Research & Forecast Report PITTSBURGH | RETAIL Q1 2015 Local Market Update Mark Anderson Vice President | Pittsburgh The Pittsburgh market remained relatively stable during the first quarter of 2015, with a minor downturn in both occupancy and lease rates. The region remained very strong overall posting a 3.8 percent vacancy rate, compared to a 3.7 percent vacancy rate for fourth quarter 2014. Lease rates tumbled a bit to an average of $12.04 per square foot after posting $12.20 in the previous quarter. The total retail market consists of 136,263,348 square feet, of which 5,150,329 square feet was vacant at the end of the first quarter. Absorption during the quarter was a negative 46,808 square feet. The strongest markets continued to be Oakland, the North Hills, and the South Hills with vacancy rates of 2.0%, 2.1% and 2.4% respectively. Shopping Centers, which account for 32,727,746 square feet posted a 4.9% vacancy rate during the quarter. Typical lease rates for quality new construction are in the high $20.00 to low $40.00 per square foot range. Dollar Stores and value retailers can still find decent locations in the high single digits. Landlords are providing little in the way of concessions, as many tenants have few options within the market. Adding to the tight market conditions is the fact that new construction is limited. Just 390,482 square feet is currently under construction, but that does not include the development of Newbury Market which is over 300,000 square feet. The new construction number also does not include the redevelopment of the former Northway Mall, which by itself is 422,000 square feet. The biggest news of the quarter was that The Block Northway confirmed Nordstrom Rack as an anchor tenant and is close to finalizing a lease with The Container Store. The Block Northway is looking for lease rates in the low $40 range for space fronting McKnight Road. The Pittsburgh market is poised to continue its strong performance for the foreseeable future. We anticipate that overall lease rates will rise as summer approaches. Vacancy rates will most likely decline and construction activity will most likely remain limited. Overall the market is strong and should remain so during the remainder of the year. Colliers International | Pittsburgh > Landlord Representation Harrison Town Square, Pittsburgh, PA Shoppes at Adams Ridge Warrendale Village, Warrendale, PA > Available space: 400 - 20,000 SF Cranberry Township, PA > Available space: 14,275 SF class A retail > Great retail/medical space in the heart of > Available space: 1,400 SF (newer > New construction opportunity Natrona Heights > Total facade renovation underway construction) 7809 McKnight Road, Pittsburgh, PA Chiodo’s Plaza, Robinson Township, PA > Up to 12,500 SF available > Available space: 1,000 - 4,000 SF Parkway Center | Building Seven Pittsburgh, PA > Build to suit opportunity > Great visibility in Robinson trade area > 6,893 SF | Former restaurant/nightclub with potential patio seating > 4,000 +/- SF endcap > 3,889 SF | Former Chinese restaurant > Near Ross Park and Northway Mall Gateway Commons Cranberry Township, PA > New available space: 1,300 - 14,000 SF > Newer retail space located at the corner of Freedom Rd. / Route 228 and Commonwealth Drive 2 > Significant parking available > Available First Quarter 2015 > 784 SF | Coffee shop/cafe | Sundry store 1910 Cochran Road, Pittsburgh, PA Thorn Run Crossing, Moon, PA > 3,184 SF end cap with drive thru > 5,276 SF available > Great Mt. Lebanon/Scott Township location > Divisible to 1,500 SF > Ample free parking > Multiple suites available > Excellent demographics and visibility Pittsburgh Research & Forecast Report | Q1 2015 | Pittsburgh / Retail | Colliers International Pittsburgh Region Retail Market Statistics > Q1 2015 Market Comparisons - Total Retail Market Statistics Q1 2015 > Quarterly Comparison and Totals MARKET EXISTING INVENTORY # BLDGS TOTAL GLA VACANCY DIRECT SF TOTAL SF VAC. % YTD NET ABSORPTION YTD DELIVERIES UNDER CONST. SF QUOTED RATES Armstrong 165 1,475,620 38,200 38,200 2.6% 0 0 0 Beaver County 795 8,585,014 552,472 552,472 6.4% 397 0 0 $7.53 Butler County 796 9,808,472 308,131 308,131 3.1% (14,960) 0 26,000 $14.16 Central Business District 136 2,414,778 144,349 144,349 6.0% 0 0 0 $10.40 Greater Downtown 794 5,126,236 199,586 199,586 3.9% (4,795) 0 0 $10.32 Monroeville North Pittsburgh Northeast Pittsburgh Oakland Parkway East Corridor Parkway West Corridor South Pittsburgh Washington County West Pittsburgh Westmoreland County MARKET TOTALS 239 6,012,883 268,053 288,053 4.8% (38,177) 0 0 $13.84 1,375 14,730,162 299,716 311,384 2.1% 19,298 0 248,000 $16.97 890 8,556,515 480,428 488,575 5.7% 437 0 0 $12.54 177 1,117,445 22,167 22,167 2.0% (4,300) 2,094 15,688,678 774,761 774,761 4.9% (364) 0 0 $17.25 10,640 $11.12 0 0 $12.40 12,406 0 $10.61 47,691 $14.99 18,960 425 6,646,703 189,220 189,220 2.8% (446) 2,229 23,411,425 567,904 571,854 2.4% (36,182) 936 11,058,759 277,067 277,817 2.5% 16,795 0 394 3,128,519 117,611 117,611 3.8% 2,340 0 5,108 $9.38 1,689 18,502,144 866,664 866,664 4.7% 13,149 0 53,043 $10.40 136,263,348 5,106,329 5,150,844 3.8% (46,808) 390,482 $12.04 13,134 31,366 Colliers International | Pittsburgh > Tenant Representation 3 $9.00 Pittsburgh Research & Forecast Report | Q1 2015 | Pittsburgh / Retail | Colliers International Tight Market for Retailers Mark Anderson Vice President | Pittsburgh The Pittsburgh retail real estate market is the strongest it has been in years. With vacancy rates the lowest they have been in over ten years and slight new construction, tenants will have a hard time finding many options for new locations. Landlords are eager to increase lease rates and offer little in the way of rent concessions or tenant improvements. Most tenants will have to make compromises if they want to enter Pittsburgh’s hottest submarkets. relief for tenants who want to remain in one of Pittsburgh’s top submarkets. Tenants have to aggressively pursue their top options, utilizing commercial real estate firms like Colliers International | Pittsburgh and be prepared to deal with Landlords who are reticent to negotiate. Tenants who wait to find better options, or push the negotiation envelope could find themselves outmaneuvered by the competition. Hometown Heroes: Pittsburgh Based Retailers No submarket is tighter than the Oakland and East End submarket. While Walnut Street has long been considered the crème de la crème of East End retail real estate, the market now extends to the Baum/Centre corridor through Penn Avenue to Bakery Square. A number of brand name tenants are searching for space in the area, including Lucky’s Market and Tesla. With 173,000 total population within three miles, it is easy to understand why the East End is a strong destination for retailers. With a vacancy rate of 2 percent, Oakland leads the pack for Pittsburgh markets that are in high demand. Company: Dick’s Sporting Goods Location: Coraopolis, PA Year Founded: 1948 Number of U.S. Locations: 610 About the Company: Dick’s Sporting Goods, Inc. is an authentic full-line sporting goods retailer offering a broad assortment of brand name sporting goods equipment, apparel and footwear in a specialty store environment. The Company owns and operates Golf Galaxy, LLC, a golf specialty retailer and eCommerce websites and catalog operations for both Dick’s Sporting Goods and Golf Galaxy. For more information please visit www.dickssportinggoods.com. The remainder of the Pittsburgh market faces similar tight conditions. With South Pittsburgh showing a vacancy rate of 2.4% and the Parkway West at 2.8% there is very little FOR MORE INFORMATION RESEARCH CONTACT Michelle Stewart Vice President | Pittsburgh Retail Brokerage +1 412 321 4200 ext. 227 Michelle.Stewart@colliers.com Copyright © 2015 Colliers International. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources deemed reliable. While every reasonable effort has been made to ensure its accuracy, we cannot guarantee it. No responsibility is assumed for any inaccuracies. Readers are encouraged to consult their professional advisors prior to acting on any of the material contained in this report. 4 34,300 Revenue:$6.21 Billion Another tight market is the Wexford/Route 19 North submarket. Coming in second to Oakland, the Wexford submarket currently sits at a vacancy rate of 2.1 percent. The Village at Pine, one of the largest retail centers in the submarket, is currently 100% occupied with the only option for tenants being new construction. Down the street, Wexford Plaza’s new facade renovations have helped fill the Whole Foods anchored center. Some pressure will be taken off the market by new developments like McCandless Crossing and the Block Northway, but Tenants will still have a hard time locating ideal options. Mark Anderson Vice President | Pittsburgh Retail Brokerage +1 412 321 4200 ext. 222 MarkE.Anderson@colliers.com Number of Employees: Maria Hanson Adminstrative Assistant | Pittsburgh +1 412 321 4200 ext. 212 Maria.Hanson@colliers.com Colliers International | Pittsburgh Two Gateway Center 603 Stanwix Street, Suite 125 +1 412 321 4200 colliers.com/pittsburgh North American Research & Forecast Report | Q4 2014 | Office Market Outlook | Colliers International