Final Report Survey of Long Beach Voters Conducted for: JetBlue Airways May, 2003 ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ ___________ 60 Stone Pine Road Half Moon Bay CA 94019-1739 Phone 650/712-3137 Fax 650/712-3131 95 South Market Street, Suite 300 San Jose CA 95113-2350 Phone 408/288-9232 Fax 408/288-9212 445 South Figueroa Street, 2600 Los Angeles CA 90071-1631 Phone 213/624-8863 Fax 213/624-8864 640 Grand Avenue, Suite G Carlsbad CA 92008-2365 Phone 760/730-2941 Fax 760/720-4706 Table of Contents Table of Contents List of Figures .............................................................................................................................ii List of Tables .............................................................................................................................iii Introduction............................................................................................................................... 1 Executive Summary .................................................................................................................. 2 Methodology .............................................................................................................................. 6 Issues of Importance ............................................................................................................... 13 Overall Perception of Long Beach Airport............................................................................... 16 First Ballot Test ........................................................................................................................ 19 Features and Services of the Long Beach Airport .................................................................... 22 Issues Regarding the Long Beach Airport Proposal ................................................................ 26 Second Ballot Test.................................................................................................................... 29 Awareness, Perception, and Use of Airlines ............................................................................. 32 JetBlue Recommended ............................................................................................................ 40 Use of the Long Beach Airport................................................................................................. 44 Recommendations for the Long Beach Airport ...................................................................... 49 Additional Demographic & Behavioral Information ............................................................. 51 JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page i List of Figures List of Figures Figure 1. Figure 2. Figure 3. Figure 4. Figure 5. Figure 6. Figure 7. Figure 8. Figure 9. Figure 10. Figure 11. Figure 12. Figure 13. Figure 14. Figure 15. Figure 16. Figure 17. Figure 18. Figure 19. Figure 20. Figure 21. Figure 22. Figure 23. Figure 24. Figure 25. Figure 26. Figure 27. Figure 28. Figure 29. Figure 30. Figure 31. Figure 32. Figure 33. Issues of Importance.................................................................................................................... 18 General Support for the Long Beach Airport ............................................................................... 21 First Ballot Test - Support for More Permanent Facilities .......................................................... 25 Influence of Features and Services at the Long Beach Airport ................................................... 28 Comments Supporting and Opposing the Proposal ................................................................... 32 Second Ballot Test - Support for More Permanent Facilities ..................................................... 35 Recall of Commercial Airlines at Long Beach Airport ................................................................ 38 Overall Awareness of JetBlue........................................................................................................ 41 Heard or Read About JetBlue Airways .......................................................................................... 43 Overall, Flown JetBlue Airways .................................................................................................... 44 Flown JetBlue Airways .................................................................................................................. 44 JetBlue Recommended................................................................................................................. 46 Features of JetBlue Recommended.............................................................................................. 47 Increase Destinations of JetBlue .................................................................................................. 49 Frequency of Flight on Commercial Airplane ............................................................................ 50 Picked Someone Up at Long Beach Airport in Last 12 Months .................................................. 51 Flown Out of Long Beach Airport in Last 12 Months.................................................................. 52 Taken a Taxi to or from the Long Beach Airport........................................................................ 53 Sent Someone to the Long Beach Airport with a Taxi ................................................................ 54 Support for Long Beach Airport Increasing Number of Flights ................................................. 55 Airport Preference ........................................................................................................................ 56 Length of Residence..................................................................................................................... 57 Children Under 19 Years Old ....................................................................................................... 57 Preferred Newspaper .................................................................................................................... 57 Home Ownership ......................................................................................................................... 58 Ethnicity....................................................................................................................................... 58 Household Income....................................................................................................................... 58 Gender.......................................................................................................................................... 59 Age ................................................................................................................................................ 59 Party ............................................................................................................................................. 59 Household Party Type .................................................................................................................. 60 Likely November 2004 Voter ........................................................................................................ 60 District.......................................................................................................................................... 60 JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page ii List of Tables List of Tables Table 1. Table 2. Table 3. Table 4. Table 5. Table 6. Table 7. Table 8. Table 9. Table 10. Table 11. Table 12. Table 13. Table 14. Table 15. Table 16. Table 17. Table 18. Table 19. Table 20. Table 21. Table 22. Table 23. Table 24. Table 25. Table 26. Table 27. Table 28. Table 29. Table 30. Table 31. Table 32. Table 33. Table 34. Airport Preference by Increase in JetBlue Flights and Destinations - Only Voters who have flown in the last 12 months......................................................................................................... 10 Methodology ................................................................................................................................ 11 Naming and Abbreviation Conventions ...................................................................................... 12 Guide to Statistical Significance ................................................................................................. 15 Sample Crosstabulations Table: First Ballot Test by Age ............................................................ 16 ‘Means’ Questions and Corresponding Scales ............................................................................ 17 Issues of Importance by District .................................................................................................. 19 Issues of Importance by Party..................................................................................................... 20 General Support for the Long Beach Airport by Length of Residence........................................ 22 General Support for the Long Beach Airport by District............................................................. 22 General Support for the Long Beach Airport by Age ................................................................... 23 General Support for the Long Beach Airport by Airport Preference............................................ 23 General Support for the Long Beach Airport by Frequency of Use of Commercial Airplanes ... 24 First Ballot Test by Likely November 2004 Voter......................................................................... 26 First Ballot Test by District ........................................................................................................... 26 First Ballot Test by Airport Preference ......................................................................................... 27 Influence of Features and Services at the Long Beach Airport by District.................................. 29 Influence of Features and Services at the Long Beach Airport by Likely November 2004 Voter ............................................................................................................................................. 30 Influence of Features and Services at the Long Beach Airport by Length of Residence ............ 31 Comments Supporting and Opposing the Proposal by Home Ownership ................................. 33 Comments Supporting and Opposing the Proposal by District.................................................. 34 Second Ballot Test by District...................................................................................................... 36 Second Ballot Test by Household Income................................................................................... 36 Second Ballot Test by Age ............................................................................................................ 37 Recall of Commercial Airlines at Long Beach Airport by Gender .............................................. 39 Recall of Commercial Airlines at Long Beach Airport by District .............................................. 40 Overall Awareness of JetBlue by Party ......................................................................................... 41 Overall Awareness of JetBlue by Age ............................................................................................ 42 Overall Awareness of JetBlue by Household Income................................................................... 42 Overall Awareness of JetBlue by Ethnicity................................................................................... 43 Flown JetBlue Airways by District ................................................................................................ 45 Flown JetBlue Airways by Household Income............................................................................. 45 Features of JetBlue Recommended by Gender ............................................................................ 48 Increase Destinations of JetBlue .................................................................................................. 49 JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page iii List of Tables Table 35. Table 36. Table 37. Table 38. Table 39. Table 40. Frequency of Flight on Commercial Airplane by District ........................................................... 50 Picked Someone Up at Long Beach Airport in Last 12 Months by District................................. 51 Flown Out of Long Beach Airport in Last 12 Months by District ................................................ 52 Taken a Taxi to or from the Long Beach Airport by District ...................................................... 53 Support for Long Beach Airport Increasing Number of Flights by District ................................ 55 Airport Preference by District ....................................................................................................... 56 JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page iv Introduction Introduction Godbe Research & Analysis (GRA) is pleased to present the results of a public opinion research project conducted for JetBlue Airways. This report is organized into the following sections: Executive Summary The Executive Summary includes key findings from the survey and a Conclusions section, which details our conclusions based on the survey results. Methodology The Methodology section explains the methodology used to conduct this type of survey research. This section also explains how to use the detailed crosstabulation tables in Appendix B. Summary of Results In the body of the report we present a question-by-question analysis of the survey. The discussion is organized into the following sections: ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ Appendices Issues of Importance Overall Perception of Long Beach Airport First Ballot Test Features and Services of the Long Beach Airport Comments Regarding the Long Beach Airport Second Ballot Test Awareness and Use of JetBlue Airways JetBlue Recommended Use of the Long Beach Airport Recommendations for the Long Beach Airport Additional Demographic and Behavioral Information We have included the following two appendices: ■ ■ Appendix A, which presents the questionnaire and topline data. Appendix B, which presents the computer-generated crosstabulations. JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page 1 Executive Summary Executive Summary Key Findings Based on an analysis of the survey data, GRA offers the following key findings: Issues of Importance The first substantive question in the survey asked respondents to identify the most important issues facing the community. Respondents were presented with a series of community issues and asked the importance of each issue. Respondents gave the highest ratings of importance to the issue that addressed ‘Improving the quality of public education’. Those issues that were more directly related to the Long Beach Airport also received relatively high ratings of importance: ‘Maintaining good jobs within the community’, ‘Improving the local economy’, and ‘Keeping businesses in Long Beach that employ local residents and increase local tax revenues’ were ranked second, third, and sixth in order of importance of the issues evaluated. Overall Perception of Long Beach Airport In Question 3, respondents were presented with two hypothetical opinions. The ‘Smith’ opinion, saw the Long Beach Airport as a valuable asset in our community because it stimulates the economy, enhances tourism for our city, creates jobs, and provides a convenient transportation option for residents and visitors. The ‘Brown’ opinion professed that the Long Beach Airport should be shut down because it creates traffic, increases the number of people coming through the City, and degrades our air quality. Respondents were then asked which opinion was closer to their own. Eighty-three percent of the respondents agreed with the ‘Smith’ opinion, while 12 percent agreed with the ‘Brown’ opinion. Two percent indicated a preference for both approaches, two percent said ‘Neither of them’, and two percent did not know, or did not provide a response. Voters residing in the City of Long Beach for 9 or more years were more likely to agree with the ‘Smith’ opinion, which saw the Long Beach Airport as a valuable asset in the community, than those residents whose length of residence was less than 9 years. In addition, respondents in District 3 showed a substantially higher agreement with the ‘Smith’ opinion (90%) than did those in District 7 (78%) and District 8 (78%). Respondents ages 39 years or less reported agreement with the ‘Smith’ opinion less often than did those 40 years of age and older. First Ballot Test Having identified respondents’ attitude towards various local issues including the Long Beach airport, respondents were then asked if they supported replacing temporary facilities at the Long Beach airport with more permanent structures. Because this question does not provide respondents additional information beyond the language in the question, this inquiry reveals the level of support that is likely in the absence of further information about the proposed project. This initial test also provides a measure of the baseline level of support JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page 2 Executive Summary for the proposal that can be compared to the level of support in the follow-up inquiry (Question 7), after respondents have learned more about the proposal and more about the Long Beach airport. When asked if they would support replacing temporary facilities with more permanent ones, 79 percent of respondents indicated ‘Definitely yes’ or ‘Probably yes’ (52% and 27%, respectively), thirteen percent said ‘Definitely no’ or ‘Probably no’ (7% and 6%, respectively), and eight percent did not know or did not answer the question. Similar to the overall findings, support for more permanent facilities at the Long Beach Airport were consistently strong across the different districts. Support was lowest in District 8, where 72% of respondents indicated ‘Definitely yes’ or ‘Probably yes’ (46% and 26%, respectively) to replacing the temporary facilities with more permanent ones. Even in District 8, almost 4 times as many respondents indicated they would support the proposal (either ‘Definitely yes’ or ‘Probably yes’) rather than oppose (either ‘Definitely no’ or ‘Probably no’) it. Features and Services of the Long Beach Airport The purpose of Question 5 was to inform respondents about features and services of the Long Beach Airport, and determine the impact of the information on their stated likelihood of supporting the proposal for more permanent facilities. More specifically, respondents were asked if they would be more or less likely to support the proposed project if they knew about certain features and services at the Long Beach Airport. Respondents were most positively influenced by the feature that stated the Long Beach Airport ‘Mostly flies new Airbus A320’s, one of the quietest, safest, and cleanest commercial airplanes flying today’, followed by ‘The Proposal to build more permanent facilities was being paid for by passengers that fly in and out of Long Beach as well as the airlines and not by any City or County funds’, and the airport ‘Serves Long Beach residents, with more than 10% of all passengers departing from the airport residing in Long Beach’. Issues Regarding the Long Beach Airport Proposal The objective of Question 6 was to present respondents with comments supporting and opposing the proposed project at the Long Beach Airport, which would replace temporary facilities with more permanent structures. The results will be used to identify the impact of the information items upon the support for the potential project. Respondents were most positively influenced after hearing that ‘Local residents who fly prefer the convenience of flying out of Long Beach rather than driving to LAX or the John Wayne Airport’, followed closely by ‘The tourism industry is growing in Long Beach, bringing jobs into the community and the airport has played an important part in that growth’, ‘The airport plays a vital role in long Beach’s economy, with over 200 businesses located at Long Beach Airport’, and ‘The airport increases and enhances Long Beach’s image throughout the region and throughout the county’. The only comment, that negatively influenced Long Beach voters as a whole was ‘The airplanes create noise and air pollution that lowers our quality of life’. JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page 3 Executive Summary Second Ballot Test After providing respondents with the wording of the proposed project, the features and services of the Long Beach Airport, and issues regarding the Long Beach Airport proposal, respondents were once again presented with the same proposal that they were presented in the first ballot test and asked whether they would support a project to replace temporary facilities at the airport with more permanent structures. Because the process of taking the survey for most respondents involves learning a great deal more about the proposal then they knew at the beginning of the survey, the survey simulates a campaign environment. Therefore, change in support for the proposed project can be assessed at the second ballot test after voters have been presented with basic information and comments concerning the proposal. The second ballot test language is identical to the language used in the first ballot test to ensure that recorded change in support for the proposal is due to the information provided in the survey -- not due to subtle changes in the ballot language. When asked if they would support replacing temporary facilities with more permanent ones, 84 percent of respondents indicated either ‘Definitely yes’ or ‘Probably yes’ (63% and 22%, respectively), while 12 percent said either ‘Probably no’ or ‘Definitely no’ (6% and 6%, respectively), and four percent either did not know or did not provide an answer to the question. Overall support for the proposal increased by five percent from the first ballot test. The second ballot test - support for more permanent facilities - was also examined by district. When asked if they would support the proposal, respondents in District 1 indicated ‘Definitely yes’ or ‘Probably yes’ more often than did residents of District 8 (90% and 75%, respectively). The highest level of support, those who indicated ‘Definitely’ or ‘Probably’ yes, was seen in respondents who reported household incomes under $60,000. Additionally, the percentage of those who said ‘Definitely yes’ to supporting the proposed project gradually rose as age increased. Notwithstanding, percentages of respondents who reported ‘Definitely’ or ‘Probably’ yes were relatively consistent across all age categories. Awareness, Perception, and Use of Airlines In Question 8, respondents were asked to recall names of commercial airlines at Long Beach Airport. This question was presented in an open-ended format, which means that respondents were free to mention any airline without being constrained to choose from a list. The most often recalled airline was ‘JetBlue’ (64%), followed by ‘American’ (45%), and ‘America West’ (24%). Males more often (70%) recalled that JetBlue was a commercial airline at LGB than did females (58%). An examination of respondents’s recall of commercial airlines at Long Beach Airport by district revealed that residents in District 3 and District 5 most often recalled that JetBlue was a commercial airline at the Long Beach Airport (85% and 80%, respectively) in comparison to residents from other districts within the City. Residents from District 9 and District 1 were least likely to indicate JetBlue as a commercial airline at LGB (38% and 36%, respectively). JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page 4 Executive Summary Awareness of JetBlue was determined by asking respondents two separate questions. In Question 8, respondents were asked to recall names of commercial airlines at Long Beach Airport. To avoid repetition, if they indicated JetBlue Airways, they were not asked Question 9, which asked if they had heard or read about JetBlue Airways. Responses to these two questions were combined to infer overall awareness. More specifically, if they recalled JetBlue Airways in Question 8 or indicated that they had heard or read about JetBlue in Question 9, they were considered to be ‘Aware’ of JetBlue Airways. Eighty-five percent of respondents were aware of JetBlue Airways, while 15 percent were not. Ninety-two percent of Republicans were aware of JetBlue Airways, while 81 percent of Democrats were aware of the airline. The highest level of awareness was seen in respondents ages ‘50 to 64 years’ (90%), followed by respondents ages ‘30 to 39 years’ (88%). Although still relatively high, the lowest level of awareness was reported by those respondents ‘18 to 29 years’ of age (78%). When overall awareness of JetBlue was examined by household income, higher levels of awareness were reported by respondents with household incomes of $40,000 or more. The highest level of overall awareness was seen in respondents with household incomes of ‘$90,000 to $119,999’ (97%) and ‘$120,000 or more’ (95%). Furthermore, ‘White/Caucasian’ reported the highest level of awareness (92%) whereas, 74 percent of ‘African American/Black’ respondents were aware of JetBlue Airways, and 72 percent of ‘Latino/Hispanic’ respondents were aware of the airline. Q9. Have you heard, or read about JetBlue airways? In Question 9, respondents were asked if they had heard or read about JetBlue Airways. Those who named JetBlue Airways as a commercial airline at Long Beach Airport in Question 8 were considered to be aware of the airline, and not asked Question 9. Fifty-nine percent of those who had not named JetBlue Airways in Question 8 indicated that they had heard or read about the airline, while 40 percent said they had not. The overall percentages of those who indicated that they had flown JetBlue Airways was derived from several separate questions. Respondents who neither recalled JetBlue as a commercial airline at Long Beach Airport, nor indicated that they had heard or read about JetBlue Airways were considered to be unaware of JetBlue. Thus, respondents who were unaware of the airline were not asked if they had ever flown JetBlue in Question 10. The results showed that seventy-two percent of all respondents were aware of JetBlue and had not flown the airline, while 13 percent of all respondents had flown on JetBlue. Fifteen percent were unaware of JetBlue Airways, and one percent either did not know, or did not answer the question. Q10. Have you ever flown on JetBlue Airways? Respondents were asked, in Question 10, if they had ever flown the JetBlue Airways. Individuals who were considered to be unaware of JetBlue, based upon their responses to Questions 8 JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page 5 Executive Summary and 9, were not asked this question. Of those that answered the question, 84 percent indicated that they had not flown the airline, while 15 percent reported that they had. The highest percentages of respondents who had flown JetBlue were residents of District 3 and District 1 (22% and 20%, respectively). Residents of District 9 reported flying JetBlue Airways the least (6%). In addition, the highest percentage of respondents who were aware of JetBlue and indicated that they had flown the airline reported a household income of $120,000 or more (31%). JetBlue Recommended Question 11 asked respondents if they would recommend JetBlue Airways to friends or family. Respondents who were unaware of JetBlue (i.e., they did not recall JetBlue as a commercial airline at Long Beach Airport in Question 8, nor did they indicate that they had heard or read about JetBlue in Question 9) or had never flown the airline were not asked this question. Ninety-seven percent of respondents indicated that they would either ‘Strongly recommend’ (83%) or ‘Somewhat recommend’ (14%) the airline to friends or family. Two percent said they ‘Would not recommend’ JetBlue, and less than one percent had ‘No stated opinion’ or did not answer the question. Respondents who either said they would ‘Strongly recommend’ or ‘Somewhat recommend’ JetBlue to friends or family in Question 11 were asked which features of the airline they would most likely recommend. This question was presented in an open-ended format, which means that respondents were free to mention any feature without being constrained to choose from a list. The highest percentage of respondents (37%) said that they would recommend JetBlue’s ‘Customer service’, followed closely by the airline’s ‘Low fares’ (36%). Twenty-five percent said they would recommend the ‘Free live television’. In addition, females more often reported (46%) that they would recommend JetBlue because of their ‘Customer service’ than males (31%). Conversely, males more often reported they would recommend JetBlue because of their ‘On-time flights’ than their female counterparts (20% and 10%, respectively). Question 13 asked respondents if they would like to see JetBlue Airways fly more flights to more destinations. This question was only asked of those who were aware of JetBlue (Questions 8 and 9), flown the airline (Question 10), and would recommend JetBlue Airways to friends or family (Question 11). Ninety percent of respondents indicated that they would like to see JetBlue Airways fly more flights to more destinations, while six percent said they did not. Four percent of respondents refused to answer the question. Respondents who reported residing in the City of Long Beach for 9 or more years wanted to see an increase more often than those who had lived in the City for less than 9 years. JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page 6 Executive Summary Use of the Long Beach Airport All respondents were then asked how often they had flown on a commercial airplane in the last 12 months. Forty-four percent indicated ‘Not once’, while 28 percent said ‘Once or twice’. Sixteen percent of the respondents indicated that they had flown a commercial airplane ‘Three to six times’ in the last 12 months, and 12 percent said ‘More than seven times’. The highest percentage of respondents who had flown on a commercial airline in the last 12 months were residents of District 3 (82%). Respondents who indicated that they had not flown on a commercial airplane in the last 12 months, or did not know, were asked if they had picked someone up at the airport or been visited by someone who had traveled to see them using a commercial airplane. Fifty-two percent of respondents indicated ‘Yes’, while 48 percent indicated ‘No’. The highest percentage of respondents indicating ‘Yes’ were residents of District 7 (62%). Recommendations for the Long Beach Airport Respondents were then informed that the airport and the City of Long Beach plan to conduct noise studies to determine if the airport meets the current noise requirements. They were then asked if they would support JetBlue and other carriers increasing the number of flights out of Long Beach if the airport meets, and stays within, the current noise ordinance. Eightyfive percent said that they would either ‘Definitely support’ (64%) or ‘Probably support’ (21%) the increase in flights. Only 12 percent of respondents opposed the possibility of increased flights out of Long Beach, and four percent of respondents did not indicate their preference. The next question in the survey asked respondents if they had the opportunity to fly out of either Long Beach Airport (LGB) or LAX (Los Angeles International Airport), with the same flights and fare, which they would prefer. Ninety-one percent of the respondents indicated that they would prefer to fly out of LGB. Residents in District 3 and District 5 showed the most preference for LGB (96% and 95%, respectively). JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page 7 Executive Summary Conclusions Based on the research objectives and the findings of this study, GRA can draw the following conclusions from the study. Overall Support for the Long Beach Airport Results of the survey show that Long Beach voters, as a whole, unequivocally supported the Long Beach Airport as both an important component of the Long Beach economy and as a convenient transportation option for residents. Support for the airport was consistent throughout the survey and is illustrated in the following survey results: ■ ■ ■ ■ Question 3 - Over 80 percent of respondents agreed that the Long Beach Airport was a valuable asset in the community, and only 12 percent of registered voters indicated that the Long Beach Airport should be shut down. Question 4 - Over three quarters of respondents (79%) supported a proposal to replace temporary facilities at the Long Beach Airport with more permanent structures. Opposition to the proposal was less than 15 percent. Question 7 - In a follow-up inquiry to Question 4, over 80 percent of respondents (84%) indicated they would support the proposal for more permanent facilities at the Long Beach Airport. Question 19 - Eighty-five percent of respondents supported the possibility of increasing the number of flights out of Long Beach if the airport meets and stays within the current noise ordinance. Only 12 percent of voters opposed the possibility of increasing the number of flights out of Long Beach. The strong support by voters did not waver after discussing features and services of Long Beach Airport and revealing comments both in support and in opposition to the airport. In the follow-up inquiry, gauging support for the replacement of temporary facilities with more permanent structures at the airport, support for the proposal increased five percent from 79 percent to 84 percent with well over half of respondents indicating they would ‘definitely’ support replacing temporary facilities with more permanent structures. Support for the proposal was also consistent across different geographic, political, socioeconomic, and demographic dimensions. The broad support of the Long Beach Airport can be seen in the following cross-tabular results: ■ ■ ■ Between 78 and 90 percent of respondents from each District (1 - 9) agreed that the Long Beach Airport was a valuable commodity within the community. Over 75 percent of Democrats, Republicans, voters affiliated with ‘Other’ political parties, and those voters who ‘Decline to state’ their party supported the proposal to replace temporary facilities with more permanent structures at the Long Beach Airport. Over 85 percent of both homeowners and renters supported the possibility of increasing the numbers of flights out of the Long Beach Airport. JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page 8 Executive Summary ■ Issues of Importance Between 79 and 87 percent of respondents from each age group (18 - 29, 30 - 39, 40 - 49, 50 - 64, and 65+) agreed that the Long Beach Airport was a valuable commodity within the community. The survey results show that voters, as a whole, not only supported the airport, they also found the economic issues tied to keeping the airport open of utmost importance. In the survey, nine community issues were evaluated on their perceived importance. The only issue to receive a higher mean importance score than ‘Maintaining good jobs within the community’ and ‘Improving the local economy’ was ‘Improving the quality of public education’. Issues that traditionally are the most important in California communities, such as ‘Protecting the environment and reducing air and water pollution’, were less important to Long Beach voters than those directly related to maintaining jobs and improving the local economy. The results from the survey suggest that the importance of local economic issues tends to drive voters support for different proposals. The proposal to possibly increase the number of flights out of Long Beach received 85 percent approval from the voters in Long Beach, and this high level of support was consistent between voters who did not fly at all and their counterparts who flew seven times or more over the last 12 months. The importance of local economic issues was also revealed in the survey results that evaluated comments about the proposal to replace temporary facilities at the airport. Two of the three most influential comments related to the proposal were ‘The tourism industry is growing in Long Beach, bringing jobs into the community and the airport has played an important part in that growth’ and ‘The airport plays a vital role in Long Beach’s economy, with over 200 businesses located at Long Beach Airport’. Overall Awareness and Perceptions related to JetBlue Airways While the survey’s primary objective was to determine support for the Long Beach Airport and different proposals associated with the airport, valuable information was gathered on Long Beach voters attitudes and perceptions towards JetBlue Airways. Some of the more interesting findings of the survey include: ■ ■ ■ Awareness of JetBlue - Almost two-thirds of respondents identified JetBlue as a commercial airline at Long Beach Airport, 20 percent more than any other carrier, and overall awareness of the company by Long Beach voters was measured at 85 percent. Awareness of JetBlue tended to be higher with voters who were more affluent, aged 30 to 64 years old, and considered themselves to be white/caucasian. Use of JetBlue - Approximately 13 percent of respondents indicated that they had flown on JetBlue airways. Respondents that indicated they had flown on JetBlue were more likely to have come from Districts 3 or 5, had an annual household income of $120,000 or more, were male, and aged 40 to 64 years old. Recommendations for JetBlue - Of the respondents that had flown on JetBlue airways over 95 percent would recommend the airline to friends or family, either strongly (83%) JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page 9 Executive Summary or somewhat (14%). Less than two percent of voters that had flown on JetBlue would not recommend the airline to friends or family. The features of JetBlue that respondents were most likely to recommend included ‘Customer service’ (37%), ‘Low Fares’ (36%), and ‘Free live TV’ (25%). Of the respondents that had flown JetBlue and would recommend it, 90 percent indicated they would like JetBlue to fly more flights to more destinations. Demand for Long Beach Flights by Long Beach Voters who have flown on a commercial airplane in the last 12 months Voters in Long Beach expressed an overwhelming preference for use of the Long Beach Airport in comparison to LAX, given equivalent flights and fares. Approximately 90 percent of respondents indicated they would rather fly out of Long Beach Airport than LAX. As shown in Table 1, this preference by Long Beach voters to fly out of Long Beach Airport increases even further when the results are filtered to only reveal those respondents who have flown on a commercial airplane in the last 12 months. Table 1. Airport Preference by Increase in JetBlue Flights and Destinations Only Voters who have flown in the last 12 months i Interested in more flights to more destinations for JetBlue Overall Yes No Refused Base 496 100 6 3 LGB 468 94.5% 97 97.2% 5 79.2% 3 100.0% LAX 20 4.0% 1 1.4% 1 10.4% - Neither or Not sure 7 1.5% 1 1.3% 1 10.4% - The table above also shows, of those Long Beach voters that have flown on JetBlue, 89 percent (97 out of 109) prefer to fly out of Long Beach Airport and would like to see more flights to more destinations from JetBlue. This compares to less than one percent (1 out of 109) of Long Beach voters that have flown on JetBlue who prefer to fly out of LAX and do not want to see more flights to more destinations from JetBlue. Long Beach voters who have flown in the last 12 months on a commercial airplane, agree they would rather fly out of Long Beach Airport than LAX and also want to see more flights to more destinations from JetBlue. i This Table assumes that those respondents who have flown JetBlue and would not recommend the airline, would respond ‘No’ to the question of whether they would be interested in seeing more flights to more destinations from JetBlue. JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page 10 Methodology Methodology Research Objective At the outset of the project, JetBlue Airways and GRA identified several research objectives for this study. Viewed broadly, JetBlue Airways is interested in using the research to: ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ Methodology Overview assess overall support for the Long Beach Airport by registered voters in the City of Long Beach; assess support for a proposal that would replace temporary facilities at the Long Beach Airport with more permanent facilities; explore the influence of proposed features and services on support for the proposal; examine the influence of various statements both in favor and in opposition to the proposal; assess awareness of JetBlue Airways as well as the perception of its features and services and profile the demographic, attitudinal, and behavioral characteristics of registered voters in the City of Long Beach. Table 2 briefly outlines the methodology used in this project. Nine hundred registered voters in the City of Long Beach completed the survey interview, representing a total universe of 190,364 registered voters in the City of Long Beach. Interviews were conducted from February 18 through 21, 2003, and each interview typically lasted 12 minutes. Table 2. Methodology Sample Technique Telephone Interviewing Interview Length 12 Minutes Universe Registered Voters Field Dates February 18 through 21, 2003 Sample Size 900 Choosing the appropriate sampling design for a study is a careful process that involves detailed consideration of the research objectives. In the present study, the primary goal was to assess the awareness, use, and knowledge of JetBlue Airways and the Long Beach Airport. The universe of all registered voters for this study was approximately 190,364. Once the universe was defined, the voter file was stratified by district, age, partisanship, and gender, and individuals were randomly grouped into clusters based on their demographic profile. At GRA, we take great care in ensuring that our sample is representative of the population of interest. Therefore, before beginning the data analysis we checked the voter JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page 11 Methodology characteristics of the sample against the voting characteristics of the population (i.e., registered voters in the City of Long Beach) to ensure that they matched. Because of the research objectives underlying this study and the JetBlue Airway’s interest in being able to make reliable estimates of opinions not only city-wide, but also of districts within Long Beach, the sampling frame was designed to strategically over-sample residents from districts 4, 7, and 8. The data were then weighted to adjust for the strategic oversampling that occurred within the districts to accurately represent the registered voters of the City of Long Beach. The resulting data are representative of the registered voter population of Long Beach. Question Labels In the report, some questions have been shortened to question labels in the figures and tables. For the full question wording, readers are advised to consult the questionnaire in Appendix A. Naming Conventions The following naming and abbreviation conventions are referred to frequently in the substantive section of the report Table 3. Naming and Abbreviation Conventions Age Individuals are grouped into one of the following age brackets: 18 to 29, 30 to 39, 40 to 49, 50 to 59, 60 to 64, and 65+. First Ballot Test Voters were grouped based on their position on the proposal in the first ballot test: ‘Definitely yes’, ‘Probably yes’, ‘Probably no’, ‘Definitely no’, and ‘DK/NA’. Gender Voters are grouped according to their gender (male or female) as identified by the interviewers. Homeowner Status Respondents were grouped according to their response whether they owned or rented their place of residence. Household Party Type Individuals were grouped into the following household party types: Dem 1 - one Democrat, Dem 2 - two or more Democrats, Rep 1 - one Republican, Rep 2 - two or more Republicans, Mixed - combination of Republican and Democrat and Other party Id other than Republican or Democrat. Party Democrats, Republicans, ‘Other’ partisans, and voters who Declined to State (DTS) their party identification were identified from the voter file. JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page 12 Methodology Table 3. Naming and Abbreviation Conventions Swing Voters Individuals were grouped into categories if their reported position on the proposal changed from the ‘First Ballot Test’ to the ‘Second Ballot Test’. Respondents who changed their vote from ‘Probably no’, ‘Definitely no’, or ‘DK/NA’ to ‘Definitely yes’ or ‘Probably yes’ were labeled ‘Positive’ swing voters. Alternately, individuals who changed their vote from ‘Definitely’ or ‘Probably’ yes or ‘DK/NA’ to ‘Probably no’, or ‘Definitely no’, were labeled ‘negative’ swing voters. Second Ballot Test Voters were grouped based on their position on the proposal in the second ballot test: ‘Definitely yes’, ‘Probably yes’, ‘Probably no’, ‘Definitely no’, and ‘DK/NA’. Number of Children Under Age 19 In Household Voters were grouped based on reported number of children under the age of 19 living in their home: ‘1 Child’, ‘2 Children’, ‘3 Children’, ‘4 Children’, and ‘More than 4 Children’. Preferred Local Newspaper Voters were grouped based on reported local newspaper they read: ‘LA Times’, ‘L.B. Press-Telegram’, and ‘Other’. Ethnicity Individuals were grouped according to their reported ethnicity: ’African American, or Black’, ‘Caucasian, or White’, ‘Latino, or Hispanic’, or ‘Other’. Household Income Individuals were categorized according to their reported household income: ’Under $20,000’, ‘$20K to $39,999’, ‘$40K to $59,999’, ‘$60K to $89,999’, ‘$90K to $119,999’, or ‘$120K or more’. Years Lived in Long Beach Individuals were grouped according to the number of years they had lived in the City of Long Beach: ’Less than 5’, ‘5 to less than 9’, ‘9 to less than 15’, or ‘15 or more’. Aware of JetBlue Individuals were grouped according to whether or not they were aware of JetBlue Airways. Ever Flown JetBlue Individuals were aware of JetBlue Airways were categorized according to whether or not they reported ever flying on JetBlue Airways. Recommend JetBlue Individuals who were aware of JetBlue Airways were categorized according to whether they would ‘Strongly recommend’, ‘Somewhat recommend’, or ‘Would not recommend’ the airline to friends or family. Airport Preference Voters were categorized according to which airport they preferred: ‘LGB’ (Long Beach Airport), ‘LAX’ (Los Angeles International Airport), or ‘Neither or Not sure’. JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page 13 Methodology Table 3. Naming and Abbreviation Conventions Likely November 2004 Voter Voters were grouped based on the likelihood, ‘Yes’ or ‘No’, that they would vote in the November 2004 ballot. This determination is made from each individual’s voting history. District Identified from the sample, individuals were grouped according to the City of Long Beach district in which they lived: ‘District 1’, ‘District 2’, District 3’, ‘District 4’, ‘District 5’, ‘District 6’, ‘District 7’, ‘District 8’, or ‘District 9’. Randomization of Questions To avoid a position bias -- where the order in which a series of questions is asked systematically influences the answers to some of the questions -- several questions in the survey were randomized such that all respondents were not consistently asked the questions in the same order. The series of items in Questions 2, 5, and 6 were randomized to avoid the systematic position bias. Understanding the ‘Margin of Error’ Because a survey only interviews a limited number of people who are part of a larger population group, by mere chance alone there will almost always be some difference between a sample and the population from which it was drawn. For example, researchers might collect information from 400 adults in a city of 25,000 people. Because not all people in the population were surveyed, there are bound to be differences between the results obtained from interviewing the sample respondents and the results that would be obtained if all people in the population were interviewed. These differences are known as ‘sampling error’, and they can be expected to occur regardless of how scientifically the sample has been selected. The advantage of using a scientifically drawn probability sample, however, is that the maximum amount of sampling error can be estimated with a specified degree of confidence. Sampling error is determined by four factors: the size of the population, the chosen sample size, a confidence interval and the dispersion of responses to a survey. Of the four factors, sample size is the most influential variable. JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page 14 Methodology Table 4. Guide to Statistical Significance Distribution of Responses n 90% / 10% 80% / 20% 70% / 30% 60% / 40% 50% / 50% 1,400 1.57% 2.09% 2.39% 2.56% 2.61% 1,300 1.63% 2.17% 2.48% 2.65% 2.71% 1,200 1.69% 2.26% 2.58% 2.76% 2.82% 1,100 1.77% 2.36% 2.70% 2.89% 2.95% 1,000 1.85% 2.47% 2.83% 3.03% 3.09% 900 1.96% 2.61% 2.99% 3.19% 3.26% 800 2.07% 2.77% 3.17% 3.39% 3.46% 700 2.22% 2.96% 3.39% 3.62% 3.70% 600 2.40% 3.20% 3.66% 3.91% 3.99% 500 2.63% 3.50% 4.01% 4.29% 4.38% 400 2.94% 3.92% 4.49% 4.80% 4.89% Table4 shows the possible sampling variation that applies to a percentage result reported from a probability type sample. The table shows that if a sample of 900 respondents is randomly drawn from the estimated 190,364 registered voters in the City of Long Beach, one can be 95 percent confident that the margin of error due to sampling will not vary by more than the indicated number of percentage points (plus or minus) from the result that would have been obtained if the interviews had been conducted with all people in the universe represented in the sample. As the table indicates, the maximum margin of error for all aggregate responses is between 1.96 and 3.26 percent for the sample of 900 registered voters in the City of Long Beach. This means that for a given question answered by all 900 respondents, one can be 95 percent confident that the difference between the percentage breakdowns of the sample population and those of the total population is no greater than 3.26 percent. The percent margin of error applies to both sides of the answer, so that for a question in which 50 percent of respondents said ‘yes’, one can be 95 percent confident that the actual percent of the population that would say ‘yes’ is between 53.26 percent and 46.74 percent. The actual margin of error for a given question in this survey depends on the distribution of the responses to the question. The 3.26 percent number refers to questions, such as a ‘yes’ or ‘no’ question, where opinions are evenly split in the sample with 50 percent of respondents saying ‘yes’ and 50 percent saying ‘no’. If that same question were to receive a response in which 10 percent of respondents say ‘yes’ and 90 percent say ‘no’, then the margin of error would be no greater than 1.96 percent. As the number of respondents in a particular JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page 15 Methodology subgroup (e.g., gender or age) is smaller than the number of total respondents, the margin of error associated with estimating a given subgroup’s responses will be higher. How to Read a Crosstabulation Table The questions discussed and analyzed in this report comprise a subset of the various crosstabulation tables available for each question. Only those subgroups that are of particular interest or that illustrate a particular insight are included in the discussion on the following pages. Should readers wish to conduct a closer analysis of subgroups for a given question, the complete breakdowns appear in Appendix B. These crosstabulation tables provide detailed information on the responses to each question by all demographic groups that were assessed in the survey. A typical crosstabulation table is shown in Table5. Table 5. Sample Crosstabulations Table: First Ballot Test by Age Age Overall 18 to 29 30 to 39 40 to 49 50 to 64 years years years years 65+ years Base 900 164 189 195 183 103 Definitely yes 471 52.3% 78 47.8% 92 48.4% 108 55.3% 99 54.4% 58 56.2% Probably yes 241 26.8% 64 39.0% 49 25.7% 49 25.3% 44 23.9% 21 20.6% Probably no 56 6.3% 9 5.4% 13 6.8% 10 5.3% 13 7.3% 6 6.0% Definitely no 64 7.1% 4 2.4% 21 11.1% 12 6.1% 14 7.7% 8 7.9% DK/NA 68 7.6% 9 5.5% 15 8.1% 16 8.0% 12 6.6% 10 9.3% A short description of the item appears at the top of the table. The sample size (in this example, n=900) is presented in the first row and in the first column of data under ‘Overall’. The results to each possible answer choice of all respondents are also presented in the first column of data under ‘Overall’. The aggregate number of respondents in each answer category is presented as a whole number, and the percentage of the entire sample this number represents is just below the whole number. For example, among overall respondents, 471 people indicated that they would ‘definitely’ vote yes on the proposal, and 471 represents 52.3 percent of the total sample size of 900. Next to the ‘Overall’ column are other columns representing opinions of males and females. The data from these columns are read in exactly the same fashion as the data in the ‘Overall’ column, although each group makes up a smaller percentage of the entire sample. Understanding a ‘Mean’ In addition to analysis of response percentages, many results will be discussed with respect to a descriptive ‘mean’ (Questions 2, 5, and 6). ‘Means’ can be thought of as ‘averages’. To JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page 16 Methodology derive a mean that represents perceived importance of local issues (Question 2), for example, responses were recoded on a quantitative scale: ‘Extremely important’=+3, ‘Very important’=+2, ‘Somewhat important’=+1, and ‘Not at all important’=0. Respondents’ answers were then averaged to produce a final number that reflects average perceived importance of local issues. The resulting mean conveniently expresses the results of scale items in a single numeric figure, thereby making interpretation of the data considerably easier. At the back of Appendix B, the reader will find several tables of means for questions where a mean score is a useful way of representing the data. The table below references the scale used for each corresponding question. Please note that responses of ‘Don’t know’ and ‘No answer’ are not included in calculating the means for any question. Table 6. ‘Means’ Questions and Corresponding Scales 2 Issue of Importance 0 to 3 0 1 2 3 5, 6 Likeliness to Support Permanent Facilities -2 to +2 -2 = Much less likely -1 = Somewhat less likely 0 = No effect +1 = Somewhat more likely +2 = Much more likely Likeliness to Support Proposal A Note on the Tables = = = = Not at all important Somewhat important Very important Extremely important To present the data in the most accurate fashion, we display the results to the first decimal point in the tables and figures. Sometimes for the purposes of discussion, however, conventional rounding rules are applied, with numbers that include ‘.5’ or higher rounded to the next highest whole number and numbers that include ‘.4’ or lower rounded to the next lowest whole number. Because of this rounding, the reader may notice that percentages in the discussion may not sum to 100 percent due to rounding conventions. Moreover, the decimal numbers shown in pie charts may vary somewhat from the decimal numbers shown in the tables due to software requirements that pie charts sum to exactly 100 percent. These disparities are confined to the first decimal place. JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page 17 Issues of Importance Issues of Importance Q2. Next I'm going to read a list of issues facing your community today and for each one, please tell me how important you feel the issue is to you, using a scale of 'extremely important', 'very important', 'somewhat important', or 'not at all important'. Here's the (first/next) one: _____. (READ ITEM AND ASK:) Do you think this issue is extremely important, very important, somewhat important, or not at all important? The first substantive question in the survey asked respondents to identify the most important issues facing the community. Respondents were presented with a series of community issues and asked the importance of each issue. Answers were coded using a scale of ‘Extremely important’=+3, ‘Very important’ =+2, ‘Somewhat important’=+1, and ‘Not at all important’=0. The aggregate responses to each item are presented below in the form of a mean, which is simply a summary statistic obtained by taking the overall average of the response codes for the entire sample. A mean of +2, for example, indicates that, overall, respondents felt that the issue was ‘Very important’. The order in which each issue was read to respondents was randomized to avoid a position order bias. As shown in Figure 1, respondents gave the highest ratings of importance to the issue that addressed ‘Improving the quality of public education’ (2.39). Those issues that were more related to the Long Beach Airport also received relatively high ratings of importance: ‘Maintaining good jobs within the community’ (2.28), ‘Improving the local economy’ (2.26), and ‘Keeping businesses in Long Beach that employ local residents and increase local tax revenues’ (2.10) were ranked second, third, and sixth in order of importance of the issues evaluated in this question. Figure 1. Issues of Importance Q2i Improving quality of public education Q2e Maintaining good jobs 2.39 2.28 Q2b Improving local economy 2.26 Q2h Protecting environment 2.23 Q2f Enhancing police & fire protection Q2g Keeping businesses in Long Beach 2.13 2.10 Q2d Preventing local tax increases 1.82 Q2c Reducing traffic congestion 1.81 Q2a Expanding parks and recreation programs JetBlue Airways 1.67 Godbe Research & Analysis Page 18 Issues of Importance Table7 examines issues of importance by district. Differences were seen in the perceived importance of the issue ‘Protecting the environment and reducing air and water pollution’ in that respondents in District 1 gave higher ratings of importance (2.56) than did those in District 5 (1.98). Similarly, respondents in District 1 gave considerably higher ratings for ‘Reducing traffic congestion’ (2.16) than did those residing in District 3 (1.58). Table 7. Issues of Importance by District District District District District District District District District District District Overall 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Base 2.08 2.29 2.02 1.98 2.12 2.01 2.15 2.12 2.06 2.16 Q2i Improving quality of public education 2.39 2.52 2.27 2.35 2.50 2.34 2.45 2.51 2.35 2.40 Q2e Maintaining good jobs 2.28 2.50 2.29 2.17 2.27 2.17 2.32 2.37 2.28 2.35 Q2b Improving local economy 2.26 2.34 2.21 2.16 2.20 2.32 2.36 2.31 2.23 2.32 Q2h Protecting environment 2.23 2.56 2.21 2.24 2.28 1.98 2.28 2.26 2.17 2.38 Q2f Enhancing police & fire protection 2.13 2.24 1.99 1.98 2.13 2.14 2.22 2.26 2.20 2.22 Q2g Keeping businesses in Long Beach 2.10 2.22 1.95 2.17 2.12 2.14 2.20 2.05 2.08 2.00 Q2d Preventing local tax increases 1.82 1.92 1.73 1.67 1.96 1.91 1.82 1.81 1.72 1.90 Q2c Reducing traffic congestion 1.81 2.16 1.77 1.58 1.85 1.71 1.84 1.86 1.86 2.03 Q2a Expanding parks and recreation programs 1.67 2.16 1.73 1.51 1.75 1.41 1.88 1.68 1.62 1.87 JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page 19 Issues of Importance When issues of importance are examined by party, as seen in Table8, Democrats rated ‘Protecting the environment and reducing air and water pollution’ higher (2.33) in importance than did Republicans (1.99). Democrats also reported higher ratings of importance for ‘Expanding local parks and recreation programs’ (1.81) than did Republicans (1.40). Table 8. Issues of Importance by Party Party Overall Dem Rep Other DTS Base 2.08 2.13 1.99 2.06 2.06 Q2i Improving quality of public education 2.39 2.46 2.30 2.35 2.35 Q2e Maintaining good jobs 2.28 2.35 2.15 2.30 2.25 Q2b Improving local economy 2.26 2.32 2.19 2.19 2.18 Q2h Protecting environment 2.23 2.33 1.99 2.26 2.34 Q2f Enhancing police & fire protection 2.13 2.16 2.13 2.04 2.06 Q2g Keeping businesses in Long Beach 2.10 2.10 2.14 2.12 2.01 Q2d Preventing local tax increases 1.82 1.78 1.88 1.72 1.89 Q2c Reducing traffic congestion 1.81 1.87 1.72 1.76 1.78 Q2a Expanding parks and recreation programs 1.67 1.81 1.40 1.78 1.67 JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page 20 Overall Perception of Long Beach Airport Overall Perception of Long Beach Airport Q3. I'd like to read you the opinions of two residents of the City. Smith and Brown disagree on their opinions regarding the Long Beach Airport. As I read their opinions, please tell me which one is closer to your own opinion. [RANDOMIZE ORDER OF SMITH AND BROWN] Smith sees the Long Beach Airport as a valuable asset in our community because it stimulates the economy, enhances tourism for our city, creates jobs, and provides a convenient transportation option for residents and visitors. Brown thinks the Long Beach Airport should be shut down because it creates traffic, increases the number of people coming through our City, and degrades our air quality. Whose opinion is closer to your own opinion? In Question 3, respondents were presented with two hypothetical opinions. The ‘Smith’ opinion, saw the Long Beach Airport as a valuable asset in our community because it stimulates the economy, enhances tourism for our city, creates jobs, and provides a convenient transportation option for residents and visitors. The ‘Brown’ opinion professed that the Long Beach Airport should be shut down because it creates traffic, increases the number of people coming through the City, and degrades our air quality. Respondents were then asked which opinion was closer to their own. Eighty-three percent of the respondents agreed with the ‘Smith’ opinion, while 12 percent agreed with the ‘Brown’ opinion. Two percent indicated a preference for both approaches, two percent said ‘Neither of them’, and two percent did not know, or did not provide a response. Figure 2. General Support for the Long Beach Airport Neither of them Combination 2.1% DK/NA/ Refused 1.5% 1.6% Brown (Oppose LGB) 11.7% Smith (Support LGB) 83.1% JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page 21 Overall Perception of Long Beach Airport Table9 shows general support for the Long Beach Airport by length of residence. Voters residing in the City of Long Beach for 9 or more years reported agreeing with the ‘Smith’ opinion, which saw the Long Beach Airport as a valuable asset in the community, more often than did those reporting their length of residence as less than 9 years. Table 9. General Support for the Long Beach Airport by Length of Residence Length of Residence Overall Less 5 to less 9 to less than 5 than 9 than 15 15 or more Base 900 161 95 120 511 Smith (Support LGB) 747 83.0% 132 81.5% 73 76.5% 107 89.3% 425 83.1% Brown (Oppose LGB) 105 11.7% 23 14.0% 13 13.1% 8 7.0% 61 12.0% Combination 14 1.5% 1 0.4% 5 4.8% 2 1.7% 7 1.3% Neither of them 19 2.1% 4 2.5% 5 4.9% 1 0.6% 9 1.7% DK/NA/ Refused 14 1.6% 3 1.6% 1 0.7% 2 1.4% 9 1.9% Table10 examines support for the Long Beach Airport by district. As indicated in the table, respondents in District 3 showed a substantially higher agreement with the ‘Smith’ opinion (90%) than did those in District 7 (78%) and District 8 (78%). Table 10. General Support for the Long Beach Airport by District District District District District District District District District District District Overall 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Base 900 53 100 156 Smith (Support LGB) 747 83.0% 44 84.0% 81 81.3% 141 90.0% Brown (Oppose LGB) 105 11.7% 6 12.0% 12 12.0% 11 7.3% Combination 14 1.5% 1 2.0% - 1 0.9% 3 2.7% Neither of them 19 2.1% - 3 2.7% 1 0.9% DK/NA/ Refused 14 1.6% 1 2.0% 4 4.0% 1 0.9% JetBlue Airways 98 147 64 103 97 82 80 119 54 81 81.8% 81.0% 84.0% 78.4% 76 78.1% 71 87.3% 13 20 12.8% 13.3% 5 8.0% 13 12.4% 17 17.1% 9 11.1% 3 1.9% 1 2.0% 4 3.9% 1 0.7% - 2 2.0% 4 2.9% 1 2.0% 3 3.3% 3 2.7% 1 1.6% 1 0.7% 1 1.0% 3 4.0% 2 2.0% 1 1.4% - Godbe Research & Analysis Page 22 Overall Perception of Long Beach Airport As shown in Table11, an examination of general support of the Long Beach Airport by age reveals that respondents ages 39 years or less reported agreement with the ‘Smith’ opinion less often than did those 40 years of age and older. Table 11. General Support for the Long Beach Airport by Age Age 18 to 29 30 to 39 40 to 49 50 to 64 Overall years years years years 65+ years Base 900 164 189 195 183 103 Smith (Support LGB) 747 83.0% 134 81.6% 149 78.8% 165 84.3% 153 83.8% 89 86.5% Brown (Oppose LGB) 105 11.7% 20 11.9% 28 14.8% 23 11.9% 20 10.8% 7 6.6% Combination 14 1.5% 1 0.4% 8 4.0% 3 1.4% 1 0.4% 2 2.3% Neither of them 19 2.1% 3 2.0% 3 1.8% 2 1.1% 5 3.0% 5 4.6% DK/NA/ Refused 14 1.6% 7 4.1% 1 0.7% 3 1.4% 4 2.1% - Table12 examines general support for the Long Beach Airport by airport preference. Respondents who preferred ‘LGB’ reported agreement with the ‘Smith’ opinion much more often (87%) than those who preferred ‘LAX’ (35%). Interestingly, 9 percent of those who preferred the Long Beach Airport agreed with the ‘Brown’ opinion and felt that LGB should be shut down. Table 12. General Support for the Long Beach Airport by Airport Preference Airport Preference Overall LGB LAX Neither or Not sure Base 900 814 52 32 Smith (Support LGB) 747 83.0% 711 87.3% 18 35.0% 17 52.4% Brown (Oppose LGB) 105 11.7% 72 8.8% 26 49.6% 7 22.2% Combination 14 1.5% 11 1.3% 3 6.3% - Neither of them 19 2.1% 14 1.7% 1 2.6% 4 12.5% DK/NA/ Refused 14 1.6% 7 0.9% 3 6.5% 4 12.9% JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page 23 Overall Perception of Long Beach Airport Table13 shows general support for the Long Beach Airport by the frequency of use of commercial airplanes in the last 12 months. Long Beach voters who had not flown on a commercial airplane in the last 12 months were only slightly less supportive than those respondents who had been more active commercial airplane passengers. Table 13. General Support for the Long Beach Airport by Frequency of Use of Commercial Airplanes Number of times flown on commercial airplane in last 12 months Overall Not once Once or twice Three to six More than times seven times Base 900 399 249 143 104 Smith (Support LGB) 747 83.0% 323 80.8% 216 86.9% 117 82.0% 90 86.1% Brown (Oppose LGB) 105 11.7% 47 11.9% 25 10.0% 18 12.3% 13 12.5% Combination 14 1.5% 5 1.3% 4 1.5% 3 2.3% 1 1.4% Neither of them 19 2.1% 13 3.4% 1 0.3% 5 3.3% - DK/NA/ Refused 14 1.6% 10 2.6% 3 1.3% - - JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page 24 First Ballot Test First Ballot Test Q4. The Long Beach airport does not have enough permanent facilities to meet the current demand for parking, waiting areas, and services such as car rentals. In the upcoming months, the airport is developing a plan to replace temporary facilities at the airport with more permanent structures. The permanent structures, if built, would not expand the capacity of the airport, only replace the temporary facilities that exist today. Do you support replacing temporary facilities at the Long Beach airport with more permanent structures? (GET ANSWER, THEN ASK): Is that definitely (yes/no) or probably (yes/ no)? Having identified respondents’ attitude towards various local issues including the Long Beach airport, respondents were asked if they supported replacing temporary facilities at the Long Beach airport with more permanent structures. Because this question does not provide respondents additional information beyond the language in the question, this question reveals the level of support that is likely in the absence of further information about the proposed project. The first ballot test also provides a measure of the baseline level of support for the proposal that can be compared to the level of support in the second ballot test (Question 7), after respondents have learned more about the proposal and more about the Long Beach airport. As shown in Figure 3, when asked if they would support replacing temporary facilities with more permanent ones, 79 percent of respondents indicated ‘Definitely yes’ or ‘Probably yes’ (52% and 27%, respectively), thirteen percent said ‘Definitely no’ or ‘Probably no’ (7% and 6%, respectively), and eight percent did not know or did not answer the question. Figure 3. First Ballot Test - Support for More Permanent Facilities Definitely no 7.1% DK/NA 7.6% Probably no 6.3% Definitely yes 52.2% Probably yes 26.8% JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page 25 First Ballot Test Table14 shows support for more permanent facilities - by likely November 2004 voter. Respondents who indicated ‘Definitely yes’ or ‘Probably yes’ to supporting the proposal were fairly equal for those considered to be unlikely November 2004 voters (50% and 32%, respectively) and likely November 2004 voters (53% and 25%, respectively). Table 14. First Ballot Test by Likely November 2004 Voter Likely November 2004 Voter Overall Yes No Base 900 707 193 Definitely yes 471 52.3% 375 53.0% 96 49.7% Probably yes 241 26.8% 178 25.2% 62 32.3% Probably no 56 6.3% 46 6.4% 11 5.6% Definitely no 64 7.1% 53 7.4% 11 5.9% DK/NA 68 7.6% 56 7.9% 13 6.5% Table15 shows the first ballot test - support for more permanent facilities - by district. Similar to the overall findings, support for more permanent facilities at the Long Beach Airport were consistently strong across the different districts. Support was lowest in District 8, where 72% of respondents indicated ‘Definitely yes’ or ‘Probably yes’ (46% and 26%, respectively) to replacing the temporary facilities with more permanent ones. Even in District 8, almost 4 times as many respondents indicated they would support the proposal (either ‘Definitely yes’ or ‘Probably yes’) rather than oppose (either ‘Definitely no’ or ‘Probably no’) it. Table 15. First Ballot Test by District District District District District District District District District District District Overall 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Base 900 53 100 156 98 147 64 103 97 82 Definitely yes 471 26 63 84 50 76 32 47 44 48 52.3% 50.0% 62.7% 53.6% 51.4% 51.4% 50.0% 45.8% 45.9% 58.7% Probably yes 241 14 20 38 26 42 22 36 25 18 26.8% 26.0% 20.0% 24.5% 26.4% 28.6% 34.0% 34.6% 26.0% 22.2% Probably no 56 6.3% 3 6.0% 8 8.0% 16 10.0% 7 7.4% 8 5.7% - 6 5.9% 3 2.7% 5 6.3% Definitely no 64 7.1% 4 8.0% 4 4.0% 9 5.5% 7 7.4% 6 3.8% 6 10.0% 7 6.5% 15 15.1% 6 7.9% DK/NA 68 7.6% 5 10.0% 5 5.3% 10 6.4% 7 7.4% 15 10.5% 4 6.0% 7 7.2% 10 10.3% 4 4.8% JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page 26 First Ballot Test As seen in Table16, when the first ballot test is examined by respondents airport preference, 82 percent of respondents who preferred ‘LGB’ said ‘Definitely yes’ or ‘Probably yes’ (56% and 26%, respectively) to replacing temporary facilities at the Long Beach Airport with more permanent facilities, whereas 52% of those who preferred ‘LAX’ said ‘Definitely’ or ‘Probably’ yes (19% and 33%, respectively) to the proposal. Table 16. First Ballot Test by Airport Preference Airport Preference Overall LGB LAX Neither or Not sure Base 900 814 52 32 Definitely yes 471 52.3% 454 55.7% 10 19.0% 7 22.3% Probably yes 241 26.8% 213 26.1% 17 32.7% 11 35.4% Probably no 56 6.3% 48 5.9% 6 10.9% 2 7.6% Definitely no 64 7.1% 40 4.9% 16 31.0% 5 17.2% DK/NA 68 7.6% 59 7.3% 3 6.4% 6 17.6% JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page 27 Features and Services of the Long Beach Airport Features and Services of the Long Beach Airport Q5. The Long Beach airport has many features and services If you knew that the airport ________would you be more or less likely to support permanent facilities at Long Beach airport? (GET ANSWER, IF 'MORE' OR 'LESS' THEN ASK:) Would that be much (more/less) likely or somewhat (more/less) likely to support permanent facilities at the airport? The purpose of Question 5 was to inform respondents about features and services of the Long Beach Airport, and the impact of the information on their stated likelihood of supporting the proposal for more permanent facilities. More specifically, respondents were asked if they would be more or less likely to support the proposed project if they knew about certain features and services at the Long Beach Airport. The order in which the programs or projects were read was randomized in order to avoid a systematic position bias. The results are presented in terms of means, with responses of ‘Much more likely’ assigned a value of +2, responses of ‘Somewhat more likely’ assigned a value of +1, responses of ‘No effect’ assigned a value of 0, responses of ‘Somewhat less likely’ assigned a value of -1, and responses of ‘Much less likely’ assigned a value of -2. As seen in Figure4, respondents were most influenced by the feature that explained that Long Beach Airport ‘Mostly flies new Airbus A320’s, one of the quietest, safest, and cleanest commercial airplanes flying today’ (1.25), followed by ‘The Proposal to build more permanent facilities was being paid for by passengers that fly in and out of Long Beach as well as the airlines and not by any City or County funds’ (1.10), and the airport ‘Serves Long Beach residents, with more than 10% of all passengers departing from the airport residing in Long Beach’ (1.09). Figure 4. Influence of Features and Services at the Long Beach Airport Q5b Mostly flies Airbus A320's 1.25 Q5d Facilities not paid for by City/County funds 1.10 Q5c Serves Long Beach residents 1.09 Q5a Most restrictive noise requirements 1.08 Q5e No flights after 10 pm JetBlue Airways 0.80 Godbe Research & Analysis Page 28 Features and Services of the Long Beach Airport Table17 shows influence of features and services at the Long Beach Airport by district. The largest differences in influence were seen when respondents were told that the LGB ‘Serves Long Beach residents, with more than 10% of all passengers departing from the airport residing in Long Beach’ in that residents in District 2 and District 9 showed greater positive influence (1.30 and 1.30) from this feature than did residents in District 8 (0.73). Table 17. Influence of Features and Services at the Long Beach Airport by District District District District District District District District District District District Overall 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Base 1.06 1.09 1.19 0.98 1.04 1.18 1.11 1.02 0.91 1.05 Q5b Mostly flies Airbus A320's 1.25 1.31 1.36 1.25 1.20 1.16 1.38 1.26 1.15 1.30 Q5d Facilities not paid for by City/County funds 1.10 1.20 1.35 1.04 0.98 1.33 1.22 0.90 0.93 0.92 Q5c Serves Long Beach residents 1.09 1.12 1.30 1.07 0.97 1.14 1.21 1.02 0.73 1.30 Q5a Most restrictive noise requirements 1.08 1.14 1.07 0.86 1.12 1.19 1.10 1.09 1.06 1.20 Q5e No flights after 10 pm 0.80 0.65 0.85 0.67 0.95 1.10 0.64 0.84 0.69 0.55 JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page 29 Features and Services of the Long Beach Airport Table18 examines influence of features and services at the Long Beach Airport by likely November 2004 voter. Those considered to be likely November 2004 voters were more influenced (1.16) by the statement the ‘Proposal to build more permanent facilities was being paid for by passengers that fly in and out of Long Beach as well as the airlines and not by and City or County funds’ than were unlikely November 2004 voters (0.89). Table 18. Influence of Features and Services at the Long Beach Airport by Likely November 2004 Voter Likely November 2004 Voter Overall Yes No Base 1.06 1.08 1.02 Q5b Mostly flies Airbus A320's 1.25 1.23 1.33 Q5d Facilities not paid for by City/County funds 1.10 1.16 0.89 Q5c Serves Long Beach residents 1.09 1.07 1.15 Q5a Most restrictive noise requirements 1.08 1.08 1.06 Q5e No flights after 10 pm 0.80 0.84 0.64 JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page 30 Features and Services of the Long Beach Airport As seen in Table19, when influence of features and services at the Long Beach Airport is examined by length of residence, respondents who had lived in the City of Long Beach for 9 years or more were more influenced by the statement suggesting the LGB ‘Serves Long Beach residents, with more than 10% of all passengers departing from the airport residing in Long Beach’ than were respondents who had lived in the City for 9 years or less. Table 19. Influence of Features and Services at the Long Beach Airport by Length of Residence Length of Residence Overall Less 5 to less 9 to less than 5 than 9 than 15 15 or more Base 1.06 1.03 1.00 1.10 1.08 Q5b Mostly flies Airbus A320's 1.25 1.26 1.15 1.32 1.26 Q5d Facilities not paid for by City/County funds 1.10 1.04 1.20 1.13 1.09 Q5c Serves Long Beach residents 1.09 1.00 0.88 1.26 1.12 Q5a Most restrictive noise requirements 1.08 1.00 1.01 1.04 1.13 Q5e No flights after 10 pm 0.80 0.83 0.77 0.76 0.82 JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page 31 Issues Regarding the Long Beach Airport Proposal Issues Regarding the Long Beach Airport Proposal Q6. Over the next few months, residents in your area may hear comments from supporters and opponents of the Long Beach airport. As I read the following comments, please tell me if you would be more or less likely to support the proposed project at the airport to replace temporary facilities with more permanent structures. If you heard that ___________ would you be more or less likely to support the proposal at the Long Beach airport? (IF ANSWER: 'MORE OR LESS LIKELY', THEN ASK): Would that be much (more/less) likely or somewhat (more/less) likely? The objective of Question 6 was to present respondents with comments supporting and opposing the proposed project at the Long Beach Airport, which would replace temporary facilities with more permanent structures, and to identify the impact of the information items upon their support for the proposed project. It is important to note, however, the individual comments within each question set were randomized in Question 6 so that respondents were not consistently presented issues in the same order. Again, respondents’ responses were recoded using the -2 to +2 scale, with -2 representing respondents’ replies to arguments as ‘Much less likely’ and +2 representing ‘Much more likely’ to support the proposal. An overall mean score was then derived for each argument by averaging all recoded responses. Thus, a mean score of +1 indicates that respondents, as a group, would reply ‘Somewhat more likely’ to support the proposal upon hearing the argument. As shown in Figure5, respondents gave the highest level of support after hearing that ‘Local residents who fly prefer the convenience of flying out of Long Beach rather than driving to LAX or the John Wayne Airport’ (1.36), followed closely by ‘The tourism industry is growing in Long Beach, bringing jobs into the community and the airport has played an important part in that growth’ (1.35), ‘The airport plays a vital role in long Beach’s economy, with over 200 businesses located at Long Beach Airport’ (1.35), and ‘The airport increases and enhances Long Beach’s image throughout the region and throughout the county’ (1.24). The only comment to receive a negative mean score was ‘The airplanes create noise and air pollution that lowers our quality of life’ (-0.21). Figure 5. Comments Supporting and Opposing the Proposal Q6a Local residents prefer Long Beach 1.36 Q6c Airport plays important role in tourism 1.35 Q6b Airport plays vital role in Long Beach economy 1.35 Q6h Airport enhances Long Beach's image 1.24 Q6f Airplane travel less poluting than driving 1.15 0.28 Q6g Region to dependent on LGB 0.13 Q6d Airport creates traffic congestion Q6e Airplanes create noise and pollution JetBlue Airways -0.21 Godbe Research & Analysis Page 32 Issues Regarding the Long Beach Airport Proposal Table20 examines comments supporting and opposing the proposal by home ownership. Those who ‘Own’ their place of residence were less likely (-0.27) to support the proposed project when the heard the comment suggesting that ‘The airplanes create noise and air pollution that lowers our quality of life’ than were those respondents who ‘Rent’ their residence (-0.13). Table 20. Comments Supporting and Opposing the Proposal by Home Ownership Home Ownership Overall Own Rent Base 0.84 0.80 0.89 Q6a Local residents prefer Long Beach 1.36 1.37 1.35 Q6c Airport plays 1.35 important role in tourism 1.30 1.44 Q6b Airport plays vital role in Long Beach economy 1.35 1.35 1.38 Q6h Airport enhances Long Beach's image 1.24 1.22 1.26 Q6f Airplane travel less poluting than driving 1.15 1.09 1.23 Q6g Region to dependent on LGB 0.28 0.26 0.28 Q6d Airport creates traffic congestion 0.13 0.06 0.25 Q6e Airplanes create noise and pollution -0.21 -0.27 -0.13 JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page 33 Issues Regarding the Long Beach Airport Proposal Table21 examines comments supporting and opposing the proposal by district. The lowest level of support was seen in District 4 when respondents were told that ‘The airport creates traffic and air pollution that lowers our quality of life’ (-0.44). District 1 showed the most positive influence for the proposed project after hearing the comments, overall (0.99). Table 21. Comments Supporting and Opposing the Proposal by District District District District District District District District District District District Overall 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Base 0.84 0.99 0.91 0.82 0.77 0.87 0.94 0.73 0.67 0.93 Q6a Local residents prefer Long Beach 1.36 1.24 1.43 1.51 1.31 1.41 1.45 1.26 1.14 1.32 Q6c Airport plays important role in tourism 1.35 1.48 1.47 1.28 1.34 1.30 1.43 1.28 1.15 1.58 Q6b Airport plays vital role in Long Beach economy 1.35 1.49 1.32 1.36 1.27 1.43 1.38 1.27 1.18 1.49 Q6h Airport enhances Long Beach's image 1.24 1.35 1.29 1.24 1.17 1.30 1.35 1.07 0.99 1.48 Q6f Airplane travel less poluting than driving 1.15 1.19 1.27 1.20 1.14 1.15 1.26 1.07 0.96 1.13 Q6g Region to dependent on LGB 0.28 0.45 0.38 0.30 0.26 0.10 0.53 0.33 0.07 0.26 Q6d Airport creates traffic congestion 0.13 0.54 0.33 0.01 0.05 0.20 0.27 -0.11 0.13 0.08 Q6e Airplanes create noise and pollution -0.21 0.18 -0.19 -0.33 -0.44 -0.09 -0.24 -0.34 -0.31 0.07 JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page 34 Second Ballot Test Second Ballot Test Q7. Do you support replacing temporary facilities at the Long Beach airport with more permanent structures? (GET ANSWER, THEN ASK): Is that definitely (yes/no) or probably (yes/no)? After providing respondents with the wording of the proposed project, the features and services of the Long Beach Airport, and issues regarding the Long Beach Airport proposal, respondents were once again presented with the same proposal that they were presented in the first ballot test and asked whether they would support a project to replace temporary facilities at the airport with more permanent structures. Because the process of taking the survey for most respondents involves learning a great deal more about the proposal then they knew at the beginning of the survey, the survey simulates a campaign environment. Therefore, change in support for the proposed project can be assessed at the second ballot test after voters have been presented with basic information and arguments concerning the proposal. The second ballot test language is identical to the language used in the first ballot test to ensure that recorded change in support for the proposal is due to the information provided in the survey -- not due to subtle changes in the ballot language. As shown in Figure6, when asked if they would support replacing temporary facilities with more permanent ones, 84 percent of respondents indicated either ‘Definitely yes’ or ‘Probably yes’ (63% and 22%, respectively), while 12 percent said either ‘Probably no’ or ‘Definitely no’ (6% and 6%, respectively). Overall support for the proposal increased by five percent from the first ballot test. In the second ballot test, four percent either did not know or did not provide an answer to the question. Figure 6. Second Ballot Test - Support for More Permanent Facilities Definitely no 6.1% Probably no 5.9% DK/NA 3.9% Probably yes 21.6% Definitely yes 62.5% JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page 35 Second Ballot Test Table22 shows second ballot test - support for more permanent facilities - by district. When asked if they would support the proposal, respondents in District 1 indicated ‘Definitely yes’ or ‘Probably yes’ more often than did residents of District 8 (90% and 75%, respectively). Table 22. Second Ballot Test by District District District District District District District District District District District Overall 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Base 900 53 100 156 98 147 64 103 97 82 Definitely yes 562 36 71 102 61 87 37 63 54 51 62.4% 68.0% 70.7% 65.5% 62.2% 59.0% 58.0% 61.4% 55.5% 61.9% Probably yes 195 12 16 33 18 36 19 21 19 21 21.6% 22.0% 16.0% 20.9% 18.2% 24.8% 30.0% 20.3% 19.9% 25.4% Probably no 53 5.9% 2 4.0% 3 2.7% 11 7.3% 9 9.5% 6 3.8% 4 6.0% 7 6.5% 7 6.8% 5 6.3% Definitely no 55 6.1% 2 4.0% 5 5.3% 6 3.6% 7 7.4% 7 4.8% 1 2.0% 9 8.5% 13 13.0% 5 6.3% DK/NA 35 3.9% 1 2.0% 5 5.3% 4 2.7% 3 2.7% 11 7.6% 3 4.0% 3 3.3% 5 4.8% - Table23 shows second ballot test - support for more permanent facilities - by household income. The highest level of support, those who indicated ‘Definitely’ or ‘Probably’ yes, was seen in respondents who reported household incomes under $60,000. Table 23. Second Ballot Test by Household Income Household Income Overall Under $20,000 $20K to $39,999 $40K to $59,999 Base 900 106 144 165 160 99 76 Definitely yes 562 62.4% 66 62.2% 99 68.9% 103 62.5% 113 70.8% 59 59.5% 45 58.5% Probably yes 195 21.6% 28 26.2% 29 20.0% 40 24.4% 21 13.2% 22 22.5% 17 22.0% Probably no 53 5.9% 5 4.3% 13 8.9% 3 1.6% 10 6.4% 9 8.7% 6 8.1% Definitely no 55 6.1% 3 2.8% 2 1.4% 10 6.1% 9 5.9% 6 6.5% 9 11.4% DK/NA 35 3.9% 5 4.4% 1 0.9% 9 5.4% 6 3.8% 3 2.8% - JetBlue Airways $60K to $90K to $120K or $89,999 $119,999 more Godbe Research & Analysis Page 36 Second Ballot Test Results from the second ballot test - support for more permanent facilities - is examined by age in Table24. The percentage of those who said ‘Definitely yes’ to supporting the proposed project gradually rose as age increased. Notwithstanding, percentages of respondents who reported ‘Definitely’ or ‘Probably’ yes were consistent across all age categories. Table 24. Second Ballot Test by Age Age Overall 18 to 29 30 to 39 40 to 49 50 to 64 years years years years 65+ years Base 900 164 189 195 183 103 Definitely yes 562 62.4% 90 54.7% 113 59.7% 125 64.1% 123 67.5% 73 70.6% Probably yes 195 21.6% 51 31.4% 47 24.6% 36 18.6% 31 17.1% 17 16.8% Probably no 53 5.9% 16 9.9% 6 3.2% 12 6.4% 10 5.3% 4 3.9% Definitely no 55 6.1% 5 3.2% 18 9.6% 12 6.3% 12 6.6% 2 1.9% DK/NA 35 3.9% 1 0.8% 5 2.9% 9 4.6% 6 3.4% 7 6.8% JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page 37 Awareness, Perception, and Use of Airlines Awareness, Perception, and Use of Airlines Q8. What are the names of the commercial airlines at Long Beach? (DO NOT READ MULTIPLE RESPONSE OK) In Question 8, respondents were asked to recall names of commercial airlines at Long Beach Airport. This question was presented in an open-ended format, which means that respondents were free to mention any airline without being constrained to choose from a list. Respondents were also allowed to give up to two responses to this question, therefore the sum of the percentages shown is greater than 100 percent. The most often recalled airline was ‘JetBlue’ (64%), followed by ‘American’ (45%), and ‘America West’ (24%). Figure 7. Recall of Commercial Airlines at Long Beach Airport 63.7% JetBlue 44.6% American 24.1% America West 24.0% DK/NA 18.3% Horizon/ Alaska 14.3% Other Fed Ex/ Airborne/ UPS 0% JetBlue Airways 2.1% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Godbe Research & Analysis Page 38 Awareness, Perception, and Use of Airlines Table25 examines recall of commercial airlines at Long Beach Airport by gender. Males more often (70%) recalled that JetBlue was a commercial airline at LGB than did females (58%). Table 25. Recall of Commercial Airlines at Long Beach Airport by Gender Gender Overall Base 900 Male Female 426 474 JetBlue 574 299 275 63.7% 70.1% 58.0% American 401 211 191 44.6% 49.5% 40.2% America West 217 110 107 24.1% 25.7% 22.6% DK/NA 216 72 144 24.0% 16.9% 30.4% Horizon/ Alaska 164 94 70 18.3% 22.1% 14.8% Other 128 69 59 14.3% 16.2% 12.5% Fed Ex/ Airborne/ UPS JetBlue Airways 19 2.1% 14 3.2% 5 1.2% Godbe Research & Analysis Page 39 Awareness, Perception, and Use of Airlines Table26 shows recall of commercial airlines at Long Beach Airport by district. Respondents in District 3 and District 5 most often recalled that JetBlue was a commercial airline at the Long Beach Airport (85% and 80%, respectively). Those in District 9 and District 1 recalled JetBlue the least often (38% and 36%, respectively). Table 26. Recall of Commercial Airlines at Long Beach Airport by District District District District District District District District District District District Overall 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Base 900 53 100 156 98 147 64 103 97 82 JetBlue 574 19 65 132 66 118 26 58 58 31 63.7% 36.0% 65.3% 84.5% 67.6% 80.0% 40.0% 56.2% 60.3% 38.1% American 401 14 32 105 46 83 24 40 36 21 44.6% 26.0% 32.0% 67.3% 47.3% 56.2% 38.0% 38.6% 37.7% 25.4% America West Horizon/ Alaska Fed Ex/ Airborne/ UPS 217 24.1% 3 6.0% 23 64 28 45 10 21 15 22.7% 40.9% 29.1% 30.5% 16.0% 20.9% 15.8% 6 7.9% 164 5 15 36 17 35 10 17 17 12 18.3% 10.0% 14.7% 22.7% 17.6% 23.8% 16.0% 17.0% 17.8% 14.3% 19 2.1% 1 2.0% - 4 2.7% 5 4.7% 3 1.9% 1 2.0% 1 1.3% 3 2.7% 1 1.6% Other 128 12 16 18 12 20 8 16 13 14 14.3% 22.0% 16.0% 11.8% 12.2% 13.3% 12.0% 15.7% 13.0% 17.5% DK/NA 216 24 24 24.0% 46.0% 24.0% 14 9.1% 18 17 28 33 25 32 18.2% 11.4% 44.0% 32.0% 26.0% 39.7% Awareness of JetBlue was determined by asking respondents two separate questions. In Question 8, respondents were asked to recall names of commercial airlines at Long Beach Airport. To avoid repetition, if they indicated JetBlue Airways, they were not asked Question 9, which asked if they had heard or read about JetBlue Airways. Responses to these two questions were combined to infer overall awareness. More specifically, if they recalled JetBlue Airways in Question 8 or indicated that they had heard or read about JetBlue in Question 9, they were considered to be ‘Aware’ of JetBlue Airways. JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page 40 Awareness, Perception, and Use of Airlines As illustrated in Figure8, 85 percent of respondents were aware of JetBlue Airways, while 15 percent were not. Figure 8. Overall Awareness of JetBlue No 14.5% DK/NA 0.3% Yes 85.2% Table27 examines overall awareness of JetBlue by party. As shown in the table, 92 percent of Republicans were aware of JetBlue Airways, while 81 percent of Democrats were aware of the airline. Table 27. Overall Awareness of JetBlue by Party Party Base Overall Dem Rep Other DTS 897 467 262 60 109 Yes 767 378 242 55 91 85.4% 81.1% 92.3% 91.2% 84.2% No 131 88 14.6% 18.9% DK/NA JetBlue Airways - - 20 7.7% 5 8.8% 17 15.8% - - - Godbe Research & Analysis Page 41 Awareness, Perception, and Use of Airlines Table28 shows overall awareness of JetBlue by age. The highest level of awareness was seen in respondents ages ‘50 to 64 years’ (90%), followed by respondents ages ‘30 to 39 years’ (88%). Although still relatively high, the lowest level of awareness was reported by those ‘18 to 29 years’ of age (78%). Table 28. Overall Awareness of JetBlue by Age Age Overall 18 to 29 30 to 39 40 to 49 50 to 64 years years years years 65+ years Base 897 163 189 194 183 103 Yes 767 85.4% 127 77.6% 166 88.1% 167 86.0% 164 89.9% 83 80.6% No 131 14.6% 37 22.4% 23 11.9% 27 14.0% 18 10.1% 20 19.4% DK/NA - - - - - - In Table29, overall awareness of JetBlue is examined by household income. Higher levels of awareness were reported by respondents with household incomes of $40,000 or more. The highest levels of overall awareness were seen in respondents with household incomes of ‘$90,000 to $119,999’ (97%) and ‘$120,000 or more’ (95%). Table 29. Overall Awareness of JetBlue by Household Income Household Income Overall Under $20,000 $20K to $39,999 $40K to $59,999 $60K to $89,999 Base 897 105 144 164 160 99 76 Yes 767 85.4% 73 69.6% 110 76.9% 146 89.1% 147 92.2% 95 96.6% 72 94.7% No 131 14.6% 32 30.4% 33 23.1% 18 10.9% 12 7.8% 3 3.4% 4 5.3% DK/NA - - - - - - - JetBlue Airways $90K to $120K or $119,999 more Godbe Research & Analysis Page 42 Awareness, Perception, and Use of Airlines Table30 examines overall awareness of JetBlue by reported ethnicity. ‘White/Caucasian’ reported the highest level of awareness (92%). Seventy-four percent of ‘African American/ Black’ respondents were aware of JetBlue Airways, and 72 percent of ‘Latino/Hispanic’ respondents were aware of the airline. Table 30. Overall Awareness of JetBlue by Ethnicity Ethnicity Q9. Have you heard, or read about JetBlue airways? Overall Afr. Amer. or Black Latino or White/ Hispanic Caucasian Base 897 122 144 481 109 Yes 767 85.4% 90 73.8% 103 71.7% 443 92.1% 94 85.5% No 131 14.6% 32 26.2% 41 28.3% 38 7.9% 16 14.5% DK/NA - - - - - Other In Question 9, respondents were asked if they had heard or read about JetBlue Airways. Those who named JetBlue Airways as a commercial airline at Long Beach Airport in Question 8 were considered to be aware of the airline, and not asked Question 9. Fifty-nine percent of those who had not named JetBlue Airways in Question 8 indicated that they had heard or read about the airline, while 40 percent said they had not. Figure 9. Heard or Read About JetBlue Airways DK/NA 0.8% No 40.0% Yes 59.2% The overall percentages of those who indicated that they had flown JetBlue Airways was derived from several separate questions. Respondents who neither recalled JetBlue as a commercial airline at Long Beach Airport, nor indicated that they had heard or read about JetBlue Airways were considered to be unaware of JetBlue. Thus, respondents who were unaware of the airline were not asked if they had ever flown JetBlue in Question 10. JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page 43 Awareness, Perception, and Use of Airlines Figure10 illustrates the percentage of individuals who had flown JetBlue, overall. Seventytwo percent of respondents who were aware of JetBlue had not flown the airline, while 13 percent had. Fifteen percent were unaware of JetBlue Airways, and one percent either did not know, or did not answer the question. Figure 10. Overall, Flown JetBlue Airways Never heard of JetBlue 14.5% DK/NA 0.5% Yes 12.9% No 72.1% Q10. Have you ever flown on JetBlue Airways? Figure11 shows the percentage of respondents who were aware of JetBlue Airways that indicated they had flown the airline. Individuals who were considered to be unaware of JetBlue, based upon their responses to Questions 8 and 9, were not asked this question. Eighty-four percent of respondents indicated that they had not flown the airline, while 15 percent reported that they had. Figure 11. Flown JetBlue Airways DK/NA 0.6% Yes 15.1% No 84.3% JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page 44 Awareness, Perception, and Use of Airlines Table31 and Table32 examine respondents who indicated they had flown JetBlue Airways by district. The highest percentages of respondents who had flown JetBlue were residents of District 3 and District 1 (22% and 20%, respectively). Residents of District 9 reported flying JetBlue Airways the least (6%). In addition, the highest percentage of respondents who were aware of JetBlue and indicated that they had flown the airline reported a household income of $120,000 or more (31%). Table 31. Flown JetBlue Airways by District District District District District District District District District District District Overall 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Base 769 32 80 149 87 135 54 83 81 69 Yes 116 6 13 33 11 15.1% 20.0% 16.7% 21.9% 13.0% 22 16.7% 5 9.5% 13 16.3% 8 9.8% 4 5.7% No 648 25 65 117 73 84.3% 80.0% 81.7% 78.1% 84.7% 112 83.3% 49 90.5% 69 83.7% 74 90.2% 64 92.5% - - - - 1 1.9% DK/NA 5 0.6% - 1 1.7% - 2 2.3% Table 32. Flown JetBlue Airways by Household Income Household Income Overall Under $20,000 $20K to $39,999 $40K to $59,999 $60K to $89,999 Base 769 74 110 147 148 96 72 Yes 116 15.1% 5 7.3% 11 10.0% 18 12.0% 32 21.6% 16 17.1% 22 30.5% No 648 84.3% 68 91.8% 99 90.0% 128 87.5% 115 77.6% 79 82.2% 50 69.5% DK/NA 5 0.6% 1 0.9% - 1 0.5% 1 0.9% 1 0.7% - JetBlue Airways $90K to $120K or $119,999 more Godbe Research & Analysis Page 45 JetBlue Recommended JetBlue Recommended Q11. Would you recommend JetBlue airways, to friends or family? (GET ANSWER, IF THEY WOULD RECOMMEND THEN ASK): Is that strongly recommend or somewhat recommend? Question 11 asked respondents if they would recommend JetBlue Airways to friends of family. Respondents who were unaware of JetBlue (i.e., they did not recall JetBlue as a commercial airline at Long Beach Airport in Question 8, nor did they indicate that they had heard or read about JetBlue in Question 9) or had never flown the airline were not asked this question. Ninety-seven percent of respondents indicated that they would either ‘Strongly recommend’ (83%) or ‘Somewhat recommend’ (14%) the airline to friends or family. Two percent said the ‘Would not recommend’ JetBlue, and less than one percent had ‘No stated opinion’. Figure 12. JetBlue Recommended No opinion stated 0.5% Would not recommend DK/NA 1.6% 1.2% Somewhat recommend 14.0% Strongly recommend 82.7% Q12. Which features of JetBlue are you most likely to recommend? (DO NOT READ - MULTIPLE RESPONSE) Respondents who either said they would ‘Strongly recommend’ or ‘Somewhat recommend’ JetBlue to friends or family in Question 11 were asked which features of the airline they would most likely recommend. This question was presented in an open-ended format, which means that respondents were free to mention any feature without being constrained to choose from a list. Respondents were also allowed to give up to two responses to this question, therefore the sum of the percentages shown is greater than 100 percent. JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page 46 JetBlue Recommended The highest percentage of respondents (37%) said that they would recommend JetBlue’s ‘Customer service’, followed closely by the airline’s ‘Low fares’ (36%). Twenty-five percent said they would recommend the ‘Free live television’. Figure 13. Features of JetBlue Recommended 36.6% Customer service Low fares Free live TV Convenience On-time flights Leather seats Easy to book New aircraft Accomodating features Frequent flights DK/NA Other Security measures 0% JetBlue Airways 35.9% 24.6% 17.6% 16.2% 15.9% 9.0% 8.5% 7.0% 6.9% 6.4% 4.1% 1.1% 10% 20% 30% 40% Godbe Research & Analysis Page 47 JetBlue Recommended Table33 shows features of JetBlue recommended by gender. With the highest percentage of recommendations, females more often reported (46%) that they would recommend JetBlue because of their ‘Customer service’ than males (31%). Conversely, males more often reported they would recommend JetBlue because of their ‘On-time flights’ than their female counterparts (20% and 10%, respectively). Table 33. Features of JetBlue Recommended by Gender Gender Overall Male Female Base 117 70 47 New aircraft 10 8.5% 7 9.7% 3 6.7% Customer service 43 21 22 36.6% 30.5% 45.8% Leather seats 19 12 7 15.9% 16.7% 14.8% Free live TV 29 17 11 24.6% 24.9% 24.2% Low fares 42 24 18 35.9% 34.2% 38.4% 19 14 16.2% 20.4% 5 9.9% Security measures 1 1.1% - 1 2.8% Easy to book 11 9.0% 8 10.8% 3 6.4% Frequent flights 8 6.9% 5 6.7% 3 7.2% On-time flights Convenience Q13. Would you like JetBlue Airways to fly more flights to more destinations? 21 13 7 17.6% 18.7% 15.9% Accomodating features 8 7.0% 6 8.8% 2 4.2% Other 5 4.1% 3 4.8% 1 3.0% DK/NA 7 6.4% 3 4.9% 4 8.6% Question 13 asked respondents if they would like to see JetBlue Airways fly more flights to more destinations. This question was only asked of those who were aware of JetBlue (Questions 8 and 9), flown the airline (Question 10), and would recommend JetBlue Airways to friends or family (Question 11). JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page 48 JetBlue Recommended Ninety percent of respondents indicated that they would like to see JetBlue Airways fly more flights to more destinations, while six percent said they did not. Four percent of respondents refused to answer the question. Figure 14. Increase Destinations of JetBlue No Refused 6.4% 4.0% Yes 89.6% Table34 shows the demand for increased destinations of JetBlue Airways by length of residence. Respondents who reported residing in the City of Long Beach for 9 or more years wanted to see an increase more often than those who had lived in the City for less than 9 years. Table 34. Increase Destinations of JetBlue Length of Residence Overall Less 5 to less 9 to less than 5 than 9 than 15 15 or more Base 119 29 15 17 59 Yes 107 89.6% 27 93.2% 12 83.7% 16 96.0% 51 87.3% No 8 6.4% 1 2.3% 2 11.8% 1 4.0% 5 7.9% Refused 5 4.0% 1 4.5% 1 4.5% - 3 4.8% JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page 49 Use of the Long Beach Airport Use of the Long Beach Airport Q14. How often have you flown on a commercial airplane in the last 12 months? All respondents were then asked how often they had flown on a commercial airplane in the last 12 months. Forty-four percent indicated ‘Not once’, while 28 percent said ‘Once or twice’. Sixteen percent of the respondents indicated that they had flown a commercial airplane ‘Three to six times’ in the last 12 months, and 12 percent said ‘More than seven times’. Figure 15. Frequency of Flight on Commercial Airplane Not once 44.4% Once or twice 27.7% Three to six times 15.9% More than seven times 11.6% 0.5% DK/NA Table35 shows the frequency of flying a commercial airplane by district. The highest percentage of respondents who had flown on a commercial airline in the last 12 months were residents of District 3 (82%). Table 35. Frequency of Flight on Commercial Airplane by District District District District District District District District District District District Overall 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Base 900 53 100 156 98 147 64 103 97 82 Not once 399 27 41 28 47 73 39 47 55 42 44.4% 52.0% 41.3% 18.2% 48.0% 49.5% 60.0% 45.8% 56.8% 50.8% Once or twice 249 15 33 41 22 41 21 27 22 27 27.7% 28.0% 33.3% 26.4% 23.0% 27.6% 32.0% 26.1% 22.6% 33.3% Three to six times 143 7 17 38 19 18 15.9% 14.0% 17.3% 24.5% 18.9% 12.4% More than seven times 104 11.6% 2 4.0% 7 6.7% DK/NA 4 0.5% 1 2.0% 1 1.3% JetBlue Airways 48 10 15 30.9% 10.1% 10.5% - - - 4 6.0% 19 12 19.0% 12.3% 8 9.5% - 9 8.5% 8 8.2% 5 6.3% 1 2.0% 1 0.7% - - Godbe Research & Analysis Page 50 Use of the Long Beach Airport Q15. In the last 12 months, have you picked someone up at the airport or been visited by someone who has traveled to see you, using a commercial airplane? Respondents who indicated that they had not flown on a commercial airplane in the last 12 months, or did not know, were asked if they had picked someone up at the airport or been visited by someone who had traveled to see them using a commercial airplane. Fifty-two percent of respondents indicated ‘Yes’, while 48 percent indicated ‘No’. Figure 16. Picked Someone Up at Long Beach Airport in Last 12 Months DK/NA 0.2% No 47.8% Yes 52.0% Table36 examines respondents who indicated that they had picked someone up at the Long Beach Airport or been visited by someone who had traveled to them using a commercial airplane by district. The highest percentage of respondents indicating ‘Yes’ were residents of District 7 (62%). Table 36. Picked Someone Up at Long Beach Airport in Last 12 Months by District District District District District District District District District District District Overall 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Base 404 28 43 28 47 73 40 48 55 42 Yes 210 16 21 16 27 36 15 30 28 21 52.0% 55.6% 50.0% 55.0% 57.7% 50.0% 38.7% 62.0% 50.6% 50.0% No 193 13 21 13 20 36 24 17 27 21 47.8% 44.4% 50.0% 45.0% 42.3% 50.0% 61.3% 36.6% 49.4% 50.0% DK/NA JetBlue Airways 1 0.2% - - - - - - 1 1.4% - - Godbe Research & Analysis Page 51 Use of the Long Beach Airport Q16. Have you or someone in your household flown out of Long beach Airport in the last 12 months. As shown in Figure17, when respondents were asked if they or someone in their household had flown out of Long Beach Airport in the last 12 months, 40 percent indicated ‘Yes’ and 60 percent said ‘No’. Figure 17. Flown Out of Long Beach Airport in Last 12 Months Refused 0.1% Yes 40.0% No 59.9% Table37 shows incidence of flying out of Long Beach Airport by respondents or someone in their households in the last 12 months by district. Respondents in District 3 most often reported flying out of the Long Beach Airport (56%). Table 37. Flown Out of Long Beach Airport in Last 12 Months by District District Overall Base 900 District District District District District District District District District 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 53 100 156 98 147 64 103 97 82 Yes 360 19 37 87 41 66 18 46 27 18 40.0% 36.0% 37.3% 55.5% 41.9% 44.8% 28.0% 45.1% 28.1% 22.2% No 539 34 63 70 56 81 46 56 70 64 59.9% 64.0% 62.7% 44.5% 57.4% 55.2% 72.0% 54.2% 71.9% 77.8% Refused JetBlue Airways 1 0.1% - - - 1 0.7% - - 1 0.7% - - Godbe Research & Analysis Page 52 Use of the Long Beach Airport Q17. Have you ever taken a taxi, to or from, the Long Beach airport? Respondents were then asked if they had ever taken a taxi, to or from, the Long Beach Airport. Figure18 illustrates that 21 percent of respondents said they had taken a taxi to the airport, while 79 percent had not. Figure 18. Taken a Taxi to or from the Long Beach Airport Refused 0.2% Yes 21.1% No 78.7% Table 38. Taken a Taxi to or from the Long Beach Airport by District District District District District District District District District District District Overall 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Base 900 53 100 156 98 147 64 103 97 82 Yes 190 16 20 43 24 32 6 21 17 10 21.1% 30.0% 20.0% 27.3% 25.0% 21.9% 10.0% 20.3% 17.8% 12.7% No 708 37 80 112 73 115 58 82 80 71 78.7% 70.0% 80.0% 71.8% 75.0% 78.1% 90.0% 79.7% 82.2% 87.3% Refused JetBlue Airways 1 0.2% - - 1 0.9% - - - - - - Godbe Research & Analysis Page 53 Use of the Long Beach Airport Q18. Have you ever sent someone to or from the Long Beach airport, with a taxi? Question 18 asked respondents if they had ever sent someone to or from Long Beach Airport with a taxi. Respondents who indicated that they had taken a taxi to or from the Long Beach Airport, in Question 17, were not asked this question. Ninety-three percent of respondents said that they had not sent someone to or from the Long Beach Airport, and seven percent said that they had. Figure 19. Sent Someone to the Long Beach Airport with a Taxi Yes 7.1% No 92.9% JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page 54 Recommendations for the Long Beach Airport Recommendations for the Long Beach Airport Q19. In the near future, the airport and the City of Long Beach will conduct noise studies to determine if the airport meets the current noise requirements. Would you support JetBlue and other air carriers increasing the number of flights out of Long Beach, “IF” the airport meets, and stays within the current noise ordinance? (GET ANSWER, THEN ASK): Is that definitely (support/oppose) or probably (support/oppose) increasing the number of flights out of Long Beach airport? Respondents were then informed that the airport and the City of Long Beach plan to conduct noise studies to determine if the airport meets the current noise requirements. They were then asked if they would support JetBlue and other carriers increasing the number of flights out of Long Beach if the airport meets, and stays within, the current noise ordinance. Eightyfive percent said that they would either ‘Definitely support’ (64%) or ‘Probably support’ (21%) the increase in flights. Only 12 percent of respondents opposed the possibility of increased flights out of Long Beach, and four percent of respondents did not indicate their preference. Figure 20. Support for Long Beach Airport Increasing Number of Flights Definitely oppose 8.0% DK/NA 3.7% Probably oppose 3.7% Probably support 20.7% Definitely support 63.9% Table39 examines support for the possibility of Long Beach Airport increasing the number of flights by district. Table 39. Support for Long Beach Airport Increasing Number of Flights by District District District District District District District District District District District Overall 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Base 900 147 64 103 97 82 Definitely support 575 35 72 112 62 63.9% 66.0% 72.0% 71.8% 62.8% 53 100 156 98 84 57.1% 37 58.0% 62 60.8% 56 58.2% 55 66.7% Probably support 186 11 17 24 20 20.7% 20.0% 17.3% 15.5% 20.3% 41 27.6% 17 26.0% 14 13.7% 22 22.6% 21 25.4% Probably oppose 33 3.7% 2 4.0% 1 1.3% 6 3.6% 3 3.4% 7 4.8% 3 4.0% 8 7.8% 1 0.7% 3 3.2% Definitely oppose 72 8.0% 3 6.0% 5 5.3% 10 6.4% 11 10.8% 8 5.7% 4 6.0% 12 11.8% 15 15.1% 4 4.8% DK/NA 33 3.7% 2 4.0% 4 4.0% 4 2.7% 3 2.7% 7 4.8% 4 6.0% 6 5.9% 3 3.4% - JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page 55 Recommendations for the Long Beach Airport Q20. If you had the opportunity to fly out of either Long Beach Airport or LAX (Los Angeles International Airport), with the same flights and fares, which would you prefer. Question 20 asked respondents if they had the opportunity to fly out of either Long Beach Airport or LAX (Los Angeles International Airport), with the same flights and fare, which they would prefer. Ninety-one percent of the respondents indicated that they would prefer to fly out of LGB. Figure 21. Airport Preference LGB 90.5% 5.8% LAX Not sure 1.8% Neither 1.7% 0.2% Refused Table40 shows preferred airport by district. Residents in District 3 and District 5 showed the most preference for LGB (96% and 95%, respectively). Conversely, respondents residing in District 7 showed the most preference for LAX (11%). Table 40. Airport Preference by District District District District District District District District District District District Overall 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Base LGB 900 53 100 156 98 147 64 LAX 52 5.8% 2 4.0% 7 6.7% 1 0.9% 4 4.1% 6 3.8% Neither 16 1.7% 1 2.0% 4 4.0% 1 0.9% 3 3.4% - 4 6.0% Not sure 16 1.8% 3 6.0% - 3 1.8% 1 1.4% 1 1.0% Refused 2 0.2% - - - - - JetBlue Airways 103 97 82 814 46 89 151 89 140 51 89 85 73 90.5% 88.0% 89.3% 96.4% 91.2% 95.2% 80.0% 86.3% 88.4% 88.9% 6 11 10.0% 10.5% 9 8.9% 6 7.9% 2 2.0% - - 1 2.0% 1 1.3% 2 2.1% 3 3.2% 1 2.0% - 1 0.7% - Godbe Research & Analysis Page 56 Additional Demographic & Behavioral Information Additional Demographic & Behavioral Information Q1. How long have you lived in Long Beach? Figure 22. Length of Residence Refused 1.4% Less than 5 17.9% 5 to less than 9 10.6% 15 or more 56.8% 9 to less than 15 13.3% QA. How many children under the age of 19 do you have living in your home? Figure 23. Children Under 19 Years Old None 60.1% 1 child 13.9% 2 children 16.0% 5.0% 3 children QB. What local newspaper do you read? (DON'T READ LIST; MULTIPLE RESPONSE PERMITTED; PROBE FOR SPECIFICS) 4 children 1.8% More than 4 children 1.8% Refused 1.4% Figure 24. Preferred Newspaper 60.6% Long Beach Press-Telegram 39.2% LA Times 10.3% Don't read a local newspaper Gazette 5.5% Other 3.2% DK/NA 2.8% Orange County Register 2.0% Long Beach Business Journal 0% JetBlue Airways 1.4% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Godbe Research & Analysis Page 57 Additional Demographic & Behavioral Information QC. Do you own or rent your place of residence? Figure 25. Home Ownership DK/NA 2.5% Rent 33.2% Own 64.3% QD. What ethnic group do you consider yourself a part of or feel closest to? (IF HESITATE, READ): Figure 26. Ethnicity White/ Caucasian 53.6% Latino or Hispanic 16.0% African American or Black Other 13.8% 6.9% DK/NA Asian QE. To wrap things up, I am going to read some income categories. Please stop me when I reach the category that best describes your total household income. 4.4% 3.0% Pacific Islander 1.6% Asian Indian 0.7% Figure 27. Household Income Under $20,000 11.8% $20K to $39,000 16.0% $40K to $59,999 18.3% $60K to $89,999 17.8% $90K to $119,999 $120K to $159,999 $160K to $199,999 11.1% 5.6% 1.1% $200K to $299,999 1.0% Over $300K 0.8% DK/NA/ Refused JetBlue Airways 16.6% Godbe Research & Analysis Page 58 Additional Demographic & Behavioral Information QF. Gender Figure 28. Gender Female 52.6% QG. Age Male 47.4% Figure 29. Age 65+ years 11.4% Not coded 7.3% 18 to 29 years 18.2% 30-39 years 21.0% 50 to 64 years 20.3% 40 to 49 years 21.7% QH. Party Figure 30. Party Other 6.8% DTS 12.1% Democrat 52.0% Republican 29.1% JetBlue Airways Godbe Research & Analysis Page 59 Additional Demographic & Behavioral Information QL. Household Party Type Figure 31. Household Party Type Democrat (1) 29.6% 14.5% Democrat (2+) Republican (1) 12.9% Republican (2+) 11.3% Other (1) Other (2) 10.6% 2.4% Dem. & Rep. 5.7% Dem. & other 8.5% 4.0% 0.5% Mixed No data QM. Likely November 2004 Voter Figure 32. Likely November 2004 Voter No 21.4% Yes 78.6% District Figure 33. District District 1 District 2 5.9% 11.1% District 3 District 4 17.4% 10.9% District 5 District 6 District 7 District 8 District 9 JetBlue Airways 16.4% 7.1% 11.4% 10.7% 9.1% Godbe Research & Analysis Page 60