. However, demand from newspaper and book retailers is expected to decline in 2013-14. Total time available for leisure and recreation Leisure and creation is highly correlated to the amount of reading that the general population engages in. The more time that people have to devote to leisure and recreation, the more time that people can devote to reading magazines and browse through a range of directories. Leisure time in Australia is expected to only increase slightly in 2013-14, benefitting the industry. Demand from book and magazine wholesaling The availability of cost-effective distribution channels, including wholesalers, newsagents, supermarkets and bookstores, can increase magazine exposure and demand, as well as increase the level of sales for magazine and directory publishers through ease of purchase. However, demand from magazine wholesalers is expected to decline in 2013-14 due to a weaker market. Real household disposable income 130 10 120 8 110 6 % change Index Consumer sentiment index 100 90 80 Year 05 4 2 07 09 11 13 15 17 19 0 Year 08 10 12 14 16 18 20 SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU Current Performance The Magazine and Directory Publishing industry is on a downward trend, with revenue estimated to decrease by an annualised 6.5% in the five years through 2013-14 to $3.1 billion. Revenue has declined in every year over the five-year period and is expected to drop by 4.7% in 2013-14. Migration of customers to substitute products and services offered via the internet will be the biggest factor driving down industry revenue. Industry profitability has declined over the past five years, from 19.8% of industry revenue in 2008-09 to an estimated 16.1% in 2013-14, largely due to a drop in revenue and competitive pressures on selling prices. Because of these conditions, the number of firms operating in the industry has declined, while employee numbers have also fallen. Magazine and Directory Publishing in AustraliaJuly 2013 6 WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU Industry Performance Magazines and periodicals Directories and mailing lists Revenue generated by the magazine and periodical segment is expected to decrease by 4.5% per annum in the five years through 2013-14. Segment profit margins are expected to come under pressure due to a slump in advertising revenue and a decrease in circulations. This will be partly offset by the influence of efficiency and productivity gains. The magazine publishing segment has consolidated. Major players in Australia have acquired businesses and formed magazine joint ventures to shore up their positions in niche markets. Magazines and other periodicals have an influence over their audience and can inspire changes in society, technology, systems and the economy. Consumer magazines can influence societal and political trends and consumer buying behaviour. Professional and academic periodicals can facilitate lifelong learning and promote innovation in particular sectors of the economy. They also help people and organisations to keep up with changes occurring in technology and regulation, and with social, government and business trends and conditions. However, many professional and academic periodicals have migrated from print to the internet. The ability of magazines and other periodicals to inform readers about niche areas of interest on a regular basis, through both print and online formats, has helped the industry to grow. However, printed magazines and periodicals face mounting competition for both readers and advertisers from other media streams, such as TV, online content, competing websites and blogs. Advertising accounts for about 40% of magazine and periodical revenue, although the contribution made by advertising to revenue varies by magazine and periodical title. For some consumer magazines, advertising accounts for up to 100% of revenue. Advertising in all media including magazines has been negatively affected by weak levels of household discretionary spending in Australia because of inflation in some major expenditure items, such as utilities, and an increase in household savings. In addition, bricks-and-mortar retailers, which form a major part of the Australian advertising market, are also suffering due to growth in online retail sales. As a result, some retailers have cut back on advertising. Revenue generated by the directories and mailing lists segment will decrease by 9.6% per annum in the five years through 2013-14. Sluggish retail spending conditions have had adverse effects on the demand for advertising in general, including in directories. Directories generate a significant percentage of their advertising revenue from small businesses, and many small businesses have struggled over the five years through 2013-14. Directory users and advertisers have migrated away from printed directory products to solely online products, which has been particularly evident since 2010-11. While this trend has promoted digital directory revenue, it has adversely affected demand for higher yielding printed directories, leading to lower revenue and profit. While the online advertising market is growing strongly, directories are rapidly losing market share to company websites, online search engines such as Bing, Google and Yahoo and online social and business networking platforms such as Facebook and LinkedIn. It is free to list a business on Google and it is free for individuals to list on Facebook and LinkedIn. According to data published by the Interactive Publishing Bureau of Australia in August 2012, expenditure on Weak household discretionary spending has negatively affected advertising Magazine and Directory Publishing in AustraliaJuly 2013 7 WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU Industry Performance Directories and mailing lists continued search and directories in 2011-12, which accounted for 52.3% of total online advertising expenditure, increased by 30% year on year. At the same time, Sensis directory revenue declined by 15.5%, with a large drop in print revenue partially offset by an increase in online directory revenue. Weak levels of advertising spending Industry Outlook Revenue within the Magazine and Directory Publishing industry is forecast to decrease an annualised 1.6% in the five years through 2018-19 to $2.8 billion, including a forecast 2.3% decrease in 2014-15. Customers will drift from print to lower margin digital products, which will also negatively affect industry profitability. In addition, the industry will face increasing competition from digitally focused operators. The resulting drop in industry activity will lead to decreases in the number of industry enterprises and employees. Operators in the industry tend to be highly reliant on conditions in the advertising market. The level of economy-wide advertising expenditure in Australia is sensitive to economic activity. Growth in the Australian economy for the next five years is expected to be slightly higher than the five years through 2013-14, although economic conditions are expected to be weak in 2017-18, which will negatively affect the industry. Online advertising is accounting for a rising share of media advertising budgets. More advertisers are finding and reaching target audiences and niche markets through digital devices such as tablet computers and smartphones, enabled by online social and business networks, such as Facebook and LinkedIn, video-sharing websites and internet-based marketplaces. Nevertheless, digital devices and online solutions offer publishers the opportunity to retain and grow their print and online readership, provide value added content, such as complementary content, and further stratify their markets, all of which could improve selling propositions to both readers and advertisers. The internet also offers publishers a low-cost distribution platform and the opportunity to provide additional value to readers and users. Business models should seek to ensure that growth in profit from internet offerings is not overwhelmed by any reduction in profit earned by the print franchise. The magazine publishing segment aims to entertain, inspire and inform its readers, and attempts to gain a loyal following to develop long-term sales trends. The extent to which the industry fulfils these aims greatly influences the readership and advertising activity for magazines and periodicals, and ability of publishers to retain readers. Large companies are often better able to fund diversification within markets and across distribution platforms, which can provide Magazine and periodical publishing have hampered demand for mailing lists. Some large companies have reduced direct marketing and increased online advertising, such as keyword searches and banner advertising. In addition, the Privacy Act, the Do Not Call Register Act 2006 and the Spam Act 2003 have hampered growth in direct marketing. Industry revenue 8 % change 4 0 −4 −8 −12 −16 Year 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 20 SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU Magazine and Directory Publishing in AustraliaJuly 2013 8 WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU Industry Performance Magazine and periodical publishing continued stronger selling propositions. Consolidation within media industries may make it difficult for some small niche publishers to compete for retail shelf space and advertising dollars. Segment revenue is forecast to decrease in the five years through 2018-19. In an environment of weak revenue growth, industry players are likely to concentrate on expanding their markets, closely examining the performance of titles and reducing their costs. Non-performing titles will be either revamped or quickly closed. Players will seek to minimise risks associated with the launch of new titles by licensing successful foreign titles or pursuing joint ventures with other players. IBISWorld expects clearly focused magazine operators serving specific and complementary market segments to gain an increasing share of advertising revenue. Up-market and aspirational magazines will do comparatively well. However, new titles will need to be specific and attractive to a niche audience to compete effectively with established titles. Directories Printed directories will continue to face strong competition from online substitutes over the next five years. Advertisers will migrate from higher yielding printed directories to lower yielding online directories and online search products. The demand for printed street directories has been negatively affected by free online products and by the availability of satellite navigation products. Until recently, small businesses have been slow to respond to the uptake of digital technology by their customers, but this is changing as businesses realise the increasing marketing benefits of an online presence and strategy. Sensis, the largest operator in the printed directory market, aims to grow customer numbers in the long term by selling a wider range of products in the online space. Sensis is facing increasing competition from online search operators such as Google and Yahoo, and companies that operate solely online. In the short to medium term, Sensis customer numbers are expected to fall as some businesses drop their print advertising without taking up Sensis online products. Sensis revenue has fallen significantly in recent years, with further falls expected as the migration to digital intensifies. Despite challenges across the segment, some directory businesses are building their online offerings, which can be offered to advertisers at a lower cost. As a result, print yields will fall while digital yields will increase over time. Online directory publishers are also improving the currency of information, such as through real-time updating, and providing additional value added services, such as offering navigation services, consumer targeting, social media feeds, smartphone feeds and performance reporting. Magazine and Directory Publishing in AustraliaJuly 2013 9 WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU Industry Performance Life Cycle Stage Many periodical, magazine and directory markets are at saturation level Industry revenue and value added continue to decline The industry is facing considerable competition from external online substitutes % Growth in share of economy There is some consolidation occurring among industry players 20 Maturity Quality Growth Company consolidation; level of economic importance stable High growth in economic importance; weaker companies close down; developed technology and markets 15 Key Features of a Decline Industry Revenue grows slower than economy Falling company numbers; large firms dominate Little technology & process change Declining per capita consumption of good Stable & clearly segmented products & brands 10 Quantity Growth Many new companies; minor growth in economic importance; substantial technology change 5 0 Supermarkets and Grocery Stores Convenience Stores Pulp, Paper and Paperboard Manufacturing -5 Printing Decline Shrinking economic importance Magazine and Directory Publishing Newspaper Publishing -10 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 % Growth in number of establishments SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU Magazine and Directory Publishing in AustraliaJuly 2013 10 WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU Industry Performance Industry Life Cycle This industry is D eclining The industry is considered to be in the decline phase of its life cycle due to large revenue, value added and profit falls in recent years. Industry value added (IVA) is expected to decrease by 4.7% per annum in the 10 years through 2018-19, while the Australian economy (GDP) is expected to grow at an annualised 2.5%. This means that the industry’s contribution to the Australian economy continues to decrease. The numbers of firms and employees in the industry are falling. There have been several mergers and acquisitions in the industry over recent years, and this trend is expected to continue in the five years through 2018-19. There is also extensive market saturation in key product segments. Australia has a large number of consumer magazine titles and has the highest per capita magazine readership in the world. Furthermore, Australia is well served by printed and online directories. The per capita circulation of major older consumer magazine titles have declined over the long term, particularly in the women’s segment, such as Australian Women’s Weekly and Woman’s Day. Revenue of digital magazines and periodicals is increasing, but often at the expense of higher-margin print periodicals. In addition, competing online advertising sites, information sites such as Wikipedia and social sites such as Facebook and Twitter, will adversely affect growth in some printed periodical markets. The printed directory market is coming under attack from online directories and search engines, which are negatively affecting the industry. WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU Magazine and Directory Publishing in Australia July 2013 11 Products & Markets Supply Chain | Products & Services | Demand Determinants Major Markets | International Trade | Business Locations Supply Chain KEY BUYING INDUSTRIES G4111 Supermarkets and Grocery Stores in Australia Supermarkets and grocery stores are major distribution channels for consumer magazines. G4112 Convenience Stores in Australia Convenience stores, including those located at petrol station outlets, represent a major distribution channel for consumer magazines. G4244 Newspaper and Book Retailing in Australia Newspaper, book and stationery retailers represent a major distribution channel for consumer magazines and some directories. M6942 Media Buying Agencies in Australia Media buying agencies are a major purchaser of advertising space in magazines and directories. KEY SELLING INDUSTRIES Products & Services C1510 Pulp, Paper and Paperboard Manufacturing in Australia Paper is a major input in the production of printed magazines and periodicals and directories. C1916 Paint and Coatings Manufacturing in Australia Paint and coatings manufacturers sell raw materials to this industry. F3735 Book and Magazine Wholesaling in Australia Magazine and periodical wholesalers represent a distribution platform for publishers. F3736 Paper Product Wholesaling in Australia Paper is a major input in the production of printed magazines and periodicals and directories. The main products supplied by the industry are telephone directories, women’s magazines, other magazines and periodicals, mailing lists, and other directories. Telephone directories Telephone directories are estimated to account for 34.0% of industry revenue in 2013-14, down from 40.0% in 2008-09, and with further falls expected in the five years through 2018-19. Internet search engines are negatively affecting demand for printed directories, and associated advertising in these publications. In addition, websites, email and social and business networking sites offer alternative ways to locate and connect with people and businesses. Sensis dominates this product segment, and will continue to account for a high proportion of revenue in future years despite anticipated large falls in company revenue. Women’s magazines Women’s magazines are the main product segment for magazines and periodicals, accounting for an estimated 34.0% of industry revenue in 2013-14. These publications aim to entertain and inform, and they can be segmented by content type and their method of dissemination, such as print or online. In terms of circulation, the major product categories are women’s weeklies, fashion, food and special interest magazines. Despite its size, the women’s magazine category has suffered a long-term decline in circulation. There has been an evolving change in women’s interests away from family-type issues towards coverage of celebrities and personal growth topics, such as professional, finance and health issues. In addition, weakness in discretionary spending has affected sales of women’s magazines over the past few years. Other magazines and periodicals Within the other magazine and periodicals segment, these are estimated to be divided evenly between men’s magazines and other magazines, such as science, professional, finance, WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU Magazine and Directory Publishing in Australia July 2013 12 Products & Markets Products & Services continued architecture, business, children’s and general interest, with large changes in popular topics from year to year. This segment is estimated to account for 29.0% of industry revenue in 2013-14. platforms to connect with people and businesses, as well as by the growing availability of data obtained via the internet. Privacy legislation has restricted the gathering and use of information. Mailing lists Mailing lists, which are estimated to account for 3.0% of industry revenue in 2013-14, are mainly produced to assist businesses with their direct marketing campaigns. The segment has been negatively affected by the growing use of the internet and online networking Other directories Other directories include business directories, street directories and event directories. This segment is estimated to account for just 3.0% of industry revenue in 2013-14, with the majority of this received from circulation sales, rather than advertising. Products and services segmentation (2013-14) 3% Mailing lists 3% Other directories 29% Other magazines and periodicals 34% Telephone directories 31% Women's magazines Total $3.1bn Demand Determinants Various factors influence demand for magazines, periodicals and directories. Magazines and periodicals The factors that determine demand for magazines and periodicals vary by revenue source, such as copy sales, subscriptions and advertising sales, and by product segment. Broadly, periodical subscriber and sales numbers are affected by the perceived value and cost of entertainment and the information offered by periodicals, relative to that offered by other media. Advertisers compare various media, which includes periodicals, to determine the best way to reach and affect their targeted audiences at an acceptable cost. SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU An ability to reach and target niche markets is one of the strengths of magazines and periodicals, compared with mass media products, such as daily newspapers. Nevertheless, the internet, direct mail, TV and smartphones can also reach specific target markets. The internet, for example, can reduce both printed periodical circulation volumes and advertising revenue. Periodical publishers are responding by deepening their involvement in specific markets, such as food and fashion, and by releasing digital versions of publications and complimentary websites. Economic conditions can affect both sales of magazines and periodicals and advertising space in periodicals. WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU Magazine and Directory Publishing in Australia July 2013 13 Products & Markets Demand Determinants continued Major Markets Household expenditure on magazines is greater among higher income earners. Advertising spending in Australia, whether in magazines and periodicals or in other media, is very sensitive to economic conditions. Government or political information dissemination programs can also affect economy-wide advertising spending. Economic, demographic and societal changes can affect demand for media products, including periodicals. For example, shifts in the Australian economy away from manufacturing, and changes in the level of participation in post-school education, can affect demand for specific types of technical and professional periodicals. Younger people are relatively heavy users of the internet. Advertisers often focus on age groups that are higher spenders, and will be attracted by media that best reaches these markets. Household activities and interests can change over time, resulting in a change in the type of entertainment and information sought. For example, households have recently shown a greater interest in home cooking as a result of an interest in a wider range of foods, higher costs of eating out, health and environmental concerns about packaged foods, and the release of food-related television series, such as MasterChef and My Kitchen Rules. The availability of cost-effective distribution channels, such as newsagents and supermarkets, can increase exposure and magazine demand. Magazine supplements are also now regularly included in newspapers. Links with other complimentary media, including TV, the internet and smartphones, can also promote demand. For example, magazines have been spun-off from popular TV programs. The major markets in the industry are media buyers and other companies that advertise their products and services; wholesalers that resell magazines and other industry products to retailers; and other sectors. businesses of other information in an attempt to maintain or increase sales. Also included in this market segment are companies listing themselves in directories, such as the Yellow Pages. Directories generate almost all of their revenue from advertising. Practically all industries advertise in directories. Major market segments for directories include business services and construction trades. Sensis, which dominates the Australian telephone directory market, provides advertising, commercial search, information management, mapping and IT solutions to about 600,000 businesses, with about 150,000 of these businesses also being online customers. Media buyers and advertising businesses Media buyers purchase advertising in magazines, periodicals and directories on behalf of other businesses. These companies are used, as they are generally able to purchase advertising space at a more competitive rate. Other companies also advertise in magazines and directories to promote products and services, and to notify consumers and Directories Economic conditions affect economywide advertising and demand for telephone directory advertising. Directories have a heavy reliance on advertising by the small and medium business sector, and this sector’s spending on advertising can fluctuate with changes in economic and business conditions. The demand for advertising in telephone directories is also sensitive to price, particularly in view of the reliance on advertising by small business. Printed directory advertising is facing increasing competition from online substitutes. Sensis, the major player in the telephone directory market, plans to grow its electronic directory businesses, and this is expected to at least partially offset slower growth in printed directory revenue. WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU Magazine and Directory Publishing in Australia July 2013 14 Products & Markets Major Markets continued IBISWorld estimates this segment to account for 60.0% of industry revenue in 2013-14, down from 70.0% in 2008-09 due to lower directory listing revenue. Wholesalers to retailers Most magazine publishers use distributors such as Gordon & Gotch (owned by PMP Ltd) and Network Services (owned by ACP) to maximise sales and reduce wastage. Magazines from Gordon & Gotch are supplied to retailers on a sale or return basis, unless otherwise stated. Gordon and Gotch sells copies to retailers at a commission off the recommended retail price, or cover price. Copies that are not sold by the retailer may be returned for credit to the retailer’s account in the month in which they are recalled. Magazine distributors have warehouses where publications are efficiently picked and packed for retailers in particular areas. Distributors assess industry trends, seeking to optimise allocations to retailers and providing market knowledge to publishing clients. In 2009, the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission authorised newsagents to engage in collective bargaining with the major publishers and distributors of magazines and newspapers. Other The other market segment for the industry’s products includes direct sales to retailers, educational institutions, subscriptions, government and other sectors. Some magazines are sold directly to retailers, such as newsagents, supermarkets, bookstores, convenience stores and other retailers. The education sector is a major market for academic and scientific periodicals. University libraries are estimated to spend about $220 million per year on content, with about 80% of this being spent on periodicals, of which a significant proportion are published overseas. Some universities are entering into joint purchase agreements with other universities. Major market segmentation (2013-14) 4% Educational sector 10% Other 23% Wholesalers to retailers Total $3.1bn 3% Direct to retailers 60% Media buyers and advertising businesses SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU Magazine and Directory Publishing in Australia July 2013 15 Products & Markets Level & Trend xports in the E industry are L ow and S teady Imports in the industry are Mediumand Decreasing Overall, there is a low level of international trade in this industry. There is practically no foreign trade in printed directories. However, international trade is significant in some areas, including professional and scholarly journals; consumer magazines dealing with world issues and those of interest to ethnic communities in Australia; and the licensing of brands and content between local and overseas publishers. The Australian consumer magazine market is competitive. Some foreignowned consumer magazine titles are published in Australia under licence or joint venture, and this has had a negative effect on imports. The value of magazine and periodical imports is forecast to amount to $190.5 million in 2013-14, representing 6.0% of domestic demand for magazines and periodicals for the year. However, the value of competing imports is forecast to decline an annualised 2.3% in the five years through 2013-14 due to higher online foreign content being available. The major sources of imports are the United Kingdom (estimated at two-thirds of imports by value), the United States (20.0%) and Singapore (8.0%). The value of industry exports is Industry trade balance 200 100 $ million International Trade 0 −100 −200 −300 −400 Year 06 Exports 08 10 12 Imports 14 16 18 20 Balance SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU estimated to total $50.8 million in 2013-14 and account for 1.7% of revenue from the sale of magazines and periodicals. In addition to exports of physical magazines, Australian publishers also licence their titles to overseas publishers. In 2010, Pacific Magazines sold a licence to APN News & Media Limited to publish three magazines in New Zealand. The value of exports is forecast to increase 0.2% per annum in the five years through 2013-14. Major export markets by value are New Zealand, estimated at three-quarters of exports, and Singapore (7.0%). Magazine and Directory Publishing in AustraliaJuly 2013 16 WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU Products & Markets Business Locations 2013-14 NT 1.0 QLD 16.2 WA 6.5 SA 4.2 NSW 43.5 ACT 1.6 VIC 25.9 Revenue (%) Cold Zone (<10) <25 <50 Hot Zone (<100) Not applicable TAS 1.1 SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU Magazine and Directory Publishing in AustraliaJuly 2013 17 WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU Products & Markets Factors influencing the location of the industry’s activities include the distribution and concentration Australia’s population; economic activity; the entertainment, fashion and advertising industries; and the head offices of major companies in the consumer goods industries. This explains why New South Wales, particularly Sydney, accounts for a significant share of industry activity, with an estimated 41.9% of industry establishments in 2013-14 and 43.5% of industry revenue. The higher percentage of revenue is due to the extensive Distribution of revenue vs. population distribution network of the major magazine publishers across Australia. Victoria and Queensland are also major regions for industry activity. Victoria is prominent due to the high proportion of magazine publishers in the state, and accounts for a high percentage of revenue due to the large market for magazines. While Queensland has a large number of publishers across a large region, revenue applicable to the state is estimated to be lower due to fewer magazine sales and the smaller-size publishing firms. Distribution of revenue vs. establishments 50 40 40 Revenue Revenue Population Establishments WA VIC TAS ACT WA VIC TAS SA 0 QLD 0 NT 10 NSW 10 SA 20 QLD 20 30 NT 30 NSW Percentage 50 ACT Percentage Business Locations SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU Magazine and Directory Publishing in AustraliaJuly 2013 18 WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU Competitive Landscape Market Share Concentration | Key Success Factors | Cost Structure Benchmarks Basis of Competition | Barriers to Entry | Industry Globalisation Market Share Concentration Level Concentration in this industry is M edium Key Success Factors IBISWorld identifies 250 Key Success Factors for a business. The most important for this industry are: The four largest companies operating in the industry are estimated to account for 64.5% of industry revenue in 2013-14, with the eight largest estimated to make up for 71.1% of industry revenue for the year. Industry concentration has decreased in the five years through 2008-09 when the four largest firms accounted for 79.3% of industry revenue. This decline has been due to Sensis losing a significant proportion of market share in the directories segment, which has a higher concentration level compared to magazines, while the number of firms exiting or merging within the industry decreased at a slower rate than industry revenue fell. Despite these recent concentration declines, slower industry revenue falls forecast in future years are expected to result in industry concentration increasing in future years, particularly in the magazine segment. This will be due to increased industry consolidation, with merger activity likely to increase as the larger firms in the industry look to increase market share. There are a large number of well-known and popular magazines that are owned by smaller firms in the industry, which are expected to be targeted by bigger rivals, providing considerable pay-offs for the selling firms. Access to highly skilled workforce Access to labour skilled in journalism, editorial and advertising is important for producing high-quality magazines and periodicals. newsagents and retailers can help drive circulation sales and readership levels for magazines. Establishment of brand names Brand promotion can bolster readership and advertising rates. Effective cost controls It is important for magazine publishers to maintain control over input costs such as journalistic, printing, distribution and promotional expenses. Control of distribution arrangements Extensive distribution networks across Cost Structure Benchmarks The industry cost structure varies significantly between the main product segments of magazines and directories, and by firm size. Larger companies benefit from economies of scale and higher circulation levels, while smaller firms can benefit from tighter cost controls and volume flexibility. Profit Profit margins are relatively high in the industry, at an estimated 16.1% of Access to niche markets It is important to have a strong understanding of the market being addressed, to position publications to promote an increase in readership and circulation, and to win advertisers. Production of premium goods/services The quality of product (for example of paper, print and pictorial matter to attract readers and advertisers) is essential to bolster average selling prices (such as cover prices and advertising rates). industry revenue in 2013-14. However, margins have decreased over the past five years due to weak revenue and growing competition from online-only substitutes. Margins are higher in the directory business compared with the magazine and periodical business due to a high level of concentration in the directory market. Industry profit is down from 19.8% in 2008-09 on lower circulation and revenue levels, and is expected to decrease to 15.7% in 2018-19 due to lower Magazine and Directory Publishing in AustraliaJuly 2013 19 WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU Competitive Landscape advertising revenue, sales and higher wage levels. Wages IBISWorld estimates total industry wages to account for 26.6% of industry revenue in 2013-14, up from 25.7% in 2008-09. Wage costs have risen as a percentage of revenue in recent years due to an increase in general wage rates across the economy and a strong focus on content in magazines. Industry wages have declined at a slower rate than industry revenue over the five years through 2013-14, and are expected to increase in the next five years through 201819 to 26.9% of industry revenue. Material costs The composition of material costs varies considerably between publications, depending on a number of factors. However, printing expenses are the major material cost. In the magazine segment, higher quality printing papers incorporating fillers or coatings have increasingly been used. Magazine publishers have been tough in their negotiations with printers to reduce printing costs. In the past, ACP Magazines has stated that a proposed move to an in-house printing operation (which did not eventuate) would produce a significant lift in ACP’s earnings by improving efficiencies and reducing costs in areas such as freight. However, printing costs are dropping in the directory market as directories move online. Sensis has reduced the range, size and circulation of its printed directories. In August 2012, Sensis announced plans to extend an ‘opt-in’ system for the printed White Pages residential directory. Other costs Mailing and distribution costs, such as deliveries to subscribers, retailers and newsagents, are estimated to account for 5.8% of industry revenue. Two main companies in Australia distribute magazines to newsagents and other retailers. Larger publishers are in a relatively good position to negotiate better rates with distributors. Directory mailing Sector vs. Industry Costs Average Costs of all Industries in sector (2013-14) 100 80 Percentage of revenue Cost Structure Benchmarks continued Industry Costs (2013-14) 13.6 2.6 1.1 12.4 60 42.9 16.1 2.1 2.1 8.5 1.7 ■ Profit ■ Rent ■ Utilities ■ Depreciation ■ Other ■ Wages ■ Purchases 26.6 40 20 0 15.7 42.9 11.7 SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU Magazine and Directory Publishing in AustraliaJuly 2013 20 WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU Competitive Landscape Cost Structure Benchmarks continued and distribution costs are falling due largely to a shift towards online directory products. Costs for printed publications are usually higher than for online publications due to the presence of paper, printing and distribution costs. Cost structures for printed publications vary considerably and are influenced by circulation numbers and type of circulation, target market, revenue mix, journalistic and information production costs, the extent of outsourcing of content production, and print quality. Basis of Competition Magazine and periodical publishers compete for readers and advertisers among themselves as well as with other media. The extent of competition with other media depends on the content and target market of the publication. As an example, business magazines, such as BRW and Money compete with business newspapers, such as The Australian Financial Review, as well as with the business sections of general newspapers. Publishers generally compete to maximise circulation of their publications to generate income from sales and to attract advertisers and thereby generate advertising income. The basis upon which publishers compete to sell publications include pricing levels, the provision of informative, attractive and entertaining content to a well-defined market niche or demographic, and the promotion and marketing of the publication. In addition to maximising circulation and targeting selected reader audiences, periodicals compete for advertising principally on the basis of circulation, readership, advertising rates, target markets, sales team effectiveness and flexibility. Larger operators, such as ACP Magazines and Pacific Magazines, are able to offer advertising packages across a large number of magazines that target varying market segments. Some media operators believe there are synergies in offering advertisers exposure across various types of media, either through directly owned vehicles or alliance partners. Directories tend to compete on the basis of reach, convenience, effectiveness and price. Printed directories reliant on advertising revenue compete with other advertising mediums, such as online directories, search engines and newspapers. The ability to distribute directory products at an economic cost can also enhance sales and profitability. Level & Trend ompetition C in this industry is Highand the trend is I ncreasing Barriers to Entry Level & Trend arriers to Entry B in this industry are H ighand Increasing The consumer magazine market is highly saturated due to the large number of publications available across a wide range of topics. However, niche opportunities continue to be available across subject and topic areas for magazine, due to a process of fragmentation within the market where major titles have lost market share. Nevertheless, new launches are generally dominated by the major publishers. Sensis dominates the printed telephone directory market, but faces competition from internet operators including powerful search engine companies such as Google and Yahoo. Large established companies benefit from economies of scale and scope. For example, large operators can negotiate Barriers to Entry checklist Competition Concentration Life Cycle Stage Capital Intensity Technology Change Regulation & Policy Industry Assistance Level High Medium Decline Low Medium Medium Low SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU lower paper and printing costs. In addition, they have wide distribution channels and more control over distribution channels and costs. They are also better able to invest in deepening their involvement in lucrative niche markets Magazine and Directory Publishing in AustraliaJuly 2013 21 WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU Competitive Landscape Barriers to Entry continued and to provide advertising packages over a wider range of magazines. Larger operators can defray the cost of introducing new products over a larger revenue base. In the magazine market, diversified media groups can leverage off other media, such as spinning magazines off TV programs, running complementary websites and selling advertising packages across various media platforms. Industry Globalisation The industry has a medium globalisation level, with a high globalisation level in the magazine and periodical segment offset by a low level of globalisation in the directories segment. Globalisation in the magazine and periodical segment increased significantly in October 2012 following the acquisition of ACP Magazines Ltd by the Germany-based Bauer Media Group. ACP Magazines Ltd also has significant magazine interests outside Australia, including in New Zealand and Asia, which also increases industry globalisation. Some foreign-owned magazine titles are published in Australia under licence or joint venture. For example, ACP has joint ventures with The Hearst Corporation (a US company), Northern & Shell Pacific Ltd (a UK company) and BBC Magazines (a UK business) to publish certain titles in Australia. ACP and Hearst jointly publish Grazia in Australia, under license from the Italian publisher Mondadori. Pacific Magazines and Rodale International (a US company) have agreements for Pacific Magazines to publish certain titles, while News Australia has agreements with Conde Nast (a US company) to publish certain titles. International trade is a major determinant of an industry’s level of globalisation. Exports offer growth opportunities for firms. However there are legal, economic and political risks associated with dealing in foreign countries. Import competition can bring a greater risk for companies as foreign producers satisfy domestic demand that local firms would otherwise supply. Trade Globalisation 200 Going Global: Magazine and Directory Publishing 2003-2013 Global Export 150 100 50 Magazine and Directory Publishing 0 Local 0 Import 40 80 120 Imports/Domestic Demand 200 Export Exports/Revenue in this industry is Mediumand the trend is I ncreasing Exports/Revenue Level & Trend lobalisation G 160 Global 150 100 50 2013 2003 0 Local 0 40 Import 80 120 160 Imports/Domestic Demand SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU Magazine and Directory Publishing in AustraliaJuly 2013 22 WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU Major Companies Telstra Corporation Limited | Bauer Media Limited | Seven West Media Limited Fairfax Media Limited | News Australia Holdings Pty Limited | Other Companies Major players Fairfax Media Limited 4.8% Bauer Media Limited 22.2% (Market share) 32.7% Other Seven West Media Limited 8.1% News Australia Holdings Pty Limited 2.8% Player Performance Telstra Corporation Limited Market share: 29.4% Industry Brand Names Sensis Pty Ltd White Pages Yellow Pages Telstra Corporation Limited 29.4% Sensis Pty Ltd, a subsidiary of Telstra Corporation Ltd, is a local search and directories business that principally generates revenue from directory publishing and advertising. As at mid2013, Sensis had about 2,000 employees in Australia. It produces and delivers almost 20 million printed directories per year to households and businesses around Australia, outsourcing printing of the directories to PMP Ltd. The company’s White Pages directory provides the telephone number and address information of residences, businesses, non-profit organisations and governments, while the company’s Yellow Pages directory provides the telephone number, address and marketing information of businesses, non-profit organisations and governments. From 2011, Sensis also published a new compact-size Yellow Pages directory. The company has expanded through acquisition, particularly in classified advertising, in both Australia and China. In Australia, Sensis now focuses on Sensis – industry segment performance* Revenue ($ million) (% change) 2007-08 1,730 N/C 2008-09 1,740 0.6 2009-10 1,600 -8.0 2010-11 1,425 -10.9 2011-12 1,135 -20.4 2012-13 940 -17.2 Year *Includes published and online White Pages and Yellow Pages SOURCE: IBISWORLD SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU Sensis – financial performance Revenue ($ million) (% change) 2007-08 2,037 N/C 2008-09 2,067 1.5 2009-10 1,947 -5.8 2010-11 1,804 -7.3 2011-12 1,513 -16.1 Year SOURCE: COMPANY WEBSITE expanding electronic delivery and emerging businesses, such as location and navigation, and online displays. In January 2013, Sensis announced the acquisition of Australian Local Search Pty Ltd, which was a subsidiary of News Ltd and trades as TrueLocal, subject to approval by the ACCC. TrueLocal operates an online directory of Australian businesses. Financial performance IBISWorld estimates that Sensis’ total directory revenue decreased at a nominal annualised 11.5% in the five years through 2012-13, which is a larger decline than the industry nominal average of 4.7%, or 6.5% in real terms. Following large revenue declines in previous years, and according to company results for the half-year ending December 2012, industry-specific revenue for 2012-13 is estimated to decline to $940.0 million for the year. Revenue in 2011-12 was down significantly due largely to a decline in Yellow Pages print revenue mainly because of the migration of customers from print products to digital, resulting in lower advertising levels. Profitability in Magazine and Directory Publishing in AustraliaJuly 2013 23 WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU Major Companies Player Performance continued 2011-12 was adversely affected by upfront costs of implementing the threeyear digital strategy. Over the past five years, Yellow Pages revenue is estimated to have decreased by over 10.0% annually, while White Pages revenue is estimated to have declined at a much lower rate. Published Yellow Pages revenue, which is estimated Player Performance In October 2012, Bauer Media Group acquired ACP Magazines Limited from Nine Entertainment Co. Holdings Pty Limited. The Bauer Media Group is a family-run magazine publishing group, which generated revenue of about $2.8 billion (€2.2 billion) in 2012, with over 11,000 employees in 16 countries across Europe, the United States and Asia-Pacific. Bauer publishes 80 magazines in Australia, with sales of nearly 85 million copies in 2012-13 from a leading share of consumer publications. Of these 80 magazines, half are also published online. With 1.9 million readers each month as at March 2013, the company’s Australian Women’s Weekly title reaches more people than any other magazine in the country. Bauer Media also claims that it holds two-thirds of gross readership for women’s lifestyle titles. It also has strong shares in special interest categories and holds a dominant share in the motoring magazine market. Bauer Media’s Trader Group publishes 16 niche classified magazines for boating, motoring, caravans, machinery and leisure content. Bauer Media contracts out the printing function of all its Australian magazines, with joint ventures to publish a number of magazines in Australia and overseas. Bauer Magazines also acts as a distributor of magazines, using specialised software to records its magazine title sales at newsagents. Bauer Media Limited Market share: 22.2% Industry Brand Names The Australian Women’s Weekly Woman’s Day Cosmopolitan Shop Til You Drop Dolly Empire House & Garden Money Top Gear NW at more than half of company revenue in 2012-13, has been adversely affected by higher advertising cancellations and migration of advertising customers from print to lower yielding online products. There has also been a shift among White Pages customers towards online products, but with more consistent revenue flows. Bauer Media – industry segment performance* Revenue ($ million) (% change) 2007-08 860 N/C 2008-09 830 -3.5 2009-10 815 -1.8 2010-11 770 -5.5 2011-12 727 -5.6 2012-13** 700 -3.7 Year *Includes performance of ACP Magazines under previous ownership **Estimate SOURCE: IBISWORLD Financial performance In the five years through 2012-13, Bauer Media and the former ACP Magazines’ combined revenue is expected to decline an annualised 4.0% to $700.0 million, which is smaller than the nominal industry average of 4.7% per annum (or 6.5% in real terms). These declines have been due to a fall in circulation levels and weak advertising markets. Prior to the sale of ACP Magazines Ltd, the previous owner made significant writedowns to the company’s assets. For 2010-11, Nine Entertainment Co. (renamed from PBL Media) reported an impairment loss on ACP’s goodwill of about $600 million. For 2009-10, PBL Media reported an impairment loss on ACP’s mastheads and licences of $503 million, which followed an impairment loss of $455 million on magazine mastheads Magazine and Directory Publishing in AustraliaJuly 2013 24 WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU Major Companies Player Performance Seven West Media Limited Market share: 8.1% Industry Brand Names Pacific Magazines Better Homes and Gardens In Style Marie Claire New Idea Men’s Health Who Girlfriend Home Beautiful Family Circle Pacific Magazines is owned by Seven West Media Limited. In early 2011, West Australian Newspapers Ltd acquired Seven Media Group for about $4.1 billion from Seven Group Holdings Ltd and funds associated with Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co. West Australian Newspapers was later renamed Seven West Media Limited. In 2006, Seven Network Ltd formed a joint venture with Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co. (a private equity company), called Seven Media Group, to own and manage Seven’s TV channel, Pacific Magazines and Yahoo!7 online partnership. Seven Network Ltd kept its other investments, a stake in West Australian Newspapers, property holdings and pay-TV rights to the AFL. In 2009-10, Seven Group Holdings Ltd was created following the merger of Seven Network Ltd and WesTrac. Pacific Magazines is the second-largest magazine publisher in Australia. Its portfolio includes more than 25 magazines that together account for about 28% of gross readership of the Australian consumer magazine market and 27% of total magazine advertising revenue. Annual sales are about 57 million copies. The business publishes titles in the women’s, entertainment, youth, lifestyle and special interest markets in Australia, New Zealand and Europe. It has strong circulation market shares in several niche markets including health, men’s lifestyle, youth, women’s weeklies, home and garden, and fashion. The business has partnerships with several overseas magazine publishers including Meredith, Rodale, Time Inc. and Groupe Marie Claire. Pacific Magazines also has a custom magazine publishing operation and is estimated to be a market leader based on the number of titles published (producing more than 45 magazine titles). Magazines vary from weekly and monthly titles to one-off publications for corporate clients. The company has built up its magazine interests through several acquisitions and magazine launches. In March 2011, Pacific Magazines teamed up with public broadcaster SBS to produce a new monthly food magazine, Feast. In September 2009, the company launched a new healthy lifestyle title, Prevention. This was the first Australian magazine dedicated to women aged over 40 years. In June 2007, Pacific Magazines paid about $100 million to acquire four Australian magazines from Time Inc., while in July 2004, Seven Network acquired Murdoch Magazines for $77 million. Financial performance In the five years through 2012-13, company revenue is expected to decline an annualised 4.1% to $260.0 million due to falls in circulation levels, weak advertising markets and lower demand for custom publications. Pacific Magazines faced tough market conditions in 2011-12 because of weak retail and consumer spending. Pacific Magazine’s circulation revenue declined by 1.2%, while advertising revenue was down Pacific Magazines – financial performance Revenue ($ million) (% change) Operating Profit ($ million) (% change) 2007-08 321 N/C 53.0 N/C 2008-09 318 -0.9 46.8 -11.7 2009-10 319 0.3 43.7 -6.6 2010-11 305 -4.4 48.5 11.0 2011-12 287 -5.9 39.8 -17.9 2012-13* 260 -9.4 30.0 -24.6 Year *Estimate SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORT AND IBISWORLD Magazine and Directory Publishing in AustraliaJuly 2013 25 WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU Major Companies Player Performance continued 11.0%. However, the company managed to reduce costs, which helped to prop up profit margins. Pacific Magazines posted lower revenue in 2010-11 due to weak market conditions and despite gains in advertising and circulation market shares. However, profit margins increased due to cost reduction Player Performance Fairfax Media Limited is an Australian publicly listed company that publishes newspapers and magazines in Australia and New Zealand, and has online businesses. The company also has a 44.7% ownership interest in news agency AAP Information Services Pty Ltd. The Financial Review Group publishes several business magazines, such as BRW and CIO Asia. Fairfax Media has grown significantly and diversified its portfolio of businesses, mainly through acquiring newspaper and internet businesses and broadcasting. In Australia, Fairfax Media’s magazine assets are classified as general magazines (about eight titles including newspaper inserts), Fairfax Business Media (about 18 titles) and agricultural magazines. In August 2006, it was announced that Fairfax Business Media had concluded an extensive IT publishing relationship in the Asia-Pacific region with International Data Group (IDG). The relationship involved Fairfax licensing IDG’s global IT content and mastheads for the Singapore, Malaysia and New Zealand markets and acquiring IDG’s publishing assets in those markets. Fairfax Media Limited Market share: 4.8% Industry Brand Names Good Weekend Sunday Life the(melbourne)magazine the(sydney)magazine BRW The Australian Financial Review Magazine Financial Review BOSS CIO Asia Financial performance In 2011-12, Fairfax Media generated revenue of $2.75 billion, including $1.13 initiatives. In 2009-10, Pacific Magazines reported that circulation revenue accounted for 61.1% of total revenue, while advertising accounted for 34.5% and other revenue 4.4%. The company also reported that its share of gross copies of magazines sold in Australia increased to 29.8%. Fairfax Media Limited (magazine business) – industry related performance* Revenue ($ million) (% change) 2007-08 230 7.0 2008-09 200 -13.0 2009-10 199 -0.5 2010-11 169 -15.1 2011-12 160 -5.3 2012-13 150 -6.2 Year *Estimate SOURCE: IBISWORLD billion from the metropolitan media segment, which includes newspaper and magazine publishing. In the five years through 2012-13, the company’s magazine revenue is estimated to decrease by a nominal annualised 8.2% to $150.0 million, which is higher than the nominal industry average of 4.7% (or 6.5% in real terms). A drop in newspaper circulation has negatively affected advertising revenue from newspaperinserted magazines. A weak retailadvertising environment has also negatively affected magazine revenue over this period. Magazine and Directory Publishing in AustraliaJuly 2013 26 WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU Major Companies Player Performance News Australia Holdings Pty Limited Market share: 2.8% Industry Brand Names Sunday Style Vogue Australia Vogue Living GQ Australia Big League Australian Golf Digest delicious. donna hay Inside Out Country Style Other Companies News Ltd is a subsidiary of News Australia Holdings Pty Limited, which is owned by US-based News Corporation and controlled by the Murdoch family. The group has global interests in newspapers, magazines and inserts, book publishing, TV broadcasting, cable and satellite TV, internet media and film production. It began as a one-newspaper company and has grown to become one of the world’s leading publishers of newspapers and a major global media group. In Australia, News Corporation’s major interests include newspaper publishing (including magazine inserts), pay TV, magazine publishing, e-commerce and sports ownership. In 2007, News Ltd completed the acquisition of the newspaper, magazine and online assets of Federal Publishing Company (FPC). FPC’s Magazine Group comprised 25 magazines and associated websites. It was reported that News Ltd paid $180 million to acquire FPC’s Magazine Group. News Ltd’s magazine business, NewsLifeMedia, has a print and digital portfolio spanning across the following categories: food, fashion, home, health, parenting and weekend newspaper inserts. The business publishes more than a dozen magazines, which are also available in digital versions, six newspaper-insert magazines, six websites and two newspaper lift-outs. The business has stated that it accounts for almost 80% of major titles in the food category and is the country’s largest food publisher. In February 2012, News Ltd acquired the Best Recipes website, which is expected to provide opportunities to grow the company’s food magazine titles. News Magazines also publishes Although there are concerns about the future of publishing and printing in Australia, most activity in the industry is accounted for by a handful of large-scale publishers that benefit from economies of scale and distribution. Both globally and on a domestic level, the industry is dominated by companies actively seeking to increase their operations through takeovers. News Ltd – industry related performance* Revenue ($ million) (% change) 2007-08 110 N/C 2008-09 107 -2.7 2009-10 105 -1.9 2010-11 100 -4.8 2011-12 95 -5.0 2012-13 90 -5.3 Year* *Estimate SOURCE: IBISWORLD homemaker and lifestyle titles. In the fashion category, News Magazines publishes the Australian edition of Vogue. Female fashion readers are also catered to through the Sunday Magazine. The company’s market share of average consumer magazine circulation is about 6.4%, while it accounts for about 12.9% of total readership. Financial performance In the five years through 2012-13, the company’s Australian magazine revenue is estimated to decrease by a nominal annualised 3.9% to $90.0 million, which is slightly better than the average industry decline in nominal terms of 4.7% (or 6.5% in real terms). Advertising revenue from newspaper-inserted magazines has been negatively affected by weak newspaper sales. Magazine revenue over this period has also been negatively affected by a weak retail advertising environment. Reader’s Digest (Australia) Pty Ltd Estimated market share: 2.3% Reader’s Digest (Australia) Pty Ltd is owned by Reader’s Digest Association Inc., a US company that has suffered financial difficulties since 2009 when it entered bankruptcy protection, emerging in 2013. Its major publication is Reader’s Digest, which publishes 75 editions in 21 Magazine and Directory Publishing in AustraliaJuly 2013 27 WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU Major Companies Other Companies continued languages and is sold in 78 countries. The company also publishes special interest magazines and books. Reader’s Digest is widely known for its direct marketing activities and continues to expand into other distribution channels, such as direct-response TV, display marketing, catalogues, retail and the internet. In Australia in 2012, about 2.5 million copies of Reader’s Digest were purchased by consumers, unchanged from 2009 when it had the fourth-largest circulation of magazines published in Australia with a 2.0% share of circulation in the consumer magazine market. In 2009-10, Reader’s Digest posted revenue of $126.3 million, which is estimated to decline to $100.0 million in 2012-13, with threequarters of this estimated to be applicable to the industry. NextMedia Pty Ltd Estimated market share: less than 1.0% NextMedia Pty Ltd, renamed from Wolseley Media Pty Ltd, was established in Sydney in 2008 and is now the fourth-largest magazine publishing firm in Australia. The company was established with the purpose of acquiring popular and special interest titles owned by Horwitz Publications Pty Ltd – a family company that had operated for 88 years. Chevron Publishing Group Pty Ltd and Bluewater Publishing Pty Ltd were also acquired. NextMedia is owned by Wolseley Private Equity, an Australian-owned fund manager, and two senior executives. NextMedia has over 50 full-time employees plus a network of contributors and contractors providing freelance services to the company. The company currently has 35 magazine titles and sells DVDs, books and other products. NextMedia is continuing to pursue growth via further acquisitions and across purchasing and business practices. IBISWorld estimates company revenue totalled $30.0 million in 2012-13. Other smaller players Established in 1986, Universal Magazines is a privately owned company that claims to be Australia’s largest niche publisher, with over 60 consumer magazine titles including home, craft, bike and lifestyle categories. In August 2011, Universal announced the acquisition of the Westwick-Farrow Media business, which published industrial and technologyfocused print and digital trade publications. Reed Elsevier Australia Pty Ltd is based in New South Wales. The company is part of the Reed Elsevier group, which is a world leading publisher and information provider with principal operations located in the United States and Europe. Reed Elsevier is a major supplier of periodicals and serials (both in print and online) to the legal, scientific, business-to-business and higher education sectors. John Wiley & Sons Australia Ltd is the Australian subsidiary of John Wiley & Sons Inc, which is headquartered in the United States and is a global publisher of print and electronic products. The company’s core businesses produce professional and consumer books, and subscription journal products. Textbooks and educational materials are also published by this company. Employing nearly 300 people nationally, Wiley Australia generated revenue of about $80 million in 2011-12. Effective January 2007, John Wiley & Sons Inc finalised the acquisition of Blackwell Publishing, a UK-based company that publishes journals and books for the academic, research and professional markets focusing mainly on science, technology, medicine and social sciences. IDG Communications is part of International Data Group, which was established in the United States in 1964 and specialises in technology media, events and research. In Australia, IDG Communications publishes seven magazines related to technology, computers and information systems. Magazine and Directory Publishing in AustraliaJuly 2013 28 WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU Operating Conditions Capital Intensity | Technology & Systems | Revenue Volatility Regulation & Policy | Industry Assistance Capital Intensity Level The level of capital intensity is L ow Overall, the industry has a low capital intensity level as functions such as journalism, editing, advertising sales and distribution are labour intensive. Capital investment to operate in the industry is at a low to moderate level. Using wages data from the industry cost structure as a proxy for labour and depreciation as a proxy for capital, IBISWorld estimates that for each $1.00 invested in plant, equipment, machinery, vehicles and buildings, $12.69 is required for labour inputs across the industry. Capital intensity can vary between firms and is influenced by whether printing is done in-house or outsourced. Currently, printing is principally outsourced and magazine distribution is often outsourced. ACP has its own distribution business and has had plans to commence its own printing operation. While the directory segment is increasing Capital intensity Capital units per labour unit 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 Economy Information Magazine and Media and Directory TelecommuniPublishing Dotted line shows a high level of capital intensity SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU its use of technology, labour input remains significant. Labour intensity is particularly evident in the areas of compiling, checking and updating directory and advertiser entries, and in selling of advertising space. Tools of the Trade: Growth Strategies for Success Investment Economy Recreation, Personal Services, Health and Education. Firms benefit from personal wealth so stable macroeconomic conditions are imperative. Brand awareness and niche labour skills are key to product differentiation. Information, Communications, Mining, Finance and Real Estate. To increase revenue firms need superior debt management, a stable macroeconomic environment and a sound investment plan. Traditional Service Economy Wholesale and Retail. Reliant on labour rather than capital to sell goods. Functions cannot be outsourced therefore firms must use new technology or improve staff training to increase revenue growth. Supermarkets and Grocery Stores Convenience Stores Pulp, Paper and Paperboard Manufacturing Printing Newspaper Publishing Magazine and Directory Publishing Change in Share of the Economy Capital Intensive Labour Intensive New Age Economy Old Economy Agriculture and Manufacturing. Traded goods can be produced using cheap labour abroad. To expand firms must merge or acquire others to exploit economies of scale, or specialise in niche, high-value products. SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU Magazine and Directory Publishing in AustraliaJuly 2013 29 WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU Operating Conditions Technology & Systems The major technological developments in of Technology Change is M edium Revenue Volatility Level The level of Volatility is M edium revenue is growing at the expense of highmargin print revenue means to deliver information, content and advertising to niche markets. Increased automation in printing has reduced printing costs. For many years hot metal typeset formed the basis of the printing process. Computer-to-plate printing, or digital printing, allows publications to be printed quicker and cheaper. Computer software can assist in the monitoring of magazine and other periodical sales. Returns, or unsold copies, represent a significant cost to the industry, such as printing and distribution costs. Publishers utilise software that records sales at newsagents with the aim of reducing returns. This industry has shown a moderate level of revenue volatility over the five years through 2013-14, with declines occurring at high and steady rate over these years. This has been due to declining circulation and advertising levels in the past five years. As advertising revenue accounts for about 60% of industry revenue, and a much greater percentage of directory revenue, conditions in advertising markets can have a significant effect on industry revenue. Advertising spending is sensitive to economic conditions, retail spending and consumer confidence. Advertising levels also vary by medium, and can also be seasonal. Directories have a heavy reliance on advertising by the small and medium business sector, which can be volatile. Advertising is drifting form traditional printed products to the internet, and this is having a negative impact on advertising volumes in A higher level of revenue volatility implies greater industry risk. Volatility can negatively affect long-term strategic decisions, such as the time frame for capital investment. When a firm makes poor investment decisions it may face underutilised capacity if demand suddenly falls, or capacity constraints if it rises quickly. Volatility vs Growth 1000 Revenue volatility* (%) Level The level Online the industry include advances in communications that are helping to drive the proliferation of new media platforms that give customers greater choice as to how and when they receive their entertainment and information. Smartphones, computer tablets, digital TV, video mobile broadcasting, podcasting and interactive TV present both opportunities and threats to traditional media’s readership and advertising bases. Search engine software technology allows people and organisations to search the web and databases for information on pre-determined search criteria. Revenue of online periodicals and directories are increasing at a rapid rate, but at the expense of higher-margin print publications. The internet and wireless devices provide an alternative low-cost Hazardous Rollercoaster Magazine and Directory Publishing 100 10 1 0.1 Stagnant –30 –10 Blue Chip 10 30 50 70 Five year annualised revenue growth (%) * Axis is in logarithmic scale SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU Magazine and Directory Publishing in AustraliaJuly 2013 30 WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU Operating Conditions Revenue Volatility continued magazines and printed directories. Magazine and periodical subscriptions and sales are relatively stable. However, consumer magazine sales can be affected by economy-wide household confidence, retail spending, and fads and trends in personal interests. In addition, sales of periodicals can be affected by the migration of readers to other media, such as to TV or the internet. Regulation & Policy The major areas where laws and regulations affect the industry include the following: intellectual property, such as trademarks and copyright; defamation and contempt; restrictions on publishing material that is obscene, blasphemous or an incitement to racial hatred; and, advertising, marketing and privacy laws. In addition, environmental pollution control laws affect printing of periodicals. The Privacy Act impacts direct mail list operators. The Act covers direct marketing, such as telemarketing and advertising via email, SMS or post. A person that does not want to receive calls from telemarketers can put themself on the Commonwealth Government’s Do Not Call Register. However, some organisations operating in the public interest, such as charities, are exempt. The Spam Act makes it illegal in Australia to send unsolicited commercial electronic messages. The Magazine Publishers of Australia is an industry association representing Australia’s leading publishers of consumer magazines. The Publishers National Environment Bureau is the association of Australia’s leading newspaper and magazine publishers working to promote the sustainable recovery of old newspapers and magazines. Level & Trend he level of T Regulation is Mediumand the trend is S teady Industry Assistance Level & Trend he level of T Industry Assistance is L owand the trend is S teady There is no significant government assistance to the industry, other than advertising and notices placed by governments in periodicals. There are also no tariffs placed on imported magazines. Magazine and Directory Publishing in AustraliaJuly 2013 31 WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU Key Statistics Industry Data 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 Sector Rank Economy Rank Revenue ($m) 4,237.5 4,423.1 4,427.1 4,444.6 4,278.9 4,156.0 3,744.9 3,330.9 3,210.9 3,059.7 2,989.6 2,926.8 2,874.9 2,845.0 2,829.1 8/21 278/620 Annual Change 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 Sector Rank Economy Rank Revenue (%) 4.4 0.1 0.4 -3.7 -2.9 -9.9 -11.1 -3.6 -4.7 -2.3 -2.1 -1.8 -1.0 -0.6 19/21 599/620 Industry Value Added ($m) Establishments 2,053.3 1,264 2,110.0 1,305 2,110.3 1,344 2,076.7 1,437 2,055.4 1,367 2,115.1 1,352 1,812.3 1,361 1,569.9 1,312 1,465.2 1,286 1,372.7 1,275 1,333.7 1,265 1,304.2 1,255 1,287.0 1,247 1,277.1 1,242 1,268.8 1,236 7/21 7/21 222/620 294/620 Enterprises 1,171 1,213 1,251 1,342 1,278 1,266 1,276 1,232 1,209 1,201 1,192 1,185 1,179 1,175 1,172 3/21 242/619 Employment 16,580 16,150 15,980 15,600 14,700 13,970 12,980 11,410 11,030 10,580 10,370 10,200 10,030 9,870 9,700 6/21 256/620 Exports ($m) 73.4 64.5 63.4 54.7 50.3 49.8 49.3 49.3 50.1 50.8 51.3 51.7 52.0 52.5 52.9 3/3 159/213 Imports ($m) 337.9 277.7 253.7 233.1 214.4 211.2 194.7 181.8 187.6 190.5 193.9 197.2 199.8 202.5 204.9 3/3 125/199 Wages ($m) 1,212.3 1,174.2 1,164.2 1,155.9 1,099.2 1,049.8 948.6 867.2 837.0 815.3 801.9 789.6 778.6 770.2 762.0 5/21 201/620 Domestic Demand ($m) 4,502.0 4,636.3 4,617.4 4,623.0 4,443.0 4,317.4 3,890.3 3,463.4 3,348.4 3,199.4 3,132.2 3,072.3 3,022.7 2,995.0 2,981.1 1/3 79/196 Industry Value Added Establishments (%) (%) 2.8 3.2 0.0 3.0 -1.6 6.9 -1.0 -4.9 2.9 -1.1 -14.3 0.7 -13.4 -3.6 -6.7 -2.0 -6.3 -0.9 -2.8 -0.8 -2.2 -0.8 -1.3 -0.6 -0.8 -0.4 -0.6 -0.5 18/21 12/21 602/620 491/620 Enterprises (%) 3.6 3.1 7.3 -4.8 -0.9 0.8 -3.4 -1.9 -0.7 -0.7 -0.6 -0.5 -0.3 -0.3 14/21 460/619 Employment (%) -2.6 -1.1 -2.4 -5.8 -5.0 -7.1 -12.1 -3.3 -4.1 -2.0 -1.6 -1.7 -1.6 -1.7 19/21 591/620 Exports (%) -12.1 -1.7 -13.7 -8.0 -1.0 -1.0 0.0 1.6 1.4 1.0 0.8 0.6 1.0 0.8 1/3 119/213 Imports (%) -17.8 -8.6 -8.1 -8.0 -1.5 -7.8 -6.6 3.2 1.5 1.8 1.7 1.3 1.4 1.2 2/3 123/199 Wages (%) -3.1 -0.9 -0.7 -4.9 -4.5 -9.6 -8.6 -3.5 -2.6 -1.6 -1.5 -1.4 -1.1 -1.1 18/21 579/620 Domestic Demand (%) 3.0 -0.4 0.1 -3.9 -2.8 -9.9 -11.0 -3.3 -4.4 -2.1 -1.9 -1.6 -0.9 -0.5 3/3 182/196 Average Wage ($) 73,118.21 72,705.88 72,853.57 74,096.15 74,775.51 75,146.74 73,081.66 76,003.51 75,883.95 77,060.49 77,328.83 77,411.76 77,627.12 78,034.45 78,556.70 8/21 163/620 Share of the Economy (%) 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.13 0.11 0.10 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.07 7/21 222/620 Key Ratios 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 Sector Rank Economy Rank IVA/Revenue (%) 48.46 47.70 47.67 46.72 48.04 50.89 48.39 47.13 45.63 44.86 44.61 44.56 44.77 44.89 44.85 7/21 191/620 Imports/Demand Exports/Revenue (%) (%) 7.51 1.73 5.99 1.46 5.49 1.43 5.04 1.23 4.83 1.18 4.89 1.20 5.00 1.32 5.25 1.48 5.60 1.56 5.95 1.66 6.19 1.72 6.42 1.77 6.61 1.81 6.76 1.85 6.87 1.87 3/3 3/3 139/196 176/213 Figures are inflation-adjusted 2014 dollars. Rank refers to 2014 data. Revenue per Employee ($’000) 255.58 273.88 277.04 284.91 291.08 297.49 288.51 291.93 291.11 289.20 288.29 286.94 286.63 288.25 291.66 12/21 327/620 Wages/Revenue (%) 28.61 26.55 26.30 26.01 25.69 25.26 25.33 26.04 26.07 26.65 26.82 26.98 27.08 27.07 26.93 8/21 182/620 Employees per Est. 13.12 12.38 11.89 10.86 10.75 10.33 9.54 8.70 8.58 8.30 8.20 8.13 8.04 7.95 7.85 13/21 281/620 SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU Magazine and Directory Publishing in AustraliaJuly 2013 32 WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU Jargon & Glossary Industry Jargon CIRCULATIONNumber of copies sold per issue, or distributed in the case of a free title. CONSUMER MAGAZINESTitles aimed at the general public that cover a broad range of topics. IBISWorld Glossary BARRIERS TO ENTRYHigh barriers to entry mean that new companies struggle to enter an industry, while low barriers mean it is easy for new companies to enter an industry. CAPITAL INTENSITYCompares the amount of money spent on capital (plant, machinery and equipment) with that spent on labour. IBISWorld uses the ratio of depreciation to wages as a proxy for capital intensity. High capital intensity is more than $0.333 of capital to $1 of labour; medium is $0.125 to $0.333 of capital to $1 of labour; low is less than $0.125 of capital for every $1 of labour. CONSTANT PRICESThe dollar figures in the Key Statistics table, including forecasts, are adjusted for inflation using the current year (i.e. year published) as the base year. This removes the impact of changes in the purchasing power of the dollar, leaving only the ‘real’ growth or decline in industry metrics. The inflation adjustments in IBISWorld’s reports are made using the Australian Bureau of Statistics’ implicit GDP price deflator. MAGAZINEA periodical that is published frequently. READERSHIPThe number of people reading a periodical, as opposed to the number of people buying it. INDUSTRY REVENUEThe total sales of industry goods and services (exclusive of excise and sales tax); subsidies on production; all other operating income from outside the firm (such as commission income, repair and service income, and rent, leasing and hiring income); and capital work done by rental or lease. Receipts from interest royalties, dividends and the sale of fixed tangible assets are excluded. INDUSTRY VALUE ADDED (IVA)The market value of goods and services produced by the industry minus the cost of goods and services used in production. IVA is also described as the industry’s contribution to GDP, or profit plus wages and depreciation. INTERNATIONAL TRADEThe level of international trade is determined by ratios of exports to revenue and imports to domestic demand. For exports/revenue: low is less than 5%; medium is 5% to 20%; and high is more than 20%. Imports/domestic demand: low is less than 5%; medium is 5% to 35%; and high is more than 35%. EMPLOYMENTThe number of permanent, part-time, temporary and casual employees, working proprietors, partners, managers and executives within the industry. LIFE CYCLEAll industries go through periods of growth, maturity and decline. IBISWorld determines an industry’s life cycle by considering its growth rate (measured by IVA) compared with GDP; the growth rate of the number of establishments; the amount of change the industry’s products are undergoing; the rate of technological change; and the level of customer acceptance of industry products and services. ENTERPRISEA division that is separately managed and keeps management accounts. Each enterprise consists of one or more establishments that are under common ownership or control. NONEMPLOYING ESTABLISHMENTBusinesses with no paid employment or payroll, also known as nonemployers. These are mostly set up by self-employed individuals. ESTABLISHMENTThe smallest type of accounting unit within an enterprise, an establishment is a single physical location where business is conducted or where services or industrial operations are performed. Multiple establishments under common control make up an enterprise. PROFITIBISWorld uses earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) as an indicator of a company’s profitability. It is calculated as revenue minus expenses, excluding interest and tax. DOMESTIC DEMANDSpending on industry goods and services within Australia, regardless of their country of origin. It is derived by adding imports to industry revenue, and then subtracting exports. EXPORTSTotal value of industry goods and services sold by Australian companies to customers abroad. IMPORTSTotal value of industry goods and services brought in from foreign countries to be sold in Australia. INDUSTRY CONCENTRATIONAn indicator of the dominance of the top four players in an industry. Concentration is considered high if the top players account for more than 70% of industry revenue. Medium is 40% to 70% of industry revenue. Low is less than 40%. VOLATILITYThe level of volatility is determined by averaging the absolute change in revenue in each of the past five years. Volatility levels: very high is more than ±20%; high volatility is ±10% to ±20%; moderate volatility is ±3% to ±10%; and low volatility is less than ±3%. WAGESThe gross total wages and salaries of all employees in the industry. Benefits and on-costs are included in this figure. www.ibisworld.com.au | (03) 9655 3881 | info@ibisworld.com At IBISWorld we know that industry intelligence is more than assembling facts It is combining data with analysis to answer the questions that successful businesses ask Identify high growth, emerging & shrinking markets Arm yourself with the latest industry intelligence Assess competitive threats from existing & new entrants Benchmark your performance against the competition Make speedy market-ready, profit-maximising decisions Who is IBISWorld? We are strategists, analysts, researchers, and marketers. We provide answers to information-hungry, time-poor businesses. Our goal is to provide real world answers that matter to your business in our 500 Australian industry reports. When tough strategic, budget, sales and marketing decisions need to be made, our suite of Industry and Risk intelligence products give you deeply-researched answers quickly. 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